23/09/2012 Sunday Politics North West


23/09/2012

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And in the North West: "We were right to quit." The Lib

:01:33.:01:36.

Dem councillors who lost the faith - I ask Nick Clegg if the party's

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Apology for the loss of subtitles for 1997 seconds

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huge local losses have been worth Welcome to the Sunday Politics in

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the North West. Coming up this morning:

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"We were right to quit." The Lib Dem councillors who lost the faith

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and Nick Clegg's message to those who didn't.

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I am proud, proud of the fact that Lib Dems stepped up and said, we

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are going to play a role in setting The full interview coming up.

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This week, with the Liberal Democrats gathering in Brighton,

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we're looking at the party's fortunes in the North West. But

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first, let's meet this week's guests. Jo Crotty chairs the party

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in the region, and Professor Andrew Russell is head of Politics at the

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:35:53.:35:53.

University of Manchester. The leadership has been pretty busy,

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saying sorry this week. Have you got anything to apologise for?

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Many things, but not on national television!

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And Drew, just set the scene for us for the party in Brighton. --

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Andrew. Now is the time for the Lib Dems to

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express to the country as a whole and the region what it is they

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stand for. That is what we will be talking

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about as well. So where are the Lib Dems in the

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North West? They'll be defending six seats at the next general

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election, in Burnley, Manchester Withington, Cheadle, Hazel Grove,

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Southport and Westmorland & Lonsdale. And in three of them, a

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swing of just 3% or less could unseat the MP.

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But it's at the grassroots where you can see the real impact of

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being in government. Back in 2010, there were more than 400 Lib Dem

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councillors across the region. In last year's local elections, more

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than 100 were lost, and this year the party were left with around 230.

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Labour has more than 1,200 and the Conservatives 650. Well, two years

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ago, four local councillors in Runcorn quit the party, saying the

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leadership had betrayed them by going into coalition. They later

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stood as independents, but lost. So, two years on, Andy Gill's been back

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:37:13.:37:15.

to meet them. If they come back and say, we were

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fined 1,000 extra people, then great.

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-- we will fund. The Halton Lib Dems who quit are

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still serving their community - just not as elected councillors.

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Here, Bob Bryant and Mike Shepherd at a careers forum.

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Peter Blackmore presents on Halton Community Radio. We brought

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together three of the former councillors who resigned and the

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local party chair, Mike Hodgkinson. He stayed on after the coalition

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was formed but retired in May. What I thought then is come to

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fruition. Among the quitters, there's no

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doubt they did the right thing. Universal credit is going to be a

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nightmare for my community. People are going to have to make decisions

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were there to feed the kids or pay the rent or council tax.

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We can't knock on people's doors and say keep voting for the Lib

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Dems. It will stick in the throat. But the party chair defends Nick

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Clegg's decision to go into government.

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Had we stayed out of government, it would have been difficult. People

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forget that the financial markets were in turmoil about Europe then.

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Our ability to borrow money from abroad would have been more

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difficult. Isn't the problem for the Lib Dems

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that you are trying to claim credit -- credit for being part of the

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government in a difficult time, but you are paying a heavy electoral

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price for that? The voters don't give you any credit for it.

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The reality is that whoever had been in government, they would have

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to put through some very tough measures.

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They think Nick Clegg should have stuck to his guns on tuition fees

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before agreeing to the coalition, and that he must shoulder most of

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the blame for party's dismal election prospects.

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There is quite a few students in this borough, people who want to go

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to university. Now they can't afford to because of tuition fees.

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He has shot us in the foot. He has committed suicide Ki really.

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Where do you see the Lib Dems in the north-west in two years?

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Absolutely nowhere. They will be lucky to have one seat.

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In 2015, where is the infrastructure for the Lib Dems?

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Where is the ground support? The Lib Dems were famous for

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building power on the pavement. The worry now is there'll be no Lib

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Dems left on the pavement to rebuild trust and support.

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I'm pleased to say we're also joined from Brighton now by John

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Pugh, the Lib Dem MP for Southport. It is difficult, really, to say

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those councillors we heard from were wrong.

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I don't know about whether it is right or wrong. When we went into

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coalition, there were people who felt strongly that they didn't want

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to go into a coalition with the Conservatives. Within the party,

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there is a feeling that a more natural partner would have been the

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Labour Party. But the arithmetic wasn't there.

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But what they argue is that by going into coalition with the

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Tories, you are now making incredibly difficult decisions.

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You're not being seen as a party of social justice. They felt that the

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party was going to disintegrate. That is what we are seeing.

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Disintegrate is a strong word. If you are in government and you have

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been left with the legacy, the huge deficit by the previous Labour

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government, you were going to have to make some difficult decisions.

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Now they are not counsellors because they found it even more

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difficult to run a campaign. That is not to say that I don't have

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empathy with them. There are many people, excellent councillors who

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have lost their seats in the north- west over the past two years. I

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think they might find that difficult when they move into

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politics. Do you think you are giving the

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impression that to our liking politics too much?

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I think and how it looks. Andrew, what about the Lib Dems'

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position in the north-west? Is it worse than other parts of the

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country? The context is axiomatic of the

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problem the party has. The third party is struggling for space in a

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system designed for two. The Lib Dems have come through as the

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challenger party to the established party, whether that be the

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Conservatives or Labour. Actually facing both ways is always going to

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be problematic. The secret for success has been the kind of

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localised campaign. Now, suddenly, when they are in government, it is

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difficult for the Lib Dems to kind of focus exclusively on the local

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campaign. John, in Brighton, what those

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councillors were arguing, I suppose, and what I put to Joe, is that you

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are no longer seen as the party of social justice. We have seen

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tuition fees, local council cuts, the NHS Bill. That is a difficult

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position for you. I'm surprised you picked on

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councillors in Runcorn. The coalition has found the money for

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the Mersey gait Weybridge, as they found the money for the northern

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hub. -- Gateway Bridge. The Labour Party rallied over these things for

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too long. They are the last councillors who should be

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complaining. What they seem to be saying, there

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may be people who are happy to get to you -- a local bridge. But they

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are not happy about cuts to local services.

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There are big England wins. The problem the coalition has about

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making sure isn't -- it is not just the South East that gains from the

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recovery, that is important. There have been difficult local elections.

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It has been very difficult for people. But the essential product

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of revitalising the north-west and encouraging manufacturing,

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encouraging manufacturing in places like Liverpool and Manchester, that

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is a wholly good one. I was having a look at the

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conference agenda. Given the state that the party is in, I would have

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thought that you would want to spend more time discussing how to

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get out of it and how to improve the position you are in.

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I think we have learned from the early phase of coalition. What we

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now have is a very, very close focus on the economy, jobs, and

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things that really do matter. These things matter to people who are not

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particularly detained by politics. We are on the right page.

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Andrew, what is the way out for the Lib Dems in the region?

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The way out is a loaded term. It suggests they are looking for a way

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out. I mean recovering. Actually, what John has just said

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about saying the story is local as well as national, that is the real

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problem for the smaller party. They are always going to be in a

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peculiar position in a coalition. If you are happy, you would say it

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is a major party's effort. If you are unhappy, you blame the smaller

:45:20.:45:30.
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The man at the centre of all this is the Deputy Prime Minister and

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leader of the Liberal Democrats, Nick Clegg. I spoke to him before

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conference got underway at the Cabinet Office.

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I almost wonder if we should start this into the by apologising to

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each other simply because that is the way things seem to be at the

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moment. Instead, let the press on and asked about the local election

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results in the north-west. How disappointed were you?

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I was disappointed. The Lib Dems have lost councillors, good

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colleagues, servants of their communities in local elections two

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years in a row. Clearly, entry into government has been unpopular with

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people in the North West, and of course, we have to take difficult

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decisions because there's no money left by the last government. I hope

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that people in the north-west will say that nonetheless we have done

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some good things, important things that will benefit them. It is the

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Lib Dems who are delivering a change in the tax system, such that

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next April, instead of paying tax after �6,400, which is how it was

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when we came into government, you can and �9,200 tax free as of next

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April. Bad-taste 2 million people on low pay out of paying any income

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tax altogether. -- that takes 2 million people. That is one example

:47:02.:47:08.

of the many things... Let's talk about those local

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elections, steal. The Lost World out of 12 councillors. -- you lost

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12 out of 12 councillors. That is pretty disastrous.

:47:21.:47:27.

As I said, it has been a setback for the Lib Dems. What goes up,

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goes down in politics. When will it start to go up? I am

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not a soothsayer, I am a politician and a human being. As the economy

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recovers, people will see that we have given them money with economic

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changes, we have delivered more changes in the north-west, we have

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given the pensioners of the north- west the biggest cash increase in

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their state pension ever because of the guarantee from the Lib Dems. We

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have given schools extra money through the people premium, to help

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schools educate children from difficult backgrounds. We are doing

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these things well during the painstaking job of rescuing and

:48:08.:48:12.

repairing an economy that had been left in tatters by the last

:48:12.:48:15.

government. And when you went into government,

:48:15.:48:19.

you knew that tough choices would have to be made. I know that. Did

:48:19.:48:23.

you realise that it would be at the extent of this much damage to your

:48:23.:48:29.

local government base? Maybe you have a crystal ball but I

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don't. It is hard to know what is going to happen from one year to

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the next. I didn't know, candidly, back in 2010, that the eurozone was

:48:41.:48:45.

going to be grinding from one crisis to the other. Clearly, I

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could not anticipate when making to government that the mission, which

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is the central mission of the Lib Dems in this government, to repair

:48:54.:48:58.

our economy, to create hope and jobs for the future, would be more

:48:58.:49:01.

difficult than we thought at the outset because the damage that was

:49:01.:49:04.

incurred because of labour's irresponsibility was worse than we

:49:04.:49:08.

had expected. Has the sacrifice been worth it?

:49:08.:49:14.

I don't think we will know whether anything has been worth it until we

:49:14.:49:18.

know what their jobs, optimism, hope and stability have been

:49:18.:49:23.

restored to the British economy. At the end of the day, what is more

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important than the political fortunes of any politician or party

:49:27.:49:31.

is whether we as a country can pull together to recover from one of the

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biggest shocks in the post-war period that happened in 2008? Why

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did it happen? Because people like Ed Balls were on a charm offensive

:49:43.:49:49.

in the city of London. It has taken longer than I had, but I'm proud

:49:49.:49:54.

that the Lib Dems stepped up and said, we are going to try to set

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the country on a better path. Andrew, apart from Nick Clegg being

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and used by my reference to those apologies, I thought it was

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interesting that when I asked him were the sacrifice is worth it, he

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didn't seem quite so sure. Events, dear boy, is what he was

:50:13.:50:18.

saying. When you go into government, you can't predict what is going to

:50:18.:50:22.

happen. The real pressure for the Lib Dems is that the wings they

:50:22.:50:28.

have had, with the greatest respect to things like tax thresholds, are

:50:28.:50:35.

not as sexy as some was the defeat they have had, like tuition fees. -

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- some of the defeats. The government would have liked signs

:50:40.:50:47.

of recovery to have taken place. 2015 will be easier if the

:50:47.:50:50.

electorate could see things were getting better. The signs now are

:50:50.:50:54.

that it is going to be a long road to recovery. That makes it

:50:54.:50:57.

difficult for all the parties in the coalition, but particularly the

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Lib Dems. Do you think the sacrifice is in

:51:01.:51:06.

the region have been worth it? That is a very difficult question.

:51:06.:51:11.

If you have not been in government for several generations, and you

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have the opportunity to be in government, he almost had to take

:51:15.:51:21.

it, or why are you in politics? -- you almost have to take it. I would

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go back to what Mike Hodgkinson was saying, that really we needed a

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stable government at around that time. If we had gone into another

:51:31.:51:34.

general election, maybe we would not now be in the same extent as

:51:35.:51:39.

Greece, but they have had two elections. To some extent, I don't

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think we had a choice. If we are a serious party, we had to go into

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coalition. Like Nick, I'm surprised that it is all the Lib Dems' fault

:51:52.:51:59.

that people seem to have forgotten Bacup the Labour Party caused the

:51:59.:52:06.

deficit. His Nick Clegg -- is Nick Clegg a

:52:06.:52:11.

vote winner in this region? That is a difficult question. Because the

:52:11.:52:14.

answer is no. To an extent that is true. People

:52:14.:52:18.

identify him with the break of trust over tuition fees. You can't

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put that any other way. John, can you gloss over that or do

:52:23.:52:27.

you agree that he is not a vote winner?

:52:27.:52:32.

I think she is right. Going into government is a tough call for any

:52:32.:52:36.

small party. We have experience that. In the first two years of

:52:36.:52:42.

coalition, we played our Han not particularly well. Tuition have --

:52:42.:52:45.

Tricia fees is a good example. I hope the party has learned from

:52:45.:52:52.

that. We could have played a smarter hand in the first two metal

:52:52.:52:56.

years of Parliament. Nick is right to apologise for some of the errors.

:52:56.:52:59.

Some of the polling we are looking at a showing that the public are

:53:00.:53:04.

responding positively to that. The Daily Mail did a similar poll to

:53:04.:53:08.

find out the reaction to Nick's apology. They found out it was good

:53:08.:53:13.

for him and did not publish it. Let's remember what he is

:53:13.:53:17.

apologising for. He is not apologising for the policy. His

:53:17.:53:21.

apologising for the pledge, the initial pledge that was broken.

:53:21.:53:26.

When it came to that vote, you still voted for that pledge. You

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start by your guns. On that basis, presumably you think he is actually

:53:31.:53:35.

wrong to apologise for this? You would not be apologising for the

:53:35.:53:39.

original pledge, would you? Every politician has to deal with their

:53:39.:53:44.

unconscious. Nick Clegg feels, like anybody, that sometimes you can't

:53:44.:53:48.

keep promises. You probably can't keep every promise you have made.

:53:48.:53:52.

To that extent, I think he is clearing the ground, trying to get

:53:52.:53:57.

an identity for himself in the north-west. To some extent, I think

:53:57.:54:00.

he will succeed. But you don't fundamentally agree

:54:00.:54:03.

with the principle of that apology because you felt that the original

:54:04.:54:08.

pledge was right? I thought the issue of trust was

:54:08.:54:13.

paramount. That was a political calculation. I also thought there

:54:13.:54:16.

were other ways of funding university education, for example,

:54:16.:54:20.

a graduate tax, which we should look at first.

:54:20.:54:24.

What is the way back for the party in the region? Is it all about the

:54:24.:54:27.

national picture, the economy recovering? Or is there anything

:54:28.:54:32.

else you can do regionally? I think it is the economy, the

:54:32.:54:36.

economy, the economy. For both parties in the coalition, that

:54:36.:54:42.

trumps everything. Some of the issues John has highlighted in

:54:42.:54:46.

terms of what the coalition has done for this region, we need to do

:54:46.:54:51.

a better job at communicating. Thank you for your time. I hope you

:54:51.:54:55.

enjoy the conference. Over the coming weeks, we'll be

:54:55.:54:58.

speaking to the leaders of the other two major parties as we focus

:54:58.:55:01.

on their conferences. But what else has been happening over the last

:55:01.:55:11.
:55:11.:55:12.

week? Here's Chris Rider with our Not a good week for Grant Shapps,

:55:12.:55:15.

who broke the law by allowing millions to be spent knocking down

:55:15.:55:19.

terraced houses, some in the north- west. Problem was, it is against

:55:19.:55:23.

government policy. UKIP is in conference mood but

:55:23.:55:32.

putting Europe to one side. People like what we have to say on

:55:32.:55:36.

the ground. People like all we have to say on immigration.

:55:36.:55:41.

The Marine Conservation Society says continuation of the bathing

:55:41.:55:45.

waters in Blackpool has reached tipping point.

:55:45.:55:49.

Stand and deliver - the West Lancashire MP got on her High

:55:50.:55:52.

Halstow in a parliamentary debate on the west coast main line. She

:55:52.:55:56.

compared some train companies to a latter-day Dick Turpin.

:55:56.:56:06.
:56:06.:56:13.

Police say we have not -- please, Andrew, we heard there that it has

:56:14.:56:19.

been EU could conference, too. How significant a force are they? -- it

:56:19.:56:26.

has been EU kip Conference, too. They will have a big push in the

:56:26.:56:32.

run-up to the European elections. They have done well traditionally.

:56:32.:56:35.

Then it is about exerting pressure, especially on the right wing of the

:56:35.:56:39.

Conservative Party. The reshuffle was a sign that the Conservatives

:56:39.:56:45.

are worried about the pressure from UKIP. That they also represent a

:56:45.:56:51.

pressure for third party politics. It is traditionally thought that

:56:51.:56:55.

they taken votes away from the Conservative Party. But they can

:56:55.:56:59.

actually take Lib Dem votes as well because there are a lot of protest

:56:59.:57:01.

voters who switched from you to them.

:57:01.:57:06.

It is true. In the past, we have tended to suck away some of that

:57:06.:57:10.

protest vote against the Tories. But now we are a party in

:57:10.:57:14.

government. It is time to vote by protesting against us, I guess. In

:57:14.:57:19.

that sense, UKIP can take a vote away if you are trying to protest

:57:19.:57:26.

an incumbent. They don't have any MPs. Although some polls have shown

:57:26.:57:31.

they may get some, the only one that counts is in a couple of years.

:57:31.:57:34.

You are not too worried about their impact?

:57:34.:57:41.

I will be surprised if they may a breakthrough in 2.5 years.

:57:41.:57:51.
:57:51.:57:53.

Feel free to keep in touch during Next week, we're in Manchester for

:57:53.:57:56.

the Labour conference, and our guests will include the former

:57:56.:57:57.

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