26/01/2014 Sunday Politics North West


26/01/2014

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Morning folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics.

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Ed Balls has gone socialist and fiscal Conservative in one speech.

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He promises to balance the biggest bit of the budget. And to bring back

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the 50p top tax rate. Political masterstroke, or a return to old

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Labour? If you go to work by public

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transport, chances are the price of your ticket has just gone up -

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again. We'll speak to Transport Secretary Patrick McLoughlin. He's

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our Sunday Interview. And it's been another wet week

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across much of the UK, but what s the outlook according to this man?

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This morning.This morning. Held in recent years by party veterans like

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And with me - as always - the political panel so fresh-faced,

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entertaining and downright popular they make Justin Bieber look like a

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boring old has-been just desperate to get your attention. Nick Watt,

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Helen Lewis and Janan Ganesh, and they'll be tweeting quicker than a

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yellow Lamborghini racing down Miami Beach. Being political nerds, they

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have no idea what I'm talking about. Ed Balls sprung a surprise on us all

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yesterday. We kinda thought Labour would head for the election with a

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return to the 50p top rate of tax. But we didn't think he'd do it now.

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He did! The polls say it's popular, Labour activists now have a spring

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in their step. The Tories say it's a return to the bad old days of the

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'70s, and bosses now think Labour is anti-business. Here's the Shadow

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Chancellor speaking earlier this morning. I was part of a Government

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which did very many things to open up markets, to make the Bank of

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England independent, to work closely with business, but the reality is we

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are in very difficult circumstances and because if I'm honest you,

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George Osborne's failure in the last few years, those difficult

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circumstances will last into the next Parliament. Business people

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have said to me they want to get the deficit down, of course they do But

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to cut the top rate... It is foolish and feeds resentment I want to do

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the opposite and say look, pro-business, pro investment, pro

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market, but pro fairness. Let's get this deficit down in a fairway and

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make the reforms to make our economy work for the long term. What are the

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political implications of Labour now in favour of a 50%, in practise 352%

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top rate of tax? One of the political implications I don't think

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exist is that they'll win new voters. I'm not sure many people out

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there would think, I would love to vote for Ed Miliband but I'm not

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sure if he wants to tax rich people enough. It will con Dale their

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existing vote but I don't think it is the kind of, in the 1990s we

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talked about triangulation, moving beyond your core vote, I don't think

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it is a policy like that. If there has been a policy like that this

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year, this month, it has been the Tories' move on minimum wage. I

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thought Labour would come back with their own version, a centre-right

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policy, and instead they have done this. I think we talk about the 35%

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strategy that Labour supposed will have, I think it is a policy in that

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direction rather than the thing Tony Blair or Gordon Brown would have

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done. Where he was not clear is on how much it would raise. We know the

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sum in the grand scheme of things isn't much, the bedroom tax was

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about sending a message. What we are going to see is George Osborne and

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Ed Balls lock as they try to push the other one into saying things

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that are unpopular. The Tories, ?150,000 a year, that's exactly

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where Ed Balls want them to be. All three main parties have roughly the

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same plan, to run a current budget surplus by the end of the next

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Parliament. George Osborne said ?12 billion of welfare cuts, hasn't said

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how he is going to do it. Ed Balls is giving an idea that he is going

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to restore this 50 persons rate The contribution of that will be

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deminimus. It is not much, but what does it say about your values.

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Because it is that package, it is cleverer than people think. Where

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the challenge is is the question that Peter Mandelson posed at the

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last election, which is can the Labour Party win a general election

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if it doesn't have business on its side? That's the big challenge and

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that's the question looking difficult for them this morning

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Does it matter if Labour has business on its side. I thought the

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most fascinating thing about this announcement is it came from the guy

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mindful of business support, Ed Balls. When in opposition and when a

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Minister and as a shadow as a result, he's been far more conscious

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than Ed Miliband about the need not to alienate the CB Bill. In the

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run-up of an election. This is a measure of Ed Miliband's strength in

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the Labour Party, that his view of things can prevail so easily over a

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guy who for the last 15 years has taken a different view. Eight out of

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ten businesses according to the CBI don't want us to leave business

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Business is in a bit of a cleft stick. Ed Miliband would like to see

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businesses squealing, and Ed Balls is clearly not so comfortable on

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that one. There's a difference on that. Mind you, they were squealing

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this morning from Davos. They probably had hangovers as well. The

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other thing they would say is this is not like Ed Balls thinks that 50p

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is the optimal rate forever, it what go eventually. Isn't that what

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politicians said when income tax was introduced? Yeah, in '97 Labour

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regarded 40 persons as the rate where it would stay.

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It's been a bad week for the Lib Dems. Again. Actually, it's been one

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of the worst weeks yet for Nick Clegg and his party in recent

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memory, as they've gone from talking confidently about their role in

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Government to facing a storm of criticism over claims of

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inappropriate sexual behaviour by a Lib Dem peer, Chris Rennard, and a

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Lib Dem MP, Mike Hancock. Here's Giles with the story of the week. A

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challenge to Nick Clegg's authority as he face as growing row over the

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Liberal Democrat... I want everyone to be treated with respect by the

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Liberal Democrats. We are expecting him to show moral leadership on our

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behalf. A good man has been publicly destroyed by the media with the

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apparent support of Nick Clegg. I would like Nick Clegg to show

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leadership and say, this has got to stop. When Nick Clegg woke up on

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Monday morning he knew he was in trouble, staring down the barrel of

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a stand justify with Lord Rennard over allegations that the peer had

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inappropriately touched a number of women. Chris Rennard thought he was

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cleared. Nick Clegg wanted more I said if he doesn't apologise, he

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should withdraw from the House of Lords. If he does that today, what

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do you do then? I hope he doesn t. I think no apology, no whip. 2014 was

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starting badly for the Liberal Democrats. Chris Rennard refused to

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apologise, saying you can't say sorry for something you haven't

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done. The and he was leaning towards legal action. Butch us friends

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better defending Pym and publicly. This is a good, decent man, who has

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been punished by the party, with the leadership of the party that seems

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to be showing scant regard for due process. But his accusers felt very

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differently. It is untenable for the Lib Dems to have a credible voice on

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qualities and women's issues in the future if Lord Rennard was allowed

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to be back on the Lib Dem benches in the House of Lords. Therein lay the

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problem that exposed the weaknesses of the Lib Dem leaders. The party's

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internal structures have all the simplicity of a circuit diagram for

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a supercomputer, exposing the complexity of who runs the Liberal

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Democrats? The simple question that arose of that was can the leader of

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the Lib Dems remove a Lib Dem peer? The simple answer is no. The Lib Dem

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whips in the Lords could do it but if enough Lib Dem peers disagreed,

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they could overrule it. Some long-stand ng friends of roar

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Rennard think he is either the innocent victim of a media

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witch-hunt or at the least due process has been ridden over rough

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shot by the leadership. Nobody ever did spot Lord Rennard as he didn't

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turn up to the Lords, will citing ill health. But issued a statement

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that ruled out an apology. He refused to do so and refused to

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comply with the outcome of that report, so there was no alternative

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but for the party to suspend his membership today. On Wednesday Nick

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Clegg met Lib Dem peers, not for a crunch decision, but to discuss the

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extraordinary prospect of legal action against the party by the man

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long credited with building its success. The situation was making

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the party look like a joke. One Tory MP said to one of my colleagues this

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morning, the funny thing about the Liberal Democrats, you managed to

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create a whole sex scandal without any sex. And we can laugh at

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ourselves but actually it is rather serious. And it got more serious,

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when an MP who had resigned the Lib Dem whip last year was expanded from

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the party over a report into allegations of serious and unwelcome

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sexual behaviour towards a constituent. All of this leaves the

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Lib Dems desperately wishing these sagas had been dealt with long ago

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and would now go away. Nick Clegg ended the week still party leader.

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Lord Rennard, once one of their most powerful players, ended the week,

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for now, no longer even in it. Giles on the Lib Dems' disastrous

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week. Now, as you doubtless already know, on Tuesday Lib Dem MPs will

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vote to choose a new deputy leader. You didn't know that? You do now.

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The job of Nick Clegg's number two is to speak with a genuine Lib Dem

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voice, untainted by the demands of coalition Government. At this point

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in the show we had expected to speak to all three candidates for the

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post, held in recent years by party veterans like Vince Cable and Simon

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Hughes. We thought it being quite a significant week for the party, they

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might have something to say. And here they are. Well that's their

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pictures. For various reasons, all three are now unavailable. Malcolm

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Bruce, he's reckoned to be the outsider. His office said he had a

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"family commitment". Gordon Birtwistle, the Burnley MP, was

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booked to appear but then told us, "I was at an event last night with

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Lorely Burt" - she's one of the candidates - "and she told me it was

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off". And Lorely Burt herself, seen by many as the red hot favourite,

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told us: "Because of the Rennard thing we don't want to put ourselves

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in a position where we have to answer difficult questions." How

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refreshingly honest. Helen, how bad politically is all this for the Lib

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Dems? What I think is the tragic irony of the Lib Dems is they've

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been revealed as being too democratic. In the same way that

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their party conference embarrassed Nick Clegg by voting sings that he

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signed up to, and now everything has to be run past various

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sub-committees first. Is it democratic or chaotic? It is

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Byzantine. Mike Hancock was voluntarily suspended, and this week

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he was properly suspended. It was new information into the public

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domain that forced that. I'm already hearing Labour and Conservative

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Party musing that if it is a long Parliament, we will form a minority

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Government. It is a disaster for them. Voters like parties that

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reflect and are interested this their concerns. Parties that are

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self obsessed turn them off. The third party, if they carry on like

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this, they'll be the fifth party in the European elections, so they have

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got to draw a line under this. They do that, if they do, through

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mediation. As I understand it, Chris Rennard,s who has go devoted his

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entire life to the Liberal Democrats, and previously the

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Liberal Party, is keen to draw a line under this. He is up for

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mediation but he needs to know that the women that he has clearly

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invaded their personal space, that there wouldn't be a possible legal a

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action from them. The it is very difficult to see how you could

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resolve that. Except he is threatening through his friends

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these famous friends, to spill all the beans about all the party's sex

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secrets. Isn't the danger for the Lib Dems, this haunts them through

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to the European elections, where they'll get thumped in the European

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elections? They'll get destroyed in the European elections, which keeps

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it salient as a story over the summer. And it has implications for

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Nick Clegg's leadership. He's done a good job until now, perhaps better

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than David Cameron, of exercising authority over his party. He had a

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good conference in September. Absolutely, and now the Lib Dems

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have looked like a party without a leader or a leadership structure.

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Part of that is down to the chaotic or Byzantine organisational

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structure of the party. Part of it is Nick Clegg's failure to assert

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himself and impose himself over events. Is it Byzantine or

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Byzantine. It is labyrinthine. You don't get these words on the Today

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programme. The cost of living has been back on the agenda this week as

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Labour and the Tories argue over whether the value of money in your

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pocket is going up or down. Well there's one cost which has been

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racing ahead of inflation and that's the amount you have to pay to travel

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by train, by bus and by air. Rail commuters have been hard hit over

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the last four years, with the cost of the average season ticket going

:15:47.:15:50.

up by 18% since January 2010, while wages have gone up by just 3.6% over

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the same period. It means some rail users are paying high prices with

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commuters from Kent shelling out more than ?5,000 per year from the

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beginning of this month just to get to work in London. It doesn't

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compare well with our European counterparts. In the UK the average

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rail user spends 14% of their average income on trains. It is just

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1.5% in Italy. Regulated fares like season tickets went up 3.1% at the

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beginning of this month, and with ministers keen to make passengers

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fought more of the bills, there are more fare rises coming down the

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track. And Patrick McLoughlin joins me now for the Sunday Interview

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Welcome. You claim to be in the party of hard-working people, so why

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is it that since you came to power rail commuters have seen the cost of

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their average season ticket going up in money terms by over 18% while

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their pay has gone up in money terms by less than four? I would point out

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that this is the first year in ten years that we have not had an above

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inflation increase on fares. The Government accepts we have got to do

:17:22.:17:26.

as much as we can to help the passengers. A big inflation increase

:17:27.:17:34.

since 2010. This is the first year in ten years that it has not been

:17:35.:17:41.

above RPI, but we are also investing huge amounts of money into the

:17:42.:17:46.

railways, building new trains for the East Coast Main Line and the

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great Western. We are spending 500 million at Birmingham station, this

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is all increasing capacity, so we are seeing investments. Over the

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next five years Network Rail will invest over ?38 billion in the

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network structure. We also have an expensive railway and it is ordinary

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people paying for it. A season ticket from Woking in Surrey,

:18:17.:18:22.

commuter belt land in London, let's look at the figures. This is a

:18:23.:18:28.

distance of over 25 miles, it cost over ?3000 per year. We have picked

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similar distances to international cities.

:18:38.:18:46.

The British commuter is being ripped off. The British commuter is seeing

:18:47.:18:54.

record levels of investment in our railways. The investment has to be

:18:55.:18:59.

paid for. We are investing huge amounts of money and I don't know

:19:00.:19:03.

whether the figures you have got here... I'm sure they are likewise,

:19:04.:19:20.

as you have managed to do... White -- ten times more than the Italian

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equivalent. We have seen transformational changes in our

:19:30.:19:33.

railway services and we need to carry on investing. We were paying

:19:34.:19:38.

these prices even before you started investing. We have always paid a lot

:19:39.:19:43.

more to commute in this country than our European equivalents. I'm not

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quite sure I want to take on Italy is a great example. You would if you

:19:53.:19:58.

were a commuter. You is a great example. You would if you

:19:59.:20:04.

the other rates of taxation has to be paid as well. Isn't it the case

:20:05.:20:10.

they are making profits out of these figures and using them to subsidise

:20:11.:20:14.

cheaper fares back in their homeland? The overall profit margin

:20:15.:20:23.

train companies make is 3%, a reasonable amount, and we have seen

:20:24.:20:26.

a revolution as far as the railway industry is concerned.

:20:27.:20:31.

a revolution as far as the railway 20 years we have seen passenger

:20:32.:20:36.

journeys going from 750 million to 1.5 billion. That is a massive

:20:37.:20:41.

revolution in rail. Let me look 1.5 billion. That is a massive

:20:42.:20:45.

spokesperson for the German government, the Ministry of

:20:46.:20:46.

transport. They are charging huge fares in

:20:47.:21:03.

Britain to take that money back to subsidise fares in Germany. What do

:21:04.:21:09.

you say to that? We are seeing British companies winning contracts

:21:10.:21:13.

in Germany. The National Express are winning contracts to the railways.

:21:14.:21:18.

What about the ordinary commuter? They are paying through the nose so

:21:19.:21:23.

German commuters can travel more cheaply. We are still subsidising

:21:24.:21:29.

the railways in this country, but overall we want to reduce the

:21:30.:21:33.

subsidy we are giving. We are still seeing growth in our railways and I

:21:34.:21:40.

want to see more people using them. Why do you increase rail fares at

:21:41.:21:48.

the higher RPI measure than the lower CPI measurement? That is what

:21:49.:21:53.

has always been done, and we have stopped. This is the first time in

:21:54.:21:57.

ten years that we have not raised the rail figures above RPI. You

:21:58.:22:08.

still link fares to RPI. You use the lower CPI figure when it suits you,

:22:09.:22:13.

to keep pension payments down for example, but the higher one when it

:22:14.:22:18.

comes to increasing rail fares. We are still putting a huge subsidy

:22:19.:22:22.

into the rail industry, there is still a huge amount of money going

:22:23.:22:27.

from the taxpayer to support the rail industry. I am not asking you

:22:28.:22:33.

about that, I am asking you why you link the figures to the higher RPI

:22:34.:22:41.

vesture Mark if we are going to pay for the levels of investment, so all

:22:42.:22:47.

the new trains being built at Newton Aycliffe for the East Coast Main

:22:48.:22:52.

Line and the great Western, ?3. billion of investment, new rolling

:22:53.:22:56.

stock coming online, then yes, we have to pay for it, and it is a

:22:57.:23:00.

question of the taxpayer paying for it all the -- or the passenger.

:23:01.:23:14.

You have capped parking fines until the next election, rail commuters we

:23:15.:23:17.

have seen the cost of their ticket has gone up by nearly 20%, you are

:23:18.:23:27.

the party of the drivers, not the passengers, aren't you?

:23:28.:23:34.

We are trying to help everybody who has been struggling. I think we are

:23:35.:23:48.

setting out long-term plans for our railways, investing heavily in them

:23:49.:23:52.

and it is getting that balance right. But you have done more for

:23:53.:23:58.

the driver than you have for the user of public transport. I don t

:23:59.:24:05.

accept that. They are paying the same petrol prices as 2011. This is

:24:06.:24:11.

the first time in ten years that there has not been an RPI plus

:24:12.:24:18.

rise. We are investing record amounts. Bus fares are also rising,

:24:19.:24:25.

4.2% in real terms in 2010, at a time when real take-home pay has

:24:26.:24:31.

been falling. This hits commuters particularly workers who use buses

:24:32.:24:37.

on low incomes, another cost of living squeeze. I was with

:24:38.:24:41.

Stagecoach in Manchester on Friday, and I saw a bus company investing in

:24:42.:24:55.

new buses. Last week First ordered new buses. Part of your hard-working

:24:56.:25:01.

families you are always on about, they are the ones going to work

:25:02.:25:07.

early in the morning, and yet you are making them pay more for their

:25:08.:25:11.

buses in real terms than they did before. They would be happier if

:25:12.:25:18.

they could travel more cheaply. It is about getting investment in

:25:19.:25:23.

services, it has to be paid for Why not run the old buses for five more

:25:24.:25:32.

years? Because then there is more pollution in the atmosphere, modern

:25:33.:25:36.

buses have lower emissions, and we are still giving huge support

:25:37.:25:40.

overall to the bus industry and that is very important because I fully

:25:41.:25:43.

accept that the number of people, yes, use the train but a lot of

:25:44.:25:53.

people use buses as well. High-speed two, it has been delayed because 877

:25:54.:25:59.

pages of key evidence from your department were left on a computer

:26:00.:26:06.

memory stick, part of the submission to environmental consultation. Your

:26:07.:26:09.

department's economic case is now widely regarded as a joke, now you

:26:10.:26:17.

do this. Is your department fit for purpose? Yes, and as far as what

:26:18.:26:23.

happened with the memory stick, it is an acceptable and shouldn't have

:26:24.:26:26.

happened, and therefore we have extended the time. There has been an

:26:27.:26:32.

extension in the time for people to make representation, the bill for

:26:33.:26:42.

this goes through Parliament in a different way to a normal bill. It

:26:43.:26:55.

is vital HS2 provides what we want. What I am very pleased about is when

:26:56.:27:00.

the paving bill was passed by Parliament just a few months ago,

:27:01.:27:05.

there was overwhelming support, and I kept reading there was going to be

:27:06.:27:11.

70 people voting against it, in the end 30 people voted against it and

:27:12.:27:15.

there was a good majority in the House of Commons. So can you give a

:27:16.:27:20.

guarantee that this legislation will get onto the statute books? I will

:27:21.:27:28.

do all I can. I cannot tell you the exact Parliamentary time scale. The

:27:29.:27:32.

bill will have started its progress through the House of Commons by

:27:33.:27:40.

2015, and it may well have concluded. The new chairman of HS2

:27:41.:27:46.

said he can bring the cost of the line substantially under the budget,

:27:47.:27:57.

do you agree with that? The figure is ?42 billion with a large

:27:58.:28:02.

contingency, and David Higgins, as chairman of HS2, is looking at the

:28:03.:28:07.

whole cast and seeing if there are ways in which it can be built

:28:08.:28:12.

faster. At the moment across London we are building Crossrail, ?14.

:28:13.:28:17.

billion investment. There was a report last week saying what an

:28:18.:28:24.

excellent job has been done. Crossrail started under Labour.

:28:25.:28:30.

Actually it was Cecil Parkinson in the 1990 party conference. You may

:28:31.:28:38.

get HS2 cheaper if you didn't pay people so much, why is the

:28:39.:28:44.

nonexecutive chairman of HS2 on ?600,000? And the new chief

:28:45.:28:53.

executive on ?750,000. These are very big projects and we need to

:28:54.:28:56.

attract the best people become so we are going for the best engineers in

:28:57.:29:02.

the world to engineer this project. It is a large salary, there is no

:29:03.:29:07.

question about it, but I'm rather pleased that engineers rather than

:29:08.:29:11.

bankers can be seen to get big rewards for delivering what will be

:29:12.:29:16.

very important pieces of national infrastructure. I didn't have time

:29:17.:29:20.

to ask you about your passenger duty so perhaps another time. We are

:29:21.:29:26.

about to speak to Nigel Mills and all of these MPs on your side who

:29:27.:29:30.

are rebelling against the Government, how would you handle

:29:31.:29:35.

them? We have got to listen to what our colleagues are talking about and

:29:36.:29:40.

try to respond it. Would you take them for a long walk off a short

:29:41.:29:45.

pier? I'm sure I would have many conversations with them. An

:29:46.:29:58.

immigration bill to tack the immigration into the UK. When limits

:29:59.:30:04.

on migration from Bulgaria and Romania were lifted this year there

:30:05.:30:10.

were warnings of a large influx of migrant workerses from the two new

:30:11.:30:13.

European countries. So far it's been more of a dribble than a flood. Who

:30:14.:30:19.

can forget Labour MP Keith Vaz greeting a handful of arrivals at

:30:20.:30:24.

Luton Airport. But it is early days and it is one of the reasons the

:30:25.:30:28.

Government's introduced a new Immigration Bill. The Prime Minister

:30:29.:30:32.

is facing rebellion from backbenchers who want tougher action

:30:33.:30:38.

on immigration from abroad. Nigel Mills would reimpose restrictions on

:30:39.:30:47.

how many Romanians and Bulgarians can come here. Joining me is Nigel

:30:48.:30:54.

Mills, Conservative MP behind the amendment and Labour MP Diane

:30:55.:30:58.

Abbott. Welcome. Nigel Mills, there hasn't been an influx of Romanians

:30:59.:31:06.

and Bulgarians. Why do you want to restore these, kick these

:31:07.:31:10.

transitional controls way forward to 2019? I don't think any of us were

:31:11.:31:15.

expecting a rush on January 1st Andrew. I think we were talking

:31:16.:31:20.

about a range of 250,000 to 350 000 people over five years. That's

:31:21.:31:25.

obviously a large amount of people, especially when you think net

:31:26.:31:30.

migration to the UK was well in excess of the Government's target of

:31:31.:31:33.

tens of thousands last year. The real concern is that it would be

:31:34.:31:39.

ever increasing our population, attracting lots of low-skilled,

:31:40.:31:45.

low-wage people, which keeps our people out of work and wages down.

:31:46.:31:49.

Did you accept that if you were to accept this, it would be in breach

:31:50.:31:54.

of the Treaty of Rome, the founding principle of the European Union We

:31:55.:31:59.

were trying to keep the restrictions that Bulgaria and Romania accepted

:32:00.:32:03.

for their first seven years of EU membership, on the basis that when

:32:04.:32:06.

we signed the treaty we weren't aware that we would have a huge and

:32:07.:32:11.

catastrophic recession we are still recovering from. But you would be in

:32:12.:32:16.

breach of the law, correct? The UK Parliament has a right to say we

:32:17.:32:20.

signed this deal before the terrible recession, and we need a bit longer

:32:21.:32:25.

in our national interest. It is worth noting that Bulgaria and

:32:26.:32:32.

Romania haven't met all their accession requirements. The

:32:33.:32:36.

Bulgarian requirement passed a law... So if they break the law it

:32:37.:32:41.

is alright for us to break the law? Is we should be focusing on trying

:32:42.:32:47.

to get 2. 4 million of our own in work, and 1 million people not in

:32:48.:32:52.

work... Let me bring in Diane Abbott. Will you vote for this

:32:53.:32:58.

amendment and why? It is in breach of the treaty. While I deplore MPs

:32:59.:33:03.

that try to cause trouble, these MPs have been particularly mindless

:33:04.:33:06.

because what they want to do wouldn't be legal. However, it is a

:33:07.:33:12.

Tory internal brief, if I might say so. Maybe you can cause trouble by

:33:13.:33:16.

voting for it. No, that would be going too far. Underlying it is a

:33:17.:33:23.

real antagonism for David Cameron. They have had to hold off on this

:33:24.:33:27.

bill until January. It was supposed to be debating before Christmas As

:33:28.:33:31.

we speak they've not cut a deal so it could be pretty grus om. Nigel

:33:32.:33:39.

Mills, what do you say to that I think there is a recognition that

:33:40.:33:44.

there is a problem with the amount of migration from EU countries that

:33:45.:33:48.

we need to tackle. We could try to achieve an annual cap perhaps,

:33:49.:33:52.

longer limits on when countries get free movement. I think the debate is

:33:53.:33:55.

moving in the right direction, but I think those people who are trapped

:33:56.:33:59.

out of work and desperately looking for work want something to be done

:34:00.:34:04.

now and not wait a few more years while we have more assessments

:34:05.:34:09.

Andrews. People are worried about the level of immigration. They I it

:34:10.:34:14.

is too high. That's the consensus in the country. We spoke to to

:34:15.:34:20.

migration centre in Hackney and they said they are struggling to cope

:34:21.:34:23.

with the number of people using their services. These are people

:34:24.:34:27.

with problems with the law. In the past years EU migrants put in more

:34:28.:34:32.

to the economy in taxation than they take out in benefits. When it comes

:34:33.:34:37.

to free movement, which is agitating Nige em, that horse has bolted. We

:34:38.:34:42.

signed a treaty. There is nothing people like Nigel Mills can do,

:34:43.:34:47.

unless they want to rip their party apart, God forbid. Will you go as

:34:48.:34:51.

far as to rip your party apart, Nigel Mills? Are you going to take

:34:52.:34:56.

this all the way? Would you rather see this bill go down than your

:34:57.:35:01.

amendment not be accepted? This is a very important bill. I think we all

:35:02.:35:07.

want to see measures on the statute book, so the last thing we want to

:35:08.:35:11.

see is this bill go down. We do need to set out clearly that we have real

:35:12.:35:16.

concerns about the level of EU migration and something needs to be

:35:17.:35:23.

done. Would you rather have the bill without your amendment or no bill at

:35:24.:35:28.

all? I am hoping we can have the bill with the amendment. I know

:35:29.:35:33.

that, but if you can't? Is that will depend on what the Labour Party

:35:34.:35:39.

decide to do. They are talking tougher on immigration but will they

:35:40.:35:44.

take action on it? Your party has been talking tough on immigration

:35:45.:35:48.

but I will be surprised if an Ed Miliband Labour Party would vote for

:35:49.:35:52.

egg in direct cameravention of the Treaty of Rome. It would make no

:35:53.:35:57.

sense. Nigel Mills is wishing for the impossible. If I was a Tory I

:35:58.:36:04.

would be wringing high hands. He hasn't ruled out crashing the bill.

:36:05.:36:09.

That's incredible. Where will this end, Nigel Mills? We'll end with a

:36:10.:36:15.

vote on Thursday. There's a lot of amendments people can use to show

:36:16.:36:20.

their concern about migration. We want limited and proportionate

:36:21.:36:23.

action, and that's what I am proposing. I want to see the bill on

:36:24.:36:28.

the statute book, I want the restrictions on people who shouldn't

:36:29.:36:33.

be here getting bank accounts and driving licences. I don't want to

:36:34.:36:37.

crash this bill but there's more measures we need in it. Nigel Mills

:36:38.:36:43.

thank you. You are going to be - popping up I think on the Sunday

:36:44.:36:48.

Politics East Midlands. Diane Abbott, thank you as well.

:36:49.:36:55.

We're in for more heavy rain and high winds across the UK today. You

:36:56.:36:58.

may remember that one UKIP councillor - he's since been

:36:59.:37:00.

suspended - caused controversy last weekend by blaming the recent

:37:01.:37:03.

flooding on the legalisation of gay marriage. Why didn't I think of

:37:04.:37:07.

that? So who better than this man to bring you the unofficial forecast.

:37:08.:37:10.

I'll be bringing you the late least UKIP weather from your area.

:37:11.:37:15.

You're watching Sunday Politics Also coming up in just over 20

:37:16.:37:22.

minutes, I'll be looking at the week ahead with our political panel.

:37:23.:37:35.

Hello. Coming up in the north`west, we made the landlords who say they

:37:36.:37:42.

will be forced to slam the door and tenants on benefits. People on

:37:43.:37:48.

benefit are going to be the last choice for landlords if they feel

:37:49.:37:52.

they can get other tenants who are less risky. Through our studio

:37:53.:37:58.

door, we welcome Alison McGovern, the Labour MP for Wirral South and

:37:59.:38:02.

David Rutley, the Conservative MP for Macclesfield. We start with the

:38:03.:38:08.

news that unemployment in the north`west was down between

:38:09.:38:11.

September and November. The number of people without jobs fell to

:38:12.:38:17.

270,000, a rate of 7.9%, down from 8.6%. That means 24,000 fewer people

:38:18.:38:25.

are out of work. The Clement Minister Esther McVey says it is

:38:26.:38:32.

welcome news. What we are seeing since 2010 is that private`sector

:38:33.:38:36.

jobs have gone up by 49,000. It is an area that is highly dependent on

:38:37.:38:39.

the public sector, and we are rebalancing that, getting private

:38:40.:38:45.

enterprise. What I see on the ground is things like jaguar Land Rover,

:38:46.:38:48.

and they have apprenticeships there and really high`end IT stop, so you

:38:49.:38:55.

see a mix. This is what you wanted, Alison, a drop in unemployment. You

:38:56.:39:00.

must be pleased. I am, of course, and it is really encouraging to see

:39:01.:39:04.

anyone moving to work. What Esther should have mentioned there is that

:39:05.:39:09.

some of the people moving into the private sector as a result of

:39:10.:39:13.

reclassification, so it does not mean anything on the ground. The

:39:14.:39:16.

other big worry for me is two things `` firstly, how many of these jobs

:39:17.:39:22.

are zero hours contract or part time where people want to be full`time.

:39:23.:39:26.

People are not going to be feeling the benefit as much as they should

:39:27.:39:30.

be. And secondly, we have a huge number of young people, 250,000 in

:39:31.:39:35.

our country, that are long`term unemployed. That is really bad for

:39:36.:39:39.

our future, so we must see more action on that. But both the

:39:40.:39:43.

part`time and long`term unemployment numbers have improved. I think the

:39:44.:39:49.

key issue is that unemployment hasn't just fallen, it's fallen by

:39:50.:39:54.

0.7%. That is a big drop, much more than the national drop. Yes, it is

:39:55.:39:59.

absolutely right that is a good thing. Liverpool city region, my

:40:00.:40:06.

home, has fared through this recession much better than the

:40:07.:40:09.

naysayers that we would, and I am proud about that. The issue we have

:40:10.:40:15.

got, though, is that it has taken as a long time to recover from the

:40:16.:40:18.

global financial crisis that we saw in 2008. We have effectively had

:40:19.:40:23.

three years where we should have been recovering, and other countries

:40:24.:40:26.

around the world were recovering and we were not. Let's ask David. You

:40:27.:40:32.

raise issues there. What do you say to the criticisms Alison raises I

:40:33.:40:37.

think you answered them in your statistics. We're seeing

:40:38.:40:40.

improvements across the board. We want to make sure youth unemployment

:40:41.:40:43.

falls further, but if you look at what is going on in Alison and my

:40:44.:40:48.

constituency, it is dropping staggeringly across the north`west,

:40:49.:40:52.

by the order of 20 or 30%. We need to go further, because this must be

:40:53.:40:56.

sustained by private`sector led growth. That is what is happening.

:40:57.:41:01.

The naysayers, including Ed Miliband and Ed Balls, were saying this was

:41:02.:41:04.

impossible, and if there was an Academy Awards for forecasting

:41:05.:41:10.

failure, it would be with them, because they did not see what was

:41:11.:41:17.

happening with growth of jobs. I'm sorry... Let me finish. It is to

:41:18.:41:21.

local businesses we have seen growth, and we have unleashed their

:41:22.:41:25.

potential. George Osborne said he would close the deficit by the end

:41:26.:41:28.

of this Parliament. He has failed. He said he would protect our

:41:29.:41:32.

triple`A rating, and he has failed. I can't possibly think that the

:41:33.:41:35.

Chancellor must feel that he has succeeded on every measure. The fact

:41:36.:41:43.

is, he has not. Your leaders said listen to the IMF, and this week,

:41:44.:41:46.

they have increased their broadcast for our growth trajectory, and so,

:41:47.:41:51.

enough said. We are moving forward in the right direction. We have to

:41:52.:41:54.

leave that there. We have heard much about how the cuts affected councils

:41:55.:41:59.

in places like Liverpool, but this week, ministers were in the city to

:42:00.:42:02.

launch a pilot scheme which might help. The local impact fund aims to

:42:03.:42:08.

hand out ?100 million to charities and social enterprises across

:42:09.:42:10.

England, creating and improving services.

:42:11.:42:16.

Founded and managed by local parents, this nursery in Liverpool

:42:17.:42:22.

is a community hub which, with more money, believes it could do much

:42:23.:42:29.

more. We are based on a series of 29 cabins from which we deliver 10

:42:30.:42:33.

places of childcare everyday. It is not ideal. We are currently bidding

:42:34.:42:39.

to refurbish a grade two listed building, which would be absolutely

:42:40.:42:44.

ideal. It would be fantastic power community and the children. This set

:42:45.:42:48.

of buildings was meant to be temporary. After ten years, the

:42:49.:42:53.

nursery is still here. Down the road, this is the listed building

:42:54.:42:56.

that Local Impact Fund cash could help bring back to life. So where is

:42:57.:43:00.

the fund coming from? ?1 million comes from Europe, which is matched

:43:01.:43:04.

by another million from a charitable investment fund. The Local Impact

:43:05.:43:10.

Fund could provide unsecured loans of between 50000 and ?250,000 to

:43:11.:43:14.

local social enterprises or charities. Last year, Liverpool so

:43:15.:43:19.

its European funding cut in line with other English cities. The mayor

:43:20.:43:23.

is happy to pilot the Local Impact Fund in Liverpool, but he says it is

:43:24.:43:28.

hardly redressing the balance for lost funds. It is not simple to get

:43:29.:43:33.

carried away. We have lost a, so I don't think it really balances that

:43:34.:43:42.

out. `` hundred and ?30,000. But it will still help those companies

:43:43.:43:44.

deliver more in communities like ours. This room full of charity and

:43:45.:43:48.

social enterprise bosses know the bottom line is what counts. Many

:43:49.:43:52.

have been turned down by traditional lenders, according to the manager of

:43:53.:43:56.

the charitable fund. We are interested in the outcomes. We have

:43:57.:43:59.

a track record of ten years of making loans to organisations in the

:44:00.:44:06.

local that have been hugely successful and grown, and they have

:44:07.:44:08.

grown in terms of what they have been able to do for local

:44:09.:44:14.

communities. If Liverpool's pilot succeeds, community nurseries and

:44:15.:44:16.

other groups like this across the north`west will get their chance to

:44:17.:44:20.

bid for funds of their own. Is this the elusive big society I

:44:21.:44:27.

think it is the big society at work. It is community work, the right way

:44:28.:44:32.

to go. Talking with Alison beforehand, we both work in our

:44:33.:44:36.

communities. If you can engage with the business community and community

:44:37.:44:40.

groups and local authorities and provide a vehicle you can channel

:44:41.:44:44.

funding in from Europe and from central government and local

:44:45.:44:46.

enterprise partnerships, you have a vehicle that will make a big

:44:47.:44:51.

difference. Do you agree? The point I agree on, and we definitely do

:44:52.:44:56.

agree, some of the most worthwhile things you get involved in as an MP

:44:57.:44:59.

are in your constituency at the grassroots, bringing people

:45:00.:45:02.

together. I would not be doing my job as an opposition member of

:45:03.:45:07.

Parliament if I didn't point out what more councils like Liverpool

:45:08.:45:10.

and Wales could be leading on it they had had a similar level of cuts

:45:11.:45:14.

as Surrey and other places that don't have half the deprivation we

:45:15.:45:20.

do. I think he is right on that It is a good thing in and of itself,

:45:21.:45:24.

but let's not get carried away. The amount of struggle local authorities

:45:25.:45:28.

are still facing is still highly significant. The ferocity of the

:45:29.:45:32.

cuts they face undermines their ability to collaborate with others.

:45:33.:45:36.

It is good news. It is innovative and will help a lot different

:45:37.:45:41.

charities get involved. All I would say yes, yes, and let's have a fair

:45:42.:45:47.

deal for cities in the north so we can do even more of those and have

:45:48.:45:51.

even more good news. Not just cities, the area 's roundabout. I

:45:52.:45:56.

want the north`west to succeed. The point Alison is making is this is a

:45:57.:45:59.

sticking plaster to bring in little projects which actually, councils

:46:00.:46:03.

should have the power to be doing themselves. It is not all about the

:46:04.:46:07.

council. If you try and bring about social change just with the council,

:46:08.:46:11.

you will not succeed. You must involve local businesses, community

:46:12.:46:16.

groups. We both know that. This is the first Liverpool. Alison does not

:46:17.:46:21.

know that. What I see on the ground is my local authority, Wirral,

:46:22.:46:28.

trying to underpin things that want to do things in the community. But

:46:29.:46:37.

they're constantly drawn away from that by having to manage horrific

:46:38.:46:41.

cuts. Council officers cannot possibly do what they need to do if

:46:42.:46:45.

they are focused internally. If you leveraged the funding that comes in

:46:46.:46:48.

through bigger community engagement and match funding from businesses

:46:49.:46:51.

and Europe, you will have better results. It is a first for Liverpool

:46:52.:46:56.

and the north`west. We have other local enterprise partnerships coming

:46:57.:46:58.

in from Cheshire, Warrington, Lancashire and Cumbria. This will

:46:59.:47:03.

roll out across the region. Is it also an example of how good Europe

:47:04.:47:10.

can be for people? No, I think there are funds. There are European

:47:11.:47:14.

structural funds. We can have a separate debate about how useful

:47:15.:47:18.

they are and how best they could be allocated, but while they exist

:47:19.:47:21.

let's use them for our region. These vehicles are the way to do it. Thank

:47:22.:47:25.

you. According to one survey this week,

:47:26.:47:29.

landlords are closing the doors to tenants on benefits. They are

:47:30.:47:32.

concerned about them not paying rent on time when universal credit is

:47:33.:47:35.

eventually roll that across the region. That is because it is paid

:47:36.:47:41.

to tenants rather than directly to landlords. That could lead to a

:47:42.:47:49.

shortage of homes. The way in which housing benefits

:47:50.:47:53.

are paid is changing, and for landlords, there is no room for risk

:47:54.:47:57.

all for tenants who could end up in arrears. It was awful. It was the

:47:58.:48:08.

lowest point. Joanne is a single mother on benefits. Her rent is paid

:48:09.:48:12.

directly to the landlord. Under universal credit, she will get the

:48:13.:48:16.

money and will have to budget for rent. In the past, she has been

:48:17.:48:21.

evicted, and fears the same could happen again. Day`to`day living now

:48:22.:48:29.

is a nightmare, to be honest. Sometimes, we can't eat, and

:48:30.:48:37.

basically, it is just a struggle. It is one less thing to worry about

:48:38.:48:41.

while it is going straight to the landlord. If it came to me, I would

:48:42.:48:46.

debate whether to give it all to him or to chop up anything that I need.

:48:47.:48:52.

Private sector tenants already have their housing benefit paid to them,

:48:53.:48:55.

unless special arrangements have been made with the council. But with

:48:56.:49:00.

plans to change benefit payments from fortnightly to monthly, some

:49:01.:49:07.

landlords are reluctant to take on tenants on benefits. The actual

:49:08.:49:10.

concept of universal credit is very good, apart from the fact may want

:49:11.:49:13.

to include housing benefit and pay this directly to the tenant. At the

:49:14.:49:18.

moment, we take a of housing benefit tenants who are vulnerable, and the

:49:19.:49:21.

benefit comes to us. When this doesn't happen, that is going be a

:49:22.:49:29.

serious problem. This is why many landlords are veering away and

:49:30.:49:32.

evicting tenants. The government says there has been no fall in the

:49:33.:49:35.

number of claimants in the private rented sector.

:49:36.:49:40.

According to a recent survey, four out of five landlords are unwilling

:49:41.:49:47.

to let properties to people who received housing benefit. In the

:49:48.:49:51.

last 12 months, seven in ten landlords letting to tenants on

:49:52.:49:55.

benefits are owed around ?3000. There are huge pressures on housing

:49:56.:50:01.

and the welfare system, so what is the solution? Really what the

:50:02.:50:04.

government needs to do is have a good, clear fallback, that if there

:50:05.:50:10.

is a problem, the rent will be paid directly to the landlord. Many

:50:11.:50:15.

people on benefits can manage their finances, but unfortunately, the

:50:16.:50:19.

experience of landlords letting to benefit tenants in the last year is

:50:20.:50:24.

that 70% of them have had arrears from those tenants. So people on

:50:25.:50:28.

benefits are going to be the last choice for landlords if they feel

:50:29.:50:31.

they can get other tenants who are less risky. The Citizens Advice

:50:32.:50:38.

Bureau in Manchester deals with hundreds of calls every day to with

:50:39.:50:44.

housing benefit. With a shortage of social housing, more people needing

:50:45.:50:48.

to rent, and changes to the welfare system, there are major concerns

:50:49.:50:51.

that many could end up on the streets. People in social housing

:50:52.:50:56.

are subject to what is called the spare room subsidy, better known as

:50:57.:51:00.

the bedroom tax, meaning if they have one spare room, they have a 14%

:51:01.:51:06.

benefit cut. If there are two rooms, that is 25%. Many people simply

:51:07.:51:09.

cannot afford to stay in their social housing, so they are having

:51:10.:51:17.

to look for properties in the private rented sector. It is putting

:51:18.:51:19.

up competition for those rented properties, and we have found in our

:51:20.:51:22.

research that if you are on benefits, you cannot afford many of

:51:23.:51:26.

the properties in that sector. The government says its reforms are

:51:27.:51:30.

about restoring fairness to a welfare system that has spiralled

:51:31.:51:34.

out of control. But landlords are yet to be convinced that they won't

:51:35.:51:38.

be out of pocket. We are joined from London by Kate

:51:39.:51:44.

Webb from Shelter, the homelessness charity. Thank you for being here.

:51:45.:51:48.

Please explain what these changes are. Very little is actually

:51:49.:51:53.

changing. At the moment, most private tenants on housing benefit

:51:54.:51:57.

to help pay rent received the money to themselves, and they are

:51:58.:52:01.

responsible for paying it onto their landlord. That is also what will

:52:02.:52:04.

happen under universal credit. There are rules that protect landlords, so

:52:05.:52:07.

if someone has a lot of problems which mean they might struggle to

:52:08.:52:10.

manage their finances or if they go into arrears, protection kicks in to

:52:11.:52:16.

make sure landlords get the money. But in the broad scheme of things,

:52:17.:52:20.

it is business as usual, which is why we are slightly confused by the

:52:21.:52:24.

reaction from some landlords. As we saw in our film, landlords do seem

:52:25.:52:30.

to be worried. They are, and I think the government hasn't done a good

:52:31.:52:33.

enough job at explaining to landlords what is changing, and more

:52:34.:52:37.

importantly, what is not changing. We can tell from talking to them

:52:38.:52:40.

that lots of them seem to think the protection it disappearing, or that

:52:41.:52:45.

it will be a confusing situation. We are seeing to the government they

:52:46.:52:48.

must do better at reassuring landlords that the risk is not

:52:49.:52:53.

really there. Kate, overall, for tenants on benefits, how difficult

:52:54.:53:01.

might this get? We are very worried. Housing benefit is not an an usual

:53:02.:53:05.

situation to be in. Lots of us find that our income drops a while and we

:53:06.:53:10.

need support to pay the rent, but we are worried that because landlords

:53:11.:53:13.

are evidently very nervous at the moment, more of them will say, we

:53:14.:53:17.

will not take anyone who is even a risk, someone even with an insecure

:53:18.:53:23.

job for changing job in the near future. We are worried people will

:53:24.:53:26.

find it very hard to find somewhere to rent. We are already seeing that.

:53:27.:53:31.

The number of people made homeless because their landlord has withdrawn

:53:32.:53:35.

the tenancy is at an all`time high, and we are concerned about how

:53:36.:53:38.

ordinary families will keep a roof over their head. Thank you very

:53:39.:53:45.

much. David, you must be worried? I don't quite understand why the

:53:46.:53:47.

landlords are coming to the conclusions they have come to. She

:53:48.:53:52.

is saying because you have not explained it properly. But there are

:53:53.:53:55.

protections in place. There where one or two people who said they

:53:56.:53:59.

might do this, and it was reported if you weeks ago. But when I was in

:54:00.:54:04.

business 20 years before I came into Parliament, I always found that the

:54:05.:54:08.

creditworthiness of potential clients or customers, and if they

:54:09.:54:13.

were able to be supported by the product we are offering, we would

:54:14.:54:16.

take them on board. The issue was giving confidence to landlords that

:54:17.:54:19.

this does not apply to everyone on housing benefit. Why did you need to

:54:20.:54:25.

change the system at all? The point is, when people get into work, 5%

:54:26.:54:31.

of them get paid on a monthly basis. What we want to do is to get people

:54:32.:54:37.

ready for returning to work, so at the moment, benefits are paid every

:54:38.:54:41.

two weeks. The idea here is give people the responsibility to pay

:54:42.:54:44.

their own rent. They get paid on a monthly basis, and they can pay it

:54:45.:54:48.

to the landlord. That is all that has changed. We're making sure there

:54:49.:54:54.

are protections that landlords, if a tenant gets into arrears over eight

:54:55.:54:57.

weeks, they can make sure those payments get paid back to the

:54:58.:55:00.

landlord rather than the tenant Allison, what do you think? This is

:55:01.:55:07.

another DWP special. A bit more of a mess from Iain Duncan Smith and go.

:55:08.:55:14.

Universal credit all sounds lovely. You support the idea, then? Well,

:55:15.:55:19.

but you have to deliver things. It is not enough on government to have

:55:20.:55:23.

nice ideas. You must do things. Iain Duncan Smith will have had a whole

:55:24.:55:28.

five years to get this done, and it is absolute chaos. This is another

:55:29.:55:32.

example of the department being in a bit of a shambles, and unable to get

:55:33.:55:36.

anything done. Clearly, landlords are confused about something here,

:55:37.:55:41.

and they have issues and concerns, and if you look at the many reports

:55:42.:55:46.

there have been into the process of universal credit, and the things we

:55:47.:55:49.

have heard in Parliament about the inability of the department to

:55:50.:55:53.

manage this change, it makes me surprised that ministers are still

:55:54.:55:56.

talking about it as of everything is fine. They must be totally

:55:57.:56:02.

disconnected from the reality. There is a huge culture we need to

:56:03.:56:06.

change, the way that welfare is delivered. We have done it for ages.

:56:07.:56:10.

I think Tony Blair wanted to do it in his first Parliament. We have had

:56:11.:56:15.

three years. There are fundamental changes in direction. It is a ? 0

:56:16.:56:24.

billion saving. How many times have ministers come back to parliament

:56:25.:56:26.

Otello is yet more delays in these changes? I am not surprised people

:56:27.:56:31.

are confused about what is happening here. Kate Webb from Shelter who we

:56:32.:56:35.

heard from did not seem to have a problem in principle, it was just

:56:36.:56:41.

the communication. Yes. As I say, it seems to be another DWP special of

:56:42.:56:46.

confusing people, saying this is a timeline of what will happen, and

:56:47.:56:50.

then saying actually, no, we don't know. It is no surprise people are

:56:51.:56:54.

confused, given the chaos they ceded to be in. It is true, isn't it, that

:56:55.:56:59.

landlords seem to be worried about having to deal with the DWP as

:57:00.:57:03.

opposed to councils at the moment? From your place it seems so. I had

:57:04.:57:07.

not had communication from landlords in my area. But look at the

:57:08.:57:12.

statistics in the last two years. The number of people in the private

:57:13.:57:16.

rented sector has increased. So I understand there are concerns, and

:57:17.:57:19.

this is a big chunk of that sector. One third of people in it are on

:57:20.:57:23.

housing benefit. I don't think landlords will be changing

:57:24.:57:26.

significantly, and we must address the concerns of those who have

:57:27.:57:30.

raised it. Do you agree that if the report was delivered, competently,

:57:31.:57:39.

if you like? I think, given the housing market and the lack of

:57:40.:57:42.

supply and need to build more houses, you need to look at the way

:57:43.:57:47.

housing benefit is delivered. The big underlying problem is the lack

:57:48.:57:51.

of support that would supply, and we need to do more on that as a

:57:52.:57:56.

country. We need to have good houses available for all families. We are

:57:57.:58:00.

working through those issues on the supply side. And now, 60 seconds.

:58:01.:58:07.

The Ribble Valley MP Nigel Evans has pleaded not guilty to charges of

:58:08.:58:11.

sexual offences against seven men. His trial is due to start in March.

:58:12.:58:17.

Preston's Guildhall could close if a buyer could not be found. The

:58:18.:58:20.

council is ending a ?1 million subsidy to save money. Cumbria and

:58:21.:58:25.

Wigan councils also announced further cuts. Ricky Tomlinson's

:58:26.:58:29.

campaign to overturn a 40`year`old conviction was debated in the

:58:30.:58:31.

Commons. He was jailed for conspiracy to

:58:32.:58:35.

intimidate following the builders' strike in 1972. Conditions were

:58:36.:58:41.

absolutely appalling. Rather than bashing bankers, the

:58:42.:58:45.

mayor of Salford wants in on the act. He thinks a council run bank

:58:46.:58:48.

could rid the market of payday lenders and loan sharks. Will try to

:58:49.:58:53.

make the best use of the interest we get on that money for the benefit of

:58:54.:58:56.

the people of Salford. And the Labour Euro MP and Elaine McCarthy

:58:57.:59:02.

is stepping down after 20 years in Brussels. She says it has been an

:59:03.:59:05.

enormous privilege and honour to serve the north`west.

:59:06.:59:11.

Let me ask you briefly about fracking, because your council

:59:12.:59:13.

leader in Cheshire East has said that they will not be any at all. Do

:59:14.:59:20.

you agree? Said that he won't be giving any permissions, I think In

:59:21.:59:24.

principle, I think there are economic benefits for fracking. We

:59:25.:59:28.

need to make sure the safety and environmental issues are understood

:59:29.:59:34.

completely. What he is saying is, there are actually other

:59:35.:59:37.

opportunities around. So you are against the idea of a blanket ban,

:59:38.:59:42.

as he once? I think there are issues on the environmental and safety

:59:43.:59:46.

front, but on principle, you can see there are benefits. What he is

:59:47.:59:52.

saying is, there are more immediate opportunities in geothermal around

:59:53.:59:55.

the crew area. Let's see what comes from that. Alison, goodbye to Arlene

:59:56.:00:05.

McCarthy. Yes. She has been a phenomenal MEP. She is someone I

:00:06.:00:09.

have worked with, and she has served us so well. I hope she goes on to do

:00:10.:00:12.

more than things, which I'm sure she will, but I'm sorry about politics

:00:13.:00:20.

and the north`west. Thank you both coming in. Next week, look at all

:00:21.:00:24.

women short lists with Esther McVey and Stephen Twigg. For now back to

:00:25.:00:26.

London. back to you.

:00:27.:00:43.

UKIP leader Nigel Farage is never far away from controversy, but this

:00:44.:00:46.

week he's been outdoing himself He was hit over the head with a placard

:00:47.:00:49.

by a protester in Kent, provoked outrage by saying women with

:00:50.:00:52.

children are worth less to city firms, and said the ban on owning

:00:53.:00:59.

handguns was 'crackers'. He also seemed less than sure of his party's

:01:00.:01:02.

own policies when I interviewed him on the Daily Politics. And the story

:01:03.:01:06.

that got everyone talking was the suggestion by a UKIP councillor that

:01:07.:01:11.

flooding is linked to gay marriage. We'll talk about all of that in a

:01:12.:01:14.

moment, but first, over to Nigel with the weather. Weather for all

:01:15.:01:23.

areas of the British Isles but definitely not "Bongo Bongo Land."

:01:24.:01:26.

You may have heard about a storm in a tea cup developed when you kip

:01:27.:01:33.

councillor in Oxfordshire blamed the floods on the gay marriage Bill The

:01:34.:01:39.

old party is focusing on the view of UKIP members like him, even though

:01:40.:01:44.

he had said a sell yuj of things before when a Tory councillor. How

:01:45.:01:51.

quickly things change depending on when the blouse. There are

:01:52.:01:59.

occasional barmy views by people of all persuasions. In Whitby a Labour

:02:00.:02:04.

councillor claimed of fathered a child with an extra terrorist ral,

:02:05.:02:10.

and said his real mother was a foot green alien. And in Wales a

:02:11.:02:18.

councillor thinking about heading off for the

:02:19.:02:26.

slopes, there were flurries of embarrassment for the Tories after

:02:27.:02:35.

Aidan Burly organised a Nazi skiing party in a resort.

:02:36.:02:41.

Anyone heading to Brussels, perhaps on the gravy train, watch out for

:02:42.:02:46.

hot air. In Britain temperatures are rising

:02:47.:02:50.

ahead of the European elections in May. It could get stormy, so advise

:02:51.:02:58.

light aircraft. Watch out for outbreaks of common sense, and no

:02:59.:03:02.

chance of cyclonic fruit cakes. Back to you, Andrew, with the rest of the

:03:03.:03:07.

Sunday Politics. Nick, if it was any other party that

:03:08.:03:12.

had bon through the past week it would be in meltdown. And maybe it

:03:13.:03:17.

is harming UKIP and maybe it isn't. What do you think? That just shows,

:03:18.:03:22.

that great weather forecast, Prince Charles now has a rival to be an

:03:23.:03:28.

excellent weather forecaster, as does the Duchess of Cornwall. It

:03:29.:03:34.

shows why Nigel Farage is the fefr candidate to the European elections.

:03:35.:03:38.

Our invitation to the British people to kick the establishment. The

:03:39.:03:42.

establishment have spent five years that the European Parliament is a

:03:43.:03:46.

waste of time, so who are you going to vote for? A Nigel Farage type of

:03:47.:03:53.

person. What was important about your eadviceration of Nigel Farage

:03:54.:03:57.

on Daily Politics is that when it came to the substance, they

:03:58.:04:01.

flounder. But the point about that party is they may have the thinnest

:04:02.:04:04.

set of policies, but people know what they stand for more than any

:04:05.:04:11.

other parties - get out of Europe, a grammar school in every town. If any

:04:12.:04:17.

other leading politician called for an end to the ban on handguns, at a

:04:18.:04:22.

time when we've seen these appalling gun deaths in the United States now

:04:23.:04:25.

almost one every week in some terrible siege in a school. It would

:04:26.:04:31.

be a crisis. It seems to wash off him. He's got congenital

:04:32.:04:40.

foot-and-mouthitis. Straight into another wild nothing to do with why

:04:41.:04:45.

people might vote UKIP. I don't think people are desperate to have

:04:46.:04:50.

handgun licences back in this country. It is such an unusual

:04:51.:04:55.

phenomenon, UKIP, that if this was a Tory or a Labour or a Lib Dem saying

:04:56.:05:02.

it, we've seen the damage done to the Lib Dems on a much more serious

:05:03.:05:07.

manner, we would say this is terminal. But maybe it adds to this

:05:08.:05:11.

image that we are not like the other parties. I think that is it. We keep

:05:12.:05:17.

waiting for these scandals and embarrassments to do damage to

:05:18.:05:22.

UKIP's poll ratings, but it's not working. It is ultimately because if

:05:23.:05:28.

you are an antiestablishment party, if you are an anti-system party the

:05:29.:05:34.

rules of the game which apply to the establishment parties don't apply to

:05:35.:05:39.

you. And the more ramshackle and embarrassing you are, the more

:05:40.:05:43.

authentic you seem. It what be take something for them not to finish

:05:44.:05:50.

second in May. Do they spend the following 12 months sinking in the

:05:51.:05:54.

poll snoos And George Osborne's strategy is fame everything as

:05:55.:05:58.

Labour versus the Conservatives The electorate will have their fun in

:05:59.:06:02.

May. Maybe the Tories will be beat into third place but in thejection

:06:03.:06:08.

is that -- but in the general election it is Labour versus the

:06:09.:06:16.

Tories. The Conservative Party will run around, 46 letters to Graham

:06:17.:06:21.

Brady, a leadership contest. That sort of scenario. UKIP, if it rules

:06:22.:06:25.

well in the European elections, could cause big trouble for Mr

:06:26.:06:29.

Cameron and Mr Clegg couldn't it? The big point about this, David

:06:30.:06:36.

Cameron said this is not a political party but a pressure group. This is

:06:37.:06:41.

the way to look at UKIP, and the way it is used by people in the right of

:06:42.:06:47.

the party, who say we have to do this. I like the policy of painting

:06:48.:06:54.

the trains in their old liveries. It would be like my old train set. I

:06:55.:07:05.

like the bigger passports. Pre-GNER... And London and Midland.

:07:06.:07:15.

I used to be a train spotter. Gordon Birtwhistle has been on the

:07:16.:07:18.

phone. Good to know you are watching but pity you are not here. He wanted

:07:19.:07:24.

to clarify he had constituency commitments to prevent him coming on

:07:25.:07:29.

the show to talk about becoming leader of the party, but he didn't

:07:30.:07:32.

dispute anything we said on the show.

:07:33.:07:35.

Yesterday, Ed Balls said that housing investment will be a central

:07:36.:07:38.

priority for the next Labour Government. It's a big issue, as the

:07:39.:07:42.

lack of new homes pushes up the the price of owning or renting. Well,

:07:43.:07:45.

tomorrow the Tories will announce what they say is the most ambitious

:07:46.:07:47.

programme of affordable housebuilding for 20 years. The

:07:48.:07:55.

Government sees housing as a really important part of the economy.

:07:56.:08:01.

That's why we are announcing a 23 billion package for 165,000 new

:08:02.:08:06.

affordable homes. So individual builders, councils, housing

:08:07.:08:10.

associations can bid for that money. Phase one, which we are halfway

:08:11.:08:15.

through at the moment, we've built 170,000 houses. 99,000 already

:08:16.:08:19.

coming out of the ground, so we ve made real progress on that. So,

:08:20.:08:27.

165,000 new, affordable homes. It is a lot. Let me add three more words.

:08:28.:08:32.

Over three years. It is not such a lot. It is not, and Labour's

:08:33.:08:36.

commitment is 200,000 homes a year and even that isn't enough. The

:08:37.:08:41.

problem here is that the vest interest is with people who already

:08:42.:08:46.

have homes. They have a vote in the system through the planning

:08:47.:08:49.

regulations. In London there is a gap in the hedge through Richmond

:08:50.:08:53.

Park through which you should be able to see St Paul's Cathedral

:08:54.:08:58.

That's why you cannot build homes where you want them. I don't think

:08:59.:09:03.

we want to build homes over Richmond Park. He wasn't saying that. That's

:09:04.:09:11.

dies an Tyne -- that's Byzantine. You've got to deal with supply,

:09:12.:09:15.

which is why Labour is talking about 200,000 a year, and what George

:09:16.:09:21.

Osborne has done with supply is helping with demand. We know the

:09:22.:09:25.

Help to Buy Scheme is pretty dangerous, and Mark Carney is keen

:09:26.:09:32.

to put the break on that. If you are to deal with supply, you have to do

:09:33.:09:37.

radical things. Chris Huhne talked about on brownfield sites you can

:09:38.:09:41.

tax people who are holding the land as if the development has taken

:09:42.:09:45.

place. Then if you are really going to deal with it you have to talk

:09:46.:09:49.

about the greenfield sites, and you have to deal with the garden cities

:09:50.:09:53.

argument, which is too much for the Tories. All the parties seem to

:09:54.:09:57.

agree building new houses is a political winner. I hope that they

:09:58.:10:01.

are right. I'm not sure they are. The housing market is the example of

:10:02.:10:07.

what economists call the insider in-outsider problem. People who are

:10:08.:10:12.

already homeowners have no rational incentive to vote for more housing

:10:13.:10:18.

stock. Even if you leave aside the Conservative arable objections, if

:10:19.:10:21.

you are a homeowner there is an interest to stick with the planning

:10:22.:10:25.

promise that we have. So then we are stuck between a rock and a hard

:10:26.:10:29.

place. Not only are we growing at the moment but our population is

:10:30.:10:35.

growing. I've seen projects that in quite quickly we will overtake

:10:36.:10:39.

Germany and become the largest populated country in Europe. If

:10:40.:10:42.

that's the case we've got to build homes. We have. If you look at Tower

:10:43.:10:48.

Hamlets in London, the population is r ging higher than the number of

:10:49.:10:53.

dwelling. Classically the theory's been young people are most affected

:10:54.:10:58.

by this and they don't vote much. But when their parents have young

:10:59.:11:04.

Johnny stuck at home at 37, that's an electoral issue. That's why the

:11:05.:11:09.

garden cities project is interesting, because they finance

:11:10.:11:13.

themselves. You zone it for development, it is worth ?2 million

:11:14.:11:18.

an acre and then you can build on it. But who is going to want the

:11:19.:11:24.

greenfield sites gone. And how quickly can we build garden cities

:11:25.:11:30.

today? Some were started before the Town and Country Planning Act. I've

:11:31.:11:35.

read stats about the way Chinese and Japanese are building houses and

:11:36.:11:39.

they were slower than that. Here's a thought, sticking on the housing

:11:40.:11:43.

theme. Ed Miliband came up with the energy freeze, a populist

:11:44.:11:47.

interventionist move. Then the use it or lose it to land developers.

:11:48.:11:53.

Then breaking up the banks. Now the 50p tax rate. How much would you put

:11:54.:11:58.

on Labour coming up for rent controls? That's already a big

:11:59.:12:03.

split. They are split already on it. They have. In London it is a popular

:12:04.:12:07.

policy. It might not play well in the rest of the country. I would say

:12:08.:12:12.

50-50 on that. I think Labour supporting rent controls like the

:12:13.:12:15.

Tories having a go at welfare. The policy may be individually popular

:12:16.:12:20.

but it sends an impression about the party which might be less attract

:12:21.:12:24.

active. It confirms underlying suspicions that vote these guys into

:12:25.:12:28.

power and suddenly they are tampering with the private economy.

:12:29.:12:33.

The memories of the '70s when Governments tried and failed to do

:12:34.:12:37.

that. It is riskier than a superficial reading of the polls

:12:38.:12:41.

would suggest. One to watch? I think they are looking at it. That was the

:12:42.:12:46.

key message of the Ed Balls speech on housing, is looking at supply and

:12:47.:12:51.

how you get to that 200,000 figure a year, which is substantially more

:12:52.:12:55.

than what Kris Hopkins is talking about. What we didn't get to talk

:12:56.:13:00.

about, remember we had Michael Wilshaw on, the Chief Inspector of

:13:01.:13:04.

Schools. We all consumed was Mr Gove's man, the Education

:13:05.:13:08.

Secretary's man. Now according to the Sunday Times he is spitting

:13:09.:13:12.

blood about the way Mr Gove and his office are speaking about him behind

:13:13.:13:16.

the scenes. We've checked the quotes and he stands by them, so I think

:13:17.:13:20.

we'll have to have the head of Ofsted back on the programme. If you

:13:21.:13:24.

are watching, we're here. All that to the Lib Dems who didn't come on

:13:25.:13:28.

today. That's all for today. Thanks to all

:13:29.:13:31.

my guests. The Daily Politics is back on Monday at midday on BBC Two,

:13:32.:13:35.

and I'll be here again next week. Remember, if it's Sunday, it's the

:13:36.:13:36.

Sunday Politics. Britain, with 120,000 soldiers

:13:37.:14:14.

is now at war with Germany This would be the first

:14:15.:14:23.

truly modern war.

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