30/03/2014 Sunday Politics North West


30/03/2014

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Morning folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics.

:00:36.:00:40.

Can Ed Politics.

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the investment our energy market badly needs? We'll be asking the

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Energy Secretary. Why has the anti-independence Better

:00:51.:00:53.

Together campaign suddenly got the jitters? We'll be quizzing Scottish

:00:54.:00:58.

Secretary Alistair Carmichael. And whatever happened to the BNP?

:00:59.:01:00.

They could be heading for Hello, I'm Arif Ansari ` coling up

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in the North West. My kingdom for a horse 500 xears

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after the War of the Roses, why one In London, changes to the authority

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which runs the capital's Fire Service. The Mayor has a political

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move designed to silence his critics.

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And with me, as always, the most useless political panel in the

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business, who we're contractually obliged to insult on a weekly basis.

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But not today, because they are our chosen ones. They are the brightest

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and the best, we've even hired a plane to prove it: Helen Lewis,

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Janan Ganesh and Nick Watt who'll be tweeting throughout the programme.

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Right, left and centre of the Westminster Establishment have been

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unanimous in saying there would be no chance of monetary union with the

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rest of the UK for an independent Scotland. Then an unnamed minister

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spoke to our Nick saying that wasn't necessarily so, and that made the

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Guardian's front page. The SNP were delighted and the anti-independence

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campaign rushed to limit the damage. delighted and the anti-independence

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The faux pas has come at delighted and the anti-independence

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beginning to worry that things were going the Nationalists' way. Let's

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speak to a leading light in that campaign, Scottish Secretary

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Alistair Carmichael, who's in Aberdeen at the Scottish Liberal

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Democrat spring conference. Alistair Carmichael, why is there a

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sense of crisis now engulfing the no campaign? I think that is something

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of an overstatement. What you have got is, I am getting my own voice

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played back in my ear. What you have got here is one story from an

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unnamed source, a minister who we are told, we do not know for

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certain, who has speculated on the possibility of a currency union

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actually happening. I do not think that is helpful but it is not any

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big deal. You have to measure it against what we have got publicly

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named on the record. We have got a detailed intervention of the

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Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney, outlining all the

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reasons why a currency union would not be a good idea. And then you

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have got independent advice from the permanent Secretary of the Treasury

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himself saying actually, this is such a bad idea, that I would never

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advise a chancellor to go ahead with it. You set one against the other

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and you see that pretty much the force of

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and you see that pretty much the against those of us who want to

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remain in the United Kingdom. All the

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remain in the United Kingdom. All day, if Westminster is negotiating

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with a new independent Scotland a deal is to be done, Faslane where

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the nuclear deterrent is, there is nowhere else in the UK to put that

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is, certainly not for the next 0 years, a deal would be done, the

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nuclear weapons would stay in Faslane and Scotland would get a

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monetary union with the rest of the UK. That is perfectly plausible

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isn't it? No, I'm sorry, it is simply not plausible. The economy is

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more important than anything else. What you have had here is very clear

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advice from the treasury officials saying it is not in the economic

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best interests of the people of England Wales, Northern Ireland any

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more than it is in the interests of people in Scotland. Where do you put

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the nukes? The outcome will not change. Where do you put the nukes

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when the Nationalists kick you out? I do not believe that will be a

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problem because I do not believe Scotland will vote for independence.

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But you might be asking the Scottish Nationalists, who are apparently

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promoting this, are they then not sincere when they say they want to

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remove nuclear weapons from Scotland? It seems to be a curious

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mixed message. As you know, I have not got the Nationalists, I have got

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you, so let me ask you the questions. You are widely seen as

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you, so let me ask you the running a campaign which is too

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negative. The Nationalists are narrowing the gap in the poll found

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you are squabbling among yourselves. This campaign is going pear shaped,

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isn't it? No, let's deal with the polls. All the polls show that the

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people of Scotland want to stay as part of the United Kingdom. Yes

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there were a couple of polls last week that said the gap was narrowing

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a little. The most recent poll of all, the poll on Wednesday which

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actually polled people's voting intentions on the question come

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September showed that only 28% of people in Scotland were prepared to

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say they were voting yes, as opposed to the 42% who were on our side of

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the argument saying they wish to remain part of the UK. That poll

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said women were skewing towards a yes vote and it showed that the

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don't knows were beginning to skew towards a yes vote. That is why you

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yourself wrote this morning that if your campaign does not get its act

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together, you would be sleepwalking into a split to quote yourself. No,

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to quote myself I said it was not impossible that the Nationalists

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could win that. That is absolutely the case. The biggest danger for the

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United Kingdom camp in this whole argument is people will look at the

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polls. They show us with a healthy lead consistently. As a consequence,

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they think this will lead consistently. As a consequence,

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can happen. I have got to tell everybody that it could, not least

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because the Nationalists have an enormous advantage in terms of the

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amount of money they have at their disposal to buy momentum. They will

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be advertising in cinemas, in football matches and on social

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media. We have got to realise what is coming and as a consequence, we

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have got to get our arguments in place and our campaign as sharp as

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theirs. Thank you for joining us. Nick, this unnamed minister who gave

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you the story, did he or she know what they were doing? I do not think

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they were sitting there wanting to blast this out there, because the

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agreed government position was there will not be a currency union, if

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there is a vote for independence. But what I was managing to get hold

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of whether thoughts that are in the deeper recesses of people's minds,

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when they are looking at the polls which have been narrowing, or there

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was Alistair Carmichael quite rightly says, the pro-UK vote is

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still ahead. People are looking down the line, what would happen after

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the 18th of September this year not just the next day but the next

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year, in those very lengthy negotiations that would take place,

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when there would be a lot of moving negotiations that would take place,

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places on the table. negotiations that would take place,

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then and that is what I managed to get hold of, that there are thoughts

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about all those pieces that would be on the table. It is not surprising

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that some in Westminster think that. Let's take the Shadow

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Chancellor Danny Alexander at his word, they do not want a monetary

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union. But if they are faced with giving the Scots a monetary union in

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a post-independent Scotland, or having to remove the nuclear

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submarines from Faslane, where they have nowhere else to put them,

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probably except North America, there is a deal to be done. I think

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whatever minister gave Nick his story is probably onto something. If

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the Scots vote for independence of course a deal will be done about the

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currency because it is not in London's interests to have a

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rancorous relationship with Edinburgh. Even if the deal is not

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done, how does one country stop another country using its. That is

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different. All London can really do is prevent Scottish intervention on

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the monetary policy committee. The interest rate would be set without

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any regard to the Scottish interest. Even that is only a fatal problem if

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the Scottish economy becomes so out of sync with the UK economy. Except

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it is a problem for Scotland's financial system because if you go

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down that route there is no means of down that route there is no means of

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financial system in the financial crisis. That is

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financial system in the financial rather have a monetary union. Is it

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not remarkable to hear the Secretary of State for Scotland here that the

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Nationalists are spending too much money, when he represents a campaign

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which brings together all the major parties in the UK and all the

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resources of the UK and he is bleating about the Nationalists

:10:10.:10:13.

having more to spend? I did think that was a funny line and it was in

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the Observer. It lays into Alex Salmond's plucky upstart idea that

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he's taking on this big establishment. I thought it was a

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bizarre open goal, I am losing my football metaphors, forgive me. The

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polls are so in favour of a no vote. But the trend has been going

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their way. We have six months left which is not enough to close the

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gap. They always tell you Alex Salmond is a strong finisher. The

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plucky upstarts have this funding from a millionaire. The Better

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Together campaign are being incredibly cautious about where they

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get their money from. They do not want to go to the City of London

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Police say, give us a couple of million.

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Being Energy Secretary used to be a bit of a dawdle, especially when

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North Sea oil was flowing. Now it's very much a hot potato as Ed Davey

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has been finding out the hard way. High household energy bills have

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energy companies account for 95 of energy companies account for 95 of

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the market. Off Johnson -- Ofgem said there had been possible tacit

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coordination in the timing of price rises and ordered an investigation

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by the competition and markets authorities which will look at

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whether the big six should be broken up. Where does that leave

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investment? The boss of Centrica made the point that you would not

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spend money building an extension if you knew in two years time your home

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might be bulldozed. The spare margin, that is what is left in the

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generating system to cope with a surge in demand on a cold winter's

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night, is due to drop to historically low levels in 2016

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according to Ofgem. Normally at around 15%, capacity could drop to

:12:12.:12:16.

2% after the next election and that could lead to a surge in the sale of

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candles. Now where is that light switch?

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Energy Secretary Ed Davey, joins me now. Oh, we have found the light

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switch! The gap between a peak winter demand and generating

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capacity could possibly reach 2 next winter or the winter after We

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will keep the lights on, that is for clear. When we came to power, energy

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investment had been relatively low. The Labour Party had failed to deal

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with the energy deficit. From day one we have

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with the energy deficit. From day massively. Investment has been

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billion a year. Last year was a record. Spare capacity is now

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heading to 2%. Why are you allowing it to get that no? Because we have

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been increasing investment massively, last was a record level,

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we will be able to keep the lights on. Some of the figures you are

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showing suggests we are not doing anything. We have not only done

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enough in our last three years, we have put in measures to stimulate

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huge amounts of extra investment. We have the healthiest pipeline

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investment in our history. We will come onto investment in a minute.

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None of that change is the fact that we will be close to 2% next winter

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or the winter after that. We have one major power station shut down,

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or a cold winter away from having major problems with energy supply.

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It is still 2%. Let me explain. The figures assume we are not doing

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anything but we are doing something. Look at the National Grid. They are

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able to bring in energy from interconnector is because we are

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connected up to Europe. They are able to create a reserve so if we

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get to problems, they will have a mothballed plant they can bring on.

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You have not agreed with anybody on that. The decision was taken last

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July. But no that. The decision was taken last

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under mothball its plant. We would not expect them to do that yet. Our

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plan is in place. On time, on schedule, as we already thought it

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would be. But you have not got a single agreement with a power supply

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who has mothballed plant to on the ball it. We did not expect to. Our

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plan is in me National Grid will do an election to allow those plants to

:14:57.:15:00.

come on. There is a huge amount of interest. There are gigawatts of

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power that can come in to come on. There is a huge amount of interest.

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There are gigawatts of power that can come into that auction and we

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are not other measures we can take and that is just in the short term.

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We have a plan for the medium-term. We will be running the first auction

:15:16.:15:20.

for new capacity. The final decision will be taken and we have learned

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lessons from what they do in North America and other European countries

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so we can stay minute mothballed plants and new plants to be built. I

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am absolutely clear there is not a problem. You only build 9000

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megawatts of new capacity from 2011-13. You have closed almost

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22,000 megawatts. Why would you be so

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22,000 megawatts. Why would you be figures are happening because we've

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known for a long time a lot of power plants were coming to the end of

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their life, coal power plants, nuclear power plants, and we had to

:16:11.:16:13.

increase the rate of investment but we... That shows clearly you are

:16:14.:16:21.

closing twice as much, you have to date, closed twice as much as you

:16:22.:16:24.

have opened, hence the lack of spare capacity. We knew a lot of them are

:16:25.:16:28.

coming back for the last Labour Government knew. We have increased

:16:29.:16:32.

the new so that's increasing significantly, far faster than under

:16:33.:16:35.

the last Government but also remember, you were very wrong at the

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beginning of your clip, margins at 15% are very own usual. They are

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historically high. The average margin was 25%. That was wasting a

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huge amount of money. But since privatisation, we've had margins

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between 5% and 10%. Normally, high margins historically, which is

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costly. Now we will have historically low margins. People

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have to pay for that, so we make sure the lights stay on, we have a

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short-term policy I have described to you, and medium-term policy and a

:17:11.:17:14.

long-term policy. The long-term policy comes huge investment between

:17:15.:17:16.

nuclear and optional, policy comes huge investment between

:17:17.:17:40.

on. Ofgem, Independent, says the chance of blackouts by 2016 has

:17:41.:17:48.

increased fourfold under your watch. What they say, if you read the

:17:49.:17:56.

report, if we did nothing, they would be problems. But we have been

:17:57.:18:00.

working with Ofgem. We have been working with National Grid, and we

:18:01.:18:05.

have agreed that there will be a reserve capacity which can come on

:18:06.:18:09.

if we get to the peak for the Best not just on the supply side but

:18:10.:18:15.

demand and into connectors. You talk about industry having to move to

:18:16.:18:19.

off-peak times. We say, they are prepared to that you paid for it,

:18:20.:18:23.

and it makes commercial sense for them, it's a sensible thing for the

:18:24.:18:27.

Wii will pay them to move to off-peak. You have huge diesel parks

:18:28.:18:31.

for the you talk as if that something new but it's been around

:18:32.:18:34.

for a long time for the 200 these contracts out there. We want to

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expand that. You have hundreds of diesel generators to click into

:18:41.:18:43.

haven't you? There's a whole range of generators. Diesel generation,

:18:44.:18:51.

dirty fuel. There's a of mothballed gas which can come. If you look at

:18:52.:18:55.

the increase of the independent generators, many companies,

:18:56.:19:06.

of power companies who are building a new power station and want to

:19:07.:19:10.

build new ones. This is a healthy situation. You say you made over 100

:19:11.:19:14.

billion new investment between now and the end of the decade to restore

:19:15.:19:18.

capacity and meet renewable targets. Now you have referred the

:19:19.:19:22.

Big Six to the competition commission, how much of that to

:19:23.:19:27.

expect to come from them? We will see what the market delivers. We

:19:28.:19:32.

have always expected independent generators to do a lot more than is

:19:33.:19:37.

happening in the past. How much from the Big Six? It's not for me to say

:19:38.:19:42.

it's going to be best from that company. The real interest is we

:19:43.:19:46.

have huge amounts of companies wanting to invest. If you look at

:19:47.:19:51.

independent analysis, they say Britain is one of the best places to

:19:52.:19:55.

invest in energy in the world. We are the worldly do in offshore

:19:56.:19:58.

wind, one of the best for renewables, one of the only

:19:59.:20:01.

countries getting nuclear power stations. Rather than the bleaker

:20:02.:20:06.

picture you're painting, the reverse is the case. We are seeing an

:20:07.:20:11.

investment renaissance. You say that. Let me give you some facts.

:20:12.:20:16.

Under this Government, only one gas plant has been under construction,

:20:17.:20:21.

only one started under your watch for the others were done under

:20:22.:20:24.

Labour. You have none in the pipeline. The Big Six has pulled

:20:25.:20:29.

back from further investment including new offshore wind

:20:30.:20:31.

investment and none of what you re talking about will come before 020

:20:32.:20:33.

anyway. That's simply not true. talking about will come before 020

:20:34.:20:39.

balance reserves I've talked about, the reserve planned: Making sure the

:20:40.:20:43.

mothballed plant could come on, I capacity market incentivising new

:20:44.:20:47.

power, will happen way before 2 20, so that's not true. But doesn't

:20:48.:20:53.

answer the extra capacity. You have no answer between now and the end of

:20:54.:20:57.

this decade. We have three answers. Let me repeat them for you. I said

:20:58.:21:03.

permanent, not the short-term ones you are putting in place to try to

:21:04.:21:07.

do with spare capacity. We have a short-term plan, of course, that's

:21:08.:21:11.

very sensible. Medium-term plan auctioning for new power stations.

:21:12.:21:15.

That can lead to both mothballed plant and when you plant, permanent

:21:16.:21:18.

plant being built, and the long term plan, to stimulator long-term

:21:19.:21:25.

investment, some of which will be built and come online way before the

:21:26.:21:29.

end of the decade. I'm afraid, it's a far rosier picture than your

:21:30.:21:33.

painting. It's also far more expensive, too. Let's look at how

:21:34.:21:38.

you are replacing relatively cheap energy with much more expensive

:21:39.:21:42.

sources of energy. Wholesale prices is ?50 per megawatt. You have done a

:21:43.:21:49.

deal with EDF, nuclear, ?92 50. You have indexed it for 30 years at 2012

:21:50.:21:52.

prices. All of that puts up our bills. First

:21:53.:22:09.

of all, the support of the low Carbon is just 4% on bills. What has

:22:10.:22:14.

been driving peoples bills over the last decade has been wholesale gas

:22:15.:22:18.

prices. No one knows what guys prices are going to be in the future

:22:19.:22:23.

-- gas prices. When you look at the Ukraine and other market indicators,

:22:24.:22:27.

many people are worried that by the time nuclear power stations come

:22:28.:22:31.

online for example, the price of gas could be significantly higher. You

:22:32.:22:34.

have indexed linked that for them by the time you get any power from

:22:35.:22:40.

this, it'll be up to ?125 per megawatt hour. The price of gas been

:22:41.:22:48.

going up far higher. Not recently. Despite Iran, Ukraine, Libya, not

:22:49.:22:52.

recently. The long-term forecast, Andrew, it's going to go higher but

:22:53.:22:56.

more importantly than that, this is an area we could disagree on but

:22:57.:22:59.

it's very important that power plants pay the cost of pollution. In

:23:00.:23:05.

those prizes, all of those prices except the wholesale out a steep

:23:06.:23:08.

price, you have those power stations paying the cost of air pollution. If

:23:09.:23:13.

gas and coal where paying the proper carbon price, you would see nuclear

:23:14.:23:19.

and renewables as competitive. It's very important that we ensure that

:23:20.:23:23.

power plants pay the cost of the pollution. When you were last on

:23:24.:23:28.

this programme to talk about this in May 2012, you said that the price of

:23:29.:23:32.

offshore wind was coming down fast. You told me it would be down by 30%

:23:33.:23:39.

offshore wind was coming down fast. is 155, and for the deeper stuff,

:23:40.:23:42.

offshore wind was coming down fast. it's going to be ?165. That's the

:23:43.:23:46.

first year of a limit control framework which had it coming down.

:23:47.:23:53.

If you talk to many companies, Siemens had invested with their

:23:54.:23:59.

partners, ?310 million with two new factories. They are talking about

:24:00.:24:05.

lower prices because what they are saying to me is that, rather than

:24:06.:24:11.

the 30% cost reductions I talked about, I was wrong, they are

:24:12.:24:16.

targeting 40%. You said prices would come down 30% in two years for that

:24:17.:24:20.

that was 2012 and they have gone higher. I absolutely did not say

:24:21.:24:25.

that. Your exact quote was 30% in the next few years. Your exact few

:24:26.:24:29.

years. You said two years, I sell a few years. I haven't changed a

:24:30.:24:34.

single moment that you said two years, I said a few years. That s

:24:35.:24:39.

what we are projecting. They will come down. You have to invest in

:24:40.:24:44.

technology. Let me give you this example. When people invest in

:24:45.:24:47.

mobile phones to start off with they were expensive, and they were

:24:48.:24:56.

clunky and the costs were going down for the one final question. You put

:24:57.:25:01.

the Big Six into investigation because they made a 5% return on

:25:02.:25:05.

investment and you're done a deal with EDF, nuclear power, which will

:25:06.:25:06.

guarantee them with EDF, nuclear power, which will

:25:07.:25:12.

every year for 30 with EDF, nuclear power, which will

:25:13.:25:15.

that underline the shambles of your energy policy? You have mixed up two

:25:16.:25:20.

separate things. The 5% Ofgem are talking about is on the supply

:25:21.:25:24.

retail side. The percentage you quoted for EDF is in the wholesale

:25:25.:25:29.

side of two different markets. It's the same return. It's not. You are

:25:30.:25:32.

comparing apples and pears, dangerous thing to do. You have to

:25:33.:25:39.

do have a high return but in the retail market, with a 5% stake,

:25:40.:25:42.

there is less risk, says a low return. Ed Davey, I'm sorry we

:25:43.:25:50.

haven't got more time. Thank you. Have me back. We will. Whatever

:25:51.:25:55.

happened to the BNP? The far right party looked as if it was on the

:25:56.:25:59.

verge of a major breakthrough not so long ago. Now it seems to be going

:26:00.:26:02.

nowhere. In a moment we'll be speaking to the party's press

:26:03.:26:05.

officer, Simon Derby. But first here's Giles. His report contains

:26:06.:26:08.

some flash photography. For a moment in 2009 Nick Griffin and the BNP had

:26:09.:26:11.

a spring in their step, smiling at their success of winning two seats

:26:12.:26:15.

in the European Parliament. They already were the second largest

:26:16.:26:18.

party in a London council and had a London Assembly seat. Despite

:26:19.:26:21.

concerns from mainstream parties their vote was up. Our vote

:26:22.:26:33.

increased up to 943,000. Savouring success was brief that morning as

:26:34.:26:36.

anti-far right protestors invaded and egged the press conference and

:26:37.:26:39.

forced the BNP MEPs into a hasty retreat.

:26:40.:26:40.

forced the BNP MEPs into a hasty that, in the years since, that

:26:41.:26:43.

retreat has that, in the years since, that

:26:44.:26:46.

electorally and in the minds of those who had given them that vote.

:26:47.:26:57.

For a number of years they were performing better than the UK

:26:58.:26:59.

Independence Party and other smaller parties like the Greens and respect.

:27:00.:27:03.

The problem for the BNP if they didn't make any inroads into other

:27:04.:27:06.

groups, they didn't go into the middle class, the young, they didn't

:27:07.:27:10.

go into women and ethnic minorities for obvious reasons. So the party

:27:11.:27:14.

was quickly handicapped from the outset. Not that you would have

:27:15.:27:20.

known that at the outset. In 20 6 in Barking and Dagenham, the party won

:27:21.:27:23.

12 council seats against a back drop of discontent with the ruling Labour

:27:24.:27:26.

council and Government and picking up on immigration and housing

:27:27.:27:35.

concerns in the borough. It's because of all the different

:27:36.:27:37.

nationality people moving in the area, they are taking over

:27:38.:27:41.

everything. My Nan and grandad lived there all their lives. I thought I

:27:42.:27:48.

would vote for BNP. Hopefully, yeah, they will get elected over here

:27:49.:27:54.

When I came to Barking, Dagenham and Redbridge in 2006, the BNP with a

:27:55.:27:58.

second largest party in one of the local councils. You can even find

:27:59.:28:02.

non-white people who voted BNP. Now they have no counsellors, and even

:28:03.:28:06.

though can when you talk to people, you will find among the older white

:28:07.:28:10.

working-class population concerned that the BNP claim to represent

:28:11.:28:17.

working-class population concerned what happened to that about? On

:28:18.:28:22.

behalf of all the people in Britain, we in Barking have not just beaten,

:28:23.:28:26.

that we have smashed the attempt of extremist outsiders. The local

:28:27.:28:31.

Labour MP was as clear in 2010 as she is now. I always knew if we

:28:32.:28:38.

could manage to ensure that wasn't a single BNP councillor left on the

:28:39.:28:42.

council and I won my seat, it would stop the process of disintegration.

:28:43.:28:45.

But what beat the BNP here in 2 10 was a mobilisation of the Labour

:28:46.:28:49.

vote. And today it is not hard to find the same discontent over the

:28:50.:28:53.

same issues. It's just finding a new political home. A couple of years

:28:54.:29:00.

ago, I used to vote Labour. Obviously, they haven't done nothing

:29:01.:29:05.

around here as much now, with jobs and unemployment, and housing and

:29:06.:29:09.

stuff like that about, basically, BNP ain't around here no more. Now

:29:10.:29:13.

it's more about UKIP and I believe that these UKIP are saying are true.

:29:14.:29:18.

If I thought BNP would make the difference, I would vote but is not

:29:19.:29:22.

in the people behind them. They all get bandaged with the same brush.

:29:23.:29:26.

I'm going to vote UKIP because BNP didn't get anywhere. What they say

:29:27.:29:31.

in UKIP, with a bit of luck, they will get somewhere. It's not racist

:29:32.:29:35.

but it's just that our kids haven't got jobs. Nick Griffin's dislike of

:29:36.:29:40.

UKIP is mutual but his once fellow MEP Andrew Brons who's now left the

:29:41.:29:42.

party issued a MEP Andrew Brons who's now left the

:29:43.:29:44.

programme saying BNP failure is MEP Andrew Brons who's now left the

:29:45.:29:52.

closer to home post 2010. It was after that election discontent arose

:29:53.:29:53.

amongst sections of the membership. Those members who left or were

:29:54.:30:11.

thrown out by Nick Griffin had already felt let down by his

:30:12.:30:15.

appearance on Question Time. It was a national platform for the BNP

:30:16.:30:18.

something they felt they had the right to through electoral success.

:30:19.:30:28.

This was no big breakthrough moment for Griffin, unlike it was for John

:30:29.:30:34.

Marina pen when he appeared on national television in France. He

:30:35.:30:38.

went on to mobilise a national force. Despite there being some

:30:39.:30:41.

voters tuned to their message, for the BNP, becoming such a force here

:30:42.:30:45.

has never looked quite so difficult. And Simon Derby from the BNP joins

:30:46.:30:52.

me now. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. It was not long ago you

:30:53.:30:57.

had 55 councillors up and down the land, you now have two. You are on

:30:58.:31:03.

the brink of extinction. That is not true. I have watched the film. It is

:31:04.:31:09.

very negative as I would expect The party has faced a few problems. The

:31:10.:31:13.

main thing to bear in mind is that the issues, the problems the

:31:14.:31:19.

main thing to bear in mind is that faces have gone away. We won nearly

:31:20.:31:22.

a million votes in the European elections. We brought that mandate

:31:23.:31:26.

to the establishment and we were denied. Let's face it, we would --

:31:27.:31:38.

were denied any opportunity to take place in the political apparatus.

:31:39.:31:42.

You have been destroyed by a pincer movement. UKIP has taken away or

:31:43.:31:49.

more respectable voters and the EDL is better at anti-Muslim protests

:31:50.:31:55.

and street thuggery. The EDL is not a political party. I take your point

:31:56.:32:00.

about UKIP. The power structure took a look at us and so we were a threat

:32:01.:32:05.

to power. We were not making this stuff up, we meant it and they have

:32:06.:32:11.

co-opted our message. This shameless promotion of UKIP, you have evenly

:32:12.:32:16.

had him presenting the weather on this programme. That is

:32:17.:32:20.

unbelievable. That was a joke. Across Europe, in France, your

:32:21.:32:26.

sister party the National front will probably do very well. You can see

:32:27.:32:30.

the rise of the far right across Western Europe so why are you in

:32:31.:32:35.

decline? We are not far right, I reject that label. How would you

:32:36.:32:46.

describe yourselves nationalists and Patriots. Why are you in decline and

:32:47.:32:59.

other similar parties to yours are on the rise? You mentioned Barking

:33:00.:33:03.

and it is very interesting because I was involved in that campaign. What

:33:04.:33:08.

Margaret Hodge and her Labour Party did, they replaced the white

:33:09.:33:13.

indigenous population in Barking and Dagenham with Africans, that is how

:33:14.:33:17.

they won that election. For that was true, you would be doing well

:33:18.:33:22.

elsewhere. You have now got a leader who is declared bankrupt and your

:33:23.:33:26.

party is heading for bankruptcy No, it is not. It is over. You would

:33:27.:33:34.

like that. What I would like is irrelevant. Your membership is in

:33:35.:33:38.

deep decline. All parties have highs and lows. In 2009 they said it is no

:33:39.:33:44.

way you will win any seats in the European election. We did. And then

:33:45.:33:53.

you lost them. Parties win and lose seats. The Lib Dems will be

:33:54.:33:58.

annihilated. You deny you are far right. People used to say the BNP

:33:59.:34:06.

were neo-Nazis. Then Nick Griffin appeared with Golden Dawn. They are

:34:07.:34:13.

not neo-Nazis, they are Nazis. It is part and parcel of being in

:34:14.:34:17.

politics. You have to them? Of course we do, we have to

:34:18.:34:26.

speak to ordinary people. I am perfectly happy speaking to you at

:34:27.:34:31.

the BBC, the BBC have a terrible reputation but I am happy to be

:34:32.:34:35.

here. Mr Griffin has asked me, when will the BBC apologised for trying

:34:36.:34:40.

to put him in prison twice, merely for exposing a Muslim scandal. Why

:34:41.:34:45.

can't Nick Griffin appear on TV and self? He would not appear. He was in

:34:46.:34:53.

Syria. He literally flew out to Damascus and prevented a war. We

:34:54.:35:01.

decided we would not interfere in Syria. The BBC never covered that.

:35:02.:35:06.

Please do not make out we are just an ordinary political party you

:35:07.:35:09.

cover like everybody else. It is completely different. All the signs

:35:10.:35:16.

are, membership, performance at the polls, performance at elections the

:35:17.:35:20.

problem with your leadership is you are now going the way of the

:35:21.:35:25.

National front, heading for oblivion. As I said to you before,

:35:26.:35:30.

that may be the case, if all the problems we had not highlighted and

:35:31.:35:34.

how we got a huge vote so many years ago, six years ago now, five years

:35:35.:35:40.

ago, in 2009, if they were not around. These things are only going

:35:41.:35:45.

to get worse. We are looking at a prototype Islamic republic that is

:35:46.:35:48.

going to be set up in this country. That will

:35:49.:35:52.

Only the British National Party are prepared

:35:53.:35:56.

Only the British National Party are it. Word leaked out that I was doing

:35:57.:35:59.

this interview with you before the weekend. Isn't it a sign of how

:36:00.:36:04.

irrelevant you now are that not a single person has turned up at New

:36:05.:36:09.

Broadcasting House this morning to protest? Used to be hundreds would

:36:10.:36:14.

turn up when we said the BNP were on. That is the left for you, they

:36:15.:36:18.

put the clocks forward and they could not be bothered to get out of

:36:19.:36:22.

bed. I think they are still in bed. Thank you.

:36:23.:36:25.

You're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers in

:36:26.:36:28.

Scotland who leave us now for Sunday Politics Scotland. Coming up here in

:36:29.:36:39.

Hello, I'm Arif Ansari. My kingdom for a horse. Coming up in the North

:36:40.:36:53.

West ` 500 years after the War of the Roses, why one town's still at

:36:54.:36:56.

the centre of a York`Lancaster feud. We'll be looking at the annhversary

:36:57.:37:00.

of the 1974 boundary changes that left some of our towns feelhng a

:37:01.:37:03.

little lost. But ready for battle in the studio this week, the L`bour MP

:37:04.:37:06.

for Liverpool Riverside, Lotise Ellman. And John Pugh, the Liberal

:37:07.:37:12.

Democrat MP for Southport. Do these boundary changes still

:37:13.:37:18.

resonate? They were partly based on economic geography, and that is

:37:19.:37:31.

sensible, but also a bit of gerrymandering. There has bden a

:37:32.:37:34.

strong movement to take Southport away in the past. You have

:37:35.:37:40.

experience of two tier authorities because you were a leader of

:37:41.:37:43.

Lancaster county council. Which works better? I think both can work

:37:44.:37:50.

and it depends on the naturd of the area. In Lancashire, the cotnty has

:37:51.:37:57.

worked very well indeed and has even helped to set up a National Fire and

:37:58.:38:01.

rescue service for internathonal disasters, so that worked vdry well.

:38:02.:38:07.

In Liverpool, the Liverpool county council has done well and also the

:38:08.:38:09.

Metropolitan setup. More on that later, but first, it's

:38:10.:38:13.

been another damaging week for one of the region's biggest brands, The

:38:14.:38:16.

Co`Op, with the discovery of a 400 million black hole in the fhnances

:38:17.:38:20.

of the group's bank and an `dmission of sin from its disgraced former

:38:21.:38:23.

chairman, the reverend Paul Flowers. How has it come to this?

:38:24.:38:35.

The group was formed more than 50 years ago when the Rochdale Pioneers

:38:36.:38:39.

decided it would be cheaper to buy things together. The organisation

:38:40.:38:46.

has 7 million members, 4800 shops and 90,000 staff. Among its staff ``

:38:47.:38:50.

services, a bank, pharmacy, but the problems began

:38:51.:39:03.

when it merged with the Britannia building society. An attempt to buy

:39:04.:39:07.

it revealed a ?1.5 billion black hole and then last year Paul Flowers

:39:08.:39:11.

resigned after being filmed buying class a drugs. The bank also had to

:39:12.:39:17.

accept private investment for the first time.

:39:18.:39:19.

So what's the future for thd Co`Op and organisations like it, that are

:39:20.:39:22.

run by and for their members? Here's Euan Doak.

:39:23.:39:25.

Building a new future at a new stadium. When some fans broke away

:39:26.:39:28.

from Manchester United after the Glazer family takeover, thex wanted

:39:29.:39:32.

their new club to be as far away from that form of ownership as

:39:33.:39:40.

possible. There are lots of models of football clubs and what was

:39:41.:39:43.

important to us was making sure about supporters was at the heart of

:39:44.:39:48.

everything we did. Supporters have to have a greater say in how things

:39:49.:39:52.

are done and we believe this gives them that opportunity. But that idea

:39:53.:39:55.

of a club, being owned by its members, mirrors a business model

:39:56.:39:58.

that has floundered recentlx at the Co`Op. The Co`Op bank was albitious

:39:59.:40:01.

and became very big very quhckly. Its former Chairman Paul Flowers

:40:02.:40:04.

says that was something encouraged by the government. There was

:40:05.:40:14.

pressure but I believe and know it originated higher up with the

:40:15.:40:20.

Chancellor himself. Shortly after they open their new headquarters,

:40:21.:40:26.

more problems emerged and P`ul Flowers became the poster boy for

:40:27.:40:30.

everything that went wrong. The chief executive resigned saxing it

:40:31.:40:33.

was unworkable but does this mean this is the end of the coopdrative

:40:34.:40:38.

model? The complex nature of the Co`Op's structure meant the board

:40:39.:40:41.

struggled to keep up with the ambitions of the executive. It is

:40:42.:40:45.

always very difficult to hold the executive to account. The

:40:46.:40:48.

co`operative group was blessed with this unusual structure. Thex had

:40:49.:40:55.

some professional managers but it also had things like a Methodist

:40:56.:41:00.

minister, a plasterer, a herbalist, lecturers and tutors. This week the

:41:01.:41:03.

Co`Op ended a public consultation. And as the group debates its future

:41:04.:41:06.

direction, other Cooperativds are having more success. Meanwhhle other

:41:07.:41:14.

cooperatives are proving successful. One thing they do well is to have a

:41:15.:41:17.

simple business and democratic model. One member, one vote. No

:41:18.:41:23.

complicated committees and ht is very accessible. A clear vision and

:41:24.:41:26.

clear goals means the co`opdrative model can bear fruit. Something they

:41:27.:41:30.

need to hang on to as they continue to grow.

:41:31.:41:39.

What has gone wrong? Cooper`tives are very successful right across the

:41:40.:41:43.

country and thousands work on them very successfully indeed. What has

:41:44.:41:49.

happened to the Co`op bank hs sad but it is challenging. They led the

:41:50.:41:53.

way on ethical banking but the current crisis is something that has

:41:54.:41:54.

to be resolved. management to account and that is

:41:55.:42:04.

why the various studies takhng place now have two sure how the Co`op s

:42:05.:42:11.

ethos of mutuality has been combined with problem business acumen with

:42:12.:42:15.

that democratic structure f`iling to bring them to account. Do you agree

:42:16.:42:22.

with Paul Flowers that therd are questions for George Osbornd on

:42:23.:42:25.

whether or not the government put them under pressure to go for that

:42:26.:42:30.

financial deal which ultimately did not work out? The Treasury select

:42:31.:42:36.

committee is currently lookhng at that issue and they will be

:42:37.:42:39.

following up points made in the allegations, so that is somdthing

:42:40.:42:45.

pursue. The minister has sahd the Treasury Minister only had

:42:46.:42:50.

discussions long after the court decided to go down that road. I am

:42:51.:42:56.

disappointed, I am a loyal supporter and I have my Co`op card here, and I

:42:57.:43:04.

follow a model of complete probity. Had we known that a former Labour

:43:05.:43:08.

councillor was no banking experience was running the show, we wotld have

:43:09.:43:14.

been much more concerned, not to say they are not many decent and able

:43:15.:43:17.

people working at the Co`op. The atmosphere was too cosy. Thdy are

:43:18.:43:22.

reviewing their structure and have to find a way of combining hts ethos

:43:23.:43:28.

and structure was running a business properly. That has happened

:43:29.:43:35.

effectively for many years `nd it has to be put right. Do you think it

:43:36.:43:41.

can be put right? It is dam`ging and it has to be put right. It has a

:43:42.:43:46.

protest at the end has to h`ve a proud future. The has to have a

:43:47.:43:49.

proud future. The Hess delax will stand them strong and many people

:43:50.:43:52.

have an allegiance that goes back generations. You are Labour

:43:53.:43:59.

co`operative MP but that br`nd has been somewhat tarnished? Wh`t has

:44:00.:44:06.

happened at the Co`op bank has put question marks over how it was

:44:07.:44:10.

managed and held to account. But Paul Flowers was not just that the

:44:11.:44:17.

bank? Those are things that Paul Flowers has two answer but the

:44:18.:44:21.

co`operative group are lookhng again at the structures and how they

:44:22.:44:30.

operate and have to get it right. 40 years ago this week, loc`l

:44:31.:44:32.

government was dramatically remodelled and the maps redrawn A

:44:33.:44:35.

new two`tier council system was created and not without controversy.

:44:36.:44:38.

Furnace for example finding itself in the new shire county of Cumbria.

:44:39.:44:41.

Merseyside County Council and Greater Manchester County Council

:44:42.:44:44.

were born, only to be abolished by the Thatcher government. But now

:44:45.:44:47.

with a new Merseyside combined authority, are we turning ftll

:44:48.:44:55.

circle? Elaine Dunkley reports. Saddleworth, known for its dramatic

:44:56.:44:58.

moors and mills, but it's a place where boundary lines and political

:44:59.:45:11.

battle lines are drawn. Bec`use this district known as Saddleworth is on

:45:12.:45:16.

the western side of the Pennines it becomes part of Greater Manchester,

:45:17.:45:20.

a curious future body bunch of country villages and not ond most of

:45:21.:45:27.

its inhabitants would vote for. He has the White Rose of Yorkshire

:45:28.:45:30.

which is very important to lany people and Saddleworth. The local

:45:31.:45:33.

Government Act of 1974 made the historic Yorkshire villages and

:45:34.:45:36.

towns of Saddleworth part of a new Greater Manchester. The ide` was to

:45:37.:45:45.

create larger than the effects of powers local labour and Saddleworth

:45:46.:45:49.

that caused an identity crisis. There was a lot of bad feelhng and

:45:50.:45:54.

people saying, they have taken us over. That is how many people felt.

:45:55.:46:02.

Many people think that is a justifiable position to havd taken.

:46:03.:46:09.

We feel old on gets the lions share of all the funding. The villagers

:46:10.:46:16.

have some common characteristics. The changes made by the Conservative

:46:17.:46:20.

government still leave some feeling a line has been crossed. Wh`t was

:46:21.:46:27.

lost was the heritage and hhstoric connections that went with the

:46:28.:46:30.

linkage to church and the of County Association. Ideally I

:46:31.:46:37.

would like to see a constittency based on the South Pennines, alias

:46:38.:46:41.

of similarity to Saddleworth. The Lancashire Yorkshire border is

:46:42.:46:44.

no stranger to territorial, political battles. During the War of

:46:45.:46:47.

the Roses, thousands lost their lives. Known as the winter of our

:46:48.:46:56.

discontent... The Local Govdrnment Act of 1974 Act was less bloody but

:46:57.:47:01.

local pride is still bruised. Over in Southport it's not horses but

:47:02.:47:02.

trains causing concern. rail to the north and east. What is

:47:03.:47:40.

important is four`hour tone to flourish and for unemployment to

:47:41.:47:45.

good, we have to have better communications, and the impddiment

:47:46.:47:47.

of the boundary. In 1986 thd mainly Labour`controlled councils of

:47:48.:47:49.

Greater Manchester and Greater Merseyside were abolished under

:47:50.:47:58.

Margret Thatcher. In 2011 the Greater Manchester Combined

:47:59.:48:01.

Authority came into effect `nd from the 1st of April a super cotncil

:48:02.:48:03.

consisting of Halton, Knowsley, Liverpool, St Helens Sefton and

:48:04.:48:08.

Wirral will be formed in Merseyside to boost economic growth. Btt are

:48:09.:48:10.

combined authorities working for a greater good? The opportunity that

:48:11.:48:18.

the combined authority gave this is for local authorities to cole

:48:19.:48:21.

together to create a structtre in which they can collaborate hn terms

:48:22.:48:26.

of economic development and planning. I would also like to

:48:27.:48:33.

accept some powers from nathonal governments. And here's an dxample

:48:34.:48:36.

of bigger is better. The Grdater Manchester Waste Authority recycles

:48:37.:48:39.

waste from nine boroughs, 40 years on from the creation of the North

:48:40.:48:45.

West's Metropolitan County Councils. It deals with over 1 million tonnes

:48:46.:48:51.

of rubbish. You get benefits of economies of scale so we ard able to

:48:52.:48:56.

deal with things on a one off basis and everyone else can use that. We

:48:57.:49:02.

believe we have the most sustainable scheme anywhere in Europe. 40 years

:49:03.:49:10.

on from the creation of the north`west metropolitan county

:49:11.:49:13.

councils, it is back to the future in the latest attempt to give local

:49:14.:49:18.

government more authority. And we're also joined now bx Ron

:49:19.:49:21.

Round, the leader of Knowsldy Council, one of the six that makes

:49:22.:49:29.

up Merseyside's Combined Authority. Would Southport be better off as

:49:30.:49:34.

part of Lincolnshire? It has economic and transport links with

:49:35.:49:36.

both the Merseyside area, so we `re on

:49:37.:49:43.

the edge and not well served by the current boundaries. We look to the

:49:44.:49:51.

east and see East Lancs and we cannot understand why they `re not

:49:52.:49:56.

part of the picture, left ott of the region, because what happens there

:49:57.:50:00.

in the way all railways and roads is very important to Southport. It

:50:01.:50:08.

benefits them to join you r`ther than you joining them? We h`ve no

:50:09.:50:14.

desire to be a district inshde Lancashire. We like the degree of

:50:15.:50:19.

autonomy we currently have, limited as it is in Sefton, and we do not

:50:20.:50:25.

want to end up a district council. We want a coherent boundary and we

:50:26.:50:28.

have not got that at the molent When you were reading though leading

:50:29.:50:35.

the council, did you think `bout boundaries and places just outside

:50:36.:50:41.

it? There are always issues with boundaries and Southport usdd to

:50:42.:50:43.

approach Lancashire and say they wanted to join the county council.

:50:44.:50:48.

Would they have been better off if they had? That is something for them

:50:49.:50:59.

to decide. Is your view... @re you happy with the boundaries as they

:51:00.:51:06.

are now in general, the fact you have a one tier system in

:51:07.:51:13.

Merseyside? Setting up the combined authority is a very good development

:51:14.:51:17.

and recognising the need for more regional involvement in cre`ting

:51:18.:51:19.

more jobs and developing tr`nsport systems, and it is the Liverpool

:51:20.:51:28.

city region, 35,000 people from within the city travel on to

:51:29.:51:34.

Liverpool, so I think it will help everybody in that area to gdt more

:51:35.:51:43.

jobs. The combined authoritx is certainly not the old countx council

:51:44.:51:46.

but do you think it is a stdp back towards it? I do not and nothing

:51:47.:51:55.

could be further from the truth The old county council had a different

:51:56.:52:04.

set of executive powers. We will be operating as a combined authority in

:52:05.:52:08.

a very different way to the old county council. I really want to

:52:09.:52:16.

firmly nailed that to the m`st. It is about the council is abott the

:52:17.:52:19.

councils working more stratdgically together and making joint ddcisions

:52:20.:52:24.

better? That is absolutely true and we will do that but we will not be

:52:25.:52:30.

saying we are some super cotncil or a county council mark two, ht is

:52:31.:52:35.

nothing further from the trtth. This is a totally new concept and all the

:52:36.:52:43.

leaders of the six districts that make up the Liverpool city region

:52:44.:52:47.

have worked tirelessly to achieve this. What are the advantagds of it

:52:48.:52:53.

because at the moment your councils want to cooperate can if thdy wish.

:52:54.:53:03.

We can cooperate but not on a very strategic level because the

:53:04.:53:09.

districts will still have the alone autonomy to deal with things inside

:53:10.:53:12.

their own districts, but wh`t we need to do is focus on things that

:53:13.:53:19.

benefit the Liverpool city region from a strategic point of vhew. Can

:53:20.:53:25.

I take you back, if we had had a combined authority when the

:53:26.:53:30.

ill`fated mirrors a tram was on the agenda, which I fully supported ``

:53:31.:53:42.

Mersey tram. I worked my fingers to the board to try to achieve it, had

:53:43.:53:49.

we had a combined authority, that Mersey tram would have been

:53:50.:53:54.

successfully achieved because the six districts would have supported

:53:55.:54:02.

it. Maybe you will be able to get that in place but let me ask you

:54:03.:54:05.

something else. Councillor Round, the first job when you meet on

:54:06.:54:08.

Tuesday is presumably going to involve the name? Let's havd

:54:09.:54:14.

Helens, Sefton and Wirral combined authority.

:54:15.:54:20.

That's hardly snappy, is it? I am getting sick and tired of hdaring

:54:21.:54:26.

that comment. That was the Secretary of State who came up with that idea,

:54:27.:54:30.

not the six districts who m`ke up the city region. The Liverpool city

:54:31.:54:38.

region are firmly behind and unanimous that it will be c`lled the

:54:39.:54:42.

Liverpool city region combined authority. I have to say th`t in a

:54:43.:54:49.

very strong way because it has been reported daily in the Liverpool Echo

:54:50.:54:54.

from professors of Liverpool University and other people that it

:54:55.:55:03.

is this tongue twister that everybody is talking about. You can

:55:04.:55:09.

take it from me, it will be called the Liverpool city region combined

:55:10.:55:13.

authority. And who will be running it? That will be decided by

:55:14.:55:23.

democratic process on Tuesd`y morning. That'll be the first item

:55:24.:55:34.

the agenda, after the chief executive goes through some

:55:35.:55:38.

housekeeping operations. Th`nk you very much indeed.

:55:39.:55:48.

What do you think? Liverpool should be chairing it, that is the brand

:55:49.:55:51.

name and they have all agredd the Liverpool city region as a name that

:55:52.:55:54.

will be understood outside of the country. That is part of wh`t this

:55:55.:55:59.

is about and it makes it much clearer. The city region will work

:56:00.:56:05.

together and all are fully committed to this and that is the right way to

:56:06.:56:11.

proceed now. Do you agree. The Manchester authority is led by

:56:12.:56:19.

Wigan. It is ironic that thhs combined authority is supposed to

:56:20.:56:23.

take powers from central government and is now left alone to choose its

:56:24.:56:31.

own name! Is not a good start. The Manchester example is that they have

:56:32.:56:33.

all rallied round and understood Manchester is the brand. Manchester

:56:34.:56:39.

has shown what can be done `nd the great developments they havd had in

:56:40.:56:42.

transport and business are not much to do with the authorities working

:56:43.:56:51.

together. They have also recognised the necessity the centre dods not

:56:52.:56:55.

dominate everything so Manchester does not throw its weight around. I

:56:56.:56:58.

agree with that and they have to work together.

:56:59.:57:01.

At least we have sorted the name out. Here's Ian Haslam with 60

:57:02.:57:08.

Seconds. Conservative MP Mark Menzies has

:57:09.:57:12.

resigned as a ministerial ahde He says the man paid him for sex and

:57:13.:57:22.

asked him to buy an illegal drug and he says a number of the alldgations

:57:23.:57:24.

are not true. The Halton MP Derek Twigg told

:57:25.:57:27.

Parliament that some police officers on duty during the Hillsborough

:57:28.:57:30.

disaster weren't co`operating with an IPCC investigation. The Prime

:57:31.:57:32.

Minister said police chiefs have been told to make sure they do.

:57:33.:57:36.

The cost of policing the anti`fracking protests at B`rton

:57:37.:57:38.

Moss reached more than ?1.5 million. The Police and Crime Commissioner

:57:39.:57:41.

Tony Lloyd has asked the Government for help to pay.

:57:42.:57:44.

Cumbria's Police and Crime Commissioner described the prison

:57:45.:57:46.

system as 'broken'. Richard Rhodes reckons huge reforms are nedded to

:57:47.:57:56.

prevent a cycle of re`offending We all know that the vast majority of

:57:57.:57:59.

people coming out of prison reoffend again. Meanwhile Cumbrian councils

:58:00.:58:02.

and businesses are looking hnto the electrification of the Furndss

:58:03.:58:10.

railway line. Very significant on Monday with the

:58:11.:58:17.

new Hillsborough developments. The inquest is about to start, `

:58:18.:58:21.

significant development, but we are still a long way from establishing

:58:22.:58:24.

the truth of what happened on that day. You have confidence thdy will

:58:25.:58:32.

come to the truth? I have confidence the truth will be exposed. People

:58:33.:58:37.

are very determined to do that and the campaigners have brought us to

:58:38.:58:40.

this point and now the judiciary and police are ready to find thd truth,

:58:41.:58:49.

and they will do it. What are your hopes? Fresh evidence has come

:58:50.:58:53.

forward which has enlightendd everyone and the country as a whole,

:58:54.:58:57.

but they are still police pocket books which have not been h`nded

:58:58.:59:01.

over. We will never get absolutely to the bottom of this. Unless they

:59:02.:59:10.

are handed in, still possible? I am sure people know where they are but

:59:11.:59:13.

some people may be unwilling to hand women. A big day for the falilies? A

:59:14.:59:19.

very big day and shows all the efforts are starting to show

:59:20.:59:24.

results. Still a long way to go but this is a significant development

:59:25.:59:27.

and was one of the major delands. Thank you very much indeed. We had

:59:28.:59:31.

you boundaries. Sorry, run out of time.

:59:32.:59:35.

Thanks very much indeed. Andrew back to you.

:59:36.:59:43.

Now let's get more from our political panel. If the BNP

:59:44.:59:53.

finished? They were never spectacularly successful to begin

:59:54.:59:56.

with but one of my childhood memories was a huge fuss in London

:59:57.:59:59.

about the fact that they won a few council seat on the Isle of dogs

:00:00.:00:03.

back in 1993. That was enough to cause a panic. As if they are

:00:04.:00:06.

falling from a great tit and I think the big difference with the National

:00:07.:00:10.

front in France is that they are building on decades of successful

:00:11.:00:13.

that they finished second in the presence of elections in 2002, I

:00:14.:00:15.

think. And, presence of elections in 2002, I

:00:16.:00:17.

were versions of presence of elections in 2002, I

:00:18.:00:23.

they are building on a lot whereas the BNP are working with incredibly

:00:24.:00:32.

few raw materials in this country. It is interesting that the BNP does

:00:33.:00:35.

seem to be in decline in terms of its membership and financially, but

:00:36.:00:42.

in France, the far right party, not as far right as the BNP, but pretty

:00:43.:00:47.

far right, will probably do well in the second round of the French local

:00:48.:00:53.

elections. You could say the same about Golden Dawn in Greece. Parties

:00:54.:00:58.

prosper when the picture is pre-rolled for them. If mainstream

:00:59.:01:03.

parties talk endlessly about immigration, saying you cannot get a

:01:04.:01:07.

council house because it has gone to an immigrant instead of saying it is

:01:08.:01:09.

because there are not enough council houses, that creates the conditions

:01:10.:01:13.

in which the far right can thrive. We are lucky that all the members of

:01:14.:01:19.

the BNP fell out with each other. As extreme members of the far right and

:01:20.:01:26.

left do. You can see that with the comedian in France, he has got a lot

:01:27.:01:31.

of support from people on the left as well. I asked Simon Derby was

:01:32.:01:39.

here victim of a pincer movement that UKIP were taken away voters and

:01:40.:01:47.

EDL has captured the Street protest. Yes, and

:01:48.:01:50.

EDL has captured the Street protest. act together. They got the act

:01:51.:01:59.

together in Dagenham. Margaret Hodge and Jon Cruddas did a very good job.

:02:00.:02:05.

I think UKIP would say, not a racist party but they are picking up votes

:02:06.:02:09.

from people who would once have voted BNP. But it is interesting the

:02:10.:02:12.

difference between Britain and France. Why is it that the Front

:02:13.:02:19.

Nationale came second in 2002 when they are not far right? I think they

:02:20.:02:27.

were on a five-year cycle because the next election was 2007. 200

:02:28.:02:34.

they came second when Jean-Marie Le Pen came second. They are not as far

:02:35.:02:47.

right as the BNP. Marine has put them -- cleaned them up a bit.

:02:48.:02:52.

Diplomatically there is a much harder vote which spreads further

:02:53.:02:56.

across the electorate in France than there is in this country. This is a

:02:57.:03:08.

much more tolerant country. If Marine Le Pen does well today, she

:03:09.:03:15.

will not win that many because the centre-right and centre-left will

:03:16.:03:18.

always gang up against terror in the second round, but it sets the tone

:03:19.:03:21.

for the European elections. second round, but it sets the tone

:03:22.:03:27.

and for the next French presidential election as well. I think what she's

:03:28.:03:31.

doing masterfully is combining a far right politics with what you might

:03:32.:03:36.

call a far left economic politics. She's not just picking up votes from

:03:37.:03:41.

xenophobes, she is picking up votes from who feel victimised from

:03:42.:03:46.

globalisation. They are people who would be voting for socialists but

:03:47.:03:50.

are put off by the current president. That is what I do not

:03:51.:03:53.

think the British far right parties have been able to do. You sort Simon

:03:54.:03:58.

Derby try to tell you that the BNP are not far right party. I think he

:03:59.:04:03.

was going to say if you look at issues of protectionism, standing up

:04:04.:04:06.

against globalisation, they are quite statist. That is where the

:04:07.:04:13.

phrase National Socialist comes from. That is why a little bit of

:04:14.:04:17.

electoral success is often a killer for far right parties. They get a

:04:18.:04:22.

few council seats and then they are rubbish. They are not getting

:04:23.:04:25.

people's bins collected so they become part of the system that

:04:26.:04:29.

people were voting against in the first place. Lets go on to the

:04:30.:04:35.

Labour Party. If you are a Labour Party supporter and you want to be

:04:36.:04:39.

cheered up, you pick up the Sunday Times where you see a poll where the

:04:40.:04:44.

leader is up to seven points. If you are Tory Lib Dem and you want to be

:04:45.:04:48.

cheered up, you pick up the Observer, the left-wing paper, where

:04:49.:04:51.

the Labour leader Observer, the left-wing paper, where

:04:52.:04:56.

have read in the paper that there is quite a lot of of the record

:04:57.:05:00.

briefings going on at the top of the Labour Party. Give us a sense of the

:05:01.:05:06.

mood. Clearly, they are unsettled. One pol looks OK but there has been

:05:07.:05:13.

a run of polls where there is a lead over the Tories which is closing.

:05:14.:05:20.

There are worrying number of people who are what are called the 35s and

:05:21.:05:27.

they are people who thought all the Labour Party needs to do is sit

:05:28.:05:31.

still because there are a number of Liberal Democrat voters who hate the

:05:32.:05:34.

coalition. Because the Conservatives did not get through the boundary

:05:35.:05:39.

changes they needed to win, we can sit tight and it will all be fine.

:05:40.:05:43.

What a few wise old heads are concerned about is they feel this

:05:44.:05:50.

has a feel of 1987 about it when the Labour Party was united. They had a

:05:51.:05:54.

very good leader. The leader was impressive, the party was united and

:05:55.:05:59.

then what happened? They met the British people and an election. The

:06:00.:06:04.

British people said, terribly sorry, you are not occupying the party

:06:05.:06:07.

political territory where we will vote for you. There are some people

:06:08.:06:13.

from the Blair era who say it feels a bit complacent and there may be a

:06:14.:06:16.

bit of a shock when they meet the voters. We talk about people being

:06:17.:06:22.

unsettled but Ed Miliband is not unsettled. His defining

:06:23.:06:25.

characteristic is you unsettled. His defining

:06:26.:06:29.

steadiness or you might call it a lack of agility. He could not

:06:30.:06:32.

respond to the pension stuff in the budget which was thrown at him. But

:06:33.:06:36.

he's very good at separating the signal from the noise. They may

:06:37.:06:40.

think this will all change in me. The Tories may be on the back foot

:06:41.:06:45.

after the European elections. He has the ability to set the political

:06:46.:06:49.

weather. He did it with the price freeze. There is no doubt that Mr

:06:50.:06:57.

Davey would not be referring these energy companies to the competition

:06:58.:07:00.

authorities if it had not been for that speech by the Labour leader.

:07:01.:07:04.

And we read today he has come up with another policy which will be

:07:05.:07:08.

attention grabbing to cut student tuition fees. It is easy to forget

:07:09.:07:13.

that before he announced the price freeze he was in as much vertical

:07:14.:07:18.

trouble as he is now. I think the Labour poll lead will expand up to

:07:19.:07:25.

five or 6% by the summer, assuming the Tories do badly. The question

:07:26.:07:31.

is, is five or 6% enough? Nick through the analogy with 1987. This

:07:32.:07:37.

reminds me of the Conservatives in 2009/10. You have a steadily sinking

:07:38.:07:41.

poll lead, differences in what campaign they should be running and

:07:42.:07:45.

personal animosity behind the scenes. It led to them throwing away

:07:46.:07:50.

an election which seemed to be winnable. There is an important

:07:51.:07:54.

difference with the 1980s winnable. There is an important

:07:55.:08:04.

or 88? They do not need to make up their mind until next year. What

:08:05.:08:07.

they are telling the pollsters now, we do not like this government

:08:08.:08:11.

because of course, you do not like the government. But next January or

:08:12.:08:15.

February they will be making up their minds. Is there a lot of

:08:16.:08:19.

animosity among the leading Labour figures behind-the-scenes? It must

:08:20.:08:25.

be personal or tactical because there are not big ideological

:08:26.:08:29.

differences between them, is there? Yes and no. What is striking is how

:08:30.:08:35.

little support Miliband gets from the shadow cabinet. He does not have

:08:36.:08:40.

outriders. That has been a continuous theme. Said he feels he

:08:41.:08:45.

is on his own? That they feel they do not get support from him. There

:08:46.:08:50.

was a column by Jenni Russell saying he is distant and detached. And

:08:51.:08:56.

Andrew Walmsley touched on this in the Observer. One of the divisions

:08:57.:09:04.

is Ed versus Ed. There is a terrible structural problem between those

:09:05.:09:08.

two. It is a real problem. Ed Miliband believes Ed Balls has not

:09:09.:09:12.

done enough to get economic red ability. Ed Balls believes Ed

:09:13.:09:17.

Miliband is making airy fairy speeches and it will not cut with

:09:18.:09:22.

the electorate. Neither Mr Cameron nor Mr Miller band took part in the

:09:23.:09:26.

debate which happened earlier this week between the Lib Dems and UKIP.

:09:27.:09:28.

We have week between the Lib Dems and UKIP.

:09:29.:09:34.

the BBC on Wednesday night. Let s remind ourselves of what happened in

:09:35.:09:39.

last week's debate. I will ask Nick to open the batting.

:09:40.:09:47.

We are better off in Europe... Frankly not working any more. A

:09:48.:09:52.

referendum on Europe. I agree with you. I agree with you. If you can

:09:53.:09:59.

read the small print. Pull up the drawbridge, pool drawbridge up. . We

:10:00.:10:09.

have 485 million people... It is simply not true! Not true. Not true.

:10:10.:10:15.

Not true. Identical with Nick. I don't agree with Nick. Based on

:10:16.:10:23.

facts, facts, the facts, facts, the facts... Thank God we did not listen

:10:24.:10:29.

to you. The food is getting better here. Jobs, jobs, jobs, jobs. You

:10:30.:10:37.

have never had a proper job. Great not little England. Good night.

:10:38.:10:44.

I think it is seven o'clock BBC Two. Helen, what was the outcome of that

:10:45.:10:48.

and how do we mark our card for this week? It was not a great time for

:10:49.:10:54.

pundits. Everybody called the debate for Nick and then they said

:10:55.:10:59.

actually, we think it has gone the other way. Consensus emerged

:11:00.:11:06.

actually, we think it has gone the on that Nick Clegg made a difficult

:11:07.:11:08.

argument. I think the most important thing Nigel Farage said was he

:11:09.:11:12.

distinguished out the immigration policy by saying we're not just

:11:13.:11:16.

closing day over, we want people to come, we just do not want mass EU

:11:17.:11:20.

immigration. That is an important thing for him to say to get away

:11:21.:11:25.

from the echoes of the far right. I suspect Nick Clegg will not ask us

:11:26.:11:30.

to read the small print. That was 11 turn he took. It compounded his

:11:31.:11:36.

reputation for being sneaky. I slightly disagree about the pundits.

:11:37.:11:40.

I say this as someone who thought far it would win. -- Nigel Farage

:11:41.:11:46.

would win. The fact that the public disagree with you and the public

:11:47.:11:50.

favoured Nigel Farage does not mean the public were wrong. The question

:11:51.:11:58.

is, who is going to tune in for the second one? What is the answer to

:11:59.:12:05.

that? Phil Collins argument is a man who is on 8% is fantastic. It is a

:12:06.:12:11.

binary choice in this debate. Clearly they need to brush up on

:12:12.:12:15.

opposite areas. Nigel Farage needs to brush up on facts and Nick Clegg

:12:16.:12:18.

needs to brush up on the motions because he did not connect very

:12:19.:12:23.

well. Where Nick Clegg may go after Nigel Farage is when the -- when he

:12:24.:12:29.

said the EU has blood on its hands with Ukraine. He then came back to

:12:30.:12:30.

talk with Ukraine. He then came back to

:12:31.:12:36.

made what was going on in Syria worse. It is one thing to say I do

:12:37.:12:42.

not think the UK should be part of the joint European foreign policy,

:12:43.:12:45.

it is part of another thing to say that Europe which will act with or

:12:46.:12:49.

without the UK is responsible for blood on the streets of Kiev and

:12:50.:12:52.

also responsible for exacerbating the Civil War in Syria. Maybe an

:12:53.:12:58.

hour is too long for Nigel Farage's shtick? That may be the case but

:12:59.:13:05.

Nick Clegg has precedence. He does that show and he has had to deal

:13:06.:13:09.

with the worst thing with dealing with what is thrown at him so he has

:13:10.:13:14.

honed his view consistently. We will see what happens in part two.

:13:15.:13:18.

That's all for this week. The Daily Politics is on BBC Two at lunchtime

:13:19.:13:21.

every day this week. I'll be here next week at the usual time of 1

:13:22.:13:25.

o'clock. Remember if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:26.:13:33.

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