Browse content similar to 24/11/2013. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Good morning. Labour has been hit hard by scandals at the Co-op. Ed | :00:39. | :00:49. | |
Miliband says the Tories are mudslinging. We speak to Grant | :00:50. | :00:53. | |
Shapps. We are still talking about banks in | :00:54. | :00:57. | |
trouble. I haven't the regulators got the message? | :00:58. | :01:12. | |
He used to have a windmill on his roof, but has planned to make the | :01:13. | :01:17. | |
Conservative Party more cuddly been ditched? | :01:18. | :01:19. | |
And on Sunday Politics Scotland. Hot off the press - the blueprint for | :01:20. | :01:24. | |
independence is published on Tuesday and the Scottish government names | :01:25. | :01:27. | |
the day the country becomes independent if we vote yes. | :01:28. | :01:33. | |
Helen Lewis and Nick Watt. They'll be tweeting faster than England | :01:34. | :01:36. | |
loses wickets to Australia. Yes, they're really that fast. | :01:37. | :01:40. | |
First, some big news overnight from Geneva, where Iran has agreed to | :01:41. | :01:43. | |
curb some of its nuclear activities in return for the partial easing of | :01:44. | :01:48. | |
sanctions. Iran will pause the enrichment of uranium to weapons | :01:49. | :01:51. | |
grade and America will free up some funds for Iran to spend. May be up | :01:52. | :02:01. | |
to $10 billion. A more comprehensive deal is supposed to be done in six | :02:02. | :02:04. | |
months. Here's what President Obama had to say about this interim | :02:05. | :02:09. | |
months. Here's what President Obama agreement. We have pursued intensive | :02:10. | :02:14. | |
diplomacy, bilaterally with the Iranians, and together with our | :02:15. | :02:19. | |
partners, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia and China, | :02:20. | :02:23. | |
as well as the European Union. Today, that diplomacy opened up a | :02:24. | :02:29. | |
new path towards a world that is more secure, a future in which we | :02:30. | :02:35. | |
can verify that Iraq and's nuclear programme is peaceful, and that it | :02:36. | :02:41. | |
cannot build a nuclear weapon. President Obama spoke from the White | :02:42. | :02:45. | |
House last night. Now the difficulty begins. This is meant to lead to a | :02:46. | :02:51. | |
full-scale agreement which will effectively end all sanctions, and | :02:52. | :02:57. | |
end Iran's ability to have a bomb. The early signs are pretty good. The | :02:58. | :03:00. | |
Iranian currency strengthened overnight, which is exactly what the | :03:01. | :03:06. | |
Iranians wanted. Inflation in Iraq is 40%, so they need a stronger | :03:07. | :03:14. | |
currency. -- information in Iran. France has played a blinder. It was | :03:15. | :03:18. | |
there intransigence that led to this. Otherwise, I think the West | :03:19. | :03:21. | |
would have led to a much softer deal. The question now becomes | :03:22. | :03:27. | |
implementation. Here, everything hinges on two questions. First, who | :03:28. | :03:33. | |
is Hassan Rouhani? Is he the Iranians Gorbachev, a serious | :03:34. | :03:38. | |
reformer, or he's here much more tactical and cynical figure? Or, | :03:39. | :03:44. | |
within Iran, how powerful is he? There are military men and | :03:45. | :03:47. | |
intelligence officials within Iran who may stymie the process. The | :03:48. | :03:54. | |
Western media concentrate on the fact that Mr Netanyahu and the | :03:55. | :03:59. | |
Israelis are not happy about this. They don't often mention that the | :04:00. | :04:04. | |
Arab Gulf states are also very apprehensive about this deal. I read | :04:05. | :04:09. | |
this morning that the enemies of Qatar and Kuwait went to Saudi king. | :04:10. | :04:19. | |
-- the MAs row. That is the key thing to watch in the next couple of | :04:20. | :04:25. | |
weeks. There was a response from Saudi Arabia, but it came from the | :04:26. | :04:30. | |
Prime Minister of Israel, who said this was a historic mistake. The | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
United States said there would be no enrichment of uranium to weapons | :04:35. | :04:38. | |
grade. In the last few minutes, the Iranian Foreign Minister has tweeted | :04:39. | :04:42. | |
to say that there is an inalienable right -- right to enrich. The key | :04:43. | :04:51. | |
thing is the most important thing that President Obama said in his | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
inaugural speech. He reached out to Iran. It failed under President | :04:57. | :05:00. | |
McKenna jab. Under President Rouhani, there seems to be progress. | :05:01. | :05:07. | |
There is potentially now what he talked about in that first inaugural | :05:08. | :05:11. | |
address potentially coming through. In the end, the key issue - and we | :05:12. | :05:17. | |
don't know the answer - is the supreme leader, not the president. | :05:18. | :05:22. | |
Will the supreme leader agreed to Iran giving up its ability to create | :05:23. | :05:27. | |
nuclear weapons? This is the huge ambiguity. Ayatollah Khamenei | :05:28. | :05:32. | |
authorise the position that President Rouhani took to Geneva. | :05:33. | :05:38. | |
That doesn't mean he will sign off on every bit of implementation over | :05:39. | :05:44. | |
the next six months. Even when President Ahmadinejad was president, | :05:45. | :05:49. | |
he wasn't really President. We in the West have to resort to a kind of | :05:50. | :05:55. | |
Iranians version of the study of the Kremlin, to work out what is going | :05:56. | :06:05. | |
on. And the problem the president faces is that if there is any | :06:06. | :06:12. | |
sign... He can unlock these funds by executive order at the moment, but | :06:13. | :06:16. | |
if he needs any more, he has to go to Congress. Both the Democrat and | :06:17. | :06:21. | |
the Republican side have huge scepticism about this. And he has | :06:22. | :06:28. | |
very low credibility now. There's already been angry noises coming | :06:29. | :06:32. | |
from quite a lot of senators. It was quite strange to see that photo of | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
John Kerry hugging Cathy Ashton as if they had survived a ship great | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
together. John Kerry is clearly feeling very happy. We will keep an | :06:41. | :06:51. | |
eye on this. It is a fascinating development. | :06:52. | :06:53. | |
More lurid details about the personal life of the Co-op Bank's | :06:54. | :06:56. | |
disgraced former chairman, the Reverend Paul Flowers. The links | :06:57. | :07:01. | |
between Labour, the bank and the wider Co-op movement have caused big | :07:02. | :07:04. | |
problems for Ed Miliband this week, and the Conservatives have been | :07:05. | :07:08. | |
revelling in it. But do the Tory allegations - Ed Miliband calls them | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
"smears" - stack up? Party Chairman Grant Shapps joins us from Hatfield. | :07:13. | :07:22. | |
Welcome to the programme. When it comes to the Co-op, what are you | :07:23. | :07:31. | |
accusing Labour of knowing and when? I think the simple thing to say here | :07:32. | :07:35. | |
is that the Co-op is an important bank. They have obviously got into | :07:36. | :07:41. | |
difficulty with Reverend flowers, and our primary concern is making | :07:42. | :07:45. | |
sure that that is properly investigated, and that we understand | :07:46. | :07:48. | |
what happened at the bank and how somebody like Paul Flowers could | :07:49. | :07:51. | |
have ended up thing appointed chairman. You wrote to edge Miliband | :07:52. | :07:57. | |
on Tuesday and asked him what he knew and when. -- you wrote to Ed | :07:58. | :08:04. | |
Miliband. But by Prime Minister's Questions on Wednesday, David | :08:05. | :08:07. | |
Cameron claims that you knew that Labour knew about his past all | :08:08. | :08:14. | |
along. What is the evidence for that? We found out by Wednesday that | :08:15. | :08:21. | |
he had been a Labour councillor, Reverend Flowers, and had been made | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
to stand down. Certainly, Labour knew about that, but somehow didn't | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
seem to think that that made him less appropriate to be the chairman | :08:31. | :08:37. | |
of the Co-op bank. There was no evidence that Mr Miliband or Mr | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
Balls knew about that. I ask you again, what are you accusing the | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
Labour leadership of knowing? We know now that he stood down for very | :08:49. | :08:58. | |
inappropriate images on his computer, apparently. You are | :08:59. | :09:00. | |
telling me that they didn't know. I am not sure that is clear at all. I | :09:01. | :09:05. | |
have heard conflicting reports. There is a much bigger argument | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
about what they knew and when. There was a much bigger issue here. This | :09:10. | :09:14. | |
morning, Ed Miliband has said that they don't have to answer these | :09:15. | :09:19. | |
questions and that these smears. This is ludicrous. These are | :09:20. | :09:22. | |
important questions about an important bank, how it ended up | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
getting into this position, and how a disastrous Britannia -- Italia | :09:27. | :09:33. | |
deal happen. -- Britannia deal happened. And we need to know how | :09:34. | :09:40. | |
the bank came off the rails. To be accused of smears for asking the | :09:41. | :09:43. | |
questions is ridiculous. I am just trying to find out what you are | :09:44. | :09:48. | |
accusing Labour of. You saying that the Labour leadership knew about the | :09:49. | :09:54. | |
drug-taking? Sorry, there was some noise here. I don't know what was | :09:55. | :10:03. | |
known and when. We do know that Labour, the party, certainly knew | :10:04. | :10:07. | |
about these very difficult circumstances in which he resigned | :10:08. | :10:12. | |
as a councillor. I think that the Labour Party knew about it. We knew | :10:13. | :10:17. | |
that Bradford did, but not London. Are you saying that Ed Miliband knew | :10:18. | :10:21. | |
about the inappropriate material on the Reverend's laptop? It is | :10:22. | :10:25. | |
certainly the case that Labour knew about it. But did Mr Miliband know | :10:26. | :10:33. | |
about it, and his predilection for rent boys? He will need to answer | :10:34. | :10:40. | |
those questions. It is quite proper to ask those questions. Surely, | :10:41. | :10:45. | |
asking a perfectly legitimate set of questions, not just about that but | :10:46. | :10:48. | |
about how we have ended up in a situation where this bank has made | :10:49. | :10:53. | |
loans to Labour for millions of pounds, that bank and the Unite | :10:54. | :10:59. | |
bank, who is connected to it. And how they made a ?50,000 donation to | :11:00. | :11:06. | |
Ed Balls' office. Ed Balls says that was nothing to do with Reverend | :11:07. | :11:10. | |
Flowers, and yet Reverend Flowers said that he personally signed that | :11:11. | :11:16. | |
off. Lots of questions to answer. David Cameron has already answered | :11:17. | :11:20. | |
them on Wednesday. He said that you now know that Labour knew about his | :11:21. | :11:26. | |
past all along. You have not been able to present evidence that | :11:27. | :11:29. | |
involve Mr Miliband or Mr Balls in that. So until you get that, surely | :11:30. | :11:35. | |
you should apologise? Hang on. He said that Labour knew about this, | :11:36. | :11:39. | |
and they did, because he stood down as a councillor. If Ed Miliband | :11:40. | :11:45. | |
didn't know about that, then why not? This was quite a serious thing | :11:46. | :11:50. | |
that happened. The wider point is about why it is that when you ask | :11:51. | :11:54. | |
perfectly legitimate questions about this bank, about the Britannia deal, | :11:55. | :11:57. | |
and about the background of Mr flowers, why is the response, it is | :11:58. | :12:08. | |
all smears? There are questions about how Labour failed to deal with | :12:09. | :12:11. | |
the deficit and how it hasn't done anything to support the welfare | :12:12. | :12:15. | |
changes, but there is nothing about that. Let us -- lets: To the wider | :12:16. | :12:24. | |
picture of the Co-operative Bank. Labour wanted the Co-op to take over | :12:25. | :12:32. | |
the Britannia Building Society, and it was a disaster. Do you accept | :12:33. | :12:37. | |
that? The government of the day has to be a part of these discussions | :12:38. | :12:44. | |
for regulatory reason. The government in 2009 - Ed Balls was | :12:45. | :12:49. | |
very pleased... But you supported that decision. There was a later | :12:50. | :12:55. | |
deal, potentially, for the Co-op to buy those Lloyds branches. There was | :12:56. | :13:00. | |
a proper process and it didn't go through just recently. If there had | :13:01. | :13:07. | |
been a proper process back in 2009, would the Britannia deal have gone | :13:08. | :13:14. | |
through? First, you accept that the Tories were in favour of the | :13:15. | :13:19. | |
Britannia take over. Then your Chancellor Osborne went out of his | :13:20. | :13:23. | |
way to facilitate the purchase of the Lloyds branches, even though you | :13:24. | :13:26. | |
had no idea that the Co-op had the management expertise to become a | :13:27. | :13:34. | |
super medium. Correct? The difference is that that deal didn't | :13:35. | :13:40. | |
go through. There was a proper process that took place. Let's look | :13:41. | :13:47. | |
at the process. There was long indications as far back as January | :13:48. | :13:53. | |
2012 that the Co-op, as a direct result of the Britannia take over | :13:54. | :13:58. | |
which you will party supported, was unfit to acquire the Lloyds | :13:59. | :14:02. | |
branches. By January 2012, the Chancellor and the Treasury ignored | :14:03. | :14:09. | |
the warnings. Wide? In 2009, there was political pressure for the | :14:10. | :14:12. | |
Britannia to be brought together. Based on the information available, | :14:13. | :14:16. | |
this was supported, but that process ended up with a very, very | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
problematic takeover of the Britannia. Wind forward to this | :14:21. | :14:26. | |
year, and when the same types of issues were being looked at for the | :14:27. | :14:29. | |
purchase of the Lloyds deal, the proper process was followed, this | :14:30. | :14:34. | |
time with us in government, and that purchase didn't go through. It is | :14:35. | :14:38. | |
important that the proper process is followed, and when it was, it | :14:39. | :14:41. | |
transpired that the deal wasn't going to be done. But it was the | :14:42. | :14:51. | |
Treasury and the Chancellor who were the cheerleaders for the acquisition | :14:52. | :14:56. | |
of the Lloyds branches. But there was a warning that the Co-op did not | :14:57. | :14:59. | |
have enough capital on its balance sheet to make those acquisitions, | :15:00. | :15:03. | |
but instead of heeding those warnings, your people went to | :15:04. | :15:09. | |
Brussels to lobby for the requirements to be relaxed - why on | :15:10. | :15:14. | |
earth did you do that? Our Chancellor went to argue for all of | :15:15. | :15:18. | |
Rajesh banking, not specifically for the Co-op. He was arguing for the | :15:19. | :15:22. | |
mutuals to be given a special ruling. The idea was to make sure | :15:23. | :15:28. | |
that every bank in Britain could have a better deal, particularly the | :15:29. | :15:33. | |
mutuals, as you say. That is a proper thing for the Chancellor to | :15:34. | :15:37. | |
be doing. We could go round in circles here, but in the end, there | :15:38. | :15:41. | |
was not a takeover of the Lloyds branches, that is because we | :15:42. | :15:45. | |
followed a proper process. Had that same rigorous process been followed | :15:46. | :15:50. | |
in 2009, the legitimate question to ask is whether the Co-op would have | :15:51. | :15:54. | |
been -- would have taken over the Britannia. That is a proper question | :15:55. | :15:58. | |
to ask. It is no good to have the leader of the opposition say, as | :15:59. | :16:02. | |
soon as you ask any of these questions about anything where there | :16:03. | :16:05. | |
is a problem for them, they come back with, oh, this is all smears. | :16:06. | :16:10. | |
There are questions to ask about what the Labour government did, the | :16:11. | :16:13. | |
debt and the deficit they left the country with, the way they stopped | :16:14. | :16:19. | |
work from paying in this country. The big question your government has | :16:20. | :16:23. | |
two answer is, why, by July 2012, when it was clear there was a black | :16:24. | :16:27. | |
hole in the Co-op's balance sheet, your government re-confirmed the | :16:28. | :16:32. | |
Co-op as the preferred bidder for Lloyds - why would you do that? | :16:33. | :16:37. | |
Well, look, the good thing is, we can discuss this until the cows come | :16:38. | :16:41. | |
home, but there is going to be a proper, full investigation, so we | :16:42. | :16:45. | |
will find out what happened, all the way back. So, we will be able to get | :16:46. | :16:50. | |
to the bottom of all of this. Grant Shapps, the only reason the Lloyds | :16:51. | :16:54. | |
deal did not go ahead was, despite the Treasury cheerleading, when | :16:55. | :17:00. | |
Lloyds began its due diligence, it found that there was indeed a huge | :17:01. | :17:02. | |
black hole in the balance sheet and that the Co-op was not fit to take | :17:03. | :17:08. | |
over its branches. That wasn't you, it wasn't the Government, it was not | :17:09. | :17:13. | |
the Chancellor, it was Lloyds. You were still cheerleading for the deal | :17:14. | :17:19. | |
to go ahead... Well, as I say, a proper process was followed, which | :17:20. | :17:23. | |
did not result in the purchase of the Lloyds branches. At that proper | :17:24. | :17:27. | |
process been followed with the purchase of the Britannia, under the | :17:28. | :17:32. | |
previous government... Which you supported. Yes, but it may well be | :17:33. | :17:37. | |
that under that previous deal, there was a excess political pressure | :17:38. | :17:40. | |
perhaps put on in order to create that merger, which proved so | :17:41. | :17:49. | |
disastrous. The Tories facilitated it, Grant Shapps, they allowed it to | :17:50. | :17:54. | |
go ahead. I have said, we are going to have a proper, independent | :17:55. | :17:58. | |
review. What I cannot understand is, when you announce a robber, | :17:59. | :18:02. | |
independent review, the response you get to these serious questions. The | :18:03. | :18:09. | |
response is, oh, this is a smear. It is crazy. We are trying to answer | :18:10. | :18:14. | |
the big questions for this country. We have done all of that, and we are | :18:15. | :18:24. | |
out of time. The Reverend Flowers' chairmanship of the Co-op bank was | :18:25. | :18:26. | |
approved by the regulator at the time, which no longer exists. It was | :18:27. | :18:32. | |
swept away by the coalition government in a supposed revolution | :18:33. | :18:35. | |
in regulation. But will its replacement, the Financial Conduct | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
Authority, be different? Adam has been to find out. Come with me for a | :18:40. | :18:48. | |
spin around the Square mile to find out how we regulate our financial | :18:49. | :18:53. | |
sector, which is almost five times bigger than the country's entire | :18:54. | :18:57. | |
annual income. First, let's pick up our guide, journalist Iain Martin, | :18:58. | :19:03. | |
who has just written a book about what went so wrong during the | :19:04. | :19:09. | |
financial crisis. The FSA was an agency which was established to | :19:10. | :19:11. | |
supervise the banks on a day-to-day basis. The Bank of England was | :19:12. | :19:16. | |
supposed to have overall responsible at for this to Bolivia the financial | :19:17. | :19:19. | |
system and the Treasury was supposed to take an interest in all of these | :19:20. | :19:24. | |
things. The disaster was that it was not anyone's call responsibility, or | :19:25. | :19:30. | |
main day job, to stay alert as to whether or not the banking system as | :19:31. | :19:33. | |
a whole was being run in a safe manner. And so this April, a new | :19:34. | :19:37. | |
system was set up to police the City. Most of the responsibly delays | :19:38. | :19:47. | |
here, with the Bank of England, and its new Prudential Regulation | :19:48. | :19:50. | |
Authority. And the Financial Services Authority has been replaced | :19:51. | :19:54. | |
with the new Financial Conduct Authority. Can we go to the | :19:55. | :20:00. | |
financial conduct authority, please? Canary Wharf, thank you. Here, it is | :20:01. | :20:05. | |
all about whether the people in financial services are playing by | :20:06. | :20:08. | |
the rules, in particular, how they treat their customers. This place | :20:09. | :20:13. | |
has got new powers, like the ability to ban products it does not like, a | :20:14. | :20:17. | |
new mandate to promote competition in the market, the concept being, | :20:18. | :20:21. | |
more competition means a better market, plus the idea that a new | :20:22. | :20:26. | |
organisation rings a whole new culture. Although these are the old | :20:27. | :20:33. | |
offices of the FSA, so maybe not quite so new after all. It has also | :20:34. | :20:38. | |
inherited the case of the Co-op bank and its disgraced former chairman | :20:39. | :20:42. | |
the Reverend Paul Flowers. The SCA will be part of the investigation | :20:43. | :20:45. | |
into what happened, which will probably involve looking at its own | :20:46. | :20:50. | |
conduct. One member of the Parliamentary commission into | :20:51. | :20:54. | |
banking wonders whether the new regulator, and its new boss, are up | :20:55. | :20:59. | |
to it. I have always said, it is not the architecture which is the issue, | :21:00. | :21:04. | |
it is the powers that the regulator has, and today, it does not seem to | :21:05. | :21:08. | |
me as if there is any increase in that. And with the unfolding scandal | :21:09. | :21:14. | |
at the Co-op, it feels like the new architecture for regulating the City | :21:15. | :21:21. | |
is now facing its first big test. And the chief executive of the | :21:22. | :21:24. | |
Financial Conduct Authority, the SCA, Martin Wheatley, joins me now. | :21:25. | :21:30. | |
Welcome to The Sunday Politics. The failure of bank regulation was one | :21:31. | :21:33. | |
of the clearest lessons of the crash in 2008, and yet two years later, in | :21:34. | :21:39. | |
2010, Paul Flowers is allowed to become chairman of the Co-op - why | :21:40. | :21:45. | |
have we still not got the regulation right? We have made a lot of changes | :21:46. | :21:49. | |
since then. We have created a new regulator, as you know. At the time, | :21:50. | :21:53. | |
we still had a process which allowed somebody to be appointed to a bank | :21:54. | :21:57. | |
and they would go through a challenge, but in the case of Paul | :21:58. | :22:01. | |
Flowers, there was no need for an additional challenge when he was | :22:02. | :22:03. | |
appointed to chairman, because he was already on the board. But going | :22:04. | :22:10. | |
from being on the board to becoming chairman, that is a big jump, and he | :22:11. | :22:15. | |
only had one interview? That is why today, it would be different. But | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
the truth is, that was the system at the time, the system which the FSA | :22:20. | :22:24. | |
operated. He was challenged, we did challenge him, and we said, you do | :22:25. | :22:28. | |
not have the right experience, but at the time, we would not have | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
opposed the appointment. What we needed was additional representation | :22:33. | :22:35. | |
of the board of people who did have banking experience. You can say that | :22:36. | :22:40. | |
that was then and this is now, but up until April of this year, it was | :22:41. | :22:45. | |
still the plan for the Co-op, under Mr Flowers, and despite being | :22:46. | :22:48. | |
seriously wounded by the Britannia takeover, to take on 632 Lloyds | :22:49. | :22:54. | |
branches. That was the Co-op's plan. They needed to pass our test | :22:55. | :22:58. | |
as to whether we thought they were fit to do that, and frankly, they | :22:59. | :23:02. | |
never passed that test. It was not the regulator that stopped them? It | :23:03. | :23:07. | |
was. We were constantly pushing back, saying, you have not got the | :23:08. | :23:11. | |
capital, you have no got the systems, and ultimately, they | :23:12. | :23:13. | |
withdrew, when they could not answer our questions. You were asking the | :23:14. | :23:19. | |
right questions, I accept that, but all of the time, the politicians on | :23:20. | :23:24. | |
all sides, they were pushing for it to happen, and I cannot find | :23:25. | :23:28. | |
anywhere where the regulator said, look, this is just not going to | :23:29. | :23:34. | |
happen. I cannot comment on what the politicians were doing, but I | :23:35. | :23:37. | |
continue what we were doing, which was constantly asking the Co-op, | :23:38. | :23:40. | |
have you got the systems in place, have you got the people, have you | :23:41. | :23:45. | |
got the capital? And they didn't. But it only came to a head when | :23:46. | :23:48. | |
Lloyds started its own due diligence on the bank, and they discovered | :23:49. | :23:52. | |
that it was impossible for them to take over the branches, it was not | :23:53. | :23:57. | |
the regulator... In fairness, what we do is ask the questions, can you | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
do this deal? And we kept pushing back, and we never frankly got | :24:03. | :24:06. | |
delivered a business plan which we were happy to approve. Is the SCA | :24:07. | :24:13. | |
going to launch its own inquiry into what happened? -- the FCA. The | :24:14. | :24:24. | |
Chancellor has announced what will be a very broad inquiry. There are a | :24:25. | :24:28. | |
number of specifics which we will be able to look at, relating to events | :24:29. | :24:34. | |
over the last five years. Could there be a police investigation? I | :24:35. | :24:38. | |
think the police have already announced an investigation. I am | :24:39. | :24:42. | |
talking about into the handling of the bank. It depends. There might | :24:43. | :24:46. | |
be, if there is grim low activity, which we do not know yet. You worked | :24:47. | :24:55. | |
at the FS eight, didn't you? I did. Some of those people who were signed | :24:56. | :25:02. | |
off on the speedy promotion of Mr Flowers, are they now working | :25:03. | :25:08. | |
there? Yes, we have some. I came to join the Financial Services | :25:09. | :25:11. | |
Authority, to lead it into the creation of the new body, the SCA. | :25:12. | :25:17. | |
We had people who were challenging and they did the job. There was not | :25:18. | :25:27. | |
a requirement to approve the role as chairman. There was not even a | :25:28. | :25:31. | |
requirement to interview at that stage. What we did do was to require | :25:32. | :25:36. | |
that he was interviewed, and that the Co-op should get additional | :25:37. | :25:48. | |
experience. One of the people from the old organisation, who signed up | :25:49. | :25:52. | |
on the promotion of Mr Flowers to become chairman is now a | :25:53. | :25:55. | |
nonexecutive director of the Co-op, so how does that work? Welcome he | :25:56. | :26:03. | |
was a senior adviser to our organisation, one of the people who | :26:04. | :26:06. | |
made the challenges, and who said, you need more experience on your | :26:07. | :26:11. | |
board. Subsequently he then went and joined the board. Surely that should | :26:12. | :26:15. | |
not be allowed, the regulator and the regulated should not be like | :26:16. | :26:20. | |
that. Well clearly, you need protection, but we have got to get | :26:21. | :26:24. | |
good people in, and frankly, we want the industry to have good people in | :26:25. | :26:28. | |
the industry, so there will be some movement between the regulator and | :26:29. | :26:33. | |
industry. We all wonder whether you have the power or even the | :26:34. | :26:36. | |
confidence to stand up if you look at all of the really bad bank | :26:37. | :26:39. | |
decisions recently, politicians were behind them. It was Gordon Brown who | :26:40. | :26:44. | |
pushed the disastrous merger of Lloyds and RBS. It was Alex Salmond | :26:45. | :26:49. | |
who egged on RBS to buy the world. All three main parties wanted the | :26:50. | :26:54. | |
Co-op to buy Britannia, even though they did not know the debt it would | :26:55. | :26:58. | |
inherit, and all three wanted the Co-op to buy the Lloyds branches - | :26:59. | :27:01. | |
how do you as a regulator stand up to that little concert party? Well, | :27:02. | :27:07. | |
that political pressure exists, our job at the end of the day is to do a | :27:08. | :27:11. | |
relatively technical job and say, does it stack up? And it didn't, and | :27:12. | :27:16. | |
we made that point time and time again to the Co-op board. They did | :27:17. | :27:19. | |
not have a business case that we could approve. The bodies on left | :27:20. | :27:23. | |
and right -- the politicians on left and right gave the Co-op special | :27:24. | :27:30. | |
support. They may have done, but that was not you have made a warning | :27:31. | :27:35. | |
about these payday lenders, but I that was not you have made a warning | :27:36. | :27:39. | |
think what most people would like to see is a limit put on the interest | :27:40. | :27:42. | |
they can charge over a period of time - will you do that? We have got | :27:43. | :27:47. | |
a whole set of powers for payday lenders. We will bring in some | :27:48. | :27:52. | |
changes from April next year, and we will bring in further changes as we | :27:53. | :27:56. | |
see necessary. Will you put a limit on the interest they can charge? | :27:57. | :28:00. | |
That is something we can study. You do not sound too keen on it? Well, | :28:01. | :28:05. | |
there are a lot of changes we need to make. One change is limiting | :28:06. | :28:10. | |
rollovers, limiting the use of continuous payment authorities. | :28:11. | :28:12. | |
Simply jumping to one trigger would be a mistake. Finally, an issue | :28:13. | :28:18. | |
which I think is becoming a growing concern, because the Government is | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
thinking of subsidising them, 95% mortgages are back - should we not | :28:23. | :28:26. | |
be worried about that? I think we should if the market has the same | :28:27. | :28:32. | |
experiences that we had back in 2007 - oh wait. We are bringing a | :28:33. | :28:37. | |
comprehensive package in under our mortgage market review, which will | :28:38. | :28:42. | |
change how people lend and will put affordability back at the heart of | :28:43. | :28:52. | |
lending decisions. -- 2007-08. You have not had your first big | :28:53. | :28:55. | |
challenge yet, have you? We have many challenges. | :28:56. | :29:01. | |
It was once called the battle of the mods and the rockers - the fight | :29:02. | :29:06. | |
between David Cameron-style modernisers and old-style | :29:07. | :29:08. | |
traditional Tories for the direction and soul of the Conservative Party. | :29:09. | :29:12. | |
But have the mods given up on changing the brand? When David | :29:13. | :29:21. | |
Cameron took over in 2005, he promoted himself as a new Tory | :29:22. | :29:24. | |
leader. He said that hoodies need more love. He was talking about | :29:25. | :29:30. | |
something called the big society. He told his party conference that it | :29:31. | :29:34. | |
was time to that sunshine win the day. There was new emphasis on the | :29:35. | :29:38. | |
environment, and an eye-catching trip to a Norwegian glacier to see | :29:39. | :29:43. | |
first-hand, supposedly, the effects of global warming. This week, party | :29:44. | :29:49. | |
modernise and Nick bone has said that the party is still seen as an | :29:50. | :29:52. | |
old-fashioned monolith and hasn't done enough to improve its appeal. | :29:53. | :30:00. | |
The Tories have put some reforms into practice, such as gay marriage, | :30:01. | :30:06. | |
but they have put more into welfare reform band compassionate | :30:07. | :30:11. | |
conservatism. David Cameron wants talked about leading the greenest | :30:12. | :30:16. | |
government ever. Downing Street says that the quote in the Son is not | :30:17. | :30:25. | |
recognised, get rid of the green crap. At this point in the programme | :30:26. | :30:29. | |
we were expecting to hear from the Energy and Climate Change Minister, | :30:30. | :30:32. | |
Greg Barker. Unfortunately, he has pulled out, with Downing Street | :30:33. | :30:37. | |
saying it's for ""family reasons"". Make of that what you will. However, | :30:38. | :30:43. | |
we won't be deterred. We're still doing the story, and we're joined by | :30:44. | :30:47. | |
our very own mod and rocker - David Skelton of the think-tank Renewal, | :30:48. | :30:52. | |
and Conservative MP Peter Bone. Welcome to you both. I'm glad your | :30:53. | :30:57. | |
family is allowed you to come? David Skelton, getting rid of all the | :30:58. | :31:01. | |
green crap, or words to that effect, that David Cameron has been saying. | :31:02. | :31:06. | |
It is just a sign that Tory modernisation has been quietly | :31:07. | :31:10. | |
buried. I do think that's right. Modernisation is about reaching out | :31:11. | :31:16. | |
to the voters, and the work to do that is now more relevant than ever. | :31:17. | :31:21. | |
We got the biggest swing since 1931, and the thing is we need to do more | :31:22. | :31:27. | |
to reach out to voters in the North. We need to reach out to non-white | :31:28. | :31:33. | |
voters, and show that the concerns of modern Britain and the concerns | :31:34. | :31:39. | |
of ordinary people is something that we share. And what way will racking | :31:40. | :31:42. | |
up electricity bills with green levies get you more votes in the | :31:43. | :31:47. | |
North of England? We have to look at ways to reduce energy bills. | :31:48. | :32:33. | |
The UI happy that the party made gay marriage must a symbol of its | :32:34. | :32:43. | |
modernisation? -- are you happy. David Cameron was recorded as a | :32:44. | :32:52. | |
rebel at one point. It is often said this is a split between old and | :32:53. | :32:57. | |
young, it is actually a split between religious and nonreligious. | :32:58. | :33:01. | |
I think it is a misinterpretation of what happened. Is the modernisation | :33:02. | :33:08. | |
agenda on retreat? Well, what is modernisation? The Tory party is | :33:09. | :33:13. | |
always moving on. Seven years ago, in my part of the world, we got | :33:14. | :33:20. | |
three councillors and the age of 21 elected. Only a few months ago, a | :33:21. | :33:26. | |
25-year-old was chosen to fight Corby for the Conservative Party. | :33:27. | :33:32. | |
The Tory party is moving on. You have found three young people. Hang | :33:33. | :33:40. | |
on a minute. Three in one patch is not bad. What do you say? | :33:41. | :33:46. | |
Modernisation is about broadening our appeal and showing our values | :33:47. | :33:54. | |
are modern and relevant to voters who have not thought about voting | :33:55. | :34:02. | |
for us for decades. Modernisation is about boosting the life chances of | :34:03. | :34:07. | |
the poorest, about better schools in poor areas. Modernisation and Tory | :34:08. | :34:20. | |
party... We have always been for making poor people better. Was | :34:21. | :34:28. | |
Margaret Thatcher moderniser? At the moment, if we were to get all the | :34:29. | :34:38. | |
people who vote for UKIP to vote for us, we would have about 47% of the | :34:39. | :34:44. | |
vote. We have to worry about voters in the North. We need to show that | :34:45. | :34:51. | |
the other party for them. Going on a husky ride is not going to get | :34:52. | :34:55. | |
somebody in Darlington to vote Tory. Adding an EU referendum will | :34:56. | :35:00. | |
get them to vote Tory. We have to reach out, not by some London based | :35:01. | :35:07. | |
in it, you have to broaden the base. -- based in heat. We need something | :35:08. | :35:16. | |
which generally says we are on the side of poor voters, that they want | :35:17. | :35:22. | |
to boost the life chances of the poorest. Do you not think that | :35:23. | :35:26. | |
people who voted UKIP now do not share those aspirations? What they | :35:27. | :35:31. | |
are cross about is that we are not doing enough to cut immigration, we | :35:32. | :35:36. | |
have not got an EU referendum. We have to get the centre-right voting | :35:37. | :35:42. | |
for us again. Do that, and we will have them voting for us. We did not | :35:43. | :35:53. | |
win a majority at the last election because people thought we had not | :35:54. | :35:58. | |
changed enough. People thought we were still a party of the rich. Is | :35:59. | :36:04. | |
that not still the problem? People in the North seat you as a bunch of | :36:05. | :36:11. | |
rich southerners. Which is why we have to do more... You are a bunch | :36:12. | :36:16. | |
of rich southerners. We need to do more to show that we are building on | :36:17. | :36:25. | |
helping the poorest. There is a perception that the leadership is | :36:26. | :36:30. | |
rich, public school educated. I was educated at a public school. -- at a | :36:31. | :36:37. | |
comprehensive school. We have to get more people from state education at | :36:38. | :36:42. | |
the top. But you are going the other way. I think that is fair. And also | :36:43. | :36:55. | |
the modernisers are Porsche. -- posh. Thank you both. It could have | :36:56. | :37:04. | |
gone on for hours. Good morning. Coming up on the | :37:05. | :37:24. | |
programme. Going to the presses. The Government prepares its long-awaited | :37:25. | :37:27. | |
blueprint for independence. The launch dates please -- the launch | :37:28. | :37:35. | |
takes place here in Glasgow. Will it answer the questions of the people | :37:36. | :37:39. | |
in Scotland are asking? What will happen to the health care system. At | :37:40. | :37:46. | |
the moment, we get prescription is. Will the new tax be better or worse | :37:47. | :37:51. | |
for me? We'll be putting those questions and | :37:52. | :37:55. | |
others to the Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon who's here in the | :37:56. | :37:57. | |
studio. And need your history refreshed? The | :37:58. | :38:00. | |
three-minute cartoon taking us through 300 years. | :38:01. | :38:06. | |
It has been billed as the most detailed blueprint for an | :38:07. | :38:09. | |
independent country that has ever been published. Journalists are | :38:10. | :38:13. | |
eager to get their hands on the white paper. One of the details we | :38:14. | :38:20. | |
have is the date of independence, optimistically pencilled in as the | :38:21. | :38:24. | |
24th of March 2016. From the First Minister down we have been promised | :38:25. | :38:29. | |
it will answer all the questions. Cue hearty laughter from sceptical | :38:30. | :38:33. | |
opponents. Andrew Kerr has been to the printer to look at some notes | :38:34. | :38:37. | |
and queries on independence. Somewhere at a secret location, but | :38:38. | :38:41. | |
not this one, 20,000 copies of the White Paper will be printed and | :38:42. | :38:46. | |
bound, all 670 pages of it. You would find something like this would | :38:47. | :38:50. | |
appear on your doorstep at two o'clock in the afternoon, be printed | :38:51. | :38:55. | |
overnight and delivered first thing in the morning. | :38:56. | :38:59. | |
It will be an elegantly written historical documents setting out a | :39:00. | :39:04. | |
blueprint for a new vision of Scotland, for those in favour of | :39:05. | :39:09. | |
independence. For those opposed to independence, it will raise more | :39:10. | :39:19. | |
questions than it can answer. We are talking about the Des campaign. They | :39:20. | :39:25. | |
have been on the back foot. You win referendums on by attacking. He says | :39:26. | :39:32. | |
it needs to deliver a simple message and answer the questions that all | :39:33. | :39:37. | |
the Scottish ministers said it would. Opponents are ready to | :39:38. | :39:47. | |
pounce. I and Daniel Johnson. I am going to vote to keep Scotland in | :39:48. | :39:51. | |
Britain. My question is, would independence make life more | :39:52. | :39:57. | |
conjugated for businesses in Scotland? It will mean two sets of | :39:58. | :40:03. | |
laws, two sets of taxes and currencies. | :40:04. | :40:10. | |
But for those in favour, it is an opportunity to show what an | :40:11. | :40:14. | |
independent Scotland can do. I am voting yes for independence. I | :40:15. | :40:19. | |
run a number of manufacturing businesses in Scotland, England and | :40:20. | :40:26. | |
across Europe. My question is, given Scotland's strong financial position | :40:27. | :40:29. | |
and our strong natural resources, how can we use that to support | :40:30. | :40:35. | |
business, particularly manufacturing business to reverse the decline we | :40:36. | :40:39. | |
have seen in manufacturing as part of the union? | :40:40. | :40:44. | |
Economic growth, jobs and business is said to be at the heart of the | :40:45. | :40:53. | |
paper. I'm David and I am voting yes. Would | :40:54. | :41:01. | |
we still keep the pound, or would we have a different currency? My name | :41:02. | :41:07. | |
is Kirsty and I am voting no. I want the truth about what will happen if | :41:08. | :41:12. | |
we become independent, the truth on the economy. I will be voting no to | :41:13. | :41:18. | |
the Scottish referendum and my question is, what is the situation | :41:19. | :41:24. | |
with border control? I am voting yes in next year's referendum, I would | :41:25. | :41:30. | |
like to see investment in renewable energy. My name is Michael, I am | :41:31. | :41:37. | |
undecided how I will vote. Would we still have the monarchy in an | :41:38. | :41:41. | |
independent Scotland? Well the answer is satisfying | :41:42. | :41:48. | |
opponents? Unlikely. I'm joined here in the studio now by | :41:49. | :41:52. | |
the Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon. | :41:53. | :41:56. | |
Those people who want answers to their questions, they will have to | :41:57. | :42:00. | |
plough through 600s of deep pages to get them? | :42:01. | :42:06. | |
The document will be widely accessible, people can read it cover | :42:07. | :42:13. | |
to cover, or dip in and out for particular issues. This is going to | :42:14. | :42:20. | |
be the most comprehensive, detailed, well researched prospectus for the | :42:21. | :42:25. | |
independence of our country that has ever been published. Is there a | :42:26. | :42:30. | |
danger it will bamboozle people? I do not think so. All of the | :42:31. | :42:38. | |
legitimate questions that have been asked their answered in the White | :42:39. | :42:41. | |
Paper. More than answering questions, it will set the agenda | :42:42. | :42:46. | |
for the remainder of this campaign. It is a positive vision for what an | :42:47. | :42:53. | |
independent Scotland can achieve. My question to the no campaign is where | :42:54. | :42:58. | |
is their equivalent? Project fear comes head to head with Project | :42:59. | :43:06. | |
HOPE. You have set a date for independence day as it were, 18 | :43:07. | :43:11. | |
months after the referendum. Is that enough time to negotiate all of the | :43:12. | :43:19. | |
detail? Yes, I believe it is. When the UK government got James | :43:20. | :43:25. | |
Crawford, and legal expert to write an opinion for them, he said it was | :43:26. | :43:31. | |
realistic. We have also looked a precedent in other countries. That | :43:32. | :43:36. | |
is the average time skill from people opting to be independent. -- | :43:37. | :43:45. | |
timescale. And many other countries have made this journey. In setting | :43:46. | :43:53. | |
out your prospectors, there will be negotiation. You may well have to | :43:54. | :43:59. | |
compromise. What are your headlines when it comes to compromise? | :44:00. | :44:06. | |
Trident? The currency coach Mark -- the currency? The SNP position on | :44:07. | :44:14. | |
Trident is well known, we want to see it removed from Scotland as | :44:15. | :44:18. | |
quickly and safely as that can happen. That is one of the key | :44:19. | :44:25. | |
issues are the heart of this debate. The choice between spending billions | :44:26. | :44:29. | |
of pounds on nuclear weapons that nobody wants, can never be used | :44:30. | :44:34. | |
because it would devastate humanity, or investing those resources in the | :44:35. | :44:40. | |
things that people of Scotland want. What we have set out other | :44:41. | :44:45. | |
reasonable, rational and responsible cases. But you may not get your own | :44:46. | :44:52. | |
way and all of these things? How confident argue that you can get the | :44:53. | :44:57. | |
currency you want? Is there a fallback position? We set out the | :44:58. | :45:02. | |
position that they believe is in the best interests of Scotland, and the | :45:03. | :45:06. | |
best interests of the United Kingdom, the rest of the United | :45:07. | :45:14. | |
Kingdom. Scotland is the second biggest... Our exports make a | :45:15. | :45:28. | |
substantial contribution to the UK balance of payments, they will not | :45:29. | :45:33. | |
want to lose that. This issue about assets and liability, they have to | :45:34. | :45:38. | |
be taken as two sides of the same coin. The pound is as much | :45:39. | :45:43. | |
Scotland's as the rest of the UK. If the UK government want Scotland to | :45:44. | :45:48. | |
take responsibility for its share of the debt, they have to accept the | :45:49. | :45:52. | |
responsibility of sharing of assets. But you cannot guarantee this? There | :45:53. | :46:00. | |
are two categories of policy choices in the White Paper. The things that | :46:01. | :46:10. | |
will be negotiated, that current Scottish government will be leading | :46:11. | :46:14. | |
those negotiations, and these matters on currency and the European | :46:15. | :46:19. | |
Union will form the starting point of an independent Scotland. But | :46:20. | :46:23. | |
there is no guarantee on the currency. Wouldn't a sensible | :46:24. | :46:27. | |
position be to have a fallback? We will be in a currency union because | :46:28. | :46:32. | |
it is in the best interests of Scotland and the UK. Alistair | :46:33. | :46:39. | |
Carmichael said we would not be able to watch Doctor Who in an | :46:40. | :46:43. | |
independent Scotland. The real campaign entirely approach -- the no | :46:44. | :46:49. | |
campaign's entire approach is to make people frightened. But is the | :46:50. | :47:00. | |
low fallback position? The key point is that a currency union is | :47:01. | :47:04. | |
overwhelmingly in the best interests of the UK, so to accept Alistair | :47:05. | :47:09. | |
Carmichael's point you would have to accept that the UK government would | :47:10. | :47:13. | |
argue a position that was against his own interests. That does not | :47:14. | :47:18. | |
make any sense. Your previous White Paper talked about joining the | :47:19. | :47:24. | |
euro. The fiscal commission has done an extensive piece of work on | :47:25. | :47:29. | |
currency options in in an independent Scotland. The best | :47:30. | :47:35. | |
option, they concluded, was to retain sterling. We do not favour | :47:36. | :47:44. | |
going into the euro and we have made that abundantly clear. The other key | :47:45. | :47:49. | |
point that has to be stressed is that there is no way an independent | :47:50. | :47:54. | |
Scotland could be forced into the euro. The conditions for you got | :47:55. | :47:57. | |
membership is voluntary condition. Scotland cannot be forced into the | :47:58. | :48:02. | |
euro and anybody who argues that is being misleading. We are told that | :48:03. | :48:06. | |
the prospectus on Tuesday will tell us what you are likely to offer from | :48:07. | :48:13. | |
the 2016 election in Scotland. Art civil servants join up -- are civil | :48:14. | :48:34. | |
servants join up... Igbo -- it will transfer and it illustrate the way | :48:35. | :48:39. | |
that the Scottish government will choose to make the Scottish people | :48:40. | :48:45. | |
welfare. That is the exciting thing about this debate. We will get the | :48:46. | :48:50. | |
government is that we've fought for. In 2016, I will be campaigning for | :48:51. | :48:56. | |
an SNP government, but the other parties will be able to put forward | :48:57. | :49:01. | |
their position. Scotland will be guaranteed to get the government it | :49:02. | :49:06. | |
votes for, rather than having a Tory government that they did not vote | :49:07. | :49:09. | |
for. That was the Deputy First Minister | :49:10. | :49:13. | |
Nicola Sturgeon. Joining me now live from London is the Scottish | :49:14. | :49:16. | |
Secretary, Alistair Carmichael. We are getting a prospectus of how | :49:17. | :49:22. | |
Scotland would evolve through the rest of this decade. RB going to get | :49:23. | :49:28. | |
a similar prospectus from you? You have been getting this for months as | :49:29. | :49:32. | |
part of the positive case of Scotland remaining part of the | :49:33. | :49:37. | |
United Kingdom. We have published a series of analysis papers, | :49:38. | :49:44. | |
exceptionally well researched. But you are not telling us what will | :49:45. | :49:50. | |
happen to mark you are not allowed to characterise what has been a | :49:51. | :49:54. | |
substantial piece of work which has outlined a very positive benefits | :49:55. | :49:58. | |
that come to Scotland from being part of the United Kingdom. | :49:59. | :50:05. | |
Recently, the tremendous amount of money that comes to Scotland to go | :50:06. | :50:13. | |
into research in our universities. That is part of the benefit that | :50:14. | :50:18. | |
they get from being part of the United Kingdom. There will be no | :50:19. | :50:33. | |
action on the Barnett formula until the economy has stabilised. But | :50:34. | :50:42. | |
there is a campaign, local government chiefs in England are | :50:43. | :50:47. | |
pushing the UK Treasury to snap the Barnett formula. Do you anticipate a | :50:48. | :50:53. | |
position where Scotland may get less money further down the line? I can | :50:54. | :50:59. | |
only tell you that for the first see above future the Barnett formula | :51:00. | :51:08. | |
remains. -- foreseeable future. The simplest way of getting rid of it is | :51:09. | :51:12. | |
to vote yes and for Scotland to become an independent nation because | :51:13. | :51:15. | |
that is the end of the Barnett formula. Do you think the formula is | :51:16. | :51:23. | |
too generous to Scotland? I think it has served the UK very well for a | :51:24. | :51:28. | |
long time. It has evolved in that, we know, will continue to evolve, | :51:29. | :51:32. | |
and unless there is something that is demonstrably wet are able to | :51:33. | :51:37. | |
serve that purpose it stays. -- better able. The Chancellor has said | :51:38. | :51:46. | |
that posterity will continue for some time. The ISS said that the UK | :51:47. | :51:55. | |
will be running a deficit for many years. -- the IFS. In order to get | :51:56. | :52:08. | |
to the same point we are in in the UK then taxes would have to go up | :52:09. | :52:12. | |
and cuts would have to go beyond what we have already seen. Is it | :52:13. | :52:20. | |
still your position that a currency union post independence is | :52:21. | :52:24. | |
unworkable? Is that a political or economic position? If Scotland walks | :52:25. | :52:35. | |
away from the UK it walks away from the pound. Why would an independent | :52:36. | :52:43. | |
Scotland want to enter into a currency union where they had | :52:44. | :52:46. | |
subcontracted their ability to set interests rates and so on? What is | :52:47. | :52:54. | |
in it for the rest of the UK to put themselves forward as the last | :52:55. | :53:01. | |
resort for banks over which they have no control? Currency unions are | :53:02. | :53:06. | |
very difficult to make work. You see that in the Eurozone, they rely on | :53:07. | :53:11. | |
fiscal and Lettergull integration. Independence is is about political | :53:12. | :53:24. | |
disintegration. Carl Wingrove -- car when Jones came to Edinburgh to say | :53:25. | :53:39. | |
exactly that. -- Carwyn. In the event of a currency union not | :53:40. | :53:44. | |
happening, what will be the plan be? People in Scotland want to know. | :53:45. | :53:52. | |
Would a yes vote not be an endorsement of the decisions the | :53:53. | :53:54. | |
Scottish Government have put into their White Paper? Is it not | :53:55. | :53:59. | |
incumbent on you and other politicians to make that work? If | :54:00. | :54:05. | |
there is a yes vote I am not going to be part of the negotiation | :54:06. | :54:09. | |
because as a Scottish Member of Parliament I will not be determining | :54:10. | :54:13. | |
what the negotiating position will be for the remainder of the UK. You | :54:14. | :54:17. | |
can't possibly expect that to be the case. You would expect ministers in | :54:18. | :54:23. | |
Westminster to our -- to negotiate in good faith. What the Scottish | :54:24. | :54:33. | |
Government have to be honest about is to acknowledge those issues over | :54:34. | :54:37. | |
which they have control, such as the future shape of health care or | :54:38. | :54:43. | |
whatever. And those issues on which they can only express and | :54:44. | :54:46. | |
aspiration. Currency union is one, NATO membership. Once there is a | :54:47. | :54:57. | |
negotiation nothing is guaranteed. A negotiation has to produce something | :54:58. | :55:01. | |
workable for both sides. You can't just say that because the Scottish | :55:02. | :55:05. | |
Government have put it in their White Paper that it is necessarily | :55:06. | :55:09. | |
going to happen. That is not how negotiation works. You mentioned the | :55:10. | :55:15. | |
new year. Can you give a guarantee that by the end of the decade the UK | :55:16. | :55:25. | |
will still be in the U -- the EU? I don't think we can give a | :55:26. | :55:29. | |
guarantee, any more than the Scottish Government can. As long as | :55:30. | :55:34. | |
Scotland is part of the UK then this trend -- the case for keeping the UK | :55:35. | :55:39. | |
as part of the European Union is strengthened. If Scotland walks away | :55:40. | :55:44. | |
from the UK then it walks away from things like European Union | :55:45. | :55:48. | |
membership. She would have to negotiate her way back in. There are | :55:49. | :55:54. | |
other countries in Europe who have interests for there own domestic | :55:55. | :56:00. | |
reasons for making that difficult. Alistair Carmichael, thank you for | :56:01. | :56:05. | |
joining us. Brian Taylor has been listening to | :56:06. | :56:09. | |
Nicola Sturgeon and Alistair Carmichael and joins us live. 670 | :56:10. | :56:16. | |
pages, is this to silence the critics of the yes campaign who say | :56:17. | :56:22. | |
they have been vague? Yes, they could have gone for a slim volume | :56:23. | :56:25. | |
but they have gone for one which sets out what they believe is all of | :56:26. | :56:31. | |
the detail. The final section of that, 150 pages, will be a question | :56:32. | :56:40. | |
and answer section, with all of the questions they have had from members | :56:41. | :56:44. | |
of the public. Will those answers satisfy everybody? That is a | :56:45. | :56:50. | |
different question. One of the fundamental elements of the debate | :56:51. | :56:54. | |
is that first of all there can be no guarantees about an independent | :56:55. | :56:56. | |
Scotland but also you heard the point about the European Union, | :56:57. | :57:00. | |
there can be no guarantees generally with regard to politics and life in | :57:01. | :57:07. | |
these troubled times. That is a challenge for those who are | :57:08. | :57:11. | |
advocating change, but on the one hand the other side only have to | :57:12. | :57:25. | |
offer continuation. When we look at the detail contained in this, which | :57:26. | :57:29. | |
areas are likely to come under most scrutiny? The economy is the issue | :57:30. | :57:40. | |
that will determine this. At a time of uncertainty, as we are at the | :57:41. | :57:43. | |
moment, people require reassurance, some form of their concerns being | :57:44. | :57:55. | |
assuaged. That is why I think there will be considerable detail on | :57:56. | :57:58. | |
welfare and pensions, provision for childcare, etc. Do you think the | :57:59. | :58:07. | |
better together campaign will come up with anything new as a result of | :58:08. | :58:13. | |
this? They will be sticking with their themes, not to be pejorative. | :58:14. | :58:21. | |
In some ways the basic questions and answers, basic concerns are fairly | :58:22. | :58:26. | |
well-known in this referendum, it is simply a question of expounding them | :58:27. | :58:33. | |
so people absorb them. An intriguing aspect is the nature of the White | :58:34. | :58:42. | |
Paper, philosophical as well as pragmatic. A Labour Secretary of | :58:43. | :58:49. | |
State set up proposals to be decided by a Labour government. Alex Salmond | :58:50. | :58:55. | |
says the White Paper is a prospectus. They are entitled if | :58:56. | :58:58. | |
there is a mandate from the people to see that delivered in concert | :58:59. | :59:03. | |
with the UK Government. The UK Government say it is a wish list, a | :59:04. | :59:09. | |
starting point for negotiations. Even if there is a yes vote they say | :59:10. | :59:15. | |
that they are not entitled to have that currency zone. It sounds like | :59:16. | :59:19. | |
anything real argument but it is actually the core of the debate | :59:20. | :59:21. | |
about how and whether the white vapour will be put into practice. -- | :59:22. | :59:31. | |
the White Paper. How much detail are we really going to get next year? | :59:32. | :59:38. | |
Each of the main opposition parties at Holyrood, they have commission is | :59:39. | :59:45. | |
looking at this in terms of what powers for Holyrood. Do I think | :59:46. | :59:55. | |
there will be a single coherent -- alternative to Westminster? I don't | :59:56. | :59:59. | |
think so. But I think they will find a common point in some way, perhaps | :00:00. | :00:04. | |
the idea of a convention post-referendum that will say, | :00:05. | :00:08. | |
change there will be, without giving every single detail. Perhaps giving | :00:09. | :00:18. | |
more tax powers as a counterpoint to independence. Thank you very much. | :00:19. | :00:25. | |
With what we hear is well over 600 pages of information, we may end up | :00:26. | :00:30. | |
with little time for reflection on how we reached this landmark on the | :00:31. | :00:34. | |
road to referendum. Here is a quick reminder of the story so far. | :00:35. | :00:45. | |
Why are we going round in circles? We are trying to find a way to | :00:46. | :00:50. | |
Scotland's future. Just around the next bend in the road, Scots get a | :00:51. | :00:56. | |
vote on who runs the country. We know who runs the country, the | :00:57. | :01:01. | |
bankers. No, it is a vote on who makes the laws and gets to decide | :01:02. | :01:06. | |
who -- how the government's money is spent. We already decide how to do | :01:07. | :01:12. | |
that. Yes, but many of the big decisions, like going to war, are | :01:13. | :01:18. | |
made in London. What happens if the Scots don't agree with the English | :01:19. | :01:24. | |
or the Welsh? The ones who have the most votes get their way. What is | :01:25. | :01:30. | |
all this about change now? Where to start? How about the ancient Picts | :01:31. | :01:38. | |
keeping the Romans away? Perhaps more recently. 700 years ago we sent | :01:39. | :01:48. | |
them home to think again. How about 1707, when the Scottish Parliament | :01:49. | :01:52. | |
voted the former union with England to popular acclaim. That is not what | :01:53. | :02:00. | |
I remember from history lessons. It all goes into the mix. Some say in | :02:01. | :02:05. | |
the 300 years following the act of union Scotland suffered and many had | :02:06. | :02:09. | |
to leave and Scottish culture was diminished in favour of English. | :02:10. | :02:14. | |
Others point out that the Scots did rather well out of the empire. Some | :02:15. | :02:19. | |
fought for it, others administered it, some made a pile of cash out of | :02:20. | :02:24. | |
trading with it. We are running out of time and you have not mentioned | :02:25. | :02:30. | |
Alex Salmond or the SNP. The Lilly 50 years it grew from being a small | :02:31. | :02:35. | |
band of others and sisters to one of -- to winning a few political | :02:36. | :02:42. | |
skirmishes. They got a 1967 by-election breakthrough. All the | :02:43. | :02:47. | |
while, Scots' sense of there own identity was picking up. In 1999 the | :02:48. | :02:52. | |
Scottish Parliament was created and Donald Dewar became its first first | :02:53. | :02:58. | |
Minister. In 2007, led by Alex Salmond, the SNP claimed victory in | :02:59. | :03:02. | |
the Scottish Parliament for the first time. If we wanted | :03:03. | :03:07. | |
independence, why not voted -- vote on it? Or though they were the | :03:08. | :03:11. | |
largest party they did not have enough seats to win a vote for a | :03:12. | :03:19. | |
referendum. -- or though. Alex Salmond said he did not want a | :03:20. | :03:25. | |
referendum immediately. He has decided on 24 March 2016. Does he | :03:26. | :03:30. | |
need time to make the case for a yes vote? Maybe he thought the economy | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
would be sorted out by then. He wanted to make sure the referendum | :03:36. | :03:42. | |
is legally watertight. So there is agreement on independence? Far from | :03:43. | :03:50. | |
it, Westminster and Holyrood have agreed on how the Scots would run | :03:51. | :03:54. | |
their affairs. Have the Scots agreed on that? We will find out on 24 | :03:55. | :04:00. | |
March 2016. That is the point of the vote, remember? | :04:01. | :04:05. | |
You are watching Sunday Politics Scotland, let's cross for the news | :04:06. | :04:12. | |
from Reporting Scotland. Good afternoon. 24 March 2016 will | :04:13. | :04:19. | |
be the day Scotland becomes independent if there is a yes vote. | :04:20. | :04:25. | |
The White Paper will soon be printed before publication on Tuesday. | :04:26. | :04:29. | |
Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said if it came -- said | :04:30. | :04:40. | |
they would the currency union but Alistair Carmichael said it would be | :04:41. | :04:43. | |
unworkable. Falkirk Labour party is set to elect | :04:44. | :04:48. | |
a new chair. It is believed Stephen Deans will not stand for re-election | :04:49. | :04:53. | |
when the post is contested. He is a Unite union convener who was accused | :04:54. | :04:57. | |
of vote rigging in Falkirk and was later cleared. | :04:58. | :05:04. | |
independent if there is a yes vote. Now if you're named David and you | :05:05. | :05:08. | |
live in Aberdeen, you could take part in a record-breaking, | :05:09. | :05:11. | |
carol-singing extravaganza. At three o'clock at the city's Mercat Cross, | :05:12. | :05:15. | |
a David-only choir will sing what else but Once in Royal David's City. | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
Choristers must be at least seven years old. The event will coincide | :05:21. | :05:24. | |
with the Christmas lights switch on. Now let's take a look at the | :05:25. | :05:27. | |
weather, here's Gillian. years old. The event will coincide | :05:28. | :05:30. | |
Another mostly dry afternoon, but a fair degree start to it with | :05:31. | :05:34. | |
freezing fog patches slow to shift, especially around the Glasgow area. | :05:35. | :05:38. | |
The cloud will tend to think and break through the day and there will | :05:39. | :05:43. | |
be some sunshine getting through. It will be called where that -- cold. | :05:44. | :05:54. | |
That's it. Our next update is at 6.20. Back To Gary. Thanks Andrew. | :05:55. | :05:59. | |
Now in a moment, we'll be discussing the big events coming up this week, | :06:00. | :06:04. | |
but first, let's take a look back at the Week in Sixty Seconds. | :06:05. | :06:08. | |
The think tank, Institute for Fiscal Studies, said an independent | :06:09. | :06:12. | |
Scotland would need to cut spending or increase taxes to sustain its | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
finances. Meanwhile the Scottish government published its paper on | :06:16. | :06:18. | |
economic policy choices and independence. It suggested cutting | :06:19. | :06:22. | |
corporation tax to spark a Scottish jobs boom. Welsh First Minister | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
Carwyn Jones said he would veto the creation of a sterling currency zone | :06:27. | :06:31. | |
if Scotland left the UK. If one part decides to leave, that is their | :06:32. | :06:38. | |
decision. The bill legalising same-sex | :06:39. | :06:55. | |
marriage in Scotland passed the first of three hurdles in Parliament | :06:56. | :06:59. | |
in the face of continued opposition from the Church of Scotland and | :07:00. | :07:01. | |
Catholic Church. Prestwick Airport passed into public | :07:02. | :07:04. | |
ownership after the Scottish government bought it for the pound. | :07:05. | :07:08. | |
It is expected to continue to operate as normal with no job | :07:09. | :07:11. | |
losses. It is going to be a busy week in | :07:12. | :07:16. | |
politics. Let's look at that and some of the stories making the | :07:17. | :07:29. | |
headlines today. My guests this week are former Labour MSP Pauline | :07:30. | :07:33. | |
McNeill and Murray Ritchie, who used to be the political editor at the | :07:34. | :07:36. | |
Herald. Several other papers feature the | :07:37. | :07:41. | |
White Paper. 670 pages. The SNP trying to answer all the questions | :07:42. | :07:50. | |
people have? You can download it, you do not have to pay for it? I | :07:51. | :07:58. | |
will try and read it all. But I was hoping for an executive summary? | :07:59. | :08:05. | |
17,000 words. We know that a lot of people have questions and this is an | :08:06. | :08:13. | |
attempt to address them. It is a landmark moment in the referendum | :08:14. | :08:19. | |
debate. Nicola Sturgeon has said this will answer all the questions | :08:20. | :08:25. | |
people have. The problem for the yes campaign is that it will not answer | :08:26. | :08:32. | |
all the questions because there will be a lot of assertions in the White | :08:33. | :08:37. | |
Paper, not the answer is that people are looking for. It may not satisfy | :08:38. | :08:47. | |
people like you who do not supported. It will provide detail | :08:48. | :08:52. | |
which is good and positive for the debate, but whatever your position | :08:53. | :08:56. | |
on the independence referendum, we do know that on key issues like | :08:57. | :09:00. | |
currency, and independent Scotland would not have an agreement, just an | :09:01. | :09:06. | |
assertion that it would be part of the currency. I do think that the -- | :09:07. | :09:19. | |
that we are at a critical point where the arguments will intensify. | :09:20. | :09:25. | |
I think the White Paper will be aimed at those who have not made | :09:26. | :09:31. | |
their minds up. There can be no guarantees, as in life. I think some | :09:32. | :09:43. | |
of the arguments have been fairly settled, such as the one about the | :09:44. | :09:52. | |
European Union, but others can be resolved as well. Carwyn Jones does | :09:53. | :10:04. | |
not have a veto. There is a lot of nonsense being talked on this. The | :10:05. | :10:11. | |
currency is probably the issue which is going to cause the yes campaign | :10:12. | :10:15. | |
the most trouble. Having said that, I think that when the White Paper | :10:16. | :10:23. | |
comes out, we. The -- we. To see the fightback on the yes campaign. I | :10:24. | :10:33. | |
think Alex Salmond's approach is I have not yet begun to fight. Talking | :10:34. | :10:42. | |
about Falkirk, there will be our vote today to elect a new chairman. | :10:43. | :10:50. | |
This has been a real difficulty. Falkirk has had an unfortunate | :10:51. | :10:57. | |
history. Since we're back when Dennis Cameron was not selected as a | :10:58. | :11:06. | |
candidate. I think the Labour Party has to get this sorted out. They | :11:07. | :11:14. | |
have an all women short list there. Some really good candidates. It is | :11:15. | :11:20. | |
up to Scottish Labour to win back the trust of people by sorting what | :11:21. | :11:26. | |
has been happening. There are still questions about what actually | :11:27. | :11:31. | |
happened. We do not know what happened. When you have a scandal, | :11:32. | :11:38. | |
that is bad enough, but when you have a cover-up, which appears to be | :11:39. | :11:44. | |
happening, that is even worse, it is a bigger scandal. Labour have | :11:45. | :11:50. | |
suffered the selection procedure difficulties for as long as I can | :11:51. | :11:57. | |
remember. It happens up and down the country. The need to get it sorted. | :11:58. | :12:05. | |
Ed Miliband is taking a real chance if he is trying to hush it up. We | :12:06. | :12:12. | |
have the date for the Cowdenbeath by-election, to replace Helen Eadie. | :12:13. | :12:18. | |
This will be the second by-election in Fife in three months, how | :12:19. | :12:24. | |
optimistic are you of your party's chances? You cannot take anything | :12:25. | :12:31. | |
for granted in a by-election. We will be working hard to win the | :12:32. | :12:38. | |
trust of people. The sad loss of Helen Eadie, very popular, | :12:39. | :12:45. | |
hard-working person. She left a legacy there, but the approach that | :12:46. | :12:50. | |
Labour will take at any by-election is to put forward its plans for the | :12:51. | :13:01. | |
country. You do not always know what the issues are people will be. In | :13:02. | :13:10. | |
the last by-election, schools became a big issue. Helen Eadie was a | :13:11. | :13:20. | |
popular meat -- popular member. She was a decent person. In these | :13:21. | :13:31. | |
circumstances, I think that Labour would be a very strong position. | :13:32. | :13:37. | |
January is not a good month for campaigning. Yes, and by-elections | :13:38. | :13:50. | |
can be difficult where parties have suffered a scandal, but not this | :13:51. | :13:56. | |
one. And that is it for now. Goodbye. | :13:57. | :13:58. |