13/12/2015 Sunday Politics Scotland


13/12/2015

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After suggestions that David Cameron was diluting his EU negotiation

:00:36.:00:44.

demands, Downing Street insists he's still pushing for curbs to in-work

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But is there any evidence that the rest of Europe is listening?

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Jeremy Corbyn says Stop the War is "one of the most important

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And why all the fuss that he went to its Christmas fundraiser?

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Yvette Cooper - one-time Labour leadership contender -

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says Britain should be doing more for refugees and migrants

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Coming up on Sunday Politics Scotland: This letter tells you that

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from now on a portion of your taxes will go to the Scottish government -

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They'll be tweeting throughout the programme.

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Downing Street insists that David Cameron will still push

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for curbs on in-work benefits for EU migrants in the UK,

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despite earlier briefings to the contrary.

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The Prime Minister will head to a crucial summit later this week

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to make his case for a reformed British relationship with the EU.

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However, several newspapers, citing official guidance,

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report that Mr Cameron has failed to convince other European leaders

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and is already preparing a fallback to replace his original demand

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for a four-year wait for in-work benefits.

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The Sunday Times headline says "Prime Minister 'caves in'

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The Sunday Telegraph describes it as "Cameron's climbdown

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And the Independent on Sunday goes for the same metaphor,

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describing it as "Cameron's big EU climbdown".

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Let's speak now to Conservative MP Peter Lilley.

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He was a Cabinet minister in the Conservative governments

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of both Margaret Thatcher and John Major.

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Welcome to the programme. The Prime Minister is thought by many of your

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colleagues not to be asking for a lot, yet he might not even get what

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he's asking for. Could he sell a watered-down deal to his party? It

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is more a question of whether he can sell whatever comes out of it to the

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country. There are lots of Labour MPs who want to see democratic

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powers returned to this country from the European institutions. That's

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the key issue as far as I'm concerned. He will clearly get some

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things because a lot of this has been pre-negotiated, so he will get

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something to say about removing the phrase ever closer union, something

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to do with benefits, even if actually it is something we could do

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anyway ourselves, like apply a four-year wait to British citizens

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as well as foreigners. There will be something, the question is will it

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be substantial? Will it include a return of powers to this country to

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govern itself? What major powers is he asking to be repatriated?

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Publicly, there doesn't seem to be anything on the list, unless some

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change in relation to free movement of Labour is somewhere up his

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sleeve. I do occasionally hear rumours that he will come back with

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some genuine return of powers, and if he does I will be dancing on the

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rooftops. We have no evidence that's even part of the negotiation. That

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is certainly disappointing, it is rather a strange strategy not to ask

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for the principal thing we want and yet still hope to get it. Because we

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have, over a series of treaties which David Cameron and I voted

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against, conceded a whole lot of powers to Europe beyond what is

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necessary. The trading area requires some common lawmaking, but beyond

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that we concede a lot of powers. We would like to start the process of

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getting those powers back. If we cannot, we will be on a slippery

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slope to creating a single state. The reason we are in the position we

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are, having to renegotiate, is that the countries of the eurozone are on

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the road to creating a single state. There's never been a currency

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without a single state to run it. They are forced, because they have

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created this currency, without a government to make it work. The

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question is can we be outside that process, can removing the opposite

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direction and get powers back, or will we be sucked on the slipstream?

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If we cannot overcome the two doctrines of Europe that everybody

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is heading in the same direction, albeit at different speeds, and

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powers can only ever go to the central institutions and never come

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back to the States, if we cannot break those two doctrines as far as

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Britain is concerned, he will not really have achieved anything. I

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understand all of that. A quick final question, if he comes back

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with even less than he's asking for, would you vote to leave? If he

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doesn't come back with some increase in power to ourselves, I feel for

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the first time in my life I would be voting to leave. I voted to stay in

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1975 but I would be voting to leave in those circumstances.

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Tom, it is turning into a real mess for the Government, is it not? A

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huge mess. There was an exposer yesterday, of the 11pm call every

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night, coordinated with the Downing Street switchboard which the

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ministers have got to tune into. I can only imagine the horror that

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went on last night during the call, which still happens, over the

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headlines this morning. I think what's happened here is the

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four-year ban on migrants' benefit is dead. You think he's just not

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going to get it? It died I would say at least a month ago in the Chatham

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House speech. He said so in his speech saying, here is what I want,

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but by the way I will also accept what you choose to offer me. The

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papers reported the next day that it was dead in the water, so we are

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talking about the choreographing, how it happens and whether the Prime

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Minister himself withdraws it. Or somebody else might put something

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else on the table, doing the PM a favour, to bail him out and say if

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you don't want this how about that. Peter Lilley And, when I said can

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you sell this to your backbenchers comic said it is a problem for the

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other parties too but it is overwhelmingly a problem for the

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Conservatives and if he cannot achieve what is being asked for, I

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would suggest half the Parliamentary party in my not go with him on this.

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It is not the climb-down I would query, but the "big". He needed one

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totemic issue that looked like he was doing something about

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immigration. He couldn't look at the free movement of people or any kind

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of free movement cap. He couldn't tell nostrils any major power he is

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asking to be repatriated. It will be hard to make it look like he has

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come back with something so that people can say OK, that has changed

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my mind. If he gets one in February, can he have the referendum in June?

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I understand the Electoral Commission doesn't like the idea of

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a referendum that would overlap with the elections in May, and the risk

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in September is that we will have another summer migrant crisis and

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that would be a terrible atmosphere for those who want to stay in the

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European Union. There are a lot of hurdles, first you have got to get a

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deal in February that looks like a success. The reason they have done

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what they've done overnight is because it has been dragged down

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into a legal quagmire and David Cameron has got to have a

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conversation with his counterparts to set that entire renegotiation

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back on the right track. I know that some people in Brussels as saying he

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cannot get a deal by February, we will never get a deal, and if it

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slips into 2017 you won't get a deal then either. In June

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there is this tiny window because -- where you could practically hold a

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vote. But then as you say you've got the migrant crisis, which pops up

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over the summer. I'm told that dealing with the flow of migration

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from Turkey will make an enormous difference to the optics of how

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Europe is seen to be able to deal with the migration crisis. Even

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though that doesn't have a huge impact on UK migration from the rest

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of Europe, David Cameron's renegotiation depends on something

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truly out of his control. So you're telling me it depends on the Turks

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now. On Friday night Jeremy Corbyn met up

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with some old friends Nothing unusual in that,

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you might think, but this was a fundraising do

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for Stop The War Coalition, the anti-war protest group that

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Mr Corbyn chaired until his election And, in case you hadn't noticed,

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it caused a bit of a stir. It was the biggest mass

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demonstration in British history. The group that organised it,

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the Stop The War Coalition, had been founded a year or so before

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following the 9/11 attacks and George Bush's declaration

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of war on terror. Around a million people marched

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as Tony Blair prepared to send Among the speakers,

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a backbench Labour MP. Thousands more deaths in Iraq

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will not make things right, it will set off a spiral

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of conflict, of hate, One of the reasons for its success,

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I've always thought, is that everyone was united

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around one single issue. We never got bogged down

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in our political analyses of what we thought about

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Saddam Hussein or what we thought about this dictator or that,

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or how we thought the political We weren't there to offer solutions

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to other people's problems and tell them how we thought it should be,

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we were there to stop our government taking what we considered to be

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a very bad and negative step. But despite the broad support,

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the inner leadership has largely Stop The War's founding member

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and convener Lindsey German was a member of the Socialist

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Workers Party for over 30 years, Her partner, John Rees,

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who's also co-founder of Stop The War and was a leading

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figure in the SWP, he also He sits on the editorial board

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of Counterfire, a political organisation created

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after that SWP split. He also helped start up The People's

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Assembly Against Austerity, Which has been organising

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protests since 2013. He's often sparked controversy,

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reportedly writing in 2006, for example, that socialists should

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unconditionally stand with the oppressed

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against the oppressor, even if the people who run

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the oppressed country are undemocratic and persecute

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minorities, like Saddam Hussein. Andrew Murray was the Stop The War

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coalition chairman from He's a member of the Communist Party

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and chief of staff of In 2014 he spoke at the launch event

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of a campaign called Solidarity With The Antifascist

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Resistance In Ukraine, which supports anti-government

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rebels there. He took back the chairmanship again

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in September this year, taking over from Jeremy Corbyn,

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who'd held the post from 2011 As well as its elected officers,

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Stop The War has patrons including Labour MP Diane Abbott,

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George Galloway, the writer Tariq Ali, and Kamal Majid,

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a founding member of the Stalin Society, formed in 1991

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to defend Stalin and his work. The 2003 protest against the Iraq

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war, which took place here in Hyde Park, was the high point

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of Stop The War. The human rights activist

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Peter Tatchell never played an official role at Stop The War,

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though he has participated But this week he took a very public

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step back and claimed the organisation has

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lost its moral compass. The shortcomings in Stop The War

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are driven by basically about half a dozen people at the top,

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and those views increasingly are not shared by many of their long-time

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grass-roots supporters like me People are turned off

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by the sectarianism, by the selective opposition to war,

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and by the failure to speak out against human rights abuses

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by regimes that happen to be on the receiving end of US

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and British military intervention. Critics like Tatchell have accused

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Stop The War of trying to silence those whose views don't

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fit their own. Nothing will be achieved by trying

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to shout down speakers! This video shows a Stop The War

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official clashing with a protester during a rally about western

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policy in Iran in 2012, This meeting last month caused

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controversy when Syrians in the audience said

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they weren't allowed to speak. There is one reason there is no

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Syrian from this room on the platform and that's

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because they support intervention, and the meeting is

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against intervention. APPLAUSE What's really disturbing

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is the way in which Diane Abbott closed down the meeting rather

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than allow Syrian Democratic left wing and civil society

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activists to speak. It's given the impression

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that she shares the questionable politics of Stop The War

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on the issue of Syria. But Stop The War insists a Syrian

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contributor did ask a question from the floor of that meeting

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and have rubbished the suggestion they support those who Western

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governments oppose. Obviously, you will have seen

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in recent days Stop The War explaining that they were opposed

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to Russian intervention in Syria as well as British intervention,

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so they are evenhanded. The reason I think people may think

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that is because we are a campaign based in Britain and our campaigning

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is obviously overwhelmingly orientated towards changing our own

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Government's policy. Welcome to Islington

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in north London. In there is Jeremy Corbyn's

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constituency office. This building is also home

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to the Stop The War coalition, but it is the figurative proximity

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rather than the literal one that I spoke to a number of Labour MPs

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who voted against air One told me that he wasn't so much

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worried about Stop The War and the influence it may have

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on Jeremy Corbyn and policy, but more that Jeremy Corbyn

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simply shares their views. There's dissent at

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the grass roots too. Stop The War is not

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a Labour Party organisation. and probably continue

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to oppose the Labour Party. I don't believe they hold

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to the values of solidarity, We also spoke to a number of Labour

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MPs who were relaxed We're joined now from Leeds

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by the Labour MP, Richard Burgon. Morning, Andrew. The Communist Party

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of Britain, which has prominent members in stop the war, says

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attacks on stop the war are, quote, members in stop the war, says

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a systemic and vicious propaganda oi offensive designed to obscure

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British imperialism's agenda in conducting the bombing campaign in

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British imperialism's agenda in Syria. Do you agree with that? Well,

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first of all I think I'm in a good Syria. Do you agree with that? Well,

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position to answer some of these questions, pause I've only ever been

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a member of the Labour Party. questions, pause I've only ever been

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joined when I was 15. What I really want to focus on is not the members

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of small political parties who want to focus on is not the members

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be involved in Stop The War Coalition, but the tens of

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thousands, in fact they've got an e-mail list of 150,000 people, many

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of whom are not in e-mail list of 150,000 people, many

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party, many of whom are in the Labour Party. The chairman who has

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taken over from Mr Corbyn is a member of the Communist Party of

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Britain, so what's the answer to my question? I think the attacks on

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stop the war are proxy attacks on Jeremy Corbyn. We haven't had that

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previously. When Charles Kennedy was speaking against the Iraq war, which

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previously. When Charles Kennedy was 2 million people attended, Charles

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Kennedy wasn't attacked for that, and rightly so. But he wasn't a

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member of Stop The War Coalition. He spoke on the stop the war platform.

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But he wasn't a member? I'm not a member, there's a really important

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point here, it is right that people in democratic society express their

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views to MPs, march against things they think are incorrect. I do think

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the line and the leadership of the Stop The War Coalition hasn't

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changed in the 14 years since it was founded. What has changed is that

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Jeremy Corbyn has become leader of the Labour Party, so people in the

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media and elsewhere who wish to attack Jeremy Corbyn are using stop

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the war to do so. Of course it is not just the media, is it? It is not

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even the media. Labour MPses, Tristram Hunt, Stella Creasy, many

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more, they've attacked Stop the War Coalition and Jeremy Corbyn's

:20:09.:20:11.

support for it. I think the majority of Labour members agreed with Jeremy

:20:12.:20:14.

Corbyn on his analysis on whether or not we should agree to David

:20:15.:20:19.

Cameron's proposal to bomb Syria. But what do you say to their

:20:20.:20:23.

criticism of Mr Corbyn's continued association with Stop the War

:20:24.:20:27.

Coalition? I think they are mistaken. I think that stop the war,

:20:28.:20:31.

we've got to look at how stop the war has involved people from right

:20:32.:20:36.

across the political spectrum. When I was on that historical march in

:20:37.:20:41.

2003, there wasn't just the Lib Dem leader speaking but other people I

:20:42.:20:45.

spoke to, Conservative voters, so it is not just 57 varieties of

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Trotskyite groups that are involved. If it were the case it were merelily

:20:50.:20:56.

people on the ultraleft you wouldn't have 150,000 people involved or on

:20:57.:21:00.

the e-mail list. Who is not either a cop thirst, a Trotskyite or a

:21:01.:21:04.

Stalinist? Well, there are plenty of trade unions involved in the lip...

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Among the leadership, the people who lead this, whose names are

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associated with it, who doesn't Paul into that small hard left category?

:21:14.:21:16.

Well, it is a coalition, and that's the point of it. So give me another

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name that doesn't fall into that. Well, I wouldn't even know the full

:21:23.:21:26.

list of people on the board of stop the war, but what I do know is that

:21:27.:21:32.

there are people from trade unions supporting it, trade unions

:21:33.:21:34.

supporting it, probably in terms of the membership of Stop the War

:21:35.:21:38.

Coalition, the biggest composite of that are Labour Party members. But I

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do think this is a distraction of the democratic issue. We can't say

:21:44.:21:47.

that in this country being a member of a Stop the War Coalition

:21:48.:21:51.

campaign, campaigning against military interventions that were

:21:52.:21:54.

proven to be disastrous in Iraq and Libya is wrong. It is part of an

:21:55.:22:01.

open democratic process. People shouldn't be demonised for being

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part of it, or Jeremy Corbyn. I'm not doing that, what I'm trying to

:22:07.:22:10.

do is find out what stop the war really stands for and whether it is

:22:11.:22:14.

right to Jeremy Corbyn and other Labour people should be associated

:22:15.:22:21.

with it. They are had an article titled, Sociopaths United. The

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United States, Britain and their allies are no less sociopathic than

:22:27.:22:30.

the enemies they propose to hunt down. So British security forces are

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on a par with the beheaders, do you agree with that? I certainly don't

:22:36.:22:37.

agree with that. I think there've agree with that? I certainly don't

:22:38.:22:42.

been things published on blogs on the stop the war website which are

:22:43.:22:47.

essential wrong, which I wouldn't agree with and the vast majority of

:22:48.:22:50.

people who are members of the Stop the War Coalition wouldn't agree

:22:51.:22:54.

with. I was reading in the paper this morning that the management of

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the website of the stop the war has changed. If that shows that they are

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going to be more careful to ensure that the content of the website on

:23:03.:23:08.

every occasion mirrorst or reflects, sorry, the view of the leadership of

:23:09.:23:12.

the Stop the War Coalition, then that's a welcome move. Well, it is

:23:13.:23:22.

certainly, if it is such a splendid organisation, it has to delete lots

:23:23.:23:27.

of articles it has published. It blamed the Paris attacks on French

:23:28.:23:37.

policy, claimed that the threat to the Yazidis was largely mythical, in

:23:38.:23:41.

fact force. And published a poem that quotes a well known anti-Semite

:23:42.:23:46.

and Holocaust denier. All of that it has had to take down. Does that

:23:47.:23:49.

sound like a respectable organisation that the Labour Party

:23:50.:23:53.

should be associated with? Well, the views that you've uncovered aren't

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views that I or members of the Stop the War Coalition would agree with.

:23:59.:24:05.

But the big picture is this. In a coalition there are always sorts of

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small numbers of individuals who come out with unacceptable views.

:24:09.:24:11.

But the fact is I'm interested in the democratic point, in the 2

:24:12.:24:15.

million people that marched on 15th February 2003, in the thousands that

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protested against the intervention in Libya and intense the

:24:21.:24:23.

intervention in Syria. I'm not a pacifist but I think that the truth

:24:24.:24:27.

is that the Stop the War Coalition and the ordinary people from vicars

:24:28.:24:31.

to pensioners who marched against the war in Iraq, who marched against

:24:32.:24:36.

the intervention in Libya and have demonstrated against the

:24:37.:24:38.

intervention in Syria, they've got it right. Many of the people

:24:39.:24:41.

attacking Jeremy Corbyn and many of the people attacking the Stop the

:24:42.:24:45.

War Coalition have got it completely wrong. It is a topsy-turvy world we

:24:46.:24:51.

are in when attending Stop the War Coalition events is controversial.

:24:52.:24:53.

We are still pretending that Tony Blair and others got it right in

:24:54.:25:00.

Iraq. We haven't got much time Mr Burgon. Mr Corbyn stuck to his guns

:25:01.:25:05.

and went to the fundraiser. His spin doctor says the Labour Party is now

:25:06.:25:10.

slowly co hearing round Mr Corbyn's views, across a range of issues. Do

:25:11.:25:16.

you agree with that? I do. As I minced earlier, Jeremy Corbyn didn't

:25:17.:25:20.

instruct or order Labour MPs to vote against David Cameron's plan to bomb

:25:21.:25:25.

Syria. He gave them a free vote, and that that was the right thing to do.

:25:26.:25:31.

By a ratio of 2 to 1 Labour MPs agreed with Jeremy Corbyn's

:25:32.:25:36.

analysis, and by 2 to 1 members of the Shadow Cabinet agreed with Mr

:25:37.:25:42.

Corbyn. But on working tax credits, police cuts, issues such as ech

:25:43.:25:50.

attacking George Osborne's failed cuts and privatisationings the vast,

:25:51.:25:55.

of Labour MPs and members, and a lot of the public agree with him.

:25:56.:26:02.

Richard Burgon thank you for joining us and for persevering with the

:26:03.:26:06.

earpiece. I'm glad you stalk with it. Thank you. Take care. Bye.

:26:07.:26:12.

Yvette Cooper came third in the contest to become

:26:13.:26:14.

Her campaign only really came to life back in early September,

:26:15.:26:18.

when she became the first front rank UK politician to call for Britain

:26:19.:26:21.

to take in 10,000 refugees from the Syrian war.

:26:22.:26:23.

Now, in her new role as Chair of Labour's Refugees Taskforce,

:26:24.:26:26.

she's been on a fact-finding visit to the Jungle refugee

:26:27.:26:28.

6,000 people are currently living in what, in most generous terms,

:26:29.:26:43.

Yvette Cooper, a former Shadow Home Secretary,

:26:44.:26:54.

a Labour leadership contender, argued over the summer Britain

:26:55.:26:57.

should take more Syrian asylum seekers than

:26:58.:26:59.

Now a backbencher, she is returned as a guest of citizens UK not

:27:00.:27:06.

to argue we should fling open the doors but that the jungle

:27:07.:27:10.

was a problem nobody has tried to find a solution to.

:27:11.:27:13.

Why do we not have UNHCR here doing proper assessments of everybody?

:27:14.:27:17.

And therefore actually they need to go back through

:27:18.:27:26.

You've got to have a proper process to assess people's refugee status

:27:27.:27:33.

and at the moment that's not happening.

:27:34.:27:40.

That's the real big tragedy of here, the people have got stuck

:27:41.:27:43.

here in these awful conditions and there's no

:27:44.:27:45.

Some would call it hell, that's a little hyperbolic,

:27:46.:27:49.

It's really purgatory, since there's a real sense nobody

:27:50.:27:57.

is going anywhere, unless to climb on board a lorry and illegally

:27:58.:28:00.

And a camp unsuited to summer is preparing for a winter it's

:28:01.:28:05.

There's an argument which says, if you help refugees,

:28:06.:28:10.

then somehow that will create a crisis.

:28:11.:28:12.

No, the crisis is here and now, the crisis is happening.

:28:13.:28:32.

You've got to have a basic humanitarian aid in place.

:28:33.:28:40.

At the Medecins Sans Frontieres clinic on-site, the issue

:28:41.:28:42.

of the conditions and winter is a problem itself.

:28:43.:28:49.

The problem when we see the camp, it's very cold, the hygiene

:28:50.:28:52.

And what happens, the condition...the simple

:28:53.:29:02.

flu passes sometimes in the bronchal...and that's it.

:29:03.:29:10.

There are many women and children - yes, they are outnumbered -

:29:11.:29:15.

but they're housed in two sections of the camp we're not allowed

:29:16.:29:18.

to film in, though clearly some choose to live in other parts

:29:19.:29:21.

of the camp and walk the roads around.

:29:22.:29:25.

in the UK that is worrying some of the volunteers.

:29:26.:29:30.

So, there's a ten-year-old boy separated from his family and just

:29:31.:29:32.

There are eight-year-olds, nine-year-olds, ten-year-olds

:29:33.:29:41.

with family in the UK desperate to look after them,

:29:42.:29:43.

and come here to visit them and bring them things

:29:44.:29:46.

Do you suspect that people back home will see this and their natural

:29:47.:29:56.

humanity will say, "this is awful, that looks really dreadful,

:29:57.:29:58.

we still don't want lots of them to come"?

:29:59.:30:01.

The problem is you look around this and you think,

:30:02.:30:11.

how is this northern Europe, how can this be just a few miles

:30:12.:30:14.

How can this be what is happening in France?

:30:15.:30:18.

Yvette Cooper would be much happier if those minors were taken

:30:19.:30:20.

in with their families, and seems to be singing from a song

:30:21.:30:23.

sheet that says whether we take more refugees, fewer or none,

:30:24.:30:27.

it may well be a pressing question, but that the jungle in Calais

:30:28.:30:30.

Welcome back to the Sunday Politics. Should adults from this can be

:30:31.:30:44.

allowed into Britain? It depends on their circumstances. Most of them

:30:45.:30:49.

should be playing in France for asylum and that I think is what you

:30:50.:30:54.

would expect to happen. Some of them may not be refugees, some of them

:30:55.:31:00.

may have safe homes to go to and should do so. Clearly there's a lot

:31:01.:31:05.

of people there who have fled Syria, Afghanistan, who we know are fleeing

:31:06.:31:10.

conflict and persecution. There's a question about the children. We saw

:31:11.:31:17.

unaccompanied children. There are people traffickers, some cases where

:31:18.:31:22.

aid workers said they had families in Britain we were trying to reach.

:31:23.:31:28.

For example I spoke to a 15-year-old whose brother, his nearest relative

:31:29.:31:32.

is in Britain and he wants to join him. That's why he is in Calais.

:31:33.:31:39.

Should we let them in? We should have a process for him to be able to

:31:40.:31:44.

apply. We should be providing that sanctuary. I understand the children

:31:45.:31:52.

issue but I'm still not quite clear what your attitude is towards the

:31:53.:31:56.

adults there. Although a lot of people in this camp may have started

:31:57.:32:02.

as refugees, they are now in France. They are not in immediate danger of

:32:03.:32:06.

their lives so they now want to come to the UK because they think

:32:07.:32:11.

economic prospects are better here than in France. That makes their

:32:12.:32:16.

role economic migrants now. That's not the reality. They have no safe

:32:17.:32:22.

home at the moment, and I agree they should be playing right now and they

:32:23.:32:26.

should be assessed where they are. The French authorities should be

:32:27.:32:33.

doing a full assessment. So why are they not in there? Good question.

:32:34.:32:38.

Why are we leaving people in such awful conditions? If the French

:32:39.:32:43.

authorities cannot, we should get the UNHCR to come in and do a full

:32:44.:32:49.

assessment. There will also be people, I spoke for example to a

:32:50.:32:53.

single mother with two small children who had left Syria when her

:32:54.:32:59.

husband was killed in an Assad jail. She was trying to reach her father

:33:00.:33:06.

and brother, also in Britain. There should be a process for her to apply

:33:07.:33:11.

for sanctuary in Britain. If you had a fair system to apply, you might

:33:12.:33:16.

prevent people coming to Calais in the first place. Should we set up an

:33:17.:33:22.

asylum seeking vetting operation in Calais ourselves? We have a system

:33:23.:33:27.

the Government set up under pressure to take refugees from the camps in

:33:28.:33:34.

Syria. I'm talking about the camps in Calais. I agree but I'm saying we

:33:35.:33:38.

should prevent people coming to Calais in the first place. Once

:33:39.:33:46.

people have got to Calais, I think there is a case particularly for

:33:47.:33:52.

those children... We understand the children but I'm asking about adults

:33:53.:33:57.

because it is hard to know what your policy is on this. Should we start

:33:58.:34:01.

to say some of them are asylum seekers, the French are not doing

:34:02.:34:05.

their jobs properly, we will take them in once they go

:34:06.:34:27.

This refugees. Britain is taking photos and refugees a year. We

:34:28.:34:38.

should stop people coming and injured a sports in the 1st place.

:34:39.:34:49.

--4000 refugees. If we do not solve it it will get worse. By giving

:34:50.:34:59.

proper status to people here you will encourage more people to come.

:35:00.:35:04.

People will come anyway. The crisis is going to happen. There is viewed

:35:05.:35:10.

the government took with it were arguing we should not have search

:35:11.:35:13.

and rescue in the Mediterranean because that would force other

:35:14.:35:18.

people to come. I think that as a model. People have come. They are

:35:19.:35:23.

travelling across Europe. What you have to do is have a system that

:35:24.:35:29.

supports them. It is still not clear. Let's take over the million

:35:30.:35:33.

migrants who have made it into the EU this year. The German government,

:35:34.:35:38.

although taking most itself, try to spread the burden through member

:35:39.:35:43.

states. Should we volunteer quarter quest Mark at the beginning I said

:35:44.:35:51.

we should take 10,000 people. Why? The Germans are taking a lot more

:35:52.:35:54.

and the Swedish are taking a lot more, why only 10,000? That meant we

:35:55.:36:05.

would be talking about 10 families for every city or county across the

:36:06.:36:08.

country and I think the best way to do this is to work with local

:36:09.:36:13.

councils and communities and faith groups across the country and seeing

:36:14.:36:16.

how many refugees do you think you can support in each area? In Germany

:36:17.:36:21.

the labour market and housing are in different situations. They have a

:36:22.:36:27.

different demographic. 10,000 out of a million would be the British

:36:28.:36:31.

response? I think that would be a good thing to do. All countries will

:36:32.:36:35.

have to work together on this and is not a simple answer either so it is

:36:36.:36:40.

not just about what you do in terms of the number of refugees you give

:36:41.:36:44.

sanctuary to but also what you do to prevent people travelling and that

:36:45.:36:48.

is why you think we should be be uniting refugees by smack families.

:36:49.:36:51.

We have not talked about in the thing that you on that report is

:36:52.:36:55.

people living in terrible conditions with France and Britain being 2 of

:36:56.:37:00.

the most powerful countries in the world, you would've thought it is

:37:01.:37:04.

not beyond wit of those 2 countries to make sure there is proper

:37:05.:37:09.

humanitarian relief and sanitation and proper heating for people who

:37:10.:37:15.

will suffer not just from scabies but also terrible conditions in

:37:16.:37:16.

those camps. A colleague of yours said that your

:37:17.:37:39.

party is moving firmly towards the direction of Jeremy Corbyn. Do you

:37:40.:37:45.

agree? The challenge for the Labour Party is that we have an internal

:37:46.:37:49.

focus looking inwards as ourselves. We need to look out and we had good

:37:50.:38:00.

campaigns on a series of things and we cannot let the Tories off the

:38:01.:38:05.

hook. Is your party moving broadly in the direction of Jeremy Corbyn

:38:06.:38:08.

are not? I'm not sure what that means because we're having a debate

:38:09.:38:11.

on the part of the moment about what the policy should be the future and

:38:12.:38:14.

it is right we should do so. The trouble is we cannot make that

:38:15.:38:19.

debate just in words when the Tories are being let off the hook on Europe

:38:20.:38:23.

and on Heathrow and on tax credits and a series of things. I will try

:38:24.:38:28.

to make the question more clear next time.

:38:29.:38:29.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now

:38:30.:38:33.

Coming up on the programme: This letter tells you that

:38:34.:38:46.

on a portion of your taxes will go to the Scottish government -

:38:47.:38:51.

What are the options open in Wednesday's budget?

:38:52.:38:57.

Next Wednesday we'll see the practical results

:38:58.:39:09.

of the Calman Commission which in 2012 decided that Scotland

:39:10.:39:11.

could increase or decrease income tax.

:39:12.:39:14.

It will be clear in this week's Holyrood budget what option

:39:15.:39:17.

the Finance Secretary John Swinney has chosen against the background

:39:18.:39:19.

And of course factored into that, we shouldn't ignore the looming

:39:20.:39:24.

In the last few weeks taxpayers across Scotland have received a

:39:25.:39:43.

brown envelope along with the Christmas post. The letter is from

:39:44.:39:48.

the Inland Revenue and it is informing us that from April next

:39:49.:39:51.

year some of our income tax will be paid to the Scottish Government.

:39:52.:39:55.

This is a change from the current system puts sees all tax going to

:39:56.:40:02.

the UK Government. I caught up with 1 person who has received his

:40:03.:40:10.

letter. I would like to know where the tax was getting distributed. I

:40:11.:40:16.

am on my way to Stirling University to meet an economist will hopefully

:40:17.:40:19.

answer some of Paul's questions and look at the option for John Swinney

:40:20.:40:31.

Winnie announces the the back decision next week. -- when he. Rate

:40:32.:40:42.

will be set where all income tax bands will be set so that will be a

:40:43.:40:48.

Scottish rate that applies across all of the tax bands. If he sets the

:40:49.:40:54.

Scottish rate at 10p, actually nothing will change. But if he sets

:40:55.:41:05.

it at 12p, the basic would go up to 22p and higher rate would go from

:41:06.:41:11.

40p to 42p and additional rate would go from 45p to 47p. -- the basic

:41:12.:41:24.

would go up from 20p to 22p. Speaking ahead of the budget,

:41:25.:41:29.

Finance Secretary John Swinney says tough choices have to be made

:41:30.:41:33.

because of the 12% cut his finances by the UK Government that he gave no

:41:34.:41:37.

indication what he might do with his new powers over income tax. What I

:41:38.:41:42.

will have to do for the 1st time is set to Scottish rate of income tax.

:41:43.:41:47.

That is an essential part of the budget process within Scotland and

:41:48.:41:51.

those decisions will be set out to Parliament on Wednesday but we take

:41:52.:41:54.

those decisions against a very difficult backdrop of the financial

:41:55.:41:57.

reductions that have come from the UK Government against the

:41:58.:42:00.

determination of the Scottish film to make sure that we take every step

:42:01.:42:05.

we possibly can do to protect the vulnerable public services which

:42:06.:42:09.

matter to the people of our country. The political reality is this budget

:42:10.:42:12.

is 5 months ahead of a Scottish parliamentary election. I would

:42:13.:42:18.

expect the opposition parties to say you have those new powers and those

:42:19.:42:24.

new opportunities. Why not doing more with them? In that sense

:42:25.:42:28.

bracelet tit-for-tat blame game as usual but the political reality is

:42:29.:42:32.

that this is a pre-election budget and therefore we should not expect

:42:33.:42:36.

too much in the way of dramatic developments. It is traditional in

:42:37.:42:40.

these situations to save the Rabbit? If that is a rabbit it will be a

:42:41.:42:47.

very bunny indeed. -- where is the Rabbit? Next Wednesday will find out

:42:48.:42:55.

if John Swinney is more Scrooge than Santa.

:42:56.:42:59.

Joining me now is SNP MSP Kenneth Gibson, who is convenor

:43:00.:43:02.

of the Fiscal Commission and Labour MSP Jackie Baillie,

:43:03.:43:04.

who is the party's spokesperson on public services and wealth

:43:05.:43:06.

I want to ask about a couple things that have come up today such as the

:43:07.:43:18.

Forth Bridge. The new allegation that very heavy vehicles have been

:43:19.:43:22.

stopped from going on for some time, the implication being they knew

:43:23.:43:27.

there was a problem. I think as each day passes that is another

:43:28.:43:30.

revelation and I do think it is time that the SNP government to come

:43:31.:43:34.

clean will stop 1st we had the question of whether maintenance

:43:35.:43:37.

contracts were cancelled and not and then we hear that was a 59% cut in

:43:38.:43:41.

the budget and now we hear today about this. What do you want the

:43:42.:43:47.

government to do what it is not doing already? I think they need to

:43:48.:43:54.

be transparent. You only need to listen to people in phone in

:43:55.:44:00.

programmes to understand how agitated about this. We do need to

:44:01.:44:04.

learn from our mistakes and we did with the Scottish treatment to put

:44:05.:44:06.

everything in the public domain and be transparent and not to engage in

:44:07.:44:11.

ever-increasing amount spent to hide the truth from people about cut

:44:12.:44:14.

budgets and maintenance contracts. Would you accept, Kenneth Gibson,

:44:15.:44:20.

that whatever the rights and wrongs of it, this has not been handled

:44:21.:44:27.

very well? It has not been handled well by the Scottish Government? I

:44:28.:44:34.

think this is bound to happen and such an emotive issue which has

:44:35.:44:37.

disrupted tens of thousands of people's lives. We have seen a lot

:44:38.:44:41.

of transparency and the Minister made a statement to Parliament which

:44:42.:44:45.

were discussed for 20 minutes of First Minister 's questions. It

:44:46.:44:48.

seemed to be contradicted by what he said on the radio the next morning.

:44:49.:44:53.

To be fair it is a movable feast and new things are coming out. If Jackie

:44:54.:44:58.

Baillie said something in Parliament 1 day and is something else on radio

:44:59.:45:03.

the next day you would not just say I take my hat off to her. You would

:45:04.:45:09.

say, come on what is going on? I think everything has been put in the

:45:10.:45:16.

public domain. It clearly has not. Derek Mackay has been frank about

:45:17.:45:20.

what the difficulties are in the First Minister made this crystal

:45:21.:45:22.

clear that this at a problem which was fined a few weeks ago and not

:45:23.:45:25.

been picked up on previous maintenance because it was only a

:45:26.:45:31.

new floor in the bridge itself that was picked up. I also wanted to ask

:45:32.:45:37.

about Donald Trump. We learned this morning that Alex Salmond has signed

:45:38.:45:39.

a petition saying he should be banned from entering Britain. Is

:45:40.:45:43.

that something you would go along with? A number of my SNP colleagues

:45:44.:45:49.

and a number of Labour colleagues support that point of view. I do not

:45:50.:45:53.

support the point of view and I think that when Nick Griffin

:45:54.:46:00.

appeared in question time some years ago a lot of people wanted him

:46:01.:46:03.

banned but when it came on he made such a fool of itself it undermined

:46:04.:46:10.

a lot of the support the BNP had. I'm not sure that is the way

:46:11.:46:14.

forward. Whatever you think of his ideas has

:46:15.:46:19.

forward. Whatever you think of his makes his investments but is not

:46:20.:46:22.

allowed to visit them or he sells off to someone else? I do not

:46:23.:46:27.

believe it should be a ban on Mr Trump coming to the UK. What do you

:46:28.:46:29.

think of that? I don't Trump coming to the UK. What do you

:46:30.:46:35.

what he Trump coming to the UK. What do you

:46:36.:46:37.

reprehensible and people have been very clear about that and people are

:46:38.:46:37.

made our views known. very clear about that and people are

:46:38.:46:45.

imaginable is that that the system ought chance that this man could be

:46:46.:46:52.

the president of the United States. -- I find it unimaginable there is

:46:53.:47:01.

that ought chance. -- remote. John Swinney will have too set a rate of

:47:02.:47:08.

income tax. It has delayed getting this point because of reality he

:47:09.:47:11.

will do anything different to what he's doing already? The Finance

:47:12.:47:17.

committee a lot of lot of evidence right across the board from the

:47:18.:47:22.

to the CBI to the Scottish council for voluntary organisations and all

:47:23.:47:25.

of the muster the same thing which is that in the 1st year of this tax

:47:26.:47:28.

they do not see this should be any change. I do not know whether John

:47:29.:47:32.

Swinney will increase taxes are lower them or give them the same.

:47:33.:47:37.

Would you be disappointed of nothing happened? Not necessarily because

:47:38.:47:43.

people say let's have some stability the 1st year. A lot of people

:47:44.:47:48.

watching would ask if this is the Scottish National party, the same

:47:49.:47:51.

people who demand power after power after power and then when they are

:47:52.:47:57.

given powers to and around and say, we want more powers but these once

:47:58.:48:02.

you have just given us, you do we do not want to use them? The reality is

:48:03.:48:09.

we cannot even change the bandings of the flesh at this stage. If it

:48:10.:48:15.

goes up it is the same for everybody. If increased it for

:48:16.:48:18.

higher taxpayers it would be the same for lower taxpayers. The people

:48:19.:48:21.

who are vastly out there who run businesses and the trade unions,

:48:22.:48:26.

etc. They same for the 1st year letters keep it as it is. -- lets

:48:27.:48:37.

keep visitors. -- as it is. People would ask you why you do not put

:48:38.:48:45.

taxes up to counter the steady policies of the Conservative

:48:46.:48:52.

government. People with low wages have had pay rises above inflation

:48:53.:48:56.

for a few years and this is not the time to increased taxation which

:48:57.:48:59.

would be across the board. He believes some money in their pockets

:49:00.:49:03.

and this is not the time to do it. We brought in attacks for land and

:49:04.:49:07.

buildings last year which was a huge difference to what the United

:49:08.:49:13.

Kingdom. Jackie Baillie, you're quoted today saying that Scottish

:49:14.:49:17.

Labour will offer real alternative to a sedative at different decisions

:49:18.:49:23.

on tax to the Tories and to the SNP. -- on a steady. -- is. --Austerity.

:49:24.:49:40.

There is no comprehensive spending review and we believe it should be a

:49:41.:49:45.

budget for the medium to long term. We see doing the sensitive sort of

:49:46.:49:51.

thing that Kenny Gibson was talking about between the bands. We have

:49:52.:49:56.

said we would introduce a 50p top rate of income tax and we would not

:49:57.:50:05.

take a cut in passenger transport duty.

:50:06.:50:13.

This was supposedly because you were not going to have people suffering

:50:14.:50:20.

from the tax credit cuts that George Osborne was going to make but he has

:50:21.:50:26.

not made those cuts. He has delayed those cuts, let's be clear about

:50:27.:50:34.

that. Are you saying that people on the existing system will not be

:50:35.:50:38.

affected but when new people come on they may get less than they would

:50:39.:50:42.

have done in the current system. Are you saying that the Labour

:50:43.:50:47.

government in Scotland would mitigate all the effects of that new

:50:48.:50:52.

system? We would need to examine the system but we have already

:50:53.:50:55.

identified financial leaders we reduce to ensure we have an

:50:56.:50:59.

anti-steady budget. The SNP have been silent on what budgets they

:51:00.:51:06.

would bring in. We have been seeing a budget for an election and not for

:51:07.:51:11.

the long-term. With new powers over taxation and welfare people expect

:51:12.:51:16.

cuts. What would you do if you read John Swinney next week? He has a

:51:17.:51:22.

number of options. What rate of tax would you said? We do not think

:51:23.:51:25.

there should be a differential on tax at this time. You hit a done as

:51:26.:51:32.

much as you do the wealthiest. What we are saying is there is a big

:51:33.:51:38.

debate to happen about the kind of tax powers we want to see in the

:51:39.:51:41.

future and hope we reduce them. We are prepared to set out in the

:51:42.:51:47.

agenda and the SNP are being silent. John Swinney is already seeing the

:51:48.:51:51.

terrible decisions you will have to make because of this dreadful Tory

:51:52.:51:56.

austerity. What is this government cut? If you look at it, we have not

:51:57.:52:04.

enabled to spend as much on local government services, 60,000 people

:52:05.:52:10.

have left the. A lot of the services we would like to deliver our not

:52:11.:52:16.

being delivered. Like what? We would like to deliver better health

:52:17.:52:20.

services than we have. We would like to make significant improvements.

:52:21.:52:24.

Only a year ago you were asking people to vote to leave the UK

:52:25.:52:28.

because of this dreadful Tory austerity policy. What are these

:52:29.:52:34.

huge cut? What are they? You will see this week eight ?300 million...

:52:35.:52:40.

Everyone would like to spend more money on the NHS but what are these

:52:41.:52:44.

cuts, what would people have got if it was not for posterity? What tools

:52:45.:52:49.

are not getting prepared, schools are not being billed as quickly as

:52:50.:52:53.

they would have, bridges. I thought you claimed your school programme

:52:54.:52:59.

was a triumph of capital spending. Name a skill that has not been

:53:00.:53:06.

built. -- school. If you want to look at schools even in my own

:53:07.:53:11.

constituency the Gaelic Academy could have in-built earlier with the

:53:12.:53:17.

money to build it and that is being built now. We read this austerity

:53:18.:53:24.

then? Scotland has a 27% cut on capital funding if you're trying to

:53:25.:53:32.

say that has now affect. There is a growth of ?500 million. It is 70%.

:53:33.:53:39.

-- 17. What do you remember

:53:40.:53:45.

about this year? Was there one political event

:53:46.:53:46.

that stood out for you? Hundreds of thousands of Syrian

:53:47.:53:49.

refugees crossing the Mediterranean? As we approach the year end

:53:50.:53:54.

of 2015, here's the A to Z No, no, no, order. The house will

:53:55.:54:18.

show it's a PC Asian in a way other than flapping. -- its appreciation.

:54:19.:55:04.

Hello. Good afternoon. We love you, Charles.

:55:05.:55:26.

Taking a desk, having a a go, that pumps me up and if I am

:55:27.:55:33.

getting lively about it that is because I feel lively. -- taking a

:55:34.:55:41.

risk. Our basic pleasures for a plan for working people. Shall I tell you

:55:42.:55:47.

something about JCB? They made their tell got. -- made this helicopter.

:55:48.:55:55.

Right across this campaign it is about making...

:55:56.:56:08.

LAUGHTER We are not going to have a

:56:09.:56:11.

coalition, we are not going to have a deal. Will you put to bed rumours

:56:12.:56:18.

that you plan to cut child tax credit and respect child benefit to

:56:19.:56:23.

two children? I do not want to do that. That is ludicrous you are

:56:24.:56:29.

lying. Why would we ever believe anything else you say? Am I tough

:56:30.:56:36.

enough? Hell, yes, I am tough enough! # it's the final countdown.

:56:37.:56:48.

# for you I have two listed all

:56:49.:56:59.

because the writing's on the wall. # I will be resigning as leader of the

:57:00.:57:25.

Liberal Democrats. Now it is time for someone else to take forward the

:57:26.:57:27.

leadership of this party. # this is the industry, this is the

:57:28.:57:52.

industry # why have you got a tie on? You at any job. -- I have you

:57:53.:57:59.

not 40 tie on? An elected Labour and Liberal lords

:58:00.:58:31.

have voted down a matter passed by the elected House of Commons. #

:58:32.:58:52.

don't believe me just watch! # but you have oil? Yes. Maybe invade you?

:58:53.:58:56.

You don't usually ask permission. This is an exit poll very carefully

:58:57.:59:14.

calculated. He returns. Ten o'clock and we are saying the Conservatives

:59:15.:59:22.

are the largest party. If this exit poll is right I will publicly eat my

:59:23.:59:24.

hat. English votes for English issues,

:59:25.:59:39.

terribly simple. It is an incomprehensible mess. I will oppose

:59:40.:59:49.

it until my dying day. The wealthier powers of the Smith commission. Fall

:59:50.:59:58.

short subject to negotiation and agreement. No vetoes. I will believe

:59:59.:00:00.

it when I see it. SNP MPs will vote against air

:00:01.:00:49.

strikes in the House of Commons. Public opinion is moving

:00:50.:00:52.

increasingly against what I believed to be an ill thought out rush to

:00:53.:00:59.

war. Do we go after these carers in their heartlands where they are

:01:00.:01:02.

plotting to kill British people or do we sit back and wait for them to

:01:03.:01:10.

attack us? # here I go again on my own. # # going down the only road

:01:11.:01:20.

I've ever known. # like a drifter I was born to walk alone. # focus on

:01:21.:01:34.

me. # Conservative Party candidate 18,848.

:01:35.:02:00.

You will be a leadership election for the next leader of UK inset

:02:01.:02:05.

Amber and I will consider over the course of this summer whether to put

:02:06.:02:08.

my name forward to do that job again. He is standing down but he

:02:09.:02:14.

may stand again? When is toast not post? # sisters are doing it for

:02:15.:02:20.

themselves. # because I am an MP, not only am I

:02:21.:02:46.

the youngest but I am now also the only 20-year-old in the Hall of the

:02:47.:02:49.

UK that the Chancellor was prepared to help with housing.

:02:50.:03:05.

I'm joined by a trio of commentators.

:03:06.:03:10.

Severin Carrell is the Guardian's Scotland correspondent,

:03:11.:03:12.

Katie Grant is a journalist and author and Paul McNamee

:03:13.:03:14.

I watched that earlier on and what struck me more than usual was the

:03:15.:03:30.

earlier it seemed a long time. The relatives because everyone has

:03:31.:03:35.

changed so much no one expected the Conservative government on Labour in

:03:36.:03:39.

Scotland to be completely wipe out? It has been an enormous year but I

:03:40.:03:45.

am reminded that once I looked into the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle, the year

:03:46.:03:50.

2066 -- 1066 it said nothing much happened this year. I wonder if the

:03:51.:03:54.

Pope will look back and see it as we see it. The thing that struck me

:03:55.:04:00.

most was how many successful female politicians there where. This has in

:04:01.:04:05.

the year of the woman politician. Nicola Sturgeon, Kezia Dugdale, Ruth

:04:06.:04:11.

Davidson. Even with Yvette Cooper it would have in a lovely hat-trick. It

:04:12.:04:16.

has been a Europe with the domestic and global have walloped into each

:04:17.:04:22.

other and so we have an half with our eyes firmly focused on Syria and

:04:23.:04:27.

half with our eyes firmly focused on seismic events at home and it is not

:04:28.:04:31.

often a year that we get so much change in EU both abroad and here.

:04:32.:04:38.

Do you think it has been seismic? Yes. I think it has been an

:04:39.:04:41.

extraordinary year. I think when historians come to look back over

:04:42.:04:47.

this period of our history they will see 2015 as a more important year

:04:48.:04:50.

for Scotland than 2014 because we are now in an SNP either. This could

:04:51.:04:56.

the anti-pork defining moment. Not truly geologically but in the narrow

:04:57.:05:02.

frame of life we now have the generational shift. A number of SNP

:05:03.:05:07.

's. The number they are on the cusp of having a second majority

:05:08.:05:12.

government at Holyrood. The sense in which the opposition parties as well

:05:13.:05:15.

are now so diminished by the shift in what happened in May 2015I think

:05:16.:05:21.

actually is going to define the next couple of generations. Whatever the

:05:22.:05:28.

outcome of May 2016, the SNP will be in power for the next five years in

:05:29.:05:31.

Scotland. The outcome could be different but based on the old know

:05:32.:05:35.

the difference we are looking at next meet is only any couple of

:05:36.:05:40.

seats even the for the SNP which I think is hugely significant. It is.

:05:41.:05:48.

I think it is always impossible when you look back in the year to single

:05:49.:05:53.

out 1 particular point. Especially when you look back at a film like

:05:54.:05:59.

that you wonder what is the key moment when the international and

:06:00.:06:09.

domestic worlds came together such as the C Heddle attack.

:06:10.:06:21.

--Charlie Hebdo. Then you can look at me and when David Dimbleby read

:06:22.:06:33.

out the exit poll. -- look at the month of May. There was a very

:06:34.:06:42.

dramatic moment earlier in the morning when John Curtis said it

:06:43.:06:52.

could be a Conservative majority. --Curtice. I see that as a big

:06:53.:07:03.

moment for us but not in the Globe. Governments come and governments

:07:04.:07:11.

goal but it is not as if they have such a stonking majority the

:07:12.:07:13.

Conservatives could do as they like. And then overtaken by events as

:07:14.:07:18.

always. I was thinking about what you were saying about the SNP and

:07:19.:07:26.

the Forth Road Bridge might loom very large and growing larger every

:07:27.:07:30.

day because closure of the bridge is something affects Scotland very

:07:31.:07:35.

particularly and it affects people very directly every morning so I

:07:36.:07:39.

wonder if maybe 7th, of course I think the posters have been wrong in

:07:40.:07:44.

the past, but there will be an SNP majority, but I think these sort of

:07:45.:07:48.

seemingly quite small events can suddenly escalate and derail whole

:07:49.:07:57.

political leaders. I wonder. Clearly the opposition parties to be SNP

:07:58.:08:03.

would love the bridge to be a giant example of the narrative they are

:08:04.:08:06.

trying to create which is that the SNP go on about independence but but

:08:07.:08:11.

meanwhile back in the backyard everything is going to rack and ruin

:08:12.:08:14.

because they have not been paying attention. Is the even the slightest

:08:15.:08:21.

chance that narrative would work? I think 1 of the really interesting

:08:22.:08:25.

political challenges for the opposition parties is that for a lot

:08:26.:08:28.

of the Scottish electorate that appears to be this disconnect

:08:29.:08:32.

between the performance on day-to-day domestic policies that

:08:33.:08:34.

the Scottish garment is there to fulfil and the way the SNP opinion

:08:35.:08:40.

poll rating appears to be so buoyant. That is no connection they

:08:41.:08:48.

make between it is Nicola Sturgeon who is responsible but surely we

:08:49.:08:51.

should be going for an alternative now. You may find that the bridge

:08:52.:08:55.

that it is an incremental thing that adds to the crisis over the NHS and

:08:56.:08:59.

the crisis in education spending and so on and so forth and people start

:09:00.:09:02.

to think maybe they are not up to the job. But the problem for the

:09:03.:09:07.

opposition parties is that they have to appear to be a credible

:09:08.:09:10.

alternative and as things currently stand sturgeon is still the

:09:11.:09:14.

pre-eminent politician in Scotland and the Forth Road Bridge. To really

:09:15.:09:17.

annoy thousands of voters in 5 will be enough to bridge that gap? In the

:09:18.:09:32.

Kingdom of Fife. Labour are also supposedly involved in this

:09:33.:09:35.

regeneration narrative. How do you think that is going Christmas not

:09:36.:09:41.

terrifically well. Jeremy Corbyn says it is going swimmingly because

:09:42.:09:44.

he is just won an election and people say he would have done very

:09:45.:09:51.

badly and if not lose a safe Labour seat. Jeremy carbon came out rather

:09:52.:09:57.

well and he managed to get a set amount of people who would vote

:09:58.:10:01.

Labour to vote for him but that does not necessarily reflect on people in

:10:02.:10:07.

the wider sense. If he had lost in Oldham, the disaster would been

:10:08.:10:14.

told. That is no way they would have lost that matter who's in charge to

:10:15.:10:19.

think is a false reading saying that because Labour won the leadership of

:10:20.:10:23.

Gerry Corbyn is going well. I think Casey Dugdale is a good young reader

:10:24.:10:37.

--Kezia. -- leader. But Ruth Davison seems to clips and seems to be the

:10:38.:10:40.

rising voice of an alternative point of view and talking about women

:10:41.:10:45.

becoming much more dominant this year, she will have an incredible

:10:46.:10:51.

role to play in 2016 running up to Hollywood elections. If she can

:10:52.:10:54.

galvanise a particular vote the change in Scotland could be marked.

:10:55.:11:09.

I was just thinking that maybe the big S this year 's scrutiny. Corbyn

:11:10.:11:19.

supporters would say you have underestimated us. You keep saying

:11:20.:11:23.

it will be a disaster and it is not. It is not a disaster yet because

:11:24.:11:27.

there has not really been anything to be as acid about. I agree with

:11:28.:11:31.

Paul, I do not see how they could have lost the Oldham by-election

:11:32.:11:34.

although I do remember that he was not involve much in it. I think the

:11:35.:11:38.

great test for the Labour Party is still to come. We have just seen

:11:39.:11:43.

Jeremy carbon go to the stop the War Christmas party and I think actually

:11:44.:11:50.

that is a sort of echo chamber for a Jeremy Corbyn which is quite

:11:51.:11:54.

dangerous for him that he will be buoyed up by his own supporters and

:11:55.:11:57.

take very little notice of what is going on the rest of the country.

:11:58.:12:02.

Again, playing devils advocate, his supporters would say people are

:12:03.:12:09.

getting this wrong. For example, in splits over Syria, the issue for a

:12:10.:12:14.

lot of people was not about whether that would Labour splits over Syria,

:12:15.:12:18.

it is nice that that is a proper debate about this for once and

:12:19.:12:22.

frankly we do not care. We cared about Syria but not the splits. I

:12:23.:12:29.

think that is true but do people really care about Syria when the

:12:30.:12:32.

care most about the economy and jobs and proper management and thinks the

:12:33.:12:39.

government should be doing Gate today. Syria for most voters are

:12:40.:12:44.

still apart from their everyday concerns. What Labour and the Carbon

:12:45.:12:49.

leadership team have to accept is that they have challenges right in

:12:50.:12:53.

front of them such as the May elections in Scotland and Wales and

:12:54.:12:56.

local government downside. The report from a lot of Labour MSPs in

:12:57.:13:02.

Scotland is that Corbyn is not sufficiently attractive to a lot of

:13:03.:13:07.

Labour voters they need to take back on board. On the doorstop they are

:13:08.:13:11.

hearing voters saying that they are not sure Corbyn is the man for us.

:13:12.:13:22.

They think they might be able to finally achieve liftoff in this

:13:23.:13:29.

election in May, the Conservatives. I do not think the world because

:13:30.:13:32.

when it comes to putting across the box people will still be resistant

:13:33.:13:35.

but Ruth Davison has done really good job at making the Conservatives

:13:36.:13:41.

look nice, if that is possible word. I think she herself her manner is a

:13:42.:13:44.

very good advertisement for them. That's all from the us

:13:45.:13:48.

this week and for 2015.

:13:49.:13:51.

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