06/12/2015 Sunday Politics Scotland


06/12/2015

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LineFromTo

Good morning, and welcome to the Sunday Politics.

:00:37.:00:38.

Police say they're treating a multiple stabbing in London

:00:39.:00:41.

As the RAF intensifies its bombing campaign over Syria,

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is this the latest sign of an evolving threat on British streets?

:00:47.:00:51.

Labour scored a significant win at this week's Oldham by-election,

:00:52.:00:54.

but after a tough week for Jeremy Corbyn,

:00:55.:00:56.

there are more reports of smears, abuse and even talk of a purge.

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We'll be speaking to a member of the Shadow Cabinet.

:01:01.:01:08.

And it's not just the Labour Party that has its rebels.

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We'll be talking to the Conservative MP Heidi Allen, who hit

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the headlines after delivering a bombshell speech against her own

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Coming up on Sunday Politics Scotland:

:01:16.:01:20.

With all 54 SNP MPs voting against extending air strikes

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on Syria, we'll ask Stephen Gethins where that leaves the party now.

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And joining me for all of that, three journalists who've dutifully

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battled through the wind and the rain to get here,

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even without the threat of a telling off from Andrew.

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It's Nick Watt, Isabel Oakeshott and Janan Ganesh,

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and they'll be tweeting throughout the show.

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that police are treating an attack at a London underground station

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A man carrying a knife was reported to have screamed,

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as he injured three men at Leytonstone station

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making it potentially the first terrorist attack on British soil

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since the murder of fusilier Lee Rigby in 2013.

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Mobile phone footage shows police officers

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wrestling with a man after he had been tasered.

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He was later arrested and remains in custody.

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The Metropolitan Police said one man suffered serious knife injuries

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but was not thought to be in a life-threatening condition,

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while two other victims received minor injuries.

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has this morning called the attack an "abomination",

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and we can speak now to the local MP John Cryer

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Your response? It is an appalling attack. And it is frightening, very

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frightening for local people. I've been talking to some of the local

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businesses this morning and obviously they are all very worried

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about it now. What the background is, what the motivation is, I do

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think it would be particularly helpful to speculate at the moment.

:03:06.:03:10.

-- I don't think it would be particularly helpful. So I'd rather

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not do that. But when something like this happens in your own area, it is

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not something expect. Leytonstone is a peaceful area, a lot of

:03:20.:03:23.

communities live together extremely peacefully and harmoniously, that's

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one of the great things about this area. People will be scared and

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understandably so, as you say, so what is your message to constituents

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as they wake up to this news? I think the message is that we carry

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on as normal, that we don't allow this sort of barbaric behaviour to

:03:40.:03:46.

change our lives. And I think that's the important thing. And I think

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people will continue as well. I'm not saying people will be blase

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about it, people will be very concerned. But I don't think people

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will allow this to change the way they live their lives on a

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day-to-day basis, that's the impression I've had from the people

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I've been talking to this morning. Now, this has happened just days

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after parliament voted for air strikes in Syria, people are bound,

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rightly or wrongly to draw a link between the two, what say you?

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Welcome I was opposed to the air strikes in Syria, I voted against

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air strikes in Syria, I think it will prove to be quite a major

:04:27.:04:31.

mistake. I am not convinced that this will be connected to the air

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strikes in Syria. Well I just don't know at the moment so we can only

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speculate. But there doesn't seem to be immediately evidence that there

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is a direct link. But we have to find out what the background is.

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Police are investigating. I have been in contact with police this

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morning. At I think it would be dangerous to say this is a direct

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consequence of air strikes in Syria. And as I say I am a fairly major

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critic of the government's activities. Thank you.

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This comes after the so-called Islamic State

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claimed a husband and wife who massacred 14 people

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were supporters of the terrorist group.

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So is this just the latest sign that the West faces a new type of threat?

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Well, we're joined now by the security expert Will Geddes.

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At the moment it looks like a lone wolf, no accomplices, no

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organisation in any major way behind it, is that how you read it? I think

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pretty much so. It is incredibly difficult to say right now and again

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it is dangerous to speculate too much until the police have

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undertaken their investigations to determine how this individual was

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motivated, under what particular an brother that might have been,

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whether it was alone, whether it was a self radicalisation process --

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what particular an umbrella that might have been. We have been

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expecting an attack because we have had the Paris attacks, we have had

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the attacks in Southern California, and there had been warnings about

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it, and the terror threat is still extremely high. So we shouldn't be

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that surprised. No, I don't think we are. And I think we are accepting

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the fact that unfortunately we are at a very high risk level intervals

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of these types of attacks. And this precedes the Syrian bombing

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agreements in terms of the fact that there were seven significant plots

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foiled this year. We have always been on the radar, it is just down

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to the capabilities of the individuals. Sadly, certainly in the

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wake of this most recent incident, it will be the platform of lone

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wolves more than anything else. Do you think that is the case? That is

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the most recent pattern, that might be what continues in, unfortunately,

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capitals across Europe? I think we have to be pragmatic and accept

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that. Ultimately we know that the individuals that are planning as

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cells have a far higher chance of detection. So individuals working on

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their own, whether it be in a very specific conceptual sort of agenda

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and motivation or whether it be an individual that is simply aligned to

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the ideologies of Daesh will add to the spectrum of Brett. Nick Watt,

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what do you think the little reaction will be? We have had some

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reaction from Jon Cryer saying stay vigilant but don't be blase. That

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was an incredibly important contribution you had from John

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Cryer, he is not just the local MP, E is the chairman of the

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Parliamentary party. In that capacity Jeremy Corbyn invites him

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to attend the Shadow Cabinet. He voted against air strikes and he is

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being held up as how the majority of opinion in the Labour Party is

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against air strikes. He was absolutely clear saying it would be

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dangerous to say that this attack in Leytonstone is in any way linked to

:07:52.:07:55.

the vote in parliament. The reason why that is significant is that

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there will be some people and indeed we are already seeing some people on

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Twitter saying that this attack in Leytonstone is as a result of that

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vote. Well, the chairman of the PLP who voted against the air strikes

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said it would be dangerous to make that conclusion. But people will

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make those links and they will continue to do so particularly in

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the light of Michael Fallon saying the bombing campaign is intensifying

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in Syria and there are likely to be civilian cavities. They may well do

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so but what strikes me about this attack, is awful and horrible as it

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is for everybody involved, is that it is a rather pathetic and little

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attack. Very happily the victim, as we understand it, is not going to

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die as a result of this attack. What strikes me is, were we in America

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and were the people who are prone to do these things able to get their

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hands on guns, this would have been a mass casualties could well have

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been a mass casualties attack. As it was, we're left with somebody just

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randomly stabbing and not really getting anywhere. Do you think

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people are ready for how long this campaign is going to go on for, and

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we are going to live in the shadow indirectly or directly of a

:09:07.:09:09.

terrorist threat? I don't know if people are ready for just Syria or

:09:10.:09:13.

maybe five years worth of security being one of the top three issues in

:09:14.:09:17.

the country. If you look at the issues index, most salient to voters

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in recent years, it has been the usual economy, NHS, immigration to a

:09:22.:09:26.

certain extent. I wonder whether, by the time of the next election

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because of this fairly consistent terror threat, security is even

:09:30.:09:34.

number one, two or three. We've got the investigatory Powers Bill going

:09:35.:09:36.

through Parliament at the moment and I think that kind of legislation,

:09:37.:09:40.

the presence of a terror threat, the kind of thing that is on the evening

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news might overnight over five years will change what we consider to be

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the most salient issues in British issues -- night after night. There

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had been reports that one of the Paris attackers had travelled to

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Britain earlier this year, and the chair of the Home Affairs Select

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Committee said it is a real worry that people are able to get through

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our borders without being detected. How worried are you by those

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reports? I think we are playing a bit of a catch-up game and

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unfortunately we have to appreciate it many capabilities in tens of the

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border force a Metropolitan Police and police agencies across the UK.

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Although there have been positive suggestions by the government in

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terms of boosting numbers within the security services, for example, you

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are still looking at approximately 18 months before those 1900 new

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heads within GCHQ and security services will be operationally able

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to fulfil their mission. Briefly on the police numbers, also a very

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controversial issue in terms of the spending review, that didn't happen,

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the cuts that people feared, the government will be relieved they did

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not make those cuts? Iain Duncan Smith in condemning these attackers

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as an abomination made that exact point, saying we kept those police

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numbers and they will be important in terms of attacking the terrorist

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threat. Now, the Prime Minister had hoped to

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sign off his plans for a renegotiation of Britain's EU

:11:01.:11:03.

membership later this month. have decided not give him an early

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Christmas present, and that means the referendum on

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whatever deal he does get Last month David Cameron sent a

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letter to Donald Tusk, president of the European Council setting out the

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EU reform demands. There were four main areas he once renegotiated.

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Protection for non-Europe countries and safeguarding their rights.

:11:31.:11:35.

Exemption from an ever closer union. And more powers for national

:11:36.:11:40.

parliaments. Restore competitiveness in the EU which involves cutting red

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tape and free trade agreements with other economies. And finally, the

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one causing the most headaches, restricting benefits for EU

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migrants. Under the Prime Minister's plans, EU migrants would

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not be able to claim any in work benefits for four years. On Thursday

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David Cameron abandoned hopes for an early referendum as early as May

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next year after admitting he would not be able to get the deal he wants

:12:06.:12:10.

at an EU summit in two weeks' time. Donald Tusk will on Monday published

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an assessment of the British demands in a letter to the 27 other member

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states. It follows a round of confessionals in which governments

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have outlined their concerns. He said December's meeting will pave

:12:24.:12:27.

the way for a deal in February. By then David Cameron will be forced to

:12:28.:12:35.

decide whether to campaign for a Brexit or stay in the EU.

:12:36.:12:37.

and committed eurosceptic Iain Duncan Smith

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has been speaking on The Andrew Marr show this morning,

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and he said the delay was a sign of strength, not weakness.

:12:44.:12:46.

Well the mood is actually very upbeat. I'm involved in putting

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together the package that the Prime Minister wants to take to the

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council. So we've been deep in discussion about that. The Prime

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Minister has been pretty clear throughout that he wants to take a

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package that supports the manifesto commitment. In my area for example

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on welfare it is very clear that he wants to have that commitment,

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people living here and contributing to the system, and that will be one

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of the key elements. We did ask for a government minister

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to talk to us about the prime minister's renegotiation plans

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but were told none was available. we can speak instead to the

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Conservative MP Bernard Jenkin, of the eurosceptic Conservatives

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For Britain group and he joins us

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from our Westminster studio. Welcome to the programme. Are you as

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upbeat and optimistic as Iain Duncan Smith? No. Ironic, really, because

:13:38.:13:46.

he and I were elected on the same day in 1992 and we both opposed the

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Maastricht Treaty. We both spare about the direction of the European

:13:51.:14:00.

Union. -- we both despair. And while he is gamely supporting the Prime

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Minister's negotiation in its centre is, I think he knows in his heart

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that this is a very lame renegotiation compared to what the

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Prime Minister was originally promising. I mean, there are a whole

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range of things that the Prime Minister wanted, like getting out of

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all the home affairs and justice revisions of the Lisbon Treaty, like

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getting a complete opt out of the EU Charter of fundamental rights, which

:14:29.:14:32.

is, for example, gives the power to the European court of justice to

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decide prisoner voting and not just the European Court of Human Rights,

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and so it goes on. But, you know, you know Iain Duncan

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Smith well, he is not known as a raging Europhile, and if he is

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optimistic and competent, certainly, publicly, the chances of a

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meaningful deal of a deal with Europe, -- meaningful chance of a

:14:57.:14:59.

deal with Europe, then why cannot you be? He is bound by his duty to

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the cabinet, but I am free to speak my mind, Iain Duncan Smith focus

:15:06.:15:09.

very narrowly on a very circular way, on his own, on the Prime

:15:10.:15:15.

Minister's own terms of reference. The European Union has changed so

:15:16.:15:19.

Minister's own terms of reference. dramatically over the last 20 or 30

:15:20.:15:25.

years, the question the British people are going to have to face, do

:15:26.:15:27.

they want to carry on with this journey? There is no status quo, is

:15:28.:15:30.

they want to carry on with the journey of integration, because what

:15:31.:15:34.

the prime ministers negotiating about, will not change the course of

:15:35.:15:39.

the European Union or the course of the United Kingdom within the

:15:40.:15:43.

European Union. They are relatively trivial, rather complicated, but

:15:44.:15:46.

relatively trivial negotiating demands. He's going to get the deal

:15:47.:15:52.

by February. Even if he gets the deal by February, it will not change

:15:53.:15:56.

the price of fish, it will not allow the UK Parliament to determine our

:15:57.:15:59.

own laws and it will not restrict the European court of justice,

:16:00.:16:04.

another of the Prime Minister's demands that he has now dropped. It

:16:05.:16:08.

will not restore the opt out of the social chapter, which was gained by

:16:09.:16:15.

John Major in the Maastricht Treaty, it will not achieve any of these

:16:16.:16:20.

things. There was never going to be enough concessions... I am glad you

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are making the point that this renegotiation was never really going

:16:25.:16:27.

to address the fundamental problems... Or, you were never going

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to be satisfied! The Prime Minister was making these much tougher

:16:37.:16:39.

demands. He has dropped these demands. I would be supporting the

:16:40.:16:43.

Prime Minister's negotiating position if he had stuck to his

:16:44.:16:47.

demands. Which one in particular, if there was one thing you would like

:16:48.:16:50.

to see him bring back which you could sell to your constituents,

:16:51.:16:55.

what would it be? The fundamental one, restrict the ability of the

:16:56.:16:58.

European Court of Justice to rule on almost anything. Risen a voting, I

:16:59.:17:04.

mentioned, it is now moving to that area. And the whole question of the

:17:05.:17:07.

relationship between those countries that do not want to be in political

:17:08.:17:11.

union, do not want to be involuntary union, do not want to be in the

:17:12.:17:17.

fiscal union treaty which has been redesigned by the call Eurozone

:17:18.:17:20.

states. -- prisoner voting. What we have got to face, this is not a

:17:21.:17:26.

status quo we are voting to stay in, it is a continuing development of

:17:27.:17:29.

European Union integration, if you want to have choices, you must vote

:17:30.:17:35.

Leave. It has been reported that the campaign will campaign for Brexit.

:17:36.:17:39.

LAUGHTER Would you welcome him leading the

:17:40.:17:44.

campaign from the out? You have laughed... We would welcome him

:17:45.:17:51.

joining the vote to leave campaign, but I don't think it is very likely,

:17:52.:17:58.

at the moment he is convincing people he's being really tough but

:17:59.:18:02.

we know that this is what happens in all EU negotiations, the government

:18:03.:18:06.

pretends to be tough, pretends to be a showdown, and in the end, hey

:18:07.:18:11.

presto, rabbit out of the hat, everything is marvellous. Game set

:18:12.:18:14.

and match for the British. Is there any thing, do you think, that Iain

:18:15.:18:19.

Duncan Smith will be able to sell once this renegotiation is done and

:18:20.:18:25.

dusted? Sell to the backbench... ? I doubt it, I think... As Bernard has

:18:26.:18:31.

suggested, in January, 2013, when David Cameron talked about

:18:32.:18:34.

renegotiation, he meant something sweeping, even in addition to the

:18:35.:18:37.

thing is Bernard has mentioned, even including flirting with the idea of

:18:38.:18:41.

some deep reform to European free movement, that was what was being

:18:42.:18:45.

suggested two years ago. There is not going to be anything approaching

:18:46.:18:48.

any of that in any deal that urges early next year. As it stands a

:18:49.:18:52.

number of backbenchers will find that hard to support. Tactic from

:18:53.:18:58.

Downing Street, to leak the idea that David Cameron might conceivably

:18:59.:19:02.

support the leave campaign, slightly misjudged, so transparent the

:19:03.:19:04.

obvious that he will not. If anything, it was a message sent to

:19:05.:19:11.

other European capitals, " if I don't do that smack if you do not do

:19:12.:19:18.

this deal, I may join the sceptics. -- if you do not do this deal". I

:19:19.:19:26.

agree with Jan, nobody will take seriously the idea that he will

:19:27.:19:28.

campaign for out because fundamentally that is not what he

:19:29.:19:31.

believes, he wants to stay in and has said seven the beginning.

:19:32.:19:35.

Bernard is right, there is a feeling that the renegotiation will only

:19:36.:19:40.

achieve something rather cosmetic. -- and has said so since the

:19:41.:19:45.

beginning. David Cameron may pull a rabbit out of a hat and pretend that

:19:46.:19:48.

he has got a concession but people will not be convinced. I leave it to

:19:49.:19:53.

Nick to stick up for the Prime Minister in this particular

:19:54.:19:55.

instance, what would the rabbit in the hat, the rabbit coming out of

:19:56.:19:59.

the hat, be, for David Cameron, once this deal is done and dusted. It

:20:00.:20:05.

will be examined as rabbit, because we will know about it! He cannot go

:20:06.:20:10.

beyond what he wrote in the letter to Donald Tusk, the rabbit that he

:20:11.:20:14.

takes out of a hat which says, isn't this amazing, isn't opt out from the

:20:15.:20:19.

historic commitment to ever closer union, he will say it is

:20:20.:20:22.

significant... He will say it has an impact on the European Court of

:20:23.:20:26.

judgment rulings, but the point is, first, we know that is what he wants

:20:27.:20:31.

to achieve, and also, people like Bernard, and we can see he is

:20:32.:20:35.

nodding (!), he will say this is just a cosmetic change, it is not

:20:36.:20:39.

going to change the fundamental privacy of EU law over EU law. --

:20:40.:20:46.

fundamental primacy of EU law over UK law. If there were a concession

:20:47.:20:49.

fundamental primacy of EU law over on in work benefits, many people

:20:50.:20:52.

feel that is impossible, bearing in mind the laws, would that satisfy

:20:53.:20:58.

you? It would not, in the end, the European Court of Justice will

:20:59.:21:01.

always have the power to overturn Teva has been agreed, the problem

:21:02.:21:06.

the Prime Minister has got, he started at the beginning with

:21:07.:21:08.

grappling with quite some big things, but refusing to argue with

:21:09.:21:14.

the overall architecture of the European Union. -- grappling with

:21:15.:21:18.

some quite big things. If you do not change the architecture, nothing

:21:19.:21:21.

will really change, except that the European Union will carry on

:21:22.:21:25.

morphing into a state and we will be part of that, whether we are in out

:21:26.:21:29.

of the Euro, ever closer treaty in the treaty -- ever closer union in

:21:30.:21:34.

the treaty, not in the treaty, whatever. Thank you very much for

:21:35.:21:36.

joining us. The real substance being debated

:21:37.:21:40.

by MPs in the Commons on Wednesday may have been whether to extend air

:21:41.:21:45.

strikes into Syria but it was the conflict inside

:21:46.:21:47.

Jeremy Corbyn's party that ended up

:21:48.:21:49.

grabbing just as many headlines. Even when the party finally arrived

:21:50.:21:51.

at a position, it couldn't heal the rift between

:21:52.:21:54.

the leader and some of his MPs. The party received

:21:55.:21:58.

a much-needed boost with a comfortable majority

:21:59.:22:00.

in Thursday's by-election. So when it comes to Jeremy Corbyn's

:22:01.:22:03.

Labour, just what do the voters

:22:04.:22:05.

make of it all? Labour won the old by-election and

:22:06.:22:17.

comfortable, there are majority was reduced but they increased their

:22:18.:22:20.

share of the vote, Jeremy Corbyn says it shows that Labour is

:22:21.:22:25.

electoral. We, with the help of the pollen company populace, have

:22:26.:22:27.

gathered together a group of people that once voted Labour but did not

:22:28.:22:31.

at the last election. We are going to hear of what they think of the

:22:32.:22:36.

new Labour Party and behind this screen, we have two seasoned Labour

:22:37.:22:40.

advisers to pass comment on what they hear. Vets get started. --

:22:41.:22:46.

polling company Populous. -- let's get started. All of the former

:22:47.:22:50.

Labour voters are from London, and at the general election they spread

:22:51.:22:54.

their approach to Ukip, the greens, conservatives and Lib Dem, all of

:22:55.:22:58.

them felt Labour lost their vote over the economy, Ed Miliband and

:22:59.:23:01.

being out of touch. What do they make of Labour today? -- Greens.

:23:02.:23:07.

They are moving in the right direction, with a charismatic

:23:08.:23:10.

leader, whose policies seem to be standing up for the average man. I

:23:11.:23:22.

disagree, no disrespect, for me, I am quite a middle ground person,

:23:23.:23:27.

going from the left to the right, they have gone far too left for me.

:23:28.:23:34.

For me they are unelectable. He is very principled, I respect him for

:23:35.:23:38.

that but I do not agree with his policies, particularly defence.

:23:39.:23:44.

Initial impressions? Did people know who he was before he became the

:23:45.:23:49.

Labour leader? I had not. Had you heard of him? I had heard of him...

:23:50.:23:56.

He seems principled, compassionate... He has used a term,

:23:57.:24:01.

the new politics... Have you heard that? Yes... Do you know what he

:24:02.:24:10.

means? Not specifically, I presume he means a different attitude

:24:11.:24:14.

towards leading the party and the way they make decisions perhaps.

:24:15.:24:21.

It goes back to the same problem, if you have a vague catchphrase and no

:24:22.:24:29.

substance behind it... Maybe I am not seeing the strong leadership --

:24:30.:24:34.

leadership capability, I understand he's principled, but as a leader of

:24:35.:24:37.

the country, I am not convinced. Does that sound like a good way of

:24:38.:24:41.

changing things, giving them more freedom in the way that they vote?

:24:42.:24:46.

It brings a more human feel, does not feel like everyone is a robot,

:24:47.:24:50.

all of us in this room, we could all be voting for Labour but we would

:24:51.:24:53.

all have different opinions on things. That is... That is a human,

:24:54.:25:00.

you know, that is human nature. I think the fact that is being

:25:01.:25:04.

respected, that is good. But, keeping it in line, how he's going

:25:05.:25:08.

to manage that, that may be a problem. That woman has some up the

:25:09.:25:15.

nub of the problem! That is pretty much their position right now. This

:25:16.:25:24.

is a video clip... I'm not happy with the shoot to kill policy in

:25:25.:25:29.

general, I think that is quite dangerous. That is woolly. You

:25:30.:25:40.

cannot go from principled to Willy and evasive, that is a problem. --

:25:41.:25:47.

woolly and evasive. You need crystal clear clarity on security issues.

:25:48.:25:54.

You need to give somebody a bit of time, let them lace up their running

:25:55.:25:59.

shoes (!), they find their own pace, and they get a little bit of time.

:26:00.:26:03.

It is early days, he has just started in the job. In time, he will

:26:04.:26:09.

show, you know, a lot of strength will stop courage, I think. Why not

:26:10.:26:19.

vote Labour this time? -- a lot of strength and courage. Labour was

:26:20.:26:22.

giving benefits left right and centre, if somebody needs them,

:26:23.:26:26.

fine, but they were in so much debt, the country was getting further and

:26:27.:26:31.

further into debt. There was no end to it. Do you know the if Jeremy

:26:32.:26:37.

Corbyn and John Madonna's government would spend more money, would they

:26:38.:26:44.

put up taxes? -- do you know if they Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell

:26:45.:26:50.

government. I bet there is not a single specific about how it is

:26:51.:26:55.

different. Despite the debate about austerity. They have not mentioned

:26:56.:27:00.

that word once. The fact Labour have not articulated anything... They

:27:01.:27:07.

have asked a leading question, so not to give that response, that

:27:08.:27:11.

suggest, well,... We will not make up our minds... We do not know...

:27:12.:27:18.

These people are not the British electorate, nor can they alone give

:27:19.:27:22.

Labour a victory, but there will be plenty to note, as lost Labour

:27:23.:27:27.

voters, they seem prepared to give Labour and Jeremy Corbyn time to bed

:27:28.:27:29.

in. STUDIO: And I'm joined in the studio

:27:30.:27:35.

now by the Shadow Work and Pensions

:27:36.:27:37.

secretary, Owen Smith. We have had plenty of evidence from

:27:38.:27:41.

the pollsters, you saw and heard some of it, at the last election

:27:42.:27:46.

Labour was not trusted on the economy, particularly when it came

:27:47.:27:49.

to managing the welfare bill, do you think you are on the way to learning

:27:50.:27:53.

that trust? If you take the evidence of the poll that matters, the poll

:27:54.:27:58.

with the people, looking at Oldham, then perhaps we are winning back

:27:59.:28:03.

trust. There is no doubt we did not have it at the last election, that

:28:04.:28:07.

is why Labour lost and lost badly, but we did win a victory on Thursday

:28:08.:28:14.

in Oldham, up 10%, the Tories were down 10%. Perhaps we are in the

:28:15.:28:17.

foothills of starting to win back trust. I recognise and Jeremy Ross

:28:18.:28:22.

recognises we have a long way to go, almost five years until the next

:28:23.:28:27.

election and we will have to put in place policies and ideas to win back

:28:28.:28:32.

trust fully. -- Jeremy recognises. It was a Labour victory but that is

:28:33.:28:36.

a Labour heartland, you should not be surprised that you did well

:28:37.:28:41.

somewhere like Oldham, that is despite the policies of the national

:28:42.:28:44.

party, you could say, it you could say it is because of a strong Labour

:28:45.:28:48.

parliament, that is not a Nuneaton which you need to win back. But in

:28:49.:28:53.

the media we were talking about lots of suggestions that Labour was going

:28:54.:28:57.

to lose that seat, or if we win, we would win only by 1000. Labour MPs

:28:58.:29:03.

themselves were saying that! That is my point. But the pollsters were

:29:04.:29:07.

certainly saying in their view, we were likely to struggle. For us to

:29:08.:29:12.

hold it as well as we did, increase the share of the vote from last time

:29:13.:29:17.

around, 11,000 majority, you cannot say anything other than it was a

:29:18.:29:18.

good victory for Labour. I think it say anything other than it was a

:29:19.:29:24.

has to be a vindication both of Jim McMahon, the excellent candidate,

:29:25.:29:28.

now the MP for old, a good local guy who has been a council leader, very

:29:29.:29:33.

well respected. -- Oldham. The kind of community-based politicians that

:29:34.:29:39.

we produce in labour. -- community rooted politicians. But also a

:29:40.:29:43.

vindication of Jeremy Corbyn and the rebuilding of trust. Nobody in

:29:44.:29:46.

Oldham can be in any doubts as to who is the leader of the Labour

:29:47.:29:48.

Party right now! Let's talk about welfare, we heard

:29:49.:29:58.

the lady saying Labour was giving benefits left, right and centre and

:29:59.:30:01.

leaving the country in so much debt, how do you address that? Well, I

:30:02.:30:05.

think we've got to start by doing what we did not do well enough under

:30:06.:30:08.

the last parliament which is call out the line from the Tory party

:30:09.:30:14.

that the dead this country were in and are still in, let's not forget

:30:15.:30:18.

the Tories have practically doubled debt. Let's talk about welfare

:30:19.:30:23.

specifically. Happy to. The Labour Party under Harriet Harman clearly

:30:24.:30:26.

felt it should move closer to the Conservatives on welfare and not

:30:27.:30:32.

further away, the party did not vote against their bill introducing ?12

:30:33.:30:35.

billion of saving and Harriet Harman said she was sympathetic to lowering

:30:36.:30:40.

the benefits cap. You did not vote against the limit on child tax

:30:41.:30:46.

credits for two children. In that vote we definitely were wrong and

:30:47.:30:51.

that's why Labour has now voted against the welfare bill, and the

:30:52.:30:55.

reason for that is the reason many people in this country, I

:30:56.:31:34.

And a Labour Party to be abstaining on whether we make people, working

:31:35.:31:41.

people put in this country. People want the Labour Party to stand up.

:31:42.:31:46.

What is your evidence for seeing that people want you to do that.

:31:47.:31:52.

Harriet Harman announced that did not oppose limiting tax credits to

:31:53.:31:56.

two children because we cannot say to the public that you were wrong at

:31:57.:32:00.

the election. Who is representing the people? Wii .2 Heidi Allen, who

:32:01.:32:06.

you have on the programme later on, or any of the other 30 or so Tory

:32:07.:32:12.

MPs boosted up against their own Prime Minister a few weeks ago,

:32:13.:32:15.

saying they had got it wrong on tax credits. Let's have a look... The

:32:16.:32:21.

Tories described that as welfare spending. That was part of their ?12

:32:22.:32:26.

million election spending. It is legitimate for me to speak about

:32:27.:32:32.

that. You said people want us to do this. I'm trying to get the evidence

:32:33.:32:38.

for that. Yes, on tax credits, but more broadly on Labour's perception

:32:39.:32:44.

of people of labour with welfare. We have seen leaks from opinion polling

:32:45.:32:49.

in which people said that Labour was in thrall to the undeserving. It

:32:50.:32:53.

needs to be for middle-class voters, not just down and outs, and the

:32:54.:32:58.

Labour win would have been good for people on benefits and immigrants,

:32:59.:33:02.

anyone claiming money. How will you win an election is people only see

:33:03.:33:07.

you is representing those groups? We have got to win an election because

:33:08.:33:11.

those groups and low and middle income earners in Britain, the very

:33:12.:33:16.

people being hit by tax credit cards and now the universal credit cards

:33:17.:33:19.

coming on stream next year, they need a Labour government in order to

:33:20.:33:24.

introduce fairness. They also want to know that we are in favour of

:33:25.:33:29.

reform. There is no doubt about that. We lose the evidence? This is

:33:30.:33:34.

your own focus groups and opinion polling. It is not in line with what

:33:35.:33:39.

the public want or the way that they view you. That is what I have said.

:33:40.:33:45.

In addition to supporting in work benefits for people in low and

:33:46.:33:49.

middle income jobs like tax credits and universal credit, we need to be

:33:50.:33:53.

making an argument for a reform of the wider system. Do you accept your

:33:54.:33:59.

not doing that? We are starting to do that. In the New Year I will be

:34:00.:34:03.

announcing a big commissioned by the Labour Party to look at Social

:34:04.:34:08.

Security, to present a Labour alternative for a reform Social

:34:09.:34:14.

Security system. For generations people have increasingly become

:34:15.:34:17.

mistrustful of the Social Security system. They think it is unfair and

:34:18.:34:22.

inefficient, under Labour and Tory. We need to win back the trust of

:34:23.:34:27.

people in it we cause it should be a massive positive for the country

:34:28.:34:31.

that we have a generous welfare state. Which policy decisions so far

:34:32.:34:36.

are going to back up that idea of reform rather than people's idea

:34:37.:34:41.

that only four people on benefits if you're trying to broaden your

:34:42.:34:45.

appeal? You have talked about tax credits but if you want to lower the

:34:46.:34:50.

benefit cap, if you do not want to limit tax credits, which policy

:34:51.:34:54.

areas back up what you have said about reform? We have said clearly

:34:55.:35:00.

that we support the government in capping the overall spending on

:35:01.:35:04.

social security, so they have introduced the cab. And the benefit

:35:05.:35:09.

cap? The benefit cap, interestingly, we have reserved judgment on that.

:35:10.:35:15.

Only two weeks ago... That was not your view? Let me finish, please. We

:35:16.:35:21.

had an opinion from a judge in London that the benefit cap was

:35:22.:35:24.

discriminating against disabled people. There is further evidence

:35:25.:35:29.

that it is is not doing what the government set out to do. It is not

:35:30.:35:34.

saving money. Local councils are having to spend money on

:35:35.:35:38.

discretionary housing payments to support people who been made

:35:39.:35:42.

homeless as a result of it. Only around 4% of people seem to be

:35:43.:35:48.

getting any benefit. What is this benefit cap for? We need to have a

:35:49.:35:52.

limit on the amount of money that people can have individually. And as

:35:53.:35:58.

households. It has to reflect need. That is important. It sounded like

:35:59.:36:04.

you wanted to drop the idea of the benefit cap in principle. You still

:36:05.:36:10.

support the idea of the benefit cap at ?26,000 a year? We do not. You

:36:11.:36:15.

did supported at the election. At the election, we did and since then,

:36:16.:36:21.

we have changed our view. Cutting it to ?23,000, from ?26,000, which is

:36:22.:36:28.

what was included in the Welfare Bill, it is very complicated, that

:36:29.:36:31.

would mean it would affect millions of people across Britain. What

:36:32.:36:38.

should be cap be? We need to get back to principle that people use to

:36:39.:36:43.

understand, the connection between the sort of support you might

:36:44.:36:46.

receive from the state, the amount of money you contribute, getting

:36:47.:36:50.

back to connection between contribution and reward. Also, it

:36:51.:36:56.

needs. If you have got three children are you fall pregnant in a

:36:57.:37:00.

period when you lose your job, you do not get penalised for having that

:37:01.:37:06.

third child. It seems extraordinary that the government is penalising

:37:07.:37:09.

people. You're not supporting the cap, you cannot give me a figure?

:37:10.:37:14.

You are now reviewing the whole policy. You agree with Jeremy

:37:15.:37:19.

Corbyn, it resulted in social cleansing? We said shortly after the

:37:20.:37:23.

election we would oppose the reduction. That is not true. When I

:37:24.:37:28.

spoke to your last, you said you were going to stick to the principle

:37:29.:37:33.

of a benefit cap? I did not. You did. You said in September you

:37:34.:37:37.

wanted to have the benefit cap in principle, you did not agree to

:37:38.:37:42.

lowering it to 23000 and Jeremy Corbyn was against it. I said that

:37:43.:37:51.

we were reviewing the concept of the benefit cap across the board. What

:37:52.:37:55.

that we do except there have to be limits on the amount of money that

:37:56.:37:59.

an individual household can get in benefits. We need to get to a point

:38:00.:38:06.

where we have a much fairer set of criteria to analyse and understand

:38:07.:38:10.

why we should be giving family eggs and not the other family. That

:38:11.:38:15.

should reflect the number of children they have got, the nature

:38:16.:38:19.

of work they are in, the relative security of that family, fundamental

:38:20.:38:24.

principles we have at your two. Most viewers will not understand a

:38:25.:38:28.

government that says that they will penalised children and take money

:38:29.:38:32.

away from them on the basis of how many children you have. You did at

:38:33.:38:36.

stain on that issue earlier. But you have changed your mind. In terms of

:38:37.:38:41.

Shadow Cabinet colleagues, should your colleagues worry about being

:38:42.:38:46.

sacked? I do not think they should be. I am not in charge of

:38:47.:38:51.

reshuffles. That is a job for Jeremy. This is newspaper tittle

:38:52.:38:55.

tattle. From what I have seen of the way that Jeremy has handled this in

:38:56.:39:00.

Shadow Cabinet, he has been keen to stress that we have to be respectful

:39:01.:39:04.

of the different views. I voted against, others voted in favour. Any

:39:05.:39:10.

abuse that anyone has been subject to as a result of decisions taken in

:39:11.:39:15.

good faith is disgraceful. We should not settle for it or allow it in the

:39:16.:39:26.

Labour Party. Thank you very much. It has just gone 11:40am.

:39:27.:39:30.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now

:39:31.:39:33.

Good morning and welcome to Sunday Politics Scotland.

:39:34.:39:36.

MPs vote overwhelmingly to extend air strikes into Syria, but the SNP

:39:37.:39:42.

So where does it leave the party now?

:39:43.:39:47.

We'll put that to SNP MP Stephen Gethins.

:39:48.:39:51.

Nicola Sturgeon will represent Scotland at the climate change talks

:39:52.:39:56.

in Paris, but critics say the government's record

:39:57.:39:57.

The First Minister tells the international community she has the

:39:58.:40:06.

most ambitious targets in the world but will she remember to tell them

:40:07.:40:09.

that she has not hit those targets once?

:40:10.:40:10.

And it's 25 years since Margaret Thatcher stood down

:40:11.:40:12.

SNP MPs took to Twitter and other social media swiftly

:40:13.:40:25.

after Wednesday's Commons vote to extend air strikes to Syria,

:40:26.:40:28.

to disassociate themselves from the decision.

:40:29.:40:33.

All 54 Nationalist MPs voted against the motion with the First Minister

:40:34.:40:36.

saying beforehand that giving them a free vote on the issue was

:40:37.:40:38.

unnecessary as "everybody" in the party's parliamentary group agreed

:40:39.:40:41.

that the case for air strikes had not been made. But with the

:40:42.:40:44.

government at Westminster securing a significant majority for action,

:40:45.:40:46.

Does it show a genuine fault line north and south of the border?

:40:47.:40:52.

Well, joining us from London is SNP MP Stephen Gethins, who sits on the

:40:53.:40:55.

Good morning. There seem to be some suggestions that the fact the SNP

:40:56.:41:11.

did not vote for this meant it was somehow illegitimate in Scotland.

:41:12.:41:14.

Can you explain what your party members were trying to say? 57 out

:41:15.:41:20.

of 59 Scottish MPs, remember that the sole Labour MPs voted against

:41:21.:41:25.

this as well. We are saying that a great chunk of ours voted against

:41:26.:41:30.

bombing action in Syria because it was not the right thing to do. It is

:41:31.:41:36.

a slightly odd argument to make. The reason there are so many SNP MPs for

:41:37.:41:41.

a start is because of the first past the post system that you profess to

:41:42.:41:45.

profoundly disagree with. We still do. It might benefit us now but we

:41:46.:41:51.

still disagree with that. To say that somehow or other this is

:41:52.:41:54.

illegitimate for Westminster to vote under behalf of Scotland on this

:41:55.:41:59.

issue, because you have so many MPs because of the system that you have

:42:00.:42:04.

accepted as a legitimate, that is a very peculiar writer meant. The

:42:05.:42:08.

Westminster Parliament has responsibility over foreign affairs.

:42:09.:42:13.

I'm in favour of independence. The Westminster Parliament has voted for

:42:14.:42:16.

military action. I do not think it is the right decision and as part of

:42:17.:42:20.

the Foreign Affairs Committee I have been arguing about this for months

:42:21.:42:24.

and looking at the facts. Now we are in this situation, we need to get

:42:25.:42:32.

behind our service personnel who are involved in that. Again, have you

:42:33.:42:35.

any evidence that opinion, opinion is clearly divided on this issue

:42:36.:42:38.

throughout Britain, is there any evidence that Scotland is

:42:39.:42:42.

different? I think people have different views on this. I said in

:42:43.:42:47.

the chamber this week, unlike David Cameron I respect people on both

:42:48.:42:52.

sides. People voted for air strike is who did so for very legitimate

:42:53.:42:57.

reasons. I disagree with them. My mailbox is full of people who

:42:58.:43:01.

disagree with this as well based on the fact that we have. The only

:43:02.:43:05.

opinion poll that was not an Internet opinion poll was done by

:43:06.:43:12.

YouGov. It was 50-50. 44% of people in Scotland were in favour of air

:43:13.:43:20.

strikes, 41% were against. You get different opinion polls but I have

:43:21.:43:27.

had something like 100-1, 100-1 in terms of responses in my mailbox

:43:28.:43:31.

from people who disagree what we are doing. We look at the military

:43:32.:43:37.

impact and diplomatic initiatives, we looked at the legality and found

:43:38.:43:42.

the case had not been made. This was a fact -based argument. Over the

:43:43.:43:47.

last couple of weeks, the city of Sinjar has been retaken by Kurdish

:43:48.:43:53.

forces from IS. It is widely accepted, including by the Kurdish

:43:54.:43:57.

forces themselves, they could not have done that without the support

:43:58.:44:04.

of American air power. Why was it wrong for American air power to

:44:05.:44:11.

help? Sinjar was one of the towns populated by UCD is, who faced the

:44:12.:44:16.

prospect of mass execution. Nobody said it was wrong. We said there was

:44:17.:44:22.

a need for long-term strategy. You voted against the use of air power

:44:23.:44:28.

in Iraq. This goes to the heart of the issue. There are no ground

:44:29.:44:32.

troops at the moment. There are no ground troops to take Raqqa. A few

:44:33.:44:38.

months ago, you voted against using the RAF in Iraq. I said there should

:44:39.:44:46.

be a long-term strategy. You voted against using air power in Iraq. We

:44:47.:44:51.

voted against because there was no long-term strategy. Why was it wrong

:44:52.:44:56.

for air power to be used to liberate Sinjar? There needs to be a

:44:57.:45:00.

long-term strategy and ground troops. There are no ground troops

:45:01.:45:06.

in Syria. If I were living in Sinjar, and I heard what you had

:45:07.:45:10.

said, I would but be impressed. I might well be saying, I am extremely

:45:11.:45:14.

glad that the cards have taken over Sinjar.

:45:15.:45:20.

Because you have Kurdish round true. The party previously noted

:45:21.:45:31.

against grand strategy. -- Kurdish true is. You have no exit strategy

:45:32.:45:43.

but you have got ground troops. Last week in Parliament beware debating

:45:44.:45:48.

about the fact we had no round troops. I'll hope I am wrong and

:45:49.:45:53.

that just air strikes work in putting an end to Daesh but I do not

:45:54.:45:58.

think that will be the case. Other experts do not think that will be

:45:59.:46:04.

the case either. Argue against the United States and France bombing in

:46:05.:46:12.

Syria? I think without a long-term plan, you need some kind of

:46:13.:46:17.

long-term plan here. We quite deliberately narrowly looked at the

:46:18.:46:21.

UK cause that is the Avia we are looking at what the needs to be a

:46:22.:46:25.

long-term plan. With the United States and France and other places

:46:26.:46:32.

you need a long-term plan because I struggle to see the difference air

:46:33.:46:38.

strikes will make. You are looking to liberate Sinjar because you were

:46:39.:46:43.

worried about British troops being used the. We have form about taking

:46:44.:46:49.

military action which was a disaster in Libya, in Iraq and did not work

:46:50.:46:57.

well in Afghanistan either. You voted for bombing Libya. That did

:46:58.:47:04.

not pan out too well because of the long-term effects. This is something

:47:05.:47:11.

the MoD have to answer questions on. We spent ?25 million on

:47:12.:47:15.

reconstruction in Libya. For every ?30 we spent bombing he spent ?1 on

:47:16.:47:21.

reconstruction and for me those numbers should have been the wrong

:47:22.:47:27.

way round. It could have been a humanitarian situation on the

:47:28.:47:31.

ground. What we probably should have done was interrogate further. That

:47:32.:47:36.

is over what the long-term plans where. This is a mistake the MoD

:47:37.:47:42.

have made time after time from Iraq on words. It is a field you to have

:47:43.:47:48.

a long-term plan in strategy. When you talk about the context of

:47:49.:47:51.

extending the bombing plane into Syria, what is the construction of?

:47:52.:48:00.

This is why diplomats and is so important. And the Siena process.

:48:01.:48:06.

You need some kind of agreement between BBN process partners. --

:48:07.:48:15.

Vienna process. Everyone wants to see an end to Daesh but bombing is

:48:16.:48:20.

not the way to do it. Either the spread of poisonous propaganda. When

:48:21.:48:25.

you are talking about reconstruction... Reconstruction has

:48:26.:48:32.

become and you have to have a long-term plan. I am talking about

:48:33.:48:39.

the commitment of 20 two 30 years. You talk about reconstruction of the

:48:40.:48:44.

Syrian state is that it is around. We were gradually talking about

:48:45.:48:49.

Libya a moment ago. You cannot create a vacuum. No one is

:48:50.:48:55.

suggesting using military action against a sad and the Syrian state.

:48:56.:49:03.

The wearer two years ago. We have changed their minds now. Daesh

:49:04.:49:11.

President Assad. The lack of being for reconstruction for something

:49:12.:49:17.

nobody is proposing to bomb is a reason for attacking, that seems

:49:18.:49:22.

wrong. You need a long-term plan and commitment. That has to be the

:49:23.:49:28.

lesson. If we have learned anything from the disaster in Iraq it has to

:49:29.:49:32.

be that you need to win the peace as well as having won the military

:49:33.:49:36.

conflict. You need to start planning that from the moment you enter into

:49:37.:49:42.

the military conflict. We need to end the year, thank you for joining

:49:43.:49:44.

us. 25 years ago, Margaret Thatcher

:49:45.:49:46.

was beginning a new career. After 11 years at Number 10,

:49:47.:49:49.

her behaviour and her policies were concerning colleagues, as they

:49:50.:49:51.

feared for the Conservatives' As she complained about "

:49:52.:49:53.

treachery with a smile on its face", But she was safe

:49:54.:49:57.

in the knowledge that she'd made her A quarter of a century on,

:49:58.:50:01.

our political correspondent, And steal food to differing now in

:50:02.:50:18.

Ravenscraig. Now the busy ?52 million sports centre. It is a

:50:19.:50:23.

world-class centre we have put on the site of Ravenscraig and we have

:50:24.:50:30.

a wide scope of events taking place, local, Scottish, European. It has

:50:31.:50:36.

had a fantastic response. Heavy industry declined and collapsed in

:50:37.:50:44.

the 1970s, it 80s and Ravenscraig chat in the 1990s. Arguments still

:50:45.:50:49.

rage about who is to blame for the failures. A generation of critics

:50:50.:50:55.

blame one person. We are leaving Downing Street for the first time

:50:56.:51:04.

after 11 and a half wonderful years. Wonderful for some but not others.

:51:05.:51:09.

Many in Scotland made their voices heard particularly over the

:51:10.:51:13.

introduction of the poll tax. A symbol that she feel to get

:51:14.:51:20.

Scotland. For Scotland industrial devastation, social disaster and

:51:21.:51:22.

politically she paved the way for a devastation, social disaster and

:51:23.:51:27.

new kind of Scotland. At the end of the day that might be a big plus but

:51:28.:51:34.

it has been a very, very heavy price Scotland as paid. The big plus the

:51:35.:51:41.

say is this please. The Scottish Parliament. There is a view that she

:51:42.:51:51.

left another political legacy, too. Scotland are still seen as second

:51:52.:51:54.

best which I think is to do with Mrs Thatcher. I suspect that for a long

:51:55.:52:01.

time to come the those naughty lot the Tories can do about it. The

:52:02.:52:06.

Conservatives who have been in the party for quite some time argue Mrs

:52:07.:52:11.

Thatcher had a hard job and she did it well. It was the time of great

:52:12.:52:17.

economic and social change which was painful for people but in the 1970s

:52:18.:52:23.

the economy was backward and outdated and needed modernised. At

:52:24.:52:27.

the end of Margaret Hatcher was my DD den offers we had the much more

:52:28.:52:31.

diverse party with opportunities articulate for young people. I will

:52:32.:52:40.

hand out where as a little broken. Our right to buy policy was hugely

:52:41.:52:44.

popular, an instrument of social change. Some say it would be fair to

:52:45.:52:50.

reassess our legacy and combat the mess. Ravenscraig she did not shut,

:52:51.:52:58.

it shot up after she had moved on. Now wanted have kept it open. It was

:52:59.:53:03.

not making steel competitively. The mythology of fracture lives on and

:53:04.:53:09.

people continue to hate her but frankly they should be grateful for

:53:10.:53:15.

Margaret Thatcher. It depends on your point of view but one thing has

:53:16.:53:19.

not changed, when to five years on we are still talking about Margaret

:53:20.:53:20.

Thatcher. The First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon,

:53:21.:53:24.

will be in Paris tomorrow, to attend this year's UN climate change

:53:25.:53:27.

conference as it enters its crucial, Governments from around the world

:53:28.:53:29.

are attempting to thrash out a deal Meanwhile, at home,

:53:30.:53:33.

the Scottish government has faced renewed criticism over

:53:34.:53:36.

its failure to achieve its own On Thursday,

:53:37.:53:39.

Labour leader Kezia Dugdale used First Minister's Questions to attack

:53:40.:53:41.

the government's record. She is going to Paris to show our

:53:42.:53:57.

world leading targets set the benchmark the world community needs

:53:58.:54:01.

to match. This parliament unanimously set those targets in

:54:02.:54:06.

2009 so when the First Minister tell the international community she had

:54:07.:54:10.

the most ambitious targets in the world will she remember to tell them

:54:11.:54:17.

she has not let those targets once. I would encourage Kezia Dugdale to

:54:18.:54:21.

study in some detail of the facts and information around this. In

:54:22.:54:25.

particular I would encourage her, I hope she can continue to come

:54:26.:54:31.

together, as one on this global issue, that when we set a target for

:54:32.:54:38.

2013 in 2010, the reduction in carbon that we anticipated at that

:54:39.:54:46.

time was 31.7%, that was the target we anticipated we would have do

:54:47.:54:49.

reduce emissions by. What we have achieved is 30.4% from the 1990

:54:50.:54:58.

baseline. The only reason why that means we still have not met the

:54:59.:55:03.

target is because of the increases to that baseline. Fixed annual

:55:04.:55:06.

targets were mess because of improvements to the way the data was

:55:07.:55:12.

calculated which added megatons to the 1990 baseline.

:55:13.:55:16.

Let's cross to the French capital now, and join BBC Scotland's

:55:17.:55:19.

environment correspondent, David Miller, who'll be covering

:55:20.:55:20.

First on these talks more generally, Copenhagen was a complete

:55:21.:55:31.

wash-out, is there any reason to suspect this will be more positive?

:55:32.:55:37.

That is putting it mildly in terms of Copenhagen. All the signs that

:55:38.:55:42.

this speech, the midway point at this weeks summit are indicating

:55:43.:55:46.

real progress has been made. We are right a very different ways to that

:55:47.:55:52.

which raised us back in Copenhagen in 2009. Vince the world leaders

:55:53.:55:57.

departed Paris at the start of the week when they came in to get this

:55:58.:56:03.

conference on the road, delegates from 195 countries have been working

:56:04.:56:08.

steadfastly to come up with a draft text to present to ministers when

:56:09.:56:12.

they arrive here tomorrow. That work is completed in the words of the

:56:13.:56:17.

French climate ambassador, nothing has been decided and nothing will be

:56:18.:56:23.

left behind. She said this text marks the well of all to reach an

:56:24.:56:31.

agreement. Clearly there are major stumbling blocks which remain and in

:56:32.:56:35.

particular over the next few days we have to keep a very close eye on

:56:36.:56:40.

negotiations between the developed world and the developing world. We

:56:41.:56:45.

are seeing real division beer as always that these summits but

:56:46.:56:53.

particularly here over who has two cut and make the biggest sacrifices

:56:54.:56:57.

and crucially over who he is the most. What does Nicholas Durden

:56:58.:57:05.

think she can bring to the party? The First Minister we heard still

:57:06.:57:11.

believes Scotland has a positive story to tell. Still believes

:57:12.:57:18.

Cortland can lead by example. The real danger here is we constantly

:57:19.:57:27.

parrot this line about Scotland's world leading climate change targets

:57:28.:57:30.

and perhaps we give ourselves too large a part on the back. That is

:57:31.:57:34.

certainly the argument of Kezia Dugdale as we have heard and it is

:57:35.:57:38.

interesting that when you come to these climate summits you do tend to

:57:39.:57:42.

get the white from international delegates who generally genuinely

:57:43.:57:49.

are interested in those Scottish targets, 80% by 2050, they are very

:57:50.:57:55.

ambitious targets which still attract attention internationally.

:57:56.:58:02.

Yes, of course, Scotland is failing to hit those international targets

:58:03.:58:05.

but the growing of confidence among Scottish Government ministers and

:58:06.:58:10.

their advisers and statisticians and the Scottish Government that

:58:11.:58:14.

Scotland is very definitely on track to hit that 42% target. The is still

:58:15.:58:22.

interest in Scotland's story and Nicholas to urge and will be using

:58:23.:58:25.

that example to encourage others to act. -- Nicola Sturgeon. The

:58:26.:58:34.

resonant port of way of implementing those policies around the world and

:58:35.:58:38.

B will hear more tomorrow from the First Minister about the work of the

:58:39.:58:43.

states and impact and how that is helping deliver climate change

:58:44.:58:48.

policies internationally. She will also be talking about climate

:58:49.:58:52.

justice to make sure the world's oeuvres people are not most likely

:58:53.:58:59.

to suffer climate change consequences most acutely. Despite

:59:00.:59:05.

having had the lowest emissions over centuries. Thank you for joining us.

:59:06.:59:11.

Last Thursday was International Day Of Disabled People.

:59:12.:59:13.

In recognition of under-representation

:59:14.:59:14.

in political life, the Scottish government announced

:59:15.:59:15.

The aim is to identify barriers people with disabilities face

:59:16.:59:19.

Some rules have already been changed concerning disabled candidate

:59:20.:59:23.

This pilot project will hopefully lead to improved representation

:59:24.:59:30.

in elections in Scotland over the next couple of years.

:59:31.:59:32.

Jack Ashton lead, who's no longer with us, and bang, former

:59:33.:59:47.

Westminster MP, David Blunkett, retired, and Robertson, current MSP.

:59:48.:59:55.

All political figures with a disability. 20% of Scotland's

:59:56.:00:00.

population has a disability. Campaigners say they are

:00:01.:00:04.

underrepresented in politics. A pilot project launched last week by

:00:05.:00:08.

the Scottish Government hopes to put this right. The access politics

:00:09.:00:17.

project aims to avoid practical, direct but not financial support for

:00:18.:00:20.

disabled people to come forward and participate in democracy, elected

:00:21.:00:24.

office in particular, overcome summing -- overcoming some of the

:00:25.:00:29.

barriers, providing things like mentoring, opening up meetings and

:00:30.:00:36.

documents to be more accessible. That is under the United Nations

:00:37.:00:39.

Convention, it is recognised as a human rights. We want to make that

:00:40.:00:45.

real. Inclusion Scotland, which represents people with

:00:46.:00:49.

disabilities, will administer the community empowerment front. We hear

:00:50.:00:55.

lots about a fairer Scotland, about democratic renewal participation,

:00:56.:00:58.

has labelled people having the right to be involved in all aspects of

:00:59.:01:03.

society and that most definitely includes politics and political

:01:04.:01:08.

representation. They want a UK budget to support people with

:01:09.:01:12.

disabilities into politics, at the access to elected office fund has

:01:13.:01:17.

been stopped as it was underused. That fund really only kicked in when

:01:18.:01:22.

someone wanted to stand to be selected to be a candidate. By the

:01:23.:01:27.

time you got to that point, the likelihood is you will have already

:01:28.:01:32.

found a way around all manner of barriers. It was ticking into late

:01:33.:01:38.

in the process. Of the 129 MSPs in the building behind me, only six of

:01:39.:01:44.

them have declared having a disability. To be representative of

:01:45.:01:49.

Scotland it would have to be 26. Only four out of 650 MPs at

:01:50.:01:55.

Westminster have declared a disability. Can I give you a leaflet

:01:56.:02:02.

for the SNP? One in five was set up to encourage greater participation

:02:03.:02:07.

in politics. The group, which covers all political parties, campaigned

:02:08.:02:11.

for this new Scottish initiative. The good news about the pilot

:02:12.:02:15.

project is it will be an opportunity for disabled people across Scotland

:02:16.:02:20.

to flag up the interest to Inclusion Scotland and take advantage of the

:02:21.:02:25.

support they can offer. As something like this has never been done

:02:26.:02:29.

before, we will have to wait and see what the results are. If many people

:02:30.:02:34.

put their names forward for the support, I am confident we will be

:02:35.:02:37.

able to continue and this will lead to the creation of the access to

:02:38.:02:41.

elected office fund which will break down the main barrier disabled

:02:42.:02:46.

people face, Finance. It is not always about the money. Some

:02:47.:02:50.

potential candidates believe that different ways of working could make

:02:51.:02:55.

a difference. I have several disabilities, some potential

:02:56.:02:56.

candidates believe that different ways of working could make a

:02:57.:03:02.

difference. I have several disabilities, summer for me, the

:03:03.:03:05.

barrier is that the job is completely inflexible. If we could

:03:06.:03:09.

have shared workloads and teleconferencing, it would make the

:03:10.:03:12.

job more easy for me to get involved. During this pilot period,

:03:13.:03:20.

Inclusion Scotland 120 with people from disabilities who are interested

:03:21.:03:21.

in a political career. It's time to look back over

:03:22.:03:23.

the events of the week and look Joining me now is the Scotsman

:03:24.:03:26.

journalist and political commentator Joyce McMillan,

:03:27.:03:34.

and the former special advisor to the SNP and public relations

:03:35.:03:36.

consultant Kevin Pringle. Obviously, Joyce, Syria has been

:03:37.:03:47.

dominant. At the end of it, do you think anything has advanced or gone

:03:48.:03:53.

backwards? Britain is now involved in that bombing campaign, for better

:03:54.:03:58.

or worse and that is the political reality that everyone has to deal

:03:59.:04:02.

with. It has been a fairly thorough debate, to be fair. On the side of

:04:03.:04:11.

the pro-bombers, it has been a very emotional debate. Hilary Benn's much

:04:12.:04:16.

discussed speech struck me as being 90% emotion. Its appeal was very

:04:17.:04:25.

faint historical analogies, and one that was ridiculous in the case of

:04:26.:04:29.

the International Brigade, but delivered with emotion, the need for

:04:30.:04:33.

Britain to be part of the struggle against fascism. It was acclaimed in

:04:34.:04:42.

the hothouse of Westminster. All the talk was this is some sort of huge

:04:43.:04:47.

moment in parliamentary history. I just wonder if it was. We are

:04:48.:04:53.

already involved in an IVF campaign in Iraq. Britain is already involved

:04:54.:04:58.

in so many different strands of this, humanitarian, diplomatic, to

:04:59.:05:04.

other aspects of the military. Germany made a decision this week to

:05:05.:05:07.

send a few vessels. They will not take part in direct combat but they

:05:08.:05:13.

will be involved. I do not believe that whole line of the argument. One

:05:14.:05:17.

of the problems with these kinds of discussions in the UK context is

:05:18.:05:21.

that people overestimate the significance of our role. We have a

:05:22.:05:28.

role to play. We are not a small country, but 12 planes, it will

:05:29.:05:32.

might be make or break for any west and effort anywhere. It would help

:05:33.:05:35.

us to make more rational decisions if we were to get a sense of

:05:36.:05:42.

proportion. There was a double-stranded, Kevin, it was

:05:43.:05:46.

partly about military action, but the results were sense that this is

:05:47.:05:50.

about having a seat at the top table. The supporters of bombing

:05:51.:05:54.

would say, it is not two different things. If you want to be taken

:05:55.:05:59.

seriously in the diplomatic process in Vienna, you have to be seen to be

:06:00.:06:06.

part of the coalition which is now fairly broad. I think Joyce is

:06:07.:06:09.

right. That narrative comes through too often in such issues. It was

:06:10.:06:13.

similar when Trident was debated recently in the House of Commons. As

:06:14.:06:17.

well as the actual case for Trident, which I do not think exists, rather

:06:18.:06:22.

than any military rationale, what comes across all the time is the

:06:23.:06:27.

political, the diplomatic need for the UK to have clout. There was an

:06:28.:06:32.

analogy between that debate and the debate on Syria this week. It seemed

:06:33.:06:37.

to not be settled on the military realities but on the issue of

:06:38.:06:42.

Clyde. Is that not a valid argument? I do not think it is. If

:06:43.:06:46.

you're going into military campaign, sending servicemen and women into

:06:47.:06:53.

conflict, the case has got to be signed on military grounds. This one

:06:54.:06:58.

is not. The fatal flaw, and I think this is a point that Stephen Gethins

:06:59.:07:01.

made earlier, there is no credible ground force they are. One of the

:07:02.:07:06.

good aspects of the debate in the House of Commons was a good expose

:07:07.:07:13.

in that particular regard the floor in the Prime Minister's case. That

:07:14.:07:15.

aspect of the ground force was not in the government motion, the fact

:07:16.:07:20.

there are supposedly 70,000 moderate troops. They are not there. It is

:07:21.:07:25.

like saying unless something retail scenario exists, which is never

:07:26.:07:30.

going to exist, we will do nothing? We use that as an excuse? It is not

:07:31.:07:34.

about doing nothing, it is about doing what is effective. It would be

:07:35.:07:41.

highly effective to starve -- of funding. They are extraordinarily

:07:42.:07:53.

wealthy. -- starve Daesh. We could do a lot through the banking

:07:54.:07:58.

system. The military case was lost because of the spurious diplomatic

:07:59.:08:07.

clout adamant. -- argument. Labour got bound up in this whole Syria

:08:08.:08:10.

thing and then they seemed to bounce back at the end of the week against

:08:11.:08:15.

everyone's expectations with the by-election victory. It was a very

:08:16.:08:25.

interesting results. I thought that Labour did not do well out of the

:08:26.:08:30.

debate on Syria because they appeared so divided, even if some of

:08:31.:08:34.

them were making pretty strong arguments on either side. There you

:08:35.:08:40.

go. Obviously the voters they did not seem to mind so much about

:08:41.:08:45.

Labour are being divided. It was a very low turnout. I wonder if there

:08:46.:08:49.

is an element, this thing that parties cannot be divided, it is

:08:50.:08:55.

something that political commentators say. When you speak to

:08:56.:08:59.

people about this issue, they seem to be more interested in the issue

:09:00.:09:04.

of Syria. They say, if people have different views, that is fine. The

:09:05.:09:09.

important thing is who is right and who's wrong, not whether are

:09:10.:09:13.

divided. That is an interesting question that we do not know the

:09:14.:09:18.

answer to yet. Historically being divided has not served political

:09:19.:09:23.

parties well. One of the interesting things about Jeremy Corbyn is that

:09:24.:09:26.

he is trying to change the language of it. He is trying to speak in a

:09:27.:09:31.

different way about having debates within the party and the rest of it.

:09:32.:09:35.

Admittedly it has turned nasty this week, for similar reasons to what

:09:36.:09:39.

happened during the independence referendum campaign, where one

:09:40.:09:44.

particular side was smeared by association with a few loudmouths on

:09:45.:09:48.

the Internet. That is not Jeremy Corbyn's line. He may be succeeding

:09:49.:09:55.

in making people think how much they value unity in a party, and how much

:09:56.:10:00.

of a party, and how much they value honesty. Kevin, you used to be a

:10:01.:10:07.

spin doctor. If you were advising Jeremy Corbyn, what would you be

:10:08.:10:12.

seeing? Would you be saying, we cannot have this division? I think

:10:13.:10:17.

you have got to lead. What Joyce says is correct, and obviously the

:10:18.:10:21.

by-election was successful, probably for a mix of local and national

:10:22.:10:26.

reasons, arguably more local because the candidate was a particularly

:10:27.:10:31.

strong local candidate. Certainly the national dimension did no harm.

:10:32.:10:35.

The very least that Jeremy Corbyn supporters can say is, hang on a

:10:36.:10:39.

minute, everyone said having this man as leader would be a disaster,

:10:40.:10:45.

even in our core areas. Irrespective of whether Corbyn can win in the

:10:46.:10:50.

south of England, the very least Corbyn supporters can say is that

:10:51.:10:54.

you were wrong when you said that we could not even win over our

:10:55.:10:59.

traditional heartland. Clearly Labour can win in traditional areas

:11:00.:11:01.

like Oldham. It was well served by Labour can win in traditional areas

:11:02.:11:06.

Michael Meacher for a long time. The candidate now seems to be

:11:07.:11:10.

particularly strong. That is OK in terms of where we are now. As we get

:11:11.:11:16.

closer to the next general election, in 2020, at that point Jeremy Corbyn

:11:17.:11:23.

has got to be a leader, he has got to lead. We will be well beyond the

:11:24.:11:28.

time from letting everybody say everything they like. There will

:11:29.:11:34.

come a time where there has to be collective Shadow Cabinet

:11:35.:11:37.

responsibility. That is an essential aspect for any government in

:11:38.:11:42.

waiting. Between now and 2020, Jeremy Corbyn has got to be a leader

:11:43.:11:48.

in the true sense of the term. I do not know if we have got the front

:11:49.:11:51.

page, but there was a story in the mail today. SNP hypocrites. He was

:11:52.:11:57.

involved in some sort of Jimmy Carter style tax avoidance. What did

:11:58.:12:03.

you make of this? He is saying that the kind of package he had, with tax

:12:04.:12:09.

avoidance, not illegal invasion, it was standard in the industry that he

:12:10.:12:13.

was working in at the time. We have heard that before. That is what he

:12:14.:12:22.

says. Now he is not in that industry, he will use his knowledge

:12:23.:12:25.

of that to try and get them to change the regulations so that

:12:26.:12:29.

people like the person he used to be cannot get away with it any more.

:12:30.:12:33.

That is the line. That is rather wonderful. He appears to be saying,

:12:34.:12:39.

because I was involved in this, I will use it to slack off the British

:12:40.:12:44.

government because I have inside knowledge. He would not be the first

:12:45.:12:48.

poacher turned gamekeeper. It seems to be alone that has been repaid.

:12:49.:12:54.

There is a desire to make it another story about an SNP MSP. I am not

:12:55.:12:59.

sure it really measures up. There is no suggestion that Mr Boswell has

:13:00.:13:02.

done anything illegal. It is an attempt. I would have thought that

:13:03.:13:07.

there were bigger issue is this week to put on the front page. The

:13:08.:13:13.

climate change conference, very briefly, are you optimistic? Yes, I

:13:14.:13:17.

think there is a view that the international community has got to

:13:18.:13:21.

arrive at a deal this time. It did not do before. I think Scotland can

:13:22.:13:28.

have a role to play by influence. Eurosceptical. I would say it is

:13:29.:13:35.

pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will. It is hard to believe

:13:36.:13:38.

they will do anything that will make a difference but we have to believe

:13:39.:13:44.

that we can try. OK. That is all we have time for this week.

:13:45.:13:47.

I'll be back at the same time next week.

:13:48.:13:50.

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