21/02/2016 Sunday Politics Scotland


21/02/2016

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Good morning, and welcome to the Sunday politics. David Cameron has

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finally named the day to see whether England remained

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# Britain remains part of the EU. About a quarter of the ministers who

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sit with Mr Cameron in the Cabinet don't agree, they have said they

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will campaign for the UK Tilly. We will be talking to one of those

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wanting out, leader of the of commons, Chris Grayling. We will be

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debating over which way this man will swing. The Mayor of London has

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been apparently agonising over his decision, although all the money is

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on him supporting the Lead campaign. Jeremy Corbyn wants to stay within

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the EU saying it would be better for Security and investment. We will be

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joined by the Shadow Foreign Secretary, Hilary Benn. And with me,

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three of Fleet street's finest, so, David Cameron has done a deal. Not

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everyone is convinced, even one of the Prime Minister's best Cabinet

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buddies, Michael Gove has decided to campaign on the Leeds side. Those

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who want to stay and those who want to leave have come out all guns

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blazing this morning. Let's see what David Cameron had to say on show

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little earlier. If we stay within a reformed EU we know what we are

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getting. We know how to deal with economic recovery, jobs, if we leave

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them there is seven-year is uncertainty, and at the end of that

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process can't be certain that our business will have access to the

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market so it could cost jobs, or overseas business not investing in

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Britain. It would be a step into the dark, a real uncertainty and that's

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just doubt what we don't need in our country right now. Laura, the tone

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in the language has changed. All the reports from you and others

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whereabouts Cabinet meeting. Now, of course, the gloves are off. Teresa

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Bailey is said it was very emotional. I think this is where we

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will see gut emotions spilling out. He's moved into this campaigning

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language, because the stakes are so high for him. He knows fine well

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that he's taking a huge gamble with his only do ship. He's taking a huge

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gamble with the country's membership the European Union, which he did say

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he might argue any end to leave, though very few people believe that.

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The other thing he's taking a gamble with is his own party's union. It

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still impart a last-minute plea to those waivers to get on his side.

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This is something we will see play out, perhaps quite dramatically,

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this blue on blue action. David Cameron isn't going to stand up and

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debate directly with people opposing him, so he's doing it in a different

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way. Another thing he has said which was really quite strong and a bit

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sharp, maybe, he suggested that those, including Boris Johnson who

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wanted to campaign for out where linking arms with George Galloway

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and Nigel Farage. What about the waivers? Boris Johnson. He wasn't

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able to persuade Michael Gove or George Osborne. Will he campaign for

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out? There is talk as to why the media are so assessed with one

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politician, but it's not often may have single name recognition, as we

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do from time to time, you go out campaigning with politicians to see

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how they do. People come out of the shops to see Boris Johnson, they

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want their pictures taken with him, he's a rare kind of politician. He

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can add real fees to a campaign and cut through to the public. Some

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people love him. Of course, some despise him, but be pointed his

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addition into the out campaign, which is absolutely what we expect,

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it will change the dynamics of the campaign, and particularly for the

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Out side, who haven't landed one obvious leader, it would be a real

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significant bill after them. We are finally going to hear from Boris at

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10pm tonight. The surprise would be if he decided to stay in. You never

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know with Boris Johnson. He's an unpredictable character, and

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instinctively, many who know him well see at heart he is a Europhile,

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he's not somebody who is naturally a sceptic. Just briefly, how is it

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going to play out now between Cabinet ministers on either side.

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Are they really going to go to hold it together over the weeks of

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campaigning? One of the story things about this is that we have official

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division, and officially divided Cabinet and in normal politics they

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have to stick together, come hell or high water. I think people are going

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to do their best to be polite, but I think friendships and loyalties will

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be tested. What it does mean, all of the focus is going to be in Europe.

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The challenge for David Cameron, whatever the result, is whether he

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can keep the party together after the vote. So, after a near sleepless

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night on Friday, European Union -- leaders were meant to agree a deal

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over a civilised English breakfast. They didn't bother with afternoon

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tea, in the end they came up trumps over dinner. History starts with a

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lot of waiting around as I discovered on Friday. At least it's

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not raining. Waiting for news from the EU summit, Westminster had

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ground to a halt. Sniffing out any news from Brussels? European leaders

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were on their second day of wrangling. The French president was

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worried about the City of London getting a special deal. The Polish

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Prime Minister feared that the citizens of hers living in the UK

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would lose their benefits and the great pro Minister was concerned

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about migrants. David Cameron says that he was battling for a debt deal

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for Britain, which involved lots of talk, quite a few axons and not a

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lot of action. Suddenly, back at Westminster, a thing happen. One of

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the league campaigns, grassroots, out where it was rumoured it would

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be a surprise supporter. Who'd you think is a special guest? For me,

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probably Douglas Carswell? Sorry, it was actually George Galloway.

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Comrades and friends. When he turned up, a bunch of people there. We

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don't want anything to do with him. Do you often have that effect? It

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looks pretty busy to me. About 50 people got up and left. My unaided.

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There are people waiting for Nigel. You are clutching at straws there.

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Finally in Brussels a deal to keep Britain in the EU was done over

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dinner. The hacks were briefed by a clearly knackered Prime Minister.

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Good evening, and welcome. Within the last hour I have ago she hated a

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deal to give United Kingdom special status with inside the European

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Union. Angela Merkel was snapped going for some chips. Which singer

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Kurt Jolly good idea. Good night all. -- which seemed like a jolly

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good idea. More waiting at Downing Street, this time for the first

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Cabinet meeting on a weekend since the Falklands, and David Cameron's

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chance to brief his colleagues on the deal. This is the deal, the EU

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will exempt the UK from ever closer union. There will be safeguards for

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the City of London. When it comes to in work benefits, the UK will be

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able to apply the emergency brake which means the people migrating

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will get the same rate for a few years. Time for ministers to give

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their verdict. Home Secretary, are you Romanian? Chancellor, I'm

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guessing your and in, aren't you? Each gave their answer in a two-hour

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meeting in number ten, then the Prime Minister appeared to press a

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button marked referendum. The choices in your hands. But my

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recommendation is clear. Believe that Britain will be safer, stronger

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and better of in a reformed European Union. And apparently now totally

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fine for the members of the cabinets to disagree. What was it like when

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Michael Gove spoke? Was he sad? Of course, because he and the Prime

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Minister and the rest of us we we all know each other, the remarkable

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thing about one of these -- this Government is that we know each

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other, like each other and we are friends. We had each other's numbers

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and we text and talk to each other. But the six ministers for the

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outvote headed straight to the vote leave campaign headquarters. Free at

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last to point the exit. I will be voting to leave the EU, because I'm

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profoundly optimistic about the UK. I believe we can flourish outside

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the European Union, so I think the better option is to take back

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control, and restore the ability to make our own laws and controller

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Rome borders in this country. Big smiles! Now the referendum campaign

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will be brought to a street near you, like the Britain Stronger In

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Europe, there is one more thing we are waiting for. Which side will

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Boris Johnson join? He will reveal his intentions to night. Is he going

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to campaign to come out? It looks very much like it. People that I've

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spoken to, some pro-European MPs have now resigned themselves to

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Boris going for Leave. Apparently, it was all down to this great big

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incident he had with Michael Gove. There it was that Boris was given an

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argument he found very hard to refuse. And it appears they've done

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a deal to do this together. Is it more about leadership ambitions than

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history feelings towards the EU? I think everyone is going to presume

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that. Not least because Boris Johnson is known as an inner. He's

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spent time in Brussels, New York. He's always been one for reform but

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not for leaving. He's been telling people privately and quite openly

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that he is going to campaign for in, so he's clearly worked out that the

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electric that matters here for him, are the grassroots Tories and MPs

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who are sceptical. But does he look sincere in doing this? He's going to

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have to make a extremely good argument here tonight, as to why

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he's done this U-turn. Let's talk about some of the substance, Melanie

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Phillips, because there are people who say that actually, not many

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people in the voting public will not look at the fine detail, they will

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go on emotion. Do you think that's true, or do you think there are

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salient issues that could capture the imagination? The two aren't

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necessarily in contradiction with each other. They are both part of

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it. There will play a great deal, will have a lot to do campaign. We

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must cling on to the fear of something worse, which the promised

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will continue to play on. I was struck by this morning's interview

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with the Prime Minister, where he addressed the most important issue,

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which is sovereignty and he redefined it. He was so keen to slip

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away from it because it's a dangerous for him. The ultimate is

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that Britain will still have no control over its own laws. It was

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still be dictated significantly... He says it will be a mechanism. He's

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clinging to his apparent concession that he's run out of them not to

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have ever closer union. That's a a meaning -- meaningless thing. We in

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Britain will be still bound by Europe. He's floated some sort of

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constitutional settlement. This is a nonsense because there is nothing

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that can override that superiority. Opponents of the EU appeared vexed

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that we have no ability to make our own laws, but aren't bothered about

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the fact that we can decide whether we can go to war not. There could be

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a situation with Turkey and Russia could find themselves at war. What

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happens then? We are then bounce to go to war on Turkey's behalf because

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Turkey is a member of Nato. And posers of the European Union don't

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seem bothered by that and that will be an argument that the prime in to

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use. Will security be the overriding thing that convinces people? The

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winners of this campaign will be the thing that convinces people? The

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safest option, and the losers will be the riskiest option. That's why

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every other word the Prime Minister says is about risk. He is saying,

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what are you out as having as a vision for outside the European

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Union. As we've been hearing, as soon as David Cameron announced the

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referendum, campaign that attack members of the Cabinet were given

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free rein. So who will be campaigning to see in and he will be

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campaigning to leave? So, the deal has been done and it time for

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ministers to pick a side. No surprise that George Osborne, David

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Cameron and Philip Hammond were how campaigning to stay in. They will be

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pleased that potential outers, Liz truss, Savage added, and Theresa May

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are remaining in the remaining team. These politicians will be

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campaigning to leave and they will be cheering that Michael Gove, after

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much soul-searching, has plucked for the leave camp. However, there is

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one big-name waiting on the sidelines. Boris Johnson. His

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support could sway a lot of voters. Surely it can't be long to wait now.

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And the Leader of the House of Commons, Chris Grayling, is with us

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now. Why do you think the deal that the Prime Minister secured was

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enough? He's made some progress in Brussels and we give him credit for

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that, but does this represent a transformation that would see to me,

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we should stay within the European Union? No, it doesn't. I think it

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holds us back. I think these we should be taking for our country.

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But the ability to decide how many people come to live and work here.

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Forging free-trade deals round the world. We are spending ?350 million

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a week on subscriptions to the EU that should and could be spent on

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the National Health Service. That doesn't take into account the rebate

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that the UK get. So, in your mind, the Prime Minister has failed in his

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attempt to secure fundamental. What he's brought back is a deal for a

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sustained European Union. I don't agree. I think we should leave. That

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will be the debate in the next few months. What could he have done to

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secure your support? There are key questions about our membership in

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the EU, and we talked a moment ago about risk. The ability to control

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our borders, set limits on those who work here. All our national

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statisticians are saying that our population is going to rise

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significantly. I don't think we can cope without estimation. I don't

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think we have the houses, hospitals, school places. Your Government

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hasn't done anything about migration figures, has it? One of the reasons

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we can't do anything about it is because of the free movement rules

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in the European Union. What would be acceptable for a migration level for

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you? Its 330,000 now. If the UK pulled out of the EU, you would get

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levels of tens of thousands? We would have the ability to set

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limits. We could look at the migration pressures that we face and

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where we have skills needs. We can take decisions in the interest of

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Britain at the moment we cannot do that. So, there isn't anything that

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David Cameron could have secured because you boys wanted to come out

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of the EU. I've sat through European meetings for five years. I do not

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believe we are probably able to look after our national interests, our

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businesses, our citizens. I think too many decisions have been passed

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to Brussels. Michael Gove brightly yesterday talked about the number of

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changes that come across our desks as ministers that we can't do

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anything about it. Give me an example of something you cant

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because of the EU? In the arena of health and safety, there were

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changes that were brought in that were going to cost British

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businesses money. Which one did you not what to bring in? You always

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talk about regulations and so do others and euro-sceptic ministers,

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but which specific bills we are not able to pass, which laws were forced

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on you by the EU? I would not have imposed massive change -- it took

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years to reduce a package that could been damaging. You want to strip

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away health and said -- safety regulations? The youth that example

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before. You'd like to get rid of that. I want us as a nation to

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decide what health and safety rules we want in the UK, not to happen

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imposed on us. I want less regulation. I want the right

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regulation. I don't want huge extra burdens put on business. What was

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the atmosphere like in the Cabinet yesterday? Cordial. It was a

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friendly meeting. The Prime Minister immediately accepted that they were

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different views around the table, but we all committed to working in

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the next few months for the cause that we believe in, on one side or

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the other in a constructive and friendly way. It would be dominated

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by this issue, won't it? We don't have two attack each other

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personally. It's already happening, though. You've already said that the

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Prime Minister is scare mongering and you said it will be project

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fear. That's not friendly and cordial. I haven't actually said

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that. You said it's too risky to leave. I criticised easyJet who have

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said somehow that cheap airfares could disappear from Europe. That's

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nonsense. There are regional airports in constant Europe that

:22:33.:22:36.

would go bust if it wasn't for low-cost aviation for the United

:22:37.:22:40.

Kingdom. It's simply not true. You can guarantee that, can you, to the

:22:41.:22:45.

British people? You can guarantee these things for the British people

:22:46.:22:50.

the day after we vote to be the EU? Why would people in continental

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Europe cost themselves money? You can't guarantee, can you Rhys ask

:22:55.:23:00.

yourself a question, on the day after Britain leads the European

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Union, the Germans will say we aren't going to sell Brent W is to

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the British? There will be a trade deal, you are absolutely right. The

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issue is, will it be the same deal? Will there be full access for the UK

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to goods and services? Are you saying that they will be this utopia

:23:24.:23:27.

where the same deal will be struck. We wait have to be part of freedom

:23:28.:23:31.

of movement use and we won't have to pay a penny towards the EU? Is that

:23:32.:23:35.

what you're saying the British people. We are... Can you guarantee

:23:36.:23:42.

that we will have full access to trade and services in the way that

:23:43.:23:46.

exists now, without freedom of movement and without paying into the

:23:47.:23:52.

EU? Why would they take a risk with jobs in Germany and France, and

:23:53.:23:56.

other European countries by not agreeing a proper, modern free-trade

:23:57.:24:02.

agreement for goods and services. They ran a massive trade surplus

:24:03.:24:05.

with us. They sell more to ask them we sell to them. They lose out

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financially those trading agreements not continue. I'm not saying they

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will continue forth upon talking about the terms. Everyone says we

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don't know what outward look like, what I'm tried to get from you is

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how long would it take? Two years? Seven years like Canada? And would

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be on the same terms we have now? Why would it not be on a free trade

:24:30.:24:35.

basis because it costs them money. It doesn't cost us financially free

:24:36.:24:39.

don't have a free-trade agreement, is Germany, France and other

:24:40.:24:46.

European crunchies. -- European countries. How long do you think

:24:47.:24:49.

that will take? It will take a relatively short period of time. How

:24:50.:24:56.

long? If it Canada seven-year 's? How long will it take the UK? There

:24:57.:25:00.

is a process of negotiation set out in the treaty. I would not expect

:25:01.:25:05.

those countries to take a risk because at the end of two years they

:25:06.:25:10.

would lose out financially. Well, even over the negotiations, they

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have said, particularly Francois Hollande, that actually he's not

:25:15.:25:19.

going to give special treatment to Great Britain. Why would these

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countries, who's been polled through the ringer over negotiations then

:25:23.:25:27.

suddenly immediately, on your timescale want to set up favourable

:25:28.:25:35.

terms of trade with the EU? Is Francois Hollande going to say to

:25:36.:25:40.

farmers, who are a fairly lively bunch, you don't have too sell your

:25:41.:25:44.

wine, cheese or agricultural products to Britain. Why would he

:25:45.:25:48.

take that political breeze? That we don't know the terms. You admit

:25:49.:25:52.

that. We know what you would like and you can't believe it would be

:25:53.:25:56.

another option, but it is a risk, isn't it? That's what the Prime

:25:57.:26:00.

Minister is saying and he is right. It's a risk for the French not have

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a free-trade agreement with us, because otherwise their businesses

:26:05.:26:08.

lose out. With the Business Secretary doesn't agree with you and

:26:09.:26:13.

he says you are wrong. He says it's too risky for business. I think the

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risk is on the other side. Is he wrong to say the risk is too great?

:26:20.:26:24.

We run huge trade deficit with continental Europe. The Business

:26:25.:26:35.

Secretary is contradicting you. What do you know that he doesn't? We have

:26:36.:26:39.

different views around the Cabinet table, and we set those out

:26:40.:26:43.

yesterday. Some of us were in and some, out. We will have the ultimate

:26:44.:26:49.

over the next few months that in a constructive way. He's a good

:26:50.:26:53.

Business Secretary and he's the be unhappy about the European Union.

:26:54.:26:57.

But he is campaigning to remain. He's been loyal to the Prime

:26:58.:27:01.

Minister. We've taken different views in this. We're both loyal to

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the Prime Minister. Well you're not on this issue, right you? Government

:27:06.:27:12.

ministers are free to take their own decision on this argument. It's a

:27:13.:27:16.

brave, bold decision and I agree with it. You worried about your job

:27:17.:27:23.

if you lose in a referendum? Why, it could be a situation where David

:27:24.:27:28.

Cameron will say to you in your colleagues who are campaigning out,

:27:29.:27:34.

that South. Game over. He can decide the construct of his Government in

:27:35.:27:39.

his own way in the future. This is a matter of principle for me. It's not

:27:40.:27:43.

about my career, my job. So, you're prepared to lose your job? And doing

:27:44.:27:47.

what I believe is the right thing for the country. It's neither here

:27:48.:27:51.

nor there in job terms, I'm doing it for the country. I think it's the

:27:52.:27:57.

low risk option for my country. Is it right that a majority Government,

:27:58.:28:02.

for the first time in years, fighting, spit and divided over this

:28:03.:28:09.

issue? People expect us as politicians to be grown-up. They

:28:10.:28:12.

don't expect us to agree all the time. We are not automatons. We are

:28:13.:28:17.

going to have a constructive debate because we disagree but we are going

:28:18.:28:21.

to stay friends, respectful of the Prime Minister and work together

:28:22.:28:24.

that we carry on governing the country well. If you win is the

:28:25.:28:31.

Prime Minister had to go? So, you trust him, totally to renegotiate

:28:32.:28:38.

bilateral trade agreements as the prime in this who campaigned to stay

:28:39.:28:45.

in the EU. I campaigned for him as the row minister who gave the

:28:46.:28:49.

country a bold choice. He will lead us in Government if we stay

:28:50.:28:55.

organised. He would really be favoured person to lead those

:28:56.:28:57.

negotiations. You'd still trust after this? I'd still trust. In

:28:58.:29:03.

terms of your colleagues, do you think it would be possible for him

:29:04.:29:07.

to stay? Absolutely. What we don't need at the end of this, whether we

:29:08.:29:12.

vote to leave or stay is a elliptical bloodbath. We've got a

:29:13.:29:16.

good team. It needs to carry on and do what the country needs is today.

:29:17.:29:22.

How big boost would Boris beat your campaign? He would be a great boost

:29:23.:29:26.

I don't know what his intentions but I hope will. If you lose will that

:29:27.:29:38.

be a? If the people vote then -- in then we'll probably won't return to

:29:39.:29:44.

it. Will that be for a generation? If we stay there we stay, if we

:29:45.:29:50.

leave them we leave. Now, what of labour? Jeremy Corbyn has been

:29:51.:29:55.

sceptical of the EU in the past. He voted to leave the European economic

:29:56.:30:01.

meet in 1975. Times have changed, though. The Labour leader says the

:30:02.:30:07.

EU brings investment, and protection. In a moment, we'll be

:30:08.:30:12.

talking to the Shadow Foreign Secretary, Hilary Benn, that let's

:30:13.:30:17.

hear what Jeremy Corbyn had to say speaking in Wales yesterday. We were

:30:18.:30:25.

voted to stay in the EU because it brings protection for British

:30:26.:30:30.

workers and consumer -- consumers. We believe it's a vital framework

:30:31.:30:35.

for Corporation in the 21st-century, and the vote to remain using the

:30:36.:30:39.

best interests of our people. But, we want progressive change in

:30:40.:30:45.

Europe, to make the EU works for working people, that includes

:30:46.:30:50.

workers rights, putting jobs and sustainable growth at the heart of

:30:51.:30:55.

economic policy, greater accountability of institutions, and

:30:56.:31:01.

a halt, and absolute halt to privatise public services by some

:31:02.:31:06.

element in the European Union. And Hilary Benn joins me now. Dit David

:31:07.:31:12.

Cameron do a good deal? Well, he went through this whole process

:31:13.:31:17.

because of splits within the Conservative Party. It hasn't

:31:18.:31:20.

changed our view. We are in favour of remaining. He announced there was

:31:21.:31:26.

don't be a referendum, renegotiation and we are still in favour. It

:31:27.:31:30.

hasn't made a difference in that respect. But some of the changes,

:31:31.:31:37.

the red card, that something that is good for Britain. A red card on laws

:31:38.:31:47.

we don't like? I think that it's a good thing. The changes on child

:31:48.:31:52.

benefit, we believe in fair contribution, but, this referendum

:31:53.:31:55.

is not in the end going to be about David Cameron's deal, is going to be

:31:56.:32:00.

about whether we are better off In or Out. Chris Grayling wasn't able

:32:01.:32:07.

to answer your perfect their question about what trade

:32:08.:32:11.

relationships will replace the free access to the largest single market

:32:12.:32:14.

in the world because we are in the EU. Let's go back to the deal. You

:32:15.:32:18.

see why make a difference, but you do concede that introducing a red

:32:19.:32:24.

card, some sort of challenge to EU laws that UK doesn't lie, and

:32:25.:32:29.

restriction on child benefits, even though exact that they went exactly

:32:30.:32:34.

what the Prime Minister promised? Those changes that we ourselves

:32:35.:32:38.

called for, but when it comes to this decision, it's about much, much

:32:39.:32:43.

than that. It hasn't changed Labour's view about the case for

:32:44.:32:46.

Britain remaining in the European Union, because it's good for jobs,

:32:47.:32:51.

investment and growth. Let's take an example. We export cars to Europe

:32:52.:32:58.

with no tariff. When the Japanese and Americans export then they had

:32:59.:33:01.

to pay a 10 cents tariff. That's what the single market means. That's

:33:02.:33:06.

why there's a lot of investment in Britain, investment in the car

:33:07.:33:10.

industry which is now growing and expanding. People thought it was on

:33:11.:33:18.

the way out. It isn't. Why wouldn't we -- we can't guarantee that. No

:33:19.:33:27.

one voting out can guarantee access. There could be high skill jobs that

:33:28.:33:32.

depend on that. They wouldn't go, would they? That is project fear, as

:33:33.:33:37.

Nick Clegg used to say that 3 million jobs would disappear. That's

:33:38.:33:43.

not based in fact, is it? I'm not saying that. Let's look at the

:33:44.:33:48.

alternative, we've got no way. In order to get access to the single

:33:49.:33:52.

market, Norway has to pay a contribution which is the same per

:33:53.:33:55.

capita as ours. They have to accept all the rules. But that's because

:33:56.:34:00.

the Norwegian establishment wanted that. But they don't have any say

:34:01.:34:07.

over the rules in Europe. Now, how is that an advantage, an improvement

:34:08.:34:12.

on what we've got now? It isn't. It's a worse deal. Even the

:34:13.:34:15.

Norwegians don't recommend that we go down that route. That's why the

:34:16.:34:19.

league campaign is, as we've just seen with Chris Grayling's inability

:34:20.:34:23.

to answer your question is that they cannot tell us what our would look

:34:24.:34:26.

like, so why we take the risk? Are you saying that Britain just can't

:34:27.:34:31.

survive outside E U. You are implying that this country can do

:34:32.:34:36.

well on its own. Because survive, that you are scaremongering in that

:34:37.:34:41.

sense. That's what brexit-mac ministers are saying. Four. Are you

:34:42.:34:50.

saying that this country isn't capable of being able to run its own

:34:51.:34:55.

affairs. I'm making this argument, we'll ready have a lot of great

:34:56.:35:00.

trade deals with other countries in the world precisely because we are

:35:01.:35:05.

part of the EU, which gives us tariff free access. We are part of

:35:06.:35:08.

the largest single market in the world. Why would we trade what we've

:35:09.:35:13.

got at the moment, which is good deals, for the price that -- of

:35:14.:35:18.

deals that are just as good when guys that have campaigned to leave

:35:19.:35:21.

can't tell us what it will look like. Are you happy with levels of

:35:22.:35:26.

net migration? What about our borders? The issue of free movement

:35:27.:35:31.

in the European Union is that it's part of the rules. So there would be

:35:32.:35:36.

limitless migration in that sense, over the next 5-10 years, bearing in

:35:37.:35:40.

mind with what's happening in the moment, it will be impossible to

:35:41.:35:44.

bring those levels down. What's happening in the world as a separate

:35:45.:35:49.

argument if you are talking outside of the European Union. Once those

:35:50.:35:53.

people within the EU get citizenship then they will be ever to come over

:35:54.:35:57.

to Britain, rightly or wrongly. But it is something people are concerned

:35:58.:36:00.

about. Being part of the EU does mean that being part of the EU means

:36:01.:36:06.

that we cannot control our borders. If we look at the number of people

:36:07.:36:11.

Germany are taken in because of the crisis in Syria. It will be many

:36:12.:36:14.

years before they can acquire citizenship. I do think they would

:36:15.:36:20.

choose to move from Germany to the United Kingdom in large numbers.

:36:21.:36:24.

Look at the economic opportunities and standards in Germany. There are

:36:25.:36:29.

many British people who living and working in other European countries,

:36:30.:36:34.

and EU migrants who have come to Britain who are working as nurses,

:36:35.:36:38.

lecturers and in manufacturing, and they are paying into the British

:36:39.:36:43.

economy. They are net contributors, as you know because they work and

:36:44.:36:47.

pay tax. That gives us more revenue of the country. Did you agree with

:36:48.:36:52.

Jeremy Corbyn attacking the deal, particularly because of the brake on

:36:53.:36:57.

benefits to EU migrants? Our view on that is that we believe in fair

:36:58.:37:01.

contribution. Jeremy Corbyn said the deal is tinkering around the edges,

:37:02.:37:06.

particularly when the focus is on a brake on benefits for EU migrants.

:37:07.:37:10.

He doesn't like it. Do you? We agreed that there aren't abuse and

:37:11.:37:15.

is the right price. Are you sure he signed up to that? We are agreed

:37:16.:37:21.

that their contribution is the right approach he was making a different

:37:22.:37:25.

argument. His argument was that it is irrelevant to the view that

:37:26.:37:28.

Labour is taking about the benefits and being in the European Union. It

:37:29.:37:34.

doesn't change our position in that sense. Jeremy's is campaigning to

:37:35.:37:44.

stay in as are the whole Labour Party. So will you share a platform

:37:45.:37:51.

with David Cameron. I won't. The Prime Minister can make his case to

:37:52.:37:55.

his party which is bitterly divided, as we've seen, over the last few

:37:56.:38:02.

months. You were always going to stay within the EU, thereby backing

:38:03.:38:08.

the status quo. Why wouldn't you share a platform with the Prime

:38:09.:38:13.

Minister. Surely it's too big an issue to be partisan? We make our

:38:14.:38:18.

own arguments in a railway to try and win the case. The Prime Minister

:38:19.:38:24.

can do the same in his way in his party, with the people he's seeking

:38:25.:38:27.

to persuade. In the end, the decision that the British people

:38:28.:38:34.

make is we safer? This is important, because in the last decade or so,

:38:35.:38:39.

5000 people who were suspected of crimes had been removed from the

:38:40.:38:43.

country to face justice elsewhere. One of the bombers on the 21st of

:38:44.:38:53.

July fled to Italy, and he was returned to Britain to face justice

:38:54.:38:58.

and he was convicted. Why? Because of the European arrest warrant.

:38:59.:39:01.

These are practical considerations that show we are safer being in the

:39:02.:39:03.

EU rather than leaving. Good morning and welcome

:39:04.:39:08.

to Sunday Politics Scotland. Coming up on the programme:

:39:09.:39:10.

We know the date. And on the streets of Scotland,

:39:11.:39:12.

campaign groups are quick to get It was the worst kept secret

:39:13.:39:16.

in British politics, but now the details

:39:17.:39:21.

have been confirmed. The Prime Minister came

:39:22.:39:23.

home with a deal which, he says, is good enough

:39:24.:39:26.

to keep the UK in the EU. Though his political opponents have

:39:27.:39:29.

already dismissed it as pathetic. So the starting gun has been fired

:39:30.:39:31.

for that In Out Euro referendum, which will take place

:39:32.:39:36.

on Thursday the 23 June. Get your Jhumpa Lahiri gladrags on!

:39:37.:39:54.

The Eurovision Song contest announced a change to the voting

:39:55.:39:59.

system since its bigger shake-up since 1975 and now David Cameron

:40:00.:40:03.

says he has done a deal which means that Britain should stay in the E U.

:40:04.:40:07.

Our plan for Europe gives us the best of both worlds. It underlines

:40:08.:40:12.

our special status, through which families across Britain get all the

:40:13.:40:18.

benefits of being in the EU, including more jobs, lower prices

:40:19.:40:24.

and greater security. But our special status also means we're out

:40:25.:40:27.

of those parts of Europe that do not work for asked. It's already clear

:40:28.:40:36.

that not everyone is convinced. Bring back full control of our own

:40:37.:40:43.

affairs to the UK, so we asked three of the European court of justice,

:40:44.:40:47.

the unelected bureaucracy in Brussels, and we are free to set up

:40:48.:40:52.

our own trade agreements with other countries around the world. And we

:40:53.:40:56.

are free to cooperate with our nearest neighbours, on our turns.

:40:57.:41:08.

But the main political parties in Scotland will all be campaigning to

:41:09.:41:13.

stay in the EU. Let's hear the case, and the SNP will be making the case

:41:14.:41:18.

for Scotland to stay in the EU, because it's good for jobs,

:41:19.:41:22.

protections, social employment, and it's good to enable independent

:41:23.:41:30.

countries come together to have sovereignty, and deal with things

:41:31.:41:32.

like climate change and the refugee crisis. Scots farmers believe on

:41:33.:41:42.

balance we are better off. We want to stay because Westminster have

:41:43.:41:46.

said nothing. There's been nothing said about agriculture in Europe.

:41:47.:41:53.

40% of the European budget directed at agriculture means it's important

:41:54.:41:57.

it's got right. If there's an eternity of weed consider, but for

:41:58.:42:09.

the moment we want to stay in. Jerry the independence referendum, the EU

:42:10.:42:18.

told us to get stuffed -- during. I don't see why should go to an

:42:19.:42:21.

organisation that told us to get stuffed. I think they will tell us

:42:22.:42:30.

to get stuffed in the second independence referendum. I've got

:42:31.:42:34.

more fundamental objections than that it's a profoundly undemocratic

:42:35.:42:38.

organisation. He says that Brexit could mean a bright future for

:42:39.:42:43.

Scotland, independent and a member of the free trade area. I wish that

:42:44.:42:47.

some people in the SNP leadership would go and have a look at the

:42:48.:42:53.

Treaty. If the UK emerges with a very good trade agreement, then it's

:42:54.:42:59.

much easier for Scotland to peel off as an independent member and still

:43:00.:43:03.

be associated with that trade agreement with the rest of the EU,

:43:04.:43:08.

giving us the access that we want to that 500 million market, but at the

:43:09.:43:12.

same time, allowing us to be much more sovereign than we would be if

:43:13.:43:17.

we were a small member states in the EU, ruled by a Brussels. But a

:43:18.:43:22.

different vision which is simpler and bureaucratic. I'd like to see

:43:23.:43:28.

reforms along the lines of more simplification, and are taking away

:43:29.:43:32.

of the regulations that are causing problems within our industry. It's

:43:33.:43:40.

not really delivering an awful lot. It's a deep joy to be here and I'm

:43:41.:43:44.

happy to announce the results of the United Kingdom. So, now will have to

:43:45.:43:49.

see if David Cameron's deal will get UK votes or Null point.

:43:50.:44:01.

I'm joined by Kiran Stacey from the Financial Times.

:44:02.:44:05.

There's a lot of talk about Boris Johnson. Do you think it makes a

:44:06.:44:12.

difference what way he jumps? I think it makes more difference than

:44:13.:44:16.

the way Michael Gove jump. He cuts through on a level which many

:44:17.:44:21.

politicians aren't able to, even David Cameron. He has a status in

:44:22.:44:27.

the public mind which transcend politics and if he goes out and

:44:28.:44:30.

makes a populist case for the EU, that will be herds in a way that

:44:31.:44:35.

other members of the Cabinet which voters might not have heard of, are

:44:36.:44:40.

able to make that point. If you have a look at all the choreography

:44:41.:44:45.

behind Boris's move, is difficult to see that he would be backing the UK

:44:46.:44:53.

saying in the EU after all. Do you think he'd be an automatic leader of

:44:54.:45:00.

the league campaign, because one of the dangers they have, Cabinet

:45:01.:45:07.

ministers about, perhaps interesting cranks and oddballs, that

:45:08.:45:11.

nevertheless cranks and oddballs. The question is which group is going

:45:12.:45:17.

to lead. Vote lead? Leaves EU? There a number of factions battling the

:45:18.:45:22.

supremacy. There is a faction around Nigel Farage who is saying that

:45:23.:45:27.

there should be a campaign to Leeds based on the core vote. And there's

:45:28.:45:33.

more cross-party consensus which involves people from Labour, the

:45:34.:45:36.

Conservatives, and they save they need to lead a more moderate, broad

:45:37.:45:42.

wide ranging campaign. I think RS would fit better into that latter

:45:43.:45:45.

group and perhaps ease the figure to bring the two camps together, but at

:45:46.:45:49.

the moment, they are so divided that they will keep fighting for the next

:45:50.:45:53.

few months until the electoral commission decides who is in charge.

:45:54.:45:58.

On the other side of the argument, the stay in people, they will be led

:45:59.:46:04.

by David Cameron, Nicola Sturgeon has been clear the SNP will be

:46:05.:46:09.

campaigning BS, so it's all going well, but could that be the problem?

:46:10.:46:13.

One of the phenomena we are seeing in Europe, at the moment, is that

:46:14.:46:17.

people just want to give a bloody nose to the establishment, and it

:46:18.:46:23.

anything looks like the political establishment in Britain gang up on

:46:24.:46:26.

one side of the argument, this is it. I think that's slightly and

:46:27.:46:34.

overdone argument. If you look at the 2015 results for the election,

:46:35.:46:41.

it was a surprise result. I think voters want to give a bloody nice

:46:42.:46:45.

politicians when they think the stakes are a little bit lower. So,

:46:46.:46:50.

at an EU election, they might go vote en masse for a party like Ukip,

:46:51.:46:55.

but when I think it comes to the really big stuff, they are much more

:46:56.:47:00.

cautious. Especially on an issue where lots of people haven't been

:47:01.:47:05.

engaged in the argument, it don't necessarily care about a comic

:47:06.:47:09.

doesn't affect their daily lives. I think that most people will be risk

:47:10.:47:14.

averse and think they are better of staying where they are because they

:47:15.:47:16.

know what happened in the current setup stop do you think the Yes

:47:17.:47:23.

Campaign has to get a certain tone to it. Nicola Sturgeon make the

:47:24.:47:37.

point that initially -- all the momentum went towards them during

:47:38.:47:42.

the campaign and they were seen as more positive, and that the stay in

:47:43.:47:47.

campaign in Europe doesn't have that margin to lose? I think it does have

:47:48.:47:54.

a bit of margin to lose. I think a negative campaign, which is what

:47:55.:47:57.

Nicola Sturgeon is warning against, could be effective by saying that

:47:58.:48:04.

voting for things with huge risks, it means there are like to vote for

:48:05.:48:06.

it. That very briefly, do you expect

:48:07.:48:21.

business to come out, like big multinational companies, much sooner

:48:22.:48:28.

than in the Scottish Referendum and say, look, hang on, folks. Your jobs

:48:29.:48:34.

will go for we leave the EU. And I could see the trade union saying, do

:48:35.:48:39.

you know what's? They are right. I think you'd start to see that very

:48:40.:48:45.

same. The CBI, who have always been EU, have come out. And I think other

:48:46.:48:49.

organisations will join them. They will save jobs are on the line. They

:48:50.:48:53.

will couch it carefully but the message will be clear.

:48:54.:48:55.

Joining me now is the MP Stephen Gethins, who is the SNP's

:48:56.:48:58.

And John Mills, who is the founder of consumer product empire JML

:48:59.:49:03.

John Mills, before we talk about the actual issues, just on the Labour

:49:04.:49:21.

Lead campaign, does it concern you that the doesn't appear to be any

:49:22.:49:25.

major figures in the Labour Party involved in it? I think you've got

:49:26.:49:29.

to wait and see what happens over the next day or two. I think you'll

:49:30.:49:33.

find more Labour figures will declare in favour Britain to leave

:49:34.:49:39.

the EU, and that will be a very welcome development. But the point

:49:40.:49:43.

is, with the Conservatives talking about Boris Johnson, I'm not sure

:49:44.:49:48.

there's anyone in the Labour Party with that kind of clout and

:49:49.:49:51.

influence you could come and join your campaign. I think we've got

:49:52.:49:55.

major figures who are well-known to the that you will see. Boris Johnson

:49:56.:50:00.

is in a class of his own, I'll admit. If he comes to the league

:50:01.:50:08.

campaign then it will be a big plus. He does reach out to people in a way

:50:09.:50:13.

that other politicians to, I think it will be a real acid becomes

:50:14.:50:21.

on-board. -- a big asset if he comes on board.

:50:22.:50:32.

What is Labour lead's attitudes or are you happy to join up with anyone

:50:33.:50:41.

who is interested in leaving. We don't take the view that we only

:50:42.:50:46.

want to campaign on our own. We are happy to campaign with everyone who

:50:47.:50:50.

shares our views about coming out of the EU, and we think that unity

:50:51.:50:57.

across the board there is a big plus. Stephen, what about the SNP on

:50:58.:51:02.

that front? Are you going to have your own SNP campaign? Nicola

:51:03.:51:05.

Sturgeon was asked about this and rather neatly avoided it by saying

:51:06.:51:10.

that David Cameron won't necessarily want to share a platform with her.

:51:11.:51:15.

Should he want to, what would your attitude to that the? I think the

:51:16.:51:20.

SNP will run its own campaign. I want to see a yes vote in Scotland,

:51:21.:51:24.

and I don't know how much David Cameron can Andrew do -- contribute

:51:25.:51:32.

to that. Boris Johnson might cut through, but I do did make a lot of

:51:33.:51:38.

difference in Scotland. But Bruce Davidson could help you? Yet. They

:51:39.:51:46.

are still bumping along, they've just got the worst result since

:51:47.:51:50.

1865, so we just want to focus on having our own column a positive

:51:51.:51:54.

campaign, and talk about the benefits we get from sharing common

:51:55.:52:00.

rules on issues, and helping us to trade with our neighbours, and

:52:01.:52:05.

educational benefits, workers rights. Brussels has made a lot more

:52:06.:52:10.

progress than London did on workers' writes and these are the issues we

:52:11.:52:16.

want to campaign on. You just heard is John Mills outlining a social

:52:17.:52:25.

democratic case. You want the case for leaving, what is it? I think

:52:26.:52:31.

that there are a number of things in the number of people in this country

:52:32.:52:37.

who are worried about the cost, migration. They are worried about

:52:38.:52:44.

some of the effects that the budget is spent, particularly on

:52:45.:52:48.

agriculture, and with high food prices, there. But they are worried

:52:49.:52:53.

about Chrissy, the European Union having to move towards migration and

:52:54.:52:59.

the euro zone, which is not where people want to be. So, I think

:53:00.:53:02.

there's a very strong social democratic case to say we are better

:53:03.:53:08.

to come out and negotiate a better deal than we got at the moment. But

:53:09.:53:13.

watch would you reply to Stephen's points at about workers right. He

:53:14.:53:18.

argues that they've been more protected by the European Union

:53:19.:53:23.

British governments? I think there's some truth in that that the European

:53:24.:53:27.

Union led the way, but the idea that Britain came out -- that if Britain

:53:28.:53:33.

came out of the EU, then all these rights will be swept away. There are

:53:34.:53:41.

some issues around the edges about a 48-hour week, but generally

:53:42.:53:44.

speaking, there's complete unity across-the-board now. That workers

:53:45.:53:48.

rights on paternity need to stay in place and I'm sure they will do.

:53:49.:53:55.

Stephen, what about that? Not least because you disagree with the new

:53:56.:53:59.

trade union legislation, but George Osborne and David Cameron have made

:54:00.:54:03.

a great play that they want to be on the side of working people. Well,

:54:04.:54:10.

they might make a great play a bit, but I'm not sure that that stands up

:54:11.:54:15.

to the facts. If we withdraw from the EU, these powers go to London.

:54:16.:54:23.

Now, we've had nothing about powers returning to Scotland or Wales, or

:54:24.:54:29.

island. So, leaving ourselves at the mercy of London, is not something I

:54:30.:54:33.

feel entirely comfortable with. In this debate, there's a good

:54:34.:54:36.

opportunity to talk about the benefits we get to the European

:54:37.:54:40.

Union. We are quick to criticise, even when the UK signs up to these

:54:41.:54:45.

measures, but the EU doesn't always get the benefit of some of the good

:54:46.:54:48.

that it's done over the years, and I think there's an opportunity to do

:54:49.:54:52.

that over the coming months. What your opponents will argue is, let's

:54:53.:54:59.

take this question of health and safety, social legislation that

:55:00.:55:03.

affects workers' hours, at the bottom line here is that you should

:55:04.:55:09.

be up to Britain to democratically elect governments who in a

:55:10.:55:13.

democratic manner, decided what those rights should be. But what --

:55:14.:55:20.

you might like -- you might not like the results, but this is the

:55:21.:55:23.

alternative to Brussels imposing democratic governments in Britain

:55:24.:55:28.

things which they don't necessarily agree with. First of all, with the

:55:29.:55:35.

UK Government disagreeing on what's is going on in Brussels, the UK

:55:36.:55:41.

Government hasn't yet voted against a proposal that had to be adopted,

:55:42.:55:46.

finally. In terms of issues like health and safety, the UK signs up

:55:47.:55:50.

to this because we have a common set of rules that are greed throughout

:55:51.:55:53.

Europe, so it's a level playing field, which makes it a lot easier

:55:54.:55:57.

for businesses and other organisations to go out and work

:55:58.:56:01.

together. So, there are benefits to that. John Mills, what's your

:56:02.:56:08.

response -- response going to be about sovereignty, being made

:56:09.:56:10.

increasingly by supporters of staying in. They are saying that we

:56:11.:56:17.

are members of Nato, that should Turkey end up in a war with Russia,

:56:18.:56:22.

which is not inconceivable over the next few weeks, we would be bound by

:56:23.:56:26.

the rules of Nato to join in on Turkey's side. That's a much greater

:56:27.:56:32.

succession of sovereignty than one could almost imagine happening in

:56:33.:56:39.

the EU. There's a difference between our role in Nato 's and other

:56:40.:56:43.

organisations which are essentially intergovernmental. In the EU, it's

:56:44.:56:50.

different. The EU law is superior to British law, and I think that's very

:56:51.:56:55.

undemocratic. I think it would be better if we have the same sort of

:56:56.:56:59.

relationship with the rest of the European Union as we do in Nato and

:57:00.:57:04.

the United Nations. The logic of what you are saying is that

:57:05.:57:09.

difference would only exist, to take my hypothetical example of Turkey

:57:10.:57:12.

and Russia, Britain turning round and saying we don't want any of

:57:13.:57:17.

that, we will leave Nato. We'd have the right to do that because of an

:57:18.:57:20.

interdict that -- intergovernmental agreement. You got to look at recent

:57:21.:57:30.

events where countries have different views about what sort of

:57:31.:57:34.

action should be taken, Nato is a really presenting united front on

:57:35.:57:41.

this any more than the Union is. We're running out of time. Stephen,

:57:42.:57:46.

I wanted to ask you about the No Campaign in Scotland, the timing.

:57:47.:57:49.

I'm not sure I'm best place for that, Gordon! You were opposed to

:57:50.:57:56.

David Cameron's timing on this. I know you were disappointed that the

:57:57.:58:03.

European elections happen before the Scottish Referendum in Ukip won a

:58:04.:58:08.

seat. Because of the meshing of these two things, is your concern

:58:09.:58:12.

that you could get a lot more publicity and potentially did quite

:58:13.:58:16.

well in the Scottish elections? Look, Ukip have yet to see the

:58:17.:58:23.

deposit in a Parliamentary election, so perhaps a bit of an irrelevance.

:58:24.:58:30.

The reason we want to see a long campaign is because I think the case

:58:31.:58:35.

for Scotland as a member of the EU, and the UK, stands up to scrutiny,

:58:36.:58:40.

so let's put it under scrutiny, and as Nicola Sturgeon wrote in her

:58:41.:58:43.

letter and as was agreed by the first ministers of Northern Ireland

:58:44.:58:49.

and Wales, to having just six weeks to do this was not a lot of time.

:58:50.:58:52.

I'll be back at the usual time of 11.00am next week.

:58:53.:58:57.

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