Browse content similar to 23/03/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. The dust has barely | :00:37. | :00:44. | |
settled on George Osborne's Budget and, amazingly, for once it hasn't | :00:45. | :00:47. | |
all gone horribly wrong by the weekend. So, is this the election | :00:48. | :00:49. | |
springboard the Tories needed, and where does it leave Labour? Turns | :00:50. | :00:54. | |
out the big Budget surprise was a revolution in how we pay for old | :00:55. | :00:58. | |
age. The Pensions Minister says he's relaxed if you want to spend it all | :00:59. | :01:02. | |
on a Lamborghini. He'll join us later. And could the man with the | :01:03. | :01:08. | |
maracas be on his way to Westminster? Bez from the Happy | :01:09. | :01:11. | |
In the South West: Labour claims the plan to become an | :01:12. | :01:20. | |
In the South West: Labour claims the budget will make our housing crisis | :01:21. | :01:22. | |
worse. And, stay in Axbridge. Are there ways of | :01:23. | :01:26. | |
making the European arrest warrant work better? -- Uxbridge. And who | :01:27. | :01:39. | |
better to help guide you through all of that than three journalists, who | :01:40. | :01:42. | |
dispense wisdom faster than Grant Shapps calls out the numbers in his | :01:43. | :01:45. | |
local bingo hall over a pint of beer. Yes, they're hard-working and | :01:46. | :01:48. | |
they're doing the things they enjoy. Cup of tea, number three. It's Nick | :01:49. | :01:54. | |
Watt, Polly Toynbee and Janan Ganesh. | :01:55. | :02:00. | |
So, George Osborne delivered his fifth Budget on Wednesday and had so | :02:01. | :02:05. | |
many glowing front pages the day afterwards he must be running out of | :02:06. | :02:08. | |
room to pin them up in on his bedroom wall. Although it's probably | :02:09. | :02:12. | |
a pretty big wall. For those of you who didn't have time to watch 3.5 | :02:13. | :02:15. | |
hours of Budget coverage on the BBC, here's Giles with the whole thing in | :02:16. | :02:17. | |
three minutes. Budget days have a rhythm of their | :02:18. | :02:48. | |
own, driven partly by tradition, like that photocall at 11 Downing | :02:49. | :02:51. | |
Street and part logistics, how to get this important statement out and | :02:52. | :02:54. | |
explain to those whom it affects - us? Behind-the-scenes of a Budget | :02:55. | :03:07. | |
Day is much the same. This ritual red boxery may be the beginning of | :03:08. | :03:10. | |
the end of weeks of work behind the scenes in the Treasury and sets the | :03:11. | :03:14. | |
clock ticking on the process of finding out the answer to one | :03:15. | :03:17. | |
question. You got any rabbits in the box, Chancellor? Yes, there will be | :03:18. | :03:20. | |
something in the Budget we don't know about. Time marches steadily | :03:21. | :03:22. | |
towards the statement and already commentators are hovering over what | :03:23. | :03:29. | |
those potential surprises are. As Big Ben chimes, all focus returns to | :03:30. | :03:32. | |
the Commons, where there is Prime Minister's questions and the | :03:33. | :03:34. | |
Chancellor gets up and does his thing. Once he's on his feet and | :03:35. | :03:41. | |
remembering there is still no copy of the details, the major measures | :03:42. | :03:44. | |
are rapidly highlighted as they come and then put up on screen. A cap on | :03:45. | :03:48. | |
Government welfare spending set for 2015/16 at 119 billion. Income tax | :03:49. | :03:55. | |
personal allowance raised to ?10,500. Bingo duty halved, which | :03:56. | :04:01. | |
ticked boxes for some but was unlikely to make anyone a poster | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
boy. And the beer tax cut of 1p, or the froth on the top. And changes to | :04:07. | :04:09. | |
pensions allowing people to take their money out in one lump sum, | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
rather than being forced to accept a fixed annual pay-out, or annuity. | :04:14. | :04:22. | |
This is a Budget for the makers, the doers and the savers and I commend | :04:23. | :04:25. | |
it to the House. Not everyone can focus on the Budget by listening to | :04:26. | :04:29. | |
what the Chancellor says. We need to get a copy of the script. We do not | :04:30. | :04:33. | |
get that till he sits down. I'm going to go into the House of | :04:34. | :04:40. | |
Commons to get that right now. There will be a response on that and all | :04:41. | :04:44. | |
the other things from Mr Miliband. The Chancellor spoke for nearly an | :04:45. | :04:47. | |
hour but he did not mention one essential fact, the working people | :04:48. | :04:50. | |
of Britain are worse off under the Tories. It is a tricky job answering | :04:51. | :04:55. | |
the Budget at the best of times, though some, including Labour MPs, | :04:56. | :04:58. | |
think it is better to mention the Budget when you do. | :04:59. | :05:01. | |
Here we are. I am going to go. I am not the only journalist missing Ed | :05:02. | :05:08. | |
Miliband's speech. Many others leave the Chamber as the Chancellor sits | :05:09. | :05:11. | |
down to attend a special briefing from the Chancellor's advisory team. | :05:12. | :05:19. | |
I am hotfoot to the studio. There is a little more detail to the Budget | :05:20. | :05:22. | |
than the Budget Speech. That detail can be whether words unravel and | :05:23. | :05:25. | |
other interpretations emerge. By now the gaggle of supporters and | :05:26. | :05:28. | |
detractors are taking the debate onto the airwaves. Are you the BBC? | :05:29. | :05:37. | |
Have the Daily Politics packed up? No, we're still standing and, days | :05:38. | :05:40. | |
later, still trying to assess whether the measures announced still | :05:41. | :05:43. | |
seem fresh and appetising or have already gone stale in the minds of | :05:44. | :05:45. | |
voters? How significant are these two poles | :05:46. | :06:00. | |
this morning putting Labour and Tory nip and tuck? Osborne gave his party | :06:01. | :06:10. | |
a good bounce. It was an astonishingly theatrical coup. At | :06:11. | :06:15. | |
first glance, it seems like a huge gift to all people. That is where | :06:16. | :06:19. | |
all of the money has been channelled by this government. They have been | :06:20. | :06:23. | |
ultra-protected, triple locked. Pensioners have done very well and | :06:24. | :06:28. | |
others less well. It is not surprising. Normally a budget which | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
is well received on the day and the day after has unravelled by the | :06:34. | :06:39. | |
weekend. This time, it has not, so far. The dangerous thing for the | :06:40. | :06:44. | |
Labour Party now, George Osborne is the assessment this thing called the | :06:45. | :06:48. | |
baseline. He says, in government, you must control the baseline. The | :06:49. | :06:53. | |
Labour party controlled in 2001 and 2005 and he needs to control it next | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
time. He is controlling it on fiscal policy because labour is matching | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
them on everything. The danger for Labour on the big, headline grabbing | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
issue, which was freeing up annuities on pensions, that again | :07:08. | :07:11. | |
Labour was pretty much saying it was going to support it though it were | :07:12. | :07:15. | |
saying it has to be fair and cost-effective. On a big, policy | :07:16. | :07:20. | |
issue, they are following on behind George Osborne. George Osborne is | :07:21. | :07:25. | |
controlling the crucial baseline. Are we in danger of reading too much | :07:26. | :07:34. | |
into the political implications of the budget? The good thing about the | :07:35. | :07:38. | |
pensions policy is, if it does unravel, it will not happen for ten | :07:39. | :07:43. | |
years and, by that time, George Osborne will have left office. | :07:44. | :07:47. | |
Towards the end of his speech, I thought, that is not enough. There | :07:48. | :07:52. | |
is not an idea in your budget which is politically very vivid a year | :07:53. | :07:57. | |
before an election. What I underestimated was, how many | :07:58. | :08:00. | |
frustrated savers that are in the country. There are a lot of people | :08:01. | :08:06. | |
who are frustrated by low interest rates and tax rates on pension pots. | :08:07. | :08:11. | |
This was an explicit gesture for them. That is what has paid off in | :08:12. | :08:17. | |
the polls in the past few days. You spend all of your money on your | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
wardrobe, is that right? The bingo poster was a kind of get out of jail | :08:23. | :08:27. | |
card for Labour. It gave them something to zoom in on. Everyone | :08:28. | :08:31. | |
beat up on Grant Shapps, the Tory chairman. We read in the daily | :08:32. | :08:37. | |
Telegraph that the fingerprints of the Chancellor were all over this | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
poster. The Chancellor signed off it -- off on it and so did Lynton | :08:44. | :08:51. | |
Crosby. They referred to working class people as, they are. How did | :08:52. | :08:58. | |
it get into the Telegraph? We can only presume but grant Shapps made | :08:59. | :09:03. | |
it clear that it was not him. We had a time when Labour politicians, we | :09:04. | :09:07. | |
saw from the response of Ed Miliband onwards, they were not quite sure | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
how to react to this budget. A lot of detail had to be absorbed. | :09:12. | :09:16. | |
Suddenly, here is something we can talk about. You can see the thinking | :09:17. | :09:28. | |
behind the poster was very sensible. We are not Tory toffs, we are | :09:29. | :09:30. | |
interested in helping people who do not come from our backgrounds. The | :09:31. | :09:32. | |
wording was awful and played into every cliche. It was all his fault. | :09:33. | :09:39. | |
It shows how unsophisticated he was. There were people from Tory HQ | :09:40. | :09:48. | |
who agreed the budget. A month down the line will the budget look as | :09:49. | :09:59. | |
good? Probably. Once people look at it, pensions are fiendishly | :10:00. | :10:02. | |
conjugated. Once they look and see what it will do with people having | :10:03. | :10:06. | |
to pay for their own care because they can now take capital at their | :10:07. | :10:10. | |
pension, that will come as a shock to a lot of people with small | :10:11. | :10:15. | |
savings. It all be gone on their care. The polling will be neck and | :10:16. | :10:23. | |
neck all the way. In the past, George Osborne has been accused of | :10:24. | :10:26. | |
using his Budgets to tinker at the margins or pull cheap tricks on his | :10:27. | :10:29. | |
political opponents. Perish the thought. But the big surprise in | :10:30. | :10:32. | |
this year's statement was a genuinely radical shake-up of the | :10:33. | :10:34. | |
pensions system that will affect most people who've yet to retire. At | :10:35. | :10:45. | |
the moment, everyone is saving money into a defined contribution pension, | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
that is the type most common in the private sector. They can take 25% of | :10:50. | :10:55. | |
the pot is a tax-free lump sum when they retire. The rest of the money, | :10:56. | :11:00. | |
for most people, they are forced to buy an annuity, a form of insurance | :11:01. | :11:03. | |
which provide a guaranteed monthly income until they die. Annuities | :11:04. | :11:07. | |
have hardly been a bargain since interest rates were flat slashed | :11:08. | :11:16. | |
following the financial crash. Even with a ?100,000 pension pot would | :11:17. | :11:21. | |
only get an income of ?5,800 a year at current rates. From 2018, | :11:22. | :11:25. | |
pensioners will not be forced to buy an annuity. They can do what they | :11:26. | :11:29. | |
like with their money, even taking the entire pot as a lump some but | :11:30. | :11:34. | |
paying tax on 75% of it. With an average pension pot closer | :11:35. | :11:46. | |
to around ?30,000, pensioners would be more likely to buy a Skoda | :11:47. | :11:54. | |
instead of a Lamborghini. Most newly retired people who take the cash are | :11:55. | :11:59. | |
more likely to spend the money paying off their mortgage, helping a | :12:00. | :12:03. | |
family member to buy a property or investing the money elsewhere. Well, | :12:04. | :12:05. | |
earlier I spoke to the Pensions Minister. He's a Lib Dem called | :12:06. | :12:09. | |
Steve Webb. I began by asking him if he still thought the reforms might | :12:10. | :12:12. | |
lead to pensioners splurging all their savings on supercars. What | :12:13. | :12:19. | |
this reform is about is treating people as adults. For far too long, | :12:20. | :12:24. | |
we have said, we will make sure you save for your old age and then we | :12:25. | :12:27. | |
will control each year how much is spent on what you spend it on. What | :12:28. | :12:33. | |
we are saying is because we have formed -- reformed the state | :12:34. | :12:36. | |
pension, we will be much more relaxed about what people do with | :12:37. | :12:40. | |
their own money. The evidence is that people who have been frugal and | :12:41. | :12:43. | |
saved hard for retirement do not generally blows a lot. They will | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
spin it out. It is treating people as adults and giving them choices | :12:49. | :12:53. | |
they should have had all along. It is a red herring, isn't it? The | :12:54. | :13:01. | |
average pension pot is between 25000 and 30,000. Lamborghinis aren't an | :13:02. | :13:07. | |
option, correct? I gather only about 5000 people a year retiring can buy | :13:08. | :13:12. | |
a flashy Italian sports car. It might be about paying off a | :13:13. | :13:15. | |
mortgage, paying off outstanding debts. Maybe spending more money | :13:16. | :13:19. | |
earlier in retirement when they are fit and able and can enjoy it more. | :13:20. | :13:23. | |
We will give people guidance. We will make sure when they retire, | :13:24. | :13:28. | |
there is someone to have a conversation with talking through | :13:29. | :13:31. | |
the implications of spending the money early and options of investing | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
it. This will be a real step forward. Even if you have a much | :13:36. | :13:42. | |
bigger pension pot, say half ?1 million, which is way bigger than | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
the average, even then the marginal rates of tax will be a disincentive | :13:47. | :13:51. | |
to take it all out at once. You will lose huge chunks of it at the 40% | :13:52. | :13:59. | |
band and then the 45% band. The tax system gives you the incentive to | :14:00. | :14:03. | |
spread it out if the tax threshold is a bit over 10000 and the state | :14:04. | :14:07. | |
pension is a bit over 7000, the first 3000 you draw out in a given | :14:08. | :14:13. | |
year is tax-free. The next band is at 20%. Spreading your money will | :14:14. | :14:21. | |
mean you pay less tax. That is why, in general, people will not blow the | :14:22. | :14:24. | |
lot up front. They will spread it out over their retirement. You have | :14:25. | :14:29. | |
kept this policy quiet. Not even a hint. How did you test it? How did | :14:30. | :14:35. | |
you make sure it would be robust? You did not do a consultation. I | :14:36. | :14:41. | |
have been talking about freeing up the annuity market for a decade. The | :14:42. | :14:45. | |
idea of giving people more choice. The government has relaxed rules | :14:46. | :14:49. | |
over this Parliament. It was not a completely new idea. We know in | :14:50. | :14:53. | |
places like Australia and America, people have these freedoms. We | :14:54. | :15:02. | |
already have something to judge it by. We will spend the next year | :15:03. | :15:04. | |
talking to people, working it through. There will be a three-month | :15:05. | :15:06. | |
consultation. I want people to have choices about their own money. There | :15:07. | :15:10. | |
is detail still to be worked out and we are in listening mode about how | :15:11. | :15:16. | |
we implement it. When you announce something you cannot do widespread | :15:17. | :15:18. | |
consultation, for the reasons I have given, you do run the risk of | :15:19. | :15:23. | |
unforeseen consequences? Pension companies this morning are | :15:24. | :15:26. | |
indicating, you, the government can write you are looking for ?25 | :15:27. | :15:30. | |
billion of infrastructure investment from us. You hold our shell below | :15:31. | :15:36. | |
the water line. That may not happen. We spoke internally about the | :15:37. | :15:53. | |
implications for instruction -- infrastructure. It seems to me there | :15:54. | :16:03. | |
will still be long-term investments. Many people want to turn their whole | :16:04. | :16:10. | |
pot into an income. I understand the insurance companies are lobbying, | :16:11. | :16:13. | |
but I'm convinced there will still be plenty of money for investment | :16:14. | :16:19. | |
and infrastructure. If the Chancellor's pro-savings measures | :16:20. | :16:24. | |
work, that will generate more savings. With no requirement now to | :16:25. | :16:30. | |
buy an annuity, surely it is the case that pension pots are another | :16:31. | :16:37. | |
ordinary savings fund, so why should they continue to get favourable tax | :16:38. | :16:43. | |
treatment? Bear in mind that a lot of the tax treatment of pensioners | :16:44. | :16:48. | |
is tax deferred so most people pay tax at the standard rate. If they | :16:49. | :16:53. | |
put money into a pension, they don't pay tax when they earn it, but they | :16:54. | :17:01. | |
do at retirement. We do want, we will still have automatic enrolment | :17:02. | :17:06. | |
into workplace pensions, we do want people to build up, because at age | :17:07. | :17:11. | |
20 and 30 nobody thinks about retirement. It is still vital that | :17:12. | :17:18. | |
people do reach retirement to have these new choices with a decent | :17:19. | :17:24. | |
sized pension pot. Pensions. Tax breaks because they were supposed to | :17:25. | :17:29. | |
provide an income in retirement, that is how it was structured, but | :17:30. | :17:33. | |
that is no longer a requirement, surely that undermines the case that | :17:34. | :17:40. | |
if they get tax breaks, other forms of savings should get tax breaks. | :17:41. | :17:46. | |
Other forms do get tax breaks, of course. The return with ISAs is tax | :17:47. | :18:00. | |
free. The point with pensions is that you are simply deferring your | :18:01. | :18:09. | |
earnings. There is a bit when high tax rate payers get a kick when they | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
are working and then retire on standard rate, so there is the issue | :18:13. | :18:18. | |
of the top getting too many tax breaks, but the basic principle that | :18:19. | :18:22. | |
you pay tax when you get the income seems right to me and isn't affected | :18:23. | :18:29. | |
by these changes. You have announced save friendly measures, are we right | :18:30. | :18:33. | |
to look at them as a consolation prize because savers have suffered | :18:34. | :18:39. | |
from the Government's policy of keeping interest rates abnormally | :18:40. | :18:44. | |
low? It is certainly the case that very low interest rates have been a | :18:45. | :18:50. | |
huge boon to people of working age with mortgages, and people who have | :18:51. | :18:53. | |
retired said they thought they could have got a better deal on their | :18:54. | :18:59. | |
savings. I think there is a recognition that whilst we have done | :19:00. | :19:04. | |
the right thing with pensioners on the state pension, we have brought | :19:05. | :19:10. | |
in the triple lock, and many will bent on -- benefit from these | :19:11. | :19:20. | |
changes. Why don't savers who are not pensioners get the same help? | :19:21. | :19:25. | |
They have been hit by low interest rates as well. Those of working | :19:26. | :19:31. | |
age, many of them say they have benefited from low interest rates | :19:32. | :19:36. | |
was predominantly people in retirement have not had the benefit. | :19:37. | :19:44. | |
Obviously people of working age will have benefited from the tax | :19:45. | :19:52. | |
allowance so it is a myth to say the Budget was all about pensioners. And | :19:53. | :19:58. | |
yet even when the Office for Budget Responsibility takes into account | :19:59. | :20:01. | |
your new measures, it still shows that over the next five years | :20:02. | :20:07. | |
households will save less and less, indeed the savings ratio falls by | :20:08. | :20:14. | |
50%. You haven't done enough. One of the things we know is that the | :20:15. | :20:18. | |
economy is picking up strongly, and as we have more confidence about the | :20:19. | :20:23. | |
future they will be more willing to consume now, so without these | :20:24. | :20:27. | |
measures it may be that the saving rate would have fallen further. We | :20:28. | :20:32. | |
want people to save and spend, it is about getting the right balance. As | :20:33. | :20:38. | |
the economy picks up, people will want to spend more of their money | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
and it is about getting the balance right. You make the point that if | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
people are little profligate with their private pensions, they will | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
have the state pension to fall back on and it will be higher than it has | :20:53. | :20:57. | |
been, but it is also the case that in these circumstances they will | :20:58. | :21:02. | |
still be entitled to housing benefit and even to perhaps some council tax | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
benefit as well. Do you know by how much this could put the welfare bill | :21:08. | :21:14. | |
up? We think the impact will be relatively modest because the sort | :21:15. | :21:19. | |
of people who save for a pension and make sacrifices while they are at | :21:20. | :21:23. | |
work are not the sort of people who get to 65 and decide to blow the lot | :21:24. | :21:30. | |
for the great privilege of receiving council tax benefit or housing | :21:31. | :21:33. | |
benefit. There will be people on the margins and | :21:34. | :21:45. | |
benefit. There will be people on the who retire with some capital want to | :21:46. | :21:45. | |
put some money away for their funeral. People like to save even | :21:46. | :21:52. | |
into retirement so the myth of the spendthrift pensioner I don't | :21:53. | :21:58. | |
believe. I think this has been rightly welcomed. Ever fancied a | :21:59. | :22:04. | |
Lamborghini yourself? If you turned the camera around you would see my | :22:05. | :22:19. | |
2-door Corsa! What's your favourite thing about an | :22:20. | :22:22. | |
election? Could it be the candidates ringing on your door while you're | :22:23. | :22:25. | |
having dinner? The leaflets piling up on your doormat? Or the endless | :22:26. | :22:28. | |
adverts aimed at hardworking families? Well, if you thought that | :22:29. | :22:31. | |
was bad enough, then you might want to consider going overseas for the | :22:32. | :22:34. | |
2015 election because the parties are going to be aiming their message | :22:35. | :22:37. | |
at you like never before. Adam's been to Worcester to find out more. | :22:38. | :22:43. | |
One of the most famous political figures in history lived here, she | :22:44. | :22:48. | |
is called Worcester woman. She was in her 30s, working class with a | :22:49. | :22:53. | |
couple of kids, aspirational yet worried about quality of life. But | :22:54. | :22:57. | |
she wasn't a real person, she was a label for the kind of voter new | :22:58. | :23:02. | |
Labour were trying to reach and she was later joined by Mondeo man and | :23:03. | :23:09. | |
several others. Doesn't that all seem a bit 90s? The technique, | :23:10. | :23:13. | |
called segmentation, was used by George Bush in 2004. Then refined by | :23:14. | :23:20. | |
Barack Obama. Rather than focusing on crude measures like cars and | :23:21. | :23:26. | |
hometowns, they delved into the minds of voters. It is not just | :23:27. | :23:29. | |
women, not just people who live in cities, but if you start to put | :23:30. | :23:35. | |
together these groups of people you can even in an anecdote or way | :23:36. | :23:41. | |
imagine who they are, what types of language and imagery might relate to | :23:42. | :23:49. | |
them. We have been given access to a new polling model being used here by | :23:50. | :23:54. | |
this firm, which is pretty close to the one we are told is being used by | :23:55. | :24:00. | |
the Tories. It carves the country into six personality types, and we | :24:01. | :24:05. | |
are trying it out on Worcester woman and wast of man. We are using an | :24:06. | :24:11. | |
online quiz to work out who is in which segment. Meet new monk, | :24:12. | :24:19. | |
Susie. She feels well represented. I know the Budget and the increases to | :24:20. | :24:26. | |
childcare, I think at the moment I am fairly represented. This puts her | :24:27. | :24:31. | |
in the category of optimistic contentment, people who feel they | :24:32. | :24:36. | |
are doing OK. Terry, on the other hand, isn't happy about Britain | :24:37. | :24:44. | |
today. Health and safety and all that! I hardly recognise the country | :24:45. | :24:53. | |
a living in any more? Yes. Are you ready for the result? He is Mr | :24:54. | :25:00. | |
comfortable nostalgia, they tend to favour the Tories and UKIP. They | :25:01. | :25:04. | |
dislike the cultural changes they see as altering Britain for the | :25:05. | :25:10. | |
worst. That sums me up. Tony is worried as well but feels much less | :25:11. | :25:18. | |
secure. I look forward to the future with optimism or anxiety? Anxiety. | :25:19. | :25:26. | |
Optimist or pessimist? Pessimist. His category is... You feel a bit | :25:27. | :25:36. | |
insecure, you think the Government could probably help you more? Yes. | :25:37. | :25:43. | |
Labour picks up a lot of these voters. This man is being asked to | :25:44. | :25:49. | |
do more and more at work, but he is getting less and less. I am getting | :25:50. | :25:57. | |
more towards the despair side. Things are getting tougher, | :25:58. | :26:02. | |
generally? It puts him into the segment called long-term despair, | :26:03. | :26:08. | |
people who feel left out. Finally, this is ever thoughtful Carol. I am | :26:09. | :26:18. | |
a bit of an idealist. Her idealism makes her a cosmopolitan critic. I | :26:19. | :26:25. | |
am a liberal person. Apparently a lot of the media fit into this | :26:26. | :26:29. | |
category as well. There is one group of voters we have not come across, | :26:30. | :26:34. | |
people who show calm persistence. They hope things will get better but | :26:35. | :26:39. | |
don't expect them to. They are coping, rather than comfortable. | :26:40. | :26:44. | |
Presumably they are all out of work. Which group are you win? You can | :26:45. | :26:49. | |
take the poll on the BBC website, and in the coming weeks we will be | :26:50. | :26:53. | |
doing our own polling using the six segments to see of the politicians | :26:54. | :27:01. | |
really have worked out how we think. And as Adam said, if you want to try | :27:02. | :27:05. | |
the survey for yourself, you can go to the BBC website and click on the | :27:06. | :27:07. | |
link. And we're joined now by the | :27:08. | :27:16. | |
pollster, Rick Nye. Welcome to Sunday Politics. We have had | :27:17. | :27:23. | |
Worcester woman, Worcester man, is this any different? It is a | :27:24. | :27:30. | |
recognition that or politician -- all politics these days is like | :27:31. | :27:43. | |
this. It enables them to cut them more finally. You think all politics | :27:44. | :27:51. | |
is coalition politics, you think they have to put together these | :27:52. | :27:56. | |
groups of people, not that the Lib Dems will always be in power? No, | :27:57. | :28:02. | |
and if you listen to the coverage these days you might think it is | :28:03. | :28:08. | |
about grumpy old men on the one hand with Guardian readers on the other. | :28:09. | :28:13. | |
It is far more complicated than that, there is a lot of churning | :28:14. | :28:16. | |
going on underneath which is driven by people's value systems. A lot of | :28:17. | :28:24. | |
this has been pioneered in the United States, very sophisticated on | :28:25. | :28:29. | |
their election techniques, and in Britain we are always the first to | :28:30. | :28:33. | |
grab whatever the New Year will is from America. How do you think this | :28:34. | :28:39. | |
will translate to this country? I think it means that if you are | :28:40. | :28:42. | |
target photo you will still get the same of leaflets and people calling, | :28:43. | :28:48. | |
but you will probably have different kinds of conversations because | :28:49. | :28:53. | |
people on the other side, the party campaigners, will think they know | :28:54. | :29:00. | |
more about you. Will I know who you are? If I am a party campaigner, | :29:01. | :29:04. | |
will I know, looking down the street, who fits into which | :29:05. | :29:09. | |
category? You will be able to approximate that with all of the | :29:10. | :29:12. | |
other data that you have gathered through polling, or doing local | :29:13. | :29:18. | |
campaigning, that is the idea to make sense of this vast quantity of | :29:19. | :29:24. | |
data people have about voters. We asked our panel to fill in your | :29:25. | :29:29. | |
survey. Nick is optimistic contentment, 99%. He was 1% | :29:30. | :29:35. | |
cosmopolitan critic, which is how he keeps his job at the Guardian. | :29:36. | :29:40. | |
Polly's job could not be more secure, 100% cosmopolitan critics, | :29:41. | :29:47. | |
and Janan Ganesh, optimistic contentment, which is what you would | :29:48. | :29:50. | |
expect from a financial Times columnist. What do you make of this | :29:51. | :30:07. | |
technique? Why are you only 99? It sounds really clever. 95% of the | :30:08. | :30:16. | |
population five years ago voted Labour or the Conservatives. We have | :30:17. | :30:21. | |
got away from that. It is coalition politics. You need sophisticated | :30:22. | :30:27. | |
methods. Presumably you must not lose touch with basic points. You | :30:28. | :30:34. | |
said it was used in the US presidential elections. Wasn't there | :30:35. | :30:39. | |
them moment emit Romney 's sweet when the initial response was, we | :30:40. | :30:44. | |
did not know the sort of people voted. His next response was, we did | :30:45. | :30:51. | |
not know these people existed. Unless you know about certain key | :30:52. | :30:55. | |
demographics, you are wasting your time. Is it important in modern | :30:56. | :31:01. | |
campaigning? I think it is useful because it is about attitude. We | :31:02. | :31:12. | |
have got Mosaic. We have got Acorn. It does not tell us very much. What | :31:13. | :31:17. | |
people think and feel may be different to their income. You can | :31:18. | :31:21. | |
be quite a high earner and anxious. You can be quite a low earner and | :31:22. | :31:25. | |
feeling aspirational and optimistic about the future. I think this does | :31:26. | :31:32. | |
get something else. In days gone by, particularly in America, | :31:33. | :31:37. | |
overwhelmingly, if you are in the better of segment, you would be | :31:38. | :31:41. | |
Republican and the blue-collar workers and some academics and | :31:42. | :31:45. | |
Liberals voted Democrat. In the last election, the richest 200 counties | :31:46. | :31:50. | |
in America voted Democrat. That is an attitude thing. Income does not | :31:51. | :31:55. | |
tell you how people will vote. There is a huge, working-class base of | :31:56. | :32:00. | |
support for the Republicans. It is unavoidable. Add a time when people | :32:01. | :32:04. | |
no longer identify with ideologies or class blocks, you have to go the | :32:05. | :32:13. | |
temperament and lifestyle and manageable. In America there were | :32:14. | :32:22. | |
128 segments according to lifestyle and Outlook. Once you get to that | :32:23. | :32:28. | |
stage, it becomes close to useless. We were talking about the budget | :32:29. | :32:33. | |
earlier. What other polls saying about the budget? The lead of labour | :32:34. | :32:41. | |
has been narrowed over the Conservatives. -- Labour. Osborne | :32:42. | :32:49. | |
and Cameron as an academic team have always had a lead over Miller band | :32:50. | :32:55. | |
and Balls. This week it is about economic management. -- over Mr | :32:56. | :32:57. | |
Miller band. Thank you for being with us today. | :32:58. | :33:13. | |
It's just gone 11:30am. You're watching the Sunday Politics. We say | :33:14. | :33:17. | |
goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now for Sunday Politics | :33:18. | :33:20. | |
Hello, I'm Martyn Oates. Coming up minutes: We'll | :33:21. | :33:31. | |
Hello, I'm Martyn Oates. Coming up on the Sunday Politics in the South | :33:32. | :33:35. | |
West: Is the wind from Westminster blowing against the renewable energy | :33:36. | :33:38. | |
industry? For the next 20 minutes, I'm joined | :33:39. | :33:41. | |
by Ben Bradshaw, Labour MP for Exeter and Anne Marie Morris, | :33:42. | :33:45. | |
Conservative MP for Newton Abbot. Welcome to the programme. This week | :33:46. | :33:48. | |
residents of a mid`Devon village laid claim to the country's biggest | :33:49. | :33:52. | |
pothole. The people of Sandford have been referring to this as the | :33:53. | :33:55. | |
swimming pool. Some help was at hand though from the Chancellor, who | :33:56. | :33:57. | |
pledged another ?200 million nationally to mend damaged roads. | :33:58. | :34:01. | |
That, though, according to the Local Government Association will | :34:02. | :34:03. | |
disappear into an enormous hole itself as the total backlog of road | :34:04. | :34:09. | |
repairs will cost ?10.5 billion. The Budget also saw the Chancellor | :34:10. | :34:10. | |
offering more help for house buyers. Potholes, pensions, fuel duty frees | :34:11. | :34:25. | |
and possibly more regional flights. It was a good budget for the West | :34:26. | :34:31. | |
Country, wasn't it? Potholes is probably the biggest issue I hear | :34:32. | :34:39. | |
about. If you are on four wheels they are bad enough and if you are | :34:40. | :34:44. | |
on to, they are lethal. Generally, the pothole money is part of a | :34:45. | :34:49. | |
package of measures which is appealing to people in the | :34:50. | :34:54. | |
south`west? You have to be careful about the pension changes as there | :34:55. | :34:58. | |
is a lot to be discovered about the detail and concerns about whether it | :34:59. | :35:01. | |
will further inflame the property market. | :35:02. | :35:05. | |
There have been suggestions in quite a lot of financial papers since the | :35:06. | :35:11. | |
budget that it could lead to a further inflammation of a property | :35:12. | :35:21. | |
bubble. Anne Marie Morris, the local | :35:22. | :35:24. | |
government Association says here is money for road and pothole repairs | :35:25. | :35:29. | |
but at the same time, the government is cutting local council budgets. | :35:30. | :35:36. | |
Councils are saying free up the money as we could do the job better. | :35:37. | :35:42. | |
That is a fair point and I have been lobbying government hard because the | :35:43. | :35:47. | |
rural counties get a much lower deal than the urban communities and we | :35:48. | :35:51. | |
are 50% underfunded. The government repeatedly completely | :35:52. | :35:59. | |
ignores you, doesn't it? They listen but we have an economic challenge | :36:00. | :36:04. | |
left by the previous government and so finding the extra money without | :36:05. | :36:08. | |
taking it away from urban communities will be a problem. It is | :36:09. | :36:13. | |
a real issue. Generally, quite a big welcome from | :36:14. | :36:19. | |
business for the budget. Except from small and micro businesses, an area | :36:20. | :36:26. | |
you are interested in. I am not even classed as a small | :36:27. | :36:29. | |
business and I don't think micro businesses factored in the budget at | :36:30. | :36:34. | |
all. I don't export of manufacture so the budget has completely missed | :36:35. | :36:38. | |
me entirely. What do you make of that? | :36:39. | :36:44. | |
This budget was more focused on big business but when you take into | :36:45. | :36:49. | |
account the national insurance changes and employers allowance and | :36:50. | :36:54. | |
business rights and ?1000 for small high`street businesses in addition | :36:55. | :37:01. | |
to the cap, all of those things we've had in previous budgets. | :37:02. | :37:05. | |
Frankly, the last two budgets have been focused on the small business. | :37:06. | :37:11. | |
Let us stick with this budget which saw the chancellor offering more | :37:12. | :37:13. | |
help for house buyers. He's extending the Help to Buy scheme | :37:14. | :37:16. | |
which sees the Government playing mortgage lender and backing loans to | :37:17. | :37:19. | |
people trying to climb the property ladder. The basic premise of the | :37:20. | :37:22. | |
scheme is controversial, though, with critics claiming it could make | :37:23. | :37:24. | |
the affordable housing crisis worse. John Henderson reports. | :37:25. | :37:28. | |
Itchy feet and the same is true for six`month`old Toby's parents. The | :37:29. | :37:32. | |
dream of owning their own home is close to reality. They are about to | :37:33. | :37:35. | |
complete on a four`bedroom house in Plymouth which means Toby can leave | :37:36. | :37:40. | |
his granny's house. It is possible due to the governments help to buy | :37:41. | :37:43. | |
scheme which allows people to buy with just a 5% deposit. We wouldn't | :37:44. | :37:50. | |
have been able to afford it if we didn't have the 5%. If it was 10%, | :37:51. | :37:55. | |
we'd be staying with nan. I had to go back to work early on maternity | :37:56. | :37:59. | |
leave to get the mortgage as it was already on the 5% otherwise we would | :38:00. | :38:01. | |
still be here today. This week, the Chancellor confirmed | :38:02. | :38:10. | |
that the scheme, a mix of guarantees and money to stimulate new builds | :38:11. | :38:14. | |
and sales on older houses, would be extended. Taken all together, the | :38:15. | :38:20. | |
housing policies I announce today will support over 200,000 new homes | :38:21. | :38:25. | |
for families. We are getting Britain building. But the scheme isn't | :38:26. | :38:31. | |
without its critics. Not a game changer was how the Royal Institute | :38:32. | :38:33. | |
of Chartered Surveyors described it and labour was also unimpressed. | :38:34. | :38:41. | |
They will not stand up to vested interests, developers sitting on | :38:42. | :38:43. | |
land, even though they cannot solve the housing crisis without it. | :38:44. | :38:49. | |
Labour has issued a "use it or lose it" threat to big developers. House | :38:50. | :38:53. | |
builders say they are not hoarding land and other says the planning | :38:54. | :38:57. | |
system needs changing. On this site in Exeter, they have been trying to | :38:58. | :39:01. | |
build three houses for three years and some say central government | :39:02. | :39:04. | |
should do what it can to make things happen. What you could regard as | :39:05. | :39:09. | |
sterile land needs to be brought back into production. Anything that | :39:10. | :39:13. | |
can be done to incentivise builders and local authorities to produce | :39:14. | :39:15. | |
land that is necessary is really important. Others feel the scheme | :39:16. | :39:24. | |
will stoke up the market and lead to a housing bubble. We must not now | :39:25. | :39:28. | |
settle for a short`term spurt of growth fuelled by an old`fashioned | :39:29. | :39:30. | |
property boom. But the estate agents who have | :39:31. | :39:38. | |
helped Laura say that while transactions are up 40%, prices are | :39:39. | :39:44. | |
sensible. But more sellers would help. It is getting the balance | :39:45. | :39:49. | |
right. It isn't in anyone's favour for there to be a bubble in the | :39:50. | :39:53. | |
market. We want steady growth, for people to be able to move and for | :39:54. | :39:57. | |
there to be a similar amount of sellers and buyers. That's the best | :39:58. | :40:02. | |
market I've seen. Toby and Laura should soon be on | :40:03. | :40:06. | |
their way. Goodbye granny's house and hello new home. Bye! | :40:07. | :40:16. | |
This concern that we might be fuelling another housing bubble, | :40:17. | :40:24. | |
people in your party are concerned as well. It is a concern, isn't it? | :40:25. | :40:32. | |
It is something we need to be careful of. The reality is from all | :40:33. | :40:36. | |
the reports I've seen, house prices are gently going up although not | :40:37. | :40:44. | |
very much in the south`west, nobody is laying that at the door of this | :40:45. | :40:52. | |
scheme. There is a revision of figures for growth up and says ` | :40:53. | :40:59. | |
report says house prices will increase by 8.5% by the end of this | :41:00. | :41:02. | |
year and that is something, isn't it? It would be if it translates to | :41:03. | :41:13. | |
that. It is about what is the driver. The economy is improving so | :41:14. | :41:17. | |
house prices are moving back to where they are and if that is | :41:18. | :41:21. | |
happening that is a good thing. If we break `` build houses, prizes `` | :41:22. | :41:28. | |
prices should not go up as fast. The more supply there is to meet the | :41:29. | :41:33. | |
demand, inevitably the prize doesn't keep rising. It sounds as if the | :41:34. | :41:38. | |
government is singing from the Haim sheep `` same hymn sheet as Labour? | :41:39. | :41:46. | |
It is not doing nearly enough to encourage supply and that is why | :41:47. | :41:50. | |
house prices are projected to rise this year. I agree with Vince cable | :41:51. | :41:54. | |
that there is a danger the government is stoking a pre`election | :41:55. | :41:58. | |
house price bubble for political reasons and the recovery objectively | :41:59. | :42:02. | |
there in the economy is not being felt because it is based on property | :42:03. | :42:08. | |
value and private debt. But planning minister said a few months ago that | :42:09. | :42:13. | |
to have more houses, you need to have more people in a position to | :42:14. | :42:17. | |
buy them and that makes sense as well? | :42:18. | :42:21. | |
But there aren't enough affordable houses out there. People 's wages | :42:22. | :42:27. | |
are going up 1% if they are lucky and house prices by much more. | :42:28. | :42:33. | |
People in the south`west already have the biggest gap between house | :42:34. | :42:35. | |
prices and salaries and it is getting wider. | :42:36. | :42:42. | |
What about the point Ed Miliband was making saying the developers are | :42:43. | :42:45. | |
sitting on land waiting for the value to go out? It is a scatter`gun | :42:46. | :42:56. | |
approach policy. We are trying to have a proper approach which means | :42:57. | :43:01. | |
looking at where is the best place to have the development involving | :43:02. | :43:05. | |
local communities. That was part of the Regent `` reason for the changes | :43:06. | :43:09. | |
we put in place and it will help enormously but we're not doing | :43:10. | :43:15. | |
anything to help the supply? There is a lot we are doing. In the budget | :43:16. | :43:19. | |
there was an extra pot set aside for the small developers so if they have | :43:20. | :43:24. | |
not been able to get finance, they can build. | :43:25. | :43:29. | |
Do you back this notion of forcing developers to develop? Identically | :43:30. | :43:37. | |
with that. Local authorities know where this land is. Local | :43:38. | :43:39. | |
authorities are certainly know that and they will be given the power if | :43:40. | :43:44. | |
they are aware of pockets of land which would make good development | :43:45. | :43:48. | |
for housing and if developers are sitting on it. Anything we can do to | :43:49. | :43:51. | |
increase the supply and not just the demand has to be the right thing. | :43:52. | :43:59. | |
The problem continually sits there. We have been flat`lining in terms of | :44:00. | :44:03. | |
house`building under both governments. No, it has gone up 23% | :44:04. | :44:12. | |
since we came into power. We have been building a lot more houses. | :44:13. | :44:18. | |
Down in the first two years but it has gone up in the last year. We | :44:19. | :44:22. | |
need a lot more affordable home `` homes to rent and we need more new | :44:23. | :44:29. | |
towns. We need affordable new hands as well as market. We need them | :44:30. | :44:35. | |
properly plan not urban stretch like out of Exeter. | :44:36. | :44:38. | |
The Chancellor also moved to cut energy bills on Wednesday by | :44:39. | :44:40. | |
freezing the tax on burning carbon. He insists the Government's | :44:41. | :44:43. | |
commitment to support green energy remains unchanged. But voices in the | :44:44. | :44:46. | |
renewable energy industry say it's another nail in the coffin for the | :44:47. | :44:49. | |
Coalition's claim to be the greenest government ever. Tamsin Melville | :44:50. | :44:50. | |
reports. Green campaigners were at | :44:51. | :44:57. | |
Westminster this week ahead of EU carbon cutting talks. Wind farms ` | :44:58. | :45:05. | |
one way of tackling these climate issues, but the government is under | :45:06. | :45:08. | |
increasing pressure on the number of applications. | :45:09. | :45:13. | |
Small, rural communities are plunged into what can only be described as a | :45:14. | :45:20. | |
miserable ordeal. Immediately, there is a cloud of uncertainty over their | :45:21. | :45:27. | |
lives. A carbon tax freeze in the budget has left another question | :45:28. | :45:29. | |
mark over the government's commitment to green energy. We need | :45:30. | :45:35. | |
to think about where our energy is coming from. I think my complaint at | :45:36. | :45:40. | |
this point is that the government's policy is all over the place and it | :45:41. | :45:43. | |
really isn't coherent enough to enable business to plan. A few years | :45:44. | :45:52. | |
ago, George Osborne announced a measure called the Carbon Price | :45:53. | :45:55. | |
Support which increased the cost of burning fossil fuels and was opposed | :45:56. | :45:58. | |
to encourage low`carbon plants like nuclear and wind farms. When he | :45:59. | :46:04. | |
introduced it, George Osborne said investment in green energy would | :46:05. | :46:07. | |
never be certain unless there was some stability to the price of | :46:08. | :46:10. | |
carbon, but now he is scrapping his plan to increase the cost of high | :46:11. | :46:16. | |
carbon energy. I am capping the carbon support rate | :46:17. | :46:20. | |
of ?18 per tonne of carbon dioxide from 2016/17 for the rest of the | :46:21. | :46:23. | |
decade, saving a mid`size manufacturer almost ?50,000 on their | :46:24. | :46:32. | |
annual energy bill. The Chancellor is keen to stress it | :46:33. | :46:36. | |
will not mean a reduction in investment of renewable energy, but | :46:37. | :46:38. | |
the industry says it sends an unwelcome message to the sector. It | :46:39. | :46:44. | |
is bad news for investors because a long`term framework was supposedly | :46:45. | :46:47. | |
stable and robust but George Osborne has changed it at the first sign of | :46:48. | :46:52. | |
trouble. It doesn't give a strong message that low`carbon investment | :46:53. | :46:55. | |
in generation is a good place to put money. Late last year, the plug was | :46:56. | :47:01. | |
pulled on the Atlantic Array project, plans for a massive wind | :47:02. | :47:05. | |
farm off the north Devon coast. Developers said it was not | :47:06. | :47:07. | |
financially viable and other ambitious South West projects have | :47:08. | :47:14. | |
also fallen by the wayside. Plans for wind turbines on this old World | :47:15. | :47:17. | |
War II airfield near Davidstow were scrapped earlier this year. There | :47:18. | :47:24. | |
has been a lot of local opposition but the company behind the plans, | :47:25. | :47:26. | |
Community Windpower, blames it on what it called the government's | :47:27. | :47:29. | |
constantly shifting position on UK renewables. The company also closed | :47:30. | :47:37. | |
its office in nearby Camelford that offered people energy advice. The | :47:38. | :47:44. | |
Chancellor say his carbon tax freeze will save people ?15 a year on their | :47:45. | :47:47. | |
energy bills and that it does still care about the climate but has to | :47:48. | :47:50. | |
act to keep British business competitive. | :47:51. | :47:55. | |
Tamsin Melville reporting and to discuss this we're joined by Mark | :47:56. | :48:00. | |
Robins from the RSPB which is a member of the Climate Coalition ` a | :48:01. | :48:03. | |
lobby group concerned about global warming. I noticed you were nodding | :48:04. | :48:14. | |
away while the representative for saying it was a terrible thing. In | :48:15. | :48:18. | |
fairness, a lot of people in the green lobby thought the carbon price | :48:19. | :48:24. | |
was in itself a bad thing. The climate change committee and | :48:25. | :48:28. | |
Greenpeace said it is precisely the sort of measure that destroys public | :48:29. | :48:31. | |
confidence in environmental policies. | :48:32. | :48:36. | |
I don't think there are many in the environment movement which `` who | :48:37. | :48:43. | |
say it was a wonderful mechanism but taking it away creates mixed | :48:44. | :48:46. | |
messages for those who want to do the right thing and develop low | :48:47. | :48:52. | |
carbon. You are talking about general signals, but in terms of the | :48:53. | :48:57. | |
specific policy, there is an argument that people like yourself | :48:58. | :49:08. | |
yourself make that it doesn't cut emissions either. You have to be | :49:09. | :49:14. | |
careful about who is picking up the cost of climate change. The Prime | :49:15. | :49:19. | |
Minister himself reaffirmed his commitment to climate change being | :49:20. | :49:22. | |
the biggest threat to humanity on this planet. It includes all life on | :49:23. | :49:30. | |
this planet. This issue about who picks up the cost about climate | :49:31. | :49:35. | |
change has been exposed this winter by those suffering from floods and | :49:36. | :49:39. | |
the railway industry `` infrastructure. The south`west has | :49:40. | :49:44. | |
been hit hard. The carbon price floor doesn't do anything for the | :49:45. | :49:49. | |
environment but it puts energy bills up so it is a lose, lose policy? But | :49:50. | :49:55. | |
George Osborne took it away and put nothing else in its place. Better | :49:56. | :50:00. | |
mechanisms could be found but he has replaced it with nothing. OK, Anne | :50:01. | :50:06. | |
Marie Morris not a ringing defence of the carbon price floor itself. | :50:07. | :50:12. | |
Looking at previous cuts in renewable energy subsidies and | :50:13. | :50:16. | |
reports there said that people were pulling out of investments. The | :50:17. | :50:20. | |
general message to the renewable industry isn't great, is it? The | :50:21. | :50:28. | |
comment a moment to bow `` the moment ago was incorrect, he has | :50:29. | :50:32. | |
capped it. We have to bear in mind that renewables are important but | :50:33. | :50:37. | |
wind doesn't blow all the time and the sun doesn't shine all the time | :50:38. | :50:41. | |
so you still have to have the more old`fashioned carbon technologies | :50:42. | :50:45. | |
and you cannot price them out of viability. The challenge is getting | :50:46. | :50:49. | |
the level right and the chancellor admits he set it too high. We are | :50:50. | :50:53. | |
not competitive with Europe at the moment. Our manufacturers are | :50:54. | :50:57. | |
seriously thinking of going abroad because electricity is cheaper. But | :50:58. | :51:04. | |
this government is chipping away, making various productions | :51:05. | :51:07. | |
effectively in its financial commitment to renewables. A lot of | :51:08. | :51:12. | |
people might look ahead and think, if the Conservatives get a majority | :51:13. | :51:16. | |
and a fair number of people share the view that wind power is | :51:17. | :51:23. | |
pointless, why would we invest? I would agree. Yes, there has been | :51:24. | :51:27. | |
tinkering but would you rather a government put in a measure and | :51:28. | :51:30. | |
ignored whether it was hitting the spot or would you rather have one | :51:31. | :51:37. | |
who looked at it and said, we are trying to sport renewables but we | :51:38. | :51:40. | |
don't want to penalise the carbon industry. We have to realise there | :51:41. | :51:45. | |
has to be some energy to boil the kettle at other times. The result of | :51:46. | :51:51. | |
the decision is to favour the dirtiest form of energy we have. It | :51:52. | :51:59. | |
is a Chancellor `` disaster. You are nodding, but Labour isn't keen on | :52:00. | :52:05. | |
the carbon price for itself, is it? Mark is right. It was the only | :52:06. | :52:14. | |
instrument we had. The constant changing of the goalposts. In a | :52:15. | :52:18. | |
country like Germany with a far higher level of renewable energy | :52:19. | :52:22. | |
production, they have done it with long`term incentives for the | :52:23. | :52:26. | |
renewable industry. When you have constant changing, where is the | :52:27. | :52:31. | |
incentive for our fledgling renewable industry? It is important | :52:32. | :52:37. | |
in our region. Big players in the industry say that. You have to look | :52:38. | :52:43. | |
at who is saying it and from what interest? There are always two | :52:44. | :52:49. | |
sides. But business likes of security and they like to know they | :52:50. | :52:54. | |
can invest with as much security as they can reasonably expect? But in | :52:55. | :52:57. | |
terms of the comment it will help the dirty energy, there is an | :52:58. | :53:01. | |
additional provision in the budget which says Waite who have combined | :53:02. | :53:08. | |
heat and power which is the most efficient, 55% efficiency, and there | :53:09. | :53:14. | |
is a subsidy for them, and they have been exempt when complying with this | :53:15. | :53:20. | |
carbon floor levy. We need to have a balance. This is relatively new | :53:21. | :53:24. | |
territory and we have done more than Labour did in the grand scheme of | :53:25. | :53:29. | |
things. I believe we are giving business security but we need to | :53:30. | :53:32. | |
make sure it gives the right security and the right message. | :53:33. | :53:39. | |
Investment in renewables has fallen from when we were in government. We | :53:40. | :53:44. | |
are having fewer wind farms approved, onshore and offshore. We | :53:45. | :53:48. | |
are going backwards. Now, our regular round`up of the | :53:49. | :53:49. | |
political week in 60 seconds. Calls for a new railway mainline | :53:50. | :54:00. | |
through Central Devon from the MP for Central Devon. Could I urge my | :54:01. | :54:04. | |
right honourable friends to take the proposal seriously and perhaps to | :54:05. | :54:07. | |
visit Okehampton with me to perhaps visit local businesses and others to | :54:08. | :54:10. | |
hear their case for the advantages it presents to them. | :54:11. | :54:15. | |
Calls to legalise euthanasia as a Dorset man gets a suspended prison | :54:16. | :54:18. | |
sentence for the attempted murder of his mother. How much better would it | :54:19. | :54:25. | |
have been if there was a law in this country where the lady herself could | :54:26. | :54:28. | |
have requested upfront an assisted death. | :54:29. | :54:32. | |
?120,000 of government money to support the Cornish language. | :54:33. | :54:37. | |
The possibility of new flights from regional airports including Exeter | :54:38. | :54:42. | |
and Newquay. We want all parts of our country to see better links with | :54:43. | :54:47. | |
the markets of the future. And the Chancellor freezes duty on | :54:48. | :54:49. | |
ordinary cider specifically, he said, to help flood sodden West | :54:50. | :54:51. | |
Country farmers. You represent Dawlish. We've heard | :54:52. | :55:09. | |
this call for an additional line through Central Devon. There is a | :55:10. | :55:13. | |
risk that when a railway needs upgrading, we get involved in | :55:14. | :55:22. | |
conflicting schemes and infighting? In large measure, MPs across the | :55:23. | :55:26. | |
South West to recognise that line which goes through Dawlish is | :55:27. | :55:30. | |
mission critical. Whatever else we do, that must be maintained. We are | :55:31. | :55:37. | |
talking ten plus years and millions of pounds. | :55:38. | :55:43. | |
Then, your constituency isn't affected but you took a keen | :55:44. | :55:49. | |
interest? Yes and everyone will plead for their own line but what | :55:50. | :55:53. | |
matters is that there is a resilient line for the whole of the | :55:54. | :55:56. | |
south`west. We should wait for the outcome of the Department of | :55:57. | :56:02. | |
Transport's review. We can't have you on the programme without talking | :56:03. | :56:09. | |
about cider. A freeze on duty... I am still waiting for my crate of | :56:10. | :56:15. | |
cider by the way! I am delighted the duty was present but puzzled by | :56:16. | :56:20. | |
their duty wasn't. That's the | :56:21. | :56:23. | |
decision, she will weigh up the factors. Andrew, back | :56:24. | :56:24. | |
The big news is the popular server is struggling to control all of the | :56:25. | :56:40. | |
people who want to find out where they fit in the political spectrum. | :56:41. | :56:45. | |
It hasn't quite crashed but it is queueing up those people. Who would | :56:46. | :56:50. | |
have thought the Sunday Politics had so many viewers? It has never | :56:51. | :57:00. | |
happened on the X factor. This morning's papers don't make | :57:01. | :57:02. | |
comfortable reading for Labour with two separate polls showing the | :57:03. | :57:05. | |
party's lead over the Tories is down to just one point. And there's been | :57:06. | :57:08. | |
plenty of criticism of Ed Miliband's response to the Budget. Let's take a | :57:09. | :57:12. | |
look. You know you are in trouble when even the Education Secretary | :57:13. | :57:15. | |
calls you and out of touch bunch of elitist. Where is he? He is hiding! | :57:16. | :57:27. | |
I think he has been consigned to the naughty step by the Prime Minister. | :57:28. | :57:34. | |
The naughty step! And we're joined now by shadow chief secretary to the | :57:35. | :57:39. | |
Treasury, Chris Leslie. There was a widely criticised response by Ed | :57:40. | :57:43. | |
Balls to the Autumn Statement, now a widely criticised response by Ed | :57:44. | :57:49. | |
Miliband to the Budget. Does this show you are struggling at the | :57:50. | :57:55. | |
moment? Of course Ed Balls and Ed Miliband don't want to hear the fact | :57:56. | :58:00. | |
that in reality, for most people, life is getting harder and there is | :58:01. | :58:04. | |
the cost of living crisis. Did we get any mention of that in the | :58:05. | :58:14. | |
Budget? Of course we didn't. We were waiting for action on the cost of | :58:15. | :58:18. | |
living and it wasn't forthcoming. Ed Miliband came up with the tactic of | :58:19. | :58:23. | |
responding to the Budget without mentioning anything that was in it. | :58:24. | :58:28. | |
He mentioned the fact the personal tax allowance was a bit of a | :58:29. | :58:32. | |
giveaway but he takes more with the other hand. He is in favour of that, | :58:33. | :58:39. | |
right? Anything we can get but we need a lot more. Let me tell you | :58:40. | :58:43. | |
something else he mentioned, the fact the national debt has risen by | :58:44. | :58:52. | |
a third and George Osborne and David Cameron... They knew that before the | :58:53. | :58:55. | |
Budget. The borrowing figures were announced and Ed Miliband made | :58:56. | :59:01. | |
reference to those. There is not a lot of happiness on Labour | :59:02. | :59:06. | |
backbenchers about this, is there? And indeed not a lot of happiness in | :59:07. | :59:11. | |
the shadow cabinet. There is concern that Ed Miliband is on a journey to | :59:12. | :59:16. | |
remodel world capitalism whilst George Osborne is firing some love | :59:17. | :59:20. | |
bombs at Middle England by talking about freeing up the pensions market | :59:21. | :59:24. | |
and there is real nerves that what Ed Miliband is saying is not going | :59:25. | :59:29. | |
to be in tune with those middle income earners that the Labour Party | :59:30. | :59:35. | |
has got to attract if they are going to win the general election. When | :59:36. | :59:42. | |
Rachel Reeves used the medium of Radio 4 to announce you were broadly | :59:43. | :59:46. | |
in favour of the pension reforms announced by the Chancellor on | :59:47. | :59:50. | |
Friday night, was that a result of a decision taken by the shadow | :59:51. | :00:00. | |
cabinet? Is With annuities, they are a very old-fashioned product. There | :00:01. | :00:07. | |
are some serious questions which need to be addressed. Was that the | :00:08. | :00:14. | |
result of a Shadow Cabinet decision? We have not had a Shadow | :00:15. | :00:18. | |
Cabinet since the budget. We all want to make sure that we understand | :00:19. | :00:23. | |
the point about flexibility. No one is arguing with that. There are some | :00:24. | :00:28. | |
serious concerns. Let me give you a couple of examples. This is | :00:29. | :00:31. | |
something the Chancellor has done, he claims, for reasons of freedom | :00:32. | :00:36. | |
and flexibility. Is it a coincidence he is grabbing quite a lot of tax | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
from pensioners early on to plug a hole which is necessary because the | :00:41. | :00:48. | |
deficit has not gone down? Forgive me for being slightly cynical about | :00:49. | :00:54. | |
motives. For or against it? We need to have safeguards for protection of | :00:55. | :00:59. | |
pensioners. What will it do for the annuity market if most people still | :01:00. | :01:02. | |
want to have a steadying come for a third of their lives? -- steady | :01:03. | :01:10. | |
income. What does Labour have to do to get it show back on the road? The | :01:11. | :01:19. | |
question is, how do people feel? How many people will still not be | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
feeling better by the next election? Wages may be rising slightly but not | :01:24. | :01:26. | |
for a large and significant number of people. They were just looking at | :01:27. | :01:32. | |
the YouGov poll. If you look at the middle to low earners, they are | :01:33. | :01:35. | |
overwhelmingly pro-labour. Can Labour get those people out to vote? | :01:36. | :01:40. | |
They are really hurting. There are plenty of them. The question is | :01:41. | :01:44. | |
whether people are optimistic because they see figures as if they | :01:45. | :01:49. | |
look as if they are on the up or whether they vote according to how | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
they feel, which will still be very far behind. Cost of living has been | :01:55. | :01:59. | |
a major mantra from Labour. That's that this chart shows how things are | :02:00. | :02:04. | |
beginning to change. What this shows is that, sometime this year, after a | :02:05. | :02:10. | |
long time at which average earnings trailed inflation, they now overtake | :02:11. | :02:14. | |
it in the run-up to the election and they stay there for the forecast | :02:15. | :02:21. | |
period. What do you now do if your cost of living mantra is running out | :02:22. | :02:27. | |
of steam? I am not sure that, for most people, they will recognise the | :02:28. | :02:31. | |
sense that suddenly things will be getting better. Particularly the | :02:32. | :02:34. | |
younger generation are really feeling quite down about the | :02:35. | :02:40. | |
pressures they are facing to make ends meet. You can see the lines are | :02:41. | :02:47. | |
exaggerated because the Y axis on the side starts quite high up. It | :02:48. | :02:52. | |
does not start at zero. The other statistic from the OBR is that we | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
will not be getting back to the point where wages are exceeding | :02:57. | :03:00. | |
prices from the pre-banking crisis period until late 2017. There are | :03:01. | :03:08. | |
some really serious pressures that people are under. What they wanted | :03:09. | :03:12. | |
was a budget that would address concerns and, for the vast majority | :03:13. | :03:17. | |
of people, they will have heard the statement by George Osborne and | :03:18. | :03:23. | |
think, how is it really help them now? It did not address it. It is | :03:24. | :03:31. | |
clear that by 2015, average living standards will probably not have | :03:32. | :03:36. | |
returned to where they were in 2010. Average wages will not have | :03:37. | :03:40. | |
done that. On the other hand, the chart shows the sense of direction | :03:41. | :03:44. | |
is moving in the right way. Which one matters more with the | :03:45. | :03:50. | |
electorate? I suspect it is sense of direction. People sense of | :03:51. | :03:53. | |
prosperity does not need to be buoyant. It has to be something | :03:54. | :03:58. | |
worth preserving. We have to fear the all turn. That is what intrigued | :03:59. | :04:04. | |
me this week. People make too much of a fuss about the Parliamentary | :04:05. | :04:08. | |
response by Ed Miliband. People will forgive a bad day at the dispatch | :04:09. | :04:13. | |
box. What they will not forgive is the absence of a macro economic | :04:14. | :04:20. | |
mess. Labour have a very powerful message on living standards and lots | :04:21. | :04:25. | |
of popular, targeted interventions like the energy price freeze. You | :04:26. | :04:31. | |
can imagine they will be sufficiently nervous about that next | :04:32. | :04:36. | |
year. If living standards are not back to where they were, Labour can | :04:37. | :04:44. | |
say, are you better off now than when you were four years ago? The | :04:45. | :04:52. | |
reason why break and -- wallowed waken one that is because Jimmy | :04:53. | :05:04. | |
Carter mucked it up -- Ronald Reagan. Labour have to say, vote for | :05:05. | :05:12. | |
us and you will get 2 million homes. At the moment, the offer is very | :05:13. | :05:16. | |
modest. You need to find the money to do that. People need to | :05:17. | :05:20. | |
understand that housing is at the very heart of the economy, as well | :05:21. | :05:24. | |
as young people and their aspirations. At the moment, Labour | :05:25. | :05:31. | |
's offer is not spectacular in. If the focus group shows the cost of | :05:32. | :05:34. | |
living crisis have no longer has the attraction it did, what line do you | :05:35. | :05:40. | |
move onto? Yellow McCoy must remind people of the wasted years and the | :05:41. | :05:43. | |
cost of living pressures they have been under. -- we must remind | :05:44. | :05:50. | |
people. We want a recovery which has low growth, low wage. A race to the | :05:51. | :05:59. | |
bottom. They want a recovery that is felt by everyone, shared and felt by | :06:00. | :06:05. | |
all. Now, here's an idea to twist your melon. Mark Berry, better known | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
as Bez, it says here he's a member of something called The Happy | :06:11. | :06:12. | |
Mondays, wants to stand for parliament. He's best known for | :06:13. | :06:16. | |
being in a band, and not doing very much, so he might fit in. Here he is | :06:17. | :06:21. | |
in action. And Bez joins us from our Salford | :06:22. | :06:49. | |
studio. Good to see you. Is this a genuine candidacy or are you | :06:50. | :06:57. | |
twisting my melon? Amazing how time flies when you're having fun! You | :06:58. | :07:06. | |
having fun doing this candidacy? I am doing the job of the politicians | :07:07. | :07:10. | |
and standing up for the people and bringing attention to the horror of | :07:11. | :07:16. | |
fracking, which is a totally unsafe technology. There is no one in | :07:17. | :07:20. | |
mainstream politics who is discussing or saying anything about | :07:21. | :07:25. | |
it. It is an unsafe technology and it has been proven in America. You | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
see the process in America and the people out on the streets. The whole | :07:31. | :07:40. | |
atmosphere has been made toxic. These people are allowing it to | :07:41. | :07:45. | |
happen in the name of profit. This has been a Labour seat you are | :07:46. | :07:51. | |
fighting in Salford since 1945. It is a tough mountain. Supposing you | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
were to win, could you ever see yourself entering a coalition? With | :07:57. | :08:03. | |
a bit of luck I may be able to shame Labour politicians to do the job | :08:04. | :08:06. | |
properly and stand up for the rights of people. They are not and I am | :08:07. | :08:10. | |
having to do that job. All I am doing is causing debate and bringing | :08:11. | :08:16. | |
to attention the horror that is hanging on our doorsteps. It is not | :08:17. | :08:20. | |
only fracking but GM modified foods that they want to bring into this | :08:21. | :08:25. | |
country as well. Owen Paterson is one of the main lobbyists. Lobbying | :08:26. | :08:33. | |
is legalised bribery, by the way. It is run by the bankers. Basically, we | :08:34. | :08:39. | |
have to stop these monsters from getting into our country and turning | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
our land into a toxic waste. That is what I am trying to say. You are | :08:44. | :08:49. | |
raising the debate, as you are doing with us here. We do not really need | :08:50. | :08:55. | |
fracking. You have done that and you have talked about other things as | :08:56. | :09:00. | |
well. In terms of a new integrity, if you were to become an MP, would | :09:01. | :09:07. | |
you claim expenses? If I ever do get in charge, I would completely enter | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
the banking system and there would be expensive, but they would be like | :09:12. | :09:16. | |
bus passes and train passes. You behave like the people and you are | :09:17. | :09:20. | |
in touch with the people, you move with the people and do understand | :09:21. | :09:25. | |
what the people want. You do not live in acre Kuhn of your own making | :09:26. | :09:29. | |
of luxury, wealth and total disregard of everyone else. -- a | :09:30. | :09:37. | |
cocoon. If you did get into the Palace of Westminster and had to | :09:38. | :09:40. | |
mingle with all these people, who would you rather have in night out | :09:41. | :09:46. | |
with - Mr Cameron, Mr Miller band or Mr Clegg? I would be willing to | :09:47. | :09:55. | |
discuss politics with anybody. I would make them realise what they | :09:56. | :10:03. | |
are doing. I am glad too have a debate and with anyone. The people | :10:04. | :10:10. | |
of Salford, quite a lot people people behind me. I have been | :10:11. | :10:16. | |
speaking to Salford councillors. They are going to lend me their | :10:17. | :10:24. | |
support. The people of Salford, and not to forget the people of Eccles, | :10:25. | :10:30. | |
sending you much. We must stop this horror. There is a monster on our | :10:31. | :10:35. | |
doorstep and we must stop it, people. Do not forget to take your | :10:36. | :10:41. | |
maracas on campaign trail. Would you like a pair to shake yourself? You | :10:42. | :10:49. | |
shake your maracas against fracking! Thanks, Bez, goodbye. Thank you for | :10:50. | :10:55. | |
giving me a little platform to express my views. Now if there's one | :10:56. | :11:02. | |
thing that gets us hot under the collar here at the Sunday Politics | :11:03. | :11:04. | |
it's European elections. The only thing we like more than the | :11:05. | :11:07. | |
elections themselves is a TV debate about them. And we're in luck! Take | :11:08. | :11:12. | |
a look at this. Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome leader of | :11:13. | :11:15. | |
the Liberal Democrats and Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg. Gives | :11:16. | :11:23. | |
the most fantastic welcome to Nigel Farage. I would challenge Nigel | :11:24. | :11:31. | |
Farage to a public, open debate, about whether she we should be out | :11:32. | :11:38. | |
all in of the European Union. I will do it for Nick Clegg. Since 2009, I | :11:39. | :11:49. | |
have taken part in 45% of votes in the European Parliament. Nigel | :11:50. | :11:56. | |
Farage has not tabled a single amendment since July 2009. Mr Clegg | :11:57. | :12:04. | |
has only taken part in 22% of votes in the House of commons. You can | :12:05. | :12:11. | |
watch the debate at 7pm on the 2nd of April over on BBC Two. And for a | :12:12. | :12:23. | |
chance to be part of the studio audience on the night and put your | :12:24. | :12:26. | |
question to the two party leaders, e-mail the question you'd like to | :12:27. | :12:29. | |
ask to [email protected] or tweet it using the hashtag | :12:30. | :12:31. | |
#europedebate. And Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage will be limbering up | :12:32. | :12:35. | |
this week with their first debate on LBC radio on Wednesday. Who is going | :12:36. | :12:43. | |
to come out the best? I suspect Nigel Farage. It is easy to portray | :12:44. | :12:49. | |
Nick Clegg as morally compromised, who has not asserted himself in | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
government. I do wonder about Nigel Farage, whether he is much better at | :12:54. | :12:58. | |
delivering a popular line and responding to the second question of | :12:59. | :13:03. | |
third question. Nick Clegg will win it hands over fist because he knows | :13:04. | :13:07. | |
this stuff. He is right. The evidence that he can produce about | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
what will happen if we pulled out of Europe will, I think, overwhelm | :13:12. | :13:19. | |
Nigel Farage 's one-liners. They will both be winners because you | :13:20. | :13:26. | |
will have the rare sight of the pro-European saying he likes the | :13:27. | :13:30. | |
European Union. That is unlike Eurosceptics who tie themselves up | :13:31. | :13:36. | |
in knots. 14 Nigel, one for Nick and one for both. There you go. Here is | :13:37. | :13:49. | |
a mess, it is Janen Ganesh. That's all for today. The Daily Politics is | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
on BBC Two at Lunchtime every day this week, I'll be back here next | :13:54. | :13:56. | |
week with Energy Secretary Ed Davey. Remember if it's Sunday, it's the | :13:57. | :13:58. | |
Sunday Politics. | :13:59. | :14:04. |