23/03/2014 Sunday Politics South West


23/03/2014

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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. The dust has barely

:00:37.:00:44.

settled on George Osborne's Budget and, amazingly, for once it hasn't

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all gone horribly wrong by the weekend. So, is this the election

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springboard the Tories needed, and where does it leave Labour? Turns

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out the big Budget surprise was a revolution in how we pay for old

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age. The Pensions Minister says he's relaxed if you want to spend it all

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on a Lamborghini. He'll join us later. And could the man with the

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maracas be on his way to Westminster? Bez from the Happy

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In the South West: Labour claims the plan to become an

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In the South West: Labour claims the budget will make our housing crisis

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worse. And, stay in Axbridge. Are there ways of

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making the European arrest warrant work better? -- Uxbridge. And who

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better to help guide you through all of that than three journalists, who

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dispense wisdom faster than Grant Shapps calls out the numbers in his

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local bingo hall over a pint of beer. Yes, they're hard-working and

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they're doing the things they enjoy. Cup of tea, number three. It's Nick

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Watt, Polly Toynbee and Janan Ganesh.

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So, George Osborne delivered his fifth Budget on Wednesday and had so

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many glowing front pages the day afterwards he must be running out of

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room to pin them up in on his bedroom wall. Although it's probably

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a pretty big wall. For those of you who didn't have time to watch 3.5

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hours of Budget coverage on the BBC, here's Giles with the whole thing in

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three minutes. Budget days have a rhythm of their

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own, driven partly by tradition, like that photocall at 11 Downing

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Street and part logistics, how to get this important statement out and

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explain to those whom it affects - us? Behind-the-scenes of a Budget

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Day is much the same. This ritual red boxery may be the beginning of

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the end of weeks of work behind the scenes in the Treasury and sets the

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clock ticking on the process of finding out the answer to one

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question. You got any rabbits in the box, Chancellor? Yes, there will be

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something in the Budget we don't know about. Time marches steadily

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towards the statement and already commentators are hovering over what

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those potential surprises are. As Big Ben chimes, all focus returns to

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the Commons, where there is Prime Minister's questions and the

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Chancellor gets up and does his thing. Once he's on his feet and

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remembering there is still no copy of the details, the major measures

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are rapidly highlighted as they come and then put up on screen. A cap on

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Government welfare spending set for 2015/16 at 119 billion. Income tax

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personal allowance raised to ?10,500. Bingo duty halved, which

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ticked boxes for some but was unlikely to make anyone a poster

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boy. And the beer tax cut of 1p, or the froth on the top. And changes to

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pensions allowing people to take their money out in one lump sum,

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rather than being forced to accept a fixed annual pay-out, or annuity.

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This is a Budget for the makers, the doers and the savers and I commend

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it to the House. Not everyone can focus on the Budget by listening to

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what the Chancellor says. We need to get a copy of the script. We do not

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get that till he sits down. I'm going to go into the House of

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Commons to get that right now. There will be a response on that and all

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the other things from Mr Miliband. The Chancellor spoke for nearly an

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hour but he did not mention one essential fact, the working people

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of Britain are worse off under the Tories. It is a tricky job answering

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the Budget at the best of times, though some, including Labour MPs,

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think it is better to mention the Budget when you do.

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Here we are. I am going to go. I am not the only journalist missing Ed

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Miliband's speech. Many others leave the Chamber as the Chancellor sits

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down to attend a special briefing from the Chancellor's advisory team.

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I am hotfoot to the studio. There is a little more detail to the Budget

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than the Budget Speech. That detail can be whether words unravel and

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other interpretations emerge. By now the gaggle of supporters and

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detractors are taking the debate onto the airwaves. Are you the BBC?

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Have the Daily Politics packed up? No, we're still standing and, days

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later, still trying to assess whether the measures announced still

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seem fresh and appetising or have already gone stale in the minds of

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voters? How significant are these two poles

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this morning putting Labour and Tory nip and tuck? Osborne gave his party

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a good bounce. It was an astonishingly theatrical coup. At

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first glance, it seems like a huge gift to all people. That is where

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all of the money has been channelled by this government. They have been

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ultra-protected, triple locked. Pensioners have done very well and

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others less well. It is not surprising. Normally a budget which

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is well received on the day and the day after has unravelled by the

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weekend. This time, it has not, so far. The dangerous thing for the

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Labour Party now, George Osborne is the assessment this thing called the

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baseline. He says, in government, you must control the baseline. The

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Labour party controlled in 2001 and 2005 and he needs to control it next

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time. He is controlling it on fiscal policy because labour is matching

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them on everything. The danger for Labour on the big, headline grabbing

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issue, which was freeing up annuities on pensions, that again

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Labour was pretty much saying it was going to support it though it were

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saying it has to be fair and cost-effective. On a big, policy

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issue, they are following on behind George Osborne. George Osborne is

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controlling the crucial baseline. Are we in danger of reading too much

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into the political implications of the budget? The good thing about the

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pensions policy is, if it does unravel, it will not happen for ten

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years and, by that time, George Osborne will have left office.

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Towards the end of his speech, I thought, that is not enough. There

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is not an idea in your budget which is politically very vivid a year

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before an election. What I underestimated was, how many

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frustrated savers that are in the country. There are a lot of people

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who are frustrated by low interest rates and tax rates on pension pots.

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This was an explicit gesture for them. That is what has paid off in

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the polls in the past few days. You spend all of your money on your

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wardrobe, is that right? The bingo poster was a kind of get out of jail

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card for Labour. It gave them something to zoom in on. Everyone

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beat up on Grant Shapps, the Tory chairman. We read in the daily

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Telegraph that the fingerprints of the Chancellor were all over this

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poster. The Chancellor signed off it -- off on it and so did Lynton

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Crosby. They referred to working class people as, they are. How did

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it get into the Telegraph? We can only presume but grant Shapps made

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it clear that it was not him. We had a time when Labour politicians, we

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saw from the response of Ed Miliband onwards, they were not quite sure

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how to react to this budget. A lot of detail had to be absorbed.

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Suddenly, here is something we can talk about. You can see the thinking

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behind the poster was very sensible. We are not Tory toffs, we are

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interested in helping people who do not come from our backgrounds. The

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wording was awful and played into every cliche. It was all his fault.

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It shows how unsophisticated he was. There were people from Tory HQ

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who agreed the budget. A month down the line will the budget look as

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good? Probably. Once people look at it, pensions are fiendishly

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conjugated. Once they look and see what it will do with people having

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to pay for their own care because they can now take capital at their

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pension, that will come as a shock to a lot of people with small

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savings. It all be gone on their care. The polling will be neck and

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neck all the way. In the past, George Osborne has been accused of

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using his Budgets to tinker at the margins or pull cheap tricks on his

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political opponents. Perish the thought. But the big surprise in

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this year's statement was a genuinely radical shake-up of the

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pensions system that will affect most people who've yet to retire. At

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the moment, everyone is saving money into a defined contribution pension,

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that is the type most common in the private sector. They can take 25% of

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the pot is a tax-free lump sum when they retire. The rest of the money,

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for most people, they are forced to buy an annuity, a form of insurance

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which provide a guaranteed monthly income until they die. Annuities

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have hardly been a bargain since interest rates were flat slashed

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following the financial crash. Even with a ?100,000 pension pot would

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only get an income of ?5,800 a year at current rates. From 2018,

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pensioners will not be forced to buy an annuity. They can do what they

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like with their money, even taking the entire pot as a lump some but

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paying tax on 75% of it. With an average pension pot closer

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to around ?30,000, pensioners would be more likely to buy a Skoda

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instead of a Lamborghini. Most newly retired people who take the cash are

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more likely to spend the money paying off their mortgage, helping a

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family member to buy a property or investing the money elsewhere. Well,

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earlier I spoke to the Pensions Minister. He's a Lib Dem called

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Steve Webb. I began by asking him if he still thought the reforms might

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lead to pensioners splurging all their savings on supercars. What

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this reform is about is treating people as adults. For far too long,

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we have said, we will make sure you save for your old age and then we

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will control each year how much is spent on what you spend it on. What

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we are saying is because we have formed -- reformed the state

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pension, we will be much more relaxed about what people do with

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their own money. The evidence is that people who have been frugal and

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saved hard for retirement do not generally blows a lot. They will

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spin it out. It is treating people as adults and giving them choices

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they should have had all along. It is a red herring, isn't it? The

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average pension pot is between 25000 and 30,000. Lamborghinis aren't an

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option, correct? I gather only about 5000 people a year retiring can buy

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a flashy Italian sports car. It might be about paying off a

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mortgage, paying off outstanding debts. Maybe spending more money

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earlier in retirement when they are fit and able and can enjoy it more.

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We will give people guidance. We will make sure when they retire,

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there is someone to have a conversation with talking through

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the implications of spending the money early and options of investing

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it. This will be a real step forward. Even if you have a much

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bigger pension pot, say half ?1 million, which is way bigger than

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the average, even then the marginal rates of tax will be a disincentive

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to take it all out at once. You will lose huge chunks of it at the 40%

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band and then the 45% band. The tax system gives you the incentive to

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spread it out if the tax threshold is a bit over 10000 and the state

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pension is a bit over 7000, the first 3000 you draw out in a given

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year is tax-free. The next band is at 20%. Spreading your money will

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mean you pay less tax. That is why, in general, people will not blow the

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lot up front. They will spread it out over their retirement. You have

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kept this policy quiet. Not even a hint. How did you test it? How did

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you make sure it would be robust? You did not do a consultation. I

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have been talking about freeing up the annuity market for a decade. The

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idea of giving people more choice. The government has relaxed rules

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over this Parliament. It was not a completely new idea. We know in

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places like Australia and America, people have these freedoms. We

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already have something to judge it by. We will spend the next year

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talking to people, working it through. There will be a three-month

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consultation. I want people to have choices about their own money. There

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is detail still to be worked out and we are in listening mode about how

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we implement it. When you announce something you cannot do widespread

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consultation, for the reasons I have given, you do run the risk of

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unforeseen consequences? Pension companies this morning are

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indicating, you, the government can write you are looking for ?25

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billion of infrastructure investment from us. You hold our shell below

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the water line. That may not happen. We spoke internally about the

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implications for instruction -- infrastructure. It seems to me there

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will still be long-term investments. Many people want to turn their whole

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pot into an income. I understand the insurance companies are lobbying,

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but I'm convinced there will still be plenty of money for investment

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and infrastructure. If the Chancellor's pro-savings measures

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work, that will generate more savings. With no requirement now to

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buy an annuity, surely it is the case that pension pots are another

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ordinary savings fund, so why should they continue to get favourable tax

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treatment? Bear in mind that a lot of the tax treatment of pensioners

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is tax deferred so most people pay tax at the standard rate. If they

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put money into a pension, they don't pay tax when they earn it, but they

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do at retirement. We do want, we will still have automatic enrolment

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into workplace pensions, we do want people to build up, because at age

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20 and 30 nobody thinks about retirement. It is still vital that

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people do reach retirement to have these new choices with a decent

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sized pension pot. Pensions. Tax breaks because they were supposed to

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provide an income in retirement, that is how it was structured, but

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that is no longer a requirement, surely that undermines the case that

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if they get tax breaks, other forms of savings should get tax breaks.

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Other forms do get tax breaks, of course. The return with ISAs is tax

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free. The point with pensions is that you are simply deferring your

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earnings. There is a bit when high tax rate payers get a kick when they

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are working and then retire on standard rate, so there is the issue

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of the top getting too many tax breaks, but the basic principle that

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you pay tax when you get the income seems right to me and isn't affected

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by these changes. You have announced save friendly measures, are we right

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to look at them as a consolation prize because savers have suffered

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from the Government's policy of keeping interest rates abnormally

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low? It is certainly the case that very low interest rates have been a

:18:45.:18:50.

huge boon to people of working age with mortgages, and people who have

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retired said they thought they could have got a better deal on their

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savings. I think there is a recognition that whilst we have done

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the right thing with pensioners on the state pension, we have brought

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in the triple lock, and many will bent on -- benefit from these

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changes. Why don't savers who are not pensioners get the same help?

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They have been hit by low interest rates as well. Those of working

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age, many of them say they have benefited from low interest rates

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was predominantly people in retirement have not had the benefit.

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Obviously people of working age will have benefited from the tax

:19:45.:19:52.

allowance so it is a myth to say the Budget was all about pensioners. And

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yet even when the Office for Budget Responsibility takes into account

:19:59.:20:01.

your new measures, it still shows that over the next five years

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households will save less and less, indeed the savings ratio falls by

:20:08.:20:14.

50%. You haven't done enough. One of the things we know is that the

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economy is picking up strongly, and as we have more confidence about the

:20:19.:20:23.

future they will be more willing to consume now, so without these

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measures it may be that the saving rate would have fallen further. We

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want people to save and spend, it is about getting the right balance. As

:20:33.:20:38.

the economy picks up, people will want to spend more of their money

:20:39.:20:43.

and it is about getting the balance right. You make the point that if

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people are little profligate with their private pensions, they will

:20:49.:20:52.

have the state pension to fall back on and it will be higher than it has

:20:53.:20:57.

been, but it is also the case that in these circumstances they will

:20:58.:21:02.

still be entitled to housing benefit and even to perhaps some council tax

:21:03.:21:07.

benefit as well. Do you know by how much this could put the welfare bill

:21:08.:21:14.

up? We think the impact will be relatively modest because the sort

:21:15.:21:19.

of people who save for a pension and make sacrifices while they are at

:21:20.:21:23.

work are not the sort of people who get to 65 and decide to blow the lot

:21:24.:21:30.

for the great privilege of receiving council tax benefit or housing

:21:31.:21:33.

benefit. There will be people on the margins and

:21:34.:21:45.

benefit. There will be people on the who retire with some capital want to

:21:46.:21:45.

put some money away for their funeral. People like to save even

:21:46.:21:52.

into retirement so the myth of the spendthrift pensioner I don't

:21:53.:21:58.

believe. I think this has been rightly welcomed. Ever fancied a

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Lamborghini yourself? If you turned the camera around you would see my

:22:05.:22:19.

2-door Corsa! What's your favourite thing about an

:22:20.:22:22.

election? Could it be the candidates ringing on your door while you're

:22:23.:22:25.

having dinner? The leaflets piling up on your doormat? Or the endless

:22:26.:22:28.

adverts aimed at hardworking families? Well, if you thought that

:22:29.:22:31.

was bad enough, then you might want to consider going overseas for the

:22:32.:22:34.

2015 election because the parties are going to be aiming their message

:22:35.:22:37.

at you like never before. Adam's been to Worcester to find out more.

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One of the most famous political figures in history lived here, she

:22:44.:22:48.

is called Worcester woman. She was in her 30s, working class with a

:22:49.:22:53.

couple of kids, aspirational yet worried about quality of life. But

:22:54.:22:57.

she wasn't a real person, she was a label for the kind of voter new

:22:58.:23:02.

Labour were trying to reach and she was later joined by Mondeo man and

:23:03.:23:09.

several others. Doesn't that all seem a bit 90s? The technique,

:23:10.:23:13.

called segmentation, was used by George Bush in 2004. Then refined by

:23:14.:23:20.

Barack Obama. Rather than focusing on crude measures like cars and

:23:21.:23:26.

hometowns, they delved into the minds of voters. It is not just

:23:27.:23:29.

women, not just people who live in cities, but if you start to put

:23:30.:23:35.

together these groups of people you can even in an anecdote or way

:23:36.:23:41.

imagine who they are, what types of language and imagery might relate to

:23:42.:23:49.

them. We have been given access to a new polling model being used here by

:23:50.:23:54.

this firm, which is pretty close to the one we are told is being used by

:23:55.:24:00.

the Tories. It carves the country into six personality types, and we

:24:01.:24:05.

are trying it out on Worcester woman and wast of man. We are using an

:24:06.:24:11.

online quiz to work out who is in which segment. Meet new monk,

:24:12.:24:19.

Susie. She feels well represented. I know the Budget and the increases to

:24:20.:24:26.

childcare, I think at the moment I am fairly represented. This puts her

:24:27.:24:31.

in the category of optimistic contentment, people who feel they

:24:32.:24:36.

are doing OK. Terry, on the other hand, isn't happy about Britain

:24:37.:24:44.

today. Health and safety and all that! I hardly recognise the country

:24:45.:24:53.

a living in any more? Yes. Are you ready for the result? He is Mr

:24:54.:25:00.

comfortable nostalgia, they tend to favour the Tories and UKIP. They

:25:01.:25:04.

dislike the cultural changes they see as altering Britain for the

:25:05.:25:10.

worst. That sums me up. Tony is worried as well but feels much less

:25:11.:25:18.

secure. I look forward to the future with optimism or anxiety? Anxiety.

:25:19.:25:26.

Optimist or pessimist? Pessimist. His category is... You feel a bit

:25:27.:25:36.

insecure, you think the Government could probably help you more? Yes.

:25:37.:25:43.

Labour picks up a lot of these voters. This man is being asked to

:25:44.:25:49.

do more and more at work, but he is getting less and less. I am getting

:25:50.:25:57.

more towards the despair side. Things are getting tougher,

:25:58.:26:02.

generally? It puts him into the segment called long-term despair,

:26:03.:26:08.

people who feel left out. Finally, this is ever thoughtful Carol. I am

:26:09.:26:18.

a bit of an idealist. Her idealism makes her a cosmopolitan critic. I

:26:19.:26:25.

am a liberal person. Apparently a lot of the media fit into this

:26:26.:26:29.

category as well. There is one group of voters we have not come across,

:26:30.:26:34.

people who show calm persistence. They hope things will get better but

:26:35.:26:39.

don't expect them to. They are coping, rather than comfortable.

:26:40.:26:44.

Presumably they are all out of work. Which group are you win? You can

:26:45.:26:49.

take the poll on the BBC website, and in the coming weeks we will be

:26:50.:26:53.

doing our own polling using the six segments to see of the politicians

:26:54.:27:01.

really have worked out how we think. And as Adam said, if you want to try

:27:02.:27:05.

the survey for yourself, you can go to the BBC website and click on the

:27:06.:27:07.

link. And we're joined now by the

:27:08.:27:16.

pollster, Rick Nye. Welcome to Sunday Politics. We have had

:27:17.:27:23.

Worcester woman, Worcester man, is this any different? It is a

:27:24.:27:30.

recognition that or politician -- all politics these days is like

:27:31.:27:43.

this. It enables them to cut them more finally. You think all politics

:27:44.:27:51.

is coalition politics, you think they have to put together these

:27:52.:27:56.

groups of people, not that the Lib Dems will always be in power? No,

:27:57.:28:02.

and if you listen to the coverage these days you might think it is

:28:03.:28:08.

about grumpy old men on the one hand with Guardian readers on the other.

:28:09.:28:13.

It is far more complicated than that, there is a lot of churning

:28:14.:28:16.

going on underneath which is driven by people's value systems. A lot of

:28:17.:28:24.

this has been pioneered in the United States, very sophisticated on

:28:25.:28:29.

their election techniques, and in Britain we are always the first to

:28:30.:28:33.

grab whatever the New Year will is from America. How do you think this

:28:34.:28:39.

will translate to this country? I think it means that if you are

:28:40.:28:42.

target photo you will still get the same of leaflets and people calling,

:28:43.:28:48.

but you will probably have different kinds of conversations because

:28:49.:28:53.

people on the other side, the party campaigners, will think they know

:28:54.:29:00.

more about you. Will I know who you are? If I am a party campaigner,

:29:01.:29:04.

will I know, looking down the street, who fits into which

:29:05.:29:09.

category? You will be able to approximate that with all of the

:29:10.:29:12.

other data that you have gathered through polling, or doing local

:29:13.:29:18.

campaigning, that is the idea to make sense of this vast quantity of

:29:19.:29:24.

data people have about voters. We asked our panel to fill in your

:29:25.:29:29.

survey. Nick is optimistic contentment, 99%. He was 1%

:29:30.:29:35.

cosmopolitan critic, which is how he keeps his job at the Guardian.

:29:36.:29:40.

Polly's job could not be more secure, 100% cosmopolitan critics,

:29:41.:29:47.

and Janan Ganesh, optimistic contentment, which is what you would

:29:48.:29:50.

expect from a financial Times columnist. What do you make of this

:29:51.:30:07.

technique? Why are you only 99? It sounds really clever. 95% of the

:30:08.:30:16.

population five years ago voted Labour or the Conservatives. We have

:30:17.:30:21.

got away from that. It is coalition politics. You need sophisticated

:30:22.:30:27.

methods. Presumably you must not lose touch with basic points. You

:30:28.:30:34.

said it was used in the US presidential elections. Wasn't there

:30:35.:30:39.

them moment emit Romney 's sweet when the initial response was, we

:30:40.:30:44.

did not know the sort of people voted. His next response was, we did

:30:45.:30:51.

not know these people existed. Unless you know about certain key

:30:52.:30:55.

demographics, you are wasting your time. Is it important in modern

:30:56.:31:01.

campaigning? I think it is useful because it is about attitude. We

:31:02.:31:12.

have got Mosaic. We have got Acorn. It does not tell us very much. What

:31:13.:31:17.

people think and feel may be different to their income. You can

:31:18.:31:21.

be quite a high earner and anxious. You can be quite a low earner and

:31:22.:31:25.

feeling aspirational and optimistic about the future. I think this does

:31:26.:31:32.

get something else. In days gone by, particularly in America,

:31:33.:31:37.

overwhelmingly, if you are in the better of segment, you would be

:31:38.:31:41.

Republican and the blue-collar workers and some academics and

:31:42.:31:45.

Liberals voted Democrat. In the last election, the richest 200 counties

:31:46.:31:50.

in America voted Democrat. That is an attitude thing. Income does not

:31:51.:31:55.

tell you how people will vote. There is a huge, working-class base of

:31:56.:32:00.

support for the Republicans. It is unavoidable. Add a time when people

:32:01.:32:04.

no longer identify with ideologies or class blocks, you have to go the

:32:05.:32:13.

temperament and lifestyle and manageable. In America there were

:32:14.:32:22.

128 segments according to lifestyle and Outlook. Once you get to that

:32:23.:32:28.

stage, it becomes close to useless. We were talking about the budget

:32:29.:32:33.

earlier. What other polls saying about the budget? The lead of labour

:32:34.:32:41.

has been narrowed over the Conservatives. -- Labour. Osborne

:32:42.:32:49.

and Cameron as an academic team have always had a lead over Miller band

:32:50.:32:55.

and Balls. This week it is about economic management. -- over Mr

:32:56.:32:57.

Miller band. Thank you for being with us today.

:32:58.:33:13.

It's just gone 11:30am. You're watching the Sunday Politics. We say

:33:14.:33:17.

goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now for Sunday Politics

:33:18.:33:20.

Hello, I'm Martyn Oates. Coming up minutes: We'll

:33:21.:33:31.

Hello, I'm Martyn Oates. Coming up on the Sunday Politics in the South

:33:32.:33:35.

West: Is the wind from Westminster blowing against the renewable energy

:33:36.:33:38.

industry? For the next 20 minutes, I'm joined

:33:39.:33:41.

by Ben Bradshaw, Labour MP for Exeter and Anne Marie Morris,

:33:42.:33:45.

Conservative MP for Newton Abbot. Welcome to the programme. This week

:33:46.:33:48.

residents of a mid`Devon village laid claim to the country's biggest

:33:49.:33:52.

pothole. The people of Sandford have been referring to this as the

:33:53.:33:55.

swimming pool. Some help was at hand though from the Chancellor, who

:33:56.:33:57.

pledged another ?200 million nationally to mend damaged roads.

:33:58.:34:01.

That, though, according to the Local Government Association will

:34:02.:34:03.

disappear into an enormous hole itself as the total backlog of road

:34:04.:34:09.

repairs will cost ?10.5 billion. The Budget also saw the Chancellor

:34:10.:34:10.

offering more help for house buyers. Potholes, pensions, fuel duty frees

:34:11.:34:25.

and possibly more regional flights. It was a good budget for the West

:34:26.:34:31.

Country, wasn't it? Potholes is probably the biggest issue I hear

:34:32.:34:39.

about. If you are on four wheels they are bad enough and if you are

:34:40.:34:44.

on to, they are lethal. Generally, the pothole money is part of a

:34:45.:34:49.

package of measures which is appealing to people in the

:34:50.:34:54.

south`west? You have to be careful about the pension changes as there

:34:55.:34:58.

is a lot to be discovered about the detail and concerns about whether it

:34:59.:35:01.

will further inflame the property market.

:35:02.:35:05.

There have been suggestions in quite a lot of financial papers since the

:35:06.:35:11.

budget that it could lead to a further inflammation of a property

:35:12.:35:21.

bubble. Anne Marie Morris, the local

:35:22.:35:24.

government Association says here is money for road and pothole repairs

:35:25.:35:29.

but at the same time, the government is cutting local council budgets.

:35:30.:35:36.

Councils are saying free up the money as we could do the job better.

:35:37.:35:42.

That is a fair point and I have been lobbying government hard because the

:35:43.:35:47.

rural counties get a much lower deal than the urban communities and we

:35:48.:35:51.

are 50% underfunded. The government repeatedly completely

:35:52.:35:59.

ignores you, doesn't it? They listen but we have an economic challenge

:36:00.:36:04.

left by the previous government and so finding the extra money without

:36:05.:36:08.

taking it away from urban communities will be a problem. It is

:36:09.:36:13.

a real issue. Generally, quite a big welcome from

:36:14.:36:19.

business for the budget. Except from small and micro businesses, an area

:36:20.:36:26.

you are interested in. I am not even classed as a small

:36:27.:36:29.

business and I don't think micro businesses factored in the budget at

:36:30.:36:34.

all. I don't export of manufacture so the budget has completely missed

:36:35.:36:38.

me entirely. What do you make of that?

:36:39.:36:44.

This budget was more focused on big business but when you take into

:36:45.:36:49.

account the national insurance changes and employers allowance and

:36:50.:36:54.

business rights and ?1000 for small high`street businesses in addition

:36:55.:37:01.

to the cap, all of those things we've had in previous budgets.

:37:02.:37:05.

Frankly, the last two budgets have been focused on the small business.

:37:06.:37:11.

Let us stick with this budget which saw the chancellor offering more

:37:12.:37:13.

help for house buyers. He's extending the Help to Buy scheme

:37:14.:37:16.

which sees the Government playing mortgage lender and backing loans to

:37:17.:37:19.

people trying to climb the property ladder. The basic premise of the

:37:20.:37:22.

scheme is controversial, though, with critics claiming it could make

:37:23.:37:24.

the affordable housing crisis worse. John Henderson reports.

:37:25.:37:28.

Itchy feet and the same is true for six`month`old Toby's parents. The

:37:29.:37:32.

dream of owning their own home is close to reality. They are about to

:37:33.:37:35.

complete on a four`bedroom house in Plymouth which means Toby can leave

:37:36.:37:40.

his granny's house. It is possible due to the governments help to buy

:37:41.:37:43.

scheme which allows people to buy with just a 5% deposit. We wouldn't

:37:44.:37:50.

have been able to afford it if we didn't have the 5%. If it was 10%,

:37:51.:37:55.

we'd be staying with nan. I had to go back to work early on maternity

:37:56.:37:59.

leave to get the mortgage as it was already on the 5% otherwise we would

:38:00.:38:01.

still be here today. This week, the Chancellor confirmed

:38:02.:38:10.

that the scheme, a mix of guarantees and money to stimulate new builds

:38:11.:38:14.

and sales on older houses, would be extended. Taken all together, the

:38:15.:38:20.

housing policies I announce today will support over 200,000 new homes

:38:21.:38:25.

for families. We are getting Britain building. But the scheme isn't

:38:26.:38:31.

without its critics. Not a game changer was how the Royal Institute

:38:32.:38:33.

of Chartered Surveyors described it and labour was also unimpressed.

:38:34.:38:41.

They will not stand up to vested interests, developers sitting on

:38:42.:38:43.

land, even though they cannot solve the housing crisis without it.

:38:44.:38:49.

Labour has issued a "use it or lose it" threat to big developers. House

:38:50.:38:53.

builders say they are not hoarding land and other says the planning

:38:54.:38:57.

system needs changing. On this site in Exeter, they have been trying to

:38:58.:39:01.

build three houses for three years and some say central government

:39:02.:39:04.

should do what it can to make things happen. What you could regard as

:39:05.:39:09.

sterile land needs to be brought back into production. Anything that

:39:10.:39:13.

can be done to incentivise builders and local authorities to produce

:39:14.:39:15.

land that is necessary is really important. Others feel the scheme

:39:16.:39:24.

will stoke up the market and lead to a housing bubble. We must not now

:39:25.:39:28.

settle for a short`term spurt of growth fuelled by an old`fashioned

:39:29.:39:30.

property boom. But the estate agents who have

:39:31.:39:38.

helped Laura say that while transactions are up 40%, prices are

:39:39.:39:44.

sensible. But more sellers would help. It is getting the balance

:39:45.:39:49.

right. It isn't in anyone's favour for there to be a bubble in the

:39:50.:39:53.

market. We want steady growth, for people to be able to move and for

:39:54.:39:57.

there to be a similar amount of sellers and buyers. That's the best

:39:58.:40:02.

market I've seen. Toby and Laura should soon be on

:40:03.:40:06.

their way. Goodbye granny's house and hello new home. Bye!

:40:07.:40:16.

This concern that we might be fuelling another housing bubble,

:40:17.:40:24.

people in your party are concerned as well. It is a concern, isn't it?

:40:25.:40:32.

It is something we need to be careful of. The reality is from all

:40:33.:40:36.

the reports I've seen, house prices are gently going up although not

:40:37.:40:44.

very much in the south`west, nobody is laying that at the door of this

:40:45.:40:52.

scheme. There is a revision of figures for growth up and says `

:40:53.:40:59.

report says house prices will increase by 8.5% by the end of this

:41:00.:41:02.

year and that is something, isn't it? It would be if it translates to

:41:03.:41:13.

that. It is about what is the driver. The economy is improving so

:41:14.:41:17.

house prices are moving back to where they are and if that is

:41:18.:41:21.

happening that is a good thing. If we break `` build houses, prizes ``

:41:22.:41:28.

prices should not go up as fast. The more supply there is to meet the

:41:29.:41:33.

demand, inevitably the prize doesn't keep rising. It sounds as if the

:41:34.:41:38.

government is singing from the Haim sheep `` same hymn sheet as Labour?

:41:39.:41:46.

It is not doing nearly enough to encourage supply and that is why

:41:47.:41:50.

house prices are projected to rise this year. I agree with Vince cable

:41:51.:41:54.

that there is a danger the government is stoking a pre`election

:41:55.:41:58.

house price bubble for political reasons and the recovery objectively

:41:59.:42:02.

there in the economy is not being felt because it is based on property

:42:03.:42:08.

value and private debt. But planning minister said a few months ago that

:42:09.:42:13.

to have more houses, you need to have more people in a position to

:42:14.:42:17.

buy them and that makes sense as well?

:42:18.:42:21.

But there aren't enough affordable houses out there. People 's wages

:42:22.:42:27.

are going up 1% if they are lucky and house prices by much more.

:42:28.:42:33.

People in the south`west already have the biggest gap between house

:42:34.:42:35.

prices and salaries and it is getting wider.

:42:36.:42:42.

What about the point Ed Miliband was making saying the developers are

:42:43.:42:45.

sitting on land waiting for the value to go out? It is a scatter`gun

:42:46.:42:56.

approach policy. We are trying to have a proper approach which means

:42:57.:43:01.

looking at where is the best place to have the development involving

:43:02.:43:05.

local communities. That was part of the Regent `` reason for the changes

:43:06.:43:09.

we put in place and it will help enormously but we're not doing

:43:10.:43:15.

anything to help the supply? There is a lot we are doing. In the budget

:43:16.:43:19.

there was an extra pot set aside for the small developers so if they have

:43:20.:43:24.

not been able to get finance, they can build.

:43:25.:43:29.

Do you back this notion of forcing developers to develop? Identically

:43:30.:43:37.

with that. Local authorities know where this land is. Local

:43:38.:43:39.

authorities are certainly know that and they will be given the power if

:43:40.:43:44.

they are aware of pockets of land which would make good development

:43:45.:43:48.

for housing and if developers are sitting on it. Anything we can do to

:43:49.:43:51.

increase the supply and not just the demand has to be the right thing.

:43:52.:43:59.

The problem continually sits there. We have been flat`lining in terms of

:44:00.:44:03.

house`building under both governments. No, it has gone up 23%

:44:04.:44:12.

since we came into power. We have been building a lot more houses.

:44:13.:44:18.

Down in the first two years but it has gone up in the last year. We

:44:19.:44:22.

need a lot more affordable home `` homes to rent and we need more new

:44:23.:44:29.

towns. We need affordable new hands as well as market. We need them

:44:30.:44:35.

properly plan not urban stretch like out of Exeter.

:44:36.:44:38.

The Chancellor also moved to cut energy bills on Wednesday by

:44:39.:44:40.

freezing the tax on burning carbon. He insists the Government's

:44:41.:44:43.

commitment to support green energy remains unchanged. But voices in the

:44:44.:44:46.

renewable energy industry say it's another nail in the coffin for the

:44:47.:44:49.

Coalition's claim to be the greenest government ever. Tamsin Melville

:44:50.:44:50.

reports. Green campaigners were at

:44:51.:44:57.

Westminster this week ahead of EU carbon cutting talks. Wind farms `

:44:58.:45:05.

one way of tackling these climate issues, but the government is under

:45:06.:45:08.

increasing pressure on the number of applications.

:45:09.:45:13.

Small, rural communities are plunged into what can only be described as a

:45:14.:45:20.

miserable ordeal. Immediately, there is a cloud of uncertainty over their

:45:21.:45:27.

lives. A carbon tax freeze in the budget has left another question

:45:28.:45:29.

mark over the government's commitment to green energy. We need

:45:30.:45:35.

to think about where our energy is coming from. I think my complaint at

:45:36.:45:40.

this point is that the government's policy is all over the place and it

:45:41.:45:43.

really isn't coherent enough to enable business to plan. A few years

:45:44.:45:52.

ago, George Osborne announced a measure called the Carbon Price

:45:53.:45:55.

Support which increased the cost of burning fossil fuels and was opposed

:45:56.:45:58.

to encourage low`carbon plants like nuclear and wind farms. When he

:45:59.:46:04.

introduced it, George Osborne said investment in green energy would

:46:05.:46:07.

never be certain unless there was some stability to the price of

:46:08.:46:10.

carbon, but now he is scrapping his plan to increase the cost of high

:46:11.:46:16.

carbon energy. I am capping the carbon support rate

:46:17.:46:20.

of ?18 per tonne of carbon dioxide from 2016/17 for the rest of the

:46:21.:46:23.

decade, saving a mid`size manufacturer almost ?50,000 on their

:46:24.:46:32.

annual energy bill. The Chancellor is keen to stress it

:46:33.:46:36.

will not mean a reduction in investment of renewable energy, but

:46:37.:46:38.

the industry says it sends an unwelcome message to the sector. It

:46:39.:46:44.

is bad news for investors because a long`term framework was supposedly

:46:45.:46:47.

stable and robust but George Osborne has changed it at the first sign of

:46:48.:46:52.

trouble. It doesn't give a strong message that low`carbon investment

:46:53.:46:55.

in generation is a good place to put money. Late last year, the plug was

:46:56.:47:01.

pulled on the Atlantic Array project, plans for a massive wind

:47:02.:47:05.

farm off the north Devon coast. Developers said it was not

:47:06.:47:07.

financially viable and other ambitious South West projects have

:47:08.:47:14.

also fallen by the wayside. Plans for wind turbines on this old World

:47:15.:47:17.

War II airfield near Davidstow were scrapped earlier this year. There

:47:18.:47:24.

has been a lot of local opposition but the company behind the plans,

:47:25.:47:26.

Community Windpower, blames it on what it called the government's

:47:27.:47:29.

constantly shifting position on UK renewables. The company also closed

:47:30.:47:37.

its office in nearby Camelford that offered people energy advice. The

:47:38.:47:44.

Chancellor say his carbon tax freeze will save people ?15 a year on their

:47:45.:47:47.

energy bills and that it does still care about the climate but has to

:47:48.:47:50.

act to keep British business competitive.

:47:51.:47:55.

Tamsin Melville reporting and to discuss this we're joined by Mark

:47:56.:48:00.

Robins from the RSPB which is a member of the Climate Coalition ` a

:48:01.:48:03.

lobby group concerned about global warming. I noticed you were nodding

:48:04.:48:14.

away while the representative for saying it was a terrible thing. In

:48:15.:48:18.

fairness, a lot of people in the green lobby thought the carbon price

:48:19.:48:24.

was in itself a bad thing. The climate change committee and

:48:25.:48:28.

Greenpeace said it is precisely the sort of measure that destroys public

:48:29.:48:31.

confidence in environmental policies.

:48:32.:48:36.

I don't think there are many in the environment movement which `` who

:48:37.:48:43.

say it was a wonderful mechanism but taking it away creates mixed

:48:44.:48:46.

messages for those who want to do the right thing and develop low

:48:47.:48:52.

carbon. You are talking about general signals, but in terms of the

:48:53.:48:57.

specific policy, there is an argument that people like yourself

:48:58.:49:08.

yourself make that it doesn't cut emissions either. You have to be

:49:09.:49:14.

careful about who is picking up the cost of climate change. The Prime

:49:15.:49:19.

Minister himself reaffirmed his commitment to climate change being

:49:20.:49:22.

the biggest threat to humanity on this planet. It includes all life on

:49:23.:49:30.

this planet. This issue about who picks up the cost about climate

:49:31.:49:35.

change has been exposed this winter by those suffering from floods and

:49:36.:49:39.

the railway industry `` infrastructure. The south`west has

:49:40.:49:44.

been hit hard. The carbon price floor doesn't do anything for the

:49:45.:49:49.

environment but it puts energy bills up so it is a lose, lose policy? But

:49:50.:49:55.

George Osborne took it away and put nothing else in its place. Better

:49:56.:50:00.

mechanisms could be found but he has replaced it with nothing. OK, Anne

:50:01.:50:06.

Marie Morris not a ringing defence of the carbon price floor itself.

:50:07.:50:12.

Looking at previous cuts in renewable energy subsidies and

:50:13.:50:16.

reports there said that people were pulling out of investments. The

:50:17.:50:20.

general message to the renewable industry isn't great, is it? The

:50:21.:50:28.

comment a moment to bow `` the moment ago was incorrect, he has

:50:29.:50:32.

capped it. We have to bear in mind that renewables are important but

:50:33.:50:37.

wind doesn't blow all the time and the sun doesn't shine all the time

:50:38.:50:41.

so you still have to have the more old`fashioned carbon technologies

:50:42.:50:45.

and you cannot price them out of viability. The challenge is getting

:50:46.:50:49.

the level right and the chancellor admits he set it too high. We are

:50:50.:50:53.

not competitive with Europe at the moment. Our manufacturers are

:50:54.:50:57.

seriously thinking of going abroad because electricity is cheaper. But

:50:58.:51:04.

this government is chipping away, making various productions

:51:05.:51:07.

effectively in its financial commitment to renewables. A lot of

:51:08.:51:12.

people might look ahead and think, if the Conservatives get a majority

:51:13.:51:16.

and a fair number of people share the view that wind power is

:51:17.:51:23.

pointless, why would we invest? I would agree. Yes, there has been

:51:24.:51:27.

tinkering but would you rather a government put in a measure and

:51:28.:51:30.

ignored whether it was hitting the spot or would you rather have one

:51:31.:51:37.

who looked at it and said, we are trying to sport renewables but we

:51:38.:51:40.

don't want to penalise the carbon industry. We have to realise there

:51:41.:51:45.

has to be some energy to boil the kettle at other times. The result of

:51:46.:51:51.

the decision is to favour the dirtiest form of energy we have. It

:51:52.:51:59.

is a Chancellor `` disaster. You are nodding, but Labour isn't keen on

:52:00.:52:05.

the carbon price for itself, is it? Mark is right. It was the only

:52:06.:52:14.

instrument we had. The constant changing of the goalposts. In a

:52:15.:52:18.

country like Germany with a far higher level of renewable energy

:52:19.:52:22.

production, they have done it with long`term incentives for the

:52:23.:52:26.

renewable industry. When you have constant changing, where is the

:52:27.:52:31.

incentive for our fledgling renewable industry? It is important

:52:32.:52:37.

in our region. Big players in the industry say that. You have to look

:52:38.:52:43.

at who is saying it and from what interest? There are always two

:52:44.:52:49.

sides. But business likes of security and they like to know they

:52:50.:52:54.

can invest with as much security as they can reasonably expect? But in

:52:55.:52:57.

terms of the comment it will help the dirty energy, there is an

:52:58.:53:01.

additional provision in the budget which says Waite who have combined

:53:02.:53:08.

heat and power which is the most efficient, 55% efficiency, and there

:53:09.:53:14.

is a subsidy for them, and they have been exempt when complying with this

:53:15.:53:20.

carbon floor levy. We need to have a balance. This is relatively new

:53:21.:53:24.

territory and we have done more than Labour did in the grand scheme of

:53:25.:53:29.

things. I believe we are giving business security but we need to

:53:30.:53:32.

make sure it gives the right security and the right message.

:53:33.:53:39.

Investment in renewables has fallen from when we were in government. We

:53:40.:53:44.

are having fewer wind farms approved, onshore and offshore. We

:53:45.:53:48.

are going backwards. Now, our regular round`up of the

:53:49.:53:49.

political week in 60 seconds. Calls for a new railway mainline

:53:50.:54:00.

through Central Devon from the MP for Central Devon. Could I urge my

:54:01.:54:04.

right honourable friends to take the proposal seriously and perhaps to

:54:05.:54:07.

visit Okehampton with me to perhaps visit local businesses and others to

:54:08.:54:10.

hear their case for the advantages it presents to them.

:54:11.:54:15.

Calls to legalise euthanasia as a Dorset man gets a suspended prison

:54:16.:54:18.

sentence for the attempted murder of his mother. How much better would it

:54:19.:54:25.

have been if there was a law in this country where the lady herself could

:54:26.:54:28.

have requested upfront an assisted death.

:54:29.:54:32.

?120,000 of government money to support the Cornish language.

:54:33.:54:37.

The possibility of new flights from regional airports including Exeter

:54:38.:54:42.

and Newquay. We want all parts of our country to see better links with

:54:43.:54:47.

the markets of the future. And the Chancellor freezes duty on

:54:48.:54:49.

ordinary cider specifically, he said, to help flood sodden West

:54:50.:54:51.

Country farmers. You represent Dawlish. We've heard

:54:52.:55:09.

this call for an additional line through Central Devon. There is a

:55:10.:55:13.

risk that when a railway needs upgrading, we get involved in

:55:14.:55:22.

conflicting schemes and infighting? In large measure, MPs across the

:55:23.:55:26.

South West to recognise that line which goes through Dawlish is

:55:27.:55:30.

mission critical. Whatever else we do, that must be maintained. We are

:55:31.:55:37.

talking ten plus years and millions of pounds.

:55:38.:55:43.

Then, your constituency isn't affected but you took a keen

:55:44.:55:49.

interest? Yes and everyone will plead for their own line but what

:55:50.:55:53.

matters is that there is a resilient line for the whole of the

:55:54.:55:56.

south`west. We should wait for the outcome of the Department of

:55:57.:56:02.

Transport's review. We can't have you on the programme without talking

:56:03.:56:09.

about cider. A freeze on duty... I am still waiting for my crate of

:56:10.:56:15.

cider by the way! I am delighted the duty was present but puzzled by

:56:16.:56:20.

their duty wasn't. That's the

:56:21.:56:23.

decision, she will weigh up the factors. Andrew, back

:56:24.:56:24.

The big news is the popular server is struggling to control all of the

:56:25.:56:40.

people who want to find out where they fit in the political spectrum.

:56:41.:56:45.

It hasn't quite crashed but it is queueing up those people. Who would

:56:46.:56:50.

have thought the Sunday Politics had so many viewers? It has never

:56:51.:57:00.

happened on the X factor. This morning's papers don't make

:57:01.:57:02.

comfortable reading for Labour with two separate polls showing the

:57:03.:57:05.

party's lead over the Tories is down to just one point. And there's been

:57:06.:57:08.

plenty of criticism of Ed Miliband's response to the Budget. Let's take a

:57:09.:57:12.

look. You know you are in trouble when even the Education Secretary

:57:13.:57:15.

calls you and out of touch bunch of elitist. Where is he? He is hiding!

:57:16.:57:27.

I think he has been consigned to the naughty step by the Prime Minister.

:57:28.:57:34.

The naughty step! And we're joined now by shadow chief secretary to the

:57:35.:57:39.

Treasury, Chris Leslie. There was a widely criticised response by Ed

:57:40.:57:43.

Balls to the Autumn Statement, now a widely criticised response by Ed

:57:44.:57:49.

Miliband to the Budget. Does this show you are struggling at the

:57:50.:57:55.

moment? Of course Ed Balls and Ed Miliband don't want to hear the fact

:57:56.:58:00.

that in reality, for most people, life is getting harder and there is

:58:01.:58:04.

the cost of living crisis. Did we get any mention of that in the

:58:05.:58:14.

Budget? Of course we didn't. We were waiting for action on the cost of

:58:15.:58:18.

living and it wasn't forthcoming. Ed Miliband came up with the tactic of

:58:19.:58:23.

responding to the Budget without mentioning anything that was in it.

:58:24.:58:28.

He mentioned the fact the personal tax allowance was a bit of a

:58:29.:58:32.

giveaway but he takes more with the other hand. He is in favour of that,

:58:33.:58:39.

right? Anything we can get but we need a lot more. Let me tell you

:58:40.:58:43.

something else he mentioned, the fact the national debt has risen by

:58:44.:58:52.

a third and George Osborne and David Cameron... They knew that before the

:58:53.:58:55.

Budget. The borrowing figures were announced and Ed Miliband made

:58:56.:59:01.

reference to those. There is not a lot of happiness on Labour

:59:02.:59:06.

backbenchers about this, is there? And indeed not a lot of happiness in

:59:07.:59:11.

the shadow cabinet. There is concern that Ed Miliband is on a journey to

:59:12.:59:16.

remodel world capitalism whilst George Osborne is firing some love

:59:17.:59:20.

bombs at Middle England by talking about freeing up the pensions market

:59:21.:59:24.

and there is real nerves that what Ed Miliband is saying is not going

:59:25.:59:29.

to be in tune with those middle income earners that the Labour Party

:59:30.:59:35.

has got to attract if they are going to win the general election. When

:59:36.:59:42.

Rachel Reeves used the medium of Radio 4 to announce you were broadly

:59:43.:59:46.

in favour of the pension reforms announced by the Chancellor on

:59:47.:59:50.

Friday night, was that a result of a decision taken by the shadow

:59:51.:00:00.

cabinet? Is With annuities, they are a very old-fashioned product. There

:00:01.:00:07.

are some serious questions which need to be addressed. Was that the

:00:08.:00:14.

result of a Shadow Cabinet decision? We have not had a Shadow

:00:15.:00:18.

Cabinet since the budget. We all want to make sure that we understand

:00:19.:00:23.

the point about flexibility. No one is arguing with that. There are some

:00:24.:00:28.

serious concerns. Let me give you a couple of examples. This is

:00:29.:00:31.

something the Chancellor has done, he claims, for reasons of freedom

:00:32.:00:36.

and flexibility. Is it a coincidence he is grabbing quite a lot of tax

:00:37.:00:40.

from pensioners early on to plug a hole which is necessary because the

:00:41.:00:48.

deficit has not gone down? Forgive me for being slightly cynical about

:00:49.:00:54.

motives. For or against it? We need to have safeguards for protection of

:00:55.:00:59.

pensioners. What will it do for the annuity market if most people still

:01:00.:01:02.

want to have a steadying come for a third of their lives? -- steady

:01:03.:01:10.

income. What does Labour have to do to get it show back on the road? The

:01:11.:01:19.

question is, how do people feel? How many people will still not be

:01:20.:01:23.

feeling better by the next election? Wages may be rising slightly but not

:01:24.:01:26.

for a large and significant number of people. They were just looking at

:01:27.:01:32.

the YouGov poll. If you look at the middle to low earners, they are

:01:33.:01:35.

overwhelmingly pro-labour. Can Labour get those people out to vote?

:01:36.:01:40.

They are really hurting. There are plenty of them. The question is

:01:41.:01:44.

whether people are optimistic because they see figures as if they

:01:45.:01:49.

look as if they are on the up or whether they vote according to how

:01:50.:01:54.

they feel, which will still be very far behind. Cost of living has been

:01:55.:01:59.

a major mantra from Labour. That's that this chart shows how things are

:02:00.:02:04.

beginning to change. What this shows is that, sometime this year, after a

:02:05.:02:10.

long time at which average earnings trailed inflation, they now overtake

:02:11.:02:14.

it in the run-up to the election and they stay there for the forecast

:02:15.:02:21.

period. What do you now do if your cost of living mantra is running out

:02:22.:02:27.

of steam? I am not sure that, for most people, they will recognise the

:02:28.:02:31.

sense that suddenly things will be getting better. Particularly the

:02:32.:02:34.

younger generation are really feeling quite down about the

:02:35.:02:40.

pressures they are facing to make ends meet. You can see the lines are

:02:41.:02:47.

exaggerated because the Y axis on the side starts quite high up. It

:02:48.:02:52.

does not start at zero. The other statistic from the OBR is that we

:02:53.:02:56.

will not be getting back to the point where wages are exceeding

:02:57.:03:00.

prices from the pre-banking crisis period until late 2017. There are

:03:01.:03:08.

some really serious pressures that people are under. What they wanted

:03:09.:03:12.

was a budget that would address concerns and, for the vast majority

:03:13.:03:17.

of people, they will have heard the statement by George Osborne and

:03:18.:03:23.

think, how is it really help them now? It did not address it. It is

:03:24.:03:31.

clear that by 2015, average living standards will probably not have

:03:32.:03:36.

returned to where they were in 2010. Average wages will not have

:03:37.:03:40.

done that. On the other hand, the chart shows the sense of direction

:03:41.:03:44.

is moving in the right way. Which one matters more with the

:03:45.:03:50.

electorate? I suspect it is sense of direction. People sense of

:03:51.:03:53.

prosperity does not need to be buoyant. It has to be something

:03:54.:03:58.

worth preserving. We have to fear the all turn. That is what intrigued

:03:59.:04:04.

me this week. People make too much of a fuss about the Parliamentary

:04:05.:04:08.

response by Ed Miliband. People will forgive a bad day at the dispatch

:04:09.:04:13.

box. What they will not forgive is the absence of a macro economic

:04:14.:04:20.

mess. Labour have a very powerful message on living standards and lots

:04:21.:04:25.

of popular, targeted interventions like the energy price freeze. You

:04:26.:04:31.

can imagine they will be sufficiently nervous about that next

:04:32.:04:36.

year. If living standards are not back to where they were, Labour can

:04:37.:04:44.

say, are you better off now than when you were four years ago? The

:04:45.:04:52.

reason why break and -- wallowed waken one that is because Jimmy

:04:53.:05:04.

Carter mucked it up -- Ronald Reagan. Labour have to say, vote for

:05:05.:05:12.

us and you will get 2 million homes. At the moment, the offer is very

:05:13.:05:16.

modest. You need to find the money to do that. People need to

:05:17.:05:20.

understand that housing is at the very heart of the economy, as well

:05:21.:05:24.

as young people and their aspirations. At the moment, Labour

:05:25.:05:31.

's offer is not spectacular in. If the focus group shows the cost of

:05:32.:05:34.

living crisis have no longer has the attraction it did, what line do you

:05:35.:05:40.

move onto? Yellow McCoy must remind people of the wasted years and the

:05:41.:05:43.

cost of living pressures they have been under. -- we must remind

:05:44.:05:50.

people. We want a recovery which has low growth, low wage. A race to the

:05:51.:05:59.

bottom. They want a recovery that is felt by everyone, shared and felt by

:06:00.:06:05.

all. Now, here's an idea to twist your melon. Mark Berry, better known

:06:06.:06:10.

as Bez, it says here he's a member of something called The Happy

:06:11.:06:12.

Mondays, wants to stand for parliament. He's best known for

:06:13.:06:16.

being in a band, and not doing very much, so he might fit in. Here he is

:06:17.:06:21.

in action. And Bez joins us from our Salford

:06:22.:06:49.

studio. Good to see you. Is this a genuine candidacy or are you

:06:50.:06:57.

twisting my melon? Amazing how time flies when you're having fun! You

:06:58.:07:06.

having fun doing this candidacy? I am doing the job of the politicians

:07:07.:07:10.

and standing up for the people and bringing attention to the horror of

:07:11.:07:16.

fracking, which is a totally unsafe technology. There is no one in

:07:17.:07:20.

mainstream politics who is discussing or saying anything about

:07:21.:07:25.

it. It is an unsafe technology and it has been proven in America. You

:07:26.:07:30.

see the process in America and the people out on the streets. The whole

:07:31.:07:40.

atmosphere has been made toxic. These people are allowing it to

:07:41.:07:45.

happen in the name of profit. This has been a Labour seat you are

:07:46.:07:51.

fighting in Salford since 1945. It is a tough mountain. Supposing you

:07:52.:07:56.

were to win, could you ever see yourself entering a coalition? With

:07:57.:08:03.

a bit of luck I may be able to shame Labour politicians to do the job

:08:04.:08:06.

properly and stand up for the rights of people. They are not and I am

:08:07.:08:10.

having to do that job. All I am doing is causing debate and bringing

:08:11.:08:16.

to attention the horror that is hanging on our doorsteps. It is not

:08:17.:08:20.

only fracking but GM modified foods that they want to bring into this

:08:21.:08:25.

country as well. Owen Paterson is one of the main lobbyists. Lobbying

:08:26.:08:33.

is legalised bribery, by the way. It is run by the bankers. Basically, we

:08:34.:08:39.

have to stop these monsters from getting into our country and turning

:08:40.:08:43.

our land into a toxic waste. That is what I am trying to say. You are

:08:44.:08:49.

raising the debate, as you are doing with us here. We do not really need

:08:50.:08:55.

fracking. You have done that and you have talked about other things as

:08:56.:09:00.

well. In terms of a new integrity, if you were to become an MP, would

:09:01.:09:07.

you claim expenses? If I ever do get in charge, I would completely enter

:09:08.:09:11.

the banking system and there would be expensive, but they would be like

:09:12.:09:16.

bus passes and train passes. You behave like the people and you are

:09:17.:09:20.

in touch with the people, you move with the people and do understand

:09:21.:09:25.

what the people want. You do not live in acre Kuhn of your own making

:09:26.:09:29.

of luxury, wealth and total disregard of everyone else. -- a

:09:30.:09:37.

cocoon. If you did get into the Palace of Westminster and had to

:09:38.:09:40.

mingle with all these people, who would you rather have in night out

:09:41.:09:46.

with - Mr Cameron, Mr Miller band or Mr Clegg? I would be willing to

:09:47.:09:55.

discuss politics with anybody. I would make them realise what they

:09:56.:10:03.

are doing. I am glad too have a debate and with anyone. The people

:10:04.:10:10.

of Salford, quite a lot people people behind me. I have been

:10:11.:10:16.

speaking to Salford councillors. They are going to lend me their

:10:17.:10:24.

support. The people of Salford, and not to forget the people of Eccles,

:10:25.:10:30.

sending you much. We must stop this horror. There is a monster on our

:10:31.:10:35.

doorstep and we must stop it, people. Do not forget to take your

:10:36.:10:41.

maracas on campaign trail. Would you like a pair to shake yourself? You

:10:42.:10:49.

shake your maracas against fracking! Thanks, Bez, goodbye. Thank you for

:10:50.:10:55.

giving me a little platform to express my views. Now if there's one

:10:56.:11:02.

thing that gets us hot under the collar here at the Sunday Politics

:11:03.:11:04.

it's European elections. The only thing we like more than the

:11:05.:11:07.

elections themselves is a TV debate about them. And we're in luck! Take

:11:08.:11:12.

a look at this. Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome leader of

:11:13.:11:15.

the Liberal Democrats and Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg. Gives

:11:16.:11:23.

the most fantastic welcome to Nigel Farage. I would challenge Nigel

:11:24.:11:31.

Farage to a public, open debate, about whether she we should be out

:11:32.:11:38.

all in of the European Union. I will do it for Nick Clegg. Since 2009, I

:11:39.:11:49.

have taken part in 45% of votes in the European Parliament. Nigel

:11:50.:11:56.

Farage has not tabled a single amendment since July 2009. Mr Clegg

:11:57.:12:04.

has only taken part in 22% of votes in the House of commons. You can

:12:05.:12:11.

watch the debate at 7pm on the 2nd of April over on BBC Two. And for a

:12:12.:12:23.

chance to be part of the studio audience on the night and put your

:12:24.:12:26.

question to the two party leaders, e-mail the question you'd like to

:12:27.:12:29.

ask to [email protected] or tweet it using the hashtag

:12:30.:12:31.

#europedebate. And Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage will be limbering up

:12:32.:12:35.

this week with their first debate on LBC radio on Wednesday. Who is going

:12:36.:12:43.

to come out the best? I suspect Nigel Farage. It is easy to portray

:12:44.:12:49.

Nick Clegg as morally compromised, who has not asserted himself in

:12:50.:12:53.

government. I do wonder about Nigel Farage, whether he is much better at

:12:54.:12:58.

delivering a popular line and responding to the second question of

:12:59.:13:03.

third question. Nick Clegg will win it hands over fist because he knows

:13:04.:13:07.

this stuff. He is right. The evidence that he can produce about

:13:08.:13:11.

what will happen if we pulled out of Europe will, I think, overwhelm

:13:12.:13:19.

Nigel Farage 's one-liners. They will both be winners because you

:13:20.:13:26.

will have the rare sight of the pro-European saying he likes the

:13:27.:13:30.

European Union. That is unlike Eurosceptics who tie themselves up

:13:31.:13:36.

in knots. 14 Nigel, one for Nick and one for both. There you go. Here is

:13:37.:13:49.

a mess, it is Janen Ganesh. That's all for today. The Daily Politics is

:13:50.:13:53.

on BBC Two at Lunchtime every day this week, I'll be back here next

:13:54.:13:56.

week with Energy Secretary Ed Davey. Remember if it's Sunday, it's the

:13:57.:13:58.

Sunday Politics.

:13:59.:14:04.

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