Browse content similar to 20/11/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Morning folks - welcome to the Sunday Politics. | :00:34. | :00:37. | |
Theresa May says she'll deliver on Brexit but does that mean leaving | :00:38. | :00:40. | |
the EU's Single Market and the Customs Union? | :00:41. | :00:45. | |
Tory MPs campaign for a commitment from the Prime | :00:46. | :00:47. | |
The Chancellor pledges just over a billion pounds worth of spending | :00:48. | :01:00. | |
on Britain's roads but is that it or will there be | :01:01. | :01:07. | |
Their last leader was just 18 days in the job. | :01:08. | :01:13. | |
In the South West: A crisis in social care. | :01:14. | :01:15. | |
Is the system failing to safeguard residents? | :01:16. | :01:18. | |
Richmond Park based on the skies? Or is it about a bigger conflict in | :01:19. | :01:26. | |
Europe? And with me - as always - | :01:27. | :01:35. | |
and, no, these three aren't doing the Mannequin challenge - | :01:36. | :01:38. | |
it's our dynamic, demonstrative dazzling political panel - | :01:39. | :01:43. | |
Helen Lewis, Isabel Oakeshott and Tom Newton Dunn they'll also be | :01:44. | :01:45. | |
tweeting throughout the programme. First this morning - | :01:46. | :01:48. | |
Theresa May has said "Brexit means Brexit" - | :01:49. | :01:53. | |
but can the Prime Minister - who was on the Remain side | :01:54. | :01:56. | |
of argument during the referendum Well, Leave-supporting Tory | :01:57. | :01:59. | |
MPs are re-launching the "European Research Group" this | :02:00. | :02:07. | |
morning to keep Mrs May's feet Are you worried that you cannot | :02:08. | :02:22. | |
trust Theresa May until payment to deliver full Brexit was Magellan | :02:23. | :02:26. | |
like I totally trust Theresa May, 100% behind her. She has displayed a | :02:27. | :02:31. | |
massive amount of commitment to making a success of Brexit for the | :02:32. | :02:34. | |
country. We don't know that yet, because | :02:35. | :02:38. | |
nothing has happened. Why, then have you formed a pressure group? We | :02:39. | :02:43. | |
were fed up with the negativity coming out around Brexit. I feel | :02:44. | :02:49. | |
positive about the opportunities we face, and we are a group to provide | :02:50. | :02:53. | |
suggestions. Who do you have in mind when you talk about negativity the | :02:54. | :02:59. | |
Chancellor? No, from the Lib Dems, for example, from Labour MPs. This | :03:00. | :03:05. | |
is a pressure group for leaving membership of the single market and | :03:06. | :03:10. | |
customs union, correct? That is what we are proposing. It has a purpose | :03:11. | :03:15. | |
other than just to combat negativity. When it comes to | :03:16. | :03:19. | |
membership of the single market and the customs union, can you tell us | :03:20. | :03:23. | |
what Government policy is towards both or either? Rightly, the | :03:24. | :03:27. | |
Government hasn't made the position clear, and I think that is the right | :03:28. | :03:30. | |
approach, because we don't want to review our negotiating hand. What | :03:31. | :03:38. | |
we're saying... I'm not asking what you are saying. Can you tell us what | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
Government policy is towards membership of these institutions? | :03:43. | :03:47. | |
The Government wants to make sure British businesses have the right to | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
trade with EU partners, to forge new trade deals with the rest of the | :03:52. | :03:55. | |
world. We hope to Reza may speak at Mansion house this week. -- we had | :03:56. | :04:01. | |
Theresa May speak at Mansion house this week. She has been clear, | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
saying it was not a binary choice. And she's right. Let's run that | :04:07. | :04:10. | |
tape, because I want to pick up on what she did say. This is what she | :04:11. | :04:16. | |
had to say about the customs union at Prime Minister's Question Time. | :04:17. | :04:19. | |
On the whole question of the customs union, trading relationships that we | :04:20. | :04:24. | |
have with the European Union and other parts of the world once we | :04:25. | :04:29. | |
have left the European Union, we are preparing carefully for the formal | :04:30. | :04:39. | |
negotiations. We are preparing carefully for the formal | :04:40. | :04:42. | |
negotiations. We want to ensure we have the best possible trading deal | :04:43. | :04:46. | |
with the EU once we have left. Do you know what she means when she | :04:47. | :04:51. | |
says being in the customs union is not a binary choice? I think she's | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
right when she says that. At the moment, and you know this, as long | :04:57. | :04:59. | |
as we are in the customs union, we cannot set our own tariffs or rules, | :05:00. | :05:04. | |
cannot have a free trade agreement with the US or China. We need to | :05:05. | :05:09. | |
leave a customs union to do that. Binary means either you are in or | :05:10. | :05:13. | |
you are out, self which is it? We still want to trade with the EU and | :05:14. | :05:17. | |
I think we can have a free trade agreement with the EU. That is a | :05:18. | :05:23. | |
separate matter, and it has to do with the single market. What about | :05:24. | :05:28. | |
the customs union? We need to leave the customs union. We do it and | :05:29. | :05:33. | |
properly. That is how to get the most out of this opportunity. Summit | :05:34. | :05:37. | |
is a binary choice? The Prime Minister is right when she says it's | :05:38. | :05:42. | |
not a binary choice. Both can't be right. We can leave the customs | :05:43. | :05:50. | |
union, get their benefits, and have a free trade agreement with zero | :05:51. | :05:54. | |
tariffs with the EU. So it is a binary choice an either be stale | :05:55. | :05:58. | |
really. Yellow like I am saying the Prime Minister is right when she | :05:59. | :06:05. | |
says it is not a binary choice. -- I am saying the Prime Minister is | :06:06. | :06:12. | |
right. We need clarity. Youth had said -- you have said it is a binary | :06:13. | :06:16. | |
choice. We need to leave the constraints of the customs union. It | :06:17. | :06:21. | |
pushes up prices. The EU is not securing the right trade deals, and | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
if we want to make the most of it, we need to get out there and get | :06:26. | :06:28. | |
some deals going. Do you accept that if we remain in the customs union, | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
we cannot do our own free-trade deals? Yellow right 100%. That is | :06:34. | :06:50. | |
why we have to leave. -- 100%. Do you accept that if we leave the | :06:51. | :06:53. | |
customs union but stay with substantial access, I don't say | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
membership, but substantial access to the single market, that goods | :06:59. | :07:01. | |
going from this country to the single market because we're no | :07:02. | :07:06. | |
longer in the union will be subject to complicated rules of origin | :07:07. | :07:12. | |
regulations, which could cost business ?13 billion a year? I would | :07:13. | :07:18. | |
like to see a free-trade agreement between the UK and the EU. Look at | :07:19. | :07:22. | |
the Canadian deal. I give you that, but if we're not in the customs | :07:23. | :07:26. | |
union, things that we bring in on our own tariffs once we've left we | :07:27. | :07:31. | |
can't just export again willy-nilly to the EU. They will demand to see | :07:32. | :07:35. | |
rules of origin. Norway has to do that at the moment and it is highly | :07:36. | :07:42. | |
complicated expensive. I think if we agree a particular arrangement as | :07:43. | :07:45. | |
part of this agreement with the EU, we can reach an agreement on that | :07:46. | :07:48. | |
which sets a lower standard, which sets a different level of tariffs, | :07:49. | :07:54. | |
which protects some of our industries. Let's suppose we have | :07:55. | :07:59. | |
pretty much free trade with the EU but we are out of the customs union, | :08:00. | :08:05. | |
and let's suppose that the European Union has a 20% tariff on Japanese | :08:06. | :08:14. | |
whisky and we decide to have a % tariff - what then happens to the | :08:15. | :08:17. | |
whisky that comes into Britain and goes on to the EU? The EU will not | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
let that in. That will be part of the negotiation. I think there is a | :08:23. | :08:30. | |
huge benefit for external operators. Every bottle of Japanese whisky | :08:31. | :08:33. | |
they will have to work out the rules of origin. There have been studies | :08:34. | :08:39. | |
that show there is a potential for 50% increase in global product if we | :08:40. | :08:42. | |
leave. We're losing the benefits of free trade. I understand, I am | :08:43. | :08:47. | |
asking for your particular view Thank you for that. | :08:48. | :08:53. | |
Is it not surprising Mr Hannan could not bring himself to say we would | :08:54. | :08:58. | |
leave the customs union? It is messy. The reason there is this new | :08:59. | :09:04. | |
group of Tory MPs signing up to a campaign to make sure we get a | :09:05. | :09:07. | |
genuine Brexit is because there is this vacuum. It is being filled with | :09:08. | :09:13. | |
all sorts of briefing from the other side. There is a real risk in the | :09:14. | :09:19. | |
minds of Brexit supporting MPs that the remaining side are going to try | :09:20. | :09:23. | |
to hijack the process, not only through the Supreme Court action, | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
which I think most Brexit MPs seem to accept the appeal will fail, but | :09:29. | :09:33. | |
further down the line, through amendments to the great repeal bill. | :09:34. | :09:38. | |
This is a pressure group to try to hold the Prime Minister to account. | :09:39. | :09:42. | |
There is plenty of pressure on the Prime Minister effectively to stay | :09:43. | :09:46. | |
in the single market and the customs union, and if you do both of these | :09:47. | :09:52. | |
things, de facto, you have stayed in the EU. She is in a difficult | :09:53. | :09:56. | |
position because there is no good faith assumption about what Theresa | :09:57. | :10:00. | |
May wants because she was a Remainer. There is all this talk | :10:01. | :10:05. | |
about a transitional arrangement, but she can't sell that as someone | :10:06. | :10:09. | |
who voted to remain. The way Isabel has characterised it is interesting. | :10:10. | :10:14. | |
There is a betrayal narrative. Everyone is looking to say that she | :10:15. | :10:20. | |
has betrayed the true Brexit. Since the Government cannot give a clear | :10:21. | :10:23. | |
indication of what it once in terms of the customs union, which sets | :10:24. | :10:29. | |
external tariffs, or the single market, which is the free movement | :10:30. | :10:34. | |
of people, capital, goods and services, others are filling this | :10:35. | :10:41. | |
vacuum. Right. The reasons they can't do this are, first, they don't | :10:42. | :10:44. | |
know if they can get it or not. We saw this with the renegotiation the | :10:45. | :10:49. | |
last Prime Minister. What are they hoping to get? The world on a stick, | :10:50. | :11:00. | |
to get cake and eat it. You go into a negotiation saying, let's see what | :11:01. | :11:05. | |
we can get in total. Are they going to ask the membership of the single | :11:06. | :11:08. | |
market? Yellow I think they will ask for a free trade agreement involving | :11:09. | :11:20. | |
everything. You can demand what you want. The question is, do they stand | :11:21. | :11:25. | |
a cat's chance in hell of getting it? They don't know. Welcome back. | :11:26. | :11:32. | |
We will be back, believe me. It is 150 day since we found out the UK | :11:33. | :11:37. | |
had voted to leave the EU, but as we have heard, remain and leave | :11:38. | :11:42. | |
campaigners continue to battle about what type of relationship we should | :11:43. | :11:44. | |
have with the EU after exit. Leave campaigners say | :11:45. | :11:52. | |
that leaving the EU also means quitting | :11:53. | :11:55. | |
Single Market, the internal European trading bloc that includes free | :11:56. | :11:57. | |
movement of goods, services, capital and people. | :11:58. | :11:59. | |
They point to evidence that leading Leave supporting | :12:00. | :12:01. | |
politicians ruled out staying in the Single Market during | :12:02. | :12:03. | |
Andrea Leadsom, for example, said it would almost | :12:04. | :12:06. | |
certainly be the case that the UK would come out of the Single Market. | :12:07. | :12:15. | |
When asked for a yes or no on whether the UK should stay | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
"No, we should be outside the Single Market." | :12:20. | :12:23. | |
And Boris Johnson agreed with his erstwhile ally, saying, "Michael | :12:24. | :12:25. | |
Gove was absolutely right to say the UK | :12:26. | :12:27. | |
They've released a video of clips of Leave campaigners speaking before | :12:28. | :12:39. | |
the referendum apparently saying that the UK should stay in the | :12:40. | :12:41. | |
Nigel Farage, for example, once said that on leaving | :12:42. | :12:44. | |
the EU we'll find ourselves part of the European economic area | :12:45. | :12:47. | |
Owen Paterson, the former Environment Secretary, | :12:48. | :12:50. | |
once made the startling statement that only a madman would actually | :12:51. | :12:56. | |
And Matthew Elliott, the Vote Leave chief, said | :12:57. | :13:01. | |
that the Norwegian option would be initially attractive for some | :13:02. | :13:04. | |
But do these quotes create an accurate picture of what | :13:05. | :13:08. | |
To cast some light on where these quotes came from we're | :13:09. | :13:15. | |
joined by James McGrory, director of Open Britain | :13:16. | :13:18. | |
Welcome to the Sunday Politics. . Your video has statements from leave | :13:19. | :13:31. | |
campaigners hinting they want to stay in the single market. How many | :13:32. | :13:34. | |
were made during the referendum campaign? I don't know. Not one was | :13:35. | :13:43. | |
made during the referendum campaign. Indeed, only two of the 12 | :13:44. | :13:47. | |
statements were recorded after Royal assent had been given to the | :13:48. | :13:50. | |
referendum. Only one was made this year before the referendum. | :13:51. | :13:55. | |
Throughout the campaign am a leave campaigners lauded the Norwegian | :13:56. | :13:59. | |
model. Norway are in the single market but not in the EU. They went | :14:00. | :14:05. | |
out of their way not to be pinned down on a specific trading | :14:06. | :14:07. | |
arrangement they want to see in the future with Europe, when the | :14:08. | :14:11. | |
Treasury model the different models it was the EEA or a free-trade | :14:12. | :14:16. | |
agreement. I understand. Does it not undermine your case that none of the | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
12 statements on your video were made during the campaign itself | :14:21. | :14:25. | |
when people were giving really serious thought to such matters The | :14:26. | :14:29. | |
Leave campaign weren't giving serious thought to such matters | :14:30. | :14:33. | |
They did not set out the future trading model they wanted to see. | :14:34. | :14:38. | |
But you cannot produce a single video with somebody saying we should | :14:39. | :14:42. | |
stay in the single market during the campaign. Daniel Hanna had talked | :14:43. | :14:47. | |
about the Norwegian model as a future option. One comment from | :14:48. | :14:52. | |
Nigel Farage dates back to 2009 when we didn't even know if we would | :14:53. | :14:56. | |
have a referendum or not. Does it not stretch credibility to go back | :14:57. | :15:00. | |
to the time when Gordon Brown was Prime Minister? The overall point | :15:01. | :15:04. | |
stands. It is not supposed to be an exhaustive list of the options. | :15:05. | :15:10. | |
Daniel Hannan, described as the intellectual godfather of the Leave | :15:11. | :15:15. | |
movement is saying that no one is talking about threatening our place | :15:16. | :15:18. | |
in the signal market. I think it's legitimate to point out the Leave | :15:19. | :15:22. | |
campaign never came forward with a credible argument. We have | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
highlighted some of the quotes you picked out from leave campaigners | :15:27. | :15:29. | |
over time. Do you think you have fully encapsulated their arguments | :15:30. | :15:36. | |
accurately? I don't think in a 2nd video you can talk about the full | :15:37. | :15:42. | |
thing. -- a 90-2nd video. Some of them want to seek a free-trade | :15:43. | :15:46. | |
agreement, some to default on to World Trade Organisation tariffs. | :15:47. | :15:54. | |
There is a range of opinion in the Leave campaign. Let's listen to the | :15:55. | :15:56. | |
clip you used on Owen Paterson first. | :15:57. | :15:58. | |
Only a madman would actually leave the market. | :15:59. | :16:04. | |
Only a madman would actually leave the market. | :16:05. | :16:09. | |
It's not the EU which is | :16:10. | :16:10. | |
a political organisation delivering the prosperity and buying our goods. | :16:11. | :16:14. | |
It's the market, it's the members of the market and we'll carry on | :16:15. | :16:17. | |
I mean, are we really suggesting that the | :16:18. | :16:20. | |
economy in the world is not going to come to come | :16:21. | :16:23. | |
to a satisfactory trading arrangement with the EU? | :16:24. | :16:24. | |
Are we going to be like Sudan and North | :16:25. | :16:26. | |
It is ludicrous this idea that we are going to leap off a | :16:27. | :16:31. | |
What he said when he said only a madman would leave Europe, was that | :16:32. | :16:44. | |
we would continue to trade, we would continue to have access. Any country | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
in the world can have access. What the Leave campaign suggested is our | :16:49. | :16:52. | |
trade would continue uninterrupted, they are still at it today, David | :16:53. | :16:55. | |
Davis used the phrase, uninterrupted, from the dispatch box | :16:56. | :17:00. | |
recently. You misrepresented him by saying only a madman would leave the | :17:01. | :17:03. | |
Single Market and stopped it there, because he goes onto say that of | :17:04. | :17:07. | |
course we want Leave in the sense of continuing to have access. I don't | :17:08. | :17:09. | |
think he was about axis, he is talking | :17:10. | :17:27. | |
about membership. He doesn't use the word membership at all. He talks | :17:28. | :17:30. | |
about we are going to carry on trading with them, we will not leap | :17:31. | :17:32. | |
off, we will carry on trading. Anybody can trade with the EU, it's | :17:33. | :17:35. | |
the terms on which you trade that is important and leave campaigners and | :17:36. | :17:38. | |
Patterson is an example of this saying we can trade as we do now, | :17:39. | :17:40. | |
the government saying we can trade without bureaucratic impediments and | :17:41. | :17:42. | |
tariff free. The viewers will make up their mind. Let's listen to the | :17:43. | :17:45. | |
views of Matthew Elliott, the Chief Executive of Vote Leave. | :17:46. | :17:46. | |
When it comes to the Norwegian option, the EEA option, I think that | :17:47. | :17:49. | |
it might be initially attractive for some business people. | :17:50. | :17:51. | |
So you then cut him off there but this is what he went on to say in | :17:52. | :17:56. | |
the same clip, let's listen to that. When it comes to the Norwegian | :17:57. | :17:59. | |
option, the EEA option, I think that it might be initially attractive | :18:00. | :18:02. | |
for some business people. But then again for voters | :18:03. | :18:04. | |
who are increasingly concerned about migration in the EU, | :18:05. | :18:08. | |
they will be very concerned that it allows free movement | :18:09. | :18:11. | |
of people to continue. Again, you have misrepresented him. | :18:12. | :18:23. | |
He said the Norwegian model has attractions but there are real | :18:24. | :18:25. | |
problems if it involves free movement of people, which it does. | :18:26. | :18:29. | |
But you cut that bit out. I challenge anyone to represent them | :18:30. | :18:33. | |
accurately because they took such a range of opinions. I don't know what | :18:34. | :18:36. | |
we are supposed to do. You are misrepresenting them. He is saying | :18:37. | :18:40. | |
the Norwegian option is attractive to business, I understand why. It | :18:41. | :18:45. | |
might not be attractive for voters. But then he said if it allowed free | :18:46. | :18:51. | |
movement of people it could be an issue. You took that out. You are | :18:52. | :18:56. | |
saying this is a definitive position. I'm suggesting you are | :18:57. | :18:59. | |
distorting it. This is what you had Mr Farage say. | :19:00. | :19:01. | |
On D+1 we'll find ourselves part of the European economic area | :19:02. | :19:04. | |
This is what he then went on to say in that same clip that you didn t | :19:05. | :19:11. | |
run. There is absolutely | :19:12. | :19:12. | |
nothing to fear in terms of trade from leaving | :19:13. | :19:14. | |
the on D+1 we'll find ourselves part | :19:15. | :19:15. | |
of the European Economic Area and we should use our | :19:16. | :19:20. | |
membership of the EEA as a holding position from which | :19:21. | :19:29. | |
we can negotiate as the European Union's biggest export | :19:30. | :19:32. | |
market in the world, as good a deal, my goodness me, | :19:33. | :19:35. | |
if Switzerland can have one we So there again, he says not that we | :19:36. | :19:44. | |
should stay in the Single Market as a member, but that we stay in the EA | :19:45. | :19:49. | |
as a transition until we negotiate something. -- EEA. This whole clip | :19:50. | :19:59. | |
is online, how would you get away with this distortion? It is not a | :20:00. | :20:03. | |
distortion, the whole point is to point out they do not have a | :20:04. | :20:06. | |
definitive position, he is arguing for membership of the Single Market, | :20:07. | :20:09. | |
for a transitional period. For the transition. How long does that go | :20:10. | :20:14. | |
on, what does he want to then achieve? Not very quickly but he | :20:15. | :20:17. | |
does not say we should stay members of the Single Market and you didn't | :20:18. | :20:21. | |
let people see what he went on to say, you gave the impression he | :20:22. | :20:24. | |
wanted to stay in the one it. It would not be a video then, it would | :20:25. | :20:29. | |
be a seven-week long lecture. They took so many positions, and the idea | :20:30. | :20:32. | |
now that they were clear with people that we should definitely leave the | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
Single Market I think is fictitious. You are trying to make out they all | :20:37. | :20:40. | |
had one position which was to remain members of the one it. You see the | :20:41. | :20:45. | |
full clips that is not what they are saying. We are trying to point out | :20:46. | :20:49. | |
there is no mandate to leave the Single Market. The idea the Leave | :20:50. | :20:52. | |
campaign spoke with unanimity and clarity of purpose and throughout | :20:53. | :20:55. | |
the whole campaign said we will definitely leave the Single Market | :20:56. | :21:00. | |
is not true. That is the whole point of the media. We showed in the | :21:01. | :21:03. | |
montage in the video just before we came on, we said that then Prime | :21:04. | :21:07. | |
Minister, the then Chancellor, Boris Johnson, Michael Gove, being | :21:08. | :21:10. | |
categorical that if you vote to leave the EU, you vote to leave | :21:11. | :21:14. | |
membership of the Single Market What bit of that didn't you | :21:15. | :21:17. | |
understand? Under duress they occasionally said they wanted to | :21:18. | :21:20. | |
leave. Some of them wanted to leave the Single Market. All of the other | :21:21. | :21:27. | |
promises they made, whether ?35 million for the NHS, whether a VAT | :21:28. | :21:31. | |
cut on fuel, points-based system. You do not have a single quote of | :21:32. | :21:34. | |
any of these members saying they want to be a member. Daniel Hannan | :21:35. | :21:38. | |
has said consistently that Norway are a part of the Single Market You | :21:39. | :21:44. | |
spend the referendum campaign criticising for Rim misrepresenting | :21:45. | :21:46. | |
and misrepresenting and lying and many thought they did. Having seen | :21:47. | :21:48. | |
this many will conclude that you are the biggest liars. I think it is | :21:49. | :21:52. | |
perfectly reasonable to point out that the Leave campaign did not have | :21:53. | :21:55. | |
a clear position on our future trading relationship with Europe. | :21:56. | :21:59. | |
That is all this video does. It doesn't say we definitely have to | :22:00. | :22:03. | |
stay in the Single Market, it just says they do have a mandate to drag | :22:04. | :22:07. | |
us out of our biggest trading partner. | :22:08. | :22:10. | |
Now people have seen the full quotes in context our viewers will make up | :22:11. | :22:11. | |
their mind. Thank you. Now - voting closes next week | :22:12. | :22:13. | |
in the the Ukip leadership contest. The second Ukip leadership contest | :22:14. | :22:16. | |
this year after the party's first female leader - Diane James - | :22:17. | :22:19. | |
stood down from the role Since then the party's lurched from | :22:20. | :22:21. | |
farce to fiasco. It's a world gripped by uncertainty, | :22:22. | :22:24. | |
split into factions. Yes, 2, because they're | :22:25. | :22:40. | |
having their second Watch as the alpha male, | :22:41. | :22:50. | |
the Ukip leader at Nigel Watch as the alpha male, | :22:51. | :22:57. | |
the Ukip leader Nigel Farage, hands power to the new alpha | :22:58. | :23:00. | |
female Diane James. The European Parliament | :23:01. | :23:02. | |
in Strasbourg, October. Another leading light and possible | :23:03. | :23:16. | |
future leader, the MEP Steven Wolfe, | :23:17. | :23:19. | |
has been laid low after an alleged tussle with a colleague | :23:20. | :23:22. | |
during a meeting. A few days later he is | :23:23. | :23:24. | |
out of hospital and I will be withdrawing my | :23:25. | :23:26. | |
application to become I'm actually withdrawing | :23:27. | :23:30. | |
myself from Ukip. You're resigning from the party | :23:31. | :23:34. | |
I'm resigning with immediate effect. And this week a leaked document | :23:35. | :23:40. | |
suggested the party improperly spent EU funds on political | :23:41. | :23:43. | |
campaigning in the UK. Another headache for whoever takes | :23:44. | :23:48. | |
over the leadership of the pack One contender is Suzanne Evans, | :23:49. | :23:55. | |
a former Tory councillor and was briefly suspended for | :23:56. | :23:58. | |
disloyalty. Also standing, Paul Nuttall, | :23:59. | :24:06. | |
an MEP from Liverpool who has been by Farage's side | :24:07. | :24:10. | |
as his deputy for six years. There's another big beast | :24:11. | :24:15. | |
in the Ukip leadership contest, and I'm told | :24:16. | :24:17. | |
that today he can be spotted He's John Rees-Evans, | :24:18. | :24:20. | |
a businessman and adventurer who is offering members the chance | :24:21. | :24:25. | |
to propose policies via a website We've got really dedicated | :24:26. | :24:28. | |
passionate supporters who feel like they're not really | :24:29. | :24:42. | |
being listened to and are not even Typically what happens | :24:43. | :24:45. | |
is they just basically sit there until six months before | :24:46. | :24:48. | |
a General Election when they are contacted and asked to go out | :24:49. | :24:51. | |
and leaflet and canvas. Even at branch level people feel | :24:52. | :24:53. | |
there is not an adequate flow of communication | :24:54. | :24:55. | |
up-and-down the party. Are you not going to take part in | :24:56. | :24:57. | |
any hustings? He left a hustings saying | :24:58. | :25:06. | |
the contest was an establishment coronation and has | :25:07. | :25:10. | |
made colourful comments in the past. He's in favour of the death penalty | :25:11. | :25:12. | |
for crimes like paedophilia. I think there is a clear | :25:13. | :25:14. | |
will amongst the offences should be dealt with | :25:15. | :25:17. | |
decisively. But again, on an issue like that, | :25:18. | :25:20. | |
that is something that Our members are not | :25:21. | :25:23. | |
going to agree with me on everything and I don't believe that | :25:24. | :25:28. | |
I would have any authority to have the say and determine | :25:29. | :25:31. | |
the future What method would you use | :25:32. | :25:33. | |
for the death penalty? Again, that is something that could | :25:34. | :25:36. | |
be determined by suggestions made So you'd have like an online | :25:37. | :25:39. | |
poll about whether you use the electric chair, | :25:40. | :25:43. | |
or lethal injection? For example, arguments would be made | :25:44. | :25:49. | |
in favour of This is such a small aspect | :25:50. | :25:51. | |
of what I'm standing for. Essentially, in mainstream media | :25:52. | :25:55. | |
they try to by focusing on pretty irrelevant | :25:56. | :25:57. | |
details. This is one vote that | :25:58. | :26:03. | |
the membership would have. What I'm actually trying to do | :26:04. | :26:05. | |
in this party is to revolutionise the democratic | :26:06. | :26:09. | |
process in the UK, and that's really what your viewers should | :26:10. | :26:12. | |
be concentrating on. With him at the helm he reckons Ukip | :26:13. | :26:16. | |
would win at Meanwhile, in New York, | :26:17. | :26:19. | |
on a visit to Trump Tower, Nigel Farage admired the plumage | :26:20. | :26:26. | |
of the President-elect, a man he has described as | :26:27. | :26:35. | |
a silverback gorilla, a friendship that's been condemned by some | :26:36. | :26:38. | |
in this leadership contest. There are also elections | :26:39. | :26:41. | |
to the party's National Executive Committee, a body | :26:42. | :26:43. | |
that's been roundly criticised by And we're joined now by two | :26:44. | :26:45. | |
of the candidates in the Ukip leadership election - | :26:46. | :27:00. | |
Suzanne Evans and Paul Nuttall. We are going to kick off by giving | :27:01. | :27:10. | |
each of them 30 seconds to lay out their case as to why they would be | :27:11. | :27:14. | |
the less leader starting with Suzanne Evans. | :27:15. | :27:17. | |
Ukip is at its best when it is scaring the political establishment, | :27:18. | :27:19. | |
forcing it to address those problems it would rather ignore. But it | :27:20. | :27:23. | |
really change people's lives for the better and fast, we need to win | :27:24. | :27:27. | |
seats and elections right across the country. To win at the ballot box we | :27:28. | :27:31. | |
need to attract more women, more ethnic | :27:32. | :27:51. | |
minorities, and more of those Labour voters who no longer recognise their | :27:52. | :27:53. | |
party. I know how to do that. Ukip under my | :27:54. | :27:57. | |
leadership will be the same page about it, common-sense, radical | :27:58. | :27:59. | |
party it has always been, just even more successful. Thank you, Suzanne | :28:00. | :28:01. | |
Evans, Paul Nuttall. I'm standing on a platform of unity and experience. | :28:02. | :28:03. | |
I believe the party must come together if it is to survive and | :28:04. | :28:06. | |
prosper. I believe I'm the best candidate to ensure that happens, I | :28:07. | :28:09. | |
am not part of any faction in the party, and beyond that I have done | :28:10. | :28:11. | |
every single job within the party, whether that is as head of policy, | :28:12. | :28:14. | |
whether that is Party Chairman, deputy leader for Nigel for the past | :28:15. | :28:16. | |
six years. I believe Ukip has great opportunities in Labour | :28:17. | :28:18. | |
constituencies where we can move in and become the Patriot invoice of | :28:19. | :28:23. | |
working people, and beyond that we have to ensure the government's feet | :28:24. | :28:25. | |
are held to the fire on Brexit and we get real Brexit, not a | :28:26. | :28:32. | |
mealy-mouthed version. How will you get a grip on this? People have to | :28:33. | :28:36. | |
realise that the cause is bigger than any personality, we have to get | :28:37. | :28:40. | |
together in a room and sort out not just a spokespeople role but roles | :28:41. | :28:43. | |
within the organisation, Party Chairman, party secretary, and | :28:44. | :28:48. | |
whatnot. But as I say, Ukip must unite, we are on 13% in the opinion | :28:49. | :28:52. | |
polls, the future is bright, there are open goals but Ukip must be on | :28:53. | :28:57. | |
the pitch to score them. He says he's the only one that can get a | :28:58. | :29:00. | |
grip on this party. I disagree, I have a huge amount of experience in | :29:01. | :29:04. | |
the party as well and also a background that I think means I can | :29:05. | :29:07. | |
help bring people together. I have always said nothing breeds unity | :29:08. | :29:18. | |
faster than success and under my leadership we will be successful. | :29:19. | :29:20. | |
There is concern about the future of our National Executive Committee | :29:21. | :29:22. | |
going forward. Mr Farage called it the lowest grade of people I have | :29:23. | :29:25. | |
ever met, do you agree? I think he must have been having a bad day I | :29:26. | :29:28. | |
think we need to make it more accountable to the membership, more | :29:29. | :29:31. | |
open, more democratic. What would you do with the National Executive | :29:32. | :29:36. | |
Committee? I have been calling for the National Executive Committee to | :29:37. | :29:40. | |
be elected reasonably since 201 giving the members better | :29:41. | :29:43. | |
communication lines and make it far more transparent. Would you have a | :29:44. | :29:47. | |
clear out of the office? I wouldn't, I think the chairman of the party, | :29:48. | :29:51. | |
Paul Upton, the interim chairman, is doing a good job and the only person | :29:52. | :29:55. | |
who has come out of the summer with his reputation enhanced. Let me show | :29:56. | :29:58. | |
you a picture we have all seen of your current leader, Mr Farage, with | :29:59. | :30:05. | |
President-elect Donald Trump. Paul Nuttall, you criticise Mr Farage's | :30:06. | :30:09. | |
decision to appear at rallies during the American election and called Mr | :30:10. | :30:13. | |
Trump appalling. Do you stick by that? I wouldn't have voted for him. | :30:14. | :30:19. | |
I made it clear. Do you still think he's appalling now that he is | :30:20. | :30:22. | |
President-elect? Some of the things he said were appalling during the | :30:23. | :30:27. | |
campaign that he said. But he would be good for Britain, trade, | :30:28. | :30:30. | |
pro-Brexit and he is an Anglo file and the first thing he did was put | :30:31. | :30:33. | |
the bust of Winston Churchill back in the Oval Office. You, Suzanne | :30:34. | :30:39. | |
Evans, called Mr Trump one of the weakest candidates the US has had. I | :30:40. | :30:43. | |
said the same about Hillary Clinton. They cannot both be the weakest The | :30:44. | :30:47. | |
better candidate on either side would have beaten the other, that is | :30:48. | :30:51. | |
quite clear. Do you stand by that, or are you glad that your leader Mr | :30:52. | :30:56. | |
Farage has strong ties to him? I am, why wouldn't I be? For Ukip to have | :30:57. | :31:02. | |
that direct connection, it can be only good for a party. Were you not | :31:03. | :31:05. | |
out of step and Mr Farage is in step because it looks like your vote is | :31:06. | :31:08. | |
according to polling I have seemed like Mr Trump and his policies? Let | :31:09. | :31:14. | |
me finish. If I am the leader of Ukip I will not be involving myself | :31:15. | :31:18. | |
in foreign elections, I will because in trading here in this country | :31:19. | :31:21. | |
ensuring we get Ukip people elected to council chambers and get seats in | :31:22. | :31:23. | |
2020. The other thing your leader has in | :31:24. | :31:33. | |
common with Mr Trump is that he rather admires Vladimir Putin. Do | :31:34. | :31:39. | |
you? I don't. If you look at Putin's record, he has invaded Ukraine and | :31:40. | :31:46. | |
Georgia. I am absolutely not a fan. I think that Vladimir Putin is | :31:47. | :31:50. | |
pretty much a nasty man, but beyond that, I believe that in the Middle | :31:51. | :31:56. | |
East, he is generally getting it right in many areas. We need to | :31:57. | :32:02. | |
bring the conflict... Bombing civilians? We need to bring the | :32:03. | :32:06. | |
conflict to an end as fast as possible. The British and American | :32:07. | :32:10. | |
line before Donald Trump is to support rebels, including one is | :32:11. | :32:18. | |
affiliated to Al-Qaeda, to the Taliban. We need to clear these | :32:19. | :32:21. | |
people out and ensure that Syria becomes stable. This controversial | :32:22. | :32:29. | |
breaking point poster from during the referendum campaign. Mr Farage | :32:30. | :32:32. | |
unveiled it, there he is standing in front of it. You can bend it - do | :32:33. | :32:38. | |
you still? Yes, I think it was the wrong poster at the wrong time. I | :32:39. | :32:42. | |
was involved with the vote Leave campaign as well as Ukip's campaign, | :32:43. | :32:46. | |
and I felt strongly that those concerned about immigration were | :32:47. | :32:49. | |
already going to vote to leave because it was a fundamental truth | :32:50. | :32:53. | |
that unless we left the European Union we couldn't control | :32:54. | :32:55. | |
immigration. I thought it was about approaching those soft wavering | :32:56. | :33:04. | |
voters who weren't sure. I don't think I said it was racist, but it | :33:05. | :33:09. | |
was about sovereignty and trade and so forth. That was where we needed | :33:10. | :33:12. | |
to go. I was concerned it might put off some of those wavering voters. | :33:13. | :33:17. | |
People may well say, it was part of the winning campaign. It was Ukip | :33:18. | :33:23. | |
shock and all, which is what you stand for and what makes you | :33:24. | :33:30. | |
different. I said I would know how that I said I would not have gone | :33:31. | :33:33. | |
for that person and I thought it was wrong to do it just a week out from | :33:34. | :33:36. | |
the referendum. However, I believe it released legitimate concerns | :33:37. | :33:43. | |
with a deluge of people making their way from the Middle East and Africa | :33:44. | :33:51. | |
into the European continent. Where is the low hanging fruit for you, | :33:52. | :33:55. | |
particularly in England? Is it Labour or Conservative voters? I | :33:56. | :34:00. | |
want to hang onto the Conservative voters we have got but I think the | :34:01. | :34:05. | |
low hanging fruit is Labour. Jeremy Corbyn won't sing the national | :34:06. | :34:09. | |
anthem, Emily Thornbury despises the English flag. Diane Abbott thinks | :34:10. | :34:13. | |
anyone talking about immigration is racist. Not to mention John | :34:14. | :34:17. | |
McDonnell's feelings about the IRA. Labour has ceased to be a party for | :34:18. | :34:21. | |
working people and I think Ukip is absolutely going to be that party. | :34:22. | :34:26. | |
It is clear, I absolutely concur with everything Suzanne has said. I | :34:27. | :34:32. | |
first voiced this back in 2008 that I believe Ukip has a fantastic | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
opportunity in working-class communities, and everyone laughed at | :34:37. | :34:40. | |
me. It is clear now that we resonate with working people, and you have | :34:41. | :34:42. | |
seen that in the Brexit result. Would you bring back the death | :34:43. | :34:49. | |
penalty? It wouldn't be Ukip policy. Absolutely not. Would you give more | :34:50. | :34:53. | |
money to the NHS and how would your fanatic? You like it is important to | :34:54. | :34:57. | |
fund it adequately, and it hasn t been to date. We promised in our | :34:58. | :35:07. | |
manifesto that we would give more money. Where does the money come | :35:08. | :35:11. | |
from? It is about tackling health tourism. I think the NHS is being | :35:12. | :35:16. | |
taken for a ride at the moment. That may be right, but where does the | :35:17. | :35:22. | |
money come from? It is about scaling back management in the NHS, because | :35:23. | :35:25. | |
that has burgeoned beyond control. They are spending far more money on | :35:26. | :35:30. | |
management. Where would you save money? We need to look at HS two, | :35:31. | :35:35. | |
foreign aid. Now we have Brexit and we will be saving on the membership | :35:36. | :35:40. | |
fee. We need to cut back on management, as Suzanne says. It | :35:41. | :35:43. | |
cannot be right that 51% of people who work for the NHS in England are | :35:44. | :35:50. | |
not clinically qualified. The NHS needs money now - where would you | :35:51. | :35:57. | |
get it? From HS two. That is capital spending spread over a long period. | :35:58. | :36:02. | |
Where will you get the money now? OK, another one. We spent ?25 | :36:03. | :36:06. | |
million every day on foreign aid to countries who sometimes are richer | :36:07. | :36:11. | |
than ourselves. Through the Barnett formula. You would take money away | :36:12. | :36:16. | |
from Scotland? Yes, I think they get far too much. PG tips or Earl Grey? | :36:17. | :36:31. | |
Colegrave. PG tips. Strictly come dancing or X Factor? Neither. | :36:32. | :36:39. | |
Strictly. I would love to be on it one day. There you go. Thank you | :36:40. | :36:44. | |
It's just gone 11:35am, you're watching the Sunday Politics. | :36:45. | :36:48. | |
We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now | :36:49. | :36:51. | |
Hello, I'm Lucy Fisher. the Week Ahead. | :36:52. | :37:04. | |
Coming up on the Sunday Politics here in the | :37:05. | :37:06. | |
As Trump triumphs in Americ`, comparisons are made with | :37:07. | :37:11. | |
the vote in St Ives to take back control of their homes. | :37:12. | :37:15. | |
I think it is a bit of the same thing. | :37:16. | :37:18. | |
A general feeling that people are making rules for our | :37:19. | :37:20. | |
community, our people and pdople we know, people who live with us, | :37:21. | :37:23. | |
making rules that we have nothing to do with. | :37:24. | :37:26. | |
And for the next 20 minutes I am joined by the Conservative | :37:27. | :37:30. | |
leader of Teignbridge Distrhct Council, Jeremy Christophers | :37:31. | :37:33. | |
and the independent leader of Cornwall Council, John Pollard. | :37:34. | :37:35. | |
Welcome both of you to the programme. | :37:36. | :37:38. | |
Let's start with Dawlish and the region's main railw`y. | :37:39. | :37:40. | |
On Thursday, the Transport Secretary said his | :37:41. | :37:42. | |
number one priority in the south-west was making sure | :37:43. | :37:45. | |
the line at Dawlish can stand up to the | :37:46. | :37:47. | |
stormy seas and crumbling cliffs which surround it. | :37:48. | :37:52. | |
I would like to ask the house today that the | :37:53. | :37:55. | |
requirement for the next st`ge of the project of a further | :37:56. | :37:58. | |
?10 million so that we can continue to develop | :37:59. | :38:00. | |
the programme of dealing with this issue once and for all. | :38:01. | :38:03. | |
That funding will now be granted and the work | :38:04. | :38:05. | |
Network Rail has reacted to this by saying it it is good news, | :38:06. | :38:15. | |
but just a fraction of the 000s of millions | :38:16. | :38:18. | |
Why announce it at all then, this 10 million? | :38:19. | :38:23. | |
I don't know why he's announced it at this point in time. | :38:24. | :38:26. | |
The work should be happening, not just an announcement of the money. | :38:27. | :38:29. | |
I mean, the Dawlish line went down three years ago. | :38:30. | :38:31. | |
We were promised at the timd that it will be made | :38:32. | :38:34. | |
resilient and be made securd and I think that work | :38:35. | :38:37. | |
should be happening, so we welcome the 10 million, | :38:38. | :38:40. | |
What is the Government's thinking here? | :38:41. | :38:46. | |
Because it is clearly not enough to fix the problem, so why | :38:47. | :38:49. | |
It is to put the proper plan in place to take the | :38:50. | :38:54. | |
grading for the cliffs back so that there is not | :38:55. | :38:56. | |
debris falling from the | :38:57. | :38:58. | |
And to make sure that what happened three years ago does not happen | :38:59. | :39:03. | |
It is a massive issue nationally, but what are locally, | :39:04. | :39:07. | |
Dawlish is one of our towns and it washes out to Newton Abbot `nd | :39:08. | :39:13. | |
everything in that area for people who are travelling on rail locally. | :39:14. | :39:16. | |
OK, we will watch this with interest as it progresses. | :39:17. | :39:19. | |
As MPs debated what some called a crisis | :39:20. | :39:21. | |
Cornish nursing home is at the centre of an undercover | :39:22. | :39:26. | |
Last week, it was announced at the home would be | :39:27. | :39:35. | |
closing after secret filming which would be | :39:36. | :39:37. | |
broadcast on the BBC's Panorama programme tomorrow. | :39:38. | :39:39. | |
The authorities of course have a duty to | :39:40. | :39:44. | |
protect residents and questhons are being asked about the strength | :39:45. | :39:46. | |
of the care regulator amid claims the system is broken. | :39:47. | :39:49. | |
What exactly went on behind the windows of this St Austdll | :39:50. | :39:53. | |
care home is causing a lot of heartache and anger. | :39:54. | :39:57. | |
All I have heard is that they are the sort of | :39:58. | :40:01. | |
things that nobody would want their relatives to suffer. | :40:02. | :40:04. | |
It really is a scandal that things have been | :40:05. | :40:06. | |
I've been speaking to relatives of loved | :40:07. | :40:13. | |
Ones Here At Clinton House @nd Other Morley Group care homes | :40:14. | :40:15. | |
They are obviously very worried and have many | :40:16. | :40:20. | |
They want to know why that after a series of complaints | :40:21. | :40:23. | |
and bad reports, it took an undercover | :40:24. | :40:29. | |
and bad reports, it took an undercover expose to lead to the | :40:30. | :40:32. | |
drastic action that has happened here. | :40:33. | :40:33. | |
Clinton House is being closdd after | :40:34. | :40:35. | |
an investigation by Panoram` found evidence of cruelty and neglect | :40:36. | :40:37. | |
at this and one of the home run by the | :40:38. | :40:40. | |
The programme, which broadc`sts tomorrow, says staff have | :40:41. | :40:44. | |
been rushed off their feet, often leaving the privacy and dignity of | :40:45. | :40:47. | |
Sylvia is one of the residents are yet to be moved | :40:48. | :41:01. | |
This picture, taken by her daughter this week. | :41:02. | :41:04. | |
As Christine, her daughter, struggles to find a | :41:05. | :41:06. | |
new home for her mother, Christine tells me she first raised concerns | :41:07. | :41:09. | |
about Clinton House back in 201 and a closed for admissions, | :41:10. | :41:12. | |
Her concerns about standards and staff shortages | :41:13. | :41:16. | |
The authorities in Cornwall do have to | :41:17. | :41:19. | |
Because lots of the concerns that are being raised now have bden being | :41:20. | :41:25. | |
raised in the past three years by relatives, | :41:26. | :41:27. | |
friends and loyal carers and | :41:28. | :41:30. | |
nothing, seemingly, has been done to improve things here, or, | :41:31. | :41:32. | |
I suspect, in other Morley homes and I suspect | :41:33. | :41:34. | |
It is only six months since Clinton House | :41:35. | :41:42. | |
was last inspected by the Care Quality Commission. | :41:43. | :41:47. | |
Despite noting continuing concerns about staffing | :41:48. | :41:49. | |
and finding a home was not entirely safe, | :41:50. | :41:52. | |
Clinton House was rated as | :41:53. | :41:54. | |
requiring improvement and allowed to stay open. | :41:55. | :42:07. | |
That status - requires improvement - is shared by five of the | :42:08. | :42:10. | |
Three others have also been under investigation in recent weeks. | :42:11. | :42:14. | |
Back in 2013, there were urgent inspections here at Saint Tdresa's, | :42:15. | :42:17. | |
again, amid claims of inadepuate staffing and bad care. | :42:18. | :42:19. | |
We have worked for six years reports in this | :42:20. | :42:21. | |
group of care homes, but nothing is actually changing with the | :42:22. | :42:23. | |
They are not taken the concdrns of people seriously, and | :42:24. | :42:28. | |
then the families come to us, we report things | :42:29. | :42:32. | |
It shouldn't take the presstre of Your Voice Matters to make the CQC | :42:33. | :42:36. | |
act on concerns and I don't see that culture changing. | :42:37. | :42:39. | |
CQC figures reveal a third of care homes in England are | :42:40. | :42:42. | |
rated as requiring improvemdnt and Cornwall Council has sahd | :42:43. | :42:44. | |
because so many homes have this data is, the | :42:45. | :42:51. | |
rating in itself is not a bhg cause for concern and insist they | :42:52. | :42:54. | |
took immediate action on Clhnton House when Panorama's safegtarding | :42:55. | :42:56. | |
This week, MPs debated what Labour says is a | :42:57. | :42:59. | |
Not investing in social card costs lives and dignity. | :43:00. | :43:10. | |
How much more time does the Government need to see that not | :43:11. | :43:12. | |
addressing our current fundhng crisis in social care is severely | :43:13. | :43:15. | |
affecting lives and crippling one of our public services? | :43:16. | :43:17. | |
Respectfully I call on the Government to wake up | :43:18. | :43:20. | |
It is not just about rooting out poor care. | :43:21. | :43:27. | |
The Government denies it is just a funding problem with Health | :43:28. | :43:32. | |
Secretary Jeremy Hunt saying the coalition introduced | :43:33. | :43:35. | |
the toughest system of care home inspection in | :43:36. | :43:37. | |
Well, in a statement, the c`re home owners the Morley Group | :43:38. | :43:41. | |
told us their own investigations had resulted in removal of staff and a | :43:42. | :43:44. | |
Joining us to discuss this is the CQC's deputy chief inspector | :43:45. | :43:50. | |
for adult social care, Debbie Ivanova. | :43:51. | :43:51. | |
Before the Panorama expos , you gave Clinton House | :43:52. | :43:57. | |
In fact, a third of all card homes in England have that | :43:58. | :44:04. | |
There will be families watching this programme up and down | :44:05. | :44:08. | |
the region thinking to themselves, my relatives safe inside thdir care | :44:09. | :44:10. | |
Why should they have faith in your inspections? | :44:11. | :44:18. | |
Well, we've introduced a colpletely new type of | :44:19. | :44:21. | |
inspection over the past cotple of years and these are very thorough | :44:22. | :44:24. | |
and look in detail at the quality of care. | :44:25. | :44:27. | |
comes from people and every piece of that | :44:28. | :44:31. | |
others helps us to shape those inspections and really find out what | :44:32. | :44:36. | |
it is like for people living in those homes. | :44:37. | :44:44. | |
So why was the care home thdn given the status | :44:45. | :44:48. | |
requires improvement and not the lowest status, inadequate? | :44:49. | :44:51. | |
Because the findings we had at that time did | :44:52. | :44:57. | |
not lead to that rating of inadequate. | :44:58. | :44:59. | |
We felt that the provider h`d the ability to change | :45:00. | :45:01. | |
It is a much-needed resource in Cornwall and | :45:02. | :45:05. | |
It is important that the provider, who was | :45:06. | :45:08. | |
the absolute responsibility for that care, does improve it. | :45:09. | :45:10. | |
What is your current assessment of the Morley | :45:11. | :45:12. | |
Well, we have been at all four of the | :45:13. | :45:17. | |
Two of them we had already started to inspect before the | :45:18. | :45:21. | |
Panorama programme gave us the information. | :45:22. | :45:24. | |
And we had found the standard had deteriorated | :45:25. | :45:27. | |
significantly, so we are very concerned that the provider has | :45:28. | :45:30. | |
failed to make the changes that were absolutely needed and the | :45:31. | :45:36. | |
responsibility for that is firmly with them, so we will now bd looking | :45:37. | :45:41. | |
at taking our strongest and most forceful action at all of their | :45:42. | :45:44. | |
We've been speaking to relatives who say | :45:45. | :45:47. | |
they've been telling you this | :45:48. | :45:49. | |
It does seem it has taken a Panorama undercover | :45:50. | :45:52. | |
investigation in order to take action here. | :45:53. | :45:56. | |
While people are in these c`re homes in a dangerous | :45:57. | :45:58. | |
No, we have taken action all the way through. | :45:59. | :46:02. | |
We have taken enforcement action in the form | :46:03. | :46:04. | |
of warning notices and thosd have been in the public domain. | :46:05. | :46:07. | |
But now you have closed the care home since | :46:08. | :46:09. | |
Since then, you have moved from handing | :46:10. | :46:15. | |
over notices to close in the care home. | :46:16. | :46:17. | |
We actually have not closed the care home. | :46:18. | :46:26. | |
The care home has been closdd by the provider and | :46:27. | :46:28. | |
the local authority removing people from it. | :46:29. | :46:30. | |
However, what we have to | :46:31. | :46:32. | |
always think about is the b`lance between people's lives and their | :46:33. | :46:35. | |
home and the service they are being provided. | :46:36. | :46:38. | |
It's the provider who was | :46:39. | :46:40. | |
given every opportunity to hmprove this home and it is so disappointing | :46:41. | :46:45. | |
to see that when we've gone out this time, | :46:46. | :46:48. | |
standards have deteriorated so | :46:49. | :46:49. | |
OK, Debbie, I'm going to brhng in John Pollard here. | :46:50. | :46:57. | |
What is your reaction to thhs news that the other Morley | :46:58. | :47:02. | |
Group care homes have now bden downgraded to the status in`dequate? | :47:03. | :47:04. | |
Well, that's the first I've heard of it, so we need to take action and | :47:05. | :47:08. | |
It is them I am concerned about, making sure they | :47:09. | :47:15. | |
are living safely in a home which fulfils their needs. | :47:16. | :47:17. | |
In fact, it was the council who did make sure the | :47:18. | :47:20. | |
Absolutely, and we did that as soon as it was deemed inadequate. | :47:21. | :47:25. | |
We took action and met with our colleagues | :47:26. | :47:27. | |
in the NHS to make sure we gave alternative provision. | :47:28. | :47:30. | |
I must say, a council officer at Cornwall Council | :47:31. | :47:32. | |
told us that because so manx care homes in England have the status | :47:33. | :47:36. | |
requiring improvement, it actually is a cause for concern. | :47:37. | :47:49. | |
Well, I think because for concern is probably not the right tdrm. | :47:50. | :47:55. | |
Debbie has explained by lots of homes have | :47:56. | :47:56. | |
required improvement and if we get that statement about homes where we | :47:57. | :47:59. | |
have got residents, then we take action | :48:00. | :48:01. | |
to support the providers and | :48:02. | :48:02. | |
It was when they failed to do that in | :48:03. | :48:07. | |
Clinton House that we took `ction to remove residents. | :48:08. | :48:10. | |
Jeremy, you actually run a | :48:11. | :48:11. | |
Is it right that so many care homes are required | :48:12. | :48:16. | |
I've never been in that sittation, but I think that if my | :48:17. | :48:20. | |
home was requiring improvemdnt and in this home we have said that back | :48:21. | :48:23. | |
in 2013, he did require it, you put measures | :48:24. | :48:26. | |
in place to make sure that | :48:27. | :48:27. | |
improvement took place as quickly as possible. | :48:28. | :48:29. | |
We are hearing from residents going back years and years that they have | :48:30. | :48:33. | |
How long do you give a care home to make those | :48:34. | :48:37. | |
There are five separate measures that you measured | :48:38. | :48:40. | |
against and for me, it is the leadership of this group | :48:41. | :48:43. | |
that seems to be in question and one of them is | :48:44. | :48:46. | |
So if you are scoring requires improvement in | :48:47. | :48:50. | |
any one of those measures, then I think six months is lore than | :48:51. | :48:53. | |
adequate by any measure to make those improvements. | :48:54. | :48:57. | |
If those improvements have been made in this | :48:58. | :48:59. | |
case 3-4 years ago, you wouldn't have those residents | :49:00. | :49:02. | |
needing to be rehoused by the Council, those relatives have a | :49:03. | :49:06. | |
really arduous job, as you can see, to rehouse their loved ones. | :49:07. | :49:12. | |
It is a tricky situation that we are now in, | :49:13. | :49:14. | |
but it could have been dealt with earlier. | :49:15. | :49:16. | |
It could have been dealt with earlier. | :49:17. | :49:19. | |
This should really only be a six-month improvement process and | :49:20. | :49:22. | |
Well, when we rate a home as requiring | :49:23. | :49:28. | |
improvement, we will go back within a year to see if thex have | :49:29. | :49:31. | |
In fact, we have been back to these homes over the | :49:32. | :49:36. | |
past two years, which is under our new measurements, 22 times `t these | :49:37. | :49:39. | |
How many times do you go back before some kind of | :49:40. | :49:44. | |
change happens without a Panorama expose? | :49:45. | :49:51. | |
Not good enough changes if they ve all been downgraded to | :49:52. | :49:54. | |
inadequate and residents finding alternative accommodation. | :49:55. | :49:56. | |
Absolutely, those changes wdre not embedded and they were not good | :49:57. | :49:58. | |
enough, I absolutely agree with you there. | :49:59. | :50:02. | |
Would you say there needs to | :50:03. | :50:03. | |
be a change in the safeguarding system? | :50:04. | :50:05. | |
That perhaps the CQC needs more teeth? | :50:06. | :50:07. | |
You need to be able to | :50:08. | :50:08. | |
We do have stronger enforcement powers and use | :50:09. | :50:14. | |
At this moment in time in the country there are over ` hundred | :50:15. | :50:24. | |
homes were in the process of cancelling the registrathon on. | :50:25. | :50:27. | |
We do use that urgent action where we | :50:28. | :50:29. | |
find that people are not safe and we can't allow them to stay | :50:30. | :50:31. | |
However, in this instance, the Morley Group were | :50:32. | :50:37. | |
making some improvements, not enough, and we would go back in and | :50:38. | :50:40. | |
check that and it would follow through. | :50:41. | :50:41. | |
Now, what has St Ives got in common with the United States? | :50:42. | :50:49. | |
Well, this week, the former chair of the | :50:50. | :50:51. | |
National Trust, Sir Simon Jdnkin, made a link between the recdnt vote | :50:52. | :50:57. | |
to ban new second homes in St Ives and the election of Donald Trump. | :50:58. | :51:00. | |
Weather or not it is a revolution, the action | :51:01. | :51:02. | |
taken in West Cornwall is | :51:03. | :51:03. | |
With a top price of nearly ?5,0 0 a week, this holiday home | :51:04. | :51:14. | |
is a beacon of inequality on the Cornish coast. | :51:15. | :51:17. | |
Completed this year on a plot of land bought | :51:18. | :51:19. | |
for half a million, it | :51:20. | :51:21. | |
The people here say they cannot take any more. | :51:22. | :51:30. | |
The infrastructure at the | :51:31. | :51:31. | |
Well, there's going to be one, isn't there? | :51:32. | :51:37. | |
On whether to ban second home owning. | :51:38. | :51:39. | |
I will probably say I don't want second home owners | :51:40. | :51:45. | |
In South East Cornwall, thex are planning to do what has been | :51:46. | :51:50. | |
done in St Ives, where more than 80% of people voted for a ban on but | :51:51. | :51:58. | |
new second homes and wear when the High Court backed them last | :51:59. | :52:01. | |
week, they used a phrase we have heard a | :52:02. | :52:03. | |
It is a great today I think for St Ives and for any | :52:04. | :52:08. | |
community who wishes to take back control. | :52:09. | :52:09. | |
Take back control of this | :52:10. | :52:11. | |
And we will make America great again! | :52:12. | :52:15. | |
If we vote to Leave, we take back | :52:16. | :52:16. | |
And yes, we will make America great again. | :52:17. | :52:23. | |
In London's Evening Standard this week, the | :52:24. | :52:27. | |
former chair of the National Trust made a link between what has been | :52:28. | :52:30. | |
happening here in the south,west and what's been happening across the | :52:31. | :52:33. | |
I think it is a bit of the same thing. | :52:34. | :52:38. | |
A general feeling that people are making rules for our | :52:39. | :52:40. | |
community, our people, people we know, people | :52:41. | :52:44. | |
who live with others, making rules that we had nothing to | :52:45. | :52:47. | |
People are saying, look, you said in the of St Ives, we | :52:48. | :52:52. | |
have a localist agenda in Britain now. | :52:53. | :52:54. | |
He meant we would have decisions to make over these things. | :52:55. | :53:01. | |
Back in the South East Cornwall Dorothy is part of a | :53:02. | :53:11. | |
group of volunteers who saved their shop | :53:12. | :53:12. | |
from closure and part, she | :53:13. | :53:14. | |
says, of a community that has been left behind. | :53:15. | :53:16. | |
now in Truro, they don't know this area and they made decisions | :53:17. | :53:22. | |
Born in Germany, Dorothy knows what it is | :53:23. | :53:28. | |
like to be an outsider, but she still supports a ban | :53:29. | :53:31. | |
What message does a second homes ban send to the wider | :53:32. | :53:36. | |
It is a message of hostilitx, I know that, yes. | :53:37. | :53:42. | |
I am not against outsiders, I just think there needs | :53:43. | :53:48. | |
to be a happy medium as to how many so-called | :53:49. | :53:52. | |
outsiders we have got and | :53:53. | :53:54. | |
The Conservative MP for this part of the | :53:55. | :53:58. | |
world says she supports a b`n but the Government does not much like | :53:59. | :54:02. | |
It says trying to control property ownership will | :54:03. | :54:05. | |
require intrusive state surveillance and interfere with people's | :54:06. | :54:07. | |
So the world is taking back control as signified by the boat in St Ives | :54:08. | :54:19. | |
and this is according to Silon Jenkins, writing in the Evening | :54:20. | :54:22. | |
I think everybody wants to live in the West Country. | :54:23. | :54:29. | |
Unfortunately, a lot of people leave it until late in life, so they mop | :54:30. | :54:32. | |
My view is that everybody in their mid-20s in full-time employlent | :54:33. | :54:37. | |
should have the opportunity to live in the town or village they grew up | :54:38. | :54:40. | |
We are a leader in custom and self build housing in mx | :54:41. | :54:45. | |
constituency and that is how we are planning to get away out of this. | :54:46. | :54:48. | |
We are building the required number of | :54:49. | :54:50. | |
for local people and 90% of the housing that has been built | :54:51. | :54:53. | |
has gone to local people, so I think we are | :54:54. | :54:57. | |
in quite a good position, but that doesn't stop the h`rd work. | :54:58. | :55:11. | |
This policy in St Ives could mean that | :55:12. | :55:13. | |
builders just go elsewhere within Cornwall? | :55:14. | :55:16. | |
They may go to the beautiful spots where they can see | :55:17. | :55:18. | |
Should you have brought this policy in across the whole of | :55:19. | :55:22. | |
I think the point about St Hves is the level of second home | :55:23. | :55:27. | |
ownership is extremely high and the people there are saxing | :55:28. | :55:29. | |
quite rightly, I think, that they want to | :55:30. | :55:31. | |
So if you want to be points of the St Ives | :55:32. | :55:36. | |
community and go and live there I would caution anybody abott | :55:37. | :55:39. | |
comparing anything to Donald Trump, to be honest, and I do think that | :55:40. | :55:42. | |
this is very much about loc`lism and local decision-making, and H just | :55:43. | :55:45. | |
want to reassure people it is nothing to do with rejecting | :55:46. | :55:48. | |
We welcome at the second home owners. | :55:49. | :55:54. | |
Because there is that side of it, isn't | :55:55. | :55:56. | |
It could be viewed as trying to keep outsiders out? | :55:57. | :56:00. | |
Yes, and it shouldn't be, because there is | :56:01. | :56:01. | |
If you talk to people in St Ives who are behind the | :56:02. | :56:06. | |
referendum and the neighbourhood plan, that certainly was not the | :56:07. | :56:08. | |
It is localism, protecting their local community... | :56:09. | :56:13. | |
Well, that, too, and it is very much part of the agenda | :56:14. | :56:18. | |
Our double devolution in that we are trying to give more | :56:19. | :56:26. | |
power and responsibility and freedoms to the locality and that is | :56:27. | :56:29. | |
very much in tune with what we are trying to achieve at Cornwall | :56:30. | :56:32. | |
Jeremy, the Government's quite concerned about | :56:33. | :56:35. | |
It believes we are interferhng with free markets, it is not good | :56:36. | :56:39. | |
Well, the Government's planning policy recently has been | :56:40. | :56:44. | |
inconsistent and I think as local councils where we know we h`ve | :56:45. | :56:47. | |
genuine housing need, it has been very difficult to plot | :56:48. | :56:49. | |
a way through to provide thd housing we need for | :56:50. | :56:51. | |
Recently, the starter homes policy has mopped up | :56:52. | :56:55. | |
pretty well all the affordable housing due to be built. | :56:56. | :56:57. | |
But if you took this to its logical conclusion, | :56:58. | :56:59. | |
if you brought this in everxwhere, you would have borrowers in London | :57:00. | :57:02. | |
where apartment blocks can be sold to foreign investors, it cotld | :57:03. | :57:05. | |
affect the whole economy, couldn't it? | :57:06. | :57:08. | |
But the piece you are referring to refers to people just buxing | :57:09. | :57:11. | |
property in London and leaving it empty, | :57:12. | :57:13. | |
which is an investment, that | :57:14. | :57:14. | |
And first and foremost, houses are homes, they are | :57:15. | :57:18. | |
for people to live in, not stand empty. | :57:19. | :57:20. | |
And the point of St Ives is it is trying | :57:21. | :57:24. | |
to give local people a fair opportunity | :57:25. | :57:26. | |
to get into a house in | :57:27. | :57:28. | |
Now time for our regular round-up of the political | :57:29. | :57:36. | |
Plans for a new constituencx crossing the Devon and Cornwall | :57:37. | :57:47. | |
border are defended by the South East Cornwall LP. | :57:48. | :57:53. | |
It is also on a matter of f`irness and fair | :57:54. | :57:56. | |
representation for all of our constituents. | :57:57. | :58:01. | |
The 58-year-old South Dorset MP says prison officers | :58:02. | :58:04. | |
should not be asked to work until they are 68. | :58:05. | :58:15. | |
I mean I'm in a reasonably good condition, but in a decade from | :58:16. | :58:18. | |
now, I am not so sure I would be able to drag someone out of a prison | :58:19. | :58:23. | |
Councils count the cost of ` spate of parking meter thefts. | :58:24. | :58:26. | |
?5,000 worth of damage with a very, very small returns for the thief's | :58:27. | :58:29. | |
North Cornwall's MP reveals he is learning to swim and says he | :58:30. | :58:33. | |
wants other non-swimmers to do the same. | :58:34. | :58:36. | |
And a new campaign for the | :58:37. | :58:38. | |
region's wine to be sold at Westminster. | :58:39. | :58:40. | |
John, while you are here, wd must ask you about the constituency | :58:41. | :58:51. | |
spanning parts of Cornwall and Devon. | :58:52. | :58:53. | |
The South East Cornwall MP says she is. | :58:54. | :58:57. | |
For many reasons, not least the 43 miles it would extend to. | :58:58. | :59:04. | |
We are firm in our belief at Cornwall | :59:05. | :59:06. | |
Council that we need to protect the integrity of Cornwall. | :59:07. | :59:10. | |
We have one NHS service, one council and | :59:11. | :59:14. | |
therefore, we want to retain that and the bill but she was spdaking | :59:15. | :59:18. | |
against merely wanted to ch`nge the percentage where constituencies | :59:19. | :59:20. | |
Jeremy, very quickly, but with something more | :59:21. | :59:29. | |
light-hearted, should we sell English wine at council meetings? | :59:30. | :59:32. | |
I've no experience of wine at council | :59:33. | :59:37. | |
meetings, that's a thing of the past, really. | :59:38. | :59:39. | |
It may happen in the big hotse, but it doesn't happen | :59:40. | :59:42. | |
That is the Sunday Politics here in the | :59:43. | :59:47. | |
south-west, thanks to my guests, Jeremy and John. | :59:48. | :59:49. | |
never happened and will not happen in four years. It is subject we | :59:50. | :59:57. | |
should spend more time on. Back to you. | :59:58. | :00:06. | |
What will the Chancellor have to say in his first big economic statement? | :00:07. | :00:10. | |
What impact will the forecasters say Brexit will have on the economy | :00:11. | :00:13. | |
And who will face the Front National's Marine Le Pen in | :00:14. | :00:16. | |
Well, the Shadow Chancellor and the Chancellor have both been | :00:17. | :00:31. | |
touring the television studios this morning. | :00:32. | :00:32. | |
Let's be clear, a lot of this is going to be gimmicks and press | :00:33. | :00:39. | |
As I've said, in the pipeline, we've only | :00:40. | :00:42. | |
seen one in five delivered to construction, that's all. | :00:43. | :00:45. | |
So a lot of this will be a repeat of what | :00:46. | :00:48. | |
I'm not going to reveal what I'm going to say on | :00:49. | :00:51. | |
We don't have unlimited capacity, as one might | :00:52. | :00:56. | |
imagine from listening to John McDonnell, to borrow | :00:57. | :00:59. | |
hundreds of billions of pounds more for discretionary spending. | :01:00. | :01:04. | |
That simply doesn't exist if we're going to | :01:05. | :01:08. | |
retain this country's hard-won credibility in the financial markets | :01:09. | :01:10. | |
if we are going to remain an attractive place for business to | :01:11. | :01:14. | |
We didn't learn very much, Helen, but the papers were briefed this | :01:15. | :01:28. | |
morning that there will be another ?1.3 billion for roads and things | :01:29. | :01:35. | |
like that. ?1.3 billion is 0.08 of our GDP. Not exactly an | :01:36. | :01:42. | |
infrastructure investment programme, is it? Yellow like I have to say, it | :01:43. | :01:45. | |
was not thrilling to read the details. -- I have to say... It is | :01:46. | :01:54. | |
the first big financial statement that is going to come and I think | :01:55. | :01:58. | |
there will be a big row about the OBE are forecast because they cannot | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
set out a range, they have to commit to one forecast. Everything they do | :02:04. | :02:07. | |
is incredibly political. DOB are is on a hiding to nothing. -- DOB are | :02:08. | :02:16. | |
-- the Office for Budget Responsibility. I don't know how | :02:17. | :02:24. | |
they will square the circle. It is an interesting week. It is all about | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
the economy and public finances and we don't have to talk about Brexit | :02:29. | :02:33. | |
until next Sunday, but no, I have a terrible feeling that by the end of | :02:34. | :02:43. | |
Wednesday afternoon we will be screaming and shouting about how | :02:44. | :02:46. | |
Brexit is going to be for the economy. Just imagine the Treasury | :02:47. | :02:49. | |
comes out with his forecast that it is going to collapse growth and | :02:50. | :02:54. | |
collapsed Treasury takings, people will be apoplectic. Until now, the | :02:55. | :03:01. | |
economy has continued to grow strongly. Pretty well. They cannot | :03:02. | :03:07. | |
say, we have noticed it slowing down and that will continue. They have to | :03:08. | :03:11. | |
take a punt if they think it will slow down. It affects the | :03:12. | :03:15. | |
Chancellor's figures, because the more they say it is slowing down, | :03:16. | :03:19. | |
and I have seen that it will go from 2% down to 1.4%, the more the | :03:20. | :03:25. | |
Chancellor's deficit rises even without any more tax cuts and | :03:26. | :03:29. | |
spending. Absolutely. I think Tom is right. What we will see this week is | :03:30. | :03:34. | |
a continuation of the debate we have been having all along. If the Office | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
for Budget Responsibility has negative and gloomy predictions | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
there will be howls of agony, and rightly howls of frustration from | :03:43. | :03:50. | |
Brexiteers who will say that all the dire predictions from before the | :03:51. | :03:53. | |
referendum have not come to pass and now you are talking things down in a | :03:54. | :03:57. | |
way that becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. The money for roads, you | :03:58. | :04:04. | |
were dismissive about it, but every little helps. I don't dismiss it, I | :04:05. | :04:11. | |
say it doesn't amount to a fiscal stimulus in macro economic terms. | :04:12. | :04:16. | |
I'm sure if you are on that road, it will be useful. They are going to | :04:17. | :04:24. | |
build a super highway between Oxford and Cambridge. I would like to see | :04:25. | :04:34. | |
them go out to Japan and learn how to fill a hole in two days. I would | :04:35. | :04:39. | |
suggest the road from Oxford to Cambridge is not for the just | :04:40. | :04:42. | |
managing classes, even though it goes through Milton Keynes, and that | :04:43. | :04:51. | |
simply freezing due freezing fuel duty isn't going to hack it, either. | :04:52. | :04:58. | |
These just about managing people are potentially quite a big band. With | :04:59. | :05:01. | |
income tax rises, it means anything you do to help them is incredibly | :05:02. | :05:06. | |
expensive. The universal credit freeze is an interesting example of | :05:07. | :05:09. | |
that. Philip Hammond sounded ambivalent about it after | :05:10. | :05:16. | |
pre-briefings that it might not the cuts might not go ahead. There are | :05:17. | :05:22. | |
people who are in work but because they are low paid don't have the | :05:23. | :05:28. | |
number of hours, they require welfare benefits to top up their | :05:29. | :05:32. | |
pay, and these welfare benefits as it stands, are frozen until 202 , | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
and yet inflation is now starting to rise. That's a problem for the just | :05:38. | :05:42. | |
managing people. Correct. It is worse than that, because we are | :05:43. | :05:51. | |
talking about April 2017 when tax credits become universal credits, so | :05:52. | :05:58. | |
the squeeze will be greater. We will get a small highway between a couple | :05:59. | :06:01. | |
of university towns, but if he has any money left to spend at all, it | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
will be on some pretty seismic jazzman for the just about managing | :06:06. | :06:12. | |
people. I am so glad we're not calling them Jams on this programme, | :06:13. | :06:21. | |
because it is a patronising tone. What the Chancellor and Shadow | :06:22. | :06:28. | |
Chancellor did not confront is that Mr Trump's election is a watershed | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
in terms of being able to borrow cheaply. The Federal Reserve is | :06:34. | :06:36. | |
about to start raising rates. The days of cheap borrowing for | :06:37. | :06:41. | |
governments could be coming to an end. You can feel a bit sorry for | :06:42. | :06:44. | |
labour here because after having had six years of being told that we need | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
a surplus and these things are important, we can't deny the | :06:50. | :06:53. | |
deficit, we have switched now and the first thing that Philip Hammond | :06:54. | :06:59. | |
did was to scrap George Osborne s borrowing targets. He has given | :07:00. | :07:02. | |
himself more wriggle room than George Osborne had. He has and it | :07:03. | :07:08. | |
will cost them more. Debt servicing will now rise as a cost. Where is | :07:09. | :07:13. | |
the next political earthquake going to happen? | :07:14. | :07:20. | |
It could be Italy, or the French elections coming up next spring | :07:21. | :07:26. | |
Now, who will face the Front National's Marine Le Pen in next | :07:27. | :07:29. | |
year's French Presidential elections? | :07:30. | :07:30. | |
Well, France's centre-right part, Les Republicans, | :07:31. | :07:32. | |
are selecting their candidate in the first round of | :07:33. | :07:34. | |
Well, France's centre-right part, Les Republicans, | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
are selecting their candidate in the first round of | :07:38. | :07:40. | |
Let's speak to our correspondent in Paris, Hugh Schofield. | :07:41. | :07:44. | |
Welcome to the programme. Three main candidates, the former -- two former | :07:45. | :07:57. | |
prime ministers and Nicolas Sarkozy, the former president. It is not | :07:58. | :08:01. | |
clear who the front runner is. Robbins it is quite an exciting | :08:02. | :08:05. | |
race, because four weeks it did look as if it was going to be Juppe. It | :08:06. | :08:20. | |
is a two round race. Two go through and the idea is that they rally all | :08:21. | :08:23. | |
the support together. It looked like the first round would be dominated | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
by Juppe and Nicolas Sarkozy, and there was a clear binary combination | :08:29. | :08:34. | |
there, because Sarkozy was looking for squeamish far right voters. In | :08:35. | :08:39. | |
other words, veering clearly to the right and far right on immigration | :08:40. | :08:44. | |
and identity issues. And Juppe is the opposite, saying we had to | :08:45. | :08:48. | |
appeal to the centre. That was what it looked like. But the third | :08:49. | :08:55. | |
candidate has made this really quite staggering surge in the last few | :08:56. | :08:58. | |
days. There was a debate on Thursday and he was deemed to have won it on | :08:59. | :09:03. | |
television. He is coming up strongly, and I wouldn't be at all | :09:04. | :09:08. | |
surprised to see him go through which would be interesting from a | :09:09. | :09:13. | |
British perspective, because if the becomes president, he will be the | :09:14. | :09:17. | |
first president with a British wife. His wife Penelope is Welsh. | :09:18. | :09:25. | |
We will have to leave it there. I would suggest that the reason it is | :09:26. | :09:28. | |
fascinating is that whoever wins this primary for the centre-right | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
party is likely to be the next president, and who the next | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
president is will be very important for Britain in these Brexit | :09:38. | :09:39. | |
negotiations. Nothing will really happen until it is determined. Then | :09:40. | :09:43. | |
after the German elections in October. I would add one more | :09:44. | :09:49. | |
constituent part. The most important thing about the race is who can stop | :09:50. | :09:58. | |
Marine Le Pen. Marine Le Pen will almost be one of the ones in the | :09:59. | :10:06. | |
run-off. The Socialists don't expect much. Francois Hollande is done | :10:07. | :10:11. | |
There is too much of a cliff to climb. Which one of these three | :10:12. | :10:16. | |
centre-right candidates can stop Marine Le Pen? We have had Brexit | :10:17. | :10:21. | |
and Trump, but we could also have Marine Le Pen. If it is Sarkozy it | :10:22. | :10:30. | |
is the battle of the right. In some areas, he has moved to the right of | :10:31. | :10:37. | |
marine Le Pen. I suppose he feels he has do in order to take the wind out | :10:38. | :10:41. | |
of our sails. You wonder if she could succeed later on if she does | :10:42. | :10:44. | |
not this time. Talking to French analysts last night, there was | :10:45. | :10:48. | |
suggesting that she could not do it this time but could win the next | :10:49. | :10:52. | |
time. All the events in France over the last year seemed to provide the | :10:53. | :10:55. | |
most propitious circumstances for her to do well, and particularly if | :10:56. | :11:03. | |
you throw in Trump and Brexit. Suppose it is Mr Sarkozy, and he | :11:04. | :11:07. | |
goes through and wins the Republican nomination, and he and Marine Le Pen | :11:08. | :11:10. | |
go through to the second round, that would mean, think about it, is that | :11:11. | :11:18. | |
a lot of French socialist voters and those on the father left would have | :11:19. | :11:25. | |
to grit their teeth and vote for Nicolas Sarkozy. They might not do | :11:26. | :11:31. | |
it. We might see what we saw in America, where lots of potential | :11:32. | :11:42. | |
Clinton voters did not turn out You got politicians like Melanchon on | :11:43. | :11:46. | |
the far left saying there are foreign workers taking bread out of | :11:47. | :11:51. | |
French workers' mounts. We sometimes forget, because we tend to emphasise | :11:52. | :11:55. | |
the National of the National front, but actually, there are economic | :11:56. | :12:10. | |
policy is quite Bennite. Sarkozy is the Hillary Clinton of the French | :12:11. | :12:19. | |
elections. He is Mr establishment. Juppe and the other third candidate | :12:20. | :12:26. | |
are the same. You have to re-establish candidates running | :12:27. | :12:29. | |
against an antiestablishment candidate. There are populist | :12:30. | :12:32. | |
economic policies from the National front. The other three want to raise | :12:33. | :12:37. | |
the retirement age and cut back on the 35 hour week, which are not | :12:38. | :12:46. | |
classic electoral appeals. Mr Juppe used to be the Mayor of Bordeaux. | :12:47. | :12:49. | |
And we are the biggest importers of claret, so that could have an | :12:50. | :12:55. | |
effect. In 2002, it was Jack Shear against John Marine Le Pen, and the | :12:56. | :13:01. | |
socialist campaign slogan was, vote for the Crook, not the fascist. We | :13:02. | :13:08. | |
will see what they come up with this time. | :13:09. | :13:11. | |
The Daily Politics is back at noon tomorrow on BBC Two, | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
where on Wednesday I will have full coverage of the Chancellor's Autumn | :13:16. | :13:21. | |
But remember, if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics. | :13:22. | :13:30. |