20/11/2016 Sunday Politics South West


20/11/2016

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LineFromTo

Morning folks - welcome to the Sunday Politics.

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Theresa May says she'll deliver on Brexit but does that mean leaving

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the EU's Single Market and the Customs Union?

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Tory MPs campaign for a commitment from the Prime

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The Chancellor pledges just over a billion pounds worth of spending

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on Britain's roads but is that it or will there be

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Their last leader was just 18 days in the job.

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In the South West: A crisis in social care.

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Is the system failing to safeguard residents?

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Richmond Park based on the skies? Or is it about a bigger conflict in

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Europe? And with me - as always -

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and, no, these three aren't doing the Mannequin challenge -

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it's our dynamic, demonstrative dazzling political panel -

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Helen Lewis, Isabel Oakeshott and Tom Newton Dunn they'll also be

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tweeting throughout the programme. First this morning -

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Theresa May has said "Brexit means Brexit" -

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but can the Prime Minister - who was on the Remain side

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of argument during the referendum Well, Leave-supporting Tory

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MPs are re-launching the "European Research Group" this

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morning to keep Mrs May's feet Are you worried that you cannot

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trust Theresa May until payment to deliver full Brexit was Magellan

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like I totally trust Theresa May, 100% behind her. She has displayed a

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massive amount of commitment to making a success of Brexit for the

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country. We don't know that yet, because

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nothing has happened. Why, then have you formed a pressure group? We

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were fed up with the negativity coming out around Brexit. I feel

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positive about the opportunities we face, and we are a group to provide

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suggestions. Who do you have in mind when you talk about negativity the

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Chancellor? No, from the Lib Dems, for example, from Labour MPs. This

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is a pressure group for leaving membership of the single market and

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customs union, correct? That is what we are proposing. It has a purpose

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other than just to combat negativity. When it comes to

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membership of the single market and the customs union, can you tell us

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what Government policy is towards both or either? Rightly, the

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Government hasn't made the position clear, and I think that is the right

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approach, because we don't want to review our negotiating hand. What

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we're saying... I'm not asking what you are saying. Can you tell us what

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Government policy is towards membership of these institutions?

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The Government wants to make sure British businesses have the right to

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trade with EU partners, to forge new trade deals with the rest of the

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world. We hope to Reza may speak at Mansion house this week. -- we had

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Theresa May speak at Mansion house this week. She has been clear,

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saying it was not a binary choice. And she's right. Let's run that

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tape, because I want to pick up on what she did say. This is what she

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had to say about the customs union at Prime Minister's Question Time.

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On the whole question of the customs union, trading relationships that we

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have with the European Union and other parts of the world once we

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have left the European Union, we are preparing carefully for the formal

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negotiations. We are preparing carefully for the formal

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negotiations. We want to ensure we have the best possible trading deal

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with the EU once we have left. Do you know what she means when she

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says being in the customs union is not a binary choice? I think she's

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right when she says that. At the moment, and you know this, as long

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as we are in the customs union, we cannot set our own tariffs or rules,

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cannot have a free trade agreement with the US or China. We need to

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leave a customs union to do that. Binary means either you are in or

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you are out, self which is it? We still want to trade with the EU and

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I think we can have a free trade agreement with the EU. That is a

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separate matter, and it has to do with the single market. What about

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the customs union? We need to leave the customs union. We do it and

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properly. That is how to get the most out of this opportunity. Summit

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is a binary choice? The Prime Minister is right when she says it's

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not a binary choice. Both can't be right. We can leave the customs

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union, get their benefits, and have a free trade agreement with zero

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tariffs with the EU. So it is a binary choice an either be stale

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really. Yellow like I am saying the Prime Minister is right when she

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says it is not a binary choice. -- I am saying the Prime Minister is

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right. We need clarity. Youth had said -- you have said it is a binary

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choice. We need to leave the constraints of the customs union. It

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pushes up prices. The EU is not securing the right trade deals, and

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if we want to make the most of it, we need to get out there and get

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some deals going. Do you accept that if we remain in the customs union,

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we cannot do our own free-trade deals? Yellow right 100%. That is

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why we have to leave. -- 100%. Do you accept that if we leave the

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customs union but stay with substantial access, I don't say

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membership, but substantial access to the single market, that goods

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going from this country to the single market because we're no

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longer in the union will be subject to complicated rules of origin

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regulations, which could cost business ?13 billion a year? I would

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like to see a free-trade agreement between the UK and the EU. Look at

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the Canadian deal. I give you that, but if we're not in the customs

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union, things that we bring in on our own tariffs once we've left we

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can't just export again willy-nilly to the EU. They will demand to see

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rules of origin. Norway has to do that at the moment and it is highly

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complicated expensive. I think if we agree a particular arrangement as

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part of this agreement with the EU, we can reach an agreement on that

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which sets a lower standard, which sets a different level of tariffs,

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which protects some of our industries. Let's suppose we have

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pretty much free trade with the EU but we are out of the customs union,

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and let's suppose that the European Union has a 20% tariff on Japanese

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whisky and we decide to have a % tariff - what then happens to the

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whisky that comes into Britain and goes on to the EU? The EU will not

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let that in. That will be part of the negotiation. I think there is a

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huge benefit for external operators. Every bottle of Japanese whisky

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they will have to work out the rules of origin. There have been studies

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that show there is a potential for 50% increase in global product if we

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leave. We're losing the benefits of free trade. I understand, I am

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asking for your particular view Thank you for that.

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Is it not surprising Mr Hannan could not bring himself to say we would

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leave the customs union? It is messy. The reason there is this new

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group of Tory MPs signing up to a campaign to make sure we get a

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genuine Brexit is because there is this vacuum. It is being filled with

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all sorts of briefing from the other side. There is a real risk in the

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minds of Brexit supporting MPs that the remaining side are going to try

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to hijack the process, not only through the Supreme Court action,

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which I think most Brexit MPs seem to accept the appeal will fail, but

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further down the line, through amendments to the great repeal bill.

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This is a pressure group to try to hold the Prime Minister to account.

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There is plenty of pressure on the Prime Minister effectively to stay

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in the single market and the customs union, and if you do both of these

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things, de facto, you have stayed in the EU. She is in a difficult

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position because there is no good faith assumption about what Theresa

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May wants because she was a Remainer. There is all this talk

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about a transitional arrangement, but she can't sell that as someone

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who voted to remain. The way Isabel has characterised it is interesting.

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There is a betrayal narrative. Everyone is looking to say that she

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has betrayed the true Brexit. Since the Government cannot give a clear

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indication of what it once in terms of the customs union, which sets

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external tariffs, or the single market, which is the free movement

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of people, capital, goods and services, others are filling this

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vacuum. Right. The reasons they can't do this are, first, they don't

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know if they can get it or not. We saw this with the renegotiation the

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last Prime Minister. What are they hoping to get? The world on a stick,

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to get cake and eat it. You go into a negotiation saying, let's see what

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we can get in total. Are they going to ask the membership of the single

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market? Yellow I think they will ask for a free trade agreement involving

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everything. You can demand what you want. The question is, do they stand

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a cat's chance in hell of getting it? They don't know. Welcome back.

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We will be back, believe me. It is 150 day since we found out the UK

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had voted to leave the EU, but as we have heard, remain and leave

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campaigners continue to battle about what type of relationship we should

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have with the EU after exit. Leave campaigners say

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that leaving the EU also means quitting

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Single Market, the internal European trading bloc that includes free

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movement of goods, services, capital and people.

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They point to evidence that leading Leave supporting

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politicians ruled out staying in the Single Market during

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Andrea Leadsom, for example, said it would almost

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certainly be the case that the UK would come out of the Single Market.

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When asked for a yes or no on whether the UK should stay

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"No, we should be outside the Single Market."

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And Boris Johnson agreed with his erstwhile ally, saying, "Michael

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Gove was absolutely right to say the UK

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They've released a video of clips of Leave campaigners speaking before

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the referendum apparently saying that the UK should stay in the

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Nigel Farage, for example, once said that on leaving

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the EU we'll find ourselves part of the European economic area

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Owen Paterson, the former Environment Secretary,

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once made the startling statement that only a madman would actually

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And Matthew Elliott, the Vote Leave chief, said

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that the Norwegian option would be initially attractive for some

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But do these quotes create an accurate picture of what

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To cast some light on where these quotes came from we're

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joined by James McGrory, director of Open Britain

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Welcome to the Sunday Politics. . Your video has statements from leave

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campaigners hinting they want to stay in the single market. How many

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were made during the referendum campaign? I don't know. Not one was

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made during the referendum campaign. Indeed, only two of the 12

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statements were recorded after Royal assent had been given to the

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referendum. Only one was made this year before the referendum.

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Throughout the campaign am a leave campaigners lauded the Norwegian

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model. Norway are in the single market but not in the EU. They went

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out of their way not to be pinned down on a specific trading

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arrangement they want to see in the future with Europe, when the

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Treasury model the different models it was the EEA or a free-trade

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agreement. I understand. Does it not undermine your case that none of the

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12 statements on your video were made during the campaign itself

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when people were giving really serious thought to such matters The

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Leave campaign weren't giving serious thought to such matters

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They did not set out the future trading model they wanted to see.

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But you cannot produce a single video with somebody saying we should

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stay in the single market during the campaign. Daniel Hanna had talked

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about the Norwegian model as a future option. One comment from

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Nigel Farage dates back to 2009 when we didn't even know if we would

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have a referendum or not. Does it not stretch credibility to go back

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to the time when Gordon Brown was Prime Minister? The overall point

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stands. It is not supposed to be an exhaustive list of the options.

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Daniel Hannan, described as the intellectual godfather of the Leave

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movement is saying that no one is talking about threatening our place

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in the signal market. I think it's legitimate to point out the Leave

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campaign never came forward with a credible argument. We have

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highlighted some of the quotes you picked out from leave campaigners

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over time. Do you think you have fully encapsulated their arguments

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accurately? I don't think in a 2nd video you can talk about the full

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thing. -- a 90-2nd video. Some of them want to seek a free-trade

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agreement, some to default on to World Trade Organisation tariffs.

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There is a range of opinion in the Leave campaign. Let's listen to the

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clip you used on Owen Paterson first.

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Only a madman would actually leave the market.

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Only a madman would actually leave the market.

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It's not the EU which is

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a political organisation delivering the prosperity and buying our goods.

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It's the market, it's the members of the market and we'll carry on

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I mean, are we really suggesting that the

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economy in the world is not going to come to come

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to a satisfactory trading arrangement with the EU?

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Are we going to be like Sudan and North

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It is ludicrous this idea that we are going to leap off a

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What he said when he said only a madman would leave Europe, was that

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we would continue to trade, we would continue to have access. Any country

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in the world can have access. What the Leave campaign suggested is our

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trade would continue uninterrupted, they are still at it today, David

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Davis used the phrase, uninterrupted, from the dispatch box

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recently. You misrepresented him by saying only a madman would leave the

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Single Market and stopped it there, because he goes onto say that of

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course we want Leave in the sense of continuing to have access. I don't

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think he was about axis, he is talking

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about membership. He doesn't use the word membership at all. He talks

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about we are going to carry on trading with them, we will not leap

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off, we will carry on trading. Anybody can trade with the EU, it's

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the terms on which you trade that is important and leave campaigners and

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Patterson is an example of this saying we can trade as we do now,

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the government saying we can trade without bureaucratic impediments and

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tariff free. The viewers will make up their mind. Let's listen to the

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views of Matthew Elliott, the Chief Executive of Vote Leave.

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When it comes to the Norwegian option, the EEA option, I think that

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it might be initially attractive for some business people.

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So you then cut him off there but this is what he went on to say in

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the same clip, let's listen to that. When it comes to the Norwegian

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option, the EEA option, I think that it might be initially attractive

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for some business people. But then again for voters

:18:03.:18:04.

who are increasingly concerned about migration in the EU,

:18:05.:18:08.

they will be very concerned that it allows free movement

:18:09.:18:11.

of people to continue. Again, you have misrepresented him.

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He said the Norwegian model has attractions but there are real

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problems if it involves free movement of people, which it does.

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But you cut that bit out. I challenge anyone to represent them

:18:30.:18:33.

accurately because they took such a range of opinions. I don't know what

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we are supposed to do. You are misrepresenting them. He is saying

:18:37.:18:40.

the Norwegian option is attractive to business, I understand why. It

:18:41.:18:45.

might not be attractive for voters. But then he said if it allowed free

:18:46.:18:51.

movement of people it could be an issue. You took that out. You are

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saying this is a definitive position. I'm suggesting you are

:18:57.:18:59.

distorting it. This is what you had Mr Farage say.

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On D+1 we'll find ourselves part of the European economic area

:19:02.:19:04.

This is what he then went on to say in that same clip that you didn t

:19:05.:19:11.

run. There is absolutely

:19:12.:19:12.

nothing to fear in terms of trade from leaving

:19:13.:19:14.

the on D+1 we'll find ourselves part

:19:15.:19:15.

of the European Economic Area and we should use our

:19:16.:19:20.

membership of the EEA as a holding position from which

:19:21.:19:29.

we can negotiate as the European Union's biggest export

:19:30.:19:32.

market in the world, as good a deal, my goodness me,

:19:33.:19:35.

if Switzerland can have one we So there again, he says not that we

:19:36.:19:44.

should stay in the Single Market as a member, but that we stay in the EA

:19:45.:19:49.

as a transition until we negotiate something. -- EEA. This whole clip

:19:50.:19:59.

is online, how would you get away with this distortion? It is not a

:20:00.:20:03.

distortion, the whole point is to point out they do not have a

:20:04.:20:06.

definitive position, he is arguing for membership of the Single Market,

:20:07.:20:09.

for a transitional period. For the transition. How long does that go

:20:10.:20:14.

on, what does he want to then achieve? Not very quickly but he

:20:15.:20:17.

does not say we should stay members of the Single Market and you didn't

:20:18.:20:21.

let people see what he went on to say, you gave the impression he

:20:22.:20:24.

wanted to stay in the one it. It would not be a video then, it would

:20:25.:20:29.

be a seven-week long lecture. They took so many positions, and the idea

:20:30.:20:32.

now that they were clear with people that we should definitely leave the

:20:33.:20:36.

Single Market I think is fictitious. You are trying to make out they all

:20:37.:20:40.

had one position which was to remain members of the one it. You see the

:20:41.:20:45.

full clips that is not what they are saying. We are trying to point out

:20:46.:20:49.

there is no mandate to leave the Single Market. The idea the Leave

:20:50.:20:52.

campaign spoke with unanimity and clarity of purpose and throughout

:20:53.:20:55.

the whole campaign said we will definitely leave the Single Market

:20:56.:21:00.

is not true. That is the whole point of the media. We showed in the

:21:01.:21:03.

montage in the video just before we came on, we said that then Prime

:21:04.:21:07.

Minister, the then Chancellor, Boris Johnson, Michael Gove, being

:21:08.:21:10.

categorical that if you vote to leave the EU, you vote to leave

:21:11.:21:14.

membership of the Single Market What bit of that didn't you

:21:15.:21:17.

understand? Under duress they occasionally said they wanted to

:21:18.:21:20.

leave. Some of them wanted to leave the Single Market. All of the other

:21:21.:21:27.

promises they made, whether ?35 million for the NHS, whether a VAT

:21:28.:21:31.

cut on fuel, points-based system. You do not have a single quote of

:21:32.:21:34.

any of these members saying they want to be a member. Daniel Hannan

:21:35.:21:38.

has said consistently that Norway are a part of the Single Market You

:21:39.:21:44.

spend the referendum campaign criticising for Rim misrepresenting

:21:45.:21:46.

and misrepresenting and lying and many thought they did. Having seen

:21:47.:21:48.

this many will conclude that you are the biggest liars. I think it is

:21:49.:21:52.

perfectly reasonable to point out that the Leave campaign did not have

:21:53.:21:55.

a clear position on our future trading relationship with Europe.

:21:56.:21:59.

That is all this video does. It doesn't say we definitely have to

:22:00.:22:03.

stay in the Single Market, it just says they do have a mandate to drag

:22:04.:22:07.

us out of our biggest trading partner.

:22:08.:22:10.

Now people have seen the full quotes in context our viewers will make up

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their mind. Thank you. Now - voting closes next week

:22:12.:22:13.

in the the Ukip leadership contest. The second Ukip leadership contest

:22:14.:22:16.

this year after the party's first female leader - Diane James -

:22:17.:22:19.

stood down from the role Since then the party's lurched from

:22:20.:22:21.

farce to fiasco. It's a world gripped by uncertainty,

:22:22.:22:24.

split into factions. Yes, 2, because they're

:22:25.:22:40.

having their second Watch as the alpha male,

:22:41.:22:50.

the Ukip leader at Nigel Watch as the alpha male,

:22:51.:22:57.

the Ukip leader Nigel Farage, hands power to the new alpha

:22:58.:23:00.

female Diane James. The European Parliament

:23:01.:23:02.

in Strasbourg, October. Another leading light and possible

:23:03.:23:16.

future leader, the MEP Steven Wolfe,

:23:17.:23:19.

has been laid low after an alleged tussle with a colleague

:23:20.:23:22.

during a meeting. A few days later he is

:23:23.:23:24.

out of hospital and I will be withdrawing my

:23:25.:23:26.

application to become I'm actually withdrawing

:23:27.:23:30.

myself from Ukip. You're resigning from the party

:23:31.:23:34.

I'm resigning with immediate effect. And this week a leaked document

:23:35.:23:40.

suggested the party improperly spent EU funds on political

:23:41.:23:43.

campaigning in the UK. Another headache for whoever takes

:23:44.:23:48.

over the leadership of the pack One contender is Suzanne Evans,

:23:49.:23:55.

a former Tory councillor and was briefly suspended for

:23:56.:23:58.

disloyalty. Also standing, Paul Nuttall,

:23:59.:24:06.

an MEP from Liverpool who has been by Farage's side

:24:07.:24:10.

as his deputy for six years. There's another big beast

:24:11.:24:15.

in the Ukip leadership contest, and I'm told

:24:16.:24:17.

that today he can be spotted He's John Rees-Evans,

:24:18.:24:20.

a businessman and adventurer who is offering members the chance

:24:21.:24:25.

to propose policies via a website We've got really dedicated

:24:26.:24:28.

passionate supporters who feel like they're not really

:24:29.:24:42.

being listened to and are not even Typically what happens

:24:43.:24:45.

is they just basically sit there until six months before

:24:46.:24:48.

a General Election when they are contacted and asked to go out

:24:49.:24:51.

and leaflet and canvas. Even at branch level people feel

:24:52.:24:53.

there is not an adequate flow of communication

:24:54.:24:55.

up-and-down the party. Are you not going to take part in

:24:56.:24:57.

any hustings? He left a hustings saying

:24:58.:25:06.

the contest was an establishment coronation and has

:25:07.:25:10.

made colourful comments in the past. He's in favour of the death penalty

:25:11.:25:12.

for crimes like paedophilia. I think there is a clear

:25:13.:25:14.

will amongst the offences should be dealt with

:25:15.:25:17.

decisively. But again, on an issue like that,

:25:18.:25:20.

that is something that Our members are not

:25:21.:25:23.

going to agree with me on everything and I don't believe that

:25:24.:25:28.

I would have any authority to have the say and determine

:25:29.:25:31.

the future What method would you use

:25:32.:25:33.

for the death penalty? Again, that is something that could

:25:34.:25:36.

be determined by suggestions made So you'd have like an online

:25:37.:25:39.

poll about whether you use the electric chair,

:25:40.:25:43.

or lethal injection? For example, arguments would be made

:25:44.:25:49.

in favour of This is such a small aspect

:25:50.:25:51.

of what I'm standing for. Essentially, in mainstream media

:25:52.:25:55.

they try to by focusing on pretty irrelevant

:25:56.:25:57.

details. This is one vote that

:25:58.:26:03.

the membership would have. What I'm actually trying to do

:26:04.:26:05.

in this party is to revolutionise the democratic

:26:06.:26:09.

process in the UK, and that's really what your viewers should

:26:10.:26:12.

be concentrating on. With him at the helm he reckons Ukip

:26:13.:26:16.

would win at Meanwhile, in New York,

:26:17.:26:19.

on a visit to Trump Tower, Nigel Farage admired the plumage

:26:20.:26:26.

of the President-elect, a man he has described as

:26:27.:26:35.

a silverback gorilla, a friendship that's been condemned by some

:26:36.:26:38.

in this leadership contest. There are also elections

:26:39.:26:41.

to the party's National Executive Committee, a body

:26:42.:26:43.

that's been roundly criticised by And we're joined now by two

:26:44.:26:45.

of the candidates in the Ukip leadership election -

:26:46.:27:00.

Suzanne Evans and Paul Nuttall. We are going to kick off by giving

:27:01.:27:10.

each of them 30 seconds to lay out their case as to why they would be

:27:11.:27:14.

the less leader starting with Suzanne Evans.

:27:15.:27:17.

Ukip is at its best when it is scaring the political establishment,

:27:18.:27:19.

forcing it to address those problems it would rather ignore. But it

:27:20.:27:23.

really change people's lives for the better and fast, we need to win

:27:24.:27:27.

seats and elections right across the country. To win at the ballot box we

:27:28.:27:31.

need to attract more women, more ethnic

:27:32.:27:51.

minorities, and more of those Labour voters who no longer recognise their

:27:52.:27:53.

party. I know how to do that. Ukip under my

:27:54.:27:57.

leadership will be the same page about it, common-sense, radical

:27:58.:27:59.

party it has always been, just even more successful. Thank you, Suzanne

:28:00.:28:01.

Evans, Paul Nuttall. I'm standing on a platform of unity and experience.

:28:02.:28:03.

I believe the party must come together if it is to survive and

:28:04.:28:06.

prosper. I believe I'm the best candidate to ensure that happens, I

:28:07.:28:09.

am not part of any faction in the party, and beyond that I have done

:28:10.:28:11.

every single job within the party, whether that is as head of policy,

:28:12.:28:14.

whether that is Party Chairman, deputy leader for Nigel for the past

:28:15.:28:16.

six years. I believe Ukip has great opportunities in Labour

:28:17.:28:18.

constituencies where we can move in and become the Patriot invoice of

:28:19.:28:23.

working people, and beyond that we have to ensure the government's feet

:28:24.:28:25.

are held to the fire on Brexit and we get real Brexit, not a

:28:26.:28:32.

mealy-mouthed version. How will you get a grip on this? People have to

:28:33.:28:36.

realise that the cause is bigger than any personality, we have to get

:28:37.:28:40.

together in a room and sort out not just a spokespeople role but roles

:28:41.:28:43.

within the organisation, Party Chairman, party secretary, and

:28:44.:28:48.

whatnot. But as I say, Ukip must unite, we are on 13% in the opinion

:28:49.:28:52.

polls, the future is bright, there are open goals but Ukip must be on

:28:53.:28:57.

the pitch to score them. He says he's the only one that can get a

:28:58.:29:00.

grip on this party. I disagree, I have a huge amount of experience in

:29:01.:29:04.

the party as well and also a background that I think means I can

:29:05.:29:07.

help bring people together. I have always said nothing breeds unity

:29:08.:29:18.

faster than success and under my leadership we will be successful.

:29:19.:29:20.

There is concern about the future of our National Executive Committee

:29:21.:29:22.

going forward. Mr Farage called it the lowest grade of people I have

:29:23.:29:25.

ever met, do you agree? I think he must have been having a bad day I

:29:26.:29:28.

think we need to make it more accountable to the membership, more

:29:29.:29:31.

open, more democratic. What would you do with the National Executive

:29:32.:29:36.

Committee? I have been calling for the National Executive Committee to

:29:37.:29:40.

be elected reasonably since 201 giving the members better

:29:41.:29:43.

communication lines and make it far more transparent. Would you have a

:29:44.:29:47.

clear out of the office? I wouldn't, I think the chairman of the party,

:29:48.:29:51.

Paul Upton, the interim chairman, is doing a good job and the only person

:29:52.:29:55.

who has come out of the summer with his reputation enhanced. Let me show

:29:56.:29:58.

you a picture we have all seen of your current leader, Mr Farage, with

:29:59.:30:05.

President-elect Donald Trump. Paul Nuttall, you criticise Mr Farage's

:30:06.:30:09.

decision to appear at rallies during the American election and called Mr

:30:10.:30:13.

Trump appalling. Do you stick by that? I wouldn't have voted for him.

:30:14.:30:19.

I made it clear. Do you still think he's appalling now that he is

:30:20.:30:22.

President-elect? Some of the things he said were appalling during the

:30:23.:30:27.

campaign that he said. But he would be good for Britain, trade,

:30:28.:30:30.

pro-Brexit and he is an Anglo file and the first thing he did was put

:30:31.:30:33.

the bust of Winston Churchill back in the Oval Office. You, Suzanne

:30:34.:30:39.

Evans, called Mr Trump one of the weakest candidates the US has had. I

:30:40.:30:43.

said the same about Hillary Clinton. They cannot both be the weakest The

:30:44.:30:47.

better candidate on either side would have beaten the other, that is

:30:48.:30:51.

quite clear. Do you stand by that, or are you glad that your leader Mr

:30:52.:30:56.

Farage has strong ties to him? I am, why wouldn't I be? For Ukip to have

:30:57.:31:02.

that direct connection, it can be only good for a party. Were you not

:31:03.:31:05.

out of step and Mr Farage is in step because it looks like your vote is

:31:06.:31:08.

according to polling I have seemed like Mr Trump and his policies? Let

:31:09.:31:14.

me finish. If I am the leader of Ukip I will not be involving myself

:31:15.:31:18.

in foreign elections, I will because in trading here in this country

:31:19.:31:21.

ensuring we get Ukip people elected to council chambers and get seats in

:31:22.:31:23.

2020. The other thing your leader has in

:31:24.:31:33.

common with Mr Trump is that he rather admires Vladimir Putin. Do

:31:34.:31:39.

you? I don't. If you look at Putin's record, he has invaded Ukraine and

:31:40.:31:46.

Georgia. I am absolutely not a fan. I think that Vladimir Putin is

:31:47.:31:50.

pretty much a nasty man, but beyond that, I believe that in the Middle

:31:51.:31:56.

East, he is generally getting it right in many areas. We need to

:31:57.:32:02.

bring the conflict... Bombing civilians? We need to bring the

:32:03.:32:06.

conflict to an end as fast as possible. The British and American

:32:07.:32:10.

line before Donald Trump is to support rebels, including one is

:32:11.:32:18.

affiliated to Al-Qaeda, to the Taliban. We need to clear these

:32:19.:32:21.

people out and ensure that Syria becomes stable. This controversial

:32:22.:32:29.

breaking point poster from during the referendum campaign. Mr Farage

:32:30.:32:32.

unveiled it, there he is standing in front of it. You can bend it - do

:32:33.:32:38.

you still? Yes, I think it was the wrong poster at the wrong time. I

:32:39.:32:42.

was involved with the vote Leave campaign as well as Ukip's campaign,

:32:43.:32:46.

and I felt strongly that those concerned about immigration were

:32:47.:32:49.

already going to vote to leave because it was a fundamental truth

:32:50.:32:53.

that unless we left the European Union we couldn't control

:32:54.:32:55.

immigration. I thought it was about approaching those soft wavering

:32:56.:33:04.

voters who weren't sure. I don't think I said it was racist, but it

:33:05.:33:09.

was about sovereignty and trade and so forth. That was where we needed

:33:10.:33:12.

to go. I was concerned it might put off some of those wavering voters.

:33:13.:33:17.

People may well say, it was part of the winning campaign. It was Ukip

:33:18.:33:23.

shock and all, which is what you stand for and what makes you

:33:24.:33:30.

different. I said I would know how that I said I would not have gone

:33:31.:33:33.

for that person and I thought it was wrong to do it just a week out from

:33:34.:33:36.

the referendum. However, I believe it released legitimate concerns

:33:37.:33:43.

with a deluge of people making their way from the Middle East and Africa

:33:44.:33:51.

into the European continent. Where is the low hanging fruit for you,

:33:52.:33:55.

particularly in England? Is it Labour or Conservative voters? I

:33:56.:34:00.

want to hang onto the Conservative voters we have got but I think the

:34:01.:34:05.

low hanging fruit is Labour. Jeremy Corbyn won't sing the national

:34:06.:34:09.

anthem, Emily Thornbury despises the English flag. Diane Abbott thinks

:34:10.:34:13.

anyone talking about immigration is racist. Not to mention John

:34:14.:34:17.

McDonnell's feelings about the IRA. Labour has ceased to be a party for

:34:18.:34:21.

working people and I think Ukip is absolutely going to be that party.

:34:22.:34:26.

It is clear, I absolutely concur with everything Suzanne has said. I

:34:27.:34:32.

first voiced this back in 2008 that I believe Ukip has a fantastic

:34:33.:34:36.

opportunity in working-class communities, and everyone laughed at

:34:37.:34:40.

me. It is clear now that we resonate with working people, and you have

:34:41.:34:42.

seen that in the Brexit result. Would you bring back the death

:34:43.:34:49.

penalty? It wouldn't be Ukip policy. Absolutely not. Would you give more

:34:50.:34:53.

money to the NHS and how would your fanatic? You like it is important to

:34:54.:34:57.

fund it adequately, and it hasn t been to date. We promised in our

:34:58.:35:07.

manifesto that we would give more money. Where does the money come

:35:08.:35:11.

from? It is about tackling health tourism. I think the NHS is being

:35:12.:35:16.

taken for a ride at the moment. That may be right, but where does the

:35:17.:35:22.

money come from? It is about scaling back management in the NHS, because

:35:23.:35:25.

that has burgeoned beyond control. They are spending far more money on

:35:26.:35:30.

management. Where would you save money? We need to look at HS two,

:35:31.:35:35.

foreign aid. Now we have Brexit and we will be saving on the membership

:35:36.:35:40.

fee. We need to cut back on management, as Suzanne says. It

:35:41.:35:43.

cannot be right that 51% of people who work for the NHS in England are

:35:44.:35:50.

not clinically qualified. The NHS needs money now - where would you

:35:51.:35:57.

get it? From HS two. That is capital spending spread over a long period.

:35:58.:36:02.

Where will you get the money now? OK, another one. We spent ?25

:36:03.:36:06.

million every day on foreign aid to countries who sometimes are richer

:36:07.:36:11.

than ourselves. Through the Barnett formula. You would take money away

:36:12.:36:16.

from Scotland? Yes, I think they get far too much. PG tips or Earl Grey?

:36:17.:36:31.

Colegrave. PG tips. Strictly come dancing or X Factor? Neither.

:36:32.:36:39.

Strictly. I would love to be on it one day. There you go. Thank you

:36:40.:36:44.

It's just gone 11:35am, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:36:45.:36:48.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now

:36:49.:36:51.

Hello, I'm Lucy Fisher. the Week Ahead.

:36:52.:37:04.

Coming up on the Sunday Politics here in the

:37:05.:37:06.

As Trump triumphs in Americ`, comparisons are made with

:37:07.:37:11.

the vote in St Ives to take back control of their homes.

:37:12.:37:15.

I think it is a bit of the same thing.

:37:16.:37:18.

A general feeling that people are making rules for our

:37:19.:37:20.

community, our people and pdople we know, people who live with us,

:37:21.:37:23.

making rules that we have nothing to do with.

:37:24.:37:26.

And for the next 20 minutes I am joined by the Conservative

:37:27.:37:30.

leader of Teignbridge Distrhct Council, Jeremy Christophers

:37:31.:37:33.

and the independent leader of Cornwall Council, John Pollard.

:37:34.:37:35.

Welcome both of you to the programme.

:37:36.:37:38.

Let's start with Dawlish and the region's main railw`y.

:37:39.:37:40.

On Thursday, the Transport Secretary said his

:37:41.:37:42.

number one priority in the south-west was making sure

:37:43.:37:45.

the line at Dawlish can stand up to the

:37:46.:37:47.

stormy seas and crumbling cliffs which surround it.

:37:48.:37:52.

I would like to ask the house today that the

:37:53.:37:55.

requirement for the next st`ge of the project of a further

:37:56.:37:58.

?10 million so that we can continue to develop

:37:59.:38:00.

the programme of dealing with this issue once and for all.

:38:01.:38:03.

That funding will now be granted and the work

:38:04.:38:05.

Network Rail has reacted to this by saying it it is good news,

:38:06.:38:15.

but just a fraction of the 000s of millions

:38:16.:38:18.

Why announce it at all then, this 10 million?

:38:19.:38:23.

I don't know why he's announced it at this point in time.

:38:24.:38:26.

The work should be happening, not just an announcement of the money.

:38:27.:38:29.

I mean, the Dawlish line went down three years ago.

:38:30.:38:31.

We were promised at the timd that it will be made

:38:32.:38:34.

resilient and be made securd and I think that work

:38:35.:38:37.

should be happening, so we welcome the 10 million,

:38:38.:38:40.

What is the Government's thinking here?

:38:41.:38:46.

Because it is clearly not enough to fix the problem, so why

:38:47.:38:49.

It is to put the proper plan in place to take the

:38:50.:38:54.

grading for the cliffs back so that there is not

:38:55.:38:56.

debris falling from the

:38:57.:38:58.

And to make sure that what happened three years ago does not happen

:38:59.:39:03.

It is a massive issue nationally, but what are locally,

:39:04.:39:07.

Dawlish is one of our towns and it washes out to Newton Abbot `nd

:39:08.:39:13.

everything in that area for people who are travelling on rail locally.

:39:14.:39:16.

OK, we will watch this with interest as it progresses.

:39:17.:39:19.

As MPs debated what some called a crisis

:39:20.:39:21.

Cornish nursing home is at the centre of an undercover

:39:22.:39:26.

Last week, it was announced at the home would be

:39:27.:39:35.

closing after secret filming which would be

:39:36.:39:37.

broadcast on the BBC's Panorama programme tomorrow.

:39:38.:39:39.

The authorities of course have a duty to

:39:40.:39:44.

protect residents and questhons are being asked about the strength

:39:45.:39:46.

of the care regulator amid claims the system is broken.

:39:47.:39:49.

What exactly went on behind the windows of this St Austdll

:39:50.:39:53.

care home is causing a lot of heartache and anger.

:39:54.:39:57.

All I have heard is that they are the sort of

:39:58.:40:01.

things that nobody would want their relatives to suffer.

:40:02.:40:04.

It really is a scandal that things have been

:40:05.:40:06.

I've been speaking to relatives of loved

:40:07.:40:13.

Ones Here At Clinton House @nd Other Morley Group care homes

:40:14.:40:15.

They are obviously very worried and have many

:40:16.:40:20.

They want to know why that after a series of complaints

:40:21.:40:23.

and bad reports, it took an undercover

:40:24.:40:29.

and bad reports, it took an undercover expose to lead to the

:40:30.:40:32.

drastic action that has happened here.

:40:33.:40:33.

Clinton House is being closdd after

:40:34.:40:35.

an investigation by Panoram` found evidence of cruelty and neglect

:40:36.:40:37.

at this and one of the home run by the

:40:38.:40:40.

The programme, which broadc`sts tomorrow, says staff have

:40:41.:40:44.

been rushed off their feet, often leaving the privacy and dignity of

:40:45.:40:47.

Sylvia is one of the residents are yet to be moved

:40:48.:41:01.

This picture, taken by her daughter this week.

:41:02.:41:04.

As Christine, her daughter, struggles to find a

:41:05.:41:06.

new home for her mother, Christine tells me she first raised concerns

:41:07.:41:09.

about Clinton House back in 201 and a closed for admissions,

:41:10.:41:12.

Her concerns about standards and staff shortages

:41:13.:41:16.

The authorities in Cornwall do have to

:41:17.:41:19.

Because lots of the concerns that are being raised now have bden being

:41:20.:41:25.

raised in the past three years by relatives,

:41:26.:41:27.

friends and loyal carers and

:41:28.:41:30.

nothing, seemingly, has been done to improve things here, or,

:41:31.:41:32.

I suspect, in other Morley homes and I suspect

:41:33.:41:34.

It is only six months since Clinton House

:41:35.:41:42.

was last inspected by the Care Quality Commission.

:41:43.:41:47.

Despite noting continuing concerns about staffing

:41:48.:41:49.

and finding a home was not entirely safe,

:41:50.:41:52.

Clinton House was rated as

:41:53.:41:54.

requiring improvement and allowed to stay open.

:41:55.:42:07.

That status - requires improvement - is shared by five of the

:42:08.:42:10.

Three others have also been under investigation in recent weeks.

:42:11.:42:14.

Back in 2013, there were urgent inspections here at Saint Tdresa's,

:42:15.:42:17.

again, amid claims of inadepuate staffing and bad care.

:42:18.:42:19.

We have worked for six years reports in this

:42:20.:42:21.

group of care homes, but nothing is actually changing with the

:42:22.:42:23.

They are not taken the concdrns of people seriously, and

:42:24.:42:28.

then the families come to us, we report things

:42:29.:42:32.

It shouldn't take the presstre of Your Voice Matters to make the CQC

:42:33.:42:36.

act on concerns and I don't see that culture changing.

:42:37.:42:39.

CQC figures reveal a third of care homes in England are

:42:40.:42:42.

rated as requiring improvemdnt and Cornwall Council has sahd

:42:43.:42:44.

because so many homes have this data is, the

:42:45.:42:51.

rating in itself is not a bhg cause for concern and insist they

:42:52.:42:54.

took immediate action on Clhnton House when Panorama's safegtarding

:42:55.:42:56.

This week, MPs debated what Labour says is a

:42:57.:42:59.

Not investing in social card costs lives and dignity.

:43:00.:43:10.

How much more time does the Government need to see that not

:43:11.:43:12.

addressing our current fundhng crisis in social care is severely

:43:13.:43:15.

affecting lives and crippling one of our public services?

:43:16.:43:17.

Respectfully I call on the Government to wake up

:43:18.:43:20.

It is not just about rooting out poor care.

:43:21.:43:27.

The Government denies it is just a funding problem with Health

:43:28.:43:32.

Secretary Jeremy Hunt saying the coalition introduced

:43:33.:43:35.

the toughest system of care home inspection in

:43:36.:43:37.

Well, in a statement, the c`re home owners the Morley Group

:43:38.:43:41.

told us their own investigations had resulted in removal of staff and a

:43:42.:43:44.

Joining us to discuss this is the CQC's deputy chief inspector

:43:45.:43:50.

for adult social care, Debbie Ivanova.

:43:51.:43:51.

Before the Panorama expos , you gave Clinton House

:43:52.:43:57.

In fact, a third of all card homes in England have that

:43:58.:44:04.

There will be families watching this programme up and down

:44:05.:44:08.

the region thinking to themselves, my relatives safe inside thdir care

:44:09.:44:10.

Why should they have faith in your inspections?

:44:11.:44:18.

Well, we've introduced a colpletely new type of

:44:19.:44:21.

inspection over the past cotple of years and these are very thorough

:44:22.:44:24.

and look in detail at the quality of care.

:44:25.:44:27.

comes from people and every piece of that

:44:28.:44:31.

others helps us to shape those inspections and really find out what

:44:32.:44:36.

it is like for people living in those homes.

:44:37.:44:44.

So why was the care home thdn given the status

:44:45.:44:48.

requires improvement and not the lowest status, inadequate?

:44:49.:44:51.

Because the findings we had at that time did

:44:52.:44:57.

not lead to that rating of inadequate.

:44:58.:44:59.

We felt that the provider h`d the ability to change

:45:00.:45:01.

It is a much-needed resource in Cornwall and

:45:02.:45:05.

It is important that the provider, who was

:45:06.:45:08.

the absolute responsibility for that care, does improve it.

:45:09.:45:10.

What is your current assessment of the Morley

:45:11.:45:12.

Well, we have been at all four of the

:45:13.:45:17.

Two of them we had already started to inspect before the

:45:18.:45:21.

Panorama programme gave us the information.

:45:22.:45:24.

And we had found the standard had deteriorated

:45:25.:45:27.

significantly, so we are very concerned that the provider has

:45:28.:45:30.

failed to make the changes that were absolutely needed and the

:45:31.:45:36.

responsibility for that is firmly with them, so we will now bd looking

:45:37.:45:41.

at taking our strongest and most forceful action at all of their

:45:42.:45:44.

We've been speaking to relatives who say

:45:45.:45:47.

they've been telling you this

:45:48.:45:49.

It does seem it has taken a Panorama undercover

:45:50.:45:52.

investigation in order to take action here.

:45:53.:45:56.

While people are in these c`re homes in a dangerous

:45:57.:45:58.

No, we have taken action all the way through.

:45:59.:46:02.

We have taken enforcement action in the form

:46:03.:46:04.

of warning notices and thosd have been in the public domain.

:46:05.:46:07.

But now you have closed the care home since

:46:08.:46:09.

Since then, you have moved from handing

:46:10.:46:15.

over notices to close in the care home.

:46:16.:46:17.

We actually have not closed the care home.

:46:18.:46:26.

The care home has been closdd by the provider and

:46:27.:46:28.

the local authority removing people from it.

:46:29.:46:30.

However, what we have to

:46:31.:46:32.

always think about is the b`lance between people's lives and their

:46:33.:46:35.

home and the service they are being provided.

:46:36.:46:38.

It's the provider who was

:46:39.:46:40.

given every opportunity to hmprove this home and it is so disappointing

:46:41.:46:45.

to see that when we've gone out this time,

:46:46.:46:48.

standards have deteriorated so

:46:49.:46:49.

OK, Debbie, I'm going to brhng in John Pollard here.

:46:50.:46:57.

What is your reaction to thhs news that the other Morley

:46:58.:47:02.

Group care homes have now bden downgraded to the status in`dequate?

:47:03.:47:04.

Well, that's the first I've heard of it, so we need to take action and

:47:05.:47:08.

It is them I am concerned about, making sure they

:47:09.:47:15.

are living safely in a home which fulfils their needs.

:47:16.:47:17.

In fact, it was the council who did make sure the

:47:18.:47:20.

Absolutely, and we did that as soon as it was deemed inadequate.

:47:21.:47:25.

We took action and met with our colleagues

:47:26.:47:27.

in the NHS to make sure we gave alternative provision.

:47:28.:47:30.

I must say, a council officer at Cornwall Council

:47:31.:47:32.

told us that because so manx care homes in England have the status

:47:33.:47:36.

requiring improvement, it actually is a cause for concern.

:47:37.:47:49.

Well, I think because for concern is probably not the right tdrm.

:47:50.:47:55.

Debbie has explained by lots of homes have

:47:56.:47:56.

required improvement and if we get that statement about homes where we

:47:57.:47:59.

have got residents, then we take action

:48:00.:48:01.

to support the providers and

:48:02.:48:02.

It was when they failed to do that in

:48:03.:48:07.

Clinton House that we took `ction to remove residents.

:48:08.:48:10.

Jeremy, you actually run a

:48:11.:48:11.

Is it right that so many care homes are required

:48:12.:48:16.

I've never been in that sittation, but I think that if my

:48:17.:48:20.

home was requiring improvemdnt and in this home we have said that back

:48:21.:48:23.

in 2013, he did require it, you put measures

:48:24.:48:26.

in place to make sure that

:48:27.:48:27.

improvement took place as quickly as possible.

:48:28.:48:29.

We are hearing from residents going back years and years that they have

:48:30.:48:33.

How long do you give a care home to make those

:48:34.:48:37.

There are five separate measures that you measured

:48:38.:48:40.

against and for me, it is the leadership of this group

:48:41.:48:43.

that seems to be in question and one of them is

:48:44.:48:46.

So if you are scoring requires improvement in

:48:47.:48:50.

any one of those measures, then I think six months is lore than

:48:51.:48:53.

adequate by any measure to make those improvements.

:48:54.:48:57.

If those improvements have been made in this

:48:58.:48:59.

case 3-4 years ago, you wouldn't have those residents

:49:00.:49:02.

needing to be rehoused by the Council, those relatives have a

:49:03.:49:06.

really arduous job, as you can see, to rehouse their loved ones.

:49:07.:49:12.

It is a tricky situation that we are now in,

:49:13.:49:14.

but it could have been dealt with earlier.

:49:15.:49:16.

It could have been dealt with earlier.

:49:17.:49:19.

This should really only be a six-month improvement process and

:49:20.:49:22.

Well, when we rate a home as requiring

:49:23.:49:28.

improvement, we will go back within a year to see if thex have

:49:29.:49:31.

In fact, we have been back to these homes over the

:49:32.:49:36.

past two years, which is under our new measurements, 22 times `t these

:49:37.:49:39.

How many times do you go back before some kind of

:49:40.:49:44.

change happens without a Panorama expose?

:49:45.:49:51.

Not good enough changes if they ve all been downgraded to

:49:52.:49:54.

inadequate and residents finding alternative accommodation.

:49:55.:49:56.

Absolutely, those changes wdre not embedded and they were not good

:49:57.:49:58.

enough, I absolutely agree with you there.

:49:59.:50:02.

Would you say there needs to

:50:03.:50:03.

be a change in the safeguarding system?

:50:04.:50:05.

That perhaps the CQC needs more teeth?

:50:06.:50:07.

You need to be able to

:50:08.:50:08.

We do have stronger enforcement powers and use

:50:09.:50:14.

At this moment in time in the country there are over ` hundred

:50:15.:50:24.

homes were in the process of cancelling the registrathon on.

:50:25.:50:27.

We do use that urgent action where we

:50:28.:50:29.

find that people are not safe and we can't allow them to stay

:50:30.:50:31.

However, in this instance, the Morley Group were

:50:32.:50:37.

making some improvements, not enough, and we would go back in and

:50:38.:50:40.

check that and it would follow through.

:50:41.:50:41.

Now, what has St Ives got in common with the United States?

:50:42.:50:49.

Well, this week, the former chair of the

:50:50.:50:51.

National Trust, Sir Simon Jdnkin, made a link between the recdnt vote

:50:52.:50:57.

to ban new second homes in St Ives and the election of Donald Trump.

:50:58.:51:00.

Weather or not it is a revolution, the action

:51:01.:51:02.

taken in West Cornwall is

:51:03.:51:03.

With a top price of nearly ?5,0 0 a week, this holiday home

:51:04.:51:14.

is a beacon of inequality on the Cornish coast.

:51:15.:51:17.

Completed this year on a plot of land bought

:51:18.:51:19.

for half a million, it

:51:20.:51:21.

The people here say they cannot take any more.

:51:22.:51:30.

The infrastructure at the

:51:31.:51:31.

Well, there's going to be one, isn't there?

:51:32.:51:37.

On whether to ban second home owning.

:51:38.:51:39.

I will probably say I don't want second home owners

:51:40.:51:45.

In South East Cornwall, thex are planning to do what has been

:51:46.:51:50.

done in St Ives, where more than 80% of people voted for a ban on but

:51:51.:51:58.

new second homes and wear when the High Court backed them last

:51:59.:52:01.

week, they used a phrase we have heard a

:52:02.:52:03.

It is a great today I think for St Ives and for any

:52:04.:52:08.

community who wishes to take back control.

:52:09.:52:09.

Take back control of this

:52:10.:52:11.

And we will make America great again!

:52:12.:52:15.

If we vote to Leave, we take back

:52:16.:52:16.

And yes, we will make America great again.

:52:17.:52:23.

In London's Evening Standard this week, the

:52:24.:52:27.

former chair of the National Trust made a link between what has been

:52:28.:52:30.

happening here in the south,west and what's been happening across the

:52:31.:52:33.

I think it is a bit of the same thing.

:52:34.:52:38.

A general feeling that people are making rules for our

:52:39.:52:40.

community, our people, people we know, people

:52:41.:52:44.

who live with others, making rules that we had nothing to

:52:45.:52:47.

People are saying, look, you said in the of St Ives, we

:52:48.:52:52.

have a localist agenda in Britain now.

:52:53.:52:54.

He meant we would have decisions to make over these things.

:52:55.:53:01.

Back in the South East Cornwall Dorothy is part of a

:53:02.:53:11.

group of volunteers who saved their shop

:53:12.:53:12.

from closure and part, she

:53:13.:53:14.

says, of a community that has been left behind.

:53:15.:53:16.

now in Truro, they don't know this area and they made decisions

:53:17.:53:22.

Born in Germany, Dorothy knows what it is

:53:23.:53:28.

like to be an outsider, but she still supports a ban

:53:29.:53:31.

What message does a second homes ban send to the wider

:53:32.:53:36.

It is a message of hostilitx, I know that, yes.

:53:37.:53:42.

I am not against outsiders, I just think there needs

:53:43.:53:48.

to be a happy medium as to how many so-called

:53:49.:53:52.

outsiders we have got and

:53:53.:53:54.

The Conservative MP for this part of the

:53:55.:53:58.

world says she supports a b`n but the Government does not much like

:53:59.:54:02.

It says trying to control property ownership will

:54:03.:54:05.

require intrusive state surveillance and interfere with people's

:54:06.:54:07.

So the world is taking back control as signified by the boat in St Ives

:54:08.:54:19.

and this is according to Silon Jenkins, writing in the Evening

:54:20.:54:22.

I think everybody wants to live in the West Country.

:54:23.:54:29.

Unfortunately, a lot of people leave it until late in life, so they mop

:54:30.:54:32.

My view is that everybody in their mid-20s in full-time employlent

:54:33.:54:37.

should have the opportunity to live in the town or village they grew up

:54:38.:54:40.

We are a leader in custom and self build housing in mx

:54:41.:54:45.

constituency and that is how we are planning to get away out of this.

:54:46.:54:48.

We are building the required number of

:54:49.:54:50.

for local people and 90% of the housing that has been built

:54:51.:54:53.

has gone to local people, so I think we are

:54:54.:54:57.

in quite a good position, but that doesn't stop the h`rd work.

:54:58.:55:11.

This policy in St Ives could mean that

:55:12.:55:13.

builders just go elsewhere within Cornwall?

:55:14.:55:16.

They may go to the beautiful spots where they can see

:55:17.:55:18.

Should you have brought this policy in across the whole of

:55:19.:55:22.

I think the point about St Hves is the level of second home

:55:23.:55:27.

ownership is extremely high and the people there are saxing

:55:28.:55:29.

quite rightly, I think, that they want to

:55:30.:55:31.

So if you want to be points of the St Ives

:55:32.:55:36.

community and go and live there I would caution anybody abott

:55:37.:55:39.

comparing anything to Donald Trump, to be honest, and I do think that

:55:40.:55:42.

this is very much about loc`lism and local decision-making, and H just

:55:43.:55:45.

want to reassure people it is nothing to do with rejecting

:55:46.:55:48.

We welcome at the second home owners.

:55:49.:55:54.

Because there is that side of it, isn't

:55:55.:55:56.

It could be viewed as trying to keep outsiders out?

:55:57.:56:00.

Yes, and it shouldn't be, because there is

:56:01.:56:01.

If you talk to people in St Ives who are behind the

:56:02.:56:06.

referendum and the neighbourhood plan, that certainly was not the

:56:07.:56:08.

It is localism, protecting their local community...

:56:09.:56:13.

Well, that, too, and it is very much part of the agenda

:56:14.:56:18.

Our double devolution in that we are trying to give more

:56:19.:56:26.

power and responsibility and freedoms to the locality and that is

:56:27.:56:29.

very much in tune with what we are trying to achieve at Cornwall

:56:30.:56:32.

Jeremy, the Government's quite concerned about

:56:33.:56:35.

It believes we are interferhng with free markets, it is not good

:56:36.:56:39.

Well, the Government's planning policy recently has been

:56:40.:56:44.

inconsistent and I think as local councils where we know we h`ve

:56:45.:56:47.

genuine housing need, it has been very difficult to plot

:56:48.:56:49.

a way through to provide thd housing we need for

:56:50.:56:51.

Recently, the starter homes policy has mopped up

:56:52.:56:55.

pretty well all the affordable housing due to be built.

:56:56.:56:57.

But if you took this to its logical conclusion,

:56:58.:56:59.

if you brought this in everxwhere, you would have borrowers in London

:57:00.:57:02.

where apartment blocks can be sold to foreign investors, it cotld

:57:03.:57:05.

affect the whole economy, couldn't it?

:57:06.:57:08.

But the piece you are referring to refers to people just buxing

:57:09.:57:11.

property in London and leaving it empty,

:57:12.:57:13.

which is an investment, that

:57:14.:57:14.

And first and foremost, houses are homes, they are

:57:15.:57:18.

for people to live in, not stand empty.

:57:19.:57:20.

And the point of St Ives is it is trying

:57:21.:57:24.

to give local people a fair opportunity

:57:25.:57:26.

to get into a house in

:57:27.:57:28.

Now time for our regular round-up of the political

:57:29.:57:36.

Plans for a new constituencx crossing the Devon and Cornwall

:57:37.:57:47.

border are defended by the South East Cornwall LP.

:57:48.:57:53.

It is also on a matter of f`irness and fair

:57:54.:57:56.

representation for all of our constituents.

:57:57.:58:01.

The 58-year-old South Dorset MP says prison officers

:58:02.:58:04.

should not be asked to work until they are 68.

:58:05.:58:15.

I mean I'm in a reasonably good condition, but in a decade from

:58:16.:58:18.

now, I am not so sure I would be able to drag someone out of a prison

:58:19.:58:23.

Councils count the cost of ` spate of parking meter thefts.

:58:24.:58:26.

?5,000 worth of damage with a very, very small returns for the thief's

:58:27.:58:29.

North Cornwall's MP reveals he is learning to swim and says he

:58:30.:58:33.

wants other non-swimmers to do the same.

:58:34.:58:36.

And a new campaign for the

:58:37.:58:38.

region's wine to be sold at Westminster.

:58:39.:58:40.

John, while you are here, wd must ask you about the constituency

:58:41.:58:51.

spanning parts of Cornwall and Devon.

:58:52.:58:53.

The South East Cornwall MP says she is.

:58:54.:58:57.

For many reasons, not least the 43 miles it would extend to.

:58:58.:59:04.

We are firm in our belief at Cornwall

:59:05.:59:06.

Council that we need to protect the integrity of Cornwall.

:59:07.:59:10.

We have one NHS service, one council and

:59:11.:59:14.

therefore, we want to retain that and the bill but she was spdaking

:59:15.:59:18.

against merely wanted to ch`nge the percentage where constituencies

:59:19.:59:20.

Jeremy, very quickly, but with something more

:59:21.:59:29.

light-hearted, should we sell English wine at council meetings?

:59:30.:59:32.

I've no experience of wine at council

:59:33.:59:37.

meetings, that's a thing of the past, really.

:59:38.:59:39.

It may happen in the big hotse, but it doesn't happen

:59:40.:59:42.

That is the Sunday Politics here in the

:59:43.:59:47.

south-west, thanks to my guests, Jeremy and John.

:59:48.:59:49.

never happened and will not happen in four years. It is subject we

:59:50.:59:57.

should spend more time on. Back to you.

:59:58.:00:06.

What will the Chancellor have to say in his first big economic statement?

:00:07.:00:10.

What impact will the forecasters say Brexit will have on the economy

:00:11.:00:13.

And who will face the Front National's Marine Le Pen in

:00:14.:00:16.

Well, the Shadow Chancellor and the Chancellor have both been

:00:17.:00:31.

touring the television studios this morning.

:00:32.:00:32.

Let's be clear, a lot of this is going to be gimmicks and press

:00:33.:00:39.

As I've said, in the pipeline, we've only

:00:40.:00:42.

seen one in five delivered to construction, that's all.

:00:43.:00:45.

So a lot of this will be a repeat of what

:00:46.:00:48.

I'm not going to reveal what I'm going to say on

:00:49.:00:51.

We don't have unlimited capacity, as one might

:00:52.:00:56.

imagine from listening to John McDonnell, to borrow

:00:57.:00:59.

hundreds of billions of pounds more for discretionary spending.

:01:00.:01:04.

That simply doesn't exist if we're going to

:01:05.:01:08.

retain this country's hard-won credibility in the financial markets

:01:09.:01:10.

if we are going to remain an attractive place for business to

:01:11.:01:14.

We didn't learn very much, Helen, but the papers were briefed this

:01:15.:01:28.

morning that there will be another ?1.3 billion for roads and things

:01:29.:01:35.

like that. ?1.3 billion is 0.08 of our GDP. Not exactly an

:01:36.:01:42.

infrastructure investment programme, is it? Yellow like I have to say, it

:01:43.:01:45.

was not thrilling to read the details. -- I have to say... It is

:01:46.:01:54.

the first big financial statement that is going to come and I think

:01:55.:01:58.

there will be a big row about the OBE are forecast because they cannot

:01:59.:02:03.

set out a range, they have to commit to one forecast. Everything they do

:02:04.:02:07.

is incredibly political. DOB are is on a hiding to nothing. -- DOB are

:02:08.:02:16.

-- the Office for Budget Responsibility. I don't know how

:02:17.:02:24.

they will square the circle. It is an interesting week. It is all about

:02:25.:02:28.

the economy and public finances and we don't have to talk about Brexit

:02:29.:02:33.

until next Sunday, but no, I have a terrible feeling that by the end of

:02:34.:02:43.

Wednesday afternoon we will be screaming and shouting about how

:02:44.:02:46.

Brexit is going to be for the economy. Just imagine the Treasury

:02:47.:02:49.

comes out with his forecast that it is going to collapse growth and

:02:50.:02:54.

collapsed Treasury takings, people will be apoplectic. Until now, the

:02:55.:03:01.

economy has continued to grow strongly. Pretty well. They cannot

:03:02.:03:07.

say, we have noticed it slowing down and that will continue. They have to

:03:08.:03:11.

take a punt if they think it will slow down. It affects the

:03:12.:03:15.

Chancellor's figures, because the more they say it is slowing down,

:03:16.:03:19.

and I have seen that it will go from 2% down to 1.4%, the more the

:03:20.:03:25.

Chancellor's deficit rises even without any more tax cuts and

:03:26.:03:29.

spending. Absolutely. I think Tom is right. What we will see this week is

:03:30.:03:34.

a continuation of the debate we have been having all along. If the Office

:03:35.:03:38.

for Budget Responsibility has negative and gloomy predictions

:03:39.:03:42.

there will be howls of agony, and rightly howls of frustration from

:03:43.:03:50.

Brexiteers who will say that all the dire predictions from before the

:03:51.:03:53.

referendum have not come to pass and now you are talking things down in a

:03:54.:03:57.

way that becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. The money for roads, you

:03:58.:04:04.

were dismissive about it, but every little helps. I don't dismiss it, I

:04:05.:04:11.

say it doesn't amount to a fiscal stimulus in macro economic terms.

:04:12.:04:16.

I'm sure if you are on that road, it will be useful. They are going to

:04:17.:04:24.

build a super highway between Oxford and Cambridge. I would like to see

:04:25.:04:34.

them go out to Japan and learn how to fill a hole in two days. I would

:04:35.:04:39.

suggest the road from Oxford to Cambridge is not for the just

:04:40.:04:42.

managing classes, even though it goes through Milton Keynes, and that

:04:43.:04:51.

simply freezing due freezing fuel duty isn't going to hack it, either.

:04:52.:04:58.

These just about managing people are potentially quite a big band. With

:04:59.:05:01.

income tax rises, it means anything you do to help them is incredibly

:05:02.:05:06.

expensive. The universal credit freeze is an interesting example of

:05:07.:05:09.

that. Philip Hammond sounded ambivalent about it after

:05:10.:05:16.

pre-briefings that it might not the cuts might not go ahead. There are

:05:17.:05:22.

people who are in work but because they are low paid don't have the

:05:23.:05:28.

number of hours, they require welfare benefits to top up their

:05:29.:05:32.

pay, and these welfare benefits as it stands, are frozen until 202 ,

:05:33.:05:37.

and yet inflation is now starting to rise. That's a problem for the just

:05:38.:05:42.

managing people. Correct. It is worse than that, because we are

:05:43.:05:51.

talking about April 2017 when tax credits become universal credits, so

:05:52.:05:58.

the squeeze will be greater. We will get a small highway between a couple

:05:59.:06:01.

of university towns, but if he has any money left to spend at all, it

:06:02.:06:05.

will be on some pretty seismic jazzman for the just about managing

:06:06.:06:12.

people. I am so glad we're not calling them Jams on this programme,

:06:13.:06:21.

because it is a patronising tone. What the Chancellor and Shadow

:06:22.:06:28.

Chancellor did not confront is that Mr Trump's election is a watershed

:06:29.:06:33.

in terms of being able to borrow cheaply. The Federal Reserve is

:06:34.:06:36.

about to start raising rates. The days of cheap borrowing for

:06:37.:06:41.

governments could be coming to an end. You can feel a bit sorry for

:06:42.:06:44.

labour here because after having had six years of being told that we need

:06:45.:06:49.

a surplus and these things are important, we can't deny the

:06:50.:06:53.

deficit, we have switched now and the first thing that Philip Hammond

:06:54.:06:59.

did was to scrap George Osborne s borrowing targets. He has given

:07:00.:07:02.

himself more wriggle room than George Osborne had. He has and it

:07:03.:07:08.

will cost them more. Debt servicing will now rise as a cost. Where is

:07:09.:07:13.

the next political earthquake going to happen?

:07:14.:07:20.

It could be Italy, or the French elections coming up next spring

:07:21.:07:26.

Now, who will face the Front National's Marine Le Pen in next

:07:27.:07:29.

year's French Presidential elections?

:07:30.:07:30.

Well, France's centre-right part, Les Republicans,

:07:31.:07:32.

are selecting their candidate in the first round of

:07:33.:07:34.

Well, France's centre-right part, Les Republicans,

:07:35.:07:37.

are selecting their candidate in the first round of

:07:38.:07:40.

Let's speak to our correspondent in Paris, Hugh Schofield.

:07:41.:07:44.

Welcome to the programme. Three main candidates, the former -- two former

:07:45.:07:57.

prime ministers and Nicolas Sarkozy, the former president. It is not

:07:58.:08:01.

clear who the front runner is. Robbins it is quite an exciting

:08:02.:08:05.

race, because four weeks it did look as if it was going to be Juppe. It

:08:06.:08:20.

is a two round race. Two go through and the idea is that they rally all

:08:21.:08:23.

the support together. It looked like the first round would be dominated

:08:24.:08:28.

by Juppe and Nicolas Sarkozy, and there was a clear binary combination

:08:29.:08:34.

there, because Sarkozy was looking for squeamish far right voters. In

:08:35.:08:39.

other words, veering clearly to the right and far right on immigration

:08:40.:08:44.

and identity issues. And Juppe is the opposite, saying we had to

:08:45.:08:48.

appeal to the centre. That was what it looked like. But the third

:08:49.:08:55.

candidate has made this really quite staggering surge in the last few

:08:56.:08:58.

days. There was a debate on Thursday and he was deemed to have won it on

:08:59.:09:03.

television. He is coming up strongly, and I wouldn't be at all

:09:04.:09:08.

surprised to see him go through which would be interesting from a

:09:09.:09:13.

British perspective, because if the becomes president, he will be the

:09:14.:09:17.

first president with a British wife. His wife Penelope is Welsh.

:09:18.:09:25.

We will have to leave it there. I would suggest that the reason it is

:09:26.:09:28.

fascinating is that whoever wins this primary for the centre-right

:09:29.:09:32.

party is likely to be the next president, and who the next

:09:33.:09:37.

president is will be very important for Britain in these Brexit

:09:38.:09:39.

negotiations. Nothing will really happen until it is determined. Then

:09:40.:09:43.

after the German elections in October. I would add one more

:09:44.:09:49.

constituent part. The most important thing about the race is who can stop

:09:50.:09:58.

Marine Le Pen. Marine Le Pen will almost be one of the ones in the

:09:59.:10:06.

run-off. The Socialists don't expect much. Francois Hollande is done

:10:07.:10:11.

There is too much of a cliff to climb. Which one of these three

:10:12.:10:16.

centre-right candidates can stop Marine Le Pen? We have had Brexit

:10:17.:10:21.

and Trump, but we could also have Marine Le Pen. If it is Sarkozy it

:10:22.:10:30.

is the battle of the right. In some areas, he has moved to the right of

:10:31.:10:37.

marine Le Pen. I suppose he feels he has do in order to take the wind out

:10:38.:10:41.

of our sails. You wonder if she could succeed later on if she does

:10:42.:10:44.

not this time. Talking to French analysts last night, there was

:10:45.:10:48.

suggesting that she could not do it this time but could win the next

:10:49.:10:52.

time. All the events in France over the last year seemed to provide the

:10:53.:10:55.

most propitious circumstances for her to do well, and particularly if

:10:56.:11:03.

you throw in Trump and Brexit. Suppose it is Mr Sarkozy, and he

:11:04.:11:07.

goes through and wins the Republican nomination, and he and Marine Le Pen

:11:08.:11:10.

go through to the second round, that would mean, think about it, is that

:11:11.:11:18.

a lot of French socialist voters and those on the father left would have

:11:19.:11:25.

to grit their teeth and vote for Nicolas Sarkozy. They might not do

:11:26.:11:31.

it. We might see what we saw in America, where lots of potential

:11:32.:11:42.

Clinton voters did not turn out You got politicians like Melanchon on

:11:43.:11:46.

the far left saying there are foreign workers taking bread out of

:11:47.:11:51.

French workers' mounts. We sometimes forget, because we tend to emphasise

:11:52.:11:55.

the National of the National front, but actually, there are economic

:11:56.:12:10.

policy is quite Bennite. Sarkozy is the Hillary Clinton of the French

:12:11.:12:19.

elections. He is Mr establishment. Juppe and the other third candidate

:12:20.:12:26.

are the same. You have to re-establish candidates running

:12:27.:12:29.

against an antiestablishment candidate. There are populist

:12:30.:12:32.

economic policies from the National front. The other three want to raise

:12:33.:12:37.

the retirement age and cut back on the 35 hour week, which are not

:12:38.:12:46.

classic electoral appeals. Mr Juppe used to be the Mayor of Bordeaux.

:12:47.:12:49.

And we are the biggest importers of claret, so that could have an

:12:50.:12:55.

effect. In 2002, it was Jack Shear against John Marine Le Pen, and the

:12:56.:13:01.

socialist campaign slogan was, vote for the Crook, not the fascist. We

:13:02.:13:08.

will see what they come up with this time.

:13:09.:13:11.

The Daily Politics is back at noon tomorrow on BBC Two,

:13:12.:13:15.

where on Wednesday I will have full coverage of the Chancellor's Autumn

:13:16.:13:21.

But remember, if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:22.:13:30.

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