Browse content similar to 19/11/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Morning everyone, and welcome
to the Sunday Politics. | 0:00:36 | 0:00:38 | |
I'm Sarah Smith. | 0:00:38 | 0:00:39 | |
And this is your guide
to all the big stories that | 0:00:39 | 0:00:42 | |
are shaping politics this weekend,
and a few of the smaller ones too. | 0:00:42 | 0:00:46 | |
Philip Hammond is getting ready
to deliver his latest Budget | 0:00:46 | 0:00:48 | |
on Wednesday and he's not short
of advice - to spend more, | 0:00:48 | 0:00:51 | |
show restraint, even
to stop being an Eyore - | 0:00:51 | 0:00:54 | |
but can he change the direction
of the country and his government? | 0:00:54 | 0:00:59 | |
Conservative Party darling
Jacob Rees-Mogg has | 0:00:59 | 0:01:01 | |
some advice of his own. | 0:01:01 | 0:01:02 | |
He thinks the Chancellor
is being far too gloomy about Brexit | 0:01:02 | 0:01:05 | |
- he joins me live to explain why. | 0:01:05 | 0:01:09 | |
The former Leave campaign leader,
Gisela Stuart, will be here debating | 0:01:09 | 0:01:12 | |
with pro-EU campaigner
Alastair Campbell, after taking | 0:01:12 | 0:01:15 | |
a trip to her native Germany
to speak to businesses | 0:01:15 | 0:01:18 | |
about Brexit. | 0:01:18 | 0:01:21 | |
And, as we wait to find out what's
on the menu for this week's budget, | 0:01:21 | 0:01:25 | |
we're in a diner off
the A1 in Peterborough, | 0:01:25 | 0:01:27 | |
finding out who people most trust
with the economy - | 0:01:27 | 0:01:29 | |
Philip Hammond or John McDonnell? | 0:01:29 | 0:01:34 | |
In the South West, was this
Plymouth Tory MP right | 0:01:34 | 0:01:36 | |
to suggest his party
smells of decline? | 0:01:36 | 0:01:41 | |
I was asked a series
of questions and I answered | 0:01:41 | 0:01:43 | |
All that coming up in the programme. | 0:01:49 | 0:01:51 | |
And with me for for all of it,
three journalists who've promised | 0:01:51 | 0:01:54 | |
not to show off like Michael Gove
by using any long economicky words - | 0:01:54 | 0:01:58 | |
although I'm not sure they really
know that many anyway - | 0:01:58 | 0:02:00 | |
it's Tom Newton Dunn,
Gaby Hinsliff and Iain Martin. | 0:02:00 | 0:02:04 | |
Let's take a look at the big
political stories making the news | 0:02:04 | 0:02:07 | |
this Sunday morning,
and as you might expect there's | 0:02:07 | 0:02:09 | |
plenty of speculation
about what might or not might be | 0:02:09 | 0:02:11 | |
in Philip Hammond's Budget. | 0:02:11 | 0:02:14 | |
The Chancellor is promising a big
investment in new technology, | 0:02:14 | 0:02:16 | |
including driverless cars -
which could be on the road by 2021. | 0:02:16 | 0:02:20 | |
He's been interviewed
in the Sunday Times, | 0:02:20 | 0:02:23 | |
where he talks about plans to reach
the target of building | 0:02:23 | 0:02:25 | |
300,000 homes every year,
or the equivalent of a city | 0:02:25 | 0:02:29 | |
the size of Leeds. | 0:02:29 | 0:02:30 | |
That paper speculates that he's
attempting to turn from "fiscal | 0:02:30 | 0:02:33 | |
Phil" into "hopeful Hammond"
as he tries to set out | 0:02:33 | 0:02:36 | |
a vision for the country,
not just a list of numbers. | 0:02:36 | 0:02:39 | |
The Sunday Telegraph thinks that
Mr Hammond is planning to offer | 0:02:39 | 0:02:42 | |
a pay rise to nurses as part
of a bid to take on Labour. | 0:02:42 | 0:02:45 | |
But that hasn't impressed
Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell. | 0:02:45 | 0:02:48 | |
He's spoken to a number of papers
and is calling for an emergency | 0:02:48 | 0:02:51 | |
budget to invest in public services
and help struggling households. | 0:02:51 | 0:02:53 | |
So that's a taste of what you might
hear on Wednesday and Mr Hammond | 0:02:53 | 0:02:57 | |
and Mr McDonnell have both been
appearing this morning | 0:02:57 | 0:03:00 | |
on the Andrew Marr Show. | 0:03:00 | 0:03:03 | |
I think Britain has a very
bright future ahead of it, | 0:03:03 | 0:03:06 | |
and we have to embrace
the opportunities that | 0:03:06 | 0:03:09 | |
a post-Brexit world will offer. | 0:03:09 | 0:03:10 | |
They will be opportunities that
are based on huge change, | 0:03:10 | 0:03:13 | |
huge technological evolution. | 0:03:13 | 0:03:16 | |
It's not always going to be easy,
but the British people have shown | 0:03:16 | 0:03:19 | |
time and time again that we're up
for these challenges. | 0:03:19 | 0:03:22 | |
For many people out there,
this is a depression. | 0:03:22 | 0:03:25 | |
We've had people whose wages
have been cut by 10%. | 0:03:25 | 0:03:29 | |
Nurses, for example. | 0:03:29 | 0:03:31 | |
We've had people who are now... | 0:03:31 | 0:03:34 | |
1.25 million food parcels handed out
in the sixth richest | 0:03:34 | 0:03:38 | |
country in the world. | 0:03:38 | 0:03:39 | |
That's what I call a recession
for large numbers of people. | 0:03:39 | 0:03:47 | |
We will be talking about Labour and
their economic policies in a moment, | 0:03:47 | 0:03:52 | |
but let's start with what we might
expect from the budget. We will talk | 0:03:52 | 0:03:57 | |
to our panel of political observers.
Philip Hammond is under pressure to | 0:03:57 | 0:04:01 | |
set out a bold vision and reset the
government's programme. Can we | 0:04:01 | 0:04:06 | |
expect that? No, we can't. We have
heard enough from the Chancellor | 0:04:06 | 0:04:11 | |
across various broadcast and his
article in the Sunday Times. I think | 0:04:11 | 0:04:15 | |
we will not be getting a bold
budget. His precise words short... A | 0:04:15 | 0:04:24 | |
short time ago were a balanced
budget. Some Tory hearts will think. | 0:04:24 | 0:04:27 | |
They desperately want something to
go out and shout about, something to | 0:04:27 | 0:04:32 | |
capture people's imagination, and do
big and bold things, like how on | 0:04:32 | 0:04:36 | |
earth are they going to build those
new 300,000 houses a year? There are | 0:04:36 | 0:04:41 | |
good reasons why he has chosen what
appears to be a pretty staid, | 0:04:41 | 0:04:49 | |
Conservative budget, and that is
that they are probably unable to get | 0:04:49 | 0:04:54 | |
anything bold through Parliament.
His capital is so low among Tory | 0:04:54 | 0:04:57 | |
MPs. If you have a minority
government, it is tricky. We have | 0:04:57 | 0:05:06 | |
seen ministers on programmes like
this in the last few weeks putting | 0:05:06 | 0:05:09 | |
in the bids for what they would like
spending on, whether it be payment | 0:05:09 | 0:05:14 | |
for nurses or parliament. Would he
struggled to get something radical | 0:05:14 | 0:05:18 | |
through the Commons? Big ideas cost
money. That's the problem. Bold | 0:05:18 | 0:05:23 | |
ideas are controversial. In some
ways, Tory MPs are asking their | 0:05:23 | 0:05:30 | |
Chancellor to do the impossible.
Government is already doing | 0:05:30 | 0:05:33 | |
something big and bold, which is
Brexit. That has implications for | 0:05:33 | 0:05:38 | |
how much money is available, how
many risks you want to take with | 0:05:38 | 0:05:43 | |
everything else. What is crucial is
that he demonstrates a reputation | 0:05:43 | 0:05:48 | |
for competence. The reputation that
the Conservative government has for | 0:05:48 | 0:05:53 | |
economic competence, that many
people prefer them to Labour on the | 0:05:53 | 0:05:57 | |
issue of economic competence. The
worst thing he could do is come up | 0:05:57 | 0:06:01 | |
with a big, bold idea that
unravelled quickly. What they | 0:06:01 | 0:06:06 | |
absolutely don't want is to come up
with an exciting idea that falls | 0:06:06 | 0:06:11 | |
apart three days after the budget.
He is under pressure from | 0:06:11 | 0:06:16 | |
Brexiteers, who are suspicious of
him. Does he have to offer them | 0:06:16 | 0:06:19 | |
something? Part of his problem is he
has to offer so many different | 0:06:19 | 0:06:24 | |
people different things. This is
Philip Hammond trying to be and | 0:06:24 | 0:06:27 | |
dynamic. It is hard to tell
sometimes. At least in theoretical | 0:06:27 | 0:06:36 | |
terms. His longer-term difficulty is
that, if you look at the economic | 0:06:36 | 0:06:44 | |
cycle, we are getting to a point
where we are probably overdue, if | 0:06:44 | 0:06:50 | |
you put Brexit to one side, overdue
some kind of correction or downturn, | 0:06:50 | 0:06:55 | |
if you look what has happened to
asset prices globally. What will be | 0:06:55 | 0:07:00 | |
worrying for the Treasury is, just
as everyone is saying we should turn | 0:07:00 | 0:07:06 | |
on the taps and build this or that,
we might be at the top of a cycle, | 0:07:06 | 0:07:12 | |
and the Treasury will want to lose
something in the armoury in terms of | 0:07:12 | 0:07:16 | |
probably growing the deficit if
there are economic difficulties in | 0:07:16 | 0:07:19 | |
the next two years, and then there
is Brexit as well. It sounds | 0:07:19 | 0:07:24 | |
impossible. I think so. Talking to
his friends and colleagues over the | 0:07:24 | 0:07:30 | |
last few days, he had to make a
call, which was precisely how much | 0:07:30 | 0:07:35 | |
can I get away with, with my
political capital being as low as it | 0:07:35 | 0:07:40 | |
is, with the mixed problems he had
at the last budget, and a lot of the | 0:07:40 | 0:07:47 | |
party disliking his approach to
Brexit. He is damned if he is, | 0:07:47 | 0:07:52 | |
damned if he doesn't. Universal
Credit, we are expecting a reduction | 0:07:52 | 0:08:01 | |
in the time it takes to wait,
business rates, affected by high | 0:08:01 | 0:08:08 | |
inflation... I think we will see a
problem fixing budget which will | 0:08:08 | 0:08:13 | |
probably do quite a lot of important
spadework in many areas. We will | 0:08:13 | 0:08:18 | |
pick up on some of this later in the
programme. | 0:08:18 | 0:08:23 | |
Let's speak now to the Conservative
MP Jacob Rees-Mogg, this week | 0:08:23 | 0:08:25 | |
he helpfully launched an alternative
"budget for Brexit" and advised | 0:08:25 | 0:08:28 | |
the Chancellor to be less gloomy
about the consequences | 0:08:28 | 0:08:30 | |
of leaving the EU. | 0:08:30 | 0:08:34 | |
Thank you for joining us. Your
alternative budget is pretty | 0:08:34 | 0:08:38 | |
radical. Almost half corporation
tax, Cap Stamp duty to help the | 0:08:38 | 0:08:47 | |
London market. It seems you are
advocating the opposite from what we | 0:08:47 | 0:08:52 | |
will hear from your Chancellor on
Wednesday. There are two parts to | 0:08:52 | 0:08:56 | |
the proposals I suggested. One is
that we should show that after we | 0:08:56 | 0:09:00 | |
have left the European Union, the UK
is open to the rest of the world. It | 0:09:00 | 0:09:05 | |
is about opening up to the rest of
the world. Secondly, looking at the | 0:09:05 | 0:09:10 | |
modelling that has been done by the
Treasury and some other forecasters, | 0:09:10 | 0:09:15 | |
which has been so comprehensively
wrong. The forecasts made about what | 0:09:15 | 0:09:19 | |
would happen after Brexit have
turned out to be hopelessly false. | 0:09:19 | 0:09:26 | |
The team at Cardiff University have
done some modelling based on the | 0:09:26 | 0:09:32 | |
classical economic principles and
what happens if you move to free | 0:09:32 | 0:09:35 | |
trade that would be very positive
for the economy. You are predicting | 0:09:35 | 0:09:40 | |
a Brexit dividend of £135 billion,
which sounds fantastic. Why are you | 0:09:40 | 0:09:48 | |
right, and everybody else, including
the Bank of England and the | 0:09:48 | 0:09:52 | |
Institute for Fiscal Studies, why
are they all wrong? It depends on | 0:09:52 | 0:09:55 | |
the type of modelling. The modelling
that have been done by the Treasury | 0:09:55 | 0:10:01 | |
have been based on gravity models,
which work on the basis of the | 0:10:01 | 0:10:05 | |
nearness of the market and the size
of the economy you are trading with. | 0:10:05 | 0:10:09 | |
These have been wrong in the past.
They predicted that if we joined the | 0:10:09 | 0:10:14 | |
euro, trade would grow by 300%. That
was then revised down to 200%, but | 0:10:14 | 0:10:21 | |
it is fantasyland. The model I am
working on, by Sir Patrick Minford, | 0:10:21 | 0:10:27 | |
who has a record of getting these
things right. He was right about the | 0:10:27 | 0:10:36 | |
exchange rate mechanism, right about
the euro. Being right in the past | 0:10:36 | 0:10:40 | |
doesn't mean you are right about the
future. Why do you think the | 0:10:40 | 0:10:45 | |
Treasury will not pick up the same
numbers, if this is so obvious to | 0:10:45 | 0:10:49 | |
you? I think the Treasury was
humiliated by the errors in its | 0:10:49 | 0:10:54 | |
forecast prior to Brexit, and is
trying to defend its position. The | 0:10:54 | 0:11:00 | |
short-term economic consequences of
a vote to leave was one of the most | 0:11:00 | 0:11:03 | |
dishonest documents to come out of
the Treasury, purely a piece of | 0:11:03 | 0:11:09 | |
political propaganda. They are
wounded by that and sticking to the | 0:11:09 | 0:11:12 | |
same script, rather than looking at
other forecasts and other experts. | 0:11:12 | 0:11:17 | |
You think the governor of the Bank
of England is an enemy of Brexit, | 0:11:17 | 0:11:21 | |
and it sounds like you think the
Treasury is opposed to it. As the | 0:11:21 | 0:11:25 | |
Chancellor fallen under their spell
as well, and been persuaded to be an | 0:11:25 | 0:11:30 | |
enemy of Brexit? I have admiration
the Chancellor, but George Osborne, | 0:11:30 | 0:11:36 | |
his predecessor, was the architect
of Project Fear. He was too close to | 0:11:36 | 0:11:41 | |
the Bank of England and lost his
independence. That is what needs to | 0:11:41 | 0:11:45 | |
change. It is an opportunity in the
budget for Philip Hammond to show he | 0:11:45 | 0:11:52 | |
is putting aside the Treasury's
mistakes in the past. It is very | 0:11:52 | 0:11:57 | |
encouraging what he is saying this
morning, about a more positive | 0:11:57 | 0:12:02 | |
approach to Brexit. Lord Lawson has
accused Philip Hammond of being very | 0:12:02 | 0:12:07 | |
close to sabotage on Brexit. He says
we need a can-do man at the Treasury | 0:12:07 | 0:12:14 | |
and not a prophet of doom. I think
that Philip Hammond is an | 0:12:14 | 0:12:18 | |
exceptionally intelligent man, a
very thoughtful man. It is not a bad | 0:12:18 | 0:12:22 | |
thing to have a Chancellor who is
serious minded and steady, rather | 0:12:22 | 0:12:27 | |
than one who is a showman and uses
the Exchequer to interfere in | 0:12:27 | 0:12:33 | |
absolutely everything. I have a lot
of confidence in the Chancellor. | 0:12:33 | 0:12:38 | |
When you launched your budget for
Brexit, you said the government has | 0:12:38 | 0:12:42 | |
to deliver the £350 million for the
NHS that was delivered during the | 0:12:42 | 0:12:49 | |
referendum, even though you didn't
think that promise should have been | 0:12:49 | 0:12:52 | |
made. Is that something they now
need to deliver wrong? It is. This | 0:12:52 | 0:12:57 | |
only happens once we have left.
Politicians have to recognise that | 0:12:57 | 0:13:02 | |
voters don't look at the small print
of electoral policies. If you put | 0:13:02 | 0:13:09 | |
£350 million on the side of a bus
and say it may be available for the | 0:13:09 | 0:13:15 | |
NHS, it is reasonable for people to
think that is a promise. Brexit was | 0:13:15 | 0:13:21 | |
won by the Leave campaign, so it it
is important that they deliver on | 0:13:21 | 0:13:27 | |
that promise. Politicians must keep
faith with voters and deliver on | 0:13:27 | 0:13:31 | |
implied promises, as well as ones
that are set out in detail. The | 0:13:31 | 0:13:35 | |
Cabinet will move on to talk about
the Brexit bill this week, and we | 0:13:35 | 0:13:40 | |
understand they may need to come up
with more money to satisfy EU | 0:13:40 | 0:13:44 | |
demands. The more money spent on
that is less money available for | 0:13:44 | 0:13:48 | |
things like spending on the NHS. Are
you worried about the size of the | 0:13:48 | 0:13:54 | |
exit bill? You have your finger on
the important point. The government | 0:13:54 | 0:14:01 | |
will have to choose whether to give
lots of money to the European Union, | 0:14:01 | 0:14:05 | |
or whether to spend money on UK
public services, and that will be | 0:14:05 | 0:14:10 | |
part of the negotiation. On all
these issues, it comes down to | 0:14:10 | 0:14:14 | |
choice is the government makes. I
would encourage the government to | 0:14:14 | 0:14:19 | |
choose our own domestic public
services rather than expensive | 0:14:19 | 0:14:23 | |
schemes in continent or Europe. Why
are you advocating that the | 0:14:23 | 0:14:27 | |
government should spend up to £2.5
billion on a no deal scenario? | 0:14:27 | 0:14:37 | |
It is important that we are ready to
leave in the event of no deal. If we | 0:14:37 | 0:14:41 | |
left with no deal we would on
current figures still be saving the | 0:14:41 | 0:14:48 | |
remains of 18 billion so we would be
saving 15 and a half billion against | 0:14:48 | 0:14:54 | |
paying for the financial framework.
To show we're ready on day one would | 0:14:54 | 0:14:58 | |
be money well spent and most would
be needed any way. We need to have | 0:14:58 | 0:15:06 | |
new customs arrangements in place
even if it is not for a no deal | 0:15:06 | 0:15:10 | |
situation. There are suggestions
that the Government might back down | 0:15:10 | 0:15:13 | |
on the idea of putting the time and
date of leaving the EU on the face | 0:15:13 | 0:15:18 | |
of the bill. Would you be Exxon
certained if that was -- concerned | 0:15:18 | 0:15:22 | |
if that was remove prd the bill? It
is in Article 50, unless Article 50 | 0:15:22 | 0:15:30 | |
is extended by the Council of Europe
we leave on 20th March 2019 and it | 0:15:30 | 0:15:40 | |
makes accepts that should be the
same in -- sense that should be in | 0:15:40 | 0:15:44 | |
same in domestic law. But that is a
secondary concern from my point of | 0:15:44 | 0:15:47 | |
view. It is important that we leave
on that date. Stay there if you | 0:15:47 | 0:15:52 | |
would. | 0:15:52 | 0:15:54 | |
We're joined in the studio
by the former minister | 0:15:54 | 0:15:56 | |
Stephen Hammond. | 0:15:56 | 0:15:57 | |
He's no relation to the Chancellor,
but he is a member | 0:15:57 | 0:16:00 | |
of the Treasury Select Committee
and he's one of the Tory MPs named | 0:16:00 | 0:16:03 | |
as "Brexit mutineers"
by the Daily Telegraph | 0:16:03 | 0:16:04 | |
this week - lucky him. | 0:16:04 | 0:16:07 | |
I'm assured you're no relation to
the Chancellor. Let's just pick up | 0:16:07 | 0:16:12 | |
on what Jacob Rees Mogg was saying.
How important is it to you as a | 0:16:12 | 0:16:21 | |
rebel that the Government does put
the date on. I agree with Jacob it | 0:16:21 | 0:16:26 | |
is in the Article 50 process, the
key reason it is important is the | 0:16:26 | 0:16:31 | |
negotiations look like they're going
to be tricky and longer than we | 0:16:31 | 0:16:35 | |
expected and it may well be that we
are still negotiating up until March | 0:16:35 | 0:16:42 | |
2019. We could have a short couple
of weeks period of extension. Why do | 0:16:42 | 0:16:47 | |
harm to the economy by falling out
on a precise time? If those | 0:16:47 | 0:16:52 | |
negotiations need to be extended.
They won't go on for more than a | 0:16:52 | 0:16:56 | |
couple of weeks, because there will
be elections in Europe in June 2019 | 0:16:56 | 0:17:00 | |
and there is no chance of a new
commission or Parliament dealing | 0:17:00 | 0:17:05 | |
with this. Giving it flexibility and
with this flexibility the government | 0:17:05 | 0:17:11 | |
said it wants flexibility in
negotiations, why give all the | 0:17:11 | 0:17:15 | |
advantage to the other side? Part of
that was evidenced yesterday by | 0:17:15 | 0:17:21 | |
somebody suggesting they will ask
for the Margaret Thatcher rebate to | 0:17:21 | 0:17:25 | |
be suspended. That is as a result of
putting the date on the bill. You | 0:17:25 | 0:17:29 | |
did not agree with the Brexit
committee and think it is important | 0:17:29 | 0:17:32 | |
that we set the date and time? I
think it is perfectly reasonable to | 0:17:32 | 0:17:38 | |
set the date and time and I think
these negotiations fill the time | 0:17:38 | 0:17:42 | |
available. The United States and
Australia agreed a free trade deal | 0:17:42 | 0:17:47 | |
between April 2003 and February
2004. These things don't need to be | 0:17:47 | 0:17:54 | |
interm Knabl if both sides want to
agree. I think the British | 0:17:54 | 0:17:57 | |
electorate would be very concerned
if nearly three years after the vote | 0:17:57 | 0:18:02 | |
to leave, we still hadn't left. I
think most people expected that we | 0:18:02 | 0:18:05 | |
would have left by now. The
negotiations realistically to get | 0:18:05 | 0:18:10 | |
through the approval of the European
Parliament and so on need to be | 0:18:10 | 0:18:14 | |
completed by at the end of next
year, going up to the last minute I | 0:18:14 | 0:18:19 | |
don't think is real is tick. To move
on to talk about a trade deal and | 0:18:19 | 0:18:23 | |
getting that done, the EU need to
agree to move on and we need to | 0:18:23 | 0:18:29 | |
settle the divorce, cabinet are
going to be talking about the amount | 0:18:29 | 0:18:32 | |
that needs to be spent on that,
Stephen what manned, are you happy | 0:18:32 | 0:18:39 | |
for the Government to offer more? I
hope that the Government will stick | 0:18:39 | 0:18:43 | |
to the Florence speech in terms of
ensuring that we fulfil our | 0:18:43 | 0:18:48 | |
liabilities and obligations. I'm not
clear exactly whether that is 20 | 0:18:48 | 0:18:53 | |
billion or 40 billion and I'm not
sure the government is. If part of | 0:18:53 | 0:18:57 | |
the divorce bill is then some
settlement for getting the trade | 0:18:57 | 0:19:01 | |
deal, we will need to examine that
carefully. Jacob Rees Mogg, is this | 0:19:01 | 0:19:07 | |
that might spark another war in the
party if the cabinet suggest they're | 0:19:07 | 0:19:12 | |
prepared to pay more? I think we
need to go back to what you said, | 0:19:12 | 0:19:18 | |
that the - the EU said they want us
to settle the money first. The | 0:19:18 | 0:19:28 | |
Government doesn't need to follow
that. They need our money. If we | 0:19:28 | 0:19:32 | |
don't pay any money for the final 21
months of the framework, the EU has | 0:19:32 | 0:19:40 | |
about 20 billion pounds gap in its
finances and it has no legal | 0:19:40 | 0:19:45 | |
requirement to borrow. So it
insolvents or the Germans and the | 0:19:45 | 0:19:49 | |
others pay more. So our position on
money is very strong and we | 0:19:49 | 0:19:53 | |
shouldn't fall into the trap of
thinking just because Mr Barnier | 0:19:53 | 0:19:58 | |
said it it is as if he has received
tablets of stone like Moses, he has | 0:19:58 | 0:20:03 | |
not. There is a sense that the
Government feels a mo generous offer | 0:20:03 | 0:20:11 | |
would set a good tone, the kind of
approach that Jacob Rees Mogg | 0:20:11 | 0:20:16 | |
suggests would not make for smooth
relations. It probably wouldn't. But | 0:20:16 | 0:20:21 | |
we have to be clear what we are
paying for and what we are getting. | 0:20:21 | 0:20:26 | |
No one is suggesting we should hand
over money without proper scrutiny. | 0:20:26 | 0:20:32 | |
It may be appropriate to put money
to facilitate international trade to | 0:20:32 | 0:20:37 | |
secure jobs. We have to be careful
about the analysis about what the | 0:20:37 | 0:20:41 | |
scale and size of Brexit dividend is
and the size of payments will be. | 0:20:41 | 0:20:47 | |
You mustn't confuse gross and net
and there is disagreement about some | 0:20:47 | 0:20:53 | |
of the numbers. On that, Jacob Rees
Mogg in his budget for Brexit | 0:20:53 | 0:20:59 | |
suggests in five years time we would
have a 135 billion Brexit bonus. Do | 0:20:59 | 0:21:05 | |
you think it is real is tick. He is
using some analysis that has some | 0:21:05 | 0:21:12 | |
flaws. It is predicting a price drop
in the United Kingdom of 10%. Tariff | 0:21:12 | 0:21:19 | |
drops will only be 3 or 4%. It is
predicting huge productivity gains, | 0:21:19 | 0:21:26 | |
the likes of which we have not seen
in 20 years. Thirdly, despite his | 0:21:26 | 0:21:31 | |
view on modellers there is evidence
that they weren't and if you go into | 0:21:31 | 0:21:36 | |
the detail of the analysis, some of
the data is 14 years out of date. | 0:21:36 | 0:21:43 | |
Jacob Rees Mogg, you're being
hopelessly optimistic? I don't think | 0:21:43 | 0:21:48 | |
that right. I think the fall in
prices comes because you make the | 0:21:48 | 0:21:53 | |
economy more competitive and you
take away tariffs which reduces the | 0:21:53 | 0:21:57 | |
price of food by 20%. That is a big
reduction. Bear in mind that the | 0:21:57 | 0:22:04 | |
biggest tariffs hit food, clothing
and foot wear that, harm the poorest | 0:22:04 | 0:22:08 | |
in society the most. The gains from
productivity come from is in | 0:22:08 | 0:22:15 | |
additional tariffs. Leading to other
saving and further investment I | 0:22:15 | 0:22:23 | |
think the modelling done by the
professor is as good as modelling | 0:22:23 | 0:22:26 | |
can be. That doesn't mean it is
infallible. The failure of gravity | 0:22:26 | 0:22:33 | |
model is well known. Michael Gove
was accused of auditioning for the | 0:22:33 | 0:22:40 | |
job of Chancellor by using long
words. Do you know any good long | 0:22:40 | 0:22:46 | |
economic words? I don't think that
we want to get into this type of | 0:22:46 | 0:22:50 | |
business actually. I think all
Conservatives and Steven and I very | 0:22:50 | 0:22:54 | |
much agree on this, want to show as
united a front as we can manage. | 0:22:54 | 0:23:00 | |
There are differences on some
aspects of policy, but in terms of | 0:23:00 | 0:23:04 | |
individuals we want to stand
together and support the best | 0:23:04 | 0:23:06 | |
interests of the government. Thank
you. | 0:23:06 | 0:23:12 | |
Brexit Secretary David Davis
was in Berlin this week trying | 0:23:12 | 0:23:14 | |
to win the support of business
leaders there for a comprehensive | 0:23:14 | 0:23:17 | |
free trade deal with the EU. | 0:23:17 | 0:23:19 | |
He warned them against putting
'politics above prosperity' | 0:23:19 | 0:23:21 | |
and reportedly got a bit
of a frosty reception. | 0:23:21 | 0:23:26 | |
Well, the former Labour MP
Gisela Stuart was one of the leaders | 0:23:26 | 0:23:29 | |
of the Vote Leave referendum
campaign. | 0:23:29 | 0:23:31 | |
We travelled with Gisela to Germany
to meet the business leaders | 0:23:31 | 0:23:33 | |
she says will help secure a good
trade deal for the UK. | 0:23:33 | 0:23:36 | |
Here's her film. | 0:23:36 | 0:23:40 | |
I was born and brought up
in this part of Germany, | 0:23:46 | 0:23:49 | |
and although I've lived in the UK
for the past 40 years, | 0:23:49 | 0:23:52 | |
and represented the constituency
of Birmingham and Edgbaston for 20 | 0:23:52 | 0:23:57 | |
years, my family still live here,
and I've kept many links. | 0:23:57 | 0:24:01 | |
I was chair of Vote Leave,
and together with only a handful | 0:24:04 | 0:24:07 | |
of other Labour MPs,
we campaigned to leave | 0:24:07 | 0:24:10 | |
the European Union because we
thought the country would be | 0:24:10 | 0:24:12 | |
better off outside. | 0:24:12 | 0:24:14 | |
It's hard to remember now, but back
in the 1970s, when we joined | 0:24:14 | 0:24:17 | |
the European Economic Community,
people thought that by joining | 0:24:17 | 0:24:21 | |
the club we would see the kind
of economic miracle Germany | 0:24:21 | 0:24:25 | |
experienced in the '70s back home. | 0:24:25 | 0:24:28 | |
The "Deutsche Wirtschaftswunder"
would come to Britain. | 0:24:28 | 0:24:30 | |
But, of course, it didn't. | 0:24:30 | 0:24:35 | |
Within a few short years
of the devastation of World War II, | 0:24:37 | 0:24:40 | |
Germany had emerged as
the largest economy in Europe. | 0:24:40 | 0:24:43 | |
Germany's extraordinary
success is down to | 0:24:43 | 0:24:44 | |
the pragmatism of its business. | 0:24:44 | 0:24:49 | |
German Mittelstand is family
dominated, forward-thinking, | 0:24:49 | 0:24:54 | |
long-term thinking, reliability,
are very important values. | 0:24:54 | 0:25:00 | |
Changing moods on a political
landscape and changing frameworks | 0:25:00 | 0:25:03 | |
are toxic for our way of doing
business, and we want | 0:25:03 | 0:25:05 | |
that to go away. | 0:25:05 | 0:25:13 | |
German business is not given
to making big political statements | 0:25:13 | 0:25:17 | |
out of step with government policy,
but talk to those in decision-making | 0:25:17 | 0:25:20 | |
positions, and it is clear
that they want to secure a good deal | 0:25:20 | 0:25:23 | |
with the United Kingdom. | 0:25:23 | 0:25:26 | |
BMW employs almost 90,000
people here in Germany, | 0:25:26 | 0:25:29 | |
and exports just under
1 million cars annually. | 0:25:29 | 0:25:33 | |
The UK is a vital market. | 0:25:33 | 0:25:38 | |
What we are really seeking right now
is more clarity, more certainty, | 0:25:38 | 0:25:42 | |
because in our cycle of investment,
cycle of development, | 0:25:42 | 0:25:47 | |
it's about a seven-year or so period
that we look at, | 0:25:47 | 0:25:51 | |
but we are now, of course, starting
to think about what comes next, | 0:25:51 | 0:25:55 | |
and what we need to see now
is what is going to be | 0:25:55 | 0:25:58 | |
the trading relationship,
how are the logistics going to look, | 0:25:58 | 0:26:01 | |
what is going to be
the requirements for people | 0:26:01 | 0:26:03 | |
moving across the continent? | 0:26:03 | 0:26:06 | |
Because all of these things
are important to us today. | 0:26:06 | 0:26:08 | |
And, by the way, they will be just
as important tomorrow. | 0:26:08 | 0:26:12 | |
Berlin is well aware that
if the European Commission | 0:26:12 | 0:26:14 | |
is allowed to put up trade barriers
against Britain, it will be | 0:26:14 | 0:26:18 | |
German business, German consumers
and German employees | 0:26:18 | 0:26:20 | |
who will suffer. | 0:26:20 | 0:26:24 | |
TRANSLATION: I think it's very
important that we complete | 0:26:24 | 0:26:26 | |
the first phase successfully. | 0:26:26 | 0:26:29 | |
The first phase of the negotiations,
which looks at the financial | 0:26:29 | 0:26:32 | |
consequences of Great Britain
leaving the EU. | 0:26:32 | 0:26:35 | |
And then it's not a question
of punishment payments. | 0:26:35 | 0:26:38 | |
It's about when you are part
of a multilayer, contractual | 0:26:38 | 0:26:41 | |
obligation and you want to leave
that, then of course it takes | 0:26:41 | 0:26:44 | |
a whole lot of obligations
which you have to deal with, | 0:26:44 | 0:26:47 | |
so both sides are satisfied and can
live with the consequences. | 0:26:47 | 0:26:56 | |
It isn't everyone's interests
for the UK to part on good terms. | 0:26:56 | 0:27:01 | |
Of course there was going to be
upset when the UK voted to leave, | 0:27:01 | 0:27:04 | |
but creating uncertainty over
the terms of UK's exit will simply | 0:27:04 | 0:27:08 | |
have a disruptive effect
on exports to UK markets. | 0:27:08 | 0:27:12 | |
Far better to have a sensible,
amicable negotiation that results | 0:27:12 | 0:27:16 | |
both sides being able to trade
together and work | 0:27:16 | 0:27:18 | |
together post-Brexit. | 0:27:18 | 0:27:25 | |
Markus Krall is managing
director of Goetzpartners, | 0:27:25 | 0:27:27 | |
and heads the Financial
Institution Industry Group. | 0:27:27 | 0:27:29 | |
Is it true to say that,
if we negotiate Brexit well, | 0:27:29 | 0:27:34 | |
then a good Brexit can actually
strengthen the United Kingdom, | 0:27:34 | 0:27:36 | |
the European Union and Germany? | 0:27:36 | 0:27:37 | |
It's absolutely true. | 0:27:37 | 0:27:40 | |
I think that this
is about two things. | 0:27:40 | 0:27:42 | |
One, about proving that
free trade is possible | 0:27:42 | 0:27:48 | |
between a European Union that is
smaller and a former member country. | 0:27:48 | 0:27:51 | |
If you don't prove that free
trade is possible there, | 0:27:51 | 0:27:54 | |
then the question becomes,
what is Europe standing for? | 0:27:54 | 0:27:58 | |
Number two is, I also
believe the free trade, | 0:27:58 | 0:28:03 | |
free market and democratic and less
bureaucratic approach that Britain | 0:28:03 | 0:28:07 | |
has chosen as the path
into the future is a role | 0:28:07 | 0:28:09 | |
model for Europe. | 0:28:09 | 0:28:12 | |
The time has come both
for the United Kingdom | 0:28:12 | 0:28:15 | |
and for the EU to be more clear
about what kind of | 0:28:15 | 0:28:18 | |
deal we can achieve. | 0:28:18 | 0:28:21 | |
Both sides need to be bold. | 0:28:21 | 0:28:23 | |
As long as we remain open to free
trade and sensible co-operation, | 0:28:23 | 0:28:26 | |
we can arrive at something that
will benefit both sides. | 0:28:26 | 0:28:31 | |
But one thing's obvious -
if we are an open and free trading | 0:28:31 | 0:28:35 | |
economy, we've got one big
cheerleader on our side, | 0:28:35 | 0:28:37 | |
and that is German business. | 0:28:37 | 0:28:43 | |
That was Gisela Stuart
setting out her case | 0:28:43 | 0:28:45 | |
and we'll be hearing
from the opposite side | 0:28:45 | 0:28:47 | |
of the argument in the coming weeks. | 0:28:47 | 0:28:49 | |
Gisela Stuart joins us in the studio
now, as does Alastair Campbell. | 0:28:49 | 0:28:52 | |
He used to work for Tony Blair
in Number 10, set up | 0:28:52 | 0:28:55 | |
the New European Newspaper
to campaign against Brexit, | 0:28:55 | 0:28:56 | |
and is so pro-European that at this
year's Labour conference | 0:28:56 | 0:28:59 | |
he was heard playing Ode
to Joy on the bagpipes. | 0:28:59 | 0:29:01 | |
Welcome both of you. | 0:29:01 | 0:29:06 | |
We will start with your point in the
film, that you think the German | 0:29:06 | 0:29:11 | |
business once the EU to offer the UK
a generous deal because it is in | 0:29:11 | 0:29:16 | |
their interests, yet the president
of the German equivalent of the CBI | 0:29:16 | 0:29:20 | |
said that defending the single
market must be the priority for the | 0:29:20 | 0:29:25 | |
EU, and another says that the
cohesion of the remaining member | 0:29:25 | 0:29:30 | |
states remains the highest priority.
The president of the CBI just after | 0:29:30 | 0:29:37 | |
the referendum said that it would be
in nobody 's interest to introduce | 0:29:37 | 0:29:42 | |
tariffs and trade barriers. On the
UK side, I don't think there's a | 0:29:42 | 0:29:50 | |
full understanding that economic
interests are incredibly important, | 0:29:50 | 0:29:53 | |
that they are trying to cover
economic interests on the cohesion | 0:29:53 | 0:30:01 | |
of the 27. I think different
economic interests will raise the | 0:30:01 | 0:30:05 | |
head of different countries. The
German auto industry is as important | 0:30:05 | 0:30:12 | |
as the financial sector is here. The
banking crisis is far from over, but | 0:30:12 | 0:30:19 | |
the big riffs which were going on is
that the E U is losing its second | 0:30:19 | 0:30:25 | |
biggest net contributor. Countries
like Germany want a deal with the UK | 0:30:25 | 0:30:29 | |
that is a free open market. There
are other tensions in the EU that | 0:30:29 | 0:30:35 | |
wants to become more protectionist,
and that is a bad thing. Looking at | 0:30:35 | 0:30:40 | |
the film there with the Jacob
Rees-Mogg interview. No matter what | 0:30:40 | 0:30:47 | |
side of leave you are, it is
delusional and all driven by wishful | 0:30:47 | 0:30:53 | |
thinking. You could find a
businessman who says Brexit will be | 0:30:53 | 0:30:57 | |
good for Germany. The vast bulk of
British businesses think this is a | 0:30:57 | 0:31:01 | |
disaster, as do the vast bulk of
European businesses. One of the | 0:31:01 | 0:31:05 | |
delusions on which they ran their
campaign is the idea that they need | 0:31:05 | 0:31:10 | |
us more than we need them. That is
not true. Be you self about £80 | 0:31:10 | 0:31:17 | |
billion more in goods and services
into the UK than we do to them, and | 0:31:17 | 0:31:21 | |
Germany has one of the biggest
deficits. It is in their interest. | 0:31:21 | 0:31:26 | |
Of course it is, but it is a myth
that they need us more than we need | 0:31:26 | 0:31:32 | |
them. The damage that will be done
to us, even with a good deal. Let's | 0:31:32 | 0:31:38 | |
be frank, where these negotiations
are, Theresa May is either going to | 0:31:38 | 0:31:44 | |
end up with a bad deal and dumber or
no Deal. A bad deal is bad, and a no | 0:31:44 | 0:31:50 | |
deal is a catastrophe. You are
setting up ideas that which were not | 0:31:50 | 0:31:58 | |
there to begin with and knocking
them down. Delusional. 35 billion, | 0:31:58 | 0:32:05 | |
the Brexit bonus. If we had a
referendum, it was a democratic | 0:32:05 | 0:32:09 | |
decision. I know you don't like it
and that a lot of business would | 0:32:09 | 0:32:13 | |
have preferred to stay with the
status quo. We have had the | 0:32:13 | 0:32:18 | |
referendum. Undermining political
institutions is in no one's | 0:32:18 | 0:32:23 | |
interests. It is functioning
democracies which lead to economic | 0:32:23 | 0:32:29 | |
stability. Theresa May fought an
election Inc on a hard Brexit that | 0:32:29 | 0:32:36 | |
was rejected. As we heard from BMW,
there is uncertainty for business. | 0:32:36 | 0:32:49 | |
There will be elections, European
elections, in 2019. There will be a | 0:32:49 | 0:32:54 | |
change of the Commission and the
parliament. We have a narrow window | 0:32:54 | 0:32:59 | |
to implement the mandate for the
referendum which Parliament voted | 0:32:59 | 0:33:02 | |
for. So rather than you undermining
this country, why don't you work | 0:33:02 | 0:33:09 | |
together to get the best deal?
Because we totally disagree. You | 0:33:09 | 0:33:14 | |
don't want a good deal? I'm in
favour of a good deal, and I could | 0:33:14 | 0:33:20 | |
give them some advice as to how they
get a good deal. First, you have a | 0:33:20 | 0:33:25 | |
cabinet that has an agreed strategy.
18 months in, they don't have that. | 0:33:25 | 0:33:31 | |
I am not undermining a deal. I am
continuing to pose questions about | 0:33:31 | 0:33:36 | |
what they are trying to do and how
they are trying to do it. This is | 0:33:36 | 0:33:43 | |
democracy. Democracy is the ability
for Parliament, which is not doing | 0:33:43 | 0:33:47 | |
its job properly, and the public, to
keep scrutinising, and if they want | 0:33:47 | 0:33:52 | |
to change their mind, having the
right to do that. You were trying to | 0:33:52 | 0:33:58 | |
encourage the Taoiseach yesterday to
play hardball with the UK. I am on | 0:33:58 | 0:34:03 | |
the side of the UK, and I am worried
that if we go down the path that we | 0:34:03 | 0:34:08 | |
are being taken down, and Theresa
May and Boris Johnson and the rest | 0:34:08 | 0:34:13 | |
of them, this shambolic path, we are
going to do fundamental, lasting | 0:34:13 | 0:34:18 | |
damage to the country we love. I
don't care about the Civil Aviation | 0:34:18 | 0:34:22 | |
Authority. I care about Britain. --
I don't care about the European | 0:34:22 | 0:34:28 | |
Union. If every lorry going into the
UK today was stopped for just two | 0:34:28 | 0:34:37 | |
minutes, we would create an instant
17 mile traffic jam. These people | 0:34:37 | 0:34:43 | |
just don't care... I am not these
people! Let us not conflate... You | 0:34:43 | 0:34:52 | |
either decide that you are
implementing a democratic decision | 0:34:52 | 0:34:56 | |
of a referendum that was called and
over 17 million voted. You will not | 0:34:56 | 0:35:02 | |
stop me debating it. Just as Nigel
Farage... Stop talking about Nigel | 0:35:02 | 0:35:11 | |
Farrell Raj. Vote Leave was not
Nigel Farage. There is no desire in | 0:35:11 | 0:35:21 | |
Germany to punish the United
Kingdom. They are behaving | 0:35:21 | 0:35:27 | |
reasonably. There is a battle of
protectionism and free market going | 0:35:27 | 0:35:31 | |
on. If we implement this properly,
give businesses the kind of | 0:35:31 | 0:35:37 | |
incentives they want, we can get a
good deal. So you want a bad deal? | 0:35:37 | 0:35:43 | |
You are driven by wishful thinking.
Gisela Stuart, you are saying that | 0:35:43 | 0:35:50 | |
business will intervene to prevent
things like tariffs being put in | 0:35:50 | 0:35:54 | |
place? They are leaving it a bit
late to put pressure on. You will | 0:35:54 | 0:35:58 | |
find that business is laying out the
kind of things they need to get | 0:35:58 | 0:36:02 | |
those deals. I can find as much
fault with the speed of the | 0:36:02 | 0:36:06 | |
progress, but what I really do
resent is that you are actually | 0:36:06 | 0:36:11 | |
encouraging other countries to
undermine... Know I am not! I spoke | 0:36:11 | 0:36:20 | |
out in support of the Irish
Taoiseach because I spent a lot of | 0:36:20 | 0:36:23 | |
time with Tony Blair and his team on
the Good Friday Agreement. The | 0:36:23 | 0:36:26 | |
people who are driving this hard
Brexit without thinking it through, | 0:36:26 | 0:36:31 | |
still no answer on how you do Brexit
in our island without a hard border. | 0:36:31 | 0:36:37 | |
I think the Irish Taoiseach is right
to call out the government on the | 0:36:37 | 0:36:45 | |
incompetence and the fact they have
not thought it through. You accept | 0:36:45 | 0:36:49 | |
the result of the referendum and the
fact that we will be leaving the EU? | 0:36:49 | 0:36:54 | |
I accept the result of the
referendum, but I do not accept that | 0:36:54 | 0:36:59 | |
the country will definitely leave,
because the country is entitled to | 0:36:59 | 0:37:03 | |
change its mind. As the chaos and
costs mount, the public is entitled | 0:37:03 | 0:37:08 | |
to change its mind and will change
its mind. There is no evidence at | 0:37:08 | 0:37:14 | |
the moment. Come out with me! Allow
me to finish the sentence. There is | 0:37:14 | 0:37:23 | |
a changing of mind happening, a
crystallisation. Unlike you, I have | 0:37:23 | 0:37:29 | |
fought five elections and I have won
five elections. I have probably | 0:37:29 | 0:37:34 | |
spoken to more people like you. You
may do, I'm just saying, come out on | 0:37:34 | 0:37:40 | |
the road with me... 40% of the
population in the middle just want | 0:37:40 | 0:37:46 | |
us to get on with it. What that film
showed is that if you want to make | 0:37:46 | 0:37:51 | |
it a self-fulfilling prophecy that
it's a disaster, which I don't. I | 0:37:51 | 0:37:57 | |
want to implement a deal that is
good for British jobs. The rest of | 0:37:57 | 0:38:03 | |
the world is changing in terms of
technology. Currently, Germany | 0:38:03 | 0:38:10 | |
hasn't even got a government, and
nobody is laughing about that. And | 0:38:10 | 0:38:15 | |
they are stable without a
government! Let's leave it there. | 0:38:15 | 0:38:20 | |
It's coming up to 11.40,
you're watching the Sunday Politics. | 0:38:20 | 0:38:22 | |
Coming up on the programme,
we'll be looking at the latest | 0:38:22 | 0:38:25 | |
opinion polls and we'll bring
you the results of our moodbox | 0:38:25 | 0:38:28 | |
asking whether Phllip Hammond
or John McDonnell should be running | 0:38:28 | 0:38:30 | |
the economy. | 0:38:30 | 0:38:31 | |
First though, its time for
the Sunday Politics where you are. | 0:38:31 | 0:38:40 | |
Hello, I'm Martyn Oates.
the Sunday Politics where you are. | 0:38:40 | 0:38:41 | |
Coming up on the Sunday Politics
here in the South West... | 0:38:41 | 0:38:45 | |
Councils turn to crowdfunding
to pay for projects. | 0:38:45 | 0:38:47 | |
Admirably enterprising,
or a desperate resort to charity as | 0:38:47 | 0:38:52 | |
further cuts loom? | 0:38:52 | 0:38:53 | |
If a community was looking
to do something, a | 0:38:53 | 0:38:56 | |
project that was doing
a statutory function, | 0:38:56 | 0:38:58 | |
there would be nothing
against doing that. | 0:38:58 | 0:38:59 | |
I think it is something
to be looking into, into | 0:38:59 | 0:39:02 | |
the future. | 0:39:02 | 0:39:04 | |
And for the next 20 minutes,
I'm joined by Defra Minister | 0:39:04 | 0:39:07 | |
and Cornish MP George Eustice,
and Labour MEP Claire Moody. | 0:39:07 | 0:39:09 | |
Welcome back to both of you. | 0:39:09 | 0:39:14 | |
This week, a Plymouth Tory MP made
national headlines after claiming | 0:39:14 | 0:39:17 | |
Theresa May's government
smells of decline. | 0:39:17 | 0:39:19 | |
The former Army captain, Johnny
Mercer, also appeared to question | 0:39:19 | 0:39:21 | |
the decision to appoint
former Chief Whip Gavin Williamson | 0:39:21 | 0:39:25 | |
as Defence Secretary, saying it
seems to have sent a message to | 0:39:25 | 0:39:28 | |
the military community that he's not
100% comfortable with. | 0:39:28 | 0:39:32 | |
Following the piece
in the Daily Telegraph, he | 0:39:32 | 0:39:34 | |
spoke to the BBC. | 0:39:34 | 0:39:37 | |
I was asked a series of questions
and they answered them in an honest | 0:39:37 | 0:39:40 | |
manner. | 0:39:40 | 0:39:44 | |
-- and I answered them. | 0:39:44 | 0:39:45 | |
I'm afraid I will always do that,
I suppose, and it may well be | 0:39:45 | 0:39:48 | |
to my detriment. | 0:39:48 | 0:39:49 | |
But I'm afraid you can't
have a personality transplant | 0:39:49 | 0:39:52 | |
just because you come into politics. | 0:39:52 | 0:39:53 | |
George, this comes a couple of weeks
after Gary Streeter, the South West | 0:39:53 | 0:39:56 | |
Devon MP, likened the present
Parliament to the 92-97 Parliament, | 0:39:56 | 0:39:59 | |
John Major's government,
which was rather | 0:39:59 | 0:40:02 | |
prone, to say the least. | 0:40:02 | 0:40:07 | |
The government is in a bit
of a mess, isn't it? | 0:40:07 | 0:40:09 | |
No, I don't accept that. | 0:40:09 | 0:40:11 | |
I think the truth is in politics
you get your ups and down. | 0:40:11 | 0:40:14 | |
There are a lot of
downs at the moment? | 0:40:14 | 0:40:16 | |
What you do is you read
the newspapers about things... | 0:40:16 | 0:40:18 | |
Look at the Commons this week! | 0:40:18 | 0:40:20 | |
You get a prevailing
media narrative at times | 0:40:20 | 0:40:21 | |
that doesn't give you good weather. | 0:40:22 | 0:40:23 | |
I have seen that many times
when I was press secretary to David | 0:40:23 | 0:40:26 | |
Cameron. | 0:40:26 | 0:40:27 | |
I remember in 2007 it was
supposed to be disastrous. | 0:40:27 | 0:40:30 | |
The end of him, he wasn't
going to be able | 0:40:30 | 0:40:32 | |
to continue. | 0:40:32 | 0:40:33 | |
People talked about
leadership challenges | 0:40:33 | 0:40:34 | |
against David Cameron. | 0:40:34 | 0:40:35 | |
And in the end he came
back from that. | 0:40:35 | 0:40:37 | |
It just turned out
it was a short-term | 0:40:37 | 0:40:39 | |
story. | 0:40:39 | 0:40:40 | |
The truth is this government has,
this week, broke through the EU | 0:40:40 | 0:40:43 | |
Withdrawal Bill. | 0:40:43 | 0:40:44 | |
We're not through that process yet
by any means, George. | 0:40:44 | 0:40:48 | |
We're getting through this process. | 0:40:48 | 0:40:51 | |
We are starting to bring
this bill through. | 0:40:51 | 0:40:53 | |
Bring this bill forward. | 0:40:53 | 0:40:55 | |
There have been announcements
the Prime Minister has | 0:40:55 | 0:40:57 | |
made on housing. | 0:40:57 | 0:40:58 | |
Lots of ministers are out there. | 0:40:58 | 0:41:00 | |
We have made announcements
in Defra on things like | 0:41:00 | 0:41:02 | |
introducing CCTV in slaughterhouses. | 0:41:02 | 0:41:07 | |
On a new body to protect
the environment, and many others | 0:41:07 | 0:41:09 | |
as well. | 0:41:09 | 0:41:10 | |
There is a lot of work
going on behind the scenes. | 0:41:10 | 0:41:13 | |
It doesn't always get covered. | 0:41:13 | 0:41:15 | |
As a minister I'm encouraged. | 0:41:15 | 0:41:16 | |
A lot of acrimony behind the scenes
as well, one suspects. | 0:41:16 | 0:41:19 | |
George is saying, so we are
getting on with the job? | 0:41:19 | 0:41:21 | |
Bless him! | 0:41:22 | 0:41:23 | |
That was a sterling effort
at defending the situation. | 0:41:23 | 0:41:25 | |
But really, you can see
there is going to be | 0:41:25 | 0:41:29 | |
nothing but Brexit in
the House for years to come. | 0:41:29 | 0:41:34 | |
And you can see the way
it is being managed is about | 0:41:34 | 0:41:37 | |
managing the Tory party. | 0:41:37 | 0:41:38 | |
It is not about the
interest of the country. | 0:41:38 | 0:41:41 | |
And you've got a within fights
within fights happening on the Tory | 0:41:41 | 0:41:43 | |
benches. | 0:41:44 | 0:41:45 | |
There is the obvious
comparison with the 92-97 | 0:41:45 | 0:41:46 | |
government. | 0:41:46 | 0:41:48 | |
But to be honest, that looks
like a very smooth ride | 0:41:48 | 0:41:51 | |
compared to what we are seeing
in Westminster right now. | 0:41:51 | 0:41:53 | |
OK. | 0:41:53 | 0:41:56 | |
On the Brexit, it was
a divisive referendum | 0:41:56 | 0:41:58 | |
that split the country. | 0:41:58 | 0:42:00 | |
What we've all got to
do now in Parliament, | 0:42:00 | 0:42:03 | |
whichever party you belong to,
has put the country back together. | 0:42:03 | 0:42:05 | |
And actually come up
with a partnership | 0:42:05 | 0:42:07 | |
that can reconcile people. | 0:42:07 | 0:42:08 | |
OK, we will see what happens. | 0:42:08 | 0:42:09 | |
Government together
on it would be a start. | 0:42:09 | 0:42:11 | |
And the Labour Party. | 0:42:11 | 0:42:12 | |
We will see what happens
in the Commons next week. | 0:42:12 | 0:42:15 | |
Rural life as we know
it is disappearing fast. | 0:42:15 | 0:42:17 | |
That was the warning this
week from the National | 0:42:17 | 0:42:19 | |
Housing Federation. | 0:42:19 | 0:42:20 | |
A report by the organisation
claims the rural | 0:42:20 | 0:42:22 | |
population will fall by 1%
in the next 20 years. | 0:42:22 | 0:42:24 | |
Young people are being
forced out by high house | 0:42:24 | 0:42:28 | |
prices and poor broadband
and transport infrastructure. | 0:42:28 | 0:42:29 | |
Johnny Rutherford has
been taking a look at | 0:42:29 | 0:42:31 | |
its findings. | 0:42:31 | 0:42:40 | |
So I was thinking,
where could I film | 0:42:40 | 0:42:42 | |
to get a model example
of a | 0:42:42 | 0:42:44 | |
rural village? | 0:42:44 | 0:42:45 | |
And then it came to me. | 0:42:45 | 0:42:46 | |
Well, I needed a rural village that
still definitely had a school, | 0:42:46 | 0:42:49 | |
a post office, a shop,
a church and a good old pub. | 0:42:49 | 0:42:52 | |
But really, let's get
this in perspective. | 0:42:52 | 0:42:56 | |
According to figures
from the National Housing | 0:42:56 | 0:42:58 | |
Federation this week, classical
community villages are becoming | 0:42:58 | 0:43:01 | |
fewer. | 0:43:01 | 0:43:06 | |
Scenes like this could really and up
as museum pieces if the | 0:43:06 | 0:43:09 | |
decline continues. | 0:43:09 | 0:43:10 | |
In the last five years,
figures show the Southwest | 0:43:10 | 0:43:12 | |
has seen five rural schools close,
nine post offices shut | 0:43:12 | 0:43:15 | |
up shop, and 217 pubs
pulled their last pints. | 0:43:15 | 0:43:22 | |
I hesitate to put it as crudely
as this, but it is out of | 0:43:22 | 0:43:25 | |
sight, out of mind. | 0:43:25 | 0:43:26 | |
I don't see any reason why
somebody by dint of the | 0:43:26 | 0:43:29 | |
geography where they live, should be
seriously disadvantaged in their | 0:43:29 | 0:43:33 | |
access to services that
the rest of society gets. | 0:43:33 | 0:43:39 | |
It's thought that building
clusters of affordable | 0:43:39 | 0:43:42 | |
housing on the edges of our villages
could stem the drain of young people | 0:43:42 | 0:43:46 | |
and families. | 0:43:46 | 0:43:47 | |
Young people and working age
people and families are | 0:43:47 | 0:43:52 | |
being forced out of villages,
because they can't afford to | 0:43:52 | 0:43:54 | |
live there. | 0:43:54 | 0:43:55 | |
With young people and families
moving out, what is | 0:43:55 | 0:43:57 | |
happening is services
are closing down. | 0:43:57 | 0:43:59 | |
If you haven't got the houses,
you are not even at the starting | 0:43:59 | 0:44:02 | |
point. | 0:44:02 | 0:44:03 | |
We need houses in the community
for people to live in. | 0:44:03 | 0:44:05 | |
And then the services
come afterwards. | 0:44:05 | 0:44:08 | |
Also affecting already squeezed
families in the run-up to Christmas, | 0:44:08 | 0:44:12 | |
this week we heard the price of food
and soft drinks were up by 4.1% | 0:44:12 | 0:44:16 | |
since last year. | 0:44:16 | 0:44:18 | |
And vegetables by even more. | 0:44:18 | 0:44:20 | |
The Office for National Statistics
say those costs though | 0:44:20 | 0:44:24 | |
are offset by lower petrol costs -
cold comfort according to the | 0:44:24 | 0:44:27 | |
Resolution Foundation. | 0:44:27 | 0:44:30 | |
As prices rise faster,
the impact of the | 0:44:30 | 0:44:32 | |
public sector take-up on workers
in that sector gets all the harsher. | 0:44:32 | 0:44:35 | |
But perhaps even more
importantly for a lower | 0:44:35 | 0:44:37 | |
income households,
who | 0:44:37 | 0:44:38 | |
are particularly feeling the effects
at the moment, is the freeze on | 0:44:38 | 0:44:41 | |
nearly all working age benefits. | 0:44:41 | 0:44:45 | |
That gets harsher,
the faster inflation rises. | 0:44:45 | 0:44:49 | |
The Chancellor should
definitely do something about | 0:44:49 | 0:44:50 | |
that when he stands
up at the budget. | 0:44:50 | 0:44:53 | |
Meanwhile, farmers, a big
part of rural life, face | 0:44:53 | 0:44:55 | |
unprecedented change with Brexit. | 0:44:55 | 0:45:00 | |
They are worried their produce
will be undercut by cheap | 0:45:00 | 0:45:02 | |
foreign imports. | 0:45:02 | 0:45:04 | |
They may be little communities,
but they have big questions. | 0:45:04 | 0:45:08 | |
It is hoped the Chancellor
won't overlook them when | 0:45:08 | 0:45:10 | |
he delivers his budget next week. | 0:45:10 | 0:45:14 | |
You'll be all right. | 0:45:14 | 0:45:16 | |
At least you're close to the pub. | 0:45:16 | 0:45:24 | |
George, you are deaf minister with a
keen interest in this. There has | 0:45:24 | 0:45:29 | |
been talk of rural proofing all
policies in the past, hasn't there? | 0:45:29 | 0:45:36 | |
Still this criticism stands. A lot
of this is demographic change. You | 0:45:36 | 0:45:41 | |
have an ageing population in rural
communities. One of the challenges | 0:45:41 | 0:45:45 | |
is getting the right kind of
affordable housing for young | 0:45:45 | 0:45:48 | |
families. That would help the
village school, shops, all sorts of | 0:45:48 | 0:45:52 | |
things. Part of the key with our
villages is to enable incremental | 0:45:52 | 0:45:58 | |
modest extensions to those villages
with affordable houses so you can | 0:45:58 | 0:46:01 | |
slightly change the demographic and
get more younger people there and | 0:46:01 | 0:46:05 | |
improve the population. There has
been a lot of work done to try to | 0:46:05 | 0:46:08 | |
safeguard post offices. £2 billion
has been spent on rural post offices | 0:46:08 | 0:46:15 | |
in the last seven years. And some
3000 have been protected where they | 0:46:15 | 0:46:20 | |
are the last shop in the village or
a community. There is no programme | 0:46:20 | 0:46:26 | |
of systematic post office closure,
as there was under Gordon Brown. We | 0:46:26 | 0:46:30 | |
scrapped all of that. But the
ultimate solution is to try to get a | 0:46:30 | 0:46:35 | |
change to the demographic. You were
an adviser to Gordon Brown. I seem | 0:46:35 | 0:46:40 | |
to recall you even had a rural czar.
We are still left with people... One | 0:46:40 | 0:46:49 | |
of the big problems we are facing in
our rural communities is actually | 0:46:49 | 0:46:52 | |
there is a higher incidence of low
pay in rural areas. It is not just | 0:46:52 | 0:47:00 | |
on housing, although it is a big
issue. You have got this additional | 0:47:00 | 0:47:04 | |
disadvantaged in rural communities
of the low pay making the housing | 0:47:04 | 0:47:08 | |
more and more unaffordable. You
can't deal with just the housing. | 0:47:08 | 0:47:13 | |
You have to look at getting in the
infrastructure in place. And | 0:47:13 | 0:47:18 | |
employment as well. To keep our
young people in our region, never | 0:47:18 | 0:47:22 | |
mind just the rural communities.
George, I want to make the most of | 0:47:22 | 0:47:27 | |
the fact we have you here as farming
Minister. On that point, we have | 0:47:27 | 0:47:32 | |
heard this in select committee
hearings, farmers very concerned | 0:47:32 | 0:47:36 | |
they could be new trade deals which
allow cheap produce, livestock | 0:47:36 | 0:47:45 | |
raised, -- livestock raised at lower
standards than in the UK, | 0:47:45 | 0:47:49 | |
undercutting and ultimately
destroying them? We have high | 0:47:49 | 0:47:52 | |
standards of food safety and animal
welfare. We will protect that. Is | 0:47:52 | 0:48:00 | |
this clear in government, but this
is something Michael Gove wants to | 0:48:00 | 0:48:03 | |
do? What you can do in these sort of
negotiations is, it is possible to | 0:48:03 | 0:48:09 | |
say that he will do a free-trade
agreement, allow some produce in, | 0:48:09 | 0:48:13 | |
provided the meat equivalent
standards to the UK. It is a common | 0:48:13 | 0:48:18 | |
thing in trade negotiations. We had
similar things with Canada. We | 0:48:18 | 0:48:22 | |
enabled them to sell some products
here provided it is at the same | 0:48:22 | 0:48:26 | |
standard as ours. That is quite
common. Our major market for a | 0:48:26 | 0:48:32 | |
farming produce is the European
Union. Actually the outcome of the | 0:48:32 | 0:48:36 | |
negotiations in relation to the EU -
UK in the future is what will matter | 0:48:36 | 0:48:41 | |
to our livestock farmers. Keeping
the standards as well, so that we | 0:48:41 | 0:48:46 | |
have the related standard. I know
the debate about the chlorinated | 0:48:46 | 0:48:51 | |
chicken in the US is something we
simply don't want to see in the UK. | 0:48:51 | 0:48:56 | |
But we've got to make sure that our
farmers have access. That is the | 0:48:56 | 0:49:01 | |
stuff going the other way. That is
the big thing for Elan producers in | 0:49:01 | 0:49:05 | |
the south-west. They were saying
before the select committee a couple | 0:49:05 | 0:49:09 | |
of weeks ago that if they don't get
the tariff free access, it will be | 0:49:09 | 0:49:14 | |
cataclysmic debarred from them. Can
you guarantee they will and if so | 0:49:14 | 0:49:18 | |
how will you achieve it? Trade cuts
both ways. With the European Union | 0:49:18 | 0:49:23 | |
we have a trade deficit of 60
billion plus a year. There are | 0:49:23 | 0:49:29 | |
dangers producers of bacon, Iris
producers of beef, Spanish producers | 0:49:29 | 0:49:32 | |
of tomatoes, French producers of
wine, who desperately need access to | 0:49:32 | 0:49:38 | |
the UK market. That is why I am
confident we can do the free-trade | 0:49:38 | 0:49:42 | |
agreement. We have similar
regulatory structures, identical at | 0:49:42 | 0:49:46 | |
the moment. They will not be changed
in a hurry. It is quite possible to | 0:49:46 | 0:49:51 | |
recognise the equivalent and put in
place a comprehensive customs | 0:49:51 | 0:49:53 | |
agreement. There is no simplicity.
We saw from the sauce me scandal | 0:49:53 | 0:50:04 | |
there are cross-border supply
chains. A Danish bacon producer | 0:50:04 | 0:50:11 | |
bring their pork to Cornwall to
produce their bacon here. It is not | 0:50:11 | 0:50:16 | |
as if we can go, it's dead simple,
it will be sorted because they need | 0:50:16 | 0:50:20 | |
us. There are 27 under -- other
countries. It is in their interests | 0:50:20 | 0:50:32 | |
to do that free-trade agreement. | 0:50:32 | 0:50:33 | |
Crowdfunding - if you haven't heard
of it, expect to soon. | 0:50:33 | 0:50:36 | |
It is the latest way
of raising money for projects. | 0:50:36 | 0:50:43 | |
Rather than go to the bank
for a loan, people with new business | 0:50:43 | 0:50:46 | |
ideas increasingly go online and ask
people to pledge money. | 0:50:46 | 0:50:49 | |
It's not just businesses
trying to get people | 0:50:49 | 0:50:50 | |
to invest directly in projects. | 0:50:51 | 0:50:52 | |
Councils grappling with an ever
tighter squeeze on the public purse | 0:50:52 | 0:50:54 | |
are seizing the opportunity, too. | 0:50:54 | 0:50:59 | |
Take a Plymouth Street with a long
history. A building that became a | 0:50:59 | 0:51:04 | |
derelict eyesore. And some locals
with a vision. And it's now a | 0:51:04 | 0:51:09 | |
vibrant community space. It hosts
activities from yoga to African | 0:51:09 | 0:51:19 | |
drumming to Cub Scouts, thanks to a
crowdfunding project. Cash pledges | 0:51:19 | 0:51:23 | |
from people in the area and a
helping hand from Plymouth City | 0:51:23 | 0:51:26 | |
Council. We knew once we had got 25%
of our target in, they would chime | 0:51:26 | 0:51:34 | |
in with 5000, which is 50% of our
target. That was a game changer when | 0:51:34 | 0:51:41 | |
that £5,000 turned up into our
account. We could see the finish | 0:51:41 | 0:51:44 | |
line. Plymouth was the first council
in the country to partner with South | 0:51:44 | 0:51:47 | |
West -based cried fund .co .uk. We
all know local authorities are under | 0:51:47 | 0:51:58 | |
financial pressure. Is it there to
replace things that you should be | 0:51:58 | 0:52:01 | |
doing? For this particular fund it
is about spending it in a way the | 0:52:01 | 0:52:07 | |
community want to spend it, and
using crowd fonder as an indicator | 0:52:07 | 0:52:10 | |
for what projects they like to see.
That doesn't preclude statutory | 0:52:10 | 0:52:17 | |
projects. If they went up and people
were willing to back in their own | 0:52:17 | 0:52:22 | |
money, which sometimes they are.
Equally we can place towards those. | 0:52:22 | 0:52:27 | |
Towards library works, road changes.
If the community are behind it, we | 0:52:27 | 0:52:32 | |
can pledge to it. Cried fund a
Plymouth has hit its million mark. | 0:52:32 | 0:52:37 | |
The South West councils are
following suit. In Dorset, a cried | 0:52:37 | 0:52:41 | |
from the platform has been used for
youth service funding. In Cornwall, | 0:52:41 | 0:52:45 | |
the council is getting involved in
projects like this. On a Roger | 0:52:45 | 0:52:53 | |
largerscale in London, crowdfunding
has been used for things like | 0:52:53 | 0:52:56 | |
libraries, with political backing
from the top. Help you make a | 0:52:56 | 0:53:01 | |
difference in your local area. What
is the thinking of Cornwall about | 0:53:01 | 0:53:06 | |
claims authorities are crowdfunding
their way out of a financial crisis? | 0:53:06 | 0:53:10 | |
That is not what we are doing. We're
not asking the crowd or the | 0:53:10 | 0:53:15 | |
communities to fund statutory
services. This has added value to | 0:53:15 | 0:53:19 | |
it. And things community really want
to get involved in. Baguette union | 0:53:19 | 0:53:24 | |
corner, this woman was part of the
crowdfunding team for the Council. | 0:53:24 | 0:53:33 | |
She is clear there is a lying on how
and what councils should fund. It is | 0:53:33 | 0:53:38 | |
a tricky line. The money Plymouth
City Council pledge comes from | 0:53:38 | 0:53:43 | |
developers. It is not a budget that
has been cut from somewhere else is | 0:53:43 | 0:53:49 | |
to make savings. It has been great
opening up union corner. We have | 0:53:49 | 0:53:56 | |
seen changes in behaviour. This part
of Plymouth has high deprivation | 0:53:56 | 0:54:00 | |
levels. It has a licensed sex trade.
One of those shots as gone since | 0:54:00 | 0:54:06 | |
union corner open. Have you noticed
the area changing? Yeah, three | 0:54:06 | 0:54:12 | |
businesses have opened. As
communities benefit and cried fund | 0:54:12 | 0:54:17 | |
Plymouth celebrates a £1 million
milestone, any plans to extend the | 0:54:17 | 0:54:20 | |
things it likes to fund would be a
political decision. | 0:54:20 | 0:54:26 | |
In a statement since that peace was
shot, Plymouth City Council said | 0:54:26 | 0:54:31 | |
they do not use crowdfunding for a
statutory services and have no plans | 0:54:31 | 0:54:35 | |
to do so. Claire, it struck me
watching that peace, you have a | 0:54:35 | 0:54:41 | |
Conservative council, a Lib Dem led
council and a labourer may also in, | 0:54:41 | 0:54:45 | |
this is marvellous. It is the Labour
may who is making the most thorough | 0:54:45 | 0:54:50 | |
use of this. -- Labour mayor. For
libraries, that seems staggering, | 0:54:50 | 0:54:58 | |
doesn't it? The crowdfunding in
Plymouth was actually started under | 0:54:58 | 0:55:03 | |
Labour. We are fully in favour of
supporting communities developing | 0:55:03 | 0:55:11 | |
projects in their communities like
the one we saw just now. And | 0:55:11 | 0:55:18 | |
facilitating those, helping those
work. Adding something extra, as was | 0:55:18 | 0:55:21 | |
said in the peace. That is the
important part. What is the | 0:55:21 | 0:55:25 | |
difference between Jacob Rees-Mogg
saying people providing food for | 0:55:25 | 0:55:35 | |
food banks is uplifting, and
crowdfunding? People on the left | 0:55:35 | 0:55:42 | |
jumped on Jacob Rees-Mogg and said
it was outrageous. This is the point | 0:55:42 | 0:55:46 | |
about statutory services at what we
as a society, as a whole, should be | 0:55:46 | 0:55:52 | |
supporting people. We have seen the
cuts to local government. They have | 0:55:52 | 0:55:55 | |
been dramatic. There are statutory
services. They are statutory for a | 0:55:55 | 0:56:02 | |
reason. They shouldn't be subject to
whether or not people are | 0:56:02 | 0:56:06 | |
fund-raising. The point being fund
raising provide that additional -- | 0:56:06 | 0:56:13 | |
those additional pieces. People
being | 0:56:13 | 0:56:15 | |
those additional pieces. People
being able to eat is not an extra. | 0:56:15 | 0:56:18 | |
At some point a line is crossed. I
can see that you have got a | 0:56:18 | 0:56:22 | |
playground at one end of the
spectrum. Statutory services at the | 0:56:22 | 0:56:26 | |
other. A lot of people would say
that libraries are core services | 0:56:26 | 0:56:31 | |
that people traditionally expect
local authorities to provide? I | 0:56:31 | 0:56:37 | |
would say that as well. I would want
libraries to because services. But | 0:56:37 | 0:56:42 | |
the other point, what we are also
dealing with, is the cuts that have | 0:56:42 | 0:56:47 | |
happened to local government. When
you get down to the bone, if it is | 0:56:47 | 0:56:51 | |
about providing a care service, or a
library, you have to provide the | 0:56:51 | 0:56:55 | |
care service. You have to make sure
those statutory services are in | 0:56:55 | 0:57:00 | |
place. Rightly or wrongly, big
libraries aren't necessarily seen as | 0:57:00 | 0:57:04 | |
statutory. I don't think it is new
to have fund-raising appeals for | 0:57:04 | 0:57:08 | |
certain projects. 30 years ago a
Leisure Centre in my constituency | 0:57:08 | 0:57:14 | |
had private fundraising to raise
money towards the local athletics | 0:57:14 | 0:57:18 | |
track. They have got a similar
fundraising appeal now done through | 0:57:18 | 0:57:21 | |
crowdfunding to raise an amount to
refurbish their swimming pool. I | 0:57:21 | 0:57:25 | |
think these operations have got more
authenticity when they are done by a | 0:57:25 | 0:57:28 | |
community trust or a particular
organisation, a charity that is | 0:57:28 | 0:57:34 | |
behind a project. But equally, if a
local authority getting involved can | 0:57:34 | 0:57:38 | |
help get more people engaged, I
don't have a problem. But I think it | 0:57:38 | 0:57:41 | |
should really be for capital assets,
community assets, where people know | 0:57:41 | 0:57:46 | |
where their money is going and know
that it is not going to be | 0:57:46 | 0:57:49 | |
displacing other activities. Is
there a line in your view that | 0:57:49 | 0:57:54 | |
shouldn't be crossed? I think with
libraries, that is probably on the | 0:57:54 | 0:58:01 | |
borderline. The truth is that
library usage has been going down as | 0:58:01 | 0:58:04 | |
more people have access to the
Internet and they are not using | 0:58:04 | 0:58:07 | |
libraries as much. Local authorities
do have quite a dilemma about | 0:58:07 | 0:58:11 | |
whether they keep those libraries
open. In many cases local town | 0:58:11 | 0:58:16 | |
councils have taken them on because
they have judged they are an | 0:58:16 | 0:58:20 | |
important asset. In some cases town
councils will move their offices | 0:58:20 | 0:58:25 | |
into libraries to give them an
additional function and more | 0:58:25 | 0:58:28 | |
revenue. There are a lot of
different ways to do this. Things | 0:58:28 | 0:58:32 | |
like sporting facilities and
community assets is what it should | 0:58:32 | 0:58:35 | |
really do.
Time for a round-up of the political | 0:58:35 | 0:58:37 | |
week in 60 seconds.
South West Headteachers have signed | 0:58:37 | 0:58:48 | |
a letter urging the chance to
increase funding for schools. The | 0:58:48 | 0:58:54 | |
Humphrey Davies School joined the
delegation to Downing Street. I know | 0:58:54 | 0:58:58 | |
schools that are cutting back and
are not able to offer the full | 0:58:58 | 0:59:01 | |
curriculum. I have had to go through
redundancy processes. Somerset's out | 0:59:01 | 0:59:06 | |
of hours GP service is being
asked... Is easier to do that than | 0:59:06 | 0:59:14 | |
have patients waiting for hours and
potentially not getting assessed. | 0:59:14 | 0:59:17 | |
Could South West water end up back
in public hands? It is only a matter | 0:59:17 | 0:59:22 | |
of time, according to this expert. I
would actually be -- be very | 0:59:22 | 0:59:27 | |
surprised if in five years these
companies are still in private | 0:59:27 | 0:59:29 | |
hands.
And she was the first woman to take | 0:59:29 | 0:59:34 | |
a seat in the House of Commons. Now
almost 100 years on, the campaign to | 0:59:34 | 0:59:38 | |
build a statue to Plymouth's Nancy
Astor. It is about time we started | 0:59:38 | 0:59:44 | |
celebrating this important first.
George, education funding a massive | 0:59:44 | 0:59:51 | |
issue during the election. Shortly
after the election the government | 0:59:51 | 0:59:55 | |
said it had listened and come up
with a solution. This week we have | 0:59:55 | 0:59:59 | |
seen Headteachers from across the
country saying, you have entirely | 0:59:59 | 1:00:02 | |
failed to do that? I don't accept
that. They are the experts, and | 1:00:02 | 1:00:08 | |
they? People will always want more
money. There is always ways of | 1:00:08 | 1:00:14 | |
spending money. If you look at what
actually happened, it has been an | 1:00:14 | 1:00:17 | |
historic injustice with rural
communities getting less. We changed | 1:00:17 | 1:00:20 | |
the formula to rebalance that, to
add... If these Headteachers were | 1:00:20 | 1:00:26 | |
unhappy and the parents are unhappy,
and your councils are unhappy, it | 1:00:26 | 1:00:30 | |
causes trouble for you as a
government, as individual MPs? My | 1:00:30 | 1:00:36 | |
view is that we responded to the
fact that there was concern at some | 1:00:36 | 1:00:40 | |
schools -- about some schools were
going to have a reduction in the | 1:00:40 | 1:00:43 | |
budget. Up to 1%. Straight after
that we put an extra £1.3 billion in | 1:00:43 | 1:00:50 | |
in order to ensure that all schools
get an increase. Those schools will | 1:00:50 | 1:00:54 | |
have a cut as a result of the
changes. You would spend more money, | 1:00:54 | 1:00:58 | |
where will you find it? This is
investing in our future in these | 1:00:58 | 1:01:06 | |
schools. What you are not saying is
that actually these schools are | 1:01:06 | 1:01:11 | |
seeing real terms cuts. That is
going on year-on-year on year. We | 1:01:11 | 1:01:16 | |
are facing a crisis into the future
with the education system. We are | 1:01:16 | 1:01:20 | |
talking about community funding, we
are seeing all schools having to go | 1:01:20 | 1:01:23 | |
to parents to ask for money because
they have too. Not for additional | 1:01:23 | 1:01:27 | |
things. It is a real crisis that we
are facing. | 1:01:27 | 1:01:30 | |
Thank | 1:01:30 | 1:01:32 | |
Philip Hammond will deliver his
Budget on Wednesday - | 1:01:39 | 1:01:42 | |
he's moved it to the Autumn
if you remember - and he'll be | 1:01:42 | 1:01:45 | |
hoping it can help re-define
the Government in the eyes | 1:01:45 | 1:01:47 | |
of the public. | 1:01:47 | 1:01:48 | |
But when it comes to
the economy, do people trust | 1:01:48 | 1:01:52 | |
the Conservatives, or Labour? | 1:01:52 | 1:01:53 | |
Here's Ellie Price
with the moodbox. | 1:01:53 | 1:01:58 | |
MUSIC: The Road to Nowhere
by Talking Heads. | 1:01:58 | 1:02:06 | |
All eyes will be on the Chancellor
this week as we find out | 1:02:06 | 1:02:09 | |
what he has been cooking
up in his Budget. | 1:02:09 | 1:02:11 | |
So we have pulled off the A1
near Peterborough to ask people here | 1:02:11 | 1:02:14 | |
who they trust with the economy -
is it the Chancellor, | 1:02:14 | 1:02:17 | |
Philip Hammond, or is it
Labour's John McDonnell? | 1:02:17 | 1:02:24 | |
No 7. | 1:02:24 | 1:02:27 | |
Which one's Tory? | 1:02:27 | 1:02:33 | |
I voted Conservative
for the last two | 1:02:39 | 1:02:40 | |
elections, don't feel very confident
now, so I'm going to swap. | 1:02:40 | 1:02:45 | |
If I said to you which
of these characters | 1:02:45 | 1:02:47 | |
would you trust with the economy,
what would you say? | 1:02:47 | 1:02:50 | |
The one who's currently
running it, because they | 1:02:50 | 1:02:52 | |
seem to be bringing
the deficit down. | 1:02:52 | 1:02:53 | |
Labour. | 1:02:53 | 1:02:54 | |
Why? | 1:02:54 | 1:02:55 | |
Because I'm an NHS worker. | 1:02:55 | 1:02:58 | |
For me, it's just about
spending, public spending. | 1:02:58 | 1:03:01 | |
Labour always overspend. | 1:03:01 | 1:03:06 | |
John McDonnell, I think
capitalism as we know it is tanked | 1:03:06 | 1:03:12 | |
and I think we need
a radical re-think. | 1:03:12 | 1:03:17 | |
Broken his egg, who do you trust
more on the economy? | 1:03:17 | 1:03:20 | |
No one. | 1:03:20 | 1:03:21 | |
Why? | 1:03:21 | 1:03:23 | |
Because they never come up trumps
with anything that they | 1:03:23 | 1:03:28 | |
reckon they're going to do. | 1:03:28 | 1:03:30 | |
If I had to make you
choose one of them? | 1:03:30 | 1:03:32 | |
The man that's there, Hammond. | 1:03:32 | 1:03:34 | |
I wouldn't trust
Philip Hammond with a | 1:03:34 | 1:03:35 | |
bag of marbles or a plastic ball! | 1:03:35 | 1:03:41 | |
Hello, Bob. | 1:03:41 | 1:03:42 | |
Oh, hello. | 1:03:42 | 1:03:44 | |
Who do you trust
more on the economy? | 1:03:44 | 1:03:45 | |
Oh, the Conservatives. | 1:03:45 | 1:03:46 | |
Do you?
Why's that? | 1:03:46 | 1:03:48 | |
I just think they're better
for the small businessman. | 1:03:48 | 1:03:51 | |
We need a Maggie or
a Winston Churchill, | 1:03:51 | 1:03:53 | |
somebody in there with
balls to say, right, | 1:03:53 | 1:03:56 | |
that's the direction
we are | 1:03:56 | 1:03:57 | |
going in, that's what
we are going to do. | 1:03:57 | 1:03:59 | |
I've got balls! | 1:03:59 | 1:04:01 | |
What are you doing? | 1:04:01 | 1:04:03 | |
Putting balls in holes
by the look of it! | 1:04:03 | 1:04:10 | |
I suppose the lesser of the two
evils is anything but Tory, | 1:04:10 | 1:04:13 | |
but I say that without a great
deal of conviction. | 1:04:13 | 1:04:15 | |
Having grown up in the '70s
with all the rubbish on the | 1:04:15 | 1:04:18 | |
streets, the strikes, the unions. | 1:04:18 | 1:04:19 | |
Re-nationalisation and they're
going to spend a lot of money | 1:04:19 | 1:04:23 | |
and increase taxes and it will pull
the country down. | 1:04:23 | 1:04:29 | |
I've seen an awful loft of all-day
breakfasts today, but it | 1:04:29 | 1:04:32 | |
is clearing up time here
at the diner and time | 1:04:32 | 1:04:36 | |
to reveal the Moodbox. | 1:04:36 | 1:04:38 | |
Take it away, Tim. | 1:04:38 | 1:04:39 | |
As you can say it was
a close-run thing, but | 1:04:39 | 1:04:42 | |
like any fiscally responsible
Chancellor, I've done my maths and | 1:04:42 | 1:04:44 | |
counted and Philip Hammond got six
more votes than John McDonnell. | 1:04:44 | 1:04:51 | |
Oh, chip, thank you very much! | 1:04:51 | 1:04:55 | |
That was Ellie and the entirely
unscientific Moodbox, | 1:04:55 | 1:04:57 | |
at the Stibbington diner near
Peterborough. | 1:04:57 | 1:05:00 | |
But for a slightly more scientific
understanding of how the public view | 1:05:00 | 1:05:03 | |
the parties on this and other
issues, let's have a look | 1:05:03 | 1:05:05 | |
at some recent polling. | 1:05:05 | 1:05:07 | |
Here's where the Conservatives
and Labour stood on the economy back | 1:05:07 | 1:05:09 | |
when the Prime Minister called
the snap election in April, | 1:05:09 | 1:05:13 | |
when the Conservatives had a big
lead, as they did in many | 1:05:13 | 1:05:16 | |
other areas. | 1:05:16 | 1:05:17 | |
The most recent poll by the same
company reckoned Labour had narrowed | 1:05:17 | 1:05:21 | |
the gap significantly,
as they have in other areas, | 1:05:21 | 1:05:23 | |
although they're still 10 points
behind the Tories on this issue. | 1:05:23 | 1:05:28 | |
And there was another survey much
discussed at Westminster this week, | 1:05:28 | 1:05:32 | |
showing that while the gap
between Theresa May | 1:05:32 | 1:05:37 | |
and Jeremy Corbyn has narrowed
drastically since that pre-election | 1:05:37 | 1:05:39 | |
period, Mrs May is,
despite her many problems, | 1:05:39 | 1:05:41 | |
still pretty much level-pegging
in polling terms or | 1:05:41 | 1:05:43 | |
even slightly ahead. | 1:05:43 | 1:05:44 | |
And when it comes to how
people intend to vote | 1:05:44 | 1:05:47 | |
while the Tories are behind,
there's no sign of a | 1:05:47 | 1:05:49 | |
big Labour lead yet. | 1:05:49 | 1:05:51 | |
Tony Blair thinks that,
given the current "mess" | 1:05:51 | 1:05:53 | |
inside the Government,
Jeremy Corbyn's party should be | 1:05:53 | 1:05:57 | |
10 or 15 points ahead. | 1:05:57 | 1:06:00 | |
Well, many in Labour will find it
easy to dismiss both Tony Blair | 1:06:00 | 1:06:03 | |
and the opinion polls, as they both
called the last election entirely | 1:06:03 | 1:06:06 | |
wrong, so what if anything do
these polls tell us? | 1:06:06 | 1:06:13 | |
Let's turn to our expert panel.
Labour are now eight points on the | 1:06:13 | 1:06:21 | |
economy, according to a poll. Why is
there a gap between Labour and the | 1:06:21 | 1:06:26 | |
Tories? There seems to be a
deep-seated reservation in the minds | 1:06:26 | 1:06:32 | |
of many voters. They look at Jeremy
Corbyn and John McDonnell and | 1:06:32 | 1:06:35 | |
imagine them in charge of the
country, the finances, national | 1:06:35 | 1:06:41 | |
security, and think... It is
unfashionable to point out in many | 1:06:41 | 1:06:44 | |
circles that Labour did not win the
last election, and it didn't win it | 1:06:44 | 1:06:49 | |
for that kind of reason. Jeremy
Corbyn is very good at attracting | 1:06:49 | 1:06:55 | |
and inspiring young people and
people who had not voted before. We | 1:06:55 | 1:07:00 | |
underestimated his capacity to do
that. But he wasn't great at turning | 1:07:00 | 1:07:07 | |
Tories to Labour, or sealing off
those final reservations. The | 1:07:07 | 1:07:11 | |
government have had a shambolic few
weeks. We are tripping over | 1:07:11 | 1:07:16 | |
resigning a cabinet ministers. They
are fighting like ferrets. A lot of | 1:07:16 | 1:07:20 | |
people are having a really tough
time and looking at the government | 1:07:20 | 1:07:23 | |
to help them, and are unimpressed
with what they see. But there seems | 1:07:23 | 1:07:27 | |
to be a final fence that Corbyn does
not seem to be able to get over. | 1:07:27 | 1:07:35 | |
Isn't Tony Blair right, that Labour
should be 15 or 20 points ahead? I | 1:07:35 | 1:07:40 | |
think he's completely wrong, and is
revealing he is out of date. I think | 1:07:40 | 1:07:45 | |
Labour are in a really good
position. If you look at what they | 1:07:45 | 1:07:48 | |
have achieved in the last year,
going into Christmas 2016, Corbyn | 1:07:48 | 1:07:54 | |
had just managed to avoid, had to
re-fight Labour leadership contest. | 1:07:54 | 1:08:00 | |
They were 20 points behind. Theresa
May was at the top of her game. | 1:08:00 | 1:08:07 | |
Through the general election and
beyond it, they have continued to | 1:08:07 | 1:08:11 | |
build their movement. They are very
effective on social media. I think | 1:08:11 | 1:08:16 | |
they are in a strong position, and
they need about 60 seats to win the | 1:08:16 | 1:08:21 | |
next general election. They will
probably start with 25 of those. The | 1:08:21 | 1:08:27 | |
fact that they are closing the gap
on the economy suggests that a lot | 1:08:27 | 1:08:30 | |
of voters are now giving them a
chance or a hearing, which they | 1:08:30 | 1:08:35 | |
certainly were not getting a year
ago. I think they have done very | 1:08:35 | 1:08:39 | |
well. Can they be confident with a
slim lead against the government? I | 1:08:39 | 1:08:45 | |
am slightly more with Tony Blair
than with Iain. This goes back to | 1:08:45 | 1:08:50 | |
that very general election result. A
huge turnout for Labour for Jeremy | 1:08:50 | 1:08:57 | |
Corbyn. If you asked that same 40%
of people today, do you want Jeremy | 1:08:57 | 1:09:05 | |
Corbyn to be Prime Minister? Where
you really voting for Jeremy Corbyn | 1:09:05 | 1:09:08 | |
to lead the British governmentanswer
is no, because Theresa May still, | 1:09:08 | 1:09:14 | |
despite the fact she is presiding
over a shambolic cabinet, she has | 1:09:14 | 1:09:18 | |
the most support for Prime Minister.
The last general election may have | 1:09:18 | 1:09:25 | |
just been a giant by-election,
because everyone was so short that | 1:09:25 | 1:09:31 | |
Theresa May would get in. The
Chancellor Philip Hammond gave | 1:09:31 | 1:09:35 | |
Labour a bit of a gift, when he
said, there were not any unemployed | 1:09:35 | 1:09:42 | |
people in Britain. A slip of the
tongue. Was that damaging? You have | 1:09:42 | 1:09:48 | |
to look at the context he was saying
it in, which will not be the context | 1:09:48 | 1:09:52 | |
of the Facebook meme you will get
shortly. He was asked about future | 1:09:52 | 1:10:00 | |
unemployment, and he was saying that
when technological advances came, | 1:10:00 | 1:10:11 | |
unemployment didn't materialise.
They would not be able to use that | 1:10:11 | 1:10:16 | |
against him so easily if it didn't
have something that people think | 1:10:16 | 1:10:21 | |
about the Conservative government,
which is that they are out of touch, | 1:10:21 | 1:10:24 | |
they have no idea about some people,
that they refuse to see what they | 1:10:24 | 1:10:28 | |
have done. People have that idea
about the Conservatives, so to drop | 1:10:28 | 1:10:33 | |
a bit of a clanger in that regard...
The budget is on Wednesday, and also | 1:10:33 | 1:10:40 | |
this week, the Brexit committee will
be meeting. What will they be | 1:10:40 | 1:10:43 | |
talking about and why does it
matter? What Stephen Hammond said to | 1:10:43 | 1:10:49 | |
you a few moments ago was
fascinating. Tomorrow is going to be | 1:10:49 | 1:10:52 | |
the big meeting. It is the
negotiations committee. Nine or so | 1:10:52 | 1:10:58 | |
ministers have recently been
included in that, like Michael Gove. | 1:10:58 | 1:11:01 | |
They are going to be talking about
the money, precisely how much they | 1:11:01 | 1:11:06 | |
offer in two weeks' time to meet
this deadline in the December | 1:11:06 | 1:11:11 | |
council for phase two. Michael Gove
and Boris Johnson want to add in | 1:11:11 | 1:11:15 | |
conditions. They want to say, we
will give you this as long as we get | 1:11:15 | 1:11:20 | |
that. What was fascinating with
Stephen Hammond just now was that he | 1:11:20 | 1:11:25 | |
revealed that it wasn't just the
Brexiteers in Cabinet who want a | 1:11:25 | 1:11:28 | |
more precise definition of what we
are going for, it is the remainers | 1:11:28 | 1:11:38 | |
as well. In the heart of the
government, David Davis is trying to | 1:11:38 | 1:11:43 | |
keep the bill as low as possible,
possibly around 30%. The divorce | 1:11:43 | 1:11:50 | |
Bill and future liabilities. Some in
the civil service have suggested | 1:11:50 | 1:11:57 | |
that it has to be 40 or above. What
it reveals to me is really, it's | 1:11:57 | 1:12:04 | |
another function of Britain not
really having a proper Prime | 1:12:04 | 1:12:08 | |
Minister. In normal circumstances,
of course the Cabinet is divided. A | 1:12:08 | 1:12:13 | |
strong leader would say, right, this
is what is happening. This is where | 1:12:13 | 1:12:17 | |
we are going. We will call it 35 or
40 billion. We will save to the | 1:12:17 | 1:12:23 | |
European Union, there is the check,
but it will not have a signature on | 1:12:23 | 1:12:27 | |
it until we are satisfied with the
next | 1:12:27 | 1:12:40 | |
stage. The government is hampered by
the lack of a strong personality who | 1:12:46 | 1:12:49 | |
could do that, make a political play
with other European leaders that | 1:12:49 | 1:12:51 | |
might break the deadlock. Presumably
that is why the full Cabinet have | 1:12:51 | 1:12:53 | |
not discussed what the future Brexit
deal will be. That is the | 1:12:53 | 1:12:56 | |
astonishing thing. There has been no
sort of vision of what Britain is | 1:12:56 | 1:12:59 | |
going to look like after Brexit. We
have got down in what the | 1:12:59 | 1:13:03 | |
negotiation position for tomorrow
will be. What does it look like in | 1:13:03 | 1:13:07 | |
terms of immigration, trade with the
rest of the world, what life will | 1:13:07 | 1:13:10 | |
look like for ordinarily... Ordinary
people? There are visions for this, | 1:13:10 | 1:13:16 | |
but they will not agree on one. Is
there such a thing as a Tory Cabinet | 1:13:16 | 1:13:21 | |
Minister who could have one single
vision without them all ripping each | 1:13:21 | 1:13:25 | |
other's heads off? Probably not.
Thank you. | 1:13:25 | 1:13:30 | |
That's all for today. | 1:13:30 | 1:13:31 | |
Join me again next Sunday
at 11.00 here on BBC One. | 1:13:31 | 1:13:34 | |
Until then, bye bye. | 1:13:34 | 1:13:37 |