25/06/2017 Sunday Politics Wales


25/06/2017

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It's Sunday morning and this is the Sunday Politics.

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After the Grenfell Tower disaster, 34 tower blocks in 17 council areas

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every building that fails will be evacuated.

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The government promises Britain will be a strong global

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trading power after Brexit, as negotiations get under way,

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we'll ask the international trade minister how.

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As Jeremy Corbyn celebrates his new rock-star status

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Later will the Labour leader

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of terror attacks - what can be done to restore

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And with me throughout, our own supergroup of political

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pundits who'll be wowing the crowds throughout the programme,

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Helen Lewis, Tim Shipman and Isabel Oakeshott.

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They'll also be tweeting using the hashtag bbcsp.

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First, though, the government has confirmed that over 30 tower blocks

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across England have now failed an emergency fire safety test,

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following the Grenfall Tower disaster in which 79 people

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According to the government the cladding from 34 tower blocks

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has been tested and all of them have failed the combustibility test.

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The government plans to examine up to

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600 blocks and claim they can test 100 a day.

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The areas affected so far include Manchester, Plymouth and Portsmouth

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as well as the London boroughs of Barnet, Brent, Camden

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and Hounslow; all the relevant landlords and fire services

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Camden has already evacuated residents from

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650 flats whilst other councils have introduced interim measures such

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as 24-hour fire warden patrols to mitigate the risk before

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When you look at the national scale of this, this goes beyond austerity

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and finger-pointing at individual councils, this is a clear national

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system failure for the country. I'm surprised the response has been as

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muted as it has been, and initially there was a huge response. It is

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striking how every single building they test seems to fail these

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regulations, so people are slightly confused about whether this is the

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regulations at fault or the cladding that is at fault and I think what is

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most alarming to people, the insecurity. Some people have been

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told to evacuate and that is what happened in Camden and they were

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told until late at night. It is difficult for people to take pets

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outcome and other people have been told to stay in the commendation

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that may or may not be flammable. They have put fire wardens in

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instead. There is a problem that people feel this is a problem about

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social housing but not all of these are about social housing, but about

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the neglect to people that several successive governments have shown.

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People will wonder why the building regulations allow or the building

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regulations were flouted in a way that allowed so much inflammable

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material to clad our buildings. If you look in other countries,

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America, Germany, some of this is banned, and some people said some of

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the stuff has been put up in this country has also been banned and

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this shows what a disaster housing policy has been in this country for

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a generation. Neither party has been able to get a grip on it. There are

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several failures of the Tory council but Labour was in charge of putting

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this stuff into housing associations, where the controls

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have not been very good over long period, and what we need to do is

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build more homes and every government announces they are going

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to build more homes. Hopefully using the right material. Yes, but none of

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these governors have been able to build enough homes and we have a

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crisis of stock where people are put into houses like battery hens,

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frankly, in places where most people would not want to take a second

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look. Looking at Grenfell Tower, if that had not been clad, if they had

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kept the old concrete facade committee would not have gone up in

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fire. This has been a failure of government with a small G, national

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and local, Labour and Conservatives. Absolutely. It is not just about

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residential accommodation, hospitals might have this material, I'm

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hearing, and schools. Politically the challenge for the government,

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there is a huge logistical and humanitarian challenge but also the

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politics of it, as you rightly say, that this isn't just something which

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is linked directly to Tory austerity. The government now, the

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initial shock has worn off, and the challenge for the government is to

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make it clear that this is not just their direct responsibility and the

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result of the Tory cuts agenda and there are plenty of Labour councils

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who also have responsibility. Given the national crisis and the national

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failure, the government needs to be seen to get a grip on this.

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Absolutely. Most MPs would say they... Their response has been

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slightly more convincing than it was early on, but there are still huge

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potential for this to snowball especially if we have other

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buildings, not just residential, affected. There has been a change in

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the national mood, you see this in the Conservative Party. The word

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austerity was barely mentioned. Philip Hammond has relaxed his

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targets. Local councils bore the brunt of the cuts and they won't

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take any more, there is that sense, the people are tired of that.

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Indeed. OK. The Government says it will deliver

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a Brexit deal which will allow the UK to become a powerful global

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trading nation with the EU This morning the Brexit Secretary,

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David Davis, told the BBC he was certain he'd be able to get

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a good trade deal with Brussels, in part because of pressure

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from businesses within the EU. I mean it's not just

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the German car industry, it's Bavarian farmers,

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French farmers, Italian white goods manufacturers,

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you name it. The balance of trade basically

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is 230 billion from us to them, They have a very strong interest

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in getting a good deal, at the end of the day,

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on all sides on trade. And I've been joined

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by the Trade Minister Mark Price. Welcome to the programme. There are

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five main national business organisations in Britain and all of

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them want minimal custom checks after Brexit between the UK and the

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EU, how can you do that if we are leaving the customs union? There's a

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difference between the customs union and the customs arrangements. It is

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not that binary, you are not either in or out, you can work which with

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ever party you want, you have customs arrangements, which work to

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the benefit of business. That would need to cover all of the EU? You

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can't do that in bilateral business with members of the EU, it needs to

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be all of them? The negotiations will be with the commission and they

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will work on behalf of all EU members. I attend the trade

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ministers meeting and I've been four times since Brexit, and the mood is

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very positive about the relationship they want with the UK going forward.

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We have frictionless trade by being in the customs union at the moment,

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you can import into this country, and then they go seamlessly to the

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rest of the EU because everything coming into the EU comes in on the

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same terms, but if we are not in the customs union any more, how can you

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have that frictionless trade? You look at Harris first of all, and at

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the moment we are tariff free, but if you look at the arrangement like

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the Canadian trade Guild, it is 98% tariff free, -- the trade deal. The

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Canadian deal is not a customs deal. What I'm asking you is about the

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stuff coming into Britain which at the moment can then go seamlessly to

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the rest of the EU, and will not be able to do so if we are not in the

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customs union. I'm trying to explain the preconditions for having a

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customs arrangements, the first is, can tariff the parable of the -- the

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first is tariff, and then at the moment we take 56% of our goods from

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outside the EU. We have electronic passing of documentation and I'm

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told that 96% will go through within six seconds, and so we are not a

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novice to this and we all be do this with countries all over the world.

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We trade with 163 countries around the world, we are not building from

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no experience and no base. We have a place that we are working from. To

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do it sector by sector could take a long wire which is maybe why the

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Chancellor is now talking about a transitional period for single

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market access may be membership, and the customs union, how long a

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transition period are we looking at? Who knows. We will see how we get

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on. One year, two years? Who knows. From the European and UK perspective

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we want a smooth transition and this is what trade ministers are saying

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across Europe, this is not just a British desire. I have heard

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interviews with several European parliamentarians who say they want

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to move to a smooth transition and they would like a period of time to

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do that if we can't do that inside the initial period. Will we be able

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to make free trade deals with countries outside the EU in this

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transition period? We have a host of arrangements at the moment, but it

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is not that simple. With the EU we are party to about 40 trade deals by

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the time we go, and we will work with those countries to transition

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them. But in the transition period, can we make a free-trade deal with

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America or China? Can we do that? We have set up nine working groups at

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the moment with 15 different countries and what we are working

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through is how do we make sure when we leave the EU that the current

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arrangements that we have are carried forward, Liam Fox last week

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was in America and there are 20 agreements with America. We can talk

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about the current trading relationship, how do we make things

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better for our businesses in those countries in the way that customs

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work and the way their businesses are handled and then we can start

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thinking about how do we shape a future deal. In a transition period,

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can we strike a free-trade deal with a third party? No, we can't. We

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can't sign or negotiate. During the transition period? This is during

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the two-year period, but in the transition period that depends what

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we agree with the EU. Businesses want tariff free trade to continue

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between the EU and the UK. What indications have you had that the EU

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will agree to this? Businesses who want tariff free trade to continue.

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Between the UK and the EU. In all the discussion that I've had with

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trade ministers, and I've spoken to them all over the last year, there

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is a great appetite to impose tariffs where none exist today and

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as I've mentioned, the Canadian deal is 98% tariff free but also today,

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what we have said, we will make sure that for the least developed

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country, 48 of them, we give them preferential access to the UK, no

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tariffs or rotors, and there's another group of countries that we

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give reduced access to as well. What about tariff free trade between the

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EU and the UK? I think they will be keen to give us that. But no yes,

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despite all these meetings. We have got to sit down and negotiate, but

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the spirit is a good one. People in Europe want to get into a good place

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with us, why? Because the trade surplus with the UK is... I know all

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the reasons. Euro France only runs a surplus with four countries and we

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are one of them. So the indications are good? Yes, around the world,

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since Brexit, I visited 31 countries and I've met with 70 ministers and I

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have seen this. Let me come onto immigration. Businesses have also

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called for a flexible system of skills and Labour, so what system do

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you imagine? You have heard from the government that we don't want to

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harm our economy, and in Europe we have heard very loud and clear that

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people want to be able to source the right people for their businesses.

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What will the system be? Tomorrow the Prime Minister is going to make

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an announcement. That is about EU citizens already here, but what will

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the broad principles be under which people from the EU can come here to

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work? That will be in the paper that will be set up, we have the

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immigration bill coming forward, but we don't want to harm the UK

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economy. What is the priority? In your manifesto you had a policy of

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reducing net migration to the tens of thousands, so what is the

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priority, hitting Matt Targett or a system that meets the flexible needs

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of the economy? -- that target. It is a difficult call. I would say

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meeting the needs of the economy are hugely important. What is more

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important? The part of the jigsaw that is missing is what happens to

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the shape of the Labour force in the UK as we move into the digital

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error. The British consortium have said they will need 900,000 fewer

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workers in retail in ten years' time in every industry is being reshaped,

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and to take a point in time and say this is right... I'm asking for a

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general principle, what is more important, hitting the target or

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keeping immigration that is flexible to the economy? If you asked me as a

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businessman, for 30 years, I would say it is through the success of

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business and the success of our economy that we can afford the

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social services that we want. As a government minister we need to work

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through over the course of the next 2-3 years, but Bill through

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Parliament and decide where we get to, we have said there is a target

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of tens of thousands, and my personal view, given the digital

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changes, that is a perfectly reasonable target for us.

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Business says what they really need is clarity. One year after we voted

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to leave, what clarity have you brought to these issues this

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morning? That is a very good question. I think we have set out

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the principles. You cannot tell me the principles of immigration, the

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principles on which the customs union will operate, or the economy

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or hitting a target will be more important for immigration. The Prime

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Minister has set out what we intend to achieve. Through the Queen's

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speech will bring a different bills that address these issues. They will

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be there for Parliament to discuss, there will be consultation papers

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and business can be involved with that. We will be consulting and

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there will be a vote. That is process. I'm afraid we have run out

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of time, but that is processed. What you want us to do is to be able to

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say this is definitively what we will be able to get, but there are

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two site. If I was buying a business in Waitrose, I couldn't tell you

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what the outcome would be. I was simply asking what the Government's

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aim was. That has clearly been set out by the Prime Minister. Thank

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you. Jeremy Corbyn confounded his critics

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in the general election, increasing Labour's share

:17:13.:17:15.

of the vote and securing So will the Corbynistas use

:17:16.:17:16.

the result to strengthen Our reporter Emma Vardy

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has been finding out. Enjoying superstar

:17:21.:17:23.

status at Glastonbury. Since when did being

:17:24.:17:27.

a politician become this cool? Do you know, politics is actually

:17:28.:17:31.

about everyday life. It's about all of us

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and what we dream and what we want and what we achieve and what we want

:17:38.:17:40.

for everybody else. # Staying out for the summer,

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playing games in the rain It's looking like the summer

:17:45.:17:53.

of love for Jeremy Corbyn. As he basks in his post-election

:17:54.:18:02.

glow, well, as much as you can bask So, is all that bitter infighting

:18:03.:18:06.

in the party a distant memory Jeremy will stay the Labour leader

:18:07.:18:12.

now as long as he wants to do so. He's come back from the dead

:18:13.:18:21.

in terms of the predictions and so he will remain Labour leader

:18:22.:18:23.

for as long as he wants. Let's recognise that another world

:18:24.:18:29.

is possible if we come together. Former Corbyn critics like John Mann

:18:30.:18:40.

MP have been eating humble pie. The big issue for Jeremy now is,

:18:41.:18:42.

is he going to hold his people in and stop any factional battling

:18:43.:18:46.

in the Labour Party, and there are people on both

:18:47.:18:48.

sides of the old divide in the Labour Party who love nothing

:18:49.:18:51.

better than internal wrangling. Or is he going to consolidate his

:18:52.:18:54.

position and bring the Labour Party together and be a potential

:18:55.:18:57.

Prime Minister in waiting? The centrist Labour group Progress

:18:58.:19:01.

which had been associated with some of Corbyn's harshest critics says

:19:02.:19:04.

now the party is more In the general election,

:19:05.:19:06.

the Labour Party worked together, Labour MPs put their strongest foot

:19:07.:19:26.

forward in getting re-elected in their seats the national campaign

:19:27.:19:29.

pulled through and party staff We have shown that when we pull

:19:30.:19:31.

together we are a strong force. # Staying out for the summer,

:19:32.:19:36.

staying up for the summer #. Before the election,

:19:37.:19:38.

a number of party rule changes had been up for debate as pro and

:19:39.:19:41.

anti-Corbyn factions looked for ways So has all that now being kicked

:19:42.:19:44.

into the long grass? Any attempts to try and undermine

:19:45.:19:47.

Tom Watson as deputy leader, appoint a second deputy leader,

:19:48.:19:50.

attack the party staff, change the party rules,

:19:51.:19:52.

will show the public out there that the Labour Party is more

:19:53.:19:54.

interested in itself rather But will also put at risk that

:19:55.:19:57.

unity, that is fragile and quite frankly now,

:19:58.:20:01.

is led from the top. The way in which internal

:20:02.:20:05.

hostilities would recommend The way in which internal

:20:06.:20:10.

hostilities would recommence would be if there was a return

:20:11.:20:13.

to some of the sectarianism that we So if there were attempts

:20:14.:20:16.

to deselect MPs and councillors, those MPs and councillors

:20:17.:20:20.

are going to fight If there are attempts to cross

:20:21.:20:22.

a limited number of policy red lines on things like Trident renewal,

:20:23.:20:30.

again that would cause And if there are attempts to change

:20:31.:20:32.

the rule book of the party in a way that just gives blatant partisan

:20:33.:20:43.

advantage, then again it would cause divisions to re-emerge,

:20:44.:20:45.

but there's no need for them to do On policy and personnel, the ball

:20:46.:20:48.

is in Jeremy Corbyn's court. There will be a debate

:20:49.:20:51.

at conference, though, on what some are calling

:20:52.:20:54.

the McDonnell Amendment. A rule change that would lower

:20:55.:20:56.

the number of nominations needed Those on the left of the party have

:20:57.:20:59.

been accused of plotting to make it easier for a left-wing candidate

:21:00.:21:06.

to stand for leadership to succeed I think that opinion at conference

:21:07.:21:09.

is finely balanced on that. Because the elections

:21:10.:21:20.

for constituency delegates seem to be on a knife edge

:21:21.:21:22.

between the left and the right. We will know the outcome of those

:21:23.:21:25.

around the 9th of July And then it all depends

:21:26.:21:28.

on the attitude taken by a couple of the big unions like

:21:29.:21:36.

the GMB and Unison, about this proposal than Unite

:21:37.:21:38.

and the more left-wing unions are. Meanwhile, here at the Jeremy Corbyn

:21:39.:21:45.

supporting Momentum HQ, they believe there could be another

:21:46.:21:57.

general election within six months and are remaining

:21:58.:22:00.

in full campaign mode. We're going to be targeting

:22:01.:22:02.

new marginals and we're going to be training thousands of activists

:22:03.:22:04.

in those marginal constituencies and we going to be developing

:22:05.:22:06.

new technological platforms to make it easy for people to get

:22:07.:22:09.

involved in the election. Safe to say, they're

:22:10.:22:11.

feeling rather vindicated. Many of those who were bitterly

:22:12.:22:13.

opposed to Jeremy Corbyn have eaten their words

:22:14.:22:18.

and have apologised. Look, in the general election

:22:19.:22:20.

campaign, we campaigned for all Labour candidates

:22:21.:22:24.

in our target seats and marginal seats, irrespective of where they

:22:25.:22:31.

stood in the past on Jeremy Corbyn. We helped win seats for candidates

:22:32.:22:36.

who supported Progress, just as hard as we helped win seats

:22:37.:22:39.

for those who had always supported Jeremy and that's the way

:22:40.:22:45.

we are going to carry on. Well, I think that will last

:22:46.:22:48.

till the next election because we all want to

:22:49.:22:52.

win the next election. # Staying out for the summer,

:22:53.:22:54.

staying out for the summer #. For now, he's the man of the moment,

:22:55.:23:02.

but is this performance the peak of his popularity, or the precursor

:23:03.:23:06.

to Labour winning power? Before the general election

:23:07.:23:11.

was called, a proxy-battle for the future of the Labour party

:23:12.:23:19.

was played out in the election of the general secretary

:23:20.:23:27.

of Unite, the union, The incumbent, Len McClusky,

:23:28.:23:29.

who had put his weight behind Jeremy Corbyn,

:23:30.:23:36.

faced a challenge from Gerard Coyne, who was seen to be the Labour

:23:37.:23:38.

moderates' choice. Gerard Coyne narrowly lost,

:23:39.:23:40.

and this week he was sacked from his Unite position

:23:41.:23:43.

as a regional secretary. Good morning. You say you have been

:23:44.:23:50.

the victim of a kangaroo court and a short trial, what do you mean by

:23:51.:23:55.

that? After 29 years' service with the union I found myself dismissed

:23:56.:24:00.

for a trumped up charge that related to the election but was about

:24:01.:24:05.

nothing that relates directly to my role as a regional secretary so it

:24:06.:24:10.

showed to me that defence now cannot be tolerated inside Unite and that's

:24:11.:24:16.

a very concerning situation. The union says you were sacked for

:24:17.:24:19.

misuse of data during the leadership election campaign. You say it's

:24:20.:24:23.

because you have the audacity to challenge Len McCluskey. What's the

:24:24.:24:27.

evidence to support your side? The independent body appointed by the

:24:28.:24:32.

union to oversee the election this week produced a report that said in

:24:33.:24:36.

relation to the data issue there was no evidence I breached any rules and

:24:37.:24:42.

no evidence I breached the election guidance so actually the union's own

:24:43.:24:46.

independent body has exonerated me this week. You said "It's beyond

:24:47.:24:52.

parody that I is a 30 year member of the Labour Party should be accused

:24:53.:25:01.

of harming Unite Labour relations by Len McCluskey's chief of staff..."

:25:02.:25:09.

What do you mean by that? The investigation and the decision

:25:10.:25:12.

reached actually shows a much more concerning element about the

:25:13.:25:18.

involvement in the campaign and election that reflects badly in

:25:19.:25:22.

terms of his position as a member of the Communist Party and the sort of

:25:23.:25:27.

quite frankly Stalinist approach to the treatment I have received. So

:25:28.:25:32.

actually it was a show trial I endured recently and I don't believe

:25:33.:25:35.

I have received a fair process at all. And in this, in your words show

:25:36.:25:42.

trial, did this Unite leadership regard you as an enemy of the

:25:43.:25:47.

proletariat? The truth is they were very keen to see the descent and the

:25:48.:25:52.

different vision I have got for Unite which was focused on our

:25:53.:25:56.

members and protecting them in a difficult set of circumstances. They

:25:57.:26:00.

wanted to stamp out that voice which was one which was articulated in a

:26:01.:26:04.

different way for the union to go in the future. But you had lost. Yes

:26:05.:26:12.

but on a very small majority, and there were thousands of Unite voters

:26:13.:26:16.

that didn't have a chance to vote, which is why I'm now mounting a

:26:17.:26:20.

legal challenge to the election results and we are going to make

:26:21.:26:25.

sure it is rerun and given the opportunity to those members. So you

:26:26.:26:30.

think you have a claim in law? To put a ten point claim into the

:26:31.:26:35.

certification Officer, that has already gone in challenging the

:26:36.:26:38.

result on ten individual counts as to how it was not properly run in

:26:39.:26:44.

the first place. Do you have confidence in the certification

:26:45.:26:47.

Officer in that process or do you think you might end up in the High

:26:48.:26:52.

Court? If the certification Officer doesn't rule in favour of what I

:26:53.:27:00.

think is a strong case coming have to ask the question what is this

:27:01.:27:04.

certification Officer for, in that case I will be considering the High

:27:05.:27:09.

Court. If you are right about the way you were treated, what does it

:27:10.:27:14.

say about British trade unionism in the 21st-century that you can be

:27:15.:27:17.

sacked by your union for standing up to the boss? I expect to have a

:27:18.:27:25.

robust debate in a democratic election and not to be punished for

:27:26.:27:31.

it. I did engage in what was quite an interesting debate through the

:27:32.:27:36.

election campaign, but I've also served the union the 29 years and

:27:37.:27:40.

for most employees if they have had that length of service, some

:27:41.:27:44.

consideration would have been given to that. But Len McCluskey has been

:27:45.:27:51.

re-elected leader, Jeremy Corbyn now rules the Labour Party unchallenged.

:27:52.:27:55.

Andrew Murray, who you say mounted the show trial against you, was a

:27:56.:28:01.

key part of Jeremy Corbyn's election campaign. It does look like you've

:28:02.:28:07.

lost on all fronts. Jeremy did exceptionally well in the general

:28:08.:28:10.

election campaign, he got young people involved, and it's not about

:28:11.:28:14.

a left or right issue in terms of the party, it's about where the

:28:15.:28:20.

party goes. My fear is that the way I've treated will start to give an

:28:21.:28:25.

influence in the Labour movement or generally in the Labour Party that

:28:26.:28:29.

starts to look like purges are acceptable. If Labour does that, the

:28:30.:28:33.

electorate will never forgive them for an internal battle rather than

:28:34.:28:36.

being the effective opposition they need to be. Are you saying that what

:28:37.:28:42.

you believe happened to you could happen to other people now in the

:28:43.:28:46.

Labour Party itself? I think there is a real danger of that. The

:28:47.:28:51.

reality is the very people involved at the top of Unite, involved in the

:28:52.:28:56.

disciplinary process with myself, they are influential figures in

:28:57.:29:01.

Labour and part of my campaign is that Unite is too intrinsically

:29:02.:29:04.

linked with the top of the Labour Party and ready to be focusing on a

:29:05.:29:08.

much stronger industrial agenda for the future. If you have been a

:29:09.:29:12.

member of the Labour Party for 30 years. We have now been dismissed

:29:13.:29:16.

from your job is regional secretary I think in the West Midlands area?

:29:17.:29:22.

That's right. Have you heard from the Labour leadership on this issue?

:29:23.:29:27.

I haven't, and in terms of the leadership it would be nice to hear

:29:28.:29:31.

from them because we lost seats in the West Midlands, we should have

:29:32.:29:38.

felt onto, where working-class vote did not stay with Labour and it's

:29:39.:29:43.

important we reach out to and engage with those communities and make sure

:29:44.:29:46.

they support Labour in the future. Gerard Coyne, thank you for being

:29:47.:29:51.

with us. I've been joined now from Leeds

:29:52.:29:54.

by Labour's Jon Trickett, Welcome to the programme. Jeremy

:29:55.:30:07.

Corbyn says he wants to unite the party behind him, so why didn't he

:30:08.:30:10.

use the Shadow Cabinet reshuffle to do just that? First of all, why

:30:11.:30:18.

would he change a winning team? We did a very good election campaign,

:30:19.:30:23.

if we did not -- even if we did not quite get over the line. The Shadow

:30:24.:30:26.

Cabinet worked very hard to get their result, but there are

:30:27.:30:29.

vacancies and they were used to reach out and we have brought in the

:30:30.:30:34.

man who stood against Jeremy not that long ago in a tough battle for

:30:35.:30:40.

the leadership. I think that shows a leader who is reaching out, but also

:30:41.:30:43.

wanting to make sure that he keeps a winning team. That is a reasonable

:30:44.:30:48.

decision for him to make. What do you say to Gerard Coyne, Labour

:30:49.:30:53.

member 30 years, who believes he has been purged from the Unite union and

:30:54.:30:59.

that could be about to happen to Labour moderates in the party? There

:31:00.:31:05.

will be no purge. We want everyone together, what is remarkable is,

:31:06.:31:11.

when the so-called coup happened last year, when the PLP turned

:31:12.:31:15.

against Jeremy, our poll rating collapsed and as soon as the party

:31:16.:31:19.

reunited for the election the poll rating began to increase and that is

:31:20.:31:24.

a lesson for everyone. The lesson has been learned by all of us and we

:31:25.:31:29.

will work together as United party moving forward, but what should be

:31:30.:31:33.

clear to everyone, we cannot go back to the Labour Party as it was

:31:34.:31:36.

previously. He had got to move forward with Jeremy in the direction

:31:37.:31:39.

in which he has laid out for the party and the country. What do you

:31:40.:31:44.

say to Paul Mason, former journalists. -- former journalist.

:31:45.:31:50.

He said to Blair writes that if you want a centrist party, this is not

:31:51.:31:54.

going to be it for the next ten years -- Blairites. He said you have

:31:55.:32:01.

got to form your own party. He did look a bit excitable when I saw a

:32:02.:32:07.

piece by him on the internet, but the centre of gravity, it has

:32:08.:32:11.

changed in politics, and what was the centre is no longer the centre.

:32:12.:32:15.

The idea that a country should be run for a few at the expense of the

:32:16.:32:19.

many is one which I think has been largely destroyed in this election

:32:20.:32:23.

campaign. The centre has moved and the party has recognised with the

:32:24.:32:26.

new centre is and we now need to unite and begin to roll out the

:32:27.:32:31.

changes. There are many which need to be done on Jeremy's agenda. I say

:32:32.:32:35.

this to the party committee of Jeremy and the leadership the tools

:32:36.:32:39.

and he will finish the job -- the party, give Jeremy and the

:32:40.:32:49.

leadership the tours. If they want a more centre-left party, they are not

:32:50.:32:52.

going to get it? They should follow Paul Mason's advice? If they want

:32:53.:32:59.

that. We have heard many of them repenting on their sins in the last

:33:00.:33:02.

couple of days. That is another matter! LAUGHTER

:33:03.:33:09.

They have recognised there are new ways of campaigning we have got to

:33:10.:33:12.

listen to young people and see how they organise, but also our politics

:33:13.:33:16.

has changed as a party and it has resonated with the country. Gerard

:33:17.:33:20.

Coyne spoke about working class voters. I began writing about the

:33:21.:33:26.

problem with working class voters in 2005 at the height of the Tony Blair

:33:27.:33:30.

years and the party has more work to do in those communities and across

:33:31.:33:34.

the country to win the trust of everybody's so that we can serve

:33:35.:33:38.

them in government. Working-class voters swung to the Tories in the

:33:39.:33:42.

last election, middle-class voters went your way. There has been a

:33:43.:33:47.

problem with manual workers for some time, I don't need to be told about

:33:48.:33:50.

that, I'd been writing about it for ten years. I was a building worker

:33:51.:33:57.

for a while and we have got more work to do to regain the trust of

:33:58.:34:00.

these people, but some of the proposals will work for those people

:34:01.:34:03.

and we have got to bring them back in. Do you back the left wing move

:34:04.:34:08.

to lower the threshold of MPs needed to stand for the leadership? We will

:34:09.:34:14.

see where we get to, I'm in favour of democratising the Labour Party.

:34:15.:34:19.

Are you in favour or not? We will see where we get to. It has been a

:34:20.:34:24.

long-running debate. Do you think the threshold for anyone who wants

:34:25.:34:27.

to run for leadership should be cut to 5% of MPs? I'm not going to

:34:28.:34:35.

express my view at the moment, but when there is a leadership election

:34:36.:34:39.

it is important that every tendency within the party is represented on

:34:40.:34:43.

the ballot paper. And the rule that prevents a section of the right or

:34:44.:34:47.

the left or the centre from being on the ballot paper is a bad rule. That

:34:48.:34:52.

is an argument for lowering the threshold. We have got to look

:34:53.:34:56.

carefully at how we conduct leadership elections and that debate

:34:57.:35:02.

will be had. That far left figure we had in that film there, he said the

:35:03.:35:07.

Corbyn way of doing things is a successful way, and that is

:35:08.:35:15.

suggesting that you join the Corbyn bandwagon, you don't try to change

:35:16.:35:18.

it, that's the way forward the Labour Party? All parties have

:35:19.:35:22.

different points of view, and so is the Labour Party. You test ideas in

:35:23.:35:28.

action and what happened in the general election showed the idea

:35:29.:35:32.

that Jeremy has had and are successful, we have more than

:35:33.:35:35.

doubled our size. Over 600,000 members. You lost the third election

:35:36.:35:43.

in a row. We got the highest share of the vote, the largest number of

:35:44.:35:48.

votes. No, you didn't. The Tories did. I haven't finished my sentence.

:35:49.:35:57.

Labour has received since 1997. You lost. Of course, and that is why I

:35:58.:36:03.

have said you we have got to work harder to build confidence in people

:36:04.:36:07.

especially working people in our politics and the way we are going.

:36:08.:36:12.

Can I clarify the Labour position on Brexit? Jeremy Corbyn and John

:36:13.:36:17.

McDonnell has said the Labour position is to leave membership of

:36:18.:36:20.

the single market, so why have over 50 Labour politicians signed a

:36:21.:36:24.

letter to the Guardian in favour of membership of the single market?

:36:25.:36:29.

That is not exactly where we are. We are taking the view that we need to

:36:30.:36:36.

have access to all of the tariff rearrangements which exist within

:36:37.:36:38.

the customs union and the single market. What is the policy on

:36:39.:36:44.

membership? Let me finish. It is important to answer the question. I

:36:45.:36:50.

will give you a full answer, and the answer is, we are not wedded to any

:36:51.:36:55.

particular institutional framework, we are pragmatic about it. We will

:36:56.:37:02.

see how the negotiations go. We do not have to do one thing or another

:37:03.:37:05.

in terms of institutional relationships but we need a Brexit

:37:06.:37:09.

which works for jobs and growth and also for the protections which

:37:10.:37:13.

working people have also how that comes remains to be seen. I was

:37:14.:37:21.

asking for clarification. Is the Labour policy to remain members of

:37:22.:37:22.

the single market or not? Alp policy Labour policy to remain members of

:37:23.:37:29.

is to secure all of the rights which exist, tariff free access, within

:37:30.:37:34.

the single market and the customs union, and we are not saying that a

:37:35.:37:38.

particular institutional form is something we've always ourselves to

:37:39.:37:44.

at this stage. Are you for or against remaining members of the

:37:45.:37:49.

single market? It is not a question of four it is about securing the

:37:50.:37:54.

best possible arrangement for our economy and working people -- it is

:37:55.:38:01.

not a question of for or against. The labour MP Clive Lewis said

:38:02.:38:09.

Thatcher economic dogma was to blame for Grenfell Tower, but we know many

:38:10.:38:12.

tower blocks have been clad in the same material by Labour councils,

:38:13.:38:19.

was that also the fault of Thatcherite economic dogma? It is

:38:20.:38:24.

very difficult to say exactly what happened, and I worked in the

:38:25.:38:27.

building industry for many years and I know the regulations were very

:38:28.:38:30.

tight. It now looks as though something happened with the building

:38:31.:38:38.

regulations. And apart from that, we can't say exactly what lies behind

:38:39.:38:42.

this. By Tory and Labour councils, that is my point, both parties have

:38:43.:38:52.

questions to answer. Yes, but the government have sat on the

:38:53.:38:56.

recommendations, like the recommendation of this printer

:38:57.:38:58.

systems, they have sat on those documents for years. -- sprinkler

:38:59.:39:06.

systems. Do you think all parties should stop trying to make political

:39:07.:39:11.

capital out of what is effectively a national disaster? And tried to get

:39:12.:39:17.

to the bottom of a system explained the and try to do better regardless

:39:18.:39:20.

of the party? Yes, everyone should do the same. The sooner we get the

:39:21.:39:25.

results of the inquiry the better, but if there are decisions which can

:39:26.:39:28.

be made sooner than the public inquiry they should be made and

:39:29.:39:33.

implemented. Jon Trickett, thanks for joining us.

:39:34.:39:40.

It's just gone 1140, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:39:41.:39:49.

Hello and welcome to Sunday Politics Wales.

:39:50.:39:51.

In a few minutes, we speak to someone who knows more

:39:52.:39:55.

than most about Article 50 - the man who wrote it.

:39:56.:39:58.

And the Welsh Conservative leader will be here to explain how

:39:59.:40:00.

he thinks his own party should be making Brexit work for Wales.

:40:01.:40:06.

But first, are education targets really important?

:40:07.:40:10.

One leading expert says they're critical for economic success.

:40:11.:40:13.

Professor David Reynolds, who used to advise the Welsh Government,

:40:14.:40:17.

has told this programme Wales risks becoming an economic backwater

:40:18.:40:20.

if the international ranking Pisa test results don't improve.

:40:21.:40:25.

His comments came at the end of a week when ministers seemed to

:40:26.:40:28.

disagree about whether they remained a target at all.

:40:29.:40:31.

Hit it, and after congratulating ourselves, we can think

:40:32.:40:41.

about setting a new, more ambitious goal.

:40:42.:40:44.

Miss it, and we need to ask ourselves what went wrong.

:40:45.:40:51.

But what if the target changes whilst we're trying to reach it?

:40:52.:40:55.

In 2014, the then education minister replaced the Welsh Government's Pisa

:40:56.:40:58.

target with a new one - for Wales to obtain a score of 500

:40:59.:41:03.

in each of the subjects assessed by the Pisa education tests by 2021.

:41:04.:41:12.

At the time, Kirsty Williams said the move showed an "absolute

:41:13.:41:15.

The most recent results showed we've made progress in maths,

:41:16.:41:22.

but we'd fallen back in science and reading.

:41:23.:41:25.

We remain behind the rest of the UK in all three areas,

:41:26.:41:28.

But at least we knew how far we have still had to go.

:41:29.:41:36.

Then, last week, the new Education Secretary distanced

:41:37.:41:40.

And so it's a much more complex picture than just

:41:41.:41:44.

saying we're going to have this individual target.

:41:45.:41:46.

OK, so the target now isn't the stated aim of 500,

:41:47.:41:51.

But a few days later, the First Minister insisted

:41:52.:41:59.

the Government's aim hadn't changed, much to the amusement

:42:00.:42:01.

Achieving 500 by 2021 remains the Welsh Government's target.

:42:02.:42:06.

The Cabinet Secretary was correct when she said

:42:07.:42:08.

she didn't set the target, because she wasn't the minister

:42:09.:42:10.

at the time, but she is part of the government that is adhering

:42:11.:42:13.

So, we've got you saying one thing - that the target exists -

:42:14.:42:18.

and you've got the Cabinet Secretary confirming in front of a scrutiny

:42:19.:42:21.

committee of this Assembly that it is not her target.

:42:22.:42:25.

Who's taking ownership of education here in Wales?

:42:26.:42:27.

Is it any wonder it is such a complete shambles

:42:28.:42:30.

Kirsty Williams has now confirmed that the Welsh Government

:42:31.:42:34.

target hasn't changed, but there remains concern

:42:35.:42:36.

and confusion over the events of the past ten days,

:42:37.:42:38.

with the issue of collective responsibility being raised.

:42:39.:42:43.

Kirsty Williams is the sole Lib Dem in Carwyn Jones'

:42:44.:42:48.

It does now leave them to ask the question,

:42:49.:42:55.

Should we be aiming for targets at all?

:42:56.:42:59.

And if so, what merits are we being judged on?

:43:00.:43:02.

Are we being judged on the performance as set out

:43:03.:43:04.

by the Education Cabinet Secretary or by the Welsh Government itself,

:43:05.:43:07.

and if we don't have clarity on that, then it becomes even more

:43:08.:43:10.

meaningless, really, to put weight on Pisa results.

:43:11.:43:13.

This may be a little bit awkward in next week's Cabinet meeting,

:43:14.:43:17.

but it's probably quite a sensible move by Kirsty Williams.

:43:18.:43:19.

The Pisa targets have tripped up several successive Welsh Government

:43:20.:43:22.

As a Liberal Democrat, Kirsty Williams has got

:43:23.:43:27.

a little bit of wiggle room, and I think she's used it quite well

:43:28.:43:30.

this week to put some distance between herself

:43:31.:43:32.

In the meantime, how likely is it that Wales

:43:33.:43:36.

I asked a former Welsh Government adviser for his assessment.

:43:37.:43:43.

We can meet it if teacher training improves, if we get

:43:44.:43:46.

the knowledge base out there, and if we make our teachers master

:43:47.:43:49.

craftsmen and women of teaching, which many countries have done.

:43:50.:43:51.

If we did that, then we could be very, very

:43:52.:43:56.

close to those targets, but I fear, at the moment,

:43:57.:43:58.

we're not doing it, so it ain't going to happen.

:43:59.:44:06.

You say that this is an ambitious target, to reach the score of 500,

:44:07.:44:10.

and yet when you look at many other countries around the world,

:44:11.:44:12.

their scores are higher than that score of 500.

:44:13.:44:15.

500 is merely the average, really, so that just shows

:44:16.:44:17.

how far off the pace we are, doesn't it?

:44:18.:44:19.

The Welsh Government says Pisa is just one yardstick for measuring

:44:20.:44:26.

But according to Professor Reynolds...

:44:27.:44:31.

In a globalised world, Pisa is the most important

:44:32.:44:33.

Pisa is about how different countries are doing,

:44:34.:44:39.

and I think probably the important thing to say is that industrially,

:44:40.:44:43.

there is some evidence to look at Pisa tests, too.

:44:44.:44:45.

If you look back at 2010, when Shanghai, China,

:44:46.:44:48.

suddenly came from nowhere to be top, if you look at foreign

:44:49.:44:50.

If industrialists are looking at Pisa, and they are,

:44:51.:44:57.

the answer is to get those scores up, to get industry in,

:44:58.:45:00.

or we risk becoming just a kind of theme park here without industry.

:45:01.:45:04.

The Education Secretary wasn't available to be

:45:05.:45:05.

However, a spokesman said the Welsh Government has introduced

:45:06.:45:14.

a number of initiatives to attract new teachers and raise standards,

:45:15.:45:17.

and Kirsty Williams expects to see an improvement in Wales's Pisa

:45:18.:45:19.

and Kirsty Williams expects to see an improvement in Wales's Pisa

:45:20.:45:28.

Now, a tremendous amount has been said and written about the ins

:45:29.:45:32.

and outs of Article 50, the process by which the UK

:45:33.:45:35.

leaves the European Union, but what does the man

:45:36.:45:37.

Lord Kerr was our man in Washington and Brussels before turning his hand

:45:38.:45:41.

to writing the article which has dominated politics

:45:42.:45:43.

But he now says it could and should be reversed, so when I spoke to him,

:45:44.:45:48.

I began by asking how and why that could ever be possible.

:45:49.:45:56.

We are members of the European Union until the moment we leave,

:45:57.:46:02.

and since we triggered the procedure in March 2017, we leave in March

:46:03.:46:05.

You will know that UK Government ministers,

:46:06.:46:16.

David Davis, even Theresa May, have been saying that actually,

:46:17.:46:17.

once we have triggered that Article 50 process,

:46:18.:46:19.

No, no, no, no - it is perfectly possible for us to change our mind.

:46:20.:46:30.

Look at what the President of the European Council has said,

:46:31.:46:32.

look at what president Macron has said, look at what the German

:46:33.:46:36.

finance minister, Dr Schauble, said the other day.

:46:37.:46:37.

Look at what all the lawyers, all the EU lawyers, say.

:46:38.:46:47.

It is open to the member state to change its intention.

:46:48.:46:50.

The first part of the article, Article 50, says that "according

:46:51.:46:52.

to your own constitutional requirements," you decide

:46:53.:46:54.

that you want to leave, and you notify your intention,

:46:55.:46:56.

and then after two years you are out, unless the period is extended.

:46:57.:47:00.

But during the two years or its extension, it is open

:47:01.:47:02.

to you to say, "Actually, we've now changed our mind,

:47:03.:47:05.

Whether they agreed would be a political question, of course,

:47:06.:47:11.

We would be entirely within our rights, but they might

:47:12.:47:15.

try to extract some sort of price from us if we'd wasted

:47:16.:47:18.

So, you are saying we could change our mind, we could return,

:47:19.:47:35.

but not necessarily to as things were before Article 50

:47:36.:47:37.

I'm not quite sure why we triggered it in March,

:47:38.:47:45.

and then did nothing for three months, because we called

:47:46.:47:47.

I'm not sure what the point of that was.

:47:48.:47:53.

And of course, there has been no negotiation of any

:47:54.:47:55.

kind until this week, so one year has passed

:47:56.:47:57.

since the referendum, and we have said nothing

:47:58.:47:59.

But isn't it a wise cause of action for the UK Government ministers not

:48:00.:48:07.

to reveal their hands, as it were, considering this

:48:08.:48:09.

Well, I mean, the idea that you can negotiate in secret

:48:10.:48:20.

The commission are negotiating on behalf of 27 member states,

:48:21.:48:26.

and everything they do, they will report to their clients,

:48:27.:48:29.

So it will all be available on the internet, and you can see

:48:30.:48:37.

today, 50 pages of documents, which have been agreed by the other

:48:38.:48:40.

You won't find a single page of British documents,

:48:41.:48:45.

Now, this is a point which I think is a great mistake.

:48:46.:48:54.

I think it would be better to play at home, we'd be better to negotiate

:48:55.:48:57.

on the basis of documents that we've put forward rather than the basis

:48:58.:49:00.

But as also the man who was for a time the UK's man

:49:01.:49:06.

in Brussels, if you like, as UK ambassador to the EU,

:49:07.:49:09.

how do you rate the chances of the UK getting a good deal

:49:10.:49:12.

working with those other EU member states?

:49:13.:49:17.

I think everybody wants a decent working relationship

:49:18.:49:21.

with a Britain that has left and the European Union.

:49:22.:49:25.

I think nobody wants to punish the European Union for going.

:49:26.:49:28.

We will have to pay a price, and our economy will grow less fast

:49:29.:49:36.

than it would have if we'd stayed inside, but nobody wants to pile

:49:37.:49:39.

I do think that the issues that are being discussed in the first

:49:40.:49:45.

round of the negotiation, and particularly the money,

:49:46.:49:46.

are particularly difficult, because money negotiation

:49:47.:49:48.

The EU doesn't want to let us off our bill.

:49:49.:50:08.

If we do a runner and refuse to pay the bill, then you can forget that

:50:09.:50:14.

close relationship that all sides, I think, want.

:50:15.:50:16.

We've discussed how the negotiations are going from Brussels point

:50:17.:50:19.

I wonder what you make of how the UK Government has discussed and taken

:50:20.:50:23.

on board the views of devolved administrations in the UK,

:50:24.:50:26.

the Welsh Government, Scottish Government,

:50:27.:50:27.

do you think they've been engaging enough

:50:28.:50:30.

with the constituent parts of the UK?

:50:31.:50:36.

There doesn't appear to have been much details discussion

:50:37.:50:41.

There doesn't appear to have been much detailed discussion

:50:42.:50:43.

with the Welsh Government or the Scottish Government

:50:44.:50:45.

about the negotiating positions we should take up.

:50:46.:50:49.

I think it's probably more worrying that I don't think there's been any

:50:50.:50:53.

discussion at all yet about the Repeal Bill

:50:54.:50:55.

which is about to be tabled in Parliament.

:50:56.:50:57.

The Repeal Bill lays down what should happen

:50:58.:50:59.

in areas like agriculture, where at present, policy

:51:00.:51:10.

is run from Brussels - the Common Agricultural Policy.

:51:11.:51:13.

Where these decision should be taken when we've left Brussels.

:51:14.:51:15.

Should they be taken by central government or should they be taken

:51:16.:51:18.

Yes, but the Secretary of State for Wales, Alun Cairns,

:51:19.:51:28.

has said recently that the UK Government wants as much

:51:29.:51:31.

as possible to devolve those powers back to Cardiff.

:51:32.:51:38.

But I just wonder, do you think that an unhappy Welsh Government,

:51:39.:51:41.

Scottish Government, could derail the process of these

:51:42.:51:43.

Well, I very much hope that won't happen.

:51:44.:51:46.

As I say, I'm not an insider, but I do think it will be very

:51:47.:51:52.

important that the Whitehall government, the London government,

:51:53.:51:54.

makes sure that it has the consent of the Welsh Government and Assembly

:51:55.:51:57.

and the Scottish Government and the Scottish Parliament

:51:58.:51:59.

for what it is proposing to do with the powers that it proposes

:52:00.:52:02.

I myself, going back to where you started,

:52:03.:52:11.

I would like to believe that it is still possible

:52:12.:52:15.

for the country to change its mind when it sees that it was,

:52:16.:52:18.

in the referendum campaign, told a lot of things that weren't

:52:19.:52:21.

actually true by those campaigning to leave.

:52:22.:52:26.

When it sees that the economy is slowing down as a result

:52:27.:52:29.

of the referendum decision, I would hope that the country

:52:30.:52:36.

feel that this question needs to be...

:52:37.:52:42.

But by which mechanism could that be decided?

:52:43.:52:47.

Because you are saying within the two years we can reverse

:52:48.:52:49.

this Article 50 and halt the process, if you like,

:52:50.:52:52.

but there wouldn't be a second referendum.

:52:53.:52:55.

We just had an election with the Liberal Democrats

:52:56.:52:57.

are offering a second referendum, and they were roundly defeated,

:52:58.:53:00.

so how would you bring about that reversal?

:53:01.:53:06.

I'm fairly expert on the legal position in Brussels

:53:07.:53:10.

and what would happen in Brussels if we did change our mind.

:53:11.:53:16.

The process, in this country, of getting a change of mind,

:53:17.:53:18.

I think it is probably the case that it would need a general

:53:19.:53:25.

election or another referendum, or both, in order to be

:53:26.:53:27.

clear that the country had changed its mind.

:53:28.:53:32.

But David Davis, who is a serious political thinker

:53:33.:53:39.

as well as a negotiator - David Davis is on record as saying

:53:40.:53:43.

that the democracy that cannot change its mind has ceased to be

:53:44.:53:46.

a democracy, and it seems to me that as the facts become clear,

:53:47.:53:49.

we are entitled to consider whether we want to change our mind.

:53:50.:53:53.

There we are, Lord Kerr, thank you very much for your time.

:53:54.:53:56.

Now, the leader of the Welsh Conservatives is a leading

:53:57.:54:02.

Brexiteer, even tweeting, "Happy Independence Day"

:54:03.:54:03.

on the anniversary of the Brexit vote on Friday.

:54:04.:54:08.

So why is Andrew RT Davies apparently challenging his party's

:54:09.:54:10.

Maybe we can talk a little about it. Thanks for coming in. We just heard

:54:11.:54:27.

the man who wrote Article 50 saying the process should be reversed. I

:54:28.:54:32.

probably know what your answer will be but are there any circumstances

:54:33.:54:35.

under which you could go along with that? I did find it a little

:54:36.:54:40.

bizarre, he said your guess is as good as mine how we do it. We had a

:54:41.:54:45.

democratic process last year where we had the biggest participation of

:54:46.:54:49.

voters in the referendum on the die was cast and a mandate was given to

:54:50.:54:59.

the government. Both sides in the referendum is will be binding. So

:55:00.:55:01.

instead of all this energy and focus about trying to reverse the

:55:02.:55:03.

referendum result, why don't we put more effort in a cross-party

:55:04.:55:06.

approach to come to a consensus about Wales and the UK and how we

:55:07.:55:11.

want them to be after the negotiations have concluded. So

:55:12.:55:15.

cross-party is fine once negotiations are concluded but not

:55:16.:55:20.

before then? On the 24th of June I may be offered to Carwyn Jones, I

:55:21.:55:25.

said, we will put different sides of the debate but the die has been

:55:26.:55:29.

cast, let's work together to ensure we get a successful outcome for

:55:30.:55:33.

Wales and the UK. Sadly he never took that offer up. I said from day

:55:34.:55:38.

one... On the UK Government side as well, Tejerizo may have very much

:55:39.:55:45.

said this is down to me and nobody else, I am the Prime Minister -- the

:55:46.:55:51.

Prime Minister has said. Not much role for Parliament according to

:55:52.:55:56.

hurt there. I disagree. Ultimately the Prime Minister has to make the

:55:57.:56:00.

final call, but right the way along the line from the devolved nations

:56:01.:56:05.

and governments, right the way through, there have been talks,

:56:06.:56:09.

discussions, about shaping the agenda for these negotiations, and

:56:10.:56:12.

some have walked away from them, some change their position, but one

:56:13.:56:16.

thing to say about the Prime Minister from her Lancaster house

:56:17.:56:20.

speech, she put 12 key principles down to guide the negotiations, but

:56:21.:56:24.

discussions continue with the devolved administrations and in

:56:25.:56:28.

Parliament, and the more those discussions include and have

:56:29.:56:39.

clarity at their part the better of -- heart -- at their heart the

:56:40.:56:44.

better the outcome for the United Kingdom and Europe. You wrote an

:56:45.:56:46.

article at the end of last week saying the joint ministerial

:56:47.:56:48.

committee, this forum whereby the ministers... I see people's eyes

:56:49.:56:50.

glazing over! Stick with me. Where all the governments come together to

:56:51.:56:54.

discuss the issues of the day. Carwyn Jones has said Wales and

:56:55.:56:57.

Scotland have been ignored and the UK Government is not listening to

:56:58.:57:02.

them. Your article seems to go along with that, saying this is in the

:57:03.:57:06.

1950s, we need to establish better ways to engage as the United

:57:07.:57:11.

Kingdom. Is that the fault of the UK Government? Do you feel they

:57:12.:57:27.

are not listening to Wales? It is listening but the point I made back

:57:28.:57:31.

in November, December, was that agricultural, for example, we need

:57:32.:57:33.

UK frameworks. At that point I was saying I was anti-devolution -- that

:57:34.:57:36.

people were saying I was anti-devolution. Now it is

:57:37.:57:37.

mainstream thinking we need UK frameworks. When we come out,

:57:38.:57:39.

whether they're our transitional arrangements or not they will have

:57:40.:57:42.

to be a body that will arbitrate whether our disputes between the

:57:43.:57:48.

nations and the UK. We can't have a 1950s, 60s government. We need one

:57:49.:57:52.

that works... What you mean by that? We were very centralist state in the

:57:53.:57:58.

50s and 60s. I believe Theresa May and the Westminster government has

:57:59.:58:02.

worked tirelessly to bring those administrations along but let's face

:58:03.:58:06.

it, we have a nationalist government in Scotland, a Labour government in

:58:07.:58:10.

Wales, and the political dynamics make it challenging with a

:58:11.:58:14.

Conservative government in Westminster and suspended executive

:58:15.:58:17.

in Northern Ireland, that is why from a Welsh perspective it is

:58:18.:58:26.

important rather than Carwyn Jones and Welsh Labour taking the lead,

:58:27.:58:28.

burqas most people seem to be saying we should look to Carwyn Jones and

:58:29.:58:31.

the Welsh Labour recipe book for the solution, it is the Assembly itself

:58:32.:58:34.

that should take the lead. And by that logic the UK Parliament rather

:58:35.:58:40.

than UK Government should be discussing with other parties Hywel

:58:41.:58:43.

post Brexit we should move forward because we haven't seen any of that.

:58:44.:58:47.

You seem to say one thing for Wales, the Assembly should be a cross-party

:58:48.:58:51.

approach, but what we are seeing with your colleagues in London is

:58:52.:58:55.

very much not a cross-party approach. Again I disagree. If you

:58:56.:58:59.

look at the evidence the Prime Minister and the government have

:59:00.:59:03.

reached out repeatedly. We have the joint ministerial committee in

:59:04.:59:06.

Cardiff, the Prime Minister brought it to Cardiff for the discussion.

:59:07.:59:17.

What I am looking at is post-Brexit and what we can do from a

:59:18.:59:19.

legislative point of view in the Assembly is lead the discussions in

:59:20.:59:22.

Wales where we can reach consensus amongst parties. Surely when we

:59:23.:59:25.

speak with one voice... It is for colleagues... That is the political

:59:26.:59:28.

dynamic that will have to be taken into consideration, but if you have

:59:29.:59:34.

discussions... You have made that point, but how confident are you

:59:35.:59:36.

that your colleagues in London will listen to your call now that it will

:59:37.:59:43.

be the small consensus approach post-Brexit, or are they falling on

:59:44.:59:47.

deaf ears? I believe that discussion will continue and ultimately

:59:48.:59:50.

succeed. Have you spoken to anybody in the UK Government about it? I

:59:51.:59:55.

have spoken to several politicians and advisers in the UK Government.

:59:56.:59:59.

What I am trying to get at is will this happen? If you look at my

:00:00.:00:04.

position, whether on Brexit, I voted for it in a positive way... You are

:00:05.:00:11.

trying to lead a discussion before we have had negotiations. If you

:00:12.:00:14.

look at the record of what we talked about from the Welsh Conservative

:00:15.:00:19.

point of view, whether Brexit, UK frameworks, leading the multiparty

:00:20.:00:23.

discussion from the Assembly rather than thinking Labour have the

:00:24.:00:26.

solutions when they don't, in London for example they have changed their

:00:27.:00:33.

position. I believe to have a successful UK Government we need

:00:34.:00:36.

plurality and we will get that. Another thing you said during and

:00:37.:00:39.

since the referendum is you don't want Wales to be a penny worse off

:00:40.:00:47.

because we are leaving the EU. Now, from structural funding, European

:00:48.:00:52.

grant money for Wales, it has ?83 per person. In England it is ?13,

:00:53.:00:58.

Scotland ?18, Northern Ireland, ?13. If Wales gets less than ?83 per

:00:59.:01:03.

person, whatever money after that, will that be a disappointment to

:01:04.:01:07.

you? There are two sides of the coin. What we need to do is wait

:01:08.:01:11.

shall -- make sure Wales generates more wealth than empower communities

:01:12.:01:15.

to make more wealth and get on. The reason we have so much objective one

:01:16.:01:24.

funding is because our communities have been kept dirt poor by Whaley

:01:25.:01:27.

opossum -- label's failures since devolution. The money isn't about...

:01:28.:01:30.

You said that money should still... What we need to do is make sure that

:01:31.:01:39.

in tandem with security... We need to make sure Wales is worse off, let

:01:40.:01:45.

me take this further, we need to build economic capacity so

:01:46.:01:48.

ultimately we generate more wealth. I welcome Carl Sargeant's move away

:01:49.:01:53.

from that dependency culture on the communities first project to a

:01:54.:01:57.

project to generate wealth in communities, but I do not believe

:01:58.:02:01.

Labour are able to do that because they don't understand the dynamics

:02:02.:02:07.

of the economy. We have seen repeatedly... Time is tight. We

:02:08.:02:11.

didn't see that promise of a Shared Prosperity Fund in the Queen's

:02:12.:02:15.

speech. Are you confident that is still there? That is the principle

:02:16.:02:20.

underpinning the government economy post Brexit. We need to make sure

:02:21.:02:24.

funding is in place for agriculture, structural funds and higher

:02:25.:02:27.

education which are vital ingredients for the economy in Wales

:02:28.:02:30.

and we will work with Westminster colleagues to ensure Wales isn't at

:02:31.:02:33.

a disadvantage. Thank you for your time.

:02:34.:02:34.

You can follow us on Twitter of course - we're @walespolitics

:02:35.:02:39.

Diolch am wylio, thanks for watching.

:02:40.:02:42.

We will be responding further in the weeks and months to come.

:02:43.:02:48.

And with that it's back to you, Andrew.

:02:49.:02:53.

What deal will Theresa May strike with the DUP to give

:02:54.:02:55.

Will the Prime Minister get her programme for government,

:02:56.:03:03.

the Queen's Speech, over the first hurdle in a House

:03:04.:03:05.

A number of stories in the papers this morning about Philip Hammond

:03:06.:03:29.

becoming a caretaker Tory leader with the support of David Davis.

:03:30.:03:34.

What did you make of them? I was dismayed to hear that Tim was coming

:03:35.:03:40.

on the story because I was prepared to rubbish his story. I will go for

:03:41.:03:46.

it. This is great sport, and if I was in Tim's position I would also

:03:47.:03:50.

be cooking up stories, but Tim will say it is based on several very good

:03:51.:03:57.

sources, but my sense from the Tory backbenchers, they are in no way

:03:58.:04:00.

manoeuvring to get someone else installed in number ten, and I'm not

:04:01.:04:05.

saying that Theresa May is secure long-term but I don't sense that

:04:06.:04:08.

there is any immediate threat to her at the moment. I agree partly, but

:04:09.:04:14.

there is a shadow leadership battle. If you look at the fact that

:04:15.:04:19.

ministers have been out on the airwaves, people who I thought might

:04:20.:04:22.

have gone to a retirement home have popped up after the election

:04:23.:04:25.

campaign and are doing media again. People are jockeying, but the

:04:26.:04:30.

feeling of instability is such that they know it looks incredibly

:04:31.:04:34.

self-indulgent focus internally. We have started the Brexit clock by

:04:35.:04:39.

triggering Article 50 Mbits a hard time limit on that. We are in a

:04:40.:04:45.

world where it changes week by week, is it not incredible that there is a

:04:46.:04:52.

plan, to put Phil Hammond in as a caretaker for two years, then he

:04:53.:04:55.

will step down, and then I forget who will take over? Possibly Amber

:04:56.:05:01.

Rudd. The younger generation. This will all be done with David Davis's

:05:02.:05:06.

support, that is rather incredible. I thought it was incredible, as

:05:07.:05:10.

well, but the more calls I put in, there was a lot of chatter about

:05:11.:05:14.

this. What persuaded me that it was interesting, there were Brexit

:05:15.:05:23.

supporting MPs who felt they could stand Philip Hammond in charge. But

:05:24.:05:29.

everyone is taking the view that Theresa May is not going to lead

:05:30.:05:33.

them into the next election, so at what point do they installed the new

:05:34.:05:37.

leader? The sensible time would be in the late summer to get something

:05:38.:05:42.

in place by the party conference. With David Davis and Philip Hammond,

:05:43.:05:46.

pretty well everyone agrees they are the two grown-ups in the Cabinet and

:05:47.:05:49.

if they can come to arrangement with one of them at the top, that might

:05:50.:05:52.

be the way to have a smooth transition. Some of the stories have

:05:53.:05:58.

David Davis to be the caretaker and Phil Hammond to be the number two.

:05:59.:06:03.

David Davis was on the BBC this morning and he reacted to this.

:06:04.:06:06.

Let me be absolutely plain about this.

:06:07.:06:09.

Number one, I happen to think we've got a very good Prime Minister.

:06:10.:06:12.

I know she's coming under a lot of pressure at the moment,

:06:13.:06:15.

I've seen a number of prime ministers in

:06:16.:06:18.

Going right back to Margaret Thatcher.

:06:19.:06:21.

She makes good decisions, she's bold.

:06:22.:06:24.

There's no crisis about this government.

:06:25.:06:26.

It's very very clear that she's a good Prime Minister.

:06:27.:06:28.

Point number two, I want a stable backdrop to this Brexit negotiation.

:06:29.:06:32.

What is your message to those Tories who are already ruffling around

:06:33.:06:38.

in the rhododendrons muttering about leadership

:06:39.:06:40.

Don't be so self-indulgent is my message to those.

:06:41.:06:46.

Of course, he would say that, to an extent. I thought that was quite

:06:47.:06:53.

sincere. I've observed him long enough to know that he is always on

:06:54.:06:57.

manoeuvres of some sort but if he is on manoeuvres now, they involve not

:06:58.:07:03.

being manoeuvres for the time being. If there was credibility to this, if

:07:04.:07:06.

they were really thinking they would have a caretaker and then replace

:07:07.:07:11.

the caretaker with someone else, and then we may do something different,

:07:12.:07:15.

what with the voters make, at a time of national crisis, of huge

:07:16.:07:20.

difficulty, that the Tory party is just playing musical chairs? That is

:07:21.:07:25.

why you have MPs like Ken Clarke who say that this looks very

:07:26.:07:28.

self-indulgent. If anything we have learned from the last 20 years, it

:07:29.:07:35.

is that if you try to have a cooked up thing where everyone knows they

:07:36.:07:38.

are going to be the front man and you are the real brains of the

:07:39.:07:42.

operation, that is a recipe for huge falling out, and people need to know

:07:43.:07:46.

who they are voting for. You didn't say the bit when David Davis was

:07:47.:07:50.

asked if he would go for the leadership, and he said I'm not

:07:51.:07:54.

getting into that. -- you didn't show the bit. Let's move on. He is

:07:55.:08:01.

on quantum manoeuvres. To the more immediate. Tim, where are we with

:08:02.:08:07.

this attempt with the Conservatives to get a deal with the DUP? It is in

:08:08.:08:13.

a mess, but effectively done. People say the confidence side of it was

:08:14.:08:19.

sorted a few weeks ago, but then the fire happened and they weren't keen

:08:20.:08:22.

to do a big announcement and they are still arguing over, not so much

:08:23.:08:26.

the amount of money, but the mechanisms and how it works. I've

:08:27.:08:32.

spoken to DUP sources who say there is no circumstance in which they

:08:33.:08:36.

would vote down this Queen's Speech and the other thing that is

:08:37.:08:39.

happening, the time is meant to be running out on the next stage of the

:08:40.:08:43.

Stormont arrangements and the threat that is coming from the Tory Chief

:08:44.:08:47.

Whip Gavin Williamson to the DUP and one they take very seriously, if you

:08:48.:08:51.

don't vote for the Queen's Speech on Thursday you could effectively have

:08:52.:08:56.

Jeremy Corbyn taking direct rule of Northern Ireland with his old pals

:08:57.:09:01.

from Sinn Fein. That is the threat the Tories hang over the DUP, but

:09:02.:09:07.

the DUP are tough negotiators and if they haven't agreed to an

:09:08.:09:10.

arrangement by the Queen's Speech and they simply abstain, the

:09:11.:09:14.

government will probably still get it through, but the margin will be

:09:15.:09:21.

slight. It's a strange situation. Whether government has greater

:09:22.:09:23.

priorities than forming a government, than forming a majority

:09:24.:09:27.

government, I think they feel fairly confident that they can get over the

:09:28.:09:32.

hurdle next week. And it might be rather marginal, but as long as they

:09:33.:09:36.

can get through it. Simply wresting back on the assurance that there are

:09:37.:09:40.

no circumstances in which the DUP will bring them crashing down. That

:09:41.:09:48.

is enough for now. The long-term situation for Northern Ireland

:09:49.:09:51.

politics is very interesting. This will come under pressure if there is

:09:52.:09:55.

a vote in which the Sinn Fein votes would have made a difference, that

:09:56.:09:58.

is how they squeezed the SDLP and at the same time there is a pressure

:09:59.:10:04.

for them to come back to the Stormont talks, because there will

:10:05.:10:07.

be money flowing into Northern Ireland and they will be acute focus

:10:08.:10:11.

on the areas to which that is going. Labour will put down the memory

:10:12.:10:15.

which will highlight a number of things in the Labour manifesto and

:10:16.:10:23.

-- will put down the manifesto. They may well lose, probably, but at the

:10:24.:10:26.

moment Labour really thinks, if they could cause another election, they

:10:27.:10:31.

think they could win. So there will be all sorts of pressure, lots of

:10:32.:10:35.

votes which will go down to the wire. It is very important, Labour

:10:36.:10:39.

think they can win and fable but votes that can go down to the wire

:10:40.:10:43.

and we will see what the next couple of years will look like -- they will

:10:44.:10:49.

put votes. This is not a world that the Tory MPs like the look of, they

:10:50.:10:52.

have been told they can't take time off, they will be kept late at the

:10:53.:10:56.

House of Commons and that will put stress on the Tory party. The poor

:10:57.:11:01.

dears. The important thing, that they accept the view that the Labour

:11:02.:11:07.

Party has, because Tory MPs also believe Labour will win the election

:11:08.:11:14.

if it will -- if it were to happen any time soon. And so anyone who

:11:15.:11:19.

shares the Labour view on the customs union and things like that.

:11:20.:11:23.

If the government loses a crucial vote, this doesn't trigger an

:11:24.:11:27.

election, but it means the Queen would ask Jeremy Corbyn to form a

:11:28.:11:32.

government. He would say, yes. He might well. What remains to be seen,

:11:33.:11:41.

how effective Labour are now as a machine, Parliamentary machine,

:11:42.:11:41.

because what we saw from the machine, Parliamentary machine,

:11:42.:11:46.

election, Jeremy Corbyn exceeded any expectations in his talents as a

:11:47.:11:50.

campaigner but the fundamentals, if you talk to labour MPs who have been

:11:51.:11:54.

sceptical about him, haven't changed in terms of his ability to manage

:11:55.:11:59.

the Parliamentary party. Nothing that has happened so far in terms of

:12:00.:12:02.

the rhetoric coming out from Labour on Brexit gives any cause for

:12:03.:12:06.

confidence that there is a strategy or even a tone that has been set

:12:07.:12:13.

that is coherent. You heard the Unite union man Gerard Coyne who

:12:14.:12:21.

believes he has been purged from the organisation and he believed that

:12:22.:12:24.

could happen in the party, as well. But if you have achieved what Jeremy

:12:25.:12:29.

Corbyn has achieved, and he is now ahead in the polls, even if they

:12:30.:12:31.

don't matter much will stop he has better ratings than Theresa May now.

:12:32.:12:37.

Why would you not say, this is a winning formula and I will rebuild

:12:38.:12:43.

the party in my image? It is a legitimate thing to do, but Europe

:12:44.:12:48.

is crucial. That is why Labour was like another election sooner rather

:12:49.:12:51.

than later before any crucial votes on things like the customs union and

:12:52.:12:55.

freedom of movement because they held together a much bigger

:12:56.:12:57.

coalition than anybody thought but they did that on the back of angry

:12:58.:13:05.

Remainers. This could factor again for them. When we talk about

:13:06.:13:10.

remaking the Labour Party in the image of Jeremy Corbyn, the question

:13:11.:13:14.

is, is that someone who is sceptical about Europe, and you will see some

:13:15.:13:18.

Labour MPs rebelling on Europe because they know that's the thing

:13:19.:13:21.

the members agree with them on, and not with Mr Corbyn. A week really is

:13:22.:13:30.

a long time in politics, as Harold Wilson said.

:13:31.:13:33.

Jo Coburn will be on BBC Two at noon tomorrow with the Daily Politics,

:13:34.:13:37.

and I'll be back here on BBC One next Sunday at 11am with

:13:38.:13:40.

Remember - if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:41.:14:09.

then we have to treat only patients with very early stages of

:14:10.:14:13.

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