Browse content similar to 25/06/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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It's Sunday morning and this is the Sunday Politics. | :00:37. | :00:42. | |
After the Grenfell Tower disaster, 34 tower blocks in 17 council areas | :00:43. | :00:51. | |
every building that fails will be evacuated. | :00:52. | :00:53. | |
The government promises Britain will be a strong global | :00:54. | :00:58. | |
trading power after Brexit, as negotiations get under way, | :00:59. | :01:01. | |
we'll ask the international trade minister how. | :01:02. | :01:04. | |
As Jeremy Corbyn celebrates his new rock-star status | :01:05. | :01:09. | |
Later will the Labour leader | :01:10. | :01:21. | |
of terror attacks - what can be done to restore | :01:22. | :01:23. | |
And with me throughout, our own supergroup of political | :01:24. | :01:36. | |
pundits who'll be wowing the crowds throughout the programme, | :01:37. | :01:38. | |
Helen Lewis, Tim Shipman and Isabel Oakeshott. | :01:39. | :01:40. | |
They'll also be tweeting using the hashtag bbcsp. | :01:41. | :01:43. | |
First, though, the government has confirmed that over 30 tower blocks | :01:44. | :01:46. | |
across England have now failed an emergency fire safety test, | :01:47. | :01:50. | |
following the Grenfall Tower disaster in which 79 people | :01:51. | :01:52. | |
According to the government the cladding from 34 tower blocks | :01:53. | :02:01. | |
has been tested and all of them have failed the combustibility test. | :02:02. | :02:04. | |
The government plans to examine up to | :02:05. | :02:08. | |
600 blocks and claim they can test 100 a day. | :02:09. | :02:12. | |
The areas affected so far include Manchester, Plymouth and Portsmouth | :02:13. | :02:15. | |
as well as the London boroughs of Barnet, Brent, Camden | :02:16. | :02:20. | |
and Hounslow; all the relevant landlords and fire services | :02:21. | :02:23. | |
Camden has already evacuated residents from | :02:24. | :02:28. | |
650 flats whilst other councils have introduced interim measures such | :02:29. | :02:33. | |
as 24-hour fire warden patrols to mitigate the risk before | :02:34. | :02:35. | |
When you look at the national scale of this, this goes beyond austerity | :02:36. | :02:47. | |
and finger-pointing at individual councils, this is a clear national | :02:48. | :02:53. | |
system failure for the country. I'm surprised the response has been as | :02:54. | :02:56. | |
muted as it has been, and initially there was a huge response. It is | :02:57. | :03:00. | |
striking how every single building they test seems to fail these | :03:01. | :03:05. | |
regulations, so people are slightly confused about whether this is the | :03:06. | :03:07. | |
regulations at fault or the cladding that is at fault and I think what is | :03:08. | :03:13. | |
most alarming to people, the insecurity. Some people have been | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
told to evacuate and that is what happened in Camden and they were | :03:18. | :03:21. | |
told until late at night. It is difficult for people to take pets | :03:22. | :03:24. | |
outcome and other people have been told to stay in the commendation | :03:25. | :03:28. | |
that may or may not be flammable. They have put fire wardens in | :03:29. | :03:33. | |
instead. There is a problem that people feel this is a problem about | :03:34. | :03:38. | |
social housing but not all of these are about social housing, but about | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
the neglect to people that several successive governments have shown. | :03:43. | :03:47. | |
People will wonder why the building regulations allow or the building | :03:48. | :03:52. | |
regulations were flouted in a way that allowed so much inflammable | :03:53. | :03:57. | |
material to clad our buildings. If you look in other countries, | :03:58. | :04:00. | |
America, Germany, some of this is banned, and some people said some of | :04:01. | :04:07. | |
the stuff has been put up in this country has also been banned and | :04:08. | :04:10. | |
this shows what a disaster housing policy has been in this country for | :04:11. | :04:14. | |
a generation. Neither party has been able to get a grip on it. There are | :04:15. | :04:20. | |
several failures of the Tory council but Labour was in charge of putting | :04:21. | :04:24. | |
this stuff into housing associations, where the controls | :04:25. | :04:27. | |
have not been very good over long period, and what we need to do is | :04:28. | :04:31. | |
build more homes and every government announces they are going | :04:32. | :04:33. | |
to build more homes. Hopefully using the right material. Yes, but none of | :04:34. | :04:38. | |
these governors have been able to build enough homes and we have a | :04:39. | :04:44. | |
crisis of stock where people are put into houses like battery hens, | :04:45. | :04:47. | |
frankly, in places where most people would not want to take a second | :04:48. | :04:52. | |
look. Looking at Grenfell Tower, if that had not been clad, if they had | :04:53. | :04:56. | |
kept the old concrete facade committee would not have gone up in | :04:57. | :05:00. | |
fire. This has been a failure of government with a small G, national | :05:01. | :05:05. | |
and local, Labour and Conservatives. Absolutely. It is not just about | :05:06. | :05:11. | |
residential accommodation, hospitals might have this material, I'm | :05:12. | :05:15. | |
hearing, and schools. Politically the challenge for the government, | :05:16. | :05:18. | |
there is a huge logistical and humanitarian challenge but also the | :05:19. | :05:24. | |
politics of it, as you rightly say, that this isn't just something which | :05:25. | :05:27. | |
is linked directly to Tory austerity. The government now, the | :05:28. | :05:34. | |
initial shock has worn off, and the challenge for the government is to | :05:35. | :05:38. | |
make it clear that this is not just their direct responsibility and the | :05:39. | :05:41. | |
result of the Tory cuts agenda and there are plenty of Labour councils | :05:42. | :05:47. | |
who also have responsibility. Given the national crisis and the national | :05:48. | :05:50. | |
failure, the government needs to be seen to get a grip on this. | :05:51. | :05:56. | |
Absolutely. Most MPs would say they... Their response has been | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
slightly more convincing than it was early on, but there are still huge | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
potential for this to snowball especially if we have other | :06:06. | :06:07. | |
buildings, not just residential, affected. There has been a change in | :06:08. | :06:13. | |
the national mood, you see this in the Conservative Party. The word | :06:14. | :06:16. | |
austerity was barely mentioned. Philip Hammond has relaxed his | :06:17. | :06:22. | |
targets. Local councils bore the brunt of the cuts and they won't | :06:23. | :06:25. | |
take any more, there is that sense, the people are tired of that. | :06:26. | :06:27. | |
Indeed. OK. The Government says it will deliver | :06:28. | :06:31. | |
a Brexit deal which will allow the UK to become a powerful global | :06:32. | :06:34. | |
trading nation with the EU This morning the Brexit Secretary, | :06:35. | :06:37. | |
David Davis, told the BBC he was certain he'd be able to get | :06:38. | :06:41. | |
a good trade deal with Brussels, in part because of pressure | :06:42. | :06:44. | |
from businesses within the EU. I mean it's not just | :06:45. | :06:48. | |
the German car industry, it's Bavarian farmers, | :06:49. | :06:52. | |
French farmers, Italian white goods manufacturers, | :06:53. | :06:53. | |
you name it. The balance of trade basically | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
is 230 billion from us to them, They have a very strong interest | :06:59. | :07:01. | |
in getting a good deal, at the end of the day, | :07:02. | :07:09. | |
on all sides on trade. And I've been joined | :07:10. | :07:12. | |
by the Trade Minister Mark Price. Welcome to the programme. There are | :07:13. | :07:17. | |
five main national business organisations in Britain and all of | :07:18. | :07:19. | |
them want minimal custom checks after Brexit between the UK and the | :07:20. | :07:25. | |
EU, how can you do that if we are leaving the customs union? There's a | :07:26. | :07:29. | |
difference between the customs union and the customs arrangements. It is | :07:30. | :07:35. | |
not that binary, you are not either in or out, you can work which with | :07:36. | :07:41. | |
ever party you want, you have customs arrangements, which work to | :07:42. | :07:46. | |
the benefit of business. That would need to cover all of the EU? You | :07:47. | :07:50. | |
can't do that in bilateral business with members of the EU, it needs to | :07:51. | :07:56. | |
be all of them? The negotiations will be with the commission and they | :07:57. | :07:59. | |
will work on behalf of all EU members. I attend the trade | :08:00. | :08:03. | |
ministers meeting and I've been four times since Brexit, and the mood is | :08:04. | :08:08. | |
very positive about the relationship they want with the UK going forward. | :08:09. | :08:13. | |
We have frictionless trade by being in the customs union at the moment, | :08:14. | :08:16. | |
you can import into this country, and then they go seamlessly to the | :08:17. | :08:22. | |
rest of the EU because everything coming into the EU comes in on the | :08:23. | :08:25. | |
same terms, but if we are not in the customs union any more, how can you | :08:26. | :08:30. | |
have that frictionless trade? You look at Harris first of all, and at | :08:31. | :08:34. | |
the moment we are tariff free, but if you look at the arrangement like | :08:35. | :08:38. | |
the Canadian trade Guild, it is 98% tariff free, -- the trade deal. The | :08:39. | :08:51. | |
Canadian deal is not a customs deal. What I'm asking you is about the | :08:52. | :08:55. | |
stuff coming into Britain which at the moment can then go seamlessly to | :08:56. | :09:00. | |
the rest of the EU, and will not be able to do so if we are not in the | :09:01. | :09:05. | |
customs union. I'm trying to explain the preconditions for having a | :09:06. | :09:12. | |
customs arrangements, the first is, can tariff the parable of the -- the | :09:13. | :09:23. | |
first is tariff, and then at the moment we take 56% of our goods from | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
outside the EU. We have electronic passing of documentation and I'm | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
told that 96% will go through within six seconds, and so we are not a | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
novice to this and we all be do this with countries all over the world. | :09:38. | :09:41. | |
We trade with 163 countries around the world, we are not building from | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
no experience and no base. We have a place that we are working from. To | :09:47. | :09:51. | |
do it sector by sector could take a long wire which is maybe why the | :09:52. | :09:54. | |
Chancellor is now talking about a transitional period for single | :09:55. | :10:00. | |
market access may be membership, and the customs union, how long a | :10:01. | :10:03. | |
transition period are we looking at? Who knows. We will see how we get | :10:04. | :10:12. | |
on. One year, two years? Who knows. From the European and UK perspective | :10:13. | :10:17. | |
we want a smooth transition and this is what trade ministers are saying | :10:18. | :10:20. | |
across Europe, this is not just a British desire. I have heard | :10:21. | :10:24. | |
interviews with several European parliamentarians who say they want | :10:25. | :10:26. | |
to move to a smooth transition and they would like a period of time to | :10:27. | :10:30. | |
do that if we can't do that inside the initial period. Will we be able | :10:31. | :10:36. | |
to make free trade deals with countries outside the EU in this | :10:37. | :10:40. | |
transition period? We have a host of arrangements at the moment, but it | :10:41. | :10:45. | |
is not that simple. With the EU we are party to about 40 trade deals by | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
the time we go, and we will work with those countries to transition | :10:50. | :10:53. | |
them. But in the transition period, can we make a free-trade deal with | :10:54. | :11:00. | |
America or China? Can we do that? We have set up nine working groups at | :11:01. | :11:04. | |
the moment with 15 different countries and what we are working | :11:05. | :11:07. | |
through is how do we make sure when we leave the EU that the current | :11:08. | :11:11. | |
arrangements that we have are carried forward, Liam Fox last week | :11:12. | :11:15. | |
was in America and there are 20 agreements with America. We can talk | :11:16. | :11:19. | |
about the current trading relationship, how do we make things | :11:20. | :11:22. | |
better for our businesses in those countries in the way that customs | :11:23. | :11:26. | |
work and the way their businesses are handled and then we can start | :11:27. | :11:29. | |
thinking about how do we shape a future deal. In a transition period, | :11:30. | :11:35. | |
can we strike a free-trade deal with a third party? No, we can't. We | :11:36. | :11:42. | |
can't sign or negotiate. During the transition period? This is during | :11:43. | :11:49. | |
the two-year period, but in the transition period that depends what | :11:50. | :11:53. | |
we agree with the EU. Businesses want tariff free trade to continue | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
between the EU and the UK. What indications have you had that the EU | :11:59. | :12:06. | |
will agree to this? Businesses who want tariff free trade to continue. | :12:07. | :12:13. | |
Between the UK and the EU. In all the discussion that I've had with | :12:14. | :12:17. | |
trade ministers, and I've spoken to them all over the last year, there | :12:18. | :12:21. | |
is a great appetite to impose tariffs where none exist today and | :12:22. | :12:28. | |
as I've mentioned, the Canadian deal is 98% tariff free but also today, | :12:29. | :12:31. | |
what we have said, we will make sure that for the least developed | :12:32. | :12:36. | |
country, 48 of them, we give them preferential access to the UK, no | :12:37. | :12:40. | |
tariffs or rotors, and there's another group of countries that we | :12:41. | :12:48. | |
give reduced access to as well. What about tariff free trade between the | :12:49. | :12:52. | |
EU and the UK? I think they will be keen to give us that. But no yes, | :12:53. | :12:58. | |
despite all these meetings. We have got to sit down and negotiate, but | :12:59. | :13:02. | |
the spirit is a good one. People in Europe want to get into a good place | :13:03. | :13:07. | |
with us, why? Because the trade surplus with the UK is... I know all | :13:08. | :13:17. | |
the reasons. Euro France only runs a surplus with four countries and we | :13:18. | :13:20. | |
are one of them. So the indications are good? Yes, around the world, | :13:21. | :13:26. | |
since Brexit, I visited 31 countries and I've met with 70 ministers and I | :13:27. | :13:34. | |
have seen this. Let me come onto immigration. Businesses have also | :13:35. | :13:43. | |
called for a flexible system of skills and Labour, so what system do | :13:44. | :13:48. | |
you imagine? You have heard from the government that we don't want to | :13:49. | :13:53. | |
harm our economy, and in Europe we have heard very loud and clear that | :13:54. | :13:56. | |
people want to be able to source the right people for their businesses. | :13:57. | :14:02. | |
What will the system be? Tomorrow the Prime Minister is going to make | :14:03. | :14:07. | |
an announcement. That is about EU citizens already here, but what will | :14:08. | :14:12. | |
the broad principles be under which people from the EU can come here to | :14:13. | :14:16. | |
work? That will be in the paper that will be set up, we have the | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
immigration bill coming forward, but we don't want to harm the UK | :14:21. | :14:25. | |
economy. What is the priority? In your manifesto you had a policy of | :14:26. | :14:29. | |
reducing net migration to the tens of thousands, so what is the | :14:30. | :14:33. | |
priority, hitting Matt Targett or a system that meets the flexible needs | :14:34. | :14:40. | |
of the economy? -- that target. It is a difficult call. I would say | :14:41. | :14:44. | |
meeting the needs of the economy are hugely important. What is more | :14:45. | :14:49. | |
important? The part of the jigsaw that is missing is what happens to | :14:50. | :14:52. | |
the shape of the Labour force in the UK as we move into the digital | :14:53. | :14:56. | |
error. The British consortium have said they will need 900,000 fewer | :14:57. | :15:03. | |
workers in retail in ten years' time in every industry is being reshaped, | :15:04. | :15:07. | |
and to take a point in time and say this is right... I'm asking for a | :15:08. | :15:12. | |
general principle, what is more important, hitting the target or | :15:13. | :15:15. | |
keeping immigration that is flexible to the economy? If you asked me as a | :15:16. | :15:22. | |
businessman, for 30 years, I would say it is through the success of | :15:23. | :15:24. | |
business and the success of our economy that we can afford the | :15:25. | :15:29. | |
social services that we want. As a government minister we need to work | :15:30. | :15:32. | |
through over the course of the next 2-3 years, but Bill through | :15:33. | :15:36. | |
Parliament and decide where we get to, we have said there is a target | :15:37. | :15:40. | |
of tens of thousands, and my personal view, given the digital | :15:41. | :15:44. | |
changes, that is a perfectly reasonable target for us. | :15:45. | :15:50. | |
Business says what they really need is clarity. One year after we voted | :15:51. | :15:57. | |
to leave, what clarity have you brought to these issues this | :15:58. | :16:01. | |
morning? That is a very good question. I think we have set out | :16:02. | :16:07. | |
the principles. You cannot tell me the principles of immigration, the | :16:08. | :16:10. | |
principles on which the customs union will operate, or the economy | :16:11. | :16:15. | |
or hitting a target will be more important for immigration. The Prime | :16:16. | :16:21. | |
Minister has set out what we intend to achieve. Through the Queen's | :16:22. | :16:25. | |
speech will bring a different bills that address these issues. They will | :16:26. | :16:30. | |
be there for Parliament to discuss, there will be consultation papers | :16:31. | :16:33. | |
and business can be involved with that. We will be consulting and | :16:34. | :16:39. | |
there will be a vote. That is process. I'm afraid we have run out | :16:40. | :16:44. | |
of time, but that is processed. What you want us to do is to be able to | :16:45. | :16:49. | |
say this is definitively what we will be able to get, but there are | :16:50. | :16:55. | |
two site. If I was buying a business in Waitrose, I couldn't tell you | :16:56. | :17:01. | |
what the outcome would be. I was simply asking what the Government's | :17:02. | :17:08. | |
aim was. That has clearly been set out by the Prime Minister. Thank | :17:09. | :17:09. | |
you. Jeremy Corbyn confounded his critics | :17:10. | :17:12. | |
in the general election, increasing Labour's share | :17:13. | :17:15. | |
of the vote and securing So will the Corbynistas use | :17:16. | :17:16. | |
the result to strengthen Our reporter Emma Vardy | :17:17. | :17:20. | |
has been finding out. Enjoying superstar | :17:21. | :17:23. | |
status at Glastonbury. Since when did being | :17:24. | :17:27. | |
a politician become this cool? Do you know, politics is actually | :17:28. | :17:31. | |
about everyday life. It's about all of us | :17:32. | :17:37. | |
and what we dream and what we want and what we achieve and what we want | :17:38. | :17:40. | |
for everybody else. # Staying out for the summer, | :17:41. | :17:44. | |
playing games in the rain It's looking like the summer | :17:45. | :17:53. | |
of love for Jeremy Corbyn. As he basks in his post-election | :17:54. | :18:02. | |
glow, well, as much as you can bask So, is all that bitter infighting | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
in the party a distant memory Jeremy will stay the Labour leader | :18:07. | :18:12. | |
now as long as he wants to do so. He's come back from the dead | :18:13. | :18:21. | |
in terms of the predictions and so he will remain Labour leader | :18:22. | :18:23. | |
for as long as he wants. Let's recognise that another world | :18:24. | :18:29. | |
is possible if we come together. Former Corbyn critics like John Mann | :18:30. | :18:40. | |
MP have been eating humble pie. The big issue for Jeremy now is, | :18:41. | :18:42. | |
is he going to hold his people in and stop any factional battling | :18:43. | :18:46. | |
in the Labour Party, and there are people on both | :18:47. | :18:48. | |
sides of the old divide in the Labour Party who love nothing | :18:49. | :18:51. | |
better than internal wrangling. Or is he going to consolidate his | :18:52. | :18:54. | |
position and bring the Labour Party together and be a potential | :18:55. | :18:57. | |
Prime Minister in waiting? The centrist Labour group Progress | :18:58. | :19:01. | |
which had been associated with some of Corbyn's harshest critics says | :19:02. | :19:04. | |
now the party is more In the general election, | :19:05. | :19:06. | |
the Labour Party worked together, Labour MPs put their strongest foot | :19:07. | :19:26. | |
forward in getting re-elected in their seats the national campaign | :19:27. | :19:29. | |
pulled through and party staff We have shown that when we pull | :19:30. | :19:31. | |
together we are a strong force. # Staying out for the summer, | :19:32. | :19:36. | |
staying up for the summer #. Before the election, | :19:37. | :19:38. | |
a number of party rule changes had been up for debate as pro and | :19:39. | :19:41. | |
anti-Corbyn factions looked for ways So has all that now being kicked | :19:42. | :19:44. | |
into the long grass? Any attempts to try and undermine | :19:45. | :19:47. | |
Tom Watson as deputy leader, appoint a second deputy leader, | :19:48. | :19:50. | |
attack the party staff, change the party rules, | :19:51. | :19:52. | |
will show the public out there that the Labour Party is more | :19:53. | :19:54. | |
interested in itself rather But will also put at risk that | :19:55. | :19:57. | |
unity, that is fragile and quite frankly now, | :19:58. | :20:01. | |
is led from the top. The way in which internal | :20:02. | :20:05. | |
hostilities would recommend The way in which internal | :20:06. | :20:10. | |
hostilities would recommence would be if there was a return | :20:11. | :20:13. | |
to some of the sectarianism that we So if there were attempts | :20:14. | :20:16. | |
to deselect MPs and councillors, those MPs and councillors | :20:17. | :20:20. | |
are going to fight If there are attempts to cross | :20:21. | :20:22. | |
a limited number of policy red lines on things like Trident renewal, | :20:23. | :20:30. | |
again that would cause And if there are attempts to change | :20:31. | :20:32. | |
the rule book of the party in a way that just gives blatant partisan | :20:33. | :20:43. | |
advantage, then again it would cause divisions to re-emerge, | :20:44. | :20:45. | |
but there's no need for them to do On policy and personnel, the ball | :20:46. | :20:48. | |
is in Jeremy Corbyn's court. There will be a debate | :20:49. | :20:51. | |
at conference, though, on what some are calling | :20:52. | :20:54. | |
the McDonnell Amendment. A rule change that would lower | :20:55. | :20:56. | |
the number of nominations needed Those on the left of the party have | :20:57. | :20:59. | |
been accused of plotting to make it easier for a left-wing candidate | :21:00. | :21:06. | |
to stand for leadership to succeed I think that opinion at conference | :21:07. | :21:09. | |
is finely balanced on that. Because the elections | :21:10. | :21:20. | |
for constituency delegates seem to be on a knife edge | :21:21. | :21:22. | |
between the left and the right. We will know the outcome of those | :21:23. | :21:25. | |
around the 9th of July And then it all depends | :21:26. | :21:28. | |
on the attitude taken by a couple of the big unions like | :21:29. | :21:36. | |
the GMB and Unison, about this proposal than Unite | :21:37. | :21:38. | |
and the more left-wing unions are. Meanwhile, here at the Jeremy Corbyn | :21:39. | :21:45. | |
supporting Momentum HQ, they believe there could be another | :21:46. | :21:57. | |
general election within six months and are remaining | :21:58. | :22:00. | |
in full campaign mode. We're going to be targeting | :22:01. | :22:02. | |
new marginals and we're going to be training thousands of activists | :22:03. | :22:04. | |
in those marginal constituencies and we going to be developing | :22:05. | :22:06. | |
new technological platforms to make it easy for people to get | :22:07. | :22:09. | |
involved in the election. Safe to say, they're | :22:10. | :22:11. | |
feeling rather vindicated. Many of those who were bitterly | :22:12. | :22:13. | |
opposed to Jeremy Corbyn have eaten their words | :22:14. | :22:18. | |
and have apologised. Look, in the general election | :22:19. | :22:20. | |
campaign, we campaigned for all Labour candidates | :22:21. | :22:24. | |
in our target seats and marginal seats, irrespective of where they | :22:25. | :22:31. | |
stood in the past on Jeremy Corbyn. We helped win seats for candidates | :22:32. | :22:36. | |
who supported Progress, just as hard as we helped win seats | :22:37. | :22:39. | |
for those who had always supported Jeremy and that's the way | :22:40. | :22:45. | |
we are going to carry on. Well, I think that will last | :22:46. | :22:48. | |
till the next election because we all want to | :22:49. | :22:52. | |
win the next election. # Staying out for the summer, | :22:53. | :22:54. | |
staying out for the summer #. For now, he's the man of the moment, | :22:55. | :23:02. | |
but is this performance the peak of his popularity, or the precursor | :23:03. | :23:06. | |
to Labour winning power? Before the general election | :23:07. | :23:11. | |
was called, a proxy-battle for the future of the Labour party | :23:12. | :23:19. | |
was played out in the election of the general secretary | :23:20. | :23:27. | |
of Unite, the union, The incumbent, Len McClusky, | :23:28. | :23:29. | |
who had put his weight behind Jeremy Corbyn, | :23:30. | :23:36. | |
faced a challenge from Gerard Coyne, who was seen to be the Labour | :23:37. | :23:38. | |
moderates' choice. Gerard Coyne narrowly lost, | :23:39. | :23:40. | |
and this week he was sacked from his Unite position | :23:41. | :23:43. | |
as a regional secretary. Good morning. You say you have been | :23:44. | :23:50. | |
the victim of a kangaroo court and a short trial, what do you mean by | :23:51. | :23:55. | |
that? After 29 years' service with the union I found myself dismissed | :23:56. | :24:00. | |
for a trumped up charge that related to the election but was about | :24:01. | :24:05. | |
nothing that relates directly to my role as a regional secretary so it | :24:06. | :24:10. | |
showed to me that defence now cannot be tolerated inside Unite and that's | :24:11. | :24:16. | |
a very concerning situation. The union says you were sacked for | :24:17. | :24:19. | |
misuse of data during the leadership election campaign. You say it's | :24:20. | :24:23. | |
because you have the audacity to challenge Len McCluskey. What's the | :24:24. | :24:27. | |
evidence to support your side? The independent body appointed by the | :24:28. | :24:32. | |
union to oversee the election this week produced a report that said in | :24:33. | :24:36. | |
relation to the data issue there was no evidence I breached any rules and | :24:37. | :24:42. | |
no evidence I breached the election guidance so actually the union's own | :24:43. | :24:46. | |
independent body has exonerated me this week. You said "It's beyond | :24:47. | :24:52. | |
parody that I is a 30 year member of the Labour Party should be accused | :24:53. | :25:01. | |
of harming Unite Labour relations by Len McCluskey's chief of staff..." | :25:02. | :25:09. | |
What do you mean by that? The investigation and the decision | :25:10. | :25:12. | |
reached actually shows a much more concerning element about the | :25:13. | :25:18. | |
involvement in the campaign and election that reflects badly in | :25:19. | :25:22. | |
terms of his position as a member of the Communist Party and the sort of | :25:23. | :25:27. | |
quite frankly Stalinist approach to the treatment I have received. So | :25:28. | :25:32. | |
actually it was a show trial I endured recently and I don't believe | :25:33. | :25:35. | |
I have received a fair process at all. And in this, in your words show | :25:36. | :25:42. | |
trial, did this Unite leadership regard you as an enemy of the | :25:43. | :25:47. | |
proletariat? The truth is they were very keen to see the descent and the | :25:48. | :25:52. | |
different vision I have got for Unite which was focused on our | :25:53. | :25:56. | |
members and protecting them in a difficult set of circumstances. They | :25:57. | :26:00. | |
wanted to stamp out that voice which was one which was articulated in a | :26:01. | :26:04. | |
different way for the union to go in the future. But you had lost. Yes | :26:05. | :26:12. | |
but on a very small majority, and there were thousands of Unite voters | :26:13. | :26:16. | |
that didn't have a chance to vote, which is why I'm now mounting a | :26:17. | :26:20. | |
legal challenge to the election results and we are going to make | :26:21. | :26:25. | |
sure it is rerun and given the opportunity to those members. So you | :26:26. | :26:30. | |
think you have a claim in law? To put a ten point claim into the | :26:31. | :26:35. | |
certification Officer, that has already gone in challenging the | :26:36. | :26:38. | |
result on ten individual counts as to how it was not properly run in | :26:39. | :26:44. | |
the first place. Do you have confidence in the certification | :26:45. | :26:47. | |
Officer in that process or do you think you might end up in the High | :26:48. | :26:52. | |
Court? If the certification Officer doesn't rule in favour of what I | :26:53. | :27:00. | |
think is a strong case coming have to ask the question what is this | :27:01. | :27:04. | |
certification Officer for, in that case I will be considering the High | :27:05. | :27:09. | |
Court. If you are right about the way you were treated, what does it | :27:10. | :27:14. | |
say about British trade unionism in the 21st-century that you can be | :27:15. | :27:17. | |
sacked by your union for standing up to the boss? I expect to have a | :27:18. | :27:25. | |
robust debate in a democratic election and not to be punished for | :27:26. | :27:31. | |
it. I did engage in what was quite an interesting debate through the | :27:32. | :27:36. | |
election campaign, but I've also served the union the 29 years and | :27:37. | :27:40. | |
for most employees if they have had that length of service, some | :27:41. | :27:44. | |
consideration would have been given to that. But Len McCluskey has been | :27:45. | :27:51. | |
re-elected leader, Jeremy Corbyn now rules the Labour Party unchallenged. | :27:52. | :27:55. | |
Andrew Murray, who you say mounted the show trial against you, was a | :27:56. | :28:01. | |
key part of Jeremy Corbyn's election campaign. It does look like you've | :28:02. | :28:07. | |
lost on all fronts. Jeremy did exceptionally well in the general | :28:08. | :28:10. | |
election campaign, he got young people involved, and it's not about | :28:11. | :28:14. | |
a left or right issue in terms of the party, it's about where the | :28:15. | :28:20. | |
party goes. My fear is that the way I've treated will start to give an | :28:21. | :28:25. | |
influence in the Labour movement or generally in the Labour Party that | :28:26. | :28:29. | |
starts to look like purges are acceptable. If Labour does that, the | :28:30. | :28:33. | |
electorate will never forgive them for an internal battle rather than | :28:34. | :28:36. | |
being the effective opposition they need to be. Are you saying that what | :28:37. | :28:42. | |
you believe happened to you could happen to other people now in the | :28:43. | :28:46. | |
Labour Party itself? I think there is a real danger of that. The | :28:47. | :28:51. | |
reality is the very people involved at the top of Unite, involved in the | :28:52. | :28:56. | |
disciplinary process with myself, they are influential figures in | :28:57. | :29:01. | |
Labour and part of my campaign is that Unite is too intrinsically | :29:02. | :29:04. | |
linked with the top of the Labour Party and ready to be focusing on a | :29:05. | :29:08. | |
much stronger industrial agenda for the future. If you have been a | :29:09. | :29:12. | |
member of the Labour Party for 30 years. We have now been dismissed | :29:13. | :29:16. | |
from your job is regional secretary I think in the West Midlands area? | :29:17. | :29:22. | |
That's right. Have you heard from the Labour leadership on this issue? | :29:23. | :29:27. | |
I haven't, and in terms of the leadership it would be nice to hear | :29:28. | :29:31. | |
from them because we lost seats in the West Midlands, we should have | :29:32. | :29:38. | |
felt onto, where working-class vote did not stay with Labour and it's | :29:39. | :29:43. | |
important we reach out to and engage with those communities and make sure | :29:44. | :29:46. | |
they support Labour in the future. Gerard Coyne, thank you for being | :29:47. | :29:51. | |
with us. I've been joined now from Leeds | :29:52. | :29:54. | |
by Labour's Jon Trickett, Welcome to the programme. Jeremy | :29:55. | :30:07. | |
Corbyn says he wants to unite the party behind him, so why didn't he | :30:08. | :30:10. | |
use the Shadow Cabinet reshuffle to do just that? First of all, why | :30:11. | :30:18. | |
would he change a winning team? We did a very good election campaign, | :30:19. | :30:23. | |
if we did not -- even if we did not quite get over the line. The Shadow | :30:24. | :30:26. | |
Cabinet worked very hard to get their result, but there are | :30:27. | :30:29. | |
vacancies and they were used to reach out and we have brought in the | :30:30. | :30:34. | |
man who stood against Jeremy not that long ago in a tough battle for | :30:35. | :30:40. | |
the leadership. I think that shows a leader who is reaching out, but also | :30:41. | :30:43. | |
wanting to make sure that he keeps a winning team. That is a reasonable | :30:44. | :30:48. | |
decision for him to make. What do you say to Gerard Coyne, Labour | :30:49. | :30:53. | |
member 30 years, who believes he has been purged from the Unite union and | :30:54. | :30:59. | |
that could be about to happen to Labour moderates in the party? There | :31:00. | :31:05. | |
will be no purge. We want everyone together, what is remarkable is, | :31:06. | :31:11. | |
when the so-called coup happened last year, when the PLP turned | :31:12. | :31:15. | |
against Jeremy, our poll rating collapsed and as soon as the party | :31:16. | :31:19. | |
reunited for the election the poll rating began to increase and that is | :31:20. | :31:24. | |
a lesson for everyone. The lesson has been learned by all of us and we | :31:25. | :31:29. | |
will work together as United party moving forward, but what should be | :31:30. | :31:33. | |
clear to everyone, we cannot go back to the Labour Party as it was | :31:34. | :31:36. | |
previously. He had got to move forward with Jeremy in the direction | :31:37. | :31:39. | |
in which he has laid out for the party and the country. What do you | :31:40. | :31:44. | |
say to Paul Mason, former journalists. -- former journalist. | :31:45. | :31:50. | |
He said to Blair writes that if you want a centrist party, this is not | :31:51. | :31:54. | |
going to be it for the next ten years -- Blairites. He said you have | :31:55. | :32:01. | |
got to form your own party. He did look a bit excitable when I saw a | :32:02. | :32:07. | |
piece by him on the internet, but the centre of gravity, it has | :32:08. | :32:11. | |
changed in politics, and what was the centre is no longer the centre. | :32:12. | :32:15. | |
The idea that a country should be run for a few at the expense of the | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
many is one which I think has been largely destroyed in this election | :32:20. | :32:23. | |
campaign. The centre has moved and the party has recognised with the | :32:24. | :32:26. | |
new centre is and we now need to unite and begin to roll out the | :32:27. | :32:31. | |
changes. There are many which need to be done on Jeremy's agenda. I say | :32:32. | :32:35. | |
this to the party committee of Jeremy and the leadership the tools | :32:36. | :32:39. | |
and he will finish the job -- the party, give Jeremy and the | :32:40. | :32:49. | |
leadership the tours. If they want a more centre-left party, they are not | :32:50. | :32:52. | |
going to get it? They should follow Paul Mason's advice? If they want | :32:53. | :32:59. | |
that. We have heard many of them repenting on their sins in the last | :33:00. | :33:02. | |
couple of days. That is another matter! LAUGHTER | :33:03. | :33:09. | |
They have recognised there are new ways of campaigning we have got to | :33:10. | :33:12. | |
listen to young people and see how they organise, but also our politics | :33:13. | :33:16. | |
has changed as a party and it has resonated with the country. Gerard | :33:17. | :33:20. | |
Coyne spoke about working class voters. I began writing about the | :33:21. | :33:26. | |
problem with working class voters in 2005 at the height of the Tony Blair | :33:27. | :33:30. | |
years and the party has more work to do in those communities and across | :33:31. | :33:34. | |
the country to win the trust of everybody's so that we can serve | :33:35. | :33:38. | |
them in government. Working-class voters swung to the Tories in the | :33:39. | :33:42. | |
last election, middle-class voters went your way. There has been a | :33:43. | :33:47. | |
problem with manual workers for some time, I don't need to be told about | :33:48. | :33:50. | |
that, I'd been writing about it for ten years. I was a building worker | :33:51. | :33:57. | |
for a while and we have got more work to do to regain the trust of | :33:58. | :34:00. | |
these people, but some of the proposals will work for those people | :34:01. | :34:03. | |
and we have got to bring them back in. Do you back the left wing move | :34:04. | :34:08. | |
to lower the threshold of MPs needed to stand for the leadership? We will | :34:09. | :34:14. | |
see where we get to, I'm in favour of democratising the Labour Party. | :34:15. | :34:19. | |
Are you in favour or not? We will see where we get to. It has been a | :34:20. | :34:24. | |
long-running debate. Do you think the threshold for anyone who wants | :34:25. | :34:27. | |
to run for leadership should be cut to 5% of MPs? I'm not going to | :34:28. | :34:35. | |
express my view at the moment, but when there is a leadership election | :34:36. | :34:39. | |
it is important that every tendency within the party is represented on | :34:40. | :34:43. | |
the ballot paper. And the rule that prevents a section of the right or | :34:44. | :34:47. | |
the left or the centre from being on the ballot paper is a bad rule. That | :34:48. | :34:52. | |
is an argument for lowering the threshold. We have got to look | :34:53. | :34:56. | |
carefully at how we conduct leadership elections and that debate | :34:57. | :35:02. | |
will be had. That far left figure we had in that film there, he said the | :35:03. | :35:07. | |
Corbyn way of doing things is a successful way, and that is | :35:08. | :35:15. | |
suggesting that you join the Corbyn bandwagon, you don't try to change | :35:16. | :35:18. | |
it, that's the way forward the Labour Party? All parties have | :35:19. | :35:22. | |
different points of view, and so is the Labour Party. You test ideas in | :35:23. | :35:28. | |
action and what happened in the general election showed the idea | :35:29. | :35:32. | |
that Jeremy has had and are successful, we have more than | :35:33. | :35:35. | |
doubled our size. Over 600,000 members. You lost the third election | :35:36. | :35:43. | |
in a row. We got the highest share of the vote, the largest number of | :35:44. | :35:48. | |
votes. No, you didn't. The Tories did. I haven't finished my sentence. | :35:49. | :35:57. | |
Labour has received since 1997. You lost. Of course, and that is why I | :35:58. | :36:03. | |
have said you we have got to work harder to build confidence in people | :36:04. | :36:07. | |
especially working people in our politics and the way we are going. | :36:08. | :36:12. | |
Can I clarify the Labour position on Brexit? Jeremy Corbyn and John | :36:13. | :36:17. | |
McDonnell has said the Labour position is to leave membership of | :36:18. | :36:20. | |
the single market, so why have over 50 Labour politicians signed a | :36:21. | :36:24. | |
letter to the Guardian in favour of membership of the single market? | :36:25. | :36:29. | |
That is not exactly where we are. We are taking the view that we need to | :36:30. | :36:36. | |
have access to all of the tariff rearrangements which exist within | :36:37. | :36:38. | |
the customs union and the single market. What is the policy on | :36:39. | :36:44. | |
membership? Let me finish. It is important to answer the question. I | :36:45. | :36:50. | |
will give you a full answer, and the answer is, we are not wedded to any | :36:51. | :36:55. | |
particular institutional framework, we are pragmatic about it. We will | :36:56. | :37:02. | |
see how the negotiations go. We do not have to do one thing or another | :37:03. | :37:05. | |
in terms of institutional relationships but we need a Brexit | :37:06. | :37:09. | |
which works for jobs and growth and also for the protections which | :37:10. | :37:13. | |
working people have also how that comes remains to be seen. I was | :37:14. | :37:21. | |
asking for clarification. Is the Labour policy to remain members of | :37:22. | :37:22. | |
the single market or not? Alp policy Labour policy to remain members of | :37:23. | :37:29. | |
is to secure all of the rights which exist, tariff free access, within | :37:30. | :37:34. | |
the single market and the customs union, and we are not saying that a | :37:35. | :37:38. | |
particular institutional form is something we've always ourselves to | :37:39. | :37:44. | |
at this stage. Are you for or against remaining members of the | :37:45. | :37:49. | |
single market? It is not a question of four it is about securing the | :37:50. | :37:54. | |
best possible arrangement for our economy and working people -- it is | :37:55. | :38:01. | |
not a question of for or against. The labour MP Clive Lewis said | :38:02. | :38:09. | |
Thatcher economic dogma was to blame for Grenfell Tower, but we know many | :38:10. | :38:12. | |
tower blocks have been clad in the same material by Labour councils, | :38:13. | :38:19. | |
was that also the fault of Thatcherite economic dogma? It is | :38:20. | :38:24. | |
very difficult to say exactly what happened, and I worked in the | :38:25. | :38:27. | |
building industry for many years and I know the regulations were very | :38:28. | :38:30. | |
tight. It now looks as though something happened with the building | :38:31. | :38:38. | |
regulations. And apart from that, we can't say exactly what lies behind | :38:39. | :38:42. | |
this. By Tory and Labour councils, that is my point, both parties have | :38:43. | :38:52. | |
questions to answer. Yes, but the government have sat on the | :38:53. | :38:56. | |
recommendations, like the recommendation of this printer | :38:57. | :38:58. | |
systems, they have sat on those documents for years. -- sprinkler | :38:59. | :39:06. | |
systems. Do you think all parties should stop trying to make political | :39:07. | :39:11. | |
capital out of what is effectively a national disaster? And tried to get | :39:12. | :39:17. | |
to the bottom of a system explained the and try to do better regardless | :39:18. | :39:20. | |
of the party? Yes, everyone should do the same. The sooner we get the | :39:21. | :39:25. | |
results of the inquiry the better, but if there are decisions which can | :39:26. | :39:28. | |
be made sooner than the public inquiry they should be made and | :39:29. | :39:33. | |
implemented. Jon Trickett, thanks for joining us. | :39:34. | :39:40. | |
It's just gone 1140, you're watching the Sunday Politics. | :39:41. | :39:49. | |
Hello and welcome to Sunday Politics Wales. | :39:50. | :39:51. | |
In a few minutes, we speak to someone who knows more | :39:52. | :39:55. | |
than most about Article 50 - the man who wrote it. | :39:56. | :39:58. | |
And the Welsh Conservative leader will be here to explain how | :39:59. | :40:00. | |
he thinks his own party should be making Brexit work for Wales. | :40:01. | :40:06. | |
But first, are education targets really important? | :40:07. | :40:10. | |
One leading expert says they're critical for economic success. | :40:11. | :40:13. | |
Professor David Reynolds, who used to advise the Welsh Government, | :40:14. | :40:17. | |
has told this programme Wales risks becoming an economic backwater | :40:18. | :40:20. | |
if the international ranking Pisa test results don't improve. | :40:21. | :40:25. | |
His comments came at the end of a week when ministers seemed to | :40:26. | :40:28. | |
disagree about whether they remained a target at all. | :40:29. | :40:31. | |
Hit it, and after congratulating ourselves, we can think | :40:32. | :40:41. | |
about setting a new, more ambitious goal. | :40:42. | :40:44. | |
Miss it, and we need to ask ourselves what went wrong. | :40:45. | :40:51. | |
But what if the target changes whilst we're trying to reach it? | :40:52. | :40:55. | |
In 2014, the then education minister replaced the Welsh Government's Pisa | :40:56. | :40:58. | |
target with a new one - for Wales to obtain a score of 500 | :40:59. | :41:03. | |
in each of the subjects assessed by the Pisa education tests by 2021. | :41:04. | :41:12. | |
At the time, Kirsty Williams said the move showed an "absolute | :41:13. | :41:15. | |
The most recent results showed we've made progress in maths, | :41:16. | :41:22. | |
but we'd fallen back in science and reading. | :41:23. | :41:25. | |
We remain behind the rest of the UK in all three areas, | :41:26. | :41:28. | |
But at least we knew how far we have still had to go. | :41:29. | :41:36. | |
Then, last week, the new Education Secretary distanced | :41:37. | :41:40. | |
And so it's a much more complex picture than just | :41:41. | :41:44. | |
saying we're going to have this individual target. | :41:45. | :41:46. | |
OK, so the target now isn't the stated aim of 500, | :41:47. | :41:51. | |
But a few days later, the First Minister insisted | :41:52. | :41:59. | |
the Government's aim hadn't changed, much to the amusement | :42:00. | :42:01. | |
Achieving 500 by 2021 remains the Welsh Government's target. | :42:02. | :42:06. | |
The Cabinet Secretary was correct when she said | :42:07. | :42:08. | |
she didn't set the target, because she wasn't the minister | :42:09. | :42:10. | |
at the time, but she is part of the government that is adhering | :42:11. | :42:13. | |
So, we've got you saying one thing - that the target exists - | :42:14. | :42:18. | |
and you've got the Cabinet Secretary confirming in front of a scrutiny | :42:19. | :42:21. | |
committee of this Assembly that it is not her target. | :42:22. | :42:25. | |
Who's taking ownership of education here in Wales? | :42:26. | :42:27. | |
Is it any wonder it is such a complete shambles | :42:28. | :42:30. | |
Kirsty Williams has now confirmed that the Welsh Government | :42:31. | :42:34. | |
target hasn't changed, but there remains concern | :42:35. | :42:36. | |
and confusion over the events of the past ten days, | :42:37. | :42:38. | |
with the issue of collective responsibility being raised. | :42:39. | :42:43. | |
Kirsty Williams is the sole Lib Dem in Carwyn Jones' | :42:44. | :42:48. | |
It does now leave them to ask the question, | :42:49. | :42:55. | |
Should we be aiming for targets at all? | :42:56. | :42:59. | |
And if so, what merits are we being judged on? | :43:00. | :43:02. | |
Are we being judged on the performance as set out | :43:03. | :43:04. | |
by the Education Cabinet Secretary or by the Welsh Government itself, | :43:05. | :43:07. | |
and if we don't have clarity on that, then it becomes even more | :43:08. | :43:10. | |
meaningless, really, to put weight on Pisa results. | :43:11. | :43:13. | |
This may be a little bit awkward in next week's Cabinet meeting, | :43:14. | :43:17. | |
but it's probably quite a sensible move by Kirsty Williams. | :43:18. | :43:19. | |
The Pisa targets have tripped up several successive Welsh Government | :43:20. | :43:22. | |
As a Liberal Democrat, Kirsty Williams has got | :43:23. | :43:27. | |
a little bit of wiggle room, and I think she's used it quite well | :43:28. | :43:30. | |
this week to put some distance between herself | :43:31. | :43:32. | |
In the meantime, how likely is it that Wales | :43:33. | :43:36. | |
I asked a former Welsh Government adviser for his assessment. | :43:37. | :43:43. | |
We can meet it if teacher training improves, if we get | :43:44. | :43:46. | |
the knowledge base out there, and if we make our teachers master | :43:47. | :43:49. | |
craftsmen and women of teaching, which many countries have done. | :43:50. | :43:51. | |
If we did that, then we could be very, very | :43:52. | :43:56. | |
close to those targets, but I fear, at the moment, | :43:57. | :43:58. | |
we're not doing it, so it ain't going to happen. | :43:59. | :44:06. | |
You say that this is an ambitious target, to reach the score of 500, | :44:07. | :44:10. | |
and yet when you look at many other countries around the world, | :44:11. | :44:12. | |
their scores are higher than that score of 500. | :44:13. | :44:15. | |
500 is merely the average, really, so that just shows | :44:16. | :44:17. | |
how far off the pace we are, doesn't it? | :44:18. | :44:19. | |
The Welsh Government says Pisa is just one yardstick for measuring | :44:20. | :44:26. | |
But according to Professor Reynolds... | :44:27. | :44:31. | |
In a globalised world, Pisa is the most important | :44:32. | :44:33. | |
Pisa is about how different countries are doing, | :44:34. | :44:39. | |
and I think probably the important thing to say is that industrially, | :44:40. | :44:43. | |
there is some evidence to look at Pisa tests, too. | :44:44. | :44:45. | |
If you look back at 2010, when Shanghai, China, | :44:46. | :44:48. | |
suddenly came from nowhere to be top, if you look at foreign | :44:49. | :44:50. | |
If industrialists are looking at Pisa, and they are, | :44:51. | :44:57. | |
the answer is to get those scores up, to get industry in, | :44:58. | :45:00. | |
or we risk becoming just a kind of theme park here without industry. | :45:01. | :45:04. | |
The Education Secretary wasn't available to be | :45:05. | :45:05. | |
However, a spokesman said the Welsh Government has introduced | :45:06. | :45:14. | |
a number of initiatives to attract new teachers and raise standards, | :45:15. | :45:17. | |
and Kirsty Williams expects to see an improvement in Wales's Pisa | :45:18. | :45:19. | |
and Kirsty Williams expects to see an improvement in Wales's Pisa | :45:20. | :45:28. | |
Now, a tremendous amount has been said and written about the ins | :45:29. | :45:32. | |
and outs of Article 50, the process by which the UK | :45:33. | :45:35. | |
leaves the European Union, but what does the man | :45:36. | :45:37. | |
Lord Kerr was our man in Washington and Brussels before turning his hand | :45:38. | :45:41. | |
to writing the article which has dominated politics | :45:42. | :45:43. | |
But he now says it could and should be reversed, so when I spoke to him, | :45:44. | :45:48. | |
I began by asking how and why that could ever be possible. | :45:49. | :45:56. | |
We are members of the European Union until the moment we leave, | :45:57. | :46:02. | |
and since we triggered the procedure in March 2017, we leave in March | :46:03. | :46:05. | |
You will know that UK Government ministers, | :46:06. | :46:16. | |
David Davis, even Theresa May, have been saying that actually, | :46:17. | :46:17. | |
once we have triggered that Article 50 process, | :46:18. | :46:19. | |
No, no, no, no - it is perfectly possible for us to change our mind. | :46:20. | :46:30. | |
Look at what the President of the European Council has said, | :46:31. | :46:32. | |
look at what president Macron has said, look at what the German | :46:33. | :46:36. | |
finance minister, Dr Schauble, said the other day. | :46:37. | :46:37. | |
Look at what all the lawyers, all the EU lawyers, say. | :46:38. | :46:47. | |
It is open to the member state to change its intention. | :46:48. | :46:50. | |
The first part of the article, Article 50, says that "according | :46:51. | :46:52. | |
to your own constitutional requirements," you decide | :46:53. | :46:54. | |
that you want to leave, and you notify your intention, | :46:55. | :46:56. | |
and then after two years you are out, unless the period is extended. | :46:57. | :47:00. | |
But during the two years or its extension, it is open | :47:01. | :47:02. | |
to you to say, "Actually, we've now changed our mind, | :47:03. | :47:05. | |
Whether they agreed would be a political question, of course, | :47:06. | :47:11. | |
We would be entirely within our rights, but they might | :47:12. | :47:15. | |
try to extract some sort of price from us if we'd wasted | :47:16. | :47:18. | |
So, you are saying we could change our mind, we could return, | :47:19. | :47:35. | |
but not necessarily to as things were before Article 50 | :47:36. | :47:37. | |
I'm not quite sure why we triggered it in March, | :47:38. | :47:45. | |
and then did nothing for three months, because we called | :47:46. | :47:47. | |
I'm not sure what the point of that was. | :47:48. | :47:53. | |
And of course, there has been no negotiation of any | :47:54. | :47:55. | |
kind until this week, so one year has passed | :47:56. | :47:57. | |
since the referendum, and we have said nothing | :47:58. | :47:59. | |
But isn't it a wise cause of action for the UK Government ministers not | :48:00. | :48:07. | |
to reveal their hands, as it were, considering this | :48:08. | :48:09. | |
Well, I mean, the idea that you can negotiate in secret | :48:10. | :48:20. | |
The commission are negotiating on behalf of 27 member states, | :48:21. | :48:26. | |
and everything they do, they will report to their clients, | :48:27. | :48:29. | |
So it will all be available on the internet, and you can see | :48:30. | :48:37. | |
today, 50 pages of documents, which have been agreed by the other | :48:38. | :48:40. | |
You won't find a single page of British documents, | :48:41. | :48:45. | |
Now, this is a point which I think is a great mistake. | :48:46. | :48:54. | |
I think it would be better to play at home, we'd be better to negotiate | :48:55. | :48:57. | |
on the basis of documents that we've put forward rather than the basis | :48:58. | :49:00. | |
But as also the man who was for a time the UK's man | :49:01. | :49:06. | |
in Brussels, if you like, as UK ambassador to the EU, | :49:07. | :49:09. | |
how do you rate the chances of the UK getting a good deal | :49:10. | :49:12. | |
working with those other EU member states? | :49:13. | :49:17. | |
I think everybody wants a decent working relationship | :49:18. | :49:21. | |
with a Britain that has left and the European Union. | :49:22. | :49:25. | |
I think nobody wants to punish the European Union for going. | :49:26. | :49:28. | |
We will have to pay a price, and our economy will grow less fast | :49:29. | :49:36. | |
than it would have if we'd stayed inside, but nobody wants to pile | :49:37. | :49:39. | |
I do think that the issues that are being discussed in the first | :49:40. | :49:45. | |
round of the negotiation, and particularly the money, | :49:46. | :49:46. | |
are particularly difficult, because money negotiation | :49:47. | :49:48. | |
The EU doesn't want to let us off our bill. | :49:49. | :50:08. | |
If we do a runner and refuse to pay the bill, then you can forget that | :50:09. | :50:14. | |
close relationship that all sides, I think, want. | :50:15. | :50:16. | |
We've discussed how the negotiations are going from Brussels point | :50:17. | :50:19. | |
I wonder what you make of how the UK Government has discussed and taken | :50:20. | :50:23. | |
on board the views of devolved administrations in the UK, | :50:24. | :50:26. | |
the Welsh Government, Scottish Government, | :50:27. | :50:27. | |
do you think they've been engaging enough | :50:28. | :50:30. | |
with the constituent parts of the UK? | :50:31. | :50:36. | |
There doesn't appear to have been much details discussion | :50:37. | :50:41. | |
There doesn't appear to have been much detailed discussion | :50:42. | :50:43. | |
with the Welsh Government or the Scottish Government | :50:44. | :50:45. | |
about the negotiating positions we should take up. | :50:46. | :50:49. | |
I think it's probably more worrying that I don't think there's been any | :50:50. | :50:53. | |
discussion at all yet about the Repeal Bill | :50:54. | :50:55. | |
which is about to be tabled in Parliament. | :50:56. | :50:57. | |
The Repeal Bill lays down what should happen | :50:58. | :50:59. | |
in areas like agriculture, where at present, policy | :51:00. | :51:10. | |
is run from Brussels - the Common Agricultural Policy. | :51:11. | :51:13. | |
Where these decision should be taken when we've left Brussels. | :51:14. | :51:15. | |
Should they be taken by central government or should they be taken | :51:16. | :51:18. | |
Yes, but the Secretary of State for Wales, Alun Cairns, | :51:19. | :51:28. | |
has said recently that the UK Government wants as much | :51:29. | :51:31. | |
as possible to devolve those powers back to Cardiff. | :51:32. | :51:38. | |
But I just wonder, do you think that an unhappy Welsh Government, | :51:39. | :51:41. | |
Scottish Government, could derail the process of these | :51:42. | :51:43. | |
Well, I very much hope that won't happen. | :51:44. | :51:46. | |
As I say, I'm not an insider, but I do think it will be very | :51:47. | :51:52. | |
important that the Whitehall government, the London government, | :51:53. | :51:54. | |
makes sure that it has the consent of the Welsh Government and Assembly | :51:55. | :51:57. | |
and the Scottish Government and the Scottish Parliament | :51:58. | :51:59. | |
for what it is proposing to do with the powers that it proposes | :52:00. | :52:02. | |
I myself, going back to where you started, | :52:03. | :52:11. | |
I would like to believe that it is still possible | :52:12. | :52:15. | |
for the country to change its mind when it sees that it was, | :52:16. | :52:18. | |
in the referendum campaign, told a lot of things that weren't | :52:19. | :52:21. | |
actually true by those campaigning to leave. | :52:22. | :52:26. | |
When it sees that the economy is slowing down as a result | :52:27. | :52:29. | |
of the referendum decision, I would hope that the country | :52:30. | :52:36. | |
feel that this question needs to be... | :52:37. | :52:42. | |
But by which mechanism could that be decided? | :52:43. | :52:47. | |
Because you are saying within the two years we can reverse | :52:48. | :52:49. | |
this Article 50 and halt the process, if you like, | :52:50. | :52:52. | |
but there wouldn't be a second referendum. | :52:53. | :52:55. | |
We just had an election with the Liberal Democrats | :52:56. | :52:57. | |
are offering a second referendum, and they were roundly defeated, | :52:58. | :53:00. | |
so how would you bring about that reversal? | :53:01. | :53:06. | |
I'm fairly expert on the legal position in Brussels | :53:07. | :53:10. | |
and what would happen in Brussels if we did change our mind. | :53:11. | :53:16. | |
The process, in this country, of getting a change of mind, | :53:17. | :53:18. | |
I think it is probably the case that it would need a general | :53:19. | :53:25. | |
election or another referendum, or both, in order to be | :53:26. | :53:27. | |
clear that the country had changed its mind. | :53:28. | :53:32. | |
But David Davis, who is a serious political thinker | :53:33. | :53:39. | |
as well as a negotiator - David Davis is on record as saying | :53:40. | :53:43. | |
that the democracy that cannot change its mind has ceased to be | :53:44. | :53:46. | |
a democracy, and it seems to me that as the facts become clear, | :53:47. | :53:49. | |
we are entitled to consider whether we want to change our mind. | :53:50. | :53:53. | |
There we are, Lord Kerr, thank you very much for your time. | :53:54. | :53:56. | |
Now, the leader of the Welsh Conservatives is a leading | :53:57. | :54:02. | |
Brexiteer, even tweeting, "Happy Independence Day" | :54:03. | :54:03. | |
on the anniversary of the Brexit vote on Friday. | :54:04. | :54:08. | |
So why is Andrew RT Davies apparently challenging his party's | :54:09. | :54:10. | |
Maybe we can talk a little about it. Thanks for coming in. We just heard | :54:11. | :54:27. | |
the man who wrote Article 50 saying the process should be reversed. I | :54:28. | :54:32. | |
probably know what your answer will be but are there any circumstances | :54:33. | :54:35. | |
under which you could go along with that? I did find it a little | :54:36. | :54:40. | |
bizarre, he said your guess is as good as mine how we do it. We had a | :54:41. | :54:45. | |
democratic process last year where we had the biggest participation of | :54:46. | :54:49. | |
voters in the referendum on the die was cast and a mandate was given to | :54:50. | :54:59. | |
the government. Both sides in the referendum is will be binding. So | :55:00. | :55:01. | |
instead of all this energy and focus about trying to reverse the | :55:02. | :55:03. | |
referendum result, why don't we put more effort in a cross-party | :55:04. | :55:06. | |
approach to come to a consensus about Wales and the UK and how we | :55:07. | :55:11. | |
want them to be after the negotiations have concluded. So | :55:12. | :55:15. | |
cross-party is fine once negotiations are concluded but not | :55:16. | :55:20. | |
before then? On the 24th of June I may be offered to Carwyn Jones, I | :55:21. | :55:25. | |
said, we will put different sides of the debate but the die has been | :55:26. | :55:29. | |
cast, let's work together to ensure we get a successful outcome for | :55:30. | :55:33. | |
Wales and the UK. Sadly he never took that offer up. I said from day | :55:34. | :55:38. | |
one... On the UK Government side as well, Tejerizo may have very much | :55:39. | :55:45. | |
said this is down to me and nobody else, I am the Prime Minister -- the | :55:46. | :55:51. | |
Prime Minister has said. Not much role for Parliament according to | :55:52. | :55:56. | |
hurt there. I disagree. Ultimately the Prime Minister has to make the | :55:57. | :56:00. | |
final call, but right the way along the line from the devolved nations | :56:01. | :56:05. | |
and governments, right the way through, there have been talks, | :56:06. | :56:09. | |
discussions, about shaping the agenda for these negotiations, and | :56:10. | :56:12. | |
some have walked away from them, some change their position, but one | :56:13. | :56:16. | |
thing to say about the Prime Minister from her Lancaster house | :56:17. | :56:20. | |
speech, she put 12 key principles down to guide the negotiations, but | :56:21. | :56:24. | |
discussions continue with the devolved administrations and in | :56:25. | :56:28. | |
Parliament, and the more those discussions include and have | :56:29. | :56:39. | |
clarity at their part the better of -- heart -- at their heart the | :56:40. | :56:44. | |
better the outcome for the United Kingdom and Europe. You wrote an | :56:45. | :56:46. | |
article at the end of last week saying the joint ministerial | :56:47. | :56:48. | |
committee, this forum whereby the ministers... I see people's eyes | :56:49. | :56:50. | |
glazing over! Stick with me. Where all the governments come together to | :56:51. | :56:54. | |
discuss the issues of the day. Carwyn Jones has said Wales and | :56:55. | :56:57. | |
Scotland have been ignored and the UK Government is not listening to | :56:58. | :57:02. | |
them. Your article seems to go along with that, saying this is in the | :57:03. | :57:06. | |
1950s, we need to establish better ways to engage as the United | :57:07. | :57:11. | |
Kingdom. Is that the fault of the UK Government? Do you feel they | :57:12. | :57:27. | |
are not listening to Wales? It is listening but the point I made back | :57:28. | :57:31. | |
in November, December, was that agricultural, for example, we need | :57:32. | :57:33. | |
UK frameworks. At that point I was saying I was anti-devolution -- that | :57:34. | :57:36. | |
people were saying I was anti-devolution. Now it is | :57:37. | :57:37. | |
mainstream thinking we need UK frameworks. When we come out, | :57:38. | :57:39. | |
whether they're our transitional arrangements or not they will have | :57:40. | :57:42. | |
to be a body that will arbitrate whether our disputes between the | :57:43. | :57:48. | |
nations and the UK. We can't have a 1950s, 60s government. We need one | :57:49. | :57:52. | |
that works... What you mean by that? We were very centralist state in the | :57:53. | :57:58. | |
50s and 60s. I believe Theresa May and the Westminster government has | :57:59. | :58:02. | |
worked tirelessly to bring those administrations along but let's face | :58:03. | :58:06. | |
it, we have a nationalist government in Scotland, a Labour government in | :58:07. | :58:10. | |
Wales, and the political dynamics make it challenging with a | :58:11. | :58:14. | |
Conservative government in Westminster and suspended executive | :58:15. | :58:17. | |
in Northern Ireland, that is why from a Welsh perspective it is | :58:18. | :58:26. | |
important rather than Carwyn Jones and Welsh Labour taking the lead, | :58:27. | :58:28. | |
burqas most people seem to be saying we should look to Carwyn Jones and | :58:29. | :58:31. | |
the Welsh Labour recipe book for the solution, it is the Assembly itself | :58:32. | :58:34. | |
that should take the lead. And by that logic the UK Parliament rather | :58:35. | :58:40. | |
than UK Government should be discussing with other parties Hywel | :58:41. | :58:43. | |
post Brexit we should move forward because we haven't seen any of that. | :58:44. | :58:47. | |
You seem to say one thing for Wales, the Assembly should be a cross-party | :58:48. | :58:51. | |
approach, but what we are seeing with your colleagues in London is | :58:52. | :58:55. | |
very much not a cross-party approach. Again I disagree. If you | :58:56. | :58:59. | |
look at the evidence the Prime Minister and the government have | :59:00. | :59:03. | |
reached out repeatedly. We have the joint ministerial committee in | :59:04. | :59:06. | |
Cardiff, the Prime Minister brought it to Cardiff for the discussion. | :59:07. | :59:17. | |
What I am looking at is post-Brexit and what we can do from a | :59:18. | :59:19. | |
legislative point of view in the Assembly is lead the discussions in | :59:20. | :59:22. | |
Wales where we can reach consensus amongst parties. Surely when we | :59:23. | :59:25. | |
speak with one voice... It is for colleagues... That is the political | :59:26. | :59:28. | |
dynamic that will have to be taken into consideration, but if you have | :59:29. | :59:34. | |
discussions... You have made that point, but how confident are you | :59:35. | :59:36. | |
that your colleagues in London will listen to your call now that it will | :59:37. | :59:43. | |
be the small consensus approach post-Brexit, or are they falling on | :59:44. | :59:47. | |
deaf ears? I believe that discussion will continue and ultimately | :59:48. | :59:50. | |
succeed. Have you spoken to anybody in the UK Government about it? I | :59:51. | :59:55. | |
have spoken to several politicians and advisers in the UK Government. | :59:56. | :59:59. | |
What I am trying to get at is will this happen? If you look at my | :00:00. | :00:04. | |
position, whether on Brexit, I voted for it in a positive way... You are | :00:05. | :00:11. | |
trying to lead a discussion before we have had negotiations. If you | :00:12. | :00:14. | |
look at the record of what we talked about from the Welsh Conservative | :00:15. | :00:19. | |
point of view, whether Brexit, UK frameworks, leading the multiparty | :00:20. | :00:23. | |
discussion from the Assembly rather than thinking Labour have the | :00:24. | :00:26. | |
solutions when they don't, in London for example they have changed their | :00:27. | :00:33. | |
position. I believe to have a successful UK Government we need | :00:34. | :00:36. | |
plurality and we will get that. Another thing you said during and | :00:37. | :00:39. | |
since the referendum is you don't want Wales to be a penny worse off | :00:40. | :00:47. | |
because we are leaving the EU. Now, from structural funding, European | :00:48. | :00:52. | |
grant money for Wales, it has ?83 per person. In England it is ?13, | :00:53. | :00:58. | |
Scotland ?18, Northern Ireland, ?13. If Wales gets less than ?83 per | :00:59. | :01:03. | |
person, whatever money after that, will that be a disappointment to | :01:04. | :01:07. | |
you? There are two sides of the coin. What we need to do is wait | :01:08. | :01:11. | |
shall -- make sure Wales generates more wealth than empower communities | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
to make more wealth and get on. The reason we have so much objective one | :01:16. | :01:24. | |
funding is because our communities have been kept dirt poor by Whaley | :01:25. | :01:27. | |
opossum -- label's failures since devolution. The money isn't about... | :01:28. | :01:30. | |
You said that money should still... What we need to do is make sure that | :01:31. | :01:39. | |
in tandem with security... We need to make sure Wales is worse off, let | :01:40. | :01:45. | |
me take this further, we need to build economic capacity so | :01:46. | :01:48. | |
ultimately we generate more wealth. I welcome Carl Sargeant's move away | :01:49. | :01:53. | |
from that dependency culture on the communities first project to a | :01:54. | :01:57. | |
project to generate wealth in communities, but I do not believe | :01:58. | :02:01. | |
Labour are able to do that because they don't understand the dynamics | :02:02. | :02:07. | |
of the economy. We have seen repeatedly... Time is tight. We | :02:08. | :02:11. | |
didn't see that promise of a Shared Prosperity Fund in the Queen's | :02:12. | :02:15. | |
speech. Are you confident that is still there? That is the principle | :02:16. | :02:20. | |
underpinning the government economy post Brexit. We need to make sure | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
funding is in place for agriculture, structural funds and higher | :02:25. | :02:27. | |
education which are vital ingredients for the economy in Wales | :02:28. | :02:30. | |
and we will work with Westminster colleagues to ensure Wales isn't at | :02:31. | :02:33. | |
a disadvantage. Thank you for your time. | :02:34. | :02:34. | |
You can follow us on Twitter of course - we're @walespolitics | :02:35. | :02:39. | |
Diolch am wylio, thanks for watching. | :02:40. | :02:42. | |
We will be responding further in the weeks and months to come. | :02:43. | :02:48. | |
And with that it's back to you, Andrew. | :02:49. | :02:53. | |
What deal will Theresa May strike with the DUP to give | :02:54. | :02:55. | |
Will the Prime Minister get her programme for government, | :02:56. | :03:03. | |
the Queen's Speech, over the first hurdle in a House | :03:04. | :03:05. | |
A number of stories in the papers this morning about Philip Hammond | :03:06. | :03:29. | |
becoming a caretaker Tory leader with the support of David Davis. | :03:30. | :03:34. | |
What did you make of them? I was dismayed to hear that Tim was coming | :03:35. | :03:40. | |
on the story because I was prepared to rubbish his story. I will go for | :03:41. | :03:46. | |
it. This is great sport, and if I was in Tim's position I would also | :03:47. | :03:50. | |
be cooking up stories, but Tim will say it is based on several very good | :03:51. | :03:57. | |
sources, but my sense from the Tory backbenchers, they are in no way | :03:58. | :04:00. | |
manoeuvring to get someone else installed in number ten, and I'm not | :04:01. | :04:05. | |
saying that Theresa May is secure long-term but I don't sense that | :04:06. | :04:08. | |
there is any immediate threat to her at the moment. I agree partly, but | :04:09. | :04:14. | |
there is a shadow leadership battle. If you look at the fact that | :04:15. | :04:19. | |
ministers have been out on the airwaves, people who I thought might | :04:20. | :04:22. | |
have gone to a retirement home have popped up after the election | :04:23. | :04:25. | |
campaign and are doing media again. People are jockeying, but the | :04:26. | :04:30. | |
feeling of instability is such that they know it looks incredibly | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
self-indulgent focus internally. We have started the Brexit clock by | :04:35. | :04:39. | |
triggering Article 50 Mbits a hard time limit on that. We are in a | :04:40. | :04:45. | |
world where it changes week by week, is it not incredible that there is a | :04:46. | :04:52. | |
plan, to put Phil Hammond in as a caretaker for two years, then he | :04:53. | :04:55. | |
will step down, and then I forget who will take over? Possibly Amber | :04:56. | :05:01. | |
Rudd. The younger generation. This will all be done with David Davis's | :05:02. | :05:06. | |
support, that is rather incredible. I thought it was incredible, as | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
well, but the more calls I put in, there was a lot of chatter about | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
this. What persuaded me that it was interesting, there were Brexit | :05:15. | :05:23. | |
supporting MPs who felt they could stand Philip Hammond in charge. But | :05:24. | :05:29. | |
everyone is taking the view that Theresa May is not going to lead | :05:30. | :05:33. | |
them into the next election, so at what point do they installed the new | :05:34. | :05:37. | |
leader? The sensible time would be in the late summer to get something | :05:38. | :05:42. | |
in place by the party conference. With David Davis and Philip Hammond, | :05:43. | :05:46. | |
pretty well everyone agrees they are the two grown-ups in the Cabinet and | :05:47. | :05:49. | |
if they can come to arrangement with one of them at the top, that might | :05:50. | :05:52. | |
be the way to have a smooth transition. Some of the stories have | :05:53. | :05:58. | |
David Davis to be the caretaker and Phil Hammond to be the number two. | :05:59. | :06:03. | |
David Davis was on the BBC this morning and he reacted to this. | :06:04. | :06:06. | |
Let me be absolutely plain about this. | :06:07. | :06:09. | |
Number one, I happen to think we've got a very good Prime Minister. | :06:10. | :06:12. | |
I know she's coming under a lot of pressure at the moment, | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
I've seen a number of prime ministers in | :06:16. | :06:18. | |
Going right back to Margaret Thatcher. | :06:19. | :06:21. | |
She makes good decisions, she's bold. | :06:22. | :06:24. | |
There's no crisis about this government. | :06:25. | :06:26. | |
It's very very clear that she's a good Prime Minister. | :06:27. | :06:28. | |
Point number two, I want a stable backdrop to this Brexit negotiation. | :06:29. | :06:32. | |
What is your message to those Tories who are already ruffling around | :06:33. | :06:38. | |
in the rhododendrons muttering about leadership | :06:39. | :06:40. | |
Don't be so self-indulgent is my message to those. | :06:41. | :06:46. | |
Of course, he would say that, to an extent. I thought that was quite | :06:47. | :06:53. | |
sincere. I've observed him long enough to know that he is always on | :06:54. | :06:57. | |
manoeuvres of some sort but if he is on manoeuvres now, they involve not | :06:58. | :07:03. | |
being manoeuvres for the time being. If there was credibility to this, if | :07:04. | :07:06. | |
they were really thinking they would have a caretaker and then replace | :07:07. | :07:11. | |
the caretaker with someone else, and then we may do something different, | :07:12. | :07:15. | |
what with the voters make, at a time of national crisis, of huge | :07:16. | :07:20. | |
difficulty, that the Tory party is just playing musical chairs? That is | :07:21. | :07:25. | |
why you have MPs like Ken Clarke who say that this looks very | :07:26. | :07:28. | |
self-indulgent. If anything we have learned from the last 20 years, it | :07:29. | :07:35. | |
is that if you try to have a cooked up thing where everyone knows they | :07:36. | :07:38. | |
are going to be the front man and you are the real brains of the | :07:39. | :07:42. | |
operation, that is a recipe for huge falling out, and people need to know | :07:43. | :07:46. | |
who they are voting for. You didn't say the bit when David Davis was | :07:47. | :07:50. | |
asked if he would go for the leadership, and he said I'm not | :07:51. | :07:54. | |
getting into that. -- you didn't show the bit. Let's move on. He is | :07:55. | :08:01. | |
on quantum manoeuvres. To the more immediate. Tim, where are we with | :08:02. | :08:07. | |
this attempt with the Conservatives to get a deal with the DUP? It is in | :08:08. | :08:13. | |
a mess, but effectively done. People say the confidence side of it was | :08:14. | :08:19. | |
sorted a few weeks ago, but then the fire happened and they weren't keen | :08:20. | :08:22. | |
to do a big announcement and they are still arguing over, not so much | :08:23. | :08:26. | |
the amount of money, but the mechanisms and how it works. I've | :08:27. | :08:32. | |
spoken to DUP sources who say there is no circumstance in which they | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
would vote down this Queen's Speech and the other thing that is | :08:37. | :08:39. | |
happening, the time is meant to be running out on the next stage of the | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
Stormont arrangements and the threat that is coming from the Tory Chief | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
Whip Gavin Williamson to the DUP and one they take very seriously, if you | :08:48. | :08:51. | |
don't vote for the Queen's Speech on Thursday you could effectively have | :08:52. | :08:56. | |
Jeremy Corbyn taking direct rule of Northern Ireland with his old pals | :08:57. | :09:01. | |
from Sinn Fein. That is the threat the Tories hang over the DUP, but | :09:02. | :09:07. | |
the DUP are tough negotiators and if they haven't agreed to an | :09:08. | :09:10. | |
arrangement by the Queen's Speech and they simply abstain, the | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
government will probably still get it through, but the margin will be | :09:15. | :09:21. | |
slight. It's a strange situation. Whether government has greater | :09:22. | :09:23. | |
priorities than forming a government, than forming a majority | :09:24. | :09:27. | |
government, I think they feel fairly confident that they can get over the | :09:28. | :09:32. | |
hurdle next week. And it might be rather marginal, but as long as they | :09:33. | :09:36. | |
can get through it. Simply wresting back on the assurance that there are | :09:37. | :09:40. | |
no circumstances in which the DUP will bring them crashing down. That | :09:41. | :09:48. | |
is enough for now. The long-term situation for Northern Ireland | :09:49. | :09:51. | |
politics is very interesting. This will come under pressure if there is | :09:52. | :09:55. | |
a vote in which the Sinn Fein votes would have made a difference, that | :09:56. | :09:58. | |
is how they squeezed the SDLP and at the same time there is a pressure | :09:59. | :10:04. | |
for them to come back to the Stormont talks, because there will | :10:05. | :10:07. | |
be money flowing into Northern Ireland and they will be acute focus | :10:08. | :10:11. | |
on the areas to which that is going. Labour will put down the memory | :10:12. | :10:15. | |
which will highlight a number of things in the Labour manifesto and | :10:16. | :10:23. | |
-- will put down the manifesto. They may well lose, probably, but at the | :10:24. | :10:26. | |
moment Labour really thinks, if they could cause another election, they | :10:27. | :10:31. | |
think they could win. So there will be all sorts of pressure, lots of | :10:32. | :10:35. | |
votes which will go down to the wire. It is very important, Labour | :10:36. | :10:39. | |
think they can win and fable but votes that can go down to the wire | :10:40. | :10:43. | |
and we will see what the next couple of years will look like -- they will | :10:44. | :10:49. | |
put votes. This is not a world that the Tory MPs like the look of, they | :10:50. | :10:52. | |
have been told they can't take time off, they will be kept late at the | :10:53. | :10:56. | |
House of Commons and that will put stress on the Tory party. The poor | :10:57. | :11:01. | |
dears. The important thing, that they accept the view that the Labour | :11:02. | :11:07. | |
Party has, because Tory MPs also believe Labour will win the election | :11:08. | :11:14. | |
if it will -- if it were to happen any time soon. And so anyone who | :11:15. | :11:19. | |
shares the Labour view on the customs union and things like that. | :11:20. | :11:23. | |
If the government loses a crucial vote, this doesn't trigger an | :11:24. | :11:27. | |
election, but it means the Queen would ask Jeremy Corbyn to form a | :11:28. | :11:32. | |
government. He would say, yes. He might well. What remains to be seen, | :11:33. | :11:41. | |
how effective Labour are now as a machine, Parliamentary machine, | :11:42. | :11:41. | |
because what we saw from the machine, Parliamentary machine, | :11:42. | :11:46. | |
election, Jeremy Corbyn exceeded any expectations in his talents as a | :11:47. | :11:50. | |
campaigner but the fundamentals, if you talk to labour MPs who have been | :11:51. | :11:54. | |
sceptical about him, haven't changed in terms of his ability to manage | :11:55. | :11:59. | |
the Parliamentary party. Nothing that has happened so far in terms of | :12:00. | :12:02. | |
the rhetoric coming out from Labour on Brexit gives any cause for | :12:03. | :12:06. | |
confidence that there is a strategy or even a tone that has been set | :12:07. | :12:13. | |
that is coherent. You heard the Unite union man Gerard Coyne who | :12:14. | :12:21. | |
believes he has been purged from the organisation and he believed that | :12:22. | :12:24. | |
could happen in the party, as well. But if you have achieved what Jeremy | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
Corbyn has achieved, and he is now ahead in the polls, even if they | :12:30. | :12:31. | |
don't matter much will stop he has better ratings than Theresa May now. | :12:32. | :12:37. | |
Why would you not say, this is a winning formula and I will rebuild | :12:38. | :12:43. | |
the party in my image? It is a legitimate thing to do, but Europe | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
is crucial. That is why Labour was like another election sooner rather | :12:49. | :12:51. | |
than later before any crucial votes on things like the customs union and | :12:52. | :12:55. | |
freedom of movement because they held together a much bigger | :12:56. | :12:57. | |
coalition than anybody thought but they did that on the back of angry | :12:58. | :13:05. | |
Remainers. This could factor again for them. When we talk about | :13:06. | :13:10. | |
remaking the Labour Party in the image of Jeremy Corbyn, the question | :13:11. | :13:14. | |
is, is that someone who is sceptical about Europe, and you will see some | :13:15. | :13:18. | |
Labour MPs rebelling on Europe because they know that's the thing | :13:19. | :13:21. | |
the members agree with them on, and not with Mr Corbyn. A week really is | :13:22. | :13:30. | |
a long time in politics, as Harold Wilson said. | :13:31. | :13:33. | |
Jo Coburn will be on BBC Two at noon tomorrow with the Daily Politics, | :13:34. | :13:37. | |
and I'll be back here on BBC One next Sunday at 11am with | :13:38. | :13:40. | |
Remember - if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics. | :13:41. | :14:09. | |
then we have to treat only patients with very early stages of | :14:10. | :14:13. |