Browse content similar to 20/11/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Morning folks - welcome to the Sunday Politics. | :00:35. | :00:38. | |
Theresa May says she'll deliver on Brexit but does that mean leaving | :00:39. | :00:41. | |
the EU's Single Market and the Customs Union? | :00:42. | :00:46. | |
Tory MPs campaign for a commitment from the Prime | :00:47. | :00:48. | |
The Chancellor pledges just over a billion pounds worth of spending | :00:49. | :01:01. | |
on Britain's roads but is that it or will there be | :01:02. | :01:08. | |
And in the Midlands: 18 days in the job. | :01:09. | :01:13. | |
Labour expelled their Milit`nt Tendency three decades ago. | :01:14. | :01:15. | |
Now they want Jeremy Corbyn to let them back in. | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
in London: Is the battle for Richmond Park based on the skies? Or | :01:21. | :01:27. | |
is it about a bigger conflict in Europe? | :01:28. | :01:36. | |
And with me - as always - and, no, these three aren't doing | :01:37. | :01:39. | |
the Mannequin challenge - it's our dynamic, demonstrative | :01:40. | :01:43. | |
dazzling political panel - Helen Lewis, Isabel Oakeshott | :01:44. | :01:45. | |
and Tom Newton Dunn they'll also be tweeting throughout the programme. | :01:46. | :01:49. | |
First this morning - Theresa May has said | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
"Brexit means Brexit" - but can the Prime Minister - | :01:55. | :01:57. | |
who was on the Remain side of argument during the referendum | :01:58. | :01:59. | |
Well, Leave-supporting Tory MPs are re-launching | :02:00. | :02:08. | |
the "European Research Group" this morning to keep Mrs May's feet | :02:09. | :02:15. | |
Are you worried that you cannot trust Theresa May until payment to | :02:16. | :02:25. | |
deliver full Brexit was Magellan like I totally trust Theresa May, | :02:26. | :02:31. | |
100% behind her. She has displayed a massive amount of commitment to | :02:32. | :02:34. | |
making a success of Brexit for the country. | :02:35. | :02:37. | |
We don't know that yet, because nothing has happened. Why, then | :02:38. | :02:41. | |
have you formed a pressure group? We were fed up with the negativity | :02:42. | :02:48. | |
coming out around Brexit. I feel positive about the opportunities we | :02:49. | :02:52. | |
face, and we are a group to provide suggestions. Who do you have in mind | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
when you talk about negativity the Chancellor? No, from the Lib Dems, | :02:57. | :03:02. | |
for example, from Labour MPs. This is a pressure group for leaving | :03:03. | :03:09. | |
membership of the single market and customs union, correct? That is what | :03:10. | :03:14. | |
we are proposing. It has a purpose other than just to combat | :03:15. | :03:17. | |
negativity. When it comes to membership of the single market and | :03:18. | :03:22. | |
the customs union, can you tell us what Government policy is towards | :03:23. | :03:27. | |
both or either? Rightly, the Government hasn't made the position | :03:28. | :03:30. | |
clear, and I think that is the right approach, because we don't want to | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
review our negotiating hand. What we're saying... I'm not asking what | :03:36. | :03:42. | |
you are saying. Can you tell us what Government policy is towards | :03:43. | :03:44. | |
membership of these institutions? The Government wants to make sure | :03:45. | :03:50. | |
British businesses have the right to trade with EU partners, to forge new | :03:51. | :03:53. | |
trade deals with the rest of the world. We hope to Reza may speak at | :03:54. | :04:01. | |
Mansion house this week. -- we had Theresa May speak at Mansion house | :04:02. | :04:04. | |
this week. She has been clear, saying it was not a binary choice. | :04:05. | :04:10. | |
And she's right. Let's run that tape, because I want to pick up on | :04:11. | :04:13. | |
what she did say. This is what she had to say about the customs union | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
at Prime Minister's Question Time. On the whole question of the customs | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
union, trading relationships that we have with the European Union and | :04:24. | :04:26. | |
other parts of the world once we have left the European Union, we are | :04:27. | :04:31. | |
preparing carefully for the formal negotiations. We are preparing | :04:32. | :04:41. | |
carefully for the formal negotiations. We want to ensure we | :04:42. | :04:44. | |
have the best possible trading deal with the EU once we have left. Do | :04:45. | :04:50. | |
you know what she means when she says being in the customs union is | :04:51. | :04:54. | |
not a binary choice? I think she's right when she says that. At the | :04:55. | :04:58. | |
moment, and you know this, as long as we are in the customs union, we | :04:59. | :05:03. | |
cannot set our own tariffs or rules, cannot have a free trade agreement | :05:04. | :05:06. | |
with the US or China. We need to leave a customs union to do that. | :05:07. | :05:12. | |
Binary means either you are in or you are out, self which is it? We | :05:13. | :05:16. | |
still want to trade with the EU and I think we can have a free trade | :05:17. | :05:20. | |
agreement with the EU. That is a separate matter, and it has to do | :05:21. | :05:27. | |
with the single market. What about the customs union? We need to leave | :05:28. | :05:31. | |
the customs union. We do it and properly. That is how to get the | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
most out of this opportunity. Summit is a binary choice? The Prime | :05:37. | :05:39. | |
Minister is right when she says it's not a binary choice. Both can't be | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
right. We can leave the customs union, get their benefits, and have | :05:45. | :05:52. | |
a free trade agreement with zero tariffs with the EU. So it is a | :05:53. | :05:58. | |
binary choice an either be stale really. Yellow like I am saying the | :05:59. | :06:00. | |
Prime Minister is right when she says it is not a binary choice. -- I | :06:01. | :06:07. | |
am saying the Prime Minister is right. We need clarity. Youth had | :06:08. | :06:15. | |
said -- you have said it is a binary choice. We need to leave the | :06:16. | :06:20. | |
constraints of the customs union. It pushes up prices. The EU is not | :06:21. | :06:24. | |
securing the right trade deals, and if we want to make the most of it, | :06:25. | :06:28. | |
we need to get out there and get some deals going. Do you accept that | :06:29. | :06:32. | |
if we remain in the customs union, we cannot do our own free-trade | :06:33. | :06:38. | |
deals? Yellow right 100%. That is why we have to leave. -- 100%. Do | :06:39. | :06:53. | |
you accept that if we leave the customs union but stay with | :06:54. | :06:57. | |
substantial access, I don't say membership, but substantial access | :06:58. | :07:01. | |
to the single market, that goods going from this country to the | :07:02. | :07:04. | |
single market because we're no longer in the union will be subject | :07:05. | :07:09. | |
to complicated rules of origin regulations, which could cost | :07:10. | :07:17. | |
business ?13 billion a year? I would like to see a free-trade agreement | :07:18. | :07:21. | |
between the UK and the EU. Look at the Canadian deal. I give you that, | :07:22. | :07:25. | |
but if we're not in the customs union, things that we bring in on | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
our own tariffs once we've left we can't just export again willy-nilly | :07:31. | :07:35. | |
to the EU. They will demand to see rules of origin. Norway has to do | :07:36. | :07:39. | |
that at the moment and it is highly complicated expensive. I think if we | :07:40. | :07:44. | |
agree a particular arrangement as part of this agreement with the EU, | :07:45. | :07:48. | |
we can reach an agreement on that which sets a lower standard, which | :07:49. | :07:54. | |
sets a different level of tariffs, which protects some of our | :07:55. | :07:59. | |
industries. Let's suppose we have pretty much free trade with the EU | :08:00. | :08:03. | |
but we are out of the customs union, and let's suppose that the European | :08:04. | :08:07. | |
Union has a 20% tariff on Japanese whisky and we decide to have a % | :08:08. | :08:16. | |
tariff - what then happens to the whisky that comes into Britain and | :08:17. | :08:20. | |
goes on to the EU? The EU will not let that in. That will be part of | :08:21. | :08:26. | |
the negotiation. I think there is a huge benefit for external operators. | :08:27. | :08:32. | |
Every bottle of Japanese whisky they will have to work out the rules | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
of origin. There have been studies that show there is a potential for | :08:37. | :08:42. | |
50% increase in global product if we leave. We're losing the benefits of | :08:43. | :08:47. | |
free trade. I understand, I am asking for your particular view | :08:48. | :08:48. | |
Thank you for that. Is it not surprising Mr Hannan could | :08:49. | :08:57. | |
not bring himself to say we would leave the customs union? It is | :08:58. | :09:02. | |
messy. The reason there is this new group of Tory MPs signing up to a | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
campaign to make sure we get a genuine Brexit is because there is | :09:08. | :09:13. | |
this vacuum. It is being filled with all sorts of briefing from the other | :09:14. | :09:18. | |
side. There is a real risk in the minds of Brexit supporting MPs that | :09:19. | :09:22. | |
the remaining side are going to try to hijack the process, not only | :09:23. | :09:25. | |
through the Supreme Court action, which I think most Brexit MPs seem | :09:26. | :09:31. | |
to accept the appeal will fail, but further down the line, through | :09:32. | :09:37. | |
amendments to the great repeal bill. This is a pressure group to try to | :09:38. | :09:40. | |
hold the Prime Minister to account. There is plenty of pressure on the | :09:41. | :09:44. | |
Prime Minister effectively to stay in the single market and the customs | :09:45. | :09:49. | |
union, and if you do both of these things, de facto, you have stayed in | :09:50. | :09:56. | |
the EU. She is in a difficult position because there is no good | :09:57. | :09:59. | |
faith assumption about what Theresa May wants because she was a | :10:00. | :10:05. | |
Remainer. There is all this talk about a transitional arrangement, | :10:06. | :10:08. | |
but she can't sell that as someone who voted to remain. The way Isabel | :10:09. | :10:14. | |
has characterised it is interesting. There is a betrayal narrative. | :10:15. | :10:18. | |
Everyone is looking to say that she has betrayed the true Brexit. Since | :10:19. | :10:22. | |
the Government cannot give a clear indication of what it once in terms | :10:23. | :10:28. | |
of the customs union, which sets external tariffs, or the single | :10:29. | :10:32. | |
market, which is the free movement of people, capital, goods and | :10:33. | :10:36. | |
services, others are filling this vacuum. Right. The reasons they | :10:37. | :10:43. | |
can't do this are, first, they don't know if they can get it or not. We | :10:44. | :10:46. | |
saw this with the renegotiation the last Prime Minister. What are they | :10:47. | :10:53. | |
hoping to get? The world on a stick, to get cake and eat it. You go into | :10:54. | :11:03. | |
a negotiation saying, let's see what we can get in total. Are they going | :11:04. | :11:08. | |
to ask the membership of the single market? Yellow I think they will ask | :11:09. | :11:12. | |
for a free trade agreement involving everything. You can demand what you | :11:13. | :11:24. | |
want. The question is, do they stand a cat's chance in hell of getting | :11:25. | :11:31. | |
it? They don't know. Welcome back. We will be back, believe me. It is | :11:32. | :11:36. | |
150 day since we found out the UK had voted to leave the EU, but as we | :11:37. | :11:41. | |
have heard, remain and leave campaigners continue to battle about | :11:42. | :11:45. | |
what type of relationship we should have with the EU after exit. | :11:46. | :11:53. | |
Leave campaigners say that leaving the EU | :11:54. | :11:55. | |
also means quitting the | :11:56. | :11:55. | |
Single Market, the internal European trading bloc that includes free | :11:56. | :11:58. | |
movement of goods, services, capital and people. | :11:59. | :12:00. | |
They point to evidence that leading Leave supporting | :12:01. | :12:02. | |
politicians ruled out staying in the Single Market during | :12:03. | :12:04. | |
Andrea Leadsom, for example, said it would almost | :12:05. | :12:07. | |
certainly be the case that the UK would come out of the Single Market. | :12:08. | :12:16. | |
When asked for a yes or no on whether the UK should stay | :12:17. | :12:20. | |
"No, we should be outside the Single Market." | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
And Boris Johnson agreed with his erstwhile ally, saying, "Michael | :12:25. | :12:26. | |
Gove was absolutely right to say the UK | :12:27. | :12:28. | |
They've released a video of clips of Leave campaigners speaking before | :12:29. | :12:40. | |
the referendum apparently saying that the UK should stay in the | :12:41. | :12:42. | |
Nigel Farage, for example, once said that on leaving | :12:43. | :12:46. | |
the EU we'll find ourselves part of the European economic area | :12:47. | :12:48. | |
Owen Paterson, the former Environment Secretary, | :12:49. | :12:51. | |
once made the startling statement that only a madman would actually | :12:52. | :12:57. | |
And Matthew Elliott, the Vote Leave chief, said | :12:58. | :13:03. | |
that the Norwegian option would be initially attractive for some | :13:04. | :13:05. | |
But do these quotes create an accurate picture of what | :13:06. | :13:10. | |
To cast some light on where these quotes came from we're | :13:11. | :13:16. | |
joined by James McGrory, director of Open Britain | :13:17. | :13:18. | |
Welcome to the Sunday Politics. . Your video has statements from leave | :13:19. | :13:32. | |
campaigners hinting they want to stay in the single market. How many | :13:33. | :13:35. | |
were made during the referendum campaign? I don't know. Not one was | :13:36. | :13:43. | |
made during the referendum campaign. Indeed, only two of the 12 | :13:44. | :13:48. | |
statements were recorded after Royal assent had been given to the | :13:49. | :13:51. | |
referendum. Only one was made this year before the referendum. | :13:52. | :13:56. | |
Throughout the campaign am a leave campaigners lauded the Norwegian | :13:57. | :14:00. | |
model. Norway are in the single market but not in the EU. They went | :14:01. | :14:06. | |
out of their way not to be pinned down on a specific trading | :14:07. | :14:08. | |
arrangement they want to see in the future with Europe, when the | :14:09. | :14:12. | |
Treasury model the different models it was the EEA or a free-trade | :14:13. | :14:18. | |
agreement. I understand. Does it not undermine your case that none of the | :14:19. | :14:21. | |
12 statements on your video were made during the campaign itself | :14:22. | :14:26. | |
when people were giving really serious thought to such matters The | :14:27. | :14:30. | |
Leave campaign weren't giving serious thought to such matters | :14:31. | :14:34. | |
They did not set out the future trading model they wanted to see. | :14:35. | :14:39. | |
But you cannot produce a single video with somebody saying we should | :14:40. | :14:43. | |
stay in the single market during the campaign. Daniel Hanna had talked | :14:44. | :14:48. | |
about the Norwegian model as a future option. One comment from | :14:49. | :14:53. | |
Nigel Farage dates back to 2009 when we didn't even know if we would | :14:54. | :14:57. | |
have a referendum or not. Does it not stretch credibility to go back | :14:58. | :15:01. | |
to the time when Gordon Brown was Prime Minister? The overall point | :15:02. | :15:05. | |
stands. It is not supposed to be an exhaustive list of the options. | :15:06. | :15:11. | |
Daniel Hannan, described as the intellectual godfather of the Leave | :15:12. | :15:16. | |
movement is saying that no one is talking about threatening our place | :15:17. | :15:19. | |
in the signal market. I think it's legitimate to point out the Leave | :15:20. | :15:23. | |
campaign never came forward with a credible argument. We have | :15:24. | :15:27. | |
highlighted some of the quotes you picked out from leave campaigners | :15:28. | :15:30. | |
over time. Do you think you have fully encapsulated their arguments | :15:31. | :15:37. | |
accurately? I don't think in a 2nd video you can talk about the full | :15:38. | :15:43. | |
thing. -- a 90-2nd video. Some of them want to seek a free-trade | :15:44. | :15:47. | |
agreement, some to default on to World Trade Organisation tariffs. | :15:48. | :15:55. | |
There is a range of opinion in the Leave campaign. Let's listen to the | :15:56. | :15:57. | |
clip you used on Owen Paterson first. | :15:58. | :15:59. | |
Only a madman would actually leave the market. | :16:00. | :16:05. | |
Only a madman would actually leave the market. | :16:06. | :16:10. | |
It's not the EU which is | :16:11. | :16:11. | |
a political organisation delivering the prosperity and buying our goods. | :16:12. | :16:14. | |
It's the market, it's the members of the market and we'll carry on | :16:15. | :16:18. | |
I mean, are we really suggesting that the | :16:19. | :16:21. | |
economy in the world is not going to come to come | :16:22. | :16:23. | |
to a satisfactory trading arrangement with the EU? | :16:24. | :16:25. | |
Are we going to be like Sudan and North | :16:26. | :16:28. | |
It is ludicrous this idea that we are going to leap off a | :16:29. | :16:32. | |
What he said when he said only a madman would leave Europe, was that | :16:33. | :16:45. | |
we would continue to trade, we would continue to have access. Any country | :16:46. | :16:49. | |
in the world can have access. What the Leave campaign suggested is our | :16:50. | :16:53. | |
trade would continue uninterrupted, they are still at it today, David | :16:54. | :16:56. | |
Davis used the phrase, uninterrupted, from the dispatch box | :16:57. | :17:00. | |
recently. You misrepresented him by saying only a madman would leave the | :17:01. | :17:04. | |
Single Market and stopped it there, because he goes onto say that of | :17:05. | :17:08. | |
course we want Leave in the sense of continuing to have access. I don't | :17:09. | :17:10. | |
think he was about axis, he is talking | :17:11. | :17:28. | |
about membership. He doesn't use the word membership at all. He talks | :17:29. | :17:31. | |
about we are going to carry on trading with them, we will not leap | :17:32. | :17:33. | |
off, we will carry on trading. Anybody can trade with the EU, it's | :17:34. | :17:36. | |
the terms on which you trade that is important and leave campaigners and | :17:37. | :17:39. | |
Patterson is an example of this saying we can trade as we do now, | :17:40. | :17:41. | |
the government saying we can trade without bureaucratic impediments and | :17:42. | :17:43. | |
tariff free. The viewers will make up their mind. Let's listen to the | :17:44. | :17:46. | |
views of Matthew Elliott, the Chief Executive of Vote Leave. | :17:47. | :17:47. | |
When it comes to the Norwegian option, the EEA option, I think that | :17:48. | :17:50. | |
it might be initially attractive for some business people. | :17:51. | :17:52. | |
So you then cut him off there but this is what he went on to say in | :17:53. | :17:56. | |
the same clip, let's listen to that. When it comes to the Norwegian | :17:57. | :18:00. | |
option, the EEA option, I think that it might be initially attractive | :18:01. | :18:03. | |
for some business people. But then again for voters | :18:04. | :18:05. | |
who are increasingly concerned about migration in the EU, | :18:06. | :18:09. | |
they will be very concerned that it allows free movement | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
of people to continue. Again, you have misrepresented him. | :18:13. | :18:24. | |
He said the Norwegian model has attractions but there are real | :18:25. | :18:26. | |
problems if it involves free movement of people, which it does. | :18:27. | :18:30. | |
But you cut that bit out. I challenge anyone to represent them | :18:31. | :18:34. | |
accurately because they took such a range of opinions. I don't know what | :18:35. | :18:37. | |
we are supposed to do. You are misrepresenting them. He is saying | :18:38. | :18:41. | |
the Norwegian option is attractive to business, I understand why. It | :18:42. | :18:46. | |
might not be attractive for voters. But then he said if it allowed free | :18:47. | :18:52. | |
movement of people it could be an issue. You took that out. You are | :18:53. | :18:57. | |
saying this is a definitive position. I'm suggesting you are | :18:58. | :19:00. | |
distorting it. This is what you had Mr Farage say. | :19:01. | :19:02. | |
On D+1 we'll find ourselves part of the European economic area | :19:03. | :19:05. | |
This is what he then went on to say in that same clip that you didn t | :19:06. | :19:12. | |
run. There is absolutely | :19:13. | :19:13. | |
nothing to fear in terms of trade from leaving | :19:14. | :19:15. | |
the on D+1 we'll find ourselves part | :19:16. | :19:16. | |
of the European Economic Area and we should use our | :19:17. | :19:21. | |
membership of the EEA as a holding position from which | :19:22. | :19:30. | |
we can negotiate as the European Union's biggest export | :19:31. | :19:33. | |
market in the world, as good a deal, my goodness me, | :19:34. | :19:35. | |
if Switzerland can have one we So there again, he says not that we | :19:36. | :19:45. | |
should stay in the Single Market as a member, but that we stay in the EA | :19:46. | :19:50. | |
as a transition until we negotiate something. -- EEA. This whole clip | :19:51. | :20:00. | |
is online, how would you get away with this distortion? It is not a | :20:01. | :20:04. | |
distortion, the whole point is to point out they do not have a | :20:05. | :20:07. | |
definitive position, he is arguing for membership of the Single Market, | :20:08. | :20:11. | |
for a transitional period. For the transition. How long does that go | :20:12. | :20:15. | |
on, what does he want to then achieve? Not very quickly but he | :20:16. | :20:18. | |
does not say we should stay members of the Single Market and you didn't | :20:19. | :20:22. | |
let people see what he went on to say, you gave the impression he | :20:23. | :20:26. | |
wanted to stay in the one it. It would not be a video then, it would | :20:27. | :20:30. | |
be a seven-week long lecture. They took so many positions, and the idea | :20:31. | :20:33. | |
now that they were clear with people that we should definitely leave the | :20:34. | :20:37. | |
Single Market I think is fictitious. You are trying to make out they all | :20:38. | :20:41. | |
had one position which was to remain members of the one it. You see the | :20:42. | :20:46. | |
full clips that is not what they are saying. We are trying to point out | :20:47. | :20:50. | |
there is no mandate to leave the Single Market. The idea the Leave | :20:51. | :20:53. | |
campaign spoke with unanimity and clarity of purpose and throughout | :20:54. | :20:56. | |
the whole campaign said we will definitely leave the Single Market | :20:57. | :21:00. | |
is not true. That is the whole point of the media. We showed in the | :21:01. | :21:04. | |
montage in the video just before we came on, we said that then Prime | :21:05. | :21:08. | |
Minister, the then Chancellor, Boris Johnson, Michael Gove, being | :21:09. | :21:12. | |
categorical that if you vote to leave the EU, you vote to leave | :21:13. | :21:15. | |
membership of the Single Market What bit of that didn't you | :21:16. | :21:18. | |
understand? Under duress they occasionally said they wanted to | :21:19. | :21:21. | |
leave. Some of them wanted to leave the Single Market. All of the other | :21:22. | :21:28. | |
promises they made, whether ?35 million for the NHS, whether a VAT | :21:29. | :21:32. | |
cut on fuel, points-based system. You do not have a single quote of | :21:33. | :21:35. | |
any of these members saying they want to be a member. Daniel Hannan | :21:36. | :21:39. | |
has said consistently that Norway are a part of the Single Market You | :21:40. | :21:44. | |
spend the referendum campaign criticising for Rim misrepresenting | :21:45. | :21:46. | |
and misrepresenting and lying and many thought they did. Having seen | :21:47. | :21:49. | |
this many will conclude that you are the biggest liars. I think it is | :21:50. | :21:53. | |
perfectly reasonable to point out that the Leave campaign did not have | :21:54. | :21:57. | |
a clear position on our future trading relationship with Europe. | :21:58. | :22:00. | |
That is all this video does. It doesn't say we definitely have to | :22:01. | :22:04. | |
stay in the Single Market, it just says they do have a mandate to drag | :22:05. | :22:08. | |
us out of our biggest trading partner. | :22:09. | :22:11. | |
Now people have seen the full quotes in context our viewers will make up | :22:12. | :22:12. | |
their mind. Thank you. Now - voting closes next week | :22:13. | :22:14. | |
in the the Ukip leadership contest. The second Ukip leadership contest | :22:15. | :22:17. | |
this year after the party's first female leader - Diane James - | :22:18. | :22:20. | |
stood down from the role Since then the party's lurched from | :22:21. | :22:22. | |
farce to fiasco. It's a world gripped by uncertainty, | :22:23. | :22:25. | |
split into factions. Yes, 2, because they're | :22:26. | :22:41. | |
having their second Watch as the alpha male, | :22:42. | :22:51. | |
the Ukip leader at Nigel Watch as the alpha male, | :22:52. | :22:59. | |
the Ukip leader Nigel Farage, hands power to the new alpha | :23:00. | :23:01. | |
female Diane James. The European Parliament | :23:02. | :23:03. | |
in Strasbourg, October. Another leading light and possible | :23:04. | :23:17. | |
future leader, the MEP Steven Wolfe, | :23:18. | :23:20. | |
has been laid low after an alleged tussle with a colleague | :23:21. | :23:23. | |
during a meeting. A few days later he is | :23:24. | :23:25. | |
out of hospital and I will be withdrawing my | :23:26. | :23:27. | |
application to become I'm actually withdrawing | :23:28. | :23:31. | |
myself from Ukip. You're resigning from the party | :23:32. | :23:35. | |
I'm resigning with immediate effect. And this week a leaked document | :23:36. | :23:41. | |
suggested the party improperly spent EU funds on political | :23:42. | :23:44. | |
campaigning in the UK. Another headache for whoever takes | :23:45. | :23:49. | |
over the leadership of the pack One contender is Suzanne Evans, | :23:50. | :23:56. | |
a former Tory councillor and was briefly suspended for | :23:57. | :23:59. | |
disloyalty. Also standing, Paul Nuttall, | :24:00. | :24:07. | |
an MEP from Liverpool who has been by Farage's side | :24:08. | :24:10. | |
as his deputy for six years. There's another big beast | :24:11. | :24:16. | |
in the Ukip leadership contest, and I'm told | :24:17. | :24:18. | |
that today he can be spotted He's John Rees-Evans, | :24:19. | :24:21. | |
a businessman and adventurer who is offering members the chance | :24:22. | :24:26. | |
to propose policies via a website We've got really dedicated | :24:27. | :24:29. | |
passionate supporters who feel like they're not really | :24:30. | :24:43. | |
being listened to and are not even Typically what happens | :24:44. | :24:46. | |
is they just basically sit there until six months before | :24:47. | :24:49. | |
a General Election when they are contacted and asked to go out | :24:50. | :24:52. | |
and leaflet and canvas. Even at branch level people feel | :24:53. | :24:54. | |
there is not an adequate flow of communication | :24:55. | :24:56. | |
up-and-down the party. Are you not going to take part in | :24:57. | :24:58. | |
any hustings? He left a hustings saying | :24:59. | :25:07. | |
the contest was an establishment coronation and has | :25:08. | :25:10. | |
made colourful comments in the past. He's in favour of the death penalty | :25:11. | :25:13. | |
for crimes like paedophilia. I think there is a clear | :25:14. | :25:16. | |
will amongst the offences should be dealt with | :25:17. | :25:18. | |
decisively. But again, on an issue like that, | :25:19. | :25:21. | |
that is something that Our members are not | :25:22. | :25:24. | |
going to agree with me on everything and I don't believe that | :25:25. | :25:29. | |
I would have any authority to have the say and determine | :25:30. | :25:32. | |
the future What method would you use | :25:33. | :25:34. | |
for the death penalty? Again, that is something that could | :25:35. | :25:37. | |
be determined by suggestions made So you'd have like an online | :25:38. | :25:40. | |
poll about whether you use the electric chair, | :25:41. | :25:44. | |
or lethal injection? For example, arguments would be made | :25:45. | :25:50. | |
in favour of This is such a small aspect | :25:51. | :25:52. | |
of what I'm standing for. Essentially, in mainstream media | :25:53. | :25:56. | |
they try to by focusing on pretty irrelevant | :25:57. | :25:58. | |
details. This is one vote that | :25:59. | :26:04. | |
the membership would have. What I'm actually trying to do | :26:05. | :26:06. | |
in this party is to revolutionise the democratic | :26:07. | :26:10. | |
process in the UK, and that's really what your viewers should | :26:11. | :26:13. | |
be concentrating on. With him at the helm he reckons Ukip | :26:14. | :26:17. | |
would win at Meanwhile, in New York, | :26:18. | :26:19. | |
on a visit to Trump Tower, Nigel Farage admired the plumage | :26:20. | :26:27. | |
of the President-elect, a man he has described as | :26:28. | :26:36. | |
a silverback gorilla, a friendship that's been condemned by some | :26:37. | :26:39. | |
in this leadership contest. There are also elections | :26:40. | :26:42. | |
to the party's National Executive Committee, a body | :26:43. | :26:44. | |
that's been roundly criticised by And we're joined now by two | :26:45. | :26:47. | |
of the candidates in the Ukip leadership election - | :26:48. | :27:01. | |
Suzanne Evans and Paul Nuttall. We are going to kick off by giving | :27:02. | :27:11. | |
each of them 30 seconds to lay out their case as to why they would be | :27:12. | :27:14. | |
the less leader starting with Suzanne Evans. | :27:15. | :27:18. | |
Ukip is at its best when it is scaring the political establishment, | :27:19. | :27:20. | |
forcing it to address those problems it would rather ignore. But it | :27:21. | :27:25. | |
really change people's lives for the better and fast, we need to win | :27:26. | :27:28. | |
seats and elections right across the country. To win at the ballot box we | :27:29. | :27:32. | |
need to attract more women, more ethnic | :27:33. | :27:52. | |
minorities, and more of those Labour voters who no longer recognise their | :27:53. | :27:54. | |
party. I know how to do that. Ukip under my | :27:55. | :27:58. | |
leadership will be the same page about it, common-sense, radical | :27:59. | :28:00. | |
party it has always been, just even more successful. Thank you, Suzanne | :28:01. | :28:02. | |
Evans, Paul Nuttall. I'm standing on a platform of unity and experience. | :28:03. | :28:04. | |
I believe the party must come together if it is to survive and | :28:05. | :28:07. | |
prosper. I believe I'm the best candidate to ensure that happens, I | :28:08. | :28:10. | |
am not part of any faction in the party, and beyond that I have done | :28:11. | :28:12. | |
every single job within the party, whether that is as head of policy, | :28:13. | :28:15. | |
whether that is Party Chairman, deputy leader for Nigel for the past | :28:16. | :28:17. | |
six years. I believe Ukip has great opportunities in Labour | :28:18. | :28:19. | |
constituencies where we can move in and become the Patriot invoice of | :28:20. | :28:23. | |
working people, and beyond that we have to ensure the government's feet | :28:24. | :28:26. | |
are held to the fire on Brexit and we get real Brexit, not a | :28:27. | :28:33. | |
mealy-mouthed version. How will you get a grip on this? People have to | :28:34. | :28:37. | |
realise that the cause is bigger than any personality, we have to get | :28:38. | :28:41. | |
together in a room and sort out not just a spokespeople role but roles | :28:42. | :28:44. | |
within the organisation, Party Chairman, party secretary, and | :28:45. | :28:49. | |
whatnot. But as I say, Ukip must unite, we are on 13% in the opinion | :28:50. | :28:53. | |
polls, the future is bright, there are open goals but Ukip must be on | :28:54. | :28:58. | |
the pitch to score them. He says he's the only one that can get a | :28:59. | :29:01. | |
grip on this party. I disagree, I have a huge amount of experience in | :29:02. | :29:05. | |
the party as well and also a background that I think means I can | :29:06. | :29:08. | |
help bring people together. I have always said nothing breeds unity | :29:09. | :29:19. | |
faster than success and under my leadership we will be successful. | :29:20. | :29:21. | |
There is concern about the future of our National Executive Committee | :29:22. | :29:23. | |
going forward. Mr Farage called it the lowest grade of people I have | :29:24. | :29:26. | |
ever met, do you agree? I think he must have been having a bad day I | :29:27. | :29:29. | |
think we need to make it more accountable to the membership, more | :29:30. | :29:32. | |
open, more democratic. What would you do with the National Executive | :29:33. | :29:37. | |
Committee? I have been calling for the National Executive Committee to | :29:38. | :29:41. | |
be elected reasonably since 201 giving the members better | :29:42. | :29:44. | |
communication lines and make it far more transparent. Would you have a | :29:45. | :29:48. | |
clear out of the office? I wouldn't, I think the chairman of the party, | :29:49. | :29:52. | |
Paul Upton, the interim chairman, is doing a good job and the only person | :29:53. | :29:56. | |
who has come out of the summer with his reputation enhanced. Let me show | :29:57. | :29:59. | |
you a picture we have all seen of your current leader, Mr Farage, with | :30:00. | :30:06. | |
President-elect Donald Trump. Paul Nuttall, you criticise Mr Farage's | :30:07. | :30:10. | |
decision to appear at rallies during the American election and called Mr | :30:11. | :30:14. | |
Trump appalling. Do you stick by that? I wouldn't have voted for him. | :30:15. | :30:19. | |
I made it clear. Do you still think he's appalling now that he is | :30:20. | :30:23. | |
President-elect? Some of the things he said were appalling during the | :30:24. | :30:28. | |
campaign that he said. But he would be good for Britain, trade, | :30:29. | :30:31. | |
pro-Brexit and he is an Anglo file and the first thing he did was put | :30:32. | :30:34. | |
the bust of Winston Churchill back in the Oval Office. You, Suzanne | :30:35. | :30:40. | |
Evans, called Mr Trump one of the weakest candidates the US has had. I | :30:41. | :30:44. | |
said the same about Hillary Clinton. They cannot both be the weakest The | :30:45. | :30:48. | |
better candidate on either side would have beaten the other, that is | :30:49. | :30:52. | |
quite clear. Do you stand by that, or are you glad that your leader Mr | :30:53. | :30:57. | |
Farage has strong ties to him? I am, why wouldn't I be? For Ukip to have | :30:58. | :31:02. | |
that direct connection, it can be only good for a party. Were you not | :31:03. | :31:06. | |
out of step and Mr Farage is in step because it looks like your vote is | :31:07. | :31:09. | |
according to polling I have seemed like Mr Trump and his policies? Let | :31:10. | :31:15. | |
me finish. If I am the leader of Ukip I will not be involving myself | :31:16. | :31:18. | |
in foreign elections, I will because in trading here in this country | :31:19. | :31:22. | |
ensuring we get Ukip people elected to council chambers and get seats in | :31:23. | :31:24. | |
2020. The other thing your leader has in | :31:25. | :31:34. | |
common with Mr Trump is that he rather admires Vladimir Putin. Do | :31:35. | :31:40. | |
you? I don't. If you look at Putin's record, he has invaded Ukraine and | :31:41. | :31:47. | |
Georgia. I am absolutely not a fan. I think that Vladimir Putin is | :31:48. | :31:51. | |
pretty much a nasty man, but beyond that, I believe that in the Middle | :31:52. | :31:57. | |
East, he is generally getting it right in many areas. We need to | :31:58. | :32:03. | |
bring the conflict... Bombing civilians? We need to bring the | :32:04. | :32:07. | |
conflict to an end as fast as possible. The British and American | :32:08. | :32:11. | |
line before Donald Trump is to support rebels, including one is | :32:12. | :32:19. | |
affiliated to Al-Qaeda, to the Taliban. We need to clear these | :32:20. | :32:22. | |
people out and ensure that Syria becomes stable. This controversial | :32:23. | :32:30. | |
breaking point poster from during the referendum campaign. Mr Farage | :32:31. | :32:33. | |
unveiled it, there he is standing in front of it. You can bend it - do | :32:34. | :32:39. | |
you still? Yes, I think it was the wrong poster at the wrong time. I | :32:40. | :32:43. | |
was involved with the vote Leave campaign as well as Ukip's campaign, | :32:44. | :32:47. | |
and I felt strongly that those concerned about immigration were | :32:48. | :32:50. | |
already going to vote to leave because it was a fundamental truth | :32:51. | :32:54. | |
that unless we left the European Union we couldn't control | :32:55. | :32:57. | |
immigration. I thought it was about approaching those soft wavering | :32:58. | :33:05. | |
voters who weren't sure. I don't think I said it was racist, but it | :33:06. | :33:10. | |
was about sovereignty and trade and so forth. That was where we needed | :33:11. | :33:13. | |
to go. I was concerned it might put off some of those wavering voters. | :33:14. | :33:18. | |
People may well say, it was part of the winning campaign. It was Ukip | :33:19. | :33:24. | |
shock and all, which is what you stand for and what makes you | :33:25. | :33:31. | |
different. I said I would know how that I said I would not have gone | :33:32. | :33:34. | |
for that person and I thought it was wrong to do it just a week out from | :33:35. | :33:37. | |
the referendum. However, I believe it released legitimate concerns | :33:38. | :33:44. | |
with a deluge of people making their way from the Middle East and Africa | :33:45. | :33:52. | |
into the European continent. Where is the low hanging fruit for you, | :33:53. | :33:56. | |
particularly in England? Is it Labour or Conservative voters? I | :33:57. | :34:01. | |
want to hang onto the Conservative voters we have got but I think the | :34:02. | :34:06. | |
low hanging fruit is Labour. Jeremy Corbyn won't sing the national | :34:07. | :34:10. | |
anthem, Emily Thornbury despises the English flag. Diane Abbott thinks | :34:11. | :34:14. | |
anyone talking about immigration is racist. Not to mention John | :34:15. | :34:18. | |
McDonnell's feelings about the IRA. Labour has ceased to be a party for | :34:19. | :34:22. | |
working people and I think Ukip is absolutely going to be that party. | :34:23. | :34:27. | |
It is clear, I absolutely concur with everything Suzanne has said. I | :34:28. | :34:33. | |
first voiced this back in 2008 that I believe Ukip has a fantastic | :34:34. | :34:37. | |
opportunity in working-class communities, and everyone laughed at | :34:38. | :34:41. | |
me. It is clear now that we resonate with working people, and you have | :34:42. | :34:43. | |
seen that in the Brexit result. Would you bring back the death | :34:44. | :34:50. | |
penalty? It wouldn't be Ukip policy. Absolutely not. Would you give more | :34:51. | :34:54. | |
money to the NHS and how would your fanatic? You like it is important to | :34:55. | :34:58. | |
fund it adequately, and it hasn t been to date. We promised in our | :34:59. | :35:08. | |
manifesto that we would give more money. Where does the money come | :35:09. | :35:12. | |
from? It is about tackling health tourism. I think the NHS is being | :35:13. | :35:17. | |
taken for a ride at the moment. That may be right, but where does the | :35:18. | :35:23. | |
money come from? It is about scaling back management in the NHS, because | :35:24. | :35:26. | |
that has burgeoned beyond control. They are spending far more money on | :35:27. | :35:31. | |
management. Where would you save money? We need to look at HS two, | :35:32. | :35:36. | |
foreign aid. Now we have Brexit and we will be saving on the membership | :35:37. | :35:41. | |
fee. We need to cut back on management, as Suzanne says. It | :35:42. | :35:45. | |
cannot be right that 51% of people who work for the NHS in England are | :35:46. | :35:51. | |
not clinically qualified. The NHS needs money now - where would you | :35:52. | :35:58. | |
get it? From HS two. That is capital spending spread over a long period. | :35:59. | :36:03. | |
Where will you get the money now? OK, another one. We spent ?25 | :36:04. | :36:07. | |
million every day on foreign aid to countries who sometimes are richer | :36:08. | :36:12. | |
than ourselves. Through the Barnett formula. You would take money away | :36:13. | :36:16. | |
from Scotland? Yes, I think they get far too much. PG tips or Earl Grey? | :36:17. | :36:32. | |
Colegrave. PG tips. Strictly come dancing or X Factor? Neither. | :36:33. | :36:40. | |
Strictly. I would love to be on it one day. There you go. Thank you | :36:41. | :36:45. | |
It's just gone 11:35am, you're watching the Sunday Politics. | :36:46. | :36:49. | |
We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now | :36:50. | :36:52. | |
Coming up here in 20 minutes, the Week Ahead. | :36:53. | :37:03. | |
Welcome to the Sunday Politics in the Midlands. | :37:04. | :37:06. | |
Labour expelled its Militant Tendency 30 years ago, | :37:07. | :37:11. | |
including the former Coventry MP Dave Nellist. | :37:12. | :37:17. | |
Now he's one of five Midlanders among 75 socialists who want | :37:18. | :37:20. | |
Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Partx to have them back. | :37:21. | :37:24. | |
I'll be asking the former L`bour transport minister David Jalieson, | :37:25. | :37:30. | |
better known now as the West Midlands Police Commissioner, | :37:31. | :37:33. | |
and Mike Wood, elected last year as the Conservative MP for the key | :37:34. | :37:40. | |
Good to have you both with us here today. | :37:41. | :37:47. | |
And we'll also be be finding out what the lower pound means, | :37:48. | :37:50. | |
after that Brexit vote, for economic prospects | :37:51. | :37:51. | |
here in our part of the country But we begin with the polithcal | :37:52. | :37:55. | |
Despite the deafening sound of political and business ldaders | :37:56. | :38:01. | |
eating their words about Donald Trump, from one | :38:02. | :38:04. | |
Birmingham Labour MP and Shadow Minister comes no | :38:05. | :38:06. | |
Jack Dromey said back in January Mr Trump should be | :38:07. | :38:12. | |
banned from Britain, just as he wanted Muslims to be | :38:13. | :38:16. | |
Mr Dromey's certainly not modifying his opinions. | :38:17. | :38:24. | |
Donald Trump is a loathsome xenophobe, who divides. | :38:25. | :38:27. | |
But he won because he spoke to those with a raft of discontents. | :38:28. | :38:32. | |
And we ignore the voice of those who feel left behind at our peril. | :38:33. | :38:39. | |
This is a crisis for liberal democracy - America, | :38:40. | :38:41. | |
We're living through dangerous times. | :38:42. | :38:45. | |
I think the key point that Jack Dromey is worrying abott.. | :38:46. | :38:47. | |
As you need no reminder, Mike, we live in a complex, diverse, | :38:48. | :38:50. | |
multicultural community, and he feels that the rhetoric | :38:51. | :38:55. | |
from Donald Trump both emboldens the English Defence League `nd also | :38:56. | :38:58. | |
potentially incites support among those who may be tempted | :38:59. | :39:00. | |
to side with the so-called Islamic State on the other side | :39:01. | :39:04. | |
I'm not going to pretend that Trump would have | :39:05. | :39:06. | |
been my choice of candidate but of course, he was chosen | :39:07. | :39:09. | |
as the candidate by the Reptblican party, then elected by the @merican | :39:10. | :39:12. | |
Now, of course, the special relationship between Britain | :39:13. | :39:20. | |
and the United States is extremely strong and so I think all of us have | :39:21. | :39:24. | |
to hope that as president, he governs rather more senshbly | :39:25. | :39:29. | |
than some people fear and that, as president, he behaves rather more | :39:30. | :39:33. | |
in tune with the way he's spoken since the election, | :39:34. | :39:35. | |
which has been much more conciliatory, much more unifying, | :39:36. | :39:38. | |
rather than some of the divhsive and incendiary comments he lade | :39:39. | :39:41. | |
Just thinking about that colmunity cohesion aspect, that's | :39:42. | :39:48. | |
something of course, that the police experiences | :39:49. | :39:49. | |
And that's something that is very high on my agenda, | :39:50. | :39:55. | |
keeping our communities togdther and keeping people working together. | :39:56. | :39:58. | |
The rhetoric that we're seehng generally has had | :39:59. | :40:02. | |
an influence, I would have thought? | :40:03. | :40:03. | |
Just after Brexit, there was a peak in hate crime and I hope th`t | :40:04. | :40:10. | |
But I think what's interesthng about this already is that | :40:11. | :40:18. | |
Yes, he got elected on really quite extreme views on building a wall | :40:19. | :40:23. | |
between Mexico and America, views about putting Clinton | :40:24. | :40:26. | |
rid of it. Within days, the ink is hardly dry on the ballot papers | :40:27. | :40:31. | |
and he's already seriously rolling back from many of those polhcies. | :40:32. | :40:36. | |
That, of course, will have `n impact on the electorate in Americ`. | :40:37. | :40:43. | |
For the moment, thank you very much both indeed. | :40:44. | :40:47. | |
They clocked up over a thousand years of Labour membership | :40:48. | :40:50. | |
between them, only to be kicked out of the party. | :40:51. | :40:52. | |
The purge of Militant followed years of bitter in-fighting in thd early | :40:53. | :40:58. | |
'80s between the hard left and the so-called moderates. | :40:59. | :41:05. | |
Among those shown the door was the former Coventry MP Dave Nellist. | :41:06. | :41:08. | |
Now he's one of 75 expelled socialists applying | :41:09. | :41:10. | |
Our political reporter Kathryn Stranczyszyn explains why. | :41:11. | :41:14. | |
A long ago war of ideology, bitterly fought. | :41:15. | :41:22. | |
The Militant is standing candidates against the Labour Party. | :41:23. | :41:25. | |
I think they have a bloody cheek, anyone who's in the Militant, | :41:26. | :41:28. | |
to think they can demand thd right to remain in our party. | :41:29. | :41:31. | |
The Labour Party in the 1970s and 1980s was a battle ground | :41:32. | :41:35. | |
between the left and the hard left, the party within a party, | :41:36. | :41:40. | |
Militant, whose members werd denounced by Labour MPs at the time. | :41:41. | :41:52. | |
Not the Workers' Revolution`ry Party, nor the militant Trots. | :41:53. | :41:53. | |
Madam Chairman, the baying of the beast betrays its prdsence. | :41:54. | :41:56. | |
Eventually, it reached a pahnful crescendo, | :41:57. | :41:57. | |
with hundreds of Militant members kicked out. | :41:58. | :42:00. | |
Enthusiasm's almost a criminal offence now in the party. | :42:01. | :42:04. | |
We're not allowed to use thd word "strikes" any more. | :42:05. | :42:06. | |
I think this is one of the meetings up | :42:07. | :42:12. | |
And if you look at who two of the attendees | :42:13. | :42:18. | |
are on the platform, one T Benn, one J Corbyn. | :42:19. | :42:21. | |
75 former Militant members have signed a letter saying that the time | :42:22. | :42:24. | |
is right for Jeremy Corbyn to let them back in. | :42:25. | :42:32. | |
I felt it was impossible inside that New Labour to carry | :42:33. | :42:35. | |
on the fight for socialism, so we fought for it outside. | :42:36. | :42:39. | |
Dave Nellist was a Coventry MP for nine years. | :42:40. | :42:45. | |
He's a name synonymous with the most radical side of Labour. | :42:46. | :42:48. | |
Jeremy's re-election a few weeks ago shows that there is the possibility | :42:49. | :42:52. | |
He's outnumbered nine to ond in Parliament and on councils. | :42:53. | :42:59. | |
There's a lot of manoeuvres to try to get rid of him | :43:00. | :43:03. | |
and I want to be part of the battle to support his | :43:04. | :43:06. | |
Of course, this all comes at a time when the party is once | :43:07. | :43:11. | |
The membership wants Jeremy Corbyn, the Parliamentary | :43:12. | :43:16. | |
And with criticism of the t`ctics of the left-wing group Momentum | :43:17. | :43:26. | |
that supports Mr Corbyn, some people say the idea | :43:27. | :43:28. | |
of admitting some of these people back in is nothing | :43:29. | :43:31. | |
But Dave Nellist says, far from being the ruin of the party, | :43:32. | :43:34. | |
when it comes to voters he could be one of its saviours. | :43:35. | :43:38. | |
If we do nothing but wait for the 2020 election, | :43:39. | :43:40. | |
three quarters of all council services in our | :43:41. | :43:43. | |
Youth clubs, libraries, children's centres. | :43:44. | :43:45. | |
Adult education centres, park wardens, street cleaners. | :43:46. | :43:47. | |
Labour says where members h`ve previously been banned, | :43:48. | :43:56. | |
the decision on re-entry is one for the National Executive Commhttee. | :43:57. | :43:59. | |
Dave Nellist is now chair of the Trade Unionist And Socialist | :44:00. | :44:02. | |
Coalition, and says, if he's allowed back in, | :44:03. | :44:03. | |
the group won't field any c`ndidates at next year's local elections. | :44:04. | :44:10. | |
We're hoping that the Labour NEC, which meets on the 22nd | :44:11. | :44:13. | |
If they don't find the time to do it then, I think we'll take our | :44:14. | :44:17. | |
campaign to the ranks of thd Labour and trade union movement, | :44:18. | :44:25. | |
with a national petition to help the NEC | :44:26. | :44:27. | |
A threat or a promise from Dave Nellist ending that report | :44:28. | :44:35. | |
Well, instrumental in Labour's purge of Militant three decades ago | :44:36. | :44:40. | |
was a tight-knit Midlands-dominated caucus of MPs and union leaders - | :44:41. | :44:42. | |
among them, John Spellar, now MP for Warley. | :44:43. | :44:48. | |
Down the line to Westminster, I asked him how he thought the party | :44:49. | :44:51. | |
These people, let's be clear, are dedicated Trotskyists. | :44:52. | :45:01. | |
They have their own tightly knit revolutionary organisation. | :45:02. | :45:03. | |
They only want to use the Labour Party, use its ftnds | :45:04. | :45:06. | |
and try and divert young people into their cause. | :45:07. | :45:08. | |
We'd be mad to let them back into the Labour Party. | :45:09. | :45:21. | |
But isn't the reality that they in a way, are more in tune | :45:22. | :45:25. | |
with the Labour Party as it is now, with these half a million | :45:26. | :45:28. | |
They see you, really, as just a post-Blairite Parliamentary rump. | :45:29. | :45:32. | |
Oh, this is complete rubbish and we know that from | :45:33. | :45:35. | |
the Labour Parties right thd way across the Midlands. | :45:36. | :45:37. | |
And they've seen these people before. | :45:38. | :45:38. | |
They saw all the trouble that they caused in Coventrx. | :45:39. | :45:41. | |
We became unelectable in thd 19 0s precisely because people wotld not | :45:42. | :45:44. | |
allow a party that had people like that in it | :45:45. | :45:46. | |
And even more recently, they have been running... | :45:47. | :45:55. | |
They set up their own party, they've been running candid`tes | :45:56. | :45:58. | |
against the Labour Party across the country. | :45:59. | :46:06. | |
Even as late as this year's elections. | :46:07. | :46:07. | |
So why would we want to be letting in people who are clearly hostile | :46:08. | :46:11. | |
to the fundamental democrathc aims of the Labour Party? | :46:12. | :46:13. | |
They've got their own revolutionary party. | :46:14. | :46:23. | |
They can run in elections, they can get the derisory votes they want. | :46:24. | :46:26. | |
They just want to use the L`bour Party. | :46:27. | :46:28. | |
We will never be able to rebuild and provide a credible alternative | :46:29. | :46:30. | |
to the Conservatives if we `llow these sort of people | :46:31. | :46:33. | |
You clearly think that thesd applicants should be given short | :46:34. | :46:36. | |
shrift but do you think Jeremy Corbyn will think thd same? | :46:37. | :46:39. | |
Well, I think, actually, it's the national executive | :46:40. | :46:41. | |
of the Labour Party and these issues about allowing revolutionarx groups | :46:42. | :46:44. | |
in come up time and again in Labour's history. | :46:45. | :46:57. | |
The Communist Party tried to infiltrate us, | :46:58. | :47:01. | |
League, the international socialists, the Militant | :47:02. | :47:05. | |
and now this new lot from the Socialist party. | :47:06. | :47:07. | |
They don't want to help the Labour Party win with ordinary | :47:08. | :47:13. | |
voters and every time we look as though we're getting close | :47:14. | :47:15. | |
to them, that takes us further from power and further from doing | :47:16. | :47:18. | |
the right thing for ordinarx voters in the Midlands and right | :47:19. | :47:21. | |
John Spellar clearly thinks Dave Nellist and company should be | :47:22. | :47:25. | |
left out of the Labour Partx, exactly where they are now. | :47:26. | :47:28. | |
But the big difference, of course, is that then they were hard left | :47:29. | :47:32. | |
insurrection whereas now, Jeremy Corbyn is in | :47:33. | :47:34. | |
Well, these people, back in the 1980s, made | :47:35. | :47:38. | |
And we were, and Margaret Thatcher reigned supreme. | :47:39. | :47:49. | |
They then formed their own parties and they've stood in elections, | :47:50. | :47:53. | |
both to local councils and in Parliament, | :47:54. | :47:55. | |
So these people have lost the Labour Party elections, | :47:56. | :47:58. | |
they've lost elections standing on their own platform. | :47:59. | :48:00. | |
But the reality is, though, isn't it, that there | :48:01. | :48:06. | |
between Jeremy Corbyn and Dave Nellist? | :48:07. | :48:09. | |
There is a big role now for an anti-austerity socialist | :48:10. | :48:13. | |
Labour Party to organise and help those people who feel that they re | :48:14. | :48:16. | |
being left behind by the austerity agenda. | :48:17. | :48:18. | |
I think, yes, the Labour Party needs to pick up that strong feelhng | :48:19. | :48:22. | |
of dissent there is amongst people in the country and against this | :48:23. | :48:25. | |
Conservative government and the things that are happening | :48:26. | :48:29. | |
in terms of making people homeless and the difficulties we're having | :48:30. | :48:32. | |
Yes, they want them addressdd, but believe me... | :48:33. | :48:38. | |
Isn't socialism a more authdntic answer to all those things? | :48:39. | :48:41. | |
But we're not going to find those answers with those people | :48:42. | :48:44. | |
in the past and the present who failed to get the votes | :48:45. | :48:47. | |
I know there is a certain alount of glee on the Tory side | :48:48. | :48:51. | |
about these divisions within the Labour Party | :48:52. | :48:53. | |
but Dominic Raab, one of your former ministers, | :48:54. | :48:55. | |
during the Tory conference in Birmingham, said | :48:56. | :48:57. | |
anybody on your side who underestimates Jeremy Corbyn | :48:58. | :48:59. | |
does so at their peril, because he could tap into this | :49:00. | :49:03. | |
sentiment at street level that we see all around us | :49:04. | :49:05. | |
in the various elections th`t we've been talking about. | :49:06. | :49:08. | |
Of course, there's a real d`nger in Jeremy Corbyn but I think just | :49:09. | :49:16. | |
the fact that people like Dave Nellist, Peter Ta`ffe | :49:17. | :49:18. | |
Derek Hatton, feel that the Labour Party is once again their home just | :49:19. | :49:21. | |
underlines how far Jeremy Corbyn has taken the Labour Party away | :49:22. | :49:24. | |
from the mainstream, where most of the public ard. | :49:25. | :49:26. | |
But I saw a Momentum event in Birmingham where there | :49:27. | :49:31. | |
were people who were teachers, there were people who had even been | :49:32. | :49:34. | |
supporters of Margaret Thatcher in her time. | :49:35. | :49:36. | |
And Labour is actually a mass movement as well as a polithcal | :49:37. | :49:41. | |
Well, of course, my predecessor but one as MP in Dudley South, | :49:42. | :49:47. | |
He was a militant in the early 980s himself, before he disowned Militant | :49:48. | :49:54. | |
and moved into the mainstre`m of the Labour Party. | :49:55. | :49:58. | |
Do the socialists have a case against moderates like you that | :49:59. | :50:01. | |
you are undermining Jeremy Corbyn's leadership at every turn? | :50:02. | :50:04. | |
Well, I'm not certainly unddrmining the leadership of the party. | :50:05. | :50:07. | |
I've been in the party 53 ydars now and I've supported every single | :50:08. | :50:10. | |
I think my concern is firstly that people who couldn't get elected | :50:11. | :50:18. | |
are trying to get elected and they've failed themselvds but, | :50:19. | :50:21. | |
also, if you look this year, I was only elected this year in May | :50:22. | :50:24. | |
We must leave it there for the moment. | :50:25. | :50:35. | |
Well, as the Chancellor puts the finishing touches | :50:36. | :50:38. | |
to Wednesday's Autumn Statelent how is the economy shaping tp | :50:39. | :50:41. | |
Well, our exporters and importers will differ on that one, of course. | :50:42. | :50:54. | |
But for West Bromwich-based East End Foods, | :50:55. | :51:08. | |
The weakness of the post-Brdxit pound has hit business here hard. | :51:09. | :51:23. | |
The company imports foodstuffs and they estimate costs havd gone up | :51:24. | :51:26. | |
by ?50,000 a week since the Leave vote. | :51:27. | :51:28. | |
I think the toughest six months we have seen. | :51:29. | :51:42. | |
East End Foods has been in business for nearly 50 years and this has | :51:43. | :51:46. | |
At Ellenborough Park Hotel near Cheltenham, bookings are up. | :51:47. | :51:51. | |
We've seen an influx of overseas guests, particularly US, | :51:52. | :51:56. | |
because they can just see that, of the options available to them, | :51:57. | :52:00. | |
the UK is really attractive, when their dollars go a lot further. | :52:01. | :52:03. | |
The jobless total fell by 22,00 between July and September | :52:04. | :52:09. | |
The pound may be sinking but, despite referendum warnings, | :52:10. | :52:23. | |
And thinking first, Mike, about importers like East End Foods, | :52:24. | :52:35. | |
they're trying not to pass on the extra costs that thex incur | :52:36. | :52:38. | |
through the extra pound but it does raise questions. | :52:39. | :52:45. | |
They are having to take a spueeze in order to do that, | :52:46. | :52:49. | |
and it makes Theresa May's vision of a successful Brexit look | :52:50. | :52:52. | |
No, I don't think that's true at all. | :52:53. | :52:56. | |
Clearly, things are difficult for importers at the moment. | :52:57. | :52:58. | |
I do think that the pound will return more towards trdnd | :52:59. | :53:00. | |
levels because the underlying fundamentals of the | :53:01. | :53:02. | |
We've seen in the report that the Black Country Chamber | :53:03. | :53:08. | |
published this week, there was huge optimism amongst | :53:09. | :53:13. | |
They're investing more, they're exporting more. | :53:14. | :53:16. | |
The level of the pound is actually leading to really good condhtions | :53:17. | :53:19. | |
for exporters, particularly in manufacturing. | :53:20. | :53:23. | |
And the fall in unemployment and the increased, to record levels, | :53:24. | :53:29. | |
But, within that, the bulk of the new jobs are going to people | :53:30. | :53:34. | |
who weren't born in this cotntry and a large component | :53:35. | :53:36. | |
When is your government going to actually | :53:37. | :53:39. | |
face up to the benign effects of EU migration? | :53:40. | :53:47. | |
Well, of course, Theresa Max has been clear that we want to trigger | :53:48. | :53:50. | |
Article 50 in the spring to make a start on the process of ldaving | :53:51. | :53:53. | |
the European Union and impldmenting the decision that voters took | :53:54. | :53:56. | |
in June and, as part of that, we will need the transition`l | :53:57. | :53:59. | |
measures that mean that where people are already in the country | :54:00. | :54:01. | |
and working, that we have agreements with our European partners that | :54:02. | :54:04. | |
obviously, we expect people to be able to say here but we also expect | :54:05. | :54:07. | |
British nationals living and working overseas | :54:08. | :54:08. | |
to be able to remain, so I think that's | :54:09. | :54:11. | |
But when we were told beford the referendum that there | :54:12. | :54:21. | |
would be economic apocalypsd if people voted to leave, | :54:22. | :54:28. | |
of course GDP was supposed to be negative, unemployment | :54:29. | :54:30. | |
Instead, we've got really strong GDP growth, we got unemployment falling. | :54:31. | :54:37. | |
Mike's just mentioned the Black Country Chamber. | :54:38. | :54:39. | |
The West Midlands economic Forum talks about very optimistic growth | :54:40. | :54:43. | |
So the Government seems to be getting something right | :54:44. | :54:50. | |
I think the problem here is, we don't know a lot of the `nswers | :54:51. | :54:54. | |
and some of Mike's responses to your questions, he clearly | :54:55. | :54:56. | |
Now, we've got a temporary situation where the pound is falling. | :54:57. | :55:00. | |
Unemployment halved in five years in Birmingham. | :55:01. | :55:05. | |
The cost of food going up, the cost of fuel going up. | :55:06. | :55:09. | |
But then, when we find oursdlves outside of the European Union, | :55:10. | :55:17. | |
we will then have to have 27 different trade deals with different | :55:18. | :55:22. | |
countries and there may be tariffs but against our exporters now, | :55:23. | :55:28. | |
so Brexit hasn't happened ydt, so we can't actually say | :55:29. | :55:31. | |
what the effect of it is going to be. | :55:32. | :55:43. | |
-- tariffs put against some of our exporters. | :55:44. | :55:45. | |
We can only see some of the effects of it going to happen. | :55:46. | :55:48. | |
I think in two years' time, if we get a hard Brexit, | :55:49. | :55:51. | |
which is where we seem to bd heading, then this could have a huge | :55:52. | :55:55. | |
impact on exporters and we could see more expensive food and the basic | :55:56. | :55:58. | |
And yet surveys suggest that most voters actually want the kind | :55:59. | :56:02. | |
of immigration policies that only a hard Brexit | :56:03. | :56:04. | |
People voted to take back control in June and I think that's | :56:05. | :56:08. | |
Now, I'm afraid I don't think David quite understands how | :56:09. | :56:11. | |
the European Union works when he says we'd need 27 | :56:12. | :56:14. | |
We'd have one trade deal with the remainder | :56:15. | :56:18. | |
Just as we don't have separate trade deals | :56:19. | :56:20. | |
with all of the countries at the moment, we wouldn't | :56:21. | :56:23. | |
We'd have one with the European Union. | :56:24. | :56:26. | |
We could go on but, frankly, at this stage we can't. | :56:27. | :56:31. | |
For the moment, thank you both very much indeed. | :56:32. | :56:33. | |
So, what other political developments have been making | :56:34. | :56:35. | |
Our round-up in 60 seconds is brought to us today | :56:36. | :56:39. | |
in Worcestershire joined a nationwide protest over claims | :56:40. | :56:43. | |
there's been a surge in violence among inmates. | :56:44. | :56:48. | |
Dudley Council has joined forces with the Environment Agency | :56:49. | :56:51. | |
after a huge rubbish heap appeared near the town centre. | :56:52. | :56:54. | |
It's just a few miles away from the site of another motntain | :56:55. | :56:57. | |
of waste, which took years to clear, in Brierley Hill. | :56:58. | :57:01. | |
Nuneaton-born left-wing fill director Ken Loach marked 50 years | :57:02. | :57:04. | |
since Cathy Come Home with an appearance on Midlands Today | :57:05. | :57:08. | |
So does he think homelessness is less of a problem now? | :57:09. | :57:14. | |
I think everyone agrees thex're worse, because the markets have been | :57:15. | :57:17. | |
To build houses and to solve the problem. | :57:18. | :57:20. | |
Once lauded by David Cameron and Michael Gove, | :57:21. | :57:26. | |
Birmingham's Perry Beeches @cademy Trust in Birmingham has had another | :57:27. | :57:28. | |
one of its schools rated as inadequate by inpectors. | :57:29. | :57:33. | |
And West Midlands Police will begin a recruitment drive this wedk. | :57:34. | :57:36. | |
They are looking to take on an extra 800 new officers. | :57:37. | :57:44. | |
Yes, and that is part and p`rcel of David Jamieson's policing plan, | :57:45. | :57:49. | |
due out on Wednesday, and comes off the back of a survey | :57:50. | :57:51. | |
by Her Majesty's Inspectorate of Constabulary. | :57:52. | :57:54. | |
Over a third of 26,000 people across England hadn't seen ` bobby | :57:55. | :57:58. | |
Is that what this is really all about? | :57:59. | :58:06. | |
Because, actually, there ard plenty of demand at the moment, | :58:07. | :58:09. | |
given the prevalence of cybdr crime, phishing e-mails and all thd rest | :58:10. | :58:12. | |
of it, for more bobbies on the internet, not the be`ch. | :58:13. | :58:15. | |
Well, firstly, the plan is about setting out the strategic | :58:16. | :58:19. | |
things that people want in the area, and those are the things I promised | :58:20. | :58:23. | |
in my manifesto in May and now I'm putting them into the plan. | :58:24. | :58:26. | |
And that's for the Chief Constable now to undertake. | :58:27. | :58:28. | |
We are facing, firstly, huge cuts in our budget. | :58:29. | :58:31. | |
We've lost a quarter of our budget under Mike's government | :58:32. | :58:33. | |
What I'm saying is, we do nded to get the bobbies on the bdat. | :58:34. | :58:39. | |
We're undertaking a big recruitment campaign. | :58:40. | :58:42. | |
But also you quite rightly point out some of the crimes that we're | :58:43. | :58:45. | |
dealing with are entirely dhfferent and need a different | :58:46. | :58:48. | |
approach to policing than we had in the past. | :58:49. | :58:53. | |
Briefly, David, actually, is quite entitled to give | :58:54. | :58:55. | |
Because it turns out his is, as he says, one of the two | :58:56. | :59:01. | |
least expensive Police and Crime Commissioner | :59:02. | :59:04. | |
offices in the country, whereas Conservative Warwickshire, | :59:05. | :59:06. | |
West Mercia, Staffordshire `re among the most expensive offices | :59:07. | :59:08. | |
As David knows, I'm a big stpporter of West Midlands Police. | :59:09. | :59:13. | |
My dad was an West Midlands Policeman for nearly | :59:14. | :59:15. | |
had the meetings with ministers in the Treasury and the Homd Office | :59:16. | :59:20. | |
and elsewhere to argue the case for the West Midlands to get | :59:21. | :59:22. | |
Hopefully, when we can get that new funding formula, it will help. | :59:23. | :59:27. | |
My thanks to Commissioner D`vid Jamieson and Mike Wood. | :59:28. | :59:32. | |
And there's more on the futtre of the police service | :59:33. | :59:35. | |
West Mercia's new Chief Constable Anthony Banham has been described | :59:36. | :59:39. | |
We're about to find out what exactly that means if, indeed, | :59:40. | :59:45. | |
He'll be in BBC Radio Shropshire's hot seat during Jim Hawkins' | :59:46. | :59:49. | |
programme from ten o'clock on Tuesday. | :59:50. | :59:50. | |
This, though, is where we all rejoin Andrew Neil. | :59:51. | :59:55. | |
in four years. It is subject we should spend more time on. Back to | :59:56. | :59:58. | |
you. What will the Chancellor have to say | :59:59. | :00:07. | |
in his first big economic statement? What impact will the forecasters say | :00:08. | :00:12. | |
Brexit will have on the economy And who will face the Front | :00:13. | :00:14. | |
National's Marine Le Pen in Well, the Shadow Chancellor | :00:15. | :00:17. | |
and the Chancellor have both been touring the television | :00:18. | :00:32. | |
studios this morning. Let's be clear, a lot of this | :00:33. | :00:33. | |
is going to be gimmicks and press As I've said, in the | :00:34. | :00:40. | |
pipeline, we've only seen one in five delivered | :00:41. | :00:43. | |
to construction, that's all. So a lot of this will be a repeat | :00:44. | :00:46. | |
of what I'm not going to reveal | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
what I'm going to say on We don't have unlimited | :00:50. | :00:52. | |
capacity, as one might imagine from listening | :00:53. | :00:57. | |
to John McDonnell, to borrow hundreds of billions of pounds more | :00:58. | :01:00. | |
for discretionary spending. That simply doesn't | :01:01. | :01:05. | |
exist if we're going to retain this country's hard-won | :01:06. | :01:08. | |
credibility in the financial markets if we are going to remain | :01:09. | :01:11. | |
an attractive place for business to We didn't learn very much, Helen, | :01:12. | :01:27. | |
but the papers were briefed this morning that there will be another | :01:28. | :01:30. | |
?1.3 billion for roads and things like that. ?1.3 billion is 0.08 of | :01:31. | :01:42. | |
our GDP. Not exactly an infrastructure investment programme, | :01:43. | :01:45. | |
is it? Yellow like I have to say, it was not thrilling to read the | :01:46. | :01:54. | |
details. -- I have to say... It is the first big financial statement | :01:55. | :01:57. | |
that is going to come and I think there will be a big row about the | :01:58. | :02:01. | |
OBE are forecast because they cannot set out a range, they have to commit | :02:02. | :02:06. | |
to one forecast. Everything they do is incredibly political. DOB are is | :02:07. | :02:16. | |
on a hiding to nothing. -- DOB are -- the Office for Budget | :02:17. | :02:23. | |
Responsibility. I don't know how they will square the circle. It is | :02:24. | :02:28. | |
an interesting week. It is all about the economy and public finances and | :02:29. | :02:30. | |
we don't have to talk about Brexit until next Sunday, but no, I have a | :02:31. | :02:35. | |
terrible feeling that by the end of Wednesday afternoon we will be | :02:36. | :02:45. | |
screaming and shouting about how Brexit is going to be for the | :02:46. | :02:48. | |
economy. Just imagine the Treasury comes out with his forecast that it | :02:49. | :02:52. | |
is going to collapse growth and collapsed Treasury takings, people | :02:53. | :03:01. | |
will be apoplectic. Until now, the economy has continued to grow | :03:02. | :03:07. | |
strongly. Pretty well. They cannot say, we have noticed it slowing down | :03:08. | :03:10. | |
and that will continue. They have to take a punt if they think it will | :03:11. | :03:15. | |
slow down. It affects the Chancellor's figures, because the | :03:16. | :03:18. | |
more they say it is slowing down, and I have seen that it will go from | :03:19. | :03:24. | |
2% down to 1.4%, the more the Chancellor's deficit rises even | :03:25. | :03:28. | |
without any more tax cuts and spending. Absolutely. I think Tom is | :03:29. | :03:33. | |
right. What we will see this week is a continuation of the debate we have | :03:34. | :03:38. | |
been having all along. If the Office for Budget Responsibility has | :03:39. | :03:40. | |
negative and gloomy predictions there will be howls of agony, and | :03:41. | :03:50. | |
rightly howls of frustration from Brexiteers who will say that all the | :03:51. | :03:53. | |
dire predictions from before the referendum have not come to pass and | :03:54. | :03:57. | |
now you are talking things down in a way that becomes a self-fulfilling | :03:58. | :04:04. | |
prophecy. The money for roads, you were dismissive about it, but every | :04:05. | :04:10. | |
little helps. I don't dismiss it, I say it doesn't amount to a fiscal | :04:11. | :04:14. | |
stimulus in macro economic terms. I'm sure if you are on that road, it | :04:15. | :04:23. | |
will be useful. They are going to build a super highway between Oxford | :04:24. | :04:30. | |
and Cambridge. I would like to see them go out to Japan and learn how | :04:31. | :04:38. | |
to fill a hole in two days. I would suggest the road from Oxford to | :04:39. | :04:41. | |
Cambridge is not for the just managing classes, even though it | :04:42. | :04:45. | |
goes through Milton Keynes, and that simply freezing due freezing fuel | :04:46. | :04:56. | |
duty isn't going to hack it, either. These just about managing people are | :04:57. | :05:01. | |
potentially quite a big band. With income tax rises, it means anything | :05:02. | :05:04. | |
you do to help them is incredibly expensive. The universal credit | :05:05. | :05:08. | |
freeze is an interesting example of that. Philip Hammond sounded | :05:09. | :05:14. | |
ambivalent about it after pre-briefings that it might not the | :05:15. | :05:22. | |
cuts might not go ahead. There are people who are in work but because | :05:23. | :05:25. | |
they are low paid don't have the number of hours, they require | :05:26. | :05:32. | |
welfare benefits to top up their pay, and these welfare benefits as | :05:33. | :05:36. | |
it stands, are frozen until 202 , and yet inflation is now starting to | :05:37. | :05:40. | |
rise. That's a problem for the just managing people. Correct. It is | :05:41. | :05:46. | |
worse than that, because we are talking about April 2017 when tax | :05:47. | :05:55. | |
credits become universal credits, so the squeeze will be greater. We will | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
get a small highway between a couple of university towns, but if he has | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
any money left to spend at all, it will be on some pretty seismic | :06:06. | :06:12. | |
jazzman for the just about managing people. I am so glad we're not | :06:13. | :06:17. | |
calling them Jams on this programme, because it is a patronising tone. | :06:18. | :06:23. | |
What the Chancellor and Shadow Chancellor did not confront is that | :06:24. | :06:32. | |
Mr Trump's election is a watershed in terms of being able to borrow | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
cheaply. The Federal Reserve is about to start raising rates. The | :06:37. | :06:39. | |
days of cheap borrowing for governments could be coming to an | :06:40. | :06:44. | |
end. You can feel a bit sorry for labour here because after having had | :06:45. | :06:48. | |
six years of being told that we need a surplus and these things are | :06:49. | :06:51. | |
important, we can't deny the deficit, we have switched now and | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
the first thing that Philip Hammond did was to scrap George Osborne s | :06:56. | :07:02. | |
borrowing targets. He has given himself more wriggle room than | :07:03. | :07:05. | |
George Osborne had. He has and it will cost them more. Debt servicing | :07:06. | :07:13. | |
will now rise as a cost. Where is the next political earthquake going | :07:14. | :07:14. | |
to happen? It could be Italy, or the French | :07:15. | :07:21. | |
elections coming up next spring Now, who will face the Front | :07:22. | :07:28. | |
National's Marine Le Pen in next year's French Presidential | :07:29. | :07:30. | |
elections? Well, France's centre-right | :07:31. | :07:31. | |
part, Les Republicans, are selecting their candidate | :07:32. | :07:33. | |
in the first round of Well, France's centre-right | :07:34. | :07:35. | |
part, Les Republicans, are selecting their candidate | :07:36. | :07:38. | |
in the first round of Let's speak to our correspondent | :07:39. | :07:41. | |
in Paris, Hugh Schofield. Welcome to the programme. Three main | :07:42. | :07:54. | |
candidates, the former -- two former prime ministers and Nicolas Sarkozy, | :07:55. | :08:00. | |
the former president. It is not clear who the front runner is. | :08:01. | :08:04. | |
Robbins it is quite an exciting race, because four weeks it did look | :08:05. | :08:15. | |
as if it was going to be Juppe. It is a two round race. Two go through | :08:16. | :08:22. | |
and the idea is that they rally all the support together. It looked like | :08:23. | :08:26. | |
the first round would be dominated by Juppe and Nicolas Sarkozy, and | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
there was a clear binary combination there, because Sarkozy was looking | :08:31. | :08:39. | |
for squeamish far right voters. In other words, veering clearly to the | :08:40. | :08:42. | |
right and far right on immigration and identity issues. And Juppe is | :08:43. | :08:48. | |
the opposite, saying we had to appeal to the centre. That was what | :08:49. | :08:53. | |
it looked like. But the third candidate has made this really quite | :08:54. | :08:57. | |
staggering surge in the last few days. There was a debate on Thursday | :08:58. | :09:02. | |
and he was deemed to have won it on television. He is coming up | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
strongly, and I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him go through | :09:08. | :09:10. | |
which would be interesting from a British perspective, because if the | :09:11. | :09:16. | |
becomes president, he will be the first president with a British wife. | :09:17. | :09:20. | |
His wife Penelope is Welsh. We will have to leave it there. I | :09:21. | :09:28. | |
would suggest that the reason it is fascinating is that whoever wins | :09:29. | :09:31. | |
this primary for the centre-right party is likely to be the next | :09:32. | :09:35. | |
president, and who the next president is will be very important | :09:36. | :09:39. | |
for Britain in these Brexit negotiations. Nothing will really | :09:40. | :09:43. | |
happen until it is determined. Then after the German elections in | :09:44. | :09:49. | |
October. I would add one more constituent part. The most important | :09:50. | :09:53. | |
thing about the race is who can stop Marine Le Pen. Marine Le Pen will | :09:54. | :10:00. | |
almost be one of the ones in the run-off. The Socialists don't expect | :10:01. | :10:09. | |
much. Francois Hollande is done There is too much of a cliff to | :10:10. | :10:16. | |
climb. Which one of these three centre-right candidates can stop | :10:17. | :10:21. | |
Marine Le Pen? We have had Brexit and Trump, but we could also have | :10:22. | :10:26. | |
Marine Le Pen. If it is Sarkozy it is the battle of the right. In some | :10:27. | :10:33. | |
areas, he has moved to the right of marine Le Pen. I suppose he feels he | :10:34. | :10:40. | |
has do in order to take the wind out of our sails. You wonder if she | :10:41. | :10:43. | |
could succeed later on if she does not this time. Talking to French | :10:44. | :10:47. | |
analysts last night, there was suggesting that she could not do it | :10:48. | :10:51. | |
this time but could win the next time. All the events in France over | :10:52. | :10:56. | |
the last year seemed to provide the most propitious circumstances for | :10:57. | :10:59. | |
her to do well, and particularly if you throw in Trump and Brexit. | :11:00. | :11:05. | |
Suppose it is Mr Sarkozy, and he goes through and wins the Republican | :11:06. | :11:10. | |
nomination, and he and Marine Le Pen go through to the second round, that | :11:11. | :11:17. | |
would mean, think about it, is that a lot of French socialist voters and | :11:18. | :11:21. | |
those on the father left would have to grit their teeth and vote for | :11:22. | :11:29. | |
Nicolas Sarkozy. They might not do it. We might see what we saw in | :11:30. | :11:33. | |
America, where lots of potential Clinton voters did not turn out You | :11:34. | :11:45. | |
got politicians like Melanchon on the far left saying there are | :11:46. | :11:48. | |
foreign workers taking bread out of French workers' mounts. We sometimes | :11:49. | :11:55. | |
forget, because we tend to emphasise the National of the National front, | :11:56. | :12:01. | |
but actually, there are economic policy is quite Bennite. Sarkozy is | :12:02. | :12:13. | |
the Hillary Clinton of the French elections. He is Mr establishment. | :12:14. | :12:24. | |
Juppe and the other third candidate are the same. You have to | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
re-establish candidates running against an antiestablishment | :12:30. | :12:32. | |
candidate. There are populist economic policies from the National | :12:33. | :12:37. | |
front. The other three want to raise the retirement age and cut back on | :12:38. | :12:39. | |
the 35 hour week, which are not classic electoral appeals. Mr Juppe | :12:40. | :12:48. | |
used to be the Mayor of Bordeaux. And we are the biggest importers of | :12:49. | :12:52. | |
claret, so that could have an effect. In 2002, it was Jack Shear | :12:53. | :13:00. | |
against John Marine Le Pen, and the socialist campaign slogan was, vote | :13:01. | :13:08. | |
for the Crook, not the fascist. We will see what they come up with this | :13:09. | :13:09. | |
time. The Daily Politics is back at noon | :13:10. | :13:12. | |
tomorrow on BBC Two, where on Wednesday I will have full | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
coverage of the Chancellor's Autumn But remember, if it's Sunday, | :13:17. | :13:22. | |
it's the Sunday Politics. | :13:23. | :13:31. |