Browse content similar to 05/02/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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It's Sunday morning, and this is the Sunday Politics. | :00:33. | :00:37. | |
Theresa May pledged to help people who are "just about managing", | :00:38. | :00:41. | |
and this week her government will announce new measures to boost | :00:42. | :00:43. | |
the number of affordable homes and improve conditions for renters. | :00:44. | :00:46. | |
After a US court suspends Donald Trump's travel ban and rules | :00:47. | :00:56. | |
it could be unconstitutional, one of the President's inner circle | :00:57. | :01:01. | |
tells me there is no "chaos", and that Donald Trump's White House | :01:02. | :01:04. | |
is making good on his campaign promises. | :01:05. | :01:07. | |
As the Government gets into gear for two years | :01:08. | :01:09. | |
of Brexit negotiations, we report on the haggling to come | :01:10. | :01:12. | |
over the UK's Brexit bill for leaving the European Union - | :01:13. | :01:15. | |
and the costs and savings once we've left. | :01:16. | :01:19. | |
And with me, as always, a trio of top political | :01:20. | :01:41. | |
journalists - Helen Lewis, Tom Newton Dunn | :01:42. | :01:42. | |
They'll be tweeting throughout the programme, | :01:43. | :01:47. | |
So, more anguish to come this week for the Labour party as the House | :01:48. | :01:53. | |
of Commons continues to debate the bill which paves the way | :01:54. | :01:56. | |
Last week, Labour split over the Article 50 bill, | :01:57. | :02:01. | |
with a fifth of Labour MPs defying Jeremy Corbyn to vote against. | :02:02. | :02:04. | |
Five shadow ministers resigned, and it's expected Mr Corbyn | :02:05. | :02:10. | |
will have to sack more frontbenchers once the bill is voted | :02:11. | :02:12. | |
Add to that the fact that the Labour Leader's close ally | :02:13. | :02:17. | |
Diane Abbot failed to turn up for the initial vote - | :02:18. | :02:20. | |
blaming illness - and things don't look too rosy | :02:21. | :02:22. | |
The Shadow Foreign Secretary Emily Thornberry was asked | :02:23. | :02:24. | |
about the situation earlier on the Andrew Marr show. | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
The Labour Party is a national party and we represent the nation, | :02:29. | :02:33. | |
and the nation is divided on this, and it is very difficult. | :02:34. | :02:37. | |
Many MPs representing majority Remain constituencies have this very | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
difficult balancing act between - do I represent my constituency, | :02:43. | :02:44. | |
Labour, as a national party, have a clear view. | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
We fought to stay in Europe, but the public have spoken, | :02:49. | :02:56. | |
But the important thing now is not to give Theresa May a blank check, | :02:57. | :03:01. | |
we have to make sure we get the right deal for the country. | :03:02. | :03:07. | |
That was Emily Thornberry. Helen, is this like a form of Chinese water | :03:08. | :03:15. | |
torture for the Labour Party? And for journalists, to! We are in a | :03:16. | :03:19. | |
situation where no one really thinks it's working. A lot of authority has | :03:20. | :03:22. | |
drained away from Jeremy Corbyn but no one can do anything about it. | :03:23. | :03:27. | |
What we saw from the leadership contest is on the idea of a Blairite | :03:28. | :03:31. | |
plot to get rid of him. You are essentially stuck in stasis. The | :03:32. | :03:35. | |
only person that can remove Jeremy Corbyn is God or Jeremy Corbyn. | :03:36. | :03:41. | |
Authority may have moved from Mr Corbyn but it's not going anywhere | :03:42. | :03:45. | |
else, there's not an alternative centre of authority? Not quite, but | :03:46. | :03:51. | |
Clive Lewis is name emerging, the Shadow Business Secretary. A lot of | :03:52. | :03:56. | |
the Labour left, people like Paul Mason, really like him and would | :03:57. | :03:59. | |
like to see him in Corbyn. I think that's why Jeremy Corbyn do | :04:00. | :04:04. | |
something extraordinary next week and abstain from Article 50, the | :04:05. | :04:09. | |
main bill itself, to keep his Shadow Cabinet together. That clip on | :04:10. | :04:15. | |
Andrew Marr, point blank refusing to say if Labour will vote for Article | :04:16. | :04:20. | |
50. The only way Jeremy Corbyn can hold this mess together now is to | :04:21. | :04:25. | |
abstain, which would be catastrophic across Brexit constituencies in the | :04:26. | :04:29. | |
North. The problem with abstention is everyone will say on the issue of | :04:30. | :04:36. | |
our time, the official opposition hasn't got coherent or considered | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
policy? I love the way Emily Thornberry said the country is | :04:41. | :04:44. | |
divided and we represent the country, in other words we are | :04:45. | :04:47. | |
divided at the party as well. The other thing that was a crucial | :04:48. | :04:50. | |
moment this week is the debate over whether there should be a so-called | :04:51. | :04:54. | |
meaningful vote by MPs on the deal that Theresa May gets. That is a | :04:55. | :04:59. | |
point of real danger for Brexit supporters. It may well be there is | :05:00. | :05:05. | |
a coalition of Labour and SNP and Remain MPs, Tory MPs, who vote for | :05:06. | :05:09. | |
that so-called meaningful vote that could undermine Theresa May's | :05:10. | :05:13. | |
negotiation. So Theresa May could have had troubles as well, not plain | :05:14. | :05:18. | |
sailing for her? There is no point, apart from lonely Ken Clarke voting | :05:19. | :05:23. | |
against Article 50, no point in Tory remainders rebelling. It would have | :05:24. | :05:26. | |
been a token gesture with no support. But there might be | :05:27. | :05:31. | |
meaningful amendments. One might be on the status of EU nationals... The | :05:32. | :05:35. | |
government could lose that. There might be a majority for some of | :05:36. | :05:43. | |
those amendments. The ins and outs of the Labour Party, it fascinates | :05:44. | :05:46. | |
the Labour Party and journalists. I suspect the country has just moved | :05:47. | :05:48. | |
on and doesn't care. You are probably quite right. To be honest I | :05:49. | :05:53. | |
struggled to get Labour split stories in my paper any more, the | :05:54. | :05:58. | |
bar is so high to make it news. Where it does matter is now not | :05:59. | :06:03. | |
everyone will pay huge amounts to the -- of attention to the vote on | :06:04. | :06:08. | |
Wednesday. But come the general election in 2020, maybe a little | :06:09. | :06:13. | |
earlier, every Tory leaflet and every labour constituency will say | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
this guy, this goal, they refuse to vote for Brexit, do you want them in | :06:18. | :06:20. | |
power? That is going to be really hard for them. The story next week | :06:21. | :06:25. | |
may be Tory splits rather than just Labour ones, we will see. | :06:26. | :06:30. | |
Theresa May has made a big deal out of her commitment to help people | :06:31. | :06:33. | |
on middle incomes who are "just about managing", and early this week | :06:34. | :06:36. | |
we should get a good sense of what that means in practice - | :06:37. | :06:39. | |
when plans to bring down the cost of housing and protect renters | :06:40. | :06:42. | |
are published in the Government's new white paper. | :06:43. | :06:43. | |
Theresa May has promised she'll kick off Brexit negotiations with the EU | :06:44. | :06:46. | |
by the end of March, and after months of shadow-boxing | :06:47. | :06:49. | |
Ellie Price reports on the battle to come over the UK's Brexit bill, | :06:50. | :06:53. | |
and the likely costs and savings once we've left. | :06:54. | :06:55. | |
It was the figure that defined the EU referendum campaign. | :06:56. | :06:57. | |
It was also a figure that was fiercely disputed, but the promise - | :06:58. | :07:03. | |
vote leave and Britain won't have to pay into the EU are any more. | :07:04. | :07:07. | |
So, is that what's going to happen now? | :07:08. | :07:09. | |
The trouble with buses is you tend to have to wait for them | :07:10. | :07:12. | |
and when Theresa May triggers Article 50, the clock starts | :07:13. | :07:14. | |
She needs something quicker, something more sporty. | :07:15. | :07:19. | |
According to the most recent Treasury figures, | :07:20. | :07:25. | |
Britain's gross contribution to the EU, after the rebate | :07:26. | :07:27. | |
is taken into account, is about ?14 billion a year. | :07:28. | :07:30. | |
There are some complicating factors that means it can go up | :07:31. | :07:36. | |
or down year on year, but that's roughly how much the UK | :07:37. | :07:38. | |
will no longer sending to Brussels post-Brexit. | :07:39. | :07:40. | |
But, there are other payments that Britain will have to shell out for. | :07:41. | :07:44. | |
First and foremost, the so-called divorce settlement. | :07:45. | :07:47. | |
It is being said, and openly by Commissioner Barnier | :07:48. | :07:53. | |
and others in the Commission, that the total financial liability | :07:54. | :07:57. | |
as they see it might be in the order of 40-60 billion | :07:58. | :07:59. | |
The BBC understands the figure EU negotiators are likely | :08:00. | :08:05. | |
to settle on is far lower, around 34 billion euros, | :08:06. | :08:10. | |
but what does the money they are going to argue | :08:11. | :08:12. | |
Well, that's how much Britain owes for stuff in the EU budget that's | :08:13. | :08:18. | |
already signed up for until 2020, one year after we are | :08:19. | :08:21. | |
Historically, Britain pays 12% in contributions, | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
so the cost to the UK is likely to be between ten | :08:27. | :08:29. | |
Then they will look at the 200-250 billion euros of underfunded | :08:30. | :08:37. | |
spending commitments, the so-called RAL. | :08:38. | :08:38. | |
Britain could also be liable for around 5-7 billion euros | :08:39. | :08:46. | |
for its share in the pensions bill for EU staff, that's again | :08:47. | :08:51. | |
12% of an overall bill of 50-60 billion. | :08:52. | :08:53. | |
Finally there's a share of our assets held by the EU. | :08:54. | :08:56. | |
They include things like this building, the European Commission | :08:57. | :09:00. | |
Britain could argue it deserves a share back of around 18 billion | :09:01. | :09:08. | |
euros from a portfolio that's said to be worth 153 billion euros. | :09:09. | :09:11. | |
So, lots for the two sides to discuss in two years of talks. | :09:12. | :09:14. | |
They have a great opportunity with the Article 50 talks | :09:15. | :09:16. | |
because actually they can hold us to ransom. | :09:17. | :09:21. | |
They can say, "You figure out money, we will talk about your trade. | :09:22. | :09:24. | |
But until you've figured out the money, we won't," so I think | :09:25. | :09:27. | |
a lot of European states think they are in a very strong | :09:28. | :09:30. | |
negotiating position at the moment and they intend to make | :09:31. | :09:32. | |
The principle is clear, the days of Britain making vast | :09:33. | :09:38. | |
contributions to the European Union every year will end. | :09:39. | :09:43. | |
Theresa May has already indicated that she would want to sign back up | :09:44. | :09:47. | |
to a number of EU agencies on a program-by-program basis. | :09:48. | :09:53. | |
The Europol for example, that's the European crime | :09:54. | :09:55. | |
agency, or Erasmus Plus, which wants student exchanges. | :09:56. | :10:00. | |
If everything stays the same as it is now, it would cost the UK | :10:01. | :10:03. | |
675 million euros a year, based on analysis by | :10:04. | :10:06. | |
But there are likely to be agencies we don't choose to participate in. | :10:07. | :10:14. | |
If we only opted back to those dealing with security, | :10:15. | :10:24. | |
trade, universities and, say, climate change, | :10:25. | :10:25. | |
it could come with a price tag of 370 million euros per year. | :10:26. | :10:29. | |
Of course that's if our European neighbours allow us. | :10:30. | :10:31. | |
I wonder if they're going to let me in! | :10:32. | :10:33. | |
There will also be a cost to creating a new system to resolve | :10:34. | :10:36. | |
trade disputes with other nations once we are no longer part | :10:37. | :10:39. | |
Take the EFTA Court which rules on disputes | :10:40. | :10:44. | |
between the EU and Norway, Iceland and Lichtenstein. | :10:45. | :10:46. | |
That costs 4 million euros to run each year, | :10:47. | :10:51. | |
though in the Brexit White Paper published this week, | :10:52. | :10:54. | |
the Government said it will not be constrained by precedent | :10:55. | :10:56. | |
Finally, would the EU get behind the idea of Britain making some | :10:57. | :11:01. | |
contribution for some preferential access to its market? | :11:02. | :11:08. | |
The sort of thing that Theresa May seems to be hinting | :11:09. | :11:10. | |
at are sectoral arrangements, some kind of partial membership | :11:11. | :11:12. | |
Switzerland, which has a far less wide-ranging deal than Norway, | :11:13. | :11:20. | |
pays about 320 million a year for what it gets into the EU budget, | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
but it's not exactly the Swiss deal that we're after. | :11:25. | :11:26. | |
The EU institutions hate the Swiss deal because it is codified | :11:27. | :11:29. | |
in a huge number of treaties that are messy, complicated | :11:30. | :11:31. | |
and cumbersome, and they really don't want to replicate | :11:32. | :11:33. | |
Theresa May has been at pains to insist she's in the driving seat | :11:34. | :11:40. | |
when it comes to these negotiations, and that she's | :11:41. | :11:42. | |
But with so much money up for discussion, it may not be such | :11:43. | :11:52. | |
Sadly she didn't get to keep the car! | :11:53. | :12:09. | |
And I've been joined to discuss the Brexit balance sheet | :12:10. | :12:12. | |
by the director of the Centre for European Reform, Charles Grant, | :12:13. | :12:14. | |
and by Henry Newman who runs the think tank Open Europe. | :12:15. | :12:17. | |
Henry Newman, these figures that are being thrown about in Brussels at | :12:18. | :12:25. | |
the moment, and exit bill of 40-60,000,000,000. What do you make | :12:26. | :12:29. | |
of them? I think it is an opening gambit from the institutions and we | :12:30. | :12:31. | |
should take them seriously. We listened to Mr Rogers, the former | :12:32. | :12:38. | |
ambassador to Brussels in the House of Commons last week, speaking about | :12:39. | :12:41. | |
the sort of positions the EU is likely to take in the negotiation. I | :12:42. | :12:46. | |
personally think the Prime Minister should be more concerned about | :12:47. | :12:50. | |
getting the right sort of trade arrangements, subsequent to our | :12:51. | :12:52. | |
departure, than worrying about the exact detail of the divorce | :12:53. | :12:57. | |
settlement and the Bill. They might not let them go on to trade until | :12:58. | :13:01. | |
they resolve this matter. Where does the Brexit bill, the cost of exit, | :13:02. | :13:06. | |
if there is to be one, in terms of a sum of money, where does that come | :13:07. | :13:11. | |
in the negotiations, upfront or at the end? The European Commission has | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
a firm line on this. You have to talk about the Brexit bill and the | :13:16. | :13:20. | |
divorce settlement before you talk about the future relationship. | :13:21. | :13:22. | |
Therefore they are saying if you don't sign up for 60 billion or | :13:23. | :13:27. | |
thereabouts, we won't talk about the future. Other member states take a | :13:28. | :13:30. | |
softer line than that and think you probably have to talk about the | :13:31. | :13:33. | |
divorce settlement and Brexit bill as the same -- at the same time as | :13:34. | :13:39. | |
the economic situation. If you can do both at the same time, the | :13:40. | :13:43. | |
atmosphere may be better natured. You have spoken to people in | :13:44. | :13:48. | |
Brussels and are part of a think tank, how Revista gives the figure | :13:49. | :13:55. | |
or is it an opening gambit? Most member states and EU institutions | :13:56. | :13:59. | |
believe they think it is the true figure but when the negotiations | :14:00. | :14:01. | |
start adding the number will come down. As long as the British are | :14:02. | :14:04. | |
prepared to sign up to the principle of we owe you a bit of money, as the | :14:05. | :14:11. | |
cheque, then people will compromise. What is the ballpark? You had a | :14:12. | :14:16. | |
figure of 34 billion, that is news to me, nobody knows because | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
negotiations haven't started but I think something lower than 60. Even | :14:21. | :14:25. | |
60 would be politically toxic for a British government? I think Theresa | :14:26. | :14:30. | |
May is in a strong position, she has united the Conservative Party. You | :14:31. | :14:33. | |
could expect coming into this year all the Conservative divisions would | :14:34. | :14:38. | |
be laid bare by Gina Miller. But she is leading a united party. Labour | :14:39. | :14:45. | |
Party are divided... Coogee get away with paying 30 billion? We should | :14:46. | :14:50. | |
give her the benefit of the doubt going into these negotiations, let | :14:51. | :14:53. | |
her keep her cards close to her chest. The speech he gave a few | :14:54. | :14:57. | |
weeks ago at Lancaster House, our judgment was she laid out as much | :14:58. | :15:00. | |
detail as we could have expected at that point. I don't think it's | :15:01. | :15:05. | |
helpful for us now to say, we shouldn't be introducing further red | :15:06. | :15:09. | |
line. I want you to be helpful and find things out. I would suggest if | :15:10. | :15:14. | |
there is a bill, let's say it's 30 billion, let's make it half of what | :15:15. | :15:18. | |
the current claims coming out of Brussels. And of course it won't | :15:19. | :15:21. | |
have to be paid in one year, I assume it's not one cheque but | :15:22. | :15:26. | |
spread over. But we will wait a long time for that 350 million a week or | :15:27. | :15:29. | |
what ever it was that was meant to come from Brussels to spend on the | :15:30. | :15:35. | |
NHS. That's not going to happen for the next five, six or seven years. | :15:36. | :15:41. | |
Everyone has been clear there will be a phased exit programme. The | :15:42. | :15:47. | |
question of whether something is political possible for her in terms | :15:48. | :15:50. | |
of the divorce settlement will depend on what she gets from the | :15:51. | :15:53. | |
European Union in those negotiations. If she ends up | :15:54. | :15:59. | |
settling for a bill of about 30 billion which I think would be | :16:00. | :16:03. | |
politically... No matter how popular she is, politically very difficult | :16:04. | :16:08. | |
for her, it does kill any idea there is a Brexit dividend for Britain. | :16:09. | :16:13. | |
Some of the senior officials in London and Brussels are worried this | :16:14. | :16:17. | |
issue could crash the talks because it may be possible for Theresa May | :16:18. | :16:21. | |
to accept a Brexit bill of 30 billion and if there is no deal and | :16:22. | :16:26. | |
will leave EU without a settlement, there is massive legal uncertainty. | :16:27. | :16:33. | |
What contract law applies? Can our planes take off from Heathrow? | :16:34. | :16:36. | |
Nobody knows what legal rights there are for an EU citizen living here | :16:37. | :16:42. | |
and vice versa. If there is no deal at the end of two years, it is quite | :16:43. | :16:48. | |
bad for the European economy, therefore they think they have all | :16:49. | :16:53. | |
the cards to play and they think if it is mishandled domestically in | :16:54. | :16:56. | |
Britain than we have a crash. But there will be competing interests in | :16:57. | :17:02. | |
Europe, the Baltic states, Eastern Europe, maybe quite similar of the | :17:03. | :17:06. | |
Nordic states, that in turn different from the French, Germans | :17:07. | :17:11. | |
or Italians. How will Europe come to a common view on these things? At | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
the moment they are quite united backing a strong line, except for | :17:17. | :17:24. | |
the polls and Hungarians who are the bad boys of Europe and the Irish who | :17:25. | :17:30. | |
will do anything to keep us happy. We should remember their priority is | :17:31. | :17:34. | |
not economics, they are not thinking how can they maximise trade with the | :17:35. | :17:39. | |
UK, they are under threat. The combination of Trump and Brexit | :17:40. | :17:43. | |
scares them. They want to keep the institutions strong. They also want | :17:44. | :17:50. | |
to keep Britain. That is the one strong card we have, contributing to | :17:51. | :17:54. | |
security. We know we won't be members of the single market, that | :17:55. | :17:59. | |
was in the White Paper. The situation of the customs union is | :18:00. | :18:04. | |
more complicated I would suggest. Does that have cost? If we can be a | :18:05. | :18:10. | |
little bit pregnant in the customs union, does that come with a price | :18:11. | :18:16. | |
ticket? We have got some clarity on the customs union, the Prime | :18:17. | :18:21. | |
Minister said we would not be part of the... We would be able to do our | :18:22. | :18:25. | |
own trade deals outside the EU customs union, and also not be part | :18:26. | :18:29. | |
of the common external tariff. She said she is willing to look at other | :18:30. | :18:33. | |
options and we don't know what that will be so as a think tank we are | :18:34. | :18:37. | |
looking at this over the next few weeks and coming up with | :18:38. | :18:40. | |
recommendations for the Government and looking at how existing | :18:41. | :18:43. | |
boundaries between the EU customs union and other states work in | :18:44. | :18:48. | |
practice. For example between Switzerland and the EU border, | :18:49. | :18:52. | |
Norway and Switzerland, and the UK and Canada. We will want is a | :18:53. | :18:57. | |
country the freedom to do our own free trade deals, that seems to be | :18:58. | :19:04. | |
quite high up there, and to change our external tariffs to the rest of | :19:05. | :19:09. | |
the world. If that's the case, we do seem to be wanting our cake and | :19:10. | :19:14. | |
eating it in the customs union. Talking to some people in London, it | :19:15. | :19:18. | |
is quite clear we are leaving the essentials of the customs union, the | :19:19. | :19:23. | |
tariff, so even if we can minimise controls at the border by having | :19:24. | :19:28. | |
mutual recognition agreements, so we recognise each other's standards, | :19:29. | :19:31. | |
but there will still have to be checks for things like rules of | :19:32. | :19:36. | |
origin and tariffs if tariffs apply, which is a problem for the Irish | :19:37. | :19:40. | |
because nobody has worked out how you can avoid having some sort of | :19:41. | :19:43. | |
customs control on the border between Northern Ireland and the | :19:44. | :19:47. | |
South once we are out of the customs union. I think it's important we | :19:48. | :19:51. | |
don't look at this too much as one side has to win and one side has to | :19:52. | :19:57. | |
lose scenario. We can find ways. My Broadview is what we get out of the | :19:58. | :20:01. | |
negotiation will depend on politics more than economic reality. Economic | :20:02. | :20:03. | |
reality is strong, there's a good case for a trade deal on the | :20:04. | :20:21. | |
solution on the customs deal, but Britain will need to come up with a | :20:22. | :20:23. | |
positive case for our relationship and keep making that case. If it | :20:24. | :20:26. | |
turns out the Government thinks the bill is too high, that we can't | :20:27. | :20:29. | |
really get the free trade deal done in time and it's left hanging in the | :20:30. | :20:32. | |
wind, what are the chances, how I as things stand now that we end up | :20:33. | :20:35. | |
crashing out? I'd say there's a 30% chance that we don't get the free | :20:36. | :20:39. | |
trade agreement at the end of it that Mrs May is aiming for. The very | :20:40. | :20:45. | |
hard crash is you don't even do an Article 50 divorce settlement from | :20:46. | :20:49. | |
you go straight to World Trade Organisation rules. The less hard | :20:50. | :20:54. | |
crash is doing the divorce settlement and transitional | :20:55. | :20:57. | |
arrangements would require European Court of Justice arrangements. We | :20:58. | :21:03. | |
will leave it there. Thank you, both. | :21:04. | :21:04. | |
Donald Trump's flagship policy of extreme vetting of immigrants | :21:05. | :21:06. | |
and a temporary travel ban for citizens of seven mainly-muslim | :21:07. | :21:09. | |
countries was stopped in its tracks this weekend. | :21:10. | :21:11. | |
On Friday a judge ruled the ban should be lifted and that it | :21:12. | :21:14. | |
That prompted President Trump to fire off a series of tweets | :21:15. | :21:19. | |
criticising what he says was a terrible decision | :21:20. | :21:21. | |
by a so-called judge, as he ordered the State Department | :21:22. | :21:24. | |
Now the federal appeals court has rejected his request to reinstate | :21:25. | :21:31. | |
the ban until it hears the case in full. | :21:32. | :21:43. | |
Well yesterday I spoke to Sebastian Gorka, Deputy Assistant | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
I asked him if the confusion over the travel ban | :21:48. | :21:51. | |
was a sign that the President's two-week-old administration | :21:52. | :21:53. | |
There is no chaos, you really shouldn't believe the spin, the | :21:54. | :22:06. | |
facts speak for themselves. 109 people on Saturday were mildly | :22:07. | :22:11. | |
inconvenienced by having their entry into the United States delayed out | :22:12. | :22:18. | |
of 325,000. So let's not get carried away with the left-wing media bias | :22:19. | :22:27. | |
and spin. Hold on, 60,000 - 90,000 people with visas, their visas are | :22:28. | :22:31. | |
no longer valid. That's another issue. You need to listen to what | :22:32. | :22:35. | |
I'm saying. The people who entered on the day of the executive order | :22:36. | :22:41. | |
being implemented worth 109 people out of 325. Whether people won't | :22:42. | :22:48. | |
travelling to America were affected is another matter, so there is no | :22:49. | :22:57. | |
chaos to comment on. Following Iran's latest missile tests, | :22:58. | :23:02. | |
National Security adviser Flint said the US was "Putting Iran on notice", | :23:03. | :23:07. | |
what does that mean? It means we have a new president and we are not | :23:08. | :23:10. | |
going to facilitate the rise of one of the most dangerous nations in the | :23:11. | :23:16. | |
world. We are jettisoning this naive and dangerous policy of the Obama | :23:17. | :23:25. | |
Administration to try and make the Shi'ite dictatorial democracy some | :23:26. | :23:28. | |
kind of counter balance to extremist Sunni groups in the region and that | :23:29. | :23:32. | |
they cannot continue to behave in the way they have behaved for the | :23:33. | :23:37. | |
last 30 years. It is a very simple message. So are there any | :23:38. | :23:43. | |
multilateral alliances that Mr Trump would like to strengthen? | :23:44. | :23:49. | |
Absolutely. If we are looking at the region, if you listen to what | :23:50. | :23:52. | |
President Trump has said and specifically to also the speeches of | :23:53. | :23:57. | |
general Flint, his national security adviser, we are incredibly vested in | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
seeing our Sunni allies in the region come together in a real | :24:03. | :24:09. | |
coalition. The so-called vaunted 66 nation coalition that was created | :24:10. | :24:15. | |
under the Obama administration... There was no coalition. But we want | :24:16. | :24:19. | |
to help our Sunni allies, especially the Egyptians, the Jordanians, come | :24:20. | :24:27. | |
together in a real partnership to take the fight to ISIS and groups | :24:28. | :24:33. | |
like Al-Qaeda. But there is not a formal multilateral alliance with | :24:34. | :24:38. | |
these countries. Which of the existing, formal multilateral | :24:39. | :24:43. | |
alliances does Mr Trump wants to strengthen? If you are specifically | :24:44. | :24:47. | |
talking about Nato, it is clear that we are committed to Nato but we wish | :24:48. | :24:52. | |
to see a more equitable burden sharing among the nations that are | :24:53. | :24:55. | |
simply not spending enough on their own defence so the gentleman 's | :24:56. | :25:00. | |
agreement of 2% of GDP has to be stuck to, unlike the, I think it's | :25:01. | :25:03. | |
only Six Nations that reach the standard today out of almost 30. So | :25:04. | :25:08. | |
he does want to strengthen Nato then? Absolutely, he believes Nato | :25:09. | :25:20. | |
is the most successful military alliances. You mustn't believe the | :25:21. | :25:26. | |
spin and hype. EU leaders now see the Trump administration as a threat | :25:27. | :25:30. | |
up there with Russia, China, terrorism. What's your response to | :25:31. | :25:36. | |
that? I have to laugh. The idea that the nation that came to the | :25:37. | :25:42. | |
salvation of Europe twice in the 20th century hummer in World War I | :25:43. | :25:49. | |
and World War II, was central to the defeat of the totalitarian... It is | :25:50. | :26:00. | |
not even worth commenting on. Would it matter to the Trump | :26:01. | :26:04. | |
administration if the European Union broke up? The United States is very | :26:05. | :26:07. | |
interested in the best relations possible with all the nations of the | :26:08. | :26:15. | |
EU am a whether the European union wishes to stay together or not is up | :26:16. | :26:20. | |
to the nations of the European Union. I understand that but I was | :26:21. | :26:26. | |
wondering what the US view would be. Until Mr Trump, EU foreign policy | :26:27. | :26:30. | |
was quite consistent in wanting to see the EU survive, prosper and even | :26:31. | :26:34. | |
become more integrated. Now that doesn't seem to be the case, so | :26:35. | :26:39. | |
would it matter to the Trump administration if the EU broke up? I | :26:40. | :26:44. | |
will say yet again, it is in the interests of the United States to | :26:45. | :26:47. | |
have the best relations possible with our European allies, and | :26:48. | :26:51. | |
whether that is in the formation of the EU or if the EU by itself | :26:52. | :26:56. | |
suffers some kind of internal issues, that's up to the European | :26:57. | :27:00. | |
nations and not something we will comment on. Listening to that | :27:01. | :27:05. | |
answer, it would seem as if this particular president's preference is | :27:06. | :27:09. | |
to deal with individual nation states rather than multilateral | :27:10. | :27:15. | |
institutions. Is that fair? I don't think so. There's never been an | :27:16. | :27:22. | |
unequivocal statement by that effect by the statement. Does he share the | :27:23. | :27:26. | |
opinion of Stephen Bannon that the 21st century should see a return to | :27:27. | :27:31. | |
nation states rather than growing existing multilateral ways? I think | :27:32. | :27:37. | |
it is fair to say that we have problems with political elites that | :27:38. | :27:40. | |
don't take the interests of the populations they represent into | :27:41. | :27:45. | |
account. That's why Brexit happened. I think that's why Mr Trump became | :27:46. | :27:51. | |
President Trump. This is the connected phenomena. You are | :27:52. | :27:55. | |
obsessing about institutions, it is not about institutions, it's about | :27:56. | :27:59. | |
the health of democracy and whether political elites do what is in the | :28:00. | :28:04. | |
interests of the people they represent. Given the | :28:05. | :28:06. | |
unpredictability of the new president, you never really know | :28:07. | :28:10. | |
what he's going to do next, would it be wise for the British Prime | :28:11. | :28:14. | |
Minister to hitch her wagon to his star? This is really churlish | :28:15. | :28:22. | |
questioning. Come on, you don't know what he's going to do next, listen | :28:23. | :28:25. | |
to what he says because he does what he's going to say. I know this may | :28:26. | :28:31. | |
be shocking to some reporters, but look at his campaign promises, and | :28:32. | :28:35. | |
the fact that in the last 15 days we have executed every single one that | :28:36. | :28:41. | |
we could in the time permissible so there is nothing unpredictable about | :28:42. | :28:45. | |
Donald Trump as president. OK then, if we do know what he's going to do | :28:46. | :28:52. | |
next, what is he going to do next? Continue to make good on his | :28:53. | :28:56. | |
election promises, to make America great again, to make the economy are | :28:57. | :29:02. | |
flourishing economy, and most important of all from your | :29:03. | :29:07. | |
perspective in the UK, to be the best friend possible to our friends | :29:08. | :29:11. | |
and the worst enemy to our enemies. It is an old Marine Corps phrase and | :29:12. | :29:17. | |
we tend to live by it. Thank you for your time, we will leave it there. | :29:18. | :29:24. | |
Doctor Gorka, making it clear this administration won't spend political | :29:25. | :29:31. | |
capital on trying to keep the European Union together, a watershed | :29:32. | :29:33. | |
change in American foreign policy. Theresa May has made a big deal out | :29:34. | :29:35. | |
of her commitment to help people on middle incomes who are "just | :29:36. | :29:38. | |
about managing", and early this week we should get a good sense | :29:39. | :29:41. | |
of what that means in practice - when plans to bring down the cost | :29:42. | :29:44. | |
of housing and protect renters are published in the Government's | :29:45. | :29:47. | |
new white paper. The paper is expected to introduce | :29:48. | :29:49. | |
new rules on building Communities Secretary Sajid Javid | :29:50. | :29:52. | |
has previously said politicians should not stand in the way | :29:53. | :29:58. | |
of development, provided all options Also rumoured are new measures | :29:59. | :30:00. | |
to speed up building the 1 million new homes the Government promised | :30:01. | :30:05. | |
to build by 2020, including imposing five-year quotas | :30:06. | :30:07. | |
on reluctant councils. Reports suggest there will be | :30:08. | :30:11. | |
relaxation of building height restrictions, | :30:12. | :30:13. | |
allowing home owners and developers to build to the height | :30:14. | :30:15. | |
of the tallest building on the block without needing to seek | :30:16. | :30:17. | |
planning permission. Other elements trialled include | :30:18. | :30:24. | |
new measures to stop developers sitting on parcels of land | :30:25. | :30:27. | |
without building homes, land banking, and moving railway | :30:28. | :30:29. | |
station car parks Underground, The Government today said it | :30:30. | :30:31. | |
will amend planning rules so more homes can be built specifically | :30:32. | :30:40. | |
to be rented out through longer term tenancies, to provide more stability | :30:41. | :30:43. | |
for young families, alongside its proposed ban | :30:44. | :30:45. | |
on letting agent fees. And the Housing Minister, | :30:46. | :30:52. | |
Gavin Barwell, joins me now. Welcome to the programme. Home | :30:53. | :31:02. | |
ownership is now beyond the reach of most young people. You are now | :31:03. | :31:05. | |
emphasising affordable homes for rent. Why have you given up on the | :31:06. | :31:10. | |
Tory dream of a property owning democracy? We haven't given up on | :31:11. | :31:13. | |
that. The decline on home ownership in this country started in 2004. So | :31:14. | :31:18. | |
far we have stopped that decline, we haven't reversed it but we | :31:19. | :31:21. | |
absolutely want to make sure that people who want to own and can do | :31:22. | :31:27. | |
so. The Prime Minister was very clear a country that works for | :31:28. | :31:29. | |
everyone. That means we have to have say something to say to those who | :31:30. | :31:33. | |
want to rent as well as on. Home ownership of young people is 35%, | :31:34. | :31:38. | |
used to be 60%. Are you telling me during the lifetime of this | :31:39. | :31:42. | |
government that is going to rise? We want to reverse the decline. We have | :31:43. | :31:47. | |
stabilised it. The decline started in 2004 under Labour. They weren't | :31:48. | :31:51. | |
bothered about it. We have taken action and that has stop the | :31:52. | :31:56. | |
decline... What about the rise? We have to make sure people work hard | :31:57. | :32:00. | |
the right thing have the chance to own their home on home. We have | :32:01. | :32:03. | |
helped people through help to buy, shared ownership, that is part of | :32:04. | :32:08. | |
it, but we have to have something to say to those who want to rent. You | :32:09. | :32:12. | |
say you want more rented homes so why did you introduce a 3% | :32:13. | :32:18. | |
additional stamp duty levied to pay those investing in build to rent | :32:19. | :32:22. | |
properties? That was basically to try and stop a lot of the | :32:23. | :32:26. | |
speculation in the buy to let market. The Bank of England raised | :32:27. | :32:29. | |
concerns about that. When you see the white paper, you will see there | :32:30. | :32:34. | |
is a package of measures for Bill to rent, trying to get institutional | :32:35. | :32:41. | |
investment for that, different to people going and buying a home on | :32:42. | :32:45. | |
the private market and renting out. You are trying to get institutional | :32:46. | :32:49. | |
money to comment, just as this government and subsequent ones | :32:50. | :32:52. | |
before said it would get pension fund money to invest in | :32:53. | :32:55. | |
infrastructure and it never happened. Why should this happen? Is | :32:56. | :33:00. | |
already starting to happen. If you go around the country you can see | :33:01. | :33:03. | |
some of these builder rent scheme is happening. There are changes in the | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
White Paper... How much money from institutions is going into bill to | :33:08. | :33:18. | |
rent modular hundreds of millions. I was at the stock exchange the other | :33:19. | :33:20. | |
day celebrating the launch of one of our bombs designed to get this money | :33:21. | :33:23. | |
on. There are schemes being... There is huge potential to expand it. We | :33:24. | :33:26. | |
need more homes and we are too dependent on a small number of large | :33:27. | :33:29. | |
developers. -- to launch one of our bonds. You talk about affordable | :33:30. | :33:36. | |
renting, what is affordable? Defined as something that is at least 20% | :33:37. | :33:42. | |
below the market price. It will vary around the country. Let me put it | :33:43. | :33:46. | |
another way. The average couple renting now have to spend 50% of | :33:47. | :33:50. | |
their income on rent. Is that affordable? That is exactly what | :33:51. | :33:54. | |
we're trying to do something about. Whether you're trying to buy or | :33:55. | :33:57. | |
rent, housing in this country has become less and less affordable | :33:58. | :34:01. | |
because the 30-40 years governments haven't built in times. This white | :34:02. | :34:05. | |
Paper is trying to do something about that. You have been in power | :34:06. | :34:09. | |
six, almost seven years. That's right. Why are ownership of new | :34:10. | :34:17. | |
homes to 24 year low? It was a low figure because it's a new five-year | :34:18. | :34:20. | |
programme. That is not a great excuse. It's not an excuse at all. | :34:21. | :34:25. | |
The way these things work, you have a five-year programme and in the | :34:26. | :34:28. | |
last year you have a record number of delivery and when you start a new | :34:29. | :34:31. | |
programme, a lower level. If you look at the average over six years, | :34:32. | :34:35. | |
this government has built more affordable housing than the previous | :34:36. | :34:41. | |
one. Stiletto 24 year loss, that is an embarrassment. Yes. We have the | :34:42. | :34:47. | |
figures, last year was 32,000, the year before 60 6000. You get this | :34:48. | :34:50. | |
cliff edge effect. It is embarrassing and we want to stop it | :34:51. | :34:56. | |
happening in the future. You want to give tenants more secure and longer | :34:57. | :35:00. | |
leases which rent rises are predictable in advance. Ed Miliband | :35:01. | :35:06. | |
promoted three-year tenancies in the 2015 general election campaign and | :35:07. | :35:10. | |
George Osborne said it was totally economically illiterate. What's | :35:11. | :35:15. | |
changed? You are merging control of the rents people in charge, which | :35:16. | :35:20. | |
we're not imposing. We want longer term tenancies. Most people have | :35:21. | :35:24. | |
six-month tenancies... Within that there would be a control on how much | :35:25. | :35:29. | |
the rent could go up? Right? It would be set for the period of the | :35:30. | :35:33. | |
tenancies. That's what I just said, that's what Ed Miliband proposed. Ed | :35:34. | :35:37. | |
Miliband proposed regulating it for the whole sector. One of the reasons | :35:38. | :35:42. | |
institutional investment is so attractive, if you had a spare home | :35:43. | :35:46. | |
and you want to rent out, you might need it any year, so you give it a | :35:47. | :35:51. | |
short tenancy. If you have a block, they are interested in a long-term | :35:52. | :35:56. | |
return and give families more security. You have set a target, | :35:57. | :36:03. | |
your government, to build in the life of this parliament 1 million | :36:04. | :36:06. | |
new homes in England by 2020. You're not going to make that? I think we | :36:07. | :36:14. | |
are. If you look at 2015-16 we had 190,000 additional homes of this | :36:15. | :36:17. | |
country. Just below the level we need to achieve. Over five... | :36:18. | :36:25. | |
2015-16. You were probably looking at the new homes built. Talking | :36:26. | :36:31. | |
about completions in England. That is not the best measure, with | :36:32. | :36:34. | |
respect. You said you will complete 1 million homes by 2020 so what is | :36:35. | :36:40. | |
wrong with it? We use a national statistic which looks at new homes | :36:41. | :36:44. | |
built and conversions and changes of use minus demolitions. The total | :36:45. | :36:46. | |
change of the housing stock over that year. On that basis I have the | :36:47. | :36:53. | |
figures here. I have the figures. You looking I just completed. 1 | :36:54. | :36:57. | |
million new homes, the average rate of those built in the last three | :36:58. | :37:02. | |
quarters was 30 6000. You have 14 more quarters to get to the 1 | :37:03. | :37:07. | |
million. You have to raise that to 50 6000. I put it to you, you won't | :37:08. | :37:11. | |
do it. You're not looking at the full picture of new housing in this | :37:12. | :37:16. | |
country. You're looking at brand-new homes and not including conversions | :37:17. | :37:20. | |
or changes of use are not taking off, which we should, demolitions. | :37:21. | :37:25. | |
If you look at the National statistic net additions, in 2015-16, | :37:26. | :37:31. | |
100 and 90,000 new homes. We are behind schedule. -- 190,000. I am | :37:32. | :37:36. | |
confident with the measures in the White Paper we can achieve that. It | :37:37. | :37:40. | |
is not just about the national total, we need to build these homes | :37:41. | :37:44. | |
are the right places. Will the green belt remain sacrosanct after the | :37:45. | :37:50. | |
white paper? Not proposing to change the existing protections that there | :37:51. | :37:54. | |
for green belts. What planning policy says is councils can remove | :37:55. | :37:58. | |
land from green belts but only in exceptional circumstances and should | :37:59. | :38:00. | |
look at at all the circumstances before doing that. No change? No. We | :38:01. | :38:07. | |
have a manifesto commitment. You still think you will get 1 million | :38:08. | :38:13. | |
homes? The green belt is only 15%. This idea we can only fix our broken | :38:14. | :38:17. | |
housing market by taking huge swathes of land out of the green | :38:18. | :38:20. | |
belt is not true. We will leave it there, thank you for joining us, | :38:21. | :38:23. | |
Gavin Barwell. It is coming up to 11.40. | :38:24. | :38:25. | |
We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now | :38:26. | :38:27. | |
Coming up here in 20 minutes, the Week Ahead... | :38:28. | :38:36. | |
We have a new twist today, in the debate about executive pay. | :38:37. | :38:46. | |
What will the Metro Mayor of the West Midlands really be worth? | :38:47. | :38:49. | |
It's a big job with, potentially, a big salary to match. | :38:50. | :38:52. | |
But he or she will be a public servant, so perhaps they should get | :38:53. | :38:55. | |
by with a significantly less generous deal. | :38:56. | :38:58. | |
Well, that's our talking point here today. | :38:59. | :39:00. | |
Anthea McIntyre is one of our Conservative MEPs. | :39:01. | :39:04. | |
And Khalid Mahmood is the Labour MP for Birmingham Perry Barr. | :39:05. | :39:08. | |
And we'll also be talking, a little later, about the repercussions here, | :39:09. | :39:16. | |
of Donald Trump's first two weeks in power. | :39:17. | :39:20. | |
Let's begin, though, with those Labour divisions over Brexit. | :39:21. | :39:23. | |
The Newcastle-under-Lyme MP, Paul Farrelly, defied | :39:24. | :39:27. | |
Jeremy Corbyn's three-line whip, to become the only MP from our part | :39:28. | :39:29. | |
of the country, to vote against the Government's Article 50 | :39:30. | :39:32. | |
bill, even though he has a majority of just 650, in a constituency | :39:33. | :39:35. | |
Well, in the Commons on Tuesday, Mr Farrelly explained his opposition | :39:36. | :39:44. | |
I'm not disrespecting, in opposing this bill, | :39:45. | :39:50. | |
I just think on this occasion that they are on. | :39:51. | :39:58. | |
-- I just think on this occasion that they are wrong. | :39:59. | :40:04. | |
I'm not failing to trust the people, I just is agree with some of them, | :40:05. | :40:08. | |
and I agree with the 48% who chose to remain. | :40:09. | :40:10. | |
But on the basis of their performance so far, what I don't | :40:11. | :40:14. | |
trust is this government to achieve the best for our country if we had | :40:15. | :40:17. | |
trust is this government to achieve the best for our country if we hand | :40:18. | :40:21. | |
them that blank cheque of a bill. MAN: Hear, hear! | :40:22. | :40:23. | |
Paul Farrelly, who voted against the wishes of his party, | :40:24. | :40:26. | |
the Government, and most of his constituents, presumably, | :40:27. | :40:28. | |
just up the road from that key by-election in Stoke Central, | :40:29. | :40:30. | |
Khalid, is your fellow Labour backbencher sort of mad, | :40:31. | :40:34. | |
brave or a man of principle in your view? | :40:35. | :40:36. | |
Well, Paul has always done things that he believes is right and he's | :40:37. | :40:39. | |
taken this position quite strongly, and that's for him | :40:40. | :40:41. | |
We have a line on this that we allow, we don't | :40:42. | :40:46. | |
There was a will of the people in the referendum, we have | :40:47. | :40:50. | |
to respect that, but we want to hold the government to account | :40:51. | :40:55. | |
and we'll follow the progress through and we'll see what happens. | :40:56. | :40:57. | |
As you know, there's an old adage in politics, | :40:58. | :40:59. | |
"the electorate is always right", and he sounded to sort | :41:00. | :41:02. | |
of reinforced that stereotype that some people have, | :41:03. | :41:04. | |
that the liberal left simply cannot come to terms that, | :41:05. | :41:06. | |
on this occasion too, yes, the electorate may be right? | :41:07. | :41:11. | |
Well, no, I think what he has done, he has the principal | :41:12. | :41:14. | |
point that he's taken on, a lot of members - | :41:15. | :41:16. | |
whose constituencies are in London were overwhelmingly Remain - | :41:17. | :41:19. | |
have decided to take that option as well, so I think, | :41:20. | :41:23. | |
whilst the party's line is quite clear, and those that have | :41:24. | :41:26. | |
broken the whip have to face the consequences... | :41:27. | :41:28. | |
47 divide, that is a major issue for the Labour Party | :41:29. | :41:30. | |
itself in Parliament? Well, no. | :41:31. | :41:32. | |
As Paul has done, there are people who feel very strong about it, | :41:33. | :41:37. | |
and that should be and will be taken into account. | :41:38. | :41:40. | |
Now, you of course, Anthea, a prominent Conservative MEP, so, | :41:41. | :41:43. | |
in a sense, I'm wondering whether you and your colleagues, | :41:44. | :41:47. | |
MEPs, are sort of biting your lip, as you see your party at Westminster | :41:48. | :41:52. | |
I mean, at heart, we're complete Democrats, and I'm very pleased | :41:53. | :41:58. | |
that there was an overwhelming majority for the triggering | :41:59. | :42:01. | |
of Article 50 through the Parliament this week, | :42:02. | :42:04. | |
um, and I certainly take issue with the MP for Newcastle, | :42:05. | :42:07. | |
who claims that he doesn't trust the government to see it through. | :42:08. | :42:14. | |
I absolutely think we've got the best person in Theresa May | :42:15. | :42:16. | |
to get the best possible deal for Brexit, | :42:17. | :42:19. | |
We've been talking about the Labour divisions, but as time goes by, | :42:20. | :42:25. | |
and the potential terms become clearer, the potential | :42:26. | :42:27. | |
divisions too within the Tory party starts to emerge | :42:28. | :42:30. | |
Well, we did have Ken Clarke vote against, but... | :42:31. | :42:33. | |
Just one. Just one. | :42:34. | :42:36. | |
I think our party is very united around our new Prime Minister, | :42:37. | :42:41. | |
and we trust her and her ability to get as a good deal. | :42:42. | :42:45. | |
We'll wait and see how that develops. | :42:46. | :42:48. | |
For the moment, thank you both very much indeed. | :42:49. | :42:51. | |
Right, well, less than three months now, until a new Metro Mayor | :42:52. | :42:54. | |
is elected to lead over three million Midlanders, | :42:55. | :42:56. | |
in the conurbation stretching from Wolverhampton through | :42:57. | :42:57. | |
It's clearly a very big job indeed, so should it be paid accordingly? | :42:58. | :43:02. | |
Or, as a public servant, should the Executive Mayor | :43:03. | :43:06. | |
take a significantly less generous salary? | :43:07. | :43:10. | |
Well, our Political Reporter Matthew Bone has | :43:11. | :43:13. | |
How much is a West Midlands Mayor worth? | :43:14. | :43:19. | |
To find out, we're taking our mayoral pay chart out on the road. | :43:20. | :43:22. | |
We're asking people to put their own suggestion down. | :43:23. | :43:30. | |
We've got examples to help them out, so 140,000 is what the Mayor | :43:31. | :43:33. | |
of London gets, 74,000 is what your average MP gets, | :43:34. | :43:36. | |
28,000's the average wage across the country, | :43:37. | :43:38. | |
and 14,500 is roughly the minimum wage, | :43:39. | :43:39. | |
so how much is the Mayor worth? First stop, Birmingham. | :43:40. | :43:42. | |
I think everybody would be horrified if you said ?1 million. | :43:43. | :43:44. | |
Ha! But... | :43:45. | :43:46. | |
Yeah, but I would think it would have to be well | :43:47. | :43:52. | |
They don't really need to live on a massive wage. | :43:53. | :43:55. | |
If they can live the ordinary, then they can understand all those | :43:56. | :43:59. | |
I'm going for average. Yeah. | :44:00. | :44:01. | |
Because I had a friend work for the... | :44:02. | :44:06. | |
For the council, but they are having to put their lives on the line. | :44:07. | :44:10. | |
The final decision on pay is still to be made, | :44:11. | :44:12. | |
but some mayoral hopefuls are already setting | :44:13. | :44:14. | |
What I'm proposing to do is to take the average salary | :44:15. | :44:17. | |
for the West Midlands, because I think, if you want | :44:18. | :44:20. | |
to represent people, you have to understand their lives | :44:21. | :44:22. | |
I'd be very honoured and privileged to perform | :44:23. | :44:26. | |
the role for ?30,000 a year, which is roughly the average | :44:27. | :44:28. | |
living wage in this country, so it's an honour and privilege. | :44:29. | :44:31. | |
You shouldn't be doing it for the money. | :44:32. | :44:33. | |
So some candidates say they'll be happy with the average wage. | :44:34. | :44:36. | |
You went for, um, 74,000, roughly the same as an MP. | :44:37. | :44:41. | |
Because, like I say, I think it's a fair price. | :44:42. | :44:46. | |
Average wage? Yeah. | :44:47. | :44:50. | |
And you think that's a fair price for a mayor? | :44:51. | :44:52. | |
I think it is fair, yeah, for what they do. | :44:53. | :44:55. | |
This idea of politicians giving themselves a pay cut isn't new. | :44:56. | :44:57. | |
Dave Nellist was an Labour MP for Coventry in the '80s, | :44:58. | :45:01. | |
and paid himself what he called a worker's wage. | :45:02. | :45:03. | |
Is this an example that the new Mayor should follow? | :45:04. | :45:06. | |
I don't buy the argument that you pay loads more | :45:07. | :45:08. | |
I happen to think an ambulance driver and paramedic saving one life | :45:09. | :45:14. | |
I don't see somebody sitting in an office making strategic | :45:15. | :45:22. | |
decisions as any more important than an ambulance driver. | :45:23. | :45:25. | |
So do people here in Coventry think their new Mayor should | :45:26. | :45:28. | |
receive an average wage, just like their old MP? | :45:29. | :45:31. | |
So sort of just above an MP, at 74, sort of 84 here? | :45:32. | :45:38. | |
28,000. The average wage? | :45:39. | :45:39. | |
Yeah. Why is that? | :45:40. | :45:40. | |
Because I don't think any one person deserves any more | :45:41. | :45:45. | |
I think, if we are all about equality, then we should | :45:46. | :45:50. | |
all be earning the same amount regardless of jobs. | :45:51. | :45:52. | |
And here at the results from around West Bromwich, | :45:53. | :45:54. | |
A lot of people did actually go for the average ?28,000 | :45:55. | :45:58. | |
for pay for the Mayor, but I think the most | :45:59. | :46:00. | |
were between 31,000 and 71,000, so, between an MP and a police officer, | :46:01. | :46:03. | |
and with a few people going for either extremes as well. | :46:04. | :46:06. | |
So that's our straw poll from the streets. | :46:07. | :46:08. | |
The final decision on pay will be made next month. | :46:09. | :46:14. | |
And the Labour candidate, Sion Simon, says he'll abide | :46:15. | :46:18. | |
by those pay recommendations due out next month. | :46:19. | :46:21. | |
And the Liberal Democrat, Beverley Nielsen, tells me the Mayor | :46:22. | :46:24. | |
should decide whether to draw a full salary or not. | :46:25. | :46:27. | |
Anthea, what do you think a mayor is worth? | :46:28. | :46:31. | |
Let's say by comparison with an MEP such as yourself, | :46:32. | :46:34. | |
Well, I rather believe in payment by results. | :46:35. | :46:40. | |
I come from a business background, as indeed does Andy Street, | :46:41. | :46:45. | |
having run John Lewis so successfully, | :46:46. | :46:48. | |
having run John Lewis so successfully, | :46:49. | :46:54. | |
So I think that we should have performance related pay, | :46:55. | :46:57. | |
and so that the Andy Street, after he's elected, would sit down | :46:58. | :47:01. | |
with the board of the authority and agree some performance targets, | :47:02. | :47:05. | |
and then we know that the people whose lives are going to be | :47:06. | :47:08. | |
affected, they will see that they get what they are paying | :47:09. | :47:11. | |
for and that the Mayor gets paid by what he delivers. | :47:12. | :47:16. | |
OK, what should be the out markers, if you like? | :47:17. | :47:19. | |
The high and the low limit of that and maybe the mean level? | :47:20. | :47:22. | |
I know, and I'm not prepared to give you a figure. | :47:23. | :47:27. | |
I think it has to be related to the sort of public | :47:28. | :47:30. | |
officials in the city, but I think the really | :47:31. | :47:34. | |
important thing is something that we could do completely fresh | :47:35. | :47:36. | |
and new for the West Midlands region is to say, "We pay by results," | :47:37. | :47:42. | |
but also hold our Mayor to our account. | :47:43. | :47:49. | |
OK, Beverly Nielsen, the Liberal Democrat candidate, | :47:50. | :47:53. | |
also said to me that public servants should never be among | :47:54. | :47:56. | |
the top paid people. Do you agree with that in principle? | :47:57. | :48:00. | |
I'd quite like to see what your view of the sort of proper | :48:01. | :48:03. | |
figure for a Labour, Tory, Lib Dem Mayor should be question? | :48:04. | :48:06. | |
figure for a Labour, Tory, Lib Dem Mayor should be? | :48:07. | :48:08. | |
Well, in principle, that is the case. | :48:09. | :48:10. | |
All the politicians' salaries are set by an independent panel. | :48:11. | :48:14. | |
They decide, in line with the responsibilities, | :48:15. | :48:15. | |
and particularly in line with civil servant pay that we get, | :48:16. | :48:18. | |
so it's in line with that that it is determined, | :48:19. | :48:20. | |
so it's difficult for us to put a figure on it. | :48:21. | :48:23. | |
Well, try, you must have a sort of instinctive feel for something. | :48:24. | :48:26. | |
You know, somewhere around what we get is reasonable, | :48:27. | :48:28. | |
probably slightly higher, because... Which is about 74-75,000. | :48:29. | :48:31. | |
..because it's a wider responsibility, but a far bigger | :48:32. | :48:34. | |
But what the Tory proposal and what Andy is proposing | :48:35. | :48:38. | |
is complete nonsense, because how | :48:39. | :48:39. | |
do you set these targets? How will you do them? | :48:40. | :48:42. | |
What happens in an election, we are elected for four years, | :48:43. | :48:46. | |
people set the targets, because, if you don't perform, | :48:47. | :48:48. | |
they kick you out and that's the best way to do it - | :48:49. | :48:51. | |
if you don't deliver, you get kicked out, simple as that. | :48:52. | :48:54. | |
It's the electorate, rather than the kind of performance? | :48:55. | :48:56. | |
In fact, it's going to be both, isn't it? | :48:57. | :49:00. | |
So that you could, for example, have targets around employment. | :49:01. | :49:03. | |
I mean, we're fortunate here in the West Midlands. | :49:04. | :49:06. | |
We've seen unemployment fall, the record employment, | :49:07. | :49:08. | |
It's important, if we're going to have a global Britain, | :49:09. | :49:12. | |
that we also have a global West Midlands, | :49:13. | :49:14. | |
So, if a major company comes in, and you get much more employment, | :49:15. | :49:20. | |
the Mayor, whoever he or she is, will then far exceed | :49:21. | :49:24. | |
any salaries than they should be getting in the first place, | :49:25. | :49:29. | |
so, because certain circumstances that happen in the region, like JLR | :49:30. | :49:34. | |
like JLR have set the new engine plant up, does that mean that | :49:35. | :49:38. | |
because of something like that have happened? | :49:39. | :49:40. | |
What about this argument we heard there from the Ukip and Greens, | :49:41. | :49:43. | |
and indeed from Dave Nellist, that something more like average | :49:44. | :49:46. | |
Midlanders' incomes would be very appropriate in this case | :49:47. | :49:48. | |
Well, I'm happy that the basic pay is relatively low. | :49:49. | :49:51. | |
I mean, frankly, whatever we paid someone like Andy Street, | :49:52. | :49:54. | |
he's going to be taking a pay cut, and he's not bothered about that. | :49:55. | :49:57. | |
I don't think it's an issue about a basic, I think the issue | :49:58. | :50:05. | |
is realistic pay that should be set, and having these bonuses | :50:06. | :50:08. | |
and stuff that you put on, you're going to get into the same | :50:09. | :50:11. | |
problems that we've got in Parliament about expenses | :50:12. | :50:13. | |
and about bonuses, these sort of things. | :50:14. | :50:14. | |
All you're going to do is disrepute the whole thing. | :50:15. | :50:17. | |
I think the best thing to do is to set those levels in relation | :50:18. | :50:20. | |
to Parliament and for us to go on and do the work that | :50:21. | :50:23. | |
we're supposed to do and let the electorate decide | :50:24. | :50:25. | |
James Burn, the Green candidate, has talked about handing | :50:26. | :50:29. | |
over a lot of his pay, if he gets it, to charity | :50:30. | :50:32. | |
That might look to some like a pretty classy gesture, actually. | :50:33. | :50:35. | |
But it is just a gesture, because he's not going to get elected. | :50:36. | :50:38. | |
It is a gesture, both in terms of not being able to get elected, | :50:39. | :50:42. | |
but secondly, also of actually delivering a reasonable amount | :50:43. | :50:44. | |
across the most 4 or 5 million people that you're likely to serve. | :50:45. | :50:47. | |
For the moment, thank you both very much indeed. | :50:48. | :50:50. | |
Well, here as elsewhere, President Donald Trump | :50:51. | :50:52. | |
Someone said during his campaign, "political commentators take him | :50:53. | :50:57. | |
American voters take him seriously, but not literally". | :50:58. | :51:04. | |
Well, it turns out we need to take him literally too. | :51:05. | :51:06. | |
He's now doing exactly what he said he would. | :51:07. | :51:08. | |
Ben Sidwell explains how it's hitting home right here. | :51:09. | :51:12. | |
..Trump hate, so Trump's not great. PEOPLE CHANT. | :51:13. | :51:17. | |
It was a week when changes to US immigration policy brought hundreds | :51:18. | :51:20. | |
Birmingham saw the largest demo against President Trump's | :51:21. | :51:26. | |
Students at the University of Warwick made their feelings plain. | :51:27. | :51:30. | |
There was even a demonstration in Cheltenham. | :51:31. | :51:34. | |
In the Commons, there was anger that the new President will be | :51:35. | :51:37. | |
invited to address Parliament on his forthcoming state visit. | :51:38. | :51:41. | |
If indeed this visit of this wretched man, bigoted man, | :51:42. | :51:46. | |
is going to take place, can we be reassured that, | :51:47. | :51:50. | |
under no circumstances, will he address Parliament | :51:51. | :51:52. | |
in Westminster Hall? That in itself would be a disgrace! | :51:53. | :52:00. | |
Earlier in the week, the Baghdad-born MP | :52:01. | :52:04. | |
for Stratford-on-Avon toured the TV studios, believing the new rules | :52:05. | :52:07. | |
meant he couldn't visit his sons who are studying | :52:08. | :52:09. | |
in the United States. It later turned out that he could. | :52:10. | :52:13. | |
And there were no hard feelings from him when it came | :52:14. | :52:15. | |
I want President Trump to come to the UK, he is the leader | :52:16. | :52:20. | |
of the United States of America... And the state visit? | :52:21. | :52:23. | |
I do want him to come on state visit. | :52:24. | :52:25. | |
We had President Xi from China, on a state visit. | :52:26. | :52:28. | |
We don't agree with everything that China does. | :52:29. | :52:31. | |
But for ten Midlands Labour MPs, inviting President Trump to address | :52:32. | :52:35. | |
Parliament is a step too far and they've signed a Commons motion | :52:36. | :52:38. | |
And we're also joined here today by Scott Lucas, | :52:39. | :52:44. | |
Professor of American Politics at the University of Birmingham. | :52:45. | :52:47. | |
He was born in Birmingham too - Birmingham, Alabama that is. | :52:48. | :52:51. | |
And he himself signed that petition against | :52:52. | :52:54. | |
President Trump's state visit. Why exactly did you do that? | :52:55. | :52:58. | |
Well, I have no objection to President Trump coming to talk | :52:59. | :53:01. | |
Like matters of Nato, matters of decency over | :53:02. | :53:05. | |
immigration, religion and race. But a state visit? | :53:06. | :53:10. | |
That's an honour, that's a ceremony, in which which we endorse someone. | :53:11. | :53:15. | |
I don't believe we endorse, for example, the Chinese leader. | :53:16. | :53:18. | |
We should, and we certainly shouldn't endorse a man | :53:19. | :53:21. | |
like President Trump, who's been very divisive | :53:22. | :53:22. | |
So do have sympathy with those MPs who have signed that | :53:23. | :53:27. | |
Commons motion saying that, under no circumstances, | :53:28. | :53:29. | |
should he be allowed to address both houses? | :53:30. | :53:33. | |
I mean, Ronald Reagan waited years before he was given that honour. | :53:34. | :53:37. | |
Why give it to President Trump within two weeks? | :53:38. | :53:39. | |
But you're saying that an official visit, | :53:40. | :53:41. | |
by the sound of it - that's what I took from | :53:42. | :53:44. | |
what you said there - an official visit might be | :53:45. | :53:46. | |
a different matter? It's a different matter. | :53:47. | :53:48. | |
Because there are matters that are very important to our countries. | :53:49. | :53:51. | |
There is the issue of the trade deal post-Brexit, the issue | :53:52. | :53:55. | |
of our military relationship, with President Trump saying | :53:56. | :53:57. | |
There's the matter of relations with Russia, | :53:58. | :54:00. | |
a very aggressive Russia, which he seems to want to befriend, | :54:01. | :54:02. | |
so, yes, absolutely welcome him, but do not give him the honour. | :54:03. | :54:05. | |
As an American living here in the Midlands, | :54:06. | :54:07. | |
what does it make you feel like when you see your head of state | :54:08. | :54:10. | |
being the subject of protests on the street like that? | :54:11. | :54:13. | |
And we've seen them before, of course, we need to remember, | :54:14. | :54:16. | |
under George W Bush and indeed Ronald Reagan. | :54:17. | :54:19. | |
It makes me feel proud to be in a Birmingham, England - | :54:20. | :54:22. | |
multicultural, welcoming people, that we can protest peacefully. | :54:23. | :54:25. | |
At the same time, I'm really concerned. | :54:26. | :54:29. | |
I'm concerned that my country is being debated by | :54:30. | :54:32. | |
a very poisonous atmosphere, to which the president and | :54:33. | :54:34. | |
I honestly believe this is an unprecedented moment, | :54:35. | :54:39. | |
where the American system is under the greatest challenge | :54:40. | :54:41. | |
Hasn't Theresa May sort of stoked up an entirely | :54:42. | :54:47. | |
avoidable storm of protest, in the way, by being | :54:48. | :54:49. | |
Where really, as Scott was saying, it's the sort of thing that maybe | :54:50. | :54:55. | |
should have come in due course, rather than just as a sort | :54:56. | :54:58. | |
of first opening invitation? No, not at all. | :54:59. | :55:02. | |
I think that Theresa May was absolutely right to go and see | :55:03. | :55:05. | |
He is the democratically-elected President of the United | :55:06. | :55:10. | |
America is hugely important to Britain. | :55:11. | :55:16. | |
Britain is, I believe, its closest ally and we should act | :55:17. | :55:19. | |
And so, by going to America, as the Prime Minister did, | :55:20. | :55:28. | |
she came back with his agreement that he was 100% behind Nato. | :55:29. | :55:31. | |
So I think it's important that we invite him to prison, | :55:32. | :55:38. | |
-- So I think it's important that we invite him to Britain, | :55:39. | :55:41. | |
that we look after him, and that we influence him, | :55:42. | :55:43. | |
because no better influence than have British influence | :55:44. | :55:45. | |
I'll come back to you, Scott, in a second on that. | :55:46. | :55:49. | |
But, Khalid, since we put that package together, | :55:50. | :55:51. | |
you've became the 11th Labour MP to sign the motion. | :55:52. | :55:54. | |
I think it's absolutely absurd to invite Donald Trump. | :55:55. | :55:59. | |
I think Mrs May was wrong to go, the very first one out | :56:00. | :56:02. | |
Basically, because we hold some principles. | :56:03. | :56:05. | |
This is what, not just about a particular leader, | :56:06. | :56:08. | |
I don't think he's doing any service to America, I don't think he's doing | :56:09. | :56:11. | |
service to the Western world in the way that he is behaving, | :56:12. | :56:14. | |
the way he's treating people, the way he has negated | :56:15. | :56:17. | |
the refugee convention, and all of those rights that | :56:18. | :56:19. | |
he's negating, and women's rights particularly, | :56:20. | :56:20. | |
religious rights, and rights of all people generally, | :56:21. | :56:22. | |
Anthea and made a very clear statement they of why | :56:23. | :56:31. | |
thing for Theresa May to do - what would you say to that? | :56:32. | :56:35. | |
Oh, I think the Prime Minister was fine to go to the United States. | :56:36. | :56:38. | |
But the problem is she wasn't a critical friend, she appeared | :56:39. | :56:41. | |
to be a friend that was bowing down to Trump, both in gestures | :56:42. | :56:44. | |
and that she didn't actually talk about things, like his endorsement | :56:45. | :56:47. | |
of torture, and that she came back and told us that we're | :56:48. | :56:50. | |
Well, we're not going to get this deal for many years. | :56:51. | :56:54. | |
If we're going to negotiate with America, which we should, | :56:55. | :56:58. | |
we should do so standing up and not on bended knee. | :56:59. | :57:01. | |
I mean, this region is one of the biggest regional | :57:02. | :57:03. | |
Think of all those Land Rovers and all the rest of it. | :57:04. | :57:07. | |
We have a trade surplus, as I understand it, but isn't | :57:08. | :57:11. | |
there a danger that these negotiations are a matter of give | :57:12. | :57:13. | |
and take and it's going to be a matter of they take and we give? | :57:14. | :57:17. | |
The example I gave of getting him to say yes, he is 100% behind Nato, | :57:18. | :57:22. | |
was an indication of the influence that we can and have... | :57:23. | :57:25. | |
But doesn't he change his opinions from day to day? | :57:26. | :57:27. | |
He may well, but we want him to keep coming back | :57:28. | :57:31. | |
So I think, the more influence we have, the better. | :57:32. | :57:35. | |
And also in agreement that we want to draw with them, | :57:36. | :57:37. | |
we're also proud of our National Health Service | :57:38. | :57:41. | |
and what we will end up doing, if we don't do a proper deal | :57:42. | :57:44. | |
is that they will have access to huge amounts | :57:45. | :57:46. | |
of our health service and, if we don't agree to let them in, | :57:47. | :57:49. | |
they can take us to court, as Americans generally do | :57:50. | :57:52. | |
in these sort of issues. So we need to be very careful. | :57:53. | :57:55. | |
This is a symptom of what we haven't done right in terms of Brexit. | :57:56. | :57:58. | |
This government has produced a shoddy piece of work, | :57:59. | :58:00. | |
in terms of the bill that we are trying to face | :58:01. | :58:03. | |
now, trying to amend and trying to sort out. | :58:04. | :58:05. | |
What she needed to do was to get real detail | :58:06. | :58:07. | |
into that, so that we can have a reasonable exit forward. | :58:08. | :58:10. | |
I supported the vote, but we want to hold them to account | :58:11. | :58:13. | |
OK, very, very quick last work on that particular point before | :58:14. | :58:17. | |
Theresa May is absolutely right, having influence on America, | :58:18. | :58:20. | |
in terms of trade and defence, is hugely important. | :58:21. | :58:23. | |
We could go on longer, but for the moment, | :58:24. | :58:25. | |
thank you very much indeed, and particular thanks to you, Scott, | :58:26. | :58:28. | |
for being with us today. Thank you. | :58:29. | :58:30. | |
Right, time now for our look back at another | :58:31. | :58:32. | |
Our round-up of the main developments making the news | :58:33. | :58:36. | |
here is brought to us today by Kathryn Stanczyszyn | :58:37. | :58:38. | |
Police are investigating a claim of electoral fraud | :58:39. | :58:46. | |
against Ukip leader, Paul Nuttall, after allegations | :58:47. | :58:49. | |
he wasn't living at the address he listed on his nomination papers | :58:50. | :58:52. | |
Liberal Democrat, Beverley Nielsen, launched her campaign to become | :58:53. | :58:58. | |
Her top priority - keeping the region in | :58:59. | :59:01. | |
Nearly 300 jobs are to go at Walsall Council, as the authority | :59:02. | :59:08. | |
Council tax will rise by almost 5% and nine libraries will close. | :59:09. | :59:16. | |
London Midland Train conductors have called off a strike ballot | :59:17. | :59:18. | |
after the company abandoned use of private security | :59:19. | :59:20. | |
And West Midlands MEP, Bill Etheridge, has | :59:21. | :59:25. | |
complained to the authorities at the European Parliament | :59:26. | :59:29. | |
after a Labour MEP held up a sign saying "he's lying to you" | :59:30. | :59:32. | |
during a speech by former Ukip leader Nigel Farage. | :59:33. | :59:36. | |
Sitting there with a little sign isn't really not on. | :59:37. | :59:38. | |
You know, is this what the Labour Party is reduced to know? | :59:39. | :59:42. | |
-- You know, is this what the Labour Party is reduced to now? | :59:43. | :59:45. | |
They have no argument left, all they can do is call us names. | :59:46. | :59:48. | |
Well, Bill Etheridge there, Khalid, is really not pulling his punches. | :59:49. | :59:51. | |
He thinks you're once-great party is being reduced | :59:52. | :59:53. | |
Well, no, I think, if you look at the Brexit campaign, | :59:54. | :59:57. | |
the referendum campaign, a lot of untruths were told in that, | :59:58. | :00:03. | |
and I think, what the MEP wanted to do was to hold him to account, | :00:04. | :00:06. | |
but certainly, you wouldn't be able to do that | :00:07. | :00:08. | |
in the British Parliament, because we don't allow | :00:09. | :00:10. | |
As they say, a picture paints a thousand words and, | :00:11. | :00:14. | |
given that you get so few words on the floor of the European | :00:15. | :00:17. | |
Parliament, maybe that was actually quite a telling thing to do? | :00:18. | :00:20. | |
It said more than a thousand words, didn't it? | :00:21. | :00:22. | |
Well, it certainly did. I think that Ukip... | :00:23. | :00:24. | |
The number of times they wave placards... | :00:25. | :00:27. | |
..they shout and disrupt, like schoolboy believes, | :00:28. | :00:32. | |
- ..they shout and disrupt, like schoolboy bullies, | :00:33. | :00:34. | |
I thought it was really too much for Etheridge to be seen complaining | :00:35. | :00:37. | |
In a word, what makes a good protest, Khalid? | :00:38. | :00:40. | |
I think a picture paints a thousand words, that's right. | :00:41. | :00:43. | |
You hold something that's good, as it was done, | :00:44. | :00:45. | |
it gets the message across. In a word, a good protest? | :00:46. | :00:47. | |
Oh, pictures, always. Yeah, good. | :00:48. | :00:49. | |
Well, plenty of pictures in this programme again to the end. | :00:50. | :00:51. | |
Thank you very much indeed for being with us here. | :00:52. | :00:53. | |
My thanks to Anthea McIntyre and Khalid Mahmood. | :00:54. | :00:55. | |
Well, finally from me, after all those rail delays lately, | :00:56. | :00:58. | |
HS2 is on time, or at least the legislation is. | :00:59. | :01:01. | |
There'd been suggestions it may be shunted into Parliament's sidings, | :01:02. | :01:04. | |
But Phase One of the ?56 billion project has passed | :01:05. | :01:10. | |
through Westminster Junction, and awaits the Royal Assent | :01:11. | :01:12. | |
Well, next week, Sunday Politics will come to you live | :01:13. | :01:17. | |
from Staffordshire University, right in the heart of that key | :01:18. | :01:20. | |
It's the most eagerly-awaited by-election in our part | :01:21. | :01:24. | |
This, though, is where we re-join Andrew Neil. | :01:25. | :01:31. | |
programme at another time an airport expansion, but thank you to both of | :01:32. | :01:35. | |
you for being here. Back to you, Andrew. | :01:36. | :01:40. | |
Will the Government's plan to boost house-building | :01:41. | :01:44. | |
Could a handful of Conservative MPs cause problems for | :01:45. | :01:47. | |
And what is President Trump going to do next? | :01:48. | :01:52. | |
You have been following the genesis of this housing white paper. What do | :01:53. | :02:09. | |
you make of it? I think it will be quite spectacular, pretty radical | :02:10. | :02:15. | |
stuff. We heard bits about beating up on developers. I understand it | :02:16. | :02:18. | |
will be a whack, walk, covering every single problem with housing | :02:19. | :02:24. | |
supply and trying to solve it. Which means bad news if you are a huge fan | :02:25. | :02:27. | |
of the green belt, because they will go round that the other way by | :02:28. | :02:31. | |
forcing large quotas on councils are making it down to councils where | :02:32. | :02:36. | |
they build. If you fill up your brown space in towns they will have | :02:37. | :02:39. | |
to trigger the exceptional circumstances bit of the bill to | :02:40. | :02:43. | |
beat on green belts. Beating up developers, opening up the market | :02:44. | :02:47. | |
for renters across the board. And Theresa May, one of the most | :02:48. | :02:52. | |
defining thing she could do on the domestic agenda. I am not as excited | :02:53. | :02:58. | |
as Tom about this. I look back to 2004, do you remember the Kate | :02:59. | :03:05. | |
Barker report? Successive governments, successive prime | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
ministers have been promising to address the housing shortage. In | :03:10. | :03:14. | |
2004 Kate Barker recommended hundreds of thousands new homes. | :03:15. | :03:17. | |
Gordon Brown talked about 3 million new homes by 2020 in 2007. It never | :03:18. | :03:23. | |
happens. The reason is at the end of the day this is local politics, | :03:24. | :03:26. | |
local councillors need to keep their seats and they won't keep their | :03:27. | :03:30. | |
seats if there are hugely controversial developments locally | :03:31. | :03:34. | |
that they support. Yes, the government can and are proposing to | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
overrule councils that don't back local developments, but they may | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
find themselves completely inundated with those cases. I think that is | :03:43. | :03:47. | |
the whole point of it, to take on those NIMBY often Tory councils and | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
force them to build. I can't think of a better defining issue for | :03:52. | :03:59. | |
Theresa May than sticking one in the eye of some quite well off half Tory | :04:00. | :04:06. | |
countryside councils. The government gives councils a quota of homes they | :04:07. | :04:09. | |
have to fill, if they don't have to fill that all run out overland to | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
fill the quota, the government then comes in and tells them they have to | :04:14. | :04:17. | |
built on the green belt? How is that going to work? At the moment the | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
green belt is absolutely sacrosanct in British politics. They'll have to | :04:22. | :04:25. | |
do some work on educating people on what green belts means. Potato | :04:26. | :04:31. | |
farms, golf courses... At the moment the idea people have of the green | :04:32. | :04:36. | |
belt being verdant fields needs to be dismantled. You are right. I | :04:37. | :04:41. | |
agree with Tom, 11 million people in the private rental sector in the UK. | :04:42. | :04:46. | |
In the last election more voted Labour than conservative. This is an | :04:47. | :04:49. | |
area where Theresa May would look to expand her vote. The problem has | :04:50. | :04:54. | |
always been, the same problem we have with pension policy and why | :04:55. | :04:58. | |
pensioners have done better than working families in recent years. | :04:59. | :05:01. | |
They are older and they vote more and anything to the detriment of | :05:02. | :05:09. | |
older people. I wonder how they will get private money to come in on | :05:10. | :05:13. | |
anything like this go they would need to have a huge expansion? There | :05:14. | :05:19. | |
is a huge amount of speculation and one of the thing that locks up the | :05:20. | :05:23. | |
system as you have people buying land, taking out a stake of land in | :05:24. | :05:27. | |
the hope that one point it may at some point free up. At the end of | :05:28. | :05:30. | |
the day, unless you have councils far more willing to quickly fast | :05:31. | :05:34. | |
track these applications, which they won't for the reason I said before, | :05:35. | :05:38. | |
it's a very long-term investment. Ed Miliband proposed three-year leases | :05:39. | :05:45. | |
in which the rent could only go up by an agreed formula, probably the | :05:46. | :05:50. | |
three years to give the young families a certain stability over | :05:51. | :05:55. | |
that period. He had a use it or lose it rules for planning development, | :05:56. | :05:59. | |
if you don't use it you lose the planning rights. Somebody else gets | :06:00. | :06:04. | |
it. The Tories disparaged that at the time. This is at the centre of | :06:05. | :06:08. | |
their policy now. This is probably item number four of | :06:09. | :06:13. | |
Ed Miliband's policy book Theresa May has wholesale pinched in the | :06:14. | :06:16. | |
last six months or so. Why not? I think if you look at the change in | :06:17. | :06:21. | |
mood across housing and planning over the last 5-6 years, it used to | :06:22. | :06:26. | |
be an issue very much of green belt versus London planners. Now you have | :06:27. | :06:30. | |
grandparents living in houses in the countryside, knowing their | :06:31. | :06:32. | |
grandchildren can't get on the housing ladder any longer. Maybe a | :06:33. | :06:39. | |
bit more intervention in the market, tougher on renting conditions, maybe | :06:40. | :06:41. | |
that is exactly what the country needs. Will they meet the 1 million | :06:42. | :06:47. | |
target? It would be a defiance of every political thing that has | :06:48. | :06:50. | |
happened in the last ten years. I think Tom is right, if there is only | :06:51. | :06:55. | |
one difference between Theresa May and David Cameron it's the | :06:56. | :06:58. | |
willingness of the state to intervene. When Ed Miliband said | :06:59. | :07:04. | |
that he was seen as communism, but Theresa May can get away with it. | :07:05. | :07:09. | |
How serious is this talk of a couple of dozen Tories who were very loyal | :07:10. | :07:16. | |
over voting for the principle of Article 50 but may now be tempted to | :07:17. | :07:21. | |
vote for some amendments to Article 50 legislation that they would find | :07:22. | :07:26. | |
quite attractive? I think that threat has certainly been taken | :07:27. | :07:31. | |
seriously by levers. I spoke to the campaign group Leaves Means Leave | :07:32. | :07:36. | |
last night. The figure they mentioned was up to 20 remaining | :07:37. | :07:39. | |
Tories. That sounds a lot to me but that is what they are concerned | :07:40. | :07:42. | |
about and those Tories would come together with Labour and the SNP to | :07:43. | :07:48. | |
vote for that amendment. Although that amendment sounds rather nice | :07:49. | :07:52. | |
and democratic, actually in the eyes of many levers that is a wrecking | :07:53. | :07:56. | |
amendment. Because what you are doing is giving Parliament a sort of | :07:57. | :08:00. | |
veto over whatever deal Theresa May brings back. What they want is the | :08:01. | :08:05. | |
vote to be before that deal is finalised. It isn't necessarily the | :08:06. | :08:09. | |
case that if Parliament decided they didn't like that deal we would just | :08:10. | :08:14. | |
go to WTO, we would fall out of the European Union. There are mixed | :08:15. | :08:17. | |
views as to whether we might remain in and things could be extended. My | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
understanding is the people making the amendments, they won any deal | :08:23. | :08:29. | |
that is done to be brought to Parliament in time, so that if | :08:30. | :08:34. | |
Parliament fancies it it's done, but if it does and it doesn't just mean | :08:35. | :08:38. | |
go to WTO rules. There will be time to go back, renegotiate or think | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
again? The question is where it puts Britain's negotiating hand. Nine of | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
the options... Once we trigger Article 50 the two negotiation | :08:49. | :08:54. | |
begins on the power switches to Europe. They can run out the clock | :08:55. | :08:57. | |
and it will be worse for us than them. I don't think either option is | :08:58. | :09:00. | |
particularly appealing. I think what seems like a rather Serena week for | :09:01. | :09:05. | |
Article 50 this week isn't going to be reflective of what will happen | :09:06. | :09:10. | |
next. The way the government's position is at the moment, if at the | :09:11. | :09:13. | |
end the only choice Parliament has is to vote for the deal or crash out | :09:14. | :09:18. | |
on WTO rules, then even the remainder is going to vote for the | :09:19. | :09:21. | |
deal even if they don't like it, because they would regard crashing | :09:22. | :09:25. | |
out as the worst of all possible results. Possibly. It will be a | :09:26. | :09:32. | |
great game of bluff if Theresa May fights off any of these amendments | :09:33. | :09:35. | |
on Wednesday and gets a straightforward deal or no Deal | :09:36. | :09:39. | |
vote. I have a funny feeling this amendment, if it's chosen, we must | :09:40. | :09:42. | |
remember because we don't know if they will choose this amendment, if | :09:43. | :09:48. | |
it does go to a vote on Wednesday it will be very tight indeed. Remember, | :09:49. | :09:52. | |
one final thing Theresa May can do if she gets Parliament voting | :09:53. | :09:57. | |
against, as Isabel would have it, she could try to get a new | :09:58. | :10:00. | |
parliament and go for a general election. And probably get a huge | :10:01. | :10:07. | |
majority to do so. The Lords, it goes there after the February | :10:08. | :10:13. | |
recess. They are very pro-Europe, but does their instinct for | :10:14. | :10:22. | |
self-preservation override that? I think that is it. A Tory Lord said | :10:23. | :10:27. | |
this morning I will vote to block it on a conscience measure, but you | :10:28. | :10:30. | |
have the likes of Bill Cash, veteran Eurosceptics, suddenly converted to | :10:31. | :10:35. | |
the Lords reform saying is an outrage. I doubt they will vote for | :10:36. | :10:40. | |
their own demise, to hasten their own demise by blocking it. What did | :10:41. | :10:47. | |
you make of Doctor Gorka smart fascinating. Cut from the same cloth | :10:48. | :10:51. | |
as his boss. I thought it was extraordinary listening to him, | :10:52. | :10:54. | |
saying everything is going dutifully to plan. But at the end of the day, | :10:55. | :10:58. | |
what they are doing is what people in America voted for Trump to do. If | :10:59. | :11:02. | |
you look at Lord Ashcroft's polling on why America voted for Trump, they | :11:03. | :11:06. | |
went into this with their eyes wide open. One of the top fears among | :11:07. | :11:13. | |
American voters, particularly Republican leading ones was | :11:14. | :11:16. | |
America's immigration policy is or could be letting in terror arrests. | :11:17. | :11:19. | |
As far as he is concerned, he is doing what he was elected to do. | :11:20. | :11:24. | |
This whole year is turning into a wonderful year long lecture series | :11:25. | :11:27. | |
on how democracy works at a fundamental level. I'm not sure | :11:28. | :11:30. | |
anyone wanted it but it's what we've got. This same in the way we've been | :11:31. | :11:36. | |
talking about direct democracy and Parliamentary democracy. The same is | :11:37. | :11:41. | |
happening in America between executive and judicial branches. We | :11:42. | :11:43. | |
are seeing the limits of presidential power. Regardless of | :11:44. | :11:47. | |
the fact that people voted for Trump they voted for senators. The judge | :11:48. | :11:51. | |
who blocks this was appointed by George W Bush. So-called Judge | :11:52. | :11:59. | |
Eckert Mac so-called George W Bush! It's fascinating we're having all | :12:00. | :12:01. | |
these conversations now that I never bought five years ago we would be | :12:02. | :12:06. | |
having at such a fundamental level. Has the media yet worked out how to | :12:07. | :12:11. | |
cover the Trump administration or has he got us behaving like headless | :12:12. | :12:15. | |
chickens? He says something incendiary and we all run over to do | :12:16. | :12:20. | |
that and when you pick it off it turns out not to be as incendiary as | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
we thought? And then back doing something and we all rush over | :12:25. | :12:28. | |
there. Is he making fools of us? Is exactly what he did in the election | :12:29. | :12:35. | |
campaign. So many quick and fast outrageous comments frontrunner on a | :12:36. | :12:38. | |
daily basis, no one single one of them had full news cycle time to be | :12:39. | :12:42. | |
pored over and examined. I think there is a problem with this. | :12:43. | :12:45. | |
Although he keeps the upper hand, keeps the agenda and keeps on the | :12:46. | :12:50. | |
populist ground, the problem is it easy to campaign like that. If you | :12:51. | :12:54. | |
are governing in a state of semi-hysteria, I wonder how long the | :12:55. | :12:57. | |
American public will be comfortable with that. They don't really want | :12:58. | :13:00. | |
their government to be swirling chaos all the time, as fascinating | :13:01. | :13:05. | |
as it might be on TV. They will be exhausted by it, I already am. I | :13:06. | :13:12. | |
have been interviewing White House administration official since 1976 | :13:13. | :13:14. | |
and that is the first time someone hasn't given me a straight answer on | :13:15. | :13:18. | |
America supporting the EU. That is a different world. | :13:19. | :13:20. | |
Jo Coburn will be on BBC Two tomorrow at midday with | :13:21. | :13:24. | |
the Daily Politics - and I'll be back here | :13:25. | :13:26. | |
Remember, if it's Sunday - it's the Sunday Politics. | :13:27. | :14:05. | |
TV: He's not your father. WOMAN GASPS | :14:06. | :14:18. | |
so why not pay your TV licence in weekly instalments, too? | :14:19. | :14:32. |