05/02/2017 Sunday Politics West Midlands


05/02/2017

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It's Sunday morning, and this is the Sunday Politics.

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Theresa May pledged to help people who are "just about managing",

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and this week her government will announce new measures to boost

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the number of affordable homes and improve conditions for renters.

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After a US court suspends Donald Trump's travel ban and rules

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it could be unconstitutional, one of the President's inner circle

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tells me there is no "chaos", and that Donald Trump's White House

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is making good on his campaign promises.

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As the Government gets into gear for two years

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of Brexit negotiations, we report on the haggling to come

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over the UK's Brexit bill for leaving the European Union -

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and the costs and savings once we've left.

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And with me, as always, a trio of top political

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journalists - Helen Lewis, Tom Newton Dunn

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They'll be tweeting throughout the programme,

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So, more anguish to come this week for the Labour party as the House

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of Commons continues to debate the bill which paves the way

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Last week, Labour split over the Article 50 bill,

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with a fifth of Labour MPs defying Jeremy Corbyn to vote against.

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Five shadow ministers resigned, and it's expected Mr Corbyn

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will have to sack more frontbenchers once the bill is voted

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Add to that the fact that the Labour Leader's close ally

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Diane Abbot failed to turn up for the initial vote -

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blaming illness - and things don't look too rosy

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The Shadow Foreign Secretary Emily Thornberry was asked

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about the situation earlier on the Andrew Marr show.

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The Labour Party is a national party and we represent the nation,

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and the nation is divided on this, and it is very difficult.

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Many MPs representing majority Remain constituencies have this very

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difficult balancing act between - do I represent my constituency,

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Labour, as a national party, have a clear view.

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We fought to stay in Europe, but the public have spoken,

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But the important thing now is not to give Theresa May a blank check,

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we have to make sure we get the right deal for the country.

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That was Emily Thornberry. Helen, is this like a form of Chinese water

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torture for the Labour Party? And for journalists, to! We are in a

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situation where no one really thinks it's working. A lot of authority has

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drained away from Jeremy Corbyn but no one can do anything about it.

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What we saw from the leadership contest is on the idea of a Blairite

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plot to get rid of him. You are essentially stuck in stasis. The

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only person that can remove Jeremy Corbyn is God or Jeremy Corbyn.

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Authority may have moved from Mr Corbyn but it's not going anywhere

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else, there's not an alternative centre of authority? Not quite, but

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Clive Lewis is name emerging, the Shadow Business Secretary. A lot of

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the Labour left, people like Paul Mason, really like him and would

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like to see him in Corbyn. I think that's why Jeremy Corbyn do

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something extraordinary next week and abstain from Article 50, the

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main bill itself, to keep his Shadow Cabinet together. That clip on

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Andrew Marr, point blank refusing to say if Labour will vote for Article

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50. The only way Jeremy Corbyn can hold this mess together now is to

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abstain, which would be catastrophic across Brexit constituencies in the

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North. The problem with abstention is everyone will say on the issue of

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our time, the official opposition hasn't got coherent or considered

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policy? I love the way Emily Thornberry said the country is

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divided and we represent the country, in other words we are

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divided at the party as well. The other thing that was a crucial

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moment this week is the debate over whether there should be a so-called

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meaningful vote by MPs on the deal that Theresa May gets. That is a

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point of real danger for Brexit supporters. It may well be there is

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a coalition of Labour and SNP and Remain MPs, Tory MPs, who vote for

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that so-called meaningful vote that could undermine Theresa May's

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negotiation. So Theresa May could have had troubles as well, not plain

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sailing for her? There is no point, apart from lonely Ken Clarke voting

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against Article 50, no point in Tory remainders rebelling. It would have

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been a token gesture with no support. But there might be

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meaningful amendments. One might be on the status of EU nationals... The

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government could lose that. There might be a majority for some of

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those amendments. The ins and outs of the Labour Party, it fascinates

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the Labour Party and journalists. I suspect the country has just moved

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on and doesn't care. You are probably quite right. To be honest I

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struggled to get Labour split stories in my paper any more, the

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bar is so high to make it news. Where it does matter is now not

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everyone will pay huge amounts to the -- of attention to the vote on

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Wednesday. But come the general election in 2020, maybe a little

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earlier, every Tory leaflet and every labour constituency will say

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this guy, this goal, they refuse to vote for Brexit, do you want them in

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power? That is going to be really hard for them. The story next week

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may be Tory splits rather than just Labour ones, we will see.

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Theresa May has made a big deal out of her commitment to help people

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on middle incomes who are "just about managing", and early this week

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we should get a good sense of what that means in practice -

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when plans to bring down the cost of housing and protect renters

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are published in the Government's new white paper.

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Theresa May has promised she'll kick off Brexit negotiations with the EU

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by the end of March, and after months of shadow-boxing

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Ellie Price reports on the battle to come over the UK's Brexit bill,

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and the likely costs and savings once we've left.

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It was the figure that defined the EU referendum campaign.

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It was also a figure that was fiercely disputed, but the promise -

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vote leave and Britain won't have to pay into the EU are any more.

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So, is that what's going to happen now?

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The trouble with buses is you tend to have to wait for them

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and when Theresa May triggers Article 50, the clock starts

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She needs something quicker, something more sporty.

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According to the most recent Treasury figures,

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Britain's gross contribution to the EU, after the rebate

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is taken into account, is about ?14 billion a year.

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There are some complicating factors that means it can go up

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or down year on year, but that's roughly how much the UK

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will no longer sending to Brussels post-Brexit.

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But, there are other payments that Britain will have to shell out for.

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First and foremost, the so-called divorce settlement.

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It is being said, and openly by Commissioner Barnier

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and others in the Commission, that the total financial liability

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as they see it might be in the order of 40-60 billion

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The BBC understands the figure EU negotiators are likely

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to settle on is far lower, around 34 billion euros,

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but what does the money they are going to argue

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Well, that's how much Britain owes for stuff in the EU budget that's

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already signed up for until 2020, one year after we are

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Historically, Britain pays 12% in contributions,

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so the cost to the UK is likely to be between ten

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Then they will look at the 200-250 billion euros of underfunded

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spending commitments, the so-called RAL.

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Britain could also be liable for around 5-7 billion euros

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for its share in the pensions bill for EU staff, that's again

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12% of an overall bill of 50-60 billion.

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Finally there's a share of our assets held by the EU.

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They include things like this building, the European Commission

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Britain could argue it deserves a share back of around 18 billion

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euros from a portfolio that's said to be worth 153 billion euros.

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So, lots for the two sides to discuss in two years of talks.

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They have a great opportunity with the Article 50 talks

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because actually they can hold us to ransom.

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They can say, "You figure out money, we will talk about your trade.

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But until you've figured out the money, we won't," so I think

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a lot of European states think they are in a very strong

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negotiating position at the moment and they intend to make

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The principle is clear, the days of Britain making vast

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contributions to the European Union every year will end.

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Theresa May has already indicated that she would want to sign back up

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to a number of EU agencies on a program-by-program basis.

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The Europol for example, that's the European crime

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agency, or Erasmus Plus, which wants student exchanges.

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If everything stays the same as it is now, it would cost the UK

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675 million euros a year, based on analysis by

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But there are likely to be agencies we don't choose to participate in.

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If we only opted back to those dealing with security,

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trade, universities and, say, climate change,

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it could come with a price tag of 370 million euros per year.

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Of course that's if our European neighbours allow us.

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I wonder if they're going to let me in!

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There will also be a cost to creating a new system to resolve

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trade disputes with other nations once we are no longer part

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Take the EFTA Court which rules on disputes

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between the EU and Norway, Iceland and Lichtenstein.

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That costs 4 million euros to run each year,

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though in the Brexit White Paper published this week,

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the Government said it will not be constrained by precedent

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Finally, would the EU get behind the idea of Britain making some

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contribution for some preferential access to its market?

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The sort of thing that Theresa May seems to be hinting

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at are sectoral arrangements, some kind of partial membership

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Switzerland, which has a far less wide-ranging deal than Norway,

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pays about 320 million a year for what it gets into the EU budget,

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but it's not exactly the Swiss deal that we're after.

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The EU institutions hate the Swiss deal because it is codified

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in a huge number of treaties that are messy, complicated

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and cumbersome, and they really don't want to replicate

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Theresa May has been at pains to insist she's in the driving seat

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when it comes to these negotiations, and that she's

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But with so much money up for discussion, it may not be such

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Sadly she didn't get to keep the car!

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And I've been joined to discuss the Brexit balance sheet

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by the director of the Centre for European Reform, Charles Grant,

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and by Henry Newman who runs the think tank Open Europe.

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Henry Newman, these figures that are being thrown about in Brussels at

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the moment, and exit bill of 40-60,000,000,000. What do you make

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of them? I think it is an opening gambit from the institutions and we

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should take them seriously. We listened to Mr Rogers, the former

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ambassador to Brussels in the House of Commons last week, speaking about

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the sort of positions the EU is likely to take in the negotiation. I

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personally think the Prime Minister should be more concerned about

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getting the right sort of trade arrangements, subsequent to our

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departure, than worrying about the exact detail of the divorce

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settlement and the Bill. They might not let them go on to trade until

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they resolve this matter. Where does the Brexit bill, the cost of exit,

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if there is to be one, in terms of a sum of money, where does that come

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in the negotiations, upfront or at the end? The European Commission has

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a firm line on this. You have to talk about the Brexit bill and the

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divorce settlement before you talk about the future relationship.

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Therefore they are saying if you don't sign up for 60 billion or

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thereabouts, we won't talk about the future. Other member states take a

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softer line than that and think you probably have to talk about the

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divorce settlement and Brexit bill as the same -- at the same time as

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the economic situation. If you can do both at the same time, the

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atmosphere may be better natured. You have spoken to people in

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Brussels and are part of a think tank, how Revista gives the figure

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or is it an opening gambit? Most member states and EU institutions

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believe they think it is the true figure but when the negotiations

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start adding the number will come down. As long as the British are

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prepared to sign up to the principle of we owe you a bit of money, as the

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cheque, then people will compromise. What is the ballpark? You had a

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figure of 34 billion, that is news to me, nobody knows because

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negotiations haven't started but I think something lower than 60. Even

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60 would be politically toxic for a British government? I think Theresa

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May is in a strong position, she has united the Conservative Party. You

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could expect coming into this year all the Conservative divisions would

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be laid bare by Gina Miller. But she is leading a united party. Labour

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Party are divided... Coogee get away with paying 30 billion? We should

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give her the benefit of the doubt going into these negotiations, let

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her keep her cards close to her chest. The speech he gave a few

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weeks ago at Lancaster House, our judgment was she laid out as much

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detail as we could have expected at that point. I don't think it's

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helpful for us now to say, we shouldn't be introducing further red

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line. I want you to be helpful and find things out. I would suggest if

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there is a bill, let's say it's 30 billion, let's make it half of what

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the current claims coming out of Brussels. And of course it won't

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have to be paid in one year, I assume it's not one cheque but

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spread over. But we will wait a long time for that 350 million a week or

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what ever it was that was meant to come from Brussels to spend on the

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NHS. That's not going to happen for the next five, six or seven years.

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Everyone has been clear there will be a phased exit programme. The

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question of whether something is political possible for her in terms

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of the divorce settlement will depend on what she gets from the

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European Union in those negotiations. If she ends up

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settling for a bill of about 30 billion which I think would be

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politically... No matter how popular she is, politically very difficult

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for her, it does kill any idea there is a Brexit dividend for Britain.

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Some of the senior officials in London and Brussels are worried this

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issue could crash the talks because it may be possible for Theresa May

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to accept a Brexit bill of 30 billion and if there is no deal and

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will leave EU without a settlement, there is massive legal uncertainty.

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What contract law applies? Can our planes take off from Heathrow?

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Nobody knows what legal rights there are for an EU citizen living here

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and vice versa. If there is no deal at the end of two years, it is quite

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bad for the European economy, therefore they think they have all

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the cards to play and they think if it is mishandled domestically in

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Britain than we have a crash. But there will be competing interests in

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Europe, the Baltic states, Eastern Europe, maybe quite similar of the

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Nordic states, that in turn different from the French, Germans

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or Italians. How will Europe come to a common view on these things? At

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the moment they are quite united backing a strong line, except for

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the polls and Hungarians who are the bad boys of Europe and the Irish who

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will do anything to keep us happy. We should remember their priority is

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not economics, they are not thinking how can they maximise trade with the

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UK, they are under threat. The combination of Trump and Brexit

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scares them. They want to keep the institutions strong. They also want

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to keep Britain. That is the one strong card we have, contributing to

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security. We know we won't be members of the single market, that

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was in the White Paper. The situation of the customs union is

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more complicated I would suggest. Does that have cost? If we can be a

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little bit pregnant in the customs union, does that come with a price

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ticket? We have got some clarity on the customs union, the Prime

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Minister said we would not be part of the... We would be able to do our

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own trade deals outside the EU customs union, and also not be part

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of the common external tariff. She said she is willing to look at other

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options and we don't know what that will be so as a think tank we are

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looking at this over the next few weeks and coming up with

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recommendations for the Government and looking at how existing

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boundaries between the EU customs union and other states work in

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practice. For example between Switzerland and the EU border,

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Norway and Switzerland, and the UK and Canada. We will want is a

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country the freedom to do our own free trade deals, that seems to be

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quite high up there, and to change our external tariffs to the rest of

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the world. If that's the case, we do seem to be wanting our cake and

:19:10.:19:14.

eating it in the customs union. Talking to some people in London, it

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is quite clear we are leaving the essentials of the customs union, the

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tariff, so even if we can minimise controls at the border by having

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mutual recognition agreements, so we recognise each other's standards,

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but there will still have to be checks for things like rules of

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origin and tariffs if tariffs apply, which is a problem for the Irish

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because nobody has worked out how you can avoid having some sort of

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customs control on the border between Northern Ireland and the

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South once we are out of the customs union. I think it's important we

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don't look at this too much as one side has to win and one side has to

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lose scenario. We can find ways. My Broadview is what we get out of the

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negotiation will depend on politics more than economic reality. Economic

:20:02.:20:03.

reality is strong, there's a good case for a trade deal on the

:20:04.:20:21.

solution on the customs deal, but Britain will need to come up with a

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positive case for our relationship and keep making that case. If it

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turns out the Government thinks the bill is too high, that we can't

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really get the free trade deal done in time and it's left hanging in the

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wind, what are the chances, how I as things stand now that we end up

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crashing out? I'd say there's a 30% chance that we don't get the free

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trade agreement at the end of it that Mrs May is aiming for. The very

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hard crash is you don't even do an Article 50 divorce settlement from

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you go straight to World Trade Organisation rules. The less hard

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crash is doing the divorce settlement and transitional

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arrangements would require European Court of Justice arrangements. We

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will leave it there. Thank you, both.

:21:04.:21:04.

Donald Trump's flagship policy of extreme vetting of immigrants

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and a temporary travel ban for citizens of seven mainly-muslim

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countries was stopped in its tracks this weekend.

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On Friday a judge ruled the ban should be lifted and that it

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That prompted President Trump to fire off a series of tweets

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criticising what he says was a terrible decision

:21:20.:21:21.

by a so-called judge, as he ordered the State Department

:21:22.:21:24.

Now the federal appeals court has rejected his request to reinstate

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the ban until it hears the case in full.

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Well yesterday I spoke to Sebastian Gorka, Deputy Assistant

:21:44.:21:47.

I asked him if the confusion over the travel ban

:21:48.:21:51.

was a sign that the President's two-week-old administration

:21:52.:21:53.

There is no chaos, you really shouldn't believe the spin, the

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facts speak for themselves. 109 people on Saturday were mildly

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inconvenienced by having their entry into the United States delayed out

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of 325,000. So let's not get carried away with the left-wing media bias

:22:19.:22:27.

and spin. Hold on, 60,000 - 90,000 people with visas, their visas are

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no longer valid. That's another issue. You need to listen to what

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I'm saying. The people who entered on the day of the executive order

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being implemented worth 109 people out of 325. Whether people won't

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travelling to America were affected is another matter, so there is no

:22:49.:22:57.

chaos to comment on. Following Iran's latest missile tests,

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National Security adviser Flint said the US was "Putting Iran on notice",

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what does that mean? It means we have a new president and we are not

:23:08.:23:10.

going to facilitate the rise of one of the most dangerous nations in the

:23:11.:23:16.

world. We are jettisoning this naive and dangerous policy of the Obama

:23:17.:23:25.

Administration to try and make the Shi'ite dictatorial democracy some

:23:26.:23:28.

kind of counter balance to extremist Sunni groups in the region and that

:23:29.:23:32.

they cannot continue to behave in the way they have behaved for the

:23:33.:23:37.

last 30 years. It is a very simple message. So are there any

:23:38.:23:43.

multilateral alliances that Mr Trump would like to strengthen?

:23:44.:23:49.

Absolutely. If we are looking at the region, if you listen to what

:23:50.:23:52.

President Trump has said and specifically to also the speeches of

:23:53.:23:57.

general Flint, his national security adviser, we are incredibly vested in

:23:58.:24:02.

seeing our Sunni allies in the region come together in a real

:24:03.:24:09.

coalition. The so-called vaunted 66 nation coalition that was created

:24:10.:24:15.

under the Obama administration... There was no coalition. But we want

:24:16.:24:19.

to help our Sunni allies, especially the Egyptians, the Jordanians, come

:24:20.:24:27.

together in a real partnership to take the fight to ISIS and groups

:24:28.:24:33.

like Al-Qaeda. But there is not a formal multilateral alliance with

:24:34.:24:38.

these countries. Which of the existing, formal multilateral

:24:39.:24:43.

alliances does Mr Trump wants to strengthen? If you are specifically

:24:44.:24:47.

talking about Nato, it is clear that we are committed to Nato but we wish

:24:48.:24:52.

to see a more equitable burden sharing among the nations that are

:24:53.:24:55.

simply not spending enough on their own defence so the gentleman 's

:24:56.:25:00.

agreement of 2% of GDP has to be stuck to, unlike the, I think it's

:25:01.:25:03.

only Six Nations that reach the standard today out of almost 30. So

:25:04.:25:08.

he does want to strengthen Nato then? Absolutely, he believes Nato

:25:09.:25:20.

is the most successful military alliances. You mustn't believe the

:25:21.:25:26.

spin and hype. EU leaders now see the Trump administration as a threat

:25:27.:25:30.

up there with Russia, China, terrorism. What's your response to

:25:31.:25:36.

that? I have to laugh. The idea that the nation that came to the

:25:37.:25:42.

salvation of Europe twice in the 20th century hummer in World War I

:25:43.:25:49.

and World War II, was central to the defeat of the totalitarian... It is

:25:50.:26:00.

not even worth commenting on. Would it matter to the Trump

:26:01.:26:04.

administration if the European Union broke up? The United States is very

:26:05.:26:07.

interested in the best relations possible with all the nations of the

:26:08.:26:15.

EU am a whether the European union wishes to stay together or not is up

:26:16.:26:20.

to the nations of the European Union. I understand that but I was

:26:21.:26:26.

wondering what the US view would be. Until Mr Trump, EU foreign policy

:26:27.:26:30.

was quite consistent in wanting to see the EU survive, prosper and even

:26:31.:26:34.

become more integrated. Now that doesn't seem to be the case, so

:26:35.:26:39.

would it matter to the Trump administration if the EU broke up? I

:26:40.:26:44.

will say yet again, it is in the interests of the United States to

:26:45.:26:47.

have the best relations possible with our European allies, and

:26:48.:26:51.

whether that is in the formation of the EU or if the EU by itself

:26:52.:26:56.

suffers some kind of internal issues, that's up to the European

:26:57.:27:00.

nations and not something we will comment on. Listening to that

:27:01.:27:05.

answer, it would seem as if this particular president's preference is

:27:06.:27:09.

to deal with individual nation states rather than multilateral

:27:10.:27:15.

institutions. Is that fair? I don't think so. There's never been an

:27:16.:27:22.

unequivocal statement by that effect by the statement. Does he share the

:27:23.:27:26.

opinion of Stephen Bannon that the 21st century should see a return to

:27:27.:27:31.

nation states rather than growing existing multilateral ways? I think

:27:32.:27:37.

it is fair to say that we have problems with political elites that

:27:38.:27:40.

don't take the interests of the populations they represent into

:27:41.:27:45.

account. That's why Brexit happened. I think that's why Mr Trump became

:27:46.:27:51.

President Trump. This is the connected phenomena. You are

:27:52.:27:55.

obsessing about institutions, it is not about institutions, it's about

:27:56.:27:59.

the health of democracy and whether political elites do what is in the

:28:00.:28:04.

interests of the people they represent. Given the

:28:05.:28:06.

unpredictability of the new president, you never really know

:28:07.:28:10.

what he's going to do next, would it be wise for the British Prime

:28:11.:28:14.

Minister to hitch her wagon to his star? This is really churlish

:28:15.:28:22.

questioning. Come on, you don't know what he's going to do next, listen

:28:23.:28:25.

to what he says because he does what he's going to say. I know this may

:28:26.:28:31.

be shocking to some reporters, but look at his campaign promises, and

:28:32.:28:35.

the fact that in the last 15 days we have executed every single one that

:28:36.:28:41.

we could in the time permissible so there is nothing unpredictable about

:28:42.:28:45.

Donald Trump as president. OK then, if we do know what he's going to do

:28:46.:28:52.

next, what is he going to do next? Continue to make good on his

:28:53.:28:56.

election promises, to make America great again, to make the economy are

:28:57.:29:02.

flourishing economy, and most important of all from your

:29:03.:29:07.

perspective in the UK, to be the best friend possible to our friends

:29:08.:29:11.

and the worst enemy to our enemies. It is an old Marine Corps phrase and

:29:12.:29:17.

we tend to live by it. Thank you for your time, we will leave it there.

:29:18.:29:24.

Doctor Gorka, making it clear this administration won't spend political

:29:25.:29:31.

capital on trying to keep the European Union together, a watershed

:29:32.:29:33.

change in American foreign policy. Theresa May has made a big deal out

:29:34.:29:35.

of her commitment to help people on middle incomes who are "just

:29:36.:29:38.

about managing", and early this week we should get a good sense

:29:39.:29:41.

of what that means in practice - when plans to bring down the cost

:29:42.:29:44.

of housing and protect renters are published in the Government's

:29:45.:29:47.

new white paper. The paper is expected to introduce

:29:48.:29:49.

new rules on building Communities Secretary Sajid Javid

:29:50.:29:52.

has previously said politicians should not stand in the way

:29:53.:29:58.

of development, provided all options Also rumoured are new measures

:29:59.:30:00.

to speed up building the 1 million new homes the Government promised

:30:01.:30:05.

to build by 2020, including imposing five-year quotas

:30:06.:30:07.

on reluctant councils. Reports suggest there will be

:30:08.:30:11.

relaxation of building height restrictions,

:30:12.:30:13.

allowing home owners and developers to build to the height

:30:14.:30:15.

of the tallest building on the block without needing to seek

:30:16.:30:17.

planning permission. Other elements trialled include

:30:18.:30:24.

new measures to stop developers sitting on parcels of land

:30:25.:30:27.

without building homes, land banking, and moving railway

:30:28.:30:29.

station car parks Underground, The Government today said it

:30:30.:30:31.

will amend planning rules so more homes can be built specifically

:30:32.:30:40.

to be rented out through longer term tenancies, to provide more stability

:30:41.:30:43.

for young families, alongside its proposed ban

:30:44.:30:45.

on letting agent fees. And the Housing Minister,

:30:46.:30:52.

Gavin Barwell, joins me now. Welcome to the programme. Home

:30:53.:31:02.

ownership is now beyond the reach of most young people. You are now

:31:03.:31:05.

emphasising affordable homes for rent. Why have you given up on the

:31:06.:31:10.

Tory dream of a property owning democracy? We haven't given up on

:31:11.:31:13.

that. The decline on home ownership in this country started in 2004. So

:31:14.:31:18.

far we have stopped that decline, we haven't reversed it but we

:31:19.:31:21.

absolutely want to make sure that people who want to own and can do

:31:22.:31:27.

so. The Prime Minister was very clear a country that works for

:31:28.:31:29.

everyone. That means we have to have say something to say to those who

:31:30.:31:33.

want to rent as well as on. Home ownership of young people is 35%,

:31:34.:31:38.

used to be 60%. Are you telling me during the lifetime of this

:31:39.:31:42.

government that is going to rise? We want to reverse the decline. We have

:31:43.:31:47.

stabilised it. The decline started in 2004 under Labour. They weren't

:31:48.:31:51.

bothered about it. We have taken action and that has stop the

:31:52.:31:56.

decline... What about the rise? We have to make sure people work hard

:31:57.:32:00.

the right thing have the chance to own their home on home. We have

:32:01.:32:03.

helped people through help to buy, shared ownership, that is part of

:32:04.:32:08.

it, but we have to have something to say to those who want to rent. You

:32:09.:32:12.

say you want more rented homes so why did you introduce a 3%

:32:13.:32:18.

additional stamp duty levied to pay those investing in build to rent

:32:19.:32:22.

properties? That was basically to try and stop a lot of the

:32:23.:32:26.

speculation in the buy to let market. The Bank of England raised

:32:27.:32:29.

concerns about that. When you see the white paper, you will see there

:32:30.:32:34.

is a package of measures for Bill to rent, trying to get institutional

:32:35.:32:41.

investment for that, different to people going and buying a home on

:32:42.:32:45.

the private market and renting out. You are trying to get institutional

:32:46.:32:49.

money to comment, just as this government and subsequent ones

:32:50.:32:52.

before said it would get pension fund money to invest in

:32:53.:32:55.

infrastructure and it never happened. Why should this happen? Is

:32:56.:33:00.

already starting to happen. If you go around the country you can see

:33:01.:33:03.

some of these builder rent scheme is happening. There are changes in the

:33:04.:33:07.

White Paper... How much money from institutions is going into bill to

:33:08.:33:18.

rent modular hundreds of millions. I was at the stock exchange the other

:33:19.:33:20.

day celebrating the launch of one of our bombs designed to get this money

:33:21.:33:23.

on. There are schemes being... There is huge potential to expand it. We

:33:24.:33:26.

need more homes and we are too dependent on a small number of large

:33:27.:33:29.

developers. -- to launch one of our bonds. You talk about affordable

:33:30.:33:36.

renting, what is affordable? Defined as something that is at least 20%

:33:37.:33:42.

below the market price. It will vary around the country. Let me put it

:33:43.:33:46.

another way. The average couple renting now have to spend 50% of

:33:47.:33:50.

their income on rent. Is that affordable? That is exactly what

:33:51.:33:54.

we're trying to do something about. Whether you're trying to buy or

:33:55.:33:57.

rent, housing in this country has become less and less affordable

:33:58.:34:01.

because the 30-40 years governments haven't built in times. This white

:34:02.:34:05.

Paper is trying to do something about that. You have been in power

:34:06.:34:09.

six, almost seven years. That's right. Why are ownership of new

:34:10.:34:17.

homes to 24 year low? It was a low figure because it's a new five-year

:34:18.:34:20.

programme. That is not a great excuse. It's not an excuse at all.

:34:21.:34:25.

The way these things work, you have a five-year programme and in the

:34:26.:34:28.

last year you have a record number of delivery and when you start a new

:34:29.:34:31.

programme, a lower level. If you look at the average over six years,

:34:32.:34:35.

this government has built more affordable housing than the previous

:34:36.:34:41.

one. Stiletto 24 year loss, that is an embarrassment. Yes. We have the

:34:42.:34:47.

figures, last year was 32,000, the year before 60 6000. You get this

:34:48.:34:50.

cliff edge effect. It is embarrassing and we want to stop it

:34:51.:34:56.

happening in the future. You want to give tenants more secure and longer

:34:57.:35:00.

leases which rent rises are predictable in advance. Ed Miliband

:35:01.:35:06.

promoted three-year tenancies in the 2015 general election campaign and

:35:07.:35:10.

George Osborne said it was totally economically illiterate. What's

:35:11.:35:15.

changed? You are merging control of the rents people in charge, which

:35:16.:35:20.

we're not imposing. We want longer term tenancies. Most people have

:35:21.:35:24.

six-month tenancies... Within that there would be a control on how much

:35:25.:35:29.

the rent could go up? Right? It would be set for the period of the

:35:30.:35:33.

tenancies. That's what I just said, that's what Ed Miliband proposed. Ed

:35:34.:35:37.

Miliband proposed regulating it for the whole sector. One of the reasons

:35:38.:35:42.

institutional investment is so attractive, if you had a spare home

:35:43.:35:46.

and you want to rent out, you might need it any year, so you give it a

:35:47.:35:51.

short tenancy. If you have a block, they are interested in a long-term

:35:52.:35:56.

return and give families more security. You have set a target,

:35:57.:36:03.

your government, to build in the life of this parliament 1 million

:36:04.:36:06.

new homes in England by 2020. You're not going to make that? I think we

:36:07.:36:14.

are. If you look at 2015-16 we had 190,000 additional homes of this

:36:15.:36:17.

country. Just below the level we need to achieve. Over five...

:36:18.:36:25.

2015-16. You were probably looking at the new homes built. Talking

:36:26.:36:31.

about completions in England. That is not the best measure, with

:36:32.:36:34.

respect. You said you will complete 1 million homes by 2020 so what is

:36:35.:36:40.

wrong with it? We use a national statistic which looks at new homes

:36:41.:36:44.

built and conversions and changes of use minus demolitions. The total

:36:45.:36:46.

change of the housing stock over that year. On that basis I have the

:36:47.:36:53.

figures here. I have the figures. You looking I just completed. 1

:36:54.:36:57.

million new homes, the average rate of those built in the last three

:36:58.:37:02.

quarters was 30 6000. You have 14 more quarters to get to the 1

:37:03.:37:07.

million. You have to raise that to 50 6000. I put it to you, you won't

:37:08.:37:11.

do it. You're not looking at the full picture of new housing in this

:37:12.:37:16.

country. You're looking at brand-new homes and not including conversions

:37:17.:37:20.

or changes of use are not taking off, which we should, demolitions.

:37:21.:37:25.

If you look at the National statistic net additions, in 2015-16,

:37:26.:37:31.

100 and 90,000 new homes. We are behind schedule. -- 190,000. I am

:37:32.:37:36.

confident with the measures in the White Paper we can achieve that. It

:37:37.:37:40.

is not just about the national total, we need to build these homes

:37:41.:37:44.

are the right places. Will the green belt remain sacrosanct after the

:37:45.:37:50.

white paper? Not proposing to change the existing protections that there

:37:51.:37:54.

for green belts. What planning policy says is councils can remove

:37:55.:37:58.

land from green belts but only in exceptional circumstances and should

:37:59.:38:00.

look at at all the circumstances before doing that. No change? No. We

:38:01.:38:07.

have a manifesto commitment. You still think you will get 1 million

:38:08.:38:13.

homes? The green belt is only 15%. This idea we can only fix our broken

:38:14.:38:17.

housing market by taking huge swathes of land out of the green

:38:18.:38:20.

belt is not true. We will leave it there, thank you for joining us,

:38:21.:38:23.

Gavin Barwell. It is coming up to 11.40.

:38:24.:38:25.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now

:38:26.:38:27.

Coming up here in 20 minutes, the Week Ahead...

:38:28.:38:36.

We have a new twist today, in the debate about executive pay.

:38:37.:38:46.

What will the Metro Mayor of the West Midlands really be worth?

:38:47.:38:49.

It's a big job with, potentially, a big salary to match.

:38:50.:38:52.

But he or she will be a public servant, so perhaps they should get

:38:53.:38:55.

by with a significantly less generous deal.

:38:56.:38:58.

Well, that's our talking point here today.

:38:59.:39:00.

Anthea McIntyre is one of our Conservative MEPs.

:39:01.:39:04.

And Khalid Mahmood is the Labour MP for Birmingham Perry Barr.

:39:05.:39:08.

And we'll also be talking, a little later, about the repercussions here,

:39:09.:39:16.

of Donald Trump's first two weeks in power.

:39:17.:39:20.

Let's begin, though, with those Labour divisions over Brexit.

:39:21.:39:23.

The Newcastle-under-Lyme MP, Paul Farrelly, defied

:39:24.:39:27.

Jeremy Corbyn's three-line whip, to become the only MP from our part

:39:28.:39:29.

of the country, to vote against the Government's Article 50

:39:30.:39:32.

bill, even though he has a majority of just 650, in a constituency

:39:33.:39:35.

Well, in the Commons on Tuesday, Mr Farrelly explained his opposition

:39:36.:39:44.

I'm not disrespecting, in opposing this bill,

:39:45.:39:50.

I just think on this occasion that they are on.

:39:51.:39:58.

-- I just think on this occasion that they are wrong.

:39:59.:40:04.

I'm not failing to trust the people, I just is agree with some of them,

:40:05.:40:08.

and I agree with the 48% who chose to remain.

:40:09.:40:10.

But on the basis of their performance so far, what I don't

:40:11.:40:14.

trust is this government to achieve the best for our country if we had

:40:15.:40:17.

trust is this government to achieve the best for our country if we hand

:40:18.:40:21.

them that blank cheque of a bill. MAN: Hear, hear!

:40:22.:40:23.

Paul Farrelly, who voted against the wishes of his party,

:40:24.:40:26.

the Government, and most of his constituents, presumably,

:40:27.:40:28.

just up the road from that key by-election in Stoke Central,

:40:29.:40:30.

Khalid, is your fellow Labour backbencher sort of mad,

:40:31.:40:34.

brave or a man of principle in your view?

:40:35.:40:36.

Well, Paul has always done things that he believes is right and he's

:40:37.:40:39.

taken this position quite strongly, and that's for him

:40:40.:40:41.

We have a line on this that we allow, we don't

:40:42.:40:46.

There was a will of the people in the referendum, we have

:40:47.:40:50.

to respect that, but we want to hold the government to account

:40:51.:40:55.

and we'll follow the progress through and we'll see what happens.

:40:56.:40:57.

As you know, there's an old adage in politics,

:40:58.:40:59.

"the electorate is always right", and he sounded to sort

:41:00.:41:02.

of reinforced that stereotype that some people have,

:41:03.:41:04.

that the liberal left simply cannot come to terms that,

:41:05.:41:06.

on this occasion too, yes, the electorate may be right?

:41:07.:41:11.

Well, no, I think what he has done, he has the principal

:41:12.:41:14.

point that he's taken on, a lot of members -

:41:15.:41:16.

whose constituencies are in London were overwhelmingly Remain -

:41:17.:41:19.

have decided to take that option as well, so I think,

:41:20.:41:23.

whilst the party's line is quite clear, and those that have

:41:24.:41:26.

broken the whip have to face the consequences...

:41:27.:41:28.

47 divide, that is a major issue for the Labour Party

:41:29.:41:30.

itself in Parliament? Well, no.

:41:31.:41:32.

As Paul has done, there are people who feel very strong about it,

:41:33.:41:37.

and that should be and will be taken into account.

:41:38.:41:40.

Now, you of course, Anthea, a prominent Conservative MEP, so,

:41:41.:41:43.

in a sense, I'm wondering whether you and your colleagues,

:41:44.:41:47.

MEPs, are sort of biting your lip, as you see your party at Westminster

:41:48.:41:52.

I mean, at heart, we're complete Democrats, and I'm very pleased

:41:53.:41:58.

that there was an overwhelming majority for the triggering

:41:59.:42:01.

of Article 50 through the Parliament this week,

:42:02.:42:04.

um, and I certainly take issue with the MP for Newcastle,

:42:05.:42:07.

who claims that he doesn't trust the government to see it through.

:42:08.:42:14.

I absolutely think we've got the best person in Theresa May

:42:15.:42:16.

to get the best possible deal for Brexit,

:42:17.:42:19.

We've been talking about the Labour divisions, but as time goes by,

:42:20.:42:25.

and the potential terms become clearer, the potential

:42:26.:42:27.

divisions too within the Tory party starts to emerge

:42:28.:42:30.

Well, we did have Ken Clarke vote against, but...

:42:31.:42:33.

Just one. Just one.

:42:34.:42:36.

I think our party is very united around our new Prime Minister,

:42:37.:42:41.

and we trust her and her ability to get as a good deal.

:42:42.:42:45.

We'll wait and see how that develops.

:42:46.:42:48.

For the moment, thank you both very much indeed.

:42:49.:42:51.

Right, well, less than three months now, until a new Metro Mayor

:42:52.:42:54.

is elected to lead over three million Midlanders,

:42:55.:42:56.

in the conurbation stretching from Wolverhampton through

:42:57.:42:57.

It's clearly a very big job indeed, so should it be paid accordingly?

:42:58.:43:02.

Or, as a public servant, should the Executive Mayor

:43:03.:43:06.

take a significantly less generous salary?

:43:07.:43:10.

Well, our Political Reporter Matthew Bone has

:43:11.:43:13.

How much is a West Midlands Mayor worth?

:43:14.:43:19.

To find out, we're taking our mayoral pay chart out on the road.

:43:20.:43:22.

We're asking people to put their own suggestion down.

:43:23.:43:30.

We've got examples to help them out, so 140,000 is what the Mayor

:43:31.:43:33.

of London gets, 74,000 is what your average MP gets,

:43:34.:43:36.

28,000's the average wage across the country,

:43:37.:43:38.

and 14,500 is roughly the minimum wage,

:43:39.:43:39.

so how much is the Mayor worth? First stop, Birmingham.

:43:40.:43:42.

I think everybody would be horrified if you said ?1 million.

:43:43.:43:44.

Ha! But...

:43:45.:43:46.

Yeah, but I would think it would have to be well

:43:47.:43:52.

They don't really need to live on a massive wage.

:43:53.:43:55.

If they can live the ordinary, then they can understand all those

:43:56.:43:59.

I'm going for average. Yeah.

:44:00.:44:01.

Because I had a friend work for the...

:44:02.:44:06.

For the council, but they are having to put their lives on the line.

:44:07.:44:10.

The final decision on pay is still to be made,

:44:11.:44:12.

but some mayoral hopefuls are already setting

:44:13.:44:14.

What I'm proposing to do is to take the average salary

:44:15.:44:17.

for the West Midlands, because I think, if you want

:44:18.:44:20.

to represent people, you have to understand their lives

:44:21.:44:22.

I'd be very honoured and privileged to perform

:44:23.:44:26.

the role for ?30,000 a year, which is roughly the average

:44:27.:44:28.

living wage in this country, so it's an honour and privilege.

:44:29.:44:31.

You shouldn't be doing it for the money.

:44:32.:44:33.

So some candidates say they'll be happy with the average wage.

:44:34.:44:36.

You went for, um, 74,000, roughly the same as an MP.

:44:37.:44:41.

Because, like I say, I think it's a fair price.

:44:42.:44:46.

Average wage? Yeah.

:44:47.:44:50.

And you think that's a fair price for a mayor?

:44:51.:44:52.

I think it is fair, yeah, for what they do.

:44:53.:44:55.

This idea of politicians giving themselves a pay cut isn't new.

:44:56.:44:57.

Dave Nellist was an Labour MP for Coventry in the '80s,

:44:58.:45:01.

and paid himself what he called a worker's wage.

:45:02.:45:03.

Is this an example that the new Mayor should follow?

:45:04.:45:06.

I don't buy the argument that you pay loads more

:45:07.:45:08.

I happen to think an ambulance driver and paramedic saving one life

:45:09.:45:14.

I don't see somebody sitting in an office making strategic

:45:15.:45:22.

decisions as any more important than an ambulance driver.

:45:23.:45:25.

So do people here in Coventry think their new Mayor should

:45:26.:45:28.

receive an average wage, just like their old MP?

:45:29.:45:31.

So sort of just above an MP, at 74, sort of 84 here?

:45:32.:45:38.

28,000. The average wage?

:45:39.:45:39.

Yeah. Why is that?

:45:40.:45:40.

Because I don't think any one person deserves any more

:45:41.:45:45.

I think, if we are all about equality, then we should

:45:46.:45:50.

all be earning the same amount regardless of jobs.

:45:51.:45:52.

And here at the results from around West Bromwich,

:45:53.:45:54.

A lot of people did actually go for the average ?28,000

:45:55.:45:58.

for pay for the Mayor, but I think the most

:45:59.:46:00.

were between 31,000 and 71,000, so, between an MP and a police officer,

:46:01.:46:03.

and with a few people going for either extremes as well.

:46:04.:46:06.

So that's our straw poll from the streets.

:46:07.:46:08.

The final decision on pay will be made next month.

:46:09.:46:14.

And the Labour candidate, Sion Simon, says he'll abide

:46:15.:46:18.

by those pay recommendations due out next month.

:46:19.:46:21.

And the Liberal Democrat, Beverley Nielsen, tells me the Mayor

:46:22.:46:24.

should decide whether to draw a full salary or not.

:46:25.:46:27.

Anthea, what do you think a mayor is worth?

:46:28.:46:31.

Let's say by comparison with an MEP such as yourself,

:46:32.:46:34.

Well, I rather believe in payment by results.

:46:35.:46:40.

I come from a business background, as indeed does Andy Street,

:46:41.:46:45.

having run John Lewis so successfully,

:46:46.:46:48.

having run John Lewis so successfully,

:46:49.:46:54.

So I think that we should have performance related pay,

:46:55.:46:57.

and so that the Andy Street, after he's elected, would sit down

:46:58.:47:01.

with the board of the authority and agree some performance targets,

:47:02.:47:05.

and then we know that the people whose lives are going to be

:47:06.:47:08.

affected, they will see that they get what they are paying

:47:09.:47:11.

for and that the Mayor gets paid by what he delivers.

:47:12.:47:16.

OK, what should be the out markers, if you like?

:47:17.:47:19.

The high and the low limit of that and maybe the mean level?

:47:20.:47:22.

I know, and I'm not prepared to give you a figure.

:47:23.:47:27.

I think it has to be related to the sort of public

:47:28.:47:30.

officials in the city, but I think the really

:47:31.:47:34.

important thing is something that we could do completely fresh

:47:35.:47:36.

and new for the West Midlands region is to say, "We pay by results,"

:47:37.:47:42.

but also hold our Mayor to our account.

:47:43.:47:49.

OK, Beverly Nielsen, the Liberal Democrat candidate,

:47:50.:47:53.

also said to me that public servants should never be among

:47:54.:47:56.

the top paid people. Do you agree with that in principle?

:47:57.:48:00.

I'd quite like to see what your view of the sort of proper

:48:01.:48:03.

figure for a Labour, Tory, Lib Dem Mayor should be question?

:48:04.:48:06.

figure for a Labour, Tory, Lib Dem Mayor should be?

:48:07.:48:08.

Well, in principle, that is the case.

:48:09.:48:10.

All the politicians' salaries are set by an independent panel.

:48:11.:48:14.

They decide, in line with the responsibilities,

:48:15.:48:15.

and particularly in line with civil servant pay that we get,

:48:16.:48:18.

so it's in line with that that it is determined,

:48:19.:48:20.

so it's difficult for us to put a figure on it.

:48:21.:48:23.

Well, try, you must have a sort of instinctive feel for something.

:48:24.:48:26.

You know, somewhere around what we get is reasonable,

:48:27.:48:28.

probably slightly higher, because... Which is about 74-75,000.

:48:29.:48:31.

..because it's a wider responsibility, but a far bigger

:48:32.:48:34.

But what the Tory proposal and what Andy is proposing

:48:35.:48:38.

is complete nonsense, because how

:48:39.:48:39.

do you set these targets? How will you do them?

:48:40.:48:42.

What happens in an election, we are elected for four years,

:48:43.:48:46.

people set the targets, because, if you don't perform,

:48:47.:48:48.

they kick you out and that's the best way to do it -

:48:49.:48:51.

if you don't deliver, you get kicked out, simple as that.

:48:52.:48:54.

It's the electorate, rather than the kind of performance?

:48:55.:48:56.

In fact, it's going to be both, isn't it?

:48:57.:49:00.

So that you could, for example, have targets around employment.

:49:01.:49:03.

I mean, we're fortunate here in the West Midlands.

:49:04.:49:06.

We've seen unemployment fall, the record employment,

:49:07.:49:08.

It's important, if we're going to have a global Britain,

:49:09.:49:12.

that we also have a global West Midlands,

:49:13.:49:14.

So, if a major company comes in, and you get much more employment,

:49:15.:49:20.

the Mayor, whoever he or she is, will then far exceed

:49:21.:49:24.

any salaries than they should be getting in the first place,

:49:25.:49:29.

so, because certain circumstances that happen in the region, like JLR

:49:30.:49:34.

like JLR have set the new engine plant up, does that mean that

:49:35.:49:38.

because of something like that have happened?

:49:39.:49:40.

What about this argument we heard there from the Ukip and Greens,

:49:41.:49:43.

and indeed from Dave Nellist, that something more like average

:49:44.:49:46.

Midlanders' incomes would be very appropriate in this case

:49:47.:49:48.

Well, I'm happy that the basic pay is relatively low.

:49:49.:49:51.

I mean, frankly, whatever we paid someone like Andy Street,

:49:52.:49:54.

he's going to be taking a pay cut, and he's not bothered about that.

:49:55.:49:57.

I don't think it's an issue about a basic, I think the issue

:49:58.:50:05.

is realistic pay that should be set, and having these bonuses

:50:06.:50:08.

and stuff that you put on, you're going to get into the same

:50:09.:50:11.

problems that we've got in Parliament about expenses

:50:12.:50:13.

and about bonuses, these sort of things.

:50:14.:50:14.

All you're going to do is disrepute the whole thing.

:50:15.:50:17.

I think the best thing to do is to set those levels in relation

:50:18.:50:20.

to Parliament and for us to go on and do the work that

:50:21.:50:23.

we're supposed to do and let the electorate decide

:50:24.:50:25.

James Burn, the Green candidate, has talked about handing

:50:26.:50:29.

over a lot of his pay, if he gets it, to charity

:50:30.:50:32.

That might look to some like a pretty classy gesture, actually.

:50:33.:50:35.

But it is just a gesture, because he's not going to get elected.

:50:36.:50:38.

It is a gesture, both in terms of not being able to get elected,

:50:39.:50:42.

but secondly, also of actually delivering a reasonable amount

:50:43.:50:44.

across the most 4 or 5 million people that you're likely to serve.

:50:45.:50:47.

For the moment, thank you both very much indeed.

:50:48.:50:50.

Well, here as elsewhere, President Donald Trump

:50:51.:50:52.

Someone said during his campaign, "political commentators take him

:50:53.:50:57.

American voters take him seriously, but not literally".

:50:58.:51:04.

Well, it turns out we need to take him literally too.

:51:05.:51:06.

He's now doing exactly what he said he would.

:51:07.:51:08.

Ben Sidwell explains how it's hitting home right here.

:51:09.:51:12.

..Trump hate, so Trump's not great. PEOPLE CHANT.

:51:13.:51:17.

It was a week when changes to US immigration policy brought hundreds

:51:18.:51:20.

Birmingham saw the largest demo against President Trump's

:51:21.:51:26.

Students at the University of Warwick made their feelings plain.

:51:27.:51:30.

There was even a demonstration in Cheltenham.

:51:31.:51:34.

In the Commons, there was anger that the new President will be

:51:35.:51:37.

invited to address Parliament on his forthcoming state visit.

:51:38.:51:41.

If indeed this visit of this wretched man, bigoted man,

:51:42.:51:46.

is going to take place, can we be reassured that,

:51:47.:51:50.

under no circumstances, will he address Parliament

:51:51.:51:52.

in Westminster Hall? That in itself would be a disgrace!

:51:53.:52:00.

Earlier in the week, the Baghdad-born MP

:52:01.:52:04.

for Stratford-on-Avon toured the TV studios, believing the new rules

:52:05.:52:07.

meant he couldn't visit his sons who are studying

:52:08.:52:09.

in the United States. It later turned out that he could.

:52:10.:52:13.

And there were no hard feelings from him when it came

:52:14.:52:15.

I want President Trump to come to the UK, he is the leader

:52:16.:52:20.

of the United States of America... And the state visit?

:52:21.:52:23.

I do want him to come on state visit.

:52:24.:52:25.

We had President Xi from China, on a state visit.

:52:26.:52:28.

We don't agree with everything that China does.

:52:29.:52:31.

But for ten Midlands Labour MPs, inviting President Trump to address

:52:32.:52:35.

Parliament is a step too far and they've signed a Commons motion

:52:36.:52:38.

And we're also joined here today by Scott Lucas,

:52:39.:52:44.

Professor of American Politics at the University of Birmingham.

:52:45.:52:47.

He was born in Birmingham too - Birmingham, Alabama that is.

:52:48.:52:51.

And he himself signed that petition against

:52:52.:52:54.

President Trump's state visit. Why exactly did you do that?

:52:55.:52:58.

Well, I have no objection to President Trump coming to talk

:52:59.:53:01.

Like matters of Nato, matters of decency over

:53:02.:53:05.

immigration, religion and race. But a state visit?

:53:06.:53:10.

That's an honour, that's a ceremony, in which which we endorse someone.

:53:11.:53:15.

I don't believe we endorse, for example, the Chinese leader.

:53:16.:53:18.

We should, and we certainly shouldn't endorse a man

:53:19.:53:21.

like President Trump, who's been very divisive

:53:22.:53:22.

So do have sympathy with those MPs who have signed that

:53:23.:53:27.

Commons motion saying that, under no circumstances,

:53:28.:53:29.

should he be allowed to address both houses?

:53:30.:53:33.

I mean, Ronald Reagan waited years before he was given that honour.

:53:34.:53:37.

Why give it to President Trump within two weeks?

:53:38.:53:39.

But you're saying that an official visit,

:53:40.:53:41.

by the sound of it - that's what I took from

:53:42.:53:44.

what you said there - an official visit might be

:53:45.:53:46.

a different matter? It's a different matter.

:53:47.:53:48.

Because there are matters that are very important to our countries.

:53:49.:53:51.

There is the issue of the trade deal post-Brexit, the issue

:53:52.:53:55.

of our military relationship, with President Trump saying

:53:56.:53:57.

There's the matter of relations with Russia,

:53:58.:54:00.

a very aggressive Russia, which he seems to want to befriend,

:54:01.:54:02.

so, yes, absolutely welcome him, but do not give him the honour.

:54:03.:54:05.

As an American living here in the Midlands,

:54:06.:54:07.

what does it make you feel like when you see your head of state

:54:08.:54:10.

being the subject of protests on the street like that?

:54:11.:54:13.

And we've seen them before, of course, we need to remember,

:54:14.:54:16.

under George W Bush and indeed Ronald Reagan.

:54:17.:54:19.

It makes me feel proud to be in a Birmingham, England -

:54:20.:54:22.

multicultural, welcoming people, that we can protest peacefully.

:54:23.:54:25.

At the same time, I'm really concerned.

:54:26.:54:29.

I'm concerned that my country is being debated by

:54:30.:54:32.

a very poisonous atmosphere, to which the president and

:54:33.:54:34.

I honestly believe this is an unprecedented moment,

:54:35.:54:39.

where the American system is under the greatest challenge

:54:40.:54:41.

Hasn't Theresa May sort of stoked up an entirely

:54:42.:54:47.

avoidable storm of protest, in the way, by being

:54:48.:54:49.

Where really, as Scott was saying, it's the sort of thing that maybe

:54:50.:54:55.

should have come in due course, rather than just as a sort

:54:56.:54:58.

of first opening invitation? No, not at all.

:54:59.:55:02.

I think that Theresa May was absolutely right to go and see

:55:03.:55:05.

He is the democratically-elected President of the United

:55:06.:55:10.

America is hugely important to Britain.

:55:11.:55:16.

Britain is, I believe, its closest ally and we should act

:55:17.:55:19.

And so, by going to America, as the Prime Minister did,

:55:20.:55:28.

she came back with his agreement that he was 100% behind Nato.

:55:29.:55:31.

So I think it's important that we invite him to prison,

:55:32.:55:38.

-- So I think it's important that we invite him to Britain,

:55:39.:55:41.

that we look after him, and that we influence him,

:55:42.:55:43.

because no better influence than have British influence

:55:44.:55:45.

I'll come back to you, Scott, in a second on that.

:55:46.:55:49.

But, Khalid, since we put that package together,

:55:50.:55:51.

you've became the 11th Labour MP to sign the motion.

:55:52.:55:54.

I think it's absolutely absurd to invite Donald Trump.

:55:55.:55:59.

I think Mrs May was wrong to go, the very first one out

:56:00.:56:02.

Basically, because we hold some principles.

:56:03.:56:05.

This is what, not just about a particular leader,

:56:06.:56:08.

I don't think he's doing any service to America, I don't think he's doing

:56:09.:56:11.

service to the Western world in the way that he is behaving,

:56:12.:56:14.

the way he's treating people, the way he has negated

:56:15.:56:17.

the refugee convention, and all of those rights that

:56:18.:56:19.

he's negating, and women's rights particularly,

:56:20.:56:20.

religious rights, and rights of all people generally,

:56:21.:56:22.

Anthea and made a very clear statement they of why

:56:23.:56:31.

thing for Theresa May to do - what would you say to that?

:56:32.:56:35.

Oh, I think the Prime Minister was fine to go to the United States.

:56:36.:56:38.

But the problem is she wasn't a critical friend, she appeared

:56:39.:56:41.

to be a friend that was bowing down to Trump, both in gestures

:56:42.:56:44.

and that she didn't actually talk about things, like his endorsement

:56:45.:56:47.

of torture, and that she came back and told us that we're

:56:48.:56:50.

Well, we're not going to get this deal for many years.

:56:51.:56:54.

If we're going to negotiate with America, which we should,

:56:55.:56:58.

we should do so standing up and not on bended knee.

:56:59.:57:01.

I mean, this region is one of the biggest regional

:57:02.:57:03.

Think of all those Land Rovers and all the rest of it.

:57:04.:57:07.

We have a trade surplus, as I understand it, but isn't

:57:08.:57:11.

there a danger that these negotiations are a matter of give

:57:12.:57:13.

and take and it's going to be a matter of they take and we give?

:57:14.:57:17.

The example I gave of getting him to say yes, he is 100% behind Nato,

:57:18.:57:22.

was an indication of the influence that we can and have...

:57:23.:57:25.

But doesn't he change his opinions from day to day?

:57:26.:57:27.

He may well, but we want him to keep coming back

:57:28.:57:31.

So I think, the more influence we have, the better.

:57:32.:57:35.

And also in agreement that we want to draw with them,

:57:36.:57:37.

we're also proud of our National Health Service

:57:38.:57:41.

and what we will end up doing, if we don't do a proper deal

:57:42.:57:44.

is that they will have access to huge amounts

:57:45.:57:46.

of our health service and, if we don't agree to let them in,

:57:47.:57:49.

they can take us to court, as Americans generally do

:57:50.:57:52.

in these sort of issues. So we need to be very careful.

:57:53.:57:55.

This is a symptom of what we haven't done right in terms of Brexit.

:57:56.:57:58.

This government has produced a shoddy piece of work,

:57:59.:58:00.

in terms of the bill that we are trying to face

:58:01.:58:03.

now, trying to amend and trying to sort out.

:58:04.:58:05.

What she needed to do was to get real detail

:58:06.:58:07.

into that, so that we can have a reasonable exit forward.

:58:08.:58:10.

I supported the vote, but we want to hold them to account

:58:11.:58:13.

OK, very, very quick last work on that particular point before

:58:14.:58:17.

Theresa May is absolutely right, having influence on America,

:58:18.:58:20.

in terms of trade and defence, is hugely important.

:58:21.:58:23.

We could go on longer, but for the moment,

:58:24.:58:25.

thank you very much indeed, and particular thanks to you, Scott,

:58:26.:58:28.

for being with us today. Thank you.

:58:29.:58:30.

Right, time now for our look back at another

:58:31.:58:32.

Our round-up of the main developments making the news

:58:33.:58:36.

here is brought to us today by Kathryn Stanczyszyn

:58:37.:58:38.

Police are investigating a claim of electoral fraud

:58:39.:58:46.

against Ukip leader, Paul Nuttall, after allegations

:58:47.:58:49.

he wasn't living at the address he listed on his nomination papers

:58:50.:58:52.

Liberal Democrat, Beverley Nielsen, launched her campaign to become

:58:53.:58:58.

Her top priority - keeping the region in

:58:59.:59:01.

Nearly 300 jobs are to go at Walsall Council, as the authority

:59:02.:59:08.

Council tax will rise by almost 5% and nine libraries will close.

:59:09.:59:16.

London Midland Train conductors have called off a strike ballot

:59:17.:59:18.

after the company abandoned use of private security

:59:19.:59:20.

And West Midlands MEP, Bill Etheridge, has

:59:21.:59:25.

complained to the authorities at the European Parliament

:59:26.:59:29.

after a Labour MEP held up a sign saying "he's lying to you"

:59:30.:59:32.

during a speech by former Ukip leader Nigel Farage.

:59:33.:59:36.

Sitting there with a little sign isn't really not on.

:59:37.:59:38.

You know, is this what the Labour Party is reduced to know?

:59:39.:59:42.

-- You know, is this what the Labour Party is reduced to now?

:59:43.:59:45.

They have no argument left, all they can do is call us names.

:59:46.:59:48.

Well, Bill Etheridge there, Khalid, is really not pulling his punches.

:59:49.:59:51.

He thinks you're once-great party is being reduced

:59:52.:59:53.

Well, no, I think, if you look at the Brexit campaign,

:59:54.:59:57.

the referendum campaign, a lot of untruths were told in that,

:59:58.:00:03.

and I think, what the MEP wanted to do was to hold him to account,

:00:04.:00:06.

but certainly, you wouldn't be able to do that

:00:07.:00:08.

in the British Parliament, because we don't allow

:00:09.:00:10.

As they say, a picture paints a thousand words and,

:00:11.:00:14.

given that you get so few words on the floor of the European

:00:15.:00:17.

Parliament, maybe that was actually quite a telling thing to do?

:00:18.:00:20.

It said more than a thousand words, didn't it?

:00:21.:00:22.

Well, it certainly did. I think that Ukip...

:00:23.:00:24.

The number of times they wave placards...

:00:25.:00:27.

..they shout and disrupt, like schoolboy believes,

:00:28.:00:32.

- ..they shout and disrupt, like schoolboy bullies,

:00:33.:00:34.

I thought it was really too much for Etheridge to be seen complaining

:00:35.:00:37.

In a word, what makes a good protest, Khalid?

:00:38.:00:40.

I think a picture paints a thousand words, that's right.

:00:41.:00:43.

You hold something that's good, as it was done,

:00:44.:00:45.

it gets the message across. In a word, a good protest?

:00:46.:00:47.

Oh, pictures, always. Yeah, good.

:00:48.:00:49.

Well, plenty of pictures in this programme again to the end.

:00:50.:00:51.

Thank you very much indeed for being with us here.

:00:52.:00:53.

My thanks to Anthea McIntyre and Khalid Mahmood.

:00:54.:00:55.

Well, finally from me, after all those rail delays lately,

:00:56.:00:58.

HS2 is on time, or at least the legislation is.

:00:59.:01:01.

There'd been suggestions it may be shunted into Parliament's sidings,

:01:02.:01:04.

But Phase One of the ?56 billion project has passed

:01:05.:01:10.

through Westminster Junction, and awaits the Royal Assent

:01:11.:01:12.

Well, next week, Sunday Politics will come to you live

:01:13.:01:17.

from Staffordshire University, right in the heart of that key

:01:18.:01:20.

It's the most eagerly-awaited by-election in our part

:01:21.:01:24.

This, though, is where we re-join Andrew Neil.

:01:25.:01:31.

programme at another time an airport expansion, but thank you to both of

:01:32.:01:35.

you for being here. Back to you, Andrew.

:01:36.:01:40.

Will the Government's plan to boost house-building

:01:41.:01:44.

Could a handful of Conservative MPs cause problems for

:01:45.:01:47.

And what is President Trump going to do next?

:01:48.:01:52.

You have been following the genesis of this housing white paper. What do

:01:53.:02:09.

you make of it? I think it will be quite spectacular, pretty radical

:02:10.:02:15.

stuff. We heard bits about beating up on developers. I understand it

:02:16.:02:18.

will be a whack, walk, covering every single problem with housing

:02:19.:02:24.

supply and trying to solve it. Which means bad news if you are a huge fan

:02:25.:02:27.

of the green belt, because they will go round that the other way by

:02:28.:02:31.

forcing large quotas on councils are making it down to councils where

:02:32.:02:36.

they build. If you fill up your brown space in towns they will have

:02:37.:02:39.

to trigger the exceptional circumstances bit of the bill to

:02:40.:02:43.

beat on green belts. Beating up developers, opening up the market

:02:44.:02:47.

for renters across the board. And Theresa May, one of the most

:02:48.:02:52.

defining thing she could do on the domestic agenda. I am not as excited

:02:53.:02:58.

as Tom about this. I look back to 2004, do you remember the Kate

:02:59.:03:05.

Barker report? Successive governments, successive prime

:03:06.:03:09.

ministers have been promising to address the housing shortage. In

:03:10.:03:14.

2004 Kate Barker recommended hundreds of thousands new homes.

:03:15.:03:17.

Gordon Brown talked about 3 million new homes by 2020 in 2007. It never

:03:18.:03:23.

happens. The reason is at the end of the day this is local politics,

:03:24.:03:26.

local councillors need to keep their seats and they won't keep their

:03:27.:03:30.

seats if there are hugely controversial developments locally

:03:31.:03:34.

that they support. Yes, the government can and are proposing to

:03:35.:03:38.

overrule councils that don't back local developments, but they may

:03:39.:03:42.

find themselves completely inundated with those cases. I think that is

:03:43.:03:47.

the whole point of it, to take on those NIMBY often Tory councils and

:03:48.:03:51.

force them to build. I can't think of a better defining issue for

:03:52.:03:59.

Theresa May than sticking one in the eye of some quite well off half Tory

:04:00.:04:06.

countryside councils. The government gives councils a quota of homes they

:04:07.:04:09.

have to fill, if they don't have to fill that all run out overland to

:04:10.:04:13.

fill the quota, the government then comes in and tells them they have to

:04:14.:04:17.

built on the green belt? How is that going to work? At the moment the

:04:18.:04:21.

green belt is absolutely sacrosanct in British politics. They'll have to

:04:22.:04:25.

do some work on educating people on what green belts means. Potato

:04:26.:04:31.

farms, golf courses... At the moment the idea people have of the green

:04:32.:04:36.

belt being verdant fields needs to be dismantled. You are right. I

:04:37.:04:41.

agree with Tom, 11 million people in the private rental sector in the UK.

:04:42.:04:46.

In the last election more voted Labour than conservative. This is an

:04:47.:04:49.

area where Theresa May would look to expand her vote. The problem has

:04:50.:04:54.

always been, the same problem we have with pension policy and why

:04:55.:04:58.

pensioners have done better than working families in recent years.

:04:59.:05:01.

They are older and they vote more and anything to the detriment of

:05:02.:05:09.

older people. I wonder how they will get private money to come in on

:05:10.:05:13.

anything like this go they would need to have a huge expansion? There

:05:14.:05:19.

is a huge amount of speculation and one of the thing that locks up the

:05:20.:05:23.

system as you have people buying land, taking out a stake of land in

:05:24.:05:27.

the hope that one point it may at some point free up. At the end of

:05:28.:05:30.

the day, unless you have councils far more willing to quickly fast

:05:31.:05:34.

track these applications, which they won't for the reason I said before,

:05:35.:05:38.

it's a very long-term investment. Ed Miliband proposed three-year leases

:05:39.:05:45.

in which the rent could only go up by an agreed formula, probably the

:05:46.:05:50.

three years to give the young families a certain stability over

:05:51.:05:55.

that period. He had a use it or lose it rules for planning development,

:05:56.:05:59.

if you don't use it you lose the planning rights. Somebody else gets

:06:00.:06:04.

it. The Tories disparaged that at the time. This is at the centre of

:06:05.:06:08.

their policy now. This is probably item number four of

:06:09.:06:13.

Ed Miliband's policy book Theresa May has wholesale pinched in the

:06:14.:06:16.

last six months or so. Why not? I think if you look at the change in

:06:17.:06:21.

mood across housing and planning over the last 5-6 years, it used to

:06:22.:06:26.

be an issue very much of green belt versus London planners. Now you have

:06:27.:06:30.

grandparents living in houses in the countryside, knowing their

:06:31.:06:32.

grandchildren can't get on the housing ladder any longer. Maybe a

:06:33.:06:39.

bit more intervention in the market, tougher on renting conditions, maybe

:06:40.:06:41.

that is exactly what the country needs. Will they meet the 1 million

:06:42.:06:47.

target? It would be a defiance of every political thing that has

:06:48.:06:50.

happened in the last ten years. I think Tom is right, if there is only

:06:51.:06:55.

one difference between Theresa May and David Cameron it's the

:06:56.:06:58.

willingness of the state to intervene. When Ed Miliband said

:06:59.:07:04.

that he was seen as communism, but Theresa May can get away with it.

:07:05.:07:09.

How serious is this talk of a couple of dozen Tories who were very loyal

:07:10.:07:16.

over voting for the principle of Article 50 but may now be tempted to

:07:17.:07:21.

vote for some amendments to Article 50 legislation that they would find

:07:22.:07:26.

quite attractive? I think that threat has certainly been taken

:07:27.:07:31.

seriously by levers. I spoke to the campaign group Leaves Means Leave

:07:32.:07:36.

last night. The figure they mentioned was up to 20 remaining

:07:37.:07:39.

Tories. That sounds a lot to me but that is what they are concerned

:07:40.:07:42.

about and those Tories would come together with Labour and the SNP to

:07:43.:07:48.

vote for that amendment. Although that amendment sounds rather nice

:07:49.:07:52.

and democratic, actually in the eyes of many levers that is a wrecking

:07:53.:07:56.

amendment. Because what you are doing is giving Parliament a sort of

:07:57.:08:00.

veto over whatever deal Theresa May brings back. What they want is the

:08:01.:08:05.

vote to be before that deal is finalised. It isn't necessarily the

:08:06.:08:09.

case that if Parliament decided they didn't like that deal we would just

:08:10.:08:14.

go to WTO, we would fall out of the European Union. There are mixed

:08:15.:08:17.

views as to whether we might remain in and things could be extended. My

:08:18.:08:22.

understanding is the people making the amendments, they won any deal

:08:23.:08:29.

that is done to be brought to Parliament in time, so that if

:08:30.:08:34.

Parliament fancies it it's done, but if it does and it doesn't just mean

:08:35.:08:38.

go to WTO rules. There will be time to go back, renegotiate or think

:08:39.:08:43.

again? The question is where it puts Britain's negotiating hand. Nine of

:08:44.:08:48.

the options... Once we trigger Article 50 the two negotiation

:08:49.:08:54.

begins on the power switches to Europe. They can run out the clock

:08:55.:08:57.

and it will be worse for us than them. I don't think either option is

:08:58.:09:00.

particularly appealing. I think what seems like a rather Serena week for

:09:01.:09:05.

Article 50 this week isn't going to be reflective of what will happen

:09:06.:09:10.

next. The way the government's position is at the moment, if at the

:09:11.:09:13.

end the only choice Parliament has is to vote for the deal or crash out

:09:14.:09:18.

on WTO rules, then even the remainder is going to vote for the

:09:19.:09:21.

deal even if they don't like it, because they would regard crashing

:09:22.:09:25.

out as the worst of all possible results. Possibly. It will be a

:09:26.:09:32.

great game of bluff if Theresa May fights off any of these amendments

:09:33.:09:35.

on Wednesday and gets a straightforward deal or no Deal

:09:36.:09:39.

vote. I have a funny feeling this amendment, if it's chosen, we must

:09:40.:09:42.

remember because we don't know if they will choose this amendment, if

:09:43.:09:48.

it does go to a vote on Wednesday it will be very tight indeed. Remember,

:09:49.:09:52.

one final thing Theresa May can do if she gets Parliament voting

:09:53.:09:57.

against, as Isabel would have it, she could try to get a new

:09:58.:10:00.

parliament and go for a general election. And probably get a huge

:10:01.:10:07.

majority to do so. The Lords, it goes there after the February

:10:08.:10:13.

recess. They are very pro-Europe, but does their instinct for

:10:14.:10:22.

self-preservation override that? I think that is it. A Tory Lord said

:10:23.:10:27.

this morning I will vote to block it on a conscience measure, but you

:10:28.:10:30.

have the likes of Bill Cash, veteran Eurosceptics, suddenly converted to

:10:31.:10:35.

the Lords reform saying is an outrage. I doubt they will vote for

:10:36.:10:40.

their own demise, to hasten their own demise by blocking it. What did

:10:41.:10:47.

you make of Doctor Gorka smart fascinating. Cut from the same cloth

:10:48.:10:51.

as his boss. I thought it was extraordinary listening to him,

:10:52.:10:54.

saying everything is going dutifully to plan. But at the end of the day,

:10:55.:10:58.

what they are doing is what people in America voted for Trump to do. If

:10:59.:11:02.

you look at Lord Ashcroft's polling on why America voted for Trump, they

:11:03.:11:06.

went into this with their eyes wide open. One of the top fears among

:11:07.:11:13.

American voters, particularly Republican leading ones was

:11:14.:11:16.

America's immigration policy is or could be letting in terror arrests.

:11:17.:11:19.

As far as he is concerned, he is doing what he was elected to do.

:11:20.:11:24.

This whole year is turning into a wonderful year long lecture series

:11:25.:11:27.

on how democracy works at a fundamental level. I'm not sure

:11:28.:11:30.

anyone wanted it but it's what we've got. This same in the way we've been

:11:31.:11:36.

talking about direct democracy and Parliamentary democracy. The same is

:11:37.:11:41.

happening in America between executive and judicial branches. We

:11:42.:11:43.

are seeing the limits of presidential power. Regardless of

:11:44.:11:47.

the fact that people voted for Trump they voted for senators. The judge

:11:48.:11:51.

who blocks this was appointed by George W Bush. So-called Judge

:11:52.:11:59.

Eckert Mac so-called George W Bush! It's fascinating we're having all

:12:00.:12:01.

these conversations now that I never bought five years ago we would be

:12:02.:12:06.

having at such a fundamental level. Has the media yet worked out how to

:12:07.:12:11.

cover the Trump administration or has he got us behaving like headless

:12:12.:12:15.

chickens? He says something incendiary and we all run over to do

:12:16.:12:20.

that and when you pick it off it turns out not to be as incendiary as

:12:21.:12:24.

we thought? And then back doing something and we all rush over

:12:25.:12:28.

there. Is he making fools of us? Is exactly what he did in the election

:12:29.:12:35.

campaign. So many quick and fast outrageous comments frontrunner on a

:12:36.:12:38.

daily basis, no one single one of them had full news cycle time to be

:12:39.:12:42.

pored over and examined. I think there is a problem with this.

:12:43.:12:45.

Although he keeps the upper hand, keeps the agenda and keeps on the

:12:46.:12:50.

populist ground, the problem is it easy to campaign like that. If you

:12:51.:12:54.

are governing in a state of semi-hysteria, I wonder how long the

:12:55.:12:57.

American public will be comfortable with that. They don't really want

:12:58.:13:00.

their government to be swirling chaos all the time, as fascinating

:13:01.:13:05.

as it might be on TV. They will be exhausted by it, I already am. I

:13:06.:13:12.

have been interviewing White House administration official since 1976

:13:13.:13:14.

and that is the first time someone hasn't given me a straight answer on

:13:15.:13:18.

America supporting the EU. That is a different world.

:13:19.:13:20.

Jo Coburn will be on BBC Two tomorrow at midday with

:13:21.:13:24.

the Daily Politics - and I'll be back here

:13:25.:13:26.

Remember, if it's Sunday - it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:27.:14:05.

TV: He's not your father. WOMAN GASPS

:14:06.:14:18.

so why not pay your TV licence in weekly instalments, too?

:14:19.:14:32.

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