Browse content similar to 29/01/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Donald Trump's travel ban on refugees and citizens of seven | :01:09. | :01:13. | |
The hard realities of hard Brexit. protests at several US airports. | :01:14. | :01:19. | |
Farmers fear it could see them out of business if subsidies are no | :01:20. | :01:22. | |
All the ins and outs in half-an-hour. | :01:23. | :01:26. | |
Should she have spoken out more strongly? | :01:27. | :01:27. | |
We'll ask former Ukip leader and Trump confidant Nigel Farage | :01:28. | :01:30. | |
what he makes of the travel ban and the Prime Minister's | :01:31. | :01:32. | |
In London this week, the mayor, Sadiq Khan, | :01:33. | :01:35. | |
has been coming under pressure to explain his fares freeze | :01:36. | :01:38. | |
and why it doesn't apply to everybody. | :01:39. | :01:39. | |
And with me, the best and brightest political | :01:40. | :01:41. | |
panel in the business - Steve Richards, Julia | :01:42. | :01:43. | |
They'll be tweeting throughout the programme. | :01:44. | :01:45. | |
It was soon after Theresa May left the White House on Friday that | :01:46. | :01:49. | |
Donald Trump signed the executive order banning citizens from seven | :01:50. | :01:51. | |
President Trump's 90-day ban covers Iran, Iraq, | :01:52. | :01:57. | |
Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Yemen and Syria, from | :01:58. | :02:01. | |
where refugees are banned from until further notice. | :02:02. | :02:05. | |
Donald Trump's executive order also imposes a complete ban | :02:06. | :02:07. | |
on all refugees coming to the US for the next 120 days. | :02:08. | :02:13. | |
Mr Trump said that the ban would keep radical Islamic terrorists out | :02:14. | :02:17. | |
But the ban has sparked protests across the US, | :02:18. | :02:25. | |
as people affected and already in the air were detained | :02:26. | :02:28. | |
US laws have begun legal action to challenge the ban, which many | :02:29. | :02:31. | |
At a press conference in Ankara, Turkey, Theresa May was asked | :02:32. | :02:37. | |
about the refugee ban three times before giving this response... | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
Well, the United States is responsible for the United States' | :02:43. | :02:44. | |
The United Kingdom is responsible for the United Kingdom's policy | :02:45. | :02:50. | |
on refugees, and our policy on refugees is to have a number | :02:51. | :02:53. | |
of voluntary schemes to bring Syrian refugees into the country. | :02:54. | :02:56. | |
Downing Street later issued a statement saying: | :02:57. | :03:11. | |
This morning, the Treasury Minister, David Gauke, was asked why | :03:12. | :03:13. | |
Theresa May had refused to condemn the travel ban at yesterday's | :03:14. | :03:16. | |
The Prime Minister is not a shoot-from-the-hip | :03:17. | :03:22. | |
She wants to see the evidence, she wants | :03:23. | :03:26. | |
to understand precisely what the implications are. | :03:27. | :03:31. | |
She'd been in a series of very lengthy meetings with | :03:32. | :03:33. | |
President Erdogan, and she's someone who wants to see the briefing and | :03:34. | :03:37. | |
understand it, and then will respond to that. | :03:38. | :03:41. | |
I think there are times where, you know, there's always | :03:42. | :03:43. | |
pressure to respond within a news cycle and so on. | :03:44. | :03:46. | |
The important thing is, we are saying we disagree with it | :03:47. | :03:49. | |
We're joined now from North London by the Conservative | :03:50. | :03:53. | |
Should the Government in general and Theresa May in particular be more | :03:54. | :04:05. | |
vocal in their criticism of Donald Trump's travel bans? Well, as David | :04:06. | :04:13. | |
just said, it is obviously right that Theresa has now said this is an | :04:14. | :04:17. | |
appropriate and not something we agree with in our Government, but I | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
wish she had said something at the time, not least because it affects | :04:22. | :04:28. | |
our own citizens. One of our own MPs, Nadhim, for example, because it | :04:29. | :04:32. | |
is also a global crisis. She had clearly built an excellent with | :04:33. | :04:39. | |
Donald Trump -- she had built an excellent relationship with him, but | :04:40. | :04:42. | |
she could have been firmer. Mrs May hasn't said any word of criticism | :04:43. | :04:47. | |
about the travel bans. She refused to say anything three times in | :04:48. | :04:52. | |
Ankara, and it is merely an anonymous Downing Street | :04:53. | :04:55. | |
spokesperson that has issued the subsequent mild criticism. We have | :04:56. | :04:58. | |
not heard from the Prime Minister at all on this matter in terms of | :04:59. | :05:03. | |
criticism. No, but the spokesperson will be speaking with her blessing, | :05:04. | :05:07. | |
so it is clearly something she has acknowledged. As I said before, I | :05:08. | :05:11. | |
wish she had said something at the time. The global climate at the | :05:12. | :05:15. | |
moment is delicate and we need our leaders to work together to address | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
things like the refugee crisis. Potentially, this plays into the | :05:21. | :05:24. | |
hands of Daesh. It is absolutely not the right message. What would you | :05:25. | :05:31. | |
like the Prime Minister to say? As with any new relationship, it is | :05:32. | :05:35. | |
about testing the boundaries. They had clearly got on well, so she | :05:36. | :05:38. | |
should have felt braver to say something there and then. I would | :05:39. | :05:41. | |
have preferred her to say, for example, I need to talk to Donald | :05:42. | :05:44. | |
Trump about this. It is not something I support and I want to | :05:45. | :05:47. | |
understand why because I believe there is a better way to deal with | :05:48. | :05:52. | |
the terrorist threat. I would have liked her to suggest that she would | :05:53. | :05:56. | |
engage with him to do that. The president has instituted a 90 day | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
temporary ban on people coming from seven mainly Muslim majority | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
population countries. The seven were on President Obama's list of the | :06:06. | :06:11. | |
biggest terrorist threats to the United States. Mr Trump wants this | :06:12. | :06:15. | |
temporary ban until he puts tougher vetting procedures in place. What is | :06:16. | :06:21. | |
wrong with that? Because it appeared to me that it wasn't thought through | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
and it was affecting ordinary citizens and some British citizens. | :06:26. | :06:28. | |
It can't be right that a president in that position of power can | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
arbitrarily come up with executive powers like that. It has already | :06:34. | :06:38. | |
been challenged by his own courts. So it is not the considered approach | :06:39. | :06:43. | |
I want to see in a global leader. Who do you believe will be hurt by | :06:44. | :06:47. | |
this, given that there can be exceptions on a case-by-case basis? | :06:48. | :07:00. | |
I think potentially, our global reputation is going to be hurt by | :07:01. | :07:06. | |
this. I have been to the refugee camps in Europe myself. There are | :07:07. | :07:10. | |
desperate people trying to free persecution who will be hurt by | :07:11. | :07:13. | |
this. We are trying to heal the wounds in this country not only | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
because of Brexit. This is a time of coming together, not about saying it | :07:18. | :07:20. | |
is located discriminatory against race and religion in this way. Do | :07:21. | :07:25. | |
you believe that Mr Trump's state visit should go ahead? Well, he is | :07:26. | :07:31. | |
the leader of America, so it does need to go ahead and we need to work | :07:32. | :07:34. | |
with him. I believe Theresa has started in a positive manner was | :07:35. | :07:39. | |
that she just needs to continue in that vein. If he comes to our | :07:40. | :07:41. | |
country, he needs to respect the way we feel about things. But yes, he is | :07:42. | :07:47. | |
the president, so he does need to come to the UK. There is some debate | :07:48. | :07:51. | |
within Westminster as to where it is appropriate for him to speak to MPs, | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
but it is right that he comes. But if he does come on a state visit, | :07:57. | :08:00. | |
should he be granted what this country has always thought of as a | :08:01. | :08:03. | |
great honour, which is a joint address to both Houses of | :08:04. | :08:09. | |
Parliament? I haven't been an MP long enough to understand the | :08:10. | :08:12. | |
protocol of where is the right location for him to do that, but I | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
believe in the past, it has been the greatest leaders, when they have | :08:17. | :08:22. | |
achieved great things globally, it is Westminster Hall. But there are a | :08:23. | :08:26. | |
number of MPs saying that is not the most appropriate place and I am | :08:27. | :08:29. | |
inclined to agree. You don't think he should be accorded the privilege | :08:30. | :08:32. | |
of speaking to a joint session of Parliament? I think there are places | :08:33. | :08:38. | |
where he can do that, but Westminster Hall is not yet the | :08:39. | :08:41. | |
right place. Thank you for joining us. | :08:42. | :08:51. | |
Steve, within 24 hours, we have seen the difficulty of becoming Donald | :08:52. | :08:58. | |
Trump's best friend. On the one hand, it could have huge advantages, | :08:59. | :09:02. | |
particularly for a Brexit Britain. On the other hand, if you are going | :09:03. | :09:06. | |
to be his best friend, you don't have to give a running commentary on | :09:07. | :09:12. | |
every major thing he does. Yeah. We have learned a bit about Theresa | :09:13. | :09:17. | |
May, that when she has to produce a set piece speech which she has time | :09:18. | :09:22. | |
to prepare, she can get it totally right and sometimes more than right. | :09:23. | :09:27. | |
When she is faced with a fast-moving story, she is leaden footed and | :09:28. | :09:36. | |
can't think quickly on her feet. We know, did she regret not saying | :09:37. | :09:40. | |
more? Evidently she did, because we got a statement from the Downing | :09:41. | :09:44. | |
Street spokesperson saying more. So she can't think quickly. She's going | :09:45. | :09:48. | |
to have to think very quickly in response to some of the things he's | :09:49. | :09:50. | |
going to be doing, because she will be asked about it all the time. It | :09:51. | :09:56. | |
does highlight the wider danger that the assumption that the special | :09:57. | :10:01. | |
relationship is always a safe and fertile place to be has been proven | :10:02. | :10:04. | |
wrong before and I think it will be proven wrong big-time in this case. | :10:05. | :10:10. | |
You're shaking your head. I don't see why we are responsible for | :10:11. | :10:14. | |
American domestic policy. I am as appalled as the next person by what | :10:15. | :10:18. | |
Donald Trump has done. He said he was going to do this, which was why | :10:19. | :10:24. | |
I did not want Americans to vote for him. In fact, what he has | :10:25. | :10:27. | |
implemented is much less than what he said he would do when he was | :10:28. | :10:32. | |
campaigning. I have always felt that the campaigning Trump was the real | :10:33. | :10:38. | |
Trump. But what he has done is actually constitutional. He has the | :10:39. | :10:41. | |
executive power to issue this order. It is within the rules in terms of a | :10:42. | :10:46. | |
class of aliens deemed to be a risk to the United States. It is a 90 day | :10:47. | :10:51. | |
limited ban. The last president who did this was a Democrat president, | :10:52. | :10:57. | |
President Carter. He did it in the aftermath of the Iranian crisis. | :10:58. | :11:01. | |
Well, given the spate of terror attacks on American territory in | :11:02. | :11:04. | |
recent years, you could argue that he meant well. I don't agree with | :11:05. | :11:12. | |
Donald Trump. But have people from these countries that he has banned | :11:13. | :11:16. | |
been involved in terrorist attacks? That is the absurdity. He has not | :11:17. | :11:21. | |
included Egypt or Pakistan. But I don't remove everyone getting in | :11:22. | :11:25. | |
such a state about President Carter. The reality is that it is a legal | :11:26. | :11:28. | |
thing for him to do. I don't like it. But it is not my territory. It | :11:29. | :11:38. | |
is illegal, because they have been given a right to remain by a judge | :11:39. | :11:43. | |
in Brooklyn and another judging Alexandra. That is a different issue | :11:44. | :11:47. | |
for people who have already gone through the vetting. I don't agree | :11:48. | :11:53. | |
with this. However, I don't think it's reasonable to say that Theresa | :11:54. | :11:57. | |
May, because she wants to do a deal with Donald Trump, I don't give is | :11:58. | :12:03. | |
reasonable to say she have to agree with each of his policies. It is | :12:04. | :12:08. | |
nonsense. But the issue, Janan, is not whether she needs to agree with | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
him. The question is that she will be questioned about him all the time | :12:14. | :12:18. | |
now. And although these are matters of domestic policy, the refugee | :12:19. | :12:22. | |
policy is international. They speak to issues that affect Britain as | :12:23. | :12:28. | |
well, and I would suggest that she will not get away with this | :12:29. | :12:32. | |
anonymous statement from Downing Street. People will demand a she | :12:33. | :12:37. | |
says something on the record. She would get away with it indefinitely. | :12:38. | :12:40. | |
These situations will recur every time Donald Trump says or does | :12:41. | :12:45. | |
something contentious. She will be pressed to this associate her | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
administration from his. She will probably be in a better logistical | :12:50. | :12:54. | |
situation to do so. She has spent a big chunk of the past 72 hours in | :12:55. | :12:58. | |
the air. She flew from Washington to Ankara, than from Ankara to London. | :12:59. | :13:03. | |
We don't have Air Force One, we don't have those frictionless | :13:04. | :13:05. | |
communications with the ground. She would have been incommunicado for | :13:06. | :13:10. | |
large periods of time when this story was breaking. That doesn't | :13:11. | :13:14. | |
excuse the stiff response when she landed and issued a statement via | :13:15. | :13:18. | |
Downing Street. But during that delay, she did have a plausible | :13:19. | :13:22. | |
excuse. She has also got a much more tricky geopolitical situation than | :13:23. | :13:26. | |
many other world leaders. She has to strike a favourable trade deal with | :13:27. | :13:31. | |
the new US president. It is all very well people saying Justin Trudeau of | :13:32. | :13:34. | |
Canada was much more vociferous in his criticism of Donald Trump. He is | :13:35. | :13:38. | |
already in Nafta, he is not striking a new deal. For how long, we don't | :13:39. | :13:44. | |
know. Exactly, he's trying to stay in Nafta, but he is in a less tricky | :13:45. | :13:46. | |
situation than she is. Now, Theresa May's was the first | :13:47. | :13:50. | |
foreign leader to meet President Trump and the visit | :13:51. | :13:53. | |
was seen as quite a coup for the Prime Minister, | :13:54. | :13:55. | |
keen for a new trading relationship with the United States | :13:56. | :13:58. | |
in the wake of Brexit. The Prime Minister congratulated | :13:59. | :14:00. | |
the new US President for his "stunning election victory" | :14:01. | :14:02. | |
but might not have intended to be pictured walking | :14:03. | :14:04. | |
through the White House with him That picture of Donald Trump helping | :14:05. | :14:07. | |
Theresa May down the steps through the White House colonnade | :14:08. | :14:11. | |
will be the enduring image Mrs May said the President | :14:12. | :14:14. | |
told her he was "100% behind Nato". And for her part, the Prime Minister | :14:15. | :14:22. | |
said she would work hard to make sure other Nato countries | :14:23. | :14:25. | |
increased their defence spending It's been announced | :14:26. | :14:29. | |
that there will be a new trade negotiation agreement, | :14:30. | :14:35. | |
with high-level talks The hope is that this will lead | :14:36. | :14:36. | |
to a new trade deal between the two countries as soon as | :14:37. | :14:42. | |
Britain leaves the EU. Mr Trump said he believed "Brexit's | :14:43. | :14:46. | |
going to be a wonderful thing". On Russia, Theresa May made clear | :14:47. | :14:49. | |
to Donald Trump her continued | :14:50. | :14:52. | |
backing for sanctions. And following the controversy over | :14:53. | :14:57. | |
the President's support for torture, Mr Trump said he would defer | :14:58. | :15:00. | |
to his Secretary of Defense, General James Mattis, who argues | :15:01. | :15:02. | |
that the practice doesn't work. And I'm joined now by the former | :15:03. | :15:06. | |
Ukip leader, Nigel Farage. Do you agree with Mr Trump's | :15:07. | :15:22. | |
decision to ban Syrian refugees indefinitely from entering the | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
United States? I agree with the concept of democracy, a point which | :15:27. | :15:30. | |
appears to be missed by almost all commentators including the BBC. He | :15:31. | :15:35. | |
was elected to get tough and say he would do everything in his power to | :15:36. | :15:38. | |
protect America from infiltration by ISIS terrorists. There are seven | :15:39. | :15:46. | |
countries on that list. He's entitled to do this. I didn't ask if | :15:47. | :15:52. | |
he was entitled, I asked if agree with it. I do, because if you just | :15:53. | :15:58. | |
look at what's happening in France and Germany, if you look at Angela | :15:59. | :16:02. | |
Merkel's policy which was to allow virtually anyone in from anywhere, | :16:03. | :16:08. | |
look what it led to. You said in 2013 there's a responsibility on all | :16:09. | :16:11. | |
of us in the free west to help some of those people fleeing Syria | :16:12. | :16:17. | |
literally in fear of their lives. That's the Christian community in | :16:18. | :16:21. | |
virtually all of those country, it is almost too late because many have | :16:22. | :16:25. | |
been wiped out but if you are looking for a genuine definition of | :16:26. | :16:30. | |
a refugee, going back to 1951, it is someone in direct fear of | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
persecution of their life because of their race, religion or beliefs. But | :16:36. | :16:39. | |
you didn't talk about only Christians, and in January 2014 you | :16:40. | :16:43. | |
said, I seem to recall it was Ukip who started the debate on allowing | :16:44. | :16:47. | |
Syrian refugees, you seem to be in favour of allowing proper refugees | :16:48. | :16:54. | |
into this country. If they can be defined. Mr Trump won't let any in. | :16:55. | :17:02. | |
He is running American policy, not British policy. Since I made those | :17:03. | :17:06. | |
comments, we have had the Angela Merkel madness and I think Trump's | :17:07. | :17:11. | |
policy in many ways has been shaped by what Angela Merkel did. He is | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
fully entitled to do this, and as far as we are concerned in this | :17:17. | :17:19. | |
country, I would like to see extreme vetting. Since 9/11 can you name any | :17:20. | :17:28. | |
terrorist event in the United States that has involved refugees that have | :17:29. | :17:33. | |
been allowed into the country? No, in fact the terrorist events have | :17:34. | :17:38. | |
been US citizens radicalised. When you have a problem already, why | :17:39. | :17:43. | |
would you wish to add to it? I would remind you that of the eight people | :17:44. | :17:46. | |
that committed those atrocities in Paris, five of them had got into | :17:47. | :17:50. | |
Europe posing as refugees so there is an issue here. But perhaps not | :17:51. | :17:56. | |
for America because it has the most rigorous and lengthy screening | :17:57. | :17:59. | |
process in the world, especially for Syrians. You have to register with | :18:00. | :18:04. | |
the UN agency for refugees, which then recommend certain names to | :18:05. | :18:09. | |
America, they then go through biometric screening, database | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
screening, intelligent screenings, including four separate intelligence | :18:13. | :18:23. | |
agencies screening you. How more rigorous would you want it to be? It | :18:24. | :18:31. | |
is much more rigorous than we are or the rest of Europe. This is why we | :18:32. | :18:35. | |
have elections, so voters can make choices and they voted for Donald | :18:36. | :18:37. | |
Trump to become president and he said he would put bans in place and | :18:38. | :18:44. | |
then move towards extreme vetting. As far as the Syrians are concerned | :18:45. | :18:47. | |
he's made that decision but that's what he was voted in fourth. Since | :18:48. | :18:54. | |
you know him, you have met him, you are confident of his, I'm testing | :18:55. | :18:59. | |
you on the logic of it. Not that he's democratically elected, I'm not | :19:00. | :19:03. | |
asking about that, I'm trying to get the case, particularly since if you | :19:04. | :19:06. | |
take the seven countries of which the ban applies for 19 days, again, | :19:07. | :19:13. | |
of these seven countries, its citizens have not been involved in | :19:14. | :19:16. | |
terrorist attacks in the United States. It would be a mistake to say | :19:17. | :19:20. | |
it is just Muslim countries because the biggest Muslim countries in the | :19:21. | :19:23. | |
world have not been included in this. The point is they have made | :19:24. | :19:27. | |
this assessment, they bought themselves 90 days to think about | :19:28. | :19:32. | |
the policy. This is exactly what Trump's voters would have wanted him | :19:33. | :19:39. | |
to do. You said the President's rhetoric on immigrants made even you | :19:40. | :19:43. | |
feel very uncomfortable. Because he started by saying there was a total | :19:44. | :19:47. | |
ban, then amended it to say there would be vetting. My guess is that | :19:48. | :19:52. | |
what he will do is try to genuinely help Syrian people and he will be | :19:53. | :19:56. | |
talking about the creation of some safe zones. Let's see. He hasn't. We | :19:57. | :20:04. | |
will see. I suspect something like that is coming down the trap. What | :20:05. | :20:09. | |
advice did you give to the president and his advisers ahead of Theresa | :20:10. | :20:16. | |
May's visit? That I wanted us to talk about trade and to give the | :20:17. | :20:19. | |
Prime Minister the impression that actually... When she has been | :20:20. | :20:23. | |
surrounded by her whole career by civil servants and politicians who | :20:24. | :20:29. | |
say that everything takes five years or seven years or ten years, to make | :20:30. | :20:32. | |
it clear to the Prime Minister that if there is will, these things can | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
be done quickly. Isn't there a danger of a British Prime Minister | :20:37. | :20:40. | |
who has to deal with the president of the United States, to Ally | :20:41. | :20:46. | |
herself so closely with such an unpredictable, controversial | :20:47. | :20:51. | |
president, banning Muslims in certain ways and refugees, building | :20:52. | :20:56. | |
a war with Mexico, threatening trade was with other countries, thinking | :20:57. | :21:00. | |
of ending sanctions against Russia? I missing something here, what is | :21:01. | :21:05. | |
controversial about defending the Mexican border? Bill Clinton spoke | :21:06. | :21:10. | |
in tough terms, George Bush built six miles of fence, and because it | :21:11. | :21:14. | |
is Donald Trump there is uproar. So you think there is no risk of the | :21:15. | :21:18. | |
British by Minister being the best friend of this type of president? I | :21:19. | :21:22. | |
think there is no risk in putting together a trade deal and no risk in | :21:23. | :21:26. | |
her being the bridge between America and the rest of Nato to say to Nato | :21:27. | :21:30. | |
members if you don't pay your 2% he is serious so on those things there | :21:31. | :21:36. | |
is no risk at all. It was clear from her Lancaster house speech that the | :21:37. | :21:41. | |
Brexiteers in the Government had won pretty much every argument in terms | :21:42. | :21:44. | |
of negotiations to come out. What you want from her? She was very good | :21:45. | :21:52. | |
as Home Secretary, Tory party conferences, the Tory press saying | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
this was the new Thatcher and she failed. She even failed to control | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
immigration from outside the European Union so yes, it was a good | :22:02. | :22:04. | |
speech and for many on the Eurosceptic side of the argument, I | :22:05. | :22:09. | |
could scarcely believe that a British Prime Minister was saying | :22:10. | :22:12. | |
things which I had been roundly abused and vilified for. But I have | :22:13. | :22:19. | |
a feeling we may be in for a very frustrating 2017. The mood as I can | :22:20. | :22:22. | |
see it in Brussels is that negotiating with Britain is not a | :22:23. | :22:27. | |
priority, they are far more worried about Dutch elections, French | :22:28. | :22:31. | |
elections, German elections and possibly even Italian elections. I | :22:32. | :22:36. | |
worry that by the end of this year we may not have made much progress | :22:37. | :22:39. | |
and that's why the Trump visit suddenly things brings into focus. | :22:40. | :22:46. | |
What if by the middle of June, for argument 's sake, the Americans say | :22:47. | :22:50. | |
OK we reached this position with the British, compromised on the tough | :22:51. | :22:53. | |
stuff, food standards and things like that, we are ready to sign a | :22:54. | :23:00. | |
deal now, and Theresa May is to say actually Mr Juncker says I cannot | :23:01. | :23:04. | |
sign this until we leave. What will they do? They cannot throw us out, | :23:05. | :23:09. | |
we are living anyway. But everybody agrees you can talk about the deal, | :23:10. | :23:13. | |
maybe even do the heads of agreement but you cannot sign a treaty until | :23:14. | :23:18. | |
we have left the EU. Let me predict that at the end of this year we will | :23:19. | :23:22. | |
find a European Union who frankly don't want to talk to us and | :23:23. | :23:26. | |
countries around the world that want to get on and do things and that | :23:27. | :23:30. | |
will be the big tension for Mrs May over the course of this year. If the | :23:31. | :23:35. | |
Prime Minister is giving you everything you want on Brexit, you | :23:36. | :23:39. | |
agree that she's trying to get from your point of view the right things. | :23:40. | :23:43. | |
If she delivers on that and get Brexit on the terms of which you | :23:44. | :23:48. | |
approve, what's the point of Ukip? You could argue that about any | :23:49. | :23:52. | |
political party. If we have achieved the goal that we set out to achieve, | :23:53. | :23:58. | |
there are right now out there 4 million people who are Ukip | :23:59. | :24:01. | |
loyalists. They are delighted that by voting Ukip we got a referendum, | :24:02. | :24:07. | |
they will be even happier if they seek us leave the European Union and | :24:08. | :24:11. | |
I think there is still a gap in British politics for a party that | :24:12. | :24:15. | |
says it as it sees it, is not afraid by political correctness and is seen | :24:16. | :24:18. | |
to be on the side of the little people, and that's why, with the | :24:19. | :24:23. | |
Labour Party is fundamentally split, and it really is totally split over | :24:24. | :24:28. | |
this European question, I think Ukip is in good shape. That proposition | :24:29. | :24:33. | |
will be put to test at the Stoke Central by-election, one of Ukip's | :24:34. | :24:38. | |
best prospects in the country. Some people call it the capital of | :24:39. | :24:42. | |
Brexit. Labour is in chaos over Article 50, is picked a candidate to | :24:43. | :24:48. | |
fight Stoke Central who has described Brexit is a pile of notes. | :24:49. | :24:57. | |
If your successor, Paul Nuttall, cannot win the Stoke by-election, | :24:58. | :25:01. | |
there's not much hope for you, is there? I think he will. I've always | :25:02. | :25:05. | |
been told don't make predictions but I think he will win. If you doesn't | :25:06. | :25:12. | |
it will be tough, we will still have our 4 million loyalists, but if it | :25:13. | :25:17. | |
does we can actually see Labour are beatable in their heartlands and | :25:18. | :25:21. | |
Ukip will be off to the second big stage. Nigel Farage, thank you for | :25:22. | :25:23. | |
being with us. It's just gone 11.25, | :25:24. | :25:25. | |
you're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers | :25:26. | :25:27. | |
in Scotland, who leave us now Coming up here in 15 minutes, I'll | :25:28. | :25:29. | |
be talking to our political panel. Welcome to the Sunday | :25:30. | :25:40. | |
politics in the Midlands. This week, the hard realities | :25:41. | :25:43. | |
of a hard Brexit for our farmers. Fears for the future | :25:44. | :25:47. | |
of their businesses if the subsidies they depend on are no longer | :25:48. | :25:50. | |
guaranteed by the European Union. Emma Reynolds is the Labour MP | :25:51. | :25:54. | |
for Wolverhampton North East and a former Shadow Minister | :25:55. | :26:02. | |
for Europe and Nigel Huddlestone is the Conservative MP | :26:03. | :26:06. | |
for mid-Worcestershire, which of course includes | :26:07. | :26:09. | |
the Vale of Evesham. That Brexit Bill, all 133 words | :26:10. | :26:11. | |
of it, is on the fast track with a white paper that | :26:12. | :26:22. | |
could presumably be cut and pasted from Theresa May's | :26:23. | :26:24. | |
keynote speech last week. And all because the Supreme Court | :26:25. | :26:27. | |
ruled by a majority of eight to three that Parliament must | :26:28. | :26:31. | |
have its say before she can That was a defeat for | :26:32. | :26:34. | |
the government's top law officer. The Attorney General had | :26:35. | :26:39. | |
done his best to persuade the judges that Mrs made good | :26:40. | :26:41. | |
use her executive powers instead. the judges that Mrs May could use | :26:42. | :26:49. | |
her executive powers instead. Of course the government | :26:50. | :26:52. | |
is disappointed with the outcome but we have the good fortune to live | :26:53. | :26:54. | |
in a country where everyone, every individual, every | :26:55. | :26:57. | |
organisation, even government, So the government will comply | :26:58. | :26:59. | |
with the judgment of the court and do all that is necessary | :27:00. | :27:04. | |
to implement it. Well, it will be interesting to see | :27:05. | :27:07. | |
how many Labour MPs obey Jeremy Corbyn's three line whip | :27:08. | :27:14. | |
in support of the government's Brexit timetable when it comes | :27:15. | :27:16. | |
to that vote in the Commons and Emma, you have always been | :27:17. | :27:19. | |
a very enthusiastic European and are you going to vote for that | :27:20. | :27:22. | |
Brexit schedule? I did campaign for remaining | :27:23. | :27:25. | |
in the EU but I accept the result of the referendum and I will be | :27:26. | :27:30. | |
voting for the Article 50 legislation to trigger | :27:31. | :27:34. | |
the negotiations for us Are you one of the Labour MPs | :27:35. | :27:39. | |
then who Tim Farron, the Liberal Democrat leader, | :27:40. | :27:44. | |
has in mind when he says that Labour Well, I don't think it's cowardly | :27:45. | :27:47. | |
to respect the will of the people. I went into this referendum | :27:48. | :27:51. | |
and in every debate I did I said I would accept the result, | :27:52. | :27:54. | |
whichever way it went. Democratically, I don't | :27:55. | :27:57. | |
think Tim Farren has It does have the makings, this, | :27:58. | :28:00. | |
of another leadership crisis We have to stand by the result | :28:01. | :28:04. | |
of the referendum and the priority now is that MPs have a meaningful | :28:05. | :28:10. | |
say in securing the best possible deal for the UK | :28:11. | :28:13. | |
in these negotiations. Nigel, what would you say | :28:14. | :28:18. | |
to Pat McFadden, one of Emma's Wolverhampton colleagues | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
who knows a thing or two about Europe, too, and he says that | :28:23. | :28:25. | |
reminding Theresa May that no deal is a better bet than a bad deal | :28:26. | :28:30. | |
and he said that no deal option, the World Trade Organisation | :28:31. | :28:34. | |
version, would be 10% tariffs on cars, import restrictions, | :28:35. | :28:39. | |
customs delays and all I think it underlines how important | :28:40. | :28:41. | |
it is that we do get a good deal and therefore the whole energy | :28:42. | :28:46. | |
of the government is making sure But she's raising the possibility | :28:47. | :28:49. | |
of a no deal option, which would turn us into some kind | :28:50. | :28:54. | |
of a tiger economy I think that's a negotiation stance | :28:55. | :28:57. | |
that is not surprising. I think lots of people make those | :28:58. | :29:01. | |
kind of position statement early on. No, it's not meaningless | :29:02. | :29:04. | |
but it is important to make it clear that we do have alternative options | :29:05. | :29:08. | |
but it would be an extraordinary act of self harm for the EU not to come | :29:09. | :29:11. | |
to a decent deal with us because they have got jobs | :29:12. | :29:15. | |
and businesses that depend on trade with the UK as well, | :29:16. | :29:17. | |
so we are confident Sean Simon, Labour's candidate | :29:18. | :29:20. | |
for the Metro Mayor, whose launch event you chaired ten | :29:21. | :29:23. | |
days or so ago says that the Midlands as a region should | :29:24. | :29:27. | |
have a seat at those Is that really realistic given that | :29:28. | :29:30. | |
Scotland and all the rest of the nations, but the Midlands | :29:31. | :29:36. | |
is only a region? Well, many of our regions | :29:37. | :29:38. | |
have a greater population than Scotland or Wales | :29:39. | :29:41. | |
or Northern Ireland, so I think it's absolutely right | :29:42. | :29:44. | |
that we in this regions should be so I think it's absolutely right | :29:45. | :29:55. | |
that English regions should be consulted and should | :29:56. | :29:57. | |
have a seat at the table. Well, we are because we are all MPs | :29:58. | :29:59. | |
and we are all involved in the discussion so I'm not sure | :30:00. | :30:04. | |
whether we need this additional regional representation | :30:05. | :30:07. | |
because we are MPs representing our OK for the moment, thank | :30:08. | :30:08. | |
you both very much indeed. Well, that's what one local farmer | :30:09. | :30:12. | |
told me just before the referendum. "Because they'll burn the place | :30:13. | :30:16. | |
down if anyone messes So, what happens when we leave | :30:17. | :30:19. | |
the European Union Common Well, one Shropshire farmer | :30:20. | :30:23. | |
told our political reporter Joanne Gallagher that it | :30:24. | :30:26. | |
could see him out of business. Newborn lambs, a sign of fresh | :30:27. | :30:31. | |
starts and new beginnings but for this farmer, | :30:32. | :30:34. | |
the future's a worry. Malcolm Roberts exports his produce | :30:35. | :30:37. | |
to France, Italy, Spain and Germany. In fact, 40% of UK | :30:38. | :30:41. | |
lamb goes to Europe. He voted to Remain in | :30:42. | :30:46. | |
the European Union and he's concerned Brexit could make things | :30:47. | :30:49. | |
difficult down on the farm. Our business needs sound | :30:50. | :30:54. | |
economic growth and you know at my time in life, probably, | :30:55. | :30:58. | |
I hate to say it but, you know, if we are messing around | :30:59. | :31:03. | |
with our business for the next 15 or 20 years, that's probably | :31:04. | :31:07. | |
going to be my career done and I just felt we needed a strong | :31:08. | :31:10. | |
economy and to keep going forward. The message from government | :31:11. | :31:15. | |
is everything will be fine. I am determined that we secure | :31:16. | :31:18. | |
a deal on leaving the EU that works for all parts of the UK | :31:19. | :31:22. | |
and recognises the contribution that all corners of this country make | :31:23. | :31:27. | |
to our economic success. But it is not just the export | :31:28. | :31:31. | |
business that's a concern on this Farming accounts for around | :31:32. | :31:34. | |
?1 billion worth of business in this On farms like these, | :31:35. | :31:40. | |
farmers received around ?70 an acre in EU subsidies but with Brexit, | :31:41. | :31:47. | |
that money is likely to go. Leave campaigner Owen Paterson | :31:48. | :31:50. | |
is the MP for this area. He says farmers like Malcolm have | :31:51. | :31:59. | |
nothing to fear from Brexit. They have a wonderful opportunity | :32:00. | :32:03. | |
to help design a completely new rural policy tailored | :32:04. | :32:08. | |
around their industry And that's multiple opportunities | :32:09. | :32:11. | |
now to use significant funds of money, don't forget we will have | :32:12. | :32:18. | |
more as we stop sending money to Brussels, | :32:19. | :32:21. | |
we will have more to spend. We can target that money in a much | :32:22. | :32:23. | |
more effective manner. Just 50 miles away in Staffordshire, | :32:24. | :32:26. | |
the atmosphere on this 500 acre beef and arable farm | :32:27. | :32:30. | |
is one of excitement. He wants to take back | :32:31. | :32:33. | |
control and he has no I don't think we need to be | :32:34. | :32:38. | |
in the club, as I used to call it. We are still in Europe, | :32:39. | :32:44. | |
we still farming in Europe, I still think in the future | :32:45. | :32:48. | |
we will be trading with Europe. There may be a stand-off for now, | :32:49. | :32:52. | |
but it is inevitable there will be locking of horns as ministers | :32:53. | :32:58. | |
try to get right the terms of Brexit And Joanne Gallagher | :32:59. | :33:02. | |
tells me that is the correct way to handle a lamb, | :33:03. | :33:10. | |
not so sure she's quite got the hang But Nigel, what would you say | :33:11. | :33:13. | |
to those farmers who are worried about their subsidies and who do | :33:14. | :33:19. | |
feel that the European Union, backed up by those militant French farmers, | :33:20. | :33:23. | |
is a better guarantor of those subsidies than the vagaries | :33:24. | :33:26. | |
of who knows how many future Well, the British government has | :33:27. | :33:30. | |
been clear that up until 2020 the subsidies will be the same | :33:31. | :33:38. | |
and of course it is very reasonable There will be a British | :33:39. | :33:41. | |
agricultural policy as opposed to a Common Agricultural Policy | :33:42. | :33:44. | |
after that and as Owen has said, the intention is to continue | :33:45. | :33:47. | |
with subsidies in some way, shape or form as has happened | :33:48. | :33:50. | |
across the other European countries We will continue and we have to work | :33:51. | :33:53. | |
out exactly what the details of that will be over the next few years | :33:54. | :34:08. | |
but it is incomprehensible that we would not continue with some | :34:09. | :34:11. | |
form of subsidy because we need And that is the point, isn't it, | :34:12. | :34:14. | |
such is the importance We had subsidies before we joined | :34:15. | :34:18. | |
the then common market since 1957, that's how important | :34:19. | :34:22. | |
it is to governments, I'm sure there will continue to be | :34:23. | :34:23. | |
subsidies but there is no guarantee Every individual farmer gets | :34:24. | :34:28. | |
a different level of subsidy depending on the size and efficiency | :34:29. | :34:31. | |
of their farm, so I can understand why quite a lot of farmers | :34:32. | :34:35. | |
are fearful of the uncertainty around exactly how much subsidy | :34:36. | :34:37. | |
they are going to get in the future. Farmers like Ray Bower there think | :34:38. | :34:40. | |
that leaving the EU could be an escape from red tape but we know | :34:41. | :34:43. | |
that British governments can regulate like nothing on earth | :34:44. | :34:46. | |
and you think about food hygiene, health and safety, land use, | :34:47. | :34:51. | |
there's going to be a lot of regulation of the farming | :34:52. | :34:55. | |
industry come what may, isn't there? There will continue to be some | :34:56. | :34:58. | |
regulations but I have come across a lot of farmers | :34:59. | :35:01. | |
like the gentleman who is very enthusiastic about leaving the EU | :35:02. | :35:04. | |
precisely because of this red tape issue but to be fair, | :35:05. | :35:07. | |
the NFU really agonised on the decision whether to Remain | :35:08. | :35:11. | |
on Leave in terms of their official announcement and I think | :35:12. | :35:14. | |
it was fairly representative what you've got there, | :35:15. | :35:16. | |
it's still fairly split. What's the balance of opinion | :35:17. | :35:18. | |
in your farming area because as I said, it does include | :35:19. | :35:20. | |
some of the sort of prime farm Interestingly, the farmers | :35:21. | :35:23. | |
I would say are predominantly Out but the farm production, | :35:24. | :35:26. | |
food packaging and so on who are actually very, | :35:27. | :35:29. | |
very strongly reliant on overseas labour, they were very strong | :35:30. | :35:32. | |
advocates of remaining in the EU. Do you have some sympathy | :35:33. | :35:37. | |
for what Owen Paterson said there that, you know, | :35:38. | :35:40. | |
better that we have a British government legislating for British | :35:41. | :35:42. | |
farmers with the interests of our environment, our industry | :35:43. | :35:45. | |
at heart rather than something just As I said, there is no guarantee | :35:46. | :35:49. | |
that farmers are going to get Some might get more but they are | :35:50. | :36:01. | |
also worried about tariffs because if the Prime Minister | :36:02. | :36:06. | |
and the government doesn't secure tariff free access, | :36:07. | :36:08. | |
if we do have to fall back under WTO rules and tariffs, the average food | :36:09. | :36:14. | |
tariff is around 12%. That could make our farming | :36:15. | :36:17. | |
industry very uncompetitive because as you said in your film, | :36:18. | :36:19. | |
40% of British lamb this other EU because as you said in your film, | :36:20. | :36:23. | |
40% of British lamb goes to other EU countries and there will be similar | :36:24. | :36:26. | |
figures for other foodstuff as well, foodstuff as well, so, | :36:27. | :36:29. | |
you know, there are some real fears Again, it will depend what happens | :36:30. | :36:32. | |
and it will depend what happens on tariffs coming into the UK | :36:33. | :36:39. | |
as well and that remains to be seen. Food prices would worry | :36:40. | :36:43. | |
people if they go up. Well they would, which is why | :36:44. | :36:45. | |
we want to have a free trade deal if at all possible and we should | :36:46. | :36:51. | |
be able to get that. We export ?7 billion of food | :36:52. | :36:54. | |
and non-alcohol beverages but we import ?21 billion, | :36:55. | :36:56. | |
so again it is in the European's best interest to get | :36:57. | :36:59. | |
a good, food deal. best interest to get | :37:00. | :37:02. | |
a good, fluid deal. Well, it's a shorter programme today | :37:03. | :37:04. | |
but we do still have a full 60 seconds to spare for our round-up | :37:05. | :37:11. | |
of the week's political highlights. The families of the victims | :37:12. | :37:13. | |
of the Birmingham pub bombings have been told by the government they can | :37:14. | :37:17. | |
now apply for legal aid ahead of the inquest into the deaths | :37:18. | :37:21. | |
of the 21 who were killed. The Royal College of Surgeons has | :37:22. | :37:24. | |
criticised plans to ration hip and knee replacement | :37:25. | :37:27. | |
operations in Worcestershire. Clinical Commissioning Groups | :37:28. | :37:29. | |
in Redditch and Bromsgrove, South Worcestershire and Wye Forest | :37:30. | :37:32. | |
want to save money by cutting the number | :37:33. | :37:34. | |
of procedures carried out. Children's services | :37:35. | :37:37. | |
in Worcestershire have Ofsted criticised serious | :37:38. | :37:39. | |
failures in the Department. On Monday, the writ | :37:40. | :37:44. | |
was moved in the Commons Conservatives have named 25 year | :37:45. | :37:48. | |
old City Councillor Jack Brereton as their candidate and Labour has | :37:49. | :37:59. | |
elected former Newcastle-under-Lyme Council leader Gareth Snell to fight | :38:00. | :38:01. | |
the seat vacated by Tristram Hunt. I'm very confident that Labour | :38:02. | :38:04. | |
will win the election. We have got a plan, we know | :38:05. | :38:06. | |
what we're going to do, we're going to be out talking | :38:07. | :38:09. | |
to people and we're going to be putting forward the case | :38:10. | :38:12. | |
that it is the Labour Party that Nominations for Stoke Central close | :38:13. | :38:15. | |
on Tuesday and for more details about all the candidates so far | :38:16. | :38:21. | |
declared, go to the BBC Your candidate Emma has got quite | :38:22. | :38:25. | |
an interesting Twitter history because when Owen Smith | :38:26. | :38:30. | |
was challenging for the leadership he supported him and Owen Smith | :38:31. | :38:34. | |
was being targeted as a former Pfizer lobbyist and he said well, | :38:35. | :38:37. | |
if that's fair game, it's OK to call Jeremy Corbyn an IRA | :38:38. | :38:41. | |
supporting friend of Hamas. So it's all not it is at least | :38:42. | :38:45. | |
weakness and light, is it? So it's all not it is not | :38:46. | :38:56. | |
sweetness and light, is it? Well, Gareth is an | :38:57. | :38:59. | |
excellent candidate. He has roots in the constituency, | :39:00. | :39:01. | |
unlike some of the other candidates, He also has a relevant local | :39:02. | :39:04. | |
political experience, used to be the leader of Newcastle | :39:05. | :39:07. | |
Council. And he's no fan of your party leader | :39:08. | :39:09. | |
either by the looks of it. He is already talking | :39:10. | :39:12. | |
about his priorities for Stoke, which is protecting the potteries, | :39:13. | :39:14. | |
making sure that we get the best possible Brexit deal for them | :39:15. | :39:17. | |
and making sure we protect workers' rights at the same time, | :39:18. | :39:20. | |
so he's focusing on local issues. This is a local by-election | :39:21. | :39:22. | |
and I hope very much that Gareth Obviously Labour want this | :39:23. | :39:25. | |
by-election to be NHS central and given your run of embarrassing, | :39:26. | :39:29. | |
including the breaking news on Friday from your county | :39:30. | :39:31. | |
about rationing of hip and knee replacement surgery, | :39:32. | :39:34. | |
you're on the back foot on health every time you stand | :39:35. | :39:36. | |
for an election, your party. Well, I don't think we're | :39:37. | :39:39. | |
on the back that all the time. Well, I don't think we're | :39:40. | :39:43. | |
on the back foot all the time. We are putting more money | :39:44. | :39:46. | |
into health but obviously we have got to work on operations and make | :39:47. | :39:49. | |
sure that we've run a very efficient health service as well, | :39:50. | :39:52. | |
so we have got a good case to say that we are standing up for the NHS | :39:53. | :39:55. | |
and I hope that continues. You should get behind Ukip, really, | :39:56. | :39:58. | |
shouldn't you as the best chance Not at all, we fight | :39:59. | :40:01. | |
by-elections to win them. On that happy note, we will see how | :40:02. | :40:04. | |
that turns out as well. My thanks to Emma Reynolds | :40:05. | :40:08. | |
and Nigel Huddlestone. Well, finally from me, | :40:09. | :40:10. | |
are buses few and far between? On Tuesday, the Transport Secretary | :40:11. | :40:13. | |
Chris Grayling will be steering his Local Bus Partnership Bill | :40:14. | :40:16. | |
in the Commons. Also on Tuesday Solihull's | :40:17. | :40:17. | |
Conservative MP Julian Knight opens a debate on measures for elderly | :40:18. | :40:19. | |
and disabled bus passengers. There you are, two debates | :40:20. | :40:22. | |
coming along at once. Welcome back and let's get back | :40:23. | :40:30. | |
to Donald Trump's travel ban on refugees and citizens from seven | :40:31. | :40:44. | |
mainly Muslim countries. Earlier, the Labour leader, | :40:45. | :40:49. | |
Jeremy Corbyn, told ITV that a state visit by President Trump to the UK | :40:50. | :40:52. | |
should not go ahead I think it would be totally wrong | :40:53. | :41:05. | |
for him to be coming here while that situation is going on. He has to be | :41:06. | :41:10. | |
challenged on this. So until the ban is lifted, you don't think he should | :41:11. | :41:14. | |
come? I am not happy about him coming here until the ban is lifted. | :41:15. | :41:18. | |
Look at what is happening with those countries. What will be the long | :41:19. | :41:23. | |
term effect of this on the rest of the world? Is this state visit going | :41:24. | :41:28. | |
to become a matter of huge political debate in this country? It would be | :41:29. | :41:34. | |
anyway, but it is a temporary ban, so Jeremy Corbyn is on safe | :41:35. | :41:38. | |
territory. It will be over by April and he is not due to come until | :41:39. | :41:42. | |
summer. But there are three bands. There is the 90 day ban on people | :41:43. | :41:47. | |
coming from the southern countries. There is the 120 day ban on refugees | :41:48. | :41:51. | |
from anywhere in the world, and there is the indefinite ban on | :41:52. | :41:55. | |
Syrian refugees. So there may still be some bans in place. But bear in | :41:56. | :42:01. | |
mind the number of Syrian refugees and refugees from around the world | :42:02. | :42:05. | |
that President Obama took over his eight years. There were years when | :42:06. | :42:08. | |
it was not even up to 50 Syrian refugees that were taken since the | :42:09. | :42:14. | |
civil war has started. This is an ongoing American policy. 12,500 | :42:15. | :42:19. | |
Syrian refugees have come in the last year. Before that, it was a | :42:20. | :42:28. | |
hundred and sometimes under 50. But they are reasonable numbers now, | :42:29. | :42:31. | |
although not something America couldn't absorb. Donald Trump is | :42:32. | :42:38. | |
discovering that being a president is different from being a business | :42:39. | :42:41. | |
man. And Jeremy Corbyn has to learn the art of leadership, having been a | :42:42. | :42:45. | |
backbench MP, and has struggled to do it, as we are about to discuss | :42:46. | :42:50. | |
with article 50. With this, you have to dramatise the politics of this, | :42:51. | :42:54. | |
and this is what he has done with that statement. Most controversial | :42:55. | :42:58. | |
ever state visit now? I would imagine so. Even regardless of any | :42:59. | :43:03. | |
opposition from the opposition to trump's physical presence in the | :43:04. | :43:09. | |
streets, the presence of demonstrators will be an | :43:10. | :43:13. | |
international new story. If trump's demands for the details of the visit | :43:14. | :43:17. | |
are quite as extreme and as picky as some of the Sunday papers have | :43:18. | :43:20. | |
suggested, that could also be the source of controversy. What do you | :43:21. | :43:24. | |
have in mind? Isn't he anxious that only certain members of the Royal | :43:25. | :43:30. | |
Family turn up? He doesn't want a one-on-one with Prince Charles. Who | :43:31. | :43:35. | |
would, though! Some people may be sympathetic on that. It is the one | :43:36. | :43:42. | |
subject where he is in line with British opinion. Playing golf in | :43:43. | :43:46. | |
front of the Queen may be a higher priority. We have to be realistic. | :43:47. | :43:50. | |
Given the other people from around the world that the Queen has played | :43:51. | :43:53. | |
host to, like the Chinese president and Saudi kings and the like, we | :43:54. | :43:57. | |
have had a lot worse come to visit than Donald Trump. Brexit - how | :43:58. | :44:03. | |
serious our neighbour's problems on this? Very serious, but they often | :44:04. | :44:07. | |
are with Europe. Labour were splits when we joined in the 70s, and still | :44:08. | :44:14. | |
won general elections, in 1974 and 1975. There were all over the place | :44:15. | :44:17. | |
in terms of the single currency. Blair said one thing one day and the | :44:18. | :44:21. | |
opposite the next day. Brown did the same. | :44:22. | :44:27. | |
Brown usually set the opposite of what Blair said! They won landslide | :44:28. | :44:36. | |
because they have the political skills to put all of the pressure on | :44:37. | :44:40. | |
the major government, even though their position on the single | :44:41. | :44:44. | |
currency was the same as major's. It is about with Europe the art of | :44:45. | :44:49. | |
leadership. You have to be a political conjuror, you have to | :44:50. | :44:53. | |
dissemble authoritative leak when you lead a divided party over | :44:54. | :44:57. | |
Europe, and Jeremy Corbyn to his personal credit cannot dissemble, | :44:58. | :45:01. | |
but he's not an individual person on this. He's leading a split party in | :45:02. | :45:06. | |
danger of falling apart, and you need the skills of a political | :45:07. | :45:12. | |
conjurer. Clearly self-evidently he's not displaying it because we | :45:13. | :45:15. | |
are talking about the chaotic split which will manifest itself in that | :45:16. | :45:20. | |
vote on Article 50. Labour and the SNP and the Lib Dems too I would | :45:21. | :45:24. | |
have thought will all put amendments down to the short Article 50 piece | :45:25. | :45:28. | |
of legislation. Do they have any chance of succeeding? No substantial | :45:29. | :45:35. | |
world is changing amendments. I don't think Theresa May has much to | :45:36. | :45:39. | |
worry about actually. I think if anything the reason she's pushed the | :45:40. | :45:43. | |
legal appeal is that it helps her to have a big chunk of the media and a | :45:44. | :45:48. | |
big chunk of public opinion worrying that the popular will of last year | :45:49. | :45:53. | |
is in danger of being overturned and so even if it was a completely | :45:54. | :45:56. | |
hopeless legal appeal, it generated headlines for a week that as an | :45:57. | :46:01. | |
incumbent Prime Minister trying to execute believe vote suits you | :46:02. | :46:05. | |
politically. I think it is a much bigger problem for Labour, we've | :46:06. | :46:10. | |
already seen some Shadow Cabinet issues in the previous week. You | :46:11. | :46:14. | |
have got to remember it's not just a majority of Labour MPs that want to | :46:15. | :46:19. | |
stay in the European Union, but a majority of Labour constituencies, | :46:20. | :46:24. | |
and a majority of labour macro voters wanted to stay as well so we | :46:25. | :46:28. | |
have three lines of division. One amendment that might get through if | :46:29. | :46:32. | |
it was called, and it is in the hands of the Deputy speaker who will | :46:33. | :46:35. | |
be chairing these debates, and that will be an amendment that said | :46:36. | :46:40. | |
regardless of how the Europeans treat our citizens in Europe, all EU | :46:41. | :46:46. | |
citizens here will be afforded full rights to remain. That might get | :46:47. | :46:52. | |
through. It may indeed and lots of backbench MPs would backpack. We all | :46:53. | :46:58. | |
know there will not be mass deportations, it is not legal, it | :46:59. | :47:03. | |
won't happen, it is simply a negotiating tactic. I agree with | :47:04. | :47:07. | |
those who say you shouldn't be using people as a negotiating tactic, but | :47:08. | :47:11. | |
the reality as it is the EU leaders that are doing that because it's | :47:12. | :47:16. | |
already been offered. The remain as should be attacking the EU | :47:17. | :47:20. | |
governments for not offering that in return. Article 50 is the easy bit | :47:21. | :47:25. | |
for her. I agree with other members of the panel that she will get it | :47:26. | :47:28. | |
through and the court case almost helps her by getting an easy journey | :47:29. | :47:33. | |
through Parliament, then it gets really difficult. All of this has | :47:34. | :47:37. | |
been a preamble and once she begins that nightmarish negotiation, there | :47:38. | :47:43. | |
will be opportunities for a smart opposition to make quite a lot of | :47:44. | :47:49. | |
the turmoil to come. Whether Labour are capable of that, let's wait and | :47:50. | :47:55. | |
see. The divisions in Labour are nightmarish for them but by no means | :47:56. | :47:59. | |
unprecedented. Arguably it was much more complicated in the early 1970s | :48:00. | :48:04. | |
when you had Titans on either side, big ex-cabinet ministers... Tony | :48:05. | :48:12. | |
Benn... Michael Foot, they were all at it. The fundamental issue of in | :48:13. | :48:18. | |
or out, and they won two elections, so you have got to be really clever. | :48:19. | :48:25. | |
But also how money more Labour MPs will resign. We shall find out this | :48:26. | :48:26. | |
week. The Daily Politics is back | :48:27. | :48:28. | |
tomorrow at midday and all I'll be back here | :48:29. | :48:32. | |
on BBC one next week. Remember - if it's Sunday, | :48:33. | :48:35. | |
it's the Sunday Politics. a free five-a-side tournament | :48:36. | :49:09. | |
that's for everyone. For more information, | :49:10. | :49:23. | |
go to the Get Inspired website. | :49:24. | :49:27. |