29/06/2014 Sunday Politics West


29/06/2014

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No surprise that Mr Cameron didn't get his way at the European summit.

:00:37.:00:47.

But does it mean Britain has just moved closer to the EU exit?

:00:48.:00:50.

Doctors want to ban smoking outright.

:00:51.:00:54.

A sensible health measure or the health lobby's secret plan all

:00:55.:00:56.

And goodbye to the man who loves the EU. So Graham Watson is givhng his

:00:57.:01:27.

And with me, as always, the best and the brightest political

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panel in the business Nick Watt Helen Lewis and Janan Ganesh.

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They've had their usual cognac, or Juncker as it's known in

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Luxembourg, for breakfast and will be tweeting under the influence

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He's a boozing, chain-smoking, millionaire bon viveur who's made

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it big in the world of European politic.

:01:50.:01:51.

I speak of Jean-Claude Juncker, the former Prime Minister of Luxembourg

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He'll soon be President of the European Commission,

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He wasn't David Cameron's choice of course.

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But those the PM thought were his allies deserted him and he ended up

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on the wrong end of a 26-2 vote in favour of Arch-Fedrealist Juncker.

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-- on the wrong end of a 26-2 vote in favour of Arch-Federalist

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So where does this leave Mr Cameron's hopes

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of major reform and repatriation of EU powers back to the UK?

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Let's speak to his Europe Minister David Lidington

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Welcome to the programme. The Prime Minister says that now with Mr

:02:37.:02:43.

Juncker at the helm, the battle to keep Britain in the EU has got

:02:44.:02:46.

harder. In what way has it got harder? For two reasons. The

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majority of the leaders have accepted the process that shifts

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power, it will not careful, from the elected heads of government right

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cross Europe to the party bosses, the faction leaders in the European

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Parliament and and the disaffection was made clear in many European

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countries. Mr Juncker had a distinguished period as head of

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Luxembourg, and was not a known reformer, but we have to judge on

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how he leads the commission and there were some elements in the

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mandate that the heads of government gave this week to the new incoming

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European Commission that I think are cautiously encouraging for us. The

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Prime Minister talked about those that not everybody wants to

:03:37.:03:43.

integrate and to the same extent and speed. Let me just interrupt you.

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What is new about saying that Europe can go closer to closer union at

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different speeds? That has always been the case. It's nothing new

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Indeed there are precedents, and they are good examples of the

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approach as part of the course and one of the elements that the Prime

:04:12.:04:16.

Minister is taking forward in the strategy is to get general

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acceptance that while we agree that most of the partners have agreed to

:04:20.:04:25.

the single currency will want to press forward with closer

:04:26.:04:28.

integration of their economic and tax policies, but not every country

:04:29.:04:33.

in the EU is going to want to do that. We have to see the pattern

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that has grown up enough to recognise there is a diverse EU with

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28 member states and more in the future. We won't all integrate the

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extent. It is a matter of a pattern that is differentiation and

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integration. I understand that. John Major used to call it variable

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geometry, and other phrases nobody used to understand, but the point is

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that you're back benches don't want any union at any speed, even in the

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slow lane. They want to go in the other direction. It depends which

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backbencher you talk to. There's a diverse range of views. I think that

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there is acceptance that the core of the Prime Minister's approaches to

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seek reform of the European Union, for renegotiation after the

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election, then put it to the British people to decide. It won't be the

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British government or ministers that take the final decision, it's the

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British people, provided they are a Conservative government, who will

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take the decision on the basis of the reforms that David Cameron

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secures whether they want to stay in or not. Is there more of a chance,

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not a certainty or probability, but at least more of a chance that with

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Mr Juncker in that position of Britain leaving the EU? I don't

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think we can say that at the moment. I think we can say that the task of

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reform looks harder than it did a couple of weeks ago. But we have do

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put Mr Juncker to the test. I do think he would want his commission

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to be marked and I think that there is, and I find this in numbers

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around Europe, and there is a growing recognition that things

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cannot go on as they have been. Europe, economically, is in danger

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of losing a lot of ground will stop millions of youngsters are out of

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work already that reform. There is real anxiety and a number of

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countries now about the extent to which opinion polls and election

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results are showing a shift of support to both left and right wing

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parties, sometimes outright neofascist movements, expressing

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real content and resentment at Howard in touch -- how out of touch

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decisions have become. You say you are sensing anxiety about the

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condition of Europe, so why did they choose Mr Juncker then? You would

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have to put that question to some of the heads of European government.

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Clearly there were a number for whom domestic politics played a big role

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in the eventual decision that they took. There were some who had signed

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up to the lead candidate process and felt they could not back away from

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that, whatever their private feelings might have been, but I

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think the PM was right to say that this was a matter of principle and

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it shouldn't just be left as a stitch up by the European Parliament

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to tell us what they do. He said, I can't agree to pretend to acquiesce.

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They have to make the opposition clear that go on with reform. Are

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the current terms of membership for us unacceptable? The current terms

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of the membership are very far from perfect. Are they unacceptable? The

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current terms are certainly not ones that I feel comfortable with. The

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Prime Minister described them as unacceptable. Do you think they are?

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We look at the views of the British people at the moment. If you look at

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the polling at the moment, the evidence is that people are split on

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whether they think membership is a good thing. I'm asking what you

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think. David Cameron wants to in -- endorse changes in our interest but

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also because the biggest market is going to suffer if they don't

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challenge -- grasp the challenge of political and economic reform.

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Newsnight, Friday night, Malcolm Rifkind the former Secretary of

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State said to me that even if the choice was to stay in on the

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existing terms, he would vote to stay in on the existing terms. He

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doesn't necessarily like them, but he would vote to stay in. That is

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the authentic voice of the Foreign Office, isn't it? That is the

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position of your department. Is it your position? Malcolm Rifkind is a

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distinguished and independent minded backbencher. He's not in government

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now. But that is your position. No, the position of the government and

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the Conservative Party in the government is that we believe that

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important changes, both economic and political reforms, are necessary and

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that they are attainable in our interest and those of Europe as a

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whole. Would you vote to stay in on the existing terms? That's not going

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to be a question that the referendum. Really? I know that in

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2017 Europe is going to look rather different to how it looks today For

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one thing our colleagues in the Eurozone will want and need to press

:09:54.:09:55.

ahead with closer integration. That, in our view, needs to be done

:09:56.:10:00.

in a way that fully respects the rights of those of us who remain

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outside. Variable geometry, tackling things like the abuse of freedom of

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migration. Those are all in the conclusions from the leader this

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week and we should welcome that Very briefly, finally, when will

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you, as a government, give us the negotiating position of the

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government? Will you give us what you hope to achieve before the

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election or not? David Cameron set out very clearly in his Bloomberg

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speech that he wanted a Europe that was more democratically accountable,

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more flexible, more at it -- economically competitive. That is

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all very general. When will you lay out the negotiating position? It's

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not general. It is very far from general. We have seen evidence in

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the successful cut of the European budget, the reform of fisheries

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those reforms have started to take effect. We have won some victories

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and I'm sure the Prime Minister as we get towards the general election,

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will want to make clear what the Conservative Party position is, and

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perhaps other political leaders will do the same for their party. Thank

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you for joining us this morning The harsh reality of this is that there

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is a yawning gap between what the Prime Minister can hope to bring

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back and what will satisfy his Conservative backbenchers. Yes, I

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think the Parliamentary Conservative Party is divided into three parts,

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those who would vote to leave the EU regardless, those who would stay

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regardless, and a huge middle ground of people who want to stay in on

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renegotiated terms. These are not three equal parts. Those who would

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vote to stay in regardless are smaller and smaller. Compared to 20

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years ago, tiny. But the people in the middle, generally, would only

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stay in if you secure a renegotiation that will not be

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re-secured. In other words, they are de facto, out by 2017 and the

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referendum. This whole saga of the recent weeks has been the single

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biggest economy in foreign policy under this government. That's not

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what the voters think. -- single biggest ignominy. I mean the failure

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to secure the target. The opinion polls show that standing up against

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Mr Juncker has proved rather popular. I suggest that is not Mr

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Cameron's problem. His problem is that, if in the end he gets only

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because Medic changes, and if he says he still thinks that with these

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changes -- cosmetic changes. And he says that they should stay in, that

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would split the Tory party wide open. Eurosceptics say would be the

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biggest split since the corn laws. He wants to protect the position of

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coming out, and you might get that. He wants to crack down on abuse of

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benefits, and he might get that He wants to restrict freedom of

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movement for future member states, and that's difficult, because it is

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a treaty change. And he wants to deal with closer union, but that is

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also treaty change. In the Council conclusions, David Cameron was

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encouraged because it said, let s look at closer union, but it did not

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say it would reform. All it said was ever closer union can be interpreted

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in different ways. In other words, we're not going to change it. The

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fundamental problem the David Cameron was that two years ago, when

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he vetoed the fiscal compact, that showed Angela Merkel was unwilling

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to help them and what happened in the last two weeks was that Angela

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Merkel was unable to help him. There is not a single leader of the

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European Union that once Juncker as president, and he doesn't want it,

:13:36.:13:39.

he wants the note take a job at the European Council. But there was this

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basic stitch up by the European Parliament that meant he was

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presented, and when Angela Merkel put the question over his head there

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was a huge backlash in Germany and she was unable to deliver. I

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understand that, but I'm looking forward to Mr Cameron's predicament.

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I don't know how he squares the circle. It seems inconceivable that

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he can bring back enough from Brussels to satisfy his

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backbenchers. No, you can't. Most of them fundamentally want out. They

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don't want to be persuaded by renegotiations. Where it's hard to

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draw conclusions from the polling is that if you ask people question that

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sounds like, do you like the fact that our Prime Minister has gone to

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Brussels and stuck it to the man, they say yes, but how many people

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will go to the voting booths and put their cross in the box based on

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Europe? We know mostly voters care about Europe as a proxy for

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immigration fears. In ten people in this country could not tell you who

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John Claude Juncker is Angela Weir is replacing. -- and who he is

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replacing. And I'm joined in the studio now by

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arch-Eurosceptic Conservative MEP, Daniel Hannan and from Strasbourg by

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staunch European and former Liberal war? His declared objectives would

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leave Britain still in the common agricultural policy, the common

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foreign policy, the European arrest warrant, so the negotiating aims

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which we just heard Nick setting out wouldn't fundamentally change

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anything. It would be easy for the Government to declare war on any of

:15:27.:15:34.

these things. The danger from your point of view as someone who wants

:15:35.:15:39.

to stay in is that if David Cameron only gets cosmetic changes, the

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chance of getting the vote to leave the European Union increases,

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doesn't it? Hypothetically it probably does but we have two big

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things to get through first in domestic politics before we even

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reach a negotiation. One is are we going to have the United Kingdom

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this time next year following the referendum in Scotland? Secondly,

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are the Conservatives after the general election next year going to

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be in a position to pursue a negotiation? In other words are they

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going to be a majority government or even a minority government? For the

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sake of this morning let's assume the answer to both is yes, the UK

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stays intact and against the polls they were saying this morning, David

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Cameron forms an overall majority after the election. There is a

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danger, if he doesn't bring much back, that people will vote yes

:16:43.:16:49.

correct? There is that danger and I see a lot of the British press

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comment this morning saying this could be a rerun of the Harold

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Wilson like negotiation of the 1970s, a bit cosmetic but enough to

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say we have got new terms and you should go with it. I think what is

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different however, and this is really an appeal if you like, it

:17:09.:17:13.

cannot just be left to the Liberal Democrats and coalition government

:17:14.:17:18.

to make this case on our Rome. A lot of interest groups across the land

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will have to start being prepared to put their head above the parapet on

:17:24.:17:27.

the fundamental - do you want Britain to remain in the European

:17:28.:17:33.

Union? Yes or no? Are you willing to put your public reputations on the

:17:34.:17:37.

line? We are not getting enough of that at the moment and it is getting

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dangerously close to closing time. Daniel Hannan, David Cameron will

:17:43.:17:53.

not get away with this, will he It will be an acceptable to his party.

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If it is an acceptable to Tory backbenchers it is because it is

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working and they are reflecting what their constituents say. A majority

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of people in the country are unhappy with the present terms. They can see

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there is a huge wide world beyond the oceans and we have confined

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ourselves to this small trade bloc. There is a huge debate to be had

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about whether we could be doing better outside. It is not danger, it

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is democracy, trusting people. If the only person offering a

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referendum at the moment is the Prime Minister, it has serious

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consequences for his party, your party, that's what I'm talking

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about. I am very proud of being part of the party that is trusting people

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to offer this. If he only gets cosmetic changes he cannot carry his

:18:51.:18:56.

party. But ultimately it will not be his party, it is the electorate as a

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whole that has to decide whether the changes are substantive. Everything

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we have been hearing just now is about staying out of future

:19:06.:19:10.

integration, protecting the role of the non-euro countries. People are

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upset about what is going on today with the EU. They can see laws being

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passed by people they cannot vote for, friendships overseas are

:19:21.:19:24.

prejudiced, and they conceive that the European Union has just put in

:19:25.:19:29.

charge in the top slot somebody who wants a United States of Europe into

:19:30.:19:33.

which we will eventually be dragged into as some kind of Providence

:19:34.:19:39.

Jean-Claude Juncker is a Federalist, you are Federalist, why did the Lib

:19:40.:19:49.

Dems oppose him? We shared the view that whilst you take account of what

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the members of the European Parliament say, ultimately the

:19:55.:19:57.

choice of the presidency in the commission should be the political

:19:58.:20:02.

leaders, the governmental leaders at a national level, and that's why we

:20:03.:20:06.

went down the route we did. It was more to do with the system than the

:20:07.:20:11.

individual. Although I would say that you need to bear in mind, I

:20:12.:20:16.

mean Daniel, I respect him personally and the integrity of his

:20:17.:20:21.

views, as I think he does mine, but to dismiss the European Union as a

:20:22.:20:28.

small trading block globally, when you have got the United States of

:20:29.:20:33.

America, China and other countries acknowledging its importance, it is

:20:34.:20:43.

really Walter Mitty land. Are we closer than... Daniel Hannan, are we

:20:44.:20:55.

closer to an exit after what happened last week? Yes, because the

:20:56.:21:01.

idea that we could get substantive reforms, gets a mythic and powers

:21:02.:21:10.

back and be within a looser, more flexible European Union has plainly

:21:11.:21:19.

been closed off. We have to face up to the actual European Union that

:21:20.:21:23.

has taken shape on our doorstep Are we going to be part of that or are

:21:24.:21:29.

we going to have a much more semidetached, looser relationship

:21:30.:21:33.

with it which we can either achieve via a unilateral system of power or

:21:34.:21:45.

another way. This debate is never-ending, it is going on and on

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and has bedevilled British prime ministers for as long as I can

:21:50.:21:53.

remember. Shouldn't the Lib Dems change their stance on the

:21:54.:21:58.

referendum yet again let's just have this in-out referendum and have it

:21:59.:22:04.

sided one way or another? Our position remains clear. If there is

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a constitutional issue put before us in terms of treaty changes then we

:22:10.:22:17.

will have a referendum. Why not now? I am probably the wrong person to

:22:18.:22:26.

ask because I argued and voted for a referendum on Maastricht because I

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thought that was a constitutional treaty. Anything that makes the

:22:32.:22:35.

Queen a citizen of the European Union surely has constitutional

:22:36.:22:42.

implications. Anyway, 20 years on we are where we are and we need to

:22:43.:22:46.

established common vocabulary. You talk about federalism. What do we

:22:47.:22:54.

mean? Most of the people operating in the European Parliament and the

:22:55.:22:58.

institution across the road, the Council of Europe, they mean by

:22:59.:23:03.

federalism decentralisation of powers, not a Brussels superstate

:23:04.:23:10.

but actually the kind of decentralisation that maintains

:23:11.:23:13.

national characteristics and pools resources and sovereignty where it

:23:14.:23:23.

makes sense. Mr Juncker, who is now going to be in charge of the

:23:24.:23:26.

Brussels commission, he believes in a single EU reform policy, an EU

:23:27.:23:37.

wide minimum wage and EU wide taxes. You said this week that you

:23:38.:23:41.

liked the sound of Juncker federalism. Does that sound good to

:23:42.:23:48.

you? No, and I think the new president of the commission will be

:23:49.:23:51.

disappointed if he puts forward these views because although we only

:23:52.:23:57.

had Hungary voting with us, I think if you go to other countries,

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France, Poland, Scandinavia, they are not going to buy that kind of

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menu. What they mean by federalism is the continental concept, also the

:24:10.:24:14.

North American concept, that we can sit very happily... They have an

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army, a federal police force, federal taxation. Yes, but in terms

:24:23.:24:32.

of the political institutions which is what we are discussing here, you

:24:33.:24:36.

can have the supranational, the European level, whilst still having

:24:37.:24:40.

the very vibrant national, and indeed as we are practising in the

:24:41.:24:46.

United Kingdom the subnational. A very brief final word from you,

:24:47.:24:52.

Daniel. That is ultimately going to be the choice. The European Union is

:24:53.:24:57.

an evolving dynamic, we can see the direction it is going in. Do we want

:24:58.:25:02.

to be part of that? I suspect Charles Kennedy would have loved a

:25:03.:25:06.

referendum. I cannot help but notice his party is going downhill since he

:25:07.:25:22.

was running it. It is illegal to light up in the workplace, pubs and

:25:23.:25:27.

restaurants. Now the British Medical Association has voted to outlaw

:25:28.:25:30.

everywhere but not everybody at once. It would apply to anyone born

:25:31.:25:36.

after the year 2000. In a moment we will debate the merits of those

:25:37.:25:40.

plans but first he is Adam. There was a time when to be British

:25:41.:25:47.

was to be a smoker. 1948 was the year off peak fag with 82% of men

:25:48.:25:52.

smoking mainly cigarettes but it was a pipe that Harold Wilson used as a

:25:53.:25:57.

political prop to help with the hard-hitting interviews they did in

:25:58.:26:01.

those days. The advertisements make out pipe smokers to be more virile,

:26:02.:26:12.

more fascinating men than anybody else. Do you thought -- have that

:26:13.:26:17.

thought anywhere in your mind? No. It changed in 2006 when smoking in

:26:18.:26:28.

enclosed places was banned. I would rather be inside but unfortunately

:26:29.:26:31.

we have got to do what this Government tells us to do. I think

:26:32.:26:37.

it is good, it is calm and you can breathe. Research suggests it has

:26:38.:26:43.

improved the health of bar workers no end and reduced childhood asthma.

:26:44.:26:47.

Now just one in five adults is a smoker. Coming next, crackdowns on

:26:48.:26:53.

those newfangled e-cigarettes, smoking in cars and possibly the

:26:54.:26:58.

introduction of plain packaging There is still those who take pride

:26:59.:27:05.

in smoking and see it as a war on freedom.

:27:06.:27:18.

We're joined now by Dr Vivienne Nathanson

:27:19.:27:21.

from the British Medical Association who voted for a graduated ban

:27:22.:27:24.

on smoking at their conference last week, and Simon Clark

:27:25.:27:28.

They're here to go head-to-head There are plenty of things which are

:27:29.:27:37.

bad for our health, why single out cigarettes? We need some sugar in

:27:38.:27:47.

our diets but the fact is that we need to stop people smoking as

:27:48.:27:51.

children because if we can do that, the likelihood that they will start

:27:52.:27:56.

smoking is very small. In no circumstances is smoking good for

:27:57.:28:01.

you. There are lots of smokers who live long, healthy lives but we

:28:02.:28:05.

totally accept smoking is a risk to your health and adults have to make

:28:06.:28:11.

that decision, just as you make the decision about drinking alcohol

:28:12.:28:15.

eating fatty foods and drinking sugary drinks. This proposal is

:28:16.:28:19.

totally impractical. It will create a huge black market in cigarettes

:28:20.:28:24.

which will get bigger every year. They say this is about stopping

:28:25.:28:27.

children smoking but there is already a law in place that stops

:28:28.:28:34.

shopkeepers from selling cigarettes to children. This target adults so

:28:35.:28:39.

you could have the bizarre situation in the year 3035 for example where a

:28:40.:28:44.

36-year-old can go into shops to buy cigarettes but if you are 35 you

:28:45.:28:49.

will be denied that, which is ludicrous. The point is that the

:28:50.:28:54.

younger you start smoking the more likely you will become heavily

:28:55.:28:58.

addicted. I take the point, but the point he is saying is that if this

:28:59.:29:03.

becomes law, down the road, if you go into shops to buy cigarettes you

:29:04.:29:08.

would have to take your birth certificate, wouldn't you? We have

:29:09.:29:13.

no idea how the legislation would be written but the key point is that if

:29:14.:29:16.

we can stop young people from starting to smoke, we will in 2

:29:17.:29:22.

years have a whole group of people who have never smoked so you won't

:29:23.:29:27.

have that problem of people who are smokers and they are now in their

:29:28.:29:31.

20s and 30s. Or you will have a lot of younger people who get cigarettes

:29:32.:29:35.

the way they currently get illegal drugs now. They are already getting

:29:36.:29:39.

cigarettes illegally and we have to deal with that. We have got to get

:29:40.:29:45.

better. The Government has not been able to stop it. We know this is

:29:46.:29:55.

going to kill 50%... When you are 15 you think you will live for ever.

:29:56.:30:00.

Indeed but they also do it as rebellion and because they see

:30:01.:30:04.

adults and it is remarkably easy to buy cigarettes. Whatever the case is

:30:05.:30:08.

for individual choice, won't most people agree that if you could stop

:30:09.:30:13.

young people smoking, so that through the rest of their lives they

:30:14.:30:17.

never smoked, that would be worth doing? You get 16 or 17-year-olds

:30:18.:30:27.

who already do that. Is it worth trying? When the government

:30:28.:30:32.

increased the age at which shopkeepers could sell from 16 to

:30:33.:30:37.

18, we supported it. We don't support a ban on proxy purchasing,

:30:38.:30:42.

we support reasonable measures, but this is unreasonable. This proposal

:30:43.:30:45.

says a lot about the BMA, because this week the BMA also passed a

:30:46.:30:51.

motion to ban the use of E cigarettes in public places. There

:30:52.:30:54.

is no evidence that they are dangerous to health, so why are they

:30:55.:30:58.

doing that? They are becoming a temperance society. This is not

:30:59.:31:02.

about public health, it's an old-fashioned temperance society and

:31:03.:31:05.

they have to get their act together because they are bringing the

:31:06.:31:09.

medical profession into disrepute. We were having argument is about

:31:10.:31:14.

things that people buy large accept, smoking in bars or public places,

:31:15.:31:19.

but the real aim of the BMA was the total banning of cigarettes

:31:20.:31:21.

altogether. This would suggest that that was true to claim that. It s

:31:22.:31:28.

not about a ban, it's about a move to a country where nobody wants to

:31:29.:31:32.

smoke and no one is a smoker. But it would be illegal to smoke. It would

:31:33.:31:36.

be illegal to buy, not smoke, and there's a difference between two. So

:31:37.:31:43.

even if I am born in the year 2 00, it would still be illegal to smoke,

:31:44.:31:46.

just illegal to buy the cigarettes? Indeed. The point being that the

:31:47.:31:53.

habit of smoking is very strongly linked to your ability to buy, so

:31:54.:31:57.

that is why things like Price and availability and marketing are so

:31:58.:32:02.

important. People will flood across the Channel with the cigarettes One

:32:03.:32:05.

thing you will find is that throughout the world people is

:32:06.:32:08.

looking at -- people are looking at the same kind of measures, and

:32:09.:32:13.

different countries like Australia, they were the first with a

:32:14.:32:16.

standardised packaging. Other countries will follow, because all

:32:17.:32:19.

of us are facing the fact that we can't afford to pay for the

:32:20.:32:25.

tragedy. There will be people waiting to flood the market with

:32:26.:32:29.

cigarettes. This is nonsense. Thanks for both coming and going

:32:30.:32:32.

head-to-head. "Unless we have more equal

:32:33.:32:36.

representation, our politics won't be half as good as it should be "

:32:37.:32:40.

So said David Cameron back in 2 09. So how's it going?

:32:41.:32:42.

Well, you can judge the quality of the politics for yourself,

:32:43.:32:45.

but we've been crunching the numbers to find out what

:32:46.:32:47.

parliament might look like after the next year's general election.

:32:48.:32:49.

Here's Giles. Politicians are elected to

:32:50.:32:56.

Parliament to represent their constituents, but the make-up of

:32:57.:32:58.

Parliament does not reflect society well at all the parties it. In 010

:32:59.:33:04.

more women and ethnic minority candidates entered Westminster but

:33:05.:33:08.

not significantly more inner chamber still dominated by white males.

:33:09.:33:16.

Looking at the current make-up of the Commons, Labour has 83 female

:33:17.:33:22.

MPs, the Conservative have 47 women MPs, which is just over 47% -- and

:33:23.:33:29.

the Lib Dems have 12% of the parties. All of the parties have

:33:30.:33:33.

selected parliaments in those seats where existing MPs are retiring and

:33:34.:33:36.

to fight seats at the next election, and they've all been

:33:37.:33:40.

trying to up the number of women and ethnic minorities because discounts

:33:41.:33:44.

and can be capitalised on. A picture tells a thousand words. Look at the

:33:45.:33:49.

all-male front bench before us. And he says he wants to represent the

:33:50.:33:55.

whole country. Despite the jibe the Labour Party know they have a long

:33:56.:33:58.

way to go on the issue of being representative. So we

:33:59.:34:09.

way to go on the issue of being look at this particular area of lack

:34:10.:34:10.

of women and ethnic minorities. Women first.

:34:11.:34:10.

In the most marginal, 40 have women candidates, that would mean if they

:34:11.:34:42.

got just enough to win power, they would have 133 women, which is 1%

:34:43.:34:49.

The Conservatives currently have 305 MPs and their strategy

:34:50.:34:50.

at the next election is to concentrate on their 40 most

:34:51.:34:53.

marginal seats, and the 40 seats most mathematically likely to turn

:34:54.:34:56.

In those 40, 29 candidates have been selected

:34:57.:34:59.

If they kept hold of their existing seats and won those 29 new ones

:35:00.:35:04.

they would have 56 women MPs, around 17%, and up 2% from last time.

:35:05.:35:08.

The Liberal Democrats are fighting to hold on to the 57 seats they won

:35:09.:35:11.

at the last election, if they manage that, they would have

:35:12.:35:14.

However all the indications are it could be

:35:15.:35:19.

a bad night for the Lib Dems, if they lost 20 seats, on a uniform

:35:20.:35:23.

swing it would leave them with just four women, 11% of the party.

:35:24.:35:28.

One Conservative peer who thinks the party needs to look at all

:35:29.:35:32.

options if it's female numbers go down in 2015, says Parliament is

:35:33.:35:35.

The bottom line is, if 50% of our population is not being looked at

:35:36.:35:50.

evenly, are we really using the best of our talent? And yes, women's life

:35:51.:35:57.

experiences are different. They are not superior, they are not inferior.

:35:58.:36:01.

They are different. But surely those life experiences need to be

:36:02.:36:02.

represented here at Westminster So that's the Parliamentary

:36:03.:36:07.

projection for gender, According to the last census

:36:08.:36:08.

in 2011, 13% of people in the UK Labour currently has 16 MPs from

:36:09.:36:14.

black, Asian or minority ethnic backgrounds or just over 6%, if they

:36:15.:36:20.

get their extra 68 seats that figure would go up to 26, 8% of their party

:36:21.:36:23.

were from BAME backgrounds. The Tories currently have 11 BAME

:36:24.:36:27.

candidates, or 4% of the party. If they get an extra 29 seats,

:36:28.:36:34.

that would mean 14 BAME MPs, The Liberal Democrats

:36:35.:36:37.

don't have any BAME MPs. If they manage to cling

:36:38.:36:46.

on to their current number of seats they would have two,

:36:47.:36:51.

giving them a proportion of 4%. If they lost

:36:52.:36:54.

their 20 most vulnerable seats, But even if you changed the mix

:36:55.:36:56.

of gender and ethnicity in Parliament would that solve

:36:57.:37:06.

the problem? Probably not. Only 10% of us have gone to

:37:07.:37:08.

a private fee paid school. A Quarter of all Mps went to Oxford

:37:09.:37:13.

or Cambridge. Only a fifth

:37:14.:37:21.

of us went to any university. There is a huge disillusionment with

:37:22.:37:28.

the political elite due to the fact that these people don't look like

:37:29.:37:32.

us. They don't speak like us, they don't have our experiences and they

:37:33.:37:35.

cannot communicate in a way we relate to. If you look at the

:37:36.:37:40.

turnout, at the moment, if you are an unskilled worker, you are 20

:37:41.:37:43.

points less likely to turn and vote than a middle-class professional and

:37:44.:37:46.

that is getting worse with single election.

:37:47.:37:49.

And that's the key, evidence does suggest that if a

:37:50.:37:51.

Party reflects the society it exists within, it is more likely to get

:37:52.:37:54.

It's just gone 11.35pm, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:37:55.:38:04.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now

:38:05.:38:06.

Coming up here in 20 minutes, we'll have more from the panel.

:38:07.:38:10.

First though, the Sunday Politics where you are.

:38:11.:38:28.

and the rain has been falling, so it must be Glastonbury. We will be

:38:29.:38:33.

asking young people which b`nd of politicians they want to he`r more

:38:34.:38:37.

from next year and who they think should turn the volume down. Our

:38:38.:38:43.

guests are two politicians who could grace the Pyramid stage any day

:38:44.:38:50.

Graham Watson, outgoing Lib Dem MEP, and Aaron S Royle who leads Labour

:38:51.:38:59.

in the House of Lords. First, let's talk about the appointment of the

:39:00.:39:04.

European Commissioner. David Cameron opposes him. Did he mishandle it?

:39:05.:39:14.

Yes, absolutely. He's done everything to alienate the council

:39:15.:39:21.

and the Parliament. Mr Miliband was against him as well. So his views

:39:22.:39:30.

were ignored as well. Well, Mr Miliband is not a prime minhster. Mr

:39:31.:39:40.

Cameron later Lee mishandled it I think he will be perfectly good

:39:41.:39:48.

That is faint praise. He will be better than the current leader. He

:39:49.:39:54.

is capable of capturing the zeitgeist. I think he is capable of

:39:55.:39:58.

recognising what is needed `nd delivering it. Does this mark the

:39:59.:40:06.

point where British influence really does begin to wane? Sadly, ht has

:40:07.:40:14.

been on the wane for a long time. In this case, Mr Cameron took Britain

:40:15.:40:22.

outside. Had we stayed, we light have ended up with a differdnt

:40:23.:40:28.

candidate. Also, we have constantly failed to participate in new

:40:29.:40:34.

projects that the union has done. It started with the euro, then with

:40:35.:40:39.

banking union. We have allowed ourselves to become semidet`ched.

:40:40.:40:45.

You know him, don't you? Dods he like a drink? No, that is in rusty

:40:46.:40:52.

story that has been put arotnd. I think he drinks averagely for a man

:40:53.:41:01.

of his age. Now, it is not `lways easy being NME P. Yes, therd is a

:41:02.:41:06.

large salary, but you can w`lk a long way throughout the corridors of

:41:07.:41:11.

Brussels. Graham is saying goodbye to all of that. Even his crhtics

:41:12.:41:18.

would admit Brussels is loshng one of its most urbane and profdssional

:41:19.:41:22.

operators. He is saying fardwell and the new boys and girls are `rriving,

:41:23.:41:31.

excited about the challenges ahead. Excuse me, could you help md? I m

:41:32.:41:39.

looking for the roundabout. Finding your way in a foreign city hs never

:41:40.:41:43.

easy. Even crossing the road can be confusing. But that this wolan,

:41:44.:41:52.

everything is new. Hope I dhdn't get you into trouble crossing at a red

:41:53.:41:58.

light, I apologise. The Southwest's first green Euro MP, she is finding

:41:59.:42:05.

her way in Brussels. Are we on level three now? So we didn't need to come

:42:06.:42:13.

through there. Let's go back this way. Now we're going to be late We

:42:14.:42:19.

are heading to the group medting, so were coming with you. I keep getting

:42:20.:42:28.

lost. These are Green MEPs `nd their staff. It is nice to be in ` big

:42:29.:42:34.

group of greens. Someone who is spelt at home here for 20 ydars is

:42:35.:42:39.

Graham Watson. He has led the liberal group. Yeah, he is chairing

:42:40.:42:43.

the climate Parliament, thotgh not for much longer. Everywhere he goes,

:42:44.:42:50.

old friends and colleagues offer up sympathy. I am sorry to hear you

:42:51.:42:57.

were leaving. That's very khnd of you. You know, that is politics It

:42:58.:43:05.

is time to move on. I've enjoyed the 20 years I've had here and H feel

:43:06.:43:10.

I've done a good job to represent my constituents. I think changd is

:43:11.:43:15.

generally a healthy thing. One thing nobody will miss is the kind of

:43:16.:43:21.

modern art that is on the w`lls I'm not sure quite where it comds from,

:43:22.:43:26.

but it is not always... If xou take this piece, for example, of the most

:43:27.:43:35.

inspired design. What you sde here are sacks full of paper. With so

:43:36.:43:40.

many people leaving parliamdnt, the officers have to be cleared. And

:43:41.:43:47.

with members having to leavd their offices before the inaugural session

:43:48.:43:53.

in Strasbourg, there is rather a lot of work for the shredding m`chines

:43:54.:43:57.

and those who are responsible for clearing the mess. These ard my

:43:58.:44:04.

officers. This is my assist`nt from Estonia. Good experience, it will be

:44:05.:44:12.

gone now. I will be transferring it to the new member. This is where I

:44:13.:44:20.

have generally work from. As you can see, it is full of packing cases. I

:44:21.:44:26.

suppose this is one particular memento. This was my 50th bhrthday.

:44:27.:44:31.

I was leader of the Liberal Democrat group and I was honoured to have the

:44:32.:44:35.

president of the EU commisshon to celebrate my birthday with le. I've

:44:36.:44:43.

had a few laughs as I come `cross papers, things I'd forgotten about

:44:44.:44:49.

entirely. And inevitably a few regrets as well, as I've cole across

:44:50.:44:53.

mementos of friends or colldagues who moved on. But I think the

:44:54.:45:00.

one. It starts you thinking in one. It starts you thinking in

:45:01.:45:07.

different ways. I take the view that you move on to new things and if you

:45:08.:45:12.

have a setback, as I've had at the polls, you pick yourself up and

:45:13.:45:21.

start all over again. Beford he dusts himself down, he is hdre for

:45:22.:45:27.

one last go. Now you can absolutely spilled the beans and give ts all

:45:28.:45:31.

the dirt on what happens in Brussels. Was it your dream to see a

:45:32.:45:35.

United States of Europe with the president at the top replachng the

:45:36.:45:42.

Queen? Know, good lord. I fdel very privileged to have represented

:45:43.:45:51.

Britain in Parliament. I wotld not describe it in those terms. I do

:45:52.:45:55.

believe there is a lot to bd gained from working together in more and

:45:56.:46:01.

more areas. Europe is about dealing with the challenges of

:46:02.:46:03.

globalisation. That requires closer union. But the end policy mtst

:46:04.:46:14.

therefore be United States? Do you think Britain is on the long but

:46:15.:46:20.

steady road to the exit door? No, I very much hope it's not. I really

:46:21.:46:26.

think the people of this cotntry, when it comes to it, will not wish

:46:27.:46:36.

to leave the EU at any time. Why is Mr Miliband toughening his stance on

:46:37.:46:42.

Europe? He is being realisthc. He is saying we want reform, which we do

:46:43.:46:46.

need, because we need to look at growth in the future. Is it

:46:47.:46:55.

democratic? The EU? Yes, it has the European Parliament and the council

:46:56.:46:58.

which is elected by people of the member states. Of course it is the

:46:59.:47:07.

democracy. Unelected offici`ls make the decisions. They are the

:47:08.:47:15.

equivalent of civil servants. The commissioners make the proposals but

:47:16.:47:17.

they do not make the decisions in the end. That is up to the directly

:47:18.:47:22.

elected European Parliament and the Council of ministers. Where do you

:47:23.:47:26.

think you went wrong in your election campaign? I think we were

:47:27.:47:33.

onto a hiding because voters wanted to punish the two parties of the

:47:34.:47:37.

coalition who've had to raise taxes and cut public spending to bring

:47:38.:47:42.

Britain out of the recession. Tories lost seats and we lost seats. UKIP

:47:43.:47:48.

have identified this dissatisfaction, especially with

:47:49.:47:50.

Europe, and have positioned themselves in a place you are not. I

:47:51.:47:57.

think the attraction of UKIP, as it were, is not really about Etrope. It

:47:58.:48:02.

is anti`politics. People ard fed up with politicians, they don't like

:48:03.:48:07.

how people have overpromised and underdelivered. They want to see a

:48:08.:48:12.

different sort of politician. I understand that, but UKIP is not the

:48:13.:48:18.

answer. Is it galling that xou are going, you knew that place hnside

:48:19.:48:23.

out, you know how it works, you speak several languages, and the

:48:24.:48:26.

people coming in in considerable numbers just want the place to be

:48:27.:48:32.

destroyed? I believe in democracy, and those are the people who devote

:48:33.:48:36.

to send, they must be the pdople who represent us. So whether voters

:48:37.:48:44.

right, do you think? The voters are always right in a democracy. And

:48:45.:48:49.

Claire Moody is a fantastic young woman. It is great for Labotr to

:48:50.:48:55.

have an MEP in the south`west. It is not surprising you would sax that. I

:48:56.:49:01.

tell you, she will work has socks off for the south`west, reg`rdless

:49:02.:49:06.

of the party she works for. She is a cracking woman. Thank you. Next

:49:07.:49:13.

year, over 3 million young people will be entitled to vote in their

:49:14.:49:16.

first general election. Thex will play a crucial part in deciding who

:49:17.:49:21.

will form next government. Hf they do turn out, how will they vote

:49:22.:49:26.

We've been finding out at Britain's biggest gathering of young people,

:49:27.:49:30.

Glastonbury. It is 44 years since the first

:49:31.:49:34.

festival. Michael Evers says politics gives Glastonbury soul He

:49:35.:49:41.

himself is a Labour man and was a candidate in the 1997 gener`l

:49:42.:49:46.

election. Now, you might expect a new generation of voters to be

:49:47.:49:51.

flocking to his party. But what young people have been tellhng me

:49:52.:49:57.

suggests otherwise. Given Glastonbury's green leanings,

:49:58.:49:59.

perhaps it is not a surprisd many say they would vote that wax. Green

:50:00.:50:07.

Party. Green Party. Labour. Green Party. Conservative. He's not the

:50:08.:50:17.

only one. Polls reckon a qu`rter of youngsters may want David C`meron to

:50:18.:50:24.

continue. Edging towards thd Conservatives. They were paxing

:50:25.:50:33.

tribute to Tony Benn in Glastonbury 's political corner. We will never

:50:34.:50:43.

forget what you gave to him. It was the most intense and great privilege

:50:44.:50:51.

to be here with him. But wh`t was striking was attitudes towards

:50:52.:50:55.

1`party which once attracted many youthful boats. Not one of xou would

:50:56.:51:05.

vote Lib Dem? No. While thex are not getting the protest votes, they are

:51:06.:51:11.

not going to UKIP, either. No, not UKIP, not BNP, no one like that

:51:12.:51:18.

Politics does feature large at Glastonbury. This giant poster wall

:51:19.:51:24.

highlights some of the issuds. One person who feels at home here is the

:51:25.:51:30.

been to ask him who he thinks been to ask him who he thinks

:51:31.:51:36.

first`time voters will go for. In 1979, the first chance I had, I

:51:37.:51:41.

didn't vote. I couldn't see a difference between Jim Call`ghan and

:51:42.:51:44.

Margaret Thatcher. You can hmagine what a face palm that is for me now.

:51:45.:51:51.

When young people don't votd for the first time, I don't lose fahth. I

:51:52.:51:57.

ended up rather politicised, so they are not without hope. It is

:51:58.:52:03.

difficult. If I couldn't tell the difference back then when L`bour and

:52:04.:52:06.

Conservatives were on opposhte sides of the spectrum, how diffictlt must

:52:07.:52:11.

it be for Young people now, when the similarities between Cameron and

:52:12.:52:14.

Miliband are sometimes diffhcult to see? You voted Lib Dem at the last

:52:15.:52:25.

three. That was tactical voting I'm frustratingly the first past the

:52:26.:52:30.

post system. You work on `` complimentary about the manhfesto. I

:52:31.:52:39.

was, it was a good manifesto, but what happened to? It was put in the

:52:40.:52:46.

rubbish bin. So feel betraydd. Young people are looking at the m`instream

:52:47.:52:49.

parties and thinking, how c`n we believe what they are saying? Do you

:52:50.:52:55.

feel the mainstream has movdd away from you? You went to join the

:52:56.:52:59.

occupied protest, you went to Bristol and supported them. That

:53:00.:53:06.

protest went nowhere, didn't it Idealism is about questioning the

:53:07.:53:09.

system and looking at what the problems are. We're activists who

:53:10.:53:13.

are here, young people who done great work focusing on corporations

:53:14.:53:20.

who pay no tax in the UK. This is a high concern among all voters.

:53:21.:53:24.

You've been singing protest songs for more than 30 years. Do xou ever

:53:25.:53:30.

feel it is in vain? Now, I don't think music is the first pl`ce

:53:31.:53:34.

people turn to for the voicd of their generation. It is mord likely

:53:35.:53:40.

to be YouTube, Twitter. Mushc is no longer the vanguard medium ht was in

:53:41.:53:45.

the 1980s. My job is to encourage people. Tony Benn was our p`trons

:53:46.:53:51.

are so many years and is no longer with us, but he is here in spirit.

:53:52.:53:57.

We ever poster at the front of the stage which has the epitaph he asked

:53:58.:54:03.

for his help. We are here to encourage the audience to bdlieve

:54:04.:54:06.

they can change the world. That is how it works. Only the audidnce can

:54:07.:54:14.

change the world. Billy Bragg trying to stoke up some passion. What is

:54:15.:54:18.

most striking is that young people have given up on political hssues.

:54:19.:54:23.

Greenpeace is doing a roaring trade here. It is that so many ard

:54:24.:54:27.

disillusioned with party politics and may simply not vote in the

:54:28.:54:34.

election. Let's pick up on some of those

:54:35.:54:39.

points Billy Bragg made. Do you agree young people can be brought

:54:40.:54:43.

back into the political fold? Absolutely. I do lots of work with

:54:44.:54:47.

young people. There are so lany these days who are not interested in

:54:48.:54:51.

politics because they don't know enough about it. But becausd we are

:54:52.:54:58.

not doing proper citizenship, proper politics teaching in our schools, it

:54:59.:55:02.

is off the radar for most young people. They don't understand

:55:03.:55:06.

everything that happens in our lives is determined by politics. When you

:55:07.:55:12.

talk with young people, there is a great organisation which enthuses

:55:13.:55:15.

young people. At the beginnhng sessions they are not infusdd, but

:55:16.:55:20.

by the end, they are. I want them to vote. The truth is, this is a

:55:21.:55:27.

difficult time to be young. No jobs for life, pensions are diffhcult,

:55:28.:55:30.

zero hours contracts and all that sort of thing. But also, it is a

:55:31.:55:37.

great time to be young. The world is at their feet. The country hs

:55:38.:55:43.

stable, there are no wars for them to buy it. So perhaps there is

:55:44.:55:49.

nothing to vote about. Well, when you think about the huge ch`llenges

:55:50.:55:56.

we face, like climate changd, rapid world population growth,

:55:57.:55:59.

internationally organised crime these are massive challenges. But

:56:00.:56:02.

our newspapers dumbed down political debate and we do not hear about it.

:56:03.:56:08.

Well, their lives are quite civilised. They go to Glastonbury

:56:09.:56:11.

and have a fantastic weekend with their brands. If you pick up

:56:12.:56:17.

newspapers or watch televishon in continental Europe, you will learn

:56:18.:56:21.

about politics. Here, you ldarn about the lives of celebrithes.

:56:22.:56:25.

There is a dumbing down of political debate. That is true, but young

:56:26.:56:31.

people care passionately about these issues. They don't vote bec`use they

:56:32.:56:35.

don't relate the issues to changing the world by the ballot box. So I

:56:36.:56:42.

feel we have do somehow enthuse young people about the power of

:56:43.:56:46.

politics, the power of putthng that cross on a piece of paper. Of course

:56:47.:56:52.

I'm Labour, proud to be Labour, but I don't care how people votd. I just

:56:53.:56:58.

want them to vote. Is it different in Europe? I think it is different

:56:59.:57:06.

in many continental countrids. Do they vote at 18? In larger numbers?

:57:07.:57:12.

They do vote at 18 and in l`rger numbers. We have one of the lower

:57:13.:57:18.

youth turnouts. Is it a failure of politicians? Actually, it is their

:57:19.:57:24.

responsibility. Yes, but I think there is a failure of polithcians.

:57:25.:57:28.

They do not reach out enough. They are seen as we had people from a

:57:29.:57:31.

different class. Sort of an alien species. The truth is, you could not

:57:32.:57:39.

put a fag paper between your different policies. Oh, yes you

:57:40.:57:46.

could. Like what? Really significant differences. Quality jobs for young

:57:47.:57:54.

people. But everybody wants quality jobs for young people. Nobody is

:57:55.:57:57.

campaigning saying, we do not want that. But they are in government and

:57:58.:58:03.

they are not providing qualhty jobs for young people. You just lentioned

:58:04.:58:07.

zero hours. Other policies different? Yes. Under Gordon Brown,

:58:08.:58:16.

we saw a massive expansion of economy under casinos and alcohol

:58:17.:58:19.

consumption. That is not wh`t we want. But it is a bit of `` a

:58:20.:58:27.

percentage point in spending here, a degree of tweaking there. There are

:58:28.:58:32.

not the differences they usdd to be. Our society at the moment is riven

:58:33.:58:37.

with inequality and it is gdtting worse. We want fairer poliches that

:58:38.:58:40.

deliver for all people in this country. Well, another week has

:58:41.:58:47.

raised by. Here is the update in 60 seconds.

:58:48.:58:54.

A children's charity in Bristol claimed young people were bding

:58:55.:59:01.

failed social services enter a state of crisis. It believes the

:59:02.:59:05.

government is falling short on its promise to end child povertx by

:59:06.:59:08.

2020. A Gloucester MP resigned from his

:59:09.:59:13.

job as aid to the Foreign Mhnister. Richard Graham says he is standing

:59:14.:59:17.

down to focus on regeneration plans in his city. Gloucester is ` classic

:59:18.:59:23.

marginal seat. I'm sure it will be a castle.

:59:24.:59:28.

A ban on a drug came into force It is used by some people in Bristol.

:59:29.:59:35.

Being caught with it once whll lead to a verbal warning and repdated use

:59:36.:59:40.

could lead to step the sentdnces. And unions have described plans

:59:41.:59:44.

before councils to share all their staff and services as scary. They

:59:45.:59:50.

are exploring the idea to s`ve money.

:59:51.:59:56.

You are from the Forest of Dean what do you think about councils

:59:57.:00:04.

sharing staff? It is potenthally interesting, because of the

:00:05.:00:07.

phenomenal cuts local counchls are having to deal with. Clearlx, they

:00:08.:00:11.

want to ensure they say flyhng front line services. `` a safeguard. We

:00:12.:00:23.

certainly do have to put thd emphasis on creating jobs in the

:00:24.:00:26.

private sector. That is one area I am pleased that the governmdnt has

:00:27.:00:32.

been hugely successful in. There are over a million private sector jobs

:00:33.:00:36.

and we have lots of young pdople in apprenticeships. So there is hope.

:00:37.:00:43.

Fancy a job on a local council? I don't know what I will do ndxt. I

:00:44.:00:49.

want to take a holiday and have a good think of it. Will you be

:00:50.:00:54.

earning lots of money? It ddpends what I want to do. That's all we

:00:55.:01:02.

have time for. Thank you to our guests. Good luck with whatdver you

:01:03.:01:10.

do. You can contact us on Twitter. Have a good week.

:01:11.:01:12.

been problems elsewhere in Europe, but I take your point. Thanks to

:01:13.:01:17.

both of you today. Back to you, Andrew.

:01:18.:01:22.

Now, there have been some less-than-helpful remarks

:01:23.:01:24.

about the way the Labour party makes policy, and they've come

:01:25.:01:27.

from the man who is heading Labour's Policy Review, Jon Cruddas.

:01:28.:01:31.

In a speech to party activists he was recorded saying that,

:01:32.:01:35.

"instrumentalised, cynical nuggets of policy to chime with our focus

:01:36.:01:38.

groups and our press strategies and our desire for a topline in terms of

:01:39.:01:41.

the 24 hour media cycle, dominate and crowd out any

:01:42.:01:44.

He added that Labour's election strategy was being hampered by a

:01:45.:01:54.

The shadow chancellor, Ed Balls was asked about what Mr Cruddas had

:01:55.:02:07.

I talked to him a couple of days ago, and he's not frustrated, he is

:02:08.:02:16.

excited about his policy agenda He is frustrated that one report of 250

:02:17.:02:23.

pages gets reduced down. So it's our fault? That is the way we live in

:02:24.:02:29.

the world in which we live, but we have big ideas about devolution

:02:30.:02:33.

long term infrastructure spending and new manufacturing policy, new

:02:34.:02:37.

investment in skills, big changes which, let's be honest, I'm really

:02:38.:02:44.

on George Osborne's agenda. How serious is this? It is Wimbledon, so

:02:45.:02:50.

let's call it an unforced error You go to the party speeches, and you

:02:51.:02:54.

don't know who is in the audience. There is no need for something as

:02:55.:02:57.

serious as this to happen. It's hugely serious because it speaks

:02:58.:03:00.

about something people have felt for a long time, that they have doled

:03:01.:03:04.

out little nuggets of policy but no overarching story. There was a quite

:03:05.:03:08.

saying the Ed Miliband has given as a shopping list, not a narrative.

:03:09.:03:13.

When people in the party say things that are true, it's very difficult

:03:14.:03:17.

for people to explain it away. Not sure Mr Miliband can win here. He

:03:18.:03:21.

was recently criticised for not having policies. Now he's being

:03:22.:03:25.

criticised for having too many. I think this line of attack is

:03:26.:03:28.

particularly wounding because he prides himself on being a politician

:03:29.:03:31.

of ideas. That is his unique selling point, and the weight that David

:03:32.:03:38.

Cameron's prime ministerial nature is his selling point. So it is

:03:39.:03:42.

wounding. If I was the Labour Party, before announcing any policy, I

:03:43.:03:48.

would ask can help fix us on the economy? It might be radicalised

:03:49.:03:51.

immolating on its own terms, but it's politically useless. -- radical

:03:52.:03:57.

and innovative on its own terms I don't think any member of the public

:03:58.:04:00.

does not think they are not radical enough or creative enough. If

:04:01.:04:04.

anything, it's the opposite. They are a bit nervous about what a

:04:05.:04:07.

Labour government could do and nervous about the economic

:04:08.:04:10.

reputation. Reassurance, caution, maybe a bit of timidity might be the

:04:11.:04:16.

notions that inform their policies or should inform their policies in

:04:17.:04:21.

night -- my view, not the opposite. I am worried for Jon Cruddas,

:04:22.:04:24.

because anyone who questions the Labour Party are part of the nexus

:04:25.:04:28.

of the banking industry who are terrified of a Labour victory. It's

:04:29.:04:32.

interesting that this goes to the heart of the debate in the Labour

:04:33.:04:35.

Party, at the highest levels, do they put a big offer to the British

:04:36.:04:40.

people, or a little off, John Cruddas offer, or Douglas Alexander

:04:41.:04:45.

offer? Ed Miliband says that his ideas about freezing energy prices

:04:46.:04:50.

and rent controls are a big offer, but his policy chief clearly has

:04:51.:04:53.

real concerns that they don't go far enough. How important a figure is

:04:54.:04:59.

John Cruddas in the project? He is hell of the -- head of the policy

:05:00.:05:03.

review and has a huge amount of power, and so him slagging off the

:05:04.:05:07.

policy review is a bad moment. He is trusted in that inner circle and the

:05:08.:05:12.

problem for Ed Miliband from the odd is that he has people with strong

:05:13.:05:16.

opinions, Maurice clasping is another, big thinkers, but they

:05:17.:05:20.

maybe don't have a precaution that a professional politician might have

:05:21.:05:24.

in terms of giving bland answers. So, David Cameron had to apologise

:05:25.:05:28.

after his former director of communications was convicted

:05:29.:05:31.

of phone hacking. David Cameron's other former friend,

:05:32.:05:33.

Rebekah Brooks, had a better day. At the same trial, she was cleared

:05:34.:05:36.

of all the charges against her. I take full responsibility for

:05:37.:05:46.

employing Andy Coulson. I did some on the basis of undertakings I was

:05:47.:05:50.

given by him about phone hacking and those turned out not to be the case.

:05:51.:05:53.

I always said that if they turned out to be wrong, I would make a full

:05:54.:05:57.

and frank apology, and I do that today. I am extremely sorry that I

:05:58.:06:02.

employed him. It was the wrong decision. I'm clear about that. When

:06:03.:06:07.

I was arrested it was in the middle of a maelstrom of controversy,

:06:08.:06:11.

politics and of comment. Some of that was there, but much of it was

:06:12.:06:17.

not, so I'm grateful to the jury for coming to that decision. Not been a

:06:18.:06:25.

great week for David Cameron. Andy Coulson found guilty, and another

:06:26.:06:29.

person who had worked in Downing Street is also charged on an

:06:30.:06:35.

unrelated issue. And he was 26- on the wrong end in Brussels, and there

:06:36.:06:38.

is a poll this morning which no one seems to be talking about which puts

:06:39.:06:42.

Labour nine points ahead. Before all that there was Dominic Cummings

:06:43.:06:44.

criticising the Downing Street operation is being shambolic. Is Mr

:06:45.:06:50.

Cameron's judgement becoming an issue? Yes, what often happens when

:06:51.:06:54.

one leader is under pressure for long enough, as Ed Miliband has been

:06:55.:06:57.

the six months, we get bored. We then switch the Gatling gun to the

:06:58.:07:02.

other guy. So David Cameron going into the Conference season might be

:07:03.:07:05.

the man under pressure. The whole Andy Coulson saga has raised

:07:06.:07:08.

questions about his judgement and those around him, but any political

:07:09.:07:12.

damage she was going to sustain over Andy Coulson and phone hacking was

:07:13.:07:15.

sustained years ago -- he was going. It was Brother beyond the

:07:16.:07:18.

date the News of the World was closed down three summers ago - it

:07:19.:07:24.

was probably on the date. As the hacking trial cut through to the

:07:25.:07:30.

general public? Or is it just as media and political obsessives? I am

:07:31.:07:33.

sure it has cut through in some way but it didn't necessarily happen in

:07:34.:07:37.

recent days, more likely in recent years. It was some time ago that

:07:38.:07:41.

Andy Coulson resigned in high profile circumstances. It has had a

:07:42.:07:45.

slow burning effect over a few years, and the Prime Minister fears

:07:46.:07:49.

the Big Bang. But there is one theme and words that unites this week with

:07:50.:07:54.

Juncker and Andy Coulson, and that is that the Prime Minister can be

:07:55.:07:58.

lackadaisical. He was lackadaisical in not asking big question is when

:07:59.:08:01.

there was a lot in the public domain about what had happened that the

:08:02.:08:04.

News of the World. And he was lackadaisical with Juncker. He made

:08:05.:08:08.

a calculation that Angela Merkel would support him and it turned out

:08:09.:08:13.

she couldn't. Maybe he needs to change. He was late in understanding

:08:14.:08:17.

what was happening in Germany when both the Christian Democrats, her

:08:18.:08:23.

party, wanted Juncker, and when the actual Murdoch press of Germany said

:08:24.:08:26.

that they wanted him as well. He never saw that. He only looks at one

:08:27.:08:31.

person in Germany, Angela Merkel, and it is a grand coalition, and the

:08:32.:08:37.

SDP felt strongly about it. He is, in a sense, an essay crisis Prime

:08:38.:08:40.

Minister. He is, in a sense, an essay crisis Prime Minister. He s

:08:41.:08:43.

very good in an essay, and the SA gets a double first the essay. Is Ed

:08:44.:08:51.

Miliband right to be angry? He has John Cruddas attacking him, and that

:08:52.:08:53.

is the news leading in the Sunday Times, and has not been a good week

:08:54.:08:59.

the Prime Minister and in which Mr Miliband has a bigger lead in the

:09:00.:09:02.

polls than he has had some time so he must be wondering why they are

:09:03.:09:06.

having a go at him. He made a tactical error in Prime Minister's

:09:07.:09:08.

Questions by asking all the questions about Andy Coulson. The

:09:09.:09:13.

one at the end about what Gus O'Donnell said was rather hopeful in

:09:14.:09:17.

the extreme. Politicians can be out of touch on all sides of the house.

:09:18.:09:21.

The problem is, and there is a great quote by William Hague, is that the

:09:22.:09:25.

Tory party has two modes, panic and complacency. At the moment they are

:09:26.:09:29.

complacent. They think Ed Miliband will lose Labour election but I

:09:30.:09:31.

don't know if they have a positive plan about how to win it. -- lose

:09:32.:09:33.

Labour the election. Now, we knew Prince Charles had

:09:34.:09:36.

trouble keeping his views about the environment

:09:37.:09:39.

and the countryside to himself, but that's not the only thing he's

:09:40.:09:41.

passionate about according to a radio four documentary to be

:09:42.:09:44.

broadcast this lunchtime. Here's former Education Secretary,

:09:45.:09:46.

David Blunkett on how the Prince had once attempted to influence

:09:47.:09:51.

his policy on schools. I would explain that our policy was

:09:52.:09:58.

not to expand grammar schools, and he didn't like that. He was very

:09:59.:10:03.

keen that we should go back to a different era where youngsters had

:10:04.:10:07.

what he would've seen as the opportunity to escape from their

:10:08.:10:11.

background, where as I wanted to change their background.

:10:12.:10:13.

And you can hear that documentary - it's called The Royal Activist

:10:14.:10:16.

Does it matter that Prince Charles is getting involved in this kind of

:10:17.:10:25.

policy, released behind closed doors question mark on the issue of

:10:26.:10:27.

grammar schools is not clear anybody listened to him. I think it is a

:10:28.:10:33.

principal problem. I've spoken to form a government members, and

:10:34.:10:37.

judging by what they say, if anything we underestimate how much

:10:38.:10:41.

contacting makes with ministers And how many representations he makes on

:10:42.:10:45.

the issue that interest him. There has been an attempt to keep it

:10:46.:10:50.

hidden. It's almost a theological question about whether the future

:10:51.:10:54.

monarch should be involved in the public realm. If he wants to

:10:55.:10:57.

influence policy, shouldn't we know what policy he's trying to influence

:10:58.:11:02.

and what position he is taking? Sewer speech is better than private

:11:03.:11:07.

one-on-one lobbying. Possibly - so a speech. Prince Charles's views are

:11:08.:11:13.

interesting. He's not a straight down the light reactionary. He makes

:11:14.:11:17.

a left-wing case for rammer schools. There is an interview with him in

:11:18.:11:19.

the Financial Times in which his argument in favour for architectural

:11:20.:11:24.

development takes into account affordable housing in the wake which

:11:25.:11:28.

no one would have suspected. He has interesting views, but I'm not

:11:29.:11:31.

convinced on the point of principle whether someone is dashing his

:11:32.:11:37.

position should be speaking. Your former employer 's famously

:11:38.:11:43.

described him as the SDP king. You slightly feel sorry for him. He s 66

:11:44.:11:49.

and still an apprentice. He's in a difficult position. We know what the

:11:50.:11:54.

powers of the monarch are. They are to advise in courage and warned the

:11:55.:11:57.

Prime Minister of the day. These in the difficult position where the

:11:58.:12:01.

problem for him is that there is a line that isn't really defined, but

:12:02.:12:04.

you slightly feel he just gets a bit too close to it and possibly crosses

:12:05.:12:10.

that line with the lobbying that goes on. I think the worrying thing

:12:11.:12:14.

is that at some point he will become King and will he know that he has

:12:15.:12:20.

got to work within that framework? He is somebody that cannot win

:12:21.:12:23.

either. If he doesn't take an interest in public policy, he will

:12:24.:12:27.

be thought to be a bit of a waster, going round opening town halls, and

:12:28.:12:31.

when he does have an interest we think, hey, you are in the monarchy,

:12:32.:12:35.

stay out. There's an interesting parallel with first ladies who are

:12:36.:12:41.

encouraged to find a controversial charitable project. Michelle Obama

:12:42.:12:44.

has bought childhood obesity, and that is the standard thing.

:12:45.:12:48.

Everybody knows that that is a bad thing, but you are not offering

:12:49.:12:52.

solutions that are party political. I feel there must be a middle way

:12:53.:12:56.

with what he should be able to do about finding big causes he can

:12:57.:12:59.

complain about without getting stuck into lobbying ministers. Which can

:13:00.:13:04.

become a party political issue. He has had some influence on

:13:05.:13:06.

architecture, because the buildings we are putting up to date are better

:13:07.:13:08.

than the ones we used to put up The Daily Politics is on BBC 2

:13:09.:13:10.

at 11:00am We'll be back here

:13:11.:13:15.

at the same time next week. Remember if it's Sunday,

:13:16.:13:20.

it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:21.:13:24.

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