05/11/2017 Sunday Politics West


05/11/2017

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LineFromTo

Good morning, everyone,

and welcome to the Sunday Politics.

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I'm Sarah Smith.

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And this is your guide to everything

that's happening in the world

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of politics this Sunday morning.

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On today's show:

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Theresa May's right-hand man

Damian Green has denied claims that

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police found pornography

on a computer in his office in 2008.

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He says the allegations by a former

police chief are "political smears."

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With claims of sexual harassment

at Westminster growing by the day,

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can either Theresa May

or Jeremy Corbyn do anything to get

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to grips with a scandal

threatening to engulf

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the entire political class?

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We'll ask a minister and senior

member of the Shadow Cabinet.

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And some on the left of politics

have been gathering to mark 100

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In the West:

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Life on the streets,

a new law offers more help

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to people sleeping rough,

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but will be government put in enough

cash to make a difference?

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So there's plenty of

explosive political news

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to get you in the mood

for bonfire night -

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and with me as usual,

three journalists who know quite

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a bit about parliamentary plots -

if rather less about

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gunpowder and treason.

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It's Tom Newton Dunn,

Isabel Oakeshott and Steve Richards.

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So what are the big political

stories making the news this Sunday?

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Well, the papers are brimming

with further allegations against MPs

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in the sexual harassment scandal,

which according to one newspaper has

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left Westminster frozen in fear.

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First Secretary of State Damian

Green, already under

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investigation over allegations -

which he strongly denies -

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of propositioning a female activist,

is the subject of new claims that

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police discovered pornography

on a computer in his Westminster

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office in 2008.

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Mr Green denies the allegation,

made by former senior

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police officer Bob Quick,

saying it is "completely untrue,"

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and adding that he is the victim

of disreputable "political smears."

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Michael Fallon, who resigned

as Defence Secretary this week

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over his past behaviour,

is also subject to fresh claims

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he lunged at a female journalist

in 2003 after a lunch.

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Labour is facing questions

over its handling of sexual

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misconduct allegations.

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This morning Shadow Cabinet minister

Dawn Butler refused to be drawn

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on whether Jeremy Corbyn knew

about alleged misconduct by MP

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Kelvin Hopkins when he was promoted

to the Shadow Cabinet.

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And there is a reminder that normal

political life goes on,

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with reports that the Cabinet has

agreed to put housing at the heart

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of Philip Hammond's upcoming Budget.

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Well, let's hear from

Home Secretary Amber Rudd now -

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she was on the Andrew Marr Show

earlier talking about the claims

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against her Cabinet colleague Damian

Green.

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Absolutely not. I think it is

something that will take place in

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terms of clearing out Westminster of

that sort of behaviour, and I think

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that Westminster afterwards,

including the Government, will be

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better for it. When we are confident

that men and women can work any

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respectful environment and people on

the receiving end of abuse of power

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can come forward. That will be a

positive thing.

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Let's see what our panel make of

this fairly explosive week. Good

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morning to all of you. Starting with

you, Steve. Not a party political

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issue but the Tories are in

Government. How much harder for them

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is it an Labour?

Always harder when

you are in Government because it

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makes governing almost impossible.

And the wider context is a Prime

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Minister who lost her overall

majority a few months ago and

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actually that is the context of

everything. When you are having to

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deal with the scandal of such

unpredictability, where the

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terms are so imprecise, it is a

"lunge", a resignation issue, to use

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that term, and nightmare. I don't

think it is fatal. Scandals rarely

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bring down governments, but it makes

governing for Theresa May a form of

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political health.

Isabel Oakeshott,

Damian Green has denied all

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allegations made against him, but

there are more this morning. He is

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being investigated by the Cabinet

Office at the moment. If Theresa May

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were to effectively lose her Deputy

Prime Minister, has serious without

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the?

I think very serious indeed. I

think it is very significant and

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strange he was not defended in the

Home Secretary Amber Rudd in that

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clip we saw today, she didn't say I

am certain he will survive, and I am

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beginning to feel that Damian may

not survive this. We don't know

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whether it is the last of the

allegations that may come out in

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relation to him. It seems to me that

the allegations were previously of a

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rather minor order, but this seems

to have escalated. And I think one

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of the big problems for Theresa May,

and there are the many at the

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moment, for months we have been

saying that this Government has no

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bandwidth to do anything except

Brexit and right now she can't even

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do Brexit. What is the point of it

all?

It is important to make clear

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not only that Damian Green denies

all of these allegations, but the

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computer mentioned was in a shared

office so there is no reason it

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would definitely be his

# No guarantee it would definitely

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be his. But we have had two MPs on

television this morning, Anna

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Soubry, saying he should stand down.

There is an awful lot going on here.

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It is not just a pretty awful sexual

harassment scandal. There are also

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without a doubt MPs, police

officers, going about settling

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scores. For me I have to say for our

pretty discredited police officer

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Bob Quick, to make accusations

against serving Cabinet minister, to

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suggest he should go for extreme

pornography on computers he may or

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may not have known, it may be

extremely distasteful but it is

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alarming for democracy to have

ex-police officers like this coming

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in and trying to play with

democracy. Some politicians are also

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meeting claims, some for the right

reasons to get the allegations out

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there and so on but others for their

own agendas and all of this puts the

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Prime Minister in an unbelievably

hard situation. I agree with Steve

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and Isabel, she desperately needs

two show leadership in all this, but

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every way she could turn there are

incredible downfalls, people blaming

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her for trying to get to the bottom

of all this. It is very people who

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she is relying on for her

leadership, the very Tory MPs the

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support she can't lose.

It is not

just the Tory party and of course

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Jeremy Corbyn will be making a

speech later today where this will

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inevitably and there are accusations

about how the senior leadership in

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the Labour Party have handled this.

What about that situation?

Yes, but

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the Government is much harder

because you are meant to be doing

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10,000 other things at the same

time. This is about a deregulated

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work environment. For all those who

say, I hate the way Britain is too

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regulated, this is what happens in a

deregulated work environment. The

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House of Commons has no HR or

whatever, MPs, advisors, so, MPs

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actually don't have much power but

they do have power over who the

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point and how to treat them. I think

this is the way forward in terms of

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the practical outcome, but it is

across the political spectrum.

But

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it is unclear what it will be. Can

the party sort this out?

I'm not

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sure I entirely agree, Steve, you

cannot regulate all human

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interaction and a lot of these

stories have been about interactions

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between politicians and journalists

alike, who have gone out for lunch,

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chosen to drink, presumably to

create an informal atmosphere, and

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at what point is a step towards

somebody to say goodbye, a peck on

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the cheek or whatever, a lunge? You

can't regulate that sort of thing.

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Throughout the programme will come

back to some of these things and how

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they might be regulated.

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Now, the Home Secretary has

also today been talking

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about what she calls the "moral

duty" of social media companies

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to stop child sexual exploitation,

ahead of a meeting with her US

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counterparts this week.

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We're joined now by the Home Office

minister Sarah Newton -

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she's in our Truro studio.

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Thanks very much for coming in to

speak the first night. I want to

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talk to you about the Government's

efforts to tackle child pornography,

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but let's pick up on some of the

sexual harassment issues at

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Westminster first. Two of your

parliamentary colleagues this

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morning saying they think the first

Secretary of State Damian Green

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should step down whilst being

investigated. Do you agree?

Look, he

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has vigorously denied these

accusations, and the Cabinet Office

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is investigating these accusations,

so we do have processes for when

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ministers have these accusations

made against them so they are

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properly investigated. And that is

what is going on at the moment.

Is

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that process people can be confident

in? He is effectively being

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investigated by Jeremy Heywood, one

of his colleagues.

This is a tried

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and tested process that has stood

the test of time, and it is

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important...

Has it? Surely what we

are learning is it has not stood the

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test of time and that in fact

allegations like this have been

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swept under the carpet and ignored

for years and years in Westminster,

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exactly what we are learning right

now.

I think you are conflating two

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things they are, and what we really

do need to do is look at the whole

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range of allegations people have

been making, and make sure

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Parliament is a safe place for

people to work, a respectful

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environment for people who have been

subjected to harassment or bullying

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or inappropriate behaviour, so that

they feel confident to come forward

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knowing they will be listened to,

that there will be an open and

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transparent and fair to everyone

concerned process for getting to the

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bottom of it, and that is exactly

what the Prime Minister and the

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Leader of the Cows have set out,

Prime Minister's meeting with all

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the leaders of the parties tomorrow

to set out a proper process so we

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can modernise the work environment

at Westminster -- leader of the

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House have set out.

You think Damian

Green should remain in the Cabinet

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well being investigated?

That will

be down to Sir Jeremy Heywood. If he

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thinks the misdemeanours have a

basis, that he should stand aside,

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that will be the recommendation. I

will not second the inquiry on what

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Sir Jeremy Heywood finds.

You were

in the Whips' Office yourself for a

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year. And much has been said this

week of the whips being in receipt

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of a lot of information about bad

behaviour, and instead of reporting

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it to authorities they were using it

as ammunition. Was that your

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experience?

Absolutely not. I was at

the Whips' Office up to 2015 and,

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yes, I heard about the rumours of a

black spreadsheet, and I can

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certainly say I never saw such a

thing. How I went about my business

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as a whip is really twofold. It is

quite a technical job in many ways,

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about of the Government through the

House, working with the House

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authorities, the opposition. Also...

Did you ever hear rumours of these

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people's bad behaviour?

Sorry?

Did

you ever hear rumours of MPs

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misbehaving, sexual harassment,

allegations are that?

If anybody had

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brought a complaint to me about the

behaviour of one of the MPs who were

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in my flock, I would take that

really seriously, but bull-mac, that

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didn't happen.

You said nobody

brought you a complaint. Did you

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hear rumours? -- but no, that didn't

happen.

About the members of my

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flock? Absolutely not.

Is that the

MPs you were specifically in charge

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of?

I did not have that experience

at all.

Let's move on and talk about

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the Home Secretary's trip to

Washington this week, where she will

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urge tech companies to go further

and faster on online child abuse. We

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have heard a lot from this

Government urging these companies to

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do something. One specific ideas of

what they could do, do you have a

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clear idea of what you are asking

from tech companies?

Absolutely

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right. As you know, this horrendous

crime of child sexual exploitation

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and grooming is constantly evolving

as the opportunities for the

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perpetrators arise. They are now

using live streaming, different

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sorts of platforms, which are

largely controlled by the big

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companies in America. What we really

want them to do is to step up and

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use their huge expertise, used the

huge money they have got, to help

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find technological solutions to read

their sites and rid the opportunity

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of these paedophiles to be able to

groom young people. We need the

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politicians in America to exert

pressure, as well as other

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companies, because these are global

problems. We are not going to solve

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this problem in the UK alone. We

have made a lot of progress, working

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with Facebook and other companies as

well, but we really need to keep one

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step ahead of the technology, one

step ahead of the perpetrators, who

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are using these opportunities to

commit horrendous crimes.

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It was back in 2014 Theresa May for

the Internet companies to do more in

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terms of child abuse online and we

have not seen significant action,

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and it does not appear these kind of

calls from the Government actually

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make difference.

Well, at the moment we are seeing

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the police being able to make about

400 arrests per month, about 500

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children being safeguarded. The

Government itself is investing a lot

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of money in new technology like the

project Arachnid, and making sure

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the police have the specialist

resources they need to go

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undercover, and absolutely find

these perpetrators and bring them to

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justice, but we do need to

constantly have the engagement and

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support of the companies themselves

to invest in further technologies to

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prevent this from happening. As you

say, we have made progress but we

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need to see yet more.

Sarah Newton,

thank you very much for speaking to

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us today.

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Michael Fallon's decision

to resign this week,

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saying his past conduct with women

fell short of the standard expected

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of the Armed Forces, led

to something of a minor reshuffle.

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And the Prime Minister took

Westminster by surprise

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when she announced his replacement,

former Chief Whip and relative

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newcomer to the ministerial

ranks, Gavin Williamson.

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Here he is speaking on the day

of his appointment.

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It's an immense privilege to have

been appointed Secretary

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of State for Defence,

and what we need to be doing

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is continuing to focus

on countering Daesh,

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making sure that our national

security is at the forefront

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of everything that we do,

and we have some of the world's

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greatest armed services,

and it's such a privilege to be able

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to work with them.

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Gavin Williamson, who you saw there,

arrives at the Ministry of Defence

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at a challenging time

for UK defence.

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The Government has promised

an above-inflation increase

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in spending every year

but the Ministry of Defence

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is already committed to finding

£20 billion of savings

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over the next ten years.

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The Cabinet Office is currently

conducting a security review

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which will look at military

capabilities and funding up to 2022,

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while there are continuing

reports of shortages

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of manpower and equipment.

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And if Labour were to win power,

questions persist over

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what a Jeremy Corbyn premiership

would mean for defence budget

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and the traditional cornerstones

of UK defence policy

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like Trident and Nato.

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Well we're joined now

by the Shadow Defence

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secretary, Nia Griffith.

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Well we're joined now

by the Shadow Defence

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secretary, Nia Griffith.

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Let's talk about defence spending

first. Would Labour commit to the

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same thing this Government has which

is an above inflation increase in

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spending every year?

We've been

absolutely clear about that. First

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and foremost we'd meet our

commitment of spending at least 2%

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of GDP on defence as is our Nato

commitment and we would match the

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Government's year-on-year 0.5%

increase above inflation. This is

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really important. Labour's always

had a good strong track record of

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spending on defence.

Jeremy Corbyn

seems to have a different view.

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Speaking at a protest in 2010 he

said Labour wanted to fight all the

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cuts except those in the Armed

Forces where we want to see a few

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more cuts taking place. He doesn't

seem committed to defence spending?

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In the manifesto for this year's

election, 2017, he and John

0:17:200:17:25

McDonnell have been absolutely clear

we support the exact words I've been

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using now, at least 2% of the spend

of GDP spent on defence.

Jeremy

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Corbyn's changed his mind on that?

He's been very clear about that and

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it was in our manifesto this year.

You criticised the Government on

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whether they meet their 2%

commitment on defence. You saying

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they were fiddling the figures

because they were including

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pensions. You would strip that out

and snake sure there's 2% spending

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on defence which doesn't include

pensions?

Technically, the

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Government would argue you are

allowed to include pensions by the

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Nato rules. But we've been very

clear, really, when you're talking

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about defence spending it should

mean defence. When you look at the

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last year of the Labour Government

we spent 2.5% GDP on defence. We are

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very much committed to looking at

what we need in our defence budget

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and looking to the problems they

have now where they can't meet the

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commitments they've made.

You would

sprip pensions out of those figures.

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In order to live up to these

commitments you have to find an

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extra billion for the defence

budgets because we're not

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calculating pensions anymore?

John

McDonnell is well aware of what they

0:18:410:18:45

are doing. Putting in the conflict

resolution money which Gordon Brown

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kept separate. He is well aware of

the figures and the difficulties. We

0:18:490:18:54

are certainly very committed to a

defence budget that really does make

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a difference.

I'm not clear whether

you're telling me it will be 2% 69

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spending, excluding pensions?

We

want it to be 2% of GDP as in the

0:19:030:19:09

way Labour always calculate it had

up until 2010, not including

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pensions.

A significant increase in

military spending?

We are talking

0:19:130:19:18

about making sure the spending we

need is there because, at the

0:19:180:19:22

current situation, we have with the

current Government, they are

0:19:220:19:25

overstretched. Even the very caution

National Audit Office says they are

0:19:250:19:31

at immense risk of not being able to

meet the expenditure commitment the

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they have made. Others talk about a

black hole. You mentioned it that

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£20 billion. There is a real issue

we have to address.

To you know what

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it will cost, how muchedingsal funds

will have to be found?

We have to

0:19:480:19:53

rook at what are the needs at the

time as well as the facts we want to

0:19:530:19:59

make that 2% commitment not

including things which have just

0:19:590:20:02

been brushed in now by the

Conservative Government.

Let's move

0:20:020:20:06

on to a different aspect of defence.

There is a treaty banning nuclear

0:20:060:20:12

weapons opened at the UN for

signatories. 122 countries have

0:20:120:20:16

already signed it. Would an incoming

Labour Government sign that treaty?

0:20:160:20:21

The important point here is there

was an Is inned opportunity for

0:20:210:20:24

there to be observers from the UK.

There should have been at that

0:20:240:20:29

treaty talks.

That doesn't change

the calculation whether or not an

0:20:290:20:35

incoming Labour Government would

sign that treaty?

We are committed

0:20:350:20:41

to a strong multi-lateral disarming

programme. That's what we've seen

0:20:410:20:46

missing.

This is a multilateral

approach to try to get rid of

0:20:460:20:50

nuclear weapons. What you say you

want. Would a Labour Government sign

0:20:500:20:55

that treaty?

You we have to look at

how you go about things. We need toe

0:20:550:20:59

somebody clear we want to

de-escalate tensions across the

0:20:590:21:02

world. Work with other nuclear

partners to help stop the

0:21:020:21:07

proliferation of nuclear weapons. We

want to work with those countries

0:21:070:21:11

who feel very strongly about the

treaty so we can work together. We

0:21:110:21:17

have to do that in a multilateral

framework.

This is a multi-lateral

0:21:170:21:23

disarmament framework. Under the

auspice Is of the UN disto see how

0:21:230:21:27

else it could be organised. This is

a great opportunity for you, who

0:21:270:21:31

have been a lifelong campaigner for

disarmament.ment Labour Government

0:21:310:21:36

will be the first nuclear power to

do so, sign it and lead the way.

We

0:21:360:21:41

need to use our position to be

responsible and call for responsible

0:21:410:21:46

multi-lateral disarmamentment there

was progress made on this in the

0:21:460:21:49

eighties and nineties with

considerable amount of are heads put

0:21:490:21:52

to one side and destroyed. We need

to get back on the front foot there.

0:21:520:21:56

I don't see any presence by the UK

Government at the moment on that

0:21:560:21:59

aagain da. It is not helpful for the

nukes leer nations to be separated

0:21:590:22:05

from the non-nuclear nation in the

these debates.

That's why I don't

0:22:050:22:10

understand why you're not taking the

opportunity to say a Labour

0:22:100:22:15

Government would Take The Stand.

We

should wok together and we should

0:22:150:22:18

use our position as a nuclear power

to work for a multilateral

0:22:180:22:23

disarmament programme.

You were very

clear in your manifesto that the

0:22:230:22:27

Labour Party would keep Trident for

the meantime.

Abs will yously.

We

0:22:270:22:31

know throughout his life, Jeremy

Corbyn's long wanted to get rid of

0:22:310:22:34

it. He signed up to the manifesto

saying Trident would stay. Has he

0:22:340:22:41

changed his minds?

The important

thing is that was a manifesto

0:22:410:22:46

Jeremy, John McDonnell's agreed to.

We stood on it in 2017 because that

0:22:460:22:50

is the Labour Party position.

Absolutely. I'm asking if the Labour

0:22:500:22:55

Leader really believes in that

position?

He believes in democracy

0:22:550:22:58

in the party. That is the Labour

Party position. I don't see that

0:22:580:23:02

position changing at all. He has

said very clearly that he accepts

0:23:020:23:06

that is our Labour Party position.

And that is the manifesto we've

0:23:060:23:10

stood on and will continue to stand

on.

I'll need to ask questions about

0:23:100:23:14

sexual harassment in Westminster. It

is as much as inissue for the Labour

0:23:140:23:19

Party as the Conservative. It was

not clear listening to Dawn Butler,

0:23:190:23:23

your colleague on The Andrew Marr

Show this morning, she was asked

0:23:230:23:26

whether or not the leadership knew

about allegations by Kelvin Hopkins.

0:23:260:23:31

Do you know?

I absolutely do not

know at this moment in time. That's

0:23:310:23:35

why there has to be an

investigation. It is extremely

0:23:350:23:37

important to find out what the

allegations were, exactly what

0:23:370:23:42

happened, who was told and who told

what to whom. Then we will be in a

0:23:420:23:47

position to see what the situation

is. In the meantime, Kelvin Hopkins

0:23:470:23:52

has been suspended which is the

cricket thing to do.

Rosie Winterton

0:23:520:23:58

has been outspoken about what she

let the leadership know. If it is

0:23:580:24:03

the case the leadership did know

about these allegations should he

0:24:030:24:06

have been put into the Shadow

Cabinet?

The real question is who

0:24:060:24:11

did know what when.

But what I'm

asking you is...

I am anot going to

0:24:110:24:17

speculate whether there was an if or

whatever. We need to know how that

0:24:170:24:21

information was transmitted. Was it

put in writing. What it made clear,

0:24:210:24:25

who was told what, when. Until we

have a full investigation it would

0:24:250:24:29

be inappropriate to comment. What is

absolute lie clear, we need to get

0:24:290:24:33

this right for the future. We must

have proper procedures so we deal

0:24:330:24:37

with incidents as and when they

occur. And we deal with them

0:24:370:24:42

prepperly in a way which gets to the

bottom of the issue and deals with

0:24:420:24:45

it properly.

Why should anyone have

confidence the Labour Party will

0:24:450:24:50

treat issues that seriously when,

firstly there's a question whether

0:24:500:24:55

they knew about Kelvin hop kips and

others have been dissuaded from

0:24:550:24:59

making complaints. Knots just Bex

Bailey. Monica Lennon said when she

0:24:590:25:04

was harassed at a party senior

figures in the Labour Party told her

0:25:040:25:09

it was her own fault. It seems as if

there hasn't been a culture within

0:25:090:25:16

Labour to make a complaint.

That's

why we're having a thorough review

0:25:160:25:21

of procedures. We brought in new

procedures in July. We need to

0:25:210:25:26

ensure there's a proper helpline

available. We are appointing an

0:25:260:25:31

independent organisation which will

deal with allegations first-hand so

0:25:310:25:34

nobody has to go to somebody they

think might know other people, be

0:25:340:25:37

friends with other people. They can

go somewhere completely confidential

0:25:370:25:43

and private. These are often things

you can't want to tell your cross

0:25:430:25:47

friends about. We will appoint that

organisation and make sure people

0:25:470:25:51

can go there and access to it is

made widely known. It is very, very

0:25:510:25:56

important when people come into a

job, they know if anything does

0:25:560:25:59

happen, they will be able to

complain. Whether they are ordinary

0:25:590:26:03

party members or working in

Westminster.

Thank you for talking

0:26:030:26:09

to us

0:26:090:26:09

For Thank you for talking to us some

0:26:090:26:11

on the left of politics,

0:26:110:26:13

this weekend wasn't just a chance

0:26:130:26:15

to mark the anniversary

of the failed gunpowder

0:26:150:26:17

plot here in Britain,

but also events in Russia 100 years

0:26:170:26:20

ago, when Bolshevik revolutionaries

led by Lenin seized power

0:26:200:26:22

and ushered in seven

decades of Communist rule.

0:26:220:26:24

For critics, that's something

to regret, not celebrate.

0:26:240:26:26

Elizabeth Glinka went to one event

in London to find out more.

0:26:260:26:28

The 7th November 1917.

0:26:320:26:34

Red Guards under the leadership

of Vladimir Lenin begin to occupy

0:26:340:26:38

Government buildings in Petrograd.

0:26:380:26:43

This uprising, known

popularly as Red October

0:26:430:26:46

because of the difference

in the Gregorian calendar,

0:26:460:26:48

was, in fact, a coup.

0:26:480:26:51

The winds of socialist change had

been blowing for some time.

0:26:510:26:55

The Tsars had resisted reform

and millions toiled in a state

0:26:550:27:00

of almost medieval surfdom.

0:27:000:27:03

Then war.

0:27:030:27:06

Nearly two million

Russians would die.

0:27:060:27:11

The revolution had really begun nine

months earlier in February 1917.

0:27:110:27:16

The world's first socialist

republic was declared.

0:27:160:27:22

October, well that

was the Bolsheviks

0:27:220:27:25

asserting their authority.

0:27:250:27:29

A hundred years on, as this

event at the TUC shows,

0:27:310:27:34

there's still plenty of people

who want to remember and even

0:27:340:27:38

celebrate those momentous events.

0:27:380:27:41

Mainly as an event in history,

0:27:410:27:44

this is an example of historical

development in action,

0:27:440:27:47

the ability of people to club

together and be able to affect

0:27:470:27:50

the discourse of history.

0:27:500:27:52

It was people's first attempt at

trying to build socialism.

0:27:520:27:54

Although there were many terrible

things that happened,

0:27:540:27:57

I think we have to try

and draw from experience.

0:27:570:27:59

Jeremy Corbyn's close friend

and adviser, Andrew Murray,

0:27:590:28:02

was chairing the opening session.

0:28:020:28:05

He didn't want to talk to us

but we did manage to speak

0:28:050:28:08

to the daughter of one of the most

famous Communists of all time.

0:28:080:28:14

TRANSLATION:

It's an historic moment

0:28:140:28:17

which opened up possibilities

for further changes

0:28:170:28:20

and allowed other people

to strive for a different world.

0:28:200:28:22

A world, which it seems,

some are still keen to push for.

0:28:220:28:26

We're growing, so there is obviously

a positive reflection.

0:28:260:28:28

There is a lot of negative

propaganda that comes

0:28:280:28:31

from the Cold War period.

0:28:310:28:33

It is harder to talk

to older people maybe.

0:28:330:28:35

But younger people

are quite receptive.

0:28:350:28:37

The events and discussions taking

place here today cover a whole range

0:28:370:28:40

of topics from women's

rights to the Third World

0:28:400:28:43

and the impact on British socialism.

0:28:430:28:45

But there's much less discussion

of the Russian Civil War,

0:28:450:28:49

the purges and the political

repression that would come later.

0:28:490:28:53

We wanted to have this conference

0:28:530:28:56

because we wanted to show it

in a positive light.

0:28:560:28:59

Whatever one's view of what happened

to the Soviet Union subsequently

0:28:590:29:02

the fact is it is important

to understand the process

0:29:020:29:06

of revolutionary change

for its own sake.

0:29:060:29:10

Red October would usher

in 70 years of communism.

0:29:110:29:14

The proletarite would rise,

find respect and security.

0:29:140:29:17

But the suppression of the peoples

of Eastern Europe, the forced labour

0:29:170:29:21

camps and the murder of hundreds

of thousands, if not millions

0:29:210:29:26

of people, make it difficult

for many to see that revolution

0:29:260:29:29

as something to celebrate.

0:29:290:29:33

That was Elizabeth Glinka reporting.

0:29:340:29:36

So is the centenary

of the Russian Revolution a cause

0:29:360:29:39

for celebration, or regret?

0:29:390:29:40

Well, to discuss this I'm

joined by former Labour

0:29:400:29:42

and Respect MP George Galloway,

and the journalist Peter Hitchens.

0:29:420:29:48

Good morning. Let me start with you

George Galloway. Is the October

0:29:480:29:53

revolution a cause for celebration?

With the, if not for the October

0:29:530:29:58

revolution, we'd been conducting

this interview in German. Though the

0:29:580:30:01

truth is this interview wouldn't be

taking place and we probably

0:30:010:30:05

wouldn't be alive for a variety of

reasons. The Soviet Union broke the

0:30:050:30:12

back of Hitler, as Mr Churchill

often owe pined in Parliament and

0:30:120:30:15

elsewhere. If not for the Soviet

Union, Hitler would have ruled. And

0:30:150:30:23

his successorsness, perhaps until

now, from Vladivostok all the way to

0:30:230:30:29

Portugal.

You say we wouldn't be

able to have this discussion. In the

0:30:290:30:33

former Soviet Union we couldn't have

this office either?

That's also

0:30:330:30:35

true. But even the...

George will be

able to say, that of course.

Even

0:30:350:30:43

the sun has spots on its face as

they used to say in the Soviet

0:30:430:30:47

Union. There is no doubt tremendous

abrasions, big crimes, a lot of

0:30:470:30:56

suffering but, if not for the

transformation, then the Soviet

0:30:560:31:06

Union, Russia's GDP increased from

1930 to 190 and the Nazi occupation.

0:31:060:31:13

And the strength that defeated

Hitlerism would not have been there.

0:31:130:31:20

Peter Hitchens, does it offend you

there are people celebrating 100

0:31:200:31:24

years since the Russian Revolution?

Offend? No, but in the Soviet Union,

0:31:240:31:29

in which I lived, you would not have

been able to say it was set up by a

0:31:290:31:34

cynical bitch, almost bloodless, but

engineered by the German Imperial

0:31:340:31:37

Government using -- a cynical

putsch, almost bloodless. That this

0:31:370:31:54

was the inauguration of an immensely

long period of repression,

0:31:540:32:00

brutality, secret police,

concentration camps and lies, which

0:32:000:32:03

I am likely to have seen come to an

end in my lifetime, and I cannot see

0:32:030:32:07

why anybody looking at that

disastrous country where so much

0:32:070:32:10

misery was needlessly imposed on so

many people for so long could

0:32:100:32:13

possibly celebrate the beginning of

it, which was completely avoidable,

0:32:130:32:16

and as I say was truly the result of

the cynical foreign policy and

0:32:160:32:22

intelligence operations of the

Imperial German Government is trying

0:32:220:32:24

to save it skin...

But everyone

including George Galloway

0:32:240:32:29

acknowledges the tyranny and terror

that followed.

He doesn't. He gives

0:32:290:32:34

statistics about GDP but fails to

mention the people murdered in

0:32:340:32:36

labour

0:32:360:32:43

camp... He was of course formerly a

Trotskyite and sung the praises of

0:32:430:32:49

Lenin, which I have not done and

neither have I done today. I have

0:32:490:32:54

never been a Communist, unlike Peter

Hitchens, but I do acknowledge and

0:32:540:32:58

celebrate that an entirely different

world opened up as a result of the

0:32:580:33:02

events in October 19 17. China, you

have just seen their party congress,

0:33:020:33:07

decorated with the iconography of

the Bolshevik Revolution, and China

0:33:070:33:11

is the most powerful, or soon will

be the most powerful country on the

0:33:110:33:15

earth.

With one of the most

repressive government?

I don't think

0:33:150:33:19

that is true. There is repression in

China, but...

Enormous repression in

0:33:190:33:25

China! How can you possibly argue

there is an?

China has taken more

0:33:250:33:30

people out of poverty in the last 30

years than any country, resume,

0:33:300:33:35

system, ever has -- how can you

possibly argue there is not?

All

0:33:350:33:39

despots always argue, trying to

distract your attention from the

0:33:390:33:43

mountains of skulls behind them,

their supposed economic success,

0:33:430:33:47

which generally does not turn out to

be as great as claimed. The Soviet

0:33:470:33:50

Union was an enormous pile of rust

by the time I lived there and was a

0:33:500:33:55

complete catastrophe.

Yes, that is

why it fell down. But we are talking

0:33:550:34:00

about the Revolution 100 years ago.

Is it possible to separate the two

0:34:000:34:05

events? A popular overthrowing of a

government is perhaps different from

0:34:050:34:08

the tyranny and terror that

followed.

It was not a popular

0:34:080:34:13

overthrow. You sure this Eisenstein

propaganda as if it were fact. What

0:34:130:34:18

we see was a film made afterwards.

What actually happened was a putsch

0:34:180:34:23

in the middle of the night in which

hardly anybody... Nobody has even

0:34:230:34:31

mentioned...

That German connection,

a rather more important...

Nobody

0:34:310:34:38

has even mentioned during this year

until now that there was a Russian

0:34:380:34:41

Revolution. There were two. The

first one was a genuine uprising,

0:34:410:34:47

overthrowing the old regime, and I

think we can all be glad of it. The

0:34:470:34:50

second one was a cynical for --

foreign financed putsch and it does

0:34:500:34:56

not deserve to be spoken out.

Is

that true, and Menshevik revolution

0:34:560:34:59

would have done better than a

Bolshevik one?

It is not my business

0:34:590:35:05

and entirely counterfactual fiction,

if I may...

Unlike how you open this

0:35:050:35:11

discussion.

That is the most

important thing. If not for the

0:35:110:35:15

Soviet Union, we wouldn't be here.

Hetmyer might still, and most of the

0:35:150:35:22

world, with its allies -- Adolph

Hitler might have won and they make,

0:35:220:35:28

and most of the world...

The effect

of Bolshevism and coming is on

0:35:280:35:33

Europe was colossal.

Let's bring it

all a little bit more up-to-date.

0:35:330:35:36

You were saying earlier you have

never been a Leninist, although

0:35:360:35:41

Peter Hitchens confesses he was at

one time.

Absolutely was a

0:35:410:35:48

Trotskyist, and now nor the complete

folly of that particular political

0:35:480:35:54

disposition.

John McDonnell in the

Labour Party openly says he is a

0:35:540:35:59

Trotskyist, a Leninist, is that a

problem for the Labour Party?

I

0:35:590:36:04

would have thought, arts would be

more respected now than he has been

0:36:040:36:07

for quite some time as capitalism is

collapsing around our ears. From

0:36:070:36:13

2008 the Economist itself, the bible

of capitalism, began to resurrect

0:36:130:36:18

Marxist economics and analysis, so I

really don't think it is. Jeremy

0:36:180:36:23

Corbyn is not a Marxist. It only

took them four years, 54...

It is

0:36:230:36:33

not that.

I think we are moving into

an era where Governments like the

0:36:330:36:41

Chinese Government are making plans,

and are succeeding in implementing

0:36:410:36:44

them, and thus transforming their

position. China in 1949, and I don't

0:36:440:36:51

need to tell you, was just about the

most backward place you could

0:36:510:36:53

possibly imagine. And from 1949 to

now it has sold transforms that it

0:36:530:37:00

is the world's biggest economy...

We

are in danger of getting sidetracked

0:37:000:37:09

by China here.

I have to put this

point in. If China was backward in

0:37:090:37:13

1949 it was far more backward by the

time Mao Zedong finished his great

0:37:130:37:17

leap forward and starved millions of

people to death in the period of

0:37:170:37:21

economic lunacy. You just don't

notice...

What George was saying

0:37:210:37:27

they are, and a sense certainly

amongst younger voters in this

0:37:270:37:30

country and others, where they are

turning against capitalism, they

0:37:300:37:33

don't think it has worked or

delivered for them, that this kind

0:37:330:37:37

of Marxist Leninist philosophy is

becoming more popular?

Let's hope

0:37:370:37:40

not. The fact the current system is

failing does not seem to recommend

0:37:400:37:44

the Soviet system, which is

demonstrably a failure, and even its

0:37:440:37:50

own leaders admitted it failed and

that is why they tried to reform it

0:37:500:37:53

in the period I was there and why it

collapsed. Whatever you might want

0:37:530:37:56

to conclude from examining our

position, the Soviet alternative is

0:37:560:37:59

not the thing you want the dues.

This was a long period of disaster,

0:37:590:38:02

and I remember at the end of it

watching in Moscow said a film which

0:38:020:38:07

has never been shown here, and the

title means approximately we can't

0:38:070:38:13

go on living like this, and for the

first time, the politburo told the

0:38:130:38:19

truth about what life was like in

the dreadful place and everyone in

0:38:190:38:22

that cinema was weeping because

finally they saw the truth being

0:38:220:38:25

told about the dreadful

anti-civilisation in which they had

0:38:250:38:27

been taught to live for so long. The

idea we should celebrate it revive

0:38:270:38:31

it seems to me to be verging on the

obscene.

George, one interesting

0:38:310:38:36

question about this of course,

whilst there are events going on in

0:38:360:38:41

London and across the UK to mark

this centenary, it is not being

0:38:410:38:44

celebrated in Russia.

I was in

Russia a couple of weeks ago. There

0:38:440:38:47

is a big debate about whether it

ought to be, and many people are

0:38:470:38:52

celebrating it...

Vladimir Putin is

not. He would want to ignore it.

But

0:38:520:38:56

the Communist Party is the second

biggest party in Russia. And it is

0:38:560:39:01

the ruling party in China, which,

with respect, is not a separate

0:39:010:39:07

thing, because China is continuing

the Russian Revolution and doing

0:39:070:39:09

rather better at it than the

Russians did, but there are many

0:39:090:39:14

people, particularly older, that is

true, who think that the era of the

0:39:140:39:18

Soviet Union was better than the

very cold period of capitalism that

0:39:180:39:24

succeeded it. So half the world

followed for a time the red flag,

0:39:240:39:31

the red banner of Leninism. No one

will do so again. Leninism of the

0:39:310:39:39

kind that Peter used to proselytise

is certainly not coming back, but

0:39:390:39:43

Marxism is going to live on.

Let's

hope not.

Thank you both, gentlemen,

0:39:430:39:48

for coming on to speak about that.

0:39:480:39:50

It's coming up to 11.40am.

0:39:500:39:51

You're watching the Sunday Politics.

0:39:510:39:52

Coming up on the programme:

0:39:520:39:55

We've taken the moodbox to where

else but bonfire night celebrations.

0:39:550:39:59

We've taken the moodbox to where

else but bonfire night celebrations?

0:39:590:40:01

It wasn't just Westminster

that had the fireworks this week.

0:40:010:40:04

We're asking people in Guildford

in Surrey,

0:40:040:40:05

does Theresa May have control

of her Government and her party?

0:40:050:40:06

Hello, hello, and welcome to Sunday

politics here in the glorious west

0:40:140:40:17

of England.

0:40:170:40:18

Coming up, last of the summer wine.

0:40:180:40:21

Many farmers and growers

have had had trouble

0:40:210:40:24

recruiting foreign workers

for this year's harvest.

0:40:240:40:26

Is this a taste of

what it has in store?

0:40:260:40:31

Well, it's bonfire

night of course so I'm

0:40:310:40:36

expecting some fireworks

between my guests today.

0:40:360:40:37

They are the Conservative MP

for North Wiltshire,

0:40:370:40:39

James Gray, and the green Euro

MP Molly Scott Cato.

0:40:390:40:43

Nice to see you both.

0:40:430:40:45

Well, in the week's

political news it has

0:40:450:40:50

been dominated rather

by

0:40:500:40:51

the harassment scandal

in Westminster.

0:40:510:40:52

James, are you

surprised at how many MPs have

0:40:520:40:54

been caught up in this?

0:40:540:40:55

Well, it's been a horrible

atmosphere in Parliament

0:40:550:40:57

all week with everyone wondering

what on earth's going on.

0:40:570:41:01

And the thing that

worries me about it is

0:41:010:41:03

that it's very, very

serious matters and that

0:41:030:41:05

have to be investigated

and

0:41:050:41:06

dealt with being muddled up

with a lot of trivia.

0:41:060:41:09

And that is very bad

for all the victims.

0:41:090:41:11

If there are victims

of serious matters, and one

0:41:110:41:13

or two horrible allegations around,

they shouldn't be mixed up with some

0:41:130:41:16

ancient business about some fellow

putting his hand on

0:41:160:41:18

a journalist's knee.

0:41:190:41:20

Shouldn't do that, probably,

but all the less it is trivial by

0:41:200:41:23

comparison to some of the other

things that have been caring.

0:41:230:41:27

We've to take sexual

harassment seriously,

0:41:270:41:28

we've got to do with it,

we've got to prevent it,

0:41:280:41:31

but we mustn't allow it

to be come a witchhunt.

0:41:310:41:33

Is it going to actually

escalate to the

0:41:330:41:35

extent where perhaps it might even

bring down the government?

0:41:350:41:37

Not necessarily the

Conservatives being

0:41:370:41:39

involved but...

0:41:390:41:44

I think there is no risk of that,

I think all parties

0:41:440:41:47

are involved in one way or another.

0:41:470:41:48

I don't think there is any

likelihood of the government falling

0:41:480:41:51

over, I think that would be

extremely surprising, but there will

0:41:510:41:54

be some changes to come at the top

I think and if there

0:41:540:41:57

are people guilty of things,

Michael Fallon apparently

0:41:570:41:59

believed he was, then it's right

that there should be the changes.

0:41:590:42:01

OK, let's move on to you, Molly.

0:42:010:42:03

We're just wondering what your

experience is in the European

0:42:030:42:05

Parliament.

0:42:060:42:07

It's hard to believe that

if there are these issues at

0:42:070:42:09

Westminster it doesn't affect people

in Brussels and Strasbourg, too.

0:42:090:42:12

I have to say, actually,

I haven't experienced

0:42:120:42:14

sexual harassment at all

in the European Parliament.

0:42:140:42:15

I think there is a very

different atmosphere

0:42:150:42:17

there.

0:42:170:42:18

There are many more women

relatively, in the parliament

0:42:180:42:21

compared to Westminster,

and I think that in

0:42:210:42:22

the corridors of power,

the

0:42:220:42:24

old boys' club, the sort

of culture of Westminster

0:42:240:42:26

is quite backward

in

0:42:260:42:27

lots of ways and I think this may be

one example of that.

0:42:270:42:30

Personally I think Ruth

Davidson hit the nail on

0:42:300:42:32

the head when she said usually this

isn't about sex, it's about power,

0:42:320:42:35

and it about that nature power

relationships between men and women

0:42:350:42:38

where there is not a quality that

I think leads to this kind of

0:42:380:42:41

harassment and sexual exploitation.

0:42:410:42:43

James.

0:42:430:42:44

Well, it has of course happened many

times in the European

0:42:440:42:47

Union, too, there's no question

about that whatsoever.

0:42:470:42:49

It happens everywhere

that human beings get

0:42:490:42:50

together, probably

happens at the BBC,

0:42:500:42:52

I dare say, not casting

any

0:42:520:42:53

any...

0:42:530:42:54

Any asparagus at you.

0:42:540:42:55

Asparagus?

0:42:550:42:56

Aspersions, aspersions, aspersions!

0:42:560:42:57

No problem to me,

asparagus.

0:42:570:42:59

It happens in all

human organisations.

0:42:590:43:00

Any evidence of it

happening in the European

0:43:000:43:02

Parliament?

0:43:020:43:03

Yes of course, a number of MEPs have

had to leave because of

0:43:030:43:06

it but it does, of course,

it happens in every

0:43:060:43:09

company, in every organisation

where men and women are getting

0:43:090:43:11

together it can happen

and that is

0:43:110:43:13

why you have team have very clear

rules, very clear rules and

0:43:130:43:16

procedures to make sure

that it isn't allowed to

0:43:160:43:18

happen...

0:43:180:43:20

No, I just wanted to

say indeed there has

0:43:200:43:22

been some allegations in

the previous mandate which are being

0:43:220:43:24

investigated, and one of the things

I think is important that people

0:43:240:43:27

don't just respond in a knee jerk

sort of way but we try and

0:43:270:43:31

look at the fundamentals

of what's going on.

0:43:310:43:41

Yes, that is right yes.

0:43:420:43:43

We have a load of

e-mails from people

0:43:430:43:45

saying "I absolutely agree,

as if that was going

0:43:450:43:47

to solve the problem.

0:43:470:43:48

We don't need virtue signalling

here, we need people to actually

0:43:480:43:51

address the fundamentals.

0:43:510:43:52

Yes.

0:43:520:43:53

We talked about Michael Fallon

as Defence Secretary but we now have

0:43:530:43:56

this guy, Mr Williamson,

with his tarantula, what do

0:43:560:43:58

you think that appointment?

0:43:580:43:59

Well, Gavin's a very,

very able chap highly intelligent,

0:43:590:44:01

highly competent, knows everybody.

0:44:010:44:02

He doesn't yet know

anything about defence,

0:44:020:44:04

he has an awful lot

to

0:44:040:44:05

learn there and I hope

to play a little part

0:44:050:44:08

in helping educate him.

0:44:080:44:09

He does need to learn

a great deal about it.

0:44:090:44:11

Isn't it an odd system

where someone with no idea about

0:44:110:44:14

defence is suddenly in charge

of hundreds of thousands of people?

0:44:140:44:17

I was just about to say the great

British system is that the Secretary

0:44:170:44:20

of State very rarely does.

0:44:200:44:21

One thing you do not

want to have as Secretary

0:44:210:44:24

of State for Health

as a

0:44:240:44:25

doctor and wanted you don't want

to have as secretary of State for

0:44:250:44:28

education is a teacher.

0:44:280:44:29

Civil servants do all

of that, the job of

0:44:290:44:31

the secretary of state is to make

the political decisions on the

0:44:310:44:34

question of the sort of civil

service put up to you.

0:44:340:44:37

Would you ever fancy

Defence Secretary?

0:44:370:44:38

I think it's highly

unlikely the Tories

0:44:380:44:40

would ever appoint me

as

0:44:400:44:41

Defence Secretary but I think

I could really shake things up.

0:44:410:44:44

You would do away with

it, you would do away with it.

0:44:440:44:47

With both my poppies,

I'd be spending a lot more on

0:44:470:44:49

peacemaking than on war-making.

0:44:490:44:50

Well, as well you know, it's been

cold this week so the thought

0:44:500:44:53

of being without a roof

over your head doesn't bear

0:44:530:44:56

thinking about a new law coming

into force next year would mean

0:44:560:44:59

local councils up to do more

to help him

0:44:590:45:01

or at risk of homelessness.

0:45:010:45:02

But there are fears

they would have enough

0:45:020:45:04

money to do it, always

the

0:45:040:45:05

issue, of course.

0:45:050:45:06

Dan O'Brien reports.

0:45:060:45:08

This homeless charity is serving up

hope as well as a meal

0:45:080:45:10

and it is much needed.

0:45:100:45:12

In the mornings,

I think what's the point

0:45:120:45:13

getting up for?

0:45:140:45:15

Yeah.

0:45:150:45:16

And carrying...

0:45:160:45:17

I mean...

0:45:170:45:18

Now the weather's

getting colder, I just

0:45:180:45:19

don't know what I'm going to do.

0:45:190:45:29

Demand is growing in towns like

Devizes, not just in big cities.

0:45:310:45:34

Lost my house, the kids

went into care.

0:45:340:45:36

, Goodness.

0:45:360:45:37

Then I ended up in the back

of a van, where there is no

0:45:370:45:41

heating, water, no access to...

0:45:410:45:42

Cooking food, nothing.

0:45:420:45:43

The arrival of bacon

butties, one of the way the

0:45:430:45:45

open doors charity provides welcome

relief from life on the streets.

0:45:450:45:48

I've had a rough time in life.

0:45:480:45:50

I have obviously have

some addictions,

0:45:500:45:51

I've had to face my demons as well,

I'm still going through them, but

0:45:510:45:54

it's been a long process.

0:45:540:45:56

And it has led to a life

hard to imagine in the

0:45:560:46:02

west's pretty market towns.

0:46:020:46:03

So right now I'm staying

in a wooden shed and

0:46:030:46:05

it's just...

0:46:050:46:06

It's absolutely freezing,

it's really...

0:46:060:46:08

It's diabolical really.

0:46:080:46:09

What, just like a garden shed?

0:46:090:46:10

Just like a garden shed, yeah.

0:46:100:46:12

With my partner and...

0:46:120:46:13

Two of you, then?

0:46:130:46:14

Yeah!

0:46:140:46:17

Homelessness takes many

forms, but rough sleeping

0:46:170:46:18

is the most extreme.

0:46:190:46:20

Across the west, the number

of rough sleepers

0:46:200:46:21

candid in 2010 was 107 people.

0:46:210:46:23

By the time of the last

count in 2016,

0:46:230:46:25

it had more than doubled to 241.

0:46:250:46:29

The next count takes

place in the coming

0:46:290:46:31

weeks.

0:46:310:46:32

Before people even end up needing

the help of homeless

0:46:320:46:35

charities like this one, next year

the law will change forcing councils

0:46:350:46:37

like Wiltshire to provide more help

people more quickly than they do

0:46:370:46:40

now.

0:46:400:46:44

The change are really putting

pressure on council bosses.

0:46:440:46:46

The homeless reductions

act will give us

0:46:460:46:48

the requirement to actually look

after people earlier.

0:46:480:46:51

Up to now it's been 28 days,

now it's 56 now just

0:46:510:46:54

by the sheer numbers

involved that is going

0:46:540:47:00

to double the case load

we

0:47:000:47:02

have every year.

0:47:020:47:03

The government is promising extra

cash, but will it be

0:47:030:47:05

enough?

0:47:050:47:06

We have to balance our priorities

because of course we've

0:47:060:47:09

got looked after kids, we got

elderly care, we got even roads,

0:47:090:47:11

potholes, people have concerns

about all sorts of areas.

0:47:110:47:14

Meanwhile west MPs Richard

Graham, David Warburton

0:47:140:47:15

and Michelle Donelan

are backing a charity

0:47:150:47:17

call for the Chancellor

to

0:47:170:47:18

put more cash into helping homeless

people rent a place to live.

0:47:180:47:25

For Jen in Devizes,

help can't come soon enough.

0:47:250:47:27

Where would you be without

the facilities like this and

0:47:270:47:29

charities like this?

0:47:290:47:32

Oh to be fair, I'd probably

end up being dead, to

0:47:320:47:35

be fair, I would have just gone over

the top but these places, they've

0:47:350:47:38

opened the doors to everybody

and they don't judge anybody, and

0:47:380:47:41

they're just fantastic.

0:47:410:47:46

Charities like this one

to rely on donations

0:47:460:47:53

as winter draws in they also need

coats, socks and sleeping bags.

0:47:530:47:55

Help from the community

as well as the

0:47:550:47:57

government.

0:47:570:48:00

Well, to discuss that I'm joined

by Hannah Gowsey from the

0:48:000:48:02

housing charity crisis thanks

for coming on the programme.

0:48:020:48:04

When you helped draft

this new law that is

0:48:040:48:06

coming in next year,

how much of a difference

0:48:060:48:09

will it make, do you think?

0:48:090:48:10

The new legislation marks

a transformation of the homelessness

0:48:100:48:12

legislation in England.

0:48:120:48:14

When the new legislation

comes in, thousands more

0:48:140:48:16

people will be eligible for

assistance at a much, much earlier

0:48:160:48:18

point so in principle the

legislation will go a long way to

0:48:180:48:21

help resolving homelessness

but of course we do need to make

0:48:210:48:24

sure that authorities are properly

resourced

0:48:240:48:25

to meet the new duties

and that is why ahead of the budget

0:48:250:48:28

we are calling on the government

to invest

0:48:280:48:30

a further £31 million

in help to rent schemes.

0:48:300:48:36

And have you had any indication

that that might actually happen?

0:48:360:48:39

So we don't have any indication

ahead of the budget as to

0:48:390:48:43

whether or not will be included.

0:48:430:48:45

But what I would say is that

government has made firm commitments

0:48:450:48:48

to tackle homelessness.

0:48:480:48:51

They have put a lot

of support behind the

0:48:510:48:53

homeless reduction act,

they've also pledged

0:48:530:48:54

to halve rough sleeping

by

0:48:540:48:55

2022, and end it all together

by 2027, so by supporting

0:48:550:48:58

the help to rent projects and

including them in the budget they

0:48:580:49:01

would be helping to meet their own

commitments on this.

0:49:010:49:04

What I would say though

is that we obviously have

0:49:040:49:11

no guarantee that this

is going to be in the

0:49:110:49:13

budget and that is why

we

0:49:130:49:15

are asking members

of the public to price

0:49:150:49:17

to the Chancellor ahead

of the

0:49:170:49:18

budget on the 22nd of November

and ask them to include

0:49:180:49:21

this and you can do that

by going to our website, we

0:49:210:49:24

have a very easy letter that

you can just fill in.

0:49:240:49:27

OK, thank you for that!

0:49:270:49:29

And I will come back to you if I can

a little bit later on.

0:49:290:49:32

James, the number of homeless has

0:49:320:49:34

doubled whilst the Tories

have been on duty.

0:49:340:49:38

Well, I very much welcome this

new bill brought in by my

0:49:380:49:41

friend Bob Blackman,

the Conservative MP for Harrow West.

0:49:410:49:43

It was a member's bill

in the government that

0:49:430:49:45

then adopted it and

0:49:460:49:51

they have now put behind

it £75 million already

0:49:510:49:53

and have promised

a

0:49:530:49:54

lot more money to come to help local

authorities with these extra

0:49:540:49:57

burdens, so it is a good bill.

0:49:570:49:59

But of course one

single person sleeping

0:49:590:50:01

outdoors is a scandal.

0:50:010:50:02

I'm very worried locally

particularly by the

0:50:020:50:03

ex-military, an awful lot of

veterans who can't find a home and

0:50:030:50:06

they are sleeping rough,

particularly around this area and

0:50:060:50:10

also in London and elsewhere,

and we have defined

0:50:100:50:12

way of helping them

in

0:50:120:50:13

particular.

0:50:130:50:14

The big worry often is

that the government says it will do

0:50:140:50:17

something and then

doesn't fully fund it

0:50:170:50:19

so it puts the pressure

on

0:50:190:50:20

the local authorities

and they have to cut

0:50:200:50:22

something else in order

to

0:50:220:50:23

make it happen.

0:50:230:50:27

Of course, we already have

a statutory obligation to look after

0:50:270:50:30

the homeless, that is part of

the government's job and always has

0:50:300:50:33

been.

0:50:330:50:35

This is piling on extra duties

to intervene 56 days

0:50:350:50:37

before someone is made homeless?

0:50:370:50:38

That's right.

0:50:380:50:39

They are trying to avoid

you becoming homeless and

0:50:390:50:42

they're all kinds

different homeless people.

0:50:420:50:43

Varying from the people who may

be suffering from drug

0:50:430:50:45

problems...

0:50:460:50:47

But it's the money, James,

we know the problems.

0:50:470:50:49

It's the money.

0:50:490:50:50

So everyone wants more

money all the time.

0:50:500:50:52

But the problem is burying

from all sorts of people

0:50:520:50:54

who've got real sickness, alcohol

problems, ex-military, these kind

0:50:540:50:56

of...

0:50:560:50:57

They aren't all the same and each

one has to be treated

0:50:570:51:00

separately, and local authorities

of the people that can do that.

0:51:000:51:03

That is why the government

has put up £75

0:51:030:51:05

million to help them do it.

0:51:050:51:06

Molly, this is a problem

I guess across Europe.

0:51:060:51:09

You have spent a lot of time

in Brussels and Strasbourg.

0:51:090:51:11

Do you see people

sleeping rough there?

0:51:110:51:13

There are definitely people sleeping

rough and people begging in most

0:51:130:51:15

European countries

and in many cases it's

0:51:150:51:17

often refugees, that's

0:51:170:51:18

certainly the case in Belgium.

0:51:180:51:19

But just to

0:51:190:51:20

come back to what James was saying.

0:51:200:51:22

He neatly sidestepped your question

about why this has doubled,

0:51:220:51:25

why this problem has greatly

increased under the Tories but it is

0:51:250:51:27

indeed a result of all be spending

cuts and also the welfare cap.

0:51:270:51:30

Is it?

0:51:310:51:32

Yes, I mean, the welfare cap is

absolutely crucial here because if

0:51:320:51:34

you are an housing benefit and it

did is cut you cannot afford to pay

0:51:340:51:38

your rent you are made homeless.

0:51:380:51:39

That is the beginning of that.

0:51:390:51:41

There are lots of complex

issues you would

0:51:410:51:43

accept, there's

addiction, there's...

0:51:430:51:44

As mental health, there's

relationship breakdown, the whole

0:51:440:51:46

lot.

0:51:460:51:47

The housing charities

agree that the most

0:51:470:51:49

significant cause of

this is

0:51:490:51:50

when the government,

the Tory government,

0:51:500:51:51

as part of its cuts,

introduced the cap on welfare

0:51:510:51:54

benefits...

0:51:540:51:55

It's a shame to make

it party political.

0:51:550:51:57

It's not a party political matter.

0:51:570:51:58

It is a party political

matter, because YOU have

0:51:580:52:02

been cutting welfare.

matter, because YOU have

0:52:020:52:03

There are of course

more beds available in

0:52:030:52:05

hostels today than there are people.

0:52:050:52:07

210 is very insignificant

by comparison

0:52:070:52:08

to the number of beds in hostels.

0:52:080:52:10

These people are not

unable to go to hostels,

0:52:100:52:12

they don't wish to do so.

0:52:120:52:13

That's what we have to look into,

that's to do with mental health,

0:52:130:52:17

it's to do with drugs...

0:52:170:52:18

It's not Labour or

Conservative, I think

0:52:180:52:19

that's just wrong to...

0:52:190:52:20

Let's just think about

what we're talking about

0:52:200:52:22

here.

0:52:220:52:23

We are talking about children,

families, who cannot afford to

0:52:230:52:26

cannot afford to...

0:52:260:52:27

No, we're talking

about rough sleepers.

0:52:270:52:28

Rough sleepers.

0:52:280:52:29

It's rough sleepers.

0:52:290:52:30

Hang on a second.

0:52:300:52:31

This brings me

onto my next question.

0:52:310:52:33

Where are these homes

going to be found?

0:52:330:52:35

Well, of course we're

talking here about rough

0:52:350:52:37

sleepers, we're not talking

about homeless people.

0:52:370:52:39

We're talking about people sleeping

outdoors in the West

0:52:390:52:41

Country, and they are the worst

people we really have

0:52:410:52:43

to do something about.

0:52:430:52:44

As I say there are more hostel

places available than...

0:52:440:52:47

So when the government

put a cap on welfare

0:52:470:52:49

payments, and particularly

on housing benefit, there was a

0:52:490:52:51

catastrophic fall off in the number

of social housing homes being built.

0:52:510:52:54

What is the cap?

I think it is £20,000.

0:52:540:52:56

That's a lot of money.

0:52:560:52:57

That's not just housing

benefit, that's the

0:52:570:52:59

whole welfare cap.

0:52:590:53:00

Housing benefit is

just a part of that.

0:53:000:53:02

So then there was no

incentive to carry on

0:53:020:53:04

building, it was simply stopped

building social housing because they

0:53:040:53:06

didn't think people

would be able to pay

0:53:060:53:08

enough to afford it

and that is

0:53:080:53:10

the rub.

0:53:100:53:11

Is it still the green policy

to build 500,000 new social

0:53:110:53:14

last.

It didn't get us in amess at all.

0:53:140:53:16

All if you recall, Evan Davis said

the policy was quite right.

0:53:160:53:19

Your leader had no

idea how much it would

0:53:190:53:21

cost.

0:53:210:53:22

She had a cold that day, she

couldn't remember the numbers but

0:53:220:53:25

Evan Davis actually confirmed

that it is actually fine.

0:53:250:53:27

Do you remember the numbers now?

0:53:270:53:28

We're not making that proposal

now because we're not

0:53:280:53:30

in a general election period.

No, it hasn't gone.

0:53:300:53:33

The point is that funding

will come as a result of

0:53:330:53:35

councils being able to borrow to

build and that is worth their while

0:53:350:53:38

because at the moment

they are having to pay an awful lot

0:53:380:53:41

of money to keep people in bed

and breakfasts

0:53:410:53:43

who wouldn't be much more

efficiently invested into into safe,

0:53:430:53:46

warm homes for people to live in.

0:53:460:53:48

OK.

In this weather, we all need that.

0:53:480:53:49

Thank you very much, and Hannah,

in London, thank you very

0:53:490:53:52

much, too.

0:53:520:53:55

We are 16 months on from the Brexit

referendum and still very

0:53:550:53:58

little is clear about what it

will mean for any of us.

0:53:580:54:00

But there has been one

significant effect.

0:54:000:54:02

The fall in the value of the pound.

0:54:020:54:05

It has meant opportunities.

0:54:050:54:10

For some Businesses in the west

but some problems for

0:54:100:54:12

others as Martin Jones reports.

0:54:130:54:14

The last of the summer wine.

0:54:140:54:15

The grape harvest coming

to an end in this

0:54:150:54:17

Gloucestershire winery.

0:54:170:54:18

Pickers are in high demand.

0:54:180:54:19

These are from Bulgaria

working so hard they don't

0:54:190:54:22

stop too long to chat.

0:54:220:54:23

Is it good money working in Britain?

0:54:230:54:27

Depends.

0:54:270:54:32

It's good for us, compared

to here it is low standard.

0:54:340:54:37

Is this your first time in England?

0:54:370:54:41

Yeah, it's my first time.

0:54:410:54:42

What do you think?

0:54:420:54:43

It's very beautiful here.

0:54:430:54:44

But in Bulgaria is more beautiful.

0:54:440:54:51

But the winery needs

Mohammed to overcome the

0:54:510:54:53

beauty of his homeland because they

want him back next year.

0:54:530:54:56

And more like him.

0:54:560:55:00

We wanted to have 12,

perhaps 14 people to come and help

0:55:000:55:03

us additionally

to our regular labour.

0:55:030:55:05

We have found that we rarely

were able to achieve those numbers,

0:55:050:55:09

they have been leaving in droves

to go to Germany, to work for euros,

0:55:090:55:14

and they aren't making the money

here that they did with the exchange

0:55:140:55:17

rate of the pound.

0:55:170:55:25

From the vineyard the grapes

are processed on site

0:55:250:55:28

making a quarter of

a million bottles a year.

0:55:280:55:32

But in the wine world

that is just a dribble.

0:55:320:55:35

And it's all drunk here in the UK.

0:55:350:55:38

And since the referendum

costs have soared leaving

0:55:380:55:40

a sour taste.

0:55:400:55:42

For us at the moment the fall

in the pound has meant the

0:55:420:55:45

difference in that what we import

has become more expensive.

0:55:450:55:48

Bottles, the label,

paper we print the labels

0:55:480:55:50

on is imported, the capsules,

foils for our sparkling wines, so

0:55:500:55:52

any equipment that we want to buy.

0:55:520:56:02

The value of the pound slumped

straight after the Brexit vote and

0:56:090:56:12

has never recovered.

0:56:120:56:13

It means British

pounds by less abroad.

0:56:130:56:14

Holidays, computers, food and drink

have all become more expensive.

0:56:140:56:17

But if you have foreign cash buying

British has become cheaper.

0:56:170:56:19

But down the road in

Somerset one farm has

0:56:190:56:21

seen a Brexit boost.

0:56:220:56:23

At Sharp Park near Street,

Roger Saul grows spelt,

0:56:230:56:25

a type of ancient grain,

regaining popularity thanks

0:56:250:56:27

to its supposedly health benefits.

0:56:270:56:28

The fall in the pound has

recently helped Roger land

0:56:280:56:30

a big contract with

a British supermarket.

0:56:300:56:39

We work with Waitrose, Sainsbury's,

Marks & Spencer, all of

0:56:390:56:41

those teams are looking very hard

I would suggest at the moment to see

0:56:410:56:45

what they can do in Britain.

0:56:450:56:48

And it is not just

because of national

0:56:480:56:50

pride.

0:56:500:56:52

The lower exchange rate means his

Somerset grains are finally

0:56:520:56:55

competitive with those from abroad.

0:56:550:56:58

It has opened up some big doors for

us and that is largely because of

0:56:580:57:02

that same competition

that was 20% cheaper now

0:57:020:57:04

being the same price

as

0:57:040:57:05

me so I would love to say I have now

a level playing field.

0:57:050:57:08

Spelt is a far cry

from Roger's business

0:57:080:57:10

roots.

0:57:100:57:14

He founded fashion brand Mulberry,

selling British handbags

0:57:140:57:15

all round the world.

0:57:160:57:18

And Brexit could finally

mean he is able to sew

0:57:180:57:20

up more international

deals for spelt.

0:57:200:57:24

So, from the export side

the opportunity is there.

0:57:240:57:26

However it is probably

early days because most

0:57:260:57:28

people are looking and seeing will

the currency stay where it is as a

0:57:280:57:31

country to imports to,

but they are definitely

0:57:310:57:33

out there looking.

0:57:330:57:34

But even the one

change we have already

0:57:340:57:36

seen since the referendum

may not last.

0:57:360:57:41

The pound could go

back up of course.

0:57:410:57:43

Predicting our Brexit

0:57:430:57:44

future will sort the

wheat from the chaff.

0:57:440:57:46

Maybe, but we'll have a bash.

0:57:460:57:51

Molly, it seems sort of swings

and roundabouts, really, doesn't it,

0:57:510:57:54

some winners, some losers.

0:57:540:58:00

That will be the story

of Brexit, isn't it?

0:58:000:58:02

At the moment we are

able to have our cake

0:58:020:58:04

and eat it because the pound has

fallen, Brexit hasn't happened so we

0:58:040:58:07

aren't facing the tariffs we will be

facing, so if we take the vineyard,

0:58:070:58:11

we saw from the NFU that there

is a 30% failure in terms

0:58:110:58:14

of the number of people needed

to pick the crops

0:58:140:58:16

that that is one effect

of Brexit we are already

0:58:160:58:19

seeing but as you saw,

Roger Saul, the person who is

0:58:190:58:21

benefiting at the moment,

exporting his brains,

0:58:210:58:23

he will be facing a 50% tariff

on those grains after we have

0:58:230:58:26

left the European Union

so that is much more,

0:58:260:58:28

they will be much more expensive

and that will outweigh the

0:58:280:58:31

fall in the pound.

0:58:310:58:35

It's unlikely, isn't it,

because then Britain would

0:58:350:58:37

impose these tariffs

on stuff coming in, to.

0:58:370:58:39

Well, it depends what kind of deal

we get but if we have the

0:58:390:58:42

hard Brexit deal that people like

James are calling for it will be 50%

0:58:420:58:45

tariffs.

0:58:450:58:46

That is WTO rules.

0:58:460:58:47

No?

0:58:470:58:48

Let's hear you then.

0:58:480:58:49

We will have a deal.

0:58:490:58:51

I didn't say that.

0:58:510:58:52

You said something

along those lines.

0:58:520:58:53

You are still throwing me asparagus!

0:58:530:58:55

I agree with you entirely,

absolutely right.

0:58:550:59:05

Who picks the asparagus,

that's my question.

0:59:050:59:07

Look, you are right in saying that

of the Europeans export

0:59:070:59:09

more to us than we export them.

0:59:090:59:11

Therefore if there would be a 50%

tariff on grains we would have a 50%

0:59:110:59:15

tariff on BMW cars and there would

be widespread unemployment across

0:59:150:59:17

Germany.

0:59:170:59:18

Of course there will be a trade deal

up the intelligent people

0:59:180:59:21

would not do it.

0:59:210:59:22

The important thing

about the currency is that at the

0:59:220:59:25

moment people working

in tourism and all sorts

0:59:250:59:27

of other industries

in the

0:59:270:59:28

west are doing extraordinarily well,

because they can export of the pound

0:59:280:59:31

has been weaker, and we are

discouraging imports which is very

0:59:310:59:33

good for the balance of trade.

0:59:330:59:35

I quite like the pound at $1.32,

but if Molly doesn't I wonder

0:59:350:59:38

what rate you think the pound

should be at.

0:59:380:59:40

Oh gosh, as an economist I wouldn't

dream of predicting that.

0:59:400:59:43

But what is the correct level?

0:59:430:59:44

What is the correct level?

0:59:440:59:46

This is a completely

artificial situation.

0:59:460:59:47

Whatever happens when

we get in to the deal,

0:59:470:59:49

there will certainly be conditions

attached to that and what we hear

0:59:490:59:52

from the Conservatives I am

afraid there's just

0:59:520:59:54

arm waving, oh, well,

we

0:59:540:59:55

know the Germans will do this.

0:59:550:59:57

We actually need

to have a clear sense

0:59:570:59:59

of what is really

0:59:591:00:00

coming and in the area

of food and farming...

1:00:001:00:02

Well, we will do!

1:00:021:00:03

We've been waiting a year now

for the report for the plan, the

1:00:031:00:06

2020 vision for food and farming.

1:00:061:00:08

And it's been pulled again and now

we're not going to have one.

1:00:081:00:11

Food and farming...

1:00:111:00:12

We import a quarter of our food

directly from the EU.

1:00:121:00:14

We need to know what

we will be eating

1:00:141:00:17

after Brexit.

1:00:171:00:18

James, I just want to return

to these government studies,

1:00:181:00:20

the 58 government studies

on the impact of Brexit.

1:00:201:00:22

And the initial refusal

until they have been forced

1:00:221:00:24

to by the House of Commons to

publish those, Brexit is good news

1:00:241:00:27

for us then why wouldn't that

information be out for all of us to

1:00:271:00:31

read and enjoy?

1:00:311:00:32

Well, the Labour Party

used a Parliamentary

1:00:321:00:34

technicality on Thursday to insist

that we should release the impact

1:00:341:00:36

assessments, and we have

now agreed to do so,

1:00:361:00:38

we didn't vote against it,

the Labour Party voted in favour of

1:00:381:00:41

it, we agreed to do

so although we were slightly

1:00:411:00:44

embarrassed by the way it has

involved Buckingham Palace

1:00:441:00:46

and the Queen in what should be

a political matter and that is quite

1:00:461:00:49

wrong.

1:00:491:00:50

However, we are going to produce

these documents, a bit

1:00:501:00:53

redacted for the very

simple reason that we

1:00:531:00:54

are right in the middle

of a

1:00:541:00:56

negotiation and if I'm negotiating

to buy your house and are suddenly

1:00:561:00:59

produce a document that

says I have a lot more

1:00:591:01:01

money than I thought

I

1:01:011:01:03

had or a lot less money than

I thought I had, that affects that

1:01:031:01:06

negotiation.

1:01:061:01:07

OK, Molly, just come

back on that one.

1:01:071:01:09

Well, I've been trying

to get hold of these

1:01:091:01:11

documents since April.

1:01:111:01:12

I don't understand

why the government's

1:01:121:01:14

concealing from us what the impacts

of Brexit will be, I don't think it

1:01:141:01:17

satisfactory to just send them down

one coda to a small number of people

1:01:171:01:20

on a committee.

1:01:201:01:21

I think we all need to know

what the government thinks

1:01:211:01:24

Brexit's going to do

for our livelihoods.

1:01:241:01:26

Even if it damages...

1:01:261:01:27

Even if it did damage

the negotiation?

1:01:271:01:28

Well, I don't except that it's

kind of a poker game.

1:01:281:01:31

We're not playing a poker game

here, we should be...

1:01:311:01:33

White, well we are, really.

1:01:331:01:35

No, we're not!

1:01:351:01:36

It's not that kind

of arrangement at all.

1:01:361:01:38

As if the Europeans

don't know what the

1:01:381:01:39

impact of leaving the

single market will be.

1:01:391:01:41

Of course they do!

1:01:411:01:42

This is much more about saving

the government's blushes than it is

1:01:421:01:45

anything to do with

the negotiations.

1:01:451:01:47

OK, thank you.

1:01:471:01:48

Well, let's have a look

at the rest of

1:01:481:01:50

this week's political

news in just 60 Seconds.

1:01:501:01:52

Council leaders in the west

promised £35 million for new

1:01:521:01:54

high-tech industries,

including virtual reality and a lab

1:01:541:01:56

developing more efficient engines.

1:01:561:01:57

They say the cash will

bring thousands of new

1:01:571:01:59

jobs.

1:01:591:02:00

The west's new Metro Mayor came

under pressure over housing.

1:02:001:02:03

Tim Bowles pledged to protect land

in south Gloucestershire from

1:02:031:02:05

house-building but plans released

this week included controversial

1:02:051:02:07

developments.

1:02:071:02:08

The governments from before

councils means that I'm not

1:02:081:02:10

involved on that process.

1:02:101:02:11

Also under pressure

Bristol businessmen Aaron

1:02:111:02:13

Banks.

1:02:131:02:14

He is being investigated over

the way he has spent money in the EU

1:02:141:02:17

referendum campaign.

1:02:171:02:18

He says claims he channelled

money from Russia are

1:02:181:02:20

nonsense, and used some

ruder words as well.

1:02:201:02:22

And in Stroud, the local council

was left red faced after

1:02:221:02:25

revealing it wanted green power firm

Eco-tricity to run the town's

1:02:251:02:28

routes.

1:02:281:02:29

The problem is that no one

was supposed to know, so keep it

1:02:291:02:32

under your hat.

1:02:321:02:42

Yes, we won't tell anyone!

1:02:471:02:49

And that is all from us this week.

1:02:491:02:51

My thanks to my guests,

James Gray and Molly Scott Cato.

1:02:511:02:54

Don't forget you can

follow us on Twitter

1:02:541:02:56

for the latest updates

and you can watch

1:02:561:02:57

the show back again

on the

1:02:571:03:02

iPlayer if you should wish to!

1:03:021:03:03

But now, let's get

back to London and

1:03:031:03:05

Sarah, who is waiting for us.

1:03:051:03:06

to support.

1:03:071:03:08

All right, and at that point

we have to end it there.

1:03:081:03:11

My thanks to Rosena and Andrew,

and with that it's back to Sarah.

1:03:111:03:13

It's been a tricky

week for Theresa May -

1:03:141:03:16

again, you might think.

1:03:161:03:17

She's lost a Cabinet minister

and been forced into a reshuffle

1:03:171:03:19

which did little for party unity,

to say nothing of losing a Commons

1:03:191:03:23

vote on Brexit and yet more reports

of fireworks in Cabinet meetings -

1:03:231:03:26

this time apparently over housing.

1:03:261:03:27

So, is the Prime Minister's time

in office going with a bang

1:03:271:03:30

or more of a whimper?

1:03:301:03:31

Well, we sent Ellie Price

1:03:311:03:32

and the entirely unscientific

Sunday Politics moodbox

1:03:321:03:34

to Conservative-held Surrey,

to find out.

1:03:341:03:36

ALL:

Three, two, one.

1:03:361:03:40

# Ignite the light

and let it shine...#

1:03:401:03:46

It's a tale of lit fuses, plots,

conspiracy, treachery,

1:03:461:03:50

but enough of the recent goings

on in the Conservative Party,

1:03:501:03:53

it's firework night here

in Guildford and we're asking,

1:03:531:03:57

does Theresa May have control

of her Government and her party?

1:03:571:04:00

Yes or no?

1:04:001:04:01

# Baby you're a firework...#

1:04:011:04:06

With all the scandals in Government

at the moment

1:04:061:04:08

and Brexit seems to be dragging on

a little bit longer than we thought.

1:04:081:04:12

So, at the moment, I don't think

she is in control.

1:04:121:04:15

She's too many people sniping

at her back, really.

1:04:181:04:21

Do you think Theresa

May's in control?

1:04:211:04:23

I think she's in control.

1:04:231:04:24

She's in a good job

having a tough time.

1:04:241:04:26

No, I don't.

1:04:261:04:27

I think she's a mess.

1:04:271:04:29

Even when you read her body language

when she's being interviewed

1:04:291:04:31

by people, she doesn't

seem like she's in control.

1:04:311:04:34

I think she has poor advisers.

1:04:341:04:38

I'm going to put it in the "yes".

1:04:401:04:44

I do think she's struggling but,

I still hope, still think she has

1:04:441:04:48

a bit of a grip on them.

1:04:481:04:51

The Queen is England's role.

1:04:511:04:53

It's her birth right.

1:04:531:04:55

She is England's role

of this country.

1:04:551:04:58

I'm going to vote for Theresa May.

1:04:581:05:01

I don't think there's anyone

who could do a better job.

1:05:011:05:05

I think she's had a bit of

a poisoned chalice with Brexit but

1:05:051:05:08

I think she could have done better.

1:05:081:05:09

The money's not going

to where it needs to go.

1:05:091:05:12

I think she should resign, really.

1:05:121:05:13

I feel a bit sorry

for her, actually.

1:05:131:05:16

I think she's been witch-hunted

a little bit.

1:05:161:05:18

She's doing her best.

1:05:181:05:21

With everything that's

going on with the Cabinet at the

1:05:211:05:24

moment, I think the Conservative

Party is in a real mess, actually.

1:05:241:05:27

Very disappointed.

1:05:271:05:29

Well, you get bickering in all parts

not just the Conservative Party.

1:05:291:05:35

And that's just sort

of par for the course.

1:05:351:05:38

But I'm sure she'll

hold everybody together

1:05:381:05:40

despite the current difficulties.

1:05:401:05:42

The Tories weren't in control

when they had the referendum

1:05:421:05:45

in the first place for the euro.

1:05:451:05:47

We've had two years

of complete chaos.

1:05:471:05:50

I don't see an end to it.

1:05:501:05:53

Well, I seem to have

acquired a few new friends.

1:05:531:05:55

The oohs and ahs are

over and so the moodbox

1:05:551:05:59

and the result is...

1:05:591:06:02

No.

1:06:021:06:04

The majority of people

here in Guildford

1:06:041:06:05

don't think Theresa May

is in control.

1:06:051:06:08

CHEERING

1:06:081:06:12

That was Ellie with the entirely

unscientific moodbox, and thanks

1:06:121:06:14

to Bushy Hill Junior School

in Guildford for having her along.

1:06:141:06:21

Let's put the Sorbol question to our

panel. Equally unscientific but all

1:06:211:06:26

seasoned Westminster watchers. Is

Theresa May in control of her

1:06:261:06:29

Government at the moment or is all

of this sex harassment allegations

1:06:291:06:34

swimming around loosening her grip?

Depends what you mean by in control.

1:06:341:06:38

All Prime Ministers have a degree of

control. They retain the power much

1:06:381:06:45

tat wrongage as we saw with her

reshuffle. Didn't go down well with

1:06:451:06:49

her MPs but she did it. You can't be

fully in control of these situations

1:06:491:06:55

in effectively what is a hung

Parliament. If she won a land sheep

1:06:551:06:58

in the election she would have the

authority to do what she wanted. She

1:06:581:07:02

could float over something like

this. Stories like this, you could

1:07:021:07:06

say she's perfectly suited for it,

the vicar's daughter, the church

1:07:061:07:10

goer, to sort it out. It is much

more complicated than that. I don't

1:07:101:07:13

think she will be able to get a full

grip of it. There are some practical

1:07:131:07:17

things that need to happen that will

happen. I remember with back to

1:07:171:07:22

basics and John Major, that equally

vague scandal, what was back to

1:07:221:07:26

basics about? It was still running

months afterwards, stories about a

1:07:261:07:31

minister having an affair. This is

different. I can see it will be

1:07:311:07:35

impossible for her to fully get to

grips with it.

Does it provide an

1:07:351:07:39

opportunity for Theresa May to be

seen to be taking really serious

1:07:391:07:43

action, trying to root out a bad

culture in Westminster and therefore

1:07:431:07:46

get some political credit for it?

That opportunity was available to

1:07:461:07:50

her all of last week and she hasn't

taken it. What's remarkable for me

1:07:501:07:56

is the near complete breakdown in

discipline in the higher ranks the

1:07:561:07:59

Tory Party. It is extraordinary you

have Cabinet level ministers who are

1:07:591:08:04

not supporting their colleagues.

Ministers and former ministers

1:08:041:08:08

giving interviews in which they slag

off their former colleagues. It is

1:08:081:08:12

an absolute unholy mess. There is no

sense that she is gripping this. Or

1:08:121:08:17

has any particular solution. I think

we can have a lot of sympathy for

1:08:171:08:20

her in terms of finding a solution.

How on earth do you grip a problem

1:08:201:08:24

like this where you're talking about

apparently an indefinite period of

1:08:241:08:33

retrospective examination of

potential faults. 15 years is no

1:08:331:08:36

longer too historic for somebody to

dredge up some small thing that may

1:08:361:08:39

or may not have happened to them. It

is very difficult for her. But she's

1:08:391:08:43

being battered around by events.

Where does this story go next?

I

1:08:431:08:50

think the whip's office on every

party, Tories, Labour, Liberal

1:08:501:08:54

Democrats, SNP all have their own

whipping operations. That seems to

1:08:541:08:57

be the place of it really. This is

because, where do we draw the line?

1:08:571:09:03

Going forward what mechanisms are

put in place to top this helping

1:09:031:09:06

again. To take allegations

seriously, report them and

1:09:061:09:10

investigate them independently. Or

is there a bigger job to go back

1:09:101:09:15

into the past retrospective, who

knew what when as Nia said about

1:09:151:09:20

Kelvin Hopkins. This is a Shadow

Defence Secretary saying what did

1:09:201:09:25

the Labour Party leader know about

Kelvin Hopkins' allegations when he

1:09:251:09:29

promoted him? Theresa May is unable

to do the retrospective bit. She's

1:09:291:09:34

simply too weak. I asked this of

Number Ten last week. Why are you

1:09:341:09:39

not more front-foot the on this.

They said they would be if they

1:09:391:09:42

possibly could be. She's running a

minority Government. She cannot be

1:09:421:09:46

seen to be going after a witch-hunt

on her own people. So, I think this

1:09:461:09:51

goes on. Enof thebly what the whips

new -- inevitably what the whips

1:09:511:10:00

knew will be parment. Amber Rudd did

the same thing on Andrew Marr.

They

1:10:001:10:09

are being precise about the fact

they didn't know anything. Sarah

1:10:091:10:14

Newton said she heard no allegations

about her flock, the the MPs she was

1:10:141:10:18

in charge of rather than rumours

about any other Tories.

Amber Rudd

1:10:181:10:25

say, I do not recognise the more

lurid allegations. What about the

1:10:251:10:30

less lurid once? So, this smells

very, very bad indeed.

Jeremy

1:10:301:10:34

Corbyn's going to have to answer

some of these questions as well?

1:10:341:10:40

Yeah, but the whip's thing is a red

herring. Their remit is to get the

1:10:401:10:45

vote out for the Government

fundamentally. Everybody knows that.

1:10:451:10:47

They are not there, it is one of the

problems. They are not there to be

1:10:471:10:51

moral guides to these MPs. They are

there to win votes for the

1:10:511:10:56

Government or the opposition if that

becomes possible. And deal brutally

1:10:561:11:00

with MPs to make sure they get out

and vote. Of course they knew

1:11:001:11:04

virtually everything. But whether

they were obliged to act as moral

1:11:041:11:09

guard yawns in these situations, I

don't think they were. It was not

1:11:091:11:12

part of their job. Maybe you need

moral guardians in there but not the

1:11:121:11:16

whips.

Normally, less than

three-weeks out from a budget that's

1:11:161:11:22

what we'd been talking about.

Dominating our conversation. Given

1:11:221:11:24

that's set for November 22nd, is

that an opportunity for the

1:11:241:11:28

Government to seize back control of

the story?

Philip Hammond may be

1:11:281:11:32

glad we're not spending too much

time talking about the budget. It

1:11:321:11:36

should be an opportunity for the

Government to seize the agenda, draw

1:11:361:11:40

a line under all of this. I think

one of the very difficult as pects

1:11:401:11:44

of this so-called scandal for the

Government to manage is knowing

1:11:441:11:48

quite how long it will run. In the

normal scheme of things they lose

1:11:481:11:52

steam after a couple of weeks. But

there are so many potential gayses

1:11:521:11:56

that could come out, it might run

longer than that. Rather like the

1:11:561:12:01

expenses scandal. But there is an

opportunity at the budget to reset

1:12:011:12:04

the' again da. I just don't think

Philip Hammond will take it. I think

1:12:041:12:09

he's a very caution Chancellor. At

the moment, there is a feeling

1:12:091:12:13

Theresa May's leadership is so weak

it will be too dangerous for them to

1:12:131:12:18

do anything particularly dram attic

why. I expect a steady as you go

1:12:181:12:23

budget where they will be hoping not

to make any mistakes.

You say there

1:12:231:12:28

is disagreement in the Cabinet about

what should be in the budget?

1:12:281:12:33

Disagreement between the Chancellor

and the Prime Minister. The

1:12:331:12:39

witch-hunt is hiding a huge story

which is the incredible dysfunction

1:12:391:12:43

between Number Ten and number 11.

Philip Hammond and Theresa May can't

1:12:431:12:47

bear to be in the same room with

each other let alone agreeing what's

1:12:471:12:51

in the budget. It is coming down to

housing. Everybody agrees it has to

1:12:511:12:55

be the centrepiece of the budget.

They have to get more houses built.

1:12:551:13:01

Philip Hammond wands that bee

deregulation. Theresa May wants to

1:13:011:13:06

are borrow up to 50 billion

merchandise more for the Government

1:13:061:13:09

to build for themselves.

1:13:091:13:10

That's all for today.

1:13:101:13:12

There's no Sunday Politics

next weekend

1:13:121:13:14

while Parliament is in recess,

1:13:141:13:15

but I'll be back here at 11am

on BBC One in two weeks' time.

1:13:151:13:19

Until then, bye bye.

1:13:191:13:23

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