29/09/2013 Sunday Politics Yorkshire and Lincolnshire


29/09/2013

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With me are a trio of top political commentators. All three will be

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tweeting their thoughts, or in some cases just their thought through the

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show, using the hashtag #bbcsp. cases just their thought through the

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Conservative Party conference gets afternoon. We have already been

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bombarded with a series of policy announcements, a tax break for

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married couples of up to £200 per year, more money on life extending

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cancer treatments and, last night, the news that the second stage of

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the Chancellor's Help To Buy scheme brought forward from the start of

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next year. David Cameron says it is all about helping hard-working

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people. Right now, you can't get, 95% mortgage. That means a typical

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family with two people earning 20,000, 25,000, they are being

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asked, to buy an average house, 20,000, 25,000, they are being

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mortgage payment, but they can't 20,000, 25,000, they are being

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flat or house. As Prime Minister, I'm not going to stand back while

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people's aspirations to get on the housing ladder, to own their own

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flat or home, is being trashed. housing ladder, to own their own

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is why we need to act. A predictable attempt by party leadership to

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kick-start the conference with eye-catching policies. The polls

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show a big bounce for Ed Miliband and the Labour Party, with decent

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numbers for UKIP. What do party councillors as they travel to their

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For the Conservatives this weekend, conference, and as a scene setter we

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asked ComRes to survey councillors are Finland and Wales. Councillors

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asked ComRes to survey councillors like Tom, packing for conference at

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home in Wellingborough. Immigration is an issue for him. He thinks there

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are pros and cons. But we found is an issue for him. He thinks there

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immigration has had a negative reflects into this wider issue of

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our relationship with Europe. People possible influx of ovarian and

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Romania emigrants. Obviously the issue of Europe is very big. --

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Ukrainian. His colleagues in Corby are worried about the rise of the UK

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Independence Party. In our survey, nearly a quarter of Conservative

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councillors thought that their party should make a pact with UKIP. The

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concern is, yes, will they take If that happens, maybe we don't

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concern is, yes, will they take back in. Maybe a partnership is

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concern is, yes, will they take way to go. It depends what they

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concern is, yes, will they take talking about them. A pact? Depends

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what they say, anything is possible. What would you like to see? Ideally,

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from my point of view, a national pact. David Cameron arrived in

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Manchester last night. Around the same time as these activists from

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London. I broke the news to them that in our survey just 26% of Tory

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councillors think that the prime ministers in touch with the lives of

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ordinary people. The same at all Conservatives, you don't judge

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people by their background. It's not where they come from, it is where

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they are going to. It is not a where they come from, it is where

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problem that he is a bit on the where they come from, it is where

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side? Cull you might describe him like that, I would not use those

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words. Explain your T-shirt, it like that, I would not use those

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phrase that a senior Cameron person is alleged to have used about you?

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phrase that a senior Cameron person party now that we are here to say

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important. We are not going away any time soon. A sentiment you will

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important. We are not going away any a lot at this conference, because

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just 22% of councillors in our survey said that David Cameron was

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any good at listening to the people that work hard for his party. That

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was Adam. Joining me now from the Conservative Party conference in

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William Hague. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. Good morning. Over one in

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five Tory councillors in our survey support a pact with UKIP at the

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five Tory councillors in our survey election. Why do you think that

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five Tory councillors in our survey If it is one in five, it means a

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large majority did not want a pact with UKIP at the next election.

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large majority did not want a pact have noticed that UKIP, in local

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elections, has been receiving votes, some of which would otherwise have

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been for the Conservatives. I think we have to make sure that people

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election they are choosing between a Conservative and Labour Government,

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as David Cameron as Prime Minister or Ed Miliband. If people want to

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get a referendum on Europe, the or Ed Miliband. If people want to

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Cameron as Prime Minister. I think a Cameron as Prime Minister. I think a

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general election is different from the local government perspective. It

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is pretty unusual, some might say unprecedented, for a large chunk of

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one of the big parties in this country to want to go into coalition

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one of the big parties in this with a smaller party before an

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three times as many didn't want with a smaller party before an

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with statistics, you can highlight it whichever way around you want to.

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The point is, we are not having pacts with other parties, electoral

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pacts with other parties. You rule it out? That is not going to happen.

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What we do want is to have a pact it out? That is not going to happen.

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with the voters, if you like, as we have often done in the Conservative

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Party. We have won over the voters of other parties to support our

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important with those people that say important with those people that say

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they want to vote for UKIP. By default, they would produce a Labour

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government in the exact opposite of many of the things they intend,

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government in the exact opposite of Conservative and decide to vote

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government in the exact opposite of UKIP instead in a general election.

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That could help to produce a Labour government. The chairman of the

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That could help to produce a Labour committee, the elected voice of

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Conservative backbenchers, he says your party should spell out what had

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once back from the European Union before next year's European actions.

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Do you agree? We will be spelling out some things in the European

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elections. I will be talking about this later on today. For instance,

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European treaties the concept of ever closer union, a concept that in

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believed in. We would like that ever closer union, a concept that in

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that. We will be setting out the examples and principles of the

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changes we want to say. Certainly over the next year, not only before

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the European actions but the general election, if you are saying, let

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have the exact list of anything election, if you are saying, let

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negotiate, that is difficult because there will be a negotiation of a new

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deal in Europe if David Cameron there will be a negotiation of a new

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election. To some extent, that has to be negotiated. Only 11% of your

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own councillors feel that people in their area think that George Osborne

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is in touch with ordinary people. is not for me to explain why people

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say what they say in surveys. The important thing is what we are

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delivering for the country. What George Osborne is delivering his

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renewed economic growth. 1.4 million new jobs in the private sector,

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renewed economic growth. 1.4 million for hard-working people, by reducing

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the tax for 25 million of them. for hard-working people, by reducing

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Help To Buy scheme that we are highlighting today. That is what

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really matters to people, actually, I think you will find. Let's talk

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about helping ordinary people. Ed Miliband is guilty freeze energy

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prices. What are you going to do about energy prices, we already

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asked energy companies to put people on their lowest tariffs. This has

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Why not? This is going to happen within this government. It is going

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to happen within this government when the... Why hasn't it happened

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now? People are suffering now from rising energy prices. It has not

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happened because my colleagues have been implimenting it. In the case of

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Ed Miliband's policy, if you are asking why it has not yet happened

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under this Government, it didn't even survive a few our's scrutiny in

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opposition. In a few hours he had to concede that if there was a big

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change in oil prices then the policy would not work. The trouble is,

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change in oil prices then the policy would dry up some of the investment

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in the energy industry. I don't think it is a credible promise.

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in the energy industry. I don't a party that presided over council

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tax bills doubling in the next a party that presided over council

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tax bills doubling in the next government, -- last government,

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tax bills doubling in the next not very credible. Why is George

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Osborne going against the European Well, we don't want to see the

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European treaties used in a way Well, we don't want to see the

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they should not be used. It's not necessarily over this particular

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issue. It is over the power that the European Union has over our lives

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and over this country. Can the bankers look after themselves? We

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should be able to decide those things in our own country. We have

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never signed up to such matters things in our own country. We have

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European institutions. If you allow one thing that wasn't meant to be

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decided to be decided, you find one thing that wasn't meant to be

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there are another ten or 20 things that affect many other people. We

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are very vigilant about what we that affect many other people. We

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competence creep, with the European Union taking more powers than it was

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meant to have. That is one of the referendum, do want a new deal in

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Europe. That is what we intend to institution, ICAP, fined for fixing

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the LIBOR rates. The founder of institution, ICAP, fined for fixing

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company has donated £5 million to your party. Shouldn't you give it

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back? Aren't you ashamed to accept that money? He has donated his own

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Which he made out of ICAP. As people have to other parties, people are

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free to do that and they should have to other parties, people are

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free to do that. I am not aware have to other parties, people are

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any plan for that to be repaid. Because you can't afford to. Let's

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recap this. We have seen Tory MPs parrot propaganda lines from the

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energy companies this week. We have the Chancellor going to court to

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fight for unlimited banker bonuses. We have a top Tory donor the centre

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fight for unlimited banker bonuses. of yet another city scandal. Ed

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Miliband is right when he says you lot are on the side of the vested

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interests so the rich and powerful, isn't he? Well, again, look at the

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record. I just did! 1.4 million Help To Buy scheme which is going to

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help so many people, particularly young people have the house that

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future. Council tax bills held down, welfare reform so that it pays to

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work. Actually, this is a government achieving things for hard-working

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While President Laugharne he's talking about peace, the Iranians

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weapons programme. -- is talking. It would be hard to say from week

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to week whether it is speeding up continuing with it. That is why

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to week whether it is speeding up say the new message - the new words

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- from Iranian leadership are very welcome. I said that to the Foreign

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Minister in New York over the last few days but it is the actions that

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will count. At the moment, the nuclear programme continues. We

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negotiations on that and that will be a very important test as to

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whether actions will match the words. When will we know it if we

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are being strung along? He has strung as a long in the past as

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are being strung along? He has nuclear weapons negotiator. When

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will we know if he is not just doing that again? Over the next

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will we know if he is not just more transparency over the Iranian

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transparent in many regards at the moment. The atomic agency is asking

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for information that is not being given. One test is, in the coming

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information? The information that the international of authority is

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asking for about their nuclear programme. We will be able to form

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a view of this in the coming weeks or months. It is important we test

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their new willingness to talk to us important to find out whether they

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asking, is the nuclear programme really continuing? Are they really

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negotiations and offer something Speaking of being strung along,

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what sanctions would President Assad face if, in six months - the

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Year, Syria still has a chemical weapons arsenal. In the resolution

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we voted through the UN Security Council on Friday night, is the

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Council will take measures under Chapter seven of the UN Charter

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Council will take measures under the event of non-compliance. Does

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that allow full force? I did not catch that. Does that allow for

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in not allow full force. It does not specify that. It talks about

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terms seven of the charter. That is a message of the whole UN Security

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Council that there will be measures - there will be consequences - if

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the Assad regime does not comply. has a big commitment. I have spent

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counterpart over the last week. Russia has said, this is something

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you will have to do. We will work with Russia and others very closely

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to check there is compliance will this resolution. Given the progress

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that has been made, you must be very glad that the British House of

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Commons stopped your rash to force against Syria. -- rush. The reason

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credible threat of military action. has happened is because there was a

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credible threat of military action. President Obama did not get it

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through Congress. They have not President Obama did not get it

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the vote in Congress. There is no other explanation as to why the

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policy changed. It was because there was a debate about military

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action in the West that the policy changed on theirs. That is why it

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the House of Commons was to have changed on theirs. That is why it

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inspectors reported. It was before Russian and Syrian policy changed.

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We need to make sure that works Russian and Syrian policy changed.

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practice. Thank you. What do you make about this rushing forward

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with the help to buy scheme which was meant to start next year -

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coming forward mad to the next couple of weeks? I think it is a

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Government having an interest in mortgage lending. -- there is a

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fundamental problem. It should have been set much lower to exclude

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London and the South East where houses are dramatically overvalued.

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Many economists think freezing energy prices is a terrible policy.

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These policies can be popular. If you have no chance of getting a

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deposit, the Government will make Osborne tried every single lever.

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It looked like he could not do anything to get the economy moving.

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It is moving. They have pulled it forward and there are signs it is

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It is moving. They have pulled it this week at the conference there

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are real sort of understandable issues you can explain very simply

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that really up going to improve people's lives. The Conservatives

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Miliband's speech last week. The language used by David Cameron this

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nuts. Much more cautious and -- language about the energy price

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freeze. They are nervous that Ed Miliband may be touching a nerve on

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that one. What we will get this week, I suggest, his Tory populism

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to counter Miliband populism. I think we will see that and it will

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be a mistake. As long as it is think we will see that and it will

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about The Picture, they are on relatively strong ground. When the

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political conversation changes to more fiddly things, particularities

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standards, things that are some more fiddly things, particularities

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below that picture, I do not think they can win a bidding war with

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below that picture, I do not think Labour Party. It is about borrowing

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against a party that stands for Labour Party. It is about borrowing

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before the Labour conference, which not pay energy bills. Does not

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sound that the Tories have anything not pay energy bills. Does not

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to counter the price freeze. -- not pay energy bills. Does not

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does not sound. They have had a week to think about a great attack

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line and they do not add anything. They have just said, the lights

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the credibility test. Ed Miliband said, if there were a big spike

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the credibility test. Ed Miliband energy prices, he would not be able

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it is about credibility. Being seen as serious and grown-up is worth

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it is about credibility. Being seen more than any burst of popularity.

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with the election campaign, it My worry about the announcement

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with the election campaign, it begins to lose credibility, begins

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to seem a banana republic. It looks a lot less wise than it did last

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week. I disagree. Every time energy bills go up and they will continue

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to go up, it will be a reminder bills go up and they will continue

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how much people are being hit in the pockets. People

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how much people are being hit in prices are going up.

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how much people are being hit in structural change in the world that

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how much people are being hit in was not there before - China and

:23:27.:23:31.

India. These energy companies may be making huge profit but, at the

:23:31.:23:35.

end of the day, what is driving up the cost of fuel is China and India.

:23:35.:23:42.

Ed Miliband, great man that he is, I am not sure he can take on the

:23:42.:23:47.

people Sammir on that one. How dare you! -- the People's Army. Ed

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Miliband came out fighting at Labour's Conference in Brighton

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last week. Dogged by criticism over the summer of his leadership style

:23:56.:23:59.

and lack of policies, Mr Miliband tried to demonstrate his strength

:23:59.:24:02.

of character with a series of bold announcements, and attempted to

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position himself on the side of ordinary Brits. The Labour leader

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told party members he would stand up to the strong and take on the

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vested interests that hold back our up to the strong and take on the

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economy. In a speech in which he jokingly referred to himself as an

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action hero, Mr Miliband promised to switch the forthcoming business

:24:22.:24:24.

action hero, Mr Miliband promised tax cut from large firms to smaller

:24:24.:24:29.

businesses. He said he would force big firms to train at an apprentice

:24:29.:24:32.

every time they bring in a worker from outside the EU. He hinted that

:24:32.:24:38.

increasing the minimum wage would be increased. He bowed to take on

:24:38.:24:44.

developers with a use it or lose it threat to landowners and pledged to

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build 200,000 homes each year by 2020. He promised to freeze energy

:24:50.:24:55.

prices and reset the energy market. The next Labour

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prices and reset the energy market. freeze gas and electricity prices

:24:59.:25:04.

until the start of 2017. That provoked a rash of headlines -

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hailing the return of red Ed macro. It has also given him a spike in

:25:09.:25:14.

the polls. And Labour's Shadow Energy Secretary Caroline Flint

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joins me now for the Sunday Interview.

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Ed Miliband says, our energy market is broken and does not work. In

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what way is that market to date different from the one Labour left

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behind in 2010? We have six companies that dominate the energy

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sector. It is the same. They generate energy, and sell it on to

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us. What we recognise and Ed Miliband recognised when he was

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Secretary of State and asked for more information from the company

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Secretary of State and asked for is on hold serve costs and profits,

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all the things we have done to mitigate against that in terms of a

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warm front programme and everything else has not dealt with the

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fundamental problem that the Horsell market is too secretive and

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it is too much about such supply. - - the wholesale market. We have

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been raising with the Government in a co-operative way the argument for

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resetting the market. It has got worse in terms of speed at which

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prices have gone up. Labour put worse in terms of speed at which

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wholesale and retail together. It worse in terms of speed at which

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was the start this dates back to Margaret Thatcher and the

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privatisation. We took some reforms to reset the market. We have

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realised it was not working and it was broken and we need to reset it.

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Ed Miliband will be the first to say we did not do enough from 2005

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onwards. Let's have a look at what happened to energy prices under the

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Labour government. Electricity up 67%, gas up 139%. Overall prices up

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by 48%. The market was broken and the Government as well. From 2005,

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we saw prices biking as wholesale prices went up. The tick action on

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the one Front programme, decent homes for social housing. -- we

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took action on per warm front programme. Trying to do things

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around social obligations needs to be looked at. Gas and electricity

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bills are high partially as a consequence of the market you

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presided over but as a consequence of Labour policy. Beds have a look

:27:43.:27:49.

at the breakdown of dual fuel - gas and electricity bill. -- let's have

:27:49.:27:55.

a look. The supply costs of getting it to us and so on. The policies

:27:55.:28:02.

that were introduced by your government - Green levies - are

:28:02.:28:06.

adding almost 10% to has told energy bills. £112 on average

:28:06.:28:13.

adding almost 10% to has told of 1188. You have put the bill up.

:28:13.:28:21.

Eight -- social and green obligations amount to £112. That

:28:21.:28:28.

helps the poorest insulate homes. Overwhelmingly, looking at your

:28:28.:28:32.

graph and the figures I have, wholesale costs are worth more than

:28:32.:28:36.

half. What we have seen, based on figures we now have, in Eni macro,

:28:36.:28:43.

a wholesale costs fell by 39% and that was not reflected in our bills.

:28:43.:28:52.

Do you have plans to do anything about the £112? If you took that

:28:52.:28:57.

off, you could cut bills by 10% tomorrow. Or if you were in power.

:28:57.:29:02.

It is important that restimulate the opportunity to grow clean

:29:02.:29:09.

energy. It -- we stimulate. If we do not have clean energy, we will

:29:09.:29:12.

be beholden for ever-more to fossil do not have clean energy, we will

:29:12.:29:18.

fuels that are depleting. It will create jobs and bring in investment

:29:18.:29:22.

will start in the last few years, we have seen investment in

:29:22.:29:28.

renewable energy half. -- in investment. If I could go back to

:29:28.:29:33.

competition in the markets, whatever advance there are, looking

:29:33.:29:38.

at whether the money raised through energy companies to deliver energy

:29:38.:29:41.

efficiency, is that doing as well as it might? Could it

:29:41.:29:44.

efficiency, is that doing as well delivered by another agency?

:29:44.:29:48.

efficiency, is that doing as well are fair questions. We need to get

:29:48.:29:51.

ahead of that and look at the market. Can we make the market will

:29:51.:29:55.

competitive make sure when there is downward pressure on wholesale

:29:55.:29:59.

prices, that is reflected on our bills? That is the bigger picture

:29:59.:30:04.

argument. Also the freeze to help people during that period.

:30:04.:30:13.

As you complain about the energy prices, it was as a result of your

:30:13.:30:19.

actions. Ed Miliband introduced the climate change act. He admitted

:30:20.:30:23.

prices would have to rise to pay for decarbonisation. He said, we are

:30:23.:30:29.

going to minimise the costs as much as possible, but it is true there is

:30:29.:30:32.

not a low-cost energy future out there. It is important that we

:30:32.:30:37.

address the pressures on bills, but also recognise that if we are going

:30:37.:30:40.

to build a better future where we can have more home-grown British

:30:40.:30:42.

energy and, in the long-term, cheaper, we need to invest in

:30:42.:30:48.

renewables. Truth is it is about the market. I acknowledge I acknowledge

:30:48.:30:52.

eyes what you say about the 112. I am not going to disagree. But

:30:52.:30:59.

wholesale prices have fallen. They fell in 2009, we got a reduction in

:30:59.:31:08.

bills of 5%. Which are saying that the big companies are overcharging

:31:08.:31:13.

customers. We are seeing profits going up, but we haven't seen the

:31:13.:31:16.

amount of investment suggested by those profits coming through. But

:31:16.:31:22.

amount of investment suggested by that £125 is going to get worse,

:31:22.:31:24.

because your leader said in his speech in Brighton that Labour will

:31:24.:31:29.

have a world leading commitment in Government to take out all carbon

:31:29.:31:33.

from energy generation by 2030. That is not that far away. By 2030, no

:31:33.:31:37.

more coal generation, no more gas generation, only much more expensive

:31:37.:31:43.

nuclear and much more expensive renewables. It cannot be done

:31:43.:31:47.

without bills going up even further? Hang on a second. The 2030 target to

:31:47.:31:53.

remove carbon from the electricity supply, we have said we should set a

:31:53.:31:56.

target now because, actually, it gives us more time to plan ahead and

:31:56.:32:00.

also allows investment to come in. There is plenty of people with cash

:32:00.:32:03.

in their pockets not want to invest what they are stalling because of

:32:03.:32:08.

the Government's hesitancy over this. I just want a clarification

:32:08.:32:12.

here. My understanding is that your commitment is to get rid of all

:32:12.:32:16.

carbon from power generation by 2030? From the letters city supply.

:32:16.:32:22.

Only electricity. We will still have gas? We have always said we will

:32:22.:32:27.

need gas for decades to come. So we are clear for that. But you will be

:32:27.:32:37.

increasingly dependent on expensive nuclear. EDF are currently demanding

:32:37.:32:41.

twice the market price to build plans in this country. Renewables

:32:41.:32:48.

are two or three times the market price. Bills are going up under your

:32:48.:32:51.

policies, and the coalition policies? On nuclear,

:32:51.:32:57.

policies, and the coalition that we needed to revitalise the

:32:57.:33:00.

sector, to hit targets on clean that we needed to revitalise the

:33:00.:33:05.

energy and make sure it can do the heavy lifting. The Government at the

:33:05.:33:08.

present time are engaged in heavy lifting. The Government at the

:33:08.:33:11.

discussions with EDF about what the strike price should be. It's

:33:11.:33:14.

important, because I don't know what it's going to be, it is important

:33:14.:33:18.

that stands up to scrutiny in terms of value for money. At the same

:33:18.:33:24.

time, I go back to market reforms. We will not just have a target for

:33:24.:33:31.

difference, the jargon for nuclear, we will have it for renewables as

:33:31.:33:35.

well. That is even more important, that we have a transparent market so

:33:35.:33:38.

that we can have a robust target price to be judged against. Michael

:33:38.:33:44.

Gove recognised in question time that the market was not working. The

:33:44.:33:47.

Telegraph said in its editorial, they used the term cosy cartel. We

:33:48.:33:55.

have former advisers to David Cameron saying something needs to be

:33:55.:33:58.

done. I'm surprised David Cameron doesn't acknowledge that. You are

:33:59.:34:04.

going to freeze prices for 20 months and will come up with a new

:34:04.:34:08.

regulator to replace Ofgem. Will that regulator have the power to

:34:08.:34:10.

regulator to replace Ofgem. Will control prices? The new energy

:34:10.:34:17.

watchdog will have a strategy responsibility to monitor the

:34:17.:34:19.

wholesale costs and prices, which it currently doesn't have at the

:34:19.:34:21.

moment. As a result of that it will currently doesn't have at the

:34:21.:34:26.

have the power that, if the wholesale prices fall, it can force

:34:26.:34:31.

the energy companies, if they don't, to pass on reductions in

:34:31.:34:37.

the energy companies, if they don't, see in some parts of the European

:34:37.:34:41.

Union, 15 of them, that have a variety of price controls that set

:34:41.:34:45.

things at below inflation and what have you. France, Spain, Italy. It

:34:45.:34:51.

will not do that. Why? Because we are looking at a temporary price

:34:51.:34:54.

freeze to reflect a reduction in are looking at a temporary price

:34:54.:34:57.

wholesale prices, to give the British public respite from ever

:34:57.:35:01.

climbing bills while they get reforms into the market. At the end

:35:02.:35:05.

of this, what we want is a more competitive market that can be

:35:06.:35:10.

trusted, that is more transparent. We do believe it is right that,

:35:10.:35:14.

actually, we need a regulator that has much more of a role in making

:35:14.:35:18.

sure the market is managed effectively. Are you accusing energy

:35:18.:35:26.

companies of profiteering? EU I am accusing them of overcharging and

:35:26.:35:31.

not passing on wholesale reduction costs to the customer in a fair way.

:35:31.:35:42.

Of making Carter -- cartel profits? I do believe that the level of

:35:42.:35:48.

profits they have passed on to their shareholders is high, compared to

:35:48.:35:51.

the reductions they could have provided to consumers. Let's look at

:35:51.:35:55.

the evidence for that. Here are the British owned companies, SSE and

:35:55.:36:01.

Centrica. In the last fiscal year they made combined earnings of £4

:36:01.:36:03.

billion. But they they made combined earnings of £4

:36:03.:36:10.

billion. The remaining money went to debt servicing and paying dividends,

:36:10.:36:15.

which go into pension funds. Where in these figures is the

:36:15.:36:18.

profiteering? My figures that I got through their reporting to Ofgem and

:36:18.:36:28.

work done by other organisations, Witch and others, it shows that in

:36:28.:36:33.

Centrica's case they have something like 8% return in profit margins on

:36:33.:36:38.

the retail side. That goes up to 24% on the generation side. They have

:36:38.:36:41.

passed on, in terms of profits, something I70 4% through evidence to

:36:41.:36:46.

shareholders. But these figures don't show that. They have invested

:36:46.:36:54.

£3 billion. I am reporting what has been reported by Ofgem. Ofgem has

:36:54.:36:59.

not accused them of property in. They may well be, but we don't have

:36:59.:37:03.

the evidence. I would accuse Ofgem of not doing the job they should be

:37:03.:37:06.

doing, and they have held back from tackling the issue. It is

:37:06.:37:12.

acknowledged, across the sector, across the big six, something like

:37:12.:37:16.

50% of profits has gone over to dividends to shareholders. In

:37:16.:37:21.

Centrica's case it is 74%. On the Centrica example, even though they

:37:21.:37:24.

have had the highest profit margins, they have invested the least. It is

:37:24.:37:32.

fair to question. We are running out of time. None of us really know what

:37:32.:37:36.

the true price of energy is that is Labour's policy to reform his

:37:36.:37:39.

crucial. That is because he merged Labour's policy to reform his

:37:39.:37:47.

freeze, if they don't invest in a way that they do, do you rule out

:37:47.:37:51.

wholesale nationalisation? Absolutely. I want a more

:37:51.:37:56.

competitive market and that is why we are resetting it. You are

:37:56.:38:00.

watching Sunday Politics. Coming up in just over 20 minutes I will be

:38:00.:38:04.

looking at the week ahead with our political panel

:38:04.:38:14.

Hello, good morning you're watching the Sunday Politics for Yorkshire

:38:14.:38:19.

and Lincolnshire. Coming up today...David Cameron tells us the

:38:19.:38:21.

government will investigate claims that workers on zero—hours contracts

:38:21.:38:31.

are being exploited. Our guest today are Diana Johnson,

:38:31.:38:37.

Labour MP for whole north, and also Chris Hopkins, the Conservative MP

:38:38.:38:45.

for Keighley. And Godfrey Bloom, who is now an independent MEP after he

:38:45.:38:49.

decided he would no longer be standing for UKIP in the European

:38:50.:38:54.

Parliament. Was it something you said? It might have been. So, you

:38:54.:39:00.

are going to stand as an independent right up until the elections next

:39:00.:39:04.

year, but you will remain a UKIP member. I will, as long as they

:39:04.:39:11.

allow me to remain a UKIP member. We will talk about recent events later

:39:11.:39:16.

in the programme. Chris Hopkins, Labour had

:39:16.:39:21.

conference last week. How does your party respond to that? There was an

:39:21.:39:26.

interesting thing is that the Labour Party said. Ed Miliband had some

:39:26.:39:31.

interesting ideas. Most of them fell over just a few hours later. The big

:39:31.:39:38.

one for me was Ed Miliband talking about the freeze on energy prices.

:39:38.:39:46.

There is some real merit in having that conversation. Possibly not the

:39:46.:39:50.

brightest move was to actually give a heads up to those industries out

:39:50.:39:55.

there that in two years time, if he was in power, he would freeze the

:39:55.:40:01.

prices. Diana Johnson, what do you make of these claims that your party

:40:01.:40:07.

has lurched sharply to the left? Well, the energy announcement was

:40:07.:40:11.

about being on the side of customers and businesses as well, saying that

:40:11.:40:15.

the market currently is not working and we need to reset it, to get a

:40:15.:40:21.

new regulator in, and to get prices down to a fair level. So we are on

:40:21.:40:27.

the side of customers and businesses. The Prime Minister has

:40:27.:40:31.

told the Sunday politics in Yorkshire and Lincolnshire that the

:40:31.:40:35.

government will investigate claims that zero our contracts are being

:40:35.:40:39.

abused by some employers. A growing number of workers are believed to be

:40:39.:40:44.

employed on the contracts West Africa than no guarantees about how

:40:44.:40:55.

many hours they will work. McDonald's and Sports Direct. What

:40:55.:40:59.

they have in common? They both employ thousands on zero contracts.

:40:59.:41:08.

Are these the way forward, or they trapping people into uncertainty?

:41:08.:41:12.

Vince Cable has announced there will be a review on the contracts. What

:41:12.:41:17.

are they? They are a flexible contract with no guarantee of work.

:41:17.:41:23.

Employers do not have to pay sick leave or holiday pay. It is mainly

:41:23.:41:29.

retell, catering, education and health care industries. Berra no

:41:29.:41:36.

definite figures, but some research say up to 5 million people could be

:41:36.:41:41.

on these contracts. Ian Dalton used to be employed on them. Now, he

:41:41.:41:49.

campaigns against them. I was a student, so they were supposedly

:41:49.:41:54.

very good for me. Initially, it was, it did fit around university and

:41:54.:41:57.

enable me to have enough money to live on when my student loan didn't

:41:57.:42:01.

come through for two months. But you could be called in at any time, so

:42:01.:42:05.

it meant I couldn't take part in some of the stuff I wanted to do,

:42:05.:42:14.

such as placements. I was actually made redundant by the company

:42:14.:42:20.

without any warning. The worst of this owes more to Victorian

:42:20.:42:24.

practices than 21st—century fairness at work. A Labour government is

:42:24.:42:33.

going to change it. Ed Miliband spoke of his concerned —— his

:42:33.:42:36.

concerns at a meeting earlier this month. Local representatives agree

:42:36.:42:42.

something needs to be done. It really is just an abuse. What we

:42:42.:42:47.

need is proper investment, a proper industrial strategy, to get the

:42:47.:42:52.

Yorkshire economy moving. They are saying the southern economy is

:42:52.:42:55.

moving, but things are getting worse. Up here, we had rises in

:42:55.:43:02.

unemployment. We've done extensive research on this. Some people

:43:02.:43:07.

welcome the flexibility they give. These contracts or used in the

:43:07.:43:10.

public sector than the private sector. But we're having a review to

:43:10.:43:15.

ask about the questions and changes that need to be made. But we should

:43:15.:43:20.

not lose the flexible working market. We've got 1.4 million extra

:43:20.:43:25.

private sector jobs since 2010. Lets not lose that. The Institute of

:43:25.:43:36.

directors has spoken out in support of the contracts, insisting they

:43:36.:43:40.

provide flexibility to employers who face unknown levels of demand and

:43:40.:43:44.

workloads. For Lorraine Turner, who runs a shop in Leeds, it has given

:43:44.:43:48.

her the chance to keep her business running. They are a necessity to our

:43:48.:43:56.

business. No customer guarantees a continuation of work. We have no

:43:56.:44:02.

guaranteed income. So we have to staff in accordance with our

:44:02.:44:07.

workflow at that time. With this out our performing the North

:44:07.:44:11.

economically, zero hours contracts the way for some Yorkshire

:44:11.:44:15.

businesses to stay afloat? Do you worry that many workers on

:44:15.:44:19.

these contracts are being exploited? I would be concerned, and I would

:44:19.:44:24.

certainly challenge that behaviour. I want to correct some of the facts

:44:24.:44:28.

there. The Prime Minister said there is an investigation going on and

:44:28.:44:37.

people will examine them. We are joined at the hip on this issue, the

:44:37.:44:42.

coalition. But I actually asked the House of Commons library for the

:44:42.:44:46.

figures on this, and about 3% or 4% of all people are on these

:44:47.:44:51.

contracts. That is about 1 million people, not 5 million. And nearly

:44:51.:44:56.

90% are content with the hours they get. So there are 100,000 people

:44:56.:45:02.

that we need to set about understanding how to get more for

:45:02.:45:07.

them. And we do that by growing the economy, educating them in the best

:45:07.:45:13.

way we can. Diana Johnson, do you accept there are many people on

:45:13.:45:19.

these contracts who are quite happy with their flexible working

:45:19.:45:23.

arrangements? I think we heard in the package, students in particular

:45:23.:45:26.

want to have these contracts because it fits in with their study and

:45:26.:45:30.

doing part—time work. But what Labour is saying is we want to stop

:45:30.:45:35.

these zero hours contracts where they are exploiting people. We want

:45:35.:45:37.

as many people as possible to proper contracts with hours and wage

:45:37.:45:45.

they know they will every week. We do accept this can work in some

:45:45.:45:50.

cases, but we want to stop it being misused. Recently, I heard somebody

:45:50.:45:54.

is going to be made redundant, and the employer put them on a zero

:45:54.:45:58.

hours contract to stop them from being paid in redundancy payment.

:45:58.:46:04.

That needs to be stopped. Godfrey Bloom, the Labour conference said

:46:04.:46:08.

this is like going back to the Victorian mill owner, do you agree?

:46:08.:46:14.

Of course that is nonsense. There are so many rules and regulations

:46:14.:46:18.

when it comes to employing anybody that it is mind blowing. What we

:46:18.:46:24.

need in a free, democratic, parliamentary society is liberty of

:46:24.:46:27.

contract. I've been arguing this now for nearly ten years. It should not

:46:27.:46:32.

be the role of government to interfere between an employer and an

:46:32.:46:36.

employee. They must come to their own decision of what is suitable for

:46:36.:46:40.

them and make it work. A free market. That would be very much more

:46:40.:46:53.

fruitful for young people. What they need to do is take away the

:46:53.:46:55.

appalling over government spending so we have 20% VAT, people on

:46:55.:46:57.

relatively small salaries paying income taxes and national insurance.

:46:57.:47:00.

They need to free the market up. That is the way to go forward. Chris

:47:00.:47:04.

Hopkins, there is a feeling that, as unemployment starts to fall, many of

:47:04.:47:09.

the new jobs being created are not new jobs at all. I did think that is

:47:09.:47:12.

true. We've seen unemployment is now lower than it was when the coalition

:47:12.:47:22.

came to power. There are more people employed now than ever, more women

:47:22.:47:27.

employed. Ed Miliband the other day said we were going back to Victorian

:47:27.:47:33.

times. They were in power than 13 years and a sentence with zero hours

:47:33.:47:37.

contracts was never whispered or shouted. Now suddenly they have

:47:37.:47:42.

become a virtuous party trying to address this issue. I agree that

:47:42.:47:48.

where people are being exploited, we needed that we need to step in. I

:47:48.:47:53.

disagree that we need a free market. We need constraints to ensure

:47:53.:47:57.

individuals are not being exploited. These contracts are not new, are

:47:57.:48:02.

they, Diana Johnson? No, but we do know they have grown hugely under

:48:02.:48:07.

the coalition government. The idea of 1.4 private sector jobs, if you

:48:07.:48:12.

look at what they are, a lot of them are zero hours contracts. People are

:48:12.:48:15.

only going to get paid if they sell things on commission. So we need to

:48:15.:48:20.

be clear about that 1.4 million jobs. It is not all roses. And I do

:48:20.:48:31.

think there is exploitation. God boy is working on the basis of economic

:48:31.:48:39.

policies of the 1850s. —— Godfrey. That is not how we work in 2013,

:48:39.:48:44.

that is not how we going to get the best economic growth in our country.

:48:44.:48:48.

Would these people sooner zero hours contract or no contract

:48:48.:48:55.

at all? That is the question. Identity it is a straight choice in

:48:55.:49:01.

that way, actually. Let's get some more of the weeks

:49:01.:49:06.

political news. Sean Stowell has our round—up in 60 seconds.

:49:06.:49:16.

The late—night drinking laws have been an absolute disaster, according

:49:16.:49:20.

to the police and crime commissioner by Humberside. He says resources are

:49:20.:49:26.

being seriously overstretched. The experiment in liberalising licensing

:49:26.:49:31.

laws has failed in my opinion. In his keynote speech, Ed Miliband

:49:31.:49:35.

reignited debate over political identity. He announced energy price

:49:35.:49:39.

freezes if Labour got back into power, sparking claims of a return

:49:39.:49:44.

to state control. Sports Minister Hugh Robertson ruled out any more

:49:45.:49:49.

government money being made available first Yorkshire's part of

:49:49.:49:55.

the Tour de France. 10 million is a very generous grant from central

:49:56.:49:58.

government. A petition to bring the remains of

:49:58.:50:02.

Richard III to York has closed, with nowhere near the number of

:50:03.:50:06.

signatures needed to secure a House of Commons debate. 30,000 people

:50:06.:50:12.

called by him to be interred in York Minster rather than Leicester

:50:12.:50:16.

Cathedral. Chris Hopkins, if Ed Miliband on to

:50:16.:50:23.

something when he puts the needs of hard—pressed energy consumers at the

:50:23.:50:24.

heart of his policy, head profit—making energy firms? I think

:50:24.:50:33.

it is right and all parties are looking at how to address that. We

:50:33.:50:38.

just coming out of the deepest recession in 100 years and there

:50:38.:50:41.

have been huge consequences are households. —— for households. What

:50:41.:50:51.

I'm concerned about is that the Prime Minister should get those

:50:51.:50:55.

energy companies in the room and look at how to make tariffs simpler.

:50:55.:51:01.

I will give you some figures. Ed Miliband says he will save £120 per

:51:01.:51:10.

year per household. He actually introduced some decarbonising

:51:10.:51:16.

taxation which added £125 per household per year. I received just

:51:16.:51:23.

a day after the wonderful speech from Ed any e—mail from a comparison

:51:23.:51:28.

website saying I could reduce my bill by £289 tomorrow if I actually

:51:28.:51:33.

switched. So it is a great debate and it is important we are having

:51:33.:51:37.

it, but it was too simplified. Like I said before, he has given these

:51:37.:51:43.

people two years had up to increase the prices. Diana Johnson, can you

:51:43.:51:47.

100% guaranteed to your constituents that we will not have power

:51:47.:51:51.

shortages or blackouts as some companies claim if his plans go

:51:51.:51:57.

ahead? Well, it was interesting that the Conservatives and Lib Dems came

:51:57.:52:01.

out to defend the big six energy companies, and then

:52:01.:52:06.

would blackmail us by threatening blackouts. It is nonsense. These

:52:07.:52:09.

companies are making huge amounts of money by making money over the

:52:10.:52:13.

odds. I think it was absolutely right that it is flagged up. It is

:52:13.:52:18.

not working and we need to resolve that. I'm disappointed that David

:52:18.:52:22.

Cameron has not been able to get some action. He's had all the energy

:52:22.:52:26.

companies round for tea at Number Ten, but nothing seems to have

:52:26.:52:32.

changed. I'm hoping it will make a real difference to people in my

:52:32.:52:36.

constituency in the future. And Godfrey Bloom is now going to tell

:52:36.:52:40.

us that cleaner, greener power is the way forward! Well, the reason it

:52:40.:52:47.

is so expensive is it is a shambles. Windmills do not work. We are

:52:47.:52:50.

closing power stations. The whole thing is getting more expensive.

:52:50.:52:59.

These big pro —— profits that they are making, they are making 4% on

:52:59.:53:03.

capital. They are not making huge profits. It looks big if you look at

:53:03.:53:08.

the numbers, but if you look at the input on the capital, it is not that

:53:08.:53:15.

much. What about all those new jobs in Diana Johnson's constituency

:53:15.:53:18.

building wind turbines? Sorely you support back? —— surely you support

:53:18.:53:28.

that? That every job that is gained in the green energy factor, you lose

:53:28.:53:33.

three. They are sacking people in the steel industry and the caravan

:53:33.:53:35.

industry because energy is too expensive. Politicians are

:53:35.:53:41.

interfering with the market again and making a complete mess of it. It

:53:41.:53:47.

is shocking that your —— Godfrey Bloom is a Yorkshire MEP is not

:53:47.:53:54.

standing up the jobs in this area. It is shocking and outrageous. I am

:53:54.:53:59.

standing up the caravans and the steel industry. Jobs are going

:54:00.:54:04.

abroad because they cannot afford be energy bills. If you had been in

:54:04.:54:08.

business for as long as me, you would understand how it works. You

:54:08.:54:13.

are talking down major investment in a city like whole, the area that you

:54:13.:54:19.

represent. That is out of order. —— city like Hull. Chris Hopkins, how

:54:19.:54:28.

should labour respond to the energy bills rising? Well, the great leader

:54:28.:54:36.

in his lurch to the left the other day missed out the fact that he was

:54:36.:54:41.

the energy minister for some time in the last government, and never

:54:41.:54:45.

raised this, never perceive this as an issue. The Prime Minister, I've

:54:45.:54:51.

got to say I've been quite impressed by senior cabinet members saying

:54:51.:54:55.

that the issue being raised is important. The idea of big —— giving

:54:55.:55:00.

a heads up to these big companies is a false economy, and I'm afraid we

:55:00.:55:04.

may see the consequences of that speech.

:55:04.:55:19.

In the space of less than four days, Godfrey Bloom went from being one of

:55:19.:55:22.

UKIP's most high—profile MEPs to being suspended by the party over

:55:22.:55:26.

his use of the word "sluts". He decided he no longer wanted to

:55:26.:55:29.

represent UKIP in the European Parliament. Not for the first time,

:55:29.:55:33.

the events of the past few days have propelled him into the glare of the

:55:33.:55:38.

media spotlight... I did then we've ever met before. —— I don't think.

:55:38.:55:56.

We can't possibly give this kind of money to bongo—bongo land. I got

:55:56.:56:05.

6000 e—mails and only 24 when not agreeing with me. You're the one

:56:05.:56:11.

that is out of touch. I've always told like it is. I made a joke and

:56:12.:56:24.

said, oh, well you are all sluts. They all laughed, even all the

:56:24.:56:27.

women. Do you think that is acceptable? I've had hundreds of

:56:28.:56:34.

e—mails saying, can you not make a joke anymore? I'm a bit long in the

:56:34.:56:40.

tooth now to do political correctness. I understand that UKIP

:56:40.:56:46.

has moved on and I wish them well. What do you make of

:56:46.:56:52.

of this brochure with no black faces on it? What a racist comment is

:56:52.:56:59.

that. How appalling. You are picking people out for the colour of their

:56:59.:57:03.

skin, that is disgusting. Perhaps the way we do things now

:57:04.:57:08.

isn't the way I do these things. You are disgraceful. Disgraceful! Will

:57:08.:57:15.

you be exchanging Christmas cards with that journalist? I will make

:57:15.:57:19.

sure I carry a piece of lead piping to carry in my magazine in future.

:57:20.:57:26.

Do you regret your actions at the conference? In particular, the use

:57:26.:57:31.

of that word? No, not for one minute. It was a joke. They played

:57:31.:57:36.

the tape yesterday and everyone in the country knew it was a joke. It

:57:36.:57:40.

is just the nonsense road that politics has gone down, I'm afraid.

:57:40.:57:47.

Diana Johnson, do you think Nigel Farage and his leadership friends

:57:47.:57:50.

were right to take a tough line with Godfrey? I think what this is about

:57:50.:57:58.

is presentation. I think Godfrey had one too many bloomers, and Nigel

:57:58.:58:03.

thought, enough is enough. But actually what Godfrey is talking

:58:03.:58:07.

about are the politics that UKIP stands for. So, while presentation

:58:07.:58:11.

league he is a problem that UKIP, the policies he is talking about are

:58:11.:58:19.

their policies. So we need to remember this is just about Godfrey

:58:19.:58:21.

as a person and not Well, he no longer represents the

:58:21.:58:29.

party. He is still a member of the party. They haven't thrown out.

:58:29.:58:34.

That's why I think it is still about the policies. And very popular

:58:34.:58:41.

policies they are. You've seen the e—mails we have in support. I have

:58:41.:58:46.

not seen any e—mails. I might be a bit politically correct, but most of

:58:47.:58:50.

your viewers and listeners writing to say, I agree with you. I think

:58:50.:58:56.

you are just out of touch. You are in the 1950s. I think you are out of

:58:57.:59:00.

touch and the voters are beginning to spot it. Chris Hopkins, one of

:59:00.:59:08.

the points Godfrey Bloom made was that UKIP are becoming like new

:59:08.:59:12.

Labour. Does that become a threat to you? If they are becoming a

:59:12.:59:16.

disciplined, polished political outfit, it is the Conservatives that

:59:16.:59:22.

could suffer, isn't it? I'm not going to kick Godfrey while he's

:59:22.:59:29.

down. I'll be honest, when somebody is in that situation, I think that

:59:29.:59:35.

package will be a great training package to any potential candidate

:59:35.:59:38.

from any party which will be played over and over again. New Labour, the

:59:38.:59:46.

hypocrisy of it. I've been reading today about a by—election candidate

:59:46.:59:50.

for Labour who has used some appalling language. This person has

:59:50.:59:56.

been forced publicly to apologise for that language. This guy fell on

:59:56.:00:01.

his sword and resigned and did the decent thing. New Labour

:00:01.:00:05.

apparently can just polish over it, dust over it, and forget about it.

:00:05.:00:10.

There is some hypocrisy going on there. He responded appropriately,

:00:10.:00:15.

and they didn't. I completely disagree with that. I think all of

:00:15.:00:18.

us would say that in politics you have to use an acceptable language,

:00:19.:00:22.

you have to put forward your arguments in a sensible way, try not

:00:22.:00:27.

to offend people. Say what you think, but do so using appropriate

:00:27.:00:32.

language. Calling women sluts is not appropriate in the public sphere.

:00:32.:00:39.

Have you listened to the clip? Yes, I've seen you defending this clip ad

:00:39.:00:45.

nauseam. But you haven't listened to the clip, have you? That's the

:00:45.:00:51.

point. Listen to the clip. You are out of touch, Godfrey. Just one

:00:51.:00:59.

Twitter message from you. —— for you. Janet says, now you have left

:00:59.:01:06.

the party, will you be retiring to bongo—bongo land? If it is funny, I

:01:06.:01:08.

jolly well world. So, we'll David Cameron's marriage

:01:08.:01:19.

tax break win over voters? How will So, we'll David Cameron's marriage

:01:19.:01:27.

conference initiatives? And what is UKIP leader Nigel FarageFarage up to

:01:27.:01:37.

conference initiatives? And what is with the Tories in Manchester?

:01:37.:01:41.

On this business of a possible Tory- UKIP pact, in a general election,

:01:41.:01:56.

let's see what David Cameron had to say about that earlier. I am not

:01:56.:02:02.

looking for a packed. I think we need to give people a clear choice

:02:02.:02:05.

at the general election. The British economy has turned a corner. We

:02:05.:02:09.

at the general election. The British on the right track, we are seeing

:02:09.:02:12.

more jobs, new businesses, we are beginning to get things moving

:02:12.:02:15.

again. Do you want to stick with us, hard-working people, or do you want

:02:15.:02:20.

to put it at risk with Ed Miliband hard-working people, or do you want

:02:20.:02:25.

and his crazy plans to tax business out of existence? That was the Prime

:02:25.:02:32.

there any appetite on the UKIP side discussions around the country,

:02:32.:02:39.

there any appetite on the UKIP side would say no. It's being discussed,

:02:39.:02:50.

is the media that is pushing this. It has reflected what has happened

:02:50.:02:53.

conference season began. Labour It has reflected what has happened

:02:53.:02:59.

trying to reclaim what I would call position. I'm not sure what the

:02:59.:03:05.

Liberal Democrats or two, but the Conservatives are trying to react to

:03:05.:03:15.

the right, which the media wants to interpret as them possibly being

:03:15.:03:16.

able to do some sort of pact with interpret as them possibly being

:03:16.:03:20.

able to do some sort of pact with UKIP. Have you given any thought to

:03:20.:03:26.

whatsoever. It is not on the radar. I have read comments, including

:03:26.:03:33.

Carswell, the Eurosceptics, that they might form a potential, let's

:03:33.:03:39.

call it, you know, cabinet. If there were UKIP members, I don't doubt

:03:40.:03:43.

that Nigel Farage would be one of them. But I would reiterate it is

:03:43.:03:46.

not discussions that are taking place. I am thinking more of an

:03:46.:03:54.

have responded to that by saying, the moment, there are no ongoing

:03:54.:03:58.

discussions. There is certainly constituency level or coming out of

:03:58.:04:05.

believe any constituencies are Eurosceptics? I am not privy to

:04:05.:04:14.

believe any constituencies are all 360 constituencies might be

:04:14.:04:17.

discussing. All I can do is give you the example of the few I have seen

:04:17.:04:22.

and know it is not on the agenda. Without a pact, it is perfectly

:04:22.:04:24.

possible that you could fail to Without a pact, it is perfectly

:04:24.:04:29.

a single seat at the next election, but put Ed Miliband into Downing

:04:29.:04:34.

Street? Categorically not. There are a number of seats out there that are

:04:34.:04:36.

very clear marginals, just like a number of seats out there that are

:04:36.:04:53.

Izzard was. I believe there could be an MP -- just like Eastleigh was. If

:04:53.:04:58.

you take enough votes away from an MP -- just like Eastleigh was. If

:04:58.:05:02.

Tories, if you make sure that Labour wins? I will go back to the comment

:05:02.:05:07.

I made. If you take Eastleigh as an example, a Liberal Democrat held

:05:07.:05:12.

seat, even after that result, does not mean that UKIP is suddenly going

:05:12.:05:17.

to be focusing on Tory seats. We are out there because people resonate

:05:17.:05:21.

with our message. For the Liberal Democrats to make it abundantly

:05:21.:05:24.

clear that they will not support a referendum, that they will not

:05:24.:05:27.

support any discussion on leaving the queue, that could be a big

:05:27.:05:31.

turn-off for voters. David Cameron says there is not going to be a

:05:31.:05:33.

pact, Diane James says there is says there is not going to be a

:05:33.:05:37.

going to be one. There might be says there is not going to be a

:05:37.:05:39.

or at a constituency level. But says there is not going to be a

:05:39.:05:41.

seems clear to me that there will not be a national one. So, does

:05:41.:05:46.

David Cameron have a UKIP strategy? The only encouraging thing for

:05:46.:05:49.

UKIP's successful David Cameron that the moment that he would only

:05:49.:05:51.

that their support is so enormous that the moment that he would only

:05:51.:05:55.

really need to win back maybe a third or a quarter of its to make a

:05:55.:05:58.

decisive difference to the Tory share of the vote in 2015. The

:05:58.:06:02.

question becomes, how much of that UKIP support is up for grabs? A

:06:02.:06:07.

question becomes, how much of that last week suggested that 47% of

:06:07.:06:09.

current UKIP voters would consider voting Tory if it meant preventing

:06:09.:06:13.

Ed Miliband becoming Prime Minister. That number goes up to 57% against

:06:13.:06:19.

recovery. So, plausibly, there is David Cameron do to win over those

:06:19.:06:27.

people? He has tried a Europe will referendum and it didn't work. He

:06:27.:06:31.

tried travelling up his immigration policy and that didn't work. I

:06:31.:06:34.

wonder if it is time. You wait until the run-up to 2015, when they start

:06:34.:06:39.

to focus on the explicit choice Cameron, and that is what shifts a

:06:39.:06:48.

Cameron. We heard from William Hague earlier in the programme, the Tory

:06:48.:06:54.

line is that if you vote UKIP you could end up with Ed Miliband in

:06:54.:06:58.

Downing Street. That is the simple appeal, isn't it? Yes, and I think

:06:58.:07:03.

Diane is right, I think the European elections will show a good showing

:07:03.:07:11.

for UKIP. It is deemed the one where you can play away. I think it will

:07:11.:07:14.

be hard for people to get excited about that, I think that bounce

:07:14.:07:18.

be hard for people to get excited fade away. In Eastleigh, they had a

:07:18.:07:22.

good ground game, that is difficult for UKIP, that don't have that

:07:22.:07:28.

machinery sorted. How are they going to fund that operation? But the

:07:28.:07:33.

machinery sorted. How are they going bounce could fade away after the

:07:33.:07:35.

European elections. Even if they go election, they are still immensely

:07:35.:07:40.

dangerous to the Conservative Party. But there is really only two things

:07:40.:07:43.

David Cameron can do. One is to But there is really only two things

:07:43.:07:47.

boring and talk about helping people with their mortgage, helping with

:07:47.:07:51.

bread and butter issues. The second thing is, those European actions, he

:07:51.:07:54.

fun, next year do you want me or Ed tends to the natural Conservative

:07:54.:08:01.

fun, next year do you want me or Ed Miliband us your prime and? The

:08:01.:08:03.

fun, next year do you want me or Ed danger with David Cameron is saying,

:08:03.:08:05.

of course, there is not going to be a pact, the danger is you will get a

:08:05.:08:11.

repeat of the 1977 election. John Major said, famously, do not bind my

:08:11.:08:16.

hands. A series of Conservative personally rule out membership of

:08:16.:08:22.

the euro, when the Conservative membership was wait and see. That

:08:22.:08:25.

looked like a Prime Minister not in charge of his party. The danger

:08:25.:08:32.

looked like a Prime Minister not in Let's assume you do really well

:08:32.:08:34.

looked like a Prime Minister not in the European actions and there is a

:08:34.:08:37.

widespread expectation that you will, even in Downing Street. They

:08:37.:08:41.

might be managing expectations. will, even in Downing Street. They

:08:41.:08:45.

stops you fading away as the general election approaches? A number of

:08:45.:08:47.

reasons. As has been mentioned, election approaches? A number of

:08:47.:08:50.

whole issue of the referendum pledge has been proved to be an absolute

:08:50.:08:57.

nonsense. It is so contingent on if I am re-elected, if it's not a

:08:57.:09:01.

coalition government, is, if, if. That was fooled nobody. The issue of

:09:01.:09:08.

where voters are coming from, it is because they have lost faith in

:09:08.:09:12.

where voters are coming from, it is David Cameron says. There is nothing

:09:12.:09:14.

he is going to say that is convince think that is my view and the view

:09:14.:09:21.

of a lot of UKIP. I am told that they have expunged Nigel Farage

:09:21.:09:28.

of a lot of UKIP. I am told that the fringes? It is a great scoop, on

:09:28.:09:29.

ring of steel. Even so, they won't the fringes? It is a great scoop, on

:09:29.:09:36.

ring of steel. Even so, they won't programme, so they must be worried

:09:36.:09:38.

paid money for adverts in the Tory about something. His people have

:09:38.:09:43.

paid money for adverts in the Tory brochure and his name has been taken

:09:43.:09:43.

out. Speaking of people the Tory brochure and his name has been taken

:09:43.:09:48.

leadership is worried about, Boris Johnson, are we in any doubt as

:09:48.:09:53.

leadership is worried about, Boris interview that he is now beginning

:09:53.:09:59.

his long march back to Parliament? He does express feeling slightly sad

:09:59.:10:01.

during the Syria debate that he He does express feeling slightly sad

:10:01.:10:04.

not there, on the political front line to participate. I still do

:10:04.:10:10.

not there, on the political front see why it is in his interest is to

:10:10.:10:14.

move before 2015. No, I don't think he will move before, I think he

:10:14.:10:17.

move before 2015. No, I don't think sending a signal to the existing

:10:17.:10:17.

Tories in the Commons that when sending a signal to the existing

:10:17.:10:29.

Me Dave goes, I will be back? He has the Vince Cable problem, if you

:10:29.:10:33.

Me Dave goes, I will be back? He has the same thing too many times,

:10:33.:10:36.

people get bored and factor it in. The interesting thing is him saying

:10:36.:10:40.

that people have seven years before the electorate get bored of them. He

:10:40.:10:45.

might be cresting that. He doesn't want to be Prime Minister, he is

:10:45.:10:48.

much more ambitious than that. He wants to be an emperor. He was

:10:48.:10:56.

asked, which Roman emperor would you like to be compared to? You said,

:10:56.:11:02.

important. I don't think you are thinking big enough. See what I

:11:02.:11:11.

important. I don't think you are virtue of being born in the US,

:11:11.:11:14.

important. I don't think you are could be president. Unlike Arnold

:11:14.:11:15.

Schwarzenegger. How about a deal with Boris? He has made no secret,

:11:15.:11:25.

after Eastleigh, that he would be open to a discussion. Let's call it

:11:25.:11:29.

no more than a discussion. He has been adamant, however, he does not

:11:29.:11:34.

see any reason, any justification or any opportunity where he would be

:11:34.:11:36.

able to have that discourse with any opportunity where he would be

:11:36.:11:42.

David Cameron. Maybe it comes down to that on both sides. I've no idea.

:11:42.:11:45.

We know that the Tories will be to that on both sides. I've no idea.

:11:45.:11:50.

more Eurosceptic after the next election? I can't imagine David

:11:50.:11:53.

Cameron's successor will be somebody that supports EU membership in

:11:53.:12:00.

ideological direction of the party. The leadership contest will be about

:12:00.:12:05.

this is a great deal for Britain membership, are you going to say

:12:05.:12:12.

this is a great deal for Britain because the Prime Minister has

:12:12.:12:15.

turned to leave rapid change two words in the working Time directive,

:12:15.:12:17.

turned to leave rapid change two or are you going to become a leader

:12:17.:12:20.

by saying, I want out? What would be a good conference for David Cameron

:12:20.:12:32.

eye-catching announcement related to living standards. May be a clearer

:12:32.:12:36.

line on energy prices? That would certainly help, that fightback has

:12:36.:12:41.

been rubbish so far. The thing we should be looking out for are not

:12:41.:12:48.

everything gets to settle down and then we will see what happens. In a

:12:48.:12:53.

word, what is Nigel Farage out to get at the Tory conference? What is

:12:53.:12:57.

he doing, other than mischief? I could almost say revenge. Revenge on

:12:57.:13:05.

Mr Cameron? Yes. You know? Lord Ashcroft was there at the Labour

:13:05.:13:11.

conference. You call it mischief, but there is every reason why he

:13:11.:13:15.

should be there. We all call it mischief. Thanks for being with

:13:15.:13:19.

should be there. We all call it Join me on Daily Politics for live

:13:19.:13:22.

coverage of the Conservative Party conference tomorrow morning from

:13:22.:13:26.

11:30 on BBC Two. We will bring conference tomorrow morning from

:13:26.:13:30.

George Osborne's speech live and uninterrupted. I'll be back next

:13:30.:13:34.

weekend when guests will include former Conservative Chancellor

:13:34.:13:35.

Kenneth Clarke. Remember, if it former Conservative Chancellor

:13:35.:13:38.

Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:38.:13:41.

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