06/10/2013 Sunday Politics Yorkshire and Lincolnshire


06/10/2013

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Morning, folks, welcome to the Sunday Politics. And

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Morning, folks, welcome to the election? We talk to the Tory rebel

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Morning, folks, welcome to the demanding one next year, that is our

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top story. As government ministers prepare to decide how the press

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should be regulated, what will be the impact of this week's row

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should be regulated, what will be between the Daily Mail and Ed

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Miliband? You are talking about the colour of

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In Yorkshire and Lincolnshire, a row peoples faces?!

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In Yorkshire and Lincolnshire, a row breaks out over claims that in a fit

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cut for under 25s would lead to an increase in

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He will try to force a vote in the October. Home Secretary Theresa

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He will try to force a vote in the was asked about his plans on the BBC

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earlier this morning. I think he has got it wrong, I think what we need

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to do is to negotiate the settlement with the European Union and then put

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that to the people me to decide whether to be in or out. Is this a

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flea bite or a real threat? I think whether to be in or out. Is this a

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Party that will be offering people that renegotiation, a new settlement

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with Europe, looking to the future and putting that to the British

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people in and in or out referendum. And what the amendment possibly

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could do, as James Wharton, who And what the amendment possibly

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putting the Referendum Bill through Parliament has said, is it could

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jeopardise that bill. Adam Afriyie joins us now from Millbank studio.

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Good morning. If the referendum would be held next October, it would

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have to be an in-out question based the status quo? There wouldn't be

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time for a full renegotiation. I disagree. By having a referendum in

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2014, it gives us 12 months to renegotiate, but it kick-started

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negotiations, because the European Union, if they wish us to remain

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and make changes so that they would members, would need to accommodate

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and make changes so that they would persuade the British public to stay,

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strengthens the Prime Minister's hand, and 12 months is ample time

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for that kind of negotiation. You might think that, but Germany has

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not even got a government at the moment, why should they meet our

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timetable? This is going to be incredibly, located renegotiation. I

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think, basically, 80% of people incredibly, located renegotiation. I

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a referendum. More than 50% what a election. British businesses need

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certainty, and we could carry on taking a scan down the road for

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ever, but I have struggled with taking a scan down the road for

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conscience over this one. I do not want to cause trouble, but it is

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essential that Parliament and MPs have the opportunity to search their

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souls and give people a referendum this side of the election. That

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would also bring certainty and clarity for the future, and like I

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You right in the Mail on Sunday clarity for the future, and like I

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the people are not convinced there even will be a referendum, so they

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don't trust David Cameron? I think the headline was not the headline I

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wrote for that piece. What I am You are saying that the British

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people are not convinced. Look, there are too many uncertainties

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here - they may not be convinced the Conservatives will win the election,

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I hope we will, they may not be convinced the renegotiation will be

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good enough, that there will be convinced the renegotiation will be

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referendum. Do you trust David That is why we need to bring the

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referendum forward, there is time to negotiate, and we tidy up the issue

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that has been hanging around for too long. Do you trust David Cameron to

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deliver a referendum in 2017? I Minister, and of course I trust

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deliver a referendum in 2017? I referendum? There as only variables

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in between. What I am doing with referendum? There as only variables

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this amendment, is to try to be referendum? There as only variables

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is that Parliament and every MP referendum? There as only variables

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the opportunity decide whether they want to be sure of a referendum

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within this parliament, or maybe leave it to the vagaries of what may

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within this parliament, or maybe happen in 2015. Supposing you got

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your way, how would you vote? Like Michael Gove, I would vote for us to

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leave as of today, but there will be Michael Gove, I would vote for us to

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an enormous amount of pressure on European Union leaders to come

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forward with proposals. If they European Union leaders to come

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to say, the mandate is not ever closer political union, it is ever

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closer trading harmony, giving us closer trading harmony, giving us

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more border control and control closer trading harmony, giving us

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our legal system, I might change my mind. But this is what needs to

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people to argue in or out, and the end result is a stronger Prime

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Minister. Is it true that you have end result is a stronger Prime

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Minister. Is it true that you have got about 80 MPs supporting this? It

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certain, and I think we will see it on hold over the next three or five

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weeks. He will have to ask each individual MP. I am asking you,

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is your motion! There will be other motions coming forward, and I know

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cross-party, for people who want the British public to have a say in

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2014. You know it is not going to get through, the whips will stop

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this from happening. One of the successes, apparently, of your

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party's Manchester conference was that you were not divided over

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Europe anymore, the Europe issue was settled. Here you are bringing it

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Europe anymore, the Europe issue was back to life and pouring petrol

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Europe anymore, the Europe issue was unlicensed troublemaker of the

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Tories? The only struggle I have had is not a fight with my party but

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Tories? The only struggle I have had with my conscience as to whether or

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not I would give Parliament and with my conscience as to whether or

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British people an opportunity to have a say in 2014. I wrestled with

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it, and I decided I wanted people to have that opportunity. It is for

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each individual MP to search their soul, speak to constituents and

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decide whether they want that. You decided it would get you in the

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headlines again. Oh, you are so cynical, Andrew! I have no ambition

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publicity seeker. All I seek is cynical, Andrew! I have no ambition

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would not be able to sleep at night if I did not bring forward this

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opportunity for Britain to have if I did not bring forward this

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say. We have left it far too long. Nobody under the age of 56 has had a

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luck with this continuing struggle Nobody under the age of 56 has had a

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luck with this continuing struggle panel, what do you make of it? The

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party managers must be furious with him. I think what this confirms

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party managers must be furious with that David Cameron is incredibly

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lucky in his enemies. His most prolific critics, Nadine Dorries,

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Peter Bone, Adam Afriyie, even if you are very anti-Cameron, you will

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not think, man, if only they were in charge of the party! I think the

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party managers are not too alarmed. They do not take him seriously? No,

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is not as if the James Wharton bill is a work of genius, it is riddled

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with flaws, anomalies and loopholes. It purports to guarantee that a

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referendum will take place in the next Parliament. My understanding of

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theoretically impossible and that all the future government would

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theoretically impossible and that is cancel out that bill with another

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bill. He does have a point that Cameron's plan for a referendum

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bill. He does have a point that nothing like as likely to happen...

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dangerous. The problem for David Cameron is twofold. One, if Ed

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Miliband says he's going to support Adam Afriyie, it will go through.

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Unlikely that Ed Miliband would Adam Afriyie, it will go through.

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that, but what he might do is say to his MPs, ignore this. It may well be

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significant number of Labour MPs do not turn up, and then what you have

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Conservative backbenchers, and in that war you might well find that

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through, and then the Prime Minister has real trouble, because Adam

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Afriyie says, the Prime Minister to get agreement with Nick Clegg or

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Ed Miliband, so you would be looking to get agreement with Nick Clegg or

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Ed Miliband, so you would be looking think he is a Labour mole, that

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Ed Miliband, so you would be looking what I have come to, a Daily Mail

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style conspiracy theory, it could not be more perfect. The prospect of

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style conspiracy theory, it could a referendum on the EU at the same

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time as Scottish independence is has told us he could not sleep at

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conscience. We could send him some pills, I suppose. We know he's going

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to sack all those lieutenants were going around and saying he is the

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great future and the next leader of the Conservative Party. He denied

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doing that! He would be amazed to hear you say that, this is a crisis

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conversations in corridors, quite an operation to get letters into Graham

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Brady, he said to have letters, operation to get letters into Graham

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46, but at the moment this campaign is being run by Lieutenant of Adam

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They are disaffected and not happy under David Cameron's leadership.

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There is a whole army of them! I am pleased he has outmanoeuvred the

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awkward squad, and now James Wharton is saying, you're going to kill

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awkward squad, and now James Wharton bill. I do not think they are very

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competence lieutenants. The main episode is it will unify a large

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Conservative Party behind David Cameron. On what they hope is a

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settled position. We still hope Cameron. On what they hope is a

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be talking to John Prescott, who is in hole, if you see him, pointing in

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the direction of the BBC studios! Do you want to buy a house? Can you

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the direction of the BBC studios! Do not the 20% or 30% deposit the

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mortgage provider is demanding from you? The Government says it has

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mortgage provider is demanding from scheme designed for you which is in

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launching next week, help to buy, re-emergence of 95% mortgages,

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remember them?! But is the policy really good for home-buyers or the

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British economy? Here is Giles. Never mind who lives in a house

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British economy? Here is Giles. this, who can afford to buy a house

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these days? The Government would this, who can afford to buy a house

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without putting down a crippling like many more people to be able to

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without putting down a crippling amount of money as a deposit, and in

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the spirit of rights to buy, the government has launched help to

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the spirit of rights to buy, the confusingly it is the name for two

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been running since April. Help to government are bringing it in early.

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Let's get in on the inside and take a good look around at what this

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scheme actually has to offer. And why the Government thinks it really

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works. Help to Buy 1 was an equity loan scheme. The idea, nice, is

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works. Help to Buy 1 was an equity it was for new build only, up to a

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value of £600,000. But it is Help to value of £600,000. But it is Help to

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Buy 2 that everyone is looking into right now. It is for any property up

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to a value, again, of £600,000. right now. It is for any property up

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time the Government is guaranteeing that it will take on the first

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losses should the home owner in that it will take on the first

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future failed to make their mortgage payments. Don't worry about that, if

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available again in participating banks and building societies. And

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a housing prime mover. You cannot get training to 5% mortgage anymore,

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90% even, so there are couples in our country who have good jobs,

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decent incomes, they could afford the mortgage payments but they

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failure in our banking market. So Jonathan, but I guess for you this

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is not Homes Under The Hammer, but a main impact of this scheme will

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is not Homes Under The Hammer, but a to push up prices, who does that

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benefit? Mostly rich and all the people who own their houses. Plus

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the banks, of course, because it is a subsidy for them. Who loses?

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People who want to buy a house in the future. Moreover, it is a bit

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odd that the Government says it the future. Moreover, it is a bit

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not OK to borrow to finance schools or roads, but it is fine for the

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effectively, in order to guarantee housing market. 2.3 million? I do

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not think Help to Buy covers that. But enter a would-be buyer, will

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they now be seeing a plethora of help to buy mortgages? In a word,

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no. David Cameron has brought the months, and banks were not ready at

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that stage. Two banks have committed to fund the scheme, the Lloyds group

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and the RBS group, so lenders like Halifax, RBS and NatWest. They will

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be doing the scheme, but even once the scheme is up and running you are

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high street because of the guarantee the government is offering. People

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might say this is how we got into a mess in the first place. Why would

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the government want to make those products available then now? It

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the government want to make those more what investment banks were

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doing in the background that caused performed extremely well through the

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depths of the downturn. Is this performed extremely well through the

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game changer? Yes, I have done my best to save over the last few years

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but this has enabled me to make best to save over the last few years

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first purchase. How frustrating best to save over the last few years

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it just renting? Very frustrating, you are throwing away money hand

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over fist, and now I can take that enthusiasm raises a question back at

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the flat. If you are looking for a 95% mortgage, you don't really care

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economy, you are thinking, great, I can buy a house. Yes, if I was a

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house buyer or a bank, I would be pleased, but it will do longer term

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economic damage. The tricky steps the government are trying to pull

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off is that home-buyers might be so grateful for the opportunity to

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off is that home-buyers might be so their own homes that they reward the

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Government with the vote, while their own homes that they reward the

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the same time the Government tries to sidestep consequences that such a

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Now Conservative MP Margot James, and Allister Heath, editor of City

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It is said by the critics that this scheme will cause a housing bubble.

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Where is the evidence? House prices are more varied. Housing not just in

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London remains overvalued and the problem with this scheme is that it

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will pump up house prices, it will therefore houses will become even

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more overvalued. That is a dangerous territory, last time it ended in

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tears, and now the Government is taking on the risk of that policy.

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What do you say to that? We have a real problem, it takes people on

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average until they are 38 years real problem, it takes people on

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property. The problem is not that they cannot afford it, but they

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cannot afford the deposit. We have got to do something to allow people

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to get their feet on the property ladder and I don't agree it will

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cause a boom in house prices. It would if we were not building any

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have had a record this year, 12 the last ten years. These are not

:18:23.:18:33.

the statistics I have seen, but the last ten years. These are not

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new supply is coming up. It is starting to creep up. We don't see

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enough house building, need to build more houses and that is a solution

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to this problem. You are right, people cannot afford to buy homes

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and the reason is there are not enough good quality homes in the

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deposits are so high is because secondly the Government has passed

:18:59.:19:04.

laws to make the banking system secondly the Government has passed

:19:04.:19:07.

prudent, telling them to put more wrong. Now suddenly the Government

:19:07.:19:15.

is not happy with the outcome of its own rules and is trying to create

:19:15.:19:19.

these subsidies to circumvent the rules it has put in place. It is not

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a subsidy. Don't forget banks have to pay a charge in order to take

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part in this loan scheme and that the... You are guaranteeing the

:19:32.:19:38.

money. Yes, but the fear is worked out on a commercial basis. The

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taxpayer is protected. Why? You out on a commercial basis. The

:19:42.:19:48.

guaranteeing £12 billion worth of mortgages per year. Yes but the

:19:48.:19:54.

change in the whole mortgage basis has been made a few years ago in

:19:54.:19:59.

response of the crash. They made the distressed test on people applying

:19:59.:20:03.

for mortgages much higher and you twice... So it will not be like

:20:03.:20:13.

these self certification mortgages the sub-prime crisis? Pigment bit

:20:13.:20:21.

like that but the banks are rightly asking for bigger deposits, they

:20:21.:20:26.

know there is a big chance house prices could fall if interest rates

:20:26.:20:33.

eventually, so they are demanding bigger deposits. The Government

:20:33.:20:38.

eventually, so they are demanding circumventing this is being passed

:20:38.:20:40.

eventually, so they are demanding on to the taxpayers which is why it

:20:40.:20:43.

is a dangerous policy. Instead they should be massively accelerating

:20:43.:20:51.

Planning permission is much easier to get now, we have seen a 49%

:20:51.:20:54.

increase in planning permission to get now, we have seen a 49%

:20:54.:20:58.

a new building over the last year, a huge increase. In the figures I

:20:58.:21:05.

a new building over the last year, a recently, they showed new start

:21:05.:21:08.

a new building over the last year, a the 12 months to the autumn were

:21:08.:21:11.

only about 110,000 which is the figure you inherited, which was

:21:12.:21:17.

only about 110,000 which is the an all-time low in 2010. New house

:21:17.:21:19.

built in the last quarter are third up on the time last year. You have

:21:19.:21:23.

relaxation of planning laws and up on the time last year. You have

:21:23.:21:29.

other policies the Government put into effect last year to take effect

:21:29.:21:33.

and it is coming through now. I agree, if we weren't building more

:21:33.:21:38.

houses, if the construction sector advantage of the increased demand,

:21:38.:21:44.

there would be a risk. David Cameron says you are snob and it is only

:21:44.:21:52.

snobs who dislike Help To Buy. They don't have the bank of mum and dad,

:21:52.:21:59.

people like that will finally get on the housing ladder. That is complete

:21:59.:22:06.

housing market where there is a large amount of construction, like

:22:06.:22:11.

in the 1930s for example, where large numbers of proper family homes

:22:11.:22:19.

were being built for people. House prices were pushed down and people

:22:19.:22:25.

could afford houses. You are now encouraging people to take out a 95%

:22:25.:22:29.

mortgage, I thought that was a bad idea, so supposing interest rates go

:22:29.:22:38.

struggle, and supposing house prices fall by more than 5%, I am now faced

:22:38.:22:43.

with negative equity and soaring interest rates that I cannot afford.

:22:44.:22:48.

95% mortgage, if you can afford interest rates that I cannot afford.

:22:48.:22:54.

repayments, you will be fine. What happens when interest rates rise?

:22:54.:23:00.

They have got to rise a lot before you get into trouble. People are

:23:00.:23:02.

already affording rent which is you get into trouble. People are

:23:02.:23:08.

lot higher than mortgage payments. You will not be able to get into

:23:08.:23:15.

this scheme unless you can afford repayments double what they are

:23:15.:23:20.

this scheme unless you can afford the moment. The Conservatives should

:23:20.:23:24.

limelight last week but there was an unwelcome intruder in the shape

:23:24.:23:30.

limelight last week but there was an row between Ed Miliband and the

:23:30.:23:32.

Daily Mail. Just over a week ago the claiming that Ed Miliband's Father

:23:32.:23:40.

Ralph hated Britain. They showed a picture of his father's gravestone

:23:40.:23:44.

with the caption, grave socialist. picture of his father's gravestone

:23:44.:23:52.

Ed Miliband the right to reply on printed an editorial alongside it

:23:52.:23:56.

saying they stood by every word printed an editorial alongside it

:23:56.:24:01.

published an fair headline. It also reporter had gate-crashed a private

:24:01.:24:08.

memorial service for Ed Miliband's uncle in a London hospital, for

:24:08.:24:13.

which the paper has now apologised, but Ed Miliband has called on the

:24:13.:24:15.

hard look at the way his papers but Ed Miliband has called on the

:24:15.:24:23.

run. This comes a week before a but Ed Miliband has called on the

:24:23.:24:31.

Joining us now from Hull, John Prescott. Does this row between

:24:31.:24:40.

Joining us now from Hull, John reinforce the case for tough, new

:24:40.:24:45.

certainly influences the opinion about that but that is more of Paul

:24:45.:24:49.

Dacre's doing. Ed Miliband rang about that but that is more of Paul

:24:49.:24:54.

while I was in Strasbourg making sure my complaints were nothing

:24:54.:24:59.

while I was in Strasbourg making do with press regulation and he

:24:59.:25:03.

while I was in Strasbourg making right. This argument is not about

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politicians and media people, it is about ordinary people that love

:25:07.:25:15.

politicians and media people, it is and dealt with. All of these cases

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affected individual people and they are the ones that need to have

:25:17.:25:22.

justice in this matter. Next week we will be hearing whether the Privy

:25:22.:25:32.

Council will be reporting on the proposal to replace it. Are you

:25:32.:25:49.

with its Miliband article was a matter of judgement? Yes, and the

:25:49.:26:02.

with its Miliband article was a conclusion that the relationship

:26:02.:26:04.

between the press, the police and politicians should be governed,

:26:04.:26:13.

between the press, the police and proposal given by half the press

:26:13.:26:18.

industry that that does not meet the Leveson requirement and I suspect

:26:18.:26:22.

the Privy Council this week will have to reject that, and I hope

:26:22.:26:26.

the Privy Council this week will will because it is not consistent

:26:26.:26:28.

with the Leveson report which the Prime Minister said he supported.

:26:28.:26:34.

You attacked the mail in your column today but your paper went through

:26:34.:26:40.

the Cameron family bins to see what nappies they used for their disabled

:26:40.:26:45.

son. Isn't that far more offensive than what the Daily Mail wrote about

:26:45.:26:46.

Ralph Miliband? It probably is, than what the Daily Mail wrote about

:26:46.:26:56.

couldn't defend that. I have had Haven't we all? Yes, but we are

:26:56.:27:09.

editors who acts unilaterally. Paul Dacre is running this thing in the

:27:09.:27:30.

which the press have accepted the old PCC is no good. They are playing

:27:30.:27:32.

for time because if they reject old PCC is no good. They are playing

:27:32.:27:37.

this week there is 12 months until you can consider a parliamentary

:27:37.:27:41.

alternative and then you are near the election and you begin to bully

:27:41.:27:45.

the leaders. That is how they have been successful in putting off

:27:45.:27:55.

recommendations. Maybe my memory is fading but did you or anybody else

:27:55.:28:00.

in the Labour Party object to the Sunday Mirror's behaviour? I didn't

:28:00.:28:04.

know about it. I would just say Sunday Mirror's behaviour? I didn't

:28:04.:28:09.

is wrong if that is what they did. As you said, you have the same

:28:09.:28:13.

position when they go through your rubbish bins, I think that is wrong.

:28:13.:28:18.

We have Leveson set up by the Prime Minister to look at the cultures and

:28:18.:28:22.

practices and the unilateral action of editors and he came forward with

:28:22.:28:37.

Parliament under a compromise of the Royal Charter. I don't like a Royal

:28:37.:28:39.

frankly, but we have agreed to go frankly, but we have agreed to go

:28:39.:28:44.

Government set up in charge at the same time rushed through the press

:28:44.:28:51.

box? It looks like a fix, like they are using the Royal Charter as a

:28:51.:28:58.

means of delaying everything. They have now said they are going to

:28:58.:29:02.

introduce their own independent charter. This industry does not

:29:02.:29:19.

introduce their own independent of the Mail. What is the endgame for

:29:19.:29:24.

this? Is it the head of Paul Dacre? He is not an acceptable character to

:29:24.:29:38.

account. When Ed Miliband rang me it regulation, he wanted the argument

:29:38.:29:43.

of decency. Are you and Ed Miliband regulation, he wanted the argument

:29:44.:29:57.

of decency. Are you and Ed Miliband after Paul Dacre's head? No, he

:29:57.:29:59.

of decency. Are you and Ed Miliband stay there. It is like with Murdoch,

:29:59.:30:01.

of decency. Are you and Ed Miliband we were not attacking him but what

:30:01.:30:06.

extent, what they are doing about politicians who can look after

:30:06.:30:12.

themselves. We know, with the bad cases he had to deal with, they

:30:12.:30:16.

might get libel action, which the press say, but they pretty well

:30:16.:30:19.

destroyed their lives. That is about judgment. If you say, as Paul Dacre

:30:19.:30:25.

got good judgment? I would say no, Thank you for joining us, he did not

:30:25.:30:32.

even have to go to the BBC studios, we sent a truck there for him. What

:30:32.:30:39.

is the endgame in this? Whether the Labour Party is trying to make this

:30:39.:30:42.

an issue press regulation are not, this is where it is going. We have

:30:42.:30:46.

the criminal trial involving Andy Coulson coming up, the Privy Council

:30:46.:30:49.

discussing press radiation before the end of the year, and the

:30:49.:30:52.

question is, what is political impact?

:30:52.:30:59.

question is, what is political of the Leveson story over the past

:30:59.:31:02.

several years, hacking and everything, is close to zero,

:31:02.:31:09.

because most voters do not care, and those who do care believe that all

:31:09.:31:12.

parties are roughly complicit in being too close to editors and

:31:12.:31:17.

proprietors. You said that Adam Afriyie was a Labour mould, with a

:31:17.:31:24.

smile. Is the Daily Mail also a Labour mole? This has been a dream

:31:24.:31:28.

for Ed Miliband, I took on Murdoch, I am taking on the energy companies

:31:28.:31:33.

and now the evil Daily Mail! I think... I should say I used to work

:31:33.:31:38.

for the Daily Mail, but when they printed the right of reply, they

:31:38.:31:42.

surrounded it with a big two fingers up at Ed. If they had not done

:31:42.:31:44.

surrounded it with a big two fingers that, they would not be in this

:31:44.:31:48.

position. The poll in the Sunday Times this morning shows 72% think

:31:48.:31:52.

the Daily Mail was wrong and backed Mr Miliband's demand for an apology.

:31:52.:31:58.

If you come to define and your dad, people are naturally going to do

:31:58.:32:01.

this, but it took all the coverage away from the Tory conference, the

:32:01.:32:05.

media loves covering itself, here we are doing it again, this has been a

:32:05.:32:11.

dream for Mr Miliband. The political significance of this is that David

:32:11.:32:14.

Cameron said in the House of Commons that he wanted to try to find some

:32:14.:32:17.

common ground between the three party Royal Charter and the

:32:17.:32:24.

so-called press industry version. What the Daily Mail has done is

:32:24.:32:27.

ensured that the Prime Minister is not going to be able to do that.

:32:27.:32:31.

What is going to happen this week is that the press Royal Charter has to

:32:31.:32:35.

be considered first, and that will probably be rejected. The Privy

:32:35.:32:36.

Council will reject it. probably be rejected. The Privy

:32:36.:32:42.

three party Royal Charter will come probably be rejected. The Privy

:32:42.:32:46.

up, but meanwhile the press will set up their own regulatory body because

:32:46.:32:50.

the Royal Charter is not a proper statutory underpinning, they will be

:32:50.:32:51.

able to go ahead with that. There statutory underpinning, they will be

:32:51.:32:56.

will be the legal basis for the oversight of the oversight body, and

:32:56.:33:00.

it will basically just be an ambassador that will not be

:33:00.:33:06.

resolved. As you say, no-one much cares about this outside of the

:33:06.:33:09.

profession and a few media watchers. But this has been great politics for

:33:09.:33:17.

Ed Miliband. It is only great politics if he scores a great

:33:17.:33:25.

victory. I take your view that people are cynical about it. But the

:33:25.:33:29.

narrative is, I am the chap who stands up to vested interests. But

:33:29.:33:33.

all those vested interests are people that you would expect a

:33:33.:33:36.

left-wing politician to want to take on. It is also more significant

:33:36.:33:44.

about who he has stood up for, and the person he has studied for is his

:33:44.:33:47.

father. Maybe people thought of him as a Marxist, now they think of him

:33:47.:33:53.

as war hero. He gets to the crux of matters, you know! You are watching

:33:53.:33:59.

the Sunday Politics. Coming up in just over 20 minutes, I will be

:33:59.:34:01.

speaking to Godfrey You are watching the Sunday politics

:34:01.:34:17.

for Yorkshire and Lincolnshire. Coming up today. A row breaks out

:34:17.:34:21.

over claims that benefit cuts for under 25 is would lead to a big

:34:21.:34:29.

increase in homelessness. And we will find out why Yorkshire

:34:29.:34:33.

is at the bottom of the league when it comes to attracting overseas

:34:33.:34:38.

investment. Let's say hello to our guests today. Michael Dugher is the

:34:38.:34:42.

Labour MP for Barnsley East, Alec Shelbrooke is the Conservative MP

:34:42.:34:47.

for helmet and Rothwell. Many commentators are now saying that

:34:47.:34:50.

your two parties are farther apart politically speaking them they have

:34:50.:34:55.

in for some time, what is your take? Watching the Conservative party

:34:55.:35:00.

conference, I think they are further apart from the electorate and the

:35:00.:35:03.

centre ground of British politics than they have been for some time.

:35:03.:35:06.

At Labour's conference, the theme of the cost of living crisis. In

:35:06.:35:13.

Yorkshire, families are on average £1700 per year worse off every year

:35:13.:35:18.

since David Cameron became Prime Minister. There is a huge cost of

:35:18.:35:22.

living crisis going on, that is what we focused on so we had ideas about

:35:22.:35:26.

freezing energy bills, they have gone up for most people. Talking

:35:26.:35:30.

about the cost of living, the big issues. David Cameron mentioned the

:35:31.:35:37.

Labour Party 25 times and the cost of living three times, that was

:35:37.:35:41.

telling. You're partly —— your party has been on the back foot. The

:35:41.:35:48.

Labour Party has gone to the 1970s socialism, talking about state

:35:48.:35:53.

freezing land —— seizing land and energy prices freezing. The

:35:53.:35:57.

Conservatives have cleared up the mess left by the Labour Party and we

:35:57.:36:02.

have now got to build the economy going forward. Labour spent three

:36:02.:36:06.

years saying the economy would not recover, it has, they have moved on

:36:06.:36:08.

to the cost of living, to grow. One area where there is a

:36:08.:36:21.

big divide is on welfare. A war of word had erupted over claims that it

:36:21.:36:27.

cuts could see an increase in the number of young people becoming

:36:27.:36:31.

homeless. —— claims that benefit cuts. The Conservatives say 16—25

:36:31.:36:36.

—year—olds should be repaired to earn or learn all face losing their

:36:36.:36:45.

dole. But one leaving —— one leading housing charity says scrapping

:36:45.:36:48.

benefits for under 25s would have devastating effects in parts of the

:36:48.:36:53.

law. This is the East Marsh area of

:36:53.:36:56.

Grimsby weather number of people claiming benefits outnumbers those

:36:56.:37:01.

in work. This area was recently described in a survey by one think

:37:01.:37:08.

tank as a benefit ghetto. According to the Centre for social justice,

:37:08.:37:12.

51% of the working age occupation here rely on benefits. Rees is 23

:37:12.:37:21.

and claims job—seeker 's allowance and housing benefit. He says he is

:37:21.:37:25.

worried about reports that young people could be the target of the

:37:25.:37:31.

next big welfare crackdown. That is all I have got to support myself

:37:31.:37:36.

while I am looking for a job. I am trying to get a job. I have got an

:37:36.:37:41.

interview at the factory tomorrow. Even still, coming in and out of the

:37:41.:37:46.

factory, the work dies down. If I lost my benefits, I would not be

:37:46.:37:52.

able to survive. Today it is still possible to leave school, signed on,

:37:52.:37:56.

find a flat, start taming housing benefit and opt for a life

:37:56.:38:03.

benefits. David Cameron has suggested that

:38:03.:38:06.

16—25 —year—olds who shun education, employment or training would lose

:38:06.:38:14.

their benefits under a future Conservative government. They would

:38:14.:38:17.

not be entitled to housing benefit and it could mean they are excluded

:38:17.:38:20.

from claiming job—seeker's allowance. One charity which

:38:20.:38:25.

represents homeless groups across the UK says that would have a big

:38:25.:38:29.

impact on places like Grimsby. I think the impact on areas like the

:38:29.:38:33.

North of England is potentially devastating. Our members in the area

:38:33.:38:37.

report that they already are at record numbers of young people

:38:37.:38:41.

approaching them for help with homelessness. With poverty, we are

:38:41.:38:45.

seeing an increase in the use of food banks, an increase in the

:38:45.:38:47.

number of people approaching councils for help and advice for

:38:47.:38:52.

homelessness. If these proposals go through we expect to see significant

:38:52.:38:56.

increases in the numbers of young people seeking help with

:38:56.:38:58.

homelessness problems in these areas. However, many conservatives

:38:58.:39:06.

say they are simply responding to widespread concern about the abuse

:39:06.:39:12.

of benefits. This was the view of some voters in Cleethorpes. I think

:39:12.:39:16.

a lot of the younger ones could do more work than what they do. And an

:39:16.:39:22.

living. There always seems to be a job out there, you have got to keep

:39:22.:39:26.

looking and apply for courses. It is the people who have been unemployed

:39:26.:39:29.

for months he seemed to abuse the system. What we have got to make

:39:29.:39:36.

sure is that welfare benefits go to people who are genuinely in need. It

:39:36.:39:40.

was created by the Labour government as a safety net and that is how it

:39:40.:39:43.

should be. What do you a new generation of homeless young

:39:43.:39:50.

people? There will be hard cases because of broken homes and so on,

:39:50.:39:53.

the system has got to accommodate and deal with sympathetically. The

:39:53.:40:00.

reality is, if we are going to meet housing demands over the next

:40:00.:40:02.

generation, we cannot be providing social housing for people who are

:40:02.:40:07.

only 17 or 18 and expecting the state somehow to pick up the tab for

:40:07.:40:11.

providing them with accommodation. Where are the families? So expect an

:40:11.:40:18.

increasingly heated war of words between the politicians when it

:40:18.:40:26.

comes to the war on welfare. Alec Shelbrooke, what do you make to

:40:26.:40:29.

those claims that cutting benefits for under 25s could lead to a big

:40:29.:40:35.

increase in homelessness? Let's be very clear about what the Prime

:40:35.:40:39.

Minister said and what has been reported. This is the potential

:40:39.:40:44.

losing of benefits for 18—25 —year—oldss who refused to take part

:40:44.:40:48.

in education, learning or work. People who are trying to opt out of

:40:48.:40:53.

the system and live a life on benefits. Overall the majority of

:40:53.:40:56.

people in that age bracket will not be losing their benefits. Should a

:40:56.:41:01.

young person who refuses to take a job, refuses to take a training

:41:01.:41:05.

place or refuses to go back into education, should they be allowed to

:41:05.:41:09.

keep their benefits? Look at what Labour proposed many months ago. Our

:41:09.:41:14.

compulsory jobs guarantee, we said that all young people who had been

:41:14.:41:18.

unemployed for more than a year, and everyone else who has been

:41:18.:41:21.

unemployed for more than two years, the long—term unemployed, should be

:41:21.:41:26.

offered a job. That should —— that job should include training and job

:41:26.:41:30.

search and we would find that job for employers. Here

:41:30.:41:35.

toughness, they would not be able to turn it down. If they did, they

:41:35.:41:37.

would lose their benefits. The government has got to do better in

:41:37.:41:40.

terms of providing opportunities and jobs for young people. We know

:41:40.:41:43.

unemployment is rising in Yorkshire and we don't that the number —— we

:41:43.:41:50.

know the number of young people aged between 18 and 24 who have been

:41:50.:41:53.

unemployed by more than two years has gone up fourfold in the last

:41:53.:41:57.

year. That is not because benefits have got more generous, that is

:41:57.:42:00.

because there is a jobs crisis. Therein lies the problem. It is all

:42:00.:42:04.

very well forcing young people to go on training schemes, but if there is

:42:04.:42:09.

no job, what is the point? You are faced with dark choices. —— stark

:42:09.:42:17.

choices. There has been a huge rise in apprenticeships and what we are

:42:17.:42:20.

saying is the money we are spending on people who refused to take part,

:42:20.:42:25.

should be spent on training programme that go in. We have a

:42:25.:42:29.

difficult economic limit. During the boom years, we saw young term

:42:29.:42:34.

unemployment in people grow. We can all play the statistics but the fact

:42:34.:42:39.

is, what do we do about it? To be trap people into a benefit system

:42:39.:42:44.

where they have got no education or training or hope of getting out, or

:42:44.:42:49.

do we give them tough love and say, if you are in training or a job or

:42:49.:42:53.

going through further education, you will continue to be funded. But if

:42:53.:42:57.

you opt out of all of those things, your benefits will stop. Tough love?

:42:57.:43:02.

We have said, if you turn down the Labour compulsory job guarantee, we

:43:02.:43:06.

will give you a job, we will fund the job. That is a £1 billion

:43:06.:43:14.

commitment fully costed. We would rip an —— we would repeat the bank

:43:14.:43:16.

bonuses tax. top rate tax cuts for millionaires.

:43:16.:43:25.

Wouldn't it be better to use that money to do something about the fact

:43:25.:43:29.

that there are 1 million young people unemployed? Are you not

:43:29.:43:36.

convinced? The bank bonus tax has been used for every Labour spending

:43:36.:43:40.

commitment in the last three years. The fact is under these governments,

:43:40.:43:45.

the people on the higher tax rates are paying more tax than they ever

:43:45.:43:48.

did under Labour. It is no surprise that the latest opinion polling

:43:48.:43:55.

showed that the 18 to 25—year—olds support Conservatives over Labour. I

:43:55.:44:00.

saw a young lad recently who said that he dragged himself out of one

:44:00.:44:04.

of the largest council estates of Europe in Leeds, working hard,

:44:05.:44:09.

trying to hurt —— earn a living. He said he was bothered by people who

:44:10.:44:15.

have never bothered to do that. You want to stop them buying beer and

:44:15.:44:18.

fags with the dole. I think the most important thing is to prevent people

:44:18.:44:24.

falling into poverty. For all of the criticism, not one person has given

:44:24.:44:28.

me an argument of how beer and fags stop people falling

:44:28.:44:30.

me an argument of how beer and fags stop people poverty.

:44:30.:44:36.

Yorkshire will host the Tour de France next year, but Yorkshire does

:44:36.:44:40.

not appear to be enjoying the same kind of success in the global

:44:40.:44:44.

business race. The region lags behind many other parts of the UK

:44:44.:44:51.

when it comes to attracting overseas investment.

:44:51.:44:56.

Foreign investment, selling yourself abroad is the best way out of

:44:56.:45:00.

economic trouble, so—called businesses —— as businesses tell us.

:45:00.:45:05.

But has Yorkshire lost a unified voice?

:45:05.:45:09.

attracts nearly half of the UK's foreign funded budgets. It is the

:45:09.:45:15.

equivalent of the fourth biggest country in Europe, because of its

:45:15.:45:19.

investment. The rest of the country has seen its share of foreign

:45:19.:45:22.

investments dropped by nearly a quarter. These part of the country

:45:22.:45:25.

used to have regional development agencies like Yorkshire Forward but

:45:25.:45:32.

the government got rid of them. Has that made a difference? If Yorkshire

:45:32.:45:40.

can gather together its business communities, universities as well as

:45:40.:45:44.

local authorities and government, and put to overseas boardrooms

:45:44.:45:50.

unified picture for Yorkshire, we will be more accessible. The focus

:45:50.:45:56.

must be on original story, investors like that, rather than a fragmented

:45:56.:46:00.

approach that in this region are sometimes offering. If you look at

:46:00.:46:06.

so many jobs that have been created by foreign investment, other regions

:46:06.:46:10.

have done well. Yorkshire is at the bottom of the list. How has the

:46:10.:46:17.

North West and Wales done it? You join me at media city in

:46:17.:46:22.

Salford, home to BBC Northwest and home to a few thousand new jobs.

:46:22.:46:27.

Behind all of this is a Northwest company backed with an awful lot of

:46:27.:46:31.

foreign cash, a lot of it from China. 35 miles away along the 62,

:46:31.:46:37.

that is another success story. Jaguar Land Rover, another few

:46:37.:46:43.

thousand jobs there, this time back by cash from India. What have we got

:46:43.:46:49.

that you have not got? We have lost the regional development agency,

:46:49.:46:56.

we are really struggling to find a replacement for it, one with the

:46:56.:46:58.

cash and the clouds to promote our region overseas. I can tell you what

:46:59.:47:03.

we do have, that is just over here. It is Manchester United's football

:47:03.:47:07.

ground. The authors of this report believe that if you have got a

:47:07.:47:11.

successful football team, one which is globally recognised, that helps

:47:11.:47:15.

pull in overseas investment. We have got plenty of them. How about you? I

:47:15.:47:20.

am here at Cardiff Bay, once the biggest coal port in the world. The

:47:21.:47:27.

device of —— the demise of industry, you are more likely to

:47:27.:47:34.

seek restaurants here now. Wales developed through the Welsh to

:47:34.:47:38.

relevant agency in the 80s and 90s. In 2005, the Welsh government at the

:47:38.:47:43.

time scrapped the WDA. It was hugely controversial. The accusation was

:47:43.:47:48.

that Wales had lost its brand overseas. Inward investment levels

:47:48.:47:55.

plummeted. Since then, things have picked up. There has been a big push

:47:55.:47:59.

on trade shows overseas, and a new office has opened in central London.

:47:59.:48:05.

Much of selling Wales overseas now is done at a high political level.

:48:06.:48:09.

Much of it by the first Minister of wealth itself. We have got

:48:09.:48:16.

individual local price partnerships now, voices to shout for South, west

:48:16.:48:21.

and north Yorkshire. Are we missing a strong opportunity to sell

:48:21.:48:24.

Yorkshire as a whole? When our neighbours across the Pennines are

:48:24.:48:28.

doing much better with us —— than us with the same tools, what are we

:48:28.:48:32.

doing wrong? I will ask that question to Michael

:48:32.:48:39.

Dugher. Why do you believe Yorkshire is lagging behind other parts of the

:48:39.:48:44.

UK? Part of it is the state of the economy over the last three years,

:48:44.:48:47.

growth strangled out of the economy, it is only now belatedly coming back

:48:47.:48:51.

and is still less than 1%. We have got to do better as a whole country

:48:51.:48:59.

in terms of growth. I think the government had strategic error when

:48:59.:49:06.

it abolished the regional developer agency. It was doing pretty well in

:49:06.:49:10.

Yorkshire, they got rid of it in haste and I think they are now

:49:10.:49:13.

trying to turn them into something that looks more like a regional

:49:13.:49:20.

element agency. They need the clout and resources. In Wales, they have

:49:20.:49:24.

lost their RDA, but they have got a strong focus because of the

:49:25.:49:27.

government in Wales. We do not have that. When I listen to David Cameron

:49:27.:49:32.

and George Osborne, they have got no idea about places in Yorkshire. Ask

:49:32.:49:35.

them about regional policy, they say we have got HS2, that is the railway

:49:35.:49:41.

line. That is all they have got. Don't get started on HS2! Do we need

:49:41.:49:47.

a single body batting for Yorkshire and Humber as a whole? The regional

:49:47.:49:53.

development agencies spent a huge amount of money, a lot from the

:49:53.:49:58.

European Union, we hear an argument about the European Union, it was

:49:58.:50:02.

spent on revenue projects. If you go to some of the new projects in

:50:02.:50:07.

eastern Europe, it is on capital projects. That makes it better to do

:50:07.:50:11.

infrastructure and move forward. The government has done for —— far more

:50:11.:50:16.

than just talk about HS2. We have invested millions of pounds in Leeds

:50:16.:50:22.

alone. We are talking about Kirkstall Ford, creating

:50:22.:50:28.

and homes, a trolley bus system in the city, it is unreasonable to say

:50:28.:50:34.

that government ignores the North of England. We have to make sure that

:50:34.:50:38.

we have an economy which is able to cope and have the infrastructure

:50:38.:50:42.

there to support growth, and see what happens. In terms of Manchester

:50:42.:50:45.

United, we obviously want Leeds United to do very well. They are in

:50:45.:50:51.

a good place in the table, in a few years Manchester United will not be!

:50:51.:50:55.

We have got whole city as well, don't forget! Response, Alec

:50:55.:51:02.

Shelbrooke? I don't have the answer is to turn Leeds United into a

:51:02.:51:06.

Champions League club, I'm not sure that would be very popular in

:51:06.:51:10.

Barnsley. The government has to do better. The cuts, for instance, are

:51:10.:51:14.

this unfortunate the higher in Yorkshire that they are in the south

:51:14.:51:17.

of England. —— they are disproportionately higher. Yorkshire

:51:17.:51:23.

is not getting anything like the same kind of opportunities. The

:51:23.:51:27.

government is happy to forget about huge part of Yorkshire that is not

:51:27.:51:33.

good enough. We need more from David Cameron and George Osborne. But they

:51:33.:51:36.

just do not get the North. Your response, the North—South divide?

:51:36.:51:41.

That is cobblers. This government unlike the Labour government before

:51:41.:51:45.

has invested millions of pounds in Leeds alone, millions across the

:51:45.:51:48.

North of England with projects coming, we only have two look at the

:51:48.:51:53.

tram system in the city. Money taken away for Labour, it was put into

:51:53.:51:59.

crossrail in London. That is old news now. Let's have a look at the

:51:59.:52:03.

round—up in 50 seconds. says she has been told to dumb down

:52:03.:52:17.

her CV if she wants to find a job in hole. She has a degree from the

:52:17.:52:21.

city's University but claims she was told it would make a overqualified

:52:21.:52:27.

for most vacancies in the town. Her local MP has criticised the advance.

:52:27.:52:32.

That would create, I say, a brain drain. Hundreds of schools across

:52:32.:52:38.

Lincolnshire and Yorkshire were closed last week as members of the

:52:38.:52:41.

two biggest teaching union went on strike. They are angry about changes

:52:41.:52:45.

to pensions, increased workloads and plans to bring him perform rated

:52:45.:52:49.

pay. The government has accused those on strike of jeopardising the

:52:49.:52:52.

learning of their pupils. The fallout continues over Doncaster

:52:52.:52:57.

Impey and Labour leader Ed Miliband's clash with the Daily

:52:57.:53:02.

Mail. The newspaper has again refused to apologise for his demands

:53:02.:53:07.

the —— it's that addition of his father Ralph, a former politics

:53:07.:53:10.

lecturer, as a man who hated Britain.

:53:10.:53:15.

Had Ed Miliband not referred to his father Ralph in many of his

:53:15.:53:18.

conference speeches, would that have made him their game for the

:53:19.:53:24.

newspapers? I think people are interested in your back story, where

:53:24.:53:27.

you come from, the values that you have got but that was not what this

:53:27.:53:32.

Daily Mail article was about. I think most people now see that this

:53:32.:53:35.

was an absolutely appalling, disgraceful smear on Ed Miliband's

:53:35.:53:41.

late father. Masquerading as journalism. They thought they could,

:53:41.:53:47.

they were playing the man knocked the ball, they were playing the

:53:47.:53:52.

man's fathers. Having a picture of his grade and putting it in the

:53:52.:53:56.

paper, the vast majority of people, and this is not possibly political

:53:56.:54:03.

point —— this is not a party to little point, the vast majority of

:54:03.:54:06.

people thought that was disgraceful. They should have the guts to

:54:06.:54:18.

apologise. There is not a lot I can disagree with there. Too many people

:54:18.:54:21.

are playing the man in politics. It is perfectly legitimate to look at

:54:22.:54:24.

Ralph Miliband's political background, and the things he is

:54:24.:54:30.

saying, especially when Ed Miliband says his father influenced him on

:54:30.:54:34.

his issues, sometimes it looks back to the 1970s socialism. In terms of

:54:34.:54:38.

the personal attacks, I agree with Michael. You cannot do that in

:54:38.:54:43.

politics, it is unacceptable. In my own constituency, I have got members

:54:43.:54:47.

of the Labour Party trying to paint this picture that I am some toff

:54:47.:54:53.

from the south. I could not be further away from Eton if I tried.

:54:53.:54:59.

You have got to get down to policies. The Daily Mail have to

:55:00.:55:04.

reflect on their story. They had Mr —— a good story with the socialism

:55:04.:55:09.

of the background, but they had two Fat —— but they went too far with

:55:09.:55:12.

the attack. On the teachers strikes, were they right to seek that? We

:55:12.:55:20.

want to see a negotiated sage —— we want to see a negotiated

:55:20.:55:26.

settlement. Were they wrong to go on strike? I think it is a breakdown

:55:26.:55:33.

with the relationship. There needs to be a negotiated settlement. I do

:55:33.:55:37.

not think Michael Gove has helped. It is time we had a national debate

:55:37.:55:40.

about what is happening in our schools. We have got 6000 fewer

:55:40.:55:44.

teachers now, people leaving the teaching profession, that is one of

:55:44.:55:49.

the reasons why we have got, in Yorkshire, the number of infants

:55:49.:55:51.

school kids in classes beyond 30 kids class has doubled since the

:55:51.:55:57.

general election. That is a big worry.

:55:57.:56:04.

Many teachers do not like Michael Gove, do they? Whether they like him

:56:04.:56:10.

or not, we are putting into practice not just what is in our manifesto

:56:10.:56:15.

but extending what was put in under the last Labour government. It is

:56:15.:56:18.

interesting to note that on the one hand you are having an opposition

:56:18.:56:22.

who are opposed to free schools and academies. We are not opposed to the

:56:22.:56:30.

academies that you are continuing. Free schools are another way forward

:56:30.:56:33.

and I think Labour are opposed to them. We have got to get down to

:56:33.:56:36.

fundamental issues about what the striking is about. As a trade

:56:36.:56:42.

unionist, there is a role for trade unions to protect people in the

:56:42.:56:45.

workplace. They keep getting hijacked by political agendas and

:56:45.:56:49.

that has got to stop. I cannot tell you how difficult I have had this

:56:49.:56:52.

week from parents complaining about this strike. We will come back to

:56:52.:56:56.

this another time. Back to Westminster for you both tomorrow,

:56:56.:57:00.

clean had dishes, clean underwear packed no doubt. Your constituencies

:57:00.:57:07.

will no that you are both well groomed, well done!

:57:07.:57:08.

will no that you are both well have no time. Andrew, back to

:57:08.:57:17.

Our next guest is no stranger to controversy, a former UKIP MEP he

:57:17.:57:22.

recently lost his party's whip after a series of outbursts including

:57:22.:57:43.

receiving aid as 'Bongo Bongo Land' and joking that a group of UKIP

:57:43.:57:47.

women who didn't clean behind their fridges were 'sluts'. Now he sits in

:57:47.:57:51.

independent but remains a UKIP party member. Here's a flavour of recent

:57:51.:57:54.

events in the political life of Godfrey Bloom. How you can possibly

:57:54.:58:09.

be giving £1 million a month... Bongo Bongo Land. I got 6000 e-mails

:58:09.:58:15.

within 12 hours, only 47 were not agreeing with me so you are the

:58:15.:58:20.

within 12 hours, only 47 were not that is out of touch. Everybody

:58:20.:58:22.

knows me, a bit like the Marmite joke, they love me or they hate

:58:23.:58:26.

knows me, a bit like the Marmite but I have always told me like it

:58:26.:58:35.

is. I made a joke and said that women who did not clean behind the

:58:35.:58:40.

French were sluts and everybody laughed along, including the women.

:58:40.:58:45.

I have had hundreds of e-mails, saying, God Almighty, can't you

:58:45.:58:50.

I have had hundreds of e-mails, a joke any more? I am long in the

:58:50.:58:54.

correctness and I understand UKIP have moved on and they are doing

:58:54.:59:06.

well, and I wish them well. This, with no black faces on it. You are

:59:06.:59:10.

picking people out for the colour of with no black faces on it. You are

:59:10.:59:18.

the way they are doing things now with no black faces on it. You are

:59:18.:59:24.

disgrace me. We are joined now with a suitable distance between us by

:59:25.:59:31.

the independent MEP for Yorkshire and the Humber, Godfrey Bloom. You

:59:31.:59:34.

said this weekend that you have and the Humber, Godfrey Bloom. You

:59:34.:59:39.

be a complete sociopath to be in politics, are you a sociopath? No, I

:59:39.:59:49.

am just an ordinary bloke from the rugby club likes to tell it as it

:59:49.:59:51.

is. I did not come into politics to rugby club likes to tell it as it

:59:51.:59:55.

save my country from the clutches of the awful, evil... That is why I am

:59:55.:00:02.

in politics, and that is why I member, and I will still be voting

:00:02.:00:14.

ability... Do you accept that your conference? We were both born in

:00:14.:00:21.

ability... Do you accept that your same year, we are too old to worry

:00:21.:00:24.

about regrets. Let's look forward and see... Never mind the year I was

:00:24.:00:30.

born, what is the answer to my country and intent to do the best I

:00:30.:00:35.

independent for my country, and country and intent to do the best I

:00:35.:00:42.

re-elected. They are the only game in town, the only party that will

:00:42.:00:47.

get as out. Shouldn't you have been liability? You hijacked the party

:00:47.:00:56.

conference. That is a matter of perception. We have heard nothing in

:00:56.:01:00.

the last two years but it is a one-man band, a Nigel Farage party,

:01:00.:01:05.

the last two years but it is a meeting and collapse the whole

:01:05.:01:13.

Andrew. It tells you about your journalism - it is not about UKIP or

:01:13.:01:22.

me, it was the journalists' reaction to a small joke at a meeting. And

:01:22.:01:29.

myself, unless I had a commended. Personality, the most unbelievable

:01:29.:01:43.

force of personality to collapse a party conference. Nigel Farage has

:01:43.:01:55.

been a friend of mine for 20 years, and may I remind you that in June

:01:55.:02:00.

and July UK was slipping in the polls, and when I made my statement

:02:00.:02:05.

about overseas aid, we went back to liability, I never was, I am a vote

:02:05.:02:13.

getter. As you know, there is a correlation, but let me show you

:02:13.:02:18.

what Nigel Farage had to say about you on the BBC. Let's blunder clip

:02:18.:02:23.

of that. We are not here to win friends amongst the liberal elite,

:02:23.:02:29.

and Godfrey's problem was that he manifesto. Don't you need to reflect

:02:29.:02:38.

that you are too outrageous, too politically incorrect even for UKIP?

:02:38.:02:41.

Well, you see, to a certain extent I politically incorrect even for UKIP?

:02:41.:02:46.

have been gagged on other subjects. about flat tax. I thought David

:02:46.:02:53.

Aronowitz wrote a very good piece in the times on drugs, and I have been

:02:53.:02:57.

gagged to speak about any of these things because they are not part of

:02:57.:03:01.

it, so I tend to speak about other things. Maybe they have outgrown

:03:01.:03:10.

machine, and they have to get rid of the Victor Meldrew wing. You might

:03:10.:03:13.

have a point, but I am speaking the Victor Meldrew wing. You might

:03:13.:03:17.

you from Hull, and if you look at Barnsley, and very recently in

:03:17.:03:23.

Scarborough and Whitby in the buy legends, 25%, so how you see things

:03:23.:03:28.

in the bubble, it is not like how we see it appear in Yorkshire. You

:03:28.:03:31.

in the bubble, it is not like how we like the one who was sitting in

:03:31.:03:34.

in the bubble, it is not like how we bubble! Is UKIP unravelling? Of

:03:34.:03:35.

course it isn't, we are getting bubble! Is UKIP unravelling? Of

:03:35.:03:40.

of the vote in by-elections, of course it is not. Boy, wouldn't

:03:40.:03:45.

of the vote in by-elections, of main parties and the establishment

:03:45.:03:48.

love to see that! But I am sorry, it is not happening. Will you stand as

:03:48.:03:52.

an independence against UKIP in is not happening. Will you stand as

:03:52.:03:54.

European elections? Almost certainly elections were next week, I could

:03:54.:04:07.

do not think I will go that route. Will you stand as a UKIP candidate

:04:07.:04:10.

again? We do not know, probably Will you stand as a UKIP candidate

:04:10.:04:14.

but I shall certainly be trying Will you stand as a UKIP candidate

:04:14.:04:18.

help UKIP as best I can. You both share a flat, I understand, in

:04:18.:04:21.

Brussels, neither of you clean behind the fridge. Other than the

:04:21.:04:26.

fact that the place is probably quite murky, you have got a chance

:04:26.:04:29.

to talk to each other and get back into his good graces, haven't you? I

:04:29.:04:34.

am sure we will be having a beer take it? For those of you who were

:04:34.:04:47.

shrugged! Thank you very much for joining. A great pleasure. I will

:04:47.:04:52.

have to move my own share, you do not have the sea Jeremy Paxman doing

:04:52.:04:57.

that! Nobody votes for UKIP because they think they are a smooth, slick,

:04:57.:05:05.

absence of PR polish is the reason for their popularity, so these are

:05:05.:05:08.

skirmishes are not a problem, and more than that, Godfrey Bloom does

:05:08.:05:12.

make Nigel Farage look better. Even in that clip from Andrew Marr, he

:05:12.:05:18.

juxtaposition with someone like Godfrey Bloom than he has done

:05:18.:05:20.

before. I mean, he did hijacked Godfrey Bloom than he has done

:05:20.:05:25.

conference, it was a disaster, they got tonnes of publicity but not

:05:25.:05:28.

conference, it was a disaster, they kind they wanted. But you have to

:05:28.:05:35.

journalists. I thought he was sexist long before anyone else, he used to

:05:35.:05:38.

have an incredible page on his website entitled Godfrey Bloom:

:05:38.:05:43.

Misogynist, and the proof that he photographed with a girls' rugby

:05:43.:05:47.

characters in politics. He does photographed with a girls' rugby

:05:47.:05:53.

Nigel Farage look better, but is sin was to say things you said before

:05:53.:05:57.

but to ruin the party conference. It sounds like he is coming back. A

:05:57.:06:01.

beer in Brussels and he will be sounds like he is coming back. A

:06:01.:06:06.

on the UKIP ticket. Sitting having a beer in that built the Chechen,

:06:06.:06:09.

on the UKIP ticket. Sitting having a sounds like it may be what the deal

:06:09.:06:11.

is that he comes back into UKIP sounds like it may be what the deal

:06:11.:06:15.

does not stand as an MEP at the European Parliamentary elections. --

:06:15.:06:20.

in that built the kitchen. It is Godfrey Bloom said for people to

:06:20.:06:32.

electorate know what they go using UKIP four. They are using it as

:06:32.:06:37.

electorate know what they go using vehicle to beat over the head the

:06:37.:06:37.

three established parties. They vehicle to beat over the head the

:06:37.:06:40.

probably do it in the European elections and give them first place.

:06:40.:06:44.

The big question is what happens in problem that Nigel Farage was making

:06:44.:06:55.

The big question is what happens in an Andrew Marr this morning is that

:06:55.:06:56.

he wants to copy the tactics of an Andrew Marr this morning is that

:06:56.:06:58.

he wants to copy the tactics of Paddy Ashdown, get elected and

:06:58.:06:59.

councils, build up a Parliamentary base, and to do that you do need

:06:59.:07:01.

Commons next week, and there is base, and to do that you do need

:07:01.:07:04.

ministerial reshuffle on the cards, that is the rumour in Westminster.

:07:04.:07:06.

David Cameron has spoken of the that is the rumour in Westminster.

:07:06.:07:10.

David Cameron has spoken of the extraordinary talent pool of women

:07:10.:07:12.

among his ministers, so could he bring more of them into the cabinet?

:07:12.:07:14.

He was talking about it earlier bring more of them into the cabinet?

:07:14.:07:19.

week. I think we are getting there in Britain, but we have a long way

:07:19.:07:24.

businesses in Britain, there are not boardroom. If you look at politics

:07:24.:07:29.

in Britain, there aren't nearly enough women around the Cabinet

:07:29.:07:33.

table. So I think, in every walk of life, whether it is the judiciary,

:07:33.:07:38.

whether it is politics, business, there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:38.:07:40.

the last election, we only had there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:40.:07:44.

women Members of Parliament. We there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:44.:07:47.

have around 50, so we have made there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:47.:07:50.

big change, but it is still 50 out of 300, not nearly enough. So we

:07:50.:07:55.

need to do more. My wife likes to say, if you don't have women in

:07:55.:08:00.

need to do more. My wife likes to places, you're not just missing

:08:00.:08:03.

need to do more. My wife likes to missing out on a lot more than

:08:03.:08:05.

need to do more. My wife likes to of the talent, and I think she

:08:05.:08:13.

need to do more. My wife likes to there going to be a reshuffle? I

:08:14.:08:14.

think you are right to say there there going to be a reshuffle? I

:08:14.:08:18.

will be a lot more women, they need to change the ratio of women to

:08:19.:08:24.

will be a lot more women, they need called Dave who went to maudlin

:08:24.:08:32.

college. So obviously they are not fishing in the biggest talent pool,

:08:32.:08:43.

but there are numbers. Esther McVey has been selling a very difficult

:08:43.:08:46.

brief in work and pensions, you could see people being given bigger

:08:46.:08:48.

roles. Helen is pretty sure. We could see people being given bigger

:08:48.:08:54.

told it is not a Cabinet level reshuffle me it is under Secretary

:08:54.:08:57.

level, so maybe you could put Esther McVey into the Cabinet. Margot

:08:57.:09:04.

James, who you had here not that long ago, she is very impressive.

:09:04.:09:07.

What is impressive is that some long ago, she is very impressive.

:09:07.:09:11.

like Andrea Leadsom, who is really impressive, worked in the City,

:09:11.:09:15.

like Andrea Leadsom, who is really smart, really big on important

:09:15.:09:19.

intervention, she should still be in there, but she fell out with George

:09:19.:09:23.

Osborne when she dared to criticise him a few years ago over Ed Balls

:09:23.:09:32.

you are doing it on talent, Andrea expectation, if he does not do this

:09:32.:09:41.

now, a tonne of bricks will fall on him. He has got no excuse not to

:09:41.:09:48.

promote women, because the 2010 intake was disproportionately female

:09:48.:09:59.

women voters is a very deep and historic one. You have to remember

:09:59.:10:03.

that for most of the post-war period they had an advantage electorally

:10:03.:10:07.

amongst women voters. Many times Conservative government without

:10:07.:10:11.

amongst women voters. Many times women of this country. This began to

:10:11.:10:14.

change in the mid-1990s, and the question is, why has that happened?

:10:14.:10:20.

personalities at the top are now much more hostile to women, or less,

:10:20.:10:26.

personalities at the top are now Brent doubled to female voters?

:10:26.:10:27.

personalities at the top are now is such a deep historical trend

:10:27.:10:29.

personalities at the top are now I do not think one reshuffle will

:10:29.:10:35.

change it. -- or less competent civil. The English party conference

:10:35.:10:40.

season is over, do you share the consensus view that Ed Miliband

:10:40.:10:46.

season is over, do you share the out best of the three party leaders?

:10:46.:10:51.

I think I probably do, but his overall approval ratings are still

:10:51.:10:56.

minus 20, whereas Cameron's minus ten. And the more the recovery seems

:10:56.:11:00.

minus 20, whereas Cameron's minus to take place, and some of the

:11:00.:11:02.

latest figures are quite amazing, they certainly surprised me, you

:11:02.:11:07.

wonder whether Labour's tactic is right to put all their eggs into the

:11:07.:11:14.

living standards basket. I was looking at car sales, which are

:11:14.:11:18.

booming. If people start to feel better, and they don't yet, but

:11:18.:11:21.

booming. If people start to feel they were, it is tougher to go on

:11:21.:11:29.

about living standards. George Osborne's... You have Ed Miliband

:11:29.:11:32.

making a great thing about living standards, but then they say under

:11:32.:11:36.

their breath, this is global forces, will be dealt with, but Miliband's

:11:37.:11:48.

argument will be that there are people suffering, and even if the

:11:48.:11:52.

economy recovers, they will still forces, it is difficult to blame the

:11:52.:11:57.

government for that. Body being noticed now, there is nothing worse

:11:57.:12:03.

for the leader of the opposition than to be not noticed. -- but he is

:12:03.:12:08.

being noticed now. It seems that he in many ways has set the political

:12:08.:12:12.

weather. Look at the number of references to the Labour leader

:12:12.:12:18.

weather. Look at the number of Mr Cameron's speech. And in Mr

:12:18.:12:20.

Obama's speech on a similar topic, living standards. Was the mentioning

:12:20.:12:29.

Ed Miliband?! Oh, he was using the same language, he has not gone that

:12:30.:12:35.

far. If I were Ed Miliband, I would be more worried now, because Labour

:12:35.:12:38.

through the kitchen sink at their conference. They came out with the

:12:39.:12:41.

biggest policy announcements they could, compulsory apprenticeships,

:12:41.:12:47.

the energy freeze on prices, and it generated a poll boost which has

:12:47.:12:49.

fizzled away within ten days. I generated a poll boost which has

:12:49.:12:55.

not know where they go from here. What is significant with Ed Miliband

:12:55.:12:59.

conference beaches, he has set the one nation Britain, and the problem

:12:59.:13:05.

with those speeches is people say, they are fine, they are academic,

:13:05.:13:07.

but what does it mean? What you they are fine, they are academic,

:13:07.:13:14.

now is an intellectual framework that translates into policies. The

:13:14.:13:18.

polls to watch are not the ones after the conferences, but at the

:13:18.:13:22.

end of the month when it has also pulled down. They will tell us where

:13:22.:13:26.

back tomorrow at noon on BBC Two, we are going. We will have to go

:13:26.:13:35.

back tomorrow at noon on BBC Two, time, same time, next week. If it is

:13:35.:13:37.

Sunday, it is the Sunday Politics.

:13:37.:13:39.

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