Browse content similar to 23/03/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. The dust has barely | :00:37. | :00:44. | |
settled on George Osborne's Budget and, amazingly, for once it hasn't | :00:45. | :00:46. | |
all gone horribly wrong by the weekend. So, is this the election | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
springboard the Tories needed, and where does it leave Labour? Turns | :00:50. | :00:54. | |
out the big Budget surprise was a revolution in how we pay for old | :00:55. | :00:58. | |
age. The Pensions Minister says he's relaxed if you want to spend it all | :00:59. | :01:01. | |
on a Lamborghini. He'll join us later. And could the man with the | :01:02. | :01:08. | |
maracas be on his way to Westminster? Bez from the Happy | :01:09. | :01:10. | |
Coming up, educating Yorkshire. Why plan | :01:11. | :01:19. | |
Coming up, educating Yorkshire. Why the head of the school made famous | :01:20. | :01:22. | |
on TV has work better? -- Uxbridge. And who | :01:23. | :01:39. | |
better to help guide you through all of that than three journalists, who | :01:40. | :01:41. | |
dispense wisdom faster than Grant Shapps calls out the numbers in his | :01:42. | :01:45. | |
local bingo hall over a pint of beer. Yes, they're hard-working and | :01:46. | :01:48. | |
they're doing the things they enjoy. Cup of tea, number three. It's Nick | :01:49. | :01:54. | |
Watt, Polly Toynbee and Janan Ganesh. | :01:55. | :02:00. | |
So, George Osborne delivered his fifth Budget on Wednesday and had so | :02:01. | :02:04. | |
many glowing front pages the day afterwards he must be running out of | :02:05. | :02:08. | |
room to pin them up in on his bedroom wall. Although it's probably | :02:09. | :02:11. | |
a pretty big wall. For those of you who didn't have time to watch 3.5 | :02:12. | :02:15. | |
hours of Budget coverage on the BBC, here's Giles with the whole thing in | :02:16. | :02:16. | |
three minutes. Budget days have a rhythm of their | :02:17. | :02:48. | |
own, driven partly by tradition, like that photocall at 11 Downing | :02:49. | :02:51. | |
Street and part logistics, how to get this important statement out and | :02:52. | :02:54. | |
explain to those whom it affects - us? Behind-the-scenes of a Budget | :02:55. | :03:06. | |
Day is much the same. This ritual red boxery may be the beginning of | :03:07. | :03:10. | |
the end of weeks of work behind the scenes in the Treasury and sets the | :03:11. | :03:13. | |
clock ticking on the process of finding out the answer to one | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
question. You got any rabbits in the box, Chancellor? Yes, there will be | :03:18. | :03:20. | |
something in the Budget we don't know about. Time marches steadily | :03:21. | :03:22. | |
towards the statement and already commentators are hovering over what | :03:23. | :03:28. | |
those potential surprises are. As Big Ben chimes, all focus returns to | :03:29. | :03:32. | |
the Commons, where there is Prime Minister's questions and the | :03:33. | :03:34. | |
Chancellor gets up and does his thing. Once he's on his feet and | :03:35. | :03:41. | |
remembering there is still no copy of the details, the major measures | :03:42. | :03:43. | |
are rapidly highlighted as they come and then put up on screen. A cap on | :03:44. | :03:48. | |
Government welfare spending set for 2015/16 at 119 billion. Income tax | :03:49. | :03:55. | |
personal allowance raised to ?10,500. Bingo duty halved, which | :03:56. | :04:00. | |
ticked boxes for some but was unlikely to make anyone a poster | :04:01. | :04:05. | |
boy. And the beer tax cut of 1p, or the froth on the top. And changes to | :04:06. | :04:09. | |
pensions allowing people to take their money out in one lump sum, | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
rather than being forced to accept a fixed annual pay-out, or annuity. | :04:14. | :04:21. | |
This is a Budget for the makers, the doers and the savers and I commend | :04:22. | :04:25. | |
it to the House. Not everyone can focus on the Budget by listening to | :04:26. | :04:29. | |
what the Chancellor says. We need to get a copy of the script. We do not | :04:30. | :04:33. | |
get that till he sits down. I'm going to go into the House of | :04:34. | :04:40. | |
Commons to get that right now. There will be a response on that and all | :04:41. | :04:43. | |
the other things from Mr Miliband. The Chancellor spoke for nearly an | :04:44. | :04:47. | |
hour but he did not mention one essential fact, the working people | :04:48. | :04:50. | |
of Britain are worse off under the Tories. It is a tricky job answering | :04:51. | :04:54. | |
the Budget at the best of times, though some, including Labour MPs, | :04:55. | :04:57. | |
think it is better to mention the Budget when you do. | :04:58. | :05:01. | |
Here we are. I am going to go. I am not the only journalist missing Ed | :05:02. | :05:08. | |
Miliband's speech. Many others leave the Chamber as the Chancellor sits | :05:09. | :05:11. | |
down to attend a special briefing from the Chancellor's advisory team. | :05:12. | :05:19. | |
I am hotfoot to the studio. There is a little more detail to the Budget | :05:20. | :05:22. | |
than the Budget Speech. That detail can be whether words unravel and | :05:23. | :05:25. | |
other interpretations emerge. By now the gaggle of supporters and | :05:26. | :05:28. | |
detractors are taking the debate onto the airwaves. Are you the BBC? | :05:29. | :05:37. | |
Have the Daily Politics packed up? No, we're still standing and, days | :05:38. | :05:40. | |
later, still trying to assess whether the measures announced still | :05:41. | :05:43. | |
seem fresh and appetising or have already gone stale in the minds of | :05:44. | :05:44. | |
voters? How significant are these two poles | :05:45. | :06:00. | |
this morning putting Labour and Tory nip and tuck? Osborne gave his party | :06:01. | :06:10. | |
a good bounce. It was an astonishingly theatrical coup. At | :06:11. | :06:15. | |
first glance, it seems like a huge gift to all people. That is where | :06:16. | :06:18. | |
all of the money has been channelled by this government. They have been | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
ultra-protected, triple locked. Pensioners have done very well and | :06:24. | :06:28. | |
others less well. It is not surprising. Normally a budget which | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
is well received on the day and the day after has unravelled by the | :06:34. | :06:39. | |
weekend. This time, it has not, so far. The dangerous thing for the | :06:40. | :06:44. | |
Labour Party now, George Osborne is the assessment this thing called the | :06:45. | :06:48. | |
baseline. He says, in government, you must control the baseline. The | :06:49. | :06:53. | |
Labour party controlled in 2001 and 2005 and he needs to control it next | :06:54. | :06:57. | |
time. He is controlling it on fiscal policy because labour is matching | :06:58. | :07:02. | |
them on everything. The danger for Labour on the big, headline grabbing | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
issue, which was freeing up annuities on pensions, that again | :07:08. | :07:11. | |
Labour was pretty much saying it was going to support it though it were | :07:12. | :07:15. | |
saying it has to be fair and cost-effective. On a big, policy | :07:16. | :07:20. | |
issue, they are following on behind George Osborne. George Osborne is | :07:21. | :07:25. | |
controlling the crucial baseline. Are we in danger of reading too much | :07:26. | :07:33. | |
into the political implications of the budget? The good thing about the | :07:34. | :07:38. | |
pensions policy is, if it does unravel, it will not happen for ten | :07:39. | :07:43. | |
years and, by that time, George Osborne will have left office. | :07:44. | :07:47. | |
Towards the end of his speech, I thought, that is not enough. There | :07:48. | :07:52. | |
is not an idea in your budget which is politically very vivid a year | :07:53. | :07:57. | |
before an election. What I underestimated was, how many | :07:58. | :08:00. | |
frustrated savers that are in the country. There are a lot of people | :08:01. | :08:06. | |
who are frustrated by low interest rates and tax rates on pension pots. | :08:07. | :08:11. | |
This was an explicit gesture for them. That is what has paid off in | :08:12. | :08:16. | |
the polls in the past few days. You spend all of your money on your | :08:17. | :08:22. | |
wardrobe, is that right? The bingo poster was a kind of get out of jail | :08:23. | :08:27. | |
card for Labour. It gave them something to zoom in on. Everyone | :08:28. | :08:31. | |
beat up on Grant Shapps, the Tory chairman. We read in the daily | :08:32. | :08:37. | |
Telegraph that the fingerprints of the Chancellor were all over this | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
poster. The Chancellor signed off it -- off on it and so did Lynton | :08:44. | :08:51. | |
Crosby. They referred to working class people as, they are. How did | :08:52. | :08:58. | |
it get into the Telegraph? We can only presume but grant Shapps made | :08:59. | :09:03. | |
it clear that it was not him. We had a time when Labour politicians, we | :09:04. | :09:07. | |
saw from the response of Ed Miliband onwards, they were not quite sure | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
how to react to this budget. A lot of detail had to be absorbed. | :09:12. | :09:16. | |
Suddenly, here is something we can talk about. You can see the thinking | :09:17. | :09:27. | |
behind the poster was very sensible. We are not Tory toffs, we are | :09:28. | :09:30. | |
interested in helping people who do not come from our backgrounds. The | :09:31. | :09:32. | |
wording was awful and played into every cliche. It was all his fault. | :09:33. | :09:39. | |
It shows how unsophisticated he was. There were people from Tory HQ | :09:40. | :09:48. | |
who agreed the budget. A month down the line will the budget look as | :09:49. | :09:59. | |
good? Probably. Once people look at it, pensions are fiendishly | :10:00. | :10:02. | |
conjugated. Once they look and see what it will do with people having | :10:03. | :10:06. | |
to pay for their own care because they can now take capital at their | :10:07. | :10:10. | |
pension, that will come as a shock to a lot of people with small | :10:11. | :10:15. | |
savings. It all be gone on their care. The polling will be neck and | :10:16. | :10:23. | |
neck all the way. In the past, George Osborne has been accused of | :10:24. | :10:26. | |
using his Budgets to tinker at the margins or pull cheap tricks on his | :10:27. | :10:29. | |
political opponents. Perish the thought. But the big surprise in | :10:30. | :10:31. | |
this year's statement was a genuinely radical shake-up of the | :10:32. | :10:34. | |
pensions system that will affect most people who've yet to retire. At | :10:35. | :10:45. | |
the moment, everyone is saving money into a defined contribution pension, | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
that is the type most common in the private sector. They can take 25% of | :10:50. | :10:55. | |
the pot is a tax-free lump sum when they retire. The rest of the money, | :10:56. | :10:59. | |
for most people, they are forced to buy an annuity, a form of insurance | :11:00. | :11:03. | |
which provide a guaranteed monthly income until they die. Annuities | :11:04. | :11:07. | |
have hardly been a bargain since interest rates were flat slashed | :11:08. | :11:16. | |
following the financial crash. Even with a ?100,000 pension pot would | :11:17. | :11:21. | |
only get an income of ?5,800 a year at current rates. From 2018, | :11:22. | :11:25. | |
pensioners will not be forced to buy an annuity. They can do what they | :11:26. | :11:29. | |
like with their money, even taking the entire pot as a lump some but | :11:30. | :11:34. | |
paying tax on 75% of it. With an average pension pot closer | :11:35. | :11:46. | |
to around ?30,000, pensioners would be more likely to buy a Skoda | :11:47. | :11:53. | |
instead of a Lamborghini. Most newly retired people who take the cash are | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
more likely to spend the money paying off their mortgage, helping a | :11:59. | :12:02. | |
family member to buy a property or investing the money elsewhere. Well, | :12:03. | :12:05. | |
earlier I spoke to the Pensions Minister. He's a Lib Dem called | :12:06. | :12:09. | |
Steve Webb. I began by asking him if he still thought the reforms might | :12:10. | :12:11. | |
lead to pensioners splurging all their savings on supercars. What | :12:12. | :12:19. | |
this reform is about is treating people as adults. For far too long, | :12:20. | :12:23. | |
we have said, we will make sure you save for your old age and then we | :12:24. | :12:26. | |
will control each year how much is spent on what you spend it on. What | :12:27. | :12:32. | |
we are saying is because we have formed -- reformed the state | :12:33. | :12:36. | |
pension, we will be much more relaxed about what people do with | :12:37. | :12:39. | |
their own money. The evidence is that people who have been frugal and | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
saved hard for retirement do not generally blows a lot. They will | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
spin it out. It is treating people as adults and giving them choices | :12:49. | :12:52. | |
they should have had all along. It is a red herring, isn't it? The | :12:53. | :13:01. | |
average pension pot is between 25000 and 30,000. Lamborghinis aren't an | :13:02. | :13:07. | |
option, correct? I gather only about 5000 people a year retiring can buy | :13:08. | :13:12. | |
a flashy Italian sports car. It might be about paying off a | :13:13. | :13:15. | |
mortgage, paying off outstanding debts. Maybe spending more money | :13:16. | :13:19. | |
earlier in retirement when they are fit and able and can enjoy it more. | :13:20. | :13:23. | |
We will give people guidance. We will make sure when they retire, | :13:24. | :13:28. | |
there is someone to have a conversation with talking through | :13:29. | :13:31. | |
the implications of spending the money early and options of investing | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
it. This will be a real step forward. Even if you have a much | :13:36. | :13:42. | |
bigger pension pot, say half ?1 million, which is way bigger than | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
the average, even then the marginal rates of tax will be a disincentive | :13:47. | :13:51. | |
to take it all out at once. You will lose huge chunks of it at the 40% | :13:52. | :13:59. | |
band and then the 45% band. The tax system gives you the incentive to | :14:00. | :14:02. | |
spread it out if the tax threshold is a bit over 10000 and the state | :14:03. | :14:07. | |
pension is a bit over 7000, the first 3000 you draw out in a given | :14:08. | :14:13. | |
year is tax-free. The next band is at 20%. Spreading your money will | :14:14. | :14:21. | |
mean you pay less tax. That is why, in general, people will not blow the | :14:22. | :14:24. | |
lot up front. They will spread it out over their retirement. You have | :14:25. | :14:29. | |
kept this policy quiet. Not even a hint. How did you test it? How did | :14:30. | :14:35. | |
you make sure it would be robust? You did not do a consultation. I | :14:36. | :14:40. | |
have been talking about freeing up the annuity market for a decade. The | :14:41. | :14:45. | |
idea of giving people more choice. The government has relaxed rules | :14:46. | :14:49. | |
over this Parliament. It was not a completely new idea. We know in | :14:50. | :14:53. | |
places like Australia and America, people have these freedoms. We | :14:54. | :15:01. | |
already have something to judge it by. We will spend the next year | :15:02. | :15:04. | |
talking to people, working it through. There will be a three-month | :15:05. | :15:06. | |
consultation. I want people to have choices about their own money. There | :15:07. | :15:10. | |
is detail still to be worked out and we are in listening mode about how | :15:11. | :15:16. | |
we implement it. When you announce something you cannot do widespread | :15:17. | :15:18. | |
consultation, for the reasons I have given, you do run the risk of | :15:19. | :15:22. | |
unforeseen consequences? Pension companies this morning are | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
indicating, you, the government can write you are looking for ?25 | :15:27. | :15:30. | |
billion of infrastructure investment from us. You hold our shell below | :15:31. | :15:35. | |
the water line. That may not happen. We spoke internally about the | :15:36. | :15:53. | |
implications for instruction -- infrastructure. It seems to me there | :15:54. | :16:03. | |
will still be long-term investments. Many people want to turn their whole | :16:04. | :16:10. | |
pot into an income. I understand the insurance companies are lobbying, | :16:11. | :16:13. | |
but I'm convinced there will still be plenty of money for investment | :16:14. | :16:19. | |
and infrastructure. If the Chancellor's pro-savings measures | :16:20. | :16:24. | |
work, that will generate more savings. With no requirement now to | :16:25. | :16:30. | |
buy an annuity, surely it is the case that pension pots are another | :16:31. | :16:36. | |
ordinary savings fund, so why should they continue to get favourable tax | :16:37. | :16:42. | |
treatment? Bear in mind that a lot of the tax treatment of pensioners | :16:43. | :16:48. | |
is tax deferred so most people pay tax at the standard rate. If they | :16:49. | :16:53. | |
put money into a pension, they don't pay tax when they earn it, but they | :16:54. | :17:01. | |
do at retirement. We do want, we will still have automatic enrolment | :17:02. | :17:06. | |
into workplace pensions, we do want people to build up, because at age | :17:07. | :17:11. | |
20 and 30 nobody thinks about retirement. It is still vital that | :17:12. | :17:18. | |
people do reach retirement to have these new choices with a decent | :17:19. | :17:24. | |
sized pension pot. Pensions. Tax breaks because they were supposed to | :17:25. | :17:29. | |
provide an income in retirement, that is how it was structured, but | :17:30. | :17:33. | |
that is no longer a requirement, surely that undermines the case that | :17:34. | :17:40. | |
if they get tax breaks, other forms of savings should get tax breaks. | :17:41. | :17:46. | |
Other forms do get tax breaks, of course. The return with ISAs is tax | :17:47. | :17:59. | |
free. The point with pensions is that you are simply deferring your | :18:00. | :18:08. | |
earnings. There is a bit when high tax rate payers get a kick when they | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
are working and then retire on standard rate, so there is the issue | :18:13. | :18:17. | |
of the top getting too many tax breaks, but the basic principle that | :18:18. | :18:22. | |
you pay tax when you get the income seems right to me and isn't affected | :18:23. | :18:29. | |
by these changes. You have announced save friendly measures, are we right | :18:30. | :18:33. | |
to look at them as a consolation prize because savers have suffered | :18:34. | :18:39. | |
from the Government's policy of keeping interest rates abnormally | :18:40. | :18:44. | |
low? It is certainly the case that very low interest rates have been a | :18:45. | :18:49. | |
huge boon to people of working age with mortgages, and people who have | :18:50. | :18:53. | |
retired said they thought they could have got a better deal on their | :18:54. | :18:59. | |
savings. I think there is a recognition that whilst we have done | :19:00. | :19:04. | |
the right thing with pensioners on the state pension, we have brought | :19:05. | :19:10. | |
in the triple lock, and many will bent on -- benefit from these | :19:11. | :19:20. | |
changes. Why don't savers who are not pensioners get the same help? | :19:21. | :19:24. | |
They have been hit by low interest rates as well. Those of working | :19:25. | :19:31. | |
age, many of them say they have benefited from low interest rates | :19:32. | :19:35. | |
was predominantly people in retirement have not had the benefit. | :19:36. | :19:44. | |
Obviously people of working age will have benefited from the tax | :19:45. | :19:52. | |
allowance so it is a myth to say the Budget was all about pensioners. And | :19:53. | :19:58. | |
yet even when the Office for Budget Responsibility takes into account | :19:59. | :20:01. | |
your new measures, it still shows that over the next five years | :20:02. | :20:07. | |
households will save less and less, indeed the savings ratio falls by | :20:08. | :20:14. | |
50%. You haven't done enough. One of the things we know is that the | :20:15. | :20:18. | |
economy is picking up strongly, and as we have more confidence about the | :20:19. | :20:23. | |
future they will be more willing to consume now, so without these | :20:24. | :20:26. | |
measures it may be that the saving rate would have fallen further. We | :20:27. | :20:32. | |
want people to save and spend, it is about getting the right balance. As | :20:33. | :20:38. | |
the economy picks up, people will want to spend more of their money | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
and it is about getting the balance right. You make the point that if | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
people are little profligate with their private pensions, they will | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
have the state pension to fall back on and it will be higher than it has | :20:53. | :20:57. | |
been, but it is also the case that in these circumstances they will | :20:58. | :21:02. | |
still be entitled to housing benefit and even to perhaps some council tax | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
benefit as well. Do you know by how much this could put the welfare bill | :21:08. | :21:14. | |
up? We think the impact will be relatively modest because the sort | :21:15. | :21:19. | |
of people who save for a pension and make sacrifices while they are at | :21:20. | :21:23. | |
work are not the sort of people who get to 65 and decide to blow the lot | :21:24. | :21:30. | |
for the great privilege of receiving council tax benefit or housing | :21:31. | :21:33. | |
benefit. There will be people on the margins and | :21:34. | :21:45. | |
benefit. There will be people on the who retire with some capital want to | :21:46. | :21:45. | |
put some money away for their funeral. People like to save even | :21:46. | :21:52. | |
into retirement so the myth of the spendthrift pensioner I don't | :21:53. | :21:58. | |
believe. I think this has been rightly welcomed. Ever fancied a | :21:59. | :22:04. | |
Lamborghini yourself? If you turned the camera around you would see my | :22:05. | :22:19. | |
2-door Corsa! What's your favourite thing about an | :22:20. | :22:22. | |
election? Could it be the candidates ringing on your door while you're | :22:23. | :22:25. | |
having dinner? The leaflets piling up on your doormat? Or the endless | :22:26. | :22:28. | |
adverts aimed at hardworking families? Well, if you thought that | :22:29. | :22:31. | |
was bad enough, then you might want to consider going overseas for the | :22:32. | :22:34. | |
2015 election because the parties are going to be aiming their message | :22:35. | :22:37. | |
at you like never before. Adam's been to Worcester to find out more. | :22:38. | :22:43. | |
One of the most famous political figures in history lived here, she | :22:44. | :22:48. | |
is called Worcester woman. She was in her 30s, working class with a | :22:49. | :22:53. | |
couple of kids, aspirational yet worried about quality of life. But | :22:54. | :22:57. | |
she wasn't a real person, she was a label for the kind of voter new | :22:58. | :23:01. | |
Labour were trying to reach and she was later joined by Mondeo man and | :23:02. | :23:09. | |
several others. Doesn't that all seem a bit 90s? The technique, | :23:10. | :23:13. | |
called segmentation, was used by George Bush in 2004. Then refined by | :23:14. | :23:20. | |
Barack Obama. Rather than focusing on crude measures like cars and | :23:21. | :23:26. | |
hometowns, they delved into the minds of voters. It is not just | :23:27. | :23:29. | |
women, not just people who live in cities, but if you start to put | :23:30. | :23:35. | |
together these groups of people you can even in an anecdote or way | :23:36. | :23:41. | |
imagine who they are, what types of language and imagery might relate to | :23:42. | :23:49. | |
them. We have been given access to a new polling model being used here by | :23:50. | :23:53. | |
this firm, which is pretty close to the one we are told is being used by | :23:54. | :24:00. | |
the Tories. It carves the country into six personality types, and we | :24:01. | :24:05. | |
are trying it out on Worcester woman and wast of man. We are using an | :24:06. | :24:10. | |
online quiz to work out who is in which segment. Meet new monk, | :24:11. | :24:18. | |
Susie. She feels well represented. I know the Budget and the increases to | :24:19. | :24:26. | |
childcare, I think at the moment I am fairly represented. This puts her | :24:27. | :24:31. | |
in the category of optimistic contentment, people who feel they | :24:32. | :24:36. | |
are doing OK. Terry, on the other hand, isn't happy about Britain | :24:37. | :24:44. | |
today. Health and safety and all that! I hardly recognise the country | :24:45. | :24:53. | |
a living in any more? Yes. Are you ready for the result? He is Mr | :24:54. | :25:00. | |
comfortable nostalgia, they tend to favour the Tories and UKIP. They | :25:01. | :25:04. | |
dislike the cultural changes they see as altering Britain for the | :25:05. | :25:10. | |
worst. That sums me up. Tony is worried as well but feels much less | :25:11. | :25:18. | |
secure. I look forward to the future with optimism or anxiety? Anxiety. | :25:19. | :25:26. | |
Optimist or pessimist? Pessimist. His category is... You feel a bit | :25:27. | :25:36. | |
insecure, you think the Government could probably help you more? Yes. | :25:37. | :25:43. | |
Labour picks up a lot of these voters. This man is being asked to | :25:44. | :25:49. | |
do more and more at work, but he is getting less and less. I am getting | :25:50. | :25:57. | |
more towards the despair side. Things are getting tougher, | :25:58. | :26:02. | |
generally? It puts him into the segment called long-term despair, | :26:03. | :26:08. | |
people who feel left out. Finally, this is ever thoughtful Carol. I am | :26:09. | :26:17. | |
a bit of an idealist. Her idealism makes her a cosmopolitan critic. I | :26:18. | :26:25. | |
am a liberal person. Apparently a lot of the media fit into this | :26:26. | :26:29. | |
category as well. There is one group of voters we have not come across, | :26:30. | :26:33. | |
people who show calm persistence. They hope things will get better but | :26:34. | :26:38. | |
don't expect them to. They are coping, rather than comfortable. | :26:39. | :26:44. | |
Presumably they are all out of work. Which group are you win? You can | :26:45. | :26:48. | |
take the poll on the BBC website, and in the coming weeks we will be | :26:49. | :26:53. | |
doing our own polling using the six segments to see of the politicians | :26:54. | :27:01. | |
really have worked out how we think. And as Adam said, if you want to try | :27:02. | :27:05. | |
the survey for yourself, you can go to the BBC website and click on the | :27:06. | :27:07. | |
link. And we're joined now by the | :27:08. | :27:16. | |
pollster, Rick Nye. Welcome to Sunday Politics. We have had | :27:17. | :27:23. | |
Worcester woman, Worcester man, is this any different? It is a | :27:24. | :27:30. | |
recognition that or politician -- all politics these days is like | :27:31. | :27:43. | |
this. It enables them to cut them more finally. You think all politics | :27:44. | :27:50. | |
is coalition politics, you think they have to put together these | :27:51. | :27:55. | |
groups of people, not that the Lib Dems will always be in power? No, | :27:56. | :28:02. | |
and if you listen to the coverage these days you might think it is | :28:03. | :28:08. | |
about grumpy old men on the one hand with Guardian readers on the other. | :28:09. | :28:12. | |
It is far more complicated than that, there is a lot of churning | :28:13. | :28:16. | |
going on underneath which is driven by people's value systems. A lot of | :28:17. | :28:24. | |
this has been pioneered in the United States, very sophisticated on | :28:25. | :28:28. | |
their election techniques, and in Britain we are always the first to | :28:29. | :28:33. | |
grab whatever the New Year will is from America. How do you think this | :28:34. | :28:38. | |
will translate to this country? I think it means that if you are | :28:39. | :28:42. | |
target photo you will still get the same of leaflets and people calling, | :28:43. | :28:48. | |
but you will probably have different kinds of conversations because | :28:49. | :28:53. | |
people on the other side, the party campaigners, will think they know | :28:54. | :28:59. | |
more about you. Will I know who you are? If I am a party campaigner, | :29:00. | :29:04. | |
will I know, looking down the street, who fits into which | :29:05. | :29:09. | |
category? You will be able to approximate that with all of the | :29:10. | :29:12. | |
other data that you have gathered through polling, or doing local | :29:13. | :29:18. | |
campaigning, that is the idea to make sense of this vast quantity of | :29:19. | :29:24. | |
data people have about voters. We asked our panel to fill in your | :29:25. | :29:29. | |
survey. Nick is optimistic contentment, 99%. He was 1% | :29:30. | :29:35. | |
cosmopolitan critic, which is how he keeps his job at the Guardian. | :29:36. | :29:40. | |
Polly's job could not be more secure, 100% cosmopolitan critics, | :29:41. | :29:47. | |
and Janan Ganesh, optimistic contentment, which is what you would | :29:48. | :29:50. | |
expect from a financial Times columnist. What do you make of this | :29:51. | :30:07. | |
technique? Why are you only 99? It sounds really clever. 95% of the | :30:08. | :30:16. | |
population five years ago voted Labour or the Conservatives. We have | :30:17. | :30:21. | |
got away from that. It is coalition politics. You need sophisticated | :30:22. | :30:27. | |
methods. Presumably you must not lose touch with basic points. You | :30:28. | :30:33. | |
said it was used in the US presidential elections. Wasn't there | :30:34. | :30:39. | |
them moment emit Romney 's sweet when the initial response was, we | :30:40. | :30:43. | |
did not know the sort of people voted. His next response was, we did | :30:44. | :30:51. | |
not know these people existed. Unless you know about certain key | :30:52. | :30:55. | |
demographics, you are wasting your time. Is it important in modern | :30:56. | :31:01. | |
campaigning? I think it is useful because it is about attitude. We | :31:02. | :31:12. | |
have got Mosaic. We have got Acorn. It does not tell us very much. What | :31:13. | :31:17. | |
people think and feel may be different to their income. You can | :31:18. | :31:20. | |
be quite a high earner and anxious. You can be quite a low earner and | :31:21. | :31:25. | |
feeling aspirational and optimistic about the future. I think this does | :31:26. | :31:32. | |
get something else. In days gone by, particularly in America, | :31:33. | :31:37. | |
overwhelmingly, if you are in the better of segment, you would be | :31:38. | :31:41. | |
Republican and the blue-collar workers and some academics and | :31:42. | :31:45. | |
Liberals voted Democrat. In the last election, the richest 200 counties | :31:46. | :31:50. | |
in America voted Democrat. That is an attitude thing. Income does not | :31:51. | :31:54. | |
tell you how people will vote. There is a huge, working-class base of | :31:55. | :32:00. | |
support for the Republicans. It is unavoidable. Add a time when people | :32:01. | :32:04. | |
no longer identify with ideologies or class blocks, you have to go the | :32:05. | :32:12. | |
temperament and lifestyle and manageable. In America there were | :32:13. | :32:22. | |
128 segments according to lifestyle and Outlook. Once you get to that | :32:23. | :32:28. | |
stage, it becomes close to useless. We were talking about the budget | :32:29. | :32:33. | |
earlier. What other polls saying about the budget? The lead of labour | :32:34. | :32:41. | |
has been narrowed over the Conservatives. -- Labour. Osborne | :32:42. | :32:48. | |
and Cameron as an academic team have always had a lead over Miller band | :32:49. | :32:54. | |
and Balls. This week it is about economic management. -- over Mr | :32:55. | :32:56. | |
Miller band. The Coming up, educating Yorkshire. | :32:57. | :33:30. | |
Why this head teacher made famous on TV has some stinging criticism for | :33:31. | :33:35. | |
the school's watchdog. There is a culture of fear building up. I feel | :33:36. | :33:40. | |
the pressure of thinking are they going to knock on the door? And why | :33:41. | :33:49. | |
some of our hospitals are facing huge fines for keeping patients | :33:50. | :33:55. | |
waiting in ambulances outside A departments. | :33:56. | :34:00. | |
They had of the school made famous in programme macro has hit back at | :34:01. | :34:06. | |
claims that the county's schools suffer from a poverty of aspiration. | :34:07. | :34:10. | |
It follows a report by Ofsted which suggests that as a region schools in | :34:11. | :34:14. | |
Yorkshire and the Humber are the worst performing in the country. In | :34:15. | :34:20. | |
a moment, we will be putting Jonny Mitchell's comments to Ofsted's | :34:21. | :34:23. | |
regional director. First, this report. | :34:24. | :34:31. | |
A practical, enthusiastic and enjoyable lesson in business and | :34:32. | :34:33. | |
economics for these teenagers. And taking a look at how it was going, | :34:34. | :34:36. | |
Tristram Hunt, the Shadow Education Secretary. They are used to | :34:37. | :34:40. | |
high`profile visitors and television cameras here. The school is the | :34:41. | :34:46. | |
school near Dewsbury which hit the headlines because of this. I am a | :34:47. | :34:51. | |
new headteacher. My values are very traditional. Led by charismatic head | :34:52. | :34:54. | |
teacher Jonny Mitchell, the staff and students here became the stars | :34:55. | :34:57. | |
of Channel 4's Educating Yorkshire series. It highlighted the | :34:58. | :35:03. | |
challenges faced by schools in some of our less affluent areas. The | :35:04. | :35:09. | |
visit by Labour's education spokesman this week was a chance for | :35:10. | :35:12. | |
Jonny Mitchell to outline what he sees as a major barrier to getting | :35:13. | :35:18. | |
on with the job of teaching. I am not actually all that interested in | :35:19. | :35:22. | |
the pieces of the paper at the end. League tables, Government | :35:23. | :35:24. | |
information and especially the role of the school's inspectorate Ofsted, | :35:25. | :35:28. | |
he says, are not helping. `` government in intervention. There is | :35:29. | :35:35. | |
a culture of fear building up among the teaching profession with the | :35:36. | :35:38. | |
very short notice of an Ofsted inspection. They are coming in and | :35:39. | :35:41. | |
lessons are observed and sometimes a teacher will be able to teach a | :35:42. | :35:45. | |
lesson which on the face of it is very good indeed, maybe even | :35:46. | :35:47. | |
outstanding, yet their outcomes over time would suggest the teaching | :35:48. | :35:50. | |
cannot be any better than good or maybe only requires improvement. | :35:51. | :35:57. | |
When we come to Ofsted, what we need is quality inspectors doing a really | :35:58. | :36:00. | |
detailed understanding of the school, not just relying on previous | :36:01. | :36:03. | |
data, but getting a sense of what the school is about. Ofsted has a | :36:04. | :36:15. | |
role to play. It informs parents about what is going on in schools. | :36:16. | :36:19. | |
What we do not want is a politicised Ofsted. 24 hours after this visit, | :36:20. | :36:21. | |
things started moving. A survey of 900 headteachers conducted by the | :36:22. | :36:24. | |
Association of Schools and College Leaders showed that 65% of them had | :36:25. | :36:27. | |
no confidence in the outcome of Ofsted inspections. Almost | :36:28. | :36:30. | |
simultaneously, the head of Ofsted announced he was looking at hiring | :36:31. | :36:32. | |
more experienced inspectors and having what he called lighter touch | :36:33. | :36:42. | |
inspections. 60 miles away in Hull, these teenagers say Ofsted is | :36:43. | :36:44. | |
putting a cloud over their education, especially with the | :36:45. | :36:46. | |
latest annual report putting Yorkshire and North Lincolnshire at | :36:47. | :36:56. | |
the bottom of the pile. You don't want to be told you can't do | :36:57. | :37:00. | |
something when there is a good chance you could do it. I would like | :37:01. | :37:03. | |
to go to university. I don't which one yet. I would like to study | :37:04. | :37:06. | |
Chinese and business at university. When we are coming out with As and | :37:07. | :37:10. | |
Bs, A*s, people are very shocked. If anything, it makes us more | :37:11. | :37:13. | |
determined to succeed to prove to the rest of the country and everyone | :37:14. | :37:17. | |
else that it is possible for us to get good grades. Their school here | :37:18. | :37:20. | |
in East Hull has bucked the trend. Not just for the naturally bright | :37:21. | :37:23. | |
ambitious students either. One in six used to leave here with no | :37:24. | :37:28. | |
qualifications. There are now hardly any. These are some of the many | :37:29. | :37:32. | |
places we take our young people to help bring the curriculum alive to | :37:33. | :37:35. | |
them and help inspire them. The headteacher says those improvements | :37:36. | :37:37. | |
have been helped by teaching initiatives that Ofsted inspectors | :37:38. | :37:42. | |
do not even measure. What we try and do is make sure that each and every | :37:43. | :37:46. | |
young person here, whilst working hard at the basics, English, maths, | :37:47. | :37:49. | |
science and so on, they are learning that the curriculum is tailored to | :37:50. | :37:52. | |
them as much as possible so they can see the relevance of it. Youngsters | :37:53. | :37:59. | |
in state schools in some of our poorest areas prove success can be | :38:00. | :38:03. | |
achieved. The question is, will the planned changes to the way | :38:04. | :38:06. | |
inspections and measurement of progress are made help or hinder the | :38:07. | :38:14. | |
process? Our guest today on Julian Sturdy, a | :38:15. | :38:21. | |
Conservative MP, Linda Riordan, Labour MP for Halifax. And joining | :38:22. | :38:25. | |
us for our top story, the regional director for Ofsted. If I could | :38:26. | :38:30. | |
start with you, Nick, what did you mean when you said Yorkshire's | :38:31. | :38:34. | |
schools are suffering from a poverty of aspiration? What I meant was head | :38:35. | :38:40. | |
teachers, like the two we have just seen in the piece they have very | :38:41. | :38:45. | |
high aspirations for the students in their schools. It shows through in | :38:46. | :38:49. | |
what those two schools are achieving. What we need is every | :38:50. | :38:52. | |
single school in Yorkshire and Humber to have the same level of | :38:53. | :39:01. | |
aspiration. Julian Sturdy, do you recognise that phrase, poverty of | :39:02. | :39:06. | |
aspiration? It is important we have aspiration flowing from our | :39:07. | :39:10. | |
schools. My patch in York, we have really good schools. It is very | :39:11. | :39:15. | |
important that you allow children from all backgrounds the opportunity | :39:16. | :39:20. | |
to excel and do well at school. That is what we need to achieve. Linda | :39:21. | :39:25. | |
Riordan, do you think teachers in your part of the world have | :39:26. | :39:31. | |
confidence in Ofsted? 80% of our schools are classed as good or | :39:32. | :39:36. | |
outstanding. I do not see that as a poverty of aspirations. The teachers | :39:37. | :39:41. | |
and head teachers are fantastic and they want their pupils to achieve. | :39:42. | :39:52. | |
They have done a really good job. We had the school branded the worst in | :39:53. | :39:58. | |
the country. The council took the school on board and brought the | :39:59. | :40:01. | |
standards up starting at primary school levels and not getting to | :40:02. | :40:08. | |
that situation. I think teachers are doing a fantastic job and they want | :40:09. | :40:13. | |
their pupils to achieve. I am not very keen on that sort of language. | :40:14. | :40:18. | |
Nick, how do you respond to Jonny Mitchell, the programme macro | :40:19. | :40:25. | |
headteacher when he says that your organisation Ofsted is creating a | :40:26. | :40:31. | |
climate of fear a smart `` the educating Yorkshire headteacher. And | :40:32. | :40:37. | |
inspection is a stressful time. But I also think most headteachers and | :40:38. | :40:41. | |
governing bodies and politicians would say that parents deserve a | :40:42. | :40:45. | |
right to know about the quality of the schools they might send their | :40:46. | :40:50. | |
children to. Yes, there is stress. But it is absolutely necessary we | :40:51. | :40:55. | |
hold schools to account. A survey showed 65% of headteachers did not | :40:56. | :41:00. | |
have confidence in Ofsted to make accurate and reliable judgements. | :41:01. | :41:06. | |
How do you respond to that? If you look at satisfaction surveys | :41:07. | :41:08. | |
following Ofsted inspections, at the end of the stressful event, | :41:09. | :41:14. | |
actually, our data shows that most headteachers are very satisfied with | :41:15. | :41:19. | |
the experience of being inspected. Do you think Ofsted as a body is | :41:20. | :41:25. | |
still fit for purpose? Yes. It is very important parents have the | :41:26. | :41:28. | |
information available. So they can make decisions. That is the first | :41:29. | :41:34. | |
point. The second point is when I go round my constituency talking to | :41:35. | :41:38. | |
headteachers, you do find there is the concern over, as has been | :41:39. | :41:47. | |
reported, how Ofsted Carrie at `` carry out their work. When that is | :41:48. | :41:52. | |
the case, are they getting the true picture of what is happening in the | :41:53. | :41:56. | |
school? That is why I do accept that in certain areas there should be a | :41:57. | :42:00. | |
lighter touch approach. Linda Riordan, why do you think so many | :42:01. | :42:04. | |
headteachers do not have confidence in Ofsted? I think there is so much | :42:05. | :42:10. | |
pressure put on them for that amount of time that Ofsted are in the | :42:11. | :42:13. | |
school with very little warning. Teachers are not just educating, | :42:14. | :42:18. | |
they have all sorts to do and they are doing a really good job. The | :42:19. | :42:23. | |
head of Ofsted said on Friday about lighter touch regulation. What does | :42:24. | :42:29. | |
it mean for schools who are not performing well? For schools that | :42:30. | :42:34. | |
are not yet good, it would be inspections very much as they are | :42:35. | :42:37. | |
now. It is important to us that schools not yet good should actually | :42:38. | :42:43. | |
be inspected thoroughly by a highly qualified inspection team which | :42:44. | :42:48. | |
increasingly have practitioners, headteachers, as part of the | :42:49. | :42:52. | |
inspection team. We have more and more headteachers who are part of | :42:53. | :42:57. | |
the inspection process and we want to increase that number. It is | :42:58. | :43:00. | |
really important headteachers have confidence in the system, as has | :43:01. | :43:04. | |
been acknowledged or the other guests. Didn't be so recent show | :43:05. | :43:08. | |
there are so many areas in a school which cannot be measured by the | :43:09. | :43:12. | |
league tables? Getting kids to school on time, wearing the proper | :43:13. | :43:17. | |
uniform, good discipline. Doesn't Jonny Mitchell have a point when he | :43:18. | :43:21. | |
says what Ofsted are portraying is not always a true picture of many | :43:22. | :43:24. | |
schools in poorer areas? Parents want to know what a school can | :43:25. | :43:31. | |
actually do for their child. If they send their child to that school, are | :43:32. | :43:35. | |
they going to get a high quality of education? Are they going to get the | :43:36. | :43:39. | |
qualifications which will enable them to progress further in life? | :43:40. | :43:45. | |
Yes, absolutely, there are aspects of the school we do not measure as | :43:46. | :43:49. | |
Ofsted. That I think we measure the things parents regard as being | :43:50. | :43:55. | |
absolutely vital. Thank you for joining us. | :43:56. | :44:06. | |
We we warned our accident and emergency departments were facing | :44:07. | :44:08. | |
the worst winter crisis in living memory. | :44:09. | :44:10. | |
So, has that proved to be the case? Our health correspondents have been | :44:11. | :44:13. | |
taking a close look at the figures for hospitals at opposite ends of | :44:14. | :44:16. | |
our patch. In a moment, we'll hear from Vicky Johnson in Hull. But | :44:17. | :44:19. | |
first, Jamie Coulson reports from Halifax. | :44:20. | :44:22. | |
What did you do to your face question mark last November is | :44:23. | :44:28. | |
for`year`old cut her head open when she fell. She was taken to A but | :44:29. | :44:34. | |
her mother feels she has to wait too long to be seen. It was devastating | :44:35. | :44:42. | |
to see her like that for so long. NHS targets mean 95% of patients | :44:43. | :44:47. | |
should be seen within four hours. Latest figures show the hospital | :44:48. | :44:55. | |
trust responsible for the A departments in Huddersfield and | :44:56. | :44:57. | |
Halifax has struggled over the winter. Between the 10th of November | :44:58. | :45:00. | |
last year and the 9th of March this year, Calderdale Royal Hospital and | :45:01. | :45:08. | |
Huddersfield Royal infirmary sort 46,000 patients in A 2000 had to | :45:09. | :45:13. | |
wait over four hours. They missed the target on seven out of the 18 | :45:14. | :45:19. | |
weeks. 738 patients had to wait between four and 12 hours on a | :45:20. | :45:23. | |
trolley for a bird. These figures have been seized upon by campaigners | :45:24. | :45:28. | |
concerned about a wider shake`up of health services proposed in this | :45:29. | :45:33. | |
part of the world. In one scenario, the A in Halifax could be scaled | :45:34. | :45:38. | |
back. Emergency cases would have to go to Huddersfield. People are | :45:39. | :45:42. | |
having to wait too long. Some people are waiting on trolleys, in the | :45:43. | :45:46. | |
backs of ambulances. We are struggling to cope with two A | :45:47. | :45:51. | |
departments. Imagine if we only had one. The two hospitals are five | :45:52. | :45:59. | |
miles apart. Both currently offer full A departments. But it could | :46:00. | :46:04. | |
change under plans to centralise services on one side. The trust's | :46:05. | :46:07. | |
preferred option would see all emergency and conflict move to | :46:08. | :46:13. | |
Huddersfield. Calderdale would concentrate on planned and routine | :46:14. | :46:17. | |
care. I would rather be here than Huddersfield. It is travelling for | :46:18. | :46:24. | |
people visiting. I can see the point that it will be better. Is that not | :46:25. | :46:29. | |
what everyone wants? You want it where it is convenient. The local | :46:30. | :46:33. | |
NHS said that other options are being considered but the aim is to | :46:34. | :46:37. | |
try and improve services not cut them. We are looking at changing the | :46:38. | :46:43. | |
way services are provided. A is a small part of that. If we get the | :46:44. | :46:46. | |
system right, people will visit hospital less, people will not need | :46:47. | :46:52. | |
to go to the A department. People will have services closer to home. | :46:53. | :46:57. | |
We will make sure it is easy for them to access them. For families | :46:58. | :47:01. | |
relying on hospital services, these developments will be watched keenly. | :47:02. | :47:05. | |
The local NHS stressed no decisions have yet been made. | :47:06. | :47:12. | |
Ambulances delivering patients to the Hull Royal infirmary. Foremost, | :47:13. | :47:16. | |
the turnaround time guidelines. If there are no bays available, | :47:17. | :47:22. | |
patients have to stay in the ambulance. One paramedic told us | :47:23. | :47:25. | |
during busy periods, they are often held up with patients on stretchers | :47:26. | :47:33. | |
for up to an hour. The ambulances are parked outside not doing what | :47:34. | :47:36. | |
they are supposed to be doing. Response times drop. If they cannot | :47:37. | :47:40. | |
that the patients in in time, the hospital gets fined as well. New NHS | :47:41. | :47:48. | |
figures show that more than 870 patients had to wait longer than | :47:49. | :47:53. | |
they should before being transferred into A between December and | :47:54. | :47:57. | |
February. Hospitals face fines of ?200 for every 30 minutes and | :47:58. | :48:01. | |
ambulances kept waiting. In theory, this could mean the hospital trust | :48:02. | :48:09. | |
could be fined ?175,000. Hospital managers have not yet been told | :48:10. | :48:13. | |
whether they are to be fined. We want to spend every penny on | :48:14. | :48:18. | |
improving patient care. We are investing ?7 million to improve the | :48:19. | :48:21. | |
emergency department facilities. If we were fined a huge amount of | :48:22. | :48:25. | |
money, it might threaten investment. The key thing is to work with our | :48:26. | :48:29. | |
partners to deliver the right care for patients and spending money | :48:30. | :48:33. | |
wisely where we need to invest in improvements in the hospital and in | :48:34. | :48:37. | |
the community. We have received a statement from the Yorkshire | :48:38. | :48:39. | |
Ambulance Service same patient handovers can be a challenge during | :48:40. | :48:45. | |
times of high demand. It adds they are working with hospitals to | :48:46. | :48:48. | |
minimise and avoid delays in the future. Meanwhile, doctors insist | :48:49. | :48:53. | |
even when patients are kept waiting in ambulances they are still getting | :48:54. | :48:58. | |
the care they need. Would you say there has been a | :48:59. | :49:05. | |
winter A crisis? No, I would not. What we saw in Hull is worrying but | :49:06. | :49:08. | |
it is not the picture right across Yorkshire. In York, they are meeting | :49:09. | :49:15. | |
the target 98% of the time. We have got other gun, Wakefield, | :49:16. | :49:18. | |
Pontefract, I believe they are hitting 99% of their targets `` we | :49:19. | :49:29. | |
have got Dewsbury. The government put ?650 million into A services | :49:30. | :49:37. | |
for the winter. The important thing was it was not just about new money, | :49:38. | :49:42. | |
it was also about the timing. It came early so it allowed hospitals | :49:43. | :49:46. | |
to plan ahead. There is still an awful lot of trusts in our area not | :49:47. | :49:51. | |
hitting the 95% target to see patients within four hours. Many | :49:52. | :49:56. | |
people watching will say, I checked into A and I was not seen within | :49:57. | :50:02. | |
four hours. It is worrying and needs to be worked on. The hope is the | :50:03. | :50:07. | |
money that has been put in by the government will improve the targets. | :50:08. | :50:13. | |
Linda Riordan, we know you're A department in Halifax is under | :50:14. | :50:18. | |
threat, as we saw there. Where would you find the ?50 million that needs | :50:19. | :50:22. | |
to be saved in order to keep the A open? The most important thing said | :50:23. | :50:30. | |
was that we want services closer to home. That is what they want to give | :50:31. | :50:38. | |
to us. Taking away the A to Huddersfield and Dewsbury hospital | :50:39. | :50:42. | |
has been mentioned, that accident and emergency is closing down. The | :50:43. | :50:49. | |
pressure on Huddersfield, three A into one. People want to find | :50:50. | :50:54. | |
the money to keep the NHS as it is. I think the government actually had | :50:55. | :51:02. | |
their wrist slapped. A `` for saying that the money is rising when it is | :51:03. | :51:08. | |
not. Where would a future Labour government find the money? We have | :51:09. | :51:14. | |
got to find it. The bankers bonuses would be my first point. People want | :51:15. | :51:27. | |
the NHS as it is. We want a `` A close to home. We have got to keep | :51:28. | :51:31. | |
Calderdale. Purpose`built hospital, 2000. Closing A is political | :51:32. | :51:40. | |
suicide for the government. We have got to support the NHS services. The | :51:41. | :51:45. | |
government is doing that. It has put more money into the NHS. ?650 | :51:46. | :51:50. | |
million went into winter resilience for this year which was new money | :51:51. | :51:56. | |
and it went in in good time. Whenever you are looking at | :51:57. | :51:59. | |
reconfiguring services, it is always difficult. For me, the key thing is | :52:00. | :52:03. | |
there has got to be proper consultation. I think that Linda | :52:04. | :52:14. | |
Riordan has already said that is not happening and that is a concern. | :52:15. | :52:18. | |
When you take a decision like this, it must not be politicians making | :52:19. | :52:22. | |
those decisions. It has got to be health care professionals. More on | :52:23. | :52:28. | |
the week's political news now. Louise has our round`up in 60 | :52:29. | :52:34. | |
seconds. There was a post`budget high amongst | :52:35. | :52:37. | |
commuters between Hull and Selby when electrification of the line was | :52:38. | :52:42. | |
announced. Local MPs want work to begin soon in time for when Hull | :52:43. | :52:48. | |
becomes City of Culture in 2017. But Conservatives faced accusations | :52:49. | :52:50. | |
of patronising southern stereotyping of the North after publishing this | :52:51. | :52:53. | |
message trumpeting the Chancellor's decision to cut the duty on beer and | :52:54. | :53:01. | |
tax on bingo. Hull MP Diana Johnson says Tories need re`educating. | :53:02. | :53:06. | |
Working class culture is not just about beer and bingo. Or for that | :53:07. | :53:09. | |
matter pigeon fancying, wearing a flat cap or having a whippet. | :53:10. | :53:13. | |
An 84`year`old Lincolnshire Conservative MP Sir Peter Tapsell is | :53:14. | :53:16. | |
to stand down at the next general election. His decision will open up | :53:17. | :53:21. | |
a plum vacancy in a safe Tory seat wanting speculation the seat is | :53:22. | :53:24. | |
being lined up for Boris Johnson, especially after David Cameron said | :53:25. | :53:26. | |
he wanted the Mayor of London back in the Commons at the next election. | :53:27. | :53:39. | |
Linda Riordan, what did you make of the budget? We are waiting to see | :53:40. | :53:47. | |
how it will pan out, being able to take all of our pensions. You have | :53:48. | :53:54. | |
got a week pension, have you? I have not. I do not think that will be it. | :53:55. | :53:59. | |
I am picking up on the clips and what Diane said are getting more | :54:00. | :54:06. | |
Eton boys into the Cabinet, it shows when you get leaflets about bingo | :54:07. | :54:10. | |
and beer. That is what they think about us in Halifax. That is not the | :54:11. | :54:15. | |
case. Not everybody plays bingo. There is nothing wrong with that or | :54:16. | :54:20. | |
going for a pint. The beer and bingo advert was a mistake? It was. I | :54:21. | :54:27. | |
would not have done it. About the budget, it was a really good budget. | :54:28. | :54:38. | |
Penny off the beer is good news. I have lots of pubs in my patch will | :54:39. | :54:41. | |
be pleased about that. Also, the brewing industry in Yorkshire will | :54:42. | :54:45. | |
be celebrating. Lots of good news in the budget. Obviously, the personal | :54:46. | :54:51. | |
tax allowance was a big thing as well. You are not just Tory toffs | :54:52. | :54:57. | |
then, no idea about how we operate in the north? I am Yorkshire born | :54:58. | :55:01. | |
and bred and proud of that. I did not agree with what was put in | :55:02. | :55:06. | |
there. The budget was good. Another thing, we must mention this, the | :55:07. | :55:11. | |
Yorkshire Air Ambulance and the support for it, something that all | :55:12. | :55:18. | |
Yorkshire MPs have been campaigning on and we have had a success. The | :55:19. | :55:22. | |
Chancellor has listened. Would you like to see Boris Johnson back in | :55:23. | :55:29. | |
the Commons? He probably will. I think he is coming back and we will | :55:30. | :55:38. | |
see how it plays out and how the Prime Minister... Of course you | :55:39. | :55:42. | |
surround yourself by friends and allies when you are the Prime | :55:43. | :55:46. | |
Minister. But do we want to many Eton boys and girls if we have many | :55:47. | :55:53. | |
girls in the Cabinet? Boris Johnson back rest at I don't know. It is not | :55:54. | :55:59. | |
up to me to decide. It is up to the members of the seat to decide. I am | :56:00. | :56:05. | |
very sad to see the news about Sir Peter Tapsell. He will be missed. | :56:06. | :56:08. | |
Thank you both for your time Julian Sturdy, Linda Riordan. Back to | :56:09. | :56:12. | |
Andrew Neil. decision, she will weigh up the | :56:13. | :56:24. | |
The big news is the popular server is struggling to control all of the | :56:25. | :56:40. | |
people who want to find out where they fit in the political spectrum. | :56:41. | :56:45. | |
It hasn't quite crashed but it is queueing up those people. Who would | :56:46. | :56:50. | |
have thought the Sunday Politics had so many viewers? It has never | :56:51. | :57:00. | |
happened on the X factor. This morning's papers don't make | :57:01. | :57:02. | |
comfortable reading for Labour with two separate polls showing the | :57:03. | :57:05. | |
party's lead over the Tories is down to just one point. And there's been | :57:06. | :57:08. | |
plenty of criticism of Ed Miliband's response to the Budget. Let's take a | :57:09. | :57:11. | |
look. You know you are in trouble when even the Education Secretary | :57:12. | :57:14. | |
calls you and out of touch bunch of elitist. Where is he? He is hiding! | :57:15. | :57:27. | |
I think he has been consigned to the naughty step by the Prime Minister. | :57:28. | :57:34. | |
The naughty step! And we're joined now by shadow chief secretary to the | :57:35. | :57:38. | |
Treasury, Chris Leslie. There was a widely criticised response by Ed | :57:39. | :57:43. | |
Balls to the Autumn Statement, now a widely criticised response by Ed | :57:44. | :57:49. | |
Miliband to the Budget. Does this show you are struggling at the | :57:50. | :57:55. | |
moment? Of course Ed Balls and Ed Miliband don't want to hear the fact | :57:56. | :58:00. | |
that in reality, for most people, life is getting harder and there is | :58:01. | :58:04. | |
the cost of living crisis. Did we get any mention of that in the | :58:05. | :58:13. | |
Budget? Of course we didn't. We were waiting for action on the cost of | :58:14. | :58:18. | |
living and it wasn't forthcoming. Ed Miliband came up with the tactic of | :58:19. | :58:23. | |
responding to the Budget without mentioning anything that was in it. | :58:24. | :58:28. | |
He mentioned the fact the personal tax allowance was a bit of a | :58:29. | :58:32. | |
giveaway but he takes more with the other hand. He is in favour of that, | :58:33. | :58:39. | |
right? Anything we can get but we need a lot more. Let me tell you | :58:40. | :58:43. | |
something else he mentioned, the fact the national debt has risen by | :58:44. | :58:51. | |
a third and George Osborne and David Cameron... They knew that before the | :58:52. | :58:55. | |
Budget. The borrowing figures were announced and Ed Miliband made | :58:56. | :59:01. | |
reference to those. There is not a lot of happiness on Labour | :59:02. | :59:05. | |
backbenchers about this, is there? And indeed not a lot of happiness in | :59:06. | :59:11. | |
the shadow cabinet. There is concern that Ed Miliband is on a journey to | :59:12. | :59:16. | |
remodel world capitalism whilst George Osborne is firing some love | :59:17. | :59:19. | |
bombs at Middle England by talking about freeing up the pensions market | :59:20. | :59:24. | |
and there is real nerves that what Ed Miliband is saying is not going | :59:25. | :59:29. | |
to be in tune with those middle income earners that the Labour Party | :59:30. | :59:35. | |
has got to attract if they are going to win the general election. When | :59:36. | :59:42. | |
Rachel Reeves used the medium of Radio 4 to announce you were broadly | :59:43. | :59:46. | |
in favour of the pension reforms announced by the Chancellor on | :59:47. | :59:49. | |
Friday night, was that a result of a decision taken by the shadow | :59:50. | :00:00. | |
cabinet? Is With annuities, they are a very old-fashioned product. There | :00:01. | :00:06. | |
are some serious questions which need to be addressed. Was that the | :00:07. | :00:13. | |
result of a Shadow Cabinet decision? We have not had a Shadow | :00:14. | :00:18. | |
Cabinet since the budget. We all want to make sure that we understand | :00:19. | :00:22. | |
the point about flexibility. No one is arguing with that. There are some | :00:23. | :00:28. | |
serious concerns. Let me give you a couple of examples. This is | :00:29. | :00:31. | |
something the Chancellor has done, he claims, for reasons of freedom | :00:32. | :00:36. | |
and flexibility. Is it a coincidence he is grabbing quite a lot of tax | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
from pensioners early on to plug a hole which is necessary because the | :00:41. | :00:48. | |
deficit has not gone down? Forgive me for being slightly cynical about | :00:49. | :00:54. | |
motives. For or against it? We need to have safeguards for protection of | :00:55. | :00:58. | |
pensioners. What will it do for the annuity market if most people still | :00:59. | :01:02. | |
want to have a steadying come for a third of their lives? -- steady | :01:03. | :01:10. | |
income. What does Labour have to do to get it show back on the road? The | :01:11. | :01:19. | |
question is, how do people feel? How many people will still not be | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
feeling better by the next election? Wages may be rising slightly but not | :01:24. | :01:26. | |
for a large and significant number of people. They were just looking at | :01:27. | :01:31. | |
the YouGov poll. If you look at the middle to low earners, they are | :01:32. | :01:35. | |
overwhelmingly pro-labour. Can Labour get those people out to vote? | :01:36. | :01:40. | |
They are really hurting. There are plenty of them. The question is | :01:41. | :01:44. | |
whether people are optimistic because they see figures as if they | :01:45. | :01:49. | |
look as if they are on the up or whether they vote according to how | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
they feel, which will still be very far behind. Cost of living has been | :01:55. | :01:59. | |
a major mantra from Labour. That's that this chart shows how things are | :02:00. | :02:04. | |
beginning to change. What this shows is that, sometime this year, after a | :02:05. | :02:10. | |
long time at which average earnings trailed inflation, they now overtake | :02:11. | :02:14. | |
it in the run-up to the election and they stay there for the forecast | :02:15. | :02:21. | |
period. What do you now do if your cost of living mantra is running out | :02:22. | :02:27. | |
of steam? I am not sure that, for most people, they will recognise the | :02:28. | :02:31. | |
sense that suddenly things will be getting better. Particularly the | :02:32. | :02:33. | |
younger generation are really feeling quite down about the | :02:34. | :02:40. | |
pressures they are facing to make ends meet. You can see the lines are | :02:41. | :02:47. | |
exaggerated because the Y axis on the side starts quite high up. It | :02:48. | :02:52. | |
does not start at zero. The other statistic from the OBR is that we | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
will not be getting back to the point where wages are exceeding | :02:57. | :03:00. | |
prices from the pre-banking crisis period until late 2017. There are | :03:01. | :03:08. | |
some really serious pressures that people are under. What they wanted | :03:09. | :03:11. | |
was a budget that would address concerns and, for the vast majority | :03:12. | :03:17. | |
of people, they will have heard the statement by George Osborne and | :03:18. | :03:22. | |
think, how is it really help them now? It did not address it. It is | :03:23. | :03:31. | |
clear that by 2015, average living standards will probably not have | :03:32. | :03:36. | |
returned to where they were in 2010. Average wages will not have | :03:37. | :03:39. | |
done that. On the other hand, the chart shows the sense of direction | :03:40. | :03:44. | |
is moving in the right way. Which one matters more with the | :03:45. | :03:49. | |
electorate? I suspect it is sense of direction. People sense of | :03:50. | :03:53. | |
prosperity does not need to be buoyant. It has to be something | :03:54. | :03:58. | |
worth preserving. We have to fear the all turn. That is what intrigued | :03:59. | :04:03. | |
me this week. People make too much of a fuss about the Parliamentary | :04:04. | :04:08. | |
response by Ed Miliband. People will forgive a bad day at the dispatch | :04:09. | :04:13. | |
box. What they will not forgive is the absence of a macro economic | :04:14. | :04:20. | |
mess. Labour have a very powerful message on living standards and lots | :04:21. | :04:24. | |
of popular, targeted interventions like the energy price freeze. You | :04:25. | :04:31. | |
can imagine they will be sufficiently nervous about that next | :04:32. | :04:36. | |
year. If living standards are not back to where they were, Labour can | :04:37. | :04:44. | |
say, are you better off now than when you were four years ago? The | :04:45. | :04:52. | |
reason why break and -- wallowed waken one that is because Jimmy | :04:53. | :05:04. | |
Carter mucked it up -- Ronald Reagan. Labour have to say, vote for | :05:05. | :05:12. | |
us and you will get 2 million homes. At the moment, the offer is very | :05:13. | :05:16. | |
modest. You need to find the money to do that. People need to | :05:17. | :05:20. | |
understand that housing is at the very heart of the economy, as well | :05:21. | :05:24. | |
as young people and their aspirations. At the moment, Labour | :05:25. | :05:31. | |
's offer is not spectacular in. If the focus group shows the cost of | :05:32. | :05:34. | |
living crisis have no longer has the attraction it did, what line do you | :05:35. | :05:40. | |
move onto? Yellow McCoy must remind people of the wasted years and the | :05:41. | :05:42. | |
cost of living pressures they have been under. -- we must remind | :05:43. | :05:50. | |
people. We want a recovery which has low growth, low wage. A race to the | :05:51. | :05:59. | |
bottom. They want a recovery that is felt by everyone, shared and felt by | :06:00. | :06:05. | |
all. Now, here's an idea to twist your melon. Mark Berry, better known | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
as Bez, it says here he's a member of something called The Happy | :06:11. | :06:12. | |
Mondays, wants to stand for parliament. He's best known for | :06:13. | :06:16. | |
being in a band, and not doing very much, so he might fit in. Here he is | :06:17. | :06:20. | |
in action. And Bez joins us from our Salford | :06:21. | :06:49. | |
studio. Good to see you. Is this a genuine candidacy or are you | :06:50. | :06:57. | |
twisting my melon? Amazing how time flies when you're having fun! You | :06:58. | :07:05. | |
having fun doing this candidacy? I am doing the job of the politicians | :07:06. | :07:10. | |
and standing up for the people and bringing attention to the horror of | :07:11. | :07:15. | |
fracking, which is a totally unsafe technology. There is no one in | :07:16. | :07:20. | |
mainstream politics who is discussing or saying anything about | :07:21. | :07:25. | |
it. It is an unsafe technology and it has been proven in America. You | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
see the process in America and the people out on the streets. The whole | :07:31. | :07:40. | |
atmosphere has been made toxic. These people are allowing it to | :07:41. | :07:44. | |
happen in the name of profit. This has been a Labour seat you are | :07:45. | :07:51. | |
fighting in Salford since 1945. It is a tough mountain. Supposing you | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
were to win, could you ever see yourself entering a coalition? With | :07:57. | :08:03. | |
a bit of luck I may be able to shame Labour politicians to do the job | :08:04. | :08:06. | |
properly and stand up for the rights of people. They are not and I am | :08:07. | :08:10. | |
having to do that job. All I am doing is causing debate and bringing | :08:11. | :08:15. | |
to attention the horror that is hanging on our doorsteps. It is not | :08:16. | :08:20. | |
only fracking but GM modified foods that they want to bring into this | :08:21. | :08:25. | |
country as well. Owen Paterson is one of the main lobbyists. Lobbying | :08:26. | :08:33. | |
is legalised bribery, by the way. It is run by the bankers. Basically, we | :08:34. | :08:38. | |
have to stop these monsters from getting into our country and turning | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
our land into a toxic waste. That is what I am trying to say. You are | :08:44. | :08:49. | |
raising the debate, as you are doing with us here. We do not really need | :08:50. | :08:55. | |
fracking. You have done that and you have talked about other things as | :08:56. | :09:00. | |
well. In terms of a new integrity, if you were to become an MP, would | :09:01. | :09:07. | |
you claim expenses? If I ever do get in charge, I would completely enter | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
the banking system and there would be expensive, but they would be like | :09:12. | :09:16. | |
bus passes and train passes. You behave like the people and you are | :09:17. | :09:20. | |
in touch with the people, you move with the people and do understand | :09:21. | :09:25. | |
what the people want. You do not live in acre Kuhn of your own making | :09:26. | :09:29. | |
of luxury, wealth and total disregard of everyone else. -- a | :09:30. | :09:37. | |
cocoon. If you did get into the Palace of Westminster and had to | :09:38. | :09:40. | |
mingle with all these people, who would you rather have in night out | :09:41. | :09:46. | |
with - Mr Cameron, Mr Miller band or Mr Clegg? I would be willing to | :09:47. | :09:55. | |
discuss politics with anybody. I would make them realise what they | :09:56. | :10:03. | |
are doing. I am glad too have a debate and with anyone. The people | :10:04. | :10:09. | |
of Salford, quite a lot people people behind me. I have been | :10:10. | :10:16. | |
speaking to Salford councillors. They are going to lend me their | :10:17. | :10:24. | |
support. The people of Salford, and not to forget the people of Eccles, | :10:25. | :10:30. | |
sending you much. We must stop this horror. There is a monster on our | :10:31. | :10:35. | |
doorstep and we must stop it, people. Do not forget to take your | :10:36. | :10:40. | |
maracas on campaign trail. Would you like a pair to shake yourself? You | :10:41. | :10:49. | |
shake your maracas against fracking! Thanks, Bez, goodbye. Thank you for | :10:50. | :10:54. | |
giving me a little platform to express my views. Now if there's one | :10:55. | :11:01. | |
thing that gets us hot under the collar here at the Sunday Politics | :11:02. | :11:04. | |
it's European elections. The only thing we like more than the | :11:05. | :11:07. | |
elections themselves is a TV debate about them. And we're in luck! Take | :11:08. | :11:12. | |
a look at this. Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome leader of | :11:13. | :11:15. | |
the Liberal Democrats and Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg. Gives | :11:16. | :11:23. | |
the most fantastic welcome to Nigel Farage. I would challenge Nigel | :11:24. | :11:31. | |
Farage to a public, open debate, about whether she we should be out | :11:32. | :11:38. | |
all in of the European Union. I will do it for Nick Clegg. Since 2009, I | :11:39. | :11:49. | |
have taken part in 45% of votes in the European Parliament. Nigel | :11:50. | :11:55. | |
Farage has not tabled a single amendment since July 2009. Mr Clegg | :11:56. | :12:03. | |
has only taken part in 22% of votes in the House of commons. You can | :12:04. | :12:11. | |
watch the debate at 7pm on the 2nd of April over on BBC Two. And for a | :12:12. | :12:23. | |
chance to be part of the studio audience on the night and put your | :12:24. | :12:26. | |
question to the two party leaders, e-mail the question you'd like to | :12:27. | :12:29. | |
ask to [email protected] or tweet it using the hashtag | :12:30. | :12:31. | |
#europedebate. And Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage will be limbering up | :12:32. | :12:34. | |
this week with their first debate on LBC radio on Wednesday. Who is going | :12:35. | :12:43. | |
to come out the best? I suspect Nigel Farage. It is easy to portray | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
Nick Clegg as morally compromised, who has not asserted himself in | :12:49. | :12:53. | |
government. I do wonder about Nigel Farage, whether he is much better at | :12:54. | :12:58. | |
delivering a popular line and responding to the second question of | :12:59. | :13:03. | |
third question. Nick Clegg will win it hands over fist because he knows | :13:04. | :13:07. | |
this stuff. He is right. The evidence that he can produce about | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
what will happen if we pulled out of Europe will, I think, overwhelm | :13:12. | :13:19. | |
Nigel Farage 's one-liners. They will both be winners because you | :13:20. | :13:26. | |
will have the rare sight of the pro-European saying he likes the | :13:27. | :13:30. | |
European Union. That is unlike Eurosceptics who tie themselves up | :13:31. | :13:35. | |
in knots. 14 Nigel, one for Nick and one for both. There you go. Here is | :13:36. | :13:49. | |
a mess, it is Janen Ganesh. That's all for today. The Daily Politics is | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
on BBC Two at Lunchtime every day this week, I'll be back here next | :13:54. | :13:56. | |
week with Energy Secretary Ed Davey. Remember if it's Sunday, it's the | :13:57. | :13:58. | |
Sunday Politics. | :13:59. | :14:04. |