23/03/2014 Sunday Politics Yorkshire and Lincolnshire


23/03/2014

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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. The dust has barely

:00:37.:00:44.

settled on George Osborne's Budget and, amazingly, for once it hasn't

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all gone horribly wrong by the weekend. So, is this the election

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springboard the Tories needed, and where does it leave Labour? Turns

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out the big Budget surprise was a revolution in how we pay for old

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age. The Pensions Minister says he's relaxed if you want to spend it all

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on a Lamborghini. He'll join us later. And could the man with the

:01:02.:01:08.

maracas be on his way to Westminster? Bez from the Happy

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Coming up, educating Yorkshire. Why plan

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Coming up, educating Yorkshire. Why the head of the school made famous

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on TV has work better? -- Uxbridge. And who

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better to help guide you through all of that than three journalists, who

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dispense wisdom faster than Grant Shapps calls out the numbers in his

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local bingo hall over a pint of beer. Yes, they're hard-working and

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they're doing the things they enjoy. Cup of tea, number three. It's Nick

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Watt, Polly Toynbee and Janan Ganesh.

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So, George Osborne delivered his fifth Budget on Wednesday and had so

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many glowing front pages the day afterwards he must be running out of

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room to pin them up in on his bedroom wall. Although it's probably

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a pretty big wall. For those of you who didn't have time to watch 3.5

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hours of Budget coverage on the BBC, here's Giles with the whole thing in

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three minutes. Budget days have a rhythm of their

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own, driven partly by tradition, like that photocall at 11 Downing

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Street and part logistics, how to get this important statement out and

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explain to those whom it affects - us? Behind-the-scenes of a Budget

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Day is much the same. This ritual red boxery may be the beginning of

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the end of weeks of work behind the scenes in the Treasury and sets the

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clock ticking on the process of finding out the answer to one

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question. You got any rabbits in the box, Chancellor? Yes, there will be

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something in the Budget we don't know about. Time marches steadily

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towards the statement and already commentators are hovering over what

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those potential surprises are. As Big Ben chimes, all focus returns to

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the Commons, where there is Prime Minister's questions and the

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Chancellor gets up and does his thing. Once he's on his feet and

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remembering there is still no copy of the details, the major measures

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are rapidly highlighted as they come and then put up on screen. A cap on

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Government welfare spending set for 2015/16 at 119 billion. Income tax

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personal allowance raised to ?10,500. Bingo duty halved, which

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ticked boxes for some but was unlikely to make anyone a poster

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boy. And the beer tax cut of 1p, or the froth on the top. And changes to

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pensions allowing people to take their money out in one lump sum,

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rather than being forced to accept a fixed annual pay-out, or annuity.

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This is a Budget for the makers, the doers and the savers and I commend

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it to the House. Not everyone can focus on the Budget by listening to

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what the Chancellor says. We need to get a copy of the script. We do not

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get that till he sits down. I'm going to go into the House of

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Commons to get that right now. There will be a response on that and all

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the other things from Mr Miliband. The Chancellor spoke for nearly an

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hour but he did not mention one essential fact, the working people

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of Britain are worse off under the Tories. It is a tricky job answering

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the Budget at the best of times, though some, including Labour MPs,

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think it is better to mention the Budget when you do.

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Here we are. I am going to go. I am not the only journalist missing Ed

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Miliband's speech. Many others leave the Chamber as the Chancellor sits

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down to attend a special briefing from the Chancellor's advisory team.

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I am hotfoot to the studio. There is a little more detail to the Budget

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than the Budget Speech. That detail can be whether words unravel and

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other interpretations emerge. By now the gaggle of supporters and

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detractors are taking the debate onto the airwaves. Are you the BBC?

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Have the Daily Politics packed up? No, we're still standing and, days

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later, still trying to assess whether the measures announced still

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seem fresh and appetising or have already gone stale in the minds of

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voters? How significant are these two poles

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this morning putting Labour and Tory nip and tuck? Osborne gave his party

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a good bounce. It was an astonishingly theatrical coup. At

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first glance, it seems like a huge gift to all people. That is where

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all of the money has been channelled by this government. They have been

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ultra-protected, triple locked. Pensioners have done very well and

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others less well. It is not surprising. Normally a budget which

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is well received on the day and the day after has unravelled by the

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weekend. This time, it has not, so far. The dangerous thing for the

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Labour Party now, George Osborne is the assessment this thing called the

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baseline. He says, in government, you must control the baseline. The

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Labour party controlled in 2001 and 2005 and he needs to control it next

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time. He is controlling it on fiscal policy because labour is matching

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them on everything. The danger for Labour on the big, headline grabbing

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issue, which was freeing up annuities on pensions, that again

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Labour was pretty much saying it was going to support it though it were

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saying it has to be fair and cost-effective. On a big, policy

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issue, they are following on behind George Osborne. George Osborne is

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controlling the crucial baseline. Are we in danger of reading too much

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into the political implications of the budget? The good thing about the

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pensions policy is, if it does unravel, it will not happen for ten

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years and, by that time, George Osborne will have left office.

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Towards the end of his speech, I thought, that is not enough. There

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is not an idea in your budget which is politically very vivid a year

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before an election. What I underestimated was, how many

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frustrated savers that are in the country. There are a lot of people

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who are frustrated by low interest rates and tax rates on pension pots.

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This was an explicit gesture for them. That is what has paid off in

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the polls in the past few days. You spend all of your money on your

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wardrobe, is that right? The bingo poster was a kind of get out of jail

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card for Labour. It gave them something to zoom in on. Everyone

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beat up on Grant Shapps, the Tory chairman. We read in the daily

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Telegraph that the fingerprints of the Chancellor were all over this

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poster. The Chancellor signed off it -- off on it and so did Lynton

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Crosby. They referred to working class people as, they are. How did

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it get into the Telegraph? We can only presume but grant Shapps made

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it clear that it was not him. We had a time when Labour politicians, we

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saw from the response of Ed Miliband onwards, they were not quite sure

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how to react to this budget. A lot of detail had to be absorbed.

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Suddenly, here is something we can talk about. You can see the thinking

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behind the poster was very sensible. We are not Tory toffs, we are

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interested in helping people who do not come from our backgrounds. The

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wording was awful and played into every cliche. It was all his fault.

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It shows how unsophisticated he was. There were people from Tory HQ

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who agreed the budget. A month down the line will the budget look as

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good? Probably. Once people look at it, pensions are fiendishly

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conjugated. Once they look and see what it will do with people having

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to pay for their own care because they can now take capital at their

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pension, that will come as a shock to a lot of people with small

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savings. It all be gone on their care. The polling will be neck and

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neck all the way. In the past, George Osborne has been accused of

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using his Budgets to tinker at the margins or pull cheap tricks on his

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political opponents. Perish the thought. But the big surprise in

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this year's statement was a genuinely radical shake-up of the

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pensions system that will affect most people who've yet to retire. At

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the moment, everyone is saving money into a defined contribution pension,

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that is the type most common in the private sector. They can take 25% of

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the pot is a tax-free lump sum when they retire. The rest of the money,

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for most people, they are forced to buy an annuity, a form of insurance

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which provide a guaranteed monthly income until they die. Annuities

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have hardly been a bargain since interest rates were flat slashed

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following the financial crash. Even with a ?100,000 pension pot would

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only get an income of ?5,800 a year at current rates. From 2018,

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pensioners will not be forced to buy an annuity. They can do what they

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like with their money, even taking the entire pot as a lump some but

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paying tax on 75% of it. With an average pension pot closer

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to around ?30,000, pensioners would be more likely to buy a Skoda

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instead of a Lamborghini. Most newly retired people who take the cash are

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more likely to spend the money paying off their mortgage, helping a

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family member to buy a property or investing the money elsewhere. Well,

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earlier I spoke to the Pensions Minister. He's a Lib Dem called

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Steve Webb. I began by asking him if he still thought the reforms might

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lead to pensioners splurging all their savings on supercars. What

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this reform is about is treating people as adults. For far too long,

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we have said, we will make sure you save for your old age and then we

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will control each year how much is spent on what you spend it on. What

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we are saying is because we have formed -- reformed the state

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pension, we will be much more relaxed about what people do with

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their own money. The evidence is that people who have been frugal and

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saved hard for retirement do not generally blows a lot. They will

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spin it out. It is treating people as adults and giving them choices

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they should have had all along. It is a red herring, isn't it? The

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average pension pot is between 25000 and 30,000. Lamborghinis aren't an

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option, correct? I gather only about 5000 people a year retiring can buy

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a flashy Italian sports car. It might be about paying off a

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mortgage, paying off outstanding debts. Maybe spending more money

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earlier in retirement when they are fit and able and can enjoy it more.

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We will give people guidance. We will make sure when they retire,

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there is someone to have a conversation with talking through

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the implications of spending the money early and options of investing

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it. This will be a real step forward. Even if you have a much

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bigger pension pot, say half ?1 million, which is way bigger than

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the average, even then the marginal rates of tax will be a disincentive

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to take it all out at once. You will lose huge chunks of it at the 40%

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band and then the 45% band. The tax system gives you the incentive to

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spread it out if the tax threshold is a bit over 10000 and the state

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pension is a bit over 7000, the first 3000 you draw out in a given

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year is tax-free. The next band is at 20%. Spreading your money will

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mean you pay less tax. That is why, in general, people will not blow the

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lot up front. They will spread it out over their retirement. You have

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kept this policy quiet. Not even a hint. How did you test it? How did

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you make sure it would be robust? You did not do a consultation. I

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have been talking about freeing up the annuity market for a decade. The

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idea of giving people more choice. The government has relaxed rules

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over this Parliament. It was not a completely new idea. We know in

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places like Australia and America, people have these freedoms. We

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already have something to judge it by. We will spend the next year

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talking to people, working it through. There will be a three-month

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consultation. I want people to have choices about their own money. There

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is detail still to be worked out and we are in listening mode about how

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we implement it. When you announce something you cannot do widespread

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consultation, for the reasons I have given, you do run the risk of

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unforeseen consequences? Pension companies this morning are

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indicating, you, the government can write you are looking for ?25

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billion of infrastructure investment from us. You hold our shell below

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the water line. That may not happen. We spoke internally about the

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implications for instruction -- infrastructure. It seems to me there

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will still be long-term investments. Many people want to turn their whole

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pot into an income. I understand the insurance companies are lobbying,

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but I'm convinced there will still be plenty of money for investment

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and infrastructure. If the Chancellor's pro-savings measures

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work, that will generate more savings. With no requirement now to

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buy an annuity, surely it is the case that pension pots are another

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ordinary savings fund, so why should they continue to get favourable tax

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treatment? Bear in mind that a lot of the tax treatment of pensioners

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is tax deferred so most people pay tax at the standard rate. If they

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put money into a pension, they don't pay tax when they earn it, but they

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do at retirement. We do want, we will still have automatic enrolment

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into workplace pensions, we do want people to build up, because at age

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20 and 30 nobody thinks about retirement. It is still vital that

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people do reach retirement to have these new choices with a decent

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sized pension pot. Pensions. Tax breaks because they were supposed to

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provide an income in retirement, that is how it was structured, but

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that is no longer a requirement, surely that undermines the case that

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if they get tax breaks, other forms of savings should get tax breaks.

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Other forms do get tax breaks, of course. The return with ISAs is tax

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free. The point with pensions is that you are simply deferring your

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earnings. There is a bit when high tax rate payers get a kick when they

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are working and then retire on standard rate, so there is the issue

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of the top getting too many tax breaks, but the basic principle that

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you pay tax when you get the income seems right to me and isn't affected

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by these changes. You have announced save friendly measures, are we right

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to look at them as a consolation prize because savers have suffered

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from the Government's policy of keeping interest rates abnormally

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low? It is certainly the case that very low interest rates have been a

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huge boon to people of working age with mortgages, and people who have

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retired said they thought they could have got a better deal on their

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savings. I think there is a recognition that whilst we have done

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the right thing with pensioners on the state pension, we have brought

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in the triple lock, and many will bent on -- benefit from these

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changes. Why don't savers who are not pensioners get the same help?

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They have been hit by low interest rates as well. Those of working

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age, many of them say they have benefited from low interest rates

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was predominantly people in retirement have not had the benefit.

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Obviously people of working age will have benefited from the tax

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allowance so it is a myth to say the Budget was all about pensioners. And

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yet even when the Office for Budget Responsibility takes into account

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your new measures, it still shows that over the next five years

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households will save less and less, indeed the savings ratio falls by

:20:08.:20:14.

50%. You haven't done enough. One of the things we know is that the

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economy is picking up strongly, and as we have more confidence about the

:20:19.:20:23.

future they will be more willing to consume now, so without these

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measures it may be that the saving rate would have fallen further. We

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want people to save and spend, it is about getting the right balance. As

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the economy picks up, people will want to spend more of their money

:20:39.:20:43.

and it is about getting the balance right. You make the point that if

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people are little profligate with their private pensions, they will

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have the state pension to fall back on and it will be higher than it has

:20:53.:20:57.

been, but it is also the case that in these circumstances they will

:20:58.:21:02.

still be entitled to housing benefit and even to perhaps some council tax

:21:03.:21:07.

benefit as well. Do you know by how much this could put the welfare bill

:21:08.:21:14.

up? We think the impact will be relatively modest because the sort

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of people who save for a pension and make sacrifices while they are at

:21:20.:21:23.

work are not the sort of people who get to 65 and decide to blow the lot

:21:24.:21:30.

for the great privilege of receiving council tax benefit or housing

:21:31.:21:33.

benefit. There will be people on the margins and

:21:34.:21:45.

benefit. There will be people on the who retire with some capital want to

:21:46.:21:45.

put some money away for their funeral. People like to save even

:21:46.:21:52.

into retirement so the myth of the spendthrift pensioner I don't

:21:53.:21:58.

believe. I think this has been rightly welcomed. Ever fancied a

:21:59.:22:04.

Lamborghini yourself? If you turned the camera around you would see my

:22:05.:22:19.

2-door Corsa! What's your favourite thing about an

:22:20.:22:22.

election? Could it be the candidates ringing on your door while you're

:22:23.:22:25.

having dinner? The leaflets piling up on your doormat? Or the endless

:22:26.:22:28.

adverts aimed at hardworking families? Well, if you thought that

:22:29.:22:31.

was bad enough, then you might want to consider going overseas for the

:22:32.:22:34.

2015 election because the parties are going to be aiming their message

:22:35.:22:37.

at you like never before. Adam's been to Worcester to find out more.

:22:38.:22:43.

One of the most famous political figures in history lived here, she

:22:44.:22:48.

is called Worcester woman. She was in her 30s, working class with a

:22:49.:22:53.

couple of kids, aspirational yet worried about quality of life. But

:22:54.:22:57.

she wasn't a real person, she was a label for the kind of voter new

:22:58.:23:01.

Labour were trying to reach and she was later joined by Mondeo man and

:23:02.:23:09.

several others. Doesn't that all seem a bit 90s? The technique,

:23:10.:23:13.

called segmentation, was used by George Bush in 2004. Then refined by

:23:14.:23:20.

Barack Obama. Rather than focusing on crude measures like cars and

:23:21.:23:26.

hometowns, they delved into the minds of voters. It is not just

:23:27.:23:29.

women, not just people who live in cities, but if you start to put

:23:30.:23:35.

together these groups of people you can even in an anecdote or way

:23:36.:23:41.

imagine who they are, what types of language and imagery might relate to

:23:42.:23:49.

them. We have been given access to a new polling model being used here by

:23:50.:23:53.

this firm, which is pretty close to the one we are told is being used by

:23:54.:24:00.

the Tories. It carves the country into six personality types, and we

:24:01.:24:05.

are trying it out on Worcester woman and wast of man. We are using an

:24:06.:24:10.

online quiz to work out who is in which segment. Meet new monk,

:24:11.:24:18.

Susie. She feels well represented. I know the Budget and the increases to

:24:19.:24:26.

childcare, I think at the moment I am fairly represented. This puts her

:24:27.:24:31.

in the category of optimistic contentment, people who feel they

:24:32.:24:36.

are doing OK. Terry, on the other hand, isn't happy about Britain

:24:37.:24:44.

today. Health and safety and all that! I hardly recognise the country

:24:45.:24:53.

a living in any more? Yes. Are you ready for the result? He is Mr

:24:54.:25:00.

comfortable nostalgia, they tend to favour the Tories and UKIP. They

:25:01.:25:04.

dislike the cultural changes they see as altering Britain for the

:25:05.:25:10.

worst. That sums me up. Tony is worried as well but feels much less

:25:11.:25:18.

secure. I look forward to the future with optimism or anxiety? Anxiety.

:25:19.:25:26.

Optimist or pessimist? Pessimist. His category is... You feel a bit

:25:27.:25:36.

insecure, you think the Government could probably help you more? Yes.

:25:37.:25:43.

Labour picks up a lot of these voters. This man is being asked to

:25:44.:25:49.

do more and more at work, but he is getting less and less. I am getting

:25:50.:25:57.

more towards the despair side. Things are getting tougher,

:25:58.:26:02.

generally? It puts him into the segment called long-term despair,

:26:03.:26:08.

people who feel left out. Finally, this is ever thoughtful Carol. I am

:26:09.:26:17.

a bit of an idealist. Her idealism makes her a cosmopolitan critic. I

:26:18.:26:25.

am a liberal person. Apparently a lot of the media fit into this

:26:26.:26:29.

category as well. There is one group of voters we have not come across,

:26:30.:26:33.

people who show calm persistence. They hope things will get better but

:26:34.:26:38.

don't expect them to. They are coping, rather than comfortable.

:26:39.:26:44.

Presumably they are all out of work. Which group are you win? You can

:26:45.:26:48.

take the poll on the BBC website, and in the coming weeks we will be

:26:49.:26:53.

doing our own polling using the six segments to see of the politicians

:26:54.:27:01.

really have worked out how we think. And as Adam said, if you want to try

:27:02.:27:05.

the survey for yourself, you can go to the BBC website and click on the

:27:06.:27:07.

link. And we're joined now by the

:27:08.:27:16.

pollster, Rick Nye. Welcome to Sunday Politics. We have had

:27:17.:27:23.

Worcester woman, Worcester man, is this any different? It is a

:27:24.:27:30.

recognition that or politician -- all politics these days is like

:27:31.:27:43.

this. It enables them to cut them more finally. You think all politics

:27:44.:27:50.

is coalition politics, you think they have to put together these

:27:51.:27:55.

groups of people, not that the Lib Dems will always be in power? No,

:27:56.:28:02.

and if you listen to the coverage these days you might think it is

:28:03.:28:08.

about grumpy old men on the one hand with Guardian readers on the other.

:28:09.:28:12.

It is far more complicated than that, there is a lot of churning

:28:13.:28:16.

going on underneath which is driven by people's value systems. A lot of

:28:17.:28:24.

this has been pioneered in the United States, very sophisticated on

:28:25.:28:28.

their election techniques, and in Britain we are always the first to

:28:29.:28:33.

grab whatever the New Year will is from America. How do you think this

:28:34.:28:38.

will translate to this country? I think it means that if you are

:28:39.:28:42.

target photo you will still get the same of leaflets and people calling,

:28:43.:28:48.

but you will probably have different kinds of conversations because

:28:49.:28:53.

people on the other side, the party campaigners, will think they know

:28:54.:28:59.

more about you. Will I know who you are? If I am a party campaigner,

:29:00.:29:04.

will I know, looking down the street, who fits into which

:29:05.:29:09.

category? You will be able to approximate that with all of the

:29:10.:29:12.

other data that you have gathered through polling, or doing local

:29:13.:29:18.

campaigning, that is the idea to make sense of this vast quantity of

:29:19.:29:24.

data people have about voters. We asked our panel to fill in your

:29:25.:29:29.

survey. Nick is optimistic contentment, 99%. He was 1%

:29:30.:29:35.

cosmopolitan critic, which is how he keeps his job at the Guardian.

:29:36.:29:40.

Polly's job could not be more secure, 100% cosmopolitan critics,

:29:41.:29:47.

and Janan Ganesh, optimistic contentment, which is what you would

:29:48.:29:50.

expect from a financial Times columnist. What do you make of this

:29:51.:30:07.

technique? Why are you only 99? It sounds really clever. 95% of the

:30:08.:30:16.

population five years ago voted Labour or the Conservatives. We have

:30:17.:30:21.

got away from that. It is coalition politics. You need sophisticated

:30:22.:30:27.

methods. Presumably you must not lose touch with basic points. You

:30:28.:30:33.

said it was used in the US presidential elections. Wasn't there

:30:34.:30:39.

them moment emit Romney 's sweet when the initial response was, we

:30:40.:30:43.

did not know the sort of people voted. His next response was, we did

:30:44.:30:51.

not know these people existed. Unless you know about certain key

:30:52.:30:55.

demographics, you are wasting your time. Is it important in modern

:30:56.:31:01.

campaigning? I think it is useful because it is about attitude. We

:31:02.:31:12.

have got Mosaic. We have got Acorn. It does not tell us very much. What

:31:13.:31:17.

people think and feel may be different to their income. You can

:31:18.:31:20.

be quite a high earner and anxious. You can be quite a low earner and

:31:21.:31:25.

feeling aspirational and optimistic about the future. I think this does

:31:26.:31:32.

get something else. In days gone by, particularly in America,

:31:33.:31:37.

overwhelmingly, if you are in the better of segment, you would be

:31:38.:31:41.

Republican and the blue-collar workers and some academics and

:31:42.:31:45.

Liberals voted Democrat. In the last election, the richest 200 counties

:31:46.:31:50.

in America voted Democrat. That is an attitude thing. Income does not

:31:51.:31:54.

tell you how people will vote. There is a huge, working-class base of

:31:55.:32:00.

support for the Republicans. It is unavoidable. Add a time when people

:32:01.:32:04.

no longer identify with ideologies or class blocks, you have to go the

:32:05.:32:12.

temperament and lifestyle and manageable. In America there were

:32:13.:32:22.

128 segments according to lifestyle and Outlook. Once you get to that

:32:23.:32:28.

stage, it becomes close to useless. We were talking about the budget

:32:29.:32:33.

earlier. What other polls saying about the budget? The lead of labour

:32:34.:32:41.

has been narrowed over the Conservatives. -- Labour. Osborne

:32:42.:32:48.

and Cameron as an academic team have always had a lead over Miller band

:32:49.:32:54.

and Balls. This week it is about economic management. -- over Mr

:32:55.:32:56.

Miller band. The Coming up, educating Yorkshire.

:32:57.:33:30.

Why this head teacher made famous on TV has some stinging criticism for

:33:31.:33:35.

the school's watchdog. There is a culture of fear building up. I feel

:33:36.:33:40.

the pressure of thinking are they going to knock on the door? And why

:33:41.:33:49.

some of our hospitals are facing huge fines for keeping patients

:33:50.:33:55.

waiting in ambulances outside A departments.

:33:56.:34:00.

They had of the school made famous in programme macro has hit back at

:34:01.:34:06.

claims that the county's schools suffer from a poverty of aspiration.

:34:07.:34:10.

It follows a report by Ofsted which suggests that as a region schools in

:34:11.:34:14.

Yorkshire and the Humber are the worst performing in the country. In

:34:15.:34:20.

a moment, we will be putting Jonny Mitchell's comments to Ofsted's

:34:21.:34:23.

regional director. First, this report.

:34:24.:34:31.

A practical, enthusiastic and enjoyable lesson in business and

:34:32.:34:33.

economics for these teenagers. And taking a look at how it was going,

:34:34.:34:36.

Tristram Hunt, the Shadow Education Secretary. They are used to

:34:37.:34:40.

high`profile visitors and television cameras here. The school is the

:34:41.:34:46.

school near Dewsbury which hit the headlines because of this. I am a

:34:47.:34:51.

new headteacher. My values are very traditional. Led by charismatic head

:34:52.:34:54.

teacher Jonny Mitchell, the staff and students here became the stars

:34:55.:34:57.

of Channel 4's Educating Yorkshire series. It highlighted the

:34:58.:35:03.

challenges faced by schools in some of our less affluent areas. The

:35:04.:35:09.

visit by Labour's education spokesman this week was a chance for

:35:10.:35:12.

Jonny Mitchell to outline what he sees as a major barrier to getting

:35:13.:35:18.

on with the job of teaching. I am not actually all that interested in

:35:19.:35:22.

the pieces of the paper at the end. League tables, Government

:35:23.:35:24.

information and especially the role of the school's inspectorate Ofsted,

:35:25.:35:28.

he says, are not helping. `` government in intervention. There is

:35:29.:35:35.

a culture of fear building up among the teaching profession with the

:35:36.:35:38.

very short notice of an Ofsted inspection. They are coming in and

:35:39.:35:41.

lessons are observed and sometimes a teacher will be able to teach a

:35:42.:35:45.

lesson which on the face of it is very good indeed, maybe even

:35:46.:35:47.

outstanding, yet their outcomes over time would suggest the teaching

:35:48.:35:50.

cannot be any better than good or maybe only requires improvement.

:35:51.:35:57.

When we come to Ofsted, what we need is quality inspectors doing a really

:35:58.:36:00.

detailed understanding of the school, not just relying on previous

:36:01.:36:03.

data, but getting a sense of what the school is about. Ofsted has a

:36:04.:36:15.

role to play. It informs parents about what is going on in schools.

:36:16.:36:19.

What we do not want is a politicised Ofsted. 24 hours after this visit,

:36:20.:36:21.

things started moving. A survey of 900 headteachers conducted by the

:36:22.:36:24.

Association of Schools and College Leaders showed that 65% of them had

:36:25.:36:27.

no confidence in the outcome of Ofsted inspections. Almost

:36:28.:36:30.

simultaneously, the head of Ofsted announced he was looking at hiring

:36:31.:36:32.

more experienced inspectors and having what he called lighter touch

:36:33.:36:42.

inspections. 60 miles away in Hull, these teenagers say Ofsted is

:36:43.:36:44.

putting a cloud over their education, especially with the

:36:45.:36:46.

latest annual report putting Yorkshire and North Lincolnshire at

:36:47.:36:56.

the bottom of the pile. You don't want to be told you can't do

:36:57.:37:00.

something when there is a good chance you could do it. I would like

:37:01.:37:03.

to go to university. I don't which one yet. I would like to study

:37:04.:37:06.

Chinese and business at university. When we are coming out with As and

:37:07.:37:10.

Bs, A*s, people are very shocked. If anything, it makes us more

:37:11.:37:13.

determined to succeed to prove to the rest of the country and everyone

:37:14.:37:17.

else that it is possible for us to get good grades. Their school here

:37:18.:37:20.

in East Hull has bucked the trend. Not just for the naturally bright

:37:21.:37:23.

ambitious students either. One in six used to leave here with no

:37:24.:37:28.

qualifications. There are now hardly any. These are some of the many

:37:29.:37:32.

places we take our young people to help bring the curriculum alive to

:37:33.:37:35.

them and help inspire them. The headteacher says those improvements

:37:36.:37:37.

have been helped by teaching initiatives that Ofsted inspectors

:37:38.:37:42.

do not even measure. What we try and do is make sure that each and every

:37:43.:37:46.

young person here, whilst working hard at the basics, English, maths,

:37:47.:37:49.

science and so on, they are learning that the curriculum is tailored to

:37:50.:37:52.

them as much as possible so they can see the relevance of it. Youngsters

:37:53.:37:59.

in state schools in some of our poorest areas prove success can be

:38:00.:38:03.

achieved. The question is, will the planned changes to the way

:38:04.:38:06.

inspections and measurement of progress are made help or hinder the

:38:07.:38:14.

process? Our guest today on Julian Sturdy, a

:38:15.:38:21.

Conservative MP, Linda Riordan, Labour MP for Halifax. And joining

:38:22.:38:25.

us for our top story, the regional director for Ofsted. If I could

:38:26.:38:30.

start with you, Nick, what did you mean when you said Yorkshire's

:38:31.:38:34.

schools are suffering from a poverty of aspiration? What I meant was head

:38:35.:38:40.

teachers, like the two we have just seen in the piece they have very

:38:41.:38:45.

high aspirations for the students in their schools. It shows through in

:38:46.:38:49.

what those two schools are achieving. What we need is every

:38:50.:38:52.

single school in Yorkshire and Humber to have the same level of

:38:53.:39:01.

aspiration. Julian Sturdy, do you recognise that phrase, poverty of

:39:02.:39:06.

aspiration? It is important we have aspiration flowing from our

:39:07.:39:10.

schools. My patch in York, we have really good schools. It is very

:39:11.:39:15.

important that you allow children from all backgrounds the opportunity

:39:16.:39:20.

to excel and do well at school. That is what we need to achieve. Linda

:39:21.:39:25.

Riordan, do you think teachers in your part of the world have

:39:26.:39:31.

confidence in Ofsted? 80% of our schools are classed as good or

:39:32.:39:36.

outstanding. I do not see that as a poverty of aspirations. The teachers

:39:37.:39:41.

and head teachers are fantastic and they want their pupils to achieve.

:39:42.:39:52.

They have done a really good job. We had the school branded the worst in

:39:53.:39:58.

the country. The council took the school on board and brought the

:39:59.:40:01.

standards up starting at primary school levels and not getting to

:40:02.:40:08.

that situation. I think teachers are doing a fantastic job and they want

:40:09.:40:13.

their pupils to achieve. I am not very keen on that sort of language.

:40:14.:40:18.

Nick, how do you respond to Jonny Mitchell, the programme macro

:40:19.:40:25.

headteacher when he says that your organisation Ofsted is creating a

:40:26.:40:31.

climate of fear a smart `` the educating Yorkshire headteacher. And

:40:32.:40:37.

inspection is a stressful time. But I also think most headteachers and

:40:38.:40:41.

governing bodies and politicians would say that parents deserve a

:40:42.:40:45.

right to know about the quality of the schools they might send their

:40:46.:40:50.

children to. Yes, there is stress. But it is absolutely necessary we

:40:51.:40:55.

hold schools to account. A survey showed 65% of headteachers did not

:40:56.:41:00.

have confidence in Ofsted to make accurate and reliable judgements.

:41:01.:41:06.

How do you respond to that? If you look at satisfaction surveys

:41:07.:41:08.

following Ofsted inspections, at the end of the stressful event,

:41:09.:41:14.

actually, our data shows that most headteachers are very satisfied with

:41:15.:41:19.

the experience of being inspected. Do you think Ofsted as a body is

:41:20.:41:25.

still fit for purpose? Yes. It is very important parents have the

:41:26.:41:28.

information available. So they can make decisions. That is the first

:41:29.:41:34.

point. The second point is when I go round my constituency talking to

:41:35.:41:38.

headteachers, you do find there is the concern over, as has been

:41:39.:41:47.

reported, how Ofsted Carrie at `` carry out their work. When that is

:41:48.:41:52.

the case, are they getting the true picture of what is happening in the

:41:53.:41:56.

school? That is why I do accept that in certain areas there should be a

:41:57.:42:00.

lighter touch approach. Linda Riordan, why do you think so many

:42:01.:42:04.

headteachers do not have confidence in Ofsted? I think there is so much

:42:05.:42:10.

pressure put on them for that amount of time that Ofsted are in the

:42:11.:42:13.

school with very little warning. Teachers are not just educating,

:42:14.:42:18.

they have all sorts to do and they are doing a really good job. The

:42:19.:42:23.

head of Ofsted said on Friday about lighter touch regulation. What does

:42:24.:42:29.

it mean for schools who are not performing well? For schools that

:42:30.:42:34.

are not yet good, it would be inspections very much as they are

:42:35.:42:37.

now. It is important to us that schools not yet good should actually

:42:38.:42:43.

be inspected thoroughly by a highly qualified inspection team which

:42:44.:42:48.

increasingly have practitioners, headteachers, as part of the

:42:49.:42:52.

inspection team. We have more and more headteachers who are part of

:42:53.:42:57.

the inspection process and we want to increase that number. It is

:42:58.:43:00.

really important headteachers have confidence in the system, as has

:43:01.:43:04.

been acknowledged or the other guests. Didn't be so recent show

:43:05.:43:08.

there are so many areas in a school which cannot be measured by the

:43:09.:43:12.

league tables? Getting kids to school on time, wearing the proper

:43:13.:43:17.

uniform, good discipline. Doesn't Jonny Mitchell have a point when he

:43:18.:43:21.

says what Ofsted are portraying is not always a true picture of many

:43:22.:43:24.

schools in poorer areas? Parents want to know what a school can

:43:25.:43:31.

actually do for their child. If they send their child to that school, are

:43:32.:43:35.

they going to get a high quality of education? Are they going to get the

:43:36.:43:39.

qualifications which will enable them to progress further in life?

:43:40.:43:45.

Yes, absolutely, there are aspects of the school we do not measure as

:43:46.:43:49.

Ofsted. That I think we measure the things parents regard as being

:43:50.:43:55.

absolutely vital. Thank you for joining us.

:43:56.:44:06.

We we warned our accident and emergency departments were facing

:44:07.:44:08.

the worst winter crisis in living memory.

:44:09.:44:10.

So, has that proved to be the case? Our health correspondents have been

:44:11.:44:13.

taking a close look at the figures for hospitals at opposite ends of

:44:14.:44:16.

our patch. In a moment, we'll hear from Vicky Johnson in Hull. But

:44:17.:44:19.

first, Jamie Coulson reports from Halifax.

:44:20.:44:22.

What did you do to your face question mark last November is

:44:23.:44:28.

for`year`old cut her head open when she fell. She was taken to A but

:44:29.:44:34.

her mother feels she has to wait too long to be seen. It was devastating

:44:35.:44:42.

to see her like that for so long. NHS targets mean 95% of patients

:44:43.:44:47.

should be seen within four hours. Latest figures show the hospital

:44:48.:44:55.

trust responsible for the A departments in Huddersfield and

:44:56.:44:57.

Halifax has struggled over the winter. Between the 10th of November

:44:58.:45:00.

last year and the 9th of March this year, Calderdale Royal Hospital and

:45:01.:45:08.

Huddersfield Royal infirmary sort 46,000 patients in A 2000 had to

:45:09.:45:13.

wait over four hours. They missed the target on seven out of the 18

:45:14.:45:19.

weeks. 738 patients had to wait between four and 12 hours on a

:45:20.:45:23.

trolley for a bird. These figures have been seized upon by campaigners

:45:24.:45:28.

concerned about a wider shake`up of health services proposed in this

:45:29.:45:33.

part of the world. In one scenario, the A in Halifax could be scaled

:45:34.:45:38.

back. Emergency cases would have to go to Huddersfield. People are

:45:39.:45:42.

having to wait too long. Some people are waiting on trolleys, in the

:45:43.:45:46.

backs of ambulances. We are struggling to cope with two A

:45:47.:45:51.

departments. Imagine if we only had one. The two hospitals are five

:45:52.:45:59.

miles apart. Both currently offer full A departments. But it could

:46:00.:46:04.

change under plans to centralise services on one side. The trust's

:46:05.:46:07.

preferred option would see all emergency and conflict move to

:46:08.:46:13.

Huddersfield. Calderdale would concentrate on planned and routine

:46:14.:46:17.

care. I would rather be here than Huddersfield. It is travelling for

:46:18.:46:24.

people visiting. I can see the point that it will be better. Is that not

:46:25.:46:29.

what everyone wants? You want it where it is convenient. The local

:46:30.:46:33.

NHS said that other options are being considered but the aim is to

:46:34.:46:37.

try and improve services not cut them. We are looking at changing the

:46:38.:46:43.

way services are provided. A is a small part of that. If we get the

:46:44.:46:46.

system right, people will visit hospital less, people will not need

:46:47.:46:52.

to go to the A department. People will have services closer to home.

:46:53.:46:57.

We will make sure it is easy for them to access them. For families

:46:58.:47:01.

relying on hospital services, these developments will be watched keenly.

:47:02.:47:05.

The local NHS stressed no decisions have yet been made.

:47:06.:47:12.

Ambulances delivering patients to the Hull Royal infirmary. Foremost,

:47:13.:47:16.

the turnaround time guidelines. If there are no bays available,

:47:17.:47:22.

patients have to stay in the ambulance. One paramedic told us

:47:23.:47:25.

during busy periods, they are often held up with patients on stretchers

:47:26.:47:33.

for up to an hour. The ambulances are parked outside not doing what

:47:34.:47:36.

they are supposed to be doing. Response times drop. If they cannot

:47:37.:47:40.

that the patients in in time, the hospital gets fined as well. New NHS

:47:41.:47:48.

figures show that more than 870 patients had to wait longer than

:47:49.:47:53.

they should before being transferred into A between December and

:47:54.:47:57.

February. Hospitals face fines of ?200 for every 30 minutes and

:47:58.:48:01.

ambulances kept waiting. In theory, this could mean the hospital trust

:48:02.:48:09.

could be fined ?175,000. Hospital managers have not yet been told

:48:10.:48:13.

whether they are to be fined. We want to spend every penny on

:48:14.:48:18.

improving patient care. We are investing ?7 million to improve the

:48:19.:48:21.

emergency department facilities. If we were fined a huge amount of

:48:22.:48:25.

money, it might threaten investment. The key thing is to work with our

:48:26.:48:29.

partners to deliver the right care for patients and spending money

:48:30.:48:33.

wisely where we need to invest in improvements in the hospital and in

:48:34.:48:37.

the community. We have received a statement from the Yorkshire

:48:38.:48:39.

Ambulance Service same patient handovers can be a challenge during

:48:40.:48:45.

times of high demand. It adds they are working with hospitals to

:48:46.:48:48.

minimise and avoid delays in the future. Meanwhile, doctors insist

:48:49.:48:53.

even when patients are kept waiting in ambulances they are still getting

:48:54.:48:58.

the care they need. Would you say there has been a

:48:59.:49:05.

winter A crisis? No, I would not. What we saw in Hull is worrying but

:49:06.:49:08.

it is not the picture right across Yorkshire. In York, they are meeting

:49:09.:49:15.

the target 98% of the time. We have got other gun, Wakefield,

:49:16.:49:18.

Pontefract, I believe they are hitting 99% of their targets `` we

:49:19.:49:29.

have got Dewsbury. The government put ?650 million into A services

:49:30.:49:37.

for the winter. The important thing was it was not just about new money,

:49:38.:49:42.

it was also about the timing. It came early so it allowed hospitals

:49:43.:49:46.

to plan ahead. There is still an awful lot of trusts in our area not

:49:47.:49:51.

hitting the 95% target to see patients within four hours. Many

:49:52.:49:56.

people watching will say, I checked into A and I was not seen within

:49:57.:50:02.

four hours. It is worrying and needs to be worked on. The hope is the

:50:03.:50:07.

money that has been put in by the government will improve the targets.

:50:08.:50:13.

Linda Riordan, we know you're A department in Halifax is under

:50:14.:50:18.

threat, as we saw there. Where would you find the ?50 million that needs

:50:19.:50:22.

to be saved in order to keep the A open? The most important thing said

:50:23.:50:30.

was that we want services closer to home. That is what they want to give

:50:31.:50:38.

to us. Taking away the A to Huddersfield and Dewsbury hospital

:50:39.:50:42.

has been mentioned, that accident and emergency is closing down. The

:50:43.:50:49.

pressure on Huddersfield, three A into one. People want to find

:50:50.:50:54.

the money to keep the NHS as it is. I think the government actually had

:50:55.:51:02.

their wrist slapped. A `` for saying that the money is rising when it is

:51:03.:51:08.

not. Where would a future Labour government find the money? We have

:51:09.:51:14.

got to find it. The bankers bonuses would be my first point. People want

:51:15.:51:27.

the NHS as it is. We want a `` A close to home. We have got to keep

:51:28.:51:31.

Calderdale. Purpose`built hospital, 2000. Closing A is political

:51:32.:51:40.

suicide for the government. We have got to support the NHS services. The

:51:41.:51:45.

government is doing that. It has put more money into the NHS. ?650

:51:46.:51:50.

million went into winter resilience for this year which was new money

:51:51.:51:56.

and it went in in good time. Whenever you are looking at

:51:57.:51:59.

reconfiguring services, it is always difficult. For me, the key thing is

:52:00.:52:03.

there has got to be proper consultation. I think that Linda

:52:04.:52:14.

Riordan has already said that is not happening and that is a concern.

:52:15.:52:18.

When you take a decision like this, it must not be politicians making

:52:19.:52:22.

those decisions. It has got to be health care professionals. More on

:52:23.:52:28.

the week's political news now. Louise has our round`up in 60

:52:29.:52:34.

seconds. There was a post`budget high amongst

:52:35.:52:37.

commuters between Hull and Selby when electrification of the line was

:52:38.:52:42.

announced. Local MPs want work to begin soon in time for when Hull

:52:43.:52:48.

becomes City of Culture in 2017. But Conservatives faced accusations

:52:49.:52:50.

of patronising southern stereotyping of the North after publishing this

:52:51.:52:53.

message trumpeting the Chancellor's decision to cut the duty on beer and

:52:54.:53:01.

tax on bingo. Hull MP Diana Johnson says Tories need re`educating.

:53:02.:53:06.

Working class culture is not just about beer and bingo. Or for that

:53:07.:53:09.

matter pigeon fancying, wearing a flat cap or having a whippet.

:53:10.:53:13.

An 84`year`old Lincolnshire Conservative MP Sir Peter Tapsell is

:53:14.:53:16.

to stand down at the next general election. His decision will open up

:53:17.:53:21.

a plum vacancy in a safe Tory seat wanting speculation the seat is

:53:22.:53:24.

being lined up for Boris Johnson, especially after David Cameron said

:53:25.:53:26.

he wanted the Mayor of London back in the Commons at the next election.

:53:27.:53:39.

Linda Riordan, what did you make of the budget? We are waiting to see

:53:40.:53:47.

how it will pan out, being able to take all of our pensions. You have

:53:48.:53:54.

got a week pension, have you? I have not. I do not think that will be it.

:53:55.:53:59.

I am picking up on the clips and what Diane said are getting more

:54:00.:54:06.

Eton boys into the Cabinet, it shows when you get leaflets about bingo

:54:07.:54:10.

and beer. That is what they think about us in Halifax. That is not the

:54:11.:54:15.

case. Not everybody plays bingo. There is nothing wrong with that or

:54:16.:54:20.

going for a pint. The beer and bingo advert was a mistake? It was. I

:54:21.:54:27.

would not have done it. About the budget, it was a really good budget.

:54:28.:54:38.

Penny off the beer is good news. I have lots of pubs in my patch will

:54:39.:54:41.

be pleased about that. Also, the brewing industry in Yorkshire will

:54:42.:54:45.

be celebrating. Lots of good news in the budget. Obviously, the personal

:54:46.:54:51.

tax allowance was a big thing as well. You are not just Tory toffs

:54:52.:54:57.

then, no idea about how we operate in the north? I am Yorkshire born

:54:58.:55:01.

and bred and proud of that. I did not agree with what was put in

:55:02.:55:06.

there. The budget was good. Another thing, we must mention this, the

:55:07.:55:11.

Yorkshire Air Ambulance and the support for it, something that all

:55:12.:55:18.

Yorkshire MPs have been campaigning on and we have had a success. The

:55:19.:55:22.

Chancellor has listened. Would you like to see Boris Johnson back in

:55:23.:55:29.

the Commons? He probably will. I think he is coming back and we will

:55:30.:55:38.

see how it plays out and how the Prime Minister... Of course you

:55:39.:55:42.

surround yourself by friends and allies when you are the Prime

:55:43.:55:46.

Minister. But do we want to many Eton boys and girls if we have many

:55:47.:55:53.

girls in the Cabinet? Boris Johnson back rest at I don't know. It is not

:55:54.:55:59.

up to me to decide. It is up to the members of the seat to decide. I am

:56:00.:56:05.

very sad to see the news about Sir Peter Tapsell. He will be missed.

:56:06.:56:08.

Thank you both for your time Julian Sturdy, Linda Riordan. Back to

:56:09.:56:12.

Andrew Neil. decision, she will weigh up the

:56:13.:56:24.

The big news is the popular server is struggling to control all of the

:56:25.:56:40.

people who want to find out where they fit in the political spectrum.

:56:41.:56:45.

It hasn't quite crashed but it is queueing up those people. Who would

:56:46.:56:50.

have thought the Sunday Politics had so many viewers? It has never

:56:51.:57:00.

happened on the X factor. This morning's papers don't make

:57:01.:57:02.

comfortable reading for Labour with two separate polls showing the

:57:03.:57:05.

party's lead over the Tories is down to just one point. And there's been

:57:06.:57:08.

plenty of criticism of Ed Miliband's response to the Budget. Let's take a

:57:09.:57:11.

look. You know you are in trouble when even the Education Secretary

:57:12.:57:14.

calls you and out of touch bunch of elitist. Where is he? He is hiding!

:57:15.:57:27.

I think he has been consigned to the naughty step by the Prime Minister.

:57:28.:57:34.

The naughty step! And we're joined now by shadow chief secretary to the

:57:35.:57:38.

Treasury, Chris Leslie. There was a widely criticised response by Ed

:57:39.:57:43.

Balls to the Autumn Statement, now a widely criticised response by Ed

:57:44.:57:49.

Miliband to the Budget. Does this show you are struggling at the

:57:50.:57:55.

moment? Of course Ed Balls and Ed Miliband don't want to hear the fact

:57:56.:58:00.

that in reality, for most people, life is getting harder and there is

:58:01.:58:04.

the cost of living crisis. Did we get any mention of that in the

:58:05.:58:13.

Budget? Of course we didn't. We were waiting for action on the cost of

:58:14.:58:18.

living and it wasn't forthcoming. Ed Miliband came up with the tactic of

:58:19.:58:23.

responding to the Budget without mentioning anything that was in it.

:58:24.:58:28.

He mentioned the fact the personal tax allowance was a bit of a

:58:29.:58:32.

giveaway but he takes more with the other hand. He is in favour of that,

:58:33.:58:39.

right? Anything we can get but we need a lot more. Let me tell you

:58:40.:58:43.

something else he mentioned, the fact the national debt has risen by

:58:44.:58:51.

a third and George Osborne and David Cameron... They knew that before the

:58:52.:58:55.

Budget. The borrowing figures were announced and Ed Miliband made

:58:56.:59:01.

reference to those. There is not a lot of happiness on Labour

:59:02.:59:05.

backbenchers about this, is there? And indeed not a lot of happiness in

:59:06.:59:11.

the shadow cabinet. There is concern that Ed Miliband is on a journey to

:59:12.:59:16.

remodel world capitalism whilst George Osborne is firing some love

:59:17.:59:19.

bombs at Middle England by talking about freeing up the pensions market

:59:20.:59:24.

and there is real nerves that what Ed Miliband is saying is not going

:59:25.:59:29.

to be in tune with those middle income earners that the Labour Party

:59:30.:59:35.

has got to attract if they are going to win the general election. When

:59:36.:59:42.

Rachel Reeves used the medium of Radio 4 to announce you were broadly

:59:43.:59:46.

in favour of the pension reforms announced by the Chancellor on

:59:47.:59:49.

Friday night, was that a result of a decision taken by the shadow

:59:50.:00:00.

cabinet? Is With annuities, they are a very old-fashioned product. There

:00:01.:00:06.

are some serious questions which need to be addressed. Was that the

:00:07.:00:13.

result of a Shadow Cabinet decision? We have not had a Shadow

:00:14.:00:18.

Cabinet since the budget. We all want to make sure that we understand

:00:19.:00:22.

the point about flexibility. No one is arguing with that. There are some

:00:23.:00:28.

serious concerns. Let me give you a couple of examples. This is

:00:29.:00:31.

something the Chancellor has done, he claims, for reasons of freedom

:00:32.:00:36.

and flexibility. Is it a coincidence he is grabbing quite a lot of tax

:00:37.:00:40.

from pensioners early on to plug a hole which is necessary because the

:00:41.:00:48.

deficit has not gone down? Forgive me for being slightly cynical about

:00:49.:00:54.

motives. For or against it? We need to have safeguards for protection of

:00:55.:00:58.

pensioners. What will it do for the annuity market if most people still

:00:59.:01:02.

want to have a steadying come for a third of their lives? -- steady

:01:03.:01:10.

income. What does Labour have to do to get it show back on the road? The

:01:11.:01:19.

question is, how do people feel? How many people will still not be

:01:20.:01:23.

feeling better by the next election? Wages may be rising slightly but not

:01:24.:01:26.

for a large and significant number of people. They were just looking at

:01:27.:01:31.

the YouGov poll. If you look at the middle to low earners, they are

:01:32.:01:35.

overwhelmingly pro-labour. Can Labour get those people out to vote?

:01:36.:01:40.

They are really hurting. There are plenty of them. The question is

:01:41.:01:44.

whether people are optimistic because they see figures as if they

:01:45.:01:49.

look as if they are on the up or whether they vote according to how

:01:50.:01:54.

they feel, which will still be very far behind. Cost of living has been

:01:55.:01:59.

a major mantra from Labour. That's that this chart shows how things are

:02:00.:02:04.

beginning to change. What this shows is that, sometime this year, after a

:02:05.:02:10.

long time at which average earnings trailed inflation, they now overtake

:02:11.:02:14.

it in the run-up to the election and they stay there for the forecast

:02:15.:02:21.

period. What do you now do if your cost of living mantra is running out

:02:22.:02:27.

of steam? I am not sure that, for most people, they will recognise the

:02:28.:02:31.

sense that suddenly things will be getting better. Particularly the

:02:32.:02:33.

younger generation are really feeling quite down about the

:02:34.:02:40.

pressures they are facing to make ends meet. You can see the lines are

:02:41.:02:47.

exaggerated because the Y axis on the side starts quite high up. It

:02:48.:02:52.

does not start at zero. The other statistic from the OBR is that we

:02:53.:02:56.

will not be getting back to the point where wages are exceeding

:02:57.:03:00.

prices from the pre-banking crisis period until late 2017. There are

:03:01.:03:08.

some really serious pressures that people are under. What they wanted

:03:09.:03:11.

was a budget that would address concerns and, for the vast majority

:03:12.:03:17.

of people, they will have heard the statement by George Osborne and

:03:18.:03:22.

think, how is it really help them now? It did not address it. It is

:03:23.:03:31.

clear that by 2015, average living standards will probably not have

:03:32.:03:36.

returned to where they were in 2010. Average wages will not have

:03:37.:03:39.

done that. On the other hand, the chart shows the sense of direction

:03:40.:03:44.

is moving in the right way. Which one matters more with the

:03:45.:03:49.

electorate? I suspect it is sense of direction. People sense of

:03:50.:03:53.

prosperity does not need to be buoyant. It has to be something

:03:54.:03:58.

worth preserving. We have to fear the all turn. That is what intrigued

:03:59.:04:03.

me this week. People make too much of a fuss about the Parliamentary

:04:04.:04:08.

response by Ed Miliband. People will forgive a bad day at the dispatch

:04:09.:04:13.

box. What they will not forgive is the absence of a macro economic

:04:14.:04:20.

mess. Labour have a very powerful message on living standards and lots

:04:21.:04:24.

of popular, targeted interventions like the energy price freeze. You

:04:25.:04:31.

can imagine they will be sufficiently nervous about that next

:04:32.:04:36.

year. If living standards are not back to where they were, Labour can

:04:37.:04:44.

say, are you better off now than when you were four years ago? The

:04:45.:04:52.

reason why break and -- wallowed waken one that is because Jimmy

:04:53.:05:04.

Carter mucked it up -- Ronald Reagan. Labour have to say, vote for

:05:05.:05:12.

us and you will get 2 million homes. At the moment, the offer is very

:05:13.:05:16.

modest. You need to find the money to do that. People need to

:05:17.:05:20.

understand that housing is at the very heart of the economy, as well

:05:21.:05:24.

as young people and their aspirations. At the moment, Labour

:05:25.:05:31.

's offer is not spectacular in. If the focus group shows the cost of

:05:32.:05:34.

living crisis have no longer has the attraction it did, what line do you

:05:35.:05:40.

move onto? Yellow McCoy must remind people of the wasted years and the

:05:41.:05:42.

cost of living pressures they have been under. -- we must remind

:05:43.:05:50.

people. We want a recovery which has low growth, low wage. A race to the

:05:51.:05:59.

bottom. They want a recovery that is felt by everyone, shared and felt by

:06:00.:06:05.

all. Now, here's an idea to twist your melon. Mark Berry, better known

:06:06.:06:10.

as Bez, it says here he's a member of something called The Happy

:06:11.:06:12.

Mondays, wants to stand for parliament. He's best known for

:06:13.:06:16.

being in a band, and not doing very much, so he might fit in. Here he is

:06:17.:06:20.

in action. And Bez joins us from our Salford

:06:21.:06:49.

studio. Good to see you. Is this a genuine candidacy or are you

:06:50.:06:57.

twisting my melon? Amazing how time flies when you're having fun! You

:06:58.:07:05.

having fun doing this candidacy? I am doing the job of the politicians

:07:06.:07:10.

and standing up for the people and bringing attention to the horror of

:07:11.:07:15.

fracking, which is a totally unsafe technology. There is no one in

:07:16.:07:20.

mainstream politics who is discussing or saying anything about

:07:21.:07:25.

it. It is an unsafe technology and it has been proven in America. You

:07:26.:07:30.

see the process in America and the people out on the streets. The whole

:07:31.:07:40.

atmosphere has been made toxic. These people are allowing it to

:07:41.:07:44.

happen in the name of profit. This has been a Labour seat you are

:07:45.:07:51.

fighting in Salford since 1945. It is a tough mountain. Supposing you

:07:52.:07:56.

were to win, could you ever see yourself entering a coalition? With

:07:57.:08:03.

a bit of luck I may be able to shame Labour politicians to do the job

:08:04.:08:06.

properly and stand up for the rights of people. They are not and I am

:08:07.:08:10.

having to do that job. All I am doing is causing debate and bringing

:08:11.:08:15.

to attention the horror that is hanging on our doorsteps. It is not

:08:16.:08:20.

only fracking but GM modified foods that they want to bring into this

:08:21.:08:25.

country as well. Owen Paterson is one of the main lobbyists. Lobbying

:08:26.:08:33.

is legalised bribery, by the way. It is run by the bankers. Basically, we

:08:34.:08:38.

have to stop these monsters from getting into our country and turning

:08:39.:08:43.

our land into a toxic waste. That is what I am trying to say. You are

:08:44.:08:49.

raising the debate, as you are doing with us here. We do not really need

:08:50.:08:55.

fracking. You have done that and you have talked about other things as

:08:56.:09:00.

well. In terms of a new integrity, if you were to become an MP, would

:09:01.:09:07.

you claim expenses? If I ever do get in charge, I would completely enter

:09:08.:09:11.

the banking system and there would be expensive, but they would be like

:09:12.:09:16.

bus passes and train passes. You behave like the people and you are

:09:17.:09:20.

in touch with the people, you move with the people and do understand

:09:21.:09:25.

what the people want. You do not live in acre Kuhn of your own making

:09:26.:09:29.

of luxury, wealth and total disregard of everyone else. -- a

:09:30.:09:37.

cocoon. If you did get into the Palace of Westminster and had to

:09:38.:09:40.

mingle with all these people, who would you rather have in night out

:09:41.:09:46.

with - Mr Cameron, Mr Miller band or Mr Clegg? I would be willing to

:09:47.:09:55.

discuss politics with anybody. I would make them realise what they

:09:56.:10:03.

are doing. I am glad too have a debate and with anyone. The people

:10:04.:10:09.

of Salford, quite a lot people people behind me. I have been

:10:10.:10:16.

speaking to Salford councillors. They are going to lend me their

:10:17.:10:24.

support. The people of Salford, and not to forget the people of Eccles,

:10:25.:10:30.

sending you much. We must stop this horror. There is a monster on our

:10:31.:10:35.

doorstep and we must stop it, people. Do not forget to take your

:10:36.:10:40.

maracas on campaign trail. Would you like a pair to shake yourself? You

:10:41.:10:49.

shake your maracas against fracking! Thanks, Bez, goodbye. Thank you for

:10:50.:10:54.

giving me a little platform to express my views. Now if there's one

:10:55.:11:01.

thing that gets us hot under the collar here at the Sunday Politics

:11:02.:11:04.

it's European elections. The only thing we like more than the

:11:05.:11:07.

elections themselves is a TV debate about them. And we're in luck! Take

:11:08.:11:12.

a look at this. Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome leader of

:11:13.:11:15.

the Liberal Democrats and Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg. Gives

:11:16.:11:23.

the most fantastic welcome to Nigel Farage. I would challenge Nigel

:11:24.:11:31.

Farage to a public, open debate, about whether she we should be out

:11:32.:11:38.

all in of the European Union. I will do it for Nick Clegg. Since 2009, I

:11:39.:11:49.

have taken part in 45% of votes in the European Parliament. Nigel

:11:50.:11:55.

Farage has not tabled a single amendment since July 2009. Mr Clegg

:11:56.:12:03.

has only taken part in 22% of votes in the House of commons. You can

:12:04.:12:11.

watch the debate at 7pm on the 2nd of April over on BBC Two. And for a

:12:12.:12:23.

chance to be part of the studio audience on the night and put your

:12:24.:12:26.

question to the two party leaders, e-mail the question you'd like to

:12:27.:12:29.

ask to [email protected] or tweet it using the hashtag

:12:30.:12:31.

#europedebate. And Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage will be limbering up

:12:32.:12:34.

this week with their first debate on LBC radio on Wednesday. Who is going

:12:35.:12:43.

to come out the best? I suspect Nigel Farage. It is easy to portray

:12:44.:12:48.

Nick Clegg as morally compromised, who has not asserted himself in

:12:49.:12:53.

government. I do wonder about Nigel Farage, whether he is much better at

:12:54.:12:58.

delivering a popular line and responding to the second question of

:12:59.:13:03.

third question. Nick Clegg will win it hands over fist because he knows

:13:04.:13:07.

this stuff. He is right. The evidence that he can produce about

:13:08.:13:11.

what will happen if we pulled out of Europe will, I think, overwhelm

:13:12.:13:19.

Nigel Farage 's one-liners. They will both be winners because you

:13:20.:13:26.

will have the rare sight of the pro-European saying he likes the

:13:27.:13:30.

European Union. That is unlike Eurosceptics who tie themselves up

:13:31.:13:35.

in knots. 14 Nigel, one for Nick and one for both. There you go. Here is

:13:36.:13:49.

a mess, it is Janen Ganesh. That's all for today. The Daily Politics is

:13:50.:13:53.

on BBC Two at Lunchtime every day this week, I'll be back here next

:13:54.:13:56.

week with Energy Secretary Ed Davey. Remember if it's Sunday, it's the

:13:57.:13:58.

Sunday Politics.

:13:59.:14:04.

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