
Browse content similar to 18/05/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Good morning. Welcome to The Sunday Politics. Just four days to go until | :00:37. | :00:44. | |
election day, and be warned, coming to a street near you, a party leader | :00:45. | :00:48. | |
on a charm offensive. They all want your vote in the European elections | :00:49. | :00:52. | |
on Thursday, and in the local elections across England, too. Polls | :00:53. | :00:57. | |
are all over the place this morning. Your vote could make a | :00:58. | :01:02. | |
difference. This man is 11 points ahead in one poll, he has promised | :01:03. | :01:05. | |
an earthquake on Thursday, but what then? Our Adam has braved the | :01:06. | :01:11. | |
On the Sunday Politics in Yorkshire all the big | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
On the Sunday Politics in Yorkshire and Lincolnshire, we look at claims | :01:16. | :01:18. | |
that local Government is facing extinction, as town halls have less | :01:19. | :01:19. | |
money and fewer services to run. elections, and the 50th anniversary | :01:20. | :01:26. | |
of the first elections to London's 32 boroughs. I am in the studio, | :01:27. | :01:36. | |
with those who think they have got all the big answers. Nick Watt, | :01:37. | :01:46. | |
Helen Lewis and Janan Ganesh. So, it is the European elections for | :01:47. | :01:49. | |
everybody on Thursday, local elections for England and a bit of | :01:50. | :01:53. | |
Northern Ireland as well. They are the last elections before the big | :01:54. | :01:58. | |
one, the 2015 general election. Some say that these European and local | :01:59. | :02:01. | |
elections will not be much of a pointer to how the big one goes. But | :02:02. | :02:06. | |
that will not stop political commentators and party gurus from | :02:07. | :02:11. | |
examining them closely. So, what is at stake? Thursday May the 22nd is | :02:12. | :02:17. | |
local elections and European Parliament elections. | :02:18. | :02:37. | |
These local results should be known by Friday. In the European | :02:38. | :02:45. | |
elections, all 751 members of the European Parliament will be elected | :02:46. | :02:50. | |
across Europe. 73 MEPs will be let it by people living in the UK. But | :02:51. | :02:54. | |
the results will not be announced until Sunday night, after voting has | :02:55. | :02:58. | |
closed throughout the 28 member states of the EU. Nick Watt, we are | :02:59. | :03:03. | |
in a position where the polls this morning cannot tell us what the | :03:04. | :03:07. | |
outcome is going to be on Thursday, and the general election is still | :03:08. | :03:11. | |
wide open - we really are in uncharted territory? Also it is | :03:12. | :03:15. | |
difficult to know where we are, because there is that ComRes poll | :03:16. | :03:19. | |
which shows an 11 point lead amongst those certain to vote for UKIP, and | :03:20. | :03:24. | |
another poll in the Sunday Times showing that it is a much more | :03:25. | :03:29. | |
slender lead for UKIP. But we know that will they win? We do not know, | :03:30. | :03:36. | |
but clearly they will unsettle the major parties. Fall or five months | :03:37. | :03:39. | |
ago, we assumed that the UKIP success would create panic in the | :03:40. | :03:45. | |
Conservative Party, but that has been factored into David Cameron's | :03:46. | :03:49. | |
share price. The Conservative Party is remarkably relaxed at the moment, | :03:50. | :03:52. | |
and I wonder whether this time next week, when we have the results, | :03:53. | :03:57. | |
whether the two political leaders who will be under pressure will be | :03:58. | :04:01. | |
Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg. Nick Clegg, because they could go down | :04:02. | :04:05. | |
from 12 MEPs to maybe just three or four. And Ed Miliband, because, one | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
year before a general election, he should be showing that he is a | :04:11. | :04:13. | |
significant, potent electoral force. So, they should all be | :04:14. | :04:20. | |
worried about UKIP, but whereas a couple of months ago, we would all | :04:21. | :04:23. | |
have said David Cameron was the one who should be worried, now, we are | :04:24. | :04:28. | |
saying it is Mr Miliband and Mr Clegg? And of the two, I think it is | :04:29. | :04:33. | |
Ed Miliband who should be worried. The Lib Dems are an incredibly | :04:34. | :04:42. | |
resilient party. He described his own party as cockroaches, and | :04:43. | :04:51. | |
incredible resilience! I think the Lib Dems are ready to take this one, | :04:52. | :04:55. | |
but I think Labour are really wobbly at the moment. What UKIP has done, | :04:56. | :05:00. | |
to England, it means that England has caught up with Scotland, | :05:01. | :05:04. | |
Northern Ireland and Wales, England now has a four party system, which | :05:05. | :05:09. | |
makes it all the more uncertain what the outcome will be? Yes, but | :05:10. | :05:16. | |
whether UKIP finish first or second, it will be the biggest insurgent | :05:17. | :05:18. | |
event since the European elections began in 1979. People talk about the | :05:19. | :05:23. | |
Greens in 1989, but I think they finished third. Were UKIP to win a | :05:24. | :05:29. | |
national election or even finish runner-up, it would be truly | :05:30. | :05:33. | |
historic. It is reflecting on something which is happening across | :05:34. | :05:37. | |
Europe, pianist in Italy, Holland, France and in this country. -- | :05:38. | :05:45. | |
populist parties. And it makes first past the post look absolutely | :05:46. | :05:50. | |
ridiculous. You could be in a situation after the next general | :05:51. | :05:54. | |
election where Labour do not get the largest percentage of the vote but | :05:55. | :05:57. | |
they get the largest number of seats. First past the post works | :05:58. | :06:00. | |
fairly if there are only two parties, but when there are four... | :06:01. | :06:07. | |
We will talk more about that. Let's speak now to Suzanne Evans of UKIP. | :06:08. | :06:12. | |
She is at Westminster. Now, UKIP claims that there is going to be an | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
earthquake in British politics on Thursday. Suppose there is, what | :06:16. | :06:21. | |
does UKIP then need to do to become a more grown-up, proper party? I | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
think UKIP has very much become a grown-up, proper party. We have been | :06:26. | :06:32. | |
around for 20 years. What we are going to be doing after the European | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
elections, if we do cause this earthquake, and the polls are | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
looking like we are going to, is we will be firmly looking towards 2015, | :06:41. | :06:44. | |
getting our general election manifesto out, to keep those votes | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
on board from the euro elections and putting forward common-sense | :06:50. | :06:51. | |
policies which really will bring Britain back to the people. We want | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
to be able to hold the balance of power come the general election. If | :06:56. | :06:59. | |
we can do that then there will be a referendum. That will be our aim. | :07:00. | :07:09. | |
You say you are a more grown-up party, but when you look at the | :07:10. | :07:14. | |
stream of gaffes and controversies created by your candidates and | :07:15. | :07:17. | |
members, I will not go into them this morning, at the very least, I | :07:18. | :07:23. | |
would suggest you are needing a more robust system of selection? You | :07:24. | :07:27. | |
could say the same for the other three parties, who have been around | :07:28. | :07:32. | |
for a lot longer. They have got nothing like the embarrassments you | :07:33. | :07:37. | |
had. I am afraid they had. Just this week, since Monday, we have had 17 | :07:38. | :07:42. | |
Liberal Democrat, labour or Conservative councillors either | :07:43. | :07:46. | |
arrested, charged or convicted on all manner of offences. In addition | :07:47. | :07:49. | |
we have had 13 who have been involved in some kind of racist, | :07:50. | :07:53. | |
sexist or homophobic incident. I am not saying I am proud of any of | :07:54. | :07:57. | |
that. The whole of politics probably needs to be cleaned up, but I | :07:58. | :08:01. | |
certainly do not think we are any worse than the other parties, who | :08:02. | :08:04. | |
have much greater resources than we do. Those other parties are even | :08:05. | :08:11. | |
putting people in power who they know have got criminal convictions | :08:12. | :08:14. | |
or who have previously belonged to far right, fascist parties like the | :08:15. | :08:20. | |
BNP. Can you continue to be a one-man band? The only time any | :08:21. | :08:24. | |
other UKIP petition makes the headlines is when they say something | :08:25. | :08:30. | |
loony or objectionable? We have a huge amount of talent in this party. | :08:31. | :08:34. | |
We have fantastic spokespeople across the patch, the huge amount of | :08:35. | :08:38. | |
expertise in the party. Inevitably the media focuses on Nigel Farage, | :08:39. | :08:42. | |
who is a fantastic, charismatic leader. But believe me, there is a | :08:43. | :08:50. | |
huge amount of talent. When we get our MEPs into power after the | :08:51. | :08:54. | |
European elections, we will see many more of them I think on television | :08:55. | :09:00. | |
and radio and in the newspapers. We are not a one-man band. Who runs | :09:01. | :09:07. | |
your party? The party is run by Nigel Farage, our leader. But he | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
spends all his time running between television studios and in and out of | :09:12. | :09:17. | |
the pub! You would be amazed how much he does, and of course we have | :09:18. | :09:20. | |
a National Executive Committee, like the other parties. So who runs it? | :09:21. | :09:26. | |
The National Executive Committee, in conjunction with Nigel Farage, the | :09:27. | :09:31. | |
MEPs, the spokespeople, it is a joint effort. Your Local Government | :09:32. | :09:34. | |
Minister Stosur is, if you vote UKIP, you go on to pledge that your | :09:35. | :09:39. | |
councillors will not toe the party line, how does that work? -- your | :09:40. | :09:50. | |
local government manifesto says... On the main policies, they will toe | :09:51. | :09:54. | |
the party line, because that is obviously what people will be voting | :09:55. | :09:58. | |
for. It is no good putting forward a manifesto like the Lib Dems did on | :09:59. | :10:03. | |
2010 and going back on it. We have put forward a lot of positive -- a | :10:04. | :10:09. | |
lot of policies at local government level, and those we will stick to. | :10:10. | :10:14. | |
But when it comes to individual, local issues, say, a particular | :10:15. | :10:17. | |
development or the closure of a school, whatever, UKIP then will | :10:18. | :10:23. | |
vote what they think is in the best interests of the people in the | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
borough, and not according to any party whip system. This plays out | :10:28. | :10:33. | |
really well on the doorstep, I find. People do not want their politicians | :10:34. | :10:36. | |
to be in the pockets of their party, putting party first, ahead of | :10:37. | :10:40. | |
the people. You want people to vote to leave the European Union in a | :10:41. | :10:45. | |
referendum - have you published a road map as to what would then | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
happen? Yes, there will be a road map. The Lisbon Treaty for the first | :10:50. | :10:54. | |
time gave us that exit opportunity. Have you published a road map? I am | :10:55. | :11:00. | |
not the legal expert on this but there are ways in which you can come | :11:01. | :11:04. | |
out of Europe fairly quickly. There is a longer you all as well. But | :11:05. | :11:07. | |
have you published any of that detail? Not that I have read. But | :11:08. | :11:14. | |
certainly there are ways to do it. We are the sixth strongest world | :11:15. | :11:18. | |
economy, I think we are in a strong position having left the EU to be | :11:19. | :11:21. | |
able to negotiate a very good trade deal with the European Union. It is | :11:22. | :11:26. | |
what people voted for in 1975. What would be our exact status? It would | :11:27. | :11:34. | |
be I think what people voted for back in 1975. An independent, | :11:35. | :11:39. | |
sovereign country in a trade agreement, a very positive and | :11:40. | :11:43. | |
valuable trade agreement with the European Union. I voted in that | :11:44. | :11:48. | |
referendum, I remember it well, 1975 involved the free movement of people | :11:49. | :11:53. | |
's... That is something which I do not think UKIP or the country wants. | :11:54. | :11:59. | |
70% of people now are deeply concerned about immigration. So it | :12:00. | :12:08. | |
would not be 1975, then? Andrew, it sounds like you are complaining that | :12:09. | :12:12. | |
we might have something which is better than 1975. I am just trying | :12:13. | :12:18. | |
to find out what it is! That sounds like positive to me. We will | :12:19. | :12:23. | |
negotiate a trade deal and all manner of issues, whatever is best | :12:24. | :12:27. | |
for the British people. We want our sovereignty back, we want our | :12:28. | :12:30. | |
country back. Would you be upset if a bunch of Rumanian men moved in | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
next door to you? Where I live, I am surrounded by one and two-bedroom | :12:36. | :12:40. | |
flats. If ten Rumanian men moved in next door to me, I would want to ask | :12:41. | :12:44. | |
questions. That is very different from say a Robinho family moving in | :12:45. | :12:54. | |
next door. I would think, are they being ripped off, are they up to no | :12:55. | :12:58. | |
good or are they perhaps being trafficked by a gang master? So I | :12:59. | :13:03. | |
think it would be of concern, and I do not think there is anything wrong | :13:04. | :13:06. | |
with that, it is a humanitarian approach. That would be different | :13:07. | :13:09. | |
from a family moving in who were learning to speak English, who | :13:10. | :13:12. | |
wanted to contribute to the British economy. Maybe if your boss is | :13:13. | :13:18. | |
watching, he will now have found out how to answer that question. | :13:19. | :13:27. | |
Now, what is more glamorous, 24 hours in the life of a | :13:28. | :13:35. | |
counter-terrorism agent, or 12 hours in the life of Adam Fleming, on the | :13:36. | :13:40. | |
campaign trail? I will let you make up your own mind. So, it is eight | :13:41. | :13:47. | |
o'clock in the morning here in Westminster. Today's challenge is, | :13:48. | :13:51. | |
how much campaigning for the local and European elections can we fit | :13:52. | :13:56. | |
into 12 hours? See you back here at eight o'clock tonight. Wish me | :13:57. | :14:01. | |
luck. With my cameraman and producer, we went to Thurrock in | :14:02. | :14:08. | |
Essex first. I got a very, very warm welcome from Abe buoyant UKIP. They | :14:09. | :14:19. | |
have never had this much attention. One candidate's misdemeanour ends up | :14:20. | :14:25. | |
on the front page. But you have got Lib Dem candidates being convicted | :14:26. | :14:27. | |
of racially aggravated assault, and that was not on the front pages of | :14:28. | :14:31. | |
the newspapers. Houdini is fine but it must be applied evenly. Have you | :14:32. | :14:38. | |
had to sack Thurrock UKIP members for dodgy tweets or anything? Oh, | :14:39. | :14:46. | |
God, no. Next we head to meet a top Tory in a different area. We are | :14:47. | :14:50. | |
heading to Eastbourne. But stuck in traffic. We are going to miss | :14:51. | :14:56. | |
William Hague. We got there, just in time, to ask the really big | :14:57. | :15:01. | |
questions. David Cameron went to Nando De Colo last week, where are | :15:02. | :15:06. | |
you going to go for lunch? I do not even get time for lunch. I think | :15:07. | :15:12. | |
something in the back of the car. We will go down the street and see what | :15:13. | :15:17. | |
people have got to say. Even the Foreign Secretary has depressed the | :15:18. | :15:21. | |
flesh at election time? Even the Foreign Secretary meets real people. | :15:22. | :15:33. | |
The message William Hague impresses upon everyone he meets is that the | :15:34. | :15:39. | |
Tories are the only party offering a referendum on our membership of the | :15:40. | :15:47. | |
EU. He's off for lunch in the limo. I've got five minutes by the beach. | :15:48. | :15:52. | |
This is the best thing about elections, lunch. Do you want one? | :15:53. | :15:59. | |
And chips are weirdly relevant at our next stop - the Green Party | :16:00. | :16:02. | |
battle bus which is parked in Ashford in Kent. What is special | :16:03. | :16:07. | |
about this vehicle? It runs from chip fat oil so it is more friendly | :16:08. | :16:16. | |
to the environment. But boss was boiling. The next stop is Gillingham | :16:17. | :16:24. | |
to see Labour. Labour have just hired Barack Obama's election guru | :16:25. | :16:26. | |
David Axelrod to help them craft their message. What does David | :16:27. | :16:34. | |
Axelrod know about the people who live on the street? I know the local | :16:35. | :16:44. | |
details but you handle those. Ed Miliband and his party have had to | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
handle a few dodgy opinion polls lately, prompting some leadership | :16:49. | :16:50. | |
speculation from one activist. Who is your favourite Labour politician? | :16:51. | :16:59. | |
Ed Balls. Back in the car and we're flagging. Final stop, Southwark in | :17:00. | :17:07. | |
south London. We are in the right place, this is Simon Hughes' Lib Dem | :17:08. | :17:15. | |
taxi. The Lib Dems are campaigning as the party of in. But are they in | :17:16. | :17:21. | |
trouble? Your party president said the party would be wiped out and | :17:22. | :17:28. | |
lose its MEPs. Is that helpful? If he did say that, then no, that's not | :17:29. | :17:35. | |
terribly helpful. And let's not forget, every London council is | :17:36. | :17:39. | |
having elections too. I have 40 minutes to get back to the office in | :17:40. | :17:43. | |
Westminster, which calls for something drastic, like this. After | :17:44. | :17:49. | |
212 miles, but will be make it home for eight? We have made it, aided, | :17:50. | :17:57. | |
12 hours of pure politics. Happy elections, everyone. | :17:58. | :18:09. | |
Adam Fleming impersonating Jack Bauer! Natalie Bennett is in our | :18:10. | :18:17. | |
studio, welcome back. The Greens used to be the upcoming party in | :18:18. | :18:21. | |
Britain, now it is UKIP. What went wrong? We are in a very good place, | :18:22. | :18:33. | |
looking towards travelling our MEPs and we could be the fourth largest | :18:34. | :18:37. | |
group in Parliament after these elections. More and more people are | :18:38. | :18:42. | |
recognising we are the only party calling for real change, the only | :18:43. | :18:48. | |
party saying we have two stop making poor, disadvantaged young people | :18:49. | :18:53. | |
over the mistakes bankers. You have made a strong pro-environment stands | :18:54. | :18:59. | |
synonymous with the politics of the left, why have you done that? Why | :19:00. | :19:05. | |
should an equal minded Conservative vote for you? I think one of the | :19:06. | :19:09. | |
reasons why many Conservatives, I met them in Chester where they are | :19:10. | :19:16. | |
stopping coalbed methane exploration, lots of Conservatives | :19:17. | :19:22. | |
are looking to vote for us beyond issues like fracking and the Green | :19:23. | :19:26. | |
belt, and many of them are concerned about the fact we haven't reformed | :19:27. | :19:31. | |
the banks. This morning we had the Bank of England chief coming out and | :19:32. | :19:36. | |
saying we have a huge house price bubble and people recognise that | :19:37. | :19:41. | |
many of the parties offering the same are not working. And yet the | :19:42. | :19:54. | |
polls show that the hardline greenery is not winning. We are | :19:55. | :19:58. | |
looking to travel our number of MEPs and we have people recognising that | :19:59. | :20:03. | |
we have to change the way our economic 's, politics and society | :20:04. | :20:07. | |
works so that everyone has sufficient resources within the | :20:08. | :20:10. | |
limits of the one planet because one planet is all we have got. You want | :20:11. | :20:18. | |
all electricity to be generated by renewables, is that right? So where | :20:19. | :20:23. | |
would the electricity come from on days when the wind is not blowing? | :20:24. | :20:29. | |
Most of the electricity is there. It is mature. We need to be hooked into | :20:30. | :20:35. | |
a European wide grid, we need a smart grid that will allow for | :20:36. | :20:40. | |
demand to be adjusted according to supply. So we would take French | :20:41. | :20:47. | |
nuclear power, would we? We need to work with a partnership across | :20:48. | :20:56. | |
Europe. We are being left behind and we are losing opportunities. 50% of | :20:57. | :21:00. | |
German renewable electricity is owned by communities and it stays | :21:01. | :21:04. | |
within communities, rather than the big six energy companies. So you | :21:05. | :21:15. | |
have still got to take the French nuclear power. What we need to | :21:16. | :21:26. | |
do... Nuclear is a dead technology, going down in the developed world. | :21:27. | :21:32. | |
At the moment the Government proposes the most expensive proposal | :21:33. | :21:37. | |
for Britain and yet the last two plans took 17 years to bring online, | :21:38. | :21:43. | |
way too slow for what we need now. We know what the Green council would | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
be like if you were to win more seats on Thursday because you run | :21:48. | :21:52. | |
Brighton. Your own Green MP joined strikers against the council, the | :21:53. | :21:58. | |
local Greens are at each other's throats, a council ridden with | :21:59. | :22:03. | |
factionalism, attempts to raise council tax to 5%, attempted coups | :22:04. | :22:08. | |
against the local Green leader by other Greens and you have had to | :22:09. | :22:14. | |
bring in mediators. If you look at the life of people in Brighton and | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
Hove, it has seen its visitor numbers go up by 50,000, it has | :22:19. | :22:23. | |
become the top seaside resort in Britain, we have seen GCSE results | :22:24. | :22:30. | |
going up significantly. These are the things affecting people's lives | :22:31. | :22:36. | |
in Brighton and Hove. 60% of Brighton and Hove people think life | :22:37. | :22:43. | |
is better and the Greens. We have a debate to be had from next year's | :22:44. | :22:47. | |
election and perhaps we can have that debate next year. But you hold | :22:48. | :22:52. | |
up Brighton as the way the city should be run? We have made huge | :22:53. | :22:57. | |
progress, we have found money to be brought into the city to improve | :22:58. | :23:05. | |
Green spaces. I was on the big ride in London yesterday, and we need to | :23:06. | :23:10. | |
change our roads so they worked the people as well as cars. Which side | :23:11. | :23:14. | |
of the picket line were you on in Brighton? With Caroline Lucas? I was | :23:15. | :23:23. | |
in London, travelling around as I do most days. From Penzance to | :23:24. | :23:29. | |
Newcastle and many areas in between. Probably a good move. Thank you. I'm | :23:30. | :23:45. | |
joined now by the Conservative MP, the Lib Dem MP Simon Hughes and | :23:46. | :24:15. | |
Sajid Javid. We want to see a European Union resolutely focused on | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
the single market, free trade, and only we can bring about that change. | :24:21. | :24:24. | |
Labour and Lib Dems are happy with the status quo, in fact they would | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
like more integration, and a UKIP party can not deliver the change. | :24:30. | :24:37. | |
Hilary Benn, at this stage positions usually romp home in European | :24:38. | :24:40. | |
elections and no party has gone on to form a government without winning | :24:41. | :24:45. | |
the European elections first. Now it suggests you could become second, | :24:46. | :24:52. | |
you haven't handled UKIP very well either. There is a lot of alienation | :24:53. | :24:57. | |
from politics around, globalisation has left some behind and people are | :24:58. | :25:02. | |
concerned about that but UKIP will not provide the answer. Nigel Farage | :25:03. | :25:07. | |
only talks about Europe. We are to hear it would not be in the | :25:08. | :25:11. | |
interests of British people to come out of Europe. We do want a season | :25:12. | :25:16. | |
change in Europe, for example we want longer periods when new member | :25:17. | :25:23. | |
states come in. We don't think child tax credits should be paid to | :25:24. | :25:27. | |
children not living in the UK, but Nigel Farage is also proposing to | :25:28. | :25:33. | |
charge us when we see the GP, to halve maternity pay, and he wants a | :25:34. | :25:39. | |
flat tax. UKIP is not the answer to the problems we face and we will | :25:40. | :25:43. | |
continue to campaign as we have done to show that we are putting forward | :25:44. | :25:53. | |
policies on energy prices, and in the end that is what people will | :25:54. | :25:58. | |
look for. Simon Hughes, you will be lucky to come forth. The voters | :25:59. | :26:05. | |
decide these things. Really? I never knew that. My response to the UKIP | :26:06. | :26:10. | |
question is that they get support because they have never been in | :26:11. | :26:16. | |
power, they are never likely. A bit like the way you used to never get | :26:17. | :26:22. | |
into power. I accept that, but now we are in government. The reality is | :26:23. | :26:30. | |
that laws made in Brussels, we make together by agreement, and it is the | :26:31. | :26:35. | |
case from the Commons figures that only seven out of 100 laws are made | :26:36. | :26:44. | |
in Brussels. Actually they have been shown not to be the only ones. 14 | :26:45. | :26:51. | |
out of 100. If we were to come out of Europe, we would seriously | :26:52. | :27:00. | |
disadvantage our economics and the jobs... 3 million jobs depend on the | :27:01. | :27:06. | |
European Union. If the Conservatives comes third or even a poor second, | :27:07. | :27:10. | |
it will show that people don't really trust your promise about | :27:11. | :27:14. | |
European referendum. They have been there before, they don't trust you. | :27:15. | :27:19. | |
What we have already shown, despite being in coalition with Liberal | :27:20. | :27:25. | |
Democrats, we have shown progress on Europe, we have vetoed a European | :27:26. | :27:28. | |
treaty when people said we wouldn't, we have cut the European | :27:29. | :27:33. | |
budget which is something Liberal Democrats and Labour MEPs voted | :27:34. | :27:39. | |
against, we cut it by ?8 billion. But overall we are still paying | :27:40. | :27:47. | |
more. We have still cut it. We have taken Britain out of the bailout | :27:48. | :27:52. | |
fund that Labour signed us up to. We are now going to take that same | :27:53. | :27:58. | |
energy to Europe and renegotiate our relationship and let the British | :27:59. | :28:03. | |
people decide in a referendum. Why has Ed Miliband become such a | :28:04. | :28:12. | |
liability for your party? Even your own MPs are speaking out against | :28:13. | :28:17. | |
him. If you look at the polls, we have been in the lead almost | :28:18. | :28:22. | |
consistently. The voters will decide. Ed Miliband is a decent man, | :28:23. | :28:26. | |
but what really marks him out is that he is thinking about the | :28:27. | :28:33. | |
problems the country faces. Simon and Sajid both support the bedroom | :28:34. | :28:45. | |
tax, we will scrap it. Ed Miliband said the energy market doesn't work | :28:46. | :28:48. | |
for consumers, we will freeze energy prices while we change the system. | :28:49. | :28:57. | |
So why are his ratings even lower than Nick Clegg's? They will be | :28:58. | :29:06. | |
voted for next year in the general election, and if I were David | :29:07. | :29:10. | |
Cameron I would ask myself this question - the economy is | :29:11. | :29:16. | |
recovering, why is it that David Cameron and the Conservatives have | :29:17. | :29:20. | |
been behind in the polls? Because in the end the big choice in British | :29:21. | :29:25. | |
politics is between the two parties that say, if we sought the deficit | :29:26. | :29:30. | |
everything is fine, and Labour who say that there are things about this | :29:31. | :29:34. | |
country, the insecurity that has given rise for support for UKIP, and | :29:35. | :29:42. | |
we are the ones talking about doing something about zero hours | :29:43. | :29:45. | |
contracts. The more your leader bangs on about Europe, the worse | :29:46. | :29:50. | |
your poll ratings get. He is out of the kilter with British people. It | :29:51. | :30:00. | |
may not be a majority of people who think that we ought to stay in the | :30:01. | :30:03. | |
European Union, but when you speak to people about it, people | :30:04. | :30:09. | |
understand that we are better in them out. In the elections on | :30:10. | :30:13. | |
Thursday, that is not about who runs Britain, that is for next year. In | :30:14. | :30:17. | |
terms of the local councils, we have battles on the ground, like in my | :30:18. | :30:22. | |
community, where we are trying to take it back from the Labour Party. | :30:23. | :30:25. | |
Affordable housing has just not been delivered. We have delivered that in | :30:26. | :30:32. | |
office and we had admitted to that. -- we are committed to that. Labour | :30:33. | :30:37. | |
have actually demolished homes. So, people want more affordable homes. | :30:38. | :30:43. | |
One issue which is behind people's antipathy towards immigrants is that | :30:44. | :30:47. | |
they cannot get the affordable housing they need. We as a | :30:48. | :30:50. | |
government have delivered more affordable housing in this | :30:51. | :30:56. | |
Parliament -170,000 new properties earning and more, over the next | :30:57. | :31:01. | |
three years. That does not work out that very many per year. Overall | :31:02. | :31:11. | |
housing is a lot less than it was in 2006. Let me tell you, under the | :31:12. | :31:17. | |
Labour government, we lost nearly half a million affordable homes. | :31:18. | :31:20. | |
Fewer built than under Mrs Thatcher or under the coalition. What is your | :31:21. | :31:28. | |
last ditch message to the millions of Tory voters thinking of voting | :31:29. | :31:33. | |
UKIP on Thursday? First, what I would say is, Ed Miliband also said | :31:34. | :31:39. | |
that we should not tackle the deficit, it was not a priority. As a | :31:40. | :31:44. | |
result of our resolute focus, we now have the fastest growing economy in | :31:45. | :31:47. | |
the developed world, and more people employed than ever before. I am sure | :31:48. | :31:52. | |
you will have more chance to say that at the general election, what | :31:53. | :31:56. | |
is the answer to my question? We need a Europe which is focused on | :31:57. | :32:00. | |
free trade and the single market. Labour and Lib Dems are happy with | :32:01. | :32:05. | |
the status quo, we are not. We are the only party which can bring about | :32:06. | :32:08. | |
change, UKIP cannot bring about any change. Hilary Benn, why not have a | :32:09. | :32:18. | |
referendum on Europe? If you think like Nigel Farage that you should | :32:19. | :32:22. | |
get out of Europe, I do not agree with him, because Britain's future | :32:23. | :32:26. | |
lies in Europe. My message simply would be, vote for a party which | :32:27. | :32:30. | |
wants to tackle insecurity in the workplace, to give more security to | :32:31. | :32:35. | |
the 9 million people who are now privately renting, build more homes. | :32:36. | :32:41. | |
What Simon has just said about the coalition's housing record, it has | :32:42. | :32:45. | |
been appalling, the lowest level since Stanley Baldwin was Prime | :32:46. | :32:49. | |
Minister. With Labour, you have got a party which will freeze energy | :32:50. | :32:53. | |
prices, more childcare, policies which directly address the problems | :32:54. | :32:59. | |
which people face. I think the public will realise that. UKIP | :33:00. | :33:02. | |
offers absolutely nothing at all for the future of the country. You used | :33:03. | :33:07. | |
to be in favour of a referendum? We are in favour, we voted for one, we | :33:08. | :33:11. | |
have legislated for one. The next time there is a change between | :33:12. | :33:16. | |
Britain and Europe, in the relationship, there will be a | :33:17. | :33:22. | |
referendum. We have supported that. We voted for it. You would obviously | :33:23. | :33:27. | |
want to vote yes in any referendum. We would. But if you had one now, it | :33:28. | :33:34. | |
would be for coming out or staying in, and you are going to wait until | :33:35. | :33:38. | |
there is another step son shall transfer of powers to Brussels, and | :33:39. | :33:43. | |
then say to people, either vote for this substantial transfer or vote to | :33:44. | :33:50. | |
leave! Of course they will vote to leave! Yes, we are not natural | :33:51. | :33:58. | |
partners with the Conservatives, but we do not want to be distracted at | :33:59. | :34:02. | |
the moment by a referendum in the future in relation to Europe. | :34:03. | :34:05. | |
Because what we have done is built our own economy back. That has been | :34:06. | :34:13. | |
the priority. We do not want artificial priorities. The Tories | :34:14. | :34:16. | |
want an artificial date plucked out of the air for their own advantage. | :34:17. | :34:21. | |
We say, let's get on with being positive about being in Europe, and | :34:22. | :34:24. | |
many people on the doorstep absolutely understand that. | :34:25. | :34:28. | |
Yesterday, the Energy Minister said that he thought the party would be | :34:29. | :34:33. | |
willing to campaign for a British withdrawal from the EU if there was | :34:34. | :34:39. | |
not a successful negotiation, a successful repatriation, do you | :34:40. | :34:45. | |
agree with that? First of all, I am very optimistic... I got that I am | :34:46. | :34:56. | |
going into these negotiations with confidence but Michael Fallon is one | :34:57. | :34:59. | |
of your ministerial colleagues, he said that if we cannot get a deal on | :35:00. | :35:04. | |
substantial repatriation, then the party should be willing to campaign | :35:05. | :35:08. | |
for a British withdrawal - do you agree? My view is that I am | :35:09. | :35:13. | |
confident we will get a deal, and then we will put it to the British | :35:14. | :35:17. | |
people. But you will have to take a line. If you do not get substantial | :35:18. | :35:21. | |
repatriations, will you side with Michael Fallon all with the Prime | :35:22. | :35:24. | |
Minister, who seems to want to stay in regardless? I may only have been | :35:25. | :35:30. | |
in politics for four years, but I am not going to ask that kind of | :35:31. | :35:33. | |
hypothetical question. Every question I ask is hypothetical, that | :35:34. | :35:40. | |
is the fascination of the programme! I go into these negotiations with | :35:41. | :35:43. | |
complete confidence. If you look at our track record, it suggests we | :35:44. | :35:50. | |
will be successful. Hilary Benn, what is the difference between your | :35:51. | :35:54. | |
attitude and that of the Lib Dems towards a referendum? We have been | :35:55. | :36:00. | |
very clear that if it is proposed at sometime in the future, further | :36:01. | :36:05. | |
powers would be transferred, then, we would put that to the British | :36:06. | :36:09. | |
people in a referendum. That is the Lib Dem position. This is our | :36:10. | :36:14. | |
position, which I am planing to you. It would be an in-out referendum. We | :36:15. | :36:20. | |
would only agree to a transfer of powers if we thought that it was in | :36:21. | :36:25. | |
the interest of Britain. But we believe that Britain's place remains | :36:26. | :36:27. | |
and should remain in Europe, for economic reasons. But we also want | :36:28. | :36:35. | |
to see some changes in our relationship with Europe, and | :36:36. | :36:41. | |
electing Labour MEPs on Thursday will be a way of boosting that | :36:42. | :36:48. | |
argument. In what way is everything you have just said not entirely sell | :36:49. | :36:52. | |
my must with the Lib Dem position? I am not worried about that. -- | :36:53. | :37:00. | |
entirely synonymous. It is the dividing line between us and UKIP, | :37:01. | :37:03. | |
because they somehow believe that Britain leaving the European Union | :37:04. | :37:07. | |
would be good for our economy. Truth is, it would be really bad, because | :37:08. | :37:13. | |
so many jobs depend on being part of a large market in an increasingly | :37:14. | :37:24. | |
globalised world. I have got one more question for you on the locals. | :37:25. | :37:29. | |
We seem to have lost our connection with Leeds. What is the single most | :37:30. | :37:32. | |
important reason that people should vote for you in the local election? | :37:33. | :37:36. | |
Because taxpayers' money is just that, it does not belong to the | :37:37. | :37:41. | |
politicians, and we can do a lot more and get more for less with | :37:42. | :37:45. | |
taxpayers money. If you look at Conservative councils up and down | :37:46. | :37:48. | |
the country, most of them have not been raising council tax, they have | :37:49. | :37:51. | |
been getting more for less, and that is what people deserve. We will | :37:52. | :37:56. | |
produce the maximum amount possible of affordable housing to meet the | :37:57. | :38:00. | |
housing needs of Britain, instead of the richest minority having flats | :38:01. | :38:03. | |
and houses that nobody can afford. We seem to have lost Hilary Benn. I | :38:04. | :38:14. | |
can answer for him. I will do it - he would certainly say, vote Labour. | :38:15. | :38:17. | |
You are watching The Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers | :38:18. | :38:23. | |
You're watching the Sunday Politics Sunday Politics Scotland. | :38:24. | :38:33. | |
You're watching the Sunday Politics for Yorkshire and Lincolnshire. | :38:34. | :38:37. | |
Coming up today: With elections looming, we look at claims that | :38:38. | :38:39. | |
local Government is facing extinction, as town halls have less | :38:40. | :38:48. | |
money and fewer services to run. We'll be looking at the political | :38:49. | :38:51. | |
battle ground in our part of the world ahead of Thursday's vote. We | :38:52. | :38:55. | |
discuss what pointers it could tell us about the likely outcome of next | :38:56. | :38:59. | |
year's General Election. So let's say hello to our guests today. Keith | :39:00. | :39:03. | |
Wakefield is the Labour leader of Leeds City Council. Robert Light is | :39:04. | :39:08. | |
the Conservative group leader on Kirklees Council. And Jeanette | :39:09. | :39:12. | |
Sunderland is the Liberal Democrat group leader on Bradford Council. | :39:13. | :39:20. | |
Hello to you all. So what is the point of voting in the local | :39:21. | :39:22. | |
elections? Town halls have seen their budgets slashed and services | :39:23. | :39:27. | |
outsourced to private companies. So what's left for councils to run? | :39:28. | :39:30. | |
James Vincent reports on what some claim is a doomsday scenario for | :39:31. | :39:40. | |
local Government. Hands up if you want to strike. Care | :39:41. | :39:45. | |
workers in Doncaster are not happy with a private company looking after | :39:46. | :39:50. | |
elderly people, but giving council services to businesses or volunteers | :39:51. | :39:54. | |
is now a must. Leaked to Sunday Politics is a bit of paper from | :39:55. | :39:59. | |
Sheffield Anhalt. It has a dramatic title. `` Sheffield Town Hall. | :40:00. | :40:06. | |
The graph of doom. These bars show what Sheffield Council has to pay | :40:07. | :40:10. | |
for, looking after children and the elderly plus other running costs. At | :40:11. | :40:14. | |
the moment there is a gap between that and the amount of money it has | :40:15. | :40:19. | |
in total. It can afford to pay for perhaps less essential things, but | :40:20. | :40:25. | |
as we move forward, the amount of money we have is going down and | :40:26. | :40:30. | |
costs are growing. By 2018, Sheffield Council thinks the two | :40:31. | :40:34. | |
will meet, meaning there will be no money left to pay for those sorts of | :40:35. | :40:36. | |
services at all. money left to pay for those sorts | :40:37. | :40:40. | |
Something that will have an effect on the quality of the candidates we | :40:41. | :40:43. | |
are choosing between in this election. The challenges are immense | :40:44. | :40:51. | |
for the politicians. Not every seat in South Yorkshire is being | :40:52. | :40:56. | |
contested now. Why would people want to take a seat on a council to then | :40:57. | :41:00. | |
be responsible for butchering those councils' services? In Doncaster | :41:01. | :41:06. | |
they may have a brand`new theatre funded in better times, but the | :41:07. | :41:12. | |
council's Chief Executive is watching their budgets shrink by | :41:13. | :41:17. | |
half. The whole of the state is shrinking. For local Government the | :41:18. | :41:21. | |
cuts are on a level we haven't seen before. And they are worse in the | :41:22. | :41:27. | |
North than other places. So it is change bid `` beyond anything we | :41:28. | :41:30. | |
have seen. Leisure, the arts and parks have all | :41:31. | :41:34. | |
suffered. They are all things that could be handed to private companies | :41:35. | :41:39. | |
or volunteers. The Friends of Sandall Park group has been looking | :41:40. | :41:42. | |
after their part of Doncaster for eight years. But if the money runs | :41:43. | :41:48. | |
out for council maintenance, even they are not sure they can take | :41:49. | :41:53. | |
over. The Friends of Sandall Park enjoy what we are doing in the park, | :41:54. | :42:00. | |
but as soon as we `` if we suddenly found it felt like work, we would | :42:01. | :42:10. | |
not have the same enthusiasm. We have to have a real honest | :42:11. | :42:12. | |
conversation with people about what councils can and cannot do in the | :42:13. | :42:18. | |
future. No matter where you are, things staying as they are is not an | :42:19. | :42:23. | |
option for anybody. The problem is things staying as they are might be | :42:24. | :42:29. | |
the best case scenario. Local Government is probably | :42:30. | :42:31. | |
finished. We will see outsourcing through private companies, and also | :42:32. | :42:37. | |
a role for the third sector, the voluntary sector. So it will be | :42:38. | :42:41. | |
mixed and meant for the next few years, but the next General Election | :42:42. | :42:44. | |
will determine whether local governments have any future. | :42:45. | :42:49. | |
As the gap narrows and money runs out, whoever controls your local | :42:50. | :42:53. | |
council after the election might not feel like winners. | :42:54. | :43:03. | |
Keith, what is the point in voting in local elections when councils are | :43:04. | :43:09. | |
facing a diminishing power base? Many of us are facing severe cuts, | :43:10. | :43:12. | |
but although we go getting smaller in size, people still expect us to | :43:13. | :43:19. | |
play a leading role in providing the houses, making sure that they are | :43:20. | :43:25. | |
creating `` jobs are created, looking after our elderly and young, | :43:26. | :43:30. | |
so whatever the resources, people still look to local Government to | :43:31. | :43:33. | |
show leadership and compassion in their cities. Robert, town halls in | :43:34. | :43:39. | |
many areas now do not control schools because we have academies. | :43:40. | :43:43. | |
Libraries have been hived off to volunteers. What are you left with? | :43:44. | :43:49. | |
I think the challenge for councils, and I think that is where | :43:50. | :43:53. | |
Conservative councils have the ideas for the future, is to change town | :43:54. | :43:56. | |
halls so councils are different for the future, but they concentrate on | :43:57. | :44:00. | |
providing those central services like adult services and bin | :44:01. | :44:05. | |
collections, but then devolving power down to communities, and that | :44:06. | :44:10. | |
is what we want to do in Kirklees, we want to give power back so that | :44:11. | :44:15. | |
local people have a say over what happens in their communities. People | :44:16. | :44:20. | |
are fed up of central diktat from central Government and big pencils. | :44:21. | :44:25. | |
In the last local elections in Bradford, Jeanette, only one in | :44:26. | :44:33. | |
three voters bothered to take part. It is up to people like me to make | :44:34. | :44:38. | |
sure more people turn out and engage people in the issues around the | :44:39. | :44:43. | |
award. This is very much an opportunity for good quality people | :44:44. | :44:47. | |
to come into local Government. When I first got elected we were deciding | :44:48. | :44:52. | |
on which streets got the bins, which streets got grass cut, now it is | :44:53. | :44:55. | |
about tackling major public health issues, job creation, business rates | :44:56. | :45:02. | |
coming back to councils. This is a good opportunity for local | :45:03. | :45:04. | |
Government, and people who said local Government is finished, it is | :45:05. | :45:12. | |
yet to have its day. In Leeds you have 99 councillors. Free for every | :45:13. | :45:17. | |
ward. All on allowances. Is that I good use of public money? You | :45:18. | :45:24. | |
realise that in those wards there is up to 15 thousand to 20,000 people. | :45:25. | :45:28. | |
You need at least three to take on some of the problems people have, to | :45:29. | :45:36. | |
service those. We are also strategic, in that councillors also | :45:37. | :45:40. | |
run up to ?2 billion budgets. I can assure you, if we are doing what all | :45:41. | :45:44. | |
parties agree with, and evolving more power to make sure that we | :45:45. | :45:49. | |
survive these changes and threats, those councillors need to be more | :45:50. | :45:55. | |
rooted in their community, following through partnerships with health, | :45:56. | :45:58. | |
with the voluntary sector, with the private sector. That is the way | :45:59. | :46:03. | |
local Government is moving. Robert, Eric pickles has said the age of | :46:04. | :46:07. | |
austerity is here to stay. Town halls will have to tighten their | :46:08. | :46:12. | |
boats `` belts. Do you accept that? If you look at the commitments being | :46:13. | :46:18. | |
made by all the parties, it is not to give local Government any more | :46:19. | :46:22. | |
money in the next five years, but as local Government to come over to the | :46:23. | :46:25. | |
challenge and do things better, more effectively. Local Government has | :46:26. | :46:30. | |
been very successful in doing that in the last few years. We have | :46:31. | :46:33. | |
changed a lot of things, but we need to do more. Jeanette, the politics | :46:34. | :46:40. | |
lecturer at Sheffield Hallam University said we are seeing the | :46:41. | :46:44. | |
slow death of local Government. Wang holiday Monday I had 250 people | :46:45. | :46:48. | |
having a picnic protesting in a local park. These were people | :46:49. | :46:53. | |
getting active and having views about what the Council and | :46:54. | :46:58. | |
Government are doing. People actually, that of the stomata has | :46:59. | :47:01. | |
caused people to look around and say I want to get involved. `` | :47:02. | :47:12. | |
austerity. With four more days for the local council elections, Len | :47:13. | :47:16. | |
Tingle has been looking at the political battle for the big | :47:17. | :47:19. | |
metropolitan authorities in Western Yorkshire. He has also been sticking | :47:20. | :47:24. | |
some of the other party candidates. `` West and South Yorkshire. | :47:25. | :47:28. | |
When it comes to the local elections, Labour has been a bit | :47:29. | :47:33. | |
like a bull in a china shop. They have barged aside the Lib Dems and | :47:34. | :47:37. | |
the Tories in most of the councils that are up for election. A look at | :47:38. | :47:41. | |
the electoral map shows what has been happening. These are the four | :47:42. | :47:46. | |
local authorities in South Yorkshire, Barnsley, does `` | :47:47. | :47:51. | |
Barnsley, Doncaster, Sheffield and Rotherham. Labour and the Tories | :47:52. | :48:02. | |
barely have a toehold. West Yorkshire has seen a similar | :48:03. | :48:07. | |
movement. Labour is in full control in Leeds, but the competition will | :48:08. | :48:10. | |
be in the remaining three councils, Labour goes into Bradford just two | :48:11. | :48:16. | |
seats short of a majority. In Kirklees, three seats short. In | :48:17. | :48:21. | |
Calderdale, five short. The other parties are now trying hard to stop | :48:22. | :48:23. | |
them crossing that line. parties are now trying hard to stop | :48:24. | :48:28. | |
Labour, Lib Dems and Tories are facing a big challenge this time | :48:29. | :48:34. | |
around from minor parties. The UK Independence Party won its first | :48:35. | :48:37. | |
ever seen here in Rotherham at a by`election last year. This time | :48:38. | :48:42. | |
around it is putting up 148 candidates across our region. The | :48:43. | :48:47. | |
Greens in those councils of four election already have nine | :48:48. | :48:50. | |
councillors. They are fielding 110 candidates. From the left, the trade | :48:51. | :48:55. | |
union organisation TUSC is fielding 51 candidates. | :48:56. | :48:59. | |
How do the biggest of those minor parties fancy their charges `` | :49:00. | :49:03. | |
chances? Sarah Jane Smalley is standing for | :49:04. | :49:11. | |
the Greens. You are `` you have almost made a | :49:12. | :49:16. | |
breakthrough on several occasions, but you really have only a handful | :49:17. | :49:23. | |
of councillors. `` councils. We have councillors across the region, and I | :49:24. | :49:30. | |
think even though people might have protest voted at first we turned | :49:31. | :49:33. | |
protest votes into positive odds. Once people know what our policies | :49:34. | :49:39. | |
are, they are presently supplies. `` surprised. `` pleasantly surprised. | :49:40. | :49:45. | |
Your record is not much different from the Greens. You have looked as | :49:46. | :49:50. | |
though you are going to make breakthroughs, but you have only had | :49:51. | :49:57. | |
one win right across Yorkshire. We have lots of good policies. We | :49:58. | :50:02. | |
want to bring Britain back to Britain. But in this area, as main | :50:03. | :50:08. | |
opposition, as Labour, so we have to break into their stronghold. | :50:09. | :50:13. | |
Sarah Jane Smalley, some of the Greens propose policies will cost | :50:14. | :50:20. | |
money. Can you afford them, given that local authorities are being | :50:21. | :50:29. | |
squeezed? If you look at `` they have managed to keep their | :50:30. | :50:34. | |
children's centres open and raced GCS even results and had a lot of | :50:35. | :50:42. | |
positive results. They are a local council that has had their Budget | :50:43. | :50:46. | |
cut. It is just about how you go about doing it. | :50:47. | :50:51. | |
Do you have the policies to be able to run a council? I found it | :50:52. | :50:55. | |
difficult to work out what your policies are, your party leader | :50:56. | :50:59. | |
ripped up the manifest of the 2015. Can you run a council's `` the | :51:00. | :51:04. | |
manifesto. I have been elected now barely 12 months. Next Thursday will | :51:05. | :51:12. | |
be the divisive `` will tell us whether I have succeeded, but the | :51:13. | :51:16. | |
word on the street is we are going to get more councillors. We must be | :51:17. | :51:20. | |
doing something right. We do engage with the people, that is one thing | :51:21. | :51:25. | |
we do do. From your point of view, what would | :51:26. | :51:29. | |
be the mark of success in these elections? It is about carrying on | :51:30. | :51:35. | |
making steady gains in the region. I am on the street every day, and I | :51:36. | :51:39. | |
have never ever in the 20 years of being in politics, had the feedback | :51:40. | :51:47. | |
I'm getting now from the people on the street. They have had enough. | :51:48. | :51:52. | |
Labour and the other main parties have totally betrayed their trust. | :51:53. | :52:01. | |
Robert, if Labour may gains on Thursday in those big metropolitan | :52:02. | :52:04. | |
West Yorkshire councils, David Cameron can kiss goodbye to any hope | :52:05. | :52:08. | |
of winning next year's General Election. He will struggle to hold | :52:09. | :52:12. | |
those West Yorkshire margins. Absolutely not. I don't think Labour | :52:13. | :52:17. | |
will make gains because people are saying there is an alternative out | :52:18. | :52:19. | |
there to the doom mongers of the Labour Party. Conservatives have a | :52:20. | :52:23. | |
positive message about how our councils can be run for the better | :52:24. | :52:27. | |
of the people. In terms of linking that the General Election, this | :52:28. | :52:32. | |
Government has done a fantastic job of turning the economy around and we | :52:33. | :52:36. | |
are now seeing the benefits of that. There are now 30 million people in | :52:37. | :52:42. | |
work in this country, record levels. I don't think Keith is convinced. It | :52:43. | :52:48. | |
sounded like something from the headquarters `` the evidence is that | :52:49. | :52:53. | |
they have had a raft deal in the North in the grants and the economy. | :52:54. | :53:00. | |
There is no economic strategy. A lot of Labour councillors are focused on | :53:01. | :53:05. | |
trying to create jobs, introduce apprenticeships, because people are | :53:06. | :53:09. | |
being hit hard. I do a lot of doorknocking on the cost of living. | :53:10. | :53:13. | |
They have seen utility prices going up, the cost of living `` yes, the | :53:14. | :53:21. | |
are more jobs, but we are getting more and more zero hours, low wage, | :53:22. | :53:24. | |
so they are not feeling the benefits of this so`called great economic | :53:25. | :53:31. | |
recovery. Jeanette, are the Lib Dems going to get hammered again because | :53:32. | :53:35. | |
of the policies of your Lib Dem Government? No, I think there is a | :53:36. | :53:40. | |
lot of uncertainty out there now. I became elected when we had 70 Labour | :53:41. | :53:51. | |
councils `` councillors. There was a complacency about it. What I am | :53:52. | :53:54. | |
finding on the doorstep, where Lib Dems have been working with | :53:55. | :53:57. | |
communities and campaigning with communities, that food's coming out | :53:58. | :54:02. | |
for the Lib Dems this time. In other areas, people are challenging. `` | :54:03. | :54:07. | |
that food is coming out. I have never heard of the term macro one | :54:08. | :54:16. | |
people, `` TUSC. When the political parties themselves, I have received | :54:17. | :54:22. | |
a letter from a voter from Labour, and it only talks about national | :54:23. | :54:27. | |
politics. There is nothing about the community this individual is | :54:28. | :54:31. | |
purporting to represent. Some polls are given the | :54:32. | :54:34. | |
Conservatives a small lead over Labour. That is not a huge vote of | :54:35. | :54:41. | |
confidence. All I found this year is that the opinion polls fluctuate. | :54:42. | :54:47. | |
Obviously this week when we are merging local with European, which | :54:48. | :54:50. | |
doesn't give local Government a fair chance, is that you get opinion | :54:51. | :54:57. | |
polls that will change to buy day. I am pretty confident that the Labour | :54:58. | :55:01. | |
vote in the North will grow, I am also confident despite what my two | :55:02. | :55:06. | |
colleagues have said, but we will make gains in those authorities like | :55:07. | :55:10. | |
Radford and Leeds and Kirklees, and I think what the message is `` | :55:11. | :55:17. | |
Bradford. We are still 12 months. A long way to go. We have started to | :55:18. | :55:21. | |
come up with policies that start to resonate with the local electorate, | :55:22. | :55:28. | |
and I'm confident that steady build to lead will come about. | :55:29. | :55:34. | |
Let me mention, Robert, the dispute between Conservatives and Lib Dems | :55:35. | :55:40. | |
over free schools. I run the David Cameron coming to West Yorkshire, he | :55:41. | :55:44. | |
stood alongside you when you are trying to get a free school in | :55:45. | :55:48. | |
Kirklees. Is it something you still believe in? Absolutely, the | :55:49. | :55:52. | |
importance of a diverse provision of schools is crucial for the future. | :55:53. | :55:57. | |
Children need a proper future. They need in indication that will give | :55:58. | :56:01. | |
them the opportunity to excel in all of the talents. `` education. Having | :56:02. | :56:10. | |
had the opportunity to create a diverse range of skills is really | :56:11. | :56:13. | |
important. All parties have played some role in this, we are creating a | :56:14. | :56:20. | |
different range of schools, and we have seen a difference not just in | :56:21. | :56:24. | |
the results but actually in the better rounded education that young | :56:25. | :56:28. | |
people are getting today. Why don't the Lib Dems like free schools? If | :56:29. | :56:33. | |
free schools and academies are the big model and the big success story, | :56:34. | :56:37. | |
just make every school free school or an academy. But we cling on to | :56:38. | :56:43. | |
the state schools and they have taken `` the Government has taken | :56:44. | :56:46. | |
money from state schools and handed it over to academies and free | :56:47. | :56:51. | |
schools. I'm not against a different economy for schools, because what | :56:52. | :56:53. | |
makes a good school is good leadership, and what `` regardless | :56:54. | :56:59. | |
of the governance of the school. This is a debate I'm sure we'll come | :57:00. | :57:03. | |
back to add some stage. But let's get some more of the week's | :57:04. | :57:06. | |
political news now ` Louise Martin has our round`up in 60 seconds. | :57:07. | :57:08. | |
get some more One of Yorkshire's UKIP Euro | :57:09. | :57:10. | |
election candidates, Amjad Bashir, has faced claims of hypocrisy after | :57:11. | :57:13. | |
it emerged seven people were arrested for immigration offences in | :57:14. | :57:15. | |
a raid on his restaurant in Manchester last year. Mr Bashir has | :57:16. | :57:26. | |
denied any wrongdoing. Yorkshire has the second`highest | :57:27. | :57:28. | |
unemployment of all the regions in the UK, at 8.3%, down 10,000 | :57:29. | :57:31. | |
compared to the previous quarter of 230,000. | :57:32. | :57:38. | |
And the Labour MP for Great Grimsby, Austin Mitchell, has refused to | :57:39. | :57:41. | |
apologise for comparing a US pharmaceutical company to a rapist, | :57:42. | :57:48. | |
over its takeover of a UK rival. The minister for Women, Nicky Morgan, | :57:49. | :57:51. | |
has described the tweet as deeply offensive, and called for the Labour | :57:52. | :57:55. | |
leader Ed Miliband to take action. Ed Miliband has to take control and | :57:56. | :57:59. | |
make Austin Mitchell apologise. One of the definitions of "rape" in the | :58:00. | :58:02. | |
Oxford English Dictionary is "to plunder", and that I fear is what is | :58:03. | :58:05. | |
going to happen to AstraZeneca at the hands of Pfizer. | :58:06. | :58:20. | |
Keith, unemployment is down in Yorkshire. Is it difficult for | :58:21. | :58:23. | |
Labour, campaigning against the back drop of good economic news? I am a | :58:24. | :58:32. | |
bit of an anorak on the economy, and a lot of that growth is in London | :58:33. | :58:37. | |
and the South East. We are turning around slowly in West Yorkshire, and | :58:38. | :58:43. | |
there is a lot of work to do with the authorities working together. | :58:44. | :58:46. | |
But what has happened is there is a lot of new part`time jobs, low`wage | :58:47. | :58:51. | |
jobs, and zero our jobs, and what we really need are quality jobs to give | :58:52. | :59:00. | |
people a proper career and a proper job and proper future. And sadly a | :59:01. | :59:04. | |
lot of young people are not really confident that is what they are | :59:05. | :59:10. | |
seeing are witnessing. Robert, unemployment in Yorkshire and the | :59:11. | :59:14. | |
Humber region is 8.3%. Are we seeing growth happening in `` faster than? | :59:15. | :59:28. | |
We have to grow on similar levels to the south`east London, and that is | :59:29. | :59:31. | |
what the importance of what the Government has been doing, rating | :59:32. | :59:36. | |
combined authorities to drive the economy in local authority areas, | :59:37. | :59:41. | |
putting investment into the North and making sure that the right | :59:42. | :59:44. | |
economic climate is therefore growth. What we have seen is that | :59:45. | :59:49. | |
the economy now has been something that has been growing steadily, but | :59:50. | :59:55. | |
it is most starting to move even faster than anywhere else in Europe. | :59:56. | :59:59. | |
But will make a dent `` big difference to everybody. Now that | :00:00. | :00:04. | |
the indicators are taking over `` turning over in a positive form, we | :00:05. | :00:08. | |
are seeing the benefits even in Yorkshire. Jeanette, what did you | :00:09. | :00:15. | |
think of Austin Mitchell's comments? He could have used the word plunder. | :00:16. | :00:20. | |
I have worked for an American corporation that was taken over, and | :00:21. | :00:24. | |
the word could be plunder. Rape is an emotive word, and it is `` he | :00:25. | :00:34. | |
chose the wrong word. Was this an embarrassment to add Miliband? It | :00:35. | :00:40. | |
just shows you have two be careful when you use social media that you | :00:41. | :00:46. | |
should think. It is `` Jeanette is right, it is the wrong metaphor, but | :00:47. | :00:52. | |
it is certainly an issue that we are very concerned about, the way that | :00:53. | :00:55. | |
Pfizer are being allowed to come in and take over some of our research | :00:56. | :01:01. | |
and development. I am pretty sure the conversation will lead to some | :01:02. | :01:05. | |
amendment to that statement. But whether Conservatives right to try | :01:06. | :01:08. | |
and make political capital out of it? He shouldn't have said it. It | :01:09. | :01:16. | |
was a totally inappropriate comment. Everybody sells close to the wind | :01:17. | :01:19. | |
occasionally, but this is an offensive statement. Nicky Morgan | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
was absolutely right. Thank you, Keith Wakefield, Robert | :01:24. | :01:24. | |
Light and Jeanette Sunderland. Welcome back. Politicians always | :01:25. | :01:41. | |
insist in public that opinion polls do not matter. Even though their own | :01:42. | :01:46. | |
parties each spend a small fortune on private polling. If they take | :01:47. | :01:52. | |
them seriously, so do we! Let's take a closer look. First up, how the | :01:53. | :01:57. | |
votes might fall for the European Parliament. Back in January, Labour | :01:58. | :02:02. | |
looked set to finish first. By April, UKIP had edged into the lead. | :02:03. | :02:08. | |
According to today's poles, Nigel Farage's party is either down into | :02:09. | :02:12. | |
place, or has soared ahead. Both cannot be right. It is a similar | :02:13. | :02:18. | |
picture for the general election. Labour's lead has been cut back by | :02:19. | :02:34. | |
the Tories. This is the most unpredictable general election in a | :02:35. | :02:38. | |
long time. It keeps us in a job! We are joined now by the managing | :02:39. | :02:43. | |
director of the pollsters, ComRes. Welcome to the programme. While the | :02:44. | :02:48. | |
polls all over the place on the European election? We are trying to | :02:49. | :02:51. | |
do two things, figure out who is going to be voting, and how they are | :02:52. | :02:57. | |
going to be voting. I think a lot of the polls are predicting quite high | :02:58. | :03:01. | |
turnout. They are looking at more than 50% turnout, which is simply | :03:02. | :03:07. | |
not can be the case. So, what we are doing is predicting it based on | :03:08. | :03:11. | |
those who are ten out of ten, certain to vote, and it really | :03:12. | :03:14. | |
benefits UKIP, it benefits them democratically, demographically, | :03:15. | :03:21. | |
with the older age profile, who are going to vote. Another poll gives | :03:22. | :03:32. | |
them only a one-point lead, so, come the results coming out, you are | :03:33. | :03:35. | |
either going to look away ahead of your time or very stupid? | :03:36. | :03:38. | |
Absolutely. That is the job of pollsters. Somebody has to be wrong. | :03:39. | :03:45. | |
Ultimately, we were spot on in 2009, and we are hoping to be spot on on | :03:46. | :03:52. | |
Thursday. So you were spot on on voting intention in 2009? Yes. What | :03:53. | :04:03. | |
does the indications of what is now a four party system mean, does it | :04:04. | :04:12. | |
change the nature of your methods? It changes how we look at the polls, | :04:13. | :04:18. | |
how we look at what is going to happen as a result of the vote. | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
Predicting the number of seats is becoming more and more important and | :04:24. | :04:28. | |
more difficult to do, because distribution is becoming | :04:29. | :04:30. | |
fundamentally important. Because it is for parties? That's right. . Does | :04:31. | :04:39. | |
the polling give us any evidence to try to settle the matter of whether | :04:40. | :04:45. | |
UKIP votes are coming from? Yes. We know that over 50% of the UKIP vote | :04:46. | :04:49. | |
share is coming from the Conservatives come people who did | :04:50. | :04:52. | |
vote Conservative in 2010. But actually, the other 50% is coming | :04:53. | :04:55. | |
from a wide range of different sources. And what we are seeing is | :04:56. | :05:02. | |
that ultimately, every single establishment party should be | :05:03. | :05:05. | |
worried, because the people voting for UKIP are the people that really | :05:06. | :05:09. | |
do not like politics at the moment. They are wanting people to speak on | :05:10. | :05:13. | |
their behalf, so it affects all of them. There is evidence that there | :05:14. | :05:19. | |
is now a move of some working-class Labour votes to UKIP as well? That's | :05:20. | :05:25. | |
right. That is what I mean about the establishment vote, the people that | :05:26. | :05:30. | |
they can really reach out to, who are really interested in things like | :05:31. | :05:34. | |
immigration, in those single issues, where they do not feel the political | :05:35. | :05:38. | |
parties of the mainstream are representing them. I would suggest | :05:39. | :05:42. | |
that for the European elections, where turnout is low, ComRes may be | :05:43. | :05:51. | |
right or wrong, but likely to vote would seem to be the yardstick. I | :05:52. | :05:57. | |
would say that is true in almost any European election apart from this | :05:58. | :06:01. | |
one. Because there has been so much attention on this election, because | :06:02. | :06:04. | |
of UKIP and the probably do that they will win second, I wonder | :06:05. | :06:08. | |
whether it is now such a big topic of conversation, the subject of | :06:09. | :06:14. | |
Nigel Farage, that people who would otherwise talk a good game about | :06:15. | :06:18. | |
voting UKIP but do not show up on the day are this time around likely | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
to show up on the day? I am not entirely convinced by that. We | :06:24. | :06:27. | |
underestimate how many people are completely disengaged by politics. I | :06:28. | :06:35. | |
think it is very easy for us to think, and I agree that by any other | :06:36. | :06:40. | |
standards, this is the most coverage a European election has ever had in | :06:41. | :06:43. | |
Britain, but still, most people don't care. Instinctively, Nick, you | :06:44. | :06:49. | |
would think, if you are a UKIP photo, if you have made that choice, | :06:50. | :06:54. | |
then you would probably be more motivated to go and vote on | :06:55. | :06:59. | |
Thursday? I am sure that is right. Also, the publicity that Nigel | :07:00. | :07:04. | |
Farage has had. And also, as Catherine says, people are attracted | :07:05. | :07:09. | |
to UKIP because they are annoyed with the established parties. If you | :07:10. | :07:14. | |
have made that big decision to do it, then you will probably do it. | :07:15. | :07:18. | |
The really big question which we want to take out of these elections | :07:19. | :07:23. | |
is, how many people who have left the established parties, left the | :07:24. | :07:27. | |
Conservative Party, in these elections on Thursday, how many of | :07:28. | :07:31. | |
them will stick with UKIP and how many of them will go back? Nigel | :07:32. | :07:39. | |
Farage is very confident, he is saying that 60% of those certain to | :07:40. | :07:42. | |
vote UKIP will stick with UKIP. If that happens, it is a real problem | :07:43. | :07:47. | |
for Downing Street. Downing Street are basically saying that many | :07:48. | :07:51. | |
Tories will have a fling with UKIP but they will return to the marital | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
home next year. You do two sorts of polling, for the European elections, | :07:57. | :08:01. | |
and for the general election, which may be more relevant to the local | :08:02. | :08:05. | |
election voters, but what is the answer to his question? We do not | :08:06. | :08:11. | |
know at the moment. We when you ask people how likely they are to vote | :08:12. | :08:16. | |
in the same way, they are thinking that actually, I am going to vote in | :08:17. | :08:19. | |
exactly the same way at the general election, they are not going to say, | :08:20. | :08:24. | |
I am going to split my vote. I think the key point is, what happens in | :08:25. | :08:28. | |
the Euros. We have a fixed term parliament, which means momentum is | :08:29. | :08:32. | |
crucial. What comes out of the Euros will be a statement about how well | :08:33. | :08:39. | |
UKIP can last for the next year, or indeed, if it comes second, it is | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
about momentum and feeling about the parties. I do not think we can tell | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
yet. If UKIP does well, there could be some leadership crises we will | :08:49. | :08:54. | |
have to cover. I want to look at a couple of the headlines on the | :08:55. | :09:06. | |
screen. Now, it seems, as you can see from the Mail, Mr Miliband could | :09:07. | :09:12. | |
be in some trouble. The Labour MP for Rochdale talking about the | :09:13. | :09:17. | |
mantra of misery which is Labour's policy is not going down well. And | :09:18. | :09:22. | |
there are also rumbles about, if Mr Clegg comes fourth or even fifth in | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
the European elections, that there will be a plot to remove him. There | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
are not many names behind that plot yet, but Vince Cable does get an | :09:31. | :09:37. | |
honourable mention! Not that he is plotting, but he could take over! If | :09:38. | :09:45. | |
Labour comes a poor second, and the Tories are third, and Nick Clegg is | :09:46. | :09:50. | |
nowhere, there is a Clevedon-Miliband agenda, isn't | :09:51. | :09:54. | |
there? It will be very different for each man. The worst thing that could | :09:55. | :10:03. | |
happen to Labour is if Nick Clegg loses his job, because he will be | :10:04. | :10:08. | |
replaced by somebody substantially to the left of him, you would have | :10:09. | :10:11. | |
to assume, someone like Tim Farron. I think it is unlikely that David | :10:12. | :10:16. | |
Laws Danny Alexander, the two prominent figures who are to the | :10:17. | :10:20. | |
right of him, would win the leadership. If it is someone who is | :10:21. | :10:25. | |
quite a way to the left of Nick Clegg, then some voters might find | :10:26. | :10:31. | |
the party a more attractive proposition. Which is why the Tories | :10:32. | :10:35. | |
want to hold on to Nick Clegg. Absolutely. But I think you are | :10:36. | :10:38. | |
right, there is a really big bubble for Ed Miliband here. The second big | :10:39. | :10:44. | |
thing, I do not know if you saw the photo opportunity this week, Boris | :10:45. | :10:48. | |
Johnson strolling through a garden with David Cameron, they got off the | :10:49. | :10:53. | |
chew one-stop early just to appreciate the spring sunshine. But | :10:54. | :11:01. | |
where are the shadow cabinet? I hear rumours of a politician called | :11:02. | :11:03. | |
Yvette Cooper, but I do not know what she has been up to recently. | :11:04. | :11:07. | |
And Rachel Reeves and Andy Burnham, all of these big hitters are not | :11:08. | :11:12. | |
lashing themselves to the mast of the Labour election campaign. And | :11:13. | :11:17. | |
some of these big hitters are immensely talented, Rachel Reeves, | :11:18. | :11:20. | |
Chuka Umunna, these guys are really talented. You get the impression | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
that they are watching this as you say and biding their time. Ed | :11:25. | :11:30. | |
Miliband has bet the farm on this calculation that there has been this | :11:31. | :11:33. | |
rupture between the rise in wages and the rise in inflation, although | :11:34. | :11:37. | |
that is now beginning to slow. The calculation he is making is that in | :11:38. | :11:44. | |
the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney was ahead on many of the | :11:45. | :11:48. | |
economic indicators, but Barack Obama won because he said, I am on | :11:49. | :11:52. | |
your side. He has bet the farm on that. But there is a big difference | :11:53. | :11:58. | |
between Miliband and Barack Obama, which is that Barack Obama was | :11:59. | :12:02. | |
elected in 2008 after the crash, so everything he did was about rescue. | :12:03. | :12:07. | |
The problem for Ed Miliband and Ed Balls is that they were in power | :12:08. | :12:11. | |
when the crash happened, so it is difficult to make that comparison. | :12:12. | :12:14. | |
Labour is nip and tuck with the Tories, or ahead by a small amount - | :12:15. | :12:19. | |
Mr Miliband's personal ratings are much worse than what David | :12:20. | :12:25. | |
Cameron's were at the same stage in the political cycle, does that | :12:26. | :12:31. | |
matter? I think personal ratings do matter, particularly if things like | :12:32. | :12:37. | |
Ukraine gained more prominence in the media. It is a question of who | :12:38. | :12:42. | |
you want as your statesman. But on the economy specifically, actually, | :12:43. | :12:45. | |
the economic ratings in terms of confidence in the leader has not | :12:46. | :12:50. | |
changed. That has not changed for years now. It is pretty stable. | :12:51. | :12:57. | |
Actually, the narrowing of the polls could be due to the usual narrowing | :12:58. | :13:02. | |
about 12 months out from the election, and Labour really need to | :13:03. | :13:07. | |
use the momentum. Thank you for that. Plenty to talk about after you | :13:08. | :13:12. | |
all go to the polls on Thursday. There will be tonnes of election | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
coverage and results on the BBC, Thursday night, Friday, and of | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
course, Sunday night, when the European results come out. Daily | :13:21. | :13:23. | |
Politics is back on BBC Two tomorrow lunchtime. I will be back here next | :13:24. | :13:28. | |
Sunday at 11 o'clock as usual for The Sunday Politics. Remember, if it | :13:29. | :13:31. | |
is Sunday, it is The Sunday Politics. | :13:32. | :14:08. | |
The consultation on closure is supposed to last for 45 days. | :14:09. | :14:14. |