18/05/2014 Sunday Politics Yorkshire and Lincolnshire


18/05/2014

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 18/05/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

Good morning. Welcome to The Sunday Politics. Just four days to go until

:00:37.:00:44.

election day, and be warned, coming to a street near you, a party leader

:00:45.:00:48.

on a charm offensive. They all want your vote in the European elections

:00:49.:00:52.

on Thursday, and in the local elections across England, too. Polls

:00:53.:00:57.

are all over the place this morning. Your vote could make a

:00:58.:01:02.

difference. This man is 11 points ahead in one poll, he has promised

:01:03.:01:05.

an earthquake on Thursday, but what then? Our Adam has braved the

:01:06.:01:11.

On the Sunday Politics in Yorkshire all the big

:01:12.:01:15.

On the Sunday Politics in Yorkshire and Lincolnshire, we look at claims

:01:16.:01:18.

that local Government is facing extinction, as town halls have less

:01:19.:01:19.

money and fewer services to run. elections, and the 50th anniversary

:01:20.:01:26.

of the first elections to London's 32 boroughs. I am in the studio,

:01:27.:01:36.

with those who think they have got all the big answers. Nick Watt,

:01:37.:01:46.

Helen Lewis and Janan Ganesh. So, it is the European elections for

:01:47.:01:49.

everybody on Thursday, local elections for England and a bit of

:01:50.:01:53.

Northern Ireland as well. They are the last elections before the big

:01:54.:01:58.

one, the 2015 general election. Some say that these European and local

:01:59.:02:01.

elections will not be much of a pointer to how the big one goes. But

:02:02.:02:06.

that will not stop political commentators and party gurus from

:02:07.:02:11.

examining them closely. So, what is at stake? Thursday May the 22nd is

:02:12.:02:17.

local elections and European Parliament elections.

:02:18.:02:37.

These local results should be known by Friday. In the European

:02:38.:02:45.

elections, all 751 members of the European Parliament will be elected

:02:46.:02:50.

across Europe. 73 MEPs will be let it by people living in the UK. But

:02:51.:02:54.

the results will not be announced until Sunday night, after voting has

:02:55.:02:58.

closed throughout the 28 member states of the EU. Nick Watt, we are

:02:59.:03:03.

in a position where the polls this morning cannot tell us what the

:03:04.:03:07.

outcome is going to be on Thursday, and the general election is still

:03:08.:03:11.

wide open - we really are in uncharted territory? Also it is

:03:12.:03:15.

difficult to know where we are, because there is that ComRes poll

:03:16.:03:19.

which shows an 11 point lead amongst those certain to vote for UKIP, and

:03:20.:03:24.

another poll in the Sunday Times showing that it is a much more

:03:25.:03:29.

slender lead for UKIP. But we know that will they win? We do not know,

:03:30.:03:36.

but clearly they will unsettle the major parties. Fall or five months

:03:37.:03:39.

ago, we assumed that the UKIP success would create panic in the

:03:40.:03:45.

Conservative Party, but that has been factored into David Cameron's

:03:46.:03:49.

share price. The Conservative Party is remarkably relaxed at the moment,

:03:50.:03:52.

and I wonder whether this time next week, when we have the results,

:03:53.:03:57.

whether the two political leaders who will be under pressure will be

:03:58.:04:01.

Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg. Nick Clegg, because they could go down

:04:02.:04:05.

from 12 MEPs to maybe just three or four. And Ed Miliband, because, one

:04:06.:04:10.

year before a general election, he should be showing that he is a

:04:11.:04:13.

significant, potent electoral force. So, they should all be

:04:14.:04:20.

worried about UKIP, but whereas a couple of months ago, we would all

:04:21.:04:23.

have said David Cameron was the one who should be worried, now, we are

:04:24.:04:28.

saying it is Mr Miliband and Mr Clegg? And of the two, I think it is

:04:29.:04:33.

Ed Miliband who should be worried. The Lib Dems are an incredibly

:04:34.:04:42.

resilient party. He described his own party as cockroaches, and

:04:43.:04:51.

incredible resilience! I think the Lib Dems are ready to take this one,

:04:52.:04:55.

but I think Labour are really wobbly at the moment. What UKIP has done,

:04:56.:05:00.

to England, it means that England has caught up with Scotland,

:05:01.:05:04.

Northern Ireland and Wales, England now has a four party system, which

:05:05.:05:09.

makes it all the more uncertain what the outcome will be? Yes, but

:05:10.:05:16.

whether UKIP finish first or second, it will be the biggest insurgent

:05:17.:05:18.

event since the European elections began in 1979. People talk about the

:05:19.:05:23.

Greens in 1989, but I think they finished third. Were UKIP to win a

:05:24.:05:29.

national election or even finish runner-up, it would be truly

:05:30.:05:33.

historic. It is reflecting on something which is happening across

:05:34.:05:37.

Europe, pianist in Italy, Holland, France and in this country. --

:05:38.:05:45.

populist parties. And it makes first past the post look absolutely

:05:46.:05:50.

ridiculous. You could be in a situation after the next general

:05:51.:05:54.

election where Labour do not get the largest percentage of the vote but

:05:55.:05:57.

they get the largest number of seats. First past the post works

:05:58.:06:00.

fairly if there are only two parties, but when there are four...

:06:01.:06:07.

We will talk more about that. Let's speak now to Suzanne Evans of UKIP.

:06:08.:06:12.

She is at Westminster. Now, UKIP claims that there is going to be an

:06:13.:06:15.

earthquake in British politics on Thursday. Suppose there is, what

:06:16.:06:21.

does UKIP then need to do to become a more grown-up, proper party? I

:06:22.:06:25.

think UKIP has very much become a grown-up, proper party. We have been

:06:26.:06:32.

around for 20 years. What we are going to be doing after the European

:06:33.:06:36.

elections, if we do cause this earthquake, and the polls are

:06:37.:06:40.

looking like we are going to, is we will be firmly looking towards 2015,

:06:41.:06:44.

getting our general election manifesto out, to keep those votes

:06:45.:06:49.

on board from the euro elections and putting forward common-sense

:06:50.:06:51.

policies which really will bring Britain back to the people. We want

:06:52.:06:55.

to be able to hold the balance of power come the general election. If

:06:56.:06:59.

we can do that then there will be a referendum. That will be our aim.

:07:00.:07:09.

You say you are a more grown-up party, but when you look at the

:07:10.:07:14.

stream of gaffes and controversies created by your candidates and

:07:15.:07:17.

members, I will not go into them this morning, at the very least, I

:07:18.:07:23.

would suggest you are needing a more robust system of selection? You

:07:24.:07:27.

could say the same for the other three parties, who have been around

:07:28.:07:32.

for a lot longer. They have got nothing like the embarrassments you

:07:33.:07:37.

had. I am afraid they had. Just this week, since Monday, we have had 17

:07:38.:07:42.

Liberal Democrat, labour or Conservative councillors either

:07:43.:07:46.

arrested, charged or convicted on all manner of offences. In addition

:07:47.:07:49.

we have had 13 who have been involved in some kind of racist,

:07:50.:07:53.

sexist or homophobic incident. I am not saying I am proud of any of

:07:54.:07:57.

that. The whole of politics probably needs to be cleaned up, but I

:07:58.:08:01.

certainly do not think we are any worse than the other parties, who

:08:02.:08:04.

have much greater resources than we do. Those other parties are even

:08:05.:08:11.

putting people in power who they know have got criminal convictions

:08:12.:08:14.

or who have previously belonged to far right, fascist parties like the

:08:15.:08:20.

BNP. Can you continue to be a one-man band? The only time any

:08:21.:08:24.

other UKIP petition makes the headlines is when they say something

:08:25.:08:30.

loony or objectionable? We have a huge amount of talent in this party.

:08:31.:08:34.

We have fantastic spokespeople across the patch, the huge amount of

:08:35.:08:38.

expertise in the party. Inevitably the media focuses on Nigel Farage,

:08:39.:08:42.

who is a fantastic, charismatic leader. But believe me, there is a

:08:43.:08:50.

huge amount of talent. When we get our MEPs into power after the

:08:51.:08:54.

European elections, we will see many more of them I think on television

:08:55.:09:00.

and radio and in the newspapers. We are not a one-man band. Who runs

:09:01.:09:07.

your party? The party is run by Nigel Farage, our leader. But he

:09:08.:09:11.

spends all his time running between television studios and in and out of

:09:12.:09:17.

the pub! You would be amazed how much he does, and of course we have

:09:18.:09:20.

a National Executive Committee, like the other parties. So who runs it?

:09:21.:09:26.

The National Executive Committee, in conjunction with Nigel Farage, the

:09:27.:09:31.

MEPs, the spokespeople, it is a joint effort. Your Local Government

:09:32.:09:34.

Minister Stosur is, if you vote UKIP, you go on to pledge that your

:09:35.:09:39.

councillors will not toe the party line, how does that work? -- your

:09:40.:09:50.

local government manifesto says... On the main policies, they will toe

:09:51.:09:54.

the party line, because that is obviously what people will be voting

:09:55.:09:58.

for. It is no good putting forward a manifesto like the Lib Dems did on

:09:59.:10:03.

2010 and going back on it. We have put forward a lot of positive -- a

:10:04.:10:09.

lot of policies at local government level, and those we will stick to.

:10:10.:10:14.

But when it comes to individual, local issues, say, a particular

:10:15.:10:17.

development or the closure of a school, whatever, UKIP then will

:10:18.:10:23.

vote what they think is in the best interests of the people in the

:10:24.:10:27.

borough, and not according to any party whip system. This plays out

:10:28.:10:33.

really well on the doorstep, I find. People do not want their politicians

:10:34.:10:36.

to be in the pockets of their party, putting party first, ahead of

:10:37.:10:40.

the people. You want people to vote to leave the European Union in a

:10:41.:10:45.

referendum - have you published a road map as to what would then

:10:46.:10:49.

happen? Yes, there will be a road map. The Lisbon Treaty for the first

:10:50.:10:54.

time gave us that exit opportunity. Have you published a road map? I am

:10:55.:11:00.

not the legal expert on this but there are ways in which you can come

:11:01.:11:04.

out of Europe fairly quickly. There is a longer you all as well. But

:11:05.:11:07.

have you published any of that detail? Not that I have read. But

:11:08.:11:14.

certainly there are ways to do it. We are the sixth strongest world

:11:15.:11:18.

economy, I think we are in a strong position having left the EU to be

:11:19.:11:21.

able to negotiate a very good trade deal with the European Union. It is

:11:22.:11:26.

what people voted for in 1975. What would be our exact status? It would

:11:27.:11:34.

be I think what people voted for back in 1975. An independent,

:11:35.:11:39.

sovereign country in a trade agreement, a very positive and

:11:40.:11:43.

valuable trade agreement with the European Union. I voted in that

:11:44.:11:48.

referendum, I remember it well, 1975 involved the free movement of people

:11:49.:11:53.

's... That is something which I do not think UKIP or the country wants.

:11:54.:11:59.

70% of people now are deeply concerned about immigration. So it

:12:00.:12:08.

would not be 1975, then? Andrew, it sounds like you are complaining that

:12:09.:12:12.

we might have something which is better than 1975. I am just trying

:12:13.:12:18.

to find out what it is! That sounds like positive to me. We will

:12:19.:12:23.

negotiate a trade deal and all manner of issues, whatever is best

:12:24.:12:27.

for the British people. We want our sovereignty back, we want our

:12:28.:12:30.

country back. Would you be upset if a bunch of Rumanian men moved in

:12:31.:12:35.

next door to you? Where I live, I am surrounded by one and two-bedroom

:12:36.:12:40.

flats. If ten Rumanian men moved in next door to me, I would want to ask

:12:41.:12:44.

questions. That is very different from say a Robinho family moving in

:12:45.:12:54.

next door. I would think, are they being ripped off, are they up to no

:12:55.:12:58.

good or are they perhaps being trafficked by a gang master? So I

:12:59.:13:03.

think it would be of concern, and I do not think there is anything wrong

:13:04.:13:06.

with that, it is a humanitarian approach. That would be different

:13:07.:13:09.

from a family moving in who were learning to speak English, who

:13:10.:13:12.

wanted to contribute to the British economy. Maybe if your boss is

:13:13.:13:18.

watching, he will now have found out how to answer that question.

:13:19.:13:27.

Now, what is more glamorous, 24 hours in the life of a

:13:28.:13:35.

counter-terrorism agent, or 12 hours in the life of Adam Fleming, on the

:13:36.:13:40.

campaign trail? I will let you make up your own mind. So, it is eight

:13:41.:13:47.

o'clock in the morning here in Westminster. Today's challenge is,

:13:48.:13:51.

how much campaigning for the local and European elections can we fit

:13:52.:13:56.

into 12 hours? See you back here at eight o'clock tonight. Wish me

:13:57.:14:01.

luck. With my cameraman and producer, we went to Thurrock in

:14:02.:14:08.

Essex first. I got a very, very warm welcome from Abe buoyant UKIP. They

:14:09.:14:19.

have never had this much attention. One candidate's misdemeanour ends up

:14:20.:14:25.

on the front page. But you have got Lib Dem candidates being convicted

:14:26.:14:27.

of racially aggravated assault, and that was not on the front pages of

:14:28.:14:31.

the newspapers. Houdini is fine but it must be applied evenly. Have you

:14:32.:14:38.

had to sack Thurrock UKIP members for dodgy tweets or anything? Oh,

:14:39.:14:46.

God, no. Next we head to meet a top Tory in a different area. We are

:14:47.:14:50.

heading to Eastbourne. But stuck in traffic. We are going to miss

:14:51.:14:56.

William Hague. We got there, just in time, to ask the really big

:14:57.:15:01.

questions. David Cameron went to Nando De Colo last week, where are

:15:02.:15:06.

you going to go for lunch? I do not even get time for lunch. I think

:15:07.:15:12.

something in the back of the car. We will go down the street and see what

:15:13.:15:17.

people have got to say. Even the Foreign Secretary has depressed the

:15:18.:15:21.

flesh at election time? Even the Foreign Secretary meets real people.

:15:22.:15:33.

The message William Hague impresses upon everyone he meets is that the

:15:34.:15:39.

Tories are the only party offering a referendum on our membership of the

:15:40.:15:47.

EU. He's off for lunch in the limo. I've got five minutes by the beach.

:15:48.:15:52.

This is the best thing about elections, lunch. Do you want one?

:15:53.:15:59.

And chips are weirdly relevant at our next stop - the Green Party

:16:00.:16:02.

battle bus which is parked in Ashford in Kent. What is special

:16:03.:16:07.

about this vehicle? It runs from chip fat oil so it is more friendly

:16:08.:16:16.

to the environment. But boss was boiling. The next stop is Gillingham

:16:17.:16:24.

to see Labour. Labour have just hired Barack Obama's election guru

:16:25.:16:26.

David Axelrod to help them craft their message. What does David

:16:27.:16:34.

Axelrod know about the people who live on the street? I know the local

:16:35.:16:44.

details but you handle those. Ed Miliband and his party have had to

:16:45.:16:48.

handle a few dodgy opinion polls lately, prompting some leadership

:16:49.:16:50.

speculation from one activist. Who is your favourite Labour politician?

:16:51.:16:59.

Ed Balls. Back in the car and we're flagging. Final stop, Southwark in

:17:00.:17:07.

south London. We are in the right place, this is Simon Hughes' Lib Dem

:17:08.:17:15.

taxi. The Lib Dems are campaigning as the party of in. But are they in

:17:16.:17:21.

trouble? Your party president said the party would be wiped out and

:17:22.:17:28.

lose its MEPs. Is that helpful? If he did say that, then no, that's not

:17:29.:17:35.

terribly helpful. And let's not forget, every London council is

:17:36.:17:39.

having elections too. I have 40 minutes to get back to the office in

:17:40.:17:43.

Westminster, which calls for something drastic, like this. After

:17:44.:17:49.

212 miles, but will be make it home for eight? We have made it, aided,

:17:50.:17:57.

12 hours of pure politics. Happy elections, everyone.

:17:58.:18:09.

Adam Fleming impersonating Jack Bauer! Natalie Bennett is in our

:18:10.:18:17.

studio, welcome back. The Greens used to be the upcoming party in

:18:18.:18:21.

Britain, now it is UKIP. What went wrong? We are in a very good place,

:18:22.:18:33.

looking towards travelling our MEPs and we could be the fourth largest

:18:34.:18:37.

group in Parliament after these elections. More and more people are

:18:38.:18:42.

recognising we are the only party calling for real change, the only

:18:43.:18:48.

party saying we have two stop making poor, disadvantaged young people

:18:49.:18:53.

over the mistakes bankers. You have made a strong pro-environment stands

:18:54.:18:59.

synonymous with the politics of the left, why have you done that? Why

:19:00.:19:05.

should an equal minded Conservative vote for you? I think one of the

:19:06.:19:09.

reasons why many Conservatives, I met them in Chester where they are

:19:10.:19:16.

stopping coalbed methane exploration, lots of Conservatives

:19:17.:19:22.

are looking to vote for us beyond issues like fracking and the Green

:19:23.:19:26.

belt, and many of them are concerned about the fact we haven't reformed

:19:27.:19:31.

the banks. This morning we had the Bank of England chief coming out and

:19:32.:19:36.

saying we have a huge house price bubble and people recognise that

:19:37.:19:41.

many of the parties offering the same are not working. And yet the

:19:42.:19:54.

polls show that the hardline greenery is not winning. We are

:19:55.:19:58.

looking to travel our number of MEPs and we have people recognising that

:19:59.:20:03.

we have to change the way our economic 's, politics and society

:20:04.:20:07.

works so that everyone has sufficient resources within the

:20:08.:20:10.

limits of the one planet because one planet is all we have got. You want

:20:11.:20:18.

all electricity to be generated by renewables, is that right? So where

:20:19.:20:23.

would the electricity come from on days when the wind is not blowing?

:20:24.:20:29.

Most of the electricity is there. It is mature. We need to be hooked into

:20:30.:20:35.

a European wide grid, we need a smart grid that will allow for

:20:36.:20:40.

demand to be adjusted according to supply. So we would take French

:20:41.:20:47.

nuclear power, would we? We need to work with a partnership across

:20:48.:20:56.

Europe. We are being left behind and we are losing opportunities. 50% of

:20:57.:21:00.

German renewable electricity is owned by communities and it stays

:21:01.:21:04.

within communities, rather than the big six energy companies. So you

:21:05.:21:15.

have still got to take the French nuclear power. What we need to

:21:16.:21:26.

do... Nuclear is a dead technology, going down in the developed world.

:21:27.:21:32.

At the moment the Government proposes the most expensive proposal

:21:33.:21:37.

for Britain and yet the last two plans took 17 years to bring online,

:21:38.:21:43.

way too slow for what we need now. We know what the Green council would

:21:44.:21:47.

be like if you were to win more seats on Thursday because you run

:21:48.:21:52.

Brighton. Your own Green MP joined strikers against the council, the

:21:53.:21:58.

local Greens are at each other's throats, a council ridden with

:21:59.:22:03.

factionalism, attempts to raise council tax to 5%, attempted coups

:22:04.:22:08.

against the local Green leader by other Greens and you have had to

:22:09.:22:14.

bring in mediators. If you look at the life of people in Brighton and

:22:15.:22:18.

Hove, it has seen its visitor numbers go up by 50,000, it has

:22:19.:22:23.

become the top seaside resort in Britain, we have seen GCSE results

:22:24.:22:30.

going up significantly. These are the things affecting people's lives

:22:31.:22:36.

in Brighton and Hove. 60% of Brighton and Hove people think life

:22:37.:22:43.

is better and the Greens. We have a debate to be had from next year's

:22:44.:22:47.

election and perhaps we can have that debate next year. But you hold

:22:48.:22:52.

up Brighton as the way the city should be run? We have made huge

:22:53.:22:57.

progress, we have found money to be brought into the city to improve

:22:58.:23:05.

Green spaces. I was on the big ride in London yesterday, and we need to

:23:06.:23:10.

change our roads so they worked the people as well as cars. Which side

:23:11.:23:14.

of the picket line were you on in Brighton? With Caroline Lucas? I was

:23:15.:23:23.

in London, travelling around as I do most days. From Penzance to

:23:24.:23:29.

Newcastle and many areas in between. Probably a good move. Thank you. I'm

:23:30.:23:45.

joined now by the Conservative MP, the Lib Dem MP Simon Hughes and

:23:46.:24:15.

Sajid Javid. We want to see a European Union resolutely focused on

:24:16.:24:20.

the single market, free trade, and only we can bring about that change.

:24:21.:24:24.

Labour and Lib Dems are happy with the status quo, in fact they would

:24:25.:24:29.

like more integration, and a UKIP party can not deliver the change.

:24:30.:24:37.

Hilary Benn, at this stage positions usually romp home in European

:24:38.:24:40.

elections and no party has gone on to form a government without winning

:24:41.:24:45.

the European elections first. Now it suggests you could become second,

:24:46.:24:52.

you haven't handled UKIP very well either. There is a lot of alienation

:24:53.:24:57.

from politics around, globalisation has left some behind and people are

:24:58.:25:02.

concerned about that but UKIP will not provide the answer. Nigel Farage

:25:03.:25:07.

only talks about Europe. We are to hear it would not be in the

:25:08.:25:11.

interests of British people to come out of Europe. We do want a season

:25:12.:25:16.

change in Europe, for example we want longer periods when new member

:25:17.:25:23.

states come in. We don't think child tax credits should be paid to

:25:24.:25:27.

children not living in the UK, but Nigel Farage is also proposing to

:25:28.:25:33.

charge us when we see the GP, to halve maternity pay, and he wants a

:25:34.:25:39.

flat tax. UKIP is not the answer to the problems we face and we will

:25:40.:25:43.

continue to campaign as we have done to show that we are putting forward

:25:44.:25:53.

policies on energy prices, and in the end that is what people will

:25:54.:25:58.

look for. Simon Hughes, you will be lucky to come forth. The voters

:25:59.:26:05.

decide these things. Really? I never knew that. My response to the UKIP

:26:06.:26:10.

question is that they get support because they have never been in

:26:11.:26:16.

power, they are never likely. A bit like the way you used to never get

:26:17.:26:22.

into power. I accept that, but now we are in government. The reality is

:26:23.:26:30.

that laws made in Brussels, we make together by agreement, and it is the

:26:31.:26:35.

case from the Commons figures that only seven out of 100 laws are made

:26:36.:26:44.

in Brussels. Actually they have been shown not to be the only ones. 14

:26:45.:26:51.

out of 100. If we were to come out of Europe, we would seriously

:26:52.:27:00.

disadvantage our economics and the jobs... 3 million jobs depend on the

:27:01.:27:06.

European Union. If the Conservatives comes third or even a poor second,

:27:07.:27:10.

it will show that people don't really trust your promise about

:27:11.:27:14.

European referendum. They have been there before, they don't trust you.

:27:15.:27:19.

What we have already shown, despite being in coalition with Liberal

:27:20.:27:25.

Democrats, we have shown progress on Europe, we have vetoed a European

:27:26.:27:28.

treaty when people said we wouldn't, we have cut the European

:27:29.:27:33.

budget which is something Liberal Democrats and Labour MEPs voted

:27:34.:27:39.

against, we cut it by ?8 billion. But overall we are still paying

:27:40.:27:47.

more. We have still cut it. We have taken Britain out of the bailout

:27:48.:27:52.

fund that Labour signed us up to. We are now going to take that same

:27:53.:27:58.

energy to Europe and renegotiate our relationship and let the British

:27:59.:28:03.

people decide in a referendum. Why has Ed Miliband become such a

:28:04.:28:12.

liability for your party? Even your own MPs are speaking out against

:28:13.:28:17.

him. If you look at the polls, we have been in the lead almost

:28:18.:28:22.

consistently. The voters will decide. Ed Miliband is a decent man,

:28:23.:28:26.

but what really marks him out is that he is thinking about the

:28:27.:28:33.

problems the country faces. Simon and Sajid both support the bedroom

:28:34.:28:45.

tax, we will scrap it. Ed Miliband said the energy market doesn't work

:28:46.:28:48.

for consumers, we will freeze energy prices while we change the system.

:28:49.:28:57.

So why are his ratings even lower than Nick Clegg's? They will be

:28:58.:29:06.

voted for next year in the general election, and if I were David

:29:07.:29:10.

Cameron I would ask myself this question - the economy is

:29:11.:29:16.

recovering, why is it that David Cameron and the Conservatives have

:29:17.:29:20.

been behind in the polls? Because in the end the big choice in British

:29:21.:29:25.

politics is between the two parties that say, if we sought the deficit

:29:26.:29:30.

everything is fine, and Labour who say that there are things about this

:29:31.:29:34.

country, the insecurity that has given rise for support for UKIP, and

:29:35.:29:42.

we are the ones talking about doing something about zero hours

:29:43.:29:45.

contracts. The more your leader bangs on about Europe, the worse

:29:46.:29:50.

your poll ratings get. He is out of the kilter with British people. It

:29:51.:30:00.

may not be a majority of people who think that we ought to stay in the

:30:01.:30:03.

European Union, but when you speak to people about it, people

:30:04.:30:09.

understand that we are better in them out. In the elections on

:30:10.:30:13.

Thursday, that is not about who runs Britain, that is for next year. In

:30:14.:30:17.

terms of the local councils, we have battles on the ground, like in my

:30:18.:30:22.

community, where we are trying to take it back from the Labour Party.

:30:23.:30:25.

Affordable housing has just not been delivered. We have delivered that in

:30:26.:30:32.

office and we had admitted to that. -- we are committed to that. Labour

:30:33.:30:37.

have actually demolished homes. So, people want more affordable homes.

:30:38.:30:43.

One issue which is behind people's antipathy towards immigrants is that

:30:44.:30:47.

they cannot get the affordable housing they need. We as a

:30:48.:30:50.

government have delivered more affordable housing in this

:30:51.:30:56.

Parliament -170,000 new properties earning and more, over the next

:30:57.:31:01.

three years. That does not work out that very many per year. Overall

:31:02.:31:11.

housing is a lot less than it was in 2006. Let me tell you, under the

:31:12.:31:17.

Labour government, we lost nearly half a million affordable homes.

:31:18.:31:20.

Fewer built than under Mrs Thatcher or under the coalition. What is your

:31:21.:31:28.

last ditch message to the millions of Tory voters thinking of voting

:31:29.:31:33.

UKIP on Thursday? First, what I would say is, Ed Miliband also said

:31:34.:31:39.

that we should not tackle the deficit, it was not a priority. As a

:31:40.:31:44.

result of our resolute focus, we now have the fastest growing economy in

:31:45.:31:47.

the developed world, and more people employed than ever before. I am sure

:31:48.:31:52.

you will have more chance to say that at the general election, what

:31:53.:31:56.

is the answer to my question? We need a Europe which is focused on

:31:57.:32:00.

free trade and the single market. Labour and Lib Dems are happy with

:32:01.:32:05.

the status quo, we are not. We are the only party which can bring about

:32:06.:32:08.

change, UKIP cannot bring about any change. Hilary Benn, why not have a

:32:09.:32:18.

referendum on Europe? If you think like Nigel Farage that you should

:32:19.:32:22.

get out of Europe, I do not agree with him, because Britain's future

:32:23.:32:26.

lies in Europe. My message simply would be, vote for a party which

:32:27.:32:30.

wants to tackle insecurity in the workplace, to give more security to

:32:31.:32:35.

the 9 million people who are now privately renting, build more homes.

:32:36.:32:41.

What Simon has just said about the coalition's housing record, it has

:32:42.:32:45.

been appalling, the lowest level since Stanley Baldwin was Prime

:32:46.:32:49.

Minister. With Labour, you have got a party which will freeze energy

:32:50.:32:53.

prices, more childcare, policies which directly address the problems

:32:54.:32:59.

which people face. I think the public will realise that. UKIP

:33:00.:33:02.

offers absolutely nothing at all for the future of the country. You used

:33:03.:33:07.

to be in favour of a referendum? We are in favour, we voted for one, we

:33:08.:33:11.

have legislated for one. The next time there is a change between

:33:12.:33:16.

Britain and Europe, in the relationship, there will be a

:33:17.:33:22.

referendum. We have supported that. We voted for it. You would obviously

:33:23.:33:27.

want to vote yes in any referendum. We would. But if you had one now, it

:33:28.:33:34.

would be for coming out or staying in, and you are going to wait until

:33:35.:33:38.

there is another step son shall transfer of powers to Brussels, and

:33:39.:33:43.

then say to people, either vote for this substantial transfer or vote to

:33:44.:33:50.

leave! Of course they will vote to leave! Yes, we are not natural

:33:51.:33:58.

partners with the Conservatives, but we do not want to be distracted at

:33:59.:34:02.

the moment by a referendum in the future in relation to Europe.

:34:03.:34:05.

Because what we have done is built our own economy back. That has been

:34:06.:34:13.

the priority. We do not want artificial priorities. The Tories

:34:14.:34:16.

want an artificial date plucked out of the air for their own advantage.

:34:17.:34:21.

We say, let's get on with being positive about being in Europe, and

:34:22.:34:24.

many people on the doorstep absolutely understand that.

:34:25.:34:28.

Yesterday, the Energy Minister said that he thought the party would be

:34:29.:34:33.

willing to campaign for a British withdrawal from the EU if there was

:34:34.:34:39.

not a successful negotiation, a successful repatriation, do you

:34:40.:34:45.

agree with that? First of all, I am very optimistic... I got that I am

:34:46.:34:56.

going into these negotiations with confidence but Michael Fallon is one

:34:57.:34:59.

of your ministerial colleagues, he said that if we cannot get a deal on

:35:00.:35:04.

substantial repatriation, then the party should be willing to campaign

:35:05.:35:08.

for a British withdrawal - do you agree? My view is that I am

:35:09.:35:13.

confident we will get a deal, and then we will put it to the British

:35:14.:35:17.

people. But you will have to take a line. If you do not get substantial

:35:18.:35:21.

repatriations, will you side with Michael Fallon all with the Prime

:35:22.:35:24.

Minister, who seems to want to stay in regardless? I may only have been

:35:25.:35:30.

in politics for four years, but I am not going to ask that kind of

:35:31.:35:33.

hypothetical question. Every question I ask is hypothetical, that

:35:34.:35:40.

is the fascination of the programme! I go into these negotiations with

:35:41.:35:43.

complete confidence. If you look at our track record, it suggests we

:35:44.:35:50.

will be successful. Hilary Benn, what is the difference between your

:35:51.:35:54.

attitude and that of the Lib Dems towards a referendum? We have been

:35:55.:36:00.

very clear that if it is proposed at sometime in the future, further

:36:01.:36:05.

powers would be transferred, then, we would put that to the British

:36:06.:36:09.

people in a referendum. That is the Lib Dem position. This is our

:36:10.:36:14.

position, which I am planing to you. It would be an in-out referendum. We

:36:15.:36:20.

would only agree to a transfer of powers if we thought that it was in

:36:21.:36:25.

the interest of Britain. But we believe that Britain's place remains

:36:26.:36:27.

and should remain in Europe, for economic reasons. But we also want

:36:28.:36:35.

to see some changes in our relationship with Europe, and

:36:36.:36:41.

electing Labour MEPs on Thursday will be a way of boosting that

:36:42.:36:48.

argument. In what way is everything you have just said not entirely sell

:36:49.:36:52.

my must with the Lib Dem position? I am not worried about that. --

:36:53.:37:00.

entirely synonymous. It is the dividing line between us and UKIP,

:37:01.:37:03.

because they somehow believe that Britain leaving the European Union

:37:04.:37:07.

would be good for our economy. Truth is, it would be really bad, because

:37:08.:37:13.

so many jobs depend on being part of a large market in an increasingly

:37:14.:37:24.

globalised world. I have got one more question for you on the locals.

:37:25.:37:29.

We seem to have lost our connection with Leeds. What is the single most

:37:30.:37:32.

important reason that people should vote for you in the local election?

:37:33.:37:36.

Because taxpayers' money is just that, it does not belong to the

:37:37.:37:41.

politicians, and we can do a lot more and get more for less with

:37:42.:37:45.

taxpayers money. If you look at Conservative councils up and down

:37:46.:37:48.

the country, most of them have not been raising council tax, they have

:37:49.:37:51.

been getting more for less, and that is what people deserve. We will

:37:52.:37:56.

produce the maximum amount possible of affordable housing to meet the

:37:57.:38:00.

housing needs of Britain, instead of the richest minority having flats

:38:01.:38:03.

and houses that nobody can afford. We seem to have lost Hilary Benn. I

:38:04.:38:14.

can answer for him. I will do it - he would certainly say, vote Labour.

:38:15.:38:17.

You are watching The Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers

:38:18.:38:23.

You're watching the Sunday Politics Sunday Politics Scotland.

:38:24.:38:33.

You're watching the Sunday Politics for Yorkshire and Lincolnshire.

:38:34.:38:37.

Coming up today: With elections looming, we look at claims that

:38:38.:38:39.

local Government is facing extinction, as town halls have less

:38:40.:38:48.

money and fewer services to run. We'll be looking at the political

:38:49.:38:51.

battle ground in our part of the world ahead of Thursday's vote. We

:38:52.:38:55.

discuss what pointers it could tell us about the likely outcome of next

:38:56.:38:59.

year's General Election. So let's say hello to our guests today. Keith

:39:00.:39:03.

Wakefield is the Labour leader of Leeds City Council. Robert Light is

:39:04.:39:08.

the Conservative group leader on Kirklees Council. And Jeanette

:39:09.:39:12.

Sunderland is the Liberal Democrat group leader on Bradford Council.

:39:13.:39:20.

Hello to you all. So what is the point of voting in the local

:39:21.:39:22.

elections? Town halls have seen their budgets slashed and services

:39:23.:39:27.

outsourced to private companies. So what's left for councils to run?

:39:28.:39:30.

James Vincent reports on what some claim is a doomsday scenario for

:39:31.:39:40.

local Government. Hands up if you want to strike. Care

:39:41.:39:45.

workers in Doncaster are not happy with a private company looking after

:39:46.:39:50.

elderly people, but giving council services to businesses or volunteers

:39:51.:39:54.

is now a must. Leaked to Sunday Politics is a bit of paper from

:39:55.:39:59.

Sheffield Anhalt. It has a dramatic title. `` Sheffield Town Hall.

:40:00.:40:06.

The graph of doom. These bars show what Sheffield Council has to pay

:40:07.:40:10.

for, looking after children and the elderly plus other running costs. At

:40:11.:40:14.

the moment there is a gap between that and the amount of money it has

:40:15.:40:19.

in total. It can afford to pay for perhaps less essential things, but

:40:20.:40:25.

as we move forward, the amount of money we have is going down and

:40:26.:40:30.

costs are growing. By 2018, Sheffield Council thinks the two

:40:31.:40:34.

will meet, meaning there will be no money left to pay for those sorts of

:40:35.:40:36.

services at all. money left to pay for those sorts

:40:37.:40:40.

Something that will have an effect on the quality of the candidates we

:40:41.:40:43.

are choosing between in this election. The challenges are immense

:40:44.:40:51.

for the politicians. Not every seat in South Yorkshire is being

:40:52.:40:56.

contested now. Why would people want to take a seat on a council to then

:40:57.:41:00.

be responsible for butchering those councils' services? In Doncaster

:41:01.:41:06.

they may have a brand`new theatre funded in better times, but the

:41:07.:41:12.

council's Chief Executive is watching their budgets shrink by

:41:13.:41:17.

half. The whole of the state is shrinking. For local Government the

:41:18.:41:21.

cuts are on a level we haven't seen before. And they are worse in the

:41:22.:41:27.

North than other places. So it is change bid `` beyond anything we

:41:28.:41:30.

have seen. Leisure, the arts and parks have all

:41:31.:41:34.

suffered. They are all things that could be handed to private companies

:41:35.:41:39.

or volunteers. The Friends of Sandall Park group has been looking

:41:40.:41:42.

after their part of Doncaster for eight years. But if the money runs

:41:43.:41:48.

out for council maintenance, even they are not sure they can take

:41:49.:41:53.

over. The Friends of Sandall Park enjoy what we are doing in the park,

:41:54.:42:00.

but as soon as we `` if we suddenly found it felt like work, we would

:42:01.:42:10.

not have the same enthusiasm. We have to have a real honest

:42:11.:42:12.

conversation with people about what councils can and cannot do in the

:42:13.:42:18.

future. No matter where you are, things staying as they are is not an

:42:19.:42:23.

option for anybody. The problem is things staying as they are might be

:42:24.:42:29.

the best case scenario. Local Government is probably

:42:30.:42:31.

finished. We will see outsourcing through private companies, and also

:42:32.:42:37.

a role for the third sector, the voluntary sector. So it will be

:42:38.:42:41.

mixed and meant for the next few years, but the next General Election

:42:42.:42:44.

will determine whether local governments have any future.

:42:45.:42:49.

As the gap narrows and money runs out, whoever controls your local

:42:50.:42:53.

council after the election might not feel like winners.

:42:54.:43:03.

Keith, what is the point in voting in local elections when councils are

:43:04.:43:09.

facing a diminishing power base? Many of us are facing severe cuts,

:43:10.:43:12.

but although we go getting smaller in size, people still expect us to

:43:13.:43:19.

play a leading role in providing the houses, making sure that they are

:43:20.:43:25.

creating `` jobs are created, looking after our elderly and young,

:43:26.:43:30.

so whatever the resources, people still look to local Government to

:43:31.:43:33.

show leadership and compassion in their cities. Robert, town halls in

:43:34.:43:39.

many areas now do not control schools because we have academies.

:43:40.:43:43.

Libraries have been hived off to volunteers. What are you left with?

:43:44.:43:49.

I think the challenge for councils, and I think that is where

:43:50.:43:53.

Conservative councils have the ideas for the future, is to change town

:43:54.:43:56.

halls so councils are different for the future, but they concentrate on

:43:57.:44:00.

providing those central services like adult services and bin

:44:01.:44:05.

collections, but then devolving power down to communities, and that

:44:06.:44:10.

is what we want to do in Kirklees, we want to give power back so that

:44:11.:44:15.

local people have a say over what happens in their communities. People

:44:16.:44:20.

are fed up of central diktat from central Government and big pencils.

:44:21.:44:25.

In the last local elections in Bradford, Jeanette, only one in

:44:26.:44:33.

three voters bothered to take part. It is up to people like me to make

:44:34.:44:38.

sure more people turn out and engage people in the issues around the

:44:39.:44:43.

award. This is very much an opportunity for good quality people

:44:44.:44:47.

to come into local Government. When I first got elected we were deciding

:44:48.:44:52.

on which streets got the bins, which streets got grass cut, now it is

:44:53.:44:55.

about tackling major public health issues, job creation, business rates

:44:56.:45:02.

coming back to councils. This is a good opportunity for local

:45:03.:45:04.

Government, and people who said local Government is finished, it is

:45:05.:45:12.

yet to have its day. In Leeds you have 99 councillors. Free for every

:45:13.:45:17.

ward. All on allowances. Is that I good use of public money? You

:45:18.:45:24.

realise that in those wards there is up to 15 thousand to 20,000 people.

:45:25.:45:28.

You need at least three to take on some of the problems people have, to

:45:29.:45:36.

service those. We are also strategic, in that councillors also

:45:37.:45:40.

run up to ?2 billion budgets. I can assure you, if we are doing what all

:45:41.:45:44.

parties agree with, and evolving more power to make sure that we

:45:45.:45:49.

survive these changes and threats, those councillors need to be more

:45:50.:45:55.

rooted in their community, following through partnerships with health,

:45:56.:45:58.

with the voluntary sector, with the private sector. That is the way

:45:59.:46:03.

local Government is moving. Robert, Eric pickles has said the age of

:46:04.:46:07.

austerity is here to stay. Town halls will have to tighten their

:46:08.:46:12.

boats `` belts. Do you accept that? If you look at the commitments being

:46:13.:46:18.

made by all the parties, it is not to give local Government any more

:46:19.:46:22.

money in the next five years, but as local Government to come over to the

:46:23.:46:25.

challenge and do things better, more effectively. Local Government has

:46:26.:46:30.

been very successful in doing that in the last few years. We have

:46:31.:46:33.

changed a lot of things, but we need to do more. Jeanette, the politics

:46:34.:46:40.

lecturer at Sheffield Hallam University said we are seeing the

:46:41.:46:44.

slow death of local Government. Wang holiday Monday I had 250 people

:46:45.:46:48.

having a picnic protesting in a local park. These were people

:46:49.:46:53.

getting active and having views about what the Council and

:46:54.:46:58.

Government are doing. People actually, that of the stomata has

:46:59.:47:01.

caused people to look around and say I want to get involved. ``

:47:02.:47:12.

austerity. With four more days for the local council elections, Len

:47:13.:47:16.

Tingle has been looking at the political battle for the big

:47:17.:47:19.

metropolitan authorities in Western Yorkshire. He has also been sticking

:47:20.:47:24.

some of the other party candidates. `` West and South Yorkshire.

:47:25.:47:28.

When it comes to the local elections, Labour has been a bit

:47:29.:47:33.

like a bull in a china shop. They have barged aside the Lib Dems and

:47:34.:47:37.

the Tories in most of the councils that are up for election. A look at

:47:38.:47:41.

the electoral map shows what has been happening. These are the four

:47:42.:47:46.

local authorities in South Yorkshire, Barnsley, does ``

:47:47.:47:51.

Barnsley, Doncaster, Sheffield and Rotherham. Labour and the Tories

:47:52.:48:02.

barely have a toehold. West Yorkshire has seen a similar

:48:03.:48:07.

movement. Labour is in full control in Leeds, but the competition will

:48:08.:48:10.

be in the remaining three councils, Labour goes into Bradford just two

:48:11.:48:16.

seats short of a majority. In Kirklees, three seats short. In

:48:17.:48:21.

Calderdale, five short. The other parties are now trying hard to stop

:48:22.:48:23.

them crossing that line. parties are now trying hard to stop

:48:24.:48:28.

Labour, Lib Dems and Tories are facing a big challenge this time

:48:29.:48:34.

around from minor parties. The UK Independence Party won its first

:48:35.:48:37.

ever seen here in Rotherham at a by`election last year. This time

:48:38.:48:42.

around it is putting up 148 candidates across our region. The

:48:43.:48:47.

Greens in those councils of four election already have nine

:48:48.:48:50.

councillors. They are fielding 110 candidates. From the left, the trade

:48:51.:48:55.

union organisation TUSC is fielding 51 candidates.

:48:56.:48:59.

How do the biggest of those minor parties fancy their charges ``

:49:00.:49:03.

chances? Sarah Jane Smalley is standing for

:49:04.:49:11.

the Greens. You are `` you have almost made a

:49:12.:49:16.

breakthrough on several occasions, but you really have only a handful

:49:17.:49:23.

of councillors. `` councils. We have councillors across the region, and I

:49:24.:49:30.

think even though people might have protest voted at first we turned

:49:31.:49:33.

protest votes into positive odds. Once people know what our policies

:49:34.:49:39.

are, they are presently supplies. `` surprised. `` pleasantly surprised.

:49:40.:49:45.

Your record is not much different from the Greens. You have looked as

:49:46.:49:50.

though you are going to make breakthroughs, but you have only had

:49:51.:49:57.

one win right across Yorkshire. We have lots of good policies. We

:49:58.:50:02.

want to bring Britain back to Britain. But in this area, as main

:50:03.:50:08.

opposition, as Labour, so we have to break into their stronghold.

:50:09.:50:13.

Sarah Jane Smalley, some of the Greens propose policies will cost

:50:14.:50:20.

money. Can you afford them, given that local authorities are being

:50:21.:50:29.

squeezed? If you look at `` they have managed to keep their

:50:30.:50:34.

children's centres open and raced GCS even results and had a lot of

:50:35.:50:42.

positive results. They are a local council that has had their Budget

:50:43.:50:46.

cut. It is just about how you go about doing it.

:50:47.:50:51.

Do you have the policies to be able to run a council? I found it

:50:52.:50:55.

difficult to work out what your policies are, your party leader

:50:56.:50:59.

ripped up the manifest of the 2015. Can you run a council's `` the

:51:00.:51:04.

manifesto. I have been elected now barely 12 months. Next Thursday will

:51:05.:51:12.

be the divisive `` will tell us whether I have succeeded, but the

:51:13.:51:16.

word on the street is we are going to get more councillors. We must be

:51:17.:51:20.

doing something right. We do engage with the people, that is one thing

:51:21.:51:25.

we do do. From your point of view, what would

:51:26.:51:29.

be the mark of success in these elections? It is about carrying on

:51:30.:51:35.

making steady gains in the region. I am on the street every day, and I

:51:36.:51:39.

have never ever in the 20 years of being in politics, had the feedback

:51:40.:51:47.

I'm getting now from the people on the street. They have had enough.

:51:48.:51:52.

Labour and the other main parties have totally betrayed their trust.

:51:53.:52:01.

Robert, if Labour may gains on Thursday in those big metropolitan

:52:02.:52:04.

West Yorkshire councils, David Cameron can kiss goodbye to any hope

:52:05.:52:08.

of winning next year's General Election. He will struggle to hold

:52:09.:52:12.

those West Yorkshire margins. Absolutely not. I don't think Labour

:52:13.:52:17.

will make gains because people are saying there is an alternative out

:52:18.:52:19.

there to the doom mongers of the Labour Party. Conservatives have a

:52:20.:52:23.

positive message about how our councils can be run for the better

:52:24.:52:27.

of the people. In terms of linking that the General Election, this

:52:28.:52:32.

Government has done a fantastic job of turning the economy around and we

:52:33.:52:36.

are now seeing the benefits of that. There are now 30 million people in

:52:37.:52:42.

work in this country, record levels. I don't think Keith is convinced. It

:52:43.:52:48.

sounded like something from the headquarters `` the evidence is that

:52:49.:52:53.

they have had a raft deal in the North in the grants and the economy.

:52:54.:53:00.

There is no economic strategy. A lot of Labour councillors are focused on

:53:01.:53:05.

trying to create jobs, introduce apprenticeships, because people are

:53:06.:53:09.

being hit hard. I do a lot of doorknocking on the cost of living.

:53:10.:53:13.

They have seen utility prices going up, the cost of living `` yes, the

:53:14.:53:21.

are more jobs, but we are getting more and more zero hours, low wage,

:53:22.:53:24.

so they are not feeling the benefits of this so`called great economic

:53:25.:53:31.

recovery. Jeanette, are the Lib Dems going to get hammered again because

:53:32.:53:35.

of the policies of your Lib Dem Government? No, I think there is a

:53:36.:53:40.

lot of uncertainty out there now. I became elected when we had 70 Labour

:53:41.:53:51.

councils `` councillors. There was a complacency about it. What I am

:53:52.:53:54.

finding on the doorstep, where Lib Dems have been working with

:53:55.:53:57.

communities and campaigning with communities, that food's coming out

:53:58.:54:02.

for the Lib Dems this time. In other areas, people are challenging. ``

:54:03.:54:07.

that food is coming out. I have never heard of the term macro one

:54:08.:54:16.

people, `` TUSC. When the political parties themselves, I have received

:54:17.:54:22.

a letter from a voter from Labour, and it only talks about national

:54:23.:54:27.

politics. There is nothing about the community this individual is

:54:28.:54:31.

purporting to represent. Some polls are given the

:54:32.:54:34.

Conservatives a small lead over Labour. That is not a huge vote of

:54:35.:54:41.

confidence. All I found this year is that the opinion polls fluctuate.

:54:42.:54:47.

Obviously this week when we are merging local with European, which

:54:48.:54:50.

doesn't give local Government a fair chance, is that you get opinion

:54:51.:54:57.

polls that will change to buy day. I am pretty confident that the Labour

:54:58.:55:01.

vote in the North will grow, I am also confident despite what my two

:55:02.:55:06.

colleagues have said, but we will make gains in those authorities like

:55:07.:55:10.

Radford and Leeds and Kirklees, and I think what the message is ``

:55:11.:55:17.

Bradford. We are still 12 months. A long way to go. We have started to

:55:18.:55:21.

come up with policies that start to resonate with the local electorate,

:55:22.:55:28.

and I'm confident that steady build to lead will come about.

:55:29.:55:34.

Let me mention, Robert, the dispute between Conservatives and Lib Dems

:55:35.:55:40.

over free schools. I run the David Cameron coming to West Yorkshire, he

:55:41.:55:44.

stood alongside you when you are trying to get a free school in

:55:45.:55:48.

Kirklees. Is it something you still believe in? Absolutely, the

:55:49.:55:52.

importance of a diverse provision of schools is crucial for the future.

:55:53.:55:57.

Children need a proper future. They need in indication that will give

:55:58.:56:01.

them the opportunity to excel in all of the talents. `` education. Having

:56:02.:56:10.

had the opportunity to create a diverse range of skills is really

:56:11.:56:13.

important. All parties have played some role in this, we are creating a

:56:14.:56:20.

different range of schools, and we have seen a difference not just in

:56:21.:56:24.

the results but actually in the better rounded education that young

:56:25.:56:28.

people are getting today. Why don't the Lib Dems like free schools? If

:56:29.:56:33.

free schools and academies are the big model and the big success story,

:56:34.:56:37.

just make every school free school or an academy. But we cling on to

:56:38.:56:43.

the state schools and they have taken `` the Government has taken

:56:44.:56:46.

money from state schools and handed it over to academies and free

:56:47.:56:51.

schools. I'm not against a different economy for schools, because what

:56:52.:56:53.

makes a good school is good leadership, and what `` regardless

:56:54.:56:59.

of the governance of the school. This is a debate I'm sure we'll come

:57:00.:57:03.

back to add some stage. But let's get some more of the week's

:57:04.:57:06.

political news now ` Louise Martin has our round`up in 60 seconds.

:57:07.:57:08.

get some more One of Yorkshire's UKIP Euro

:57:09.:57:10.

election candidates, Amjad Bashir, has faced claims of hypocrisy after

:57:11.:57:13.

it emerged seven people were arrested for immigration offences in

:57:14.:57:15.

a raid on his restaurant in Manchester last year. Mr Bashir has

:57:16.:57:26.

denied any wrongdoing. Yorkshire has the second`highest

:57:27.:57:28.

unemployment of all the regions in the UK, at 8.3%, down 10,000

:57:29.:57:31.

compared to the previous quarter of 230,000.

:57:32.:57:38.

And the Labour MP for Great Grimsby, Austin Mitchell, has refused to

:57:39.:57:41.

apologise for comparing a US pharmaceutical company to a rapist,

:57:42.:57:48.

over its takeover of a UK rival. The minister for Women, Nicky Morgan,

:57:49.:57:51.

has described the tweet as deeply offensive, and called for the Labour

:57:52.:57:55.

leader Ed Miliband to take action. Ed Miliband has to take control and

:57:56.:57:59.

make Austin Mitchell apologise. One of the definitions of "rape" in the

:58:00.:58:02.

Oxford English Dictionary is "to plunder", and that I fear is what is

:58:03.:58:05.

going to happen to AstraZeneca at the hands of Pfizer.

:58:06.:58:20.

Keith, unemployment is down in Yorkshire. Is it difficult for

:58:21.:58:23.

Labour, campaigning against the back drop of good economic news? I am a

:58:24.:58:32.

bit of an anorak on the economy, and a lot of that growth is in London

:58:33.:58:37.

and the South East. We are turning around slowly in West Yorkshire, and

:58:38.:58:43.

there is a lot of work to do with the authorities working together.

:58:44.:58:46.

But what has happened is there is a lot of new part`time jobs, low`wage

:58:47.:58:51.

jobs, and zero our jobs, and what we really need are quality jobs to give

:58:52.:59:00.

people a proper career and a proper job and proper future. And sadly a

:59:01.:59:04.

lot of young people are not really confident that is what they are

:59:05.:59:10.

seeing are witnessing. Robert, unemployment in Yorkshire and the

:59:11.:59:14.

Humber region is 8.3%. Are we seeing growth happening in `` faster than?

:59:15.:59:28.

We have to grow on similar levels to the south`east London, and that is

:59:29.:59:31.

what the importance of what the Government has been doing, rating

:59:32.:59:36.

combined authorities to drive the economy in local authority areas,

:59:37.:59:41.

putting investment into the North and making sure that the right

:59:42.:59:44.

economic climate is therefore growth. What we have seen is that

:59:45.:59:49.

the economy now has been something that has been growing steadily, but

:59:50.:59:55.

it is most starting to move even faster than anywhere else in Europe.

:59:56.:59:59.

But will make a dent `` big difference to everybody. Now that

:00:00.:00:04.

the indicators are taking over `` turning over in a positive form, we

:00:05.:00:08.

are seeing the benefits even in Yorkshire. Jeanette, what did you

:00:09.:00:15.

think of Austin Mitchell's comments? He could have used the word plunder.

:00:16.:00:20.

I have worked for an American corporation that was taken over, and

:00:21.:00:24.

the word could be plunder. Rape is an emotive word, and it is `` he

:00:25.:00:34.

chose the wrong word. Was this an embarrassment to add Miliband? It

:00:35.:00:40.

just shows you have two be careful when you use social media that you

:00:41.:00:46.

should think. It is `` Jeanette is right, it is the wrong metaphor, but

:00:47.:00:52.

it is certainly an issue that we are very concerned about, the way that

:00:53.:00:55.

Pfizer are being allowed to come in and take over some of our research

:00:56.:01:01.

and development. I am pretty sure the conversation will lead to some

:01:02.:01:05.

amendment to that statement. But whether Conservatives right to try

:01:06.:01:08.

and make political capital out of it? He shouldn't have said it. It

:01:09.:01:16.

was a totally inappropriate comment. Everybody sells close to the wind

:01:17.:01:19.

occasionally, but this is an offensive statement. Nicky Morgan

:01:20.:01:23.

was absolutely right. Thank you, Keith Wakefield, Robert

:01:24.:01:24.

Light and Jeanette Sunderland. Welcome back. Politicians always

:01:25.:01:41.

insist in public that opinion polls do not matter. Even though their own

:01:42.:01:46.

parties each spend a small fortune on private polling. If they take

:01:47.:01:52.

them seriously, so do we! Let's take a closer look. First up, how the

:01:53.:01:57.

votes might fall for the European Parliament. Back in January, Labour

:01:58.:02:02.

looked set to finish first. By April, UKIP had edged into the lead.

:02:03.:02:08.

According to today's poles, Nigel Farage's party is either down into

:02:09.:02:12.

place, or has soared ahead. Both cannot be right. It is a similar

:02:13.:02:18.

picture for the general election. Labour's lead has been cut back by

:02:19.:02:34.

the Tories. This is the most unpredictable general election in a

:02:35.:02:38.

long time. It keeps us in a job! We are joined now by the managing

:02:39.:02:43.

director of the pollsters, ComRes. Welcome to the programme. While the

:02:44.:02:48.

polls all over the place on the European election? We are trying to

:02:49.:02:51.

do two things, figure out who is going to be voting, and how they are

:02:52.:02:57.

going to be voting. I think a lot of the polls are predicting quite high

:02:58.:03:01.

turnout. They are looking at more than 50% turnout, which is simply

:03:02.:03:07.

not can be the case. So, what we are doing is predicting it based on

:03:08.:03:11.

those who are ten out of ten, certain to vote, and it really

:03:12.:03:14.

benefits UKIP, it benefits them democratically, demographically,

:03:15.:03:21.

with the older age profile, who are going to vote. Another poll gives

:03:22.:03:32.

them only a one-point lead, so, come the results coming out, you are

:03:33.:03:35.

either going to look away ahead of your time or very stupid?

:03:36.:03:38.

Absolutely. That is the job of pollsters. Somebody has to be wrong.

:03:39.:03:45.

Ultimately, we were spot on in 2009, and we are hoping to be spot on on

:03:46.:03:52.

Thursday. So you were spot on on voting intention in 2009? Yes. What

:03:53.:04:03.

does the indications of what is now a four party system mean, does it

:04:04.:04:12.

change the nature of your methods? It changes how we look at the polls,

:04:13.:04:18.

how we look at what is going to happen as a result of the vote.

:04:19.:04:23.

Predicting the number of seats is becoming more and more important and

:04:24.:04:28.

more difficult to do, because distribution is becoming

:04:29.:04:30.

fundamentally important. Because it is for parties? That's right. . Does

:04:31.:04:39.

the polling give us any evidence to try to settle the matter of whether

:04:40.:04:45.

UKIP votes are coming from? Yes. We know that over 50% of the UKIP vote

:04:46.:04:49.

share is coming from the Conservatives come people who did

:04:50.:04:52.

vote Conservative in 2010. But actually, the other 50% is coming

:04:53.:04:55.

from a wide range of different sources. And what we are seeing is

:04:56.:05:02.

that ultimately, every single establishment party should be

:05:03.:05:05.

worried, because the people voting for UKIP are the people that really

:05:06.:05:09.

do not like politics at the moment. They are wanting people to speak on

:05:10.:05:13.

their behalf, so it affects all of them. There is evidence that there

:05:14.:05:19.

is now a move of some working-class Labour votes to UKIP as well? That's

:05:20.:05:25.

right. That is what I mean about the establishment vote, the people that

:05:26.:05:30.

they can really reach out to, who are really interested in things like

:05:31.:05:34.

immigration, in those single issues, where they do not feel the political

:05:35.:05:38.

parties of the mainstream are representing them. I would suggest

:05:39.:05:42.

that for the European elections, where turnout is low, ComRes may be

:05:43.:05:51.

right or wrong, but likely to vote would seem to be the yardstick. I

:05:52.:05:57.

would say that is true in almost any European election apart from this

:05:58.:06:01.

one. Because there has been so much attention on this election, because

:06:02.:06:04.

of UKIP and the probably do that they will win second, I wonder

:06:05.:06:08.

whether it is now such a big topic of conversation, the subject of

:06:09.:06:14.

Nigel Farage, that people who would otherwise talk a good game about

:06:15.:06:18.

voting UKIP but do not show up on the day are this time around likely

:06:19.:06:23.

to show up on the day? I am not entirely convinced by that. We

:06:24.:06:27.

underestimate how many people are completely disengaged by politics. I

:06:28.:06:35.

think it is very easy for us to think, and I agree that by any other

:06:36.:06:40.

standards, this is the most coverage a European election has ever had in

:06:41.:06:43.

Britain, but still, most people don't care. Instinctively, Nick, you

:06:44.:06:49.

would think, if you are a UKIP photo, if you have made that choice,

:06:50.:06:54.

then you would probably be more motivated to go and vote on

:06:55.:06:59.

Thursday? I am sure that is right. Also, the publicity that Nigel

:07:00.:07:04.

Farage has had. And also, as Catherine says, people are attracted

:07:05.:07:09.

to UKIP because they are annoyed with the established parties. If you

:07:10.:07:14.

have made that big decision to do it, then you will probably do it.

:07:15.:07:18.

The really big question which we want to take out of these elections

:07:19.:07:23.

is, how many people who have left the established parties, left the

:07:24.:07:27.

Conservative Party, in these elections on Thursday, how many of

:07:28.:07:31.

them will stick with UKIP and how many of them will go back? Nigel

:07:32.:07:39.

Farage is very confident, he is saying that 60% of those certain to

:07:40.:07:42.

vote UKIP will stick with UKIP. If that happens, it is a real problem

:07:43.:07:47.

for Downing Street. Downing Street are basically saying that many

:07:48.:07:51.

Tories will have a fling with UKIP but they will return to the marital

:07:52.:07:56.

home next year. You do two sorts of polling, for the European elections,

:07:57.:08:01.

and for the general election, which may be more relevant to the local

:08:02.:08:05.

election voters, but what is the answer to his question? We do not

:08:06.:08:11.

know at the moment. We when you ask people how likely they are to vote

:08:12.:08:16.

in the same way, they are thinking that actually, I am going to vote in

:08:17.:08:19.

exactly the same way at the general election, they are not going to say,

:08:20.:08:24.

I am going to split my vote. I think the key point is, what happens in

:08:25.:08:28.

the Euros. We have a fixed term parliament, which means momentum is

:08:29.:08:32.

crucial. What comes out of the Euros will be a statement about how well

:08:33.:08:39.

UKIP can last for the next year, or indeed, if it comes second, it is

:08:40.:08:43.

about momentum and feeling about the parties. I do not think we can tell

:08:44.:08:48.

yet. If UKIP does well, there could be some leadership crises we will

:08:49.:08:54.

have to cover. I want to look at a couple of the headlines on the

:08:55.:09:06.

screen. Now, it seems, as you can see from the Mail, Mr Miliband could

:09:07.:09:12.

be in some trouble. The Labour MP for Rochdale talking about the

:09:13.:09:17.

mantra of misery which is Labour's policy is not going down well. And

:09:18.:09:22.

there are also rumbles about, if Mr Clegg comes fourth or even fifth in

:09:23.:09:26.

the European elections, that there will be a plot to remove him. There

:09:27.:09:30.

are not many names behind that plot yet, but Vince Cable does get an

:09:31.:09:37.

honourable mention! Not that he is plotting, but he could take over! If

:09:38.:09:45.

Labour comes a poor second, and the Tories are third, and Nick Clegg is

:09:46.:09:50.

nowhere, there is a Clevedon-Miliband agenda, isn't

:09:51.:09:54.

there? It will be very different for each man. The worst thing that could

:09:55.:10:03.

happen to Labour is if Nick Clegg loses his job, because he will be

:10:04.:10:08.

replaced by somebody substantially to the left of him, you would have

:10:09.:10:11.

to assume, someone like Tim Farron. I think it is unlikely that David

:10:12.:10:16.

Laws Danny Alexander, the two prominent figures who are to the

:10:17.:10:20.

right of him, would win the leadership. If it is someone who is

:10:21.:10:25.

quite a way to the left of Nick Clegg, then some voters might find

:10:26.:10:31.

the party a more attractive proposition. Which is why the Tories

:10:32.:10:35.

want to hold on to Nick Clegg. Absolutely. But I think you are

:10:36.:10:38.

right, there is a really big bubble for Ed Miliband here. The second big

:10:39.:10:44.

thing, I do not know if you saw the photo opportunity this week, Boris

:10:45.:10:48.

Johnson strolling through a garden with David Cameron, they got off the

:10:49.:10:53.

chew one-stop early just to appreciate the spring sunshine. But

:10:54.:11:01.

where are the shadow cabinet? I hear rumours of a politician called

:11:02.:11:03.

Yvette Cooper, but I do not know what she has been up to recently.

:11:04.:11:07.

And Rachel Reeves and Andy Burnham, all of these big hitters are not

:11:08.:11:12.

lashing themselves to the mast of the Labour election campaign. And

:11:13.:11:17.

some of these big hitters are immensely talented, Rachel Reeves,

:11:18.:11:20.

Chuka Umunna, these guys are really talented. You get the impression

:11:21.:11:24.

that they are watching this as you say and biding their time. Ed

:11:25.:11:30.

Miliband has bet the farm on this calculation that there has been this

:11:31.:11:33.

rupture between the rise in wages and the rise in inflation, although

:11:34.:11:37.

that is now beginning to slow. The calculation he is making is that in

:11:38.:11:44.

the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney was ahead on many of the

:11:45.:11:48.

economic indicators, but Barack Obama won because he said, I am on

:11:49.:11:52.

your side. He has bet the farm on that. But there is a big difference

:11:53.:11:58.

between Miliband and Barack Obama, which is that Barack Obama was

:11:59.:12:02.

elected in 2008 after the crash, so everything he did was about rescue.

:12:03.:12:07.

The problem for Ed Miliband and Ed Balls is that they were in power

:12:08.:12:11.

when the crash happened, so it is difficult to make that comparison.

:12:12.:12:14.

Labour is nip and tuck with the Tories, or ahead by a small amount -

:12:15.:12:19.

Mr Miliband's personal ratings are much worse than what David

:12:20.:12:25.

Cameron's were at the same stage in the political cycle, does that

:12:26.:12:31.

matter? I think personal ratings do matter, particularly if things like

:12:32.:12:37.

Ukraine gained more prominence in the media. It is a question of who

:12:38.:12:42.

you want as your statesman. But on the economy specifically, actually,

:12:43.:12:45.

the economic ratings in terms of confidence in the leader has not

:12:46.:12:50.

changed. That has not changed for years now. It is pretty stable.

:12:51.:12:57.

Actually, the narrowing of the polls could be due to the usual narrowing

:12:58.:13:02.

about 12 months out from the election, and Labour really need to

:13:03.:13:07.

use the momentum. Thank you for that. Plenty to talk about after you

:13:08.:13:12.

all go to the polls on Thursday. There will be tonnes of election

:13:13.:13:16.

coverage and results on the BBC, Thursday night, Friday, and of

:13:17.:13:20.

course, Sunday night, when the European results come out. Daily

:13:21.:13:23.

Politics is back on BBC Two tomorrow lunchtime. I will be back here next

:13:24.:13:28.

Sunday at 11 o'clock as usual for The Sunday Politics. Remember, if it

:13:29.:13:31.

is Sunday, it is The Sunday Politics.

:13:32.:14:08.

The consultation on closure is supposed to last for 45 days.

:14:09.:14:14.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS