15/06/2014 Sunday Politics Yorkshire and Lincolnshire


15/06/2014

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Well, this is the closest I'll get to Rio.

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The advance of the Islamist army on Baghdad has been slowed.

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The Iraqi army claims the fightback has begun.

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But the country now faces a de facto partition.

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What should Britain, Europe, or the US be doing - if anything?

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It's been a big week in the Scottish referendum.

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But has the tone of the debate become too downright nasty?

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Both sides join us to go head to head.

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I will swap Ed Miliband for Tim Farren. What is the significance of

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that? Karl McCartney, the Conserv`tive MP

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even Westminster, we'll be asking Karl McCartney, the Conserv`tive MP

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for the city of Lincoln. On the Sunday politics in Yorkshire

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and Lincolnshire, Turkey's voting for Christmas, UKIP's MEPs `rrive in

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Brussels and say they The Sunni Islamist army known

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as ISIS is now in control of huge swathes of northern

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and western Iraq, including Until the weekend they looked

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like advancing relentlessly on Baghdad but that offensive has

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now been slowed or even halted The Iraqi army

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and its Shia milita allies vow that Baghdad will not be taken and that

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a counter-attack will soon begin. Iraq's Shia Prime Minister Nouri

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al-Maliki has to do something to reverse the humiliation

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of recent days, which saw his US-trained and equipped Iraqi

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army, which outnumbered the Islamists 15 to 1 melt away or

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surrender when confronted by ISIS. The conflict has already created a

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humanitarian crisis, with hundreds The Kurds have used the conflict to

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consolidate their hold on their autonomous area in the north, parts

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of the west and the north are in the grip of ISIS control and the Shias

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are hunkering down in the east. All of which makes a three-way

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partition a real possibility with The US is moving another

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of its massive aircraft carrier battlefleets to the Gulf,

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though the White House shows no While Iran says it's ready to help

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its Shia allies and there are unconfoirmed reports

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that its revolutionary guard has Well, I'm joined now by Newsnight's

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diplomatic editor Mark Urban. Let's start with some basics. Who

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are ISIS and why are they controlling big chunks of Iraq? ISIS

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is an extremist militant jihad organisation and they have a pure

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Islamic concept based on 14th century history and jurisprudence.

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What they want to do is correct -- create this caliphate that do not

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recognise colonial boundaries so it involves Syria and Iraq, and they

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could go down to Lebanon and Palestine, that is all fair game as

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far as they are concerned. And they have this strict interpretation of

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Islam. The more interesting question is why have semi-Sunni Muslims,

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along with them, these are precisely the sort of people who in 2006,

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2007, tribal leaders in the west of the country rose up against. It was

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called the Awakening and the Americans in power did and

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bankrolled it. These people turned against them and admired them in

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large numbers, so why do they have so many Sunni Muslims on their

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side? We hear about people going back to Mosul. I think the answer is

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a perception back to Mosul. I think the answer

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that the current government is ruling in sectarian interests, Shia

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Muslim interest, and the Sunni Muslims want self-determination and

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this is their best bet. Muslims want self-determination and

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this is their Let me put up this map to find out where we are going. We

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can see Mosul in the north, they took that, and then they started,

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South, reports that the crit was involved -- to grit -- to grit. What

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is the situation on the ground now? We are in what you might call a

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consolidation or strategic pause as American called it in 2003. ISIS are

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trying to consolidate their power in Mosul, and now they have this major

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city and they are trying to show they can run the city and get the

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power going, etc. Their southernmost forces, that is a gorilla army, guys

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in pick-up trucks. They cannot deal with serious opposition. They would

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like to get the tanks and other things into action but that could

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take weeks for them to be able to do it. The government side is that they

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have counter-attacked, but it will take a little while before these

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newly raised militia and other task forces, call them what you will can

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effectively counter-attacked. But that is what will happen in the next

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week or two. We will see increasingly large and serious

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government counter-attacked trying to retake those places, and I fear a

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really difficult, bloody Syrian style street by street battle for

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some of these urban centres. I would like to have a look at this map

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because the Kurds, as I mentioned, they are consolidating their

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position in the autonomous region in the north. The Islamist are taking

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over huge chunks of the Sunni Muslim West. And of course the Shia Muslim

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are still dominant in control of Baghdad and in parts of the south

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and east. Back to me looks like the beginnings of the partition of Iraq.

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-- back to me. Well, it is, but we have to caveat it in a few ways

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Firstly, there are millions of people in Iraq, so-called sushi

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combined families, who do not fit easily into the pattern. Do we see

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millions of people becoming refugees under this scheme? There would be a

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lot of human tragedies if people really did try to enforce this type

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partition. Secondly, there are Sunni Muslim communities in the south of

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Baghdad, those places, once again, a lot of misery and fighting will

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occur if people try to enforce a de facto partition. There are still an

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awakening of forces. They are on the side of the government. We heard

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about one group in Samarra of Sunni Muslims fighting on the same side.

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It's a complex picture. They factor, it does look like a partition, and

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if it goes further in that direction it will. And partition will always

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be messy because people end up on the wrong side of the lies.

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Finally, the big thing on that map, Iran, a huge place, a huge border

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with Shia Muslim Iraq. Iran now becomes a key factor. It is becoming

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a proxy war for Iran. Yes, when I was in Baghdad a few months ago I

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did actually see Iranians revolutionary guards in uniform

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They were protecting a senior Iranians official, so some numbers

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have been never some time and they are also said to protect the

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political leaders and -- in his compound. They are there. We think

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more of them are trying to organise the defence of Baghdad to galvanise

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the Iraqi army, and they will not allow the Iraqi government to fall.

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Mark, thank you for marking archive this morning. -- marking our card.

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Tony Blair took Britain into the Iraq conflict in 2003.

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He's now, among other things, envoy to the Middle East representing

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That's the UN, the EU, the US and Russia.

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This morning he entered the debate about what should be

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My point is simple. If you left Saddam in place in 2003, when 2 11

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happened and you have the Arab revolutions going through Tunisia,

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Libya, Yemen, Bahrain and Egypt and Syria, you would still have had a

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major problem in Iraq. You can see what happens when you leave the

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dictator in place, as has happened with Bashar al-Assad. The problem

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doesn't go away. What I'm trying to say is, we can rerun the debates

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about 2003, and there are perfectly legitimate points on either side,

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but where we are in 2014, we have do understand that this is a regional

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problem, but a problem that will affect us.

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And I'm joined by the former Foreign Office minister Mark Malloch-Brown,

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Here in London are James Rubin, he was chief spokesman

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for the State Department under Bill Clinton, and Bayan Rahman,

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she represents the Kurdistan Regional government in the UK.

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Intervened in Iraq, it's a shambles, we don't intervene in Syria, it s a

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shambles. What lessons should we draw? That is a well framed

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question, because that is the problem. Tony Blair is half right.

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Iraq, like Syria, would probably have been a problem even without an

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intervention. But one wishes someone would tell him to stay quiet during

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moments like this, because it does drive a great surge of people in the

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other direction. The fact is, what has been missing in western politics

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towards the Middle East throughout both episodes, Syria and Iraq, is a

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drive to build an inclusive, democratic centre which is secular

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and nonsectarian. That has been missing amongst the threats of

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invasion Manon invasion, we have just constantly neglected the

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diplomatic nation-building dimensional this. I want to come

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onto what is happening on the ground. I want to begin with what

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the Western response by me, and by that we mean the United States,

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because of it doesn't do anything, nobody will do anything. All of the

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signals I see coming out of the White is that Barack Obama has no

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appetite for intervention -- out of the White House. I don't think he

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does have an appetite. He would be very unlikely to do anything very

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large. He might feel pressured to act because of the fact that this

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particular group, this Al-Qaeda inspired group, fits into the

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strategy he has pursued in Yemen and Afghanistan and Pakistan, to use

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drone strikes against individual terrorists. So it is possible that

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the threat of ISIS in the region and the West in general might inspire

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him to act, but the idea he will do enough, militarily, to transform

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Iraq from its current state of civil War into something along the lines

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that Mark was talking about, nation-building diplomacy, a big

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operation, I don't see President Obama sees his historic mission as

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having got the United States as out of it. Leave it to the Pacific,

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perhaps. What would the Kurds like the West to do? First of all, in

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Kurdistan we face a huge humanitarian crisis. We already have

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had bought a quarter of a million Syrian refugees and we were

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struggling to cope with that. And now we have at least double that

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number of refugees coming from Mosul. First and foremost, we are

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calling on the international community to help us with that. So

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we need humanitarian aid? Let's assume we do that in some way, maybe

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not enough, but what else if anything? I think it is an incumbent

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on the west and other powers to assist Iraq to get rid of ISIS. I

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think the Sunni Arab community, some of whom have joined ISIS and may be

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supported the uprising, have justified complaints against the

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federal government. But we need the terrorists out of Iraq. That is

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first and foremost. And what the West can do is not necessarily

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intervene with boots on the ground, but provide technical assistance,

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provide intelligence and help the Iraqi army and air force to be more

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targeted. Can you defend yourselves? In Kurdistan, we can in terms of the

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disciplined troops. In this situation, I hope they won't be

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abandoning their post, that is for sure. It is a national cause fires.

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But we are not armed in the way that the Iraqi army is -- cause for us.

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We are not armed in the way that ISIS seems to be now they have

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seized some of the American kit We are not asking for weapons, but we

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ask for assistance for all of Iraq to deal with the situation. Mark,

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this is not just an Iraqi problem. This is a regional conflict, and

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from the Levant on the shores of the Mediterranean, all the way through

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to the Gulf, the region is gripped with what is essentially a Sunni and

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Shia Muslim sectarian war. Yes, with the caveats that Mark bourbon made

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earlier, it's not quite that straightforward, but the basic

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divide is exactly that -- Mark Urban. People have been looking for

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this to begin in Lebanon or Jordan and have been taken by surprise

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although with hindsight I'm not sure why, that it has begun in Iraq

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instead. At its most extreme, it risks redrawing the 20th century

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boundaries of the region in a way which would be highly unstable

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because it would pit a Shia Muslim bloc against the Sunni Muslim bloc

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and would undo all of the sort of social and economic advance of the

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last century, so the stakes are suddenly very, very high indeed Are

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we seeing the redrawing? The lines were drawn secretly, not far from

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here, about a mile away, and may have survived through thick and

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thin. They now look pretty fragile. The map is being redrawn. I think it

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is true that there is a key factor partition going on -- des facto

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Woodrow Wilson probably gave a bit of a hand to the promotion of the

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idea of self-determination, and in a way, there is a self determination

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going on, particularly in the Kurdish region, and perhaps they may

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end up the big winners in all of this, because they have proceeded

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with a relatively moderate, reconcilable government. The key

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thing that the Kurdish region has done. They used to fight the two

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groups, and now they fight together. What the Sunni Muslims have not done

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is figure out how to let politics let the side things instead of guns.

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We need to look clearly and in Syria and Iraq, if there is a Sunni

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extremist with ISIS that carves out a place for itself, it will be the

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great irony of the modern era. President Bush said he wanted to go

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into Iraq to fight terrorism. There was no terrorist. There are now If

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in Iraq and Syria together thereat a thousand strong Al-Qaeda capability

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that threatens the region, the West, the world, we are all going to

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have to do something about it. The danger is that power will

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spread. This could grow in power. You would not want it on your

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southern border. Absolutely, we would not. The point we are all

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making indirectly is that things have changed in Iraq and will never

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be the same again. Whether Iraq completely disintegrates into three

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countries, or whether it stays together as one country, but a

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countries, or whether it stays together as one country, but loose

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federation, either way, Iraq has changed. It will not go back to what

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it was. I hope it will change for the better. I think we're at the

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make or break point for Iraq. Either the political readers -- the

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political leaders of a right wake up and smell the coffee and put aside

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their differences or there will be problems. This provides that

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opportunity, in a very nasty way. If we take it? Yes, and if not, I think

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this is the end of a rack as we know it. If anything resembling a

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caliphate emerges, that is very destabilising for the region itself.

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More so I would suggest than even the Taliban and Al-Qaeda in

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Afghanistan. At some stage, you have to assume that they will be coming

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for us. That is correct. This is extremely dangerous. The only way

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forward is for these political groups to talk to each other and

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find a compromise that allows the rates of cinemas and minorities in

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Iraq to be protected within or the rates of cinemas and minorities in

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Iraq to be protected with an autonomous federal-state. Any

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support for the government must be premised on that. There is no

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military solution for this which is in during -- there is no military

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solution for this. There must be serious political negotiation, not

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with ISIS, but with Sunni Muslim moderates, to form a more

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representative government. This is the last chance for Iraq. I think we

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are all saying that that is going to need to be some major western

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leadership to make some big decisions here for the future of the

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region. I am concerned that after Afghanistan and Iraq, my country is

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quite world-weary, quite world-weary. It does not seem to be

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giving leadership. Certainly we are not seeing that in Europe. I am

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deeply concerned that we are not going to take the leadership role

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that needs to be taken. These are big issues. When Britain and France

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carved up the Middle East, they were world powers, operating as global

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powers, and without that global leadership by somebody, this is just

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going to get worse and worse. I think we will leave it there, thank

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you very much. The danger is that power will

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spread. This could grow in power. It is just under 100 days until the

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referendum on Scottish independence. So, for once,

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it'll be a long hot-summer But the campaign isn't

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just getting heated. Scotland's best-selling author

:20:15.:20:20.

announced she was giving the unionist cause a million pounds

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this week, she received Independence supporters online,

:20:23.:20:25.

so-called cybernats, called JK Rowling a traitor

:20:26.:20:33.

and much worse, using a variety of For its part, the Better Together

:20:34.:20:35.

campaign has been accused Even Gordon Brown seems to think so,

:20:36.:20:39.

and this week he criticised Conservative ministers

:20:40.:20:43.

for relying on "threats With the Edinburgh Festival

:20:44.:20:44.

approaching, reports suggest even comedians are now reluctant to

:20:45.:20:50.

engage in the subject because I'm joined by Blair Jenkins from

:20:51.:20:52.

Yes Scotland and Jackie Baillie They're both in our Glasgow studio,

:20:53.:20:59.

and they're going head to head. Blair Jenkins, let me come to you

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first. Why have you and the Better Together campaign and Alex Salmond

:21:20.:21:22.

not done more to slap down the cyber nationalists who are poisoning the

:21:23.:21:27.

debate? Good morning. I think both sides tried to stop the tiny number

:21:28.:21:32.

of people on both sides who are incapable of controlling

:21:33.:21:36.

themselves. We should not get this out of proportion. We are having a

:21:37.:21:41.

fantastic, decent and democratic debate. The people who probably

:21:42.:21:45.

total no more than 100 on both sides who post offensive material or not

:21:46.:21:49.

to be allowed to deflect from that fact. Of course there are nasty

:21:50.:21:54.

people on the Better Together side as well, but are you saying there

:21:55.:21:57.

are as many of those as the cyber nationalists? I have not done the

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Kent. Lots of people are certainly posting nasty in defensive things to

:22:05.:22:09.

people in the yes campaigners well. I imagine that people do what I do,

:22:10.:22:14.

and block them. You stop them from sending anything further. There is a

:22:15.:22:21.

democratic and in gauging progress going on throughout Scotland. It is

:22:22.:22:24.

characterised by good humour and good debate. We should not get out

:22:25.:22:28.

of proportion and the activities of the number of people. I want to get

:22:29.:22:34.

to Jackie Baillie. The debate is actually pretty good-humoured and

:22:35.:22:37.

you should be doing more about the nasties on your side as well? I

:22:38.:22:42.

think we have reached a new low this week. Despite many people engaging

:22:43.:22:47.

in the politics of the decision and the debate about that, whether we

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want to retain the best of both worlds are separate from the United

:22:54.:22:56.

Kingdom, what we have seen is the most abusive and vitriolic attack,

:22:57.:23:04.

particularly on women, JK Rowling and a Labour supporter who dared to

:23:05.:23:09.

support the no campaign. When you look at the number of people on

:23:10.:23:14.

social media, there are more from the yes campaign than the no site.

:23:15.:23:18.

We should all be condemning attacks, from whatever quarter they come

:23:19.:23:27.

This seemed to be connected to the office of the First Minister. What

:23:28.:23:30.

is the evidence for that? There was an e-mail from one of the... I

:23:31.:23:36.

understand about that, but it did not use vile words. It did not, but

:23:37.:23:45.

it repeated the same mistake as on the website. We should be clear that

:23:46.:23:49.

we need to condemn these attacks, but it is not just the water works,

:23:50.:23:55.

it is taking action. There was an IpsosMORI poll this week which was

:23:56.:23:59.

varying testing. It showed the population as a whole, farmer people

:24:00.:24:04.

think that Yes Scotland is running an effective campaign as against

:24:05.:24:09.

Better Together. It is a undecided voters think this by a majority of

:24:10.:24:17.

four 21. Some people are worried about of the campaign. JK Rowling,

:24:18.:24:22.

Scotland's most successful author of all time. She gives ?1 million to

:24:23.:24:28.

the Better Together campaign. She then faces some of the most

:24:29.:24:32.

incredible abuse. I know what it is like because I have had some myself.

:24:33.:24:39.

Traitor, Quisling. I cannot use some of the words, it is Sunday morning.

:24:40.:24:45.

Why does Scottish Nationalists culture have such a revolting

:24:46.:24:49.

fringe? JK Rowling is entitled to our views and it is unacceptable if

:24:50.:24:53.

people say offensive things about her or anyone else who voices and

:24:54.:24:58.

opinion in this debate. Who are obese people? When you look at the

:24:59.:25:01.

accounts of some of the people who were posting these things about JK

:25:02.:25:05.

Rowling, they were using the same sort of language about film stars

:25:06.:25:10.

and football stars. This was just part of their language on Twitter.

:25:11.:25:17.

How often has Alex Salmond condemned the cyber nationalists? Very often.

:25:18.:25:24.

Everyone in the campaign hands. By common consent, Yes Scotland is

:25:25.:25:28.

running a thoroughly positive campaign, much more positive than

:25:29.:25:33.

Better Together. Jackie Baillie it hardly helps matters when Alistair

:25:34.:25:39.

Darling, who runs your campaign compares Alex Salmond to Kim Jong Il

:25:40.:25:42.

and North Korea. That hardly elevates the debate? I think we need

:25:43.:25:47.

to elevate the debate. There are less than a hundred days to go. It

:25:48.:25:54.

is a massive decision. We need to elevate the debate beyond attacks. I

:25:55.:26:01.

think there is much more that Yes Scotland and the SNP can do. You

:26:02.:26:06.

have made that point. Why are you running a campaign based on fear?

:26:07.:26:13.

The codename of your campaign is even project fear. It is threats.

:26:14.:26:19.

You cannot have the pound, there will be no shipbuilding. You will be

:26:20.:26:24.

flooded by immigrants. Why are you so negative? I am not negative at

:26:25.:26:30.

all and neither is the campaign The campaign has asked questions and I

:26:31.:26:33.

think it is legitimate to ask questions of the people proposing

:26:34.:26:37.

such a fundamental change. People care about the economy, their jobs,

:26:38.:26:42.

their families. What would happen to them if they leave the rest of the

:26:43.:26:48.

United Kingdom. I think it is legitimate to ask questions. I

:26:49.:26:51.

refuse to be asked of scaremongering. People deserve

:26:52.:26:59.

answers. The yes campaign is equally guilty of some of the most

:27:00.:27:05.

outrageous scaremongering. Maybe you are both scaremongering. Blair

:27:06.:27:12.

Jenkins, the First Minister said of the cyber nationalists, that they

:27:13.:27:16.

are just Daft folk, as if they were mischievous little children. It is

:27:17.:27:21.

worse than that. When you look at what they say, they are twisted

:27:22.:27:28.

perhaps even evil minds. I would not disagree with his comments, but they

:27:29.:27:32.

are directed at just a small number of people. The story of this

:27:33.:27:36.

campaign is not the story of what people are saying on Twitter. Around

:27:37.:27:41.

Scotland, lots of people are getting engaged in debate to have been tuned

:27:42.:27:48.

out of the political process. Today, we have 47% support for the yes

:27:49.:27:52.

campaign. The movement in the campaign is towards yes. People know

:27:53.:27:57.

we have a better campaign, a vision for Scotland. The latest poll of

:27:58.:28:04.

polls does not show that. Both sides, you always take the opinion

:28:05.:28:07.

polls that show you in the best light. All politicians do that.

:28:08.:28:13.

Jackie Baillie, your campaign is not just negative, it is patronising.

:28:14.:28:19.

You make dubious claims that Scots would be ?1400 better off by staying

:28:20.:28:25.

in the union, and then you say that the kids use the money to scoff 280

:28:26.:28:31.

hotdogs at the Edinburgh Festival. The fate of the nation is in your

:28:32.:28:35.

hands and that is the best you can do? I think you will find that the

:28:36.:28:41.

campaign is something that we are taking the message to people. Then

:28:42.:28:47.

why are you talking about hotdogs? I do not. The campaign did. We are

:28:48.:28:54.

taking a positive message to people across Scotland about the benefits

:28:55.:28:58.

of the United Kingdom. We believe we are stronger and more secure and

:28:59.:29:02.

more stable, being part of that family of nations that is the United

:29:03.:29:07.

Kingdom. At the same time, we have the strange and power over things

:29:08.:29:11.

like education and transport. I understand that. I am not doing the

:29:12.:29:18.

issues today, I am talking about the tone of the campaign. I have one

:29:19.:29:23.

very important question. Who would you supporting last night in the

:29:24.:29:29.

England-Italy match? I was not watching the game. I would be

:29:30.:29:33.

delighted to see England do well in this tournament. I have Argentina in

:29:34.:29:37.

the office sweepstake. I have to keep some attention on them, but I

:29:38.:29:42.

would be delighted to seeing Clint do well. That is because you think

:29:43.:29:48.

it will help your campaign. It will annoy the Scots. Jackie Baillie I

:29:49.:29:54.

was supporting England. I was also supporting Portugal.

:29:55.:30:00.

Now most of you probably missed last night's football match

:30:01.:30:02.

between England and Italy because you wanted to get an early night and

:30:03.:30:06.

England lost despite a plucky effort, I'm told.

:30:07.:30:10.

But even Westminster is in the grip of World Cup fever

:30:11.:30:13.

and with speculation about the fitness of each political

:30:14.:30:15.

party's team we sent Adam out to tackle some of the big players.

:30:16.:30:22.

Well, this is the closest I'll get to Rio.

:30:23.:30:24.

This year everybody seems to have gone a bit mad Belize, football

:30:25.:30:37.

stickers. Let's see who I will get. Oh, the suspense -- a bit mad for

:30:38.:30:44.

these. George Osborne? That is because we leapt on the bandwagon

:30:45.:30:45.

and made Alan political stickers. They're hotter than a Brazilian

:30:46.:30:49.

barbecue. And at Westminster they're

:30:50.:30:50.

turning into collector?s items. Sunday politics political stickers.

:30:51.:30:59.

We have one of you, Norman. Would you like it? Do you want to start

:31:00.:31:04.

collecting, Bob? Would you like a packet?

:31:05.:31:05.

collecting, Bob? Would you like a Thank you. No album, I'm afraid

:31:06.:31:12.

collecting, Bob? Would you like a Thank you. No album, I've got

:31:13.:31:15.

Michael Gove, next to to Reza, and two of the Prime Minister. -- next

:31:16.:31:24.

to Theresa. I am sure Michael has Theresa in her stick around, and

:31:25.:31:25.

vice versa. These Tory ones are proving very

:31:26.:31:27.

popular since she fell out with him out how

:31:28.:31:28.

to handle extremism in schools. And there's been open speculation

:31:29.:31:32.

about him taking on him in Then there are rumours of a

:31:33.:31:34.

reshuffle of the whole Tory album. Do you think there will be any

:31:35.:31:46.

swapping in the Tory leadership soon? Who knows? David Cameron has

:31:47.:31:55.

also got to replace the EU commissioner, Cathy Ashton, who is

:31:56.:31:56.

standing down. Does he go with the favourite

:31:57.:31:57.

the former health secretary Or the grassroots choice,

:31:58.:32:00.

Martin Callanan, the Tories old Or does he rehabilitate

:32:01.:32:02.

Andrew Mitchell after Plebgate? Do you fancy being European

:32:03.:32:20.

Commissioner? I would rather be spending the money on the world s

:32:21.:32:24.

poor and spending it well. Glad to hear it. Happy collecting.

:32:25.:32:26.

Right, there must be some Labour stickers out there.

:32:27.:32:28.

You don't want to swap Ed Balls any of the others? Can't I keep them

:32:29.:32:37.

all? This is almost the perfect team.

:32:38.:32:37.

There have been grumblings about the fitness of the Shadow

:32:38.:32:41.

And Ed Miliband's got a kicking in Liverpool after posing

:32:42.:32:45.

I'm told grown men are meeting up in pubs for sticker swaps -

:32:46.:32:56.

With Danny Finkelstein - Tory peer and Times columnist,

:32:57.:33:01.

He would be the card I would not want to trade. Do people want to

:33:02.:33:12.

trade him in? I don't think anybody wants to trade him in at the moment.

:33:13.:33:16.

He is the best person to lead the Labour party and will lead us into

:33:17.:33:19.

the next election. There's been a lot about Michael Gove, and he's

:33:20.:33:23.

very combative. That's been a huge strength as an education Secretary,

:33:24.:33:26.

despite the fact it's brought in trouble. I would think the prime

:33:27.:33:30.

minister would tell him not to get himself into peripheral battles at

:33:31.:33:33.

the moment but stick to what has been successful. I haven't got Nick

:33:34.:33:39.

Clegg, but I got me. Controversy amongst collectors of Lib Dems. I

:33:40.:33:46.

need to give away me in return for Nick Clegg. That would be far

:33:47.:33:47.

better. There you are. Some local parties are holding

:33:48.:33:50.

meetings about his leadership, but at one in Cambridge this week

:33:51.:33:54.

they voted to stick with him. You have got a Euro Commissioner.

:33:55.:34:06.

Why don't I swap, I will swap Ed Miliband for Tim Farren. Can I do

:34:07.:34:10.

that? What is the significance of that? Very significant. Happy

:34:11.:34:13.

collecting. These beauties are popping up

:34:14.:34:16.

everywhere, but sadly they won't Adam is still doing the samba around

:34:17.:34:18.

Westminster as I speak. I'm joined

:34:19.:34:28.

by three journalists who've been furiously swapping stickers

:34:29.:34:30.

throughout the show, they certainly weren't allowed to stay up to watch

:34:31.:34:32.

the football, it's Nick Watt, We will talk about Labour after the

:34:33.:34:43.

break, and I want to concentrate on the Tories, but the moment, Nick,

:34:44.:34:45.

senior Tories are saying privately that they might win next May. They

:34:46.:34:54.

are beginning to dream the dream. So why are they doing all this

:34:55.:35:00.

jockeying? I think the jockeying for the leadership is about a year old.

:35:01.:35:05.

What stoped it up was when Theresa gave a speech to the conference and

:35:06.:35:12.

people said she was doing it just in case, when things were not looking

:35:13.:35:15.

too good. She is not on manoeuvres. I think it was a policy row that

:35:16.:35:19.

drove the differences with Michael Gove. But Michael Gove is on

:35:20.:35:23.

manoeuvres, and he is trying to protect George Osborne from, he

:35:24.:35:26.

believes, a serious threat from Boris Johnson and possibly Theresa.

:35:27.:35:33.

It is quite self-indulgent when you are a couple of points behind, the

:35:34.:35:36.

economy is going your way, to be involved in this sort of stuff.

:35:37.:35:46.

Extraordinary. It shows the toxic disease that gnaws at the entrails

:35:47.:35:52.

of the Tory party, and Cameron is their great asset. He is more

:35:53.:35:55.

popular than the party, he bridges the gap is, and he has an

:35:56.:36:00.

extraordinary dissemble and some pretending to be this moderate while

:36:01.:36:04.

never the lens -- nevertheless leading the most far right wing

:36:05.:36:07.

government we have had since the war, and that has been a brilliant

:36:08.:36:11.

piece of political Charente and they would be crazy to get rid of it --

:36:12.:36:13.

political Charente. piece of political Charente and they

:36:14.:36:15.

would be crazy to get rid of it -- charades. Does this rumble on? I

:36:16.:36:21.

have an unfashionable view as there aren't half as many leadership plots

:36:22.:36:25.

taking place in Westminster as we assume, and the willingness to read

:36:26.:36:29.

strategic calculation into anything that takes place comes from people

:36:30.:36:32.

watching I Claudius or house of cards. That hasn't been off -- on

:36:33.:36:39.

for years. I needed a reference from your time. I needed something. Maybe

:36:40.:36:45.

brief encounter? It's a stylised view of how politics works, and so

:36:46.:36:50.

much more in life is about randomness and mistakes. Boris

:36:51.:36:56.

Johnson, Theresa May, Michael Gove as George Osborne's man on earth,

:36:57.:37:02.

they are positioning themselves -- Janan wrote an eloquent comment this

:37:03.:37:04.

week about this, but there are certain realities that. Michael Gove

:37:05.:37:11.

had that famous dinner with Rupert Murdoch a few weeks ago in which he

:37:12.:37:14.

said that you must not make Boris Johnson leader of the Conservative

:37:15.:37:19.

party, George Osborne is my man Theresa May set out her credo two

:37:20.:37:23.

years ago and people on her team were saying that she was doing it

:37:24.:37:26.

just in case. People are out there and are thinking of the future, but

:37:27.:37:31.

I do think Janan is right. In the village, in the thick of it mindset,

:37:32.:37:35.

you can get a bit carried away and you can be a bit in the famous. That

:37:36.:37:44.

is before your era. He died. What did he mean by it. You can get a bit

:37:45.:37:50.

carried away by it. I will have words with you during the break

:37:51.:37:53.

It's just gone 11.35, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:37:54.:37:56.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now

:37:57.:37:58.

UKIP's MEPs arrive in Brussdl and be talking about Ed Miliband's

:37:59.:38:23.

UKIP's MEPs arrive in Brussdl and say they aim to make themselves

:38:24.:38:25.

redundant as soon as possible. There's a distinct European

:38:26.:38:28.

flavour to our programme today. Later we'll find out how people

:38:29.:38:31.

in Lincoln's twin town in Gdrmany Our guests today are newly`dlected

:38:32.:38:33.

UKIP MEP Jane Collins, the Labour MP And in our Lincoln studio is

:38:34.:38:39.

Karl McCartney, the Conserv`tive MP First, this week saw the arrival

:38:40.:38:43.

in Brussels of a record number of UKIP MEPs, following the party's

:38:44.:38:55.

success in the European elections. Their main aim, they say,

:38:56.:38:58.

is to get rid of their own jobs For more than 40 years

:38:59.:39:16.

the union flag has flown in the heart of Europe's political

:39:17.:39:19.

capital, but for how much longer? The UKIP MEPs arriving in Brussels

:39:20.:39:22.

for the first time say they are committed to ensuring Britahn leaves

:39:23.:39:25.

the EU at the earliest opportunity. We're the turkeys voting

:39:26.:39:30.

for Christmas. We're the party that

:39:31.:39:33.

want to be out of it. We want to be made redundant,

:39:34.:39:35.

the sooner the better. Some may question why an anti`EU

:39:36.:39:43.

party should turn up in Brussels at all, and take the generots

:39:44.:39:47.

salary and expenses package the UKIP don't really have

:39:48.:39:49.

a proper set of policies. Here we are in a Parliament where

:39:50.:39:57.

committee work is very important, working on legislation ` trxing to

:39:58.:40:00.

stop it, of course, as well, that is very important ` but you know, their

:40:01.:40:04.

history so far has been not to attend, not to do very much,

:40:05.:40:07.

leave it to the rest of us to do the hard work that

:40:08.:40:10.

represents the best interests of Yorkshire and the Humber in my case,

:40:11.:40:13.

and the country more generally. You're here and you have to

:40:14.:40:20.

represent the people who voted for There is no point saying "I'm not

:40:21.:40:23.

going do anything, I'm not going to vote, I'm going to be hostile",

:40:24.:40:28.

that won't improve things. If I can be of use

:40:29.:40:31.

on a committee and push forward legislation that is going to be

:40:32.:40:34.

productive to our country, then I will do that, but I am cert`inly not

:40:35.:40:37.

going to add to the deluge For Amjad Bashir it's

:40:38.:40:40.

a big career change. He was born in Pakistan, and came to

:40:41.:40:49.

Bradford at the age of eight, He spent most of his working life

:40:50.:40:52.

in business. Many might wonder why,

:40:53.:40:56.

as the son of an immigrant, you represent a party that has such

:40:57.:40:59.

a hard line against immigration As a party we are not

:41:00.:41:06.

against immigration. What we're saying is the right type

:41:07.:41:09.

of immigration, that's going to do good for the immigrants comhng in,

:41:10.:41:12.

and also for our country, that they have the skills wd need to

:41:13.:41:15.

better our country and our society. So unlike most jobs where pdople

:41:16.:41:22.

hope for a long career, these newly elected MEPs ard already

:41:23.:41:25.

looking for the exit. Jane Collins how was your fhrst week

:41:26.:41:45.

in Brussels? It is the den of iniquity your party makes ott? Think

:41:46.:41:50.

it was interest, I have to say, it was more, it wasn't more of a

:41:51.:41:55.

Parliament it was more of a city, a European massive city. It is so

:41:56.:42:01.

immense. My induction was what I thought it would be, form after form

:42:02.:42:05.

after form and plenty of red tape, but it was an interesting fdw days.

:42:06.:42:11.

Trick trick, how will the arrival of anti`EU MEPs not just UKIP but from

:42:12.:42:16.

other countries, how will that shape the future of the Continent? The

:42:17.:42:22.

message was sent by the public, UKIP won fair and square, three seats in

:42:23.:42:27.

Yorkshire. I hope they won't make a laughing stock of us, but I think

:42:28.:42:31.

there is a big job to do representing Britain and I hope they

:42:32.:42:35.

do it in especially Yorkshire, there are over 300,000 jobs in Yorkshire,

:42:36.:42:39.

which depend on the European Union, we have to make sure we get more

:42:40.:42:45.

jobs and not imperil the onds we have got. Let me put to Karl

:42:46.:42:50.

McCartney first of all, is David Cameron flogging a dead horse,

:42:51.:42:53.

trying to get a better deal out of the EU? Look at the problems he has

:42:54.:43:03.

had with Mr June Kerr. I I don't subscribe to your point of view

:43:04.:43:05.

What David Cameron has done certainly in the last four xears is

:43:06.:43:09.

as the Prime Minister is make sure he stood up for the country's

:43:10.:43:13.

interest in Europe. He is doing that again. We don't want to see somebody

:43:14.:43:19.

who is for more as a pro federalist who wants to see more integration in

:43:20.:43:24.

the EU. The Conservative Party is the only party offering a

:43:25.:43:29.

referendum. Jane Collins wh`t do you make of Jon's point that yotr

:43:30.:43:33.

anti`EU stance is going to cost jobs in Yorkshire and the Humber. Totally

:43:34.:43:39.

disagree. You don't have to be part of a political union to trade.

:43:40.:43:46.

Employment is based on business We only export below 10% of our

:43:47.:43:50.

country's goods to the EU. The rest we export worldwide, so no, I

:43:51.:43:57.

totally disagree. Jon, your guilty secret is you were part of the no

:43:58.:44:02.

campaign in the 1975 referendum you were a big player. I might be the

:44:03.:44:06.

only person who remembers it in this studio. Look, I make no apologies

:44:07.:44:10.

for the ct fa. I was against the Common Market, I was the secretary

:44:11.:44:14.

of the vote no campaign, we had the referendum, we lost the votd, I was

:44:15.:44:20.

worried about losing the links to the Commonwealth, I worried about

:44:21.:44:24.

what happened to the countrx. We lost the life. Life has movdd on and

:44:25.:44:27.

there are two million peopld, British people working or lhving in

:44:28.:44:31.

the European Union, and as H said, there is jobs in Yorkshire, 170 000

:44:32.:44:36.

manufacturing jobs here in Yorkshire, look, some of thd things

:44:37.:44:39.

I said at the time about thd Common Market was going wrong, would go

:44:40.:44:43.

wrong I think I was correct on, and so we feed to do some more reform,

:44:44.:44:47.

but I think people in our area want politicians who deal with the

:44:48.:44:51.

bread`and`butter issues and that means securing jobs and protecting

:44:52.:44:55.

the ones we have got. Karl Karl McCartney, your part of the world,

:44:56.:45:00.

is Lincolnshire better off hn or out of the EU? I don't subscribd to

:45:01.:45:06.

Jon's point of view. He is ` proud Yorkshireman, but on this hd is

:45:07.:45:10.

unsound. He mentioned the Commonwealth, which to me is a very

:45:11.:45:18.

important organisation, that we are part of and more countries want to

:45:19.:45:22.

be part of too, many in Whitehall and many in Government have been a

:45:23.:45:28.

bit too pro European for thd past 25 years, and longer and have turned

:45:29.:45:31.

their backs on the Commonwe`lth and other, it is to the detrimentof our

:45:32.:45:35.

country, jobs, yes, there is important work to be done and trade

:45:36.:45:38.

to be done with Europe but we shouldn't turn our back on the rest

:45:39.:45:43.

of world. Would you campaign to come out if it happens in 2017 I want to

:45:44.:45:49.

see a renegotiation of things that have gone on in the past 15 years of

:45:50.:45:54.

a Labour Government when people like Jon and his colleagues made some

:45:55.:45:58.

criminal decisions that werd detrimental to the good of the

:45:59.:46:02.

country. Do you want to respond to that I think criminal is slhghtly

:46:03.:46:06.

over the top. There are manx things we might have done differently but

:46:07.:46:10.

we are no longer living in that time. We have moved on. What Labour

:46:11.:46:15.

is ear clearly saying is we have to reform the European Union as it is

:46:16.:46:18.

now and we need to move forward What people want is a fairer

:46:19.:46:22.

country, and there are lots of things going on which are not fair

:46:23.:46:27.

which need to be changed. I have to pull youen on one thing, yot

:46:28.:46:34.

mentioned you have to look `fter people's job, 13 years of unlimited

:46:35.:46:39.

mass immigration which has caused wage compression, it has catsed job

:46:40.:46:44.

displacement, and it has catsed a great deal of social unrest, so how

:46:45.:46:48.

can you say you arelooking `fter the working man and woman? You `re not.

:46:49.:46:52.

By the way, I think it is extraordinary that one of the UKIP

:46:53.:46:58.

MEPs has run a business which appears to have employed seven

:46:59.:47:02.

illegal immigrants. We know he is disputing it, but that is the

:47:03.:47:09.

allegation that has been made. It is odd that has happened. Let ts not go

:47:10.:47:14.

over that again. We will cole back to you Karl McCartney. You will be

:47:15.:47:18.

interested in our next item. We are asking if the UK is out of step in

:47:19.:47:23.

the way we think about the DU, well we decided to test the water.

:47:24.:47:29.

So is the UK out of step with the rest of Europe

:47:30.:47:32.

our reporter Sharon Edwards went to the German town twinned with

:47:33.:47:38.

As you will find out Sharon tested the local wine as well as the water.

:47:39.:47:43.

This is Lincoln's twin town of Neustadt, part of Germanx's

:47:44.:47:47.

For seventh generation wine grower Stefan Christmann, life

:47:48.:47:53.

When I took it over from my parents we just sold the wines locally

:47:54.:47:58.

in Germany, but now we export about 40% of our wines and ht's a

:47:59.:48:02.

perfect thing that the Common Market is there, and that we can sdll the

:48:03.:48:05.

wines to Sweden, to Italy, to Spain, and to a lot of different

:48:06.:48:08.

This region has changed hands time and again, as countries have

:48:09.:48:17.

Stefan says it's a history that must never be repeated, and the DU has

:48:18.:48:22.

When I see how Europe works, in world crisis,

:48:23.:48:32.

I would understand that Europe would be much more on one hand powerful,

:48:33.:48:35.

but on the other hand also lore responsible to, to a lot of things,

:48:36.:48:39.

At the end, it should stand something lhke

:48:40.:48:42.

the United States of Europe, but I think that will at least another 20,

:48:43.:48:45.

40, 50 years, but at the end I would say that should be a goal for us.

:48:46.:49:04.

Back in the UK, the very idea of an EU federation

:49:05.:49:07.

state is strongly resisted by politicians across the spectrum but

:49:08.:49:09.

here many people want their country to drink deeper from the EU cup

:49:10.:49:26.

We can only go on together, because Europe can only stand together

:49:27.:49:30.

against the others, for exalple China, the powerful China or Russia.

:49:31.:49:33.

I see myself as a European and wish that as well.

:49:34.:49:40.

Pro`EU parties dominate Gerlan politics.

:49:41.:49:52.

Angela Merkel's Christian Ddmocrats celebrating victory

:49:53.:49:54.

But even Germany now has its own anti`EU party.

:49:55.:49:57.

Alternativa took seven seats in Brussels.

:49:58.:49:59.

It is arguing for reform of the euro and tighter immigration controls.

:50:00.:50:17.

We suggest to have controversial discussions how we can consolidate

:50:18.:50:20.

the eurozone, to allow other people, other states to leave it, to come

:50:21.:50:23.

up, you know, because for the southern countries the euro is too

:50:24.:50:26.

strong and for the Germans ht is too weak, so we could,

:50:27.:50:29.

Beneath the surface in Neustadt there are some concerns

:50:30.:50:46.

Stefan has watched Neustadt change over the past decade.

:50:47.:50:57.

It has to be more and more control over things like over immigration.

:50:58.:51:01.

It's not allowed to be that easy to come in, and get benefits.

:51:02.:51:06.

Neustadt bears the hallmarks of a traditional Germany,

:51:07.:51:09.

but like its country, its identity is closely aligned with that

:51:10.:51:12.

of the EU and most people are happy to see that relationship dedpen

:51:13.:51:26.

Karl McCartney we heard frol Lincoln's twin town of Neustadt Why

:51:27.:51:33.

do the Germans have a different attitude to the EU as us? P`rtly

:51:34.:51:37.

because they will part of the euro and at this part in time thd Germans

:51:38.:51:43.

do very well out of it. If they had their own currency they would be

:51:44.:51:46.

devaluing it to keep their dconomy on track. The fact is that the rest

:51:47.:51:51.

of the European southern st`tes are having to borrow to buy the products

:51:52.:51:54.

that the Germans can sell cheaply and they are doing well out of it, I

:51:55.:51:59.

would imagine most people in Germany think that is a good thing. The EU

:52:00.:52:05.

will have to look different than it does Azerbaijan it does tod`y. I am

:52:06.:52:10.

amazed that the euro technocrats have imagined to get their train

:52:11.:52:14.

back on the track and furthdr down the line after what happened in

:52:15.:52:19.

2007, 8, 9. The Germans and the French want to see a Europe`n

:52:20.:52:23.

superstate but it won't include those countries that are melbers of

:52:24.:52:27.

the EU at this point of timd. The southern states will have the leave.

:52:28.:52:33.

It is like a Ponzi scheme. Ht is unsupport #7b8. You saw in that

:52:34.:52:37.

report there are disgruntle voices when it comes to immigration, is

:52:38.:52:41.

that the issue dominating Etropean politics at the moment? There is a

:52:42.:52:47.

big problem, if you get employers bringing people in, undercutting

:52:48.:52:50.

existing wages and condition, if you get people coming in, taking

:52:51.:52:54.

benefit, when they haven't paid into the tax system, it underminds the

:52:55.:52:57.

European project and it is wrong. And it should be stopped. I have to

:52:58.:53:03.

doubt that that is a problel where ever we are, across the European

:53:04.:53:07.

Union, and you can understand how people feel about it. Polithcians

:53:08.:53:11.

have let, I think, the publhc down, we have do more. How can we stop it?

:53:12.:53:17.

It is part of their policies that free movement of migrants and when

:53:18.:53:21.

we have said in recently, D`vid Cameron has tried to stop the

:53:22.:53:26.

migrants coming over and imlediately accessing benefits, then we are

:53:27.:53:32.

getting taken to court by the European Court of Human Rights,

:53:33.:53:36.

so... You will have to sort it out. That is what we are there to do We

:53:37.:53:43.

are snookered. While we part of the EU we can't control migration and we

:53:44.:53:49.

can't control what happens when hay come over here, that is European

:53:50.:53:55.

policy. I don't see it quitd like that. What is happening employers

:53:56.:53:59.

are taking advantage of loopholes which have emerged to drive down

:54:00.:54:02.

wages and conditions here in Britain. Let us speak about Britain,

:54:03.:54:06.

we have to do something abott it. We have got clear policies and it can

:54:07.:54:13.

be delivered. Most people I know are not against foreigner, they are

:54:14.:54:16.

against being undermined. They are against people coming over taking

:54:17.:54:20.

benefits when they are not dntitled to them. Can David Cameron really

:54:21.:54:25.

promise to control immigrathon, when we continue to be members of the EU?

:54:26.:54:29.

I think we have done, we have proved we have done. It comes back to a

:54:30.:54:33.

point where I was making before and also if you like, the UKIP

:54:34.:54:37.

politician in your studio w`s making, the UKIP, the point that was

:54:38.:54:41.

being made about uncontrolldd immigration that was a feattre, if

:54:42.:54:45.

you like, of 13 years under a Labour Government. Even somebody h`s

:54:46.:54:50.

important within the Labour Party as Lord Mandelson said they got it

:54:51.:54:55.

wrong, it wasn't just we had an open door policy, they sent people across

:54:56.:54:59.

the world to say come to thd UK it is the land of milk and hondy and we

:55:00.:55:06.

are reaping what they sewed. That is something I am proud the

:55:07.:55:11.

Conservative Party has been part of. Jon, in the election campaign when

:55:12.:55:17.

the lady in Rochdale complahned about immigration you heard Gordon

:55:18.:55:21.

Brown's reaction, he said she was a bigot. People are entitled to

:55:22.:55:26.

express views about the condition of the country. There are millhons of

:55:27.:55:29.

people in the country, they work hard that, I play by the rule, and

:55:30.:55:32.

they feel they are being screwed over by the system why others are

:55:33.:55:35.

getting away with what nay describe as murder, and that makes the system

:55:36.:55:40.

very unfair, Labour will cole forward and is doing with a series

:55:41.:55:44.

of proposals to try to resolve that central problem which faces all of

:55:45.:55:49.

us. We need immigration, spdak to the farmers, the food producers in

:55:50.:55:53.

your area, they will tell you we need migrants. We need some

:55:54.:55:59.

immigration, we need some mhgration, nobody is going to argue with that,

:56:00.:56:02.

what we are saying it has to be controlled. And it has, OK, the

:56:03.:56:07.

farmers have the people working on the land, that is fine, but it needs

:56:08.:56:11.

controlling, it needs making sure that these people are looked after,

:56:12.:56:15.

they are not abused by gang leaders, because it is open to all sorts of

:56:16.:56:18.

different types of abuse whdn they come over here and Tay are not

:56:19.:56:22.

legally employed and they are given below the working wage. We will have

:56:23.:56:27.

to move on. We need to get lore of the week's political news. Len has

:56:28.:56:29.

our round up in 60 seconds. Allegations merged of some Bradford

:56:30.:56:43.

schools being caught up in the so`called Trojan horse row of

:56:44.:56:48.

governors trying to impose ` strict Islamist agenda on children and

:56:49.:56:53.

teachers. One leader said there is no evidence it is happening. The

:56:54.:56:56.

police have looked a it. Thd council have looked after it. We have issues

:56:57.:57:01.

we dealt with when they werd raised with us. Government says ond billion

:57:02.:57:05.

will be spent on improving trains in the north. So passengers on the

:57:06.:57:11.

Cleethorpes and Grimsby service to Manchester Airport want to know why

:57:12.:57:16.

they face cuts. Transport connections are vhtal not

:57:17.:57:23.

just to Manchester but to other cities. How is this for cross`party

:57:24.:57:29.

cooperation? 20,000 feet up a mountain in Equador, Labour's John

:57:30.:57:36.

Mann Greg Mulholland and Tr`cey Crouch raising money for thd Royal

:57:37.:57:40.

British Legion. Well done to those MPs. If Greg

:57:41.:57:46.

looks hard from the top of that mountain he may spot a Liberal

:57:47.:57:50.

Democrat voter. Karl McCartney. On to serious matters. We have heard

:57:51.:57:56.

about the various Trojan horse revelation, Michael Gove saxs he

:57:57.:57:59.

wants schools to teach Brithsh values. How would you defind British

:58:00.:58:07.

values? Well, I think we ard a proud traditional nation, there is various

:58:08.:58:12.

historical facts that defind Britishness but also a modern

:58:13.:58:16.

outlook, I am behind what Mhchael Gove has been saying what wd should

:58:17.:58:20.

be doing. Part of the probldm goes back to 2008, 2009, and Whitehall, I

:58:21.:58:28.

think Whitehall hasn't dealt with the issue as soon as it shotld have

:58:29.:58:32.

done. Ofsted need to look at their processes and why they perh`ps

:58:33.:58:35.

haven't dealt with it as quhckly as should have been done. How would you

:58:36.:58:40.

define Britishness? He is rhght We have to have some sort of cohesion

:58:41.:58:45.

where the children feel part of the society and the history that goes

:58:46.:58:49.

back a long way, but I think a good start would be to teach English as a

:58:50.:58:54.

first language. Let us move on the transport. The Government is

:58:55.:58:58.

promising 1 billion investmdnt in the railway network in the north,

:58:59.:59:01.

that has to be a good thing? It would be great to have railways that

:59:02.:59:06.

connect everywhere. I have hn Hemsworth, I have a railway line, a

:59:07.:59:09.

Station Road, the only thing we haven't got is a station.

:59:10.:59:14.

That is going to take seriots investment to get that line up and

:59:15.:59:18.

running? The trains run up `nd down it all the time. They are rtnning

:59:19.:59:23.

backwards and forwards, there is no station but a Station Road. There is

:59:24.:59:27.

lots of places, and seriously, we want to be able to get from

:59:28.:59:31.

Hemsworth, to shopping or to work in Leeds or Sheffield or Doncaster and

:59:32.:59:36.

people having to get into the car more often than not, it is causing

:59:37.:59:41.

pollution and congestion, ldt us get serious investment in the north of

:59:42.:59:46.

England, linking the north together, because we, if we are linked

:59:47.:59:50.

together we will have a stronger and better economy. Karl McCartney, the

:59:51.:59:55.

rail minister says there will have to be trade offs when it coles to

:59:56.:00:05.

investment. Less popular lines. Is that acceptable to you I can

:00:06.:00:09.

understand John's point bec`use any MP wants to do the bestto their

:00:10.:00:13.

constituents. Transport isilportant to me. That is why I have a

:00:14.:00:18.

successful track record of dnsuring there is investment in the road

:00:19.:00:21.

network but importantly the rail network as well. So I can understand

:00:22.:00:25.

from Jon's point of view anx good MP wants to do that. It is verx

:00:26.:00:29.

important, but as part of the Transport Select Committee H was

:00:30.:00:33.

elected on to about 18 months ago we released a report that noted that

:00:34.:00:36.

there is a lot more spent on transplant infrastructure in London,

:00:37.:00:44.

than there is further north. And why not scrap HS2? We haven't got time

:00:45.:00:50.

to get int to HS2. We will leave that for another day. Thank you for

:00:51.:00:57.

your time. You have been watching the Sunday Politics for Yorkshire

:00:58.:01:01.

and Lincolnshire, now let us go back to Andrew in London.

:01:02.:01:11.

There are big changes afoot in the EU following last month's

:01:12.:01:13.

European elections, not least who'll get the top job

:01:14.:01:16.

But behind the scenes the parties have

:01:17.:01:20.

also been jockeying for position as they try to form the big groups that

:01:21.:01:23.

And UKIP seems to have been struggling to keep its influence

:01:24.:01:27.

Here's Adam to explain how it all works.

:01:28.:01:36.

If you want your party to be a big cheese in the European Parliament,

:01:37.:01:42.

you need to form a political group. By doing this, the party gets more

:01:43.:01:46.

money, more positions on committees and even more speaking rights in the

:01:47.:01:52.

chamber. But the parliament's rules are strict. And to form a group you

:01:53.:01:57.

need a group of 25 MPs from at least seven different countries. For UKIP,

:01:58.:02:01.

the number of MEPs will not be a problem because they already have 24

:02:02.:02:06.

of their own, but the different nationalities are more of a

:02:07.:02:09.

challenge. Nigel Farage was not helped by the Tories stealing -

:02:10.:02:13.

stealing his former Danish and Finnish allies, and the pen pinching

:02:14.:02:21.

his Italian charms. Nigel needs a new charm and fast. He has already

:02:22.:02:26.

signed up Lithuania's order and justice, a free citizen from Prague,

:02:27.:02:32.

and the Dutchman from the reformed political party. The big signing was

:02:33.:02:40.

the 17 members of the Italian Beppe Griego's 5-star movement, but it

:02:41.:02:43.

leaves UKIP short of two more international powers, and with the

:02:44.:02:47.

clock ticking, it looks like his hopes resting on the Swedish

:02:48.:02:50.

Democrats and the Polish new right Congress. They both make their

:02:51.:02:52.

decisions next week. What is the latest? UKIP have enough

:02:53.:03:03.

MEPs with their pals, but they need seven countries, as I understand it.

:03:04.:03:09.

They are not there yet. They are wrapped five countries and need

:03:10.:03:12.

another two. UKIP are being quite buoyant and say they will be meeting

:03:13.:03:15.

MEPs from five countries next week and are pretty confident they will

:03:16.:03:19.

get those countries, but as Adam was saying, the problem UKIP have had is

:03:20.:03:23.

that the Conservatives have nicked two of the parties. That is why they

:03:24.:03:32.

have been struggling, but they say they are confident they will do it.

:03:33.:03:37.

Meanwhile, the Tories new best friends are the German Eurosceptic

:03:38.:03:43.

party, which has put Mrs Merkel s nose out of joint, but we don't

:03:44.:03:46.

quite know whether she really cares or not. I think Cameron has played

:03:47.:03:53.

his hand badly since he committed to pulling out of the EBP. And he

:03:54.:04:01.

should be in there with Angela Merkel and if he needs to make a

:04:02.:04:07.

major renegotiation, he needs to have the Germans onside. Instead

:04:08.:04:13.

there is a breakaway party and its like supporting UKIP. His party are

:04:14.:04:17.

supporting her worst enemy. It certainly causing him a lot of

:04:18.:04:22.

problems, and undermines his negotiating position, but isn't

:04:23.:04:26.

there an honesty that the centre-right group is explicitly

:04:27.:04:31.

Federalist, and the Tories are anything but, so they came out, and

:04:32.:04:35.

Labour are in the Socialist group, which is explicitly Federalist, and

:04:36.:04:41.

they are not Federalist either. If you want support and influence in

:04:42.:04:45.

Europe, you have to trade, and he hasn't done this well. The whole

:04:46.:04:49.

business with who will be the next president, he needs Angela Merkel's

:04:50.:04:54.

support. Without that, it won't happen. He should have been trading

:04:55.:04:58.

behind-the-scenes, but he has exposed himself in public, and if he

:04:59.:05:06.

doesn't win it looks uncertain, and he will be in a position where he

:05:07.:05:09.

has to go back to his own party and say they are not getting anywhere.

:05:10.:05:13.

That is dangerous and takes us closer to the Exeter, which I don't

:05:14.:05:20.

think would want. The danger for Mr Cameron is if it is the president of

:05:21.:05:25.

the commission, he will save you cannot stop a federalist becoming

:05:26.:05:27.

head of the European commission what chance do you have of

:05:28.:05:31.

repatriating lots of powers back to London. There are lots of Tory MPs

:05:32.:05:38.

dying to make the argument. My hunch is that he won't make it. There are

:05:39.:05:44.

too many countries opposed to his presidency and even the country

:05:45.:05:46.

notionally in favour of it, Germany, is failing in youth -- enthusiasm.

:05:47.:05:52.

Angela Merkel cannot be seen to give in to the Brits this. Her own side

:05:53.:05:58.

once it as well, though some reason the German media says it. When she

:05:59.:06:06.

tried to reach out and said to look at the other candidates, she got

:06:07.:06:10.

such abuse on the right wing press from her own country and party she

:06:11.:06:16.

had to retreat. Janan is right that there is opposition to Juncker, but

:06:17.:06:25.

as long as Cameron turns it into an argument about Britain and Europe,

:06:26.:06:29.

he will strengthen the hand of Juncker. Angela Merkel thinks

:06:30.:06:37.

Juncker is inappropriate. She did not like the process, which was a

:06:38.:06:40.

power grab by the European Parliament, but when David Cameron

:06:41.:06:43.

went to the council and said that if I don't get my way, we could leave

:06:44.:06:48.

the EU, that led to the backlash, most significantly from the SPD in

:06:49.:06:54.

Germany. As Tony Blair says, if only David Cameron had made the argument

:06:55.:06:59.

that Juncker is bad for Europe, then he would have found his natural

:07:00.:07:01.

allies would have felt more comfortable following behind. Enough

:07:02.:07:06.

Europe. I want to show you a picture. See what you think of this.

:07:07.:07:15.

When I saw that picture, I thought it was so ludicrous that it had to

:07:16.:07:21.

have been photo shop. Discuss. He is holding it with a certain disdain,

:07:22.:07:25.

looking a bit hangdog. A disastrous picture for Ed Miliband. His

:07:26.:07:30.

strength is authenticity, sincerity and cleverness. And he blows all of

:07:31.:07:35.

that. He was the one who took on Murdoch, very bravely and

:07:36.:07:40.

dangerously, and one, really. Now there he is supporting Murdoch's

:07:41.:07:45.

son. It's a big mistake, not just in Liverpool, where obviously they are

:07:46.:07:48.

particularly incensed. And then he apologises. Sort of apologises and

:07:49.:07:55.

understands why Liverpool feels upset. But it is a fundamental error

:07:56.:08:00.

and I hope he learns from this, that he must absolutely stay true to

:08:01.:08:03.

himself. That's all he's got going for him. Who do we blame? His

:08:04.:08:10.

advisers or himself? In the end himself. Nobody forced him to do it.

:08:11.:08:20.

On this one, he called it wrong It's a sign of the rather the bridal

:08:21.:08:27.

state of the Labour Party is that his candidates were vocal in

:08:28.:08:31.

attacking him doing this. It's a sign of how readable Ed Miliband is

:08:32.:08:38.

at Parliamentary level. I don't think you should have apologised.

:08:39.:08:44.

The mistake he made was associating himself with that newspaper. The

:08:45.:08:52.

mistake was the prior three years when he went too far as portraying

:08:53.:08:57.

the Murdoch empire beyond the pale. He made a case against phone hacking

:08:58.:09:00.

and offences in that regard without going as far as he did with the

:09:01.:09:06.

rhetoric. To do that, and then pose with the Sun newspaper, the

:09:07.:09:09.

juxtaposition is what did for him, not the mere fact of posing with it.

:09:10.:09:15.

Maybe he did not know what he was doing because we were told he

:09:16.:09:17.

doesn't read the British newspapers. It was football, and he

:09:18.:09:21.

has posed with the Sun newspaper before. Mr Cameron and Mr Clegg

:09:22.:09:28.

posed as well. But with the Sun newspaper and football, you tread

:09:29.:09:31.

carefully. That was the mistake You get the impression from the picture

:09:32.:09:35.

that he looks so uncomfortable that you wonder whether there was a full

:09:36.:09:38.

process of consultation that went on within his media operation, within

:09:39.:09:42.

his political operation. Was he fully aware of what would happen

:09:43.:09:45.

question what he looks so incredibly uncomfortable. But at the end of the

:09:46.:09:48.

day, leaders have to take responsibility. It is cultural as

:09:49.:09:55.

well. That picture says, I am down there with the football blokes and

:09:56.:09:58.

you think, you are not. That is not what people will vote for. Be

:09:59.:10:03.

yourself and don't pretend to be something else because it never

:10:04.:10:06.

works. But the polls suggest that the British voters don't yet see Ed

:10:07.:10:12.

Miliband as prime ministerial. The worst thing you can then do is get

:10:13.:10:16.

involved in stunts that are more likely to reinforce that idea than

:10:17.:10:20.

counter it. There was a precedent for it in the last parliament which

:10:21.:10:24.

was Gordon Brown's attempts to feign a populist touch. He did it by

:10:25.:10:30.

telling the contents of his iPod. The Arctic monkeys. It always jarred

:10:31.:10:37.

because he was trying too hard. Not uniquely guilty of, Ed Miliband all

:10:38.:10:40.

the other leaders have done it. At the moment he more vulnerable. Yes,

:10:41.:10:44.

and he is less popular than his party. Labour has quite a popular

:10:45.:10:50.

brand, in a resilient way, in a way they don't with the Tories, yet

:10:51.:10:54.

their leader is a personal problem. The pressure is on him to do stunts

:10:55.:10:58.

like this. Will there be a shadow cabinet reshuffle? Yes, we have to

:10:59.:11:03.

get the cabinet reshuffle out of the way first, and that might come next

:11:04.:11:06.

week, maybe by the time of the summer recess, but the first thing

:11:07.:11:10.

that the prime Minister do is work out who is the UK candidate for the

:11:11.:11:15.

European Commissioner. Is it not the case probably that Ed Balls is

:11:16.:11:20.

becoming semi-detached from the Ed Miliband project? I don't think

:11:21.:11:25.

entirely. Nothing gets agreed without both of the end are green.

:11:26.:11:28.

Ed Balls is controversial. He has great pluses and minuses and is a

:11:29.:11:33.

big figure. Labour doesn't have that many big figures. It's quite hard to

:11:34.:11:38.

think who would be a heavy hitter as a possible Chancellor. He is a

:11:39.:11:40.

convincing chancellor to the future, Love him. He has the heft -- love

:11:41.:11:48.

him or hate him. Any possibility Ed Balls could be moved as shadow

:11:49.:11:53.

chancellor? The timing is convenient because the Scottish referendum ends

:11:54.:11:56.

in the autumn and Alistair Darling becomes a free man, win or lose I

:11:57.:12:00.

don't think Ed Balls will be removed because moving him would be an

:12:01.:12:03.

admission that everything the Labour Party said about the economy to the

:12:04.:12:06.

preceding four years has been a mistake. And you can't do that nine

:12:07.:12:10.

months before a general election. You invite ridicule. But relations

:12:11.:12:15.

between Ed Miliband and Ed Balls are not great at the moment. The Ed

:12:16.:12:19.

Miliband team are very, very suspicious of this new love in

:12:20.:12:22.

between Ed Balls and Peter Mandelson. Mandelson likes to say

:12:23.:12:27.

that he spotted the Ed Balls talents in the original place and appointed

:12:28.:12:30.

him to the Gordon Brown team after the disaster of 1992. But things

:12:31.:12:36.

obviously went awry, and now Ed Balls and Peter Mandelson Avenue

:12:37.:12:42.

Rappaport, and that is with enormous suspicion -- they have a new

:12:43.:12:46.

Rappaport. With good reason because it's about policy. It's about the

:12:47.:12:49.

attitude towards business. Should they be out there saying they will

:12:50.:12:54.

get the tax dodgers, Starbucks, Vodafone, are we going to take on

:12:55.:12:59.

business in a big way? In a way that Ed Miliband has quite bravely said.

:13:00.:13:03.

On the other hand, Ed Balls and Peter Mandelson are saying, hang on,

:13:04.:13:07.

we only won in 1997 by being business friendly. Sorry to rush

:13:08.:13:09.

you. We are running out of time The Daily Politics will be back

:13:10.:13:11.

every day this week at midday, and I'll be back here next Sunday

:13:12.:13:15.

when I'll be joined by the shadow work and pensions

:13:16.:13:18.

secretary Rachel Reeves.Remember if it's Sunday,

:13:19.:13:20.

it's the Sunday Politics. Magnificent. The power base

:13:21.:13:52.

of medieval England. Charles' ceiling was a piece

:13:53.:13:58.

of breathtaking arrogance. You get a sense of the people

:13:59.:14:04.

who made the palaces. as I unlock the secrets

:14:05.:14:12.

of Britain's great palaces.

:14:13.:14:15.

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