06/02/2016 Talking Business


06/02/2016

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 06/02/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

Hello and welcome to Talking Business.

:00:00.:00:00.

I'm Lerato Mbele in Johannesburg, South Africa, where the economy

:00:00.:00:10.

And in turn, unemployment is rising, reaching

:00:11.:00:14.

some of the worst levels in the past decade.

:00:15.:00:17.

But joblessness is not just a South African problem,

:00:18.:00:20.

it's an issue across the African continent,

:00:21.:00:23.

where many young people are studying to access economic opportunities,

:00:24.:00:31.

despite the past decade of economic growth.

:00:32.:00:33.

That is the question on Talking Business.

:00:34.:01:00.

This is Talking Business, coming to you from Johannesburg,

:01:01.:01:02.

The question we are asking is, why is unemployment

:01:03.:01:08.

getting worse, particularly as it affects young Africans who make up

:01:09.:01:13.

To gauge the sentiment on the ground,

:01:14.:01:17.

we took to the streets of Johannesburg to ask ordinary

:01:18.:01:19.

From my point of view, the government is not doing

:01:20.:01:25.

I wish, like, if the government could do

:01:26.:01:39.

something like, let's say, find jobs for students who have just

:01:40.:01:51.

graduated, find internships for them, not like everybody has

:01:52.:01:53.

I suppose I am in the position now where I can still go and make a life

:01:54.:02:00.

and I would like to stay here.

:02:01.:02:09.

because we can't get a permanent job.

:02:10.:02:13.

I am excited about going to university,

:02:14.:02:16.

but the fact that I might be unemployed is kind of stressful,

:02:17.:02:20.

because I really plan on studying hard and I can't do anything

:02:21.:02:25.

about it, I just have to go to university

:02:26.:02:28.

Unemployment is affecting a lot of society.

:02:29.:02:34.

In the townships, people cannot afford to go to college.

:02:35.:02:41.

Those were the views of ordinary South Africans.

:02:42.:02:48.

Our panel is made up of the editor of the Business Day.

:02:49.:03:05.

Sitting next to him is Abraham Sarfo, a technical

:03:06.:03:07.

advisor at the new partnership for African development.

:03:08.:03:09.

His aerial focus is rural development and how

:03:10.:03:11.

And finally, Magdalene Moonsamy, the treasurer

:03:12.:03:18.

general of the economic freedom fighters.

:03:19.:03:19.

It is a political organisation that is in opposition

:03:20.:03:21.

You've heard what South Africans feel about the unemployment issue.

:03:22.:03:29.

My sentiments are the same. Unemployment is too high.

:03:30.:03:33.

People are desperate and they are losing hope.

:03:34.:03:36.

Visiting other countries on the continent,

:03:37.:03:45.

I think there is a lot of subdued sentiment that came across.

:03:46.:04:02.

The reality is that people are revolting.

:04:03.:04:04.

We have passed the point of crisis and we are

:04:05.:04:06.

The sentiment that it is no longer a crisis, some have said

:04:07.:04:10.

It is correct, because we have a generation of young people

:04:11.:04:15.

who have never worked, who don't know what it is like

:04:16.:04:18.

And that has long term consequences for the economy.

:04:19.:04:24.

Different heads of state recognise the issue.

:04:25.:04:35.

Even at the last summit that was held in Johannesburg,

:04:36.:04:42.

we at Nepad wanted to address this issue.

:04:43.:04:45.

Do you believe the leaders have understood

:04:46.:04:46.

In the African continent, 300 million young people will enter

:04:47.:04:53.

You are going to have a doubling of the population

:04:54.:05:00.

Can you imagine the magnitude not only demographically,

:05:01.:05:06.

I don't believe this is a problem of South Africa,

:05:07.:05:14.

it is said that nearly 9 million people are out of a job.

:05:15.:05:24.

That is about a quarter of the workforce in the country.

:05:25.:05:26.

Are those statistics conservative or accurate?

:05:27.:05:28.

Those statistics are conservative in my view, because such

:05:29.:05:31.

is the narrow definition of unemployment that

:05:32.:05:35.

there are millions more who have given up looking for work

:05:36.:05:38.

because the prospects of work are virtually

:05:39.:05:40.

Until you acknowledge the full scale of the problem,

:05:41.:05:48.

we will never have adequate responses.

:05:49.:05:50.

Across the African continent, we are told that we are seeing

:05:51.:05:53.

There are nearly 1 billion people living in Africa.

:05:54.:05:57.

I cannot definitely say this number or this percentage,

:05:58.:06:06.

I have travelled across the continent to almost 25 capitals,

:06:07.:06:16.

and I see the situation in South Africa in most

:06:17.:06:19.

Magdalene, the trade unions say unemployment in South Africa

:06:20.:06:25.

There is unemployability and there is unemployed.

:06:26.:06:41.

When you are discouraged or you are a graduate,

:06:42.:06:44.

you still don't have a job.

:06:45.:06:45.

It doesn't make you more or less employable.

:06:46.:06:47.

That is one of the problems we have with the semantics.

:06:48.:06:50.

Trade unions are not necessarily incorrect.

:06:51.:06:51.

Official statistics are definitely incorrect.

:06:52.:06:54.

We went in 2008 from 31% to almost 38% now.

:06:55.:07:00.

I think it is greater if you have to give the expanded

:07:01.:07:09.

Half of those who can't find jobs are said to be people under the age

:07:10.:07:14.

So when we talk about unemployment, should we use generic terms,

:07:15.:07:23.

or should we hone it down to youth unemployment?

:07:24.:07:25.

We should hone it down to youth unemployment,

:07:26.:07:37.

Part of the unemployment problem is the inability of the education

:07:38.:07:41.

system to produce somebody who is sufficiently trainable

:07:42.:07:43.

for a sustainable job in the real economy.

:07:44.:07:46.

Without segmenting the unemployment, we will never have a response

:07:47.:07:49.

Across the African continent, yes, young people

:07:50.:07:54.

are perhaps the most disaffected, but when you look

:07:55.:07:57.

at the poverty statistics, it is women

:07:58.:08:00.

Can we really just focus on a category of people?

:08:01.:08:16.

I think it is good for statistics purposes to categorise.

:08:17.:08:26.

But I like the way the definition is now on unemployability.

:08:27.:08:29.

Like he said, how do we link it to the courses and the students?

:08:30.:08:41.

We could have youth who are unemployed, but how

:08:42.:08:43.

They say two thirds of people who can't find jobs don't

:08:44.:08:53.

Is education at the root of the problem?

:08:54.:08:57.

Education is a significant contributor to the problem.

:08:58.:09:01.

I don't think on its own, it is the root.

:09:02.:09:03.

There is the other half, which is industrial and economic

:09:04.:09:05.

policy responses by governments to the problem.

:09:06.:09:08.

Does any politician stand up and say in the context of South Africa

:09:09.:09:11.

or any country with similar conditions on the continent,

:09:12.:09:14.

we need to stimulate the parts of the

:09:15.:09:16.

economy where people who are unskilled and do not

:09:17.:09:18.

have a high school qualification can find

:09:19.:09:19.

Talking about unemployment in broad strokes and

:09:20.:09:26.

talking about industrial policy in broad strokes,

:09:27.:09:28.

unfortunately hasn't worked and will not work.

:09:29.:09:30.

There is definitely a structural problem.

:09:31.:09:32.

We have one of the weakest macroeconomic policies that you can

:09:33.:09:35.

find, and you see it in the lives people are leading.

:09:36.:09:40.

If you take artisans, for example, 50% of artisans

:09:41.:09:46.

enter institutions and fall out of the system.

:09:47.:09:49.

They get grabbed into the private sector, given a stipend

:09:50.:09:56.

They are told by the time they finish, they will earn

:09:57.:10:03.

This is a duplicate of the jobs fund.

:10:04.:10:09.

And the jobs fund was created with the

:10:10.:10:16.

intention of intervening in the unemployment crisis for young

:10:17.:10:18.

It enriched capital. It exploited young people.

:10:19.:10:21.

9 billion rand were set aside in 2011.

:10:22.:10:23.

Six years later, there are only 4.7 billion that have been used.

:10:24.:10:26.

Ask yourself, how many permanent jobs have been created?

:10:27.:10:32.

What is lacking at a policy level are any ideas to grow

:10:33.:10:45.

new sectors of the economy in line with the kind of skillset

:10:46.:10:48.

Magdalene, when the economic freedom fighters were

:10:49.:10:50.

formed, it was responding to the agitation on the ground

:10:51.:10:53.

by young people, wanting jobs and the right

:10:54.:10:55.

to a free education, wanting a better life.

:10:56.:11:00.

Please describe for me the levels of youth frustration and despair

:11:01.:11:03.

Youth in South Africa is between the ages of 14 and 35.

:11:04.:11:20.

But 63% of the unemployed are under the age of 25.

:11:21.:11:22.

You have the rebellion because at a time when

:11:23.:11:26.

leadership should respond adequately to what the majority

:11:27.:11:29.

of the population are saying, it moves in another direction.

:11:30.:11:35.

We will be discussing solutions in a short while.

:11:36.:11:42.

Firstly, whilst we have been focusing on the unemployment crisis

:11:43.:11:44.

in South Africa and indeed Africa, what is the situation

:11:45.:11:47.

For this week's talking point, our comedic consultant

:11:48.:11:54.

has been looking at unemployment and youth issues

:11:55.:11:57.

in other parts of the world, but more importantly,

:11:58.:11:59.

he has been looking at the future prospects of the job

:12:00.:12:02.

On this week's talking point, how do young people of today find

:12:03.:12:16.

So what are the job prospects for this generation of young people?

:12:17.:12:25.

Or youth, as the authors of international reports

:12:26.:12:29.

refer to the 16 to 24-year-old age group?

:12:30.:12:31.

37% of the global unemployed are youth.

:12:32.:12:37.

Two out of every five economically active young

:12:38.:12:42.

people are either unemployed or working, yet living in poverty.

:12:43.:12:46.

Globally, for the last 20 years, the youth unemployment rate has

:12:47.:12:50.

consistently been almost three times that of the adult rate.

:12:51.:12:53.

In North Africa, youth unemployment increased

:12:54.:12:58.

In the Middle East, the figure was 28%.

:12:59.:13:03.

In Europe, in two thirds of countries, 20% or more

:13:04.:13:07.

The subject of youth unemployment has reached

:13:08.:13:13.

This year, the World Economic Forum published a report entitled

:13:14.:13:19.

Last year, the UNFPA told us there are 1.8 billion young people

:13:20.:13:28.

between the ages of ten and 24 in the world

:13:29.:13:30.

There are 70 countries where 50% of the world are under

:13:31.:13:34.

It is the developing world where you have

:13:35.:13:39.

So where are these 1.8 billion young people going to get their jobs?

:13:40.:13:44.

One thing is for certain - a lot of them

:13:45.:13:49.

won't be doing the same jobs their parents and grandparents did.

:13:50.:13:53.

Not least because the technology that is

:13:54.:13:54.

inside and will succeed devices like this is going to do away

:13:55.:13:57.

But how do we even know what jobs we should be training them for?

:13:58.:14:02.

Maybe we will need conflict resolution as the appliances

:14:03.:14:12.

in the internet of everything become sentient and start

:14:13.:14:15.

Now, fridge, we need to work together.

:14:16.:14:17.

I know there were difficulties, but the cooker

:14:18.:14:19.

has apologised and we should move on.

:14:20.:14:21.

Unfortunately, though, because of inequality,

:14:22.:14:24.

not every young person will be able to get the job of their dreams.

:14:25.:14:28.

If you are a young person and you have the energy

:14:29.:14:30.

and ambition and you want to change the world, there has never been

:14:31.:14:34.

If people can benefit from really elite educations and environments

:14:35.:14:40.

that allow them to realise those ambitions, to start a company and do

:14:41.:14:44.

If you find yourself outside that world of very

:14:45.:14:53.

good education and an environment that allows you to flourish

:14:54.:14:55.

and realise your ambitions, it can feel

:14:56.:14:57.

people who are looking for real jobs right now.

:14:58.:15:11.

And that is creating real frustration.

:15:12.:15:12.

Governments all over the world would ignore that frustration

:15:13.:15:15.

That was his take on the future of work.

:15:16.:15:25.

If you want to see more films, log on to our website.

:15:26.:15:28.

Our panel is now joined by a very popular DJ,

:15:29.:15:37.

Mo Flava, host of the morning fix on Metro FM.

:15:38.:15:39.

You meet them in clubs and talk to them via social media.

:15:40.:15:43.

The youth in South Africa recognise that education is important.

:15:44.:15:47.

Everybody knows we have to go to school.

:15:48.:15:50.

We have to study something in university.

:15:51.:15:54.

Experts will tell you about 800,000 jobs

:15:55.:16:04.

are available in the private sector,

:16:05.:16:05.

if there are so many jobs in the private sector,

:16:06.:16:09.

Why are they telling us that even after my

:16:10.:16:12.

engineering degree, I don't have experience?

:16:13.:16:14.

Are they frustrated, despondent, or are they angry?

:16:15.:16:17.

There is a lot of frustration with those who are more

:16:18.:16:26.

educated and perhaps learned, having gone through the university

:16:27.:16:29.

system, will get the feeling that the

:16:30.:16:30.

government is not doing enough, so there is anger

:16:31.:16:33.

I have heard leaders say young people, seize the mantle,

:16:34.:16:38.

carpe diem, be the solution to your problems, be entrepreneurs.

:16:39.:16:41.

Entrepreneurship is how to solve the problem.

:16:42.:16:44.

Does that message resonate with young people?

:16:45.:16:47.

I was watching the vox pops earlier, and it is interesting how one

:16:48.:16:50.

of the young ladies said, I have to find a job.

:16:51.:16:54.

I am not hearing enough young people saying,

:16:55.:17:01.

we are being taught the idea of being entrepreneurs,

:17:02.:17:03.

It is more like you need to be out there to find a job.

:17:04.:17:14.

Hence, the shift in mindset should be that perhaps we need to start

:17:15.:17:17.

instilling a stronger sense of entrepreneurship.

:17:18.:17:20.

A shift in mindset, says DJ Mo Flava.

:17:21.:17:22.

Is that a shift in mindset in the young

:17:23.:17:24.

unemployed, or a shift in mindset in business and government,

:17:25.:17:28.

those that can create the jobs needed?

:17:29.:17:33.

We normally find interventions which bear no

:17:34.:17:38.

relation to the situation on the ground.

:17:39.:17:44.

So you will find an initiative linked to tourism, but there is no

:17:45.:17:48.

road that goes to the tourism asset, and roads and

:17:49.:17:52.

infrastructure are corridors of economic activity.

:17:53.:17:54.

When you tell young people to be entrepreneurial,

:17:55.:17:56.

they cannot meaningfully do business.

:17:57.:17:57.

The second thing is a regulatory mindset to policy-making.

:17:58.:18:09.

The business registration act in South Africa says anybody

:18:10.:18:11.

who is even hawking something on foot

:18:12.:18:13.

needs to register at a local authority, and any government

:18:14.:18:15.

official can stop them and ask for a licence.

:18:16.:18:22.

The question is, what are you doing? This is how people survive.

:18:23.:18:28.

You should not constrain this activity, but encourage it.

:18:29.:18:32.

These are shift in mindsets that young people

:18:33.:18:34.

often are asked to do things for which there is no

:18:35.:18:37.

infrastructure, and that is not helpful.

:18:38.:18:38.

And if you are going to encourage young people, train them,

:18:39.:18:41.

give them access to resources that they need.

:18:42.:18:43.

If the infrastructure is not there, you

:18:44.:18:45.

The focus of infrastructure needs to shift and

:18:46.:18:52.

It is an interesting issue, because we are seeing higher rates

:18:53.:18:58.

of urbanisation in South Africa and the

:18:59.:19:00.

general feeling is that people want to leave the rural areas

:19:01.:19:06.

to pursue economic opportunities in the city.

:19:07.:19:08.

Somebody needs to make agriculture interesting, even sexy.

:19:09.:19:10.

Yes, and that has been one of the problems we have,

:19:11.:19:15.

getting young people into agriculture.

:19:16.:19:19.

The issue is the modernisation of agriculture.

:19:20.:19:22.

That is what the comprehensive agriculture programme

:19:23.:19:25.

Make agriculture modernised, infrastructure-wise.

:19:26.:19:39.

People do not want to go into the production level.

:19:40.:19:44.

There are areas which have not been opened up, and if that space

:19:45.:19:47.

is open, young people will have a lot of opportunities

:19:48.:19:55.

and the entrepreneurial abilities will then come up.

:19:56.:19:57.

Let's talk about the future, really and truly.

:19:58.:19:59.

If there isn't a quick intervention, are we

:20:00.:20:02.

likely to see, in sub-Saharan Africa, the kind of Arab Spring that

:20:03.:20:07.

Are we likely to see young people leading a revolution because of this

:20:08.:20:17.

youth unemployment issue and the despondency that

:20:18.:20:19.

We are seeing regime changes, albeit democratically,

:20:20.:20:28.

We might not have a so-called Arab Spring in the violent way

:20:29.:20:48.

it was, but in the more systematic ways, in countries

:20:49.:20:50.

where you have governments that are seen to be very

:20:51.:20:55.

strong, they are being removed them democratically.

:20:56.:20:57.

And most votes are coming from the young people.

:20:58.:20:59.

It is something that governments need to

:21:00.:21:01.

take into consideration, how to address this issue.

:21:02.:21:10.

Mo Flava, how are young people channelling their energies?

:21:11.:21:12.

Are they going to confront politicians or just complain

:21:13.:21:14.

Well, we have seen plenty of examples of both.

:21:15.:21:17.

The power of social media, students have

:21:18.:21:19.

said the fees for university are too high.

:21:20.:21:23.

And we have seen young people taking on titans in the world of politics,

:21:24.:21:26.

at a political or government level, even as far as the union buildings.

:21:27.:21:32.

For me, it spells a sense that we believe we can bring

:21:33.:21:36.

Gentlemen, very briefly, if I could ask you for one

:21:37.:21:43.

intervention that could help address the problem,

:21:44.:21:45.

He said what I was going to say, but there is another,

:21:46.:21:54.

I think explaining to young people what it means to be in the working

:21:55.:22:04.

world, that it is not just about jobs, sometimes

:22:05.:22:07.

it is about being the person that creates the job.

:22:08.:22:10.

The editor of Business Day, Abraham Sarfo,

:22:11.:22:23.

technical advisor and DJ Mo Flava Tsiki from Metro FM.

:22:24.:22:25.

You have been watching Talking Business, from

:22:26.:22:27.

Please note that next week's edition of the programme will be coming

:22:28.:22:32.

to you from London, hosted by Tanya Beckett, as she looks

:22:33.:22:34.

at the issue of cyber security and what businesses need

:22:35.:22:37.

From South Africa, thanks for your time and goodbye.

:22:38.:22:59.

Stormy day across parts of the UK today. More storms and scenes like

:23:00.:23:11.

this recorded in Dorset to come over the next few days. Heavy rain has

:23:12.:23:12.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS