18/03/2012 The Andrew Marr Show


18/03/2012

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Morning. Man of the week, Greg Smith, the

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Goldman Sachs banker who left revealing they talk about clients

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as muppets - if you make enough money and your're not currently an

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axe-murderer, he said, you will be promoted. In terms of leaving a job

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you don't like, it's up there with that airline steward who bawled out

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an obnoxious passenger over the intercom, grabbed a beer, opened

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his plane's emergency inflatable chute and slid off to freedom.

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Rowan Williams, Archbishop of Canterbury, over to you.

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Joining me today for our review of the Sunday newspapers - two

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journalists happy in their jobs, I'm sure. The celebrated CNN

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foreign correspondent and, as they say over there,-anchor", Christiane

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Amanpour. And the Guardian's political correspondent Nick Watt,

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just back from sharing burgers and backchat with Barack 'chuffed to

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bits' Obama and David Cameron in Washington.

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But of course, looking ahead, it's Budget week. Who wins, who loses?

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Most years, the papers work themselves up into a lather of

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excitement and speculation, and then a week or two later, it's all

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forgotten. This one, though, seems more interesting than usual, not

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least because of negotiations inside the coalition which might as

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well have been carried on via Facebook, they're so public. Will

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the rich be pleased? Will poorer taxpayers get some relief? We

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haven't heard from the Chancellor, George Osborne, himself for a while

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but this morning he's here - not, I fear, to spill the Budget beans,

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but I hope to give us some of his own thinking.

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The economic outlook seems just a little brighter, but the pain's not

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over, and now public sector workers face the possible end of national

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wages, hitting incomes in poorer parts of the country. I'll be

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talking, too, to Labour's money man, Ed Balls.

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And as London prepares for the Diamond Jubilee, the Olympics and

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the biggest policing challenge for years, we're also talking to former

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copper and the Lib Dem mayoral candidate in the capital, Briam

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Paddick. -- Brian Paddick. Finally, a great Margaret Thatcher,

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on telly just now and wowing them in the West End, the wonderful

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Lindsay Duncan joins me to talk about Noel Coward, the 1960s and

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White Heat. All that coming up, but first over to the newsdesk and Naga

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Munchetty. Good morning.

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The Premiership footballer Fabrice Muamba is fighting for his life

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after collapsing during Bolton Wanderers' FA Cup game at Tottenham

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yesterday. Doctors tried to revive the 23-year-old in front of

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thousands of fans, before he was taken to hospital, where he's now

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in intensive care. Fabrice Muamba is still fighting

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for his life this morning in the heart attack unit of the London

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chest Hospital. Last night his family and fiancee were also there

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as doctors fought to save him. His condition is described as stable

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but critical. The incident that brought him there has shocked the

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football world. It came minutes before half-time when he collapsed.

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Paramedics acted swiftly using a different related to revive him.

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The rest of the match was abandoned. He went down without anybody around

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him and if players were visibly distressed. The crowd as well were

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very quick to appreciate the seriousness of the situation.

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incident brought an outpouring of shock and sympathy. The club's

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manager, Owen Coyle, says the following 24 hours will be crucial.

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Our thoughts and prayers... We have been inundated with people wishing

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him well. We hope he is able to recover. This is very serious, he

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is critically ill. All people can do now is wait and hope. By

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Sunday trading laws could be suspended during the London

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Olympics to help boost the economy. The move, which will apply to

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England and Wales, is expected to be announced by the Chancellor in

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his Budget this week. Shops that are currently allowed to open for

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only six hours will be able to trade all day. But not everyone

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will welcome the change. Throughout the Olympics this summer,

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hundreds of thousands of sports fans will be on the move and George

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Osborne wants them spending money to help boost the economy. To that

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end he will suspend Sunday trading laws to allow spectators to do a

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little shopping before and after they have been to the game. Can't

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the small shops and petrol stations can stay open all day on Sunday.

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Large shops like supermarkets and garden centres and Palmer's stores

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in central London and retail parks can trade for only six hours. But

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for eight Sundays from July 22nd, these shops in England and Wales

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will be able to trade all day if they want. The change will require

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emergency legislation and officials say they have to get it through

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Parliament by Easter. The idea of relaxing Sunday trading laws has in

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the past prompted strong opposition from trade unions, church leaders

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and small businesses. They may fear that what has been built a

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temporary change may become permanent. Some Conservative and

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Labour MPs have protested that Mr Osborne should have consulted first

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before announcing the change. This measure will not have an automatic

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journey through Parliament. The Libyan government has formally

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requested the handover of Colonel Gaddafi's former intelligence chief,

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Abdullah al-Senussi. He was arrested in the West African state

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of Mauritania yesterday. Mr Senussi fled Libya last year. He's wanted

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by the International Criminal Court for crimes against humanity.

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12 South American countries have issued a statement rejecting

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Britain's military presence in the Falkland Islands, and calling for a

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negotiated settlement. Tensions between Argentina and Britain have

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risen ahead of the 30th anniversary of the Falklands War next month.

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But David Cameron has said the UK will continue to defend the islands.

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The opening race of the Formula One Grand Prix season has taken place

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in Australia. You can watch highlights on BBC One at two

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o'clock this afternoon. So if you don't want to know the result from

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Melbourne, press mute and look away now.

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Jenson Button won for McLaren. The reigning world champion Sebastian

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Vettel came second, with Lewis Hamilton in third place.

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That's all from me for now. I'll be back just before ten o'clock with

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the headlines. I wonder how many people actually

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do look away when that happens! On to the newspapers now. The Sunday

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to the newspapers now. The Sunday Times has a story about rock stars

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in billion pounds tax charge. It says people including Bob Geldof

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and Mick Jagger are among those who have put everything from Highland

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castles to parking spaces into offshore companies to avoid tax.

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Scotland on Sunday about people being paid less in poorer areas

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going down predictably badly in Scotland. The Independent on Sunday

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has an interesting story, saying that 50 doctors are going to stand

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against Lib Dem and Conservatives in revenge over the NHS bill. The

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Sunday Express has fears that state secrets were stolen and says that

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MI5 is involved after a break-in at Ed Miliband's office at the House

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of Commons. And the Mail on Sunday, of Commons. And the Mail on Sunday,

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�100,000 gift... Ed Miliband trying to raise money for the Labour Party.

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And with me to review the papers are Christiane Amanpour and Nick

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Watt. We will start with Nick because you were in Washington for

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this extraordinary love-in. I was. You get the call from Barack Obama

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and Michel and they ask you to stand in the White House and you

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think I suppose I had better do that. Someone has to do it! It was

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a pretty extraordinary event. We can bit a bit -- get a bit carried

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away. Some people say Roosevelt and Churchill was a big moment, Ewing

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seen nothing yet. This was a present we thought was re-entering

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the US away from the transatlantic alliance in the direction of the

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Pacific and Asia. He he was, the full Washington treatment for David

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Cameron. What is interesting is why this happened. What's going on? As

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ever with the special relationship, it is a two-way relationship. It

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suits Barack Obama to have a Conservative leader in the United

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States in an election year. I still think the relationship between

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Great Britain and the United States is solid, it is reaffirmed every

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time there's a change of leadership. They had to talk about things like

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Afghanistan. I think there will be an accelerated move to withdraw

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troops. A lot of serious stuff to talk about behind the photo

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opportunities. What about the fact that Cameron was so lavish about

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Obama, didn't even speak to any Republicans, could that come back

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to haunt him? I was there with Gordon Brown in 2008 in the same

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stage of the electoral cycle and he mat every candidate. David Cameron

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did not meet any Republican. It is a much more complicated Republican

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posters this time. But the language David Cameron was using was pretty

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much endorsing Barack Obama's approach to the economy and that

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will be very helpful to Obama. For every US President and UK Prime

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Minister to get on, there has to be a moment when they click. Clearly

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what happened here is the click moment came over Libya. Barack

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Obama looked at David Cameron, the US has only partly evolved, he took

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the decision and followed it through. He thought David Cameron

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was very brave. That famous lead from behind, which has haunted the

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Obama administration. We know it was Britain and France that lead

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that Libyan resolution and the NATO action. The US did play the role

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from behind. We will come on to her much bigger problem in a moment.

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You have a story closer to home. do. It is something that everybody

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here is waking up and having known what happened yesterday. This sad

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story of Fabrice Muamba, who collapsed on the pitch yesterday.

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As a soccer fan, because my fan -- my son is a soccer fan, it is also

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a really human story and one that will touch everybody. Everybody's

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prayers are with him. Absolutely. Absolutely heartbreaking. What was

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interesting was watching the reaction of the other players on

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the pitch. Fabrice Muamba was clearly adored and respected, is

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adored and respected in football. You saw that reaction on the ground,

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but also the reaction on Twitter. A massive Lee loved figure. Yes. Your

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next story, some domestic politics. You will be talking to George

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Osborne and Ed Balls. Coalition's tug-of-war about the Budget. It is

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extraordinary. We pretty much know the outlines of what is in it. The

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Speaker will be furious. It is not so much speculation, it is facts.

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It is a tug-of-war between these two sides in the coalition and they

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do have vastly different visions of how economic policy... Are and they

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leak. They have to leak because they have to prepare the ground.

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What we have seen recently is the leading in my paper of the story

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that George Osborne will scrap the 50p upper rate of tax. Clearly that

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is a very, very difficult moment for the Lib Dems. If you have spent

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three general elections in a row campaigning to the left of the

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Tories and then you are involved in cutting 50p tax, that is difficult

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for your party. It is interesting watching this in the British press

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because it is a contain situation. In the US, we've been reporting on

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this for the last 18 months. There's been a budget wrangle and

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beyond. It is extraordinary how long that has taken. You are -- you

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were a friend of Marie Colvin. colleague, I knew her through many

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years in many different trenches. Every time I see a serious story, I

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think of her. We remember her and her bravery. This is her paper,

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Sunday Times. If she was telling the story in the indispensable way

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she and all of us believe you can't substitute for eyes and ears on the

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ground. She died trying to tell this savage story. Many of us are

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truly horrified by this. It reminds me of Sarajevo. I reported that 20

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years ago. Towns under siege, civilians, children being

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slaughtered. President Assad is constantly telling the

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international community it is terrorists. There was a big suicide

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bomb attack in Damascus yesterday, but I have it on very good

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authority from American intelligence, they don't believe

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al-Qaeda is supporting the opponents. They do believe some al-

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Qaeda is there, they have their own war they are waging against the

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Assad regime, but not that it has anything to do with the current

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opponents. Clearly we can hear that your enthusiasm for being out there

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as a foreign correspondent... There comes a time when you take on other

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roles. You are with a BEA seat, you are about to go with CNN I have a

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double deal. Global affairs anchor for ABC where I work inside the US.

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I am restarting my CNN show, a foreign policy show. I am delighted.

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A lot of gold braid! A lot of My next story is on the Independent

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on Sunday, doctors in the house. It is saying a whole load of doctors

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are thinking of standing at the next general election to challenge

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the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats over the health bill. The

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government will be worried about this because in 2001, Richard

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Taylor stood against a Labour candidate and won because he was

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fighting to keep his local hospital. They will think the NHS, there

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could be trouble. The difference is Richard Taylor was clearly

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campaigning on one emotive issue, it is our local hospital. This is

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clearly an emotive issue but it doesn't have that cut through. The

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danger it is not that these doctors could win, but they could split the

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vote. Elsewhere I see there is more talk about Andrew Lansley being

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moved out of the Cabinet. That's right, the prime minister is

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thinking about doing a cabinet reshuffle before the Olympics, and

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that Andrew Lansley will be removed, and talking about a Liberal

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Democrats replacing him. I think if there is a reshuffle, it will be

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after the Olympics. The interesting. The Sunday Telegraph, this terrible

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story about the American who went ape in Afghanistan and started

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murdering people. Obviously he will be put on trial for this. It is

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alleged but people have made their judgements about what happened. It

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reminds me of Vietnam, these people are trying to win the hearts and

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minds of people, and this is very difficult for Hamid Karzai and the

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village to get over. It shows the policy is under a huge strain in

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Afghanistan. Also, walk is unbelievably violent and

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unpredictable. This man snapped... But this goes beyond snapping, this

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is 16 people who have been murdered, including children. The trial is

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going to take place, but it also shows this ten-year war, the

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longest the Americans have ever fought, with soldiers being

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deployed over and over again, and in some instances at breaking point.

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In other stories, the Archbishop of Canterbury retiring, and the

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runners and riders are already being discussed. Yes, and this

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story is saying that Rowan Williams is planning to launch an attack on

:17:40.:17:44.

the Big Society, on David Cameron, and it says he has been slightly

:17:44.:17:48.

offended that he would set up meetings with David Cameron and

:17:48.:17:51.

then with a few minutes to go they would say the Prime Minister can't

:17:51.:17:56.

see you. David Cameron will obviously have not a very big role

:17:56.:18:00.

because Gordon Brown has changed it, but a role in choosing a successor.

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David Cameron has said his role is a bit like the reception to Magic

:18:09.:18:15.

FM in the Chilterns. On and off! is amazing to watch the news

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happening this week, and we have seen in Syria, in Afghanistan, we

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have seen tragically even in a country at peace - Switzerland -

:18:25.:18:30.

these children who have been killed in the crash. We must think about

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that, and I believe that success in these places was possible, and I

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hope it turns out better than what we are seeing right now. A good

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review, thank you. Bird song and soft clear light, as

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I staggered out of bed this morning. We need the rain, but not in the

:18:54.:18:56.

springtime please. The news that springtime please. The news that

:18:56.:19:01.

counts over the next 24 hours, the weather. I suspect the rain that

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some will see today, even if the showers fall on a Sunday, will be

:19:08.:19:14.

welcome rain across England and Wales. Earlier this morning we had

:19:14.:19:23.

this band of rain, even bringing snow at times, as that drifts south

:19:23.:19:27.

through the day, it will generate heavy and thundery showers as we

:19:27.:19:32.

head into the afternoon. This guy is will be largely clear and sunny

:19:33.:19:36.

for Northern Ireland, Scotland and northern England in the afternoon.

:19:36.:19:42.

In the sunshine, it will feel pleasant. Soon after dusk, those

:19:42.:19:47.

showers will fade away. That will bring a chilly night, with

:19:47.:19:53.

widespread frost into the countryside, lowest temperatures

:19:53.:19:59.

down to one degree Celsius. Tomorrow, we will have some fairly

:19:59.:20:04.

heavy and persistent outbreaks of rain affecting off western Scotland,

:20:04.:20:10.

with as much as 40 mm of rain falling here. Elsewhere, dry and

:20:10.:20:15.

bright. For those praying for rain, the rest of the week looks mainly

:20:15.:20:19.

the rest of the week looks mainly dry.

:20:19.:20:25.

We have heard from Boris Johnson, from Ken Livingstone, but another

:20:25.:20:32.

veteran campaigner it is the former senior policeman, Brian Paddick,

:20:32.:20:38.

who also gave evidence in the phone hacking saga recently. Welcome. You

:20:38.:20:42.

are coming into this race at an interesting time, as a former

:20:42.:20:52.

policeman, and we are hearing all sorts of slightly scary sounding

:20:52.:20:56.

stuff about riot control techniques. How do you approach it as a

:20:56.:21:01.

candidate, first of all? The mayor of London is now the Police and

:21:01.:21:05.

Crime Commissioner for London, so the mayor decides the priority for

:21:05.:21:09.

the police, the budget for the police, and holds the police to

:21:09.:21:15.

account. This is an important election. With 30 years of

:21:15.:21:19.

experience myself, I would argue no one is better qualified to hold

:21:19.:21:26.

that position. He went to the Leveson Inquiry, to give evidence,

:21:26.:21:30.

your own phone was tapped. How do you regard the relationship between

:21:30.:21:35.

the Met police and editors, journalists, proprietors, the press

:21:35.:21:40.

establishment? Be evidence we heard, for example a senior officer being

:21:40.:21:45.

told it was payback time for the champagne, quite clearly indicates

:21:45.:21:50.

that at the top of the Met Police it was too close, too cosy between

:21:50.:21:54.

newspaper editors and senior officers. Do you think it was

:21:54.:22:01.

corrupt? Were are told as constables not to accept kebabs

:22:01.:22:05.

from the local Greek restaurant because you never know when you

:22:05.:22:09.

have to breathalyse the individual concerned. Senior officers should

:22:09.:22:14.

realise it could come to pass, and it did, they you could have to take

:22:15.:22:18.

criminal action against the newspaper editors they are wining

:22:18.:22:24.

and dining with. Do you think it is a completely different culture that

:22:24.:22:28.

has to spread across senior police in when it comes to contact with

:22:28.:22:34.

journalism? The difficulty is, whatever happens at the top is the

:22:34.:22:38.

example those at the bottom follow. Therefore it has to be a change of

:22:39.:22:42.

culture at the top of the organisation. The new commission it

:22:42.:22:47.

is sending out the right messages as far as that is concerned. The

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meetings should be formal meetings, the minutes should be published,

:22:51.:22:55.

and it should be nothing stronger than a cup of tea. Looking ahead to

:22:55.:23:00.

what is coming up in London, we have the Olympics as well as the

:23:00.:23:04.

diamond jubilee - an enormously difficult job for the police in

:23:04.:23:09.

terms of the security threat to an event as big as this. What would be

:23:09.:23:16.

your advice as a politician looking from the outside in? We saw the

:23:16.:23:20.

riots last August, we have increasing crime at the moment, so

:23:20.:23:25.

crime is the number-one issue, let alone with the Olympics coming

:23:25.:23:30.

along and those security issues. Chris Allison is in overall charge,

:23:30.:23:35.

he has been there throughout, he is on tarnished by this other stuff so

:23:35.:23:40.

we could not be in better hands as far as that is concerned, but we

:23:40.:23:45.

have to make sure the police are held to account. Unfortunately the

:23:45.:23:48.

previous two mares have shown they have been terrible of holding the

:23:48.:23:52.

police to account for their performance. You are the Liberal

:23:52.:23:57.

Democrats candidate in this race, so I must ask - stories this

:23:57.:24:01.

morning in the paper saying Liberal Democrats are worried that the 50

:24:01.:24:04.

pence rate of tax will be cut in the Budget. Would you be worried

:24:05.:24:12.

about that? We want tax cuts for low and medium income earners, for

:24:12.:24:17.

ordinary working people. I don't care how we get the tax out of the

:24:17.:24:25.

super rich, a tycoon tax, a mansion tax, or a 50p tax, but we need to

:24:25.:24:28.

make sure there are high earners are paying at least as much tax as

:24:29.:24:34.

ordinary working families. It would be a tragedy if this Budget gave

:24:34.:24:39.

tax cuts to the rich, leaving ordinary people struggling to make

:24:39.:24:46.

ends meet in a worse position. the 50p is no longer sacrosanct, so

:24:46.:24:49.

long as Liberal-Democrats feel that out of the Budget the rich are

:24:49.:24:55.

paying more, not less? The Liberal Democrats are not intellectually

:24:55.:24:59.

wedded to a 50 pence rate of tax, but we do believe that those with

:24:59.:25:03.

the broadest shoulders should bear the greatest burden. At the moment

:25:03.:25:10.

it is the poor and medium-sized income earners who need the support.

:25:10.:25:16.

People who are having to make decisions between heating and

:25:16.:25:22.

eating. The very interesting, thank you.

:25:22.:25:26.

You can see a full list of the candidates who have declared they

:25:26.:25:31.

want to stand as the mayor on the BBC news website.

:25:31.:25:33.

Lindsay Duncan is one of our most celebrated actresses. A double

:25:33.:25:37.

Olivier winner, she's as at home on stage with the RSC as she is in the

:25:37.:25:45.

Tardis playing the Doctor's assistant. She made a memorable

:25:45.:25:48.

movie star in the latest Ab Fab, and she starred as Margaret

:25:48.:25:52.

Thatcher for the BBC a few years ago. I looked back at it and she

:25:52.:25:55.

was, I thought, just a little more formidable than Meryl Streep.

:25:55.:25:58.

Lindsay Duncan has had great success in the plays of Noel Coward

:25:58.:26:01.

and has just returned to London's West End in a sparkling revival of

:26:01.:26:07.

Hay Fever. Welcome. Noel Coward, 90 years since this first appeared in

:26:07.:26:14.

London, and it still works, doesn't it? It still works, I think all his

:26:14.:26:18.

plays still work. This was an early one, he was a young man when he

:26:18.:26:26.

wrote it, but the wit holds up every time. It is about a name or

:26:26.:26:30.

all-party family inviting their friends... For a perfect family.

:26:30.:26:39.

And you are the sort of chatelaine... Yes, really quite

:26:39.:26:45.

bohemian. It is crazy what is going on, if you think this was written

:26:45.:26:52.

in the 19 20s. The family have all invited a date, and they swap. They

:26:52.:26:57.

torture their guests and behave really badly with the sort of

:26:57.:27:02.

enormous appetite for life which is enviable. I was wondering whether

:27:02.:27:10.

Noel Coward is difficult to play. He famously said to actors to say

:27:10.:27:17.

the lines and not trip over the furniture! He said about hay fever

:27:17.:27:21.

that he thinks it is one of his most difficult plays because

:27:21.:27:26.

nothing happens. There is all sorts of behaviour will stuff and a great

:27:26.:27:30.

deal of performance going on, but there is no narrative so everybody

:27:30.:27:37.

has got to be at the top of their game. Judith, your character, she

:27:37.:27:41.

is monstrous in some ways and very funny but there is real pain

:27:41.:27:46.

underneath it, isn't there? I hope there is something there, otherwise

:27:46.:27:51.

she is just spinning plates. I think you have to believe in the

:27:51.:27:57.

existence of these people. She is so badly behaved, and it is very

:27:57.:28:05.

funny, very delicious. Very naughty. She can't bear boredom for one

:28:05.:28:09.

second, which makes being in the country a little to London for her,

:28:09.:28:18.

so yes, she is, yes. You are in this drama, White heat, which

:28:18.:28:23.

starts in the 60s, and 15 years ago this week Bob Dylan's first album

:28:23.:28:28.

appeared, the Beatles were releasing their early stuff, the

:28:28.:28:32.

Rolling Stones were getting together - do you remember the 60s

:28:32.:28:42.

very well? I do, I was having a great time. I was at school for

:28:42.:28:51.

most of the 60s, so when I it emerged I managed to catch-up a

:28:51.:28:55.

little bit. But the time he didn't realise what an extraordinary

:28:55.:29:00.

period it was, because when you are a young you are discovering the

:29:00.:29:06.

world, saying the music is amazing, the drugs, the alcohol, the sex, it

:29:06.:29:11.

is all amazing but I didn't realise what a formative time it was.

:29:11.:29:16.

funny, in the TV series they have to keep putting up posters to

:29:16.:29:22.

remind younger viewers. That poster is about feminism, it is quite

:29:22.:29:27.

funny. Talking of historical figures, just about, Margaret

:29:27.:29:31.

Thatcher I mentioned at the beginning. You played a very

:29:31.:29:36.

brilliant Margaret Thatcher. It was most on like the Meryl Streep film,

:29:36.:29:40.

but it seems to be made for a British audience who knew about

:29:40.:29:46.

Geoffrey Howe and Michael Heseltine, and knew some more detail. Yes, we

:29:46.:29:51.

didn't go for the impersonation, and obviously that was a conscious

:29:51.:29:56.

choice. Slightly alarming for me as the actress because you are worried

:29:56.:30:01.

people will think it is because you couldn't do it, but it was a

:30:01.:30:07.

conscious choice and an interesting one that we could wipe away -

:30:07.:30:14.

Thatcher is so familiar to everyone here - that we could wipe away the

:30:14.:30:19.

construction and have a look at the woman. What you did there, and the

:30:19.:30:24.

writers did as well, it is give us the aggression and the attack.

:30:24.:30:34.
:30:34.:30:38.

There is a wonderful clip, where Some chancellors are macro economic.

:30:38.:30:47.

Other Chancellor's office golf. This one is just plain cheap. If

:30:47.:30:52.

this Chancellor can be Chancellor, anyone in the House of Commons can

:30:52.:30:57.

be Chancellor. I don't think you were a very enthusiastic

:30:57.:31:04.

Thatcherite yourself. I was reprimanded by the BBC. For saying

:31:04.:31:10.

how I felt. Did your attitude changed playing her? Politically?

:31:10.:31:16.

Empathising with the character? course I empathised with her. You

:31:16.:31:20.

can't attempt to create anybody without finding some connection. We

:31:20.:31:26.

were trying to unlock whom they were. Politically? Less so. A lot

:31:26.:31:33.

less so. Reviewers said you felt sympathetic to her for the loss of

:31:33.:31:39.

power. Viewers felt sympathetic. That was a devastating loss for her,

:31:39.:31:44.

absolutely devastating, and anybody could understand that. It clearly

:31:44.:31:52.

was her life. She dedicated every cell of her being to it. And also

:31:52.:31:56.

because of the nature of that fall, which was what we examined, and it

:31:57.:32:02.

was quite brutal and it came from inside the party. That was a kind

:32:02.:32:09.

of tragedy. Thank you very much. That was quite a fall. Political

:32:09.:32:15.

life is full of ups and downs and spills which takes me to buy next

:32:15.:32:22.

guest, the Shadow Chancellor, Ed Balls. You have been very, very

:32:22.:32:25.

vociferous in your criticism of this government, but it is the case

:32:25.:32:29.

that things are getting a little better in the economy. There were

:32:29.:32:35.

the first faint glimmerings of spring in the economy. I hope so,

:32:35.:32:40.

but it is very early to say that. If you go back to the American trip

:32:40.:32:45.

last week, which David Cameron and George Osborne were on, Mr Cameron

:32:45.:32:52.

was asked time and time again why the American economy had caught up

:32:52.:32:55.

the up but it lost in the financial crisis and was growing strongly

:32:55.:32:59.

with the President talking about stimulus. In Britain we are only

:32:59.:33:04.

talking about austerity. Will we end up with a lost decade like

:33:04.:33:08.

Japan in the 1990s? On that big strategic question, was the plan

:33:08.:33:12.

for jobs and growth? George Osborne said a year ago I will put fuel in

:33:12.:33:17.

the tank of the British economy. 12 months on, we are on the hard

:33:17.:33:21.

shoulder, the economy has not grown. Yet there are some signs that

:33:21.:33:26.

begins at -- things are beginning to turn around. If it was the case

:33:26.:33:31.

that the figures showed that 50p rate really was not bringing in

:33:31.:33:36.

very much money, barely worth collecting, would it be right to

:33:36.:33:39.

ditch it and do something else? George Osborne had the courage of

:33:39.:33:44.

his convictions, he would ask the Independent office of budget

:33:44.:33:49.

responsibility he set up to do that examination and he has not. It is

:33:49.:33:53.

not an independent report we will get on Wednesday. We said the top

:33:53.:33:56.

rate of tax would raise over 1 billion in the first year, 2.5

:33:56.:34:01.

billion in the second. Even if it was half what we were saying, that

:34:01.:34:06.

would compensate for the cuts in tax credits to families on �17,000,

:34:06.:34:13.

which means they will be better off on benefit. For families on middle

:34:13.:34:17.

and low income as, or seeing petrol prices up, fuel bills up, living

:34:17.:34:21.

standards to squeeze, youth unemployment rising, the idea that

:34:21.:34:25.

George Osborne is saying the number one priority is to cut taxes on

:34:26.:34:31.

people earning �150,000, they can't be serious. What planet are they

:34:31.:34:38.

on? It is crazy. It is actually Revenue and Customs who are doing

:34:38.:34:44.

the financial study. Why it is it not from the OBR? George Osborne

:34:44.:34:49.

set up the OBR because he said independents in my fiscal forecasts.

:34:49.:34:53.

This is a fiscal forecast, why didn't he trusted to the OBR? It as

:34:53.:34:59.

a political issue. We have the Chancellor and the coalition from

:34:59.:35:03.

scraps backbenchers. The nation needs a plan for jobs and growth.

:35:03.:35:08.

We haven't had one for the year or two and instead, they are playing

:35:08.:35:11.

politics with the national interest. It is not right and it will be

:35:11.:35:15.

deeply unfair. Low-income families will look at this and say this is

:35:15.:35:20.

out of touch with their lives and what the country needs. Your big

:35:20.:35:25.

fiscal idea before was reversing the VAT rise. And that would cost

:35:25.:35:31.

something like 12 billion. It has been argued there's not enough

:35:31.:35:34.

compensation measures were you to do that. Are you coming slowly off

:35:34.:35:39.

that? You said recently if the coalition isn't going to do that,

:35:39.:35:42.

it should do something else. I said that on your programme three months

:35:42.:35:49.

ago. The answer is no. Right now George Osborne's plan has failed.

:35:49.:35:55.

He is boring �158 billion more, the economy has flat blind. There's no

:35:55.:36:03.

growth in the economy. Unemployment is rising. We need action now. A

:36:03.:36:07.

temporary cut in VAT for year is the best way to get the economy

:36:07.:36:10.

moving. If the coalition says they will do personal allowances instead

:36:10.:36:15.

of the stimulus, it's less good for women, it's less fair, it's better

:36:15.:36:18.

than nothing, but we are in a bizarre position where George

:36:19.:36:24.

Osborne seems to say the way I been sent a visor family on the minimum

:36:24.:36:29.

wage is by cutting their income, taking away their tax credits, but

:36:29.:36:36.

I in centre vies an individual on �150,000 by giving them money.

:36:36.:36:39.

people at the top have clever tax lawyers and it is harder to get

:36:39.:36:45.

that money. If it is just a few hundred millions, it is barely

:36:45.:36:50.

worth doing. 1.3 billion in the first year, while the accountants

:36:50.:36:55.

do their switching around, 2.5 billion in the second gear. On the

:36:55.:37:00.

top rate of tax, no tax rate should be set in stone. I don't want to

:37:00.:37:06.

see taxes higher than they can be. There are priorities. This is about

:37:06.:37:10.

politics, it is about George Osborne playing politics with

:37:10.:37:15.

something that is unfair. It should be about what is good for jobs and

:37:15.:37:20.

the economy. Let's turn to that. When it comes to some of the other

:37:20.:37:25.

proposals on tax, when it comes to things like mansion tax is, tycoon

:37:26.:37:32.

taxes, the notion that everybody, whatever the brilliance of the tax

:37:32.:37:36.

lawyers, should be paying a certain percentage come what may, that must

:37:36.:37:42.

attract you? The tycoon tax is a phrase, not a plan. You would have

:37:43.:37:46.

to looking real detail to see whether or not, legally, you can

:37:46.:37:52.

make this work. It doesn't really work in America. On the mansion tax,

:37:52.:37:57.

ICI's case for mansion tax. I've said to George Osborne I will work

:37:57.:38:02.

with you to solve difficult issues. But should you do a mansion tax or

:38:02.:38:05.

tycoon tax to help families with higher fuel bills by cutting fuel

:38:05.:38:09.

duty or cutting VAT or do you say this is simply about cutting taxes

:38:09.:38:13.

at the top? I don't understand why the Lib Dems have ended up saying

:38:13.:38:18.

they will have a mansion tax to pay for the top rate of tax. This is

:38:18.:38:22.

all a distraction. What George Osborne, Nick Clegg and David

:38:22.:38:25.

Cameron are comfortable with it is a debate about money from here to

:38:25.:38:28.

there because what they are not comfortable about is the Big Issue,

:38:28.:38:34.

what is happening to unemployment, growth. Are we in line for a lost

:38:34.:38:38.

decade? It is not being talked about. Can I ask you about another

:38:38.:38:43.

big issue which has come to the top of the agenda? The notion that

:38:43.:38:46.

regional pay should be broken down, instead of national pay bargaining,

:38:46.:38:50.

if you are living in a part of the country where the cost of living is

:38:50.:38:53.

lower and you are working in the public sector, you should be paid

:38:53.:38:56.

less than public sector workers living in an expensive place like

:38:57.:39:03.

London. Good idea? There's regional variation now. The view I have

:39:03.:39:07.

always taken, and has been taken consensually in Britain for 30

:39:07.:39:12.

years, is the pay review bodies nationally are a better way of

:39:12.:39:16.

delivering flexibility while keeping a lid on costs. I worry

:39:16.:39:20.

George Osborne is going for a free- for-all, hospital against hospital,

:39:20.:39:24.

it would cost more. It also takes us in the opposite direction. We

:39:24.:39:28.

should be saying that we want to spread economic prosperity across

:39:28.:39:32.

the country rather than saying to people, you only get a decent pay

:39:32.:39:36.

as a doctor as a nurse if you come to London. That takes us in the

:39:36.:39:40.

opposite direction. George Osborne is playing politics, appealing to

:39:40.:39:44.

his backbenchers, but it could cost him more and be unfair and take his

:39:44.:39:48.

strategy in the opposite direction from where we should be going.

:39:48.:39:52.

important is it to stop any increase in fuel prices? The

:39:52.:39:57.

coalition has done quite a lot to hold down fuel prices, but it isn't

:39:57.:40:02.

a very, very difficult problem with international oil prices. -- it is.

:40:03.:40:06.

Why don't you ask George Osborne what happened a his fair fuel

:40:06.:40:10.

regulator? He has talked to you on previous programmes. A year gave he

:40:10.:40:15.

said I will have a fair fuel regulator. A year on, petrol prices

:40:15.:40:19.

are higher than a year ago. The oil prices higher. Where is his

:40:19.:40:24.

regulator? He says he can't do anything. The VAT cut would mean a

:40:24.:40:30.

cut in petrol prices. Credit easing, the Regional Growth Fund, fuel

:40:30.:40:33.

regulator, George Osborne talks. Nothing has happened on any of

:40:33.:40:37.

these things. You must be frustrated talking about these

:40:37.:40:41.

things and then looking back at the opinion polls and seeing that the

:40:41.:40:44.

coalition is far more trusted on the economy than you why. Why do

:40:44.:40:50.

you think that is as back a look at those polls and see all politicians

:40:50.:40:54.

have a problem at the moment. of us are trusted to sort out this

:40:54.:41:00.

mess at the moment. We had an election defeat. George Osborne was

:41:00.:41:04.

given the benefit of the doubt. He said he had a plan. On the big

:41:04.:41:10.

judgments, going too far, too fast, action on jobs. The arguments we

:41:10.:41:13.

have made are in line with public opinion. If you get the judgments

:41:13.:41:18.

right, you win through. If you get them wrong, you fail. His judgments

:41:18.:41:28.
:41:28.:41:37.

are flawed. The public agree with that. Thank you for now. The budget

:41:37.:41:40.

is always a big parliamentary event and the Chancellor always keeps a

:41:40.:41:44.

few surprises. Frantic briefing encounter briefing begins the

:41:44.:41:48.

moment he sits down. This year the detailed negotiations that precede

:41:48.:41:53.

every Budget have been played out more publicly than usual as the Lib

:41:53.:41:56.

Dems and Conservatives flag up there different priorities. George

:41:56.:42:01.

Osborne reveals all this Wednesday. But he is with us now to reveal...

:42:01.:42:08.

We will see! Thank you for joining us. Can I start by asking whether

:42:08.:42:12.

you actually already know what is going to be in your Budget or

:42:12.:42:14.

whether there are still negotiations that have to follow

:42:14.:42:18.

tomorrow when you meet the Lib Dems? I have read a lot of the

:42:18.:42:22.

speculation. You always get speculation about budgets.

:42:22.:42:26.

different level this year. remember whole budget been leaked

:42:26.:42:34.

before they were given. We sent the major measures to the OBR last

:42:34.:42:37.

Monday and the major decisions were taken a week ago. We put the

:42:37.:42:43.

finishing touches to it on Friday. Now the Office for Budget

:42:43.:42:46.

Responsibility, which does the independent audit of the measures

:42:46.:42:49.

and the fiscal forecasts and how much of the thing will cost, they

:42:49.:42:54.

have had everything they need. We will discuss tomorrow how we

:42:54.:42:59.

present the Budget and the language around the Budget speech. Decisions

:42:59.:43:04.

or taken? Decisions or taking a week ago. I have been reading for a

:43:05.:43:11.

week that these decisions have not been taken, but they have. He

:43:11.:43:15.

Britain's AAA rating is very important to you. We have a had two

:43:15.:43:19.

agencies talking about the possibility of a downgrade. Given

:43:19.:43:23.

that this is about credibility of the government's policy, how do you

:43:23.:43:28.

feel about the fact that so much is being argued about in public? One

:43:28.:43:31.

side of the coalition is saying we want this, the other side saying we

:43:31.:43:36.

want that, that can't help. There's always speculation around budgets.

:43:36.:43:42.

All I can say is first of all, this is a coalition Budget. We are a

:43:42.:43:47.

coalition government. We have a proper process. I sit down with the

:43:47.:43:50.

leaders of the Lib Dems in order to make sure they are happy with the

:43:50.:43:56.

Budget we are presenting and that is entirely up -- entirely proper.

:43:56.:44:00.

You have been happy with the way they have been behaving with the

:44:00.:44:04.

media? It is fine for people to argue their corner. You will know

:44:04.:44:08.

the stories because you have studied politics. There have been

:44:08.:44:12.

many stories and the past of prime minister has not been told what is

:44:12.:44:17.

in the Budget until Budget week, Chancellors finishing the Budget at

:44:17.:44:21.

4am on Budget day. This is now a much more orderly process. Orderly

:44:21.:44:30.

Cons mack -- Audsley? Really? People are saying different things.

:44:30.:44:34.

It is perfectly reasonable in a coalition that you get supporters

:44:34.:44:38.

of the two parties stressing the things they want to stress. But at

:44:38.:44:42.

the heart of government, at the top of government, with the Lib Dem

:44:42.:44:46.

leadership, the Chief Secretary to the Treasury is a Liberal Democrat,

:44:46.:44:50.

he has been party to the internal discussions, what you see is a

:44:50.:44:54.

coalition working to produce a coalition Budget. Because it is a

:44:54.:44:59.

coalition Budget, it will satisfy a broader range of public opinion.

:44:59.:45:03.

You're not worried about public trading? I'm not worried at all.

:45:03.:45:08.

The major measures were decided a week ago. What I think you will see

:45:08.:45:12.

on Wednesday it is a Budget for working people, a Budget that shows

:45:12.:45:16.

Britain can earn its weight in the world, if a Budget that says

:45:16.:45:20.

Britain is not content with being in the second rank of economic

:45:20.:45:24.

power was, we want to be in the front rank and we are prepared to

:45:24.:45:27.

confront our problems to create jobs, growth and prosperity and a

:45:27.:45:36.

brighter future for the next Would it be fair, given the state

:45:36.:45:43.

of the economy, if this object helped higher rate taxpayers more

:45:43.:45:53.
:45:53.:45:54.

than everybody else? -- this Budget. I am not going to go into details...

:45:54.:45:59.

But the point of principle? priority is to help low and middle

:45:59.:46:05.

earners. We want to see real and substantial progress on lifting low

:46:05.:46:10.

income people out of tax. We have already taken 1 million low income

:46:10.:46:15.

people out of tax, and helping working families, people providing

:46:15.:46:20.

for their families, looking for jobs if they have lost them, those

:46:20.:46:25.

are our priorities in this Budget. That is where the bulk of measures

:46:25.:46:32.

are directed. Gordon Brown and Ed Balls created 50p top rate, has it

:46:32.:46:37.

worked as a tax? We will be getting an assessment in a couple of days'

:46:37.:46:47.
:46:47.:46:51.

time from the Inland Revenue... Have you seen it? I have... So has

:46:51.:46:57.

it worked? We will see the report in a couple of days. Ed Balls in

:46:57.:47:01.

his interview said why have I asked the Inland Revenue to assess these

:47:01.:47:07.

things. First of all, they are not a bad group of people to ask, but

:47:07.:47:11.

any forecast for the tax is already being levied is something that is

:47:11.:47:16.

now being produced by an independent body. I know that is

:47:16.:47:20.

alien to the Treasury that Ed Balls was in, but we do have an

:47:20.:47:24.

independent referee on the measures we take and the measures already in

:47:24.:47:28.

existence. I come back to my question because you have seen the

:47:28.:47:36.

figures, I am just wondering if you think it has worked as a tax.

:47:36.:47:43.

just don't think I should talk about specific taxes today. It is

:47:43.:47:48.

just a couple of days before the Budget, and to his right that I it

:47:48.:47:53.

unveil what we are doing and not doing on Budget day. A As you know,

:47:53.:48:02.

the opposition are hoping he will cut the 50 pence rate so you -- so

:48:02.:48:12.

they can jump on year and say you are helping the rich. Our priority

:48:12.:48:17.

is to help low and middle earners, we want to make sure this country

:48:17.:48:25.

works its way in the world. Our efforts to reduce the deficit have

:48:25.:48:30.

been vindicated by events on the Continent. Now we have to say

:48:30.:48:34.

Britain has got to earn its weight in the world. We have had high

:48:34.:48:40.

debts, cheap finance, the boom in the city of London, they masked the

:48:40.:48:45.

fact that Britain was becoming less and less competitive. We have got

:48:45.:48:50.

to turn that situation around. The illusion of the cheap money is over

:48:50.:48:55.

and now Britain has to go and graft and create wealth and prosperity in

:48:56.:49:00.

a very competitive world. A bit we had been sitting here only six

:49:00.:49:04.

weeks ago, we would have been talking about the European euro

:49:04.:49:09.

crisis. That seems to have calmed down a little bit, it is early days,

:49:09.:49:14.

but at the moment the worry seems to be international oil prices. Can

:49:14.:49:19.

you do anything for the motorist and the businesses screaming now at

:49:19.:49:24.

the price of diesel? I know the coalition has done quite a bit in

:49:24.:49:31.

the past, is are there any hope for more? I would say two things - the

:49:31.:49:36.

situation in the eurozone is better than it was before Christmas. A

:49:36.:49:45.

Christmas we were almost expecting the banks to fail. Just because

:49:45.:49:50.

there is a lot of money going into the eurozone, it does not mean a

:49:50.:49:54.

lot of fundamental problems have been resolved. That remains the

:49:54.:49:59.

risk, and the impact of that crisis has had a bigger effect on many

:50:00.:50:05.

European economies then we have perhaps hoped. The second thing I

:50:05.:50:10.

would say on oil prices, that is another risk to the economy at the

:50:10.:50:15.

moment. In America, we spent a lot of time talking to the US President

:50:15.:50:21.

and the Treasury Secretary about it. Of course it affects the cost of

:50:21.:50:27.

living. I have taken substantive action to make things easier for

:50:27.:50:37.
:50:37.:50:37.

people, petrol is six pence cheaper than it would have been, from April

:50:37.:50:40.

it is 10 pence cheaper than it would have been if we had stuck

:50:40.:50:49.

with Ed Balls' plan. The international oil price is going up,

:50:49.:50:58.

partly because of the Iranian situation, but also because many

:50:58.:51:02.

more people around the world have cars. That is why we need to get

:51:02.:51:08.

the renewable energy going so we are not so dependent on oil. A one

:51:08.:51:12.

of the things people will say, endless talk about having more

:51:12.:51:16.

nuclear power stations, but nothing ever happens because of the

:51:16.:51:20.

planning system. That is not just true of the energy policy, because

:51:20.:51:24.

we are a small island with areas of natural beauty and so on, it is

:51:24.:51:30.

just too difficult to get things done in this country. I agreed and

:51:30.:51:34.

it is deeply frustrating that plans have held back economic development.

:51:34.:51:38.

I was talking to a major global company who said it takes a third

:51:38.:51:47.

of the time to build a warehouse in Germany than it does in Britain. I

:51:47.:51:51.

am determined that we shake-up planning rules so that we protect

:51:51.:51:56.

the green belt, protect precious green spaces, but will also allow

:51:56.:52:00.

businesses to expand and people to have decent homes and children to

:52:00.:52:06.

be able to afford a home when they grow up. These are priorities. On

:52:06.:52:09.

Budget week we will be publishing new planning rules which I think

:52:09.:52:13.

will make it a lot easier for things to get built in this country

:52:13.:52:17.

whilst protecting our precious environment. The Sunday Times

:52:17.:52:22.

pointed out this morning how many tycoons and others have been

:52:22.:52:26.

avoiding tax by offshore companies owning properties of different

:52:26.:52:34.

kinds. It was said not so long ago the super rich should be made to

:52:34.:52:39.

pay more. The question of tax loopholes is angering people more

:52:39.:52:43.

than it has ever done. understand that, and all sections

:52:43.:52:47.

of society should be paying their fair share. Whatever your headline

:52:47.:52:57.
:52:57.:52:58.

rate of tax, the question is how much tax people are paying. There

:52:58.:53:03.

are people who put homes in two companies to avoid stamp duty, that

:53:03.:53:07.

is completely unacceptable. We will come down on that practise like a

:53:07.:53:12.

ton of bricks. We will be extremely aggressive in dealing with it, and

:53:12.:53:17.

people will face a very punitive charge because it is unacceptable

:53:17.:53:21.

when you are buying a home that you are going to live in, it is a very

:53:21.:53:26.

simple test, you're going to live in the home, we will have new

:53:26.:53:31.

measures in the Budget on this. We will deal with this avoidance on

:53:31.:53:36.

stamp duty, and people have had their warning. We will be dealing

:53:36.:53:42.

with it in a very aggressive way. Whether we use the term tycoon tax

:53:42.:53:48.

or not, is there are also a general determination to make sure people

:53:48.:53:51.

who can afford expensive accountants, they have been able to

:53:51.:53:56.

avoid paying tax in all sorts of ways and there should be some sort

:53:56.:54:06.
:54:06.:54:12.

of ceiling on the amount of tax people pay, or floor rather?

:54:12.:54:20.

wanted to make sure the better people -- the better-off people in

:54:20.:54:26.

our society are paying the tax, whether they are paying the rate.

:54:26.:54:31.

We are going to take measures to make sure the loopholes and some of

:54:31.:54:35.

the reliefs in the system are not exploited. I have been doing that

:54:35.:54:40.

consistently for the last two years. It has not been in the headlines,

:54:40.:54:44.

but we took action against the banks using loopholes. I have

:54:44.:54:48.

always been prepared to do that because it does offend people when

:54:48.:54:51.

they see some parts of society getting away with not paying much

:54:51.:54:56.

tax. We have talked a lot about people at the top, another big

:54:56.:55:01.

worry is the removal of child benefit from people whose incomes

:55:01.:55:06.

are not very large in many cases, who feel you should do something to

:55:06.:55:13.

help them. I understand that people on income to of �45,000 did not

:55:13.:55:19.

feel particularly rich, they feel under pressure. They are in the

:55:19.:55:23.

better off 15% of families and if we were not doing something on

:55:23.:55:28.

child benefit for the people at the top of the income distribution,

:55:28.:55:36.

that section of the public would be doing nothing to contribute to the

:55:36.:55:41.

fiscal situation. Everyone needs to make a contribution. How we

:55:41.:55:46.

implement the policy is something you will discover on Wednesday.

:55:46.:55:50.

Thank you. Now the news headlines. At the Chancellor of the Exchequer

:55:50.:55:54.

has told this programme that the Budget this week will be for

:55:54.:55:58.

working people. George Osborne said his priority was to help those

:55:58.:56:04.

people on low and middle incomes. He promised new measures to clamp

:56:04.:56:09.

down on tax avoidance. The shadow chancellor, Ed Balls, accused him

:56:09.:56:12.

of playing politics with the decisions in the Budget saying

:56:12.:56:16.

George Osborne is uncomfortable about talking about growth and

:56:16.:56:19.

unemployment. For Premier League footballer,

:56:19.:56:23.

Fabrice Muamba, remains critically ill in intensive care after

:56:23.:56:28.

collapsing on the pitch yesterday. He fell to the ground with no

:56:28.:56:37.

players around him during the match during -- between Tottenham Hotspur

:56:37.:56:42.

and Bolton Wanderers. The next news is from midday. Now, let's look at

:56:42.:56:48.

what is coming up after this programme. Joining us in Leicester,

:56:48.:56:52.

where we will be asking - has the Church of England reached a

:56:52.:57:02.
:57:02.:57:06.

crossroads? And, is animal testing ever justified? Also, are many gods

:57:06.:57:10.

better than one? George Osborne and Ed Balls are

:57:10.:57:15.

still with me. The other issue we have not talked about is the story

:57:15.:57:19.

about Sunday trading being extended for a period to get people spending

:57:19.:57:24.

again - a good idea? If I think it is a good idea. We have the whole

:57:24.:57:29.

world coming to London and the rest of the country for the Olympics. It

:57:29.:57:33.

would be a great shame if the country had a closed for business

:57:33.:57:39.

sign on it on Sundays. It is just for the Sundays during the Olympic

:57:39.:57:43.

Games and the Paralympics. Maybe we will learn lessons from it, but it

:57:43.:57:48.

is just for the Olympic Games. it is just for the Olympics, there

:57:48.:57:54.

should be a consultation done properly. George Osborne's people

:57:54.:57:57.

told the papers this is an experimentation for the future.

:57:57.:58:02.

Today, there are mothers at home with their kids because Sunday

:58:02.:58:06.

trading means they will have the day off. We should be careful about

:58:06.:58:10.

breaking it just like that. You are sounding more like social

:58:10.:58:15.

conservative, and you are sounding more like a social liberal. I want

:58:15.:58:20.

people to have the opportunity to visit shops, grow the economy

:58:20.:58:26.

during the Olympics. If it works, you might extend it? At the moment

:58:26.:58:29.

I am proposing we do this for the Olympic Games and the Paralympic

:58:29.:58:39.
:58:39.:58:40.

Games. He has said it could be extended. Have run out of time, but

:58:40.:58:44.

thank you very much indeed. Next week our guests include David

:58:44.:58:50.

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