16/02/2014 The Andrew Marr Show


16/02/2014

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The rain, it falls upon the just, and also on the unjust fella. But

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mostly on the just, cos the unjust's got the just's umbrella. We keep

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being told that Britain is a divided country, north and south, rich and

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poor. Town and countryside. Today the important divide is between the

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smug dry and the poor sodden. And joining me today for our review of

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the Sunday newspapers, Sarah Sands, editor of London's Evening Standard

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and Nathalie Bennett, leader of the Green Party.

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Before the downpour there was of course the crash. Now there's a kind

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of recovery. Yet the man with probably the greatest influence over

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the state of all our finances is not a politician, and not British but

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Canadian. In a rare and exclusive interview, I've been talking to the

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Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney. How long can he keep

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interest rates low? What's his take on the recovery, and the housing

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market? And what about the Scots and the pound? Lots of criticism in

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today's papers about the Government's response to the floods.

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The Defence Secretary Philip Hammond, the man who sent in the

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troops, is here to reply. Also this morning: We'll be talking about the

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future of Britain in Europe in another rare interview, this time

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with the man Britain's eurosceptics love to hate, commission President

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himself Jose Manuel Barroso. Then art and an old fashioned war movie

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about saving culture from Hitler's clutches. Director and actor George

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Clooney has been telling me about his new release.

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In Hollywood we do like to tell a World War II story. I think England

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has some of the same things. It's a fairly clear good guy, bad guy kind

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of thing. And from one George to another we'll be serenaded later by

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Boy George, a wild man for many years but these days a calmer

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chameleon. Busy old morning. Let's crack on

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with the news, from Naga Munchetty. Good morning. Severe flood warnings

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remain in place across southern England. Tens of thousands of homes

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and businesses are waking up without power and river levels are still

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expected to rise. It's been confirmed almost 1 million

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properties have been cut off in the past week. Around 30,000 homes and

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businesses are still without power with engineers working into the

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night. 16 severe flood warnings, meaning a risk to life, have been

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issued, many of them affecting areas close to the River Thames with the

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others on the Somerset Level. Jonathan Blake reports on the latest

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situation. Battered and broken. Shipping

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containers put down to protect the sea wall at Dawlish in Devon, no

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match for the power of the waves. Trees blocked roads and railway

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lines, the effects of the third big storm in a week becoming clear. The

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ground opened up in Hertfordshire. A 20 foot deep sinkhole, appearing

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outside a house in Hemel Hempstead. I just had some police knocking on

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the door at 7:30 to say you need to evacuate, there's a sinkhole

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outside. I didn't get in time to grab anything, not even my purse or

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clothes, we just had to get out. Power companies say almost one

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million homes and businesses have lost electricity over the last seven

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days. Around 30,000 are still cut off. 3,000 troops are helping people

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in the worst affected areas. The Prime Minister has again defended

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the Government's response. I think we've a huge, joined up national

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effort and we've stood up proper emergency service responses in every

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part of the country affected. But, of course, there are always lessons

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to be learned. The rain may have stopped and the winds died down, but

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rivers are still high and rising, severe flood warnings remain in

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place for the River Thames and Somerset Levels. The recent storms

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have been ferocious. They have claimed lives and destroyed homes.

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For some, the worst may not be over. Scientists in America is a domain

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system which determines the world's weather might be changing. A study

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presented at the American Association for the Advancement of

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Science shows the jet stream has been taking a more meandering path,

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resulting in whether remaining the same for longer. The Foreign

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Secretary William Hague has described the collapse of the latest

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round of Syrian peace talks as a serious setback. He blamed the

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breakdown on President Assad's regime. The Syrian government's side

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held the opposition responsible for the failure. Activists say that

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nearly 6000 people have been killed in the country since the first round

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of negotiations began last month. The UK's answer to the Oscars takes

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place later, with more Hollywood stars than ever expected to turn up.

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Cosmic buster Gravity and drama 12 Years A Slave are widely expected to

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be the big winners. Prince William will also attend. It's the last

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major film awards before the Oscars next month. That's all from me, for

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now. The Observer says Ed Miliband says

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the storms are all about climate change and we are sleepwalking into

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a national emergency. The Sunday Times has Labour candidates telling

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Ed Miliband to hug bankers. And an interesting story about jihadists

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coming back from Syria. Also a new picture of our new heroine, and a

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picture of our old heroine, Helen Mirren, pursuing the NHS theme, with

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stories of doctors being paid ?3000 a shift, not bad money. The

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Independent on Sunday, Lizzie Yardley. On her tea tray. Welcome to

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you both. Sarah, your first story, I think we are going to pick up the

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Sunday Times jihadists story. It worries everybody? We have been

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doing a lot on this in the Evening Standard. It is because the

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counterterrorism unit is very concerned about the number of young

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Brits that go out to Turkey, Syria, join up with extreme opposition

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forces and come back really as a terrorist time bomb. We saw the

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first suicide bomber. A mild-mannered fellow from Crawley,

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that turns out to be a suicide bomber? Yes. The mild-mannered man

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was in fact tutored by an extreme clarity. This story is about how

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Facebook and Twitter are doing well at recruiting extremists is.

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Natalie, what is your first story? I started with the Observer, they have

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a disturbing story about how the Republic of Congo, the Ministry of

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interior document, saying that the officials should be particularly on

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the lookout for refugees returning from Europe, the UK, and that they

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should be looking to imprison them. They should, with discretion, use

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torture against them. This is particularly disturbing because the

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Observer has found the British government seems to be rounding up

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Congolese refugees and planning to return them to the Congo, which is

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obviously a cause for concern. It is a new story to me, and I expect to

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many people watching? Yes, I think we need to look at if we are meeting

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our obligations in terms of providing asylum to refugees. We had

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now to the Wythenshawe by-election in Manchester? Yes. I'm interested

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in this because of the question of what you do with a problem like

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Nigel Farage. What the Tories are doing. David Cameron, this is James

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Forsyth and the Mail on Sunday, he says that Cameron's view is to

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ignore him, Nick Clegg says go and fight. Cameron says he will ignore

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him, but he has sent in Bozza, happy to pile into the scrum. He's written

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a peace in the Sun on Sunday, the Tory message that if you vote UKIP

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you get Ed Miliband, that he is a useful idiot for Ed Miliband. A key

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phrases when he refers to the Tory election. We know he has an interest

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in this. Calling upon David Cameron to appoint Boris as his Deputy Prime

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Minister, bring him back into the tent? That is Nadine Dorries, yes.

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Not yet, he has to in his passage, I suppose. The neck stories also

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British politics, the bedroom tax? This is from the Sunday people,

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celebrating eight tribunal victory were, in Rochdale, Greater

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Manchester, the tribunal has ruled that somebody has been using a

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dining room as a dining room four years, it is not an extra bedroom,

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it is a dining room. It's a reminder of how much it is hurting people

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throughout the country. Before we get into living conditions? If you

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use what some people might think of as a bedroom to store dialysis

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machines or other equipment, this is a medical room. It is a positive

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step forward in tackling this pernicious tax. On to your next

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story, which I think is about Helen Mirren? You mentioned her, she has

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given an interview where she seems to side with David Hare, saying she

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is worried about some of the violence in some of the TV violence

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-- programmes that we love. Particularly against women. We start

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to see them like football goals, we just keep counting them up. The plot

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is so preposterous to begin with in some of them, whether it is male or

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female getting knocked off, it is the least of our worries. In her

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time, she has been involved in some fairly gory television? Well, we all

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mellow as we get older. The next story, about generation C. Who is

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that? Young people born from the late 80s to 2000. More than half of

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them are raising money for charity, huge numbers involved in

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volunteering and very involved in social issues. Very different from

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what we usually hear about young people, more accurate, in my

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opinion. Young people are nice, Schalke. London Fashion Week, have

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the terrible storms affected that? I think we have to mention London

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Fashion Week, battling through. Totally unsuitable shoes, but they

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are keeping going. Because of the fashion calendar, they are looking

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at the Winter collection. I was in a taxi this week, passing a stream of

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people wearing nothing but high heeled shoes and ridiculous hats,

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nothing in between, in a storm. Aren't they marvellous? So, to the

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floods. A huge row at the moment, the Green Party will be interested

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in this, whether climate change is or is not involved. Papers taking

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sides in an aggressive way? Very much so, but I think if we go to The

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Met office, the chief scientist said last week that all of the evidence

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points to climate change exacerbating the floods. All of the

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evidence speak, scientists speak for this is a fact. One of her number

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twos quoted the Mail on Sunday saying it ain't so? There is a

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survey in the Sunday Telegraph that says that 47% of it as people

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believe it is linked to climate change. 39% were not sure. So, we

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are really saying... The argument is shifting? A vast amount of coverage

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of this in the papers. Any new light shed on anything? Not that I can

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see, there is a media civil war. We have the Observer, Ed Miliband

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saying something is going on. We have all clocked that and we must

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take climate change seriously. In the Sunday Telegraph, nothing is

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going on apart from it is the EU waste disposal policy which means

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that we could not move the silt from rivers. So, a rather prosaic kind of

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solution. As you say, the Mail on Sunday has someone saying it is not

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global warming, it's the jet stream. If you straightforward, -- perfectly

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straightforward, will not shift. You are in the Green Party, you know it

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is climate change? I'm listening to the scientists. There are other

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papers looking at the jet stream, that it is behaving strangely. It is

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the jet stream, but it is behaving strangely and many scientists are

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licking up to a warmer Arctic. There are also issues around warmer seas

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in Indonesia have a warmer Arctic. There are also issues around warmer

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seas in Indonesia having big impacts. If you look around the

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world, Obama was in California, looking at issues linked to climate

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change. Philip Hammond is here. You put in the troops, 3000 so far? Over

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3000 currently deployed, thousands more in reserve if needed. This is

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the led. They can call on troops wherever they need them and we have

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plenty more troops in reserve. Do you think this is caused by climate

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change? Climate change is clearly happening, it is clearly a factor in

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whether at is that we are seeing. That is why we are investing

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significant amounts of money in increasing our flood resilience in

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the UK. These floods are a terrible tragedy for people that are

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affected, but we shouldn't forget that many hundreds of thousands of

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properties have been protected from flooding by the investment that has

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been made over the last two years. On the other hand, the government

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was told again and again by people in Somerset they needed to dredge,

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they needed to spend a lot more money on flood defences, the

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Government ignored this for quite a long time. Putting on Wellington

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boot 's now is not impressing the public much? We said clearly that

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the issue on the Somerset Levels is something we have to look at in

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slower time when this crisis is over. The policies that have been

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applied, a lot of questions marks have been raised. Definitely this

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needs to be looked at. It won't apply everywhere. The Somerset

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Levels is a man-made environment and, arguably, it needs to be

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maintained by human intervention, dredging. On the Thames, we have

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different factors. Including the fact we are carrying on building on

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flood plains. It seems the Government has been rather slow, and

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if you look at the opinion polls the Government is not popular in terms

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of its response. The response we are delivering is a proper response. We

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have been engaged since the beginning of the crisis, Cobra

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meetings have been held, but we are dealing with an extraordinary set of

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weather events and it has taken some time to mobilise the resources

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necessary. A lot of people, scientists, have been saying for

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years now that we will have more extreme weather events. Ed Miliband

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talks about rolling the dice and getting sixes all the time, and yet

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the Government has looked away from this and hoped it wouldn't happen. I

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don't think that is true. The guidance on building on flood plains

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is clear, but the whole of the Thames Valley is a flood plain and

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there has to be a proper balance. We have to avoid the highest flood risk

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areas, and when we do build in those areas we need to make sure the

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properties are built in a way that minimises the risk of flooding. Like

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everything in the real world, there is a balance to be struck and it is

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very easy to say today, because we are in the middle of this crisis,

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flood resilience is the only issue. It is important, but we have to

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balance economic growth, standards of living, flood resilience in the

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long term. Getting the troops in has helped a lot. With hindsight, should

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you have put the troops in earlier? We offered them a long time ago to

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civil authorities who wanted them. Over the last ten days we have

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pushed them more aggressively at those authorities and I think

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putting military liaison officers in, embedded in the system, is a

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major step forward and we will want to make sure in the future that we

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do that at an early stage. How many more troops are available if needed?

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We have about 5000 more troops that could be deployed. There is a lot of

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reconstruction to do, are we going to see the Royal Engineers

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involved? Yes, we have agreed with the Environment Agency we will use

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Royal Engineers to do a rapid inspection of all of the flood

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defences of the nation. We are going to try to do in five weeks what

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would normally be done in two years. This series of weather events over

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the last few months has caused some serious damage to the

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infrastructure, and we have got to assess that. Your own climate change

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adviser says we ought to be spending more on flood defences, is that

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true? We will be spending more in this four-year period than we did in

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the previous four-year period, but of course there has to be a proper

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balance of costs and benefits drawn. They're clearly needs to be

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continued investment in flood defences and we have achieved a

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great deal. In 2007, 50 5000 properties flooded. This event, we

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have seen somewhere in the region of 2500 - 3000 properties flooded and I

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think targeted investment will mean we become more and more resilient as

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events like this will probably become more and more common. The

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money we are spending on HS2 would give us some cracking flood

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defences, wouldn't it? We don't have to make these either/or choices. HS2

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is an important infrastructure investment for the future of Britain

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and makes an important contribution to dealing with carbon emissions,

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one of the drivers of climate change. We have to look at all of

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these things. Philip Hammond, thank you.

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Now to the weather, and you don't need me to tell you it's been

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miserable out there. After these past truly atrocious weeks, is there

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any sign of the storms blowing themselves out? Let's find out from

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Louise Lear in the weather studio. A lovely day on offer today, plenty

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of sunshine around for the moment due to this area of high pressure,

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but there is more low pressure waiting in the wings which will

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arrive tomorrow. Let's indulge in this beautiful weather we have at

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the moment. Yes, some showers to the north-east, but predominantly dry

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and sunny and it will feel very pleasant, particularly in the

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south-east with high temperatures of 10 degrees. More showers developing

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as the next area of low pressure starts moving in from the

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south-west. In Scotland, a cold night with a touch of frost, maybe

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some fog in East Anglia. Still the potential of some gales on the

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exposed south coast, but nowhere near as severe as the weather we

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have been seeing. Tuesday into Wednesday looks slightly quieter, a

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fair amount of cloud around and we might see some rain through the

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latter stages of Wednesday evening and overnight.

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As soon as this programme is over, you have got to get out there and

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enjoy today! Who's the most influential person

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when it comes to the economy and our fragile recovery? The obvious answer

:22:11.:22:13.

is the Chancellor but many would say it's actually the Governor of the

:22:14.:22:16.

Bank of England - a recently appointed Canadian called Mark

:22:17.:22:19.

Carney. He said he wouldn't jack up interest rates till unemployment

:22:20.:22:23.

fell to 7%. Well, now it has. When I met Mark Carney at the Bank of

:22:24.:22:27.

England a few days ago, I wanted to know, with jobless numbers falling

:22:28.:22:30.

should home owners and businesses be chewing their nails with fear of a

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rate rise? We actually said we wouldn't even begin to think about

:22:34.:22:37.

adjusting interest rates until unemployment came down. It has come

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down faster than we expected, that is good news, but when we look at

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the Labour market in particular, there are a lot more people who want

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to work, there are a lot more people who want to work full-time, there

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are a lot more people in self-employment, and that... That is

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what you call slack, isn't it? Yes, there is more slack in the labour

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market, and what we are seeing which is good news again but it suggests

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more slack is that people who have been out of a job for longer are

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finding employment more rapidly than they have in the past and that is

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good news but it means we can responsibly take our time and only

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adjust interest rates once more of that slack is used up. We are saying

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that there is this extra capacity in the labour market, more people

:23:34.:23:38.

wanting to work, and the question is what happens when the time

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eventually comes that we start to adjust interest rates? We are

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trained to be as clear as possible about that. Slow and gentle. Limited

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and gradual, yes. Let's talk about the recovery itself because you have

:23:57.:24:00.

said it is not balanced yet and not sustainable. What needs to happen to

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make that happen in concrete terms? What we have had so far is a

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consumer led recovery. Households in Britain have started to spend a bit

:24:14.:24:18.

more, that is the core of what has happened in the economy. We haven't

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seen business investment picking up and we certainly haven't seen net

:24:24.:24:28.

exports recovering. It will be difficult on the export side, Europe

:24:29.:24:32.

is still weak, it will take some time. The key to this recovery

:24:33.:24:37.

sustaining itself will be around business investment. It is part of

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the reason we are trying to provide as much clarity to business, that

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the path of interest rate is going to be calibrated very carefully to

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ensure that only when we see sustainable growth in jobs, in

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incomes and in spending will we make adjustments. You have said we will

:24:59.:25:02.

not go back to the old days of high interest rates for the foreseeable

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future. I suppose some would say a caricature of the old economy was

:25:09.:25:11.

that people were spending far more than they were burning, they rushed

:25:12.:25:16.

into housing bubbles from time to time and there was low productivity

:25:17.:25:20.

in the economy. Those things remain true so how can we be sure we won't

:25:21.:25:27.

be facing inflation? I could take issue with every one of those

:25:28.:25:31.

characterisations but I will pick a few. In the housing market we have

:25:32.:25:35.

seen an adjustment from very low levels. If you look at how many

:25:36.:25:40.

houses were purchased, mortgages were taken on, they have dropped by

:25:41.:25:48.

more than 50%, and have now bounced back but they are still more than

:25:49.:25:53.

25% below historic averages. In terms of the number of houses being

:25:54.:26:01.

bought, but not the price? The prices relative to incomes have come

:26:02.:26:09.

down relative to historic levels but we have to be very cautious of the

:26:10.:26:17.

history, the economic history of Britain. There is a history of boom

:26:18.:26:21.

and bust in the housing market and that is one of the reasons why the

:26:22.:26:25.

Bank of England have been given additional powers and one of the

:26:26.:26:29.

reasons as of last November we started to use them. We have

:26:30.:26:36.

tightened up on capital standards, taken away special stimulus

:26:37.:26:42.

programmes that existed before. What about the supposed Help To Buy

:26:43.:26:49.

scheme, are you comfortable with that? If we are not, we will say,

:26:50.:26:56.

and we will say that on our timetable. Is there a twinge of

:26:57.:27:02.

discomfort? I would say that relative to the level of

:27:03.:27:06.

transactions in the housing market, running at about 70,000 on an annual

:27:07.:27:17.

basis, there is about 6000 Help To Buy so it is still pretty small. It

:27:18.:27:23.

is all outside of London, for lower priced houses as a whole and mainly

:27:24.:27:28.

with first-time buyers so it is not driving the housing market but we

:27:29.:27:32.

have a responsibility to watch it. You are not too concerned about the

:27:33.:27:39.

fast spiralling of the London property market? First we have to

:27:40.:27:47.

make policy for the entire economy. Much of what is driven in London is

:27:48.:27:52.

not mortgage driven but cash driven, in many cases by foreign

:27:53.:28:04.

buyers. We cannot influence that. We change underwriting standards, it

:28:05.:28:07.

doesn't matter, there is not a mortgage and so on, but we watch the

:28:08.:28:12.

knock-on effect. I will say that if you look at the UK as a whole,

:28:13.:28:16.

everywhere except Northern Ireland we are now seeing house prices begin

:28:17.:28:22.

to recover so it is a more generalised phenomenon. Can I come

:28:23.:28:28.

back to the medium-term prospects for interest rates. The market could

:28:29.:28:32.

start to rage again, we could have an oil price shock, or a sudden rise

:28:33.:28:38.

in food prices. There are always possible shocks in the system. Are

:28:39.:28:42.

you really saying that despite all that we could look forward to below

:28:43.:28:47.

5% interest rates for the years ahead? When we have a forecast, we

:28:48.:28:53.

go out three years so three years from now, if you look at the

:28:54.:28:57.

interest rates in the market today, three years from now the market

:28:58.:29:04.

interest rate is about 2%, that implies where the Bank of England

:29:05.:29:08.

would be three feet -- three years from now. If you put that into the

:29:09.:29:12.

forecast we have a situation where we don't use up all the extra

:29:13.:29:17.

capacity in the market, which is one of our objectives, we want to use up

:29:18.:29:24.

all of the capacity. It gives you a bit of sense. In the medium-term and

:29:25.:29:28.

the long-term as the global economy becomes more normal, interest rates

:29:29.:29:34.

should move to more normal levels. If there are situations where there

:29:35.:29:38.

are persistent changes to the way the British economy functions, if

:29:39.:29:41.

there is a persistent commodity price shock, of course we have to

:29:42.:29:49.

respond. What we are saying is that there are some very big forces

:29:50.:29:54.

operating now and will persist. Weakness in Europe, repair of public

:29:55.:30:00.

balance sheets, the finishing off of repairing the financial system, they

:30:01.:30:03.

conspire collectively to keep the level of interest rates down and

:30:04.:30:07.

people should understand that. Looking at the next period ahead,

:30:08.:30:12.

the CBI is worried about the prospect of a referendum on Europe

:30:13.:30:16.

and the effect of that on uncertainty, are they right to be

:30:17.:30:22.

worried? Uncertainty is always bad for investment, and over the last

:30:23.:30:29.

course for five years we have seen that businesses, even when they have

:30:30.:30:33.

had cash and opportunities, they have held off from investing.

:30:34.:30:37.

Originally because of uncertainty over the financial system, was going

:30:38.:30:43.

to collapse, then the uncertainty about the Eurozone, was going to

:30:44.:30:49.

collapse, both those have decreased. The uncertainties that we

:30:50.:30:54.

can influence as the Bank of England is not a European referendum or a

:30:55.:30:58.

Scottish referendum. What we can influence, we are very involved in

:30:59.:31:08.

fixing the financial system, and uncertainty about that so we are

:31:09.:31:13.

trying to provide the comfort that we are not going to adjust interest

:31:14.:31:19.

rates until jobs, incomes and spending is OK. Last week you went

:31:20.:31:29.

to Scotland and said that technically it was possible for

:31:30.:31:32.

there to be a shared currency, but there would have to be a fiscal

:31:33.:31:36.

union, an agreement between the two governments. How dramatic would that

:31:37.:31:40.

have to be? An agreement on deficits, tax rates, what? To be

:31:41.:31:50.

more specific, what I said, to keep very strictly to a technical

:31:51.:31:54.

analysis to issues within currency unions. I was not opining on whether

:31:55.:32:00.

or not it would work. On the fiscal side, there are a few issues around

:32:01.:32:04.

banking. Specifically on the fiscal side, the observation that I made

:32:05.:32:12.

was that in virtually all currency unions, there is substantial fiscal

:32:13.:32:16.

arrangement that help equalise fiscal capacity. Sorry, that is

:32:17.:32:23.

about borrowing, about tax rates, that kind of thing? Yes, and it is

:32:24.:32:31.

to help ensure that fluctuations which inevitably happen in different

:32:32.:32:35.

regions of currency union are helped to be smoothed out by some form of

:32:36.:32:43.

stabilising mechanism. This is one of the fundamental challenges in the

:32:44.:32:47.

Eurozone. It's very relevant for the United Kingdom because it is our

:32:48.:32:51.

largest export partner. Ultimately, and I'm very clear about this, in

:32:52.:32:56.

our view, the Eurozone will have to move to some form of deeper fiscal

:32:57.:33:03.

arrangement. I know in terms of the Scottish and English question, if I

:33:04.:33:07.

can put it that way, it is up to the politicians on both sides to

:33:08.:33:10.

negotiate and not you. If for some reason they did not come to some

:33:11.:33:14.

fiscal agreement, is it plausible for the Scots to keep the pound

:33:15.:33:18.

anyway? Or would the Bank of England be able to send them pounds? Would

:33:19.:33:22.

they be able to carry on using them and so forth even if there was not

:33:23.:33:27.

in agreement? I'd rather not engage in hypotheticals. What clearly we

:33:28.:33:34.

would do is discharge our Monday that has given to us by Parliament,

:33:35.:33:40.

by the democratic authorities. So we don't make those decisions. The

:33:41.:33:43.

decisions are quite rightly made for us. It would be up to the Chancellor

:33:44.:33:50.

of the Exchequer in London? Yes. In terms of other bumps ahead, we

:33:51.:33:53.

talked briefly about Europe. Apart from the uncertainty factor, do you

:33:54.:33:57.

think that withdrawal from the European Union would be a problem in

:33:58.:34:03.

terms of the forward trajectory of the economy? It is not something

:34:04.:34:13.

that would happen on our forecast horizon. So you don't expect it? By

:34:14.:34:19.

understanding of any potential timetable is that it is beyond our

:34:20.:34:23.

three-year forecast. One of the other big issues we have had has

:34:24.:34:27.

been bank bonuses. We have recently seen Barclays raising bonuses at the

:34:28.:34:32.

same time as cutting dividends and profits. Is that an acceptable thing

:34:33.:34:36.

for a bank to be doing? Are you worried the bonus culture hasn't

:34:37.:34:39.

quite been tackled in London? I'm not going to comment on it specific

:34:40.:34:45.

firm. We think with compensation to bankers that an increasing

:34:46.:34:47.

proportion, as they become more senior, as they take more risk,

:34:48.:34:51.

should be held back. You call it a bonus, we look at it differently. It

:34:52.:34:55.

should be held back, it should be deferred for a very long time. And

:34:56.:35:00.

there should be the ability, and we have the expectation, that the firm

:35:01.:35:06.

will take back that compensation if the individual is subsequently found

:35:07.:35:13.

to have taken the risks that were not understood, or if their conduct

:35:14.:35:17.

issues. Unfortunately, we have seen both far too much. The structure of

:35:18.:35:21.

compensation has to move in that direction. We think more deferral,

:35:22.:35:25.

for a longer period of time, is the right way to do it. That is the core

:35:26.:35:29.

thing. The second thing, and we put this not just here into regulation,

:35:30.:35:35.

but we have helped put this into regulation globally, firms cannot

:35:36.:35:40.

pay bonuses, their ability to pay bonuses is restricted if their

:35:41.:35:44.

capital level starts to reduce. These are the new rules? These are

:35:45.:35:52.

the many rules, they are hard-wired into the capital system. That will

:35:53.:35:55.

start to have real teeth as time goes on. You are very very powerful

:35:56.:36:03.

in this country, can you tell some of our viewers how you find working

:36:04.:36:08.

in London, as compared to the 80s and 90s? What do you find about the

:36:09.:36:13.

culture here? The culture is even more cosmopolitan than it was when I

:36:14.:36:16.

first worked here in the late 80s. Even then, the city was

:36:17.:36:23.

internationalised. I think the level of innovation is just as great. I

:36:24.:36:29.

would say about the UK as a whole, again, this is no deep inside, but

:36:30.:36:36.

if you're at the culture as a whole, not just working culture, music,

:36:37.:36:46.

theatre, food, any aspect, the UK has made quantum leaps, further

:36:47.:36:50.

quantum leaps from an already high base. Its influence internationally

:36:51.:36:55.

is absolutely phenomenal. So it is a privilege to have this role, on a

:36:56.:37:00.

personal level, to have this opportunity for myself in the UK.

:37:01.:37:08.

But it is also a privilege being given the great responsibility that

:37:09.:37:10.

this institution has. Thank you for joining us.

:37:11.:37:14.

The cool Mark Carney. They call him the George Clooney of finance.

:37:15.:37:23.

George Clooney is not only one of the top film stars in the world,

:37:24.:37:27.

he's also at the forefront of producing and directing big budget

:37:28.:37:29.

movies. His latest, The Monuments Men is an old-fashioned war film

:37:30.:37:33.

about the vast looting of art that went on under the Nazis and the

:37:34.:37:37.

Allied men whose job it was to grab it back and save it. George Clooney

:37:38.:37:41.

explained to me why he wanted to make this film in particular. But

:37:42.:37:47.

first, the author whose Book it is based on told me the full extent of

:37:48.:37:54.

the largest art theft in history. By the time the officers find these

:37:55.:37:58.

salt mines and caves in castles, the 2000 hiding places, gather these

:37:59.:38:02.

things into the collecting points to begin the lengthy process of sorting

:38:03.:38:05.

through them and returning them, they have 5 million stolen objects.

:38:06.:38:09.

A vast treasure trove, the greatest artist is on the planet, many of the

:38:10.:38:14.

greatest sculptors? When we talk about art, we need to talk about a

:38:15.:38:21.

broader context. 5000 church bells, stained glass, drawings, tapestries,

:38:22.:38:25.

jewellery, coin collections, anything with any value was stolen

:38:26.:38:32.

by the Nazis. Exactly what we're fighting for. Culture, and a way of

:38:33.:38:36.

life. You can wipe out the generation of people, you can burn

:38:37.:38:38.

their homes to the ground and somehow they still come back. But if

:38:39.:38:43.

you destroy their achievements, their history, it's like they never

:38:44.:38:54.

existed. Just... Ash, floating. In Hollywood, we do like to tell a

:38:55.:38:57.

World War II story, I think England has some of the same things. It's a

:38:58.:39:02.

fairly clear good guy, bad guy film and story. But I didn't know this

:39:03.:39:07.

story. I like to think I'm fairly boned up on World War II. I knew

:39:08.:39:14.

some of the ideas, that Hitler was taking a hard, but I didn't know how

:39:15.:39:17.

systematic it was. I didn't know about these men and women that

:39:18.:39:23.

worked furiously to save the culture of Europe's art. It is an

:39:24.:39:27.

old-fashioned, big budget movie. If it wasn't George Clooney heading

:39:28.:39:31.

this, it would not have been made, presumably? For the last 15 years or

:39:32.:39:35.

so, I have focused on trying to get films made that are not easily made

:39:36.:39:39.

otherwise. Because they are going to get made anyway. Michael Clayton,

:39:40.:39:44.

Good Night, Good Luck, The Descendants, they are hard to get

:39:45.:39:52.

made. You leverage in your pulling power in Hollywood to get films made

:39:53.:39:56.

that wouldn't otherwise be made? If you think about what salaries are

:39:57.:39:59.

for actors, which are ridiculous, but they are real, if you are saying

:40:00.:40:04.

to a studio, well, I will do this for scale and take some money on the

:40:05.:40:10.

back-end, you are several million dollars of investment in the film.

:40:11.:40:14.

If the film is a $15 million film otherwise, you are as much of an

:40:15.:40:19.

investor as the studio. You are working with them. This is a film

:40:20.:40:24.

about idealism, a film noticeable by its complete lack of cynicism, it

:40:25.:40:27.

has been said, and I think that is true. Della Grant, my producing and

:40:28.:40:35.

writing partner for 31 years, Week tend to find ourselves making very

:40:36.:40:46.

cynical films. We have Argo for that. We have a lot of films that

:40:47.:40:49.

don't have good endings, necessarily. Why don't we do one

:40:50.:40:53.

that would remind me of the war films I grew up with, you probably

:40:54.:40:59.

did too. Kelly's Heroes, Which Too Far. You and John Claude get as

:41:00.:41:07.

close to Germany as you can. We'll leave in the morning. I'll had up to

:41:08.:41:14.

my old stomping ground, Bruges. There is a Madonna there are use to

:41:15.:41:20.

see when I was young. When they did this, in 1944, it was the first time

:41:21.:41:33.

in the history of war where the victors gave the spoils back. We

:41:34.:41:36.

have lost our way a little bit. When we prosecuted the war in Iraq, a

:41:37.:41:41.

full's journey anyway, when we went in there, we did not protect the

:41:42.:41:47.

National museums. Some of the most important artefacts in the history

:41:48.:41:51.

of the human race were lost. That's just terrible. You know, what the

:41:52.:41:56.

Taliban did in Afghanistan, certain things you just go, we are not

:41:57.:42:01.

learning our lesson, necessarily. Can I ask very briefly about another

:42:02.:42:05.

film? It's very rare you go to this MR and see something you have never

:42:06.:42:08.

seen before, and I felt that with Gravity. A totally different type of

:42:09.:42:16.

film. Houston, this is Explorer. Copy? We've lost Houston. We've lost

:42:17.:42:23.

Houston! The only real, living, moving thing is your face and Sandra

:42:24.:42:27.

Bullock's face from year to about here. What was that like to act? A

:42:28.:42:33.

strange experience? It was a strange experience, we cannot see what

:42:34.:42:40.

Alphonso sees. You have to go into it, trusting him. It was two years

:42:41.:42:54.

of shooting, on and off. All kind of blue screen? It was a thing called a

:42:55.:42:58.

light box. It was amazing. They invented it for this. We would go

:42:59.:43:02.

back and shoot stuff equals the technology was yet to be invented

:43:03.:43:05.

when we were shooting. What I love about the film is that it brought

:43:06.:43:10.

back the idea that you can't see this film on your big-screen TV. You

:43:11.:43:15.

need to go. You absolutely do, to be immersed in it. You have fame,

:43:16.:43:19.

fantastic well, you are able to make the films you want, is there any

:43:20.:43:24.

downside to your life? I would say this, I can make this argument for

:43:25.:43:29.

you, I grew up in Canterbury. I cut tobacco in summer. I sold ladies

:43:30.:43:36.

shoes at a department store. I can't imagine, I was making $3 an hour, I

:43:37.:43:46.

couldn't imagine hearing someone who gets to make any money they want to

:43:47.:43:49.

make, who has fame and money, I can't imagine hearing them

:43:50.:43:52.

complaining about a thing without having read theory go up my spine.

:43:53.:43:57.

The things that would become placated and difficult for me are

:43:58.:44:02.

beyond anything I should talk about. -- read theory.

:44:03.:44:07.

So, to Britain in Europe. The issue which obsesses Westminster more than

:44:08.:44:17.

any other. The referendum, free movement of people, the Scots, you

:44:18.:44:20.

name it. The President of the EU Commission, Jose Manuel Barroso, is

:44:21.:44:23.

the man David Cameron and Salmond must do business with. Can I ask how

:44:24.:44:35.

the negotiations are going with David Cameron? So far there is no

:44:36.:44:43.

proposal for a new treaty or some changes. We have taken notice of the

:44:44.:44:50.

statements made by Prime Minister Cameron as the Conservative leader

:44:51.:44:54.

because the Government of Britain as such has not put forward any

:44:55.:45:00.

proposals so far. So no negotiations so far really. In terms of a lot of

:45:01.:45:05.

the things written would like to see renegotiated, I suppose top of the

:45:06.:45:14.

list is the movement of free people, is that up for grabs? We

:45:15.:45:21.

have to make a clear distinction, one is freedom of movement, a

:45:22.:45:25.

fundamental principle of the internal market. We have an internal

:45:26.:45:30.

market, that is on the freedom of movement, goods, services, capital

:45:31.:45:35.

and people. The British people and British companies receive access to

:45:36.:45:42.

the internal market so I don't think it is possible, but to fight against

:45:43.:45:47.

abuse of the freedom of movement, this is certainly possible, in fact

:45:48.:45:52.

we have already now reinforced the rules so we are tough against

:45:53.:45:57.

abuse. It is a legitimate concern we can address but without putting in

:45:58.:46:02.

question, and we have to be very firm, the extremely important

:46:03.:46:05.

principle of freedom of movement which is so important for Britain as

:46:06.:46:12.

the internal market is. You have been speaking about the Euro crisis

:46:13.:46:16.

and the changes that have to be made to the euro bloc. I right in saying

:46:17.:46:23.

there has to be deeper fiscal union as well, harmonising tax rates, a

:46:24.:46:31.

single system? Deeper fiscal union, certainly, and I think it will be

:46:32.:46:40.

unavoidable to have reforms. The markets are demanding that and in

:46:41.:46:43.

fact we have been moving in that direction in respect of the current

:46:44.:46:49.

treaty. This is possible and desirable. In effect a single

:46:50.:46:57.

European government? Increased governance certainly because in the

:46:58.:47:02.

end, and we have learned this through the financial crisis, the

:47:03.:47:09.

fluidity and solidity of a currency depends on the construction behind

:47:10.:47:12.

it and the most acute moments of the crisis, I was thinking of President

:47:13.:47:18.

Obama or the president of China, Japan, the questions they were

:47:19.:47:21.

putting was not so much what was going to be the level of deficit of

:47:22.:47:26.

Greece, but do we believe the monetary union will develop? That

:47:27.:47:34.

was the question. That kind of change would require presumably the

:47:35.:47:39.

new treaty, and that would be David Cameron's moment for a referendum

:47:40.:47:43.

with us because it would be inevitable, if there was a deeper

:47:44.:47:48.

European Court, our relationship with it would be different as well.

:47:49.:48:03.

-- European core. Any point that Britain wants to make for a reform

:48:04.:48:08.

of the treaty requires the other 27 countries, they are sovereign

:48:09.:48:13.

countries as well, to accept the same way. Any reforms they make also

:48:14.:48:22.

require Britain to accept. If there is goodwill and intelligence on all

:48:23.:48:28.

sides, it is possible provided there is not an attempt to put in question

:48:29.:48:37.

the basic principles of our European -- our union. The British government

:48:38.:48:43.

and Prime Minister Cameron have been very supportive because they

:48:44.:48:46.

understand it is also in the interests of Britain and the

:48:47.:48:51.

interest of the world, the financial stability, but at the same time we

:48:52.:48:58.

have two deepen the area and we have two deepen the integrity of the

:48:59.:49:09.

single market. It represents to the British government 90 billion pounds

:49:10.:49:23.

per year for the British economy so it is extremely important not to put

:49:24.:49:28.

that at risk. It seems that what David Cameron says he wants, the

:49:29.:49:33.

European union which is looser, will not happen. Will this happen by

:49:34.:49:43.

2017? I cannot commit to any dates, we have to know if the British

:49:44.:49:51.

government will keep that position. I think it is important to have in

:49:52.:49:57.

mind, I don't see a contradiction between deepening the euro area,

:49:58.:50:03.

that is certainly desirable, and having some flexibility for the

:50:04.:50:06.

European Union provided the general framework is kept as it is. For

:50:07.:50:12.

instance we have already now countries in the euro, countries not

:50:13.:50:18.

in the euro, and we have possibility to opt out of justice and foreign

:50:19.:50:26.

affairs so it is possible to come to an arrangement but it is for the

:50:27.:50:31.

member states to decide. Something like putting a cap on the number of

:50:32.:50:36.

EU citizens that can come into Britain, is that going beyond what

:50:37.:50:42.

is acceptable? It is in contradiction with the freedom of

:50:43.:50:47.

the movement because the British, I think there are 2,200,000 British in

:50:48.:50:54.

the European Union and they will not have the same access. It means the

:50:55.:50:58.

British companies will not be free to make their businesses in France

:50:59.:51:01.

and Germany, so I really believe that is not... Also there will be a

:51:02.:51:17.

problem of reciprocity. If Britain gives freedom of access to the other

:51:18.:51:21.

countries in Europe, it is important also to have the same access of

:51:22.:51:28.

British companies. We are going to have a referendum this year about

:51:29.:51:32.

Scottish independence from the rest of the UK. An independent Scotland

:51:33.:51:35.

would have to reapply for membership of the EU, and the second question

:51:36.:51:43.

is would it be welcome? The referendum or the independence? An

:51:44.:51:49.

independent Scotland applying for membership of the EU. I don't want

:51:50.:51:55.

to go into hypothetical questions but I can say we respect the process

:51:56.:52:01.

going on. It is for the Scottish people and the British citizens to

:52:02.:52:05.

decide about the future of Scotland. What you have said is perfectly

:52:06.:52:10.

right. In case there is a new country, a new state coming out of

:52:11.:52:15.

our current member states, you have to apply and it is very important,

:52:16.:52:21.

the application. The accession would have to be approved by all of the

:52:22.:52:27.

other countries in the European Union. And countries like Spain who

:52:28.:52:34.

have similar issues as well. I don't want to comment, of course it would

:52:35.:52:38.

be extremely difficult to get approval of all the other member

:52:39.:52:42.

states to have a new member coming from one member state. We have seen

:52:43.:52:46.

for instance Spain has been opposing even the recognition of Kosovo for

:52:47.:52:52.

instance so it is a similar case because it is a new country so I

:52:53.:52:58.

believe it will be extremely difficult if not impossible, a new

:52:59.:53:01.

member state coming out of one of our country is getting the agreement

:53:02.:53:06.

of the other members. Having said that, it is now for the British

:53:07.:53:11.

people and the Scottish people in their referendum to decide about

:53:12.:53:15.

their future. Would it affect how Scotland is regarded, if it said it

:53:16.:53:22.

wanted to be a member state? I cannot go into detail because this

:53:23.:53:27.

is a hypothetical question. I don't think I should interfere. It is up

:53:28.:53:32.

for the Scottish people to decide and the British people also, but

:53:33.:53:37.

certainly I think if you raise a lot of difficulties, and it will never

:53:38.:53:44.

be easy that process. There has been some suggestion Britain will apply

:53:45.:53:48.

to the EU for special flood money, is there money available? I have

:53:49.:53:56.

already stated that if the conditions are met because there are

:53:57.:54:01.

some criteria, we will look at that request very constructively. In fact

:54:02.:54:04.

Britain already received in 2007 money from this fund. Jose Manuel

:54:05.:54:16.

Barroso, thank you for joining us this morning. Now the news

:54:17.:54:20.

headlines. The Defence Secretary have said there are 5000 more troops

:54:21.:54:25.

of varying levels of notice that could be deployed to flood hit

:54:26.:54:30.

areas. Philip Hammond also said Royal Engineers would be drafted in

:54:31.:54:34.

to carry out a rapid inspection of the level of damage to the

:54:35.:54:38.

infrastructure of the country. We have agreed with the Environment

:54:39.:54:43.

Agency we will use Royal Engineers to do a rapid inspection of the

:54:44.:54:47.

flood defences so we will try to do in five weeks what would be a

:54:48.:54:54.

two-year programme of inspection. It is important for people to

:54:55.:54:59.

remember, this series of weather events over the last two months has

:55:00.:55:05.

caused serious damage. The president of the European commission has said

:55:06.:55:09.

that freedom of movement within the EU could not be included in any

:55:10.:55:14.

renegotiation of the UK's relationship with the rest of the

:55:15.:55:18.

European Union. He said it was a fundamental principle and added that

:55:19.:55:22.

it would not be possible for any individual country to cap the number

:55:23.:55:26.

of migrants allowed in. The next news on BBC One is at one o'clock.

:55:27.:55:31.

Back to Andrew in a moment. First, a look at what's coming up immediately

:55:32.:55:36.

after this programme. Join us live from Edinburgh at ten o'clock when

:55:37.:55:40.

we will be debating whether love can truly heal or split in the Church.

:55:41.:55:50.

And the right to die, and does religion need a God?

:55:51.:55:56.

Boy George is one of the most colourful and consistently

:55:57.:55:58.

successful figures in modern British music. Over 30 years ago he fronted

:55:59.:56:02.

Culture Club when their hit single 'Do You Really Want To Hurt Me?'

:56:03.:56:06.

reached the number one spot in 16 different countries and "'Karma

:56:07.:56:09.

Chameleon' also rocketed to the top of the charts. He's been plagued

:56:10.:56:16.

since then by drink, drugs and controversy but he's a survivor and

:56:17.:56:19.

now he's back - clean and sober. You are going to play for us in the

:56:20.:56:26.

moment but how has becoming sober changed your music? What would have

:56:27.:56:33.

happened to you if you hadn't? I wouldn't be on your lovely show. You

:56:34.:56:39.

are on our lovely show, and thank you very much indeed. Sadly we're

:56:40.:56:44.

right out of time. Join me again at the same time next Sunday here on

:56:45.:56:48.

BBC One. Until then, we leave you with Boy George. From his new album,

:56:49.:56:55.

this is 'My God'. # A man gives me the book of God and

:56:56.:57:08.

I turn to him and said # I wouldn't be here my friend if I had no faith

:57:09.:57:14.

# Here in the darkness I became the light # I had to get it wrong to get

:57:15.:57:23.

it right # He crossed himself and I shook my head # He said "Jesus loves

:57:24.:57:34.

you, don't you know?" # My God is bigger than your god # My God is

:57:35.:57:38.

better than yours # Put your palms away # You need a little more faith

:57:39.:57:51.

# Don't you know what your heart is for?

:57:52.:57:54.

# You should know what your heart is for

:57:55.:58:10.

# Saw the devil down in New York City # All dressed up like a saint #

:58:11.:58:20.

You're in your phony crown and war paint # You see number six # But

:58:21.:58:33.

blue boys took you down # Watch you fall apart like fate in China Town #

:58:34.:58:39.

I cross myself and he shook his head # I said "Jesus loves me, don't you

:58:40.:58:48.

know?" # My God is bigger than your god # Put your faith in the good

:58:49.:59:02.

Lord # Put your palms away # You need a little more faith # Don't you

:59:03.:59:06.

know what your heart is for? # You should know what your heart is

:59:07.:59:09.

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