Browse content similar to 21/05/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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There always comes a moment in a general election campaign | :00:00. | :00:07. | |
when the party that's ahead has a major wobble - | :00:08. | :00:10. | |
polls tighten and commentators get over-excited as voters | :00:11. | :00:14. | |
home in on one particularly controversial issue - | :00:15. | :00:18. | |
such as, for instance, how we treat pensioners. | :00:19. | :00:21. | |
Here, to defend a manifesto that has surprised and worried | :00:22. | :00:43. | |
some traditional Tory voters, the Work and Pensions | :00:44. | :00:48. | |
Secretary Damian Green and - back with us again - | :00:49. | :00:50. | |
the Shadow Chancellor, John McDonnell, | :00:51. | :00:52. | |
facing questions about Labour's plans for welfare cuts. | :00:53. | :00:55. | |
Later on, they'll be going head to head on the sofa. | :00:56. | :00:58. | |
Plus, a question for its leader this morning: in the 2017 general | :00:59. | :01:03. | |
And a reminder even now that there's more that unites | :01:04. | :01:09. | |
us than divides us - Brendan Cox on his wife's legacy, | :01:10. | :01:14. | |
as we approach the anniversary of her death. | :01:15. | :01:23. | |
And reviewing the news from the papers and beyond this | :01:24. | :01:25. | |
morning, the Corbyn-supporting commentator, Paul Mason, | :01:26. | :01:27. | |
Miranda Green from the FT and the Daily Mail's Amanda Platell. | :01:28. | :01:32. | |
But first, the news with Roger Johnson. | :01:33. | :01:36. | |
Donald Trump will today call on Muslims to present | :01:37. | :01:40. | |
a united front in the fight against religious extremism. | :01:41. | :01:43. | |
The President is on the second day of a visit to Saudi Arabia | :01:44. | :01:46. | |
during which he signed an arms deal worth more than ?80 billion. | :01:47. | :01:51. | |
Later today, he will address the leaders of 50 Muslim majority | :01:52. | :01:55. | |
countries, describing the fight against terrorism as | :01:56. | :01:58. | |
The New York Times is reporting that at least 18 CIA informants | :01:59. | :02:05. | |
were killed or imprisoned in China after a spy network was dismantled. | :02:06. | :02:10. | |
It's being described as one of the worst intelligence | :02:11. | :02:13. | |
The Labour Party is stepping up its drive for older voters, | :02:14. | :02:21. | |
claiming Conservative manifesto proposals amount | :02:22. | :02:24. | |
Jeremy Corbyn said his party will protect the Winter Fuel Allowance | :02:25. | :02:30. | |
and Triple-Lock on state pensions, which will both be reduced under | :02:31. | :02:34. | |
The Tories have accused Labour of running a "scare campaign". | :02:35. | :02:40. | |
The leaders of the main parties have agreed to stop campaigning | :02:41. | :02:43. | |
for an hour today to remember the MP Jo Cox, who was shot | :02:44. | :02:47. | |
and stabbed in her constituency in West Yorkshire last year. | :02:48. | :02:51. | |
Her widower Brendan Cox suggested the idea to encourage | :02:52. | :02:54. | |
Earlier this year, Mr Cox met the Duchess of Cornwall to launch | :02:55. | :03:00. | |
a plan for a "great get together" to commemorate the anniversary | :03:01. | :03:03. | |
Pippa Middleton has tied the knot in a ceremony | :03:04. | :03:10. | |
The 33-year-old socialite married James Matthews, | :03:11. | :03:14. | |
a hedge fund manager, at St Mark's Church in Englefield. | :03:15. | :03:19. | |
The wedding was attended by celebrity friends and royals, | :03:20. | :03:22. | |
including her sister, the Duchess of Cambridge, Prince George | :03:23. | :03:25. | |
The story on the front pages is all about Pippa and politics. An | :03:26. | :03:56. | |
interview in the Sunday Telegraph with Theresa May, where her best | :03:57. | :04:04. | |
idea is to focus on local heroes rather than overpaid TV celebrities. | :04:05. | :04:10. | |
The Sunday Express, Pippa. The Mail on Sunday, Pippa and politics. And | :04:11. | :04:15. | |
Pippa, and Pippa, pages and pages of her inside. And in the Observer, | :04:16. | :04:24. | |
again, more politics, on the school meals plan. Lots to talk about. I | :04:25. | :04:29. | |
suspect we will talk more about politics than Pippa. You are quite | :04:30. | :04:36. | |
right. It was a very wobbly weekend for Theresa May and the Tories. | :04:37. | :04:41. | |
Jeremy Corbyn must have thought, hallelujah, when he heard the | :04:42. | :04:46. | |
manifesto. There is only a nine point difference in the polls. And | :04:47. | :04:51. | |
that is the crucial thing. In the Sunday Times, 44 to 35. It is still | :04:52. | :05:00. | |
a very good lead. The most important thing here really is, did she do | :05:01. | :05:06. | |
this, was this a mistake or was it intentional? Did she think that she | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
could afford to lose some? I am really principled Prime Minister. | :05:11. | :05:16. | |
Who knows? We agree that the essence of the problem is what she said | :05:17. | :05:19. | |
about social care, pensioners and the Winter fuel payments? I think | :05:20. | :05:25. | |
the social care plan, certainly, and the tax on the elderly, as many of | :05:26. | :05:31. | |
the papers have it today. It would be called a brave suggestion. It is | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
brave, because there is a really big national problem, and here is an | :05:37. | :05:39. | |
answer to it, even though people might not like it. Yes, and I think | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
there is a genuine political reason for having such a risky manifesto | :05:45. | :05:49. | |
which is, even if they win big in the Commons, the Tories don't | :05:50. | :05:56. | |
control the House of Lords. The tradition is that you don't block | :05:57. | :05:59. | |
measures that are in a manifesto. So this is to have more power later on, | :06:00. | :06:06. | |
if she takes a hit now? Fewer MPs gives had less power. There were | :06:07. | :06:09. | |
interesting quotes in that story in the Sunday Times, saying that we | :06:10. | :06:14. | |
need to get the question off the manifesto. Before we move to Paul, | :06:15. | :06:18. | |
the interview in the Telegraph, how much does it tell us? No disrespect | :06:19. | :06:25. | |
to the Telegraph, when I say that there is very little in it. She is | :06:26. | :06:30. | |
the mistress of saying nothing in her interviews. This is the Lynton | :06:31. | :06:36. | |
Crosby method to win an election. Have one slogan, one idea, and stick | :06:37. | :06:44. | |
to it. No deviation, lots of repetition. But unfortunately it has | :06:45. | :06:48. | |
disrupted the election. Is the idea to move the story on from social | :06:49. | :06:53. | |
care? It hasn't worked very well in terms of the front pages. The | :06:54. | :06:59. | |
dementia tax backlash. Do you think the world dementia tax might play, | :07:00. | :07:04. | |
we are discussing? Theresa May stood up twice in Downing Street and said, | :07:05. | :07:10. | |
this election is about Brexit and Brexit only. To Labour voters in | :07:11. | :07:16. | |
Yorkshire, just lend me your vote on Brexit, and everything else will be | :07:17. | :07:19. | |
more or less the same. Every family in the land wakes up wondering | :07:20. | :07:26. | |
whether the asset wealth, that has been assembled over many generations | :07:27. | :07:30. | |
by middle class and working class families, is now in peril because of | :07:31. | :07:37. | |
a solution pulled out of nowhere precisely opposite by the guy | :07:38. | :07:41. | |
employed by the government to go up on. If you are in a Labour | :07:42. | :07:46. | |
constituency in the North of England in a house worth less than ?100,000, | :07:47. | :07:50. | |
this is very good news for you, because you don't have to pay a | :07:51. | :07:56. | |
penny. Yes, but the problem is, it is about Universalism versus you are | :07:57. | :08:01. | |
on your own. The message from this one, and from almost every policy | :08:02. | :08:07. | |
the Tories presented in that manifesto, was a reversal out of | :08:08. | :08:11. | |
Cameron is. Cameron and Osborne did try to spread the load between the | :08:12. | :08:22. | |
classes of spreading the cost of the elderly. Now it is a saying, you are | :08:23. | :08:27. | |
on your own. It is anti-universal, which is a theme that is already | :08:28. | :08:31. | |
provoking a backlash on the doorsteps. Last Sunday, when I was | :08:32. | :08:36. | |
campaigning, nobody wants to talk about Brexit already. They just want | :08:37. | :08:40. | |
to talk about what the future is for them and their kids. I found that | :08:41. | :08:45. | |
quite shocking. This Sunday, we know what they are going to be talking | :08:46. | :08:50. | |
about. And we have to remind ourselves, that at the last election | :08:51. | :09:01. | |
in 2015, the Conservatives were talking about the deal not proposal, | :09:02. | :09:04. | |
which was a cap on social care of ?72,000, and the rest was pooled | :09:05. | :09:06. | |
between everybody. Now they are talking about a flaw of 100,000, | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
which is not very much, especially in the south of England. If they | :09:11. | :09:15. | |
stick to this policy, and there is a question of whether they will be | :09:16. | :09:20. | |
able to, is whether they will have to raise that 100,000 after the | :09:21. | :09:26. | |
election. It is so complex that it is an open door to Labour for the | :09:27. | :09:35. | |
dementia problem. It is a big problem three days away from | :09:36. | :09:38. | |
polling. Let's move to the other side of the fence, to Jeremy Corbyn | :09:39. | :09:43. | |
in the Daily Mirror. It is interesting because a lot of people | :09:44. | :09:49. | |
are saying he may now be, he is much more aggressive, a full frontal | :09:50. | :09:55. | |
attack on Theresa May. He is saying that you are taking away the winter | :09:56. | :09:59. | |
fuel allowance, which could lead to deaths. Theresa May is just being | :10:00. | :10:06. | |
nasty, basically. It is now full on. She is still the nasty party. He is | :10:07. | :10:12. | |
clearly a man who visibly doesn't enjoy running the Labour Party as a | :10:13. | :10:17. | |
mechanism. He loves campaigning, he is in his element. It's interesting | :10:18. | :10:21. | |
that around the country we are seeing lots of examples of big, | :10:22. | :10:26. | |
enthusiastic crowds. They don't appear on the traditional media very | :10:27. | :10:31. | |
much. We are going to show you one, and Labour Party video from Tranmere | :10:32. | :10:37. | |
Rovers. It is a music festival, I think. | :10:38. | :10:40. | |
Thank you for giving me a few minutes. | :10:41. | :10:46. | |
A bit surreal. Does it make any real difference to the polls? A lot of | :10:47. | :11:04. | |
excitement this weekend, but the polls are still suggesting a very | :11:05. | :11:08. | |
large Tory majority, and a lot of people out there, not at the | :11:09. | :11:13. | |
Tranmere ground singing hello, Jeremy Corbyn, don't like it. Many | :11:14. | :11:18. | |
people who support Labour naturally are being feeling treated unfair. | :11:19. | :11:23. | |
British people are quite fair. It's something that defines us as a | :11:24. | :11:27. | |
nation, that we don't like people being bullied and kicked unfairly, | :11:28. | :11:32. | |
which is what happened to Corbyn in the media. I'm not surprised by | :11:33. | :11:36. | |
that. I move among people who would have been in that crowd. But a lot | :11:37. | :11:41. | |
of media people don't. I think they will have been shocked by that, | :11:42. | :11:46. | |
because it was an unplanned meeting. Corbyn had just been on West Kirby | :11:47. | :11:49. | |
beach with a crowd that was so long that he couldn't see the back of it. | :11:50. | :11:54. | |
That doesn't win you an election, but it gives people on the doorstep | :11:55. | :12:04. | |
the confidence to understand that we are not a bunch of threats to | :12:05. | :12:06. | |
national security, as all these threats would have it, we are just | :12:07. | :12:09. | |
the ordinary core of the British working population. You have to | :12:10. | :12:15. | |
remember that one of the papers that did put his manifesto on the front | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
page was the Daily Mirror. So it's not just the right wing papers. This | :12:20. | :12:26. | |
article in the Observer about media bias is a bit of a non-Damascene | :12:27. | :12:30. | |
conversion from a newspaper that just does not like Jeremy Corbyn. | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
When all the newspapers are owned by alien heirs who don't pay tax, it is | :12:36. | :12:43. | |
the unfairness of the attack on him. I think you have been looking at the | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
Sunday Telegraph. To stay on the Labour Party, this is a column about | :12:49. | :12:52. | |
some of these whisperings that Tony Blair might be gathering together, | :12:53. | :12:57. | |
behind-the-scenes, money and supporters, for something to happen | :12:58. | :13:01. | |
after polling day. It's the idea that the moderates in the Labour | :13:02. | :13:05. | |
Party might want to either split away or organise internally for any | :13:06. | :13:09. | |
sort of leadership election that might come up. It's a reminder that | :13:10. | :13:15. | |
after polling day, the turmoil in the opposition will not go away. | :13:16. | :13:24. | |
Keep watching, everybody! That is partly because the Conservatives, if | :13:25. | :13:30. | |
they win again, have a very, very difficult job immediately on | :13:31. | :13:33. | |
negotiating Brexit. There are two very different interviews in terms | :13:34. | :13:38. | |
of tone today. One interview, one column. David Davis, the Brexit | :13:39. | :13:43. | |
secretary, is giving a tough interview in the Observer. He is | :13:44. | :13:49. | |
saying, if they demand a huge 100 billion divorce bill, he is getting | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
up and walking out. I love the picture on it. He looks like he's | :13:54. | :14:05. | |
ready for a fight. So he is being extremely tough, but interestingly, | :14:06. | :14:09. | |
a very different tone in an article by Boris Johnson in the Mail on | :14:10. | :14:14. | |
Sunday, in which she attacks Jeremy Corbyn for being a blancmange. Not | :14:15. | :14:19. | |
his best metaphor. He also says, we want a very good deal with our | :14:20. | :14:23. | |
European friends. He sounds much more in moly end. Whether the | :14:24. | :14:28. | |
government goes a bit more Boris or a bit more David Davis, it is a real | :14:29. | :14:35. | |
question... Also, interestingly, going back to the conversation about | :14:36. | :14:38. | |
the election, David Davis is trying to get them back on message with all | :14:39. | :14:42. | |
of this Brexit being the defining issue, which they seem to have | :14:43. | :14:48. | |
forgotten that the last few days. It's much better for the | :14:49. | :14:51. | |
Conservative Party to be back on that. The words we have not | :14:52. | :14:55. | |
mentioned so far is Liberal Democrat. What has happened to the | :14:56. | :15:00. | |
great Lib Dem revival? Some are saying it will be their year. So | :15:01. | :15:04. | |
far, they are known in the polls and falling. Tim Farren, in the Mail on | :15:05. | :15:12. | |
Sunday, getting very angry. It has been the most binary election for | :15:13. | :15:16. | |
some time. What normally happens to the Lib Dems is boosting coverage | :15:17. | :15:20. | |
and a squeeze in the last few days. All they are having at the moment is | :15:21. | :15:25. | |
a squeeze. This decision to go completely on Brexit has not worked | :15:26. | :15:30. | |
well for them. Interestingly, this interview with Tim Farron is | :15:31. | :15:34. | |
following up on the great opportunity provided by the Tory | :15:35. | :15:38. | |
manifesto. Presenting Theresa May as uncaring. | :15:39. | :15:43. | |
The reason we have asked Paul on the sofa is to talk about the royal | :15:44. | :15:52. | |
wedding. Eight pages in the Sun, eight in the mail, a lot in the | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
mirror. A young member of the Royal family there with an outfit and | :15:58. | :16:00. | |
every working-class person in Britain will understand. When people | :16:01. | :16:06. | |
talk about certain politicians taking us back to the past, this, | :16:07. | :16:11. | |
I'm afraid, it is Downton Abbey, replayed with real people. But | :16:12. | :16:16. | |
everyone loves Downton Abbey. No, I love this, eight pages of the kind | :16:17. | :16:20. | |
of people who will be paying 8p more on their tax when Labour get into | :16:21. | :16:24. | |
power. And by the look of it, they can afford it. It is just | :16:25. | :16:27. | |
incredible. She is the sister of a royal, she is not a royal in herself | :16:28. | :16:31. | |
but I guess there is president of this because Diana's brother sold | :16:32. | :16:36. | |
his wedding rights. It is not about the pages in the paper but the pages | :16:37. | :16:41. | |
in between. And it cheers people up, and everyone likes a wedding. Cute | :16:42. | :16:45. | |
kids. I am glad you are all cheered up. | :16:46. | :16:47. | |
The husband of the murdered MP Jo Cox is urging politicians | :16:48. | :16:50. | |
to pause their election campaigning for an hour today | :16:51. | :16:52. | |
to remember her, and to help bring communities together. | :16:53. | :16:54. | |
Welcome, Brendan. First of all, what exactly do you want to happen today? | :16:55. | :17:06. | |
What is happening today, politicians from all political parties are | :17:07. | :17:11. | |
taking an hour out of campaigning to pause and generally go and visit | :17:12. | :17:15. | |
community groups, whether that is the Women's Institute or the Rotary | :17:16. | :17:19. | |
Club or the scouts or the guides, organisations who we get in, week | :17:20. | :17:23. | |
out, spend their time bringing the community together. Obviously | :17:24. | :17:26. | |
election campaigns are divisive necessarily and the focus on the | :17:27. | :17:29. | |
areas where we disagree with one another but the fact that all the | :17:30. | :17:31. | |
party leaders have responded to say that they will pause for a second | :17:32. | :17:35. | |
and say, of course we fundamentally disagree with each other on of | :17:36. | :17:38. | |
things but there is more that unites us than divides us, I think that is | :17:39. | :17:42. | |
a really important signal. And you have had a good response from the | :17:43. | :17:46. | |
party leaders? We have had an incredible response. There a | :17:47. | :17:54. | |
beautiful event happening in Jo's home town, the candidates are | :17:55. | :17:59. | |
getting together to raise money for a special baby unit. It is those | :18:00. | :18:03. | |
sorts of things which I think, politics is massively important and | :18:04. | :18:06. | |
elections are very important for our country, but we also have to get a | :18:07. | :18:10. | |
better balance. We spend so much time talking about the things we | :18:11. | :18:14. | |
disagree with each other on, particularly during elections, and | :18:15. | :18:16. | |
we are very bad at actually just pausing for a second and focusing on | :18:17. | :18:20. | |
those fundamental things that bind us together. And after this moment, | :18:21. | :18:25. | |
something else that you have talked about with others, the great | :18:26. | :18:29. | |
get-together. What is that? It happens on the weekend of the | :18:30. | :18:35. | |
anniversary of Jo's death, the 16th, 17th and 18th of June. The basic | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
idea is that we are asking people to get together with their neighbours | :18:40. | :18:42. | |
and share food, celebrating what we have in common. In thinking about | :18:43. | :18:48. | |
how I marked the anniversary of Jo's death, I wanted it to reflect who | :18:49. | :18:52. | |
she was, someone with great energy and enthusiasm for life. I didn't | :18:53. | :18:58. | |
want it to be mournful. Also, it felt like the person that killed Jo | :18:59. | :19:03. | |
was trying to divide communities and I can think of no better response | :19:04. | :19:08. | |
than the anniversary bringing communities together. And you and | :19:09. | :19:11. | |
the children will have a very busy and in some ways slightly traumatic | :19:12. | :19:15. | |
few weeks going through all of this process. How are you coping? For us | :19:16. | :19:21. | |
as a family, this is something that goes on and on. Individual days can | :19:22. | :19:25. | |
be better or worse, it is not just the big moments. But the kids are | :19:26. | :19:31. | |
here today and they are incredibly excited about the big get-together. | :19:32. | :19:34. | |
They love planning a party and they know that their mum would have loved | :19:35. | :19:39. | |
it. They will get a great breakfast after it. That is how we got them | :19:40. | :19:43. | |
out of bed this morning. I think in terms of BBC impartiality I am still | :19:44. | :19:46. | |
allowed to say good luck with all of that, Brendan Cox. Thanks. | :19:47. | :19:52. | |
The Weather gods are angry about all this over-heated nonsense | :19:53. | :19:54. | |
being talked in this election campaign, and they have punished | :19:55. | :19:57. | |
London and the South in particular with short blasts of icy rain. | :19:58. | :20:00. | |
But if their intention was to cool us down, it hasn't worked. | :20:01. | :20:03. | |
Philip Avery is in the weather studio with more. | :20:04. | :20:06. | |
If this was an interview, I would probably pick you up on the use of | :20:07. | :20:11. | |
the word I see but I know what you mean. It has not been as warm as it | :20:12. | :20:15. | |
might be. Although we are starting in a better vein on the western side | :20:16. | :20:19. | |
of the British Isles. And even this dollar picture from the borders of | :20:20. | :20:23. | |
Scotland is an improvement on what we had yesterday. Overnight we got | :20:24. | :20:27. | |
rid of the persistent rain in the North of Scotland. And you weather | :20:28. | :20:31. | |
feature spreading cloud and rain across Northern Ireland and | :20:32. | :20:34. | |
eventually into the northern side of Scotland. Perhaps a little cloud | :20:35. | :20:37. | |
producing the odd spot but nothing to write home about. A much improved | :20:38. | :20:40. | |
situation on yesterday but you can see on the bigger picture there that | :20:41. | :20:45. | |
there is a lot of fine weather to be had. The top temperature on the | :20:46. | :20:52. | |
roundabout somewhere between London and Cambridge, 21, possibly 22, but | :20:53. | :20:55. | |
the sun is strong at this time of year. Bear that in mind if you are | :20:56. | :20:57. | |
spending some time out of this afternoon, that it could well burn | :20:58. | :21:00. | |
you. No great problems with frost this evening or overnight, we are | :21:01. | :21:05. | |
importing milder air from the continent. Monday, another sparkling | :21:06. | :21:09. | |
day for many, although a new weather front will make its way from | :21:10. | :21:12. | |
Northern Ireland into central and western parts of Scotland. | :21:13. | :21:17. | |
Elsewhere, increasingly warm, I would thought, and the temperatures | :21:18. | :21:21. | |
at this stage could well be pushing towards 24 or 25 degrees or so. It | :21:22. | :21:25. | |
works to the wise, as we move on into the forthcoming week, this high | :21:26. | :21:29. | |
pressure will deliver stable, I don't know about strong weather but | :21:30. | :21:33. | |
increasingly warm weather and Andrew, I offer that prospect to the | :21:34. | :21:37. | |
many, not the few. Whoever said you don't get good news | :21:38. | :21:39. | |
on television these days? It's weird, but the 2015 | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
election now seems a lot Which party surprised | :21:44. | :21:45. | |
the pundits and came third? As I say, it seems a long time ago, | :21:46. | :21:48. | |
and Ukip's current leader, A simple question, today, what is | :21:49. | :22:01. | |
the point of Ukip? Well, we're going into the selection with clear water | :22:02. | :22:04. | |
between ourselves and the other political parties. We are the only | :22:05. | :22:07. | |
party committed to cutting foreign aid and putting that money into the | :22:08. | :22:11. | |
NHS and social care. We're the only party truly committed to cutting | :22:12. | :22:14. | |
immigration and we have to be the guard dogs of Brexit because I fear | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
that once this election is over and Theresa May comes back with a | :22:19. | :22:21. | |
whopping majority that she will begin to backslide and that is why | :22:22. | :22:24. | |
it is important that Ukip is there to ensure we get that we voted for | :22:25. | :22:29. | |
on June 23. Clearly, you had a terrible night on the local | :22:30. | :22:33. | |
elections, losing every one but one of the council seats you were | :22:34. | :22:38. | |
defending. You have no MPs, few Welsh Assembly members left and that | :22:39. | :22:42. | |
is about it. You are down to 2% in one of the polls today, Paddy Lowe | :22:43. | :22:47. | |
indeed. And the factor of your party has basically said that you should | :22:48. | :22:50. | |
wind it up. I'm sure he would have said that because he seems to say | :22:51. | :22:58. | |
that about every single election. We knew that those local elections were | :22:59. | :23:01. | |
always going to be the most difficult that we have ever fought. | :23:02. | :23:05. | |
They were made stubbornly difficult by the fact that Theresa May called | :23:06. | :23:08. | |
the general election so they were fought on national issues but | :23:09. | :23:11. | |
however Ukip has a great future and I predict that after the selection | :23:12. | :23:15. | |
Ukip could be bigger than it has ever been before because if she | :23:16. | :23:18. | |
begins the backslide, and I think that she will, and I think there | :23:19. | :23:24. | |
will be our deal on freedom of movement and there will be a divorce | :23:25. | :23:27. | |
bill. People did not vote on that last year. Let's come to some of | :23:28. | :23:31. | |
those issues directly. You say you were going to hold her feet to the | :23:32. | :23:35. | |
fire and be guard dogs over Brexit, how can you be guard dogs without | :23:36. | :23:39. | |
MPs? It does not matter how many MPs you have. If you think back to 2013, | :23:40. | :23:45. | |
we fought the British Prime Minister David Cameron into offering a | :23:46. | :23:48. | |
referendum he never wanted to give, but we did not have an MP at that | :23:49. | :23:53. | |
time. Ukip needs to be elect Aurelia vital goal -- electorally viable, it | :23:54. | :23:59. | |
needs to do well in the local elections, and I believe we will do | :24:00. | :24:02. | |
very well indeed. You have said that you were going to get into double | :24:03. | :24:06. | |
figures with MPs. Can you look me in the eye and tell me that is going to | :24:07. | :24:10. | |
happen? I was in Dagenham in Clacton yesterday, or we are strong, and we | :24:11. | :24:15. | |
are still strong. Will you window seats? There is a good chance that | :24:16. | :24:21. | |
we will. -- will you win those seats. We are campaigning and there | :24:22. | :24:26. | |
response is great. Your immigration policy is in effect, one in, one | :24:27. | :24:30. | |
out, is that right? It is balanced migration. It basically boils down | :24:31. | :24:35. | |
to the fact that we have a population problem in this country | :24:36. | :24:39. | |
and if we continue to allow a city the size of Newcastle upon Tyne to | :24:40. | :24:42. | |
come in every year, as we are doing at the moment, it is Birmingham | :24:43. | :24:46. | |
every three years, we will have a population of 80 million by the | :24:47. | :24:49. | |
middle of the century and that is not sustainable. So a very dramatic | :24:50. | :24:53. | |
change from the situation are in now. At the time of the referendum | :24:54. | :24:57. | |
campaign, I remember Nigel Farage saying that this was good news for | :24:58. | :25:02. | |
the new Commonwealth countries, because we were going to stop taking | :25:03. | :25:06. | |
in the Europeans. Let me give you an example of why under your policy, | :25:07. | :25:11. | |
there would be a problem. A Bangladeshi family like Family | :25:12. | :25:13. | |
Reunion is and they want to bring their auntie is over. Under that | :25:14. | :25:18. | |
policy -- under your policy, that would effectively be impossible. No. | :25:19. | :25:24. | |
If you have skills we require, we will have an Australian style points | :25:25. | :25:28. | |
system, you can come over here and work with the Visa. Just as it is in | :25:29. | :25:32. | |
Canada and the United States. Because of the moment we cannot | :25:33. | :25:36. | |
continue on the road we are on. The other political parties want to turn | :25:37. | :25:39. | |
away. When I brought this up at a debate the other night, the Green | :25:40. | :25:44. | |
Party, Plaid Cymru and the SNP, they laughed at me. We are the only party | :25:45. | :25:48. | |
with a sensible policy to reduce the numbers. Part of the reason they | :25:49. | :25:51. | |
want more immigration is that they look at the condition of the British | :25:52. | :25:54. | |
economy at the moment and it relies on migrant labour coming into this | :25:55. | :25:58. | |
country. The Office for Budget Responsibility as catalytic that if | :25:59. | :26:04. | |
we cut immigration to 185,000, vastly more than you are suggesting, | :26:05. | :26:08. | |
that would cost the Treasury ?6 billion a year in lost revenue. How | :26:09. | :26:13. | |
much will your policy cost the Treasury? At the moment we are | :26:14. | :26:18. | |
allowing in about 360,000. We are saying that we want to reduce that | :26:19. | :26:22. | |
figure to zero. There will still be people coming into the country. It | :26:23. | :26:26. | |
is not as if we are going to put up the drawbridge in any way, shape or | :26:27. | :26:30. | |
form. What we are going to do, this is going to be done over five years. | :26:31. | :26:35. | |
So it needs a lot of wriggle room and we need people to come into the | :26:36. | :26:39. | |
country. They can come in and they can work. But economic isn't | :26:40. | :26:42. | |
everything, it is also about social cohesion and at the moment, we have | :26:43. | :26:45. | |
communities which have been tipped upside down over recent years | :26:46. | :26:49. | |
because too many people are coming into the country too quickly, not | :26:50. | :26:52. | |
learning English and not integrating. So what is your message | :26:53. | :26:56. | |
to that Bangladeshi family? Is it that actually you can have your | :26:57. | :26:59. | |
Family Reunion but you are better off to do it in Bangladesh than | :27:00. | :27:06. | |
London? That will be tapered into our immigration policy and we have | :27:07. | :27:09. | |
our manifesto launched on Wednesday. You can come back and interview me | :27:10. | :27:12. | |
on that issue in a couple of weeks, but I will say that somebody has to | :27:13. | :27:15. | |
get immigration under control because at this present moment in | :27:16. | :27:18. | |
time, we are allowing too many people to come into the country. | :27:19. | :27:24. | |
There was a recent report in recent years by Trevor Phillips, showing | :27:25. | :27:29. | |
that integration is getting worse in this country, not better, and it is | :27:30. | :27:34. | |
down to the amount of people that are coming in. Do you think you have | :27:35. | :27:38. | |
taken the issue of Ukip at just the wrong time. Everybody was in the bar | :27:39. | :27:42. | |
knocking back pints and all the rest of it but Nigel Farage, and now it | :27:43. | :27:47. | |
is your turn and you have got up to buy your round and U-turning -- and | :27:48. | :27:54. | |
you turn your back and everyone has scarpered. I am leading Ukip at a | :27:55. | :28:03. | |
different time. When we had Nigel Farage, we had David Cameron who did | :28:04. | :28:07. | |
not want to leave the union. Now we have Theresa May walking the walk -- | :28:08. | :28:14. | |
document that, but when push comes to shove, will she walk the walk? | :28:15. | :28:17. | |
The narrative in this election is that Theresa May is | :28:18. | :28:20. | |
hyper-cautious and shies away from any risk. | :28:21. | :28:21. | |
Odd then, that the Conservative manifesto contained so much | :28:22. | :28:24. | |
challenging news for the one group above all others | :28:25. | :28:26. | |
that actually votes - pensioners. | :28:27. | :28:27. | |
The Work and Pensions Secretary, Damian Green, is with me. | :28:28. | :28:34. | |
Damian Green, welcome. Thank you for coming in. Do you recognise this | :28:35. | :28:46. | |
document? I do. Who produced it? The Conservative Party. And what does it | :28:47. | :28:52. | |
contain? It contains detailed costing of the week that Labour | :28:53. | :28:55. | |
approach any problem, which is to say there is a magic money tree, and | :28:56. | :28:59. | |
we just need to take money off businesses and people and that will | :29:00. | :29:05. | |
solve problems. But you and I remember the 1970s. You would agree | :29:06. | :29:08. | |
that this is a very detailed costing. It exposes the Labour | :29:09. | :29:14. | |
manifesto for being just a Charente. There is another document. Why does | :29:15. | :29:18. | |
this have no detailed costing at all? Why is this an arm cost of | :29:19. | :29:24. | |
document? Because the difference between the Conservative Party and | :29:25. | :29:27. | |
the Labour Party is that we produce realistic policies to deal with the | :29:28. | :29:30. | |
real problems in this country, some of which raise money. Is that not | :29:31. | :29:36. | |
double standards? No. Some of our pledges are to spend less money or | :29:37. | :29:42. | |
move money around, so it is spent in the right places. It is spent | :29:43. | :29:46. | |
supporting people, not just saying that the only solution is more money | :29:47. | :29:49. | |
and we will do that by taxing British business. You were talking | :29:50. | :29:53. | |
about this overexcited weekend that we're having at the moment. I think | :29:54. | :29:59. | |
this will focus people's minds on the fact that in less than a month's | :30:00. | :30:03. | |
time, Jeremy Corbyn could be leading Brexit negotiations, and given | :30:04. | :30:08. | |
Labour's complete lack of credibility, their nonsensical | :30:09. | :30:10. | |
economic policy as well as their own policies, nobody really wants that. | :30:11. | :30:16. | |
They have given us quite detailed accounts of how much tax they would | :30:17. | :30:22. | |
raise and from whom. Let me talk about the black holes in your | :30:23. | :30:28. | |
manifesto. You say you are going to pay another ?8 billion on the NHS. | :30:29. | :30:31. | |
Where is that money going to come from? We produced a budget a few | :30:32. | :30:38. | |
months ago, so all the detailed costings for Conservative policies | :30:39. | :30:42. | |
are already there. This is extra money for the NHS. I'm just asking | :30:43. | :30:47. | |
you where it comes from. Extra taxes, extra borrowing or cuts | :30:48. | :30:52. | |
somewhere else? A lot of it is read targeted money from within the | :30:53. | :30:56. | |
system, because we know we can do things better. It's how we can | :30:57. | :31:01. | |
promise more on mental health, for instance. From various parts of the | :31:02. | :31:07. | |
NHS and other parts of the public sector, for example. One of the | :31:08. | :31:12. | |
things you were talking about earlier, social care. Last week, it | :31:13. | :31:18. | |
would it was said that there was going to be an extra ?1 billion for | :31:19. | :31:23. | |
the Armed Forces. Where is that going to come from? We are going to | :31:24. | :31:28. | |
target winter fuel allowance on those who really need them, and the | :31:29. | :31:33. | |
money we save from that can be targeted to the health and social | :31:34. | :31:37. | |
care system. That seems to as a sensible way of dealing with one of | :31:38. | :31:41. | |
the big issues facing the country. How much money will you raise from | :31:42. | :31:47. | |
cutting winter fuel payments? We said we would consult on that. We | :31:48. | :31:53. | |
know it costs about ?2 billion. We will see, because we haven't set | :31:54. | :32:01. | |
the... It is an uncosted, black hole document. It is not an cost it. We | :32:02. | :32:08. | |
are saying that the money we save on the winter fuel payments going to | :32:09. | :32:14. | |
Mick Jagger and indeed John McDonnell, that would be better | :32:15. | :32:17. | |
spent on the social care system, which needs more money. Lots of | :32:18. | :32:23. | |
people watching this programme are not very, very wealthy. They are | :32:24. | :32:26. | |
pensioners, wondering at what level they are going to lose their winter | :32:27. | :32:31. | |
fuel payments. They are very concerned. And you are not going to | :32:32. | :32:35. | |
tell them. We will consult so that everyone who is in genuine need of | :32:36. | :32:40. | |
the winter fuel payment will still get it, but we think the money that | :32:41. | :32:43. | |
is currently being spent on people who need it less, many of | :32:44. | :32:57. | |
whom have come up and said to me over the years, should I really be | :32:58. | :33:00. | |
getting this? That money is better spent in a social care system that | :33:01. | :33:03. | |
we all agree is one of the challenges facing our system. We | :33:04. | :33:05. | |
deal with the big challenges facing this country, but Labour do not. You | :33:06. | :33:11. | |
have reams of clever people trawling through the Labour Party promises | :33:12. | :33:14. | |
and costing them all, and telling you what it might cost. Your | :33:15. | :33:19. | |
document, those clever people are saying nothing to pensioners | :33:20. | :33:23. | |
watching this programme, who need to know before voting day that they are | :33:24. | :33:27. | |
going to lose payments. Do they not deserve that? They will know that if | :33:28. | :33:33. | |
they are in genuine need of the winter of your payments, they will | :33:34. | :33:39. | |
still get it. After the election, we will consult on it, because that is | :33:40. | :33:43. | |
the sensible way to do it. That's the way a grown up government will | :33:44. | :33:49. | |
operate. You say, here is the broad proposal, the manifesto, that will | :33:50. | :33:54. | |
cause interest among commentators. It's not commentators interested in | :33:55. | :33:58. | |
it, it's pensioners watching this programme who are wondering that if | :33:59. | :34:03. | |
they vote Conservative on June the 8th, will they lose their winter | :34:04. | :34:08. | |
fuel payment on June the 15th? They will be able to contribute to the | :34:09. | :34:12. | |
consultation. Those pensioners will know that we have massively reduced | :34:13. | :34:18. | |
pension poverty, one of the great thing is that successive government | :34:19. | :34:23. | |
has done. In the 1970s, it was 40% of pensioners. We have got that down | :34:24. | :34:28. | |
to 14% I'm proud that we have introduced the auto enrolled system, | :34:29. | :34:33. | |
which means that millions more people are now saving for a pension. | :34:34. | :34:41. | |
We are looking ahead generations, long-term, not just the election. We | :34:42. | :34:45. | |
have some well slipped sideways away from winter fuel payments. You need | :34:46. | :34:55. | |
that money, and David Cameron said at the time of the last election, | :34:56. | :35:00. | |
talking about the then Labour Party to take winter few payments away | :35:01. | :35:05. | |
from only the top 5%, by restricting these payments is the only you make | :35:06. | :35:09. | |
big savings. He said, once they start chipping away at these | :35:10. | :35:14. | |
payments, believe me, before long, they will start getting wood of them | :35:15. | :35:18. | |
altogether, and people who work hard all their lives will be written off | :35:19. | :35:23. | |
and forgotten about. We have identified social care is one of the | :35:24. | :35:27. | |
big issues that older people and their children care about. We think | :35:28. | :35:32. | |
that restricting winter fuel payment to those who genuinely need it... We | :35:33. | :35:39. | |
as a country will decide what that is in a proper consultation, which | :35:40. | :35:43. | |
is the way governments should operate. So you will not tell people | :35:44. | :35:49. | |
now. Releasing that money for use in the social care system is a great | :35:50. | :35:54. | |
way to start improving our social care system, which is vital to many | :35:55. | :35:59. | |
people, at the same time as allowing them to keep their home, letting | :36:00. | :36:05. | |
them know they can pass on ?100,000 to the next generation. Can you | :36:06. | :36:08. | |
remind people watching what the conservative policy was in 2015 | :36:09. | :36:22. | |
on social care? The policy was, broadly speaking, to continue what | :36:23. | :36:24. | |
had happened before. It was the still not proposals. And the cap | :36:25. | :36:30. | |
was... The amount people could save was 20 3000. The cap was going to be | :36:31. | :36:42. | |
about 70 2000. -- ?72,000. We know that they are going to be 2 million | :36:43. | :36:47. | |
more over 75 in ten years' time, which is great. We are all living | :36:48. | :36:54. | |
longer. We have not broken our promises, because we have devised a | :36:55. | :36:59. | |
better system. The idea that the only people could pass on was | :37:00. | :37:05. | |
?23,000 is being replaced by our idea in the manifesto that they will | :37:06. | :37:09. | |
be able to pass on 100,000. The crucial difference is that the value | :37:10. | :37:15. | |
of their house is now taken into account as an asset if they are | :37:16. | :37:20. | |
being cared for at home. Let's think of a constituency like Ashford in | :37:21. | :37:26. | |
Kent, where the average value of a house is ?240,000. If there is a | :37:27. | :37:31. | |
widow living in an average house in Ashford, under the new policy, how | :37:32. | :37:35. | |
much extra might she have to pay? If she is living on her own, she will | :37:36. | :37:41. | |
be able to stay in her house throughout her lifetime. If she's | :37:42. | :37:51. | |
not a widow, if she is married, her spouse will be able to stay in her | :37:52. | :37:55. | |
house for their lifetime. I'm just suggesting, she has dementia, poor | :37:56. | :38:00. | |
woman. She is being looked after in her own home in Ashford. How much | :38:01. | :38:04. | |
extra will she have to pay under your policy? She won't be paying | :38:05. | :38:11. | |
anything. She will. She won't be paying anything. She can stay at | :38:12. | :38:17. | |
home, if she is able to be cared for at home. Quite rightly, she will be | :38:18. | :38:24. | |
able to stay there. How much extra? It will depend on the other costs, | :38:25. | :38:29. | |
but what her children can know, or whoever she wants to leave money to, | :38:30. | :38:38. | |
she... She's going to pay an extra ?70,000, twice what she would have | :38:39. | :38:42. | |
been paying under the previous policy. I suspect that figure | :38:43. | :38:49. | |
requires some assumptions. She will be able to vote Conservative, as | :38:50. | :38:52. | |
will her children, because they will know that what ever level of care | :38:53. | :38:57. | |
she needs, this removes that terrible decision of how long you | :38:58. | :39:01. | |
should keep someone at home, or maybe put them into residential | :39:02. | :39:07. | |
care. That decision needn't be influenced by financial | :39:08. | :39:10. | |
considerations. Everyone can be confident that they... Let them | :39:11. | :39:20. | |
inherit ?100,000 as opposed to the ?23,000 that was there before. Let | :39:21. | :39:25. | |
us talk about inheritance and cascading the wealth through | :39:26. | :39:29. | |
generations. Let's take the example of Twickenham, where Vince Cable for | :39:30. | :39:33. | |
the Lib Dems is fighting you hard. An average house their costs | :39:34. | :39:39. | |
?545,000. Imagine we have a couple where the chap has early-onset | :39:40. | :39:44. | |
dementia and is being cared for at home. Under your proposals, they | :39:45. | :39:50. | |
could lose virtually everything. Their children and their | :39:51. | :39:52. | |
grandchildren, hoping to inherit some of that wealth, will not be | :39:53. | :40:00. | |
able to. It was going to be 500, it is now 100. ?100,000 is a reasonable | :40:01. | :40:09. | |
inheritance to have. People who are lucky enough to have great rises in | :40:10. | :40:13. | |
property value will still decide that ?100,000 is best way of it. | :40:14. | :40:20. | |
This has to be put in the context of funding the social care system. I | :40:21. | :40:24. | |
understand there is a problem, I'm just asking you about your answers | :40:25. | :40:29. | |
to it. More money goes into the social care system. Everybody knows | :40:30. | :40:33. | |
there will be a decent inheritance for them. Nobody will have to lose | :40:34. | :40:41. | |
their home during their lifetime. This is a much fairer system. The | :40:42. | :40:44. | |
Conservatives used to believe in inheritance. This is a vast, secret | :40:45. | :40:49. | |
inheritance tax. You remember the Bow group? You are a kind of no | :40:50. | :40:57. | |
group guys. The Bow group has gone off on a journey! They say this is | :40:58. | :41:03. | |
the biggest stealth tax in history. They are wrong. We are saying | :41:04. | :41:09. | |
everyone can inherit ?100,000, regardless of the costs that the | :41:10. | :41:14. | |
state and therefore the taxpayer has paid to them. One of the big issues | :41:15. | :41:19. | |
that is facing this country is intergenerational fairness. Let me | :41:20. | :41:26. | |
finish. You have to be fair to people working now and paying taxes, | :41:27. | :41:32. | |
that is the only other way to pay for the care system. This system we | :41:33. | :41:38. | |
are proposing is fair both to pensioners, and particularly the | :41:39. | :41:41. | |
minority of pensioners who might need long-term care, and for working | :41:42. | :41:45. | |
taxpayers. You can ask John McDonnell. I will ask him the | :41:46. | :41:52. | |
questions I want to. Life is unfair generally. It is unfair that some | :41:53. | :41:56. | |
people get dementia and some don't. Under the recent deal not system, we | :41:57. | :42:01. | |
spread out the unfairness. If you are very unlucky and you get a | :42:02. | :42:05. | |
terrible disease meaning that you are being looked after at home, the | :42:06. | :42:10. | |
rest of society will come in and help. You don't have to pay again. | :42:11. | :42:17. | |
Under the new proposals, here is what Sir Andrew deal not himself has | :42:18. | :42:24. | |
said. People will be left helpless, knowing that they will be an | :42:25. | :42:27. | |
entirely on their own until they are down to the last ?100,000 of all | :42:28. | :42:34. | |
their wealth, including their house. There are two problems with what | :42:35. | :42:38. | |
Andrew Dilnott proposed in a series of proposals. One is that the social | :42:39. | :42:44. | |
insurance he proposed as a way of doing it, there are just no products | :42:45. | :42:50. | |
therefore it. That market doesn't exist. And the other is that his | :42:51. | :42:57. | |
problem, setting a cap on the floor, meant that the distribution of the | :42:58. | :43:03. | |
benefits became wildly uneven. We are a party that, at Theresa May | :43:04. | :43:10. | |
wants a country that works for everyone, so it's got to work for | :43:11. | :43:16. | |
people not just in Ashford and Twickenham, but also in Hartlepool, | :43:17. | :43:20. | |
North Wales and Scotland. Allowing everyone to know that there is this | :43:21. | :43:25. | |
flat figure of ?100,000, fair to everyone. Briefly, in Ashford, | :43:26. | :43:30. | |
Twickenham and other places, people hate this policy and it makes them | :43:31. | :43:34. | |
very nervous indeed. Is there any chance you will look at it again? | :43:35. | :43:40. | |
No. What we said in the manifesto, to put that answer in context, is | :43:41. | :43:44. | |
that we have set out this policy that we will not look at again. | :43:45. | :43:49. | |
There will be a Green paper covering social care and health coming out in | :43:50. | :43:53. | |
the summer. We all know that the long-term solution to the social | :43:54. | :43:57. | |
care crisis is better integration of the NHS and social care. This is the | :43:58. | :44:07. | |
first step towards that. For now, thank you very much for driving us. | :44:08. | :44:10. | |
the Sunday Politics with Andrew Neil. | :44:11. | :44:13. | |
He'll be speaking to the Chief Secretary to the Treasury, | :44:14. | :44:15. | |
David Gauke, and taking a closer look at the state of the polls. | :44:16. | :44:18. | |
That's at 11 o'clock here on BBC One. | :44:19. | :44:20. | |
I'm joined now by the Shadow Chancellor, John McDonnell. | :44:21. | :44:26. | |
You will have heard all about. Before we start, can I pay tribute | :44:27. | :44:33. | |
to Brendan Cox. I thought that was extremely moving and extremely | :44:34. | :44:36. | |
courageous as well, what he has done. Thank you very much. Can I ask | :44:37. | :44:41. | |
you, talking about social care, what is the Labour policy on funding | :44:42. | :44:45. | |
social care? Immediately, we're promised to put in ?8 billion over | :44:46. | :44:48. | |
the lifetime of Parliament to plug the gap that the Conservatives have | :44:49. | :44:53. | |
treated. Part of this crisis is not just about an ageing population. It | :44:54. | :44:57. | |
is also about the ?4.7 billion that has been cut by the Conservatives | :44:58. | :45:02. | |
from social care since 2010. We are suggesting that we need to get back | :45:03. | :45:08. | |
to the dill not proposals. Including a cap? Let's be clear, what he | :45:09. | :45:13. | |
recommended was a cap, which I agree with. If you remember, the | :45:14. | :45:21. | |
recommendation coming out of David Cameron was ?72,000. And you would | :45:22. | :45:25. | |
stick with around that? I think so. The point you make about the | :45:26. | :45:27. | |
lottery, what condition would you get? The reason that some people are | :45:28. | :45:33. | |
calling it a dementia taxes because you do not know what condition you | :45:34. | :45:38. | |
will suffer West. I tell you, I have been through this in my family, and | :45:39. | :45:44. | |
the burden falls upon you. The proposal from the Dilnot was also to | :45:45. | :45:48. | |
have a threshold as well so there would be enough to protect your | :45:49. | :45:53. | |
assets but he said this basic principle, the NHS principle, you | :45:54. | :45:57. | |
pull the risk, and that way people are not left on their own. I gave | :45:58. | :46:01. | |
Damian Green some examples and I will give you an example as well. | :46:02. | :46:05. | |
Think of a couple living in Burnley, a constituency that is strongly | :46:06. | :46:08. | |
fought over at the moment. The average house could be worth less | :46:09. | :46:12. | |
than ?100,000 and for people who need social care at home in | :46:13. | :46:17. | |
birdlike, the labour heartland, this is great news. It means they will | :46:18. | :46:20. | |
not have to pay a penny. It gives them security. OK. My daughters live | :46:21. | :46:26. | |
near Burnley and property prices are increasing their as they are around | :46:27. | :46:30. | |
the country. What we want to do is make sure that there is a pooled | :46:31. | :46:35. | |
risk so that everyone is certain. The concept that we are all in this | :46:36. | :46:38. | |
together I think is the right one to apply to health as well as social | :46:39. | :46:47. | |
care. In that way, that is why we supported Dilnot but we also | :46:48. | :46:50. | |
approached a -- of supported a cross-party approach because we need | :46:51. | :46:53. | |
something sustainable across generations. That is why we are said | :46:54. | :47:00. | |
to the Conservative Party, pool this, and go back to what Dilnot was | :47:01. | :47:06. | |
proposing. I think that we have been let down because of what was in the | :47:07. | :47:13. | |
Conservative manifesto. Let me at you about your own manifesto. Will | :47:14. | :47:17. | |
you end the freeze on welfare? We will put in ?30 million over the | :47:18. | :47:23. | |
term of the next Parliament. The implication of that will be that | :47:24. | :47:28. | |
basically the freeze, the impact of these proposals will make it | :47:29. | :47:31. | |
relevant because we will reform the process. You know what I have said | :47:32. | :47:38. | |
when the freeze was introduced to... I am interested that when I say, | :47:39. | :47:41. | |
will you end of the freeze on benefits you cannot simply say yes. | :47:42. | :47:46. | |
In effect, we will be doing that as part of the overall reform package | :47:47. | :47:50. | |
which includes the introduction of a real living wage as well, which | :47:51. | :47:53. | |
includes the reform of Universal credits and a range of other aspects | :47:54. | :47:57. | |
including scrapping the bedroom tax, sanctions etc. What about child tax | :47:58. | :48:01. | |
credits? Are you going to restore those? We are looking at an overall | :48:02. | :48:07. | |
and comrades of reform. You should be able to say yes. You said you | :48:08. | :48:13. | |
were going to abolish it. People know how strongly I feel about this. | :48:14. | :48:17. | |
And Jeremy Corbyn. That is why I'd use that expression. That is wiped | :48:18. | :48:21. | |
my first budget, the reforms that we will bring forward will make sure | :48:22. | :48:24. | |
that people are not just protected but that the system will be reformed | :48:25. | :48:28. | |
to benefit them. If you are angry about it, you could reverse it. The | :48:29. | :48:33. | |
resolution foundation on which the Labour Party has rested heavily says | :48:34. | :48:37. | |
that 78% of Conservative cuts under your proposals will not be reversed. | :48:38. | :48:41. | |
I do not accept that. I think the proposals that will be put forward | :48:42. | :48:47. | |
on reform, as we have set out already, will ensure that in effect | :48:48. | :48:51. | |
we will be addressing this issue of how we reverse the benefit freeze | :48:52. | :48:54. | |
itself. I want to do it as part of an overall reform package and not | :48:55. | :48:58. | |
just pick it off one by one. I tell you, I feel so strongly on this | :48:59. | :49:03. | |
issue that we will deliver this in the first budget. It will cost you | :49:04. | :49:08. | |
?8 billion to do the things that I suggested. Socialism, as the man | :49:09. | :49:12. | |
said, is the language of priorities. And your priorities as a government | :49:13. | :49:16. | |
seem to be directed more towards middle-class families. You found ?11 | :49:17. | :49:22. | |
billion to reverse the university charges. And those fees mainly go to | :49:23. | :49:26. | |
middle-class families. Why can you not find that money for people on | :49:27. | :49:31. | |
benefits? We are putting ?30 billion into benefit changes to make sure we | :49:32. | :49:35. | |
tackle the real issues and reform the system. ?30 billion is going in. | :49:36. | :49:39. | |
Remember, I know what people are saying about the issue of tuition | :49:40. | :49:43. | |
fees. For the first time we have seen that because the Tories are | :49:44. | :49:46. | |
increasing tuition fees, we have just seen the percentage of state | :49:47. | :49:54. | |
children declining. It is becoming a disincentive of our youngsters -- | :49:55. | :49:58. | |
for our youngsters to stay on which affects aspiring working class | :49:59. | :50:01. | |
families. Let's look at another aspect of the manifesto. Higher | :50:02. | :50:05. | |
taxes, and higher debt. You have said they will borrow roughly ?25 | :50:06. | :50:12. | |
billion a year for ten years, ?250 billion, a huge amount of money, but | :50:13. | :50:19. | |
you have also said that you will nationalise privatised industries | :50:20. | :50:21. | |
without telling us how much that will cost and at the end of all of | :50:22. | :50:25. | |
this you will have less debt than before. Less in real terms? In | :50:26. | :50:32. | |
relationship to trend GDP. So it is a smaller percent, a smaller figure? | :50:33. | :50:36. | |
As the economy grows. That is the way that economists and others, the | :50:37. | :50:40. | |
markets, value our economy. Let me take you through this. But that all | :50:41. | :50:46. | |
the to get those numbers to work, that depends on a certain rate of | :50:47. | :50:51. | |
growth of the economy otherwise it is meaningless. What is the rate of | :50:52. | :50:54. | |
growth? Let me take you through this bit by bit because we need to unpick | :50:55. | :50:58. | |
that. We will start off with the basic proposal as well. We published | :50:59. | :51:03. | |
this. No other political party, certainly not be conservatives, | :51:04. | :51:08. | |
have. You pick to Damian up on this one. Others, the ISS, other | :51:09. | :51:14. | |
independent organisations have discussed the additional money | :51:15. | :51:17. | |
needed for the Tory manifesto, ?40 billion. There is not a ? in their | :51:18. | :51:21. | |
manifesto. It is completely unposted. He had a go at you and you | :51:22. | :51:28. | |
are having a go at him. I want to come onto your own borrowing. We | :51:29. | :51:31. | |
published this on the basis of every policy being costed and funded. On | :51:32. | :51:36. | |
borrowing, on the ?25 billion, you know as well as I do that the OBR | :51:37. | :51:41. | |
multiplier is one. That means for every ?1 human invest you get at | :51:42. | :51:46. | |
least ?1 back. That will cover our borrowing as we go forward. The ?25 | :51:47. | :51:50. | |
billion a year, how have I arrived at that figure? It is from the CBI | :51:51. | :51:55. | |
saying that we need ?500 billion investment over ten years. So less | :51:56. | :51:58. | |
than a figure than the figure of economic growth that you require to | :51:59. | :52:03. | |
fund your demands? The OPI analysis is that for every ?1 human best you | :52:04. | :52:08. | |
will get a pound back so that will cover the borrowing itself. Can you | :52:09. | :52:11. | |
give us a figure in terms of the economic growth that you require? It | :52:12. | :52:15. | |
is cost neutral. It cannot be cost neutral if the economy is not | :52:16. | :52:20. | |
growing. What I'm saying is that the OBR is saying very clearly that they | :52:21. | :52:27. | |
have a multiplier ratio of one. So 1% growth? For every 1% investment, | :52:28. | :52:33. | |
you get 1% back. All point of this is that I have put forward a | :52:34. | :52:35. | |
programme that is completely cost neutral. I think we're not getting | :52:36. | :52:42. | |
anywhere here. I am trying to say to you... So what is the theory behind | :52:43. | :52:47. | |
nationalising? Our capital investment programme is cost neutral | :52:48. | :52:50. | |
because for everything you put in, you get the money back. This is the | :52:51. | :52:53. | |
Office for Budget Responsibility saying this, not me. On the | :52:54. | :52:57. | |
nationalised industries we will issue bonds for share as meaning | :52:58. | :53:01. | |
that we get an asset in return and again, that becomes cost neutral. In | :53:02. | :53:07. | |
terms of costs involved, remember that we will be getting the income | :53:08. | :53:11. | |
from those nationalised industries and that will cover the ability to | :53:12. | :53:16. | |
reduce charges on the customers, and at the same time it will cover any | :53:17. | :53:19. | |
costs incurred through investments that we need. I put it to you that | :53:20. | :53:23. | |
this depends on economic growth and on the other side, apart from the | :53:24. | :53:27. | |
top 5% that you are going for in terms of income tax and so forth, | :53:28. | :53:32. | |
there is a raft of business taxes in there, higher corporation tax and a | :53:33. | :53:37. | |
so-called Robin Hood tax. Taxes on companies that spend more than | :53:38. | :53:42. | |
?330,000 on salaries. They make sense individually, but at a time | :53:43. | :53:47. | |
when this country is on the edge of leaving the EU, and lots of | :53:48. | :53:50. | |
companies and lots of individuals are thinking, shall I say in Britain | :53:51. | :53:54. | |
or go somewhere else, this will have the effect of driving away the same | :53:55. | :53:59. | |
people you need in this country? Quite the reverse, because what we | :54:00. | :54:02. | |
do in terms of our spending policies is exactly what businesses have been | :54:03. | :54:08. | |
asking for. Long-term, patient, stable investment. They are not | :54:09. | :54:12. | |
asking for higher corporation tax. We're giving them the opportunity to | :54:13. | :54:15. | |
invest in this country alongside government, that is why we are | :54:16. | :54:19. | |
setting up a national investment bank. And this is fully costed based | :54:20. | :54:25. | |
upon the principles of what... And can I say one thing very quickly, | :54:26. | :54:29. | |
who told us that now is the time to invest because interest rates are | :54:30. | :54:35. | |
virtually zero? David Cameron -- Philip Hammond, only a couple of | :54:36. | :54:38. | |
months ago. Who knows whether he will be there in a couple of months. | :54:39. | :54:41. | |
You have been discussing union green through me, and you will be able to | :54:42. | :54:46. | |
talk to them directly in just a second but let's look at what is | :54:47. | :54:49. | |
coming up straight after this programme. Join us at 10am and we | :54:50. | :54:53. | |
will be debating one very big question. Will globalisation make | :54:54. | :54:58. | |
the world a better place? We have assembled economics, | :54:59. | :55:03. | |
environmentalists and seasoned economists to debate perhaps the | :55:04. | :55:07. | |
biggest question facing all of us. See you at 10am on BBC One. Very | :55:08. | :55:14. | |
interesting. Damian Green and John McDonnell are both back here. John | :55:15. | :55:20. | |
just mentioned Philip Hammond, the Chancellor, there is a lot of talk | :55:21. | :55:23. | |
that you are being lined up for his job. Have you had any conversation | :55:24. | :55:27. | |
with anybody about this? No. Not at all. Philip Hammond is doing a great | :55:28. | :55:31. | |
job as Chancellor and I'm sure he will continue to do so after the | :55:32. | :55:35. | |
election. Can I address something that John said, he said we're not | :55:36. | :55:39. | |
going to borrow anything but we will issue bonds. That is how governments | :55:40. | :55:43. | |
borrow money. It is absurd to say that you can take the rail | :55:44. | :55:48. | |
industry... And it is covered. You issue bonds for sharers, and the | :55:49. | :55:53. | |
income from assets then covers the costs. Simple as that. It has been | :55:54. | :55:59. | |
done by government after government. But that is borrowing. It is ?25 | :56:00. | :56:04. | |
billion plus ?40 billion for the national debt. You do not seem to | :56:05. | :56:08. | |
know how governments borrow. But that is covered by the income from | :56:09. | :56:13. | |
those assets, isn't it? Isn't it? If I take a mortgage on my house, I am | :56:14. | :56:18. | |
borrowing huge of money. I have still borrow the money. These are | :56:19. | :56:22. | |
operational companies who have profits. Those profits will... You | :56:23. | :56:28. | |
are saying it is not borrowing. It is borrowing. I am still really | :56:29. | :56:32. | |
interested in what you both think the economy needs to grow back, | :56:33. | :56:35. | |
because John McDonnell was saying that your manifesto has ?14 billion | :56:36. | :56:39. | |
of extra spending hidden inside it. That needs to come from somewhere. | :56:40. | :56:43. | |
You have huge spending commitments and that needs to come from | :56:44. | :56:46. | |
somewhere. This needs to come from the economy, how much does it have | :56:47. | :56:50. | |
to increase? We are saying that for every level of investment we are | :56:51. | :56:53. | |
putting in we will get an exact return or more solid balances out. | :56:54. | :56:59. | |
This becomes cost neutral. We have funded it, we have funded it. In | :57:00. | :57:04. | |
their manifesto, not a single ?. You have not funded a single any for the | :57:05. | :57:12. | |
National Grid, the water industry, have the energy industry. This is | :57:13. | :57:17. | |
fatuous economic talk. What happens is that you borrow the money. | :57:18. | :57:22. | |
Exactly, you borrow the money, and that adds to your borrowing total. | :57:23. | :57:28. | |
But what you're doing, in the water industry, you are an associate | :57:29. | :57:31. | |
director of the country in the water industry. You were and you made | :57:32. | :57:34. | |
quite a profit out of it. ?18 billion worth of profits paid out to | :57:35. | :57:39. | |
shareholders during your period. And what we are going to do is take that | :57:40. | :57:42. | |
money and instead of using it as dividends for rich people like you, | :57:43. | :57:48. | |
we're going to ensure it covers the costs. We will instead... Settle | :57:49. | :57:54. | |
down, both of you. Instead of giving that to dividends, we we use it to | :57:55. | :57:58. | |
cut costs. You do not understand capitalism. You certainly do, don't | :57:59. | :58:04. | |
you, because you have made a fortune out of the water companies. Can I | :58:05. | :58:09. | |
ask one thing about the Conservative plans, because what you have not | :58:10. | :58:12. | |
done is been very clear about what is going to happen to taxes if you | :58:13. | :58:17. | |
are re-elected. Is the truth not that you will actually have to pay | :58:18. | :58:22. | |
taxes up? ?14 billion means ?1000 on taxes. We have said that we are not | :58:23. | :58:32. | |
going to increase VAT. How will you fund ?40 billion? Because we will | :58:33. | :58:38. | |
not be clobbering businesses with every tax. ?40 billion will mean | :58:39. | :58:45. | |
?1000 to the average person on income tax. The three people still | :58:46. | :58:50. | |
watching are about to turn offer. Thank you to all my guests this | :58:51. | :58:57. | |
week. Next week I will be joined by the Green Party's Caroline Lucas and | :58:58. | :59:02. | |
Leanne Wood from Plaid Cymru. Thank you. Goodbye. | :59:03. | :59:06. |