03/01/2014 The Papers


03/01/2014

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all the rugby union results, as well as a look ahead to the weekend's FA

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Cup third round. All that and more in 15 minutes after the papers.

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing

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us tomorrow. With me are Alison Phillips, editor of the Mirror

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Weekend, and freelance Parliamentary correspondent Rob Merrick. Both of

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you refreshed from the festive break. The front pages.

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David Cameron's apparent frustration at the lack of female Conservative

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candidates for the next election is the Independent's lead story.

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The Daily Mail says GPs are being paid ?1500 a shift to work nights

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and weekends in overstretched A departments.

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The Financial Times highlights seven US technology firms which paid just

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?54 million in corporation tax in 2012.

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"Mad Dad" is the headline on the Mirror. It shows a father and

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daughter almost swept away by a 20-foot wave in Cornwall.

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The Sun says Only Fools and Horses is set to make a comeback to our TV

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screens. The Daily Telegraph leads on a

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warning from the Business Secretary, Vince Cable, that rising house

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prices could cause another property bubble.

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The Times says developers could be allowed to destroy ancient woodland

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if they agree to plant 100 trees for each one felled.

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And The Guardian says that the increasing number of people with

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long-term medical problems is threatening to overwhelm the NHS.

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That is where we will start, with the Guardian and the cost of

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long-term care. 70% of the budget, is the subheading, goes to

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conditions like heart disease and diabetes. I suppose part of this is

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because we have an ageing population. Yes, and in years to

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come we will find we have an ageing population but also a population

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leading a more unhealthy lifestyle. Some of the diabetes illness is

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related to obesity, so there will be twin problems for the NHS to cope

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with. At the moment, we just can't see much hope that it is equipped to

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deal with this problem. Every day we hear more stories from A that it

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is creaking under the pressure. This says the NHS will have to have a

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rethink about how it cares for these patients. Short of casting them

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adrift, I do not know what that means. The interview does not

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provide answers. It is with somebody in charge of coping with people with

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long-term conditions for the NHS. It seems familiar because we have read

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this story many times but the figures are stark. 70% of the NHS

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budget goes on people with long-term conditions. I was struck by the

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quotes which give it the extra bite because the doctor says, he would

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say to the health care equivalent of climate change, which makes you

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think. It makes the point that lifestyle factors are reckoned to be

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part of the problem - smoking, drinking, overheating. Once you have

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developed diabetes of that sort through poor lifestyle, that is it.

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It is not going away. You can manage it but there is no cure. There are

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also societal issues, in that 1500 years ago, people would be cared for

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with their families. Now that has changed. There are also issues about

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the form of care from GPs. Many of those patients are shunted into

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hospital. There seem to be a lot of stalls in the health service and

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care homes, and these poor patients are slipping between the gaps. The

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suggestion is that GPs will have to take up the slack, but the way GPs

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operate, the way we access care, often through a GP, that will have

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to change to accommodate this. GPs have increasing independence under

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the changes the government has made so I do not know how easy it will be

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to persuade or force them to change how they operate. One of the

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criticisms of the government's health changes is that they

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concentrated on opening up the NHS to the private sector. Many critics

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would say that that missed the real target, this crisis which is about

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over one the NHS. There has been a suggestion that people would not get

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treatment if they did not change their habits. If they were a smoker

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they would be expected to stop smoking before they would get a lung

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transplant. There have been those suggestions, but in reality, is it

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going to happen? We are now looking at situations where pretty much from

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birth, even from pregnancy, you have babies being born witch doctors know

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will be prone to diabetes and obesity later in life. These are

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huge problems across society and it is a much bigger thing than just the

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NHS to deal with. Society will have to deal with these problems.

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Childhood obesity, schools try to talk about it but it is not schools

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that provide the food morning, noon and night. It is bigger than food.

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It is about exercise and people's feelings of self-worth. I will just

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echo that. I am not sure anyone has the answers. This story is trying to

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put it on the agenda. White crow just another NHS story we are

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reading about. Staying with the Guardian. We did not mean to go to

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see, is the headline here. This is the picture of two people who you

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can probably see. They look quite happy, really. Two residents of Shaw

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in West Sussex, watching as the river rises around their home. It is

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a fantastic picture because they look like they are on a boat.

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Extraordinary. There are any number of striking pictures. My favourite

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was someone who sent in photos of a 1p coin and the hailstones were

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bigger than that. But that is not as serious as the situation facing

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these two. If they are managing to watch, you look remarkably cheerful.

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Elsewhere, we saw the picture of a man holding his child as the waves

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came crashing in. There have been pictures which have shown the

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severity of the storms. People taking risks. The one thing we are

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advised not to do is to head to the coast and look at the waves, and yet

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people choose to do that. There are nine severe warnings, meaning a

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threat to life. The experts say the biggest threat to life is people who

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treat it as a tourist attraction and put themselves in the way of the

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waves. He does not hold much appeal to me, I have to say. I am happy to

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watch from the TV studio. Let's have a look at the Independent.

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Conservatives snub female candidates, says an exclusive indie

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Independent. Fewer than one in three women have been selected so far in

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Tory constituencies, a frustration for Cameron, we understand. This is

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an ongoing problem for the Prime Minister who does not seem to be

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able to get out of this problem. It is often said he has a problem with

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women, they must be having said to a Labour MP, calm down, dear. He has

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been criticised as being sexist. And he has a huge political problem, in

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that Labour's poll lead is largely explained by women voters switching

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to labour and turning away from the Conservatives. One way to win them

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back might be to increase the female representation in powerful

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positions, but this says that if the Conservatives do badly at the next

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general election he would end up with fewer women MPs. The

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composition of Cabinet is lacking. He has just about managed to get in

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more women than people who have been to Eton. Just about. It is a bit

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rich for him to be going on about activists not doing enough to

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Anchorage women. He is the boss and has to lead by example. If he

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believes he wants to have an equal Cabinet and an equal number of Tory

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MPs, he has to show through policy-making that that is what he

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believes. Could it be there are not enough women coming forward of the

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right quality? But then why not? Because they obviously feel they are

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not required, not wanted. There is a feeling that Conservative

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associations would still rather pick a man. That is the traditional way.

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Is that the case, or are we buying into a stereotype? Stereotypes are

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there for a reason. Plenty of women have come forward but remarkably few

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end up making it. There are only four of the 27 members of the

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Cabinet who are women, which is scandalously low, of course. The

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Prime Minister has taken to inviting ever more people to attend Cabinet

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on particular days, to bump up the number of women. That is a valid

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point. If you have a small number of women in Cabinet, that sends a

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message to grassroot activists that actually, we will have a few women

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to make it look OK, windowdressing, but we do not really believe in it.

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Is there not an issue about who would want to be an MP for the

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reputational reasons, that MPs get criticised a lot, and also the hours

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that they keep? Many women... They have maybe hours more child

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friendly. If you look at the statistics, you have more Labour

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women MPs than conservatives. It cannot be purely about that and must

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be something about the way they are operating. It is not regarded as

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desirable. Often women decide to quit, perhaps less because of the

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hours and more about the way that Parliament operates. Everybody has

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seen Prime Minister 's questions, and it is so match and appeals less

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to women. Then there is the idea of positive discrimination, having

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quotas, which many women are uncomfortable with. They want to be

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picked because they are the best, not because of their gender. The

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first issue should be that if as a party they are putting forward women

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friendly policies and have a proper attitude towards women, away from

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the calm down, dear, mentality, which seems pervasive, that should

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be the first step. If they truly do want to do something about it.

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Ancient woods face axe in drive for homes. Government plan to offess

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loss of habitat, the idea that if you fell one tree in an ancient

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woodland a developer would have to plant 100 others to replace it.

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Ancient woodland, of course, dear to our hearts and with environmental

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reasons for good cause. We are reading about property prices and

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how the price of an average property has gone up yet again, so we're

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under pressure to build more houses. Yes, ancient woodland is something

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that really touches people's hearts. The last time I was here I got

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ticked off by somebody for suggesting that ancient woodland

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might have to go to make sure for a train line. I will be more careful

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this time. I thought it was a striking story that you could fell

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ancient trees, you know, simply by planting new ones. I suppose I find

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that surprising. I certainly think it's going to be politically

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dangerous for the Government. Everybody remembers that one of the

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most high-profile U-turns the Government has made was over the

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sale of woodland, of course. That was perhaps the first time there was

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a huge internet campaign, massive groundswell of opinion against that

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which forced the Government to think again. That was over the issue of

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woodland. Keep being told that Britain is one of the least wooded

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countries in Europe, with the land that's not under ancient woodland,

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can't we find somewhere else to build houses? It's terribly sad.

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It's not just the number of trees you'd be losing, it is the part of

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the history of that area. It's the part of the story of what that area

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has given to its local community and its local area. Once that has gone,

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that's gone forever. Yes, you'd get the same number of trees, by

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offsetting and planting elsewhere, but you're never going to recreate

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that history and that environment and all the natural habitat that's

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been in there for 400 years. Since 1600. And the biodiversity, the

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Flora and fauna that makes its home there. But we have a massive problem

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with house prices but there are brown field sites that need to be

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looked at and land owners holding onto land that need to be looked at.

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Let's look at the Sun: It makes you smile the most you read this

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headline: Lovely jubly, TV exclusive says the Sun, Only Fools to return.

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Clearly the BBC thinks that there is an audience out there to bring it

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back. I get two emotions. The first, the warm glow that everybody feels,

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almost everybody's favourite programme and it would be great if

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it returned. I read that The Script will be read by John Sullivan's son,

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John is the creator, so we can only hope that The Script writing genius

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is genetic there. The second emotion is worry that most reunions don't

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end happy. Monty Python, everybody is a bit uneasy about that. When the

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Stone Roses reformed people were queuing to get out of the gig early.

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The conditions inside. Would you be happen why I to see them back? I

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think the last two Christmas specials they did, they weren't as

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funny, towards the end. When people think about only fools and horses,

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the great moments when he fell through the bar hatch, they were

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just hillarious and whether you could match that, who knows. , it

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ain't what it used to be. We'll see. It will be on TV in the spring,

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we're told. That's the papers for this hour. Allison and Rob will be

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back again with us at 11. 30pm for another look at the stories making

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the front pages. Now on BBC News, it's time for Sportsday.

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And welcome to Sportsday. I'm Lizzie Greenwood-Hughes. Waking up to a

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whitewash? England will resume day two of the final Ashes Test in under

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an hour's time, 318 runs behind Australia. It's Arsenal v Tottenham

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in a big weekend of FA Cup action.

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