No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.
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all the rugby union results, as well as a look ahead to the weekend's FA
Cup third round. All that and more in 15 minutes after the papers.
Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing
us tomorrow. With me are Alison Phillips, editor of the Mirror
Weekend, and freelance Parliamentary correspondent Rob Merrick. Both of
you refreshed from the festive break. The front pages.
David Cameron's apparent frustration at the lack of female Conservative
candidates for the next election is the Independent's lead story.
The Daily Mail says GPs are being paid ?1500 a shift to work nights
and weekends in overstretched A departments.
The Financial Times highlights seven US technology firms which paid just
?54 million in corporation tax in 2012.
"Mad Dad" is the headline on the Mirror. It shows a father and
daughter almost swept away by a 20-foot wave in Cornwall.
The Sun says Only Fools and Horses is set to make a comeback to our TV
screens. The Daily Telegraph leads on a
warning from the Business Secretary, Vince Cable, that rising house
prices could cause another property bubble.
The Times says developers could be allowed to destroy ancient woodland
if they agree to plant 100 trees for each one felled.
And The Guardian says that the increasing number of people with
long-term medical problems is threatening to overwhelm the NHS.
That is where we will start, with the Guardian and the cost of
long-term care. 70% of the budget, is the subheading, goes to
conditions like heart disease and diabetes. I suppose part of this is
because we have an ageing population. Yes, and in years to
come we will find we have an ageing population but also a population
leading a more unhealthy lifestyle. Some of the diabetes illness is
related to obesity, so there will be twin problems for the NHS to cope
with. At the moment, we just can't see much hope that it is equipped to
deal with this problem. Every day we hear more stories from A that it
is creaking under the pressure. This says the NHS will have to have a
rethink about how it cares for these patients. Short of casting them
adrift, I do not know what that means. The interview does not
provide answers. It is with somebody in charge of coping with people with
long-term conditions for the NHS. It seems familiar because we have read
this story many times but the figures are stark. 70% of the NHS
budget goes on people with long-term conditions. I was struck by the
quotes which give it the extra bite because the doctor says, he would
say to the health care equivalent of climate change, which makes you
think. It makes the point that lifestyle factors are reckoned to be
part of the problem - smoking, drinking, overheating. Once you have
developed diabetes of that sort through poor lifestyle, that is it.
It is not going away. You can manage it but there is no cure. There are
also societal issues, in that 1500 years ago, people would be cared for
with their families. Now that has changed. There are also issues about
the form of care from GPs. Many of those patients are shunted into
hospital. There seem to be a lot of stalls in the health service and
care homes, and these poor patients are slipping between the gaps. The
suggestion is that GPs will have to take up the slack, but the way GPs
operate, the way we access care, often through a GP, that will have
to change to accommodate this. GPs have increasing independence under
the changes the government has made so I do not know how easy it will be
to persuade or force them to change how they operate. One of the
criticisms of the government's health changes is that they
concentrated on opening up the NHS to the private sector. Many critics
would say that that missed the real target, this crisis which is about
over one the NHS. There has been a suggestion that people would not get
treatment if they did not change their habits. If they were a smoker
they would be expected to stop smoking before they would get a lung
transplant. There have been those suggestions, but in reality, is it
going to happen? We are now looking at situations where pretty much from
birth, even from pregnancy, you have babies being born witch doctors know
will be prone to diabetes and obesity later in life. These are
huge problems across society and it is a much bigger thing than just the
NHS to deal with. Society will have to deal with these problems.
Childhood obesity, schools try to talk about it but it is not schools
that provide the food morning, noon and night. It is bigger than food.
It is about exercise and people's feelings of self-worth. I will just
echo that. I am not sure anyone has the answers. This story is trying to
put it on the agenda. White crow just another NHS story we are
reading about. Staying with the Guardian. We did not mean to go to
see, is the headline here. This is the picture of two people who you
can probably see. They look quite happy, really. Two residents of Shaw
in West Sussex, watching as the river rises around their home. It is
a fantastic picture because they look like they are on a boat.
Extraordinary. There are any number of striking pictures. My favourite
was someone who sent in photos of a 1p coin and the hailstones were
bigger than that. But that is not as serious as the situation facing
these two. If they are managing to watch, you look remarkably cheerful.
Elsewhere, we saw the picture of a man holding his child as the waves
came crashing in. There have been pictures which have shown the
severity of the storms. People taking risks. The one thing we are
advised not to do is to head to the coast and look at the waves, and yet
people choose to do that. There are nine severe warnings, meaning a
threat to life. The experts say the biggest threat to life is people who
treat it as a tourist attraction and put themselves in the way of the
waves. He does not hold much appeal to me, I have to say. I am happy to
watch from the TV studio. Let's have a look at the Independent.
Conservatives snub female candidates, says an exclusive indie
Independent. Fewer than one in three women have been selected so far in
Tory constituencies, a frustration for Cameron, we understand. This is
an ongoing problem for the Prime Minister who does not seem to be
able to get out of this problem. It is often said he has a problem with
women, they must be having said to a Labour MP, calm down, dear. He has
been criticised as being sexist. And he has a huge political problem, in
that Labour's poll lead is largely explained by women voters switching
to labour and turning away from the Conservatives. One way to win them
back might be to increase the female representation in powerful
positions, but this says that if the Conservatives do badly at the next
general election he would end up with fewer women MPs. The
composition of Cabinet is lacking. He has just about managed to get in
more women than people who have been to Eton. Just about. It is a bit
rich for him to be going on about activists not doing enough to
Anchorage women. He is the boss and has to lead by example. If he
believes he wants to have an equal Cabinet and an equal number of Tory
MPs, he has to show through policy-making that that is what he
believes. Could it be there are not enough women coming forward of the
right quality? But then why not? Because they obviously feel they are
not required, not wanted. There is a feeling that Conservative
associations would still rather pick a man. That is the traditional way.
Is that the case, or are we buying into a stereotype? Stereotypes are
there for a reason. Plenty of women have come forward but remarkably few
end up making it. There are only four of the 27 members of the
Cabinet who are women, which is scandalously low, of course. The
Prime Minister has taken to inviting ever more people to attend Cabinet
on particular days, to bump up the number of women. That is a valid
point. If you have a small number of women in Cabinet, that sends a
message to grassroot activists that actually, we will have a few women
to make it look OK, windowdressing, but we do not really believe in it.
Is there not an issue about who would want to be an MP for the
reputational reasons, that MPs get criticised a lot, and also the hours
that they keep? Many women... They have maybe hours more child
friendly. If you look at the statistics, you have more Labour
women MPs than conservatives. It cannot be purely about that and must
be something about the way they are operating. It is not regarded as
desirable. Often women decide to quit, perhaps less because of the
hours and more about the way that Parliament operates. Everybody has
seen Prime Minister 's questions, and it is so match and appeals less
to women. Then there is the idea of positive discrimination, having
quotas, which many women are uncomfortable with. They want to be
picked because they are the best, not because of their gender. The
first issue should be that if as a party they are putting forward women
friendly policies and have a proper attitude towards women, away from
the calm down, dear, mentality, which seems pervasive, that should
be the first step. If they truly do want to do something about it.
Ancient woods face axe in drive for homes. Government plan to offess
loss of habitat, the idea that if you fell one tree in an ancient
woodland a developer would have to plant 100 others to replace it.
Ancient woodland, of course, dear to our hearts and with environmental
reasons for good cause. We are reading about property prices and
how the price of an average property has gone up yet again, so we're
under pressure to build more houses. Yes, ancient woodland is something
that really touches people's hearts. The last time I was here I got
ticked off by somebody for suggesting that ancient woodland
might have to go to make sure for a train line. I will be more careful
this time. I thought it was a striking story that you could fell
ancient trees, you know, simply by planting new ones. I suppose I find
that surprising. I certainly think it's going to be politically
dangerous for the Government. Everybody remembers that one of the
most high-profile U-turns the Government has made was over the
sale of woodland, of course. That was perhaps the first time there was
a huge internet campaign, massive groundswell of opinion against that
which forced the Government to think again. That was over the issue of
woodland. Keep being told that Britain is one of the least wooded
countries in Europe, with the land that's not under ancient woodland,
can't we find somewhere else to build houses? It's terribly sad.
It's not just the number of trees you'd be losing, it is the part of
the history of that area. It's the part of the story of what that area
has given to its local community and its local area. Once that has gone,
that's gone forever. Yes, you'd get the same number of trees, by
offsetting and planting elsewhere, but you're never going to recreate
that history and that environment and all the natural habitat that's
been in there for 400 years. Since 1600. And the biodiversity, the
Flora and fauna that makes its home there. But we have a massive problem
with house prices but there are brown field sites that need to be
looked at and land owners holding onto land that need to be looked at.
Let's look at the Sun: It makes you smile the most you read this
headline: Lovely jubly, TV exclusive says the Sun, Only Fools to return.
Clearly the BBC thinks that there is an audience out there to bring it
back. I get two emotions. The first, the warm glow that everybody feels,
almost everybody's favourite programme and it would be great if
it returned. I read that The Script will be read by John Sullivan's son,
John is the creator, so we can only hope that The Script writing genius
is genetic there. The second emotion is worry that most reunions don't
end happy. Monty Python, everybody is a bit uneasy about that. When the
Stone Roses reformed people were queuing to get out of the gig early.
The conditions inside. Would you be happen why I to see them back? I
think the last two Christmas specials they did, they weren't as
funny, towards the end. When people think about only fools and horses,
the great moments when he fell through the bar hatch, they were
just hillarious and whether you could match that, who knows. , it
ain't what it used to be. We'll see. It will be on TV in the spring,
we're told. That's the papers for this hour. Allison and Rob will be
back again with us at 11. 30pm for another look at the stories making
the front pages. Now on BBC News, it's time for Sportsday.
And welcome to Sportsday. I'm Lizzie Greenwood-Hughes. Waking up to a
whitewash? England will resume day two of the final Ashes Test in under
an hour's time, 318 runs behind Australia. It's Arsenal v Tottenham
in a big weekend of FA Cup action.