23/01/2014 The Papers


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Australia. They have to wait until Sunday in Hobart to get their chance


to clinch the series. That in 15 minutes after the papers.


Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing


us tomorrow. With me Caroline Daniel, the editor of the weekend


Financial Times, and Torcuil Crichton, the Westminster editor at


the Daily Mail. We will start with the Independent. It says that GM


super foods could be grown in Britain as early as this year. The


Telegraph says that David Cameron believes a recovery for all is under


way, with wages rising more quickly than inflation. Onto the Guardian,


its leading on the Newsnight interview with the Bank of England


governor, who has said interest rates will not be rising any time


soon. The Express has news of a new treatment for diabetes. The


Financial Times is also leading on Mark Carney, who has been forced to


abandon his policy of linking interest rates to unemployment. And


the Daily Mail reports on claims that pensioners with cancer are


being written off as too old to treat. Lots of news coming out of


Davos, where the rich and the good and not so good are gathering. The


Prime Minister is there. He apparently, according to the Daily


Telegraph, is hailing the start of a recovery for all. And that is


following on these figures that have been released this evening by the


government that suggests people 's take-home pay, for 80% of the


population, is actually outstripping inflation. This is David Cameron's


attempt to have a win-win headline. He is trying to take on Ed


Miliband's concerns about standards of living, saying that wages are


starting to rise again. This is the kind of headline George Osborne has


been waiting for four months, as have the Financial Times. But there


are still some concerns beneath the headlines. Although he does say that


wages are rising for lots of people, we also know that over the last


year, average earnings have only gone up by 0.9%, that is below


inflation. The idea this is a dramatic rebound for everyone and


it's all going to get better from here on in, there are some caveats


here. It's the Government trying to have its cake and eat it. We've seen


unemployment go down to almost 7%, good news for everyone. The growth


figures are going to be revised. This is the Government realising it


is not just about the economy, they are also going to have to fight it


on the cost of living, which is where Ed Miliband is camped out


right now. Cameron hails recovery for all. Does it feel like it in


your pocket? No matter what the figures might suggest, and we can


discuss and argue over the figures, the question is, do people feel they


have enough money to pay the bills? Welcome to Britain where food prices


are going up, energy prices are going up, SSE put their prices up by


8% and, what do you know, their profits go up by 8%. We have kids


who worked 21 hours a week in Tesco, can't get more. We have construction


companies are putting their builders at arm's-length payroll company so


they can avoid paying tax. It's an on the waterfront economy. That's


true, but there is a genuine bounce happening. If you look at the car


industry, we reported this week that Britain had made more than 1.5


million cars last year. It's the highest number since 2007. That's a


genuine number. It put Britain on track to become the third-largest


producer in Europe. More and more people are buying new cars going


out. Things must be sort of going OK. The Government, its figures


tonight, it is saying if you take into account tax cuts up to April


2013, that year people are taking home more pay. Yeah, and if you've


got a mortgage and your mortgage interest rates are very low, then


maybe you have a bit more cash. Or to buy these cars, people are


digging into their own savings or they are going to the banks and get


another credit. We know where that ends up. It's taken a while to come,


but the growth figures are still way below the economic output that the


UK used to have before the recession. Yes, it's great news and


I'm not going to knock it, I'm really relieved to see recovery


starting to come back, but there are still caveats and we shouldn't give


Cameron too much fun. Clearly this is a victory of sorts for labour and


for Ed Miliband because they've positioned themselves on this cost


of living issue and the Conservatives now are having to


address that issue. Will this kind of thing work? They are coming at it


hard. We saw Osbourne saying that the minimum wage ought to rise to


?7. Not that he's in charge of it, not that it's going to happen until


after 2015, when he hopes he will be re-elected. There's a recognition


that people are hurting. If you are Ed Balls or George Osborne, I think


I know who is going to wake up feeling happier looking at the front


pages tomorrow out of the two of them. Mike microbe the Financial


Times. Six months ago it was said if the rate of unemployment falls to


7%, then he would consider raising interest rates. He's not doing that


now, so that policy is dead in the water. It's the biggest story to


come out of Davos. I like the choice of language. His big idea is set to


bite the dust. This was the policy that if unemployment fell to below


7%, it fell to 7.1% this week and in Scotland it is below 7%, he would


then look at rising -- raising the interest rates, which would be bad


news for borrowers everywhere, but would keep the lid on inflation. He


has now turned round in an interview saying, forget it. Is his


credibility shot or is he simply adapting to the changed


circumstances of the economy? That is his line, but the fact is it is


embarrassing for the Bank of England. In terms of their


forecasting policy and their ability to predict the future. When Mark


Carney arrived on the job, he said in August, when he announced this


plan about how he was going to govern the Bank of England policy,


they forecast at that point that you wouldn't get to 7% unemployment


until mid-2016. A few months later they changed that to mid-2015. Now


we're looking at a potentially happening this year. But everyone


got that wrong. That is true, but that's a pretty big miss. That was


the sort of cornerstone of his policy. He linked it explicitly to


unemployment numbers. Now he is broadening it out saying it's not


just about unemployment rates, he's looking at the wider economy as


well. He is making clear this matters to you and I, the interest


rate side. He is not saying that interest rates are poised to rise.


The whole point about the problem is that the country is facing is that


there is a massive lack of confidence. People won't go out and


spend, company bosses won't go out and hire and invest in new plants.


Him saying interest rates will not rise until unemployment reaches 7%


gave people confidence. In fact, that forward guidance has caused the


increase... In car sales and everything else. I like Carney


because he's already got excuses lined up. He says, we are wrong, but


we'd rather be wrong in the right direction. I like the cut of his


jib. He's a very political Bank of England governor. He didn't hesitate


to come out against Ed Miliband's plan. He's going to Scotland next


week. I'm really interested to hear what he has to say about Alex


Salmond's currency plans. And I love the fact that George Osborne is


letting it be known at Davos that he is relaxed about interest rates


rising. I would expect some business groups and households to say, we are


not very relaxed about it, we got loads of big debt still. I suspect


he isn't relaxed about the interest rate rise. But then that's just me.


Onto the Guardian. Road cameras. Privacy fear over 26 million images


taken daily by road cameras. The Guardian has really been pushing the


whole issue of secrecy and surveillance over the last few


months. This story is very close to that. It's another data privacy


story. I was wondering what Chris Huhne might feel reading this


story, about whether we can now go back in time to what might have been


caught on that road camera. That bloke who was caught driving the car


with his hands behind his head at 60 mph. There will be great things on


that database. Do I care that my car has been caught speeding? We've all


been caught speeding at one time. The Guardian have spent a year


campaigning against the invasion of privacy by the CIA and MI6. Who


needs these guys, we've got speed cameras! They are storing 17 billion


images. A number of these cameras has doubled on the roads. As a


driver, I'm more concerned about that than the privacy implications.


I thought non-Muslim had filming them anyway. A sort of placebo. --


thought non-them had film in them anyway. Having done the failed Tiger


Tiger bombing down there in London, they then went on the run. They were


picked up, the number plate was picked up on these cameras. Too late


to stop them going to Glasgow airport, but the cops were on to


them. For some people, potentially the Guardian, they would argue that


these things are on the road and are supposed to be catching speeding and


traffic offences. If the images are being used for other things then


that is an invasion of privacy. Conversely you could say it is


looking after us all. Let's go on to the Independent. Treasury officials


to warn public of risks of leaving the EU. What is this detailing? I


quite like this story. The Government is getting civil servants


to get ready briefing notes for the possible referendum on the EU,


giving people the facts on the arguments against Britain leaving


the EU. This outrages anti-union paean and Eurosceptic MPs, who say


it is officials attempting to scare the public in favour of a yes vote.


For me, it echoes of the early days of the current Scottish referendum


debate, where you've got Whitehall and Westminster pumping up these


papers on reasons for Scotland not to leave Britain, and the SNP


government saying, you are just trying to scare people as Project


fear. The UK Government is getting ready to enter that. The European


debate is almost an empty room now. The only people in it are people


talking about leaving. The people who are talking about staying...


It's a slightly odd headline to say civil servants will play a critical


role setting out the economic risks. Of course they should. They should


be weighing up the pros and cons of a big change in public policy. What


is interesting behind this story is in the last week or two, you've seen


a lot more pro-European debate come out. More big companies come out,


people like JPMorgan warn about the risks if British business pulled out


of the EU. I think this is in some ways part of a wider debate. You are


seeing more noise around the pro-European campaign. These guys


are late to the party. We've had more than a year now, a UKIP


bandwagon rolling, and anti-immigration bandwagon rolling


will stop the narrative is all about... You've even got George


Osborne throwing red meat to the Tories. The idea that putting some


facts together is going to scare the public into a yes vote seems a


rather surreal argument, when everyone is worried about UKIP.


Living apart, apparently, maybe the secret to a marriage. I think it is


Mia Farrow... Actually, they lived apart, very famously. That clearly


didn't work for them. The Batman director. Do you know something we


don't? These things are always hard to manage over a long time. This


promises more than it delivers. It does say 700,000 people in Britain


live happily apart. But it says a lot of them have a family in the


country, the husband works in London. I don't think that


necessarily means they are living apart. Someone is working incredibly


hard in London during the week and probably can't afford a big house.


It is a very Sunday kind of story on the front page of a daily. You get


these statistics from which you can extrapolate a pattern or trend, and


then you stick in a psychologist or expert to back-up the statistics,


that you can be happy living apart, I call is living alone, and, bingo,


there is a story. I don't know if it is a story for the front page, but I


guess they wanted to lighten it up. We are going to go back to The


Guardian. Actually, we are going onto the Daily Mirror. I have no


idea what the story is. It is Justin Bieber, I am being told. It is also


on the front of the Guardian. Busted, Justin Bieber. No shame,


that is a different story. Busted, cuffed, drug bust Bieber.


Bbc.co.uk/thebigquestions I think if you have 15 million followers on


Twitter, the second most followed person in the world, people are


going to be interested in this story and talking about it. For me, the


question is if it is slightly and organised bit of criminality to make


him change his brand image. We have seen that with Miley Cyrus, a Disney


star gets reinvented as a controversial, edgy youngster. His


father was apparently there all along, on the sidelines as he drove


his Lamborghini. He could go to jail, though? We have not got there


yet, but I think there will be a lot of debate about what is behind the


story. He looks edgy, he looks like a jailbird, he is smiling in his


mugshot. It may be an attempt to rebrand him. It may be that he is a


teenager out of control. But a yellow Lamborghini? He is not cool


in my book. You are saying this is part of a concerted campaign and


this has happened in the past, he is getting to 19, so perhaps he is


getting beyond those years. The grand old age of 19. He is growing


out of the teenybopper situation. One would suggest that the majority


of those that follow him on Twitter are of a certain age. But he is


trying to appeal to a wider audience? He is worth about $150


million. I think you can afford to have as many yellow Lamborghini is


as he likes. What's interesting is that his reputation has started to


diminish in terms his actual success as a pop star. Has it? Is not


selling as many records? Not as many as he was a few years ago. He has


?150 million to spend, so I think he has probably learned to drive his


car fast. He rented the car, it wasn't even his. Talking of


Caroline, we are going to be back in a hour's time for a look at the


headlines behind the stories. At the top of the hour we are going to have


the latest on the Government claiming that take-home pay has


actually gone up, in real terms, for most people in Britain. Now time for


Sportsday. Hello and welcome to Sportsday. I'm


Mike Bushell, the headlines


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