25/07/2014 The Papers


25/07/2014

No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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had their first gold in the pool and we will have all the drama from the

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velodrome as Joanna Rowsell won her first major title. That is coming up

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in 15 minutes. Welcome to our look ahead to what

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the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.

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With me are Matthew Syed from the Times and Tony Grew, Parliamentary

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Many of the front pages are already in.

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The Mail says police will seize the mobile phones

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of every driver involved in a car crash, as part of a crackdown

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have had their day" according to the new Planning Minister,

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He says almost half the population is now in favour of new housing.

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The Financial Times marks the economy returning to the size it

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The Guardian reports that expensive housing developments in London are

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segregating less well`off tenants from wealthier homeowners by forcing

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The Times says the US is urgently investigating reports Islamist

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militants in Iraq have got hold of surface`to`air missiles which

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Major airlines are still flying over the conflict zone,

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The Express claims that a group of suspected illegal migrants have

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been arrested for trying to sneak out of the UK.

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Let's begin with the Financial Times. They have a pretty graph for

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us to look at. Longest slump in a century ends, Osborne hails

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milestone, Tories by election pay`out, Miliband looks at image

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politics. It depends whether you believe this that this tax, if I can

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say the word, because some people are casting doubt on whether we are

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out of the woods `` the statistics. We are, it has taken us a long time

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to get here. I believe them. The question is not whether the

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statistics say people have come out of the recession but does life

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you'll better for people, that will decide if the Tories can hold on.

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Labour's desertion is that while we may be out of a recession and things

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are getting better, that cost of living squeeze is still going on and

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people do not feel things are going better for them in their lives. How

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confident the electorate are in May 2015 will be a factor in how people

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vote. The key statistic that Tony has missed, although it is correct

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the economy is slightly eager than it was when the recession first hit,

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because the population has grown, GDP per person or income per capita

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has gone down by 4%, and that is one reason people feel squeezed. Looking

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forward, it is well established among forecasters that the economy

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will grow faster in the UK than any other major economy by 3.2% this

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year. That presents Labour with a challenge, even on competence Tories

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are scoring higher than Labour and that is a strong indicator of how

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people vote. Labour are saying it is not as good as it might seem but

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they have to start articulating a more positive vision of how they are

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trusted with the economy, how they will build faster growth and build

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the economy. I was lucky enough to be at the Labour international

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Holocene forum last Sunday, and Ed Miliband gave a speech saying they

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are not going back to new Labour but they are not going back to old new

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Labour, and they are aware that fiscal confidence is key, they have

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to convince the voters they will not have a convinced of the tax and

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spend policies. You could argue about that, borrow and spend

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policies. They had that last time around, borrowing to invest and then

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they breached it. I'm not sure all the markets will take those

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assertions seriously. If you look at the fact the economy is back to what

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it was, economic growth has been pretty much zero over the last six

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years. Between the second century ET and 1800, global economic growth was

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zero. The reason it began picking up was because of the Industrial

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Revolution and market economics. They have driven economic growth and

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that is that rain Tony Blair took new Labour onto, he talked about

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growth and tax efficiency and that resonated and made sense. In terms

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of contact, 200 years is not bad. To be fair it was 2000 years, we went

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back to BC there. I don't think you can blame Ed Miliband for that and

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Tony Blair was lucky to come in as the economy was starting to bloom.

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If you're lucky enough to comment when the economy is booming you have

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a lot of money to spend on and schools, like David Cameron you

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comment touring a recession you have to have a focus. Growth is the key

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economic issue. Without growth you were not have the money to spend and

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that is that rain Labour need to get off too. Staying with the FT, lunch

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`` Russia launches Mack attack. As a headline goes, that is pretty good.

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The West is invading the `` threatening further sanctions

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against Russia because of Ukraine and Moscow is hitting back at the

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cheeseburgers. They are saying the hygiene standards of the products

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sold by McDonald's do not meet Russian standards. What is brilliant

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is that this is supposed to be an independent Russia consumer

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protection agency and one gets the impression it may not be quite as

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independent as one may hope. This agency banned Latvian sprats during

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a real dispute with reader, Georgian wine during another war and Polish

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port, so it may just be that it is a political ruse, am I being cynical?

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No. But it struck me that it is 25 years since McDonald's began

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operating in Russia and I am told this was an iconic image, Russians

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queueing in wet square to go to McDonald's. `` in red Square. You

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worry they might be moving slightly backwards. A big Mack and fries to

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anyone who can pronounce the name of the agency correctly. That is not

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bad. I like the accent. Do I get the fries? I have thrown myself there

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with me terrible joke. I fear ending up in welfare says Esther McVey.

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This is the former TV presenter who is very telegenic, as they argue,

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part of the raft of women brought in during the reshuffle and she says

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she feared one day she could fall on hard times and end up on benefits.

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This is a big change in tone. I am still smiling at raft of women,

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there was a lot about that. Floating on the Thames. There was speculation

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she would be promoted to Cabinet, she can attend Cabinet but she is

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still a Minister of State and we were told she would do be doing more

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TV and being the face of the party. She is a woman from Liverpool, she

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looks different to the Tories and now it seems she is sending out a

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different message to her boss Iain Duncan Smith. One area in which the

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Tories are keen to shore up their image is women voters, so it is

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interesting Esther McVey saying she fears having to go on benefits and I

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suspect that is up here a lot of women will share and that is quite

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she is putting out this message. I agree with a lot of that but I think

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her point is a good one, in a dynamic economy where people have to

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change jobs, we should not vilify people on benefits. That has been

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the tone for a long time under Iain Duncan Smith. All of us at some

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stage may have to go on benefits. And none of us is very far away from

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needing to go on benefits. Especially in the media, and she is

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saying we should think of it as a way of nurturing people back into

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work, and that may resonate with people who were scared about losing

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their job. It has moved from morality, Iain Duncan Smith's

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argument was that it was immoral to leave people on benefits and now it

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is about empathy and what people may consider dominant traits. ``

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feminine traits. Femininity, so be a male construct. At million pound

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boost to the taxpayer through RBS. Its state has surged through ?3.3

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billion. We paid ?43 billion for this so I am not sure how excited we

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should be. 81% of the bank is owned by the taxpayer. We bought the

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shares at ?500 and they are still only at 360 4p. `` 500 p. Maybe we

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will get our money back one day but Matthew may know more about this

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than me because he has more investments. I don't have shares in

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RBS. You rate taxpayer, you do. I do, but I seem to remember that the

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way the bank were structured, they split it into a good bag and bad

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bank, so the toxic elements were in the bad bank and it seems to have

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brought to an extent. I agree it hasn't come back to its 2008

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valuation that the amount the taxpayer is in for is significantly

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reduced. It may be worth saying this is a good news story. It says it is

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good news that after the hard work of the British people, that is a

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different story. Let's move on to the Daily Mail. Police to seize

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mobile is in every car crash. Crackdown in calls and texting at

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the wheel. This seems like a sensible thing to do. Totally, and

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every time I am cut up on the road and look at the person, it seems to

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be someone on the phone so it seems a rational thing to do to deter faux

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news at the wheel. Before coming on I took a look at the academic

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evidence, and a lot of the weight put on trying to deter the use of

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mobile phones is based on a 1997 study which may have been superseded

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by a study in California three or four days ago, where they looked at

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the change in Californian laws after 2000 but `` mobile phones were

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banned and they do not think the ban has had much of an effect on

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motoring safety. That sounds very counterintuitive. I also looked at a

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meta` studies. What is a meta` study? It collates evidence from

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different studies to get a more robust finding and they also didn't

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seem to think, I find this... Evidentially it is unnecessary but

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they will do it anyway. It is fair to say it is ambiguous. I was at a

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lunch with the Transport Secretary. He gets to so many places. Patrick

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McLoughlin was saying that one death on the roads is too many, but the UK

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has done well in cutting the amount of deaths from drunk driving, people

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not wearing seat belts, but he was worried about the rise of incidents

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and people being killed in accidents because of mobile phones. This is

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not just coming from Meta data or politicians, this is the police

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saying they want this to happen and there is talk of increasing penalty

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points. I am not sure how practical it will be for police to seize every

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mobile phones but I think it is a move in the right direction. to

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something that is being stopped from happening in New York, according to

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this article. The mayor of his `` of New York has

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set this. This has been going on in London for a wild. I'm a people that

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live in tower blocks were the first eight floors... Councils. Building

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houses for various reasons. Developers are building houses, and

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what comes from that is as segregation, the apartheid and

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housing. The article says there is a justification for this from the

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point of view of the property developer. What they're talking is a

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single development with two different doors, but what has

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happened far more often is having the prestige development and then

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building the social housing in a different part of London come on

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that is a different part of London, two different sites, but what the

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developers have responded to, not unexpectedly, if they have the same

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insurance, glass, slick, carpets, the service charge for those in

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social housing would be far higher, so they say they are doing it to

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mitigate the cost of the service, and they would say that. It is

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really going again social cohesion, that this policy was supposed to

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create. We will come back again with Tony and Matthew and lots more

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statistics at half past 11. Stay with us, because coming up next, we

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will go over the day's sports. Hello and welcome to

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Commonwealth Games Sportsday.

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