25/07/2014 The Papers


No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.

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had their first gold in the pool and we will have all the drama from the


velodrome as Joanna Rowsell won her first major title. That is coming up


in 15 minutes. Welcome to our look ahead to what


the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.


With me are Matthew Syed from the Times and Tony Grew, Parliamentary


Many of the front pages are already in.


The Mail says police will seize the mobile phones


of every driver involved in a car crash, as part of a crackdown


have had their day" according to the new Planning Minister,


He says almost half the population is now in favour of new housing.


The Financial Times marks the economy returning to the size it


The Guardian reports that expensive housing developments in London are


segregating less well`off tenants from wealthier homeowners by forcing


The Times says the US is urgently investigating reports Islamist


militants in Iraq have got hold of surface`to`air missiles which


Major airlines are still flying over the conflict zone,


The Express claims that a group of suspected illegal migrants have


been arrested for trying to sneak out of the UK.


Let's begin with the Financial Times. They have a pretty graph for


us to look at. Longest slump in a century ends, Osborne hails


milestone, Tories by election pay`out, Miliband looks at image


politics. It depends whether you believe this that this tax, if I can


say the word, because some people are casting doubt on whether we are


out of the woods `` the statistics. We are, it has taken us a long time


to get here. I believe them. The question is not whether the


statistics say people have come out of the recession but does life


you'll better for people, that will decide if the Tories can hold on.


Labour's desertion is that while we may be out of a recession and things


are getting better, that cost of living squeeze is still going on and


people do not feel things are going better for them in their lives. How


confident the electorate are in May 2015 will be a factor in how people


vote. The key statistic that Tony has missed, although it is correct


the economy is slightly eager than it was when the recession first hit,


because the population has grown, GDP per person or income per capita


has gone down by 4%, and that is one reason people feel squeezed. Looking


forward, it is well established among forecasters that the economy


will grow faster in the UK than any other major economy by 3.2% this


year. That presents Labour with a challenge, even on competence Tories


are scoring higher than Labour and that is a strong indicator of how


people vote. Labour are saying it is not as good as it might seem but


they have to start articulating a more positive vision of how they are


trusted with the economy, how they will build faster growth and build


the economy. I was lucky enough to be at the Labour international


Holocene forum last Sunday, and Ed Miliband gave a speech saying they


are not going back to new Labour but they are not going back to old new


Labour, and they are aware that fiscal confidence is key, they have


to convince the voters they will not have a convinced of the tax and


spend policies. You could argue about that, borrow and spend


policies. They had that last time around, borrowing to invest and then


they breached it. I'm not sure all the markets will take those


assertions seriously. If you look at the fact the economy is back to what


it was, economic growth has been pretty much zero over the last six


years. Between the second century ET and 1800, global economic growth was


zero. The reason it began picking up was because of the Industrial


Revolution and market economics. They have driven economic growth and


that is that rain Tony Blair took new Labour onto, he talked about


growth and tax efficiency and that resonated and made sense. In terms


of contact, 200 years is not bad. To be fair it was 2000 years, we went


back to BC there. I don't think you can blame Ed Miliband for that and


Tony Blair was lucky to come in as the economy was starting to bloom.


If you're lucky enough to comment when the economy is booming you have


a lot of money to spend on and schools, like David Cameron you


comment touring a recession you have to have a focus. Growth is the key


economic issue. Without growth you were not have the money to spend and


that is that rain Labour need to get off too. Staying with the FT, lunch


`` Russia launches Mack attack. As a headline goes, that is pretty good.


The West is invading the `` threatening further sanctions


against Russia because of Ukraine and Moscow is hitting back at the


cheeseburgers. They are saying the hygiene standards of the products


sold by McDonald's do not meet Russian standards. What is brilliant


is that this is supposed to be an independent Russia consumer


protection agency and one gets the impression it may not be quite as


independent as one may hope. This agency banned Latvian sprats during


a real dispute with reader, Georgian wine during another war and Polish


port, so it may just be that it is a political ruse, am I being cynical?


No. But it struck me that it is 25 years since McDonald's began


operating in Russia and I am told this was an iconic image, Russians


queueing in wet square to go to McDonald's. `` in red Square. You


worry they might be moving slightly backwards. A big Mack and fries to


anyone who can pronounce the name of the agency correctly. That is not


bad. I like the accent. Do I get the fries? I have thrown myself there


with me terrible joke. I fear ending up in welfare says Esther McVey.


This is the former TV presenter who is very telegenic, as they argue,


part of the raft of women brought in during the reshuffle and she says


she feared one day she could fall on hard times and end up on benefits.


This is a big change in tone. I am still smiling at raft of women,


there was a lot about that. Floating on the Thames. There was speculation


she would be promoted to Cabinet, she can attend Cabinet but she is


still a Minister of State and we were told she would do be doing more


TV and being the face of the party. She is a woman from Liverpool, she


looks different to the Tories and now it seems she is sending out a


different message to her boss Iain Duncan Smith. One area in which the


Tories are keen to shore up their image is women voters, so it is


interesting Esther McVey saying she fears having to go on benefits and I


suspect that is up here a lot of women will share and that is quite


she is putting out this message. I agree with a lot of that but I think


her point is a good one, in a dynamic economy where people have to


change jobs, we should not vilify people on benefits. That has been


the tone for a long time under Iain Duncan Smith. All of us at some


stage may have to go on benefits. And none of us is very far away from


needing to go on benefits. Especially in the media, and she is


saying we should think of it as a way of nurturing people back into


work, and that may resonate with people who were scared about losing


their job. It has moved from morality, Iain Duncan Smith's


argument was that it was immoral to leave people on benefits and now it


is about empathy and what people may consider dominant traits. ``


feminine traits. Femininity, so be a male construct. At million pound


boost to the taxpayer through RBS. Its state has surged through ?3.3


billion. We paid ?43 billion for this so I am not sure how excited we


should be. 81% of the bank is owned by the taxpayer. We bought the


shares at ?500 and they are still only at 360 4p. `` 500 p. Maybe we


will get our money back one day but Matthew may know more about this


than me because he has more investments. I don't have shares in


RBS. You rate taxpayer, you do. I do, but I seem to remember that the


way the bank were structured, they split it into a good bag and bad


bank, so the toxic elements were in the bad bank and it seems to have


brought to an extent. I agree it hasn't come back to its 2008


valuation that the amount the taxpayer is in for is significantly


reduced. It may be worth saying this is a good news story. It says it is


good news that after the hard work of the British people, that is a


different story. Let's move on to the Daily Mail. Police to seize


mobile is in every car crash. Crackdown in calls and texting at


the wheel. This seems like a sensible thing to do. Totally, and


every time I am cut up on the road and look at the person, it seems to


be someone on the phone so it seems a rational thing to do to deter faux


news at the wheel. Before coming on I took a look at the academic


evidence, and a lot of the weight put on trying to deter the use of


mobile phones is based on a 1997 study which may have been superseded


by a study in California three or four days ago, where they looked at


the change in Californian laws after 2000 but `` mobile phones were


banned and they do not think the ban has had much of an effect on


motoring safety. That sounds very counterintuitive. I also looked at a


meta` studies. What is a meta` study? It collates evidence from


different studies to get a more robust finding and they also didn't


seem to think, I find this... Evidentially it is unnecessary but


they will do it anyway. It is fair to say it is ambiguous. I was at a


lunch with the Transport Secretary. He gets to so many places. Patrick


McLoughlin was saying that one death on the roads is too many, but the UK


has done well in cutting the amount of deaths from drunk driving, people


not wearing seat belts, but he was worried about the rise of incidents


and people being killed in accidents because of mobile phones. This is


not just coming from Meta data or politicians, this is the police


saying they want this to happen and there is talk of increasing penalty


points. I am not sure how practical it will be for police to seize every


mobile phones but I think it is a move in the right direction. to


something that is being stopped from happening in New York, according to


this article. The mayor of his `` of New York has


set this. This has been going on in London for a wild. I'm a people that


live in tower blocks were the first eight floors... Councils. Building


houses for various reasons. Developers are building houses, and


what comes from that is as segregation, the apartheid and


housing. The article says there is a justification for this from the


point of view of the property developer. What they're talking is a


single development with two different doors, but what has


happened far more often is having the prestige development and then


building the social housing in a different part of London come on


that is a different part of London, two different sites, but what the


developers have responded to, not unexpectedly, if they have the same


insurance, glass, slick, carpets, the service charge for those in


social housing would be far higher, so they say they are doing it to


mitigate the cost of the service, and they would say that. It is


really going again social cohesion, that this policy was supposed to


create. We will come back again with Tony and Matthew and lots more


statistics at half past 11. Stay with us, because coming up next, we


will go over the day's sports. Hello and welcome to


Commonwealth Games Sportsday.


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