06/01/2016 The Papers


No need to wait to see what's in the papers - Clive Myrie presents a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.

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body. We will also have the latest in the League Cup and the latest


from the BDO world darts Championship. That is after the


papers. -- The Papers. Hello and welcome to our look ahead


to what the the papers will be With me are the political


commentator Lance Price and Bronwyn Curtis, from the Society


of Business Economists. We will start with the Financial


Times which says the Chancellor George Osborne warns that unless


tough economic reforms are stuck to, it could mark the beginning of the


decline for the British economy. He cites the Chinese slowdown and


plummeting oil prices as two crucial factors. The I talks about five


extremists it says have slipped out of the country despite travel bans.


The Metro has a story that exams have been altered amid concerns that


Muslim children fasting during Ramadan will be unable to produce


their best work. That story is also on the front page of the Daily Mail


and there is a picture of Prince George of on his first day to


nursery. The Daily Express warns Britain will


freeze with snow and subzero temperatures heralding the start of


proper winter weather. The Guardian leads on North Korea's


claims it has tested a hydrogen bomb.


There are doubts about the type of device that was detonated.


The Telegraph says the Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump


has threatened to withdraw nilly 700 millions of pounds of investment in


Scotland as he hits back at attempts to ban him from the country.


Lance, we will start with the Guardian. Defiant Hilary Benn, still


Shadow Foreign Secretary declares I have not been muzzled. The


suggestion is that part of the deal for him staying in his post would


not be as this difference as he has been in declaring his opposition to


certain elements of the Labour leadership's policies. But he is


saying he has not been muzzled. I spent much of the afternoon down at


Westminster. I have spoken to some of the people at the centre of the


story. Those around Hillary Benn are absolutely adamant that not only has


he not signed up to any new terms of agreement or be muzzled as it might


have been described, but he was never even asked to do so. I think


there has been a lot of very let's say I'm helpful briefing, both


before, during and after this lengthy and rather preposterous at


times reshuffle. That is another piece of disinformation that has


been thrown into the pot. He will carry on as before. Bronwen, with


your outsider eyes, if you don't mind me saying that, what does this


look like to you? They are opposition, they are supposed to be


keeping checks and balances on the Conservatives and we have all this


going on. I see this over and over and I think, not again. Coming from


the outside, when I was in business and I had people, I wanted the best


people around me. I wanted to employ the best people. Even if they don't


agree with you. What you should be able to do, if you are a leader and


if you are good enough, and I always hoped I was good enough, to bring


them all along with you, so you really can be an effective business,


opposition, government, whatever it is. I find this a little bit


surprising, and a bit unnerving that did he not have the best people


before? Does he have the best people now? That is an important point


because normally reshuffles are there to clear away the dead wood.


You might want to get somebody better into their post but these are


very good performers. These are some of the brightest people on Labour's


front bench who appeared to pose a threat real or imaginary to Jeremy


Corbyn. They are people that any Labour leader would want. Who is at


fault for this? Does the blame for the handling of this whole thing I


at Seamus Milne's door? He is the director of communications. There


are questions being asked publicly about Seamus Milne. Labour should


have been out there campaigning on the floods and rail fares and the


health service and all sorts of things which really matter to


people. The story was allowed to run and run, including the threat to


Hilary Benn's position. If this position was never under threat,


they had plenty of opportunity to kill that story if they had wanted


to. They kept it going. It was badly handled if media terms but also in


political terms. It has been pretty shabby. North Korea's hydrogen bomb


sends shock waves through the UN. It is not the first time they have done


it, I think it is the fourth time they have set off some sort of


nuclear device, shall we say. No one is clear if it is the more powerful


hydrogen bomb or the common or garden atom bomb. That is bad


enough! Apparently, the seismic measurement was such that it


probably was not a hydrogen bomb. The interesting thing about this


particular article is it is talking about how will the UN react to this.


It is the first time that China has joined in the global protest against


this nuclear test. They are looking now at what they are going to do. I


think in this article the UN ambassador for Japan is saying the


UN needs to do something quickly, in terms of sanctions. They're already


20 entity is and I think 12 individuals who have sanctions


against them, and I think they want increase that. Normally, North


Korea, they set off some kind of device or they fire a missile across


the Straits of two pan, they do this to get attention and they do this to


try and get concessions from the international community. -- the


Straits of Japan. Setting of a hydrogen bomb will have the opposite


effect and tighten sanctions against? And there have been


previous stories where they appear to stop doing this sort of thing to


get sanctions lifted, but once again it raises questions about how


effective these sanctions can ever be, and whether or not the nutcases


who run countries like North Korea really care. Those at the top are


already subject to sanctions so you add another 20 names to the list,


does that make any difference at all to the intentions of the regime? It


may well be a publicity stunt. They want to be noticed, they want to be


taken seriously. They probably like the fact the UN Security Council has


to be formed in response to them. This shows the weakness of the


United Nations rather than the strength.


Onto the I, Bronwyn, five more extremist slipped out of the UK? How


difficult is it to get out of the UK? Clearly quite easy, even if you


have a passport. Your passport is checked on the way in, but I cannot


remember the last time my passport was checked on the way out and that


is the problem. You do have your photograph taken now and I'm sure


they're not instigated enough to have face recognition that sort of


thing. Also, if you warn these people that they should be handing


in their passports, I think, if I was a terrorist, I would be getting


out of the country. I think they will have to tighten it up. The


pressure is really being put on Theresa May now and the Home Office


over this. The question is what do you do? Theresa May has indicated


they will introduce passport checks on exits from the UK but that in


itself does not mean anything. As an island nation it is easy enough to


slip out of the country. How far do you go in the other direction? It is


worth noting that of the five people the story talks about, three of them


are supposed to have been killed in drone strikes since they left.


Clearly, it is preferable to make sure they don't leave in the first


place. Do you start putting electronic tag some people so you


can monitor them electronic way to find out where they are? The person


at the centre of all this had not been before a judge. He was only on


police bail. They're always questions about how far you can go.


Onto the Financial Times. Osborne warns of a risk -- cocktail of risks


over China and the slump in oil. I think the global economy is in for a


bumpy ride and what he's saying is a lot of these are external. China, we


have seen the stock markets have really taken a beating this week


over the slowdown in China, the slump in oil prices, oil prices


below $35 for the first time in 25 years. Tensions we have talked about


between Saudi Arabia and Iran and therefore, they won't get together


in Opec and perhaps try and push oil prices up. What he's saying is,


don't forget there a crisis, we are not through it yet, we still have to


deal with austerity and we cannot let it go. Is he saying we are going


to miss another deficit reduction target? I think he's indicating


that. There was a comment at Christmas that the growth figures


were better than he thought, now he looks like the opposite is the case.


Bronwyn is the expert not me, there are huge shocks like the situation


in China, the fall in the price of oil, and how is a bit more austerity


Britain is supposed to protect us from that, I don't understand. I


think one of the problems is if growth slows then you don't get the


tax revenues in, and so if you let off the brakes, it all starts to


balloon out again. All right. We will end it finally on the Daily


Telegraph. Trump's ?700 million threat to the UK. Basically, some of


his comments in the United States have ruffled feathers around the


world, as he runs for the leadership of the Republican party and to be


contender for the White House. Some Brits are suggesting he


Basically, this is his threat. But he is


million and I am not going to do that. He is running a business, so


obviously, his business requires him to invest in what he already has in


Scotland. Could he be making that up? Donald Trump makes a lot of


threats! He seems to have a poor understanding of how British


democracy works. There may be a debate in the House of Commons but


he will not be banned from coming here so this will not arise. You


will both be back in an hour's time. Thank you. Stay with us on BBC News.


Much more, not but now it is time for


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