15/02/2016 The Papers

Leeds and Middlesbrough and we will bring you the controversy involving

Ronnie O'Sullivan in the Welsh Open. That, after the papers.

Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

With me tonight our guests are the education editor

for the Sunday Times Sian Griffiths and Kiran Stacey, who's

Let's have a look at some of the front pages.

The Financial Times claims there could be a showdown

in parliament between Eurosceptic ministers and David Cameron,

NHS funding is the Independent's main story, as a whistleblower

claims hospitals are under pressure to underplay the scale

The Telegraph quotes new figures, which suggest there's been

the biggest rise in annual death rates in England and Wales

The wreckage of a hospital in Syria, which was hit with an airstrike,

is pictured on the front of the Metro.

The Guardian carries comments from a leaked report

from the Department of Health, which claims a 7 day a week NHS may

Immune cell therapy could be used to help cure cancer,

according to research quoted in the Times.

And back to the EU with the Express, saying any negotiations by the

pro-minister could be changed after the referendum by MEPs.

That is our top story, Cameron's EU deal is a con. Are we being sold a

dud? That is what the express is suggesting and the Telegraph is also

leading on the EU deal. It will be a really interesting week. David

Cameron on Thursday is hoping to secure this new deal in Brussels. If

he gets that on Thursday, he will then go and take it to the Cabinet

on Friday and try to sell the deal. I think there is a last-minute

battle going on, with Poland in particular, over these child benefit

payments to migrant workers. Cameron wants to link that benefit to the

cost of living in their home countries. They want to keep it as

the cost of the benefit in Britain. I think this whole idea that it

might be a : con, of course they could decide to have another

referendum or reverse it, if we decide to come out of the EU and

maybe Labour gets in next time round. I don't see why Labour

couldn't have another referendum on the whole thing could be reversed

and we might go back in. Apart from that, of course, MEPs also have to

vote, so even if... They could just reversed it all.

What's interesting is the debate, it seems to be revolving around, as far

as the renegotiations are concerned, migrants and the migrant question.

Yet David Cameron is in France today and it is all about financial reform

and the French being worried that apparently the British are going to

get a better deal because they are outside the euro zone. David Cameron

has to face two directions, a message for the British public who

will vote on this one way or another, and I think that will be

tendered around migration. That is what the Conservatives feel is the

most important issue on people's minds when they think of the EU.

There are other things they want to achieve, whether on financial

reform, encouraging free trade, other things the Conservatives want

to do and other European countries are worried about. He has to go to

Paris and say we don't want the City of London to run wild over all your

financial sectors, you to other places and reassure them as well.

The suggestion in this Express story is it is a con because Parliament

could vote it down and the head of the parliament, Martin Schultz of

throwing his weight around sometimes when he feels that needs to be done,

he has been saying, we as parliamentarians could vote all this

down. I'm pretty sure that won't happen. That would be a serious

constitutional crisis within the EU and I don't think parliamentarians

are likely to turn round their governments who have negotiated this

in the first place and a brick it all up, start again or chuck the UK

out. They could be it gets renegotiated a bit and I think some

of the Eurosceptics who argue that have a point. But basically, if

Cameron manages to tie up two things, one being the rule about

waiting for years before migrants get benefits, which we thought was

going to be the big issue, the one thing that was going to be almost

impossible to do. It looks at that has been almost sorted out. One

thing I don't think anyone realise that be as big an issue is this

issue of child benefits, to migrants who are here but whose children are

still back in their home countries. If you are Polish and a parent and

your child is in Poland, you are getting a UK rate of child benefit.

I think David Cameron thought that would be tidied up quite quickly.

The polls are pushing back quite quickly on that. We'll see how it

plays out. Downing Street confident they can get a deal by Friday. If we

go to the Daily Telegraph, Cameron to call referendum on Friday. And if

he does that, as soon as God macro days' time, it means his cabinet can

decide which way they want to go on this particular issue. Absolutely.

There is a big rally on Friday and there are Cabinet ministers who are

keen to start campaigning for Brexit. There some who are sitting

on the fence as well, but both Iain Duncan Smith and Chris Grayling are

keen to join the Brexit campaign. I think Michael Gove and Boris

Johnson, they are your risk acted -- Eurosceptics by think Cameron is

hoping he can persuade them to join the campaign to stay in. I think it

will be a very interesting weekend for Europe. After all that

negotiation it seems nice to have a bit of a lull. You say it is nice...

We will have the actual vote and the recriminations after the vote. Do

you want a long answer or the short answer? Sticking with the Telegraph.

The biggest rise in death rates since the war. Experts blame poor

NHS elderly care. This is an interesting story foster when I

first looked at the story I thought, is that surprising question that we

have an ageing society, more elderly and you would expect the death rate

to start to rise. There are some surprising stats here. This is a

report from Public Health England, or the advisers to Public Health

England. The stats say in one year in 2015 there were 5.4% more deaths

in England, equating to nearly 27,000 extra deaths according to

preliminary data from the Office of National Statistics. What is

interesting about this is a professor at Oxford University says

we have an ageing society, but it is even worse than we would expect.

Something else is happening here. This is not just the effects of what

is happening to our population as a whole. What he says is I suspect the

largest factor here is cuts to social services, Meals on Wheels,

visits to the elderly. This is the unseen effect of cuts, particular to

local government, which has been one area of government spending which

has been slashed down. People feel like that hasn't really had a

visible effect. Their bins still get connected, the road still get swept

most of the time, things are visibly OK, but we are starting to see some

of the hidden effects coming through. If you don't have the

social services that the impact starts to be felt in A, on

hospital wards and on death rates. Doctors say they have felt the

effects for a long time. A related story in the Guardian, NHS might not

cut deaths. The big key point from Jeremy Hunt, the Health Secretary in

train to push through a seven day NHS, and as a result we have had

these strikes by junior doctors in relation to this, has been that the

whole point of it is to cut the death rates and the high mortality

rate that we can. This suggests that is not going to happen anyway. I

think the NHS is dominating the papers at the moment. Before we go

to the Guardian, there is a picture on the front of the Telegraph, this

nurse. This is the human side of what is going on in the NHS. This is

a nurse who died waiting for an ambulance. 27 years old, a student

nurse, type one diabetes, died of cardiac arrest after an ambulance

was delayed by five hours. When things go wrong, people die. So the

seven day NHS might not cut deaths, that would be astonishing, after

he's brought the duty doctors out on strike for... The whole idea was

11,000 people year could be saved if we had weekend working. There was a

September 2015 report for the British medical Journal which said

that. But I think this now is arguing for people who go in at

weekends might be more ill than people who go in during the week.

Therefore you cannot just argue if there were more staff, they might

have a better chance of being saved. The other point this makes is to

deliver this you would need 11,000 more staff to deliver a a week

service and it would cost an extra ?900 million a year. Nobody is

saying that is going to be put on the table. OK, the Metro. A

cessation of hostilities, not the same as a ceasefire apparently, in

Syria. This is supposed to be happening at the weekend. And yet

the bonds are still falling in the run up to that and hospitals are

being hit. Yes, this is a really tragic story from Syria. As you say,

there is supposed to be a cessation of hostilities, but the Russians

said during that time they will still continue to bomb targets they

see as terrorists. And the Americans as well, attacking Islamic State.

The question has always been if the Russians are attacking Islamic State

or the moderate rebels to help President Assad. I think there are

two strikes, which were suspected of having been carried out by the

Russians. Tensions now, it has become such a global crisis, it is

not just something about Syria, although what is happening to Syria

is of course tragic, but now having this turn into a proxy war between

the US, Russia, Turkey, Europe, all these various powers. It's almost

impossible now to track who is allied with whom. Russia, Turkey,

backing separate groups of rebels. The US and Russia both backing

Kurds. Turkey shelling the Kurds but Russia and the US don't agree on the

strategy to bomb the rebels in other areas. It's an absolute mess. You

think, if we're going to get a cessation of violence, which

involves two the main players still bombing, are we any further than we

were last week? Absolutely. It doesn't make any sense, does it? I

did not understand a word of that, did you? I did. It is confusing but

the headline is slaughter of the innocents. I kept thinking, I

understand all this but at the end of the day... 50 people were killed

including sick children and a pregnant woman. One of these

hospitals was Medecins Sans Frontier. They have come out and

said this is a breach of international law. This is a

terrible tragedy. Potentially a war crimes.

Thank you Sian and Kiran, you'll both be back at 11.30pm

for another look at the stories making the news tomorrow.

But coming up next it's time for Sportsday.

Hello and welcome to Sportsday with me Will Perry, the headlines