15/02/2016 The Papers


15/02/2016

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Leeds and Middlesbrough and we will bring you the controversy involving

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Ronnie O'Sullivan in the Welsh Open. That, after the papers.

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

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With me tonight our guests are the education editor

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for the Sunday Times Sian Griffiths and Kiran Stacey, who's

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Let's have a look at some of the front pages.

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The Financial Times claims there could be a showdown

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in parliament between Eurosceptic ministers and David Cameron,

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NHS funding is the Independent's main story, as a whistleblower

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claims hospitals are under pressure to underplay the scale

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The Telegraph quotes new figures, which suggest there's been

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the biggest rise in annual death rates in England and Wales

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The wreckage of a hospital in Syria, which was hit with an airstrike,

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is pictured on the front of the Metro.

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The Guardian carries comments from a leaked report

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from the Department of Health, which claims a 7 day a week NHS may

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Immune cell therapy could be used to help cure cancer,

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according to research quoted in the Times.

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And back to the EU with the Express, saying any negotiations by the

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pro-minister could be changed after the referendum by MEPs.

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That is our top story, Cameron's EU deal is a con. Are we being sold a

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dud? That is what the express is suggesting and the Telegraph is also

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leading on the EU deal. It will be a really interesting week. David

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Cameron on Thursday is hoping to secure this new deal in Brussels. If

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he gets that on Thursday, he will then go and take it to the Cabinet

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on Friday and try to sell the deal. I think there is a last-minute

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battle going on, with Poland in particular, over these child benefit

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payments to migrant workers. Cameron wants to link that benefit to the

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cost of living in their home countries. They want to keep it as

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the cost of the benefit in Britain. I think this whole idea that it

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might be a : con, of course they could decide to have another

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referendum or reverse it, if we decide to come out of the EU and

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maybe Labour gets in next time round. I don't see why Labour

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couldn't have another referendum on the whole thing could be reversed

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and we might go back in. Apart from that, of course, MEPs also have to

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vote, so even if... They could just reversed it all.

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What's interesting is the debate, it seems to be revolving around, as far

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as the renegotiations are concerned, migrants and the migrant question.

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Yet David Cameron is in France today and it is all about financial reform

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and the French being worried that apparently the British are going to

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get a better deal because they are outside the euro zone. David Cameron

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has to face two directions, a message for the British public who

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will vote on this one way or another, and I think that will be

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tendered around migration. That is what the Conservatives feel is the

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most important issue on people's minds when they think of the EU.

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There are other things they want to achieve, whether on financial

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reform, encouraging free trade, other things the Conservatives want

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to do and other European countries are worried about. He has to go to

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Paris and say we don't want the City of London to run wild over all your

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financial sectors, you to other places and reassure them as well.

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The suggestion in this Express story is it is a con because Parliament

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could vote it down and the head of the parliament, Martin Schultz of

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throwing his weight around sometimes when he feels that needs to be done,

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he has been saying, we as parliamentarians could vote all this

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down. I'm pretty sure that won't happen. That would be a serious

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constitutional crisis within the EU and I don't think parliamentarians

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are likely to turn round their governments who have negotiated this

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in the first place and a brick it all up, start again or chuck the UK

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out. They could be it gets renegotiated a bit and I think some

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of the Eurosceptics who argue that have a point. But basically, if

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Cameron manages to tie up two things, one being the rule about

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waiting for years before migrants get benefits, which we thought was

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going to be the big issue, the one thing that was going to be almost

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impossible to do. It looks at that has been almost sorted out. One

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thing I don't think anyone realise that be as big an issue is this

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issue of child benefits, to migrants who are here but whose children are

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still back in their home countries. If you are Polish and a parent and

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your child is in Poland, you are getting a UK rate of child benefit.

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I think David Cameron thought that would be tidied up quite quickly.

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The polls are pushing back quite quickly on that. We'll see how it

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plays out. Downing Street confident they can get a deal by Friday. If we

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go to the Daily Telegraph, Cameron to call referendum on Friday. And if

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he does that, as soon as God macro days' time, it means his cabinet can

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decide which way they want to go on this particular issue. Absolutely.

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There is a big rally on Friday and there are Cabinet ministers who are

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keen to start campaigning for Brexit. There some who are sitting

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on the fence as well, but both Iain Duncan Smith and Chris Grayling are

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keen to join the Brexit campaign. I think Michael Gove and Boris

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Johnson, they are your risk acted -- Eurosceptics by think Cameron is

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hoping he can persuade them to join the campaign to stay in. I think it

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will be a very interesting weekend for Europe. After all that

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negotiation it seems nice to have a bit of a lull. You say it is nice...

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We will have the actual vote and the recriminations after the vote. Do

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you want a long answer or the short answer? Sticking with the Telegraph.

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The biggest rise in death rates since the war. Experts blame poor

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NHS elderly care. This is an interesting story foster when I

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first looked at the story I thought, is that surprising question that we

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have an ageing society, more elderly and you would expect the death rate

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to start to rise. There are some surprising stats here. This is a

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report from Public Health England, or the advisers to Public Health

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England. The stats say in one year in 2015 there were 5.4% more deaths

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in England, equating to nearly 27,000 extra deaths according to

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preliminary data from the Office of National Statistics. What is

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interesting about this is a professor at Oxford University says

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we have an ageing society, but it is even worse than we would expect.

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Something else is happening here. This is not just the effects of what

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is happening to our population as a whole. What he says is I suspect the

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largest factor here is cuts to social services, Meals on Wheels,

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visits to the elderly. This is the unseen effect of cuts, particular to

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local government, which has been one area of government spending which

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has been slashed down. People feel like that hasn't really had a

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visible effect. Their bins still get connected, the road still get swept

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most of the time, things are visibly OK, but we are starting to see some

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of the hidden effects coming through. If you don't have the

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social services that the impact starts to be felt in A, on

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hospital wards and on death rates. Doctors say they have felt the

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effects for a long time. A related story in the Guardian, NHS might not

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cut deaths. The big key point from Jeremy Hunt, the Health Secretary in

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train to push through a seven day NHS, and as a result we have had

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these strikes by junior doctors in relation to this, has been that the

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whole point of it is to cut the death rates and the high mortality

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rate that we can. This suggests that is not going to happen anyway. I

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think the NHS is dominating the papers at the moment. Before we go

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to the Guardian, there is a picture on the front of the Telegraph, this

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nurse. This is the human side of what is going on in the NHS. This is

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a nurse who died waiting for an ambulance. 27 years old, a student

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nurse, type one diabetes, died of cardiac arrest after an ambulance

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was delayed by five hours. When things go wrong, people die. So the

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seven day NHS might not cut deaths, that would be astonishing, after

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he's brought the duty doctors out on strike for... The whole idea was

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11,000 people year could be saved if we had weekend working. There was a

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September 2015 report for the British medical Journal which said

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that. But I think this now is arguing for people who go in at

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weekends might be more ill than people who go in during the week.

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Therefore you cannot just argue if there were more staff, they might

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have a better chance of being saved. The other point this makes is to

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deliver this you would need 11,000 more staff to deliver a a week

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service and it would cost an extra ?900 million a year. Nobody is

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saying that is going to be put on the table. OK, the Metro. A

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cessation of hostilities, not the same as a ceasefire apparently, in

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Syria. This is supposed to be happening at the weekend. And yet

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the bonds are still falling in the run up to that and hospitals are

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being hit. Yes, this is a really tragic story from Syria. As you say,

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there is supposed to be a cessation of hostilities, but the Russians

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said during that time they will still continue to bomb targets they

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see as terrorists. And the Americans as well, attacking Islamic State.

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The question has always been if the Russians are attacking Islamic State

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or the moderate rebels to help President Assad. I think there are

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two strikes, which were suspected of having been carried out by the

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Russians. Tensions now, it has become such a global crisis, it is

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not just something about Syria, although what is happening to Syria

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is of course tragic, but now having this turn into a proxy war between

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the US, Russia, Turkey, Europe, all these various powers. It's almost

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impossible now to track who is allied with whom. Russia, Turkey,

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backing separate groups of rebels. The US and Russia both backing

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Kurds. Turkey shelling the Kurds but Russia and the US don't agree on the

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strategy to bomb the rebels in other areas. It's an absolute mess. You

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think, if we're going to get a cessation of violence, which

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involves two the main players still bombing, are we any further than we

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were last week? Absolutely. It doesn't make any sense, does it? I

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did not understand a word of that, did you? I did. It is confusing but

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the headline is slaughter of the innocents. I kept thinking, I

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understand all this but at the end of the day... 50 people were killed

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including sick children and a pregnant woman. One of these

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hospitals was Medecins Sans Frontier. They have come out and

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said this is a breach of international law. This is a

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terrible tragedy. Potentially a war crimes.

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Thank you Sian and Kiran, you'll both be back at 11.30pm

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for another look at the stories making the news tomorrow.

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But coming up next it's time for Sportsday.

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Hello and welcome to Sportsday with me Will Perry, the headlines

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No need to wait until tomorrow morning to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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