17/02/2016 The Papers


17/02/2016

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knee injury. We'll tell League, and Shaun Murphy may have lost his place

:00:00.:00:09.

in world Snooker. -- we will tell you all about the Champions League.

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers

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With me are Cassell Bryan-Low from the Wall Street Journal and

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Ben Chu, the economics editor at the Independent.

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"Europe: Deal or No Deal" is the Telegraph's headline.

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The paper says there is no guarantee EU leaders will back David Cameron

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over his renegotiation plans at crucial talks in Brussels.

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The Guardian says the Prime Minister is set for a battle

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of brinkmanship in Brussels over the next couple of days.

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The Times says the number of EU migrants working here has increased

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That's also the lead for the Mail with the paper describing

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the figures as a hammer blow for the Prime Minister.

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"Higher education access gap grows" is the Independent's top story with

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news that the proportion of students from poor backgrounds

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going to leading universities has fallen in the past decade.

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The i says 30,000 people have backed a campaign for meningitis vaccines

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to be given to all children, after a mother shared an image

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According to the Metro, so-called Islamic State is feared to

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have secured the materials to make a dirty bomb after thieves stole

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And the FT has further warnings from the Federal Reserve

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Europe, no escaping it, especially in the next 48 hours or so. The

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Daily Telegraph steals our title from a television programme,

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Europe: Deal or no Deal. This is a story about David Cameron heading to

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Brussels for 48 hours of intense discussions during which he hopes to

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reach a deal on demands Britain has made. I think the chances are

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generally looking good, but he is getting warnings today that there is

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no guarantee they will reach a deal. The picture is of Angela Merkel, who

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was addressing the Bundestag today. Her views matter enormously. She has

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done David Cameron a big favour, coming out and saying, we want

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Britain in the EU. It is a crucial time, and the assumption is that she

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will throw her weight behind the demands that he is pushing for, and

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that will swing a lot of the other EU members. As you say, Germany is

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the dominant force and to have her on side is crucial for David

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Cameron. We had a report earlier about who is lining up on which

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side, and Northern Europe basically thinks we are OK on all of these

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things, but there are a lot of countries, particularly on the

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fringes, Greece and others, who are not at all happy with some of the

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things we are asking for. Some Eastern Europe countries have

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expressed concern about the measures, in terms of curbing access

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to benefits for migrants, some others have expressed concern about

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some of the wording of giving exception for the ever closer union,

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feeling this is undermining the whole political rationale they have.

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Of course, if we look at the Guardian, this has a very familiar,

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rather bulky figure, who got off his bike. He was very circumspect, to

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put it mildly, when he came out, about what he thinks at the moment.

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This seemed like a bit of ritual humiliation, he was locked out. This

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is a battle on two fronts. Of course David Cameron is in Brussels, he has

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to persuade the member state to back him, and at home he has two persuade

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his party to back him. Boris Johnson is seen as a key figure in all of

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this because lots of Eurosceptics hope that he will decide that the

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deal is not that great, and that he will campaign against it. That is

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what the purpose was of him being in Downing Street, with David Cameron

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leaning on him. It is tricky politics, because one assumes he has

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leadership ambitions, but with him you never know which direction he is

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going in. He has been playing FTSE on both sides, both sides want to

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land him and he would be a key asset in either campaign. As you say, he

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is believed to have leadership ambitions himself and he will be

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weighing up the consequences of backing the wrong side in the

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referendum, and his hopes for potential leader of the party. There

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is talk of a plan B in case things do go wrong David Cameron. That we

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could be in for another fortnight of this stuff. I think all sides want

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to get this wrapped up, David Cameron wants to get its yield so he

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can move on to a referendum. The Europeans want to turn back to the

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big issues they have. If they can't reach a deal by Friday or possibly

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even Saturday, this could be kicked down the road to the next scheduled

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meeting in March. Officials are saying that they are unlikely to

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want to attend an emergency meeting before that. Now, we might not quite

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know what Boris thinks that we know what one newspaper thinks, the Daily

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Mail. This is a classic story for the Daily Mail, looking at the

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number of foreign workers in the UK, and it ties into the Europe debate.

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A lot of this will be about immigration, and this particular

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story is talking about the increase in foreign workers in the UK, 2

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million of the 3 million foreign workers are from the EU, and that is

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where pressure has been put on David Cameron to bring those figures

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down. He has been unable to keep his pledge of reducing net migration. We

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would expect them to go on about this, but they have quite a lot of

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interesting facts and figures at their command. They do, because the

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labour market statistics have come out today, and I was looking through

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that. What has happened to wages, to overall employment and part-time

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employment. Some newspapers go straight to the bit where it tells

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you how many foreigners are working in the UK, and they have these

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figures. Apparently it is a big issue that the number has tipped

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over 2 million for EU workers, and crept over the 3 million mark for

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foreign workers in general. As is their won't, they will use this as a

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bludgeon to say that it is terrible, and that he British PM

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should get some action on this -- wont. An interesting figure is the

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employment numbers that are at record levels, unemployment is

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falling, so that is good news for the PM and the Chancellor, although

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the one caveat is wages, which seems to have weak growth. That might be

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an interesting... I don't think the Daily Mail in its theory about this

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has got into this. It has often been said that the reason why wage growth

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is slow is because of foreign workers taking lower salaries, and

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so on. Does that hold water? It is a Ukip line, and it may get some

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credence, but I think immigration actually doesn't have that dampening

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effect. It fills gaps in the workforce rather than... There may

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be some element of the lower end, but in general it is positive. The

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proponents are saying that foreign workers also contribute to the tax

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coffers, it is many are coming here to work. I saw somewhere that over

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Europe as a whole, amongst them anything said today, the figures are

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positive rather than negative in terms of the positive impact rather

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than negative. The front page of the Financial Times, the Federal Reserve

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frets over the growing risks to US economy amid market turmoil. This is

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not terribly new, is it? What is new today is the fact that minutes were

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released of this meeting, and we get some insight into the thinking of

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Federal Reserve officials, and it tells us that they are struggling to

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make sense of uncertainty over the outlook for inflation in the

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economy. Bearing in mind that we have our own debate among Bank of

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England officials about when to raise rates, and officials here have

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tiptoed away from expected increases themselves, and Governor Mark Carney

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earlier this month said the global environment remains very

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unforgiving. Ben, what did you make of it when you read what the Fed has

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been up to? There has been a huge sell-off in stock markets, the oil

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price has crashed, although it came back a bit today. The Fed raised

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rates since timbre, the first time it had done that in about a decade.

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Everyone thought the cycle was turning, everything would go up, and

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low and behold it has changed plans in less than a month. Nobody expects

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them to rise all year in America. This has been a significant change,

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and this is reflecting that mood. The headlines we are seeing is what

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has been happening with share prices and stocks, and so on, and there has

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been quite a big rebound in the past few days. Is this the sort of thing

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that will turn out on its head and we shall see prices crashing down

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again? Do they have a lot further to fall? This will send mixed messages,

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I don't think shares will go into freefall, I think there are plenty

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of other things making investors jittery, but clearly this reinforces

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what the markets are already at end upon. I don't think the central

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banks putting out minutes tends to change market views. Nobody really

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knows what is driving the big market sell-off, there is nothing

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disastrous in the data that would reflect this, in America all China,

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so it is a bit of a conundrum. Fear seems to be feeding on itself.

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Staying with the Financial Times, they have this story about Apple and

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an iPhone that the FBI would like to crack or hack or whatever the right

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term is. Why is there such a big argument? This story is rooted in

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the suspected terrorist attacks that we saw in San Bernardino California

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last year, and the FBI is continuing to investigate this and one of their

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key pieces of evidence is an iPhone that belonged to the suspected

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couple behind the attacks but they are having trouble getting into it

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because iPhones are encrypted. The authorities have gone to the courts

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to try to force Apple to unlock the phone. The authorities argue it

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would be key to their investigation to find out who was behind this

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terror attack. Apple is digging in its heels and saying it won't comply

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with the order. Its argument is that it would undermine the security it

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offers all its uses, because if you unlock one it would set a precedent,

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and anyone who uses an iPhone could potentially be vulnerable, whether

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it be hackers or cyber criminals. What you think of that argument? As

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Apple have a case? They certainly have a case, but it will be

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interesting to see how this plays in public opinion. Tech companies like

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Apple have had a lot of bad publicity lately, avoiding tax et

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cetera. This is one where they are saying they are standing up the

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rights of the users, and that may play well. People may think,

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obviously the US government has a case as well because it is trying to

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stop terrorist networks, but there are civil liberties invocations.

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Remember the Snowden revelations, they seem to suggest that these tech

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companies were giving all sorts of rights of access to people's private

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data that people didn't know about, and tech companies were stunned by

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that. I think we are seeing a reaction to that, realising how

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toxic it is in trying to change the perception. The reason encryption

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and making things more secure is because there are criminals out

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there desperate to hack into everything we have. It will be

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interesting to see how this plays out, because authorities on both

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sides of the Atlantic want to be able to compel tech companies to

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give them the key, and we have not yet seen a mechanism legally for

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them to do that here, so it will be interesting to see if the US does

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that. Big companies throwing their weight around close to other

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matters. Then, the Independent, the figures go up and down, but

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something a bit definite. Explain this headline. This is about people

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from poor backgrounds going to university, and since they

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introduced tuition fees there has been a big focus on this. One of the

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big fears was that this would stop people from poor backgrounds from

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going through. That doesn't seem to have happened up until now, which

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suggests a more worrying picture. It says that in the elite

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universities, Oxford and Cambridge, etc, many of them have seen the

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proportion of poor people getting through fall. Overall it is not

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disastrous, but these very elite ones, they are having not such a

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good picture. People are wondering whether we are seeing what we

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expected happen, but it is definitely a worrying trend. It is

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all about social mobility, isn't it? Is it a trend through other

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universities and more universities, it would suggest that social

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mobility is not doing too well. There is another element of this

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story, which is that people from poor backgrounds tend to find places

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at middle and lower ranked institutions, so they tend to go to

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the lower ranked ones. We don't have a lot of time to talk about this,

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families give up meat over health fears. More statistics being thrown

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around. This is close to my heart, this story. I am 20 year-long

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vegetarian and I have recently eating meat. This is a story about

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how increasing numbers of people in Britain are giving up meat on health

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fears. This is the latest of a string of stories about scares of

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food, in the last few days it has been about sugar. In recent history

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it has been fat and salt, but now it is meat. This comes on the heels of

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warnings by the World Health Organization recently that processed

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meats are definitely cancer-causing, and red meat is probably

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carcinogenic. Are you going to go back to vegetarianism? I have never

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been a veggie, what is interesting about this is that 29% have tried to

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give up in the last year, which is astonishingly high. People I know

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there is nowhere near that many. I wonder if the people they have

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surveyed for this are faddy types of people. Thank you very much, that is

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it. Up next, Sportsday. Welcome to Sportsday,

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with me, Ore Oduba. On the way tonight: A tale

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of three strikers.

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