18/03/2016 The Papers


18/03/2016

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career in the fox hunters. We will also have the football and rugby.

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We thought we would be talking about Paris tonight and the arrest in

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Belgium, but no, in Duncan Smith has put paid to that. With this is a

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columnist from the daily Mirror and Tim Stanley, columnist for the daily

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Telegraph. Welcome to you both. An exciting evening. Front pages. The

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Telegraph leads on in Devon Smith's resignation, saying it risks from

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the government into disarray. The Times says he chose to resign

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despite a U-turn by George Osborne. The FT says in Devon Smith has

:00:53.:00:56.

inflicted serious damage on the Chancellor. The Independent has an

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image of the arrests in Brussels. The minister is a warning from the

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Welsh first Minister that an English vote to leave the European Union

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would prompt a constitutional crisis if the Welsh chose to remain.

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Carson, the headline on the Daily Mirror next to a picture of Salah

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Abdeslam. That begin with The Papers that God in Devon Smith on their

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front page in time. Cabinet minister quits over budget cut. David Smith

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quits after disability benefit changes. Interesting that they

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didn't name him because he is a big name. This happened so late in the

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day. Most newspapers are primping and getting ready for bed at 67

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o'clock. To suddenly have this kind of stuff that comes through, you

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have got five minutes to do an entire new leader, A column, a

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front-page story of 500 words and get a headline bashed out quick and

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get it to the printers. They have done well to get it on their front

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page. The significance of this and the background to it. We knew their

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were cuts that had been announced in the budget on Wednesday and the ones

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that concerned people, it seemed, were the ones that would affect

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some, not all, but some, people in receipt of certain disability

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benefits. This is a disaster for David Cameron and George Osborne. It

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capped a week of clock ups. It started with a budget that lacked

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clarity but contained a throw away proposal that was stolen from the

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DWP to reform benefits which people interpreted as cutting them. The

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next day, Nicky Morgan, said on BBC question Time that it was only a

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suggestion as though Parliament was a giant focus group. The next day, a

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person closed in Devon Smith, said she did not know what she was

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talking about and later that evening, but is this evening, number

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ten told newspapers that the entire disability benefit reform package

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was being kicked into the long grass. Then in Devon Smith resigned.

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What he said in his letter is that he is angry about two things. One is

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the ideas he had with welfare reform being stolen from him and put into

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projects which are all about cutting and, too, he does not like the

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impression that his welfare reform programme is part of an austerity

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programme that, to use his words, people perceive as political rather

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than in the national interest. Duncan Smith is quitting. There will

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be personal background to this, but he has done so in such a way that

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casts doubt upon the entire economic programme of George Osborne and will

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validate in the minds of many voters, the criticisms that Labour

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has made of the austerity agenda. Why not go on budget day? Why wait

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until today at the point at which the government is say we are not

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bothering? If you have a moral objection to cuts or reforms or

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however you reform edge permit, to welfare programmes and when you are

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not cutting things like state pensions, then quietly that six

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years until you decide it is unbearable. One of the most

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important things today is that there has been a court judgment on an F

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I/O request made to the DWP asking them to reveal some internal

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documents about how they assessed Universal Credit, the main reform

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that in Devon Smith or intimidate. He was told to release these papers

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three times. The third time is today and he cannot keep appealing it and

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refusing today. These documents, which are widely expected to show a

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catalogue of mistakes, are going to have to come out. You have also had

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the Treasury knifing Duncan Smith today over at this budget. The DWP

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said they were bounced into producing these figures for the

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budget. The Treasury and the DWP for making it part of the budget and not

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think that sums right and now they are rolling back and think they

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wanted. They have made his position untenable. You have also got to

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remember, this is someone who is at the centre of the Brexit debate.

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There is a split party here. Out of the Conservatives want in and have

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one vote. In Duncan Smith is against the premise to and George Osborne in

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this matter. Because of the disability reforms which are

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planned, but has provided a further reason for the party to split and

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there are Tory MPs saying they will not support the government honoured.

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It is a way of capitalising on a massive differences they have got

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and dividing everything thoroughly down the middle. The Telegraph have

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said IDS quits over fury over welfare cuts. In his statement, he

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said he is proud of his department and the changes to welfare that they

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have ushered in. Of course, huge controversy, a couple of people

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critical about the hardships that has brought the people who

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previously would have received benefits. Other people are saying it

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has got more people into work because work now pays. How much less

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likely it would he have been to have walked at this point if it were not

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for his views on our future in Europe? I agree with that. Because

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of the Brexit campaign, in Duncan Smith has somewhere to go when he

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quits. If he had quit and the campaign wasn't on he would have

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gone back to the backbenches. Now he can become a leading player in the

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league campaign and can devote his time to it. The complaint if you

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weeks ago that the civil service were not allowed access to documents

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which was a civil service policy. Documents related to Brexit. The

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defence of in Devon Smith and his record, or to try to explain how he

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would have said, he has regarded it as a moral thing, as being about

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taking people out of the trap of welfare and helping them into work.

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Whether you judge that is accurate or not, he argues that by taking his

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policies, by stealing them, and putting them into the budget, the

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Chancellor was reinterpreting in the public imagination, something that

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was supposed to help people into something that was saving money when

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the government cut taxes for the rich. There is also a personal

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dimension. I have a source who has worked with both men and says that

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the tension between them was extraordinary and, in fact, as he

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put it, curse words were thrown around in chapters which, in Tory

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speak, is almost like killing. There is a personal background to this. I

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think IDS is trying to cast this as a materialistic, libertarian

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Chancellor stealing his compassionate conservatism agenda

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and miss using it to make austerity. There is a lot of that in the

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budget. The stuff on academic -- academies is something that the

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Education Secretary should announce. Instead it was used in the budget.

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There were things like policies which would usually go to ministers

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that they have worked out, they would get credit for, go on the news

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to talk up and to sell and, instead, Osborne gets the glory. How much

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will that be a problem for George Osborne because he was talking about

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other cuts, I'd take that risk? This will turn into something worse than

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his terrible budget in the early days of the coalition because what

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this will show is that Osborne will find it difficult now. He has been

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seen for a while as the natural successor to David Cameron when he

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steps down and this will be difficult because if he is the

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person who is accused behind the scenes of stealing everyone else was

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macro policies, the party will not support him in pushing through to

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the leader ship. In Duncan Smith is not a potential leader again, he had

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his chance and he bled. He is outside the tent, he is very, very

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loose cannon and the chances of knifing Osborne, he has already

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knifed him today fairly thoroughly and he has blamed the Chancellor for

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all his problems for six years, now he will like left right and centre

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as part of the Brexit debate for the 15 months and the next couple of

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years. The Institute of fiscal studies have said further cuts would

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be necessary, so there will be more cuts to debate. All of this

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validates, I cannot believe I am saying this, John McDonald's

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criticism of the government which is that it insisted austerity was

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necessary in order to bring the deficit down and that hasn't

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happened. Given that it hasn't happened, either can make the

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argument, why don't we invest in infrastructure and now they can

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point to a letter by a former cabinet minister that says austerity

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could be interpreted as being political, rather than a necessity.

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This is a real winner for the Labour Party and we will see if they have

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got the confidence to use it. We will move on and give another story

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a begin tonight. We will come back to this at half past 11. World's

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most wanted man arrested, police finally sees the key Paris attack

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suspect after four months on the run. This is the 26-year-old Salah

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Abdeslam who, they think, might have been in the flat that they raided on

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Tuesday thinking the apartment was empty in another part of Belgium and

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now come here they were in this district very close to the centre of

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Brussels. Near his brother's address, which you would think they

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would check. This is a part of Europe where it feels like Europe is

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not necessarily represented. There is a gun trade there, there are

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large communities of Muslims, some of whom appear to have been

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radicalised. I just think, one thing I hope comes out of this is a --

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aside from punishment and retribution, which will be

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necessary, we could to better understand why he did this. They

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have got him alive. That is rare when dealing with these kinds of

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terrorists. As well as finding out what he knows and confirming things

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to Islamic State, we need to know exactly who he is working with, I

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really hope this will experience can contribute to public understanding

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of exactly why it is that young men from an immigrant background, he was

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from Morocco, he was not exactly destitute, he slipped in and out of

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petty crime, he didn't have much point in his life, why it was that

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he turned, and his brother turned, into terrorists. I hope that comes

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out of this. Five people detained today, including three members of

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one family who seem to have been helping him. Hugely important for

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Belgium because it is a strained relationship with France,

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suggestions the Belgian authorities had been lax in their pursuit of

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terrorist suspects. They got him by accident. If they went after him he

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would probably be dead. Belgian authorities were found to have left

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the guns across the border for the Charnley had the attacks at the

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beginning of last year. By the attacks at the end of last year they

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were still letting comes across the border. The Belgian police are not

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exactly the hottest and added to which they have been living for this

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man for four months and it turns out he was in the suburb he was living

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in beforehand and people have been saying that everyone in that area

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knew he was there and the police had not bothered to go down there and

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make someone tell them where he was. There is another assessment of this

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that some people thought he might have gone to Syria, other people

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saying no, if you want to stay hidden, you do not move around too

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much. You do not create waves. You keep quiet and electronic data as

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well. That makes sense. You will be noticed crossing borders. That is

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where they are looking for people. Why on earth did they not check

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where he had been? We know how it works. Go of grid. He seems to have

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done that quite well. I would be surprised if, when we look into it,

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we do not find that he was popping down the newsagents every morning

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and they should have picked him up a lot sooner. The suggestion is that

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he will be extradited, the French want him back to put on trial there.

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How easy will that be? Well Belgium not want to make an example of him?

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He has not committed any crimes, as far as we know, in Belgium. The main

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crime he is wanted for his involvement with murders in France.

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The French will have first chance in terms of the European wristwatch. It

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is amazing they have a terrorist this important alive. It shows why,

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going in and killing someone like Osama Bin Laden is not necessarily

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the best thing to do. The marker of them. It is better to have them and

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need to look bad. An important date for the family and friends of those

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who were killed. 130 people died in those attacks. That is it for The

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Papers this hour. Tim and Susie will be back for another look at the

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front pages at half past 11. Coming up next it is time for sports

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