28/05/2016 The Papers


28/05/2016

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Or, a trip for Allah is through the looking glass. -- coming up, another

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trip for Alice through the looking glass.

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers

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With me are Lisa Markwell, former editor of the Independent

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on Sunday, and Kevin Schofield, editor of Politics Home.

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Tomorrow's front pages, starting with the Sunday Times,

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which leads with accusations from vote leave leaders that David

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Cameron has lost public trust over his failure to curb immigration.

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The Sunday Telegraph also goes with the EU referendum,

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with claims from eurosceptic ministers that the Prime Minister is

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unconcerned with the impact of immigration on working families.

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But an Observer poll suggests a boost for the remain campaign,

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as experts warn that the economy will be harmed

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And on the front page of the Express, a new protein jab

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Try as we might, we can't really start with anything other than the

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EU referendum. We will get two books as status symbols in a minute but we

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can't start with that. Let's start with the Observer, and the poll they

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have commissioned. A massive boost for the Prime Minister as 600

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economists reject Brexit. 82% alarmed over household income. This

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is a poll which would suggest, these experts are concerned about the

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long-term fall in GDP. You have better eyesight, Kevin, you can read

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this print. It is interesting, I was looking at Twitter earlier this

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evening and long before the page was printed, the first person to tweet

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link to the story was David Cameron. So obviously he was very

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keen, because as we all know, the remaining camp, the economy is their

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big driving message, and for leave it is very much about immigration. I

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think leave feel it is the only way they will get some traction so this

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is welcome. It is a poll of 600 economists, and they are from the,

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from big business, the city, all sorts of different sources. So this

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idea, because the Institute for Fiscal Studies has got a lot of

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criticism from the leave campaign, because all the economic forecasts

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are seen as propaganda for the remaining camp. But this sets out

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quite a broad range of opinions. And usually economists don't necessarily

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agree so whatever you think of David Cameron making hay with it, it is

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actually quite an interesting poll. It is a large number of people to

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have sought opinion from. I suppose the vote leave campaign would say if

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you speak to business leaders privately and they speak in a

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personal capacity, not representing their company or their organisation,

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they might say something rather different. They do feel able in a

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personal capacity to speak up for leaving. For those of us who covered

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the Scottish independence referendum there are a lot of parallels, and in

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terms of the economy, there were warnings about leaving the UK, that

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share prices would collapse, all that type of stuff. It is more or

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less the same argument but I'm not sure it cuts through for those who

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are the keenest on Brexit. I think it will work for swing voters, and

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you can see why they are going on this tack. But if you fervently

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believe in Brexit, then it is a few quid here or there, that is not

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going to change your mind. It is about national sovereignty and

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independence, bringing the laws back from Brussels. That is the way they

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would view it but as Lisa says, the economy remains a big strong suit.

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This is the one thing that they will just knock people over the head

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with, this warning, day after day. Almost economic Armageddon if we

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were to leave the EU and I think that will sway quite a lot of

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undecided voters. Newspapers love poll, it gives them a lead story and

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it is a very different set of circumstances for the BBC's listens.

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We are very wary of how we treat the results of polls but they can be

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very influential, beyond their readers. Yes, and getting back to

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Scotland for a second as well, if you remember the Sunday Times had a

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big hole a couple of weeks out from the Scottish referendum saying that

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US had gone into the lead and that caused massive panic, prime

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ministers questions was cancelled, the three parties ran up to Scotland

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to try and make people change their mind. It can really shift the

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political weather. And also, I can say this because the newspaper I

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edited no longer exist, but there is absolutely unequivocally not a very

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balanced press on this. Many more of the papers that we have in Great

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Britain are reporting with a bit of a pro- Brexit angle. So the

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Observer, whether or not... I will not say whether I would agree or not

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but it is welcome that there is a bit of a balance because as we can

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see from all the papers we will talk about tonight and the ones on the

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tomorrow, there is a lot of pro- Brexit rhetoric in the papers so

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there is no harm in having something that is portraying the other side.

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Let's look at the Sunday Times, and the impact of immigration -- impact

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on immigration of all of this. I hope David Cameron saw this before

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it got splashed over the Times, a letter accusing David Cameron of

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failing to get immigration down to the tens of thousands. Their

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argument is that he never will inside the EU. Yes, the fact that

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the statistics are standing at something like 330,000, the promise

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of tens of thousands was absurd to make in the first place. If we are

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to remain in the EU, that number will never come down. But what they

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don't look at here is, you know, they don't sort of go into the

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nitty-gritty of who those people are, what they are doing in

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Britain. It is just the sort of... Yet again, the broad sweep

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troublemaking and the kind of language they are using, talking

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about waiting list increasing appallingly, class sizes increasing

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appallingly, extremists being unable to be sent out of the EU, it is real

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drumbeat stuff. Is it true to say that it will never come down? If

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David Cameron remains in the European Union, if the rules are

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changed about when we can access in work benefits, his argument is that

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that might deter some people from coming even from within the European

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Union, with those freedom of movement rules. It might, but the

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argument is that most come here to work, not to claim benefits. You

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could argue that the National living wage going up to ?9 an hour will

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probably be more of a draw, if they think they can come from a country

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where the pay is much less than it is here. You can see why Britain

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would be such an attractive prospect and also even the Prime Minister no

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longer says he is going to hit that. He will not say that he will not hit

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tens of thousands but he will not say that he definitely will, and

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that speaks volumes. David Cameron to reach to care about migration,

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this is Priti Patel campaigning on the vote leave campaign trail. The

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suggestion he is out of touch but there are people in both camps who

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are very privileged, who come from very privileged backgrounds.

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Briefly, she said, Kevin will speak more about the politics but she is

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talking about people coming in and working as cleaners and domestics,

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to the sort of privileged elite, which is a little bit... We are

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talking about quite small numbers, most people come into work for the

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NHS, that is the biggest employer in Europe. I don't think we are talking

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about the lady who comes around dust at David Cameron's country home. I

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would say that Priti Patel has probably been the most outspoken of

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the government ministers against her own government, and this turns it up

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to 11. The attack on the Prime Minister and the Chancellor

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personally about their privileged backgrounds, I mean, she is not mad

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enough to actually name them but you don't have to be too much of a

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criminologist to read between the lines when she talks about leading

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campaigners and those who don't have their advantages. I think it cuts

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through in that ordinary voters, many of them from working class

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backgrounds, who have real concerns about migration, and when it comes

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to the main driving factors for them, this actually does cut

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through. Does the tone of it put people off? Does that make people

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think they don't want to vote at all? It is interesting, that is what

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David Cameron said some weeks ago. The voter apathy is going to be a

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massive problem. People will be turned off, which they are,

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overwhelmingly. We quite enjoy the Westminster bubble but the idea that

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it is going to be another 26 days, staggering towards the finish line,

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people are fed up with it. If it is just two messages, headbanging on

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the economy, people are going to feel disenchanted. Very quickly,

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NATO generals say that an invert is vital for security. NATO is an

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organisation which is not dependent obviously on being in or out of the

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EU but security is another big buzz issue. And they don't like

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uncertainty, and Britain leaving the EU, whether you think it is a good

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or bad thing, would disrupt a world order which would create

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uncertainty, that is what we definitely don't want. Going back to

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the Sunday Times, plastic fibres and era of dirty money. No more of the

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traditional cotton banknotes. We are getting a polymer version which you

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can live in your pocket and it will all be fine, come out in the wash.

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You can apparently wash about 90 degrees and it will come out the

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other end just as nice as it did before. Even better, you can pour a

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glass of red wine over it, it wipes clean. You can't tear it. You can

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obviously still lose it down the back of the couch. Whether this is

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intentional or not, the size of the banknote is going to be 15% smaller.

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What does this say about the value of money? Lisa Southgate got in

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touch to say that Northern Bank had plastic fibres in Northern Ireland

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for years, owned by the National Australia Bank, and they are pretty

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indestructible. There are still a few floating about. Australia was

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the first country to have plastic money, so that would make sense. We

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are not trailblazers. But not enough women still on them, whatever they

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are made of. Elisabeth Prior is being taken off the note, and we

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have Jane Austen to look forward to eventually, when they get around to

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the ?10 note. Going back to the Telegraph, I am going to show it to

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you on camera three. Dennis, thank you. They always laugh when I

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mention their names, it is very sweet. Books are now status symbols.

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They are something that we buy but don't necessarily read. That seems

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like a lot of money to spend. There are cheaper ways to have status

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symbols in your home. Rich people always say that they bought their

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books by the yard, now the rest of us are putting these big, heavy

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Booker shortlisted novels on how IKEA coffee tables to look

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intelligent -- our IKEA. We are reading on the readers, but we are

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buying the books nevertheless. -- e-readers. There is nothing nicer

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than holding a book and reading a book and smelling the ink, though.

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Or is that just me being odd? No, that is true, but looks have

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survived a bit better than CDs have from the new technology, when you

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have your Amazon reader and can download books, and people still

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like to have the physical book in your hand. You forget what you have

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read and if you want to recommend it to a friend, I love handing books on

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and getting books from other people, you can't do that with an electronic

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gadget. Also if you are falling asleep and hit yourself in the face

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with an e-reader, that is not very pleasant. Coming up next, it is the

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Film Review.

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