22/10/2016 The Papers

Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

With me are the Political Commentator, Jo Phillips

and the Political Editor of the Sunday People, Nigel Nelson.

We start with the Observer that leads with a claim that the banks

will be locating outside the EU next year over Brexit fears. It welcomes

the arrival of child refugees from Calais, some under the landmark DUB

amendment which helps children. The Times welcomes the refugees but

their main story is a report from Louise Callaghan of the Iraqi

mission to liberate Mosul from IS. The situation in Calais dominates

The Sunday Telegraph but it claims the Home Office ignored warnings

such as age checks surrounding the arrivals. The Express claims to have

an exclusive, a row between Prince Charles and Prince Andrew over the

official roles of Andrew's daughters, Beatrice and Eugeneny.

Jo and Nigel, good to have you both with us. The Observer, leading banks

set to pull out of Brexit early next year. Nigel? They are talking about

Britain's biggest banks are going to pull out so we must get rid of the

idea there'll be a NatWest on the high street or Halifax or something

like that, it's not that. The issue is over passporting and what is

happening is that if you have got a foreign bank located in London, it

has access to the EU market. Now we've got a warning from Anthony

Brown who is the boss of the British Bankers' Association, saying that

these banks are likely to pull out in the New Year and reason being is

they won't be able to get access to Europe. We don't know any of these

things yet, it's all part of the Brexit deal. So it might be a bit

premature to rush away in a couple of months' time. But it's a serious

issue. If you are an American bank, the ones that I know have thought

about, look, it's obviously easier for us to base ourselves in

Frankfurt, actually they don't want to live there, they want to live in

London, if they can't live in London they'll live in New York, so that's

probably where they'll end up. But, you are talking about 70,000 jobs at

stake according to the Observer and an awful lot of money will disappear

so it's important we get this deal. What is interesting Jo about this is

that, although there's been a lot of general talk about this in the past,

Anthony Brown is fairly specific in saying most of the international

banks now already have teams asen ed working out which operations they

need to move, the date at which to do it and how best to do it, their

hands are quivering at the relocate button? Many other businesses are

I'm sure already looking at it, whether it's retail or car makers,

anybody that we trade with, whether they are based here or not, will

have an impact upon them, the costs of living and jobs, an impact on all

sorts of things. Probably business is slightly better prepared than

Government appears to be. As Nigel says, it seems slightly premature,

they are talking about the smaller banks making plans to get out before

Christmas. Not much time left! We have still got another two years to

go. Is this just lobbyists kind of, you know pushing their client's

interests? You know, they are talking about getting a better deal

here. Theresa May was in Europe this week and we didn't even start to

talk about a deal yet so we are some way down the road before we can work

out things like this, which are important things. Because the sky

hasn't fallen in just yet, there's almost this, well it will do in a

minute, you know, I know it hasn't been the project fear that everybody

says, but it's almost like they are trying to talk it up. We are given

stage by stage. The idea of a great Repeal Bill, so all European law

becomes British law, so we don't have to discuss that, the issue is

going to be now trade and it will be trade and the trade-off which is

going to be how much free movement we are prepared to accept. But that

will be the nub of that. For the banks to rush off before we have

even started talking, I think Jo is right, far too premature. Maybe next

weekend there'll be even more of this kind of thing as it's

Halloween! Let's move on to another story on

the front. I don't see what the link is there. Project fear! I see,

people dressed up as clowns. That will be an interesting alternative

take on Halloween! A photograph of Carrie Mulligan clutching a toy

bear, always good for a campaign to have an actor or actress because you

get them on the front of the papers, she's a keen supporter of this

protest yesterday. This is over Aleppo? The People and the Mirror.

This was a Sunday Mirror campaign, we have been working with 15

charities and it was a march on Downing Street that Carrie Mulligan

spoke at. 200 teddy bears laid there, the purpose of the whole

thing was to remind Theresa May and Boris Johnson that children are

dying, 200 teddy bears represented the 200 children that have died

since the ceasefire came to an end. What the protesters were demanding

is, can we just have some action, at the moment we are getting absolutely

nothing from the British Government. But what sort of action? Now you

come on to the big question, there are two ways of ending this. One is

that we allow Putin and Assad to win the war as quickly as possible and

bring it to an end. That seems to be unacceptable because too many

children would have to die. The second and obviously I'm

oversimplifying, is a no-fly zone, preferably negotiated with the

Russians but we may have to impose them without negotiation. How would

you impose them without troops on the ground? We are talking no-fly

zones so you are trying to stop the bombing of Aleppo, stop the children

being killed in the awful numbers that it is at the moment. So that

means willing to shoot down jets? Yes. Various ideas have come up.

Boris Johnson's floated the idea of a no-bomb zone. A no-bomb zone is

that if they bomb, we then go and bomb them. That strikes me as more

dangerous than a no-fly zone, I mean what are you bombing, you don't

quite know. The whole thing is so utterly repugnant that people are

living in the most appalling conditions in Aleppo. We are all,

you know, talking about it on tele-I haves and radio channels and in

newspapers around the world and nobody can do anything sensible to

stop it. The argument's got to be if that every time we back down against

Putin because we fear World War three, we are not going to do

anything and it will be perpetual appeasement. I know that, but I

wonder about 200 teddy bears, you know. You start somewhere. It's

leading us on to what is happening in Calais because it would be a

sweeping generalisation to say the majority of the people there are

escaping the war, but a significant number will be and now this question

of the child refugees. There is an interesting suggestion that the

Government may have shifted its position somewhat on which children

can be accommodated in the UK? Interestingly, apparently 50 girls

have arrived this evening which I think is the first girls that we

have seen, so given that we have been told about the vulnerability of

the children in the jungle camp, these are girls who mainly come from

Eritrea, and they've been brought here because the people that, or the

kids that have come in last week have only been able to come here

because they've got relatives in this country. The DUBS amendment

after Lord Dubs, what a fantastic thing to do, actually made this

amendment so children could have safety. And that is what is

happening. So it was girls earlier. You don't have to work out that

girls are much more at risk in a place like that. The photo on the

front of The Telegraph which is about Calais and the refugee camp

issues, and in about 24 hours they'll start to demolish the

authorities, queueing for Britain, Nigel, this photo of a group of

people lining up to kind of put in their applications basically to be

processed? A really unhelpful photograph really because a lot of

them don't look like children in that photograph and what the story

that goes with it is about is that there were offers made to actually

test children to make sure they were children and... In so far as you can

possibly do it, yes. Yes, but there were offers from social services

departments, these two back to last August and the Government turned it

down, you can do it with dental checks, 17EU countries do that as a

standard routine to see how old somebody is and it's terribly

important it's children we take in, otherwise the public who at the

moment are very sympathetic to what is going on there, could change very

quickly. There is the legal side of this which is, I think I'm right in

saying, that under international agreements, if you are under the age

of 18, you cannot be sent back once you come to claim asylum, you cannot

be rejected. There is a nice take from this cartoon. This is from

Matt. He's genius, there is a coach disappearing in the distance and a

sign saying "migrant welcome centre" and on the back of bus it says

"children on board" (apparently). That is absolutely the issue to the

story. Let's move on then to our next story which is the Sunday

Times. I was blown up and trapped by Isis guns says reporter Louise

Callaghan, part of the operation, one of the dread word embedded

reporters travelling with the troops who're beginning the assault on

Mosul? Yes. As anyone can see from this

photograph, she's sitting there with her hands over her mouth looking in

utter horror at what's happening. She's taking evasive action in a

Humvee as Iraqi troops pound in Mosul. It's standard fare which

isn't to denigrate it at all. It's nasty and frightening, but I think

we all know it's been going on for six days now. Soon to move into its

seventh day. It's what happens afterwards. It's a nasty Basel but

what happens next? Contested part of Iraq, very close to the Kurdish

autonomous region, so there's pressures there. Absolutely and they

have already said they won't... Big stakes. A surprising thing was

hearing from the aid agency in the course of the week that people by

their thousands were fleeing into Syria to escape expected violence in

Mosul. Yes. When you see reports like this, I think that the

temptation for a journalist on the ground is to describe the

experiences they're going through. It's a brave thing to be going out

there and doing the kind of thing that Louise Callaghan is doing. Yes.

Also we know how dangerous the whole thing is. There are reports coming

out that 284 men and women who were human shields have now been executed

by Isis. You are dealing here with a really, really nasty enemy, so yes,

you would flee anywhere even Syria, just to get away from them. Let's,

as our little and finally, this quite fun story at the bottom.

Number Ten spin chiefs romantic blunder. It's a cautionary tale, Jo?

Yes. Not so much about having flings but about being careful with your

mobile phone? Yes, it's not about having a fling at all actually. It's

about Sir Craig Oliver, late to Downing Street, former spin doctor

to David Cameron. He had sent a text to his then girlfriend who had come

into a meeting looking a bit flustered and he sent a text saying,

"you look shattered X, X, X," but he'd sent it to more than his

girlfriend, it had gone to fellow campaign chiefs, so everybody around

the table, everybody sitting there, phones vibrating and it had gone to

the entire WhatsApp group of the campaign group, but, you know, these

things happen. His secret love wasn't secret much longer. Spin your

way out of that one. People put back on the app "you don't look so good

yourself, mate". Thank you Nigel and Jo,

you'll both be back at 11.30 for another look at the stories

making the news tomorrow.