30/10/2016 The Papers


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cricket, another wicket gone for England, Gary Ballance for five,


England are 124-3. Now on BBC Sport, it is Gavin with the Papers.


Hello and welcome to our look ahead to the papers.


With me are Josie Cox from the Wall Street Journal


and the Independent's economics editor, Ben Chu.


The Observer leads with reaction to the FBI reviewing its investigation


into Hillary Clinton's emails, with senior Democrats accusing


the bureau's head of compromising its political neutrality.


That story's also featured on the front of the Sunday Times,


which also claims that Hillary Clinton's lead


The Mail on Sunday criticises the BBC for a show


which it says is available on the CBBC website.


A novel solution for the country's housing crisis


is unveiled on the front page of the Sunday Telegraph -


it says the Government is to offer help to build


While the People carries an interview with the mother


of murdered toddler Jamie Bulger, who says she's living in fear


Let's begin with what is clearly one of the biggest stories anywhere in


the world, Hillary at war with FBI as a lead slumps, that is the Sunday


Times' take on that, and the Observer has angry Democrats cry


fowl with new probe into Clinton, what you make of this and the timing


of it? The timing is very interesting, only ten or 11 days to


go until the election, and this is very much in line with what we have


seen so far in this campaign, very messy. I cannot run any campaign


similar to this one being quite as messy and quite as full of lewd


comments and insults being thrown around. This underscores what I have


been saying for a while, this will not be about people voting for who


they want to be the next president but people voting for who they do


not want to be the next president, voting for someone to avoid the


other person coming into power. And some people possibly do not want


either of them, it has not been, what shall we say, given the


standard of American politics over the last 200 years, some of the


greatest thinkers, Jefferson and Roosevelt, this has not been a great


election. Absolutely, and it hones in on the prospect of this being a


lame-duck presidency, because, you know, the polls still predict that


Hillary will take the lead on the day. The league is slimming down,


but if she does get in, she will no doubt have to battle those trust


problems. She has been criticised for being very closed, not very


emotional, not being very trustworthy, not being able to be


read by the public. That is a very good point, because actually whoever


wins is going to face continuing investigations and scandals. We know


Donald Trump faces a lawsuit about Trump University, which has


allegedly defrauded people, we have heard about allegations of sexual


misconduct and other things. And now these e-mails, and we do not even


know what is in them. There will be huge damage done by this election,


not only the way it has been fought, but the way the whole democratic


system has been seen to be much messier and much dirtier than we


would like. I think it is really interesting, this latest episode, in


the sense that what we have had, the smears based on no evidence at all,


the FBI director has not come out with anything that proves


anything... Eat hasn't even looked at them. And yet Trump is saying she


is corrupt, this is worse than Watergate, and yet somehow it is


Hillary who seems to be on the ropes over this episode, when actually the


disgrace is that he is trying and finding her guilty based on no


evidence whatsoever, which is really in keeping with a lot of the


campaign so far. The flavour of both the Observer and the Sunday Times,


Hillary at war with the FBI, it does suggest that if she does become


president, well, let's put it this way, the head of the FBI might not


have a long career in that position, who knows? Because he has done


something which is against the advice of the Attorney General, as


far as one can establish. Absolutely, and the other thing


about this story is that it once again highlights Hillary Clinton's


highlights with her close political aide, the separated wife of Anthony


Weiner, the disgraced congressman, who was involved in all those


horrible sexting scandals. No doubt this is more ambition for Donald


Trump's rhetoric. The thing about that, it is not necessarily the fact


that matter in politics, it is the fact that, emotionally, there is


something funny going on with the Hillary Clinton campaign, that is


what many people take out of its - why has she not put all of these


allegations to bed? Whether there is any equivalence between what she is


accused of and what Donald Trump is accused of is another matter. I


think this false equivalence is a very legitimate point, legitimate


for the Hillary Clinton campaign and her supporters to bring it up,


because as you rightly say, what is the evidence here? It is an FBI


director, a former member of the Republican Party, saying, we are


investigating, going against all precedent, against the advice of the


Attorney General, Loretta Lynch, and then on the Trump side, with the


sexual abuse claims, women coming forward to testify, actual evidence


for people to base their judgment on. I think Josie is right, a lot of


people are weighing it up on emotion, but if they looked at the


facts, it is pretty clear which way the balance would come out. A former


director, Rudi Giuliani, a very prominent Trump supporter. Now this


is interesting, Putin's trueblue Tory friends, it talks of various


people, Russia's state funded apparatus of soft power is targeting


British politics, it names the director of the Bruges Group group,


whose first president was Margaret Thatcher. It talks quite a bit about


the Bruges Group, what do you make of that? If you were an MP, or if


you were in politics, you would be expected to engage with Putin,


wouldn't you? Absolutely, but I cannot think we can denied that it


makes for a good story, the way that it is presented, Putin has all these


political connotations, he is a very controversial figure, so the


headline is how Putin pulls the strings. So that is once again


portraying him as this kind of puppet character, which makes for a


good image. I think it is hard to make... It is hard to understand how


influential this story is actually going to be, how much it really


matters. I am not particularly familiar with these figures who are


being discussed. Not exactly household names. Exactly, and it is


not really clear how these groups would be in general relations


between the UK and Russia going forward. I think what is


interesting, the background to all this is we have got Nato reinforcing


in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, extremely worried about the


rumblings in Russia, the big aircraft carrier going through the


Straits of Dover, we know what is going on in Syria, Ukraine remains a


running sore that will not go away, Russia very sensitive about it. So


that seems to be the big picture, that somehow we have got to engage


with Russia, but at what level and how? I think that is right, the


context is quite interesting, because the Bruges Group, one of


these think tanks which is accused of getting too close to the Kremlin,


was founded on the back of Margaret Thatcher's very anti-European Bruges


speech, and the indication is that this has led them into the arms of


the Kremlin, their Euro scepticism. They are so anti-Europe that they


Russian allegation that Ukraine started the Rodeo by getting too


close to Europe, that forced Russia to get involved, they want to see


Europe in the worst possible light. Although Thatcher was this great


anti-Communist Prime Minister, they were founded on the back of her


hard-line views, they have been led into this... It is difficult to


imagine that Margaret Thatcher would approve of going into occupied


eastern Ukraine, that would be rather controversial, one would have


thought, with anybody, which is the other part of the story. Absolutely,


and the nature of the trips that are being funded by Russian officials is


also very questionable. There is an extra added dimensions of political


controversy in terms of Russian anti-gay policies. I think we're


reading that Putin plays a weak hand extremely well! The Sunday


Telegraph, hard Brexit will pave the way to trading riches, this is,


again, we're about to go into the sunlit uplands of a great trade


deal, or alternatively it is all going to be a disaster. What do you


think of these stories? They are in every paper all the time. I think it


is an interesting time, because clearly there are lots of factors


which have provided momentum to the Brexit campaign recently. We had GDP


figures out, stronger than expected, and we have had other reports coming


out saying that the City of London, the UK is going to thrive under


Brexit. And of course we had the Nissan story earlier this week,


which was that Nissan had committed to build these two models in its


Sunderland plant, securing 7000 jobs, so an endorsement of


post-Brexit Britain, I suppose. So this, I think, is playing off that


momentum and just creating a sort of prospect of what could be to come.


That could be right, or it could be wrong. What basically this is is


saying we need to get out of the customs union, this is a pressure


group of the hardline Brexit crew, and they want to ginger the


Government up to get out of the customs union. They say, if we


don't, we can't make these free-trade deals with the rest of


the world, like China, South America et cetera, because in the customs


union you have to leave that to the EU. They have to get out to do those


deals, they have to get out if they want Liam Fox, the international


Trade Secretary, to have a meaningful role. This is saying,


look at what we can get, but a question over whether they could do


those amazing deals. I talked to Vince Cable this week, the former


Business Secretary, now he said his assessment of the deal to do with


Nissan, the reason they are there is that it implies we will stay within


the customs union, because if no money has changed hands, what could


be offered to a company like that? Yeah. We don't know, but it is clear


that is the way he is thinking. The logic is impeccable, apart from the


fact that he me has made it very clear that are red line is


preventing free movement, and you will not get that if you leave the


customs union, if you leave the single market. So I think his logic


is right, but the politics may it unlikely that will happen. The


question is, we have various key part of this economy we don't want


to lose - car manufacturing, financial services, all things we


want to boost, paving the way for trading riches, as the Telegraph


puts it. But you cannot keep making deals with individual sectors of the


economy, there comes a point WEC advance cannot keep doing that. And


you cannot set precedents and have double standards. That is what is so


interesting about the Nissan story, because other companies will want a


reassurance that their future will be secured. Another interesting


story in the Sunday Telegraph, prefabs to solve the housing crisis


- I do not know how many post-war prefab still exist, there must be a


few, but there were meant to be a temporary solution, and we are


talking about building 100,000. I think this is really interesting,


prefabs to solve housing crisis. The number they are talking about is


100,000, and we were talking about this before we came on. Is 100,000


going to solve a crisis? It might make a bit of a difference, but


surely the crisis is so much more widespread and so much more bigger


in magnitude. That is a very fair point, the numbers do not stand up,


if you talk about solving - it might help. 100,000 over the parliament


they are talking about, and we have a 100,000 shortfall every single


year, supply relative to demand, so Josie is right, this is not going to


solve the housing crisis. The other point is that this is an old policy,


it has been announced by Vince Cable and other ministers. They talked


about this elution quite a lot. It is not in the gift of the gunmen off


to provide this. They are not going to them themselves. -- they talked


about this solution quite a lot. It is not in the gift of the government


to provide this. It is a more intensive solution to the crisis, it


is about ginger ring up the industry to provide these. Of the Government


can grease the wheels. As you say, it may be a drop in the bucket. At


the end of the story, it says these houses are designed to last for ten


years! As we well no, that is usually beyond the length of the


government! The Sunday Times, this is a very interesting political Zou


Shiming story, ministers row back on disabled benefits curbs. I think it


is in keeping with the tenet of Theresa May's approach since she


became Prime Minister, trying to take some of the hard edges of what


the coalition did on welfare, working families, those were just


managing, as she calls them. The reforms were introduced by Labour,


hardened up by the Conservatives, getting people on employment support


allowance, getting them into the workplace, and Iain Duncan Smith had


a reform where he would try to beef up the incentives by getting into


work, but also cutting benefits for those who were deemed able to join


the workforce. And essentially what they are going to do is keep


encouraging people, remove the sanction of cutting benefits, or


cutting them back to jobseeker's allowance levels. So it is not


completely rowing back, but it is making them less harsh. Sort of


kindly, gentler initiative, I assume that is the theme. I think this is


about getting rid of the pigeonholing, it was assumed, if you


are not in work, you are on benefits. If you are in work, your


benefits will be cut, but we all know it is not like that. Different


differs abilities require different support levels, and it sounds to me


like this is more about a sliding spectrum than a pigeonhole. --


different disabilities. Many of the papers can be summed up by the Mail


on Sunday, UK boss of Typhoo warns of the disaster of leaving,


humanising what we have talked about, the opposite of the upside of


Brexit, the wholesale cost of tea might go up 50%, he is worried about


it. We have had Marmitegate, now it is a storm in a teacup - the


economics are simple, if prices go up, the prices in the shops will go


up. There will be an effect, so people who import products like tea,


they do not grow it on the slopes of North Yorkshire or Wigan! But it is


an interesting point, Apple have raised the prices of their


computers, saying the same things, so this may be the story of the next


year. Economic is indeed very simple, it was Marmite last week,


tea this week, it could be chocolate, meet or god knows what


next week. Tea is attacking us where it hurts! I am afraid I am a bit of


an addict, I suspect much of Britain is the same thing. But the other


point is that there will be other economic advantages, things will


settle down, who knows what will happen to the euro? It is true, and


if the pound does not keep falling forever, this will be a one-off


shock, may be very big, but it will not be going on for ever. This will


hurt people, and it may make people think about the economic costs and


benefits of Brexit, like you say, it brings it down to a household level.


Petrol is the other one that is very sensitive, obviously it is to not


naked in dollars, and the oil price has gone up as well, so we may be


getting sensitive about billing of the car. -- the -- denominated. I


believe Opec is still really the big driver there, that will be for the


longer term, that will be more relevant than FX.


That's it for The Papers, thanks to Josie Cox and Ben Chu.


Just a reminder we take a look at tomorrow's front pages every


Good morning. Fog has been the main hazards of this morning, and it will


be tomorrow morning as well, this was sent in


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