11/03/2017 The Papers


11/03/2017

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

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With me are Nigel Nelson, political editor of the Sunday Mirror

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and the Sunday People, and the political commentator Jo

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Some of tomorrow's front pages are already in.

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The Observer says Theresa May is under fire by MPs who fear

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she has no backup plan if the UK fails to get a trade deal

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The Mail on Sunday also leads on the Prime Minister's impending

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It says she will fire the starting gun on Tuesday.

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The Sunday Telegraph's top story is what it calls a war

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in the Cabinet over the Budget, with ministers reportedly furious

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at the Chancellor for not warning them that he was planning to break

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a manifesto promise with a rise in national insurance

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The front page of the Sunday Times has rugby hero Danny Care flying

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through the air as scores in England's victory

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against Scotland in the Rugby Six Nations.

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And the Sunday Express reports on a potential new lead in the hunt

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The paper says police have been given extra funding to follow it up.

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Let's began, and I think we can get the overall theme. There is a lot of

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Brexit, of course, it is a big week ahead and the Mail on Sunday saying

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that David Davis has been grossly negligent, dereliction of his duty.

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And in fact there are pages and pages of this and this is the report

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from the foreign affairs Select Committee, and these committees are

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very influential, as you know. If you cast your mind back, the same

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committee warned David Cameron and criticised him for gross negligence,

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was actually the phrase they used, for not having put into shape or put

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on the backburner a plan for if there was a live vote in the

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referendum. What they are saying now, it is possible that, because

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Theresa May has set a bad deal is better than no deal, is worse than

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no deal -- leave vote. It actually there might not be a deal, in which

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case what is the plan? What happens? And they are absolutely not mincing

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their words at all. The chairman of the Select Committee, Crispin Blunt,

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was a very committed Brexiteer. But this is talking about what are we

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going to do? Talking about it being destructive, talking about mutually

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assured damage, a throwback to the Cold War phrase mutually assured

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destruction, so it is absolutely damning and there are two very

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significant votes coming back from the amendments from the House of

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Lords tomorrow, and possibly Article 50 being triggered on Thursday or

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Tuesday. So the fear is deadlock and then we don't know what happens.

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That's right. Everything now gets very complicated because the first

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thing that Theresa May has got to do is get Article 50 passed by

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Parliament. So Monday we see a couple of votes in the House of

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Commons pinging back to the House of Lords, everyone hoping it will go

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unamended from the Commons and the Lords will roll over and we're off

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and running. So technically she could trigger on Tuesday. She can't

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do it on Wednesday because of the industrial action is and it might

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interfere with those. The next date is Thursday, or she could surprise

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us all by saying I will do at the following week and a lot of people

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are saying the following week is perhaps more likely. Nigel, stay

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with this one and move us on to the Sunday Times because we have had the

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devastation story of Brexit, tucked down in the left-hand column is a

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little nest egg which might come to us if we leave the EU. ?9 million

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down the back of the so. It is amazing that these figures, we used

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to talk in figures if you remember not so long ago, and ?9 billion

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which apparently we didn't know we had is sitting in the European

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investment bank and so what Theresa May wants to say is that is our

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money, we will have it back now, thank you, because we're leaving the

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EU. And what the Sunday Times is suggesting is that maybe on the

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basis of doing that we will get a deal over their bill to us, where

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they are talking in terms of perhaps up to 50 billion pounds. They will

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charge us to leave. So it sounds like this is how the negotiation is

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going to go on, that you have a bit of our money, we're not going pay

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that money, Boris Johnson says don't pay any money at all but it is an

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interesting bargaining chip to say we would like our ?9 billion back.

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Especially when it is to plug the deficit in the EU's own pension

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scheme. The pension scheme is a problem, we have an agreement that

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we are going to pay the pensions until who knows when, that is where

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the ?50 billion comes in. A lot of accountants are working this out

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with their calculators before the negotiations began. It could be

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worse, they could be self-employed! Let's move to a different story.

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This is the spooks. Apparently the Russians who may have it in for UK

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elections. Yes, well this is following on from all the

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shenanigans which have been going on in America during the elections of

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Donald Trump, and the claim that Russians, it is always the Russians,

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somehow or other were hacking the elections and this has actually come

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from GCHQ, which is Britain's listening and monitoring post and

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they have called an emergency summit with all the main political parties

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in this country, to warn them. And I think this is unprecedented. Nigel

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will know better than me but it is unprecedented to give a warning to

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all political parties to say that, you know, you hold all this data and

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all this information and party members, and their involvement in

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various campaigns, and goodness knows what, and banks and families

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and all that sort of stuff, policy interests, it would be very easy for

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hackers to manipulating that. -- start manipulating that. It will be

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interesting to see how the parties respond, but it is clearly a

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warning. There are campaigns all the time for online voting instead of

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going into the booth or doing postal votes, this will knock it on the

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head. Online voting is not on the cards now, and I don't think it will

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be four years. In the Sunday Telegraph, we were making fleeting

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references are moment ago to the insurance, and this is a suggestion

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that the Cabinet is now in a war. It is such a shambles, this decision by

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the Chancellor. That is what the Sunday Telegraph is telling us. They

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have hated this policy since it came up in the Budget. They have been

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furious about it and have turned their fury on to the Cabinet because

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they are furious with each other. What it is saying is that Philip

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Hammond had an hour-long briefing with his Cabinet colleagues but he

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forgot to mention that if he hiked in a national insurance for the

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self-employed, he would be breaking a manifesto commitment, at which

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point you would expect every Cabinet minister to how and say we can't

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possibly do that. This is where it gets a bit confusing. -- how. It

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looks like the Cabinet ministers, having not been told, didn't notice

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and this is the part I find stretches credibility. If you are

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telling Cabinet ministers who only last year or the year before went to

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the polls based on a manifesto, that one would rather hope they knew

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backwards, the first thing they would think of is, is this a breach

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of a manifesto commitment? And by the way, look what happened to the

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Lib Dems when they breached their manifesto commitment over tuition

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fees. And certainly, myself and colleagues in the Parliamentary

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lobby, we knew it was a manifesto commitment which was why we didn't

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think he would ever do it. So it seems a little odd that the Cabinet

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didn't actually point out themselves that something was awry here. And it

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is a total shambles because nobody anywhere seemed to recognise that it

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would be like throwing a hand grenade into the party. That there

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would be this absolute fury. Two we are going to rattle on through, take

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us a little lower. Talking about tuition fees and the Lib Dems, we

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are now taking lessons from France as regards our MPs and what they

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should and shouldn't do. Indeed. New rules are likely to come into

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Westminster about MPs employing wives and children, presumably

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husbands as well. As you know, in France, Fillon is at the centre of

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this controversy over having employed his wife and children for

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not doing the job they are supposed to do, or not very much, allegedly.

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This will urge politicians to advertise all vacancies and a

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blanket ban on hiring family members at Westminster, which is in place in

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Scotland. So it is bringing England in line with Scotland. Sunday

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express delving a little deeper, and going inside 2-page format. A new

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angle on the grammar school issue, perhaps. Yes, this is Theresa May's

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pet project to create a new generation of grammar schools. This

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is from the grammar school heads Association. So they are worth

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listening to. What they are saying is when designing new grammar

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schools has to be from the bottom up, not the top down. This is what

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most people's concerns about the new grammar school, that in fact they

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will become elitist and would be for everybody. The heads Association say

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you can make it that, but what you have to do is, you have to start

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when children are at primary school. You have two have the right primary

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school is to -- primary school is to feed into the grammar schools. My

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view of them is that they are not a problem in principle, but the

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selection procedure offers me somewhat. Same with the Labour Party

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and some Tories feel the same way. This seems to be a way forward. They

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are saying no quick fix. A story about something which might be a

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quick fix, this is a diet which reverses diabetes in ten weeks. This

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is a story in the Sunday express, which one takes with a pinch of

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salt. But this is type 2 diabetes, and this is based on a study in

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America, a small study, just over 238 patients. But because type 2

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diabetes is a huge problem and is linked to obesity, and because the

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reason that happens is that carbohydrate intake is the single

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biggest factor in blood sugar levels, and that is why people end

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up with type 2 diabetes, what this study has shown is that over the

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course of ten weeks, with high-fat, low carb diet, they can actually

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reverse it. If it is true, and there is a lot of work to be done, because

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it is small, the implications for actually fixing Type II diabetes,

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turning people's lives around, saving the NHS millions and millions

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of pounds that it currently spends on drugs or surgery, and it hasn't

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been rubbished. The charity diabetes UK is also funding a trial, and the

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National Obesity Forum saying this is highly significant, and suggests

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carbohydrates are damaging. It does tell us a little bit more about what

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carbohydrates do, so it is good for diets. While we are talking about

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fixing things, Sir Tim Berners-Lee, who invented the world wide web,

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says there is some fixing to be done and we need help. He is not happy

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with fake news and the way data harvesting goes on and what he says

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is it is time to get whole thing sorted out. Unfortunately we are not

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told exactly how he plans to do it, but he wants to do it with the

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support of the public. His idea seems to be to get back to his

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original concept, which is a web that gives equal power to everybody.

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So in other words, don't let the fake news jockeys go and take over

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the whole thing. What will be interesting to see is what he comes

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up with. I'm sure all of us, especially in the news business, we

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would love to get fake news out of Twitter and Facebook and so on.

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Given that he invented the thing, maybe he really has got some ideas,

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but at the moment he is just appealing for people to get together

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and come up with something. To finish, anybody watching the last

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hour will have seen that we set Nigel little challenge. I don't

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think I will hold on to it but we have been having fun with the lovely

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pictures on the Sunday Times and the Observer of the English victory in

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the Six Nations. We have Danny Care with that wonderful flying... I

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don't know if it was a Trihi was going for them. You are not a rugby

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fan but you will pay tribute absolutely, it was quite brilliant.

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England have equalled the world record for 18 consecutive wins, a

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fantastic game. 18 consecutive wins in a row, 61- 21 over Scotland, they

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have to play Ireland next week for the Grand Slam, which is Venice. It

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is in the bag, so they have won the Six Nations. I am quite impressed.

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Headlines coming up for you at the top of the hour.

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