17/06/2017 The Papers


17/06/2017

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

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With me are Robert Fox, Defence Editor at the London Evening

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Standard and Rachel Cunliffe, Comment and Features

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The Observer reports that the government repeatedly

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failed to act on fire safety warnings before

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The Express leads with the Queen's respond to the fire,

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praising Her Majesty for calming the nation.

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The Sunday Telegraph says Theresa May could face a leadership

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challenge from within her own party if she waters down Brexit.

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The Sunday Times reports that senior Conservative figures have told

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the Prime Minister she has ten days to improve her performance or face

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Let's have a closer look through the papers. The Sunday Telegraph, which

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of course all the papers are focusing on, the tragedy that

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happened in North Kensington. The Sunday Telegraph, the inferno

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response, not good enough, and admits the PM. Obviously reflecting

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on her statement. Just saying that basically it wasn't good enough,

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Robert. It is her body language, I think they are all talking about, it

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isn't manoeuvring adroitly enough, to get up to see the victims. She

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does feel very deeply about this, ironically, but finds it difficult

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to get her feelings across, as her great friend, faithful first the

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tenant Damian Green has been saying repeatedly through the day, she is

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distraught about it and I have no doubt about that but it is so odd,

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go back six weeks ago, the election was getting underway, it was seen to

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be a huge advantage to her, she was on top of the game and Corbyn

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wasn't. The contrast that ran throughout the reporting of the

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Sunday papers, and we've got quite a good sample in front of us, he is

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body language is better for this and it is more confident. It's not even

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a left and right thing, it's the Ronald Reagan feature of I feel your

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pain which seems to be getting across. And we have the

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extraordinary intervention of the Queen with her message on the day of

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her official birthday. But back to business, mostly the Conservative

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newspapers we are looking at, like the Mail on Sunday, they are reading

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directly from the inferno at Grenfell Tower, which she has no

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involvement in, she couldn't have seen it happen, it is becoming a

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very important catalyst in her political future, the future of a

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government which has barely started. This is part of the churn that is

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going on. In about three of the papers we've seen so far there's now

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a question over Queen's speech, the programme on the 28th of June, this

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is becoming a confidence issue now. This is why the Conservative papers

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are so worried about this and they are mailing it to the performance in

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the aftermath of Grenfell Tower because what I think they are all

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sensing, the response wasn't good enough, and they know this isn't

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going to go away. It will go into the winter. This is a big turning

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point. In one constituency it has shown the contrast between rich and

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poor in Britain today. It has put a magnifying glass, hasn't it? She was

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there initially but she was just meeting the emergency services. Why

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is that? I wonder who is giving her ad vice and the moment. -- who's

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giving her advice at the moment. She isn't overly charismatic, people

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seem to like that and she has always been a little bit stiff and not a

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David Cameron kind of Prime Minister and that was working but her

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complete inability to show emotion where it matters has really hurt her

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and directly wonder, Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill, who is giving heard

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this ad vice, not to them meet the victims, especially when they saw

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Jeremy Corbyn, who played this fantastically, coming across as

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somebody who actually cares. I completely agree with you that she

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has been unlucky, she was not directly responsible for the fire

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but this has become a symbol of the Tories against Labour, the rich and

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the poor, a man who is going to make the victims and a cold woman who

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won't. That message could have been avoided. We have this now, the

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Sunday Telegraph talking about this stalking horse leadership challenge.

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Not a difficult week for her, obviously, but this idea of her not

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being able to water down Brexit. We don't know who could possibly be the

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challenger. This story, if it were not so serious, could be very funny,

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the way it has been written. Mate facing the threat of a stalking

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horse leadership challenge. The assistant political editor of the

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Sunday Telegraph says that this has happened in the past, figures from

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the past, like the challenger to Margaret Thatcher in her pomp, but

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name names, Ben, who is it? And he can't. This is becoming quite a

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story. The Eurosceptics have warned that any attempt to keep Britain in

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the customs union and the Single Market, any leeway from getting out

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of the European Court of Justice isn't acceptable. Well, actually,

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those items, per se, were not on the referendum paper. I recall my days

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on the Telegraph, Michael -- might colleague, William deeds, he said to

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me about 22 years ago, he thought that the European issue, this was

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post-Maastricht, is going to split the Tory party and he asked whether

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it would survive. I hope he's listening up there because it is

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really a very big issue. This is the issue, where Mrs May is in great

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difficulty, she cannot curb the hard isolationists, as I call them, who

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really wants to... It is more than the tail wagging the dog. This is a

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real problem for the Tory party because as long as this goes in they

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will be in a poor state to fight a general election and that won't be

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in five years' time. Can we have another so soon? The Sunday Times

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suggesting that the Tories are giving her ten days. Yes, if you

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read the story about the backbench MPs, the shadow leaders who are

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secretly pulling the strings come at the 1922 club, it seems that they

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have run out of patience with Theresa May. Quotes like she is

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making the party more toxic, she needs to stop feeling sorry for

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herself. They have a problem here in that they don't want another messy

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leadership challenge. Who do they have? Michael Gove, equally toxic.

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David Davis, chief Brexiteer, but not really Prime Minister material.

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People talking about Ruth Davidson coming down from Scotland. She isn't

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an MP and I think she is incredible but she is a Remainer, so if the

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Eurosceptics want a Eurosceptics that isn't her. Who are we left

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with, Boris Johnson. That is a prospect that is the only thing

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stopping those Tory leaders from ending her prime ministerial career.

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They are waiting to have somebody viable to replace her and they

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don't. Between a rock and a hard place because the observer is saying

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that business would like her to rethink a hard Brexit. What is she

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going to do. The Observer is the cheerleader of the soft Brexit.

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Talking about no deal, no Brexit immediately. If things go the way

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that Angela Merkel fears in Europe over the next year or so, that may

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come to pass. Mrs Merkel is preoccupied with things like

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migration, the viability of the Eurozone and Italy above Brexit. And

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her own election as well. That is less of a worry than it was. Working

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in the continental press, it is amazing how the gap isn't just the

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channel, it is several Atlantic oceans between perceptions in

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Europe. What is going on in Brussels and London. I think that the opening

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of the Brexit negotiations will be a formality because they got to work

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out what they are talking about because both sides seem to be

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talking past each other. I think there is a lot going there. It is

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led by my great friend William Keegan, who has a business column

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which is always saying no Brexit. We were discussing the other day, I'm

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going to charge him for plagiarism, because I gave him the line that the

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poverty we could face could be worse than anything, possibly worse than

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austerity. And there I see it in the Observer! The serious side of it, I

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think that business really hasn't spoken yet and I think we're going

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to hear a lot more of it as we build up to the party conference season,

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which is when it will really come out. That is the point, ten days to

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go but nobody is actually handling her, in the old metaphor, the pearl

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handled revolver. Some big names being mentioned in the article, the

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big beasts of business. It is an impossible position, isn't it? It is

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something we are covering a lot, what business wants from Brexit.

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Businesses have been making preparations for hard Brexit but

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there are so many considerations that aren't on the table at the

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moment because the rhetoric is all about migration, sovereignty and it

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hasn't moved on to what we want. What's clear when you look at the

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juxtaposition here, the Sunday Telegraph saying that you had better

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not soft on Brexit, everyone is taking this as proof, whatever they

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wanted, whether it is Jeremy Corbyn or the hard Brexiteers, that this

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shows that people are with them. This result, which is... I think

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everyone lost, that is my evaluation of the resort but everyone is taking

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it as a sign that they were right. It is so I'm clear and it is totally

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up for grabs. This proves that I was right. It shows what a lousy is

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Gelant a -- lousy instrument a referendum is. The Sunday express

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says that the Queen is calming the nation. We saw her with volunteers

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on the front line. Again, arguably, perhaps a suggestion that it should

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have been Theresa May but we have the Queen stepping up. Her

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appearance shows that Theresa May's line that she didn't meet people

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because of security concerns, caught out there. The Queen has shown

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phenomenal leadership, as she has threw her career. She has been a

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unifying figure, in the context of the fire and the election. It is at

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times of political uncertainty, like 2010, there wasn't a clear

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government, that this monarch that we had in the background who looks

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nice on banknotes has a very important constitutional role and

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people look to the monarchy for leadership. In one sentence, you

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would a code that? Yes, it is turning what we saw in the movie,

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the Queen, on its head. Somehow they have grown an emotional quotient

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that is lacking in the political leadership at the moment. We will

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have to leave it there. Don't go away. We will be going back to have

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another look at the papers in about half an hour's time. Stay with us

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for that. Now, the weekend weather. It has been the hottest

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day of the year so far, temperatures reaching 30 degrees

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in a number of spots

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