08/07/2017 The Papers

Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

With me are Nigel Nelson, political editor of the Sunday Mirror

and Sunday People, and the political commentator Jo Phillips.

Some people have more than 24 hours in their day, Nigel!

Tomorrow's front pages starting with...

The Observer, which tells us that German industry is warning the UK

it cannot rely on its help in securing a good Brexit

deal, this is a "stark" intervention, says the paper.

The Sunday People has an exclusive - it's talked to Lord Dannatt

about caring for veterans with post-traumatic stress disorder.

Back to Brexit and the Telegraph says Theresa May is trying

to capitalise on Donald Trump's optimism on trade amid growing

While the Mail On Sunday is told by Conservative MP Andrew Mitchell

that he thinks it's time for Mrs May to step aside because she

The Sunday Express leads with Mr Trump's comments that the UK

will thrive outside the EU and his promise to sign a "powerful"

And The Times - it says Mrs May claimed that Mr Trump's comments had

put her plan for Brexit "back on track".

We will start with the Sunday Telegraph and Brexit and Theresa May

plays the trump card. The Prime Minister trying to head off a

growing rebellion by playing up this strong backing from the US

president. Has anyone used the word very as much as Donald Trump. He has

this strange speech take where he repeats the next thing again. It is

very nice to see you, Martin, very nice to see you. Anyway, it is very,

very, very exciting and very powerful and it will happen very

quickly. Which it is not. How can any trade deal ever happen quickly?

It is a lot of warm words and Theresa May is trying to take

something good out of the summit where she has also been busy

chatting up various other leaders and things, but in the meantime

Donald Trump has decided he will not sign up to the climate change

agreement. He has isolated himself completely. We heard the click of

her saying she is dismayed, but how dismayed do you have to be to not to

try to persuade somebody. It all looks shambolic. I know we are

taking the p about he says very quickly all the time. Who is?

Martine is. I suppose it is because we do not get particularly

descriptive words from him. But these words are wrong. Very wrong.

He is giving us the idea we will get a trade deal in a few months down

the road. He has not actually said that. Would you say very, very

quickly we would get a trade deal? Anything less than ten years might

look very quick. To look? To anybody. First we have to get a deal

with Europe before we do a deal with the US and that is two years gone.

We are looking at several years after that, assuming everybody

agrees with it. Whatever the complexities of world politics they

have to be gone into in 140 characters and if it is beyond that

it is too much for him. That is because we expect very complex ideas

to be explained in a 15 or 22nd sound bite. To a certain extent, but

Nigel is right in that Donald Trump is right in that Donald Trump's way

is that business, and do not worry, if there is a problem, I will sort

it. Life is not like that when you are talking about complex trade

deals. But if things are going so well for Theresa May and this is the

leader of the free world, the other one being Angela Merkel, depending

on your point of view, they were saying previously we would not be at

the front of the Q and now we are doing business very quickly. He is

signalling he wants it to be very fast. And for her there is a

relationship that is not of the stature of the one with Ronald

Reagan, but there seems to be a general warmth, although I don't see

anything warm in Theresa May or Donald Trump can't do that, but you

are right. Barack Obama said we would be at the back of the Q, but

whether this is translated into action, and we have still got Brexit

to deal with. We do not even have a vague outline of what kind of trade

deal we are talking about. But the Daily Telegraph is quite optimistic

and says because of this Theresa May will be able to stave off any

backbench rebellion in her Cabinet that is coming her way. We will come

to that in a moment. Meanwhile, in the Daily Telegraph, US plans for

armed officers in UK airports which could add to the cost of fares in

the United States. I can relax about this. Do we really want guys from

America carrying guns and wandering around our airports? Now I think

people have got so used to the fact we have armed police around as all

the time. If you go to an airport armed police are normal. It seems to

me not a bad idea because American immigration is so difficult at the

other end. You have the screening process at this end rather than

having difficulty when you get to your destination. It reminds me of

the sky marshals we had on board planes after 9/11. Every now and

again there is a report of the intervening in something. But this

is a rather bizarre story because Gatwick has said it has got no plans

to participate. Heathrow says it is not workable. The airports

interested are Manchester and Edinburgh. They want more US trade.

Yes, they might want more US trade, but who will enforce this? If the

cost of your flight is more at Manchester or Edinburgh to pay for

American armed police... Let's hope it would make it more difficult for

people to come across from the channel. Yes, we hope it is more

difficult. Once again, we want more details. They must quit now says

chief Davis ally, this ally being Andrew Mitchell. Andrew Mitchell,

the former International Development Secretary forced to resign as Chief

Whip after the Plebgate affair. A very good and long-term ally of

David Davis. Simon Walters is the political editor and it is one of

his marvellous story. He talks about how he once got punched by him. Who

did? Simon Walters. Are we allowed to say that? He said he gave him a

friendly cuff around the head. So my remarks are justified. I would never

let you down. The story is about the devastating attack and the inference

is that David Davis, if he has not sanction it, he is aware, or would

be aware of what Andrew Mitchell is saying, whether he is saying it on

his behalf whether he is whipping up the frenzy of she has got to go. It

was not exactly a secret dinner. It was a one nation dining club. You

would not have it in the Commons. The impression I am getting from

most MPs is the one thing they dread more than anything else is a general

election, and that is all parties. If you look at the Tories because a

leadership challenge might provoke a general election, they dread that

next along the way. As they settle down, you get the impression people

think Theresa May will stay in place for two years. Some people are

talking about five. The leadership challengers, the likely ones, Boris

Johnson and David Davis, I do not think we are looking at an imminent

challenge to Theresa May at the moment. They will hold onto her for

as long as she is useful? Even if you put a stalking horse up to get

things moving, it still takes 48 MPs. It would be difficult to find

48 MPs. But they love this and to be honest so do we. It is a good

and it keeps on going and we are and it keeps on going and we are

about to go into the summary says and then it will be conference

season and the whole thing will be, who is going to unseat her? We might

have a more quiet period the summer. I do not think so, I think we have

got two years of mayhem at the very least. We have already had quite a

few months of it. The Observer. German industry in stark warning to

UK over Brexit, saying it will be hard to avoid hurting British

business. This is a genuine surprise. We have always thought

people like German car-makers are anxious to avoid any kind of tariff

barriers which is what we would get without a deal. They seem to be

taking the straightforward EU negotiator Michel Barnier line that

we obey the rules or we do not. If you want to be in the single market

and have access to it, we must also accept freedom of movement and we

will not do that. This is quite a serious warning from them. If they

are saying to us, if you want to be part of the club, you must obey the

rules of the club. It does seem to show there is not that much room for

the negotiation we keep talking about. But in stark contrast to what

Donald Trump is saying, do not worry, it will be sorted, it is a

direct contradiction of what David Davis, as previously mentioned, had

said before the referendum, that German industry would put pressure

on Angela Merkel to hand Britain a good Brexit deal. That is where the

negotiations will end up. It is the president of the Federation of

German industry is saying it and the president of the Confederation of

German employers Association. They want the single market and there

priority is to look after the 27 remaining members. Let's stay with

the Observer. I know you will be delighted to talk about the rugby.

Shared glory as the Lions try again. They have drawn, they did not win,

but it felt like they had one because expectations were low.

Fortunately she briefed me before I came on. It is a game with a funny

ball. Did you ask me what a draw was? I would not even know what a

draw meant. They got the same score. I went political saying what this

particular draw turned out to be. But it is the best result they could

have hoped for. No, it is not, the best result would have been to win.

They have been written off by the critics. I think it is a good

result. This is like the German referendum result. It is very Jeremy

Corbyn. Is Sam Warburton the new Jeremy Corbyn? Do you know more than

me? It does feel a bit like that. They have done better than we

expected when they set out, just like Jeremy Corbyn. It was still

only a draw. For the all Blacks that is devastating. Absolutely and the

Lions did beat them and the all Blacks beat the Lions and the

coaches will be deeply disappointed and they have said so. But I think

it is not a bad result. To show off, it was a tough, ten match schedule

next time they will reorganise the matches. It might give us a fighting

chance. To fit in with the wider jigsaw. Nigel, I found a couple of

facts about the story you really do not know anything about. I will give

it a try. Can we talk about Wimbledon next? It is on the front

pages or the back pages, so, yes. And the Independent. Brexit votes

legacy, record rise in hate crimes. A 23% increase in racial and

religious attacks, and exclusive. I am surprised about the figures. I

have seen figures about this that in fact a hate crime went up after the

referendum, but I thought it went down again. Then we had the

terrorist atrocities that put them up again. This suggests it has been

a continuous thing. These are different figures because they come

from a Freedom of information requests from the paper. But they do

make pretty grim reading. If we are talking about up to nearly 50,000

hate crimes that took place in the 11 months after the referendum, and

if the two things can be linked, it is troubling. It also explains why

so many people are thinking about going home. We are not getting the

fruit pickers in at the moment, this is the season of it, and they are

the backbone of the agricultural workforce. And there were 41,000

crimes before, so that is shocking. Yes, which we did not speak about.

One of the things you can say is that perhaps people feel more

confident about reporting it, the silver lining. There is a reporting

spike as well. But we need more observation. And also more time.

That would always be nice, wouldn't it? And two Mori views on Monday to

Friday. That is not my point of view, it is your point of view.

Thank you, Nigel Nelson and Jo Phillips, you'll both be back

at half 11 for another look at the stories making