02/11/2017 The Papers

Hello and welcome to our look ahead

to what the the papers will be

bringing us tomorrow.

With me are Stephen Bush,

Special Correspondent

for The New Statesman,

and David Wooding, Political Editor

of the Sun on Sunday.

Thank you for coming in.

Tomorrow's front

pages, starting with

The Telegraph says that Theresa May

is preparing for her succession

with the surprise appointment

of the former Chief Whip Gavin

Williamson to Defence Secretary.

The Times says the appointment

leaves the Prime Minister vulnerable

to a renewed coup for her job. The

Guardian also lead to that

appointment saying the Prime

Minister's choice has angered

backbench Tory MPs. Also focusing on

the anger from Tory backbenchers

that his appointment. This also

leads the Metro.

The FT leads with the rise

in interest rates

signalling that more increases

could be on the way.

The Express says that thousands

of foreign nationals,

who were supposed to be deported

by the Home Office,

are on the run in Britain.

So it's politics and economics for

the next ten minutes. Take is to the

front of the times. Theresa May

under fire in the light of changes

in defence.

Michael Fallon has

resigned and she has replaced him

with Chief Whip Gavin Williamson and

this has angered a great number of

people for the variety of reasons,

and I think it's important to really

get this story, that the role of

Defence Secretary is hugely

important, particularly to

Conservatives. If you say to the

average Labour MP and they want

health and education, and defences

the dream job for a lot of people in

the Conservative Party and this man

has no more held a ministerial post

expressed any opinions about

anything, least of all defence, and

so it is particularly galling for

the Conservative Party to see Gavin

Williamson elevated, and adding to

the problem is that he has been

somebody who has are always argued

things like people having to wait

their turn and if you promote too

many from a young and take it

irritates the whole balance, and he

has effectively skip the queue and

it makes people feel they have been

jerked around, so people are angry

with Theresa May of doing this or

being forced into it.

Is this how

you see it as well?

Ice folk with a

few people today and that is quite a

backlash over this. They feel that

Gavin Williamson got the job because

he asked for it. He was in charge of

the wet's office and recommended

that Michael Fallon goal and now he

has got the job. With all this talk

of MPs behaving in a creepy manner

towards women, we have got the man

with the creepy Crawley, he has a

pet tarantula which she keeps in the

wet's office, and he is moving it

into the Ministry of Defence.

There's a feeling among some MPs

that the big search is on now to

find out who is the author of this

dirty dossier which names all these

MPs for what they have allegedly

done, and some people are pointing

the finger that the wet's office and

saying that there is no proof, but

was he the source for this?

Go back

to what he said a moment ago about

the departure of Michael Fallon. How

is it known that Mr Williamson may

have had some influence?

As the

Chief Whip he was allegedly in there

when the decision was made that

Michael had the goal. Some people

are seeing Machiavellian views on

the job at such as politics.

Politics to an extent is about

rewarding loyalty. Is this not an

example of that? I do think people

are seeing agency on Williamson's

part. This is a classic Theresa May

promotion, someone who has worked

hard and who she trusts and who is

not from a private school and we saw

that from Karen Bradley and James

broken shower with Northern Ireland.

I remember when people spoke about

him being the preferred successor

rolled all that seems to have died a

death along with devolved

administration in Northern Ireland,

and he is very much in that model of

somebody who is within the inner

circle and she has awarded him. I

think it is a particularly wise move

for him or her but I think your

right to say that some people are

engaging in this idea that Gavin

Williamson is sitting like a James

Bond villain with this tarantula. I

don't think that is what is going

on.

I am glad you mentioned success

because the Telegraph has succession

in the headline. They are basically

saying Theresa May has appointed him

because she would one day like him

to succeed?

This is fascinating. He

has moved from the wet job which is

completely different from a bloody

minister stick into eight Cabinet

post running his own department

which is a huge step not having been

a junior minister first. But at him

as the successor has raised some

eyebrows. A lot of people thought

she would bring on the next

generation by having a wholesale

reshuffle landlords of names have

been mentioned. Promoted into the

Cabinet and all she has actually

done is to change the Chief Whip. Or

promote the deputy Chief Whip. And

with him into the Ministry of

Defence. A little bit early to

detect but one or two of the rising

stars, backbenchers waiting to get

their first break, are beginning to

think when will our chance,? If he

was moved on now with no reshuffle

then it could be another year before

she does anything?

And I think that

is particularly important in terms

of the question whether or not she

can survive for as long as you'd

like. If it looks as though she is

going to promote had image and she

is not going to bring him in, then

the argument for David Davis as a

interim leader or somebody from the

older generation to aid the

regeneration of the Tory party is

only going to increase. But I think

what a lot of people are missing is

that I don't think she wants to plan

for the succession. I think she'd

like another crack at the

electorate. She is doing a good job

of holding on. The post Theresa May

options to look any more appetising

and that helps. I think they are

going to have to properly come for

her with the long knives it they

want article.

She will not be

winkled out easily. Allegations of

sexual harassment, Michael Fallon's

departure falls under that heading

to an extent and we now have killed

and Hopkins. Still on the front of

the Telegraph with the Labour Party

now suspending him following similar

allegations.

A 27-year-old woman who

said when she was 24 about Kelvin

Hopkins, who was a shadow minister,

touched in an inappropriate way,

sent her text messages and dropped

himself against an Iraqi political

event. She said she complained and

nothing was done and described it as

revolting. He is 76 and she is in

her 20s. He used the phrase, if I

were a few years younger, well if he

was half a century younger. I must

say, we cannot see what Kelvin

Hopkins's response is.

I do not

think that is one.

This has moved

back to labour as well because the

dirty dossier is all Conservative

MPs and there is talk of a Labour

list flying around. We have had to

Maxis Labour instances so far. The

new MP for Sheffield Hallam Hope

been suspended for sending abusive

online rants. And we had the young

lady...

The really significant thing

is this allegation, but the

significant thing in terms of the

politics as it appears according to

this woman's testimony that she

spoke twice to Ed Miliband and to

the leadership then nothing was

done. She spoke to the Jeremy Corbyn

leadership and nothing was done and

he was promoted. The second thing is

when did the leaders now and why?

That is why the Williamson promotion

is a big mistake. You can have

semi-plausible deniability and the

leader doesn't know but every

scandal that comes out on the

conservative said the question will

be asked, what did Gavin Williamson

now and what did his opposite number

now and I think she has gone from

the Defence Secretary who was

implicated in scandal directly to a

Defence Secretary who will be

implicated in the a of scandals

indirectly. That is good to be the

big story. It is not just the abuse

but the political parties protecting

their political interests have

covered up these allegations which

is why Bailey was rightly arguing

for an independent...

David, you are

and must see this. You must be

worried about this?

There a fear the

corridors of power, MPs worried what

will be said against them. There are

of course MPs on this list who are

completely innocent. This is the

difficulty, particularly with the

rise of the Internet, things are

being posted which are often untrue,

so quite a lot of work to do to

check these things out.

I mentioned

economics as well as politics

because interest rates have gone up

for the first time in a decade. The

suggestion that this will be the 1st

of May be two more interest rate

rises.

So we had interest rates of

0.2 500 will go up to 0.5 and it

will go up to 1%. The argument

against this is the economy does

look quite fragile and growth is not

great. Inflation, lots of reasons

why perhaps the economy cannot be

even a small rate rise but what the

Bank of England believes is that the

Brexit vote has damaged our

potential for growth forever and now

is the only time to start increasing

rates. This very small rise, most

people won't feel it, but if you are

part of that 21% on tracker

mortgages are not fixed rate, you

are more likely not to have

financially planned that well and

although it is quite small with you

all in one house, if you own ten it

is quite a lot of money. You can't

fairly easily pass that money on

quickly through your tenants, so we

may begin to see more pressure than

the buy to let market. Lots of my

generation would love to see that

come unstuck slowly but not

overnight so we all end up homeless.

And equip take on the Times take on

this because they are talking about

bikes heading home owners but

refusing to help savings.

If you are

Bora worldview gets hurt, £22 a

month average rise. If you are as

leader, get nothing.

Was ever thus,

to a degree. That is our take, I

suspect both anticipating more

political stories.

I think this one

will run and run. Crawl and crawl,

like the tarantula!

On that note,

thank you very much indeed. That is

that from the paper is what you can

see the front pages of the papers

online on the BBC News website, all

there for you seven days a week.

and if you miss the programme any

evening you can watch it

later on BBC iPlayer.

Thank you, Stephen Bush

and David Wooding.

Goodbye.