02/11/2017 The Papers


02/11/2017

No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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Transcript


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Hello and welcome to our look ahead

to what the the papers will be

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bringing us tomorrow.

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With me are Stephen Bush,

Special Correspondent

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for The New Statesman,

and David Wooding, Political Editor

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of the Sun on Sunday.

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Thank you for coming in.

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Tomorrow's front

pages, starting with

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The Telegraph says that Theresa May

is preparing for her succession

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with the surprise appointment

of the former Chief Whip Gavin

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Williamson to Defence Secretary.

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The Times says the appointment

leaves the Prime Minister vulnerable

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to a renewed coup for her job. The

Guardian also lead to that

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appointment saying the Prime

Minister's choice has angered

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backbench Tory MPs. Also focusing on

the anger from Tory backbenchers

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that his appointment. This also

leads the Metro.

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The FT leads with the rise

in interest rates

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signalling that more increases

could be on the way.

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The Express says that thousands

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of foreign nationals,

who were supposed to be deported

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by the Home Office,

are on the run in Britain.

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So it's politics and economics for

the next ten minutes. Take is to the

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front of the times. Theresa May

under fire in the light of changes

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in defence.

Michael Fallon has

resigned and she has replaced him

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with Chief Whip Gavin Williamson and

this has angered a great number of

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people for the variety of reasons,

and I think it's important to really

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get this story, that the role of

Defence Secretary is hugely

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important, particularly to

Conservatives. If you say to the

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average Labour MP and they want

health and education, and defences

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the dream job for a lot of people in

the Conservative Party and this man

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has no more held a ministerial post

expressed any opinions about

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anything, least of all defence, and

so it is particularly galling for

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the Conservative Party to see Gavin

Williamson elevated, and adding to

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the problem is that he has been

somebody who has are always argued

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things like people having to wait

their turn and if you promote too

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many from a young and take it

irritates the whole balance, and he

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has effectively skip the queue and

it makes people feel they have been

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jerked around, so people are angry

with Theresa May of doing this or

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being forced into it.

Is this how

you see it as well?

Ice folk with a

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few people today and that is quite a

backlash over this. They feel that

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Gavin Williamson got the job because

he asked for it. He was in charge of

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the wet's office and recommended

that Michael Fallon goal and now he

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has got the job. With all this talk

of MPs behaving in a creepy manner

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towards women, we have got the man

with the creepy Crawley, he has a

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pet tarantula which she keeps in the

wet's office, and he is moving it

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into the Ministry of Defence.

There's a feeling among some MPs

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that the big search is on now to

find out who is the author of this

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dirty dossier which names all these

MPs for what they have allegedly

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done, and some people are pointing

the finger that the wet's office and

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saying that there is no proof, but

was he the source for this?

Go back

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to what he said a moment ago about

the departure of Michael Fallon. How

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is it known that Mr Williamson may

have had some influence?

As the

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Chief Whip he was allegedly in there

when the decision was made that

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Michael had the goal. Some people

are seeing Machiavellian views on

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the job at such as politics.

Politics to an extent is about

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rewarding loyalty. Is this not an

example of that? I do think people

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are seeing agency on Williamson's

part. This is a classic Theresa May

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promotion, someone who has worked

hard and who she trusts and who is

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not from a private school and we saw

that from Karen Bradley and James

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broken shower with Northern Ireland.

I remember when people spoke about

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him being the preferred successor

rolled all that seems to have died a

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death along with devolved

administration in Northern Ireland,

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and he is very much in that model of

somebody who is within the inner

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circle and she has awarded him. I

think it is a particularly wise move

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for him or her but I think your

right to say that some people are

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engaging in this idea that Gavin

Williamson is sitting like a James

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Bond villain with this tarantula. I

don't think that is what is going

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on.

I am glad you mentioned success

because the Telegraph has succession

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in the headline. They are basically

saying Theresa May has appointed him

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because she would one day like him

to succeed?

This is fascinating. He

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has moved from the wet job which is

completely different from a bloody

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minister stick into eight Cabinet

post running his own department

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which is a huge step not having been

a junior minister first. But at him

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as the successor has raised some

eyebrows. A lot of people thought

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she would bring on the next

generation by having a wholesale

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reshuffle landlords of names have

been mentioned. Promoted into the

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Cabinet and all she has actually

done is to change the Chief Whip. Or

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promote the deputy Chief Whip. And

with him into the Ministry of

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Defence. A little bit early to

detect but one or two of the rising

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stars, backbenchers waiting to get

their first break, are beginning to

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think when will our chance,? If he

was moved on now with no reshuffle

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then it could be another year before

she does anything?

And I think that

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is particularly important in terms

of the question whether or not she

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can survive for as long as you'd

like. If it looks as though she is

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going to promote had image and she

is not going to bring him in, then

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the argument for David Davis as a

interim leader or somebody from the

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older generation to aid the

regeneration of the Tory party is

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only going to increase. But I think

what a lot of people are missing is

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that I don't think she wants to plan

for the succession. I think she'd

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like another crack at the

electorate. She is doing a good job

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of holding on. The post Theresa May

options to look any more appetising

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and that helps. I think they are

going to have to properly come for

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her with the long knives it they

want article.

She will not be

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winkled out easily. Allegations of

sexual harassment, Michael Fallon's

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departure falls under that heading

to an extent and we now have killed

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and Hopkins. Still on the front of

the Telegraph with the Labour Party

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now suspending him following similar

allegations.

A 27-year-old woman who

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said when she was 24 about Kelvin

Hopkins, who was a shadow minister,

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touched in an inappropriate way,

sent her text messages and dropped

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himself against an Iraqi political

event. She said she complained and

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nothing was done and described it as

revolting. He is 76 and she is in

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her 20s. He used the phrase, if I

were a few years younger, well if he

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was half a century younger. I must

say, we cannot see what Kelvin

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Hopkins's response is.

I do not

think that is one.

This has moved

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back to labour as well because the

dirty dossier is all Conservative

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MPs and there is talk of a Labour

list flying around. We have had to

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Maxis Labour instances so far. The

new MP for Sheffield Hallam Hope

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been suspended for sending abusive

online rants. And we had the young

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lady...

The really significant thing

is this allegation, but the

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significant thing in terms of the

politics as it appears according to

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this woman's testimony that she

spoke twice to Ed Miliband and to

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the leadership then nothing was

done. She spoke to the Jeremy Corbyn

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leadership and nothing was done and

he was promoted. The second thing is

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when did the leaders now and why?

That is why the Williamson promotion

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is a big mistake. You can have

semi-plausible deniability and the

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leader doesn't know but every

scandal that comes out on the

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conservative said the question will

be asked, what did Gavin Williamson

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now and what did his opposite number

now and I think she has gone from

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the Defence Secretary who was

implicated in scandal directly to a

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Defence Secretary who will be

implicated in the a of scandals

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indirectly. That is good to be the

big story. It is not just the abuse

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but the political parties protecting

their political interests have

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covered up these allegations which

is why Bailey was rightly arguing

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for an independent...

David, you are

and must see this. You must be

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worried about this?

There a fear the

corridors of power, MPs worried what

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will be said against them. There are

of course MPs on this list who are

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completely innocent. This is the

difficulty, particularly with the

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rise of the Internet, things are

being posted which are often untrue,

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so quite a lot of work to do to

check these things out.

I mentioned

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economics as well as politics

because interest rates have gone up

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for the first time in a decade. The

suggestion that this will be the 1st

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of May be two more interest rate

rises.

So we had interest rates of

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0.2 500 will go up to 0.5 and it

will go up to 1%. The argument

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against this is the economy does

look quite fragile and growth is not

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great. Inflation, lots of reasons

why perhaps the economy cannot be

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even a small rate rise but what the

Bank of England believes is that the

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Brexit vote has damaged our

potential for growth forever and now

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is the only time to start increasing

rates. This very small rise, most

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people won't feel it, but if you are

part of that 21% on tracker

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mortgages are not fixed rate, you

are more likely not to have

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financially planned that well and

although it is quite small with you

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all in one house, if you own ten it

is quite a lot of money. You can't

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fairly easily pass that money on

quickly through your tenants, so we

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may begin to see more pressure than

the buy to let market. Lots of my

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generation would love to see that

come unstuck slowly but not

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overnight so we all end up homeless.

And equip take on the Times take on

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this because they are talking about

bikes heading home owners but

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refusing to help savings.

If you are

Bora worldview gets hurt, £22 a

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month average rise. If you are as

leader, get nothing.

Was ever thus,

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to a degree. That is our take, I

suspect both anticipating more

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political stories.

I think this one

will run and run. Crawl and crawl,

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like the tarantula!

On that note,

thank you very much indeed. That is

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that from the paper is what you can

see the front pages of the papers

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online on the BBC News website, all

there for you seven days a week.

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and if you miss the programme any

evening you can watch it

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later on BBC iPlayer.

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Thank you, Stephen Bush

and David Wooding.

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Goodbye.

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