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Hello and welcome to our look ahead
to what the the papers will be | 0:00:15 | 0:00:19 | |
bringing us tomorrow. | 0:00:19 | 0:00:20 | |
With me are Henry Mance,
political correspondent | 0:00:20 | 0:00:21 | |
at the Financial Times
and Claire Cohen, Editor | 0:00:21 | 0:00:23 | |
of Telegraph Women. | 0:00:23 | 0:00:25 | |
Tomorrow's front pages... | 0:00:25 | 0:00:27 | |
The Financial Times says Europe's
banks have removed more | 0:00:27 | 0:00:30 | |
than £350 billion worth of assets
from the UK in the last 12 months, | 0:00:30 | 0:00:34 | |
after the vote to leave the EU. | 0:00:34 | 0:00:37 | |
The Times claims a defence minister
is threatening to quit | 0:00:37 | 0:00:40 | |
if the military is forced to impose
more cost cutting measures - | 0:00:40 | 0:00:43 | |
including reducing the army
to below 70,000 soldiers. | 0:00:43 | 0:00:49 | |
The Mail headlines movement
in the Brexit negotiations - | 0:00:49 | 0:00:52 | |
with the EU signalling it is willing
to start talks on a possible | 0:00:52 | 0:00:55 | |
trade-deal after the latest
talks with Theresa May. | 0:00:55 | 0:00:58 | |
The Telegraph cites a new report
that says one in five women | 0:00:58 | 0:01:01 | |
won't become a mother,
as childlessness has doubled | 0:01:01 | 0:01:06 | |
within a generation. | 0:01:06 | 0:01:07 | |
The Express writes that winds
from the Arctic will descent | 0:01:07 | 0:01:10 | |
on the UK this weekend -
with temperatures hitting | 0:01:10 | 0:01:12 | |
as low as minus 6. | 0:01:12 | 0:01:19 | |
We will begin with the Guardian,
which is reporting on its front page | 0:01:19 | 0:01:24 | |
the appalling atrocities that have
happened in Egypt and the Sinai | 0:01:24 | 0:01:29 | |
peninsula. Hundreds of worshippers
killed in Sinai mosque attack. There | 0:01:29 | 0:01:34 | |
is so much attention in the Middle
East paid to a Iraq. Yemen and | 0:01:34 | 0:01:46 | |
Syria. There are reports of off-road
vehicles descending on this Moss, 20 | 0:01:46 | 0:01:53 | |
attackers they say running in and
throwing bombs and gunfire, it is | 0:01:53 | 0:01:58 | |
really dreadful. It seems to be
overlooked, north Sinai is an | 0:01:58 | 0:02:04 | |
isolated area and it has a media
blackout. It is a lesser-known, | 0:02:04 | 0:02:08 | |
perhaps a forgotten part of the
region. For some thing this dreadful | 0:02:08 | 0:02:12 | |
to happen, the worst attack on
modern Egyptian history is a wake-up | 0:02:12 | 0:02:15 | |
call. It was so huge and attack and
so well organised, and we don't | 0:02:15 | 0:02:22 | |
quite know yet which faction is
responsible because so many factions | 0:02:22 | 0:02:27 | |
are at work there. And you have a
repressive hardline President Sisi. | 0:02:27 | 0:02:41 | |
His response under his reign is
brute force. That can be partially | 0:02:41 | 0:02:49 | |
effective, but it also creates the
risk of stirring up more discontent. | 0:02:49 | 0:02:55 | |
It's an approach that might not
actually passed by the region. We | 0:02:55 | 0:03:01 | |
all know that these groups, whether
they are inspired by Islamic State | 0:03:01 | 0:03:06 | |
or Al-Qaeda, they seem to have no
trouble replenishing fighters, even | 0:03:06 | 0:03:13 | |
if they are squeezed out of one
territory they pop up somewhere | 0:03:13 | 0:03:16 | |
else. Absolutely right, no one has
claimed responsibility yet, but | 0:03:16 | 0:03:21 | |
there have been scores of attacks in
this region by people saying they | 0:03:21 | 0:03:30 | |
are affiliated to Isis. It is a
never-ending supply. We have seen | 0:03:30 | 0:03:35 | |
Coptic Christians attacked in Egypt,
but this time it was a Sufi Mosque | 0:03:35 | 0:03:41 | |
which some hardliners take exception
to. They are not able to exploit a | 0:03:41 | 0:03:48 | |
divide that they can in the Middle
East, so by isolating religious | 0:03:48 | 0:03:52 | |
minorities they can stir up a
similar motivation on behalf of | 0:03:52 | 0:03:58 | |
extremist violence. Obviously for
people going to Friday prayers this | 0:03:58 | 0:04:03 | |
is the most horrific thing. So many
people collected in one place at a | 0:04:03 | 0:04:14 | |
certain time of day, but this has
implications for Israel and Gaza | 0:04:14 | 0:04:17 | |
because it is so close and
instability in that part of the | 0:04:17 | 0:04:20 | |
world is always a worry. If you look
at a Middle East now, if you are a | 0:04:20 | 0:04:25 | |
foreign diplomat or you are trying
to look for bright spots, there | 0:04:25 | 0:04:29 | |
aren't that many at the moment. You
look at Yemen, you look at Iran, | 0:04:29 | 0:04:40 | |
Israel and Palestine, not much
progress. There is lots of worrying | 0:04:40 | 0:04:44 | |
trouble spots and few obvious
solutions. Let's look at the Daily | 0:04:44 | 0:04:51 | |
Mail and onto Brexit. Let's get down
to business, after May increases the | 0:04:51 | 0:04:56 | |
UK cash offer, EU says trade talks
now possible. This is the Daily Mail | 0:04:56 | 0:05:02 | |
take on it, I think they said a lot
of movement is required in every | 0:05:02 | 0:05:05 | |
area which is what they really said,
isn't it? There are three issues. We | 0:05:05 | 0:05:10 | |
are getting to the end of the
beginning of negotiations! We have | 0:05:10 | 0:05:13 | |
to sort out the right of EU
citizens, we have to sort out what | 0:05:13 | 0:05:18 | |
happens to the Irish border, and we
have to sort out the divorce | 0:05:18 | 0:05:23 | |
payment. Theresa May has made a big
move on divorce payment, to 40 | 0:05:23 | 0:05:26 | |
billion. This is where we are seeing
progress. But she has ten days to | 0:05:26 | 0:05:30 | |
get over the finishing line and it
looks like the question of the Irish | 0:05:30 | 0:05:34 | |
border, had you have a border
without actually having any | 0:05:34 | 0:05:37 | |
infrastructure, cameras, gardens?
How does that work? She has ten days | 0:05:37 | 0:05:42 | |
to sort it out. On social media,
some people say it is boring and | 0:05:42 | 0:05:49 | |
forget all about it, but we are only
at the beginning. We are at the | 0:05:49 | 0:05:53 | |
beginning. This is possibly one of
those times that Donald Tusk has | 0:05:53 | 0:05:58 | |
dangled the possibility that we can
break the deadlock. You can say that | 0:05:58 | 0:06:05 | |
to has -- Theresa May is gone in two
20 billion offer, but the EU still | 0:06:05 | 0:06:08 | |
feels like they have got her over a
barrel. She has gone into saying | 0:06:08 | 0:06:13 | |
let's hold hands and jump off the
cliff together, and they are coming | 0:06:13 | 0:06:16 | |
back at her and only allowing the
vague possibility of breaking the | 0:06:16 | 0:06:22 | |
deadlock. She must feel like she is
playing a game of whack a mole. She | 0:06:22 | 0:06:35 | |
thought she could put it on I spit
it is the big issue of the day. | 0:06:35 | 0:06:41 | |
Exhibit Leo Varadkar, could not
fight an election while... That | 0:06:41 | 0:06:50 | |
border. Two political crises, one in
Germany, one in Ireland, from a | 0:06:50 | 0:07:00 | |
British perspective is unseen. They
are complicating factors. There is a | 0:07:00 | 0:07:07 | |
national interest, and to some
extent there is a united front on | 0:07:07 | 0:07:10 | |
behalf of Irish politicians who say
it is Britain's problem to sort out. | 0:07:10 | 0:07:17 | |
You are saying they can have an
innovative border where you can | 0:07:17 | 0:07:23 | |
track everything and nothing passes
beneath the radar. If you say that | 0:07:23 | 0:07:26 | |
is possible, you sorted out, they
are saying to Theresa May. It may | 0:07:26 | 0:07:31 | |
well keep that Government going, but
the chance of collapse would be | 0:07:31 | 0:07:34 | |
stored in recent talks. Not
something that people had | 0:07:34 | 0:07:38 | |
necessarily foreseen as you said.
And maybe Fianna Fail will ease off | 0:07:38 | 0:07:44 | |
the pressure on finer gales. --
finer. Something that might become | 0:07:44 | 0:08:05 | |
unstable, toxic, unprofitable come
the day we do leave the EU. And | 0:08:05 | 0:08:09 | |
protecting themselves against a
potential no deal. This is been the | 0:08:09 | 0:08:12 | |
week where we have perhaps in the
first major and tangible impact that | 0:08:12 | 0:08:16 | |
Brexit could have on the economy. We
have got the European banking | 0:08:16 | 0:08:22 | |
authority moving headquarters to
Paris, we've got the European | 0:08:22 | 0:08:25 | |
medical agency moving headquarters
to Amsterdam. We have even got | 0:08:25 | 0:08:29 | |
Dundee not allowed to go in for the
European city of culture because | 0:08:29 | 0:08:33 | |
that is run by EU institutions.
There is this sort of trickle | 0:08:33 | 0:08:39 | |
effect. In the bank shedding 350
million is the latest. All | 0:08:39 | 0:08:45 | |
businesses are saying what they
needed certainty and they can't have | 0:08:45 | 0:08:48 | |
that at the moment. Will galvanise
the Government to try and put its | 0:08:48 | 0:08:52 | |
house in order so that we can try
and get on and talk about a trade | 0:08:52 | 0:08:56 | |
deal. Exactly. What businesses would
love is a transition deal to save it | 0:08:56 | 0:09:03 | |
any major changes are not 18 months
away, they are more than two years | 0:09:03 | 0:09:06 | |
away. It would allow people in
boardrooms to say, I am not going to | 0:09:06 | 0:09:12 | |
make any drastic changes. But what
the moment they have to do is say | 0:09:12 | 0:09:16 | |
because they don't know what the
situation will be after March 29, I | 0:09:16 | 0:09:21 | |
will rid myself of a problem even if
it is a slight cost now. I will get | 0:09:21 | 0:09:25 | |
rid of these assets because I don't
know what the regulatory regime will | 0:09:25 | 0:09:28 | |
be or how I will execute these deals
after March 20 19. Not a state | 0:09:28 | 0:09:33 | |
assets, but actual investment arms
of banks moving away from London. We | 0:09:33 | 0:09:41 | |
have in FT story of cliff edge
Brexit talked about. That is a new | 0:09:41 | 0:09:47 | |
one on me, Huybrechts, soft Brexit,
cliff edge Brexit, shifting | 0:09:47 | 0:09:51 | |
investments away and people moving
away. Tangible jobs moving away. The | 0:09:51 | 0:09:56 | |
red, white and blue Brexit doesn't
get much mention these days. The | 0:09:56 | 0:10:04 | |
Times, the security alert that
happened earlier today, just down | 0:10:04 | 0:10:07 | |
the road from here at Oxford circus
where people thought they heard | 0:10:07 | 0:10:10 | |
shots fired at about 4:40pm this
afternoon on the Underground Tube | 0:10:10 | 0:10:18 | |
station and there was a massive
lockdown. It shows what a state of | 0:10:18 | 0:10:22 | |
high anxiety we are written. The Met
said they received numerous 999 | 0:10:22 | 0:10:26 | |
calls. They must've thought there
was a tangible threat, but only 16 | 0:10:26 | 0:10:33 | |
or so people were injured and that
was as a result of a stampede. There | 0:10:33 | 0:10:36 | |
have been reports of up of people
running into shop screaming run for | 0:10:36 | 0:10:42 | |
your lives. The source appears to be
a possible punch-up between two men | 0:10:42 | 0:10:47 | |
on a tube platform. We have not been
given details of what that supposed | 0:10:47 | 0:10:52 | |
gunfire was. We have not at all.
People were dropping their Black | 0:10:52 | 0:10:56 | |
Friday shopping bags and running for
what they perceive to be their | 0:10:56 | 0:11:00 | |
lives. That shows what a really huge
state of panic we are written about | 0:11:00 | 0:11:04 | |
this. It was a spooky site to see
all the lights on along Oxford | 0:11:04 | 0:11:10 | |
Street and around Oxford Circus but
nobody there. On today, one of the | 0:11:10 | 0:11:14 | |
busiest shopping days of the year.
Disastrous for retailers. On the one | 0:11:14 | 0:11:20 | |
hand, it is a good news story
because no one died. The platform at | 0:11:20 | 0:11:26 | |
Oxford circus is constrained, it
might be difficult to see. But I | 0:11:26 | 0:11:28 | |
think it shows what social media can
do. Someone tweets I am in a shop | 0:11:28 | 0:11:34 | |
and there seems to be a lockdown.
Loads of people in the area get the | 0:11:34 | 0:11:38 | |
message, people are running panicked
and so forth. It's just great that | 0:11:38 | 0:11:44 | |
it was not an attack to be honest. I
remember when I was on the end the | 0:11:44 | 0:11:49 | |
night the Paris attacks happen, and
we had initial reports of gunfire. | 0:11:49 | 0:11:54 | |
It was kind of dismissed, even on
all the news wires as fireworks, it | 0:11:54 | 0:11:59 | |
is Paris on a Friday night. Or a car
backfiring. And now, we have | 0:11:59 | 0:12:05 | |
something that was not gunshots that
people think it was. But that worry, | 0:12:05 | 0:12:09 | |
as you say Claire, is very much on
people's minds. Another positive to | 0:12:09 | 0:12:14 | |
take away, even though it has turned
out to be nothing, the Met | 0:12:14 | 0:12:19 | |
galvanised incredibly quickly and
there were reports straightaway that | 0:12:19 | 0:12:21 | |
there was a huge, armed police
presence on the scene. So, although | 0:12:21 | 0:12:27 | |
thankfully came to nothing, had
there been an incident worthy of | 0:12:27 | 0:12:30 | |
their attention they were there and
ready. A colleague of mine noticed | 0:12:30 | 0:12:34 | |
that there were no ambulances to be
seen. Thankfully it all seemed to be | 0:12:34 | 0:12:38 | |
police vehicles. Speaking of Black
Friday, it is a record breaking | 0:12:38 | 0:12:46 | |
Black Friday apparently for British
retailers. A huge amount, isn't it | 0:12:46 | 0:12:51 | |
always says Dave, the voice and
might you. Good for them, I suppose. | 0:12:51 | 0:12:55 | |
They have to make hay while the
sunshine is. A huge amount of money | 0:12:55 | 0:12:58 | |
being spent over the next three
days. . A billion over four states. | 0:12:58 | 0:13:06 | |
That is a projected figure. Up 7% on
last year. One of the problems with | 0:13:06 | 0:13:14 | |
Black Friday is that retailers make
offers that they make cheap in the | 0:13:14 | 0:13:19 | |
hope of bringing people in in the
hope of people spending more than | 0:13:19 | 0:13:24 | |
they want are cleverer than that,
they bring their purchases forward | 0:13:24 | 0:13:28 | |
to that day day and spend less and
the days that follow. You have seen | 0:13:28 | 0:13:32 | |
some retailers sceptical about it.
You need to look at the whole | 0:13:32 | 0:13:36 | |
Christmas run-up before you decide
whether consumers are buoyant not. | 0:13:36 | 0:13:41 | |
Won got pretty violent, previous
Black Fridays, but a lot of the | 0:13:41 | 0:13:44 | |
shopping has been done online, so I
hope a lot of the fighting has been | 0:13:44 | 0:13:49 | |
fewer. I have not seen pictures of
people falling on top of widescreen | 0:13:49 | 0:13:55 | |
TVs, maybe they will, over the
weekend. But I did not spend | 0:13:55 | 0:13:58 | |
anything. Did you indulge? I did not
spend anything. On principle I | 0:13:58 | 0:14:05 | |
won't. What about you? I bought a
sandwich! Was it discounted? | 0:14:05 | 0:14:10 | |
Unfortunately not. I can see that it
has become an event. If you see | 0:14:10 | 0:14:17 | |
brands getting their message out on
Facebook, Twitter and so forth, then | 0:14:17 | 0:14:20 | |
you are nudged to go out and say I
do need to get that Christmas | 0:14:20 | 0:14:23 | |
present or why not do it in loads of
time? Unfortunately, like Halloween, | 0:14:23 | 0:14:30 | |
it is embedding itself in the
calendar. Americanisation of our | 0:14:30 | 0:14:37 | |
high street. Some schools where I
live had a day-to-day, nothing to do | 0:14:37 | 0:14:44 | |
with the teachers wanting time! Just
a coincidence. Let's finish with the | 0:14:44 | 0:14:51 | |
Telegraph one in five women went
over the aim mother. -- whatever be | 0:14:51 | 0:15:05 | |
a mother. It talks about work fishes
leather, the cost of child rearing | 0:15:05 | 0:15:15 | |
and the pleasure of a child
Lascelles. Which is | 0:15:15 | 0:15:26 | |
it talks about a generation that is
aspirational. Which perhaps would | 0:15:31 | 0:15:37 | |
not have been the case in days gone
by. But as we know, that is just not | 0:15:37 | 0:15:42 | |
prosecute. Wages are stagnating. | 0:15:42 | 0:15:48 | |
They talk about these perpetual
postponing... Whether this is a | 0:15:51 | 0:16:03 | |
choice, it or they can't afford
them? As a consequence will we have | 0:16:03 | 0:16:11 | |
a declining birth rate? My
instinctive reaction is to slightly | 0:16:11 | 0:16:19 | |
recoil, because we do see a lot of
headlines that are basically playing | 0:16:19 | 0:16:23 | |
on women's anxiety and guilt. I feel
this is one of them. It would be | 0:16:23 | 0:16:26 | |
nice to talk about men who
biologically can have children | 0:16:26 | 0:16:34 | |
later, but RNA 50s and 60s and
chosen not to. I think the ONS words | 0:16:34 | 0:16:39 | |
about post-honing decisions... I
would like to see if they have done | 0:16:39 | 0:16:45 | |
the research and interviews rather
than just looked at figures. A | 0:16:45 | 0:16:49 | |
generation ago it was very
different. It is also designated 45 | 0:16:49 | 0:16:56 | |
as the cut-off age for having
children which I would like to know | 0:16:56 | 0:16:59 | |
how they had landed on that one?
Cherie Blair had won at 45. It was | 0:16:59 | 0:17:09 | |
not her first, that is the
difference I suppose, how long you | 0:17:09 | 0:17:12 | |
wait to have your first? | 0:17:12 | 0:17:14 | |
That's it for The Papers tonight. | 0:17:14 | 0:17:15 | |
Don't forget you can see the front
pages of the papers online | 0:17:15 | 0:17:18 | |
on the BBC News website. | 0:17:18 | 0:17:19 | |
It's all there for you -
seven days a week at bbc dot co uk | 0:17:19 | 0:17:23 | |
forward slash papers -
and if you miss the programme any | 0:17:23 | 0:17:26 | |
evening you can watch it
later on BBC iPlayer. | 0:17:26 | 0:17:28 | |
Thank you Claire and Henry. | 0:17:28 | 0:17:29 | |
From us all, goodbye. | 0:17:29 | 0:17:30 | |
The weather is next. | 0:17:30 | 0:17:36 |