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Hello and welcome to our look ahead
to what the the papers will be
bringing us tomorrow.
With me are Henry Mance,
at the Financial Times
and Claire Cohen, Editor
of Telegraph Women.
Tomorrow's front pages...
The Financial Times says Europe's
banks have removed more
than £350 billion worth of assets
from the UK in the last 12 months,
after the vote to leave the EU.
The Times claims a defence minister
is threatening to quit
if the military is forced to impose
more cost cutting measures -
including reducing the army
to below 70,000 soldiers.
The Mail headlines movement
in the Brexit negotiations -
with the EU signalling it is willing
to start talks on a possible
trade-deal after the latest
talks with Theresa May.
The Telegraph cites a new report
that says one in five women
won't become a mother,
as childlessness has doubled
within a generation.
The Express writes that winds
from the Arctic will descent
on the UK this weekend -
with temperatures hitting
as low as minus 6.
We will begin with the Guardian,
which is reporting on its front page
the appalling atrocities that have
happened in Egypt and the Sinai
peninsula. Hundreds of worshippers
killed in Sinai mosque attack. There
is so much attention in the Middle
East paid to a Iraq. Yemen and
There are reports of off-road
vehicles descending on this Moss, 20
attackers they say running in and
throwing bombs and gunfire, it is
really dreadful. It seems to be
overlooked, north Sinai is an
isolated area and it has a media
blackout. It is a lesser-known,
perhaps a forgotten part of the
region. For some thing this dreadful
to happen, the worst attack on
modern Egyptian history is a wake-up
It was so huge and attack and
so well organised, and we don't
quite know yet which faction is
responsible because so many factions
are at work there.
And you have a
repressive hardline President Sisi.
His response under his reign is
brute force. That can be partially
effective, but it also creates the
risk of stirring up more discontent.
It's an approach that might not
actually passed by the region.
all know that these groups, whether
they are inspired by Islamic State
or Al-Qaeda, they seem to have no
trouble replenishing fighters, even
if they are squeezed out of one
territory they pop up somewhere
Absolutely right, no one has
claimed responsibility yet, but
there have been scores of attacks in
this region by people saying they
are affiliated to Isis. It is a
We have seen
Coptic Christians attacked in Egypt,
but this time it was a Sufi Mosque
which some hardliners take exception
They are not able to exploit a
divide that they can in the Middle
East, so by isolating religious
minorities they can stir up a
similar motivation on behalf of
extremist violence. Obviously for
people going to Friday prayers this
is the most horrific thing.
people collected in one place at a
certain time of day, but this has
implications for Israel and Gaza
because it is so close and
instability in that part of the
world is always a worry.
If you look
at a Middle East now, if you are a
foreign diplomat or you are trying
to look for bright spots, there
aren't that many at the moment. You
look at Yemen, you look at Iran,
Israel and Palestine, not much
progress. There is lots of worrying
trouble spots and few obvious
Let's look at the Daily
Mail and onto Brexit. Let's get down
to business, after May increases the
UK cash offer, EU says trade talks
now possible. This is the Daily Mail
take on it, I think they said a lot
of movement is required in every
area which is what they really said,
There are three issues. We
are getting to the end of the
beginning of negotiations! We have
to sort out the right of EU
citizens, we have to sort out what
happens to the Irish border, and we
have to sort out the divorce
payment. Theresa May has made a big
move on divorce payment, to 40
billion. This is where we are seeing
progress. But she has ten days to
get over the finishing line and it
looks like the question of the Irish
border, had you have a border
without actually having any
infrastructure, cameras, gardens?
How does that work? She has ten days
to sort it out.
On social media,
some people say it is boring and
forget all about it, but we are only
at the beginning.
We are at the
beginning. This is possibly one of
those times that Donald Tusk has
dangled the possibility that we can
break the deadlock. You can say that
to has -- Theresa May is gone in two
20 billion offer, but the EU still
feels like they have got her over a
barrel. She has gone into saying
let's hold hands and jump off the
cliff together, and they are coming
back at her and only allowing the
vague possibility of breaking the
deadlock. She must feel like she is
playing a game of whack a mole. She
thought she could put it on I spit
it is the big issue of the day.
Exhibit Leo Varadkar, could not
fight an election while... That
Two political crises, one in
Germany, one in Ireland, from a
British perspective is unseen. They
are complicating factors. There is a
national interest, and to some
extent there is a united front on
behalf of Irish politicians who say
it is Britain's problem to sort out.
You are saying they can have an
innovative border where you can
track everything and nothing passes
beneath the radar. If you say that
is possible, you sorted out, they
are saying to Theresa May. It may
well keep that Government going, but
the chance of collapse would be
stored in recent talks.
something that people had
necessarily foreseen as you said.
And maybe Fianna Fail will ease off
the pressure on finer gales. --
finer. Something that might become
unstable, toxic, unprofitable come
the day we do leave the EU.
protecting themselves against a
potential no deal. This is been the
week where we have perhaps in the
first major and tangible impact that
Brexit could have on the economy. We
have got the European banking
authority moving headquarters to
Paris, we've got the European
medical agency moving headquarters
to Amsterdam. We have even got
Dundee not allowed to go in for the
European city of culture because
that is run by EU institutions.
There is this sort of trickle
effect. In the bank shedding 350
million is the latest.
businesses are saying what they
needed certainty and they can't have
that at the moment. Will galvanise
the Government to try and put its
house in order so that we can try
and get on and talk about a trade
Exactly. What businesses would
love is a transition deal to save it
any major changes are not 18 months
away, they are more than two years
away. It would allow people in
boardrooms to say, I am not going to
make any drastic changes. But what
the moment they have to do is say
because they don't know what the
situation will be after March 29, I
will rid myself of a problem even if
it is a slight cost now. I will get
rid of these assets because I don't
know what the regulatory regime will
be or how I will execute these deals
after March 20 19.
Not a state
assets, but actual investment arms
of banks moving away from London.
have in FT story of cliff edge
Brexit talked about. That is a new
one on me, Huybrechts, soft Brexit,
cliff edge Brexit, shifting
investments away and people moving
away. Tangible jobs moving away.
red, white and blue Brexit doesn't
get much mention these days. The
Times, the security alert that
happened earlier today, just down
the road from here at Oxford circus
where people thought they heard
shots fired at about 4:40pm this
afternoon on the Underground Tube
station and there was a massive
It shows what a state of
high anxiety we are written. The Met
said they received numerous 999
calls. They must've thought there
was a tangible threat, but only 16
or so people were injured and that
was as a result of a stampede. There
have been reports of up of people
running into shop screaming run for
your lives. The source appears to be
a possible punch-up between two men
on a tube platform.
We have not been
given details of what that supposed
We have not at all.
People were dropping their Black
Friday shopping bags and running for
what they perceive to be their
lives. That shows what a really huge
state of panic we are written about
It was a spooky site to see
all the lights on along Oxford
Street and around Oxford Circus but
nobody there. On today, one of the
busiest shopping days of the year.
Disastrous for retailers. On the one
hand, it is a good news story
because no one died. The platform at
Oxford circus is constrained, it
might be difficult to see. But I
think it shows what social media can
do. Someone tweets I am in a shop
and there seems to be a lockdown.
Loads of people in the area get the
message, people are running panicked
and so forth. It's just great that
it was not an attack to be honest.
remember when I was on the end the
night the Paris attacks happen, and
we had initial reports of gunfire.
It was kind of dismissed, even on
all the news wires as fireworks, it
is Paris on a Friday night. Or a car
backfiring. And now, we have
something that was not gunshots that
people think it was. But that worry,
as you say Claire, is very much on
Another positive to
take away, even though it has turned
out to be nothing, the Met
galvanised incredibly quickly and
there were reports straightaway that
there was a huge, armed police
presence on the scene. So, although
thankfully came to nothing, had
there been an incident worthy of
their attention they were there and
A colleague of mine noticed
that there were no ambulances to be
seen. Thankfully it all seemed to be
police vehicles. Speaking of Black
Friday, it is a record breaking
Black Friday apparently for British
retailers. A huge amount, isn't it
always says Dave, the voice and
might you. Good for them, I suppose.
They have to make hay while the
sunshine is. A huge amount of money
being spent over the next three
. A billion over four states.
That is a projected figure. Up 7% on
last year. One of the problems with
Black Friday is that retailers make
offers that they make cheap in the
hope of bringing people in in the
hope of people spending more than
they want are cleverer than that,
they bring their purchases forward
to that day day and spend less and
the days that follow. You have seen
some retailers sceptical about it.
You need to look at the whole
Christmas run-up before you decide
whether consumers are buoyant not.
Won got pretty violent, previous
Black Fridays, but a lot of the
shopping has been done online, so I
hope a lot of the fighting has been
I have not seen pictures of
people falling on top of widescreen
TVs, maybe they will, over the
weekend. But I did not spend
Did you indulge?
I did not
On principle I
won't. What about you?
I bought a
Was it discounted?
Unfortunately not. I can see that it
has become an event. If you see
brands getting their message out on
Facebook, Twitter and so forth, then
you are nudged to go out and say I
do need to get that Christmas
present or why not do it in loads of
time? Unfortunately, like Halloween,
it is embedding itself in the
Americanisation of our
Some schools where I
live had a day-to-day, nothing to do
with the teachers wanting time! Just
a coincidence. Let's finish with the
Telegraph one in five women went
over the aim mother. -- whatever be
It talks about work fishes
leather, the cost of child rearing
and the pleasure of a child
Lascelles. Which is
it talks about a generation that is
aspirational. Which perhaps would
not have been the case in days gone
by. But as we know, that is just not
prosecute. Wages are stagnating.
They talk about these perpetual
Whether this is a
choice, it or they can't afford
them? As a consequence will we have
a declining birth rate?
instinctive reaction is to slightly
recoil, because we do see a lot of
headlines that are basically playing
on women's anxiety and guilt. I feel
this is one of them. It would be
nice to talk about men who
biologically can have children
later, but RNA 50s and 60s and
chosen not to. I think the ONS words
about post-honing decisions... I
would like to see if they have done
the research and interviews rather
than just looked at figures. A
generation ago it was very
It is also designated 45
as the cut-off age for having
children which I would like to know
how they had landed on that one?
Cherie Blair had won at 45.
not her first, that is the
difference I suppose, how long you
wait to have your first?
That's it for The Papers tonight.
Don't forget you can see the front
pages of the papers online
on the BBC News website.
It's all there for you -
seven days a week at bbc dot co uk
forward slash papers -
and if you miss the programme any
evening you can watch it
later on BBC iPlayer.
Thank you Claire and Henry.
From us all, goodbye.
The weather is next.