23/11/2017 The Papers


23/11/2017

No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines.


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Thank you for watching. Next on BBC

news, it is The Papers.

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Welcome to look ahead at what the

papers will bring us the murder

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Jason Beattie is with us, and Ian

Martin, columnist for The Times

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newspapers. Don't be fooled, their

blue shirts may be all they have in

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common. The Metro leader to a story

about a potentially lethal drug use

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by date rapists targeting women. The

express says a cure for cancer could

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be ready to test on patients next

year. The FT FrontPage deals how

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British Gas owner Centrica suffered

its worst single day of stock market

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loss due to problems with the US and

UK arms. The Mirror leads with the

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announcement that the links between

heading in footballing brain damage

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will begin in January. The Sun says

that have suspended betting on the

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wedding between Prince Harry and

Meagan Markle. Brussels is repaired

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to increase the so-called divorce

Bill offered to get trade talks

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talking according to the Telegraph.

The Guardian is reporting about the

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warning from the think tank the IFF

about slowing living standards. That

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dominates The i, saying we are

having the biggest fall in living

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standards for a generation. That is

where we will begin. The UK facing

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two decades of loss wage growth. ISS

predicting a slowdown leading to a

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prolonged period of austerity.

Things seem to be going quite well

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for Philip Hammond compared to

previous budgets. Where it fell

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apart over the dementia tax.

Along

come the ISS. Politically he has

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saved his job. The budget could have

been a real disaster. -- IFS. They

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paint a bleak picture about what the

next few years could look like. I

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would add a word of caution about

what the IFS says. Long history of

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these predictions being run down the

years. Gordon Brown in 2007

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sketching out a great picture of how

things would be brilliant in 2009,

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economies are dynamic. The global

situation, Brexit.

The uncertainty

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over Brexit will be causing a lot of

wobbles for people.

The golden rule

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with these kind of studies, when

they support your argument, the

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highly respected think tank, when

they do not, they are just experts.

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That is the big problem. Looking at

the Office for Budget

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Responsibility, doing the forecast

yesterday. Flat-lining growth over

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the next five years. Brexit was

taken out of the equation. They do

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not know what is going to happen. It

is not forecasted. We are in limbo.

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It is a very new phenomenon. Going

back to 25 years ago. Before that

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budgets did not contain very much.

About even the next year.

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Assumptions of all sorts of things

going right or going wrong.

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Sometimes things go it unexpectedly

right or the economy. A recession

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was predicted for this year

according to the Treasury's

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assessment Brexit, did not happen.

The government is in a bind. It does

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not want to be spending a great deal

of money, because they would like to

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maintain some form of austerity. To

keep the economy going, to stimulate

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growth, if you are going to invest

in infrastructure, you have to spend

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cash. You have the problem of the

Conservative Party, they have

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backbenchers who want German levels

of public services.

They have other

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backbenchers, the right wing ones,

who want Bermuda levels of taxes.

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They are incompatible. This argument

taking place among the Tories at the

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moment. They are in all sorts of

contortions, they don't know how to

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get out of the problem. At the same

time you have Corbin promising the

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world. Yes we will raise taxes, we

will give you first-class public

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services. Giving people a pay rise.

Helping public sector workers,

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investing in the NHS. We are

reaching a tipping point. People are

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starting to think I would prefer the

pain of paying a bit more in tax. To

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the pain of having bad public

services, seeing people struggle on

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welfare, Universal Credit not

working. As this says, the endless

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misery of stagnant wages.

You cannot

spend all that money and have

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top-class services and pay off the

deficit?

No, people's expectations

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are realistic. If taxes rise, not

going to have a stimulating effect

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on the economy if the tax burden is

set to be pretty high as it is

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anyway. That will not make Britain

competitive. The only way is for us

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to grow our way out of it.

Which is

difficult when we have the worst

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productivity since Napoleonic times.

The ABI figures are predicated on

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that essentially continuing. Britain

has underperformed on productivity.

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Certainly true.

Sometimes things

surprise you on the upside. In the

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Eurozone things are booming. Jobs

growth, factory orders reaching 17

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year highs.

To rub it in. As we were

told yesterday by the Chancellor,

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rattling through growth figures so

bad he did not want to say them

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slowly. We now have a Brexit turned

down. We don't know how long that

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will be, we are ready into it.

Across the Channel, they are doing

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very well. Results that are the best

for 6.5 years.

Greece is still in

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the bind. He mixed picture, no doubt

there is a recovery. Not an

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exaggeration to talk about it as

parts of the Eurozone booming.

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Personally that will be good for

Britain as well. A successful

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Eurozone is in everyone's interest.

We're not leaving a corpse, as some

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Brexiteers said. That is true.

If

you go back five years looking in

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the difficulty of the Eurozone was

in during the crisis. You would

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always get these moments. Cycles.

Europe doing so, the EU doing better

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is a good thing.

The Daily

Telegraph. May be used to break

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Brexit impasse?

Good luck with that.

Raising the amount of money? We knew

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this was going to happen. They had a

meeting in a Cabinet subcommittee.

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Boris Johnson, Liam Fox, David

Davis, Michael Gove excepting we

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were going to have to increase the

amount we put on the table to grease

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a part.

Like episode of The Law No

Deal. -- Deal Or No Deal.

They said

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they want citizens write Cecil,

Northern Ireland settle. I do think

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that will be a problem when they

meet tomorrow, with Donald Tusk. A

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divorce deal is possible. The real

problem is Northern Ireland. That is

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where the bust up will be. That is

where they have an intractable

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problem. Having real trouble

breaking the deadlock.

Jason is

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right. The government was starting

to feel quite confident going into

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this key decision point in the

middle of December. About whether it

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goes forward to talk about trade,

stage two. Almost from neighbour,

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Ireland has become a problem,

dissipated, but really serious

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problem. Potentially giving may be

President Macron, one of the other

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members of the 27 an excuse or

chance to save actually we're not

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ready to go forward. They were

pretty optimistic in the last week

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two.

Ireland went wanted to go

forward either. They will want to

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have more certainty.

The risk they

then play, if they have overplayed a

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strong hand. You get to a situation

where if you get through Christmas

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and nothing is really happened

during January 's wiped out. The

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risk is, the British government had

to start saying Iran February or

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March, this does not look like it

will happen, start planning for no

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Deal.

Daily Telegraph, switch off

cameras in smart toys. Christmas not

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far away.

Have you included this to

make me feel old?

Not doing a great

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deal for me either.

When my kids

were going up they got very simple

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toys, cuddly teddy bears. Now we

have these machines are connected to

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the Internet. They had cameras. I am

boggled by this.

My daughter who is

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13, some time ago but a piece of

tape across the camera at the

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computer at home saying no one could

hack into us. I wish we were doing

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something interesting. It is a

point. People can hijack the

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cameras, remotely.

The serious

point, we have been through the

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early stages of the technological

revolution is a wonderful things it

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can do. The evidences, consumers are

starting to work out a lot of the

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stuff is about tracking them,

tracking behaviour. Collecting data.

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The real problem is the only people

who understand technology other

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children. If you want to fix this,

ask your kids.

Daily Mirror. The FA

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launches probe into the link between

heading footballs and dementia. This

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seems overdue. Your paper has had a

role in bringing this to our

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attention.

We have been campaigning

on this. It came out of nowhere.

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Suddenly looking at the World Cup

1996 heroes. Three of them have got

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dementia. We started asking more

questions. We have had 375 former

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players having possible signs of

dementia. Alan Shearer did a

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documentary for the BBC. He said the

governing bodies were trying to

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sweep it under the carpet. We kept

pressing. Good on the FA. They are

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going to launch the study. We're not

entirely sure if there is a definite

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link. The evidence points that way

will stop if we can get a scientific

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study and it proves it. Overseas

purple, they're not as heavy as they

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were years ago. Players can start

thinking about what they are doing.

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Concerns about other contact sports.

Boxing the obvious one. Rugby, head

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injuries this that is true,

particularly on the football thing.

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Of concern to a lot of parents. They

had kids playing sport.

So many

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players. I think it is an example of

really good, old-fashioned, proper

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tabloid campaigning. Really going at

an issue. Getting some movement. It

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is what they do with the research?

Once you have the evidence, or

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proof, you need, somebody needs to

be bold.

You don't not wrap kids up

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in cotton wool. If there are simple

things you can do, wearing a skull

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cap. That is not stop them having

fun, stop people playing football.

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Makes sense.

It hurts.

Let's see the

research.

It will start in January?

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Conducted at a Scottish university.

Proper big study. Good news.

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Pantomime season is almost upon us.

A lot of fairy stories get turned

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into pantos. Sorry, you cannot wake

sleeping beauty with a kiss? She has

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not given consent. A woman by the

name is Sarah Hall, she wants her

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son's school to ban the classic

story.

Her argument is a traditional

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understanding of gender roles, being

reinforced here, the express

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regarding it as political

correctness,. Example of how crazy

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the world would be. I do think,

cerebral, the person who made the

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complaint to the school, it should

be noted, as it is towards the end

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of the story, in public relations,

standing as president of the

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chartered Institute of public

relations. Getting a page lead in

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the Daily Express. She should

properly win.

There is a counter

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view from the chairman for the

campaign of real education. He says

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the Prince is resuscitating her with

the case. I was opposed to try and

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tell children not to say somebody?

I'm going to send very boringly PC.

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If you look at fairy stories, the

women characters are either Crohn's,

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hags and which is, or simpering

princesses. Maybe we should have

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straight slightly stronger female

role models, as a father of three

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daughters.

You seem work out some

chilly nobody Zane Duquemin rescue

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you. You are on your own. Do I sound

bitter? Not at all. You can see the

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front pages of the papers online on

the BBC website. Seven days a week.

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If you missed the programme, you can

watch it later on the BBC iPlayer.

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Jason and Ian, lovely to see you.

Coming up next, the weather.

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