26/09/2013 This Week


26/09/2013

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Just how crazy is Labour leader, Ed Miliband, with his plan to freeze

:00:15.:00:32.

energy bills? Would it take Britain back to the blackouts of the 1970s?

:00:32.:00:36.

Power-dressing commentator Andrew Rawnsley, who was in short trousers

:00:36.:00:38.

back then, talks political energy. His opponents may see Ed Miliband's

:00:38.:00:52.

policies are a red cocktail from the 1970s, but when semi-voters hold

:00:52.:00:57.

energy companies in contempt, I suspect his price freeze will prove

:00:57.:01:06.

rather popular. Diplomatic relations with Iran have

:01:06.:01:09.

been frozen in time since 1979 but could they be heading for a thaw?

:01:09.:01:14.

The BBC's Frank Gardner is revving up his bike. I can't think of any

:01:14.:01:24.

time since Iran underwent Islamic Revolution in the 1970s when there

:01:24.:01:28.

has been such a resolve to try to settle the dispute to clean Iran and

:01:28.:01:33.

the United States. And the era of Angela Merkel, who

:01:33.:01:37.

wins in Germany again. German comedian Henning Wehn tells us what

:01:37.:01:47.

makes this powerful lady so cool. Angela Merkel may have won over

:01:47.:01:53.

Germany, but Andrew, she is not a patch on you.

:01:53.:01:57.

Crazy horses. Aah, aah. Crazy horses. Aah.

:01:57.:02:02.

Evenin' all. Welcome to This Week. Now, good ideas are few and far

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between, but Ed Balls came up with one this week. Acknowledging that

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trust in politicians is at an all-time low, he called on the

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government's independent watchdog, the OBR, to test any claims he makes

:02:12.:02:15.

between now and the next election, to reassure a sceptical electorate

:02:16.:02:19.

that he can once again be trusted in office. Now, this makes perfect

:02:19.:02:24.

sense to me. I don't understand why the government is so against it.

:02:24.:02:32.

After all, the OBR is ideally placed to judge the reliability of the

:02:33.:02:35.

Shadow Chancellor's statements, starting, perhaps, with the big

:02:35.:02:38.

announcements he made at this week's party conference, such as "negative,

:02:38.:02:41.

nasty briefing is wrong, but it's also a thing of the past". Wouldn't

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you like the OBR to run its slide rule over that one? Or, how about,

:02:45.:02:49.

"Briefing against a colleague is not something I've ever done. I think

:02:49.:02:52.

it's the wrong way to do politics"? You'd pay for an independent

:02:52.:02:55.

assessment of that. And our personal favourite, "Damian McBride did some

:02:55.:03:00.

of those things. It was despicable. It's the wrong thing to do. It's not

:03:00.:03:03.

something I've ever done. It's not something I will ever do". I'd like

:03:03.:03:11.

to see the OBR crawl all over that. So we await the verdict of the OBR

:03:11.:03:14.

with baited breath, and raised eyebrows. No. Not the Office for

:03:14.:03:19.

Budget Responsibility. That's boring. We're talking about the

:03:19.:03:24.

Office of Balls Responsibility. Now that really would be a welcome

:03:24.:03:27.

addition to political life. Speaking of those who "would say that,

:03:27.:03:31.

wouldn't they", I'm joined on the sofa tonight by two monstrosities

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it's hard not to love. Think of them as the Preston Bus Station and

:03:34.:03:37.

Godfrey Bloom of late night political chat. I speak, of course,

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of #iffysmiffy Jacqui Smith, and #sadmanonatrain Michael "Choo Choo"

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Portillo. Moment of the week? Peter Mandelson

:03:52.:03:58.

came out against the Ed Miliband promise on freezing gas prices. I

:03:58.:04:05.

thought this was interesting because Peter Mandelson was successful, with

:04:05.:04:07.

Tony Blair, in getting business on Labour 's Mac side. For a

:04:07.:04:11.

Conservative, during that decade and a half when business was on

:04:11.:04:14.

Labour's side, it was incredibly tomorrow lies in. But the

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announcement that Labour is going back to price freezes will next time

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guarantee that the business vote and business money is with the

:04:22.:04:26.

Conservatives, so a lot of Conservatives are feeling pleased.

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But if Mandelson is against it, it will consolidate Mr Miliband's

:04:31.:04:36.

position in the Labour Party. Yes. But Mr Miliband is depriving himself

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of trade union funding and now business funding. Your moment? Lord

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Ashcroft, former Tory treasurer, self-confessed tax avoidance, got

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quite a sympathetic, almost generous response when he appeared at the

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Fabian's fringe at Labour conference this week. It might have been

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because one of the things he was talking about was the polling he has

:04:59.:05:02.

done in the seats that Labour needs to win to gain a majority. It shows

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Labour in a strong position. The swing is much higher there than in

:05:09.:05:13.

other seats. He is now almost better known for his polling than for

:05:13.:05:17.

funding the Tory party. You can wave count on Michael Ashcroft to be

:05:17.:05:21.

helpful to the Conservatives! Now, how many This Week pundits does

:05:21.:05:25.

it take to change a light bulb? Just the one. Michael holds the light

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bulb and the universe revolves around him. Boom boom! Whether we

:05:28.:05:32.

can turn it on is another matter entirely. Now Ed Miliband's

:05:32.:05:34.

threatening to cap energy bills, and energy companies are threatening to

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switch off the lights as they leave the country. But will Ed's policy

:05:38.:05:41.

turn on the voters? Here's The Observer's Andrew Rawnsley with his

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conference take of the week. Power. If Labour is to see it

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again, the party has some stiff challenges to overcome. With just 20

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months before the next election, the machinery has to be humming at the

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party conference in Brighton. Challenge number one, to address

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Labour's greatest vulnerability, it's deficit on economic

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credibility. That demanded some convincing talk from the Shadow

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Chancellor. The British people rightly want to know that the sums

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add up. So we will go one step further and ask the independent

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Office for Budget Responsibility, the watchdog set up by the

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government, to independently audit the costings of every single

:06:41.:06:45.

individual spending and tax measure in Labour's manifesto at the next

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election. A clever play, by Ed Balls. If the Treasury resists

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allowing the OBE are audit the plans, the risk for the Tories is

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that they are the ones who will look like they are playing games. Power

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challenge number two, where is the money going to come from? The Shadow

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Chancellor has his eye on a very expensive train set. The HS2 project

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has been totally mismanaged and the costs have shot up to £50 billion.

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We will not take this irresponsible approach. Let us be clear, in tough

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times when there is less money around and a big deficit to get

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down, there will be no blank cheque from me as a Labour Chancellor for

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this project, or any other project. I am told Labour is not going to

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make a decision about HS2 for some time yet. For one thing, it is just

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too useful to Ed Balls to be able to repeat no blank cheques as a way of

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suggesting he would be a flinty disciplinarian. Power challenge

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number three, putting the party's past behind it. That was not helped

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by Gordon Brown's former hit man, Damien Wright, a man as well come at

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the conference as flatulence in a crowded lift. -- Damian McBride.

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They strutted around like characters from the West Wing. Bank 's to

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people like you, it was more like the Sopranos. -- thanks to people

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like you. It fitted that sort of idea of some people operating in a

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way which people find acceptable because it is gangster -ish. How was

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-- how damaging was this reminding of the civil war that consumed the

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last Labour government? Not that much. The poisonous confessions

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proved less of a distraction than the Labour leadership had feared.

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Power challenge number four, make Labour look more like a party ready

:08:41.:08:46.

for government, a pledge which they think the shine most brightly with

:08:46.:08:50.

voters, the promised to freeze energy prices for 20 months. If we

:08:50.:08:57.

win the election in 2015, the next Labour government will freeze gas

:08:57.:09:01.

and electricity prices until the start of 2017. Your bills will not

:09:01.:09:12.

rise. It will benefit millions of families and millions of businesses.

:09:12.:09:16.

That is what I mean by a government that fights for you. That is what I

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mean when I say Britain can be better than this. Read Ed is back,

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the snap verdict of -- the left and the right. Peter Mandelson, helpful

:09:30.:09:34.

as ever to his party and probably not troubled by the size of his gas

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bill, added his voice to criticism of the price freeze. The parallel

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that I see is with the windfall tax on privatised industries introduced

:09:43.:09:46.

by Lord Mandelson was my friend, Tony Blair, in new Labour's first

:09:46.:09:51.

term. Companies howled about that when it was first announced but grew

:09:51.:09:55.

to accept it. And it also proved pretty popular with the public.

:09:55.:09:59.

Power challenge number five, persuade more people to think of Ed

:09:59.:10:03.

Miliband as a potential Prime Minister. His personal poll numbers

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are persistently dismal. He took the leadership question head-on. I have

:10:10.:10:15.

a question for the Tories today. If they want to have a debate about

:10:15.:10:19.

leadership and character, be my guest. Talk to Tories and they will

:10:19.:10:27.

often tell you they are confident of winning the next election if it is

:10:27.:10:30.

Cameron against Miliband, a presidential contest. Strange,

:10:30.:10:36.

then, their attitude to the idea of more televised debates. Some Tories

:10:37.:10:40.

seemed to be suggesting they wanted to snuff them out. So, Labour left

:10:40.:10:47.

Brighton with more energy. At the big test is whether they can keep

:10:47.:10:50.

the generators turning in the weeks to come. -- but the big test.

:10:50.:10:59.

Andrew Raunds Lee, practising for the blackout. He joins us now in our

:10:59.:11:10.

little Westminster power station. Can we agree that Ed Miliband is in

:11:10.:11:14.

a stronger place tonight than a week ago? I think he was. He went into

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the conference with some of the Shadow Cabinet apparently on strike.

:11:22.:11:27.

The August of angst, where the news vacuum was filled with critical

:11:27.:11:31.

voices. We can argue about the policies. But he has at least now

:11:31.:11:38.

given, and I heard this from a lot of MPs and activists, he has given

:11:38.:11:42.

them some goods to sell on the doorstep. Although sensible people

:11:42.:11:46.

do not think all our problems are doorstep. Although sensible people

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over and we will win the next election automatically, they did

:11:50.:11:53.

generally feel they were in a better place after the conference than

:11:53.:12:00.

before. I do not agree with that. I think the problem is the freeze on

:12:00.:12:06.

gas prices. It strikes many independent commentators as silly.

:12:06.:12:09.

It is not grown-up economics. It is not something that can be sustained.

:12:09.:12:15.

Sooner or later, the price will go up, or the price freeze will have to

:12:15.:12:22.

go on. It is a step into populism, which I think actually reduces Ed

:12:22.:12:27.

Miliband's status. I think he emerges worse. Do you not think it

:12:27.:12:32.

might be popular populism? All of the polls tell us people are

:12:32.:12:37.

outraged by the energy companies. I do not think people are that stupid.

:12:37.:12:43.

I also think it comes two years to early. It is politically important

:12:43.:12:48.

and economically right. It is politically important because it

:12:48.:12:51.

puts flesh on the argument that the election will be fought on the basis

:12:51.:12:54.

of living standards, and it is Labour that understands that whilst

:12:54.:12:57.

the economy may be growing, living standards are not improving. And it

:12:57.:13:01.

is economically right because the important point about it, behind the

:13:01.:13:07.

headline, is the argument about the nature of the market and a

:13:07.:13:10.

willingness to look at the way you reform that market, and also

:13:10.:13:15.

politically, for Ed Miliband to be in a place where he says, I will

:13:15.:13:20.

take on vested interests. You are not reforming the market. You are

:13:20.:13:23.

making a state intervention to freeze prices. Whilst reform of the

:13:23.:13:29.

market is undertaken. Why not reform the market? That is completely

:13:29.:13:36.

legitimate to say that if the result of a cartel is barriers to entry and

:13:36.:13:42.

vertical integration, prices that have increased disproportionately,

:13:42.:13:47.

more disproportionately in the last few years than when we were in

:13:47.:13:50.

government, then you need to reform the government -- the market. Of all

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the things it is, it is not economically sensible. Where will

:13:56.:14:06.

the Liberal party be? I agree that Miliband is strengthened, very much

:14:06.:14:10.

so. On the one hand, Nick Clegg has positioned himself as the moderate

:14:10.:14:17.

man between two extremes. It does look very socialist, and Michael is

:14:17.:14:21.

right that people will be nervous about the practicalities of some of

:14:21.:14:24.

these policies. On the other hand, there is an undoubted appeal for

:14:24.:14:28.

disgruntled former Lib Dem voters. The strongest line in the speech, I

:14:28.:14:32.

thought, was weak against the strong but strong against the week. I think

:14:32.:14:38.

there are a lot of former Lib Dem voters who think that is a big

:14:38.:14:42.

appeal. It may not last. Last year, she delivered a fantastic speech and

:14:42.:14:48.

there was no follow-through. It is interesting to see what happens in

:14:48.:14:51.

the next few months, because this may collapse. The difference this

:14:51.:14:56.

year is actually what Andrew said. There is more policy this year,

:14:56.:15:02.

things to get your teeth into. I was critical that our policy review was

:15:02.:15:05.

like a pregnant panda and nothing was emerging. You are not on

:15:05.:15:17.

Newsnight. Do not get carried away! Last year it was a very good speech

:15:17.:15:19.

but the criticism was that people Last year it was a very good speech

:15:19.:15:23.

did not row in behind it. That was because it was difficult to come

:15:23.:15:27.

behind the concept of one nation. Now, you have lots of policy ideas

:15:27.:15:31.

that people can debate and exemplify.

:15:31.:15:36.

Ed Miliband's speech last year was quite well received. Then it all

:15:36.:15:43.

seemed to fizzle away. We think everybody is listening as we do to

:15:43.:15:47.

every cough and burp at a Conference - they are not. The real test is

:15:47.:15:49.

will they be able to follow through - they are not. The real test is

:15:49.:15:55.

and sell these messages afterwards? The other interesting thing is the

:15:55.:16:01.

way we have all moved on to discuss it. It is the wrong sort of

:16:01.:16:07.

recovery? It is this issue of who is benefitting from the recovery. If

:16:07.:16:10.

the Government think that the nation will be grateful to them for

:16:10.:16:14.

delivering a recovery, not necessarily. Labour is hoping this

:16:14.:16:20.

is 1945. Andrew, what do we learn about the Labour election strategy

:16:20.:16:24.

from the policies that were announced? Is he still going, given

:16:24.:16:29.

the electoral arithmetic is on his side, it is still a 35% strategy? He

:16:29.:16:38.

denies it so vehemently. No politician, if you said that is what

:16:38.:16:42.

you were going to get, they would never have said it. I believe him

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when he says, "I don't want that." You see Francois Hollande in France.

:16:47.:16:54.

If you come with a brittle mandate, it will all go to grief very

:16:55.:17:00.

quickly. Labour's ambition, surely, has to be much better than 35%.

:17:00.:17:05.

These were policies designed to appeal to the middle-classes and the

:17:05.:17:12.

centre ground. The types of things... Middle-class people pay

:17:12.:17:22.

gas bills as well! Housing? Exactly. If it is populist Ed - it could be

:17:22.:17:34.

Red Ed and Populist Ed - how should the Tories play him? I think the

:17:34.:17:39.

Tories will be very pleased about this. I think he's left Planet

:17:39.:17:46.

Reality. I do not understand how anybody could be arguing people's

:17:46.:17:50.

living standards rise when the Government steps in and freezes

:17:50.:17:54.

prices. You and I lived through it in the 1970s. It wasn't popular. You

:17:54.:18:01.

have the Treasury subsidising people's mortgages. Does that make

:18:01.:18:05.

sense? No, I disagree with that policy. I want to get on to the big

:18:05.:18:12.

issue. Let's get on to Dame yek McBride. Jacqui, you must have been

:18:12.:18:18.

as surprised as the Shadow Chancellor what he was getting up

:18:18.:18:24.

to? I knew what Damien McBride was getting up to. The point is whether

:18:24.:18:30.

or not that was symptomatic of what everybody was doing. One of the most

:18:30.:18:34.

damaging things about his book is this sort of suggestion that somehow

:18:34.:18:39.

or another the whole of politics is like this. It is not a suggestion at

:18:39.:18:53.

all. It just so happens Gordon Brown's aide is leading the Labour

:18:53.:18:57.

Party today. It is a very convenient spin for you to say that Damien

:18:57.:19:00.

McBride's book is about how politics is corrupt. It isn't. It is about

:19:00.:19:05.

how Damien McBride and Gordon Brown, for whom he worked, and the two Eds,

:19:05.:19:08.

how they were corrupt. There is for whom he worked, and the two Eds,

:19:08.:19:11.

nothing in there about David Cameron, or Michael Gove, or Oliver

:19:11.:19:17.

Letwin. Most of the rest of the Labour Party. Do you believe Ed

:19:17.:19:20.

Balls when he said he didn't know anything about it? Hold on. Did you

:19:20.:19:24.

Balls when he said he didn't know believe Ed Balls? I believe Ed

:19:24.:19:31.

Balls. He knew nothing about this? He was on the phone every week to

:19:31.:19:35.

Damien McBride and you knew nothing about it? Most of us knew what was

:19:35.:19:39.

going on. The question is... You did know about it? The suggestion that

:19:39.:19:42.

Michael is making is that Ed was involved in it. I absolutely don't

:19:42.:19:47.

believe that that is the case. Andrew, you have done the definitive

:19:47.:19:53.

book on this? The problem is - and a lot of people watching - people say

:19:53.:19:58.

to me well, if you sort of all knew, why did nobody do anything about it?

:19:58.:20:03.

Talking from a journalistic perspective, if you were part of his

:20:03.:20:07.

client group of journalists, to whom he gave this stuff, you were

:20:07.:20:11.

unlikely to blow the whistle because you were being fed the stuff and you

:20:11.:20:14.

weren't going to bite the hand that fed you. Everyone else was in the

:20:14.:20:18.

position, like many Cabinet Ministers, like Jacqui, of having

:20:19.:20:22.

really strong suspicions this was going on, but it was very hard to

:20:22.:20:29.

get the cast-iron proof. I know many of Gordon's Cabinet Ministers said,

:20:29.:20:35.

"You have to stop this." The Prime Minister sat there saying, "I know

:20:35.:20:40.

nothing about it." Alright. I remember a time when Alastair

:20:40.:20:43.

Campbell was doing very similar things. I remember the time when

:20:43.:20:47.

Charlie Whelan was doing similar things. It is symptomatic of the

:20:47.:20:50.

Labour Government from beginning to end. Alright. Already Tories are

:20:50.:21:06.

saints, of course(!) We will end it on that agreement that the Tories

:21:06.:21:10.

are not saints! Thank you both very much.

:21:10.:21:16.

Now, it's late, and all a bit of a blur - for obvious reasons - so pour

:21:16.:21:19.

yourself another pint of sweet German Liebfraumilch, because we

:21:19.:21:22.

have another Teutonic treat in store waiting in the wings - the ubercool

:21:22.:21:25.

German comedy ambassador, Henning Wehn, is here to explain the ongoing

:21:25.:21:29.

appeal of Angela Merkel. And if you fancy explaining the

:21:29.:21:32.

dubious appeal of This Week, shower us in faint praise as per usual on

:21:32.:21:36.

The Twitter, The Fleecebook and that new-fangled Interweb.

:21:36.:21:41.

Now, the world has been shocked this week by events in Kenya. On Saturday

:21:41.:21:45.

attackers entered a shopping centre in the capital city Nairobi shooting

:21:45.:21:48.

and throwing grenades at fleeing shoppers and taking hostages. A

:21:48.:21:50.

dramatic four-day siege followed with a group of Islamists from

:21:50.:21:54.

Somalia saying they were behind the attack putting radical terrorism

:21:54.:21:59.

back at the top of the news. In Britain, the Prime Minister chaired

:21:59.:22:02.

an emergency meeting on the Kenyan attack, which included British

:22:02.:22:08.

victims. But what are the chances that what happened at the Westgate

:22:08.:22:11.

shopping centre in East Africa could be replicated at Westfield's

:22:11.:22:17.

shopping centre in East London? We turned to our man in the know, the

:22:17.:22:20.

BBC's security correspondent, Frank Gardner. This is his roundup of the

:22:20.:22:23.

week. The attack began at midday on

:22:23.:22:38.

Saturday at Nairobi's Westgate shopping centre. It's a multi-storey

:22:38.:22:43.

complex, one of the newest in East Africa, and popular can Kenyans and

:22:43.:22:51.

expatriates. The attackers sprayed machine-gunfire and threw grenades.

:22:51.:22:55.

They appeared to target non-Muslims... Covering the attack

:22:55.:22:57.

story from here in the newsroom is a non-Muslims... Covering the attack

:22:57.:23:03.

bit of a case of mixed emotions. As a journalist, as the BBC security

:23:03.:23:07.

correspondent, this is what I do for a living so I'm glad that I'm around

:23:07.:23:11.

to be able to do it. As somebody who has been shot themselves several

:23:11.:23:18.

times, obviously it brings back some unpleasant memories. That doesn't

:23:18.:23:21.

stop me covering it objectively and trying to get to the bottom of

:23:21.:23:23.

stop me covering it objectively and what's happened.

:23:23.:23:30.

The Nairobi story is an incredibly important one, not just because of

:23:30.:23:37.

the horrendous high body count, but because this is something which

:23:37.:23:42.

could happen anywhere in the world. It's happened in Mumbai already and

:23:42.:23:48.

it begs the question - could it happen here in Britain?

:23:48.:23:57.

Fighting and winning the battle against terrorism is something

:23:57.:24:05.

that's in here, not just here. You can arrest people, you can track

:24:05.:24:11.

them down, you can try them, you can incarcerate them if found guilty.

:24:11.:24:15.

Ultimately, it is a battle of the minds. I think when we look back on

:24:15.:24:22.

this week it is really going to be quite an important one,

:24:22.:24:25.

historically. There will be the tragedy, the bloodstain of the

:24:25.:24:29.

Nairobi attack that people will never forget. It also marks the

:24:29.:24:33.

beginning of whal hopefully will be a journey to success in resolving

:24:33.:24:39.

Iran's differences with the United States. At last, finally, after

:24:39.:24:48.

eight years of vitriolic rhetoric coming out of Iran, there is now a

:24:48.:24:54.

seemingly very moderate President, Dr Hassan Rouhani, who has still the

:24:54.:24:58.

power and the blessing of the Supreme Leader in that country and

:24:58.:25:00.

he is reaching out to the United States saying, "Let's do a deal on

:25:00.:25:05.

the nuclear issue." That issue is that America and many other

:25:05.:25:11.

countries suspect Iran of secretly building a nuclear bomb - Iran says

:25:12.:25:17.

it isn't - and they are saying let's get sanctions lifted. If the US and

:25:17.:25:22.

Iran can have a working relationship, the Middle East and

:25:22.:25:25.

the world will be a much safer place.

:25:25.:25:29.

Frank joins us now. Welcome back to This Week. How seriously do you

:25:29.:25:37.

think our Security Services take a Mumbai-style attack in Britain?

:25:37.:25:44.

Extremely seriously. When Mumbai got attacked five years ago and over 160

:25:44.:25:47.

people were killed - and that hostage situation went on for three

:25:47.:25:51.

days. It took the Indians a long time to react to it. The propaganda

:25:52.:25:55.

value for the terrorists was enormous. That, as Jacqui knows

:25:55.:25:59.

because she was Home Secretary at the time, was a real wake-up call,

:25:59.:26:01.

because she was Home Secretary at not just here in Britain, but for a

:26:01.:26:05.

lot of countries, they thought, "Crikey, if this happened here in

:26:05.:26:10.

Britain, could we deal with it?" One of the first things they discovered

:26:10.:26:13.

was that the police were undergunned, they didn't have the

:26:13.:26:17.

firepower back then to take on those kind of jihadists. They would not

:26:17.:26:22.

have been able to contain them whilst Special Forces were fetched

:26:22.:26:25.

from their barracks. So a lot of thought has had to go into that.

:26:25.:26:30.

They have held a whole series of exercises across the country called

:26:30.:26:34.

Wooden Pride, where the police have been working with SAS and SBS to

:26:35.:26:38.

fine tune how quickly they would respond to something like that.

:26:39.:26:42.

Prime Ministers and Home Secretaries since then have resolved that if

:26:42.:26:45.

something like that was to happen in Britain, they would move very fast

:26:45.:26:50.

and very decisively to cordon it off and deal probably rather more

:26:50.:26:54.

quickly with the terrorists than the Kenyan authorities did. They

:26:54.:26:58.

appeared to hesitate in Nairobi. There was a lot of confusion. In

:26:58.:27:03.

Mumbai and Nairobi, the police were outgunned? Yes, they were. It took

:27:03.:27:09.

them a while to arrive. I don't think we should get complacent about

:27:09.:27:16.

- in Europe, we now how to deal with -- we know how to deal with this.

:27:16.:27:24.

Look at Oslo. He was a right-wing fascist extremist, more or less a

:27:24.:27:29.

lone operator and the guy killed dozens o f people by himself. It

:27:29.:27:36.

appeared to be a complex attack, an explosion followed by all these

:27:36.:27:38.

people being gunned down. It was just him. As Frank mentioned, you

:27:38.:27:44.

were Home Secretary. What changed after Mumbai? As Frank said,

:27:44.:27:50.

remember an important element of the counterterrorism strategy was the

:27:50.:27:54.

idea that you would prepare to protect. So you have to, when you

:27:54.:27:59.

are faced with the potential that that might be the way in which

:27:59.:28:02.

terrorists will want to attack, to think about what preparation is

:28:02.:28:05.

necessary and to question the capacity that there is in place. So,

:28:05.:28:10.

we asked questions. We thought about the way in which, whether or not how

:28:10.:28:15.

that risk had been heightened and what might be done to mitigate it.

:28:15.:28:19.

We don't have Special Forces all over the country, do we? Well, we

:28:19.:28:25.

have... Do we? They are on short notice to move. In Hereford -

:28:25.:28:32.

Newcastle is a long way. Yes. Of course, it is not going to be

:28:32.:28:37.

possible to and nor would you want to have armed people all-around

:28:37.:28:41.

waiting to be able to deal with something like that. Of course. It

:28:41.:28:46.

is possible to make sure that people are prepared to know what to do as

:28:47.:28:52.

quickly as possible, are vigilant about the potential start of

:28:52.:28:57.

something like that and remember, you also need to keep people

:28:57.:29:00.

prepared for other forms of attack as well. So, at that point, what we

:29:00.:29:04.

thought was most likely was an attack on a crowded place with a

:29:04.:29:09.

bomb, so there was a large amount of preparation that goes into that. It

:29:09.:29:13.

is never possible to close off every risk. It is important to take, to

:29:13.:29:17.

look at what's happened and use that... I'm not totally reassured we

:29:17.:29:21.

would be able to respond in the way we would. A lot of commentary said

:29:21.:29:27.

Al-Qaeda is going local now and you may think Nairobi fits into that. It

:29:27.:29:34.

is a local dispute, Somalia. Kenyan troops involved there. We understand

:29:34.:29:39.

a lot of Westerners are involved in Al-Qaeda and Somalia. At some stage

:29:39.:29:44.

these people could - Brits as well - these could come back, they are

:29:44.:29:48.

trained, they are now experienced, they know how to handle guns, we are

:29:48.:29:53.

potentially on the firing line? Indeed, we are. We are so much in

:29:53.:29:59.

the firing line that - we know about this. Fortunately, our intelligence

:29:59.:30:04.

has foiled many plots so far. So far. We cannot rely on that being

:30:04.:30:17.

the case. I think it is unrealistic to imagine at the beginning of an

:30:17.:30:22.

attack like this your police force could jut gun the terrorists and if

:30:22.:30:27.

you have 13 terrorists who are advancing with grenades, that is

:30:27.:30:30.

very difficult. On the other hand, I thought it was probably ludicrous

:30:30.:30:33.

when I heard suggested this week that we would have spot checks in

:30:34.:30:37.

shopping centres and search people's handbags. That is not the nature of

:30:37.:30:42.

the terrorist who is coming into these situations.

:30:42.:30:50.

When Obama said two years ago that Al-Qaeda was on the path to defeat

:30:50.:30:57.

coming he was wrong. I never signed up to the idea that this is an

:30:57.:31:02.

endgame, that you end up winning or losing. You can only reduce

:31:02.:31:06.

terrorism, like burglary, to a manageable level. I know that sounds

:31:06.:31:11.

callous towards victims of terrorism, I am one myself, but it

:31:11.:31:14.

is not something you win or lose because it is dynamic, fluid, it

:31:14.:31:20.

moves. The other thing with Al-Qaeda, it might have been the

:31:20.:31:26.

case that the traditional main part of Al-Qaeda began to be defeated,

:31:26.:31:30.

but what you saw was what I have heard described as franchising of

:31:30.:31:36.

the ideology and methodology. That is what you see in organisations

:31:36.:31:40.

like Al-Shabab and others around the world. What makes you so sure, which

:31:40.:31:49.

I took from that film, that Hassan Rouhani, you described him as very

:31:49.:31:55.

moderate, and that he is not just playing us like a fiddle, and also

:31:55.:31:59.

the way North Korea did. How can we be sure? We cannot. The proof will

:31:59.:32:06.

be whether Iran is transparent and accountable in its nuclear

:32:06.:32:10.

programme. This is about enrichment of uranium. Iran has the right to

:32:10.:32:17.

civil nuclear energy. Obama said that this week. If you go to Iran,

:32:17.:32:19.

civil nuclear energy. Obama said many Iranians will tell you they

:32:19.:32:23.

have a right to a nuclear weapons, because Pakistan has it, Israel has

:32:23.:32:29.

it, etc. Leave that aside, let's say they are not producing a bomb. Why

:32:29.:32:33.

do they need to enrich uranium so far beyond the point at which it is

:32:33.:32:38.

used for civil purposes? They have to be much more transparent about

:32:38.:32:42.

that. In return, they will want sanctions lifted. Iran has set this

:32:42.:32:46.

ambitious goal of three to six months. He has a mandate from his

:32:46.:32:51.

people to get those sanctions lifted. Unlike the previous

:32:51.:32:55.

relatively moderate, you are right, he is not very moderate, that was a

:32:55.:33:01.

slip of the tongue. Compared to Ahmadinejad, he is moderate. But it

:33:02.:33:07.

could just be softly spoken, the mood music is good but the same

:33:07.:33:11.

old, same old under the surface. Proof will be whether they are

:33:11.:33:14.

prepared to do a deal and open up their nuclear facilities to the

:33:14.:33:20.

International Atomic Energy Agency. What is your take on it? I am less

:33:20.:33:24.

International Atomic Energy Agency. optimistic than Frank. So far,

:33:24.:33:29.

nothing has happened, other than a change of language. There has been

:33:29.:33:32.

no change in the transparency of Iran, no firm proposal for any

:33:32.:33:37.

action. The Israelis are certainly extremely dubious about the whole

:33:38.:33:42.

thing. They could be playing for time. We could spend six months

:33:42.:33:46.

investigating and not get any further. So it must be, the way the

:33:46.:33:50.

United States must handle it must be that they get to the point of living

:33:50.:33:54.

whether there will be more transparency or not very quickly. So

:33:54.:33:59.

the Americans actually need at least as short a deadline as is being

:33:59.:34:04.

suggested by the Iranians. He has changed the terms of trade, this new

:34:04.:34:09.

president. It has changed the atmosphere. Completely. They clearly

:34:09.:34:16.

want to do a deal. Iran is a bust country. It is a magnificent place

:34:16.:34:21.

with an ancient history and it is bust. It has rising unemployment,

:34:21.:34:27.

rising prices, all of that -- statistics are going in the wrong

:34:27.:34:32.

direction. But a young, well-educated population. They are

:34:32.:34:37.

fed up with sanctions and isolation. The supreme leader, ayatollahs

:34:37.:34:43.

Khamenei, has given his blessing and said, get us out of this isolation.

:34:43.:34:50.

You think so? He is only going to let him go so far. The Iranians

:34:50.:34:55.

revolutionary guards are the real power the real military power on

:34:55.:34:59.

that side the Gulf. Their capacity to make mischief in the region is

:34:59.:35:01.

pretty big. The Gulf Arab states, to make mischief in the region is

:35:01.:35:06.

British allies, do not trust them. They view Iran as an existential

:35:06.:35:09.

threat, even without the nuclear bomb.

:35:09.:35:12.

Now, two supermarkets have today withdrawn a controversial Hallowe'en

:35:12.:35:15.

outfit, after widespread criticism. Asda and Tesco have apologised and

:35:15.:35:18.

claim their Michael Portillo fancy dress costume of emerald-green satin

:35:18.:35:21.

shirt, rubber face mask, and two-foot high quiff is no longer

:35:21.:35:29.

available in their stores. Alastair Campbell, who has written of his own

:35:29.:35:33.

depressing experiences on This Week, branded the costume "totally

:35:33.:35:37.

unacceptable". "We are trying to change attitudes towards Michael

:35:37.:35:40.

Portillo so people do not stigmatise him, and something like this comes

:35:40.:35:44.

along and it reminds you we are basically still living in the dark

:35:44.:35:49.

ages". Well said Alistair, but why is Michael considered so uncool? And

:35:49.:35:55.

is that a stupid question? We decided to answer it and put

:35:55.:35:58.

political coolness in this week's Spotlight.

:35:58.:36:13.

Three cheers, and terms, as Angela Merkel wins office yet again, in

:36:13.:36:23.

what some say was more a personal contest than a political one.

:36:23.:36:31.

TRANSLATION: As the jubilate Shannon shows, we can be happy about this

:36:31.:36:45.

super result. This is one former scientist who seems to have cracked

:36:45.:36:50.

the chemistry of being cool. But does it matter if a politician is

:36:50.:37:00.

thought of as cool? Tony Blair rode the cool Britannia waives right into

:37:00.:37:02.

Downing Street. And Ed Miliband obviously feels he needs to address

:37:02.:37:04.

the issue, with a conference speech that mocked his reputation for being

:37:04.:37:10.

a bit of a nerd. She said I was an action hero who mysteriously

:37:10.:37:14.

appeared out of nowhere. And she said that Ed was actually

:37:14.:37:21.

attractive. And not geeky at all. In a week when Apple was voted the

:37:21.:37:26.

coolest brand, does this prove that geek Chic has the power to make it

:37:26.:37:33.

to number one again -- after all? Henning Wehn joins us again. Good to

:37:33.:37:41.

see you. Am I right in thinking that Angela Merkel is so uncool that it

:37:41.:37:49.

makes her cool? Probably. Over the past few years, everybody realised

:37:49.:37:52.

nobody could have done any better in the role than she did, so there was

:37:52.:37:57.

no reason to vote for anybody else. She had no competition. The parties

:37:57.:38:03.

competed, but the Social Democrats, the Green leader, the other leaders,

:38:03.:38:07.

the left-wing party, their leaders were nowhere near her in terms of

:38:07.:38:13.

public acclaim. Probably not. Again, it was a strange election, as

:38:13.:38:19.

the social Democrat party leader would have also made a very good

:38:19.:38:23.

Chancellor. There was no reason to change the driver. Angela Merkel

:38:23.:38:28.

does a great job. It is the same challenge as before, keeping the

:38:28.:38:29.

European Union going. I think she is challenge as before, keeping the

:38:29.:38:34.

the right person to do it. Angela Merkel does not seem to care very

:38:34.:38:39.

much what people think of her. She made sure she won the election, so

:38:39.:38:44.

she definitely cares what people think. She does not seem to care

:38:44.:38:47.

that people think she is fuddy-duddy and uncool. She is the nation's

:38:47.:39:01.

mother. Yes, Shias. -- she is. The idea that a politician has to be

:39:01.:39:02.

cool is strange. The criticism of idea that a politician has to be

:39:02.:39:08.

politicians being dull, what is the alternative? Berlusconi or Putin.

:39:08.:39:14.

They are not dull, they are bonkers. That is a lot worse in a

:39:14.:39:18.

politician. I want them to be as dull as possible. Is Germany like

:39:18.:39:24.

Britain in that it is a mixture of very cool and very uncool? We can

:39:24.:39:32.

discuss the word cool all day long. The important thing is that people

:39:32.:39:36.

get up in the morning and have a job to go to, and at the end of the

:39:36.:39:40.

month they pay their tax amnesty not send the money offshore. As long as

:39:40.:39:44.

everybody does that, society will be all right. So we have a long way to

:39:44.:39:50.

go. You have been talking for five minutes and neither of you have

:39:50.:39:54.

mentioned leadership. Sometimes there are people who are clear

:39:55.:39:58.

leaders. Angela Merkel is one of them. Tony Blair was one, Thatcher

:39:58.:40:05.

was one. Funnily enough, Berlusconi and Putin, they are very clear

:40:05.:40:09.

leaders. They have all got it. I do not think cool comes into it. Isn't

:40:09.:40:17.

it also about authenticity? If people think you are doing a serious

:40:17.:40:22.

job, being who you are, that is why people like Ed Miliband's speech,

:40:22.:40:24.

because they liked the people like Ed Miliband's speech,

:40:24.:40:28.

self-deprecating thing, a glimpse of what he is actually like. He looked

:40:28.:40:40.

like he was acting. In the first five minutes coming attempt it to be

:40:40.:40:44.

a stand-up comedian. He always does that. That is the way he behaves.

:40:44.:40:52.

Stop giggling in the background, Michael Portillo. Shall we get the

:40:52.:40:58.

violins playing? There is no point being here unless I can do some

:40:58.:41:03.

facial expressions. We love it. Angela Merkel has leadership in a

:41:03.:41:08.

very modern German way, given Germany's past history with

:41:08.:41:12.

leadership. She is seen as a strong leader. The history cannot be

:41:12.:41:23.

escaped. It is also the reason why most people want her to form a

:41:23.:41:26.

coalition with the Social Democrats, not to have a minority

:41:26.:41:31.

government or to go with the Greens. In Germany there is a huge desire

:41:31.:41:37.

for broad consensus. Absolutely. The other one would have been a

:41:37.:41:41.

coalition that could not last. Mathematically, the Social Democrats

:41:41.:41:44.

could have a coalition with the Green Party and the commonest, but

:41:44.:41:49.

that would be the end of Germany as a going concern, really. So the

:41:49.:41:54.

grand coalition is the only option. There are some politicians who at

:41:54.:41:59.

that time were cool. Clinton was cool. Agreed? Yes, but also a great

:41:59.:42:10.

leader. Mr Blair was cool. Yes, and a great leader. Barack Obama is

:42:10.:42:18.

cool. And a terrible leader. You can recall but not a good leader.

:42:18.:42:23.

Definitely. I think of Clement Attlee, who is the ultimate uncool

:42:23.:42:29.

great leader. What makes a politician very cool is winning. If

:42:29.:42:35.

Angela Merkel had not one, everyone would have said, she has no policies

:42:35.:42:40.

and sits on the fence. Because she wins, what a great leader and the

:42:40.:42:43.

country can unite behind her. It is a bit like foot tall, politics. If

:42:43.:42:47.

country can unite behind her. It is you win the game, you are the best

:42:47.:42:49.

country can unite behind her. It is manager in the world. If you lose,

:42:49.:42:54.

you are clueless. Is David Cameron cool? No. No. I thought he was quite

:42:54.:43:08.

cool at the beginning. I think he is losing his cool as he loses his grip

:43:08.:43:14.

on his party. And this is where, actually, you are right about the

:43:14.:43:21.

whole leadership thing. When people are described as cool, I regard it

:43:21.:43:28.

as a sign of public naivete. Blair and Obama regarded as cool. I think

:43:28.:43:31.

as a sign of public naivete. Blair the public had great disappointment

:43:31.:43:35.

with both. Michael Gove has a pair of lederhosen summing trunks. I am

:43:35.:43:39.

glad we have not seen them. What are you up to at the moment? I'm

:43:39.:43:44.

starting a tour tomorrow all over the country, and Scotland.

:43:44.:43:50.

That's your lot for tonight folks. But not for us, because we're off to

:43:50.:43:57.

twerk the night away at Annabel's. But we leave you tonight with at

:43:57.:44:01.

least one politician who can carry off being cool. After all, it's far

:44:01.:44:05.

more important than having a functioning foreign policy.

:44:05.:44:08.

Nighty-night. Don't let Obama bite. Reverend Al Green was here.

:44:08.:44:43.

# I'm so in love with you. # Those guys didn't think I would do

:44:43.:44:48.

it. I told you I was going to do it.

:44:48.:44:49.

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