29/10/2015 This Week


29/10/2015

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Tonight on This Week, a Westminster Horror Story.

:00:00.:00:17.

Spine-chilling goings-on in Parliament,

:00:18.:00:18.

The Mirror's hatchet man Kevin Maguire is trying to scare us.

:00:19.:00:27.

The real horror show was at Parliament, as the house

:00:28.:00:29.

of Lords came back to life to spook the Government, and Jeremy Corbyn

:00:30.:00:32.

Has Chancellor George Osborne got the heebee-jeebies, after the defeat

:00:33.:00:41.

Broadcaster and witchcraft expert Julia Hartley-Brewer is looking

:00:42.:00:45.

I predict that George Osborne has a few more tricks up his sleeve, but

:00:46.:00:58.

hopefully no more treats. And creating his own ghost

:00:59.:01:05.

story, writer and broadcaster Melvyn Carving a pumpkin for this

:01:06.:01:08.

programme. Absolutely mad. And remember, the next

:01:09.:01:18.

scream you hear may be your own. Welcome to This Week, the programme

:01:19.:01:20.

the BBC invented to make Top Gear And you join us pondering,

:01:21.:01:36.

as we often do at this time of night, whether

:01:37.:01:41.

our constitutional conventions The Government thinks not, after the

:01:42.:01:44.

Lords came a-leaping to the defence Call-me-Dave drove a stake through

:01:45.:01:50.

the heart of irony by tasking an unelected hereditary peer with the

:01:51.:01:54.

job of stopping such a democratic Critics claim uppity peers breached

:01:55.:01:58.

the so-called Sainsbury Convention, though I bet most of them shop

:01:59.:02:05.

at Waitrose. Oh, sorry, the Salisbury Convention,

:02:06.:02:10.

the doctrine that the Upper House should never stand in the way

:02:11.:02:14.

of a Government measure if it was included in a manifesto,

:02:15.:02:19.

which is debatable. Henceforth, no Government shall

:02:20.:02:24.

claim a democratic mandate for any policy if, in the election campaign,

:02:25.:02:31.

it repeatedly refused to answer any questions as to the likelihood of

:02:32.:02:33.

the implementation of said policy, in the process reducing

:02:34.:02:39.

a seasoned political journalist, who conducted numerous fruitless

:02:40.:02:43.

interviews on the very subject, to a jibbering, seething ball

:02:44.:02:48.

of political frustration. Let's call it the

:02:49.:02:53.

Andrew Neil Convention, It's got

:02:54.:02:55.

a nice constitutional ring to it. Speaking of getting absolutely

:02:56.:03:00.

nowhere, I'm joined on the sofa tonight by two obscure Parliamentary

:03:01.:03:02.

devices that no-one understands. Think of them as the fatal motion

:03:03.:03:05.

and the fatal attraction I speak, of course,

:03:06.:03:08.

of #barkingmadge - see what we did there - Margaret "Lady" Hodge,

:03:09.:03:17.

and #sadmanonatrain Michael Big moment of the week obviously the

:03:18.:03:36.

defeat of the Government in the Lords and we will talk about that.

:03:37.:03:41.

Other than that, your moment. The Saudi ambassador to the UK talked

:03:42.:03:45.

about an alarming change in our relationship with Saudi Arabia. I

:03:46.:03:49.

would have thought many people might think there is an alarming lack of

:03:50.:03:52.

change in our relationship with Saudi Arabia. In recent years there

:03:53.:03:57.

have been hundreds of beheadings by sword in Saudi Arabia, it has a

:03:58.:04:01.

dreadful human rights record. You might say that is an internal

:04:02.:04:05.

matter. Then there is the export of an energetically fundamental part of

:04:06.:04:12.

Islam, with its roots in Saudi Arabia. And its export has

:04:13.:04:18.

potentially volcanic effects. Certainly many had here and is seen

:04:19.:04:21.

to be prone to being persuaded towards terrorism. So I think many

:04:22.:04:27.

people I be surprised there has not been a change of attitude towards

:04:28.:04:31.

Saudi Arabia given its human rights record, and also the threat it poses

:04:32.:04:37.

to other countries in the globe. If the Saudi ambassador thinks things

:04:38.:04:40.

are bad, I hope he has gone to sleep by the time we get to a later bit in

:04:41.:04:46.

the script. Your moment. I was thinking about breaking taboos in

:04:47.:04:49.

Parliament and the new politics where we talk about issues we have

:04:50.:04:52.

not talked about in the past. We talked about tampons and sanitary

:04:53.:04:58.

towels on the floor of the house, and Stella Creasy managed to get

:04:59.:05:02.

Bill Cash to not talk about sanitary products but to talk about tampons.

:05:03.:05:08.

It reminded me of the torn Prom Rollo, who was Treasury minister

:05:09.:05:13.

when she brought in the first reduction in the VAT on tampons, and

:05:14.:05:17.

she had a fantastic battle with her civil servants, who said she was

:05:18.:05:23.

bringing gender discrimination into policies around VAT. She said, if

:05:24.:05:27.

you can find something that is an essential product for men, I will

:05:28.:05:31.

look at whether we should reduce VAT on that. They came back and said

:05:32.:05:36.

they had found circumcision knives as being subject to VAT at 20%. I

:05:37.:05:42.

know that is a joke, but the serious point is that in the new politics we

:05:43.:05:46.

ought to have openness and willingness to talk about things

:05:47.:05:50.

that matter to ordinary people, and tampons and sanitary towels do

:05:51.:05:53.

matter a lot to women a lot of the time. Tampons are subject to VAT and

:05:54.:06:01.

male razors are not. Mail raisers are as well, and that may be an

:06:02.:06:09.

argument. But men can grow beards. I know not on this programme. Enough!

:06:10.:06:12.

That is a whole book! Now, how many times can you

:06:13.:06:14.

refuse to answer a question? Six, it seems, if you're the Prime

:06:15.:06:17.

Minister and the answer involves guaranteeing nobody on tax credits

:06:18.:06:20.

will end up being worse off. But what if making people worse

:06:21.:06:23.

off now, makes them better off The Government has,

:06:24.:06:25.

for obvious reasons, been somewhat reluctant to put

:06:26.:06:28.

the argument in such stark terms. But maybe the whole point is

:06:29.:06:30.

about changing people's expectations And one fearless, or crazy,

:06:31.:06:33.

woman is prepared to make the case. Here's journalist

:06:34.:06:37.

Julie Hartley-Brewer, We all need a safety net or,

:06:38.:06:41.

in my case right now, a crash mat. But why should I,

:06:42.:06:58.

like every other taxpayer, be expected to pick up the pieces of

:06:59.:07:00.

someone else's lifestyle choices? The attacks on George Osborne's

:07:01.:07:10.

plans for tax credit cuts have now The delivery has been pushed back

:07:11.:07:13.

after a rogue vote in the But is all the rhetoric

:07:14.:07:18.

about how these cuts are cruel, immoral attack on

:07:19.:07:23.

hard-working families really true? Every day we hear stories about

:07:24.:07:29.

families doing the right thing. They are working long hours

:07:30.:07:32.

for low pay and they are still Behind the myth, the facts tell

:07:33.:07:35.

a rather different story. The truth is that many of

:07:36.:07:41.

the people who rely on tax credits are not poor because they earn low

:07:42.:07:48.

wages, but because of the choices A choice to work part-time or,

:07:49.:07:51.

in some cases, not at all, or, a choice to have more children than

:07:52.:07:58.

they can afford. For seven out

:07:59.:08:02.

of ten couples claiming working tax credits, only one adult is working,

:08:03.:08:05.

whether they have got kids or not. In a third of households,

:08:06.:08:09.

no-one is working full-time at all. Is it really any wonder that couples

:08:10.:08:14.

who work just a few days a week between them cannot afford to

:08:15.:08:17.

make ends meet? Meanwhile, 84,000 families

:08:18.:08:19.

claiming tax credits have Could you afford to raise

:08:20.:08:23.

five kids on your wage? Yes, of course, there are plenty

:08:24.:08:33.

of deserving families who genuinely do need tax credits but there are

:08:34.:08:36.

far too many who simply expect everyone else to pick up the bill

:08:37.:08:39.

for their lifestyle choices. Tax credits were supposed to

:08:40.:08:50.

get people back into work. Instead they have become

:08:51.:08:52.

an alternative to getting a job. They were supposed to be

:08:53.:08:55.

a safety net, not a tangled web. The Chancellor should go

:08:56.:08:58.

ahead with the cuts. Judging by the current debate,

:08:59.:09:10.

the only thing likely to fall any And from oxygen free jumping

:09:11.:09:13.

in Acton to our own little compression chamber,

:09:14.:09:24.

Julia Hartley-Brewer joins us now. Michael, do you agree that many who

:09:25.:09:38.

rely on tax credits are only poor because they decided to work

:09:39.:09:42.

part-time or they have had too many kids they can't afford? I don't know

:09:43.:09:46.

enough about it to make that judgment but one of the decisions

:09:47.:09:49.

people clearly make is how many children they are going to have. And

:09:50.:09:54.

one of the reasons tax credits exist is that employers pay wages

:09:55.:09:59.

according to what they think the Labour is worth, not according to

:10:00.:10:02.

Harmony children they think their employee has got. And the state does

:10:03.:10:10.

step in to make up the difference. You are shaking your head. I think

:10:11.:10:17.

people have forgotten why we brought in tax credits. It is cumbersome,

:10:18.:10:22.

very expensive, open to fraud and error, but we brought it in for two

:10:23.:10:27.

reasons. One, we wanted to make work pay, and the other was that we

:10:28.:10:31.

wanted to target those who needed it most and you cannot do that through

:10:32.:10:37.

raising personal allowances. Because everybody benefits. Yes. Where you

:10:38.:10:42.

are wrong is that there are people who are working 16 hours or so a

:10:43.:10:47.

week. But if you take away the tax credit, then it no longer is worth

:10:48.:10:52.

their while working. So it is getting them into work, into the

:10:53.:10:57.

habit of working. And as their kids grow up they may go full-time. One

:10:58.:11:02.

final point. I wanted Julia to come back. I understand that incentive

:11:03.:11:10.

but it also provides a disincentive. After 16 hours, 24 hours for a

:11:11.:11:14.

couple, if you work any extra time your marginal rate is so high, so

:11:15.:11:18.

what's the point of going out for extra hours if you can get the money

:11:19.:11:23.

for free? It is not worth the while for the person in that situation but

:11:24.:11:26.

it is worthwhile for the taxpayer who is paying it otherwise. I can

:11:27.:11:31.

come back with the same argument and say that if you take it away what

:11:32.:11:34.

will happen, and a couple of think tanks have come out with this this

:11:35.:11:38.

week, your marginal rate of taxation for going in and doing ten hours a

:11:39.:11:44.

week goes up. It is 93%. Doesn't that make it worse? Reed thereof

:11:45.:11:49.

problems with the changes. I don't think it is beyond the wit of man or

:11:50.:11:53.

the Chancellor of the Exchequer to come up with a way of making the

:11:54.:11:58.

changes. You have to have an incentive where it is sensible for

:11:59.:12:06.

both parents to work. Most parents do actually work full-time. Seven

:12:07.:12:10.

out of ten claimants of working tax credit have only one adult in work

:12:11.:12:14.

because the 2nd adult is viewed, like the child, as a dependent. That

:12:15.:12:18.

is an extraordinary figure. We are told constantly that people claiming

:12:19.:12:23.

tax credit are the hard working poor, and undoubtedly many of them

:12:24.:12:27.

are, but also there are an awful lot who are not hard working poor. They

:12:28.:12:31.

are poor because they don't do enough hours. But seven out of ten

:12:32.:12:36.

of the people who benefit from tax credit are women. They also have

:12:37.:12:41.

childcare responsibilities. That is the point at which they are poorest.

:12:42.:12:47.

We spend ?30 billion per year on this. Is that too much? It is a

:12:48.:12:52.

redistribution, maybe that is something that should be welcomed,

:12:53.:12:57.

or is it too much? It is a very cumbersome tax. It is open to huge

:12:58.:13:05.

error and huge fraud. I would like us to get round the table. Really it

:13:06.:13:09.

is one of those issues where you have to get round the table. We all

:13:10.:13:14.

want to make work pay, so get round the table and sort it out. I don't

:13:15.:13:18.

think it is as easy as you say, the Chancellor can sort it out. It

:13:19.:13:23.

reminds me of the debate in the 1960s and 70s where the Tories felt

:13:24.:13:28.

they could not reverse the Labour ratchet. Labour had created a

:13:29.:13:31.

welfare state but also nationalised industries and so on and there

:13:32.:13:36.

seemed no way of working back. Gordon Brown set the bar of the

:13:37.:13:41.

welfare state extremely high. He set a high water mark and it seems the

:13:42.:13:45.

argument is that wherever the previous Labour government has set

:13:46.:13:48.

the high water mark, the Tory government is not allowed to reduce

:13:49.:13:52.

the water level in the next period of government. They took away tax

:13:53.:13:58.

credits from the better off. That has changed. But 30 billion. It is

:13:59.:14:07.

still 30 billion. Here is the issue. Getting from a to B is a problem,

:14:08.:14:13.

and under the existing plans low paid workers are going to lose a lot

:14:14.:14:18.

of money. It may not seem so much to those on big salaries but if you are

:14:19.:14:22.

only on 15,000 a year, 12,000 a year, and you lose 1200, 1500, that

:14:23.:14:30.

is a lot of money. You dis- incentivise people by not making the

:14:31.:14:35.

2nd adult, usually the woman, as a dependent and basically have them

:14:36.:14:38.

entitled to working tax credits in their own right, which will

:14:39.:14:42.

incentivise them to work. I know people who work in job centres who

:14:43.:14:45.

have told me it is routine that people on tax credits will come in

:14:46.:14:50.

and say, I work 16 hours, 24 hours a week, I have been offered a

:14:51.:14:53.

full-time job, is it worth my while? When they point out that it

:14:54.:14:58.

is not worth their while and they will not earn an extra penny for

:14:59.:15:01.

those extra hours, they turn it down. That is an insane state of

:15:02.:15:06.

affairs. You have been talking about the proposals. The proposals are now

:15:07.:15:11.

dead and we will get something else in the Autumn Statement. Will we

:15:12.:15:17.

just get eight week? I think we will get a big tweak. It seemed at first

:15:18.:15:23.

that it was the clever that the Liberal and Labour Democrat peers

:15:24.:15:27.

had voted down the order and made a bit of a monkey of the Chancellor of

:15:28.:15:31.

the Exchequer. It would have been much cleverer to let it go through,

:15:32.:15:34.

because at the moment all of the argument is about people making

:15:35.:15:38.

theoretical losses. Nobody has made a loss yet. It may be that the --

:15:39.:15:43.

that the Chancellor will make changes which will mean no one will

:15:44.:15:48.

make a loss, or fewer people. What would have been clever would have

:15:49.:15:51.

been to saddle the Chancellor of the Exchequer with his original

:15:52.:15:55.

proposal, because I believe it would have become very uncomfortable

:15:56.:15:58.

politically if 3 million people lost ?1000 per year. Has George Osborne

:15:59.:16:06.

been hurt by this? Undoubtedly. He does not seem as sure-footed. He has

:16:07.:16:11.

often been seen as a great political operator. People keep saying that,

:16:12.:16:18.

but remember 2012 and now this. Yes, but a lot of the outcry about

:16:19.:16:23.

this, over 3 million voters affected, but also that most people

:16:24.:16:26.

who debate this do not understand that so many of those who claim

:16:27.:16:30.

working tax credit and child tax credits are not what most people

:16:31.:16:34.

consider the hard-working poor. The people who are paying for the tax

:16:35.:16:38.

credits, they are the hard-working people, the people whom arm and dad,

:16:39.:16:43.

with or without young children, who go out and work full-time.

:16:44.:16:49.

The reason the Chancellor should be worried, and I agree with Michael,

:16:50.:16:56.

politically it would have been terrible for the families.

:16:57.:16:58.

Politically it would have been more sensible to have let the pain be

:16:59.:17:03.

there. A lot of them are in Conservative marginal seats. If

:17:04.:17:06.

Labour gets its act together we might win them back. Even if you get

:17:07.:17:13.

the tax credit, I have 10,000 families in my constituency who will

:17:14.:17:17.

be affected by the changes in the tax credit. They could have done it

:17:18.:17:22.

more sensibly and said, it new applicants. I am not in charge! Just

:17:23.:17:29.

to finish up on this point. It does involve some hard-working families.

:17:30.:17:36.

Julia has said that. She said most of the hard-working whether ones

:17:37.:17:40.

paying the 30 billion. A lot of people who are upset by the changes

:17:41.:17:43.

are not aware of the fact that a lot of people we are referring to with

:17:44.:17:47.

the little phrase, hard-working families, between them as a couple

:17:48.:17:52.

working three days a week out of ten. If most families are working

:17:53.:17:56.

ten days a week between them, to people five days a week each and

:17:57.:18:01.

they are paying taxes to fund supposedly hard-working people

:18:02.:18:04.

working three out of ten days they might feel what the solution should

:18:05.:18:10.

be is for those people to work more hours. They need time to be able to

:18:11.:18:18.

do that. There is an assumption that most people working tax credits are

:18:19.:18:23.

like that. They are not, they are a minority. I know from own

:18:24.:18:29.

constituency... We are going to leave it there. We will have plenty

:18:30.:18:34.

of time to do that between now and the Autumn Statement. Thank you for

:18:35.:18:35.

being with us. Now it's late,

:18:36.:18:37.

Bad Sex Award winner-late, which is fortunate because look

:18:38.:18:39.

who's waiting in the wings. Author and broadcaster Melvyn Bragg

:18:40.:18:41.

is here to talk about the dangers And if you assume we care

:18:42.:18:44.

about your views, you could not, of course, be more wrong,

:18:45.:18:47.

as we continue to ignore all your mind-numbing comments on The

:18:48.:18:50.

Twitter, The Fleecebook and Gordon Now, the new ITV drama Jekyll

:18:51.:18:55.

and Hyde came under fire this week, after viewers called it

:18:56.:19:05.

"too scary" to be broadcast before Well, we're not on

:19:06.:19:07.

in the primetime 11:35pm slot for nothing, so we thought we'd

:19:08.:19:11.

make the most of our scheduling - to unleash something truly terrifying

:19:12.:19:15.

on an unsuspecting viewing public. We sent the Mirror journalist

:19:16.:19:20.

down to the London Dungeon This is his split personality

:19:21.:19:27.

roundup of the week. I'm going to tell you

:19:28.:19:44.

a very scary story. The strange case of Dr George

:19:45.:19:50.

Osborne and Mr Gideon Hyde. By day, Dr Osborne likes to show his

:19:51.:20:02.

respectable side as a blue blood, By night,

:20:03.:20:05.

out comes his Tory monster. Mr Gideon, desperate to stamp

:20:06.:20:17.

on people's incomes I am determined to deliver that

:20:18.:20:19.

lower welfare, higher wage economy we

:20:20.:20:29.

were elected to deliver I warned you it was

:20:30.:20:31.

going to be scary. The struggling strivers found

:20:32.:20:35.

an unlikely champion in the House of Lords this week,

:20:36.:20:38.

as the living dead in the other So, Osborne was shocked

:20:39.:20:40.

into an embarrassing retreat on Monday night when peers voted to

:20:41.:20:44.

delay tax credit cuts and compensate Conservative MPs - not me - say they

:20:45.:20:47.

did not have the information they I hear that many

:20:48.:20:52.

of them are now livid about this. The point is, this was a budgetary

:20:53.:20:58.

matter and budgetary matters are the Mr Cameron, who deliberately

:20:59.:21:01.

misled the British public. The British public would regard what

:21:02.:21:12.

he said now as a lie, That is a fig leaf, possibly

:21:13.:21:17.

disguising tensions in the Commons There are even more cobwebs

:21:18.:21:26.

in here than in the House of Lords. Spooky how, after Monday's double

:21:27.:21:44.

defeat, so many Tories are now talking about reforming

:21:45.:21:51.

the unelected House of cronies. I think it's wrong of the House

:21:52.:21:54.

of Lords to get in the way of the sovereign expression

:21:55.:21:59.

of will of Parliament. Like a zombie you can't kill off,

:22:00.:22:01.

how ever many fatal motions you try, the deadly issue of tax credits

:22:02.:22:04.

is haunting the Government and raised its head again and again and

:22:05.:22:07.

again at Prime Monster's Questions. Can he now guarantee to the House

:22:08.:22:15.

and the wider country that nobody will

:22:16.:22:17.

be worse off next year as a result Will he confirm right now

:22:18.:22:20.

that tax credit cuts will Can he now give us the answer

:22:21.:22:25.

we are trying to get today? The Labour Party is left defending

:22:26.:22:37.

and depending on unelected peers We have got, in British politics,

:22:38.:22:40.

we have a new alliance - Even rarer than a ghost was

:22:41.:22:48.

a reported sighting of a Lib Dem. Let me again welcome the honourable

:22:49.:22:56.

gentleman to this place. It is good to see such

:22:57.:22:59.

a high turnout of his MPs. When it comes to Europe,

:23:00.:23:03.

Britain's big political parties have David Cameron is officially supposed

:23:04.:23:23.

to be neutral while he does the renegotiations yet the Prime

:23:24.:23:28.

Minister flew to Iceland to attack the Eurosceptic case, though we are

:23:29.:23:31.

told he will also have a go at the pro-EU camp if he feels it is

:23:32.:23:35.

overstepping a mark. Talk If we don't get what we need,

:23:36.:23:38.

I rule absolutely nothing out. As we go through this debate, let's

:23:39.:23:47.

make sure we don't start looking The court of public opinion long ago

:23:48.:23:50.

judged Tony Blair guilty on Iraq. Yet, however tortured he looks, the

:23:51.:23:59.

spectre of war's past has remained With the Chilcott Report looming,

:24:00.:24:02.

Blair used an interview at the weekend to apologise for

:24:03.:24:06.

mistakes made and admitted there were elements of truth in claims

:24:07.:24:08.

that the war contributed to the rise You cannot say that those

:24:09.:24:12.

of us who removed Saddam in 2003 bear no responsibility

:24:13.:24:19.

for the situation in 2015. And from the London Dungeon

:24:20.:24:23.

on Southbank, to our own little house of horrors

:24:24.:24:52.

here in the heart of Westminster, we're joined by a man who, among

:24:53.:24:55.

other claims to fame, once played a Welcome back. Are the Lord's right

:24:56.:25:12.

to defy the Commons on this subject? Yes. Because? If it was a tax, it

:25:13.:25:22.

would have been in the Finance Bill. If you get something like this, if

:25:23.:25:26.

you're going to defy the Government on an economic matter and you have

:25:27.:25:31.

to have grounds to choose, the House of Lords, being able to present

:25:32.:25:36.

themselves as a defender of the working classes, what could be

:25:37.:25:41.

better? How inept of the Government! To get into this

:25:42.:25:49.

situation? Given the measure will now be changed, the undermining of

:25:50.:25:53.

the tonsil' reputation for competence and the Government's

:25:54.:26:04.

reputation for economic credibility is done. They are trying to show the

:26:05.:26:10.

Conservatives as the party of the workers. We are now the party of the

:26:11.:26:16.

workers. We will park our tanks onto Labour's lawn and have ?4.5 billion

:26:17.:26:22.

worth of tax cuts coming down the pipe. You will have to go back to

:26:23.:26:35.

Julie's argument. People can be paying taxes who are fairly poor.

:26:36.:26:39.

Can I just agree with the first part of what Alex said? The whole reason

:26:40.:26:44.

this statutory instrument was considered by the House of Lords

:26:45.:26:49.

was, surprise surprise, in legislation it is specified this

:26:50.:26:53.

statutory instrument has two passed both houses of parliament. It is the

:26:54.:27:00.

statutory interest -- instrument under social legislation. If you put

:27:01.:27:04.

it to the House of Commons, the House of Commons would not wish to

:27:05.:27:08.

view the sledgehammer and vote it down. If you offer the House of

:27:09.:27:14.

Lords something which requires approval, they are just as likely to

:27:15.:27:21.

disprove it. I think they have saved George's bacon. He will not be

:27:22.:27:28.

saddled with it. I think there is a slightly naive point. Very often,

:27:29.:27:32.

politicians push something out and feed at what point the resistance

:27:33.:27:39.

comes. Then they withdraw it. Very often, it is the only way you can

:27:40.:27:44.

really gauge what you can get away with in politics. Many people have

:27:45.:27:49.

done this in the past. It is the way things go. Have the Lords now got a

:27:50.:27:55.

taste of blood? They have already rebelled about 19 times against the

:27:56.:27:59.

Government in recent times. This may give them... They may make a habit

:28:00.:28:05.

of this. They may rather like it. When you said my known for the week,

:28:06.:28:14.

it was the defeat on tax credits. If we're going to talk about reforming

:28:15.:28:19.

the House of Lords yet again, in maybe a tiny opportunity... Is

:28:20.:28:28.

crazy. Looking it up to date, we have 850 peers. It is the second

:28:29.:28:37.

largest Parliamentary house after the Chinese. If you look at

:28:38.:28:42.

parliamentary chambers which have non-elected, either directly or

:28:43.:28:52.

indirectly, we're in the bottom 10%. Jeremy Corbyn, promise me you will

:28:53.:28:59.

never go there? The House of Lords? I promise. Let's reform it. Everyone

:29:00.:29:15.

thinks it should be reform but this will not be an opportunity to so do,

:29:16.:29:21.

will it? Yet if you're going for the Lords, some of the Tory backbenches

:29:22.:29:25.

have been doing over the past few days, off with their heads! I do not

:29:26.:29:29.

think this is the issue with which she would choose to decapitate the

:29:30.:29:35.

House of Lords. I was not talking about back, I was talking about

:29:36.:29:39.

reforming it. If they were to appoint lots of Lord's, it would be

:29:40.:29:44.

more absurd than many people think it is. I still do not see how that

:29:45.:29:49.

would lead in this Parliament to reform of the House of Lords. The

:29:50.:29:55.

only sensible reform of the House of Lords within the current system

:29:56.:30:00.

would be to make it a perform shall Assembly elected. If they did that

:30:01.:30:05.

with the addition of the SNP, you would have approximately the same

:30:06.:30:10.

result as this week. A proportional Assembly would give you probably the

:30:11.:30:16.

same result. The Government would not have an overall majority. What

:30:17.:30:20.

do you make of the length of time the Chilcott report is taking? I

:30:21.:30:27.

think it looks like extraordinary mismanagement and incompetence.

:30:28.:30:30.

There is simply no point moaning and enquired for this length of time.

:30:31.:30:38.

The answers are not relevant. -- running an inquiry. Was the inquiry

:30:39.:30:44.

fundamentally flawed? Should it not have been given a timetable? Was it

:30:45.:30:50.

badly tasked for the job? It was set up to deal with a bad political

:30:51.:30:59.

moment. It is absurd. I do not think there is a politician who is active

:31:00.:31:06.

today who does not want to see an end to this so we can draw a line

:31:07.:31:10.

under that very, very difficult period in our politics. Should it

:31:11.:31:21.

have been time-limited? This is outrageous and unjust for the

:31:22.:31:23.

families of the dead service people. People have no closure, wondering

:31:24.:31:40.

why their loved ones died, what was the reason, who was responsible. It

:31:41.:31:45.

is unjust. There is an assumption that we will no much more when we

:31:46.:31:50.

get the results of being quiet area. I agree with you, and we will wait

:31:51.:31:54.

and see what it says, but I think the assumption and build-up of

:31:55.:31:58.

expectation might lead to disappointment among the families. I

:31:59.:32:04.

think there is little doubt that a judge leading choir would have been

:32:05.:32:07.

quicker. A parliamentary enquiry would have been able to impeach the

:32:08.:32:11.

Prime Minister, as some of us wanted. But any parliamentary

:32:12.:32:15.

enquiry would have reported long ago. But there must be better ways

:32:16.:32:21.

to do things. Is there going to be anything out of this? I am not so

:32:22.:32:27.

sure, I would not be so dismissive. The key issue is predetermination.

:32:28.:32:32.

Did Tony Blair make up his mind before the evidence to go to war in

:32:33.:32:39.

Iraq, come what May? And there is pretty substantial information, both

:32:40.:32:41.

from the former British ambassador in Washington, and more recently

:32:42.:32:46.

from the Colin Powell e-mails, that that was the case. If Chilcot has

:32:47.:32:53.

grabbed hold of that, with the additional information which he

:32:54.:32:57.

presumably has from telegrams and exchange of information between the

:32:58.:33:01.

British and US government, I would not discount the possibility. This

:33:02.:33:05.

might be an enquiry which allocates responsibility. I would not be

:33:06.:33:10.

surprised if that was the finding but I would not be as outraged as

:33:11.:33:15.

you. I think Tony Blair, in the moment of 9/11, when thousands of

:33:16.:33:20.

Americans died, he pledged, I think, himself, the Labour Party and

:33:21.:33:24.

the British government to support the United States through thick and

:33:25.:33:28.

thin, and even through error. I think that is precisely what

:33:29.:33:33.

happened. But that is not what he told the country. He told us there

:33:34.:33:39.

were weapons of mass destruction, 45 minutes from disaster. If it is

:33:40.:33:42.

predetermined, he is responsible and guilty as charged. Do you think

:33:43.:33:47.

there is evidence it was predetermined? I have seen none of

:33:48.:33:53.

that evidence and I was one who voted for the Iraq war. Do you

:33:54.:34:00.

regret that? Yes. If I had known then what I know now I would not

:34:01.:34:04.

have voted in that way. We can go round and round, but putting myself

:34:05.:34:09.

back into what we believed at that time, we all believed there were

:34:10.:34:13.

weapons of mass destruction. You may not have done, but most people

:34:14.:34:16.

believed there were weapons of mass destruction. The real argument was

:34:17.:34:21.

of timing of when we should go in, whether we should allow the UN

:34:22.:34:24.

longer to find them and identify them. I think it was to reflect

:34:25.:34:32.

error. Some of us relied on the information that was coming from

:34:33.:34:37.

Hans Blix and the UN inspectors. He believed there were weapons of mass

:34:38.:34:42.

destruction. He asked for time and did not get it. We found out that

:34:43.:34:47.

the pledge to go to war, come what may, to be with George W Bush was

:34:48.:34:56.

made. It was not come what may. We have seen that recently in his memo.

:34:57.:35:02.

It was not come what may. The 2nd thing was the offer to help with

:35:03.:35:09.

public opinion. I saw that. I think that is highly significant. So I am

:35:10.:35:13.

hopeful that responsibility will be allocated. Good to see you.

:35:14.:35:17.

Now, New York-based author Martin Amis, somehow under

:35:18.:35:19.

the impression we care what he thinks about British politics, had

:35:20.:35:21.

According to the author, "humourless" Jezza is not

:35:22.:35:25.

intellectually up to being Leader of the Labour Party - apparently his

:35:26.:35:28.

two Es at A Level, and one year on a Trade Union Studies course at North

:35:29.:35:32.

London Poly are not the ideal qualifications

:35:33.:35:33.

It's far better than doing two or even three years on a Trade Union

:35:34.:35:41.

And that's why we're putting "making assumptions" in this week's

:35:42.:35:49.

# You want to see whatever common people see... #

:35:50.:36:02.

It was the anthem for a class conscious Britain, but

:36:03.:36:05.

20 years after Pulp hit the charts, does society still make assumptions

:36:06.:36:08.

about who you are and where you come from? On Monday David Cameron

:36:09.:36:13.

announced that universities and top employers will now do

:36:14.:36:17.

name-blind applications, after research suggested ethnic sounding

:36:18.:36:18.

If you don't deal with the issue of discrimination,

:36:19.:36:26.

you can never have true opportunity, which is what we all want to see.

:36:27.:36:30.

Few would have imagined the boy brought up above a Cumbrian

:36:31.:36:32.

pub would become the nation's cultural expert.

:36:33.:36:35.

But does Melvyn Bragg's novel about the peasants' revolt of 1381

:36:36.:36:38.

remind us that people have fought social assumptions for centuries?

:36:39.:36:45.

Who would have thought that during the peers' revolt

:36:46.:36:49.

of 2015 ermine-clad lords and ladies would be the ones

:36:50.:36:52.

These proposals blatantly threaten damage to the lives of millions

:36:53.:37:00.

So maybe it doesn't matter whether you live like common people

:37:01.:37:07.

Is making assumptions about others, whether based on race or class or

:37:08.:37:13.

We are delighted to be joined by Melvyn Bragg. Working-class kid gets

:37:14.:37:35.

to Oxbridge, people make assumptions about you? They can assume what they

:37:36.:37:43.

want, that is their right. Did you ever feel categorised? Yes, but it

:37:44.:37:47.

doesn't matter very much. You get on with what you want to do and if you

:37:48.:37:51.

are lucky enough to do it, that is enough. Did it hold you back? I have

:37:52.:37:56.

done what I want, and what more could you want? We have a tendency

:37:57.:38:03.

in this country to categorise. Noel Coward said an Englishman opens his

:38:04.:38:06.

mouth and another Englishman has clattered -- classified him. That is

:38:07.:38:13.

still largely true. We still say people from whatever city in the

:38:14.:38:16.

North of England have the least chance of being believed in court,

:38:17.:38:23.

getting jobs. It still goes on. Is it part of this class system,

:38:24.:38:27.

obsession with class that we make assumptions about people in a way

:38:28.:38:29.

that other countries may not as much? Other countries do, but not as

:38:30.:38:38.

clearly, with 800 years of tradition behind them. We have got very good

:38:39.:38:44.

at it. We have had practice. It has changed quite a bit but it is still

:38:45.:38:49.

solid, a class system, but there are other things which corrode and

:38:50.:38:52.

embellish it simultaneously, so it is changing. In the 21st century,

:38:53.:38:59.

the Prime Minister is saying that for big companies, for universities,

:39:00.:39:05.

don't put your name on the application form. And when they

:39:06.:39:09.

don't put their name, a lot of people from state schools get the

:39:10.:39:13.

job and the universities. When you look at university results, people

:39:14.:39:17.

at state schools tend to do rather better if they can get in. You see

:39:18.:39:20.

it at Oxford as well as everywhere else. Is it useful, because the

:39:21.:39:26.

Prime Minister was saying there seemed to be evidence that if it was

:39:27.:39:29.

an ethnic name then you might not get through the first hurdle? There

:39:30.:39:35.

might be that. It is difficult to talk about this without more

:39:36.:39:39.

evidence than I have. I know what I read in newspapers, what I hear from

:39:40.:39:45.

Leeds, where I am Chancellor, or from Oxford, but it is basically

:39:46.:39:49.

anecdotal. Since I went to university, 5% go, and now it is

:39:50.:39:55.

45%. I go to Leeds University regularly, and I have been there for

:39:56.:39:59.

about 14 years, and you see people from all parts there. Similarly at

:40:00.:40:05.

my college in Oxford, the most diverse College in Oxford, it has

:40:06.:40:09.

changed a lot and that is something to hold onto. Changed for the

:40:10.:40:13.

better, I think, and so do those in charge, the Chuter is something to

:40:14.:40:16.

hold onto. Changed for the better, I think, and so do those in charge,

:40:17.:40:19.

the are we prone to make assumptions? Yes, for example we

:40:20.:40:24.

debated at the last parliament where all of the leaders were Oxbridge by

:40:25.:40:28.

background, the fact that this created a barrier between them and

:40:29.:40:32.

the electorate. I think it did. The electorate thought anyone who had

:40:33.:40:35.

been to Oxford or Cambridge was from Mars. That was interesting because

:40:36.:40:40.

at one time the Labour Party were hopeful that they would paint David

:40:41.:40:44.

Cameron and George Osborne has remote toffs. But as far as the

:40:45.:40:54.

electorate were concerned Ed Miliband and others were just as

:40:55.:40:57.

remote. I think we are more anti-intellectual than most other

:40:58.:41:02.

countries. Are we prone to make assumptions? It is more convex than

:41:03.:41:07.

class. It is about race, gender, all these things. There is evidence,

:41:08.:41:13.

certainly on race, I don't know about university applications, but

:41:14.:41:15.

if you look at job applications, if you have a name which puts you down

:41:16.:41:22.

as someone from an ethnic background, you are much, much less

:41:23.:41:26.

likely to get an interview, to get through that first hurdle. I welcome

:41:27.:41:31.

what the Prime Minister is doing on this. It is a move in the right

:41:32.:41:35.

direction. I don't think it is enough. My children's friends who

:41:36.:41:44.

tried for Oxford, from comprehensive schools, it is not just getting to

:41:45.:41:48.

interview stage, but people recruit in their own kind. The questions

:41:49.:41:52.

that they ask when you go for the interview are very much based on the

:41:53.:41:56.

sort of stuff you would learn if you went to a private school, rather

:41:57.:42:01.

than a comprehensive, so the barriers are complex and I think it

:42:02.:42:04.

needs a complex set of interventions. This country, unlike

:42:05.:42:10.

France and America, has a lot of continuity in its history. You have

:42:11.:42:15.

done a book on the peasant's revolt, which failed in the end. If it had

:42:16.:42:23.

succeeded in some way, would we be a much different society? If we had

:42:24.:42:29.

had more revolutionary upheaval? When is the end? It depends what you

:42:30.:42:34.

mean by failed. It is the biggest insurrection ever in this country,

:42:35.:42:39.

per capita. It came at the time of the Black death, the population was

:42:40.:42:44.

being halved. It pushed up some wages and depressed others. It was

:42:45.:42:49.

led by Artisans, all the men, people were not just running around with

:42:50.:42:53.

pitchforks. Although the pitchfork is a nasty weapon. It was a debate

:42:54.:42:58.

across what we would now describe as the middle and lower middle-class

:42:59.:43:04.

is, the lower gentry. It was a big rebellion and massively successful

:43:05.:43:08.

until the leader was assassinated. In a few days, it takes one of the

:43:09.:43:14.

toughest castles in the country in an afternoon, which took King John

:43:15.:43:19.

nine months to breach. It gets into London, into the White Tower, it

:43:20.:43:22.

forces the king to meet them three times. In that sense it is

:43:23.:43:27.

successful. It fails, but it sets the tone for what has become since

:43:28.:43:33.

then one stream of English history which is radical. And the idea that

:43:34.:43:37.

people rebelling, triggered often by taxes, this was triggered by the

:43:38.:43:41.

poll tax, and people gathering round it to rebel and move to rebellion,

:43:42.:43:47.

whether it is marching, whatever. A great book, I enjoyed it. Thank you

:43:48.:43:49.

for being with us. But not for us

:43:50.:43:51.

because it's "flogging a pensioner Well, it is in Mayfair, and just

:43:52.:43:55.

opposite the Saudi embassy. But we leave you tonight with

:43:56.:43:59.

the man of the hour - Boy George. His minions have been scurrying

:44:00.:44:04.

around Westminster all week, assuring us all that George is

:44:05.:44:06.

"always in listening mode" when it And we have exclusive footage

:44:07.:44:10.

that proves they weren't lying. Don't let Michael Gove's

:44:11.:44:16.

general election commitment Just to be clear,

:44:17.:44:18.

because I think you said this but I want to be certain, when I asked,

:44:19.:44:25.

are you going to cut tax credits, We are going to freeze them for two

:44:26.:44:28.

years, we are not going to cut them. I wanted to spend the rest of my

:44:29.:44:58.

life with him.

:44:59.:45:03.

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