Browse content similar to 21/01/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Tonight, after a week of freezing weather, | :00:11. | :00:20. | |
David Cameron is with the world's so-called movers and shakers | :00:21. | :00:23. | |
But is the Prime Minister going off-piste by talking | :00:24. | :00:29. | |
about the possibility of deporting immigrants who don't learn to speak | :00:30. | :00:31. | |
Comedian Sadia Azmat, has joined the This Week | :00:32. | :00:37. | |
Cameron's skiing in Davos this week, but is on a much more slippery | :00:38. | :00:57. | |
slope with Muslim women in the UK this week. | :00:58. | :00:59. | |
Canapes and champagne consumed by world leaders in the Alps | :01:00. | :01:02. | |
as turmoil in the markets increases fears of another economic downturn. | :01:03. | :01:04. | |
One of those not invited to the jamboree, journalist | :01:05. | :01:07. | |
and broadcaster, Julia Hartley-Brewer. | :01:08. | :01:07. | |
Cameron is desperate for his fellow leaders to focus on his EU | :01:08. | :01:11. | |
negotiation, but they have other matters on their minds. | :01:12. | :01:14. | |
And, bringing the financial crash of 2008 to the big screen, | :01:15. | :01:17. | |
braving the cold conditions in the This Week studio, | :01:18. | :01:19. | |
Hollywood writer and director of The Big Short, Adam McKay. | :01:20. | :01:24. | |
The housing market is rock solid. It's a time bomb. | :01:25. | :01:34. | |
I've waxed my skiis and I'm off on the piste! | :01:35. | :01:42. | |
Now, long-suffering fans of the show will know to their cost that | :01:43. | :01:50. | |
Diane Abbott is a hard habit to break. | :01:51. | :01:53. | |
For over a decade she bestrode our sofa like a colossal pain | :01:54. | :01:56. | |
So news that Diane will soon be portrayed on the London stage | :01:57. | :02:04. | |
in a song-and-dance-and-hard-left spectacular entitled Corbyn | :02:05. | :02:09. | |
the Musical, The Motorcycle Diaries has already been greeted | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
with a five-star review by those who know her | :02:13. | :02:14. | |
The plot sounds entirely reasonable to us and sees our Jezza facing | :02:15. | :02:20. | |
a nuclear crisis with the Soviet Union, set | :02:21. | :02:25. | |
against the doomed-romantic background of the pair's | :02:26. | :02:29. | |
now-infamous East German motorcycle holiday in the late 1970s. | :02:30. | :02:33. | |
A sort of Easy Rider meets the Stasi extravaganza you might think, | :02:34. | :02:38. | |
but described by the writers as James Bond meets the Kama Sutra, | :02:39. | :02:44. | |
it promises to do for Diane and Jeremy Corbyn what Summer Lovin' | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
and Grease Lightnin' did for Sandy and Danny Zuko. | :02:49. | :02:52. | |
Of course, political balance demands that we also express our enthusiasm | :02:53. | :02:59. | |
for the upcoming Boy George musical provisionally entitled, | :03:00. | :03:01. | |
of Cutting Student Maintenance Grants - | :03:02. | :03:04. | |
Though nobody knows what the soundtrack will be | :03:05. | :03:07. | |
since there's no mention of it in the Tory manifesto. | :03:08. | :03:09. | |
Speaking of nasty surprises you weren't told about, | :03:10. | :03:11. | |
I'm joined on the sofa tonight by two unexpected items back | :03:12. | :03:13. | |
Think of them as the 'sympathy strike' and the 'sympathy card' | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
I speak, of course, of #fourpercent Liz 'miserables' Kendall | :03:18. | :03:22. | |
and #sadmanonatrain Michael 'choo choo' Portillo. | :03:23. | :03:29. | |
Welcome to you both. Thank you very much. Michael, your moment of the | :03:30. | :03:34. | |
week? Jean-Claude Juncker, the President of the European Commission | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
seems to be proposing changes to immigration rules which are very | :03:39. | :03:41. | |
significant from Britain's point of view. We are able to deport and have | :03:42. | :03:47. | |
deported 12,000 immigrants over the last few years to the place where, | :03:48. | :03:52. | |
in the European Union they first sought asylum. Which is the Dublin | :03:53. | :03:57. | |
Agreement? He is saying this might need to be revoked unless Britain | :03:58. | :04:01. | |
agrees to take its quota of immigrants, which in our case would | :04:02. | :04:05. | |
probably be about 90,000 souls. Quite a significant number. This | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
dwarfs what David Cameron is talking about at Davos, for example, which | :04:11. | :04:15. | |
is the limit on when EU citizens, who move to this country, would | :04:16. | :04:19. | |
first receive benefits. It's a much bigger problem. If it really is the | :04:20. | :04:22. | |
case that Juncker is thinking of making these changes, it will loom | :04:23. | :04:27. | |
Brett pretty large over this He may think summer. About it, I suggest to | :04:28. | :04:30. | |
you it will not happen? You think because he will see this as dynamite | :04:31. | :04:36. | |
in the referendum campaign? Yes it would be deeply unpopular in Eastern | :04:37. | :04:39. | |
Europe too. It won't just be Britain. We will see, you never | :04:40. | :04:45. | |
know. We will see. Liz. Today's enquire into Litvinenko's murder. | :04:46. | :04:51. | |
Remarkable, wasn't it? It may not ultimately have been surprising, but | :04:52. | :04:54. | |
it was brutally shocking I thought in its conclusions. It raises very | :04:55. | :04:59. | |
difficult issues for the Government which has to be able to demonstrate | :05:00. | :05:03. | |
it's not going to allow the Russian state to get away with murder whilst | :05:04. | :05:07. | |
also being able to deal with Russia over the very serious questions in | :05:08. | :05:13. | |
Syria and Isil. I also think it raises some important questions for | :05:14. | :05:19. | |
those on the hard left who have often acted as apologists for | :05:20. | :05:22. | |
Russia, claiming Russia is always forced into things by the West and | :05:23. | :05:28. | |
claiming that somehow they are the subject of propaganda from the | :05:29. | :05:33. | |
western media and demonised. I hope after today's report we never hear | :05:34. | :05:40. | |
those comments again. I never thought I would hear him name a head | :05:41. | :05:48. | |
of a foreign state. Quite amazing. Now, John Major described Britain | :05:49. | :05:55. | |
as a country of "long shadows on cricket grounds, warm beer, | :05:56. | :05:57. | |
invincible green suburbs, Not sure he actually mentioned | :05:58. | :05:59. | |
the last one and he might have used another word, | :06:00. | :06:03. | |
beginning with B and something to do with his parentage, | :06:04. | :06:05. | |
but you get the picture. This week David Cameron went | :06:06. | :06:08. | |
further, claiming speaking English was an essential feature | :06:09. | :06:10. | |
of our way of life. According to Dave, tens of thousands | :06:11. | :06:12. | |
of Muslim women living in the UK struggle to speak the language - | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
often prevented from doing so by men who don't have their best | :06:16. | :06:18. | |
interests at heart. He's even proposed deporting women | :06:19. | :06:20. | |
who fail to learn the language adequately after two-and-a-half | :06:21. | :06:23. | |
years in the country. So are Muslim women in the UK living | :06:24. | :06:24. | |
in the social isolation Here's comedian Saria Azmat | :06:25. | :06:27. | |
with her take of the week. # Grandpappy's never | :06:28. | :06:37. | |
late for his dinner. # And he washes it | :06:38. | :06:39. | |
down with brandy...# I'm here today for a | :06:40. | :06:44. | |
lesson in Britishness. If the Prime Minister is to be | :06:45. | :06:46. | |
believed, as a Muslim woman I spend most of my time waiting in corridors | :06:47. | :06:56. | |
for the men folk in my life to finish their important meetings | :06:57. | :07:00. | |
and hiding behind the firmly closed door of my house, which sounds | :07:01. | :07:05. | |
more Isis than Leyton. There might be a minority of Muslim | :07:06. | :07:17. | |
women living in the UK But the answer is not to generalise | :07:18. | :07:20. | |
on the basis of a few case studies because the main thing making Muslim | :07:21. | :07:28. | |
women feel like second-class citizens is the Prime Minister's | :07:29. | :07:31. | |
demonisation of us. And speaking of generalisations, | :07:32. | :07:35. | |
what truly qualifies Having a Sunday roast, | :07:36. | :07:37. | |
drinking Earl Grey or crying I'll have the steak | :07:38. | :07:42. | |
and kidney pie, please. In one breath, David Cameron talks | :07:43. | :07:55. | |
of a Britain where women and girls are free to choose how they dress, | :07:56. | :07:58. | |
how they live and who they love and in the next advocates clamping | :07:59. | :08:01. | |
down of the wearing of the veil. You know who else tells women | :08:02. | :08:04. | |
what to do and what to wear, For me, wearing a headscarf, | :08:05. | :08:07. | |
far from being submissive, is an act of rebellion | :08:08. | :08:14. | |
against my liberal parents. In short, it brings | :08:15. | :08:16. | |
a better game than I do. The reality is, the Government | :08:17. | :08:20. | |
is scared of a problem it doesn't understand and has reacted | :08:21. | :08:28. | |
by further alienating the community, clamping down on the freedom | :08:29. | :08:31. | |
and individuality it It seems like, as a Muslim woman, | :08:32. | :08:34. | |
I've still got to prove my So, Mr Cameron, is this | :08:35. | :08:44. | |
English enough for you? And from Rules Restaurant | :08:45. | :08:55. | |
in Covent Garden, to disobeying the rules of making good | :08:56. | :08:57. | |
television here on This Week, Sadia Azmat and Yasmin | :08:58. | :09:01. | |
Alibhai Brown join us now. Yasmin, let me come to you first. | :09:02. | :09:10. | |
What do you make of Sadia's take of the week there? You know, it's a | :09:11. | :09:15. | |
good... It's a good set of arguments. Of course, nobody is | :09:16. | :09:19. | |
saying all Muslim women are oppressed. Can you imagine anybody | :09:20. | :09:23. | |
oppressing me? You know, I'm a Muslim woman, you know. We've often | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
tried? You've tried and failed. I think there is a serious crisis and | :09:29. | :09:36. | |
there is a serious problem. Just because all feel angry for the Prime | :09:37. | :09:39. | |
Minister for the loose way in which he was talking and linking language | :09:40. | :09:43. | |
and women to terrorism doesn't mean we have to ignore a very serious | :09:44. | :09:48. | |
problem. We are lucky. We are lucky women. Have choices and we have | :09:49. | :09:55. | |
independence. Before the elections I went to Rochdale I walked in this | :09:56. | :10:01. | |
area and it seemed as if all Asian women, Muslim women, had been | :10:02. | :10:04. | |
Spirited Away on to some planet that I didn't even know about. They | :10:05. | :10:10. | |
weren't at the hustings or at the meetings. The same thing in Bristol. | :10:11. | :10:19. | |
Male monopoly. East End of London the same thing. . You say a minority | :10:20. | :10:24. | |
of Muslim women might well be oppressed. I don't think the Prime | :10:25. | :10:29. | |
Minister said all, I think he was imself referring to minority. Do we | :10:30. | :10:33. | |
know how big this is minority is? Is it worth doing something about the | :10:34. | :10:38. | |
minority? I think yes, there is worth doing something. It's the way | :10:39. | :10:42. | |
he pitches it. There will be a benefit in doing a literacy scheme. | :10:43. | :10:45. | |
The way he makes it sound is that all Muslim women are ill literate. | :10:46. | :10:48. | |
So that's the problem with the way he's kind of framing it. Putting | :10:49. | :10:51. | |
aside how the Prime Minister framed it, I think Yasmin agrees with on, | :10:52. | :10:55. | |
that is there a problem ta needs to be tackled? I don't know how - what | :10:56. | :11:01. | |
research he's done. I'm sure there is - I'm asking you? From my opinion | :11:02. | :11:05. | |
I think there's a small issue probably. Just a small issue? To be | :11:06. | :11:09. | |
honest with you, he is making it sound like it's Muslim women. If | :11:10. | :11:14. | |
they are in a relationship, maybe it's Muslim men as well - you agree | :11:15. | :11:17. | |
with that. You think the problem is Muslim men? Yeah. They should not | :11:18. | :11:21. | |
have picked on the mums and the women at all. It's not just Muslims? | :11:22. | :11:26. | |
No, but it is mainly Muslims. It doesn't help - The literacy - No, | :11:27. | :11:31. | |
not the literacy. This is what happens. Young women from Bangladesh | :11:32. | :11:36. | |
and Pakistan in parts of India come here to marry. Those young women | :11:37. | :11:40. | |
don't speak English. Now years and years ago I used to teach them | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
English in their homes, in factories, we had a national free | :11:46. | :11:50. | |
scheme here. Where you could go and teach them English. They killed | :11:51. | :11:54. | |
that, big mistake. I feel very strongly that those women, | :11:55. | :11:59. | |
particularly, are closed off, not able to speak English and cannot | :12:00. | :12:03. | |
participate. I'm saying this because I care about them. I'm not | :12:04. | :12:07. | |
demonising them at all. All right. Let us hold these thoughts and we | :12:08. | :12:12. | |
will come back to you. Liz, you have a significant Muslim community in | :12:13. | :12:15. | |
your constituency in Leicester West. Is there a problem of integration, | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
of being able to speak the English language of becoming part of the | :12:20. | :12:24. | |
community? Yes, I mean, I agree with the Prime Minister that it is | :12:25. | :12:27. | |
absolutely vital that people can speak the language in this country, | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
but I think that that applies to men and women and people of all | :12:32. | :12:36. | |
different religions and from all different countries. But the real | :12:37. | :12:40. | |
problem with what the Prime Minister said was he claimed he wasn't making | :12:41. | :12:46. | |
a causal link between not being able to speak English and extremism that | :12:47. | :12:50. | |
is precountriesly what he went on to do. The problem with that is, | :12:51. | :12:53. | |
firstly, it doesn't get to the root cause of why radicalisation is | :12:54. | :12:58. | |
really happening and, secondly, it does alienate the very communities | :12:59. | :13:02. | |
he needs to work with if we are ever going to get to the root causes of | :13:03. | :13:06. | |
the problem. Your reaction Michael? This is rather tragic, all three | :13:07. | :13:10. | |
speakers so far have recognised to various degrees there is a problem | :13:11. | :13:12. | |
and that the Prime Minister was right to talk about a problem. The | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
Prime Minister has done so in such a bad way that the three speakers so | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
far are absolutely against what he said. I would add to that the | :13:21. | :13:25. | |
ridiculous idea that a woman who fails her language test by 0.5 point | :13:26. | :13:31. | |
will find the police car screaming up to her door, dragged away from | :13:32. | :13:36. | |
her children and husband, takenen to the airport -- taken to the airport | :13:37. | :13:39. | |
and deported. Why does the Prime Minister waste his breath and ink in | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
ludicrous statements. It's not going to happen. It's not going to happen. | :13:45. | :13:53. | |
As so often - Why do you think he has made a basic, stupid comment. . | :13:54. | :13:59. | |
He had time to think about it. He has a motormouth, I think. In the | :14:00. | :14:05. | |
United States, the first rule of any immigrant, if you want to get on is | :14:06. | :14:10. | |
you learn to speak English. Even if you're in a Hispanic community. | :14:11. | :14:13. | |
There are more and more in the United States, you need to speak | :14:14. | :14:17. | |
English to get on and become part of that society. That's got to be true | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
for Britain as well? If I could interject. He keeps making these | :14:23. | :14:26. | |
comments about how we should be British. My question is - how come | :14:27. | :14:33. | |
it's harder to get into Disneyland USA than to Raqqa Syria because | :14:34. | :14:37. | |
there is more people going to Isis every week. An Asian family what | :14:38. | :14:42. | |
wanted to go to Disneyland and restrict from going. The Prime | :14:43. | :14:46. | |
Minister didn't give them backing in that case story. I take that. I | :14:47. | :14:50. | |
asked you about a, you are talking about b. I come back to this issue | :14:51. | :14:54. | |
of an immigrant society we become more and more like that over the | :14:55. | :14:58. | |
years. It's been generally welcomed, which would surprise many from the | :14:59. | :15:02. | |
60s and 70s, but if you don't want to be cut off from the mainstream, | :15:03. | :15:06. | |
if you want to get on why would you come here if you didn't want to get | :15:07. | :15:10. | |
on, don't you have to learn English? Who is doing the cutting from the | :15:11. | :15:14. | |
mainstream? The community is alienating the way he is speaking to | :15:15. | :15:24. | |
the community There was more integration from the '60s to the | :15:25. | :15:29. | |
'80s, partly because Muslim men and women had to work. The film East Is | :15:30. | :15:35. | |
East, I've read the booklets in the mosque saying do not mix with the | :15:36. | :15:39. | |
infidels, don't let your children mix with them, it's as if you can | :15:40. | :15:44. | |
live... Is that widespread in Britain? Completely. Because the | :15:45. | :15:52. | |
Wahabi set finances it. The publications paid for by Saudi | :15:53. | :16:01. | |
Arabia. You don't recognise that? I completely disagree, I don't | :16:02. | :16:03. | |
recognise that at all. I'll show you. This is where the Prime | :16:04. | :16:10. | |
Minister was on to something when he mentioned the connection of language | :16:11. | :16:15. | |
and extremism. It's a subtle point, but where people don't use the | :16:16. | :16:20. | |
language, they are naturally alienated and it's a short step from | :16:21. | :16:25. | |
that to victimhood. We had a young man telling us about the victimhood | :16:26. | :16:32. | |
by Muslims on estates and of course if people feel excluded it's easy to | :16:33. | :16:36. | |
inculcate the sense of victimhood and you can take people in many | :16:37. | :16:42. | |
dangerous directions. What do you think? There's something we need to | :16:43. | :16:49. | |
do. It's not always good to be viewing ourselves as the victims and | :16:50. | :16:53. | |
I try not to do that, I don't do that. When David Cameron talks about | :16:54. | :16:58. | |
contradictory terms, so he says women are free to dress how they | :16:59. | :17:01. | |
want but they should take off the vale, I can... He mentioned... We | :17:02. | :17:08. | |
are talking about people who come here, playing the full part in our | :17:09. | :17:13. | |
vote, if they can't speak English and they wear the full vale, I think | :17:14. | :17:20. | |
most people watching this programme will think it's inconceivable they | :17:21. | :17:22. | |
could play a full part in British society. Are we wrong? The people | :17:23. | :17:27. | |
who wear the full vale with well-speaking English people, the | :17:28. | :17:32. | |
people I've come across. Even so, it's a symbol of self-exclusion. | :17:33. | :17:35. | |
This is saying, you cannot see my face, the face is how we | :17:36. | :17:39. | |
communicate, I can see your face and I have seen a school in the mid | :17:40. | :17:47. | |
lands lands -- Midlands where every teenage girl was valed. How can this | :17:48. | :17:53. | |
be right? How is it good for us Muslims to do this to ourselves? | :17:54. | :17:59. | |
That's you will to their choice. Doesn't it limit, because there is a | :18:00. | :18:02. | |
problem with higher rates of unemployment, particularly in the | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
north of England, of Muslims. Doesn't it limit their chances of | :18:07. | :18:10. | |
get ago job? There's probably other factors involved like discrimination | :18:11. | :18:15. | |
as well I would say. In any case, I think I'm right in saying that the | :18:16. | :18:18. | |
Prime Minister raised the vale in the context of public positions held | :18:19. | :18:22. | |
by Muslim women wearing vales, in other words, you know, a judge, a | :18:23. | :18:29. | |
teacher, a social security official, communicating with clients through a | :18:30. | :18:32. | |
vale and he was saying that in those circumstances, he thought it | :18:33. | :18:34. | |
inappropriate. He wasn't suggesting what the French is done, which is | :18:35. | :18:38. | |
banning vales. Thank you both for being with us. | :18:39. | :18:42. | |
Now it's late, Crispin Blunt on Poppers late. | :18:43. | :18:45. | |
But don't go sniffing the Blue Nun fumes just yet. | :18:46. | :18:49. | |
Because waiting in the wings, writer director Adam McKay | :18:50. | :18:52. | |
is here to talk about his Oscar-nominated movie The Big Short, | :18:53. | :18:56. | |
and the politics of the financial crash. | :18:57. | :18:58. | |
And don't forget we are still going belly-up in the social media | :18:59. | :19:02. | |
meltdown on The Twitter, The Fleecebook, The Friends Reunited | :19:03. | :19:05. | |
and Gordon Brown's world wide web sphere. | :19:06. | :19:11. | |
Now, the all-conquering success of This Week still manages | :19:12. | :19:15. | |
How does a programme with almost no budget consistently | :19:16. | :19:21. | |
defeat all its rivals with such consummate ease? | :19:22. | :19:24. | |
Well, the secret's all in the high-producution values. | :19:25. | :19:28. | |
And the fact that we bribe Question Time, and Today, | :19:29. | :19:31. | |
and The Andrew Marr Show to be just a little bit more rubbish | :19:32. | :19:35. | |
Newsnight doesn't really need a bribe - obviously. | :19:36. | :19:40. | |
And so with backhanders being exchanged everywhere, | :19:41. | :19:44. | |
we decided to do what everyone does in mid-January, | :19:45. | :19:46. | |
and play a game of rigged tennis in the freezing cold. | :19:47. | :19:49. | |
We turned to broadcaster and former tennis pro, | :19:50. | :19:51. | |
This is her Round-up of the political week. | :19:52. | :20:13. | |
# Well, you're the real tough cookie with the long history. | :20:14. | :20:17. | |
# Of breaking little hearts...#. | :20:18. | :20:19. | |
What many people don't know about me is that back in the day, | :20:20. | :20:32. | |
long before the political journalism got in the way, I used to be a bit | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
So when This Week said they were looking for someone to rig | :20:37. | :20:41. | |
the round-up I thought - absolutely, why not. | :20:42. | :20:46. | |
Let's get you back out there and see if you've still got it. | :20:47. | :21:04. | |
Luckily, I didn't bet on the election. | :21:05. | :21:17. | |
If I believed what the pollsters had to say, I'd have lost a fortune. | :21:18. | :21:21. | |
A review of where they went so wrong was published this week and it turns | :21:22. | :21:24. | |
They had too many Labour voters in them and too few | :21:25. | :21:30. | |
It turns out that if Conservative voters had just answered | :21:31. | :21:41. | |
their phones, then the pollsters wouldn't have had Labour | :21:42. | :21:43. | |
and the Tories consistently neck and neck. | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
The question is - did the polls affect the outcome of the election? | :21:48. | :21:51. | |
# Why don't you hit me with your best shot...#. | :21:52. | :21:59. | |
But they did mean that we all obsessed over whether Labour's | :22:00. | :22:02. | |
double partner would be the SNP or not. | :22:03. | :22:05. | |
The next test for the pollsters will be predicting the outcome | :22:06. | :22:07. | |
If they get that wrong, they may not be allowed back | :22:08. | :22:11. | |
Talking of not getting the ball over the net, | :22:12. | :22:16. | |
Labour's former Foreign Secretary, Margaret Beckett, stepped back | :22:17. | :22:20. | |
on to Centre Court this week to explain why Ed Miliband didn't | :22:21. | :22:23. | |
It turns out it wasn't just his weak backhand. | :22:24. | :22:29. | |
The task we had was to try and convince people | :22:30. | :22:33. | |
that they could trust us, particularly with the economy | :22:34. | :22:37. | |
and to deal with issues that the Conservatives had made | :22:38. | :22:41. | |
issues of division between people like welfare and immigration, | :22:42. | :22:45. | |
As one Labour MP succinctly put it - blame the media, blame the polls, | :22:46. | :22:51. | |
blame the Tories, everyone's fault but ours. | :22:52. | :22:54. | |
Frankly, the Labour Party just served too many double faults. | :22:55. | :23:03. | |
Fundamentally, it came down to the economy and leadership. | :23:04. | :23:05. | |
Voters didn't think that Ed Miliband would make a good leader | :23:06. | :23:08. | |
and they didn't trust him on the economy. | :23:09. | :23:10. | |
And if the party doesn't change its game plan, | :23:11. | :23:12. | |
there's little chance that wildcard Jeremy Corbyn will win | :23:13. | :23:15. | |
# I'm on the edge of glory and I'm hanging on a moment of truth. | :23:16. | :23:24. | |
# I'm on the edge of glory and I'm hanging on a moment with you. | :23:25. | :23:31. | |
# I'm on the edge, the edge, the edge, the edge, the edge, | :23:32. | :23:36. | |
The global economy looks gloomy and the markets are in turmoil | :23:37. | :23:43. | |
thanks to a slide in oil prices and slow growth in China and that | :23:44. | :23:46. | |
has led to a change of tactics by the governor of | :23:47. | :23:49. | |
Now is not yet the time to raise interest rates. | :23:50. | :23:55. | |
This wasn't a surprise to market participants | :23:56. | :23:58. | |
But it may come as a surprise to those who heard him say, | :23:59. | :24:04. | |
just six months ago, that we should expect a rate | :24:05. | :24:06. | |
The PM has made his annual trip to the ski slopes, | :24:07. | :24:11. | |
rubbing shoulders with the global elites at Davos, he's been | :24:12. | :24:14. | |
using his best topspin to encourage business leaders to get | :24:15. | :24:17. | |
behind his EU renegotiation strategy. | :24:18. | :24:20. | |
I think it would be good for Europe and good for Britain | :24:21. | :24:23. | |
if we demonstrated that we can turn the goodwill that there | :24:24. | :24:26. | |
is into the actions that are necessary to put this | :24:27. | :24:28. | |
Come on, Julia, let's come up to the net now. | :24:29. | :24:33. | |
There'll be a lot of new faces on the international circuit next | :24:34. | :24:38. | |
year, one of them could be the man that we all love to hate - | :24:39. | :24:42. | |
The Republican presidential contender infuriated, | :24:43. | :24:44. | |
well, most of us with his call for a ban on all Muslims entering | :24:45. | :24:47. | |
Over half a million people signed a petition in protest | :24:48. | :24:53. | |
at Donald Trump and MPs were granted a debate in Parliament to decide | :24:54. | :24:56. | |
whether or not to ban Trump from coming to Britain. | :24:57. | :24:58. | |
Donald Trump is no more than a demagogue. | :24:59. | :25:09. | |
I'm here to support the next President of the United States, | :25:10. | :25:23. | |
So Donald Trump has the support of someone even crazier than him, | :25:24. | :25:28. | |
When it comes to self-promoting egomaniacs, Sarah Palin has | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
True, she'll bring him right-wing support, but what's | :25:34. | :25:39. | |
he promised in return - Secretary of State Palin? | :25:40. | :25:41. | |
Enough's enough's, I don't think I'm going to give up the day | :25:42. | :25:50. | |
Um, strictly expenses you understand, absolutely no | :25:51. | :25:56. | |
Practise makes perfect! Kind of. Michael, this huge collapse in the | :25:57. | :26:14. | |
markets at the moment and all the major Stock Exchanges from the FTSE | :26:15. | :26:20. | |
to the Dow, the FTSE down 20% compared to the peak, the DOW | :26:21. | :26:25. | |
collapsed as well. Here is the most difficult question of all, is this a | :26:26. | :26:33. | |
major correction or is a harbinger of a serious downturn in the | :26:34. | :26:37. | |
economy? My guess would be the latter. I think there are so many | :26:38. | :26:43. | |
people now saying that they want to get out of equities that the sheer | :26:44. | :26:48. | |
force of numbers probably will have an impact on the markets, a very big | :26:49. | :26:56. | |
impact before long. Then we'll two back into the usual recovery phase. | :26:57. | :27:01. | |
But quite a lot of people are out there in quite exposed positions. | :27:02. | :27:05. | |
There's still an awful lot of debt. Thinking about this country, of | :27:06. | :27:09. | |
course, you know, a lot of people because we have such low interest | :27:10. | :27:12. | |
rates have not corrected their debt positions. They may have been | :27:13. | :27:17. | |
encouraged into greater exposure than before so this can be very | :27:18. | :27:21. | |
painful, not just for people who own shares and pot just for people who | :27:22. | :27:25. | |
have pension funds or are drawing pensions. I think the other thing | :27:26. | :27:29. | |
worrying the markets is that if we were to tilt, by that I mean the | :27:30. | :27:33. | |
Western economies back into recession, it's not clear now what | :27:34. | :27:36. | |
the weapons would be to fight it because interest rates are still | :27:37. | :27:42. | |
incredibly low, quantitative easing is still out there, fiscal deficits | :27:43. | :27:50. | |
are still very high. Where are the economic tools to use if we do go | :27:51. | :27:55. | |
back. I think that that is one of the reasons why there is such | :27:56. | :27:59. | |
volatility in the markets. It's not simply what is happening in China or | :28:00. | :28:03. | |
with the oil, but the markets understand that. I think the | :28:04. | :28:10. | |
challenge for us in the UK is whether we are best prepared as we | :28:11. | :28:15. | |
should be for what might come. I am concerned that we do still have some | :28:16. | :28:19. | |
underlying weaknesses and imbalances in the economy and that if the ship | :28:20. | :28:24. | |
is weakly built, it's not going to be able to weather the storm. That I | :28:25. | :28:27. | |
think is the challenge when we come to the budget later on this year. We | :28:28. | :28:32. | |
are so used to talking of austerity loosely because I think broadly | :28:33. | :28:35. | |
speaking there hasn't been all that much austerity that, we don't | :28:36. | :28:38. | |
recognise that we have been in a growth phase for quite a long period | :28:39. | :28:42. | |
of time. In other words, what you would normally expect by now is that | :28:43. | :28:45. | |
you would be going back into a downturn, so, it really isn't all | :28:46. | :28:49. | |
that surprising. The other real factor, the markets have lost | :28:50. | :28:53. | |
confidence in the Central Bank authorities of China, which | :28:54. | :28:57. | |
mishandled the valuation of the Fed which raised rates and that was the | :28:58. | :29:02. | |
wrong thing to do. Governor Carney seems to change every time he makes | :29:03. | :29:12. | |
a speech. The EU now, and Brexit or not, do you think the support of big | :29:13. | :29:17. | |
business mike Goldman Sachs which is going to step in to help in the | :29:18. | :29:21. | |
campaign, does that help or hinder Mr Cameron in his bid to keep us in | :29:22. | :29:23. | |
the EU? I think almost the best prospect for | :29:24. | :29:33. | |
the out vote succeeding is if the British people get the idea that | :29:34. | :29:36. | |
there is a conspiracy of establishment thes. If all the | :29:37. | :29:43. | |
political parties and the major newspapers and the CBI and, dare I | :29:44. | :29:47. | |
say it, the BBC and now the banks, if they are all on the same side, | :29:48. | :29:53. | |
then Joe Public may say - if it's good for all those people it may not | :29:54. | :29:59. | |
be good for me. It may make people suspicion. Where the establishment | :30:00. | :30:02. | |
has a position it becomes pretty clear to the public where they have | :30:03. | :30:06. | |
to aim if they want to kick the establishment very hard. We have | :30:07. | :30:13. | |
seen that in continental Europe. The Swedish ref to Jiang r join the | :30:14. | :30:18. | |
euro. Their equivalent of the TUC were in favour of it, the Social | :30:19. | :30:23. | |
Democrats were in favour of it and big business was in favour of it and | :30:24. | :30:29. | |
the people voted against it? Yes we need insurgent i in the "in" | :30:30. | :30:33. | |
campaign and think more about small businesses. There is a big desire | :30:34. | :30:38. | |
amongst climate change and green groups. We need to give it a bit of | :30:39. | :30:44. | |
energy and that is what I know certainly Allen Johnson is termed to | :30:45. | :30:50. | |
do with the Labour In For Britain can Campaign. I don't get the | :30:51. | :30:54. | |
impression that Theresa May or Boris Johnson will jump ship and join the | :30:55. | :31:00. | |
"Out" campaign. The biggest name to join from the Cabinet will be Iain | :31:01. | :31:03. | |
Duncan Smith? That would certainly be a pity. You may be right, I think | :31:04. | :31:08. | |
it's not a foregone conclusion. The Prime Minister and, I wouldn't put | :31:09. | :31:11. | |
too much weight on this, has again been talking about the possibility | :31:12. | :31:15. | |
of the referendum not being in June but at a later date. It's difficult | :31:16. | :31:20. | |
to know what is going to happen. If it looked as though t leafers had a | :31:21. | :31:27. | |
chance the leadership candidates might change their position. It's a | :31:28. | :31:30. | |
joke to call them leadership candidates when what we are talking | :31:31. | :31:36. | |
about here is followership. Labour report by Margaret Beckett. Would it | :31:37. | :31:40. | |
be unfair, Liz, to say it wasn't the most revealing report I've ever read | :31:41. | :31:45. | |
on why Labour lost? It's good it has come out. Some of us were pushing | :31:46. | :31:49. | |
for it to be published. Was there a chance it might not have been A at | :31:50. | :31:52. | |
one stage I wasn't sure it would come out. It was raised in the | :31:53. | :32:01. | |
parliament Labour Party. It reminds me of Orwell's comment - to see what | :32:02. | :32:07. | |
is in front of one's nose requires a constant struggle and sooner or | :32:08. | :32:13. | |
later a false belief bumps you up against a solid reality." All of us | :32:14. | :32:19. | |
on the doorstep knew people didn't trust us on economy, leadership and | :32:20. | :32:22. | |
concerns about welfare and immigration. We can blame the | :32:23. | :32:29. | |
pollsters, media, and the SNP we need to look at ourselves and what | :32:30. | :32:33. | |
the public really think about us if we are going to have a hope in hell | :32:34. | :32:39. | |
of winning in It was soft 2020. On Ex Machina did he nobble Margaret | :32:40. | :32:45. | |
Beckett? He wouldn't have done that. No In the end the Labour takes | :32:46. | :32:49. | |
responsibility for the strategy and direction of travel of the party. | :32:50. | :32:52. | |
All of us is have a big responsibility. I don't think we did | :32:53. | :32:55. | |
the serious thinking over the last five to eight years about who we are | :32:56. | :32:58. | |
and what we stand for in the modern world. We are - It's a problem of | :32:59. | :33:04. | |
centre left parties throughout Europe? It's a cliche we remain an | :33:05. | :33:11. | |
industrial parties in a post-industrial age. We believe we | :33:12. | :33:15. | |
can pull the levers of the state and make things happen. That is not how | :33:16. | :33:22. | |
the world works any more. My prize for deep thinking this week goes to | :33:23. | :33:26. | |
the analysis of why the pollsters got it wrong - they asked too many | :33:27. | :33:33. | |
Labour voters, how did that lap? Their methodology appears very | :33:34. | :33:35. | |
wrong. What is quite sinister, I mean, it really is a terrible | :33:36. | :33:40. | |
deception of the public it has real consequences in the way that | :33:41. | :33:44. | |
pollsters bunch. They herded? They herded. If one of them, as it turns | :33:45. | :33:52. | |
out, gets it right they start correcting and adjusting their own | :33:53. | :33:54. | |
figures so they align themselves with the herd. In this case actually | :33:55. | :34:00. | |
what we are seeing is not a not accurate. In some cases it isn't | :34:01. | :34:05. | |
honest. In some ways distorts. I think if the poll had been accurate | :34:06. | :34:09. | |
rather than inaccurate during the campaign the way the media covered | :34:10. | :34:12. | |
the campaign would have been different. Yes. The way the Labour | :34:13. | :34:15. | |
Party fought the campaign, if they thought they were behind and | :34:16. | :34:19. | |
struggling, it would have changed the way they voted. And some of the | :34:20. | :34:24. | |
things promised wouldn't have been promised. Of course. The pollsters | :34:25. | :34:30. | |
of Ex Machina in Nicola Sturgeon's pocket, it was powerful and happened | :34:31. | :34:34. | |
at the end. Those last-minute things, important though they are | :34:35. | :34:42. | |
didn't affect the underlining fundamentals. Even thoep the polls | :34:43. | :34:47. | |
may have had an impact towards the end I think - The trends were | :34:48. | :34:51. | |
against you. There is a lesson for people like me. If you see that a | :34:52. | :34:55. | |
party is ahead in the leadership and ahead on the economy, and you still | :34:56. | :34:59. | |
believe the polls they are going to lose the election you need to | :35:00. | :35:02. | |
question that a bit more. OK. Thank you for that. | :35:03. | :35:07. | |
Now, the Labour Party published a report this week into why it lost | :35:08. | :35:10. | |
According to author Margaret Beckett, the Tories - | :35:11. | :35:13. | |
ably assisted by their Lib Dem coalition partners - | :35:14. | :35:15. | |
"assiduously fostered the myth that financial institutions had been | :35:16. | :35:18. | |
brought to their knees by the overspending of a profligate | :35:19. | :35:20. | |
Well, if you believe that you deserve whatever | :35:21. | :35:23. | |
Whatever, it was certainly an effective strategy, | :35:24. | :35:26. | |
putting the blame on politicians rather than the financial system. | :35:27. | :35:29. | |
But does that mean the real causes of the crash are still being | :35:30. | :35:34. | |
ignored, setting us up for a fall yet again? | :35:35. | :35:37. | |
We're concerned and that's why we're putting the financial crash | :35:38. | :35:39. | |
With markets on the slide round the world, some people | :35:40. | :35:56. | |
are worried we could face another financial crash like 2008. | :35:57. | :36:00. | |
Perfect time then for a movie that shines a light on what went so badly | :36:01. | :36:04. | |
I'm sure the world's banks have more incentives agreed. | :36:05. | :36:09. | |
The Big Short tells the story of the men who went | :36:10. | :36:14. | |
against the economic grain and predicted the bubble would burst | :36:15. | :36:16. | |
Eccentric characters who understood what collateralised debt obligations | :36:17. | :36:21. | |
were and how the credit default swap market worked and thyen bet | :36:22. | :36:26. | |
against them when everyone else was looking the other way. | :36:27. | :36:29. | |
If you're wrong, you could lose it all. | :36:30. | :36:34. | |
The banks defrauded the American people. | :36:35. | :36:37. | |
The film was based on the best-selling book by Michael | :36:38. | :36:43. | |
Adam McKay, known for Hollywood comedies such as Anchor Man, | :36:44. | :36:46. | |
wrote the screen play and directed the movie, | :36:47. | :36:48. | |
turning the complex world of high finance and subprime mortgages | :36:49. | :36:51. | |
into a whip smart blockbuster, gaining a bucket load of Oscar | :36:52. | :36:55. | |
and Bafta nominations in the process. | :36:56. | :36:57. | |
Do you have any idea what you just did? | :36:58. | :37:00. | |
The American economy. Scenes from The Big Short. We are joined by its | :37:01. | :37:13. | |
director and writer, Adam McKay. Welcome to the programme. | :37:14. | :37:17. | |
Congratulations on the movie, nominated part of the Oscar | :37:18. | :37:21. | |
nominations. Let me ask you this, what possessed you to make a movie | :37:22. | :37:29. | |
about credit default swaps and collateralised debt obligation? How | :37:30. | :37:32. | |
did that pitch go down in Hollywood? It's funny much I read the book. | :37:33. | :37:36. | |
Michael Lewis is a recognise of a writer. I read the book in one | :37:37. | :37:41. | |
night. Picked it up at 9.00pm. My wife was like, "what are you | :37:42. | :37:45. | |
reading?" I said, "I will check this out" I was up to 6.00am. A great | :37:46. | :37:52. | |
combination of compelling characters and salient information. I had never | :37:53. | :37:55. | |
seen that combination before. You wrote the screenplay? Yes. Did you | :37:56. | :38:02. | |
have to do a quick read on the financial instruments and financial | :38:03. | :38:06. | |
markets? I did. You know, as friends of mine will tell you, I tend to be | :38:07. | :38:11. | |
a bit obsessive. I started reading a lot of books and a lot of websites | :38:12. | :38:18. | |
and we had a great consultant on our movie, Adam Davidson, a financial | :38:19. | :38:22. | |
journalist. I just went through a crash course in economics and | :38:23. | :38:27. | |
finance. Crash course, get it! Exactly! A stable course - I should | :38:28. | :38:33. | |
have said. But, yeah, I learned a lot in a very short amount of time | :38:34. | :38:38. | |
and the big thing was to crack the jargon. The big thing the banks do, | :38:39. | :38:42. | |
they throw a lot of jargon at you to separate the people from the wheels | :38:43. | :38:46. | |
of power. I really wanted to make it so that working people could see | :38:47. | :38:49. | |
this movie and understand what really happened. Didn't it happen | :38:50. | :38:52. | |
that they didn't understand their own jargon? They actually bought | :38:53. | :38:58. | |
into their own Li to some degree. They definitely lost track of the | :38:59. | :39:02. | |
con or the fraud, if you will, because it got so big and | :39:03. | :39:06. | |
profitable, which often happens. No, they knew their own jargon - Some of | :39:07. | :39:11. | |
the bosses didn't. The Chief Executive of RBS, which was almost | :39:12. | :39:15. | |
destroyed, he told me, six months before, he didn't really know what | :39:16. | :39:22. | |
it was? They didn't want to know. It was Triple-A. It didn't count as | :39:23. | :39:26. | |
debt on their books. How convenient is that? It would be like my scale | :39:27. | :39:31. | |
was broken. It was telling me every morning I weighed 180llbs. I | :39:32. | :39:35. | |
wouldn't look to fix it. It was a certain - I've got that scale too! | :39:36. | :39:43. | |
Can I borrow it? Yes, can you have it for the week? The incentives got | :39:44. | :39:48. | |
turned upside down. There was a degree of stupidity. A degree of | :39:49. | :39:55. | |
fraud. I think the ratings agencies were really culpable and the media, | :39:56. | :39:58. | |
in the US, really missed the ball on this one as well. Michael Lewis | :39:59. | :40:04. | |
makes that in an interview in Britain this week, that financial | :40:05. | :40:07. | |
journalism, people whole knew more about it, until you started to do | :40:08. | :40:11. | |
your homework, knew more than you. They never got this? They never saw | :40:12. | :40:15. | |
this? It's funny. We have a scene in the movie where a couple of main | :40:16. | :40:19. | |
characters go to the Wall Street Journal and say it's going on. The | :40:20. | :40:24. | |
Wall Street Journal goes - get out of here. Some people from the Wall | :40:25. | :40:27. | |
Street Journal were annoyed by this. They say, the truth is the guys came | :40:28. | :40:31. | |
to you three times thech went to the New York Times, they went to a bunch | :40:32. | :40:37. | |
other outlets they tried to tell me the Wall Street Jourpal. They said - | :40:38. | :40:42. | |
we knew there was a housing bubble. I said, did you know there were CDOs | :40:43. | :40:48. | |
and a contagion? There was a long pause and a no. I said it never | :40:49. | :40:52. | |
occurred to you that the market was that big that you couldn't look into | :40:53. | :40:57. | |
it? Could something similar happen again? What is that? Could something | :40:58. | :41:01. | |
similar happen again? I don't think it will be exactly the way we saw it | :41:02. | :41:06. | |
go down. It never is? No, I don't think it's about the housing market. | :41:07. | :41:11. | |
I think that blindness that is led by greed and profits the orderly | :41:12. | :41:15. | |
system, right now, you guys were talking about it with China and oil | :41:16. | :41:19. | |
where it's at, it could happen from any other kind of thing. Do you | :41:20. | :41:22. | |
think the banks are too billing big to fail? No question. No question. | :41:23. | :41:27. | |
They are so much bigger. In the US five banks control more than 50% of | :41:28. | :41:32. | |
the entire banking industry. That is incredibly dangerous. There is a a | :41:33. | :41:37. | |
lot of junk debt around in the energy sector at the moment. A lot | :41:38. | :41:44. | |
of areas where you could see something happening again. The group | :41:45. | :41:51. | |
who saw what was happening and no-one believed them, they are | :41:52. | :41:59. | |
outside the mainstream they were not what you think of the tie ans of | :42:00. | :42:05. | |
Wall Street? No they were strange guys. That is why they could see it. | :42:06. | :42:08. | |
The reality was - everything is great. Home prices will always go | :42:09. | :42:15. | |
up. I was m LA, everyone thought - it's the way it was. Christian | :42:16. | :42:31. | |
Bale's character would read numbers. He was immune to popular culture. | :42:32. | :42:35. | |
That is how he saw it. He was really the first guy to see it before | :42:36. | :42:40. | |
anyone else. It's now, seven years since the epicentre of the crash. I | :42:41. | :42:47. | |
would suggest that there is still a lot of anger about it? Oh, yeah. | :42:48. | :42:52. | |
From the United States perspective, Donald Trump. He reflects it. Bernie | :42:53. | :43:00. | |
Sanders? A rational version of anger. Donald Trump is a punch a | :43:01. | :43:04. | |
hole-in-the-wall type of anger. It makes no sense. No-one knows why | :43:05. | :43:08. | |
they are supporting him. That anger comes from the fact that the | :43:09. | :43:13. | |
recovery in the US, the wages have been flat for 98% of the public and | :43:14. | :43:19. | |
for the top 1%, 2% there has been an up tick. That is not healthy. It's | :43:20. | :43:24. | |
never good for an economy. You don't want income inequality. Ied middle | :43:25. | :43:28. | |
America feels let down these days? Absolutely. It will feel even more | :43:29. | :43:33. | |
let down when they say your movie. It has an Oscar nominations. I can | :43:34. | :43:41. | |
ensure you that the bear markets are more interesting than a bear! You | :43:42. | :43:44. | |
have been waiting all evening for that one. That was nice. Good luck | :43:45. | :43:49. | |
at the Oscars. My absolute pleasure. Thank you for having me. | :43:50. | :43:56. | |
That's your lot for tonight folks, but not for us because it's | :43:57. | :43:59. | |
match-fixing night at Lou Lou's and Michael and Liz have been bribed | :44:00. | :44:02. | |
to throw some shapes on the dance floor. | :44:03. | :44:04. | |
But we leave you tonight with the gift that keeps on giving - | :44:05. | :44:07. | |
after the Labour Party were sent into an administrative frenzy this | :44:08. | :44:10. | |
week, desperate to find the sales invoice for the infamous 'EdStone'. | :44:11. | :44:15. | |
The party urgently needed to supply details of its cost | :44:16. | :44:19. | |
to the Electoral Commission and today it was revealed they spent | :44:20. | :44:22. | |
around ?8,000 on the two-tonne slab of limestone that sunk | :44:23. | :44:25. | |
That's only ?7,400 more than they spent | :44:26. | :44:32. | |
Nighty night, don't let the joke that never gets old bite. | :44:33. | :44:50. | |
Our pledges form the basis of our plan for working people. . These six | :44:51. | :44:57. | |
pledges are now carved in stone. They're carved in stone because they | :44:58. | :45:01. | |
won't be abandoned after the general election. I want the British people | :45:02. | :45:07. | |
to remember these pledges because I want the British people to be in no | :45:08. | :45:12. | |
doubt - we will deliver them. Thank you very much. | :45:13. | :45:16. | |
APPLAUSE. I want to try him on a bottle | :45:17. | :45:32. | |
of formula. Please, Sister. MUSIC: Take Good Care Of My Baby | :45:33. | :45:33. | |
by Bobby Vee I ain't getting in the red for | :45:34. | :45:34. | |
a pram. You've got to try harder. | :45:35. | :45:38. |