09/06/2016 This Week


09/06/2016

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# This is the self-preservation society.#

:00:07.:00:09.

Whatever you think about our mates across the

:00:10.:00:19.

Channel, gold bullion expert Martin Lewis tells us why

:00:20.:00:21.

Wait till you see those Italian birds.

:00:22.:00:26.

So, what will happen if we leave the EU?

:00:27.:00:31.

Masterminding the job on the outside, Quentin Letts looks at

:00:32.:00:37.

the Downing Street self-preservation society.

:00:38.:00:40.

I want Charlie Croker given a good going over.

:00:41.:00:43.

Cameron, Farage and Cohen had a bit of a bumpy ride

:00:44.:00:46.

this week when they ran into that unyielding force, the voter.

:00:47.:00:49.

Does Mr Bridger think he can take over Europe?

:00:50.:00:53.

Film-maker Michael Moore has been touring the Continent trying to

:00:54.:00:56.

find bits of European culture worth nicking.

:00:57.:00:57.

Oi, shut that bloody water cannon off.

:00:58.:01:05.

And he likes a bit of confrontation, our Jerry Springer,

:01:06.:01:08.

but if Hillary and Donald were slugging it out in his studio,

:01:09.:01:11.

Never mind separating those two, I am making a getaway before Michael

:01:12.:01:27.

and Liz have at each other on This Week.

:01:28.:01:27.

You're only supposed to blow the bloody doors off.

:01:28.:01:34.

This is a foreign job to help with this

:01:35.:01:41.

# This is the self-preservation society...#

:01:42.:01:56.

Welcome to This Week, the bewildered little Japanese boy

:01:57.:02:00.

of British broadcasting, stranded in the scary forest

:02:01.:02:03.

that is BBC current affairs, abandoned for lost by cruel

:02:04.:02:07.

schedulers who know no mercy and seem to have no concept of time.

:02:08.:02:12.

And yet you have stumbled upon us, despite BBC Yentobs'

:02:13.:02:15.

And you find us watching the clock, because the midnight hour

:02:16.:02:21.

approaches, and if you haven't yet registered to vote in the upcoming

:02:22.:02:24.

referendum, you quite literally have only minutes to spare.

:02:25.:02:30.

As of 11:59pm, the Government's registration website will

:02:31.:02:32.

self-destruct, and your democratic disenfranchisement will be

:02:33.:02:36.

Of course, the deadline was supposed to be two nights ago,

:02:37.:02:42.

but the website crashed before it could officially implode,

:02:43.:02:46.

after a post-pub plebiscite surge overwhelmed the ZX81 motherboard

:02:47.:02:50.

Conspiracy theories now swirl, and the more wild-eyed Brexiteers

:02:51.:02:57.

smell a stitch-up and a cover-up rather than a cock-up,

:02:58.:03:01.

claiming the decision to extend the deadline was not simply

:03:02.:03:04.

because the website crashed, but because the Government wants

:03:05.:03:07.

more Remain supporters to sign up, so officials engineered it.

:03:08.:03:13.

Those who think that are poor, deluded souls.

:03:14.:03:15.

If you think Whitehall has the skill or expertise to organise the crash

:03:16.:03:19.

of an official website, then you clearly have no idea how

:03:20.:03:23.

useless all governments are when it comes to all matters digital.

:03:24.:03:29.

Most of the time they can barely keep their websites

:03:30.:03:31.

The idea they're clever enough to cause a crash can only mean

:03:32.:03:35.

you've hit the Blue Nun even earlier than usual.

:03:36.:03:41.

Speaking of those who couldn't tell their digital servers

:03:42.:03:43.

from their butlers, I'm joined on the sofa tonight

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by two unacceptable faces of modern Britain.

:03:46.:03:47.

Think of them as the Sports Direct and the Sports Illustrated Swimsuit

:03:48.:03:51.

I speak, of course, of #fourpercent Liz "Miserables" Kendall and Michael

:03:52.:03:59.

"Leopard-Print Budgie Smugglers" Portillo.

:04:00.:04:09.

Your moment of the week? The selection of Hillary Clinton as the

:04:10.:04:15.

Democratic candidate because it makes it possible for there to be a

:04:16.:04:22.

woman President. I was struck by a parallel with Margaret Thatcher,

:04:23.:04:25.

immediately people saying how many young women dislike the candidate.

:04:26.:04:29.

It also struck me that perhaps the parallel in America would be more

:04:30.:04:32.

like Mrs Blair running for the presidency because of the baggage

:04:33.:04:36.

she carries from her husband, President Clinton. In any case, the

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United States puts itself in a position possibly in 2016 to do what

:04:42.:04:47.

we achieved in 1979, have a woman on top. And what India achieved many

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years before that. Snap, the same moment. There have been 56

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presidential elections, 33 before women even had the vote this is the

:04:59.:05:01.

first time either major party has had a woman. Because Hillary Clinton

:05:02.:05:06.

has been around for so long, I think we underestimate what a huge

:05:07.:05:11.

achievement this has been. It has not quite made the headlines you

:05:12.:05:16.

would think. It should do. For me, it is not just because she is a

:05:17.:05:19.

woman but because she fights for women. Having a woman who is a proud

:05:20.:05:27.

feminist as well as the presidential candidate I think will be

:05:28.:05:30.

inspirational to women. And look at what she has been through. If any of

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us had been through that in our professional and private lives...

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Married to Bill? Exactly. She comes back, never gives up, relentless,

:05:42.:05:44.

and I hope she sucks it to Donald Trump. -- socks.

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Decision time will soon be upon us, and the big question remains

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the same - whose campaign party should the This Week team attend

:05:56.:05:58.

After all, we're not on air that night, so we can parteee!

:05:59.:06:02.

Leave.EU are providing free champagne right through to 6am.

:06:03.:06:06.

Stronger In Europe have promised an exclusive rendition of Ode To Joy

:06:07.:06:09.

from the Kinnock Family Singers, plus Liz Kendall on spoons

:06:10.:06:11.

But the rest of you still have to think about the issues and then

:06:12.:06:17.

We turned to a man who thinks he can help,

:06:18.:06:22.

Here's his referendum take of the week.

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All week, politicians have been on TV

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Spin and spiel, it's black, it's white.

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But in the biggest question everyone's asking me,

:06:49.:06:54.

what will happen if we leave, the truth is, there are no facts.

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Anyone who tells you they know what will happen is a liar.

:06:59.:07:10.

This is actually a very finely balanced decision.

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And politicians would be more believable if they admitted that.

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For me, what we need to do is a risk assessment.

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The EU is unquestionably distant, only vaguely accountable,

:07:26.:07:28.

inefficient and out of sync with much of the population.

:07:29.:07:35.

Though were it more democratic, many would then argue it

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But if we leave, well, look at the UK.

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We have an unelected legislature in the form of the Lords,

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only 37% of people voted for our government and the truth

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is that we, too, are run by civil servants.

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But at least here there is genuine political oversight.

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Certainly, if we leave the EU we will have full control

:08:00.:08:05.

over our own borders, but there is still a risk.

:08:06.:08:07.

It's possible that as a term of a future trade deal

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with our EU partners, they demand we sign up

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And if we take it, that means we are in the same boat as now

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Now, it's certainly riskier to leave than to stay,

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but I mean risk in its true sense, as as it of variance,

:08:29.:08:31.

We could leave and be a nimble tiger economy,

:08:32.:08:36.

unfettered by the EU, all we could be languishing on the

:08:37.:08:39.

Most independent experts do say leaving is likely to be detrimental,

:08:40.:08:46.

And I'm biased towards that opinion, too.

:08:47.:08:50.

the EU, or we could be languishing on the sidelines after a bitter It's

:08:51.:08:59.

But that doesn't mean it will happen. It's just a measure of

:09:00.:09:03.

chance. And from the Big Sky

:09:04.:09:05.

studios in Kings Cross to our little This Week studio

:09:06.:09:07.

here in Westminster, It's only controversial

:09:08.:09:09.

Ukip suspendee and thorn Welcome back. You say there are no

:09:10.:09:25.

hard facts and no one can predict what will happen to the economy,

:09:26.:09:29.

many trying to make out they can. Can't tell what will happen to house

:09:30.:09:35.

prices. But you say a vote for Brexit is unquestionably

:09:36.:09:40.

economically riskier. Why? Risk in its genuine sense. Whisk in

:09:41.:09:43.

financial terms can be a good thing because people hope for a good

:09:44.:09:47.

reward, but at a chance they will lose out. -- risk. It could work for

:09:48.:09:54.

us, it could not. My summary is, if you are not willing to take the risk

:09:55.:09:57.

that things could get worse, you should vote to stay in. If you are

:09:58.:10:01.

willing to take the risk that things could get worse in the hope that

:10:02.:10:05.

they will get better, you should probably vote out. But risk is not a

:10:06.:10:11.

bad thing in the true sense. It is a measure of variance. Of course, the

:10:12.:10:15.

future is not certain if we stay in, but it is more uncertain if we

:10:16.:10:20.

leave. It is like putting money in a savings account or a hedge fund.

:10:21.:10:27.

Exactly. The EU is mired in troubles at the moment, particularly the

:10:28.:10:32.

eurozone. So there could be risks of staying in, to. There are certainly

:10:33.:10:39.

risks of staying in. No question. But in terms of what we know will

:10:40.:10:44.

happen, there is more stability. It is interesting, you watch the debate

:10:45.:10:47.

and people talk about the pound dropping after a Brexit vote. Of

:10:48.:10:53.

course, because the Brexit vote is uncertain and markets hate

:10:54.:10:56.

uncertainty. We don't know whether that would be a short-term shock on

:10:57.:11:00.

the back of big change, or whether it would be a much longer economic

:11:01.:11:03.

downturn, which is what many experts are predicting. I think probably in

:11:04.:11:09.

short and medium term we would have real negatives. I suspect longer

:11:10.:11:14.

term it would be back deck Willoughby, in 25 years. It is

:11:15.:11:17.

difficult to call, but I do not think anyone -- I do not want anyone

:11:18.:11:23.

to think I am saying that I know. You would expect the pound to be

:11:24.:11:27.

weak if the Prime Minister and Chancellor are running down our

:11:28.:11:32.

prospects. Although it is higher than it was when the referendum was

:11:33.:11:36.

called. But you have other issues affecting the pound. I watched the

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debate tonight, and what really annoyed me was that on every

:11:43.:11:47.

question from every member of the audience, the Remain campaigners

:11:48.:11:51.

made out that the question, whether immigration, sovereignty or the

:11:52.:11:54.

economy, they made out at staying in the EU was good on that subject and

:11:55.:11:58.

the Leave campaigners made out that leaving would be good. The truth is

:11:59.:12:02.

we know some things are good and some are bad and you need to weigh

:12:03.:12:06.

them up, which is why the public are not trusting politicians. It is a

:12:07.:12:12.

binary vote, but not a binary argument. Michael, fear of the

:12:13.:12:17.

unknown, that is the Leave campaign's biggest problem, is it

:12:18.:12:22.

not? I don't know that it is. The first thing I would say is that over

:12:23.:12:27.

the last two years we have seen that the greatest achievement of the

:12:28.:12:30.

European Union is the euro and that has been a hazardous undertaking. It

:12:31.:12:34.

has been in danger of collapsing, member states have been in danger of

:12:35.:12:39.

leaving it. It has created mass unemployment in southern Europe,

:12:40.:12:42.

plunged Europe as a whole into negative growth. You have to put

:12:43.:12:47.

these things together. If you have free movement of people and you

:12:48.:12:51.

create mass unemployment in southern Europe by having the euro, what is

:12:52.:12:54.

going to happen? Migrants will move to where the jobs are in Northern

:12:55.:12:58.

Europe. This is part of a political plot. One would have more confidence

:12:59.:13:03.

in the European economy if it were run as an economy, but it is being

:13:04.:13:07.

run as a political project. The invention of the euro is nothing to

:13:08.:13:11.

do with good economics but about creating a European state. Its

:13:12.:13:15.

consequences in the short, medium and possibly long-term are

:13:16.:13:19.

economically disastrous. There are enormous risks in remaining attached

:13:20.:13:25.

to this economy. Isn't fear of the unknown, it is a bigger step to vote

:13:26.:13:31.

to leave, than it is to remain, it is difficult for your side to give

:13:32.:13:36.

us a clear idea, even a picture of what it would be like to be out. It

:13:37.:13:41.

is difficult because it is human nature to avoid change. If you are

:13:42.:13:45.

somebody who is comfortable, not struggling to find a job, a young

:13:46.:13:50.

person struggling to find a job, somebody a working-class community

:13:51.:13:53.

trying to get a job at minimum wage and facing competition from Eastern

:13:54.:13:57.

European migrants or whatever, it is easy to think, my life is not too

:13:58.:14:03.

bad, so why should we take the risk? But as Martin says, it is a

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calculated risk and they are good things. No one would get anywhere in

:14:07.:14:12.

business... Is it calculated if we don't quite know what the future

:14:13.:14:13.

holds? It could be better or worse. We don't know what Remain looks like

:14:14.:14:28.

as well, because that is the point, the EU has never produced a

:14:29.:14:33.

manifesto. It has always been quite secretive about its ultimate plans

:14:34.:14:40.

and destiny. But surely we have less variance, we have a better picture

:14:41.:14:44.

of what Remain would be like them we do what Leave would be like. I am

:14:45.:14:50.

not saying risk is bad, that common-sense says there is more

:14:51.:14:55.

uncertainty if we have this seismic change. Let me bring lives in. Given

:14:56.:15:02.

the weight of economic opinion on your side of Remain, is it

:15:03.:15:10.

surprisingly polls are so tight? No, one thing I have seen change over

:15:11.:15:16.

the last couple of weeks is how people are looking at their lives

:15:17.:15:21.

over the last five, ten years, changes in the way the economy has

:15:22.:15:28.

worked even before the crash, and the EU is ending up being the things

:15:29.:15:33.

that people are looking at and questioning overall sorts of issues,

:15:34.:15:37.

it is a referendum on the Government's record, on the way the

:15:38.:15:42.

economy works and the fact that most people were not seeing the benefits

:15:43.:15:46.

of the growth before the crash, and it is getting muddled up. It is a

:15:47.:15:54.

difficult question for both sides to deal with. We don't know with

:15:55.:15:58.

certainty what will happen if we remain, and we should admit that,

:15:59.:16:02.

but we do have more of a sense of what it would look like, and there

:16:03.:16:06.

is far more risk if we pull out. You are right, it is funny, when you are

:16:07.:16:13.

talking to your own side, they like that passion, total certainty, but

:16:14.:16:20.

most people, if you talk to them on the doorstep, if you do a bit of

:16:21.:16:23.

give and take and understanding, they are more likely to listen.

:16:24.:16:30.

There is a sense now, it is not just that people don't trust politicians,

:16:31.:16:36.

it is almost like any expert, any of the elite, anyone with experience,

:16:37.:16:41.

that is being questioned. People don't trust everyone, from

:16:42.:16:47.

broadcasters to businesses. You raise an interesting point, in the

:16:48.:16:52.

next two weeks there will be two forces at work. In most referendum

:16:53.:16:57.

there is a move to the status quo. It did not happen in Scotland, but

:16:58.:17:02.

that was the exception. On the other hand, there is this mood that Liz is

:17:03.:17:07.

talking about, this referendum is taking place, it is an

:17:08.:17:13.

antiestablishment, anti-mainstream voice, which one will win? That will

:17:14.:17:18.

determine the outcome. I am confident we are going to win. We

:17:19.:17:23.

have the Government until the end of her debt just trekking everything it

:17:24.:17:30.

could, spraying frightening bullets left, right and centre. You are not

:17:31.:17:34.

worried about the return to status quo? People are wanting change. It

:17:35.:17:41.

is not quite what Liz said, this has been a thing for 44 years. The

:17:42.:17:48.

Remain side spent a lot of their bullets to early, Barack Obama, the

:17:49.:17:52.

G7. I had an interesting chat with a neighbour, I said, where are you? He

:17:53.:18:00.

said, I am 60% out. I think I am going to vote in because you have to

:18:01.:18:07.

be 65% out to vote out. That is the move to the status quo. That perhaps

:18:08.:18:11.

happens when you are putting your cross on the form. I look at my

:18:12.:18:18.

social media, I would say that is looking more and outvote them and

:18:19.:18:22.

invoke, that there will be some bounce back to the status quo. I

:18:23.:18:32.

waded up,... I did not approve the leaflets. I am 55% N. No move for

:18:33.:18:41.

manoeuvre. But just in, on a risk analysis.

:18:42.:18:42.

Steve-Double-MP-working-late-at-the- -office late.

:18:43.:18:44.

So why don't you burn the midnight oil, and your moral bridges too,

:18:45.:18:47.

because waiting in the wings, Oscar-winning documentary

:18:48.:18:49.

filmmaker Michael Moore, along with the one and only Jerry

:18:50.:18:52.

Here to discuss America, Europe and all points in between.

:18:53.:18:59.

And if you have nothing in between your ears,

:19:00.:19:01.

you'll feel right at home on the Twitter, the Fleecebook,

:19:02.:19:04.

DownPeriscope, InstaNumpty, Snap Crackle and Pop and Gordon

:19:05.:19:07.

Now, according to the producer of the original version

:19:08.:19:13.

of The Italian Job, it was the very first Eurosceptic film.

:19:14.:19:17.

Which must mean that this is the second, because here's a man

:19:18.:19:20.

from the Daily Mail with an unlikely sequel, and our roundup

:19:21.:19:25.

AS MICHAEL CAINE: His name is Quentin Letts.

:19:26.:19:29.

Come on, lads, keep loading the gold.

:19:30.:19:41.

Tonight, Euro 2016 kicks off in France, but will England and

:19:42.:19:49.

Wales still be playing in Europe when the tournament is over?

:19:50.:19:58.

This week, politicians on both sides of the

:19:59.:20:18.

referendum debate discovered roads in Europe can be a little bumpy.

:20:19.:20:23.

On Monday, the Remain campaign invoked the spirit of the Italian

:20:24.:20:25.

Job to say that Brexit would be a car crash for British motoring

:20:26.:20:29.

Did anyone tell them the film is all about a bunch of

:20:30.:20:34.

plucky Brits getting one over the continentals?

:20:35.:20:38.

Arrivederci to the spinmeister who thought that one

:20:39.:20:40.

Some are beginning to wonder if the Remain campaigners stuck in

:20:41.:20:45.

Meanwhile, first stop on this week's European tour was the

:20:46.:20:51.

After weeks of zooming around the country in their campaign

:20:52.:21:02.

buses, Nigel Farage and David Cameron

:21:03.:21:05.

were flagged down by the

:21:06.:21:06.

Both men may have thought they had gone

:21:07.:21:24.

into this in these self-preservation society

:21:25.:21:28.

I think, to make this country safer, we need to get back British

:21:29.:21:35.

passports so we can check anybody else coming into this country.

:21:36.:21:39.

I worry if we leave that we are going

:21:40.:21:42.

to see our economy suffer because we are

:21:43.:21:44.

going to lose access to the

:21:45.:21:46.

absolutely vital market that we have.

:21:47.:21:49.

do, the British thing to do, is to fight for

:21:50.:21:53.

European Union and don't take the Nigel Farage

:21:54.:21:58.

Mr Cameron hopes to depict all leavers as part of Nigel Farage's

:21:59.:22:04.

merry caper, but at PMQs, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn threw a spanner

:22:05.:22:09.

The Labour position is that we want to stay in

:22:10.:22:14.

the European Union to improve workers' rights, tackle

:22:15.:22:17.

exploitation, drive down tax evasion and avoidance.

:22:18.:22:23.

But we are concerned that these issues are not the

:22:24.:22:27.

priorities of members of his Government

:22:28.:22:30.

and his party, such as

:22:31.:22:32.

the member for Uxbridge, the member for Surrey

:22:33.:22:37.

And here I am trying to be consensual.

:22:38.:22:44.

I could mention that the honourable member for Edgbaston was out

:22:45.:22:48.

The SNP's chief mechanic, Angus Robertson, gave Mr Cameron a

:22:49.:22:53.

Mr Speaker, European corporation emerged from

:22:54.:22:59.

both World Wars as the best way to secure peace.

:23:00.:23:03.

So does the Prime Minister agree that we should never

:23:04.:23:06.

take peace and security for granted, and that is a strong reason to

:23:07.:23:09.

I want to be clear about this because the

:23:10.:23:17.

words World War III have never passed my lips.

:23:18.:23:23.

But can we really take for granted...

:23:24.:23:25.

Time now for a diversion across the pond, where

:23:26.:23:41.

Hillary Clinton finally claimed the chequered flag as the Democrat

:23:42.:23:43.

The first time in our nation's history that a

:23:44.:23:47.

woman will be a major party's nominee.

:23:48.:23:54.

I spoke briefly to Secretary Clinton on Tuesday night,

:23:55.:23:59.

and I congratulated her on her very strong campaign.

:24:00.:24:08.

I look forward to meeting with her in the near future to see

:24:09.:24:11.

how we can work together to defeat Donald Trump and to create

:24:12.:24:15.

a government which represents all of us, and not just the 1%.

:24:16.:24:19.

In British politics, we are accustomed to the

:24:20.:24:21.

In tonight's debate, for instance, there are five

:24:22.:24:30.

women and only one man, and he's blonde.

:24:31.:24:32.

I am massively pro-immigration, the descendant of

:24:33.:24:33.

But there has to be democratic consent for the

:24:34.:24:38.

There isn't a silver bullet and I know

:24:39.:24:47.

that is what Boris and his team would like, but you need

:24:48.:24:49.

I fear the only number Boris is interested in is the one

:24:50.:24:54.

Nearly home, and then the fun really starts.

:24:55.:24:58.

Politics, as ever, is about the self-preservation

:24:59.:25:04.

Quentin Letts there, truly no expense spared.

:25:05.:25:17.

And I'm joined in the studio by two very special guests,

:25:18.:25:20.

filmmaker Michael Moore and TV host with the most Jerry Springer.

:25:21.:25:23.

Is the political mainstream now under threat on both sides of the

:25:24.:25:40.

Atlantic? Times are tough, and when times are tough the way we have it

:25:41.:25:48.

set up, people tend to go to the extremes, at least those who are

:25:49.:25:52.

most vocal. There are people upset with the establishment, so it is not

:25:53.:25:57.

surprising that you would have that in both parties. But come November

:25:58.:26:02.

it is going to be a pretty clear choice. The choice is, I would say,

:26:03.:26:11.

that there has never been anyone running for president of the alert

:26:12.:26:15.

state who is as well prepared and knowledgeable to be president who

:26:16.:26:18.

has not already been president as Hillary Clinton. Donald Trump

:26:19.:26:24.

appears to the anger people have, but totally unqualified to be

:26:25.:26:31.

president. The reason I ask, Michael, it has been an

:26:32.:26:36.

unprecedented armoury season, not just because Donald Trump won the

:26:37.:26:40.

Republican nomination, but this run that Bernie Sanders has given

:26:41.:26:43.

Hillary Clinton for her money. Nobody saw that coming. If the

:26:44.:26:50.

mainstream under threat? The mainstream, the old mainstream, is

:26:51.:26:55.

no longer the mainstream, there is a new mainstream. It is being run by

:26:56.:27:01.

young people. In the United States a socialist tonight has 46% of the

:27:02.:27:07.

pledge delegates to the Democratic convention, has won 22 states,

:27:08.:27:13.

almost half of them. From the Mont! This is historic. But it is because

:27:14.:27:20.

young people have been the engine. It is a new time, it is their time.

:27:21.:27:26.

The 18 to 40-year-olds, this is their election. Will they swing

:27:27.:27:35.

behind Hillary Clinton? I think so. 80% of the people voting in November

:27:36.:27:40.

are either women, people of colour or young adults between 18 and 35,

:27:41.:27:47.

that is 80% of the voters. Who in that group is going to vote for

:27:48.:27:51.

Donald Trump? He has completely offended those groups. We have had

:27:52.:27:55.

plenty of people on this over telling us he would never get close

:27:56.:28:00.

to the Republican nomination. He was running in eight Republican primary.

:28:01.:28:08.

When you look at a Republican universe in America,... I

:28:09.:28:16.

understand. He was still not supposed to get it. He got the

:28:17.:28:21.

nomination, and I believe he can win in November. I wanted to an

:28:22.:28:28.

impersonation of myself at 25. This is what I sounded like. There is no

:28:29.:28:33.

way an actor is going to be president of the United States, and

:28:34.:28:39.

the actor whose co-star was a chimpanzee, no way would that

:28:40.:28:43.

happen! Now, there is no way George W Bush is going to get elected, that

:28:44.:28:47.

is not going to happen. I have learned my lesson. He can get

:28:48.:28:53.

elected. All he has to do is win the traditional red states, from Idaho

:28:54.:29:01.

and Utah to Georgia. When does and then win the Ross belt. If he gets

:29:02.:29:06.

Michigan, higher, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin...

:29:07.:29:11.

I want to broaden it out from American psephology. If Leaver wins

:29:12.:29:22.

on June 23, will it not have been propelled to victory by similar

:29:23.:29:26.

forces to those behind Trump and samplers? -- Sandham. It would be

:29:27.:29:38.

unusual for it to be decided on the referendum question put before the

:29:39.:29:42.

people. People decide on whatever they want. How they feel at the

:29:43.:29:46.

time. That is why it is dangerous for a government call a referendum

:29:47.:29:51.

because a government is unpopular a year into office. A lot of people

:29:52.:29:54.

will have complaints about the government. Cameron is relying on

:29:55.:29:59.

Labour voters, Scottish National Party is, to secure victory for him.

:30:00.:30:05.

For those reasons, it is precarious. I think that tactically, Remain has

:30:06.:30:09.

made mistakes. They fired their bullets to early. They have arrived

:30:10.:30:14.

at a situation where people think most of what they say is exaggerated

:30:15.:30:18.

and unbelievable. And they certainly now believe the establishment is not

:30:19.:30:21.

to be trusted so I am agreeing with the point you made before. Whether

:30:22.:30:27.

that leads to leave winning, I don't know. In both countries, there are

:30:28.:30:32.

huge swathes of people who feel left out and left behind. This has been

:30:33.:30:37.

happening over probably ten years or more. People on ordinary incomes

:30:38.:30:41.

have not seen any of the benefits of growth. It has gone to if you are

:30:42.:30:46.

the top, it does not seem fair. If, as I hope, we vote to remain in

:30:47.:30:49.

Europe, those issues will not have gone away. We cannot thing, we have

:30:50.:30:54.

won the referendum, let's move onto something else. We need a change in

:30:55.:30:58.

the way the economy works. I would argue there is even greater pressure

:30:59.:31:02.

on Labour to do that because we are seeing that in our traditional

:31:03.:31:07.

heartlands. A lot of ordinary people have lost out. The 2008 credit crash

:31:08.:31:13.

still rankles with people, they are still feeling the fallout from that.

:31:14.:31:19.

But in many parts of the world, the right is doing just as well,

:31:20.:31:23.

capitalising on that, more than the left. Why? First of all, what we

:31:24.:31:31.

share in common with your Brexit vote and Trump in our country is the

:31:32.:31:35.

rise of nationalism. Manipulating people with the fear of the other,

:31:36.:31:40.

the immigrant, the Mexican, the Muslim, whatever it is. And this is

:31:41.:31:44.

a scary time for both countries because this is kind of a 21st

:31:45.:31:52.

century crypto fascism that is starting to boil up. There is an

:31:53.:31:57.

extra factor in the United States, which made Trump inevitable. For the

:31:58.:32:04.

last 40 years in America, ever since Reagan said government cannot solve

:32:05.:32:09.

problems, government is the problem, we have raised at least two

:32:10.:32:14.

generations of Americans to believe government is horrible, Washington

:32:15.:32:16.

is totally corrupt, they do not expect the President, eight

:32:17.:32:21.

Washington. So every commercial that you see in America, the television

:32:22.:32:26.

commercial says the other guy is a balm, should be in jail, a pervert,

:32:27.:32:33.

whatever. After 40 years of that, we cannot be surprised that someone

:32:34.:32:37.

ultimately rises in politics to be anti-government. And it is going to

:32:38.:32:41.

be someone, you have to be well-known, so the only two fields

:32:42.:32:45.

in America where you can be well-known, other than politics, is

:32:46.:32:49.

sports or entertainment. Athletes are too young, so we should have

:32:50.:32:54.

seen that at some point an entertainer, and I am not talking

:32:55.:32:57.

about Reagan, because at least he was a governor before and had a

:32:58.:33:04.

political philosophy. It has partly in a way been a

:33:05.:33:09.

problem, obviously the right often attacks collective government, but

:33:10.:33:12.

the left has not done enough to reform and defend it. That is true,

:33:13.:33:18.

but anything the government touches, there is a right wing in America

:33:19.:33:21.

that has just built up this feeling that anything Washington does is

:33:22.:33:27.

horrible. Your point on migration. In this country, since the 1960s it

:33:28.:33:33.

has been almost impossible to discuss migration. It has been

:33:34.:33:36.

taboo. People have got more and more fed up with that fact. They do not

:33:37.:33:39.

feel anybody is prepared to discuss what matters to them most. During

:33:40.:33:44.

the referendum campaign, whenever the question of migration is raised,

:33:45.:33:49.

the Remain campaigners say, let's talk about the economy. I feel these

:33:50.:33:52.

people who feel they have been ignored for 50 years on this subject

:33:53.:33:57.

feel the referendum is an arch example of how people refuse to take

:33:58.:34:02.

what concerns them seriously. If you were to say what you have just said,

:34:03.:34:07.

this is crypto fascism, it is not crypto fascism, it is people being

:34:08.:34:09.

worried about jobs, housing and schooling. You think that is why

:34:10.:34:16.

people are behind Donald Trump? Have you watched the rallies and listened

:34:17.:34:22.

to him? This is scary, what this man is saying. It is outright racism and

:34:23.:34:25.

it has to be called out for what it is. He is really talking about the

:34:26.:34:32.

referendum. I know that. It is two different things. As outsiders, it

:34:33.:34:38.

is up to you if you want to stay in Europe, but it looks bonkers to us.

:34:39.:34:42.

Why would Britain want to leave Europe? Can I come back... It is

:34:43.:34:50.

good to have another American intervention, although the one from

:34:51.:34:54.

the President, we are not sure if it was helpful or unhelpful. One has to

:34:55.:35:00.

explain to an American why we would want to be independent. That is a

:35:01.:35:09.

sad evening. Independent? For all of this talk about insurgence, and

:35:10.:35:14.

there are huge insurgence on the left and right on both sides of the

:35:15.:35:17.

land tick, and the mainstream is under huge threat. So far, the

:35:18.:35:21.

mainstream is holding. -- the Atlantic. Mrs Clinton won the

:35:22.:35:27.

nomination, not Bernie Sanders. She is favourite to win. Remain is still

:35:28.:35:33.

favourite among the bookies to stay there. The hard right man did not

:35:34.:35:38.

win the presidency in Austria. Marine Le Pen will probably come

:35:39.:35:41.

first in the first round of the French ballot but will not win in

:35:42.:35:44.

the second. The mainstream is holding on by its fingertips. It

:35:45.:35:50.

might be too much of a cliche to just use the one term, the

:35:51.:35:53.

establishment, the mainstream, and then throw all these well-known

:35:54.:35:58.

candidates in. Clearly, you could look at Hillary Clinton and say,

:35:59.:36:03.

maybe she is too close to the financial institutions, she has been

:36:04.:36:07.

in politics a long time. Incorrectly, wrongly, clearly, she

:36:08.:36:16.

has admitted that. On issues like health, children and education, no

:36:17.:36:20.

one seriously believes that if she became President she would be far

:36:21.:36:24.

cutting back on all that stuff. My question was just about the

:36:25.:36:28.

mainstream, not a party political broadcast. The mainstream is

:36:29.:36:33.

holding. We are running out of time to talk about your documentary. I

:36:34.:36:39.

thought that might change your mind. I don't want to talk about my movie.

:36:40.:36:51.

Behaviour solves or we will send you back to the colonies.

:36:52.:36:53.

Now, we like to think we're rather continental here on This Week,

:36:54.:36:56.

and that's why we've made sure our working conditions

:36:57.:36:58.

Short hours and astronomical pay, long lazy holidays and

:36:59.:37:01.

No discrimination or bullying in the workplace, no compulsory

:37:02.:37:04.

sexual harassment of anyone except Michael Portillo,

:37:05.:37:06.

yes, we are truly living the Social Charter dream!

:37:07.:37:08.

And that's why Michael and Jerry are sticking with us,

:37:09.:37:10.

and we're putting progressive Europe in this week's Spotlight.

:37:11.:37:18.

New movie, Where To Invade Next, sees the Oscar-winning American

:37:19.:37:23.

documentary maker travel to Europe to plunder some of its most

:37:24.:37:26.

I have invaded your country, essentially, to take

:37:27.:37:32.

this incredible idea that all college should

:37:33.:37:34.

His films, Fahrenheit 911 and Bowling For Columbine put the

:37:35.:37:41.

This time, Moore's looking further afield, asking whether the

:37:42.:37:46.

States would benefit from pinching Slovenia's higher education policy,

:37:47.:37:48.

or Finland's child-centred schooling system.

:37:49.:37:54.

School is about finding your happiness.

:37:55.:37:56.

Seven weeks of paid leave but still in the world's top 15 most

:37:57.:38:05.

Has Italy got its work-life balance right?

:38:06.:38:08.

Do you mind paying your employees for all this time off?

:38:09.:38:17.

Or maybe we should copy Iceland, where the only bank that

:38:18.:38:20.

survived the financial crash was run by women.

:38:21.:38:22.

We have a gender quota for the biggest companies.

:38:23.:38:25.

You mean the company's board of directors?

:38:26.:38:26.

So you have to be either 40%, at least 40% women or 40% men.

:38:27.:38:34.

But among his invasions, Moore avoids the UK.

:38:35.:38:36.

So how does that reflect on us and what

:38:37.:38:38.

lessons can we learn about the good life from our continental cousins?

:38:39.:38:53.

If you were only allowed to take back one European idea, what would

:38:54.:39:01.

it be? It would not be a specific thing like paid maternity leave, or

:39:02.:39:10.

paid vacation, which we don't have. What I would take back is your

:39:11.:39:18.

general belief in the concept of we. New structure the policy around we.

:39:19.:39:29.

You are constantly in this attitude of being in the same boat, we sink

:39:30.:39:33.

or swim together. You have political differences by your basic public

:39:34.:39:41.

policies are not individual. Our policies are surrounded by the

:39:42.:39:45.

concept of me. Me, myself and I. If you get sick, you take care of it, I

:39:46.:39:51.

get sick, I will take care of it. The right way is the traditional

:39:52.:39:55.

European way, since World War II. To take care of each other. We should

:39:56.:40:01.

not send a 22-year-old into the world in debts and blue because they

:40:02.:40:05.

wanted to go to university. In Europe, we keep 22-year-old is

:40:06.:40:11.

unemployed. How come 50% of young Greeks are unemployed, 45% of young

:40:12.:40:17.

Spaniards, 22% of young French, 40% of young Italians? That does not

:40:18.:40:27.

sound very collective to me. You are concerned about that. Why would you

:40:28.:40:32.

not be? You look at the larger picture. Germany has a higher

:40:33.:40:38.

deployment rate. It doesn't. It is higher than the US. It is the lowest

:40:39.:40:43.

youth unemployment rate in the Western world. Germany, France,

:40:44.:40:47.

European countries traditionally have a higher and implement rate

:40:48.:40:52.

than the United States. But the way you structure this is that while you

:40:53.:40:57.

do not have a job, there is a safety net. And the safety net helps to

:40:58.:41:00.

guarantee that people do not slip between the cracks and go crazy.

:41:01.:41:08.

RUSI taken by European ideas as Michael? A lot of them. Every

:41:09.:41:14.

civilisation in the world, except possibly North Korea which I do not

:41:15.:41:18.

know a lot about, virtually every society, the United States, China,

:41:19.:41:26.

Cuba, there is a continuum. Pure socialism here, pure capitalism

:41:27.:41:29.

here, and everyone is somewhere on that. We say we are a capitalist

:41:30.:41:34.

society but we have Medicare, which is socialism, and we love it. We

:41:35.:41:38.

have Social Security. Talk about taking it away and people go crazy.

:41:39.:41:43.

We are a combination of both, as are all societies. The discussion is, we

:41:44.:41:49.

could probably move a little more down the continuum towards

:41:50.:41:54.

togetherness, so we are not exclusively individual. I do not

:41:55.:41:58.

think we are completely capitalist, I think we are a combination, as

:41:59.:42:02.

every society is. Is Michael Wright to be as enamoured of European

:42:03.:42:10.

social democracy as he is? I am fairly enamoured by myself and I'm

:42:11.:42:14.

interested in what different countries do. Having toured Europe a

:42:15.:42:17.

lot, I think it is difficult to translate ideas and customs from one

:42:18.:42:24.

place to another. They arise from national circumstances and history.

:42:25.:42:27.

Although we can admire those ideas, it is very difficult to transplant.

:42:28.:42:34.

Here is the rub. Michael is talking essentially about European Social

:42:35.:42:40.

Democrats ideas. European social democratic parties have never been

:42:41.:42:43.

in more trouble since the end of the Second World War. Absolutely.

:42:44.:42:54.

Including the Labour Party. Indeed, and the lack of confidence that

:42:55.:42:57.

afflicts social Democrat parties across Europe when faced with these

:42:58.:43:01.

huge changes in the economy and how they are going to deal with it. You

:43:02.:43:04.

are right, you cannot simply transfer one policy idea from one

:43:05.:43:09.

country to another. But actually opening your eyes and your minds to

:43:10.:43:13.

the fact that possibly things could be different gives you hope and

:43:14.:43:17.

optimism against all of the naysayers and doom and gloom which

:43:18.:43:20.

tells you nothing can change, so I think it is good to learn from other

:43:21.:43:27.

countries. What else did you learn? I went to pick the flowers, not the

:43:28.:43:34.

weeds. You say they have high unemployment. That is like saying,

:43:35.:43:38.

let's say you made a documentary about the United States and you

:43:39.:43:43.

wanted to show how great Silicon Valley is, Americans are great

:43:44.:43:47.

inventors. Apple, Google and all this. And you showed it on the BBC

:43:48.:43:51.

and some presenter said, why didn't you point out that there is a mass

:43:52.:43:55.

shooting in the US every day, at least one. That is because it has

:43:56.:44:00.

nothing to do with the fact that they have Apple and Google and they

:44:01.:44:03.

are great inventors. Countries have both things. In America, the little

:44:04.:44:10.

we hear about Europe is always negative, always bad, always how

:44:11.:44:18.

things run rotten. The Italians are in government number 525 since World

:44:19.:44:23.

War II. I want to show that Italians have seven weeks off, with pay. It

:44:24.:44:28.

is out tomorrow night in 125 cinemas. And it will be beamed live

:44:29.:44:37.

to 125 cinemas. Can I bring my senior citizen card? That sounds a

:44:38.:44:44.

little socialist to me. Thank you both for being with us.

:44:45.:44:47.

But not for us, because it's Top Gear night at Lulu's,

:44:48.:44:50.

But we leave you tonight with news that M has bowed to pressure

:44:51.:44:55.

and banned all piped music from its stores.

:44:56.:44:57.

Apparently people find Muzak really, really annoying.

:44:58.:44:59.

Nighty night, don't let Herb Alpert And The Tijuana Brass

:45:00.:45:04.

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