19/01/2017 This Week


19/01/2017

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Tonight on This Week's Deal Or No Deal...

:00:08.:00:14.

Quentin Letts wonders, can Theresa May pull off a clean Brexit?

:00:15.:00:18.

There, that should add some much-needed clarity.

:00:19.:00:23.

President-elect Donald Trump likes a deal.

:00:24.:00:24.

Distinguished statesman Radoslaw Sikorski thinks

:00:25.:00:26.

the new world order may throw up a few unwelcome surprises.

:00:27.:00:32.

If you want trade wars, Donald Trump, it's no deal.

:00:33.:00:37.

And everyone used to respect the headmaster and top notch

:00:38.:00:40.

I've lost all respect being on this programme.

:00:41.:00:51.

Who will take the megabucks home tonight?

:00:52.:01:01.

In fact, we're best friends, and we must never do

:01:02.:01:09.

anything to upset our long, special friendship.

:01:10.:01:12.

So, as our friend, you will give us everything we ask for,

:01:13.:01:15.

You will give us full and open access to your front room

:01:16.:01:20.

for the next 45 minutes even though we accept no obligation to provide

:01:21.:01:23.

television which informs, educates or entertains.

:01:24.:01:28.

And we reserve the right to rat on you and do

:01:29.:01:31.

As friends, you will of course accept this.

:01:32.:01:36.

Because if you don't, and I say this as a friend,

:01:37.:01:39.

Maggie had Ronnie, Tony had George, Dave had Barack, Michael here has

:01:40.:01:49.

One faces the daunting task of turning a vague,

:01:50.:01:56.

populist fantasy into reality without the world crashing in.

:01:57.:02:00.

The other is the new President of the United States.

:02:01.:02:04.

Tomorrow night he will sit in the Oval Office,

:02:05.:02:06.

changing the nuclear codes to match his Twitter password.

:02:07.:02:09.

And what could possibly go wrong when he leans over to tweet

:02:10.:02:14.

He's promised to do everything he can to create work for people

:02:15.:02:20.

who for too long have been stuck at home with nothing to do,

:02:21.:02:23.

starting with our very own Michael Gove who says

:02:24.:02:25.

Speaking of friends, we're joined tonight by two

:02:26.:02:31.

unemployables unlikely even to benefit from Mr Trump's

:02:32.:02:33.

vow to be the greatest job-creating President ever.

:02:34.:02:37.

I speak, of course, of the main reasons this country is rushing

:02:38.:02:40.

Your moment of the week. You said that Theresa May has Donald Trump

:02:41.:03:02.

but I would question that. My moment was when Donald Trump gave an

:03:03.:03:06.

interview to Michael Gove. You will remember that Theresa May has not

:03:07.:03:10.

met the President-elect, Nigel Farage has met him three times. He

:03:11.:03:17.

has suggested Nigel Farage should be our ambassador. So now he selects

:03:18.:03:22.

Michael Gove, who was in favour of Brexit, who fell out with Boris

:03:23.:03:27.

Johnson. When Boris Johnson was in New York, he did not see Mr Trump.

:03:28.:03:32.

So it looked like he chose a Brexiteer who had been rejected from

:03:33.:03:35.

the government, who had had a big row with Boris Johnson. I think he

:03:36.:03:40.

is trying to tell Theresa May something and if I were her, I would

:03:41.:03:44.

get on with finding someone to be ambassador who has been recruited

:03:45.:03:47.

from outside the Foreign Office and has said nothing unpleasant about

:03:48.:03:52.

Donald Trump in the past. Maybe they will start looking. Your moment?

:03:53.:03:59.

Mine is Donald Trump related. It is the list of the inauguration line-up

:04:00.:04:05.

of acts. It is as if Theresa May had Chas and Dave playing at Number Ten.

:04:06.:04:11.

It is hilarious and woeful. Except that I was in the states when

:04:12.:04:20.

Hillary Clinton had Beyonce and Bon Jovi and Jay Z. All the greatest

:04:21.:04:31.

stars in the right of states, and she lost. I recognise that, I just

:04:32.:04:40.

find a list... And why attack Chas and Dave? They won our Christmas

:04:41.:04:44.

special. We had to give them sandwiches. That is how difficult it

:04:45.:04:48.

was to get them. You give them the moment of the week and they slack

:04:49.:04:49.

you off. Now, the World Economic Forum

:04:50.:04:53.

is hosting its 30th It's a low key affair with fun

:04:54.:04:55.

for the whole family. When they get bored of rubbing

:04:56.:04:59.

shoulders with the likes of Shakira and Matt Damon,

:05:00.:05:01.

heads of state and assorted fat cats can enjoy a refugee simulator

:05:02.:05:04.

in which they crawl on all fours Though I guess

:05:05.:05:06.

President Assad will be Anyways, for the few

:05:07.:05:10.

of you who don't have half a million pounds to throw

:05:11.:05:13.

at a weekend in Switzerland, here's Poland's former foreign

:05:14.:05:15.

minister Radislaw Sikorski Free trade has opened up

:05:16.:05:17.

Europe and the world. But we now have a US President

:05:18.:05:39.

who has promised his supporters to alleviate

:05:40.:05:42.

the downside of globalisation. Mr Trump has said many

:05:43.:05:49.

contradictory things during the US election campaign,

:05:50.:05:51.

but on one thing he has been consistent, his

:05:52.:05:54.

suspicion of free trade. But, at Davos this week,

:05:55.:06:00.

the President of China has said that to cut off flows of people,

:06:01.:06:03.

goods and capital between the economies,

:06:04.:06:06.

is like diverting rivers into lakes. Meanwhile, Britain is leaving

:06:07.:06:12.

the European Union partly on the hope of a quick,

:06:13.:06:15.

free trade deal with But if you thought that the row over

:06:16.:06:17.

bent bananas was ludicrous, wait for the row over

:06:18.:06:24.

US chlorine-soaked chicken. Unless agriculture is excluded

:06:25.:06:32.

from such a free trade deal, British farmers will have to compete

:06:33.:06:35.

with Texan farmers and Prime Minister Theresa May made

:06:36.:06:37.

a speech at Lancaster House this week which was positive in tone

:06:38.:06:46.

but in substance it sketched out The reality is that Britain cannot

:06:47.:06:50.

negotiate a free trade deal with the United States

:06:51.:07:00.

while still remaining a member of the European Union

:07:01.:07:03.

and Britain is not yet a member Protectionism usually

:07:04.:07:06.

provokes a reaction. If President Trump acts on some

:07:07.:07:16.

of his pronouncements, We have seen that movie

:07:17.:07:17.

before in the 1930s. Michael, are we heading for a trade

:07:18.:07:50.

war under Donald Trump? I don't know, but there was a tell-tale

:07:51.:07:54.

phrase in your report which was that we cannot have a free-trade deal

:07:55.:07:59.

while members of the European Union. Quite right, because the European

:08:00.:08:05.

Union is a protectionist block. It it wrecked barriers against the

:08:06.:08:09.

outside world. The only people who are clearly in favour of global free

:08:10.:08:14.

trade are the British. I will let you come back and then I will go to

:08:15.:08:19.

Jess. The external tariff of the European Union is approximately 3%.

:08:20.:08:24.

President Trump is talking about a tariff of 35%, which would actually

:08:25.:08:29.

be illegal under the existing treaties. The European external

:08:30.:08:37.

tariff on dairy products, on 54 different dairy products is 75%.

:08:38.:08:41.

Agriculture is protected everywhere which is wide that Doha round failed

:08:42.:08:47.

and it will be difficult to negotiate the deal with the United

:08:48.:08:51.

States. You cannot simultaneously argue on the one hand that the

:08:52.:08:55.

external tariff of the European Union is very very low and also to

:08:56.:09:01.

say that it would be a calamity if Britain finds itself facing this

:09:02.:09:05.

external tariff. It is either very low, or it isn't. If it is very low,

:09:06.:09:09.

it doesn't matter whether Britain faces this low tariff or not. I

:09:10.:09:16.

think that Britain is embarking on an interesting experiment. That is

:09:17.:09:22.

understatement. If it works, we will all be following you. Do you feel we

:09:23.:09:28.

are heading for a trade war? It is difficult to say but I don't think

:09:29.:09:33.

that Donald Trump... His whole platform that he stood on during the

:09:34.:09:37.

election was a 0-sum game where all trade deals were bad for America at

:09:38.:09:41.

the moment and the only thing he is going to look for his good things

:09:42.:09:47.

for American trade. That is what a President would do, a British Prime

:09:48.:09:51.

Minister would say the same. Every country wants a decent trade deal

:09:52.:09:56.

for themselves. That is why you have negotiations. He was suggesting

:09:57.:10:01.

every trade deal is currently bad for the US so he would renegotiate

:10:02.:10:04.

everything. That is totally unrealistic. Did you tell me the

:10:05.:10:11.

President of China has been in Davos arguing for free trade, the

:10:12.:10:15.

President of China whose country has systematically manipulated its

:10:16.:10:17.

currency to have an unfair advantage in trade? China daily today

:10:18.:10:24.

described the President of China as the general secretary now of

:10:25.:10:28.

globalisation and free trade. Do we need lectures from the Chinese on

:10:29.:10:34.

this? Since they joined the WTO in 2001 they have consistently broken

:10:35.:10:39.

its rules on protectionism. As I understand, they are now trying to

:10:40.:10:44.

prop up the currency, and certainly hundreds of millions of people in

:10:45.:10:47.

China have benefited from global trade, just as Mexico has, and

:10:48.:10:53.

thereby the migration from Mexico to the United States has dropped. Lots

:10:54.:10:58.

of blue-collar workers, and this partly explains Brexit and Mr Trump,

:10:59.:11:03.

because of the huge ramping up of Chinese productive capacity and then

:11:04.:11:08.

in many cases the dumping of the low cost of products, including steel,

:11:09.:11:12.

has cost many blue-collar workers in Europe and America their jobs.

:11:13.:11:17.

Economists arguing to what extent it is trade and to what extent

:11:18.:11:23.

automation. There is one free-trade deal that Mr Trump things would be

:11:24.:11:27.

good and that is with Britain. If America was to offer Britain a

:11:28.:11:34.

free-trade deal, why would we not do it? Already, he said we were at the

:11:35.:11:38.

front of the queue and then, isn't it Mexico and Canada have jumped the

:11:39.:11:44.

queue now? He has free-trade deals with them already and does not like

:11:45.:11:47.

them. Why wouldn't we do a free-trade deal with America?

:11:48.:11:54.

Hitherto, for the last few decades, Britain was negotiating with the

:11:55.:11:58.

negotiating strength of the largest economy on earth, the European

:11:59.:12:03.

Union. Now you will be negotiating with two giants, the United States

:12:04.:12:07.

and the European Union. I am not sure you're negotiating position

:12:08.:12:11.

will be stronger. But if Australia can do a free-trade deal with

:12:12.:12:15.

America to its advantage, why couldn't we? The mutual recognition

:12:16.:12:21.

of standards, which is being proposed, is going to be

:12:22.:12:26.

controversial. Do you really want GM ohs, do you really want... You think

:12:27.:12:32.

our economic future should be determined by whether we can buy

:12:33.:12:37.

chlorinated chicken? I think the dispute over Bent bananas will be a

:12:38.:12:43.

small thing by comparison. One of the releases I'm looking forward to

:12:44.:12:46.

is being released from this nonsense about genetically modified food

:12:47.:12:52.

products. You are all for them? I certainly am. Is the EU is so weak

:12:53.:12:58.

it is to give Britain a punishment beating to stop others rushing to

:12:59.:13:03.

the door? We will wait and see. It is difficult to say at the moment.

:13:04.:13:08.

Theresa May has played a strong hand this week and made it seem, only in

:13:09.:13:12.

the UK, not in Europe, that we have real strength and we will give you,

:13:13.:13:17.

if you give us a beating we will be really tough. But it is still just

:13:18.:13:23.

all, clouds that mean nothing, that evaporate when you touch them. I

:13:24.:13:27.

don't feel they are weak and we are strong.

:13:28.:13:30.

Is the threat to walk away which Mrs May said in her speech on Tuesday,

:13:31.:13:39.

that no deal is better than a bad deal? Yes. We have touched upon the

:13:40.:13:43.

external tariff of the European Union. In the moments after the June

:13:44.:13:48.

23rd vote, sterling fell against the euro by about 10%. We are talking

:13:49.:13:54.

about external tariffs of 3 and 4% so we already have a bigger

:13:55.:13:59.

advantage than the external tariff. She's played it cleverly because she

:14:00.:14:03.

said we are leaving the single market, we'll probably not be in the

:14:04.:14:07.

customs union either. A decision is required by the European Union at

:14:08.:14:10.

that point, whether to impose tariffs on their goods coming to us

:14:11.:14:13.

and ours going to them. I think it's going to be quite a difficult

:14:14.:14:20.

political sell for Poland and certainly Germany and France. Why?

:14:21.:14:24.

To tell people, we are going to destroy your jobs by making it more

:14:25.:14:27.

difficult for you to export cars to the UK, more difficult to export...

:14:28.:14:31.

No, they are just going to say, we are going to take, you know, the car

:14:32.:14:35.

manufacturing that currently exists where I live and put it in Poland,

:14:36.:14:39.

make Poland great again. So where are the car plants going to come

:14:40.:14:44.

from? They'll... They are going to move Jaguar to Poland? Definitely

:14:45.:14:51.

not. I'm not Len McCluskey. But why wouldn't they buy their car parts

:14:52.:14:55.

and bits and pieces where they don't have to take their lorries through

:14:56.:14:58.

borders, they don't have to have red tape? It's like the Conservatives

:14:59.:15:02.

are arguing for red tape which is so weird. No, no, what I'm saying is

:15:03.:15:07.

that the European Union has to take a deliberate policy of retribution

:15:08.:15:11.

against... No, the European Union doesn't need to do anything. Britain

:15:12.:15:14.

will put itself outside of the customs area. That means the

:15:15.:15:20.

external tariff will apply without the EU doing anything. You are

:15:21.:15:23.

resigning from the club and you will be treated as a member of the

:15:24.:15:29.

public. But my favourite threat is, if the EU doesn't do what we say,

:15:30.:15:38.

we'll lower corporation tax. Guess what, corporation tax in Ireland,

:15:39.:15:42.

Cyprus, is 12.5%, in Hungary it's 9%. You can lower your corporation

:15:43.:15:45.

tax without leaving the European Union. Indeed. Though the commission

:15:46.:15:52.

hates it when you do it. OK. The Irish have been lent on to raise it.

:15:53.:15:56.

There are increasing protectionist forces in Europe. We'll see that in

:15:57.:16:01.

the elections in Holland, France and in Austria, perhaps also in Italy as

:16:02.:16:05.

well. So why shouldn't the UK strike out to the rest of the world to do

:16:06.:16:11.

deals if Europe is becoming more protectionist? It's illegal to

:16:12.:16:19.

become protectionist inside the European Union. What you mean by

:16:20.:16:22.

that is that there are stronger pressures to limit the free movement

:16:23.:16:32.

of people. But... But also they can do trade deals. We have done one

:16:33.:16:37.

with Canada but it takes a long time to do them. Ukraine is similar to

:16:38.:16:46.

what Britain will eventually want, a sector by sector compromise. That

:16:47.:16:50.

took seven years. It's a complicated thing to do. Two years to implement.

:16:51.:16:55.

It's difficult. But there is one more area where I think people in

:16:56.:17:05.

Britain need to be clear about, name under existing rules, EU citizens

:17:06.:17:08.

can only reside in other member states like Britain for three

:17:09.:17:12.

months. After three months, if they are a burden on the public

:17:13.:17:16.

Exchequer, you can actually move people out. You and I both know

:17:17.:17:22.

that's not going to happen. But you could have acted on it. Hold on, Mrs

:17:23.:17:29.

May offered Mrs Merkel a deal to take EU citizens in this country a

:17:30.:17:35.

UK... You are talking at crossed purposes. If he's saying if people

:17:36.:17:39.

are already on the public purse you can move them out. May I make a

:17:40.:17:44.

broad point on freedom of movement of people. It's alleged this is

:17:45.:17:48.

fundamental of the creation of the single market. Of course it isn't.

:17:49.:17:51.

You could have a single market without the free movement of people.

:17:52.:17:54.

The reason there is the free movement of people in the European

:17:55.:17:57.

Union is the same reason there is a Single Currency because these are

:17:58.:18:00.

attributes of a single nation state because it's the aspiration of the

:18:01.:18:03.

European Union to become a single nation state. That is our

:18:04.:18:07.

fundamental problem with the whole thing. In the words of a British

:18:08.:18:12.

Prime Minister, "not a super state but a super power". We are going to

:18:13.:18:16.

leave it there. We have overran because it's an interesting

:18:17.:18:18.

discussion. Thank you for being with us.

:18:19.:18:20.

Now it's late, change the White House wifi password late,

:18:21.:18:22.

as President Obama hides fake spiders and stink bombs

:18:23.:18:25.

But we're on the edge of our seat for Trump's inaugural shindig.

:18:26.:18:31.

Poor Donald has had a rough old time booking performers for the party,

:18:32.:18:34.

disrespected by the jealous losers of Hollywood.

:18:35.:18:36.

Dry your tears Mr President-elect because, waiting in the wings

:18:37.:18:39.

to straighten up the bullies, is headmaster and historian

:18:40.:18:43.

Anthony Seldon, putting respect in our spotlight.

:18:44.:18:46.

There will be strictly no mobile phones allowed in class,

:18:47.:18:50.

not to mention Facebanter, Twitteasing, Snapchithcat or we'll

:18:51.:18:54.

Now, our friends at London's top museums have been in touch,

:18:55.:19:01.

asking Labour MPs to please stop sending over their CVs for every job

:19:02.:19:04.

John McDonnell's application for the Bank of England Museum

:19:05.:19:11.

job has been rejected - I think we can work out why.

:19:12.:19:15.

But we can't fathom why our very own Jess Phillips has been turned

:19:16.:19:18.

down as curator of the Civil War Museum.

:19:19.:19:21.

But the National Maritime Museum is keen to interview any Labour MP

:19:22.:19:24.

looking for a new start in life since they all have plenty

:19:25.:19:28.

Here with a career change of his own, Quentin Letts

:19:29.:19:34.

with the political round up of the week.

:19:35.:19:43.

Well, they said they wanted a clean Brexit.

:19:44.:19:54.

# I'll polish the leaves, make them green again

:19:55.:20:00.

# Shake out the trees, change the scene again

:20:01.:20:03.

# Spring cleaning, getting ready for love.#

:20:04.:20:07.

Still, they were very clear, they wanted a clean Brexit.

:20:08.:20:15.

Both sides in the referendum campaign made it clear that a vote

:20:16.:20:29.

to leave the EU would be a vote to leave the single market.

:20:30.:20:32.

So we do not seek membership of the single market.

:20:33.:20:35.

Instead, we seek the greatest possible access to it.

:20:36.:20:39.

I can confirm today that the government will put

:20:40.:20:43.

the final deal that is agreed between the UK and the EU to a vote

:20:44.:20:49.

The business community welcomed the clarity from the PM.

:20:50.:20:53.

And some bloke called Boris Johnson was tweeting videos about it.

:20:54.:21:01.

I've just been listening to Theresa May's fantastic speech

:21:02.:21:06.

about global Britain and about how we're going to take back control

:21:07.:21:10.

of our borders and loads of money that we currently send to the EU.

:21:11.:21:13.

But also, of course, come out of the EU's legal system,

:21:14.:21:16.

the single market, but not leave Europe.

:21:17.:21:20.

Also cheering was a vindicated Nigel Farage.

:21:21.:21:25.

Best not to mention that it leaves his party

:21:26.:21:29.

We are leaving the single market, even if Nick Clegg is crying

:21:30.:21:38.

But not everyone was so gracious in hard Brexit.

:21:39.:21:49.

Oh, there's Mr Clegg, off to drown his sorrows and stockpile

:21:50.:21:51.

What she's done is taken the views of 51.9% of the people who voted

:21:52.:22:02.

to leave the European Union last June and assume they all meant

:22:03.:22:05.

the same as Nigel Farage, and assume they wanted an extreme

:22:06.:22:08.

Brexit that was not on the ballot paper.

:22:09.:22:10.

Jeremy Corbyn went on Brexit at PMQs, the Labour leader railing

:22:11.:22:24.

against the idea of a bargain Brexit.

:22:25.:22:27.

"She has said that leave the single market, but at the same time says

:22:28.:23:06.

she wants to have access to the single market.

:23:07.:23:09.

I'm not quite sure how that's going to go down in Europe.

:23:10.:23:12.

I think we have to have a deal that ensures we have

:23:13.:23:17.

Oh, well, someone had to make up the numbers, I suppose.

:23:18.:23:38.

Oh, dear, it looks like they preloaded.

:23:39.:23:44.

I hope they don't do anything embarrassing when they meet

:23:45.:23:48.

# Cos you and I have a rendezvous under the sky

:23:49.:23:53.

# Spring cleaning, getting ready for love.#

:23:54.:24:01.

Michael Gove met Donald Trump in New York this week and the former

:24:02.:24:04.

Justice Secretary just about maintained his composure,

:24:05.:24:07.

and Mr Trump congratulated Mr Gove on Brexit.

:24:08.:24:11.

Some of these books have got pages missing.

:24:12.:24:18.

I thought the UK was so smart in getting out.

:24:19.:24:22.

And you were there, and you guys wrote it,

:24:23.:24:24.

If they hadn't been forced to take in all of the refugees, so many,

:24:25.:24:35.

with all the problems that entails, I think that you wouldn't

:24:36.:24:38.

The refugees issue has damaged Angela Merkel and threatens

:24:39.:24:48.

Mutti Merkel was her normal, cheerful self.

:24:49.:24:55.

TRANSLATION: There can be no cherrypicking during negotiations

:24:56.:24:58.

Otherwise we might end up with some who might find it more attractive

:24:59.:25:05.

For the SNP, hard Brexit is another chance to call for independence.

:25:06.:25:12.

Do we want to be taken down a path that we didn't vote

:25:13.:25:23.

for and is against all of our interests, or do we want to take

:25:24.:25:27.

And that is a choice that I think Scotland has the right to make.

:25:28.:25:31.

Could hard Brexit mean a hard border with the Republic?

:25:32.:25:38.

Maybe see what this lot have been watching on telly.

:25:39.:25:56.

There's a nice Andrew Neil programme later on in the evening

:25:57.:25:59.

where he invites people on a very tight sofa, as I recall.

:26:00.:26:02.

It was a good programme and Andrew Neil held the chair well.

:26:03.:26:07.

Disconcerting that the chairman of the BBC speaks about us in the past

:26:08.:26:33.

tense! Thanks to Samir and Belkis

:26:34.:26:35.

at Juniper TV for allowing us to employ the services of a somewhat

:26:36.:26:38.

second rate cleaner. SNP superstar John Nicholson,

:26:39.:26:47.

welcome back to our programme. Thank you, Andrew. The consensus is that

:26:48.:26:52.

Theresa May had a good week this week, is that right? Yes. In fact, I

:26:53.:26:57.

think the speech was largely statements of the obvious and these

:26:58.:27:00.

things could have been deduced some time ago. But she had been so silent

:27:01.:27:08.

on the question and had given an impression of being indecisive. So

:27:09.:27:11.

when she said these things categorically, and I must say

:27:12.:27:15.

neatly, she said them well. There was a terrific reaction to it. Jess?

:27:16.:27:22.

I think it was clear. I agree entirely with Michael, it was a

:27:23.:27:25.

statement of the bleeding obvious. But for her to say that we wouldn't

:27:26.:27:29.

be members of the single market, although you could deduce that from

:27:30.:27:32.

other things that were said, for her to say it though to get it on the

:27:33.:27:40.

record, it was quite a step forward? Not a step backwards, well depending

:27:41.:27:44.

on your opinion. She did two bold things. Before Christmas we had the

:27:45.:27:49.

vote on the principle of the triggering of article 50 which she

:27:50.:27:52.

won with a tremendous majority. Now this bold speech has gone well. So I

:27:53.:27:57.

hope she's encouraged to carry on being bold. What do you think? A

:27:58.:28:01.

Labour MP told me she was in tears listening to the speech because she

:28:02.:28:06.

thought to herself, this means the end of the union. Does it? Well, I

:28:07.:28:13.

thought it was disrespectful for Theresa May to give the speech in

:28:14.:28:17.

the way she did because she'd said very clearly that Scotland's voice

:28:18.:28:28.

had to be heard. The Joint Committee was due to meet after the speech.

:28:29.:28:32.

The Scottish Parliament put forward its proposals and Mrs May said

:28:33.:28:35.

repeatedly, we'll listen to Scotland's point of view, it's an

:28:36.:28:40.

equal partner, then she announces very dramatically the future of

:28:41.:28:43.

Scotland in Europe without actually talking to the Scottish ministers at

:28:44.:28:50.

all. I'm surpriseth rised she didn't go through the motions. --

:28:51.:28:56.

surprised. Is it clear Labour doesn't have a Brexit strategy?

:28:57.:29:01.

Clear in the same sentence, it's fair to say it's not all that clear.

:29:02.:29:10.

But it's incredibly difficult is the honest answer. The honest truth is

:29:11.:29:15.

that there are swathes of Labour seats that voted for Brexit, yet two

:29:16.:29:20.

thirds of Labour voters apparently, however they deduce these things

:29:21.:29:25.

from the polls, voted to remain. Then there are huge areas of Labour

:29:26.:29:30.

vote where people are not just rep Remain, but vehemently Remain. So

:29:31.:29:37.

there is, I get it both barrels from all angles regardless of people's

:29:38.:29:41.

opinion so I could sit here all day and say it should have been clearer,

:29:42.:29:46.

but it's incredibly difficult. Incredibly complex. One of my

:29:47.:29:51.

abiding memories as an MP is being in the lobby and watching Labour MPs

:29:52.:29:58.

berating Gisela Stuart in the aftermath of the referendum result

:29:59.:30:02.

with a rage that I have never seen in Parliament since I came to

:30:03.:30:04.

Parliament. They have changed their choosing. On

:30:05.:30:15.

this so far, they say, we respect the decision of the British people.

:30:16.:30:21.

And it is going to be a three line whip. Votes on austerity do not get

:30:22.:30:28.

that, but this does. I read the headline, and then when I read it,

:30:29.:30:31.

Jeremy Corbyn had just said, we will ask them. I had people getting in

:30:32.:30:37.

touch saying, I am leaving the Labour Party. Assuming after the

:30:38.:30:41.

Supreme Court ruling that we seem to think the judges will uphold the

:30:42.:30:46.

High Court ruling, if that is the case, the SNP will vote against

:30:47.:30:52.

triggering Article 50, right? We have not met to decide that but it

:30:53.:30:56.

is my assumption that we would because Scotland voted to stay, so I

:30:57.:30:59.

think we should reflect the wishes of our electorate. Given that,

:31:00.:31:05.

particularly if there is a three line whip, it gets through

:31:06.:31:09.

Parliament, doesn't it? Of course, under those circumstances. So I

:31:10.:31:15.

would hope and ask that as many MPs as possible from the Labour Party

:31:16.:31:21.

develop a backbone over this. You said you will represent your

:31:22.:31:26.

electorate. 67% of my constituents voted to leave. So... Does Ukip have

:31:27.:31:34.

a future? If Mrs May is seen to be the hard Brexit, what is the point

:31:35.:31:39.

of Ukip? Ukip's best hope was that by the time of the next election

:31:40.:31:45.

this would still be up in the air. The decision by the British people

:31:46.:31:49.

which had not been delivered. It is still possible to imagine

:31:50.:31:53.

circumstances in which that might happen, but clearly, Mrs May has

:31:54.:31:58.

smelt the danger, sensed the danger, and made a move which makes life

:31:59.:32:03.

very difficult for Ukip. At the moment, I would say the combination

:32:04.:32:07.

of the new leader and the fact that wrecks it appears to be proceeding

:32:08.:32:10.

apace makes the outlook for Ukip poor. -- Brexit. The Scottish First

:32:11.:32:20.

Minister has ruled out a referendum for this year. Is it your view that

:32:21.:32:24.

if there is to be a second referendum, does it have to come

:32:25.:32:30.

before the UK believes the EU? Does it have to come in the window

:32:31.:32:37.

between the beginning of 2018, and probably March 2019? If there is

:32:38.:32:40.

going to be a second one, is that when it has to be? I don't get a

:32:41.:32:45.

sense that people have an understanding of what Brexit means

:32:46.:32:49.

for them. They have found so far that there laptop has gone up in

:32:50.:32:56.

price. We have not got too much time, I just want to know if that is

:32:57.:33:01.

the window. We need to see what the deal is on the table. When will the

:33:02.:33:07.

third referendum be? Presumably you will hold them continuously until

:33:08.:33:12.

you get the right answer. I always took the view that on balance the

:33:13.:33:15.

first referendum would be lost. I think the second will be one. I

:33:16.:33:22.

remember that the SNP ran on a manifesto last year that said if

:33:23.:33:26.

there is a material change in circumstance, we reserve the right

:33:27.:33:31.

to hold a second referendum. Clearly, being put out of the EU is

:33:32.:33:35.

a material change. So when is the third one? We do not even know when

:33:36.:33:42.

the second one is. Let me come onto the inauguration, the global story.

:33:43.:33:49.

Let me point out something that could never have been said before.

:33:50.:33:53.

There is now a Eurosceptic moving into the Oval Office. There is now

:33:54.:33:58.

somebody who backs Brexit moving into the Oval Office, someone who

:33:59.:34:04.

has no interest in EU integration, indeed, I think would not mind if it

:34:05.:34:10.

unravelled. It totally changes state Department policy for the past 50

:34:11.:34:15.

is. This is a watershed in Britain and Europe's relationship with the

:34:16.:34:20.

United States. Yes, assuming he can carry that through the ranks of the

:34:21.:34:24.

State Department, absolutely. I found it so frustrating as Defence

:34:25.:34:28.

Secretary watching the efforts of the French to ease the Americans out

:34:29.:34:34.

of Europe, to create a European defence identity to supplant Nato,

:34:35.:34:39.

although extremely ineffectively. I was frustrated that the Americans

:34:40.:34:43.

could not see the danger posed to our joint security by the

:34:44.:34:47.

arrangements that were, that the European Union as spy at to make. I

:34:48.:34:52.

am pleased now to have a more realistic President. It is quite a

:34:53.:34:58.

watershed. That is the first time I have heard the words "Realistic" and

:34:59.:35:05.

"Trump" in the same sentence. It is an enormous change. I mean for

:35:06.:35:13.

Britain, to have a Eurosceptic, pro-Brexit, that would never have

:35:14.:35:16.

happened under any other President. It is an enormous turnaround. We

:35:17.:35:23.

have not had the opportunity to decide what is the difference

:35:24.:35:27.

between his rhetoric and the reality. How will he perform as a

:35:28.:35:32.

President? It was interesting when Michael Gove asked him whether

:35:33.:35:35.

Britain was at the front of the queue and was desperate to get that

:35:36.:35:41.

answer. His answer was, you are doing great. What does that mean?

:35:42.:35:49.

Final thoughts. All over Europe, Theresa May is being pictured next

:35:50.:35:53.

to Donald Trump in cartoons as if they are in it together and a lack

:35:54.:35:58.

of global vision, tiny minded, small island... I thought Mrs May's speech

:35:59.:36:04.

to Davos yesterday and on Tuesday morning was all about going into the

:36:05.:36:11.

world, global vision. Just because she is saying, I like the world...

:36:12.:36:18.

There are 12 countries Liam Fox is talking to about free trade. Why is

:36:19.:36:24.

that not going into the world? Because it is meaningless while we

:36:25.:36:30.

do not know what we will end up with with the European Union. Donald

:36:31.:36:34.

Trump, I suppose, has come at a good time, while we are looking for

:36:35.:36:38.

people who also do not like Europe to hang out with. We can hang out

:36:39.:36:43.

with him. I think that Jess is labouring under the illusion that

:36:44.:36:47.

the European Union is a free trade organisation. It is a protectionist

:36:48.:36:51.

organisation. We have come full circle and I will move on. Thank

:36:52.:36:52.

you. Now, I have to interrupt

:36:53.:36:55.

proceedings to issue an apology With the greatest respect,

:36:56.:36:58.

we no longer want full membership of your exclusive nightclub,

:36:59.:37:01.

just the greatest possible access. Michael just doesn't

:37:02.:37:04.

understand why you won't give And why can't Jess hear a British

:37:05.:37:06.

accent when she's in the courtyard I hope you're sensible enough

:37:07.:37:10.

to allow us free entry whenever we feel like it and without regard

:37:11.:37:14.

to club rules. But if you're going to be

:37:15.:37:16.

unreasonable, well, we'll respectfully have

:37:17.:37:18.

to open our own club where we'll sell bootleg Blue Nun and bargain

:37:19.:37:20.

basement Mini Cheddars Prime Minister Theresa May was full

:37:21.:37:22.

of respect for her European friends when outlining her divorce

:37:23.:37:43.

terms on Monday. I respect the position taken

:37:44.:37:44.

by European leaders. We not only respect that

:37:45.:37:46.

fact, but support it. Boris Johnson appeared to compare

:37:47.:37:56.

Anglo-French relations to life Has he lost the esteem

:37:57.:37:58.

of his parliamentary It is amazing, isn't it,

:37:59.:38:05.

that this guy is in charge of the Foreign Office,

:38:06.:38:08.

our great Foreign Office? He doesn't seem to be learning any

:38:09.:38:10.

of the lessons of diplomacy. Should this man really be at the top

:38:11.:38:13.

of our foreign relations? Any senior politician,

:38:14.:38:16.

just don't mention the war. Meanwhile, Barack Obama

:38:17.:38:19.

was keen to show his respect for the White House press pack,

:38:20.:38:25.

a week after his successor I want to thank you all

:38:26.:38:28.

for your extraordinary service to our democracy,

:38:29.:38:33.

and with that, I will In Davos, Xi Jinping,

:38:34.:38:35.

Communist China's authoritarian president, called on leaders

:38:36.:38:46.

of liberal democracies TRANSLATION: We must remain

:38:47.:38:49.

committed to developing free Public school don and historian

:38:50.:38:55.

Anthony Seldon knows all about character,

:38:56.:39:02.

so how important is respect And Anthony Seldon joins us now.

:39:03.:39:22.

Thank you for being with us. Is our respect for each other in general,

:39:23.:39:28.

is it in decline? It's very hard to say. We can say that it's a really

:39:29.:39:33.

important commodity in society, it's what makes a good or just society.

:39:34.:39:40.

If we don't have that sense of wanting to support each other,

:39:41.:39:42.

understand each other, if we are just going to be blanking each other

:39:43.:39:46.

out, denigrating each other, humiliating each other, then we

:39:47.:39:51.

don't have the basis for what, throughout history, has made good

:39:52.:39:55.

societies. And we should be teaching it in schools all the way through.

:39:56.:39:59.

We don't do enough of that in schools? We have a crazy school

:40:00.:40:07.

system. We focus just on exams, a single person, cramming their head

:40:08.:40:11.

with information, spitting it out, passive knowledge, regurgitating it

:40:12.:40:15.

in exams. This has nothing to do with preparing people for life, for

:40:16.:40:19.

life in society, for building good building blocks for our communities,

:40:20.:40:25.

has nothing to do with building families, nothing to do with even

:40:26.:40:30.

jobs, you know. Nobody in a job, as it struck anybody in government,

:40:31.:40:34.

sits on their own and answers essay questions. They work together,

:40:35.:40:39.

thinking. We need to develop entrepreneurship, active learning

:40:40.:40:46.

and decent values. Have we become a less respectful society? I'm not

:40:47.:40:51.

sure that we have. You hear statistics about elderly people

:40:52.:40:55.

being more lonely and people not to visiting their grandparents any more

:40:56.:40:59.

and things like that. I can't say I notice on the street that young

:41:00.:41:02.

people are disrespecting any more than... Obviously, I am a bit

:41:03.:41:08.

younger than the other people here, so maybe it's not in my lifetime

:41:09.:41:15.

that it's gone downhill. Obviously, you are only marginally older. I am

:41:16.:41:19.

surprised Anthony launched that critique of education with all the

:41:20.:41:24.

focus on exams. One of the things that characterises education is

:41:25.:41:28.

respect for teachers. That is an enormous driver, one of the triptych

:41:29.:41:32.

things that comes out of education. If teachers do not hold the respect

:41:33.:41:37.

of their pupils, you have a problem. I assume that at the schools where

:41:38.:41:41.

you were headmaster, respect was substantial. I am still in touch

:41:42.:41:45.

with my headmaster. Imagine how old he is, given how old you think I am.

:41:46.:41:52.

Good old Harrow County, which has helped to make you what you are. We

:41:53.:41:57.

are affected by the family, the groups around us. Schools and exams

:41:58.:42:03.

are important. The problem is we thought exams and Ofsted report 's

:42:04.:42:06.

were all that matters in schools. Actually, it is about building... I

:42:07.:42:15.

think the referendum showed that people still respect Parliament.

:42:16.:42:18.

British people thought, here is something that we value, we think

:42:19.:42:22.

should be put in the prime position. We understand it. The British people

:42:23.:42:28.

are good at changing Parliament. We go from massive Labour majorities to

:42:29.:42:32.

annihilating the Labour Party. We support the Liberal Democrats, then

:42:33.:42:36.

we annihilate them. The British people have control of it, and

:42:37.:42:40.

therefore they respect it. This is certainly true. Such a narrow

:42:41.:42:47.

margin, 48-52. I was for Remainer, but we lost, and let's make the most

:42:48.:42:51.

of it. That is what the vast majority have accepted. There is

:42:52.:42:59.

great respect for parliamentarians. Is there? Is it healthy that we seem

:43:00.:43:04.

to have lost respect for a lot of institutions? We should be critical.

:43:05.:43:08.

A lot of great education in schools is about teaching scepticism, not

:43:09.:43:12.

just to accept authority because it is authority. We are a democracy and

:43:13.:43:17.

we should be critical and form our own judgments. And you can show too

:43:18.:43:23.

much respect. In Davos this week, the Davos elite showed too much

:43:24.:43:27.

respect to the President of China, not raising the issues they should

:43:28.:43:33.

have done with him. We should always challenge people. People worthy of

:43:34.:43:38.

respect deserve our respect. We should not respect people who do not

:43:39.:43:41.

respect us, themselves or other people. I think respect is not an

:43:42.:43:46.

absolute, it is a qualified and it should be there, but it is able then

:43:47.:43:51.

block of society. What are the chances we will come to respect

:43:52.:43:57.

Donald Trump. None. I will never respect anyone like that. You have

:43:58.:44:02.

to respect the office, and the majority of Americans will continue

:44:03.:44:07.

to respect the office. He is head of state and of government. He has a

:44:08.:44:13.

chance, if he respect men and women, he will get there. I have two

:44:14.:44:17.

respect the schedule. We have run out of time.

:44:18.:44:19.

That's your lot for tonight folks, but not for us, we're off

:44:20.:44:22.

to LouLou's for Joe Biden's end of the world survivalist jamboree.

:44:23.:44:25.

Free nuclear bunkers and cyanide pills for everyone!

:44:26.:44:27.

Joe has put together the line-up of a lifetime -

:44:28.:44:29.

Beyonce, Adele, Elvis, Queen and even the Beatles

:44:30.:44:31.

But perhaps not quite as much as what's happening

:44:32.:44:36.

Nighty night, don't let the 45th President of the United States bite.

:44:37.:44:46.

And I don't care, frankly, if it's going to be beautiful

:44:47.:44:55.

I have a feeling it's going to be beautiful.

:44:56.:45:01.

Because what we've done is so special.

:45:02.:45:04.

All over the world they are talking about it.

:45:05.:45:07.

And we are going to make America great again.

:45:08.:45:15.

Thank you very much and enjoy the fireworks.

:45:16.:45:37.

That I will faithfully execute the Office...

:45:38.:45:41.

And will to the best of my ability...

:45:42.:45:45.

The Constitution of the United States...

:45:46.:45:57.

Why would James Delaney hate the India so?

:45:58.:46:02.

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