26/01/2012 World Business Report


26/01/2012

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Greece is still in the headlines. In Kent Nokia it make a comeback in

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the smart phone war? -- and can. The welcome to World Business

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report. The headlines: deadlocked and running out of time. Greece and

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its creditors return to the negotiating table to try and avoid

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a looming default. Here at the World Economic Forum in Davos the

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focus is still on the eurozone crisis as the German Chancellor

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keeps the pressure on budget cuts and the UK Prime Minister is set to

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call for more competitiveness. Nintendo is facing tough times as

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it loses market share to other gadgets. Plus the declining

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fortunes of not here. Another fall in earnings as it struggles in the

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brave new world of the smart phone. -- Nokia. As ever, the devil is in

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the detail and time is running out for Greece s talks on a debt swap

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resumed. Greece is trying to get creditors to swap government bonds

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for new ones with half their face value, then by slicing Behan's off

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the Greek debt. But agreement has stalled over interest rates on the

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new bond. -- billions. Let's talk about these discussions that have

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been going on for days. Is it just about that interest rate? No, it is

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not just about the interest rate. There is much more going on. That

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relates to the European Central Bank's role. The big question is,

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can the European Central Bank itself face reducing the debt stock

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on its holdings and take a haircut. It has not been clear whether the

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ECB will do that. Yesterday Christine Lagarde said very

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strongly that that should be what the ECB should do, yet we had

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German leader saying the ECB should not take a haircut. This is

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fascinating because this debate has been going on in private for a

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while. This is the first time it has come out in public. In my

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opinion the ECB must be the one to play. There are use of history

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between dozens of countries and the rule is that the public and private

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sectors take the same reductions in debt stock. The ECB should do the

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same. Where do you believe things should go? Greece must make this

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huge payment by 20th March. This is just the first step. That date is

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one of the most important economic periods in history. We may not get

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an agreement. The Greek government will force some pressures to join

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in on the debt reduction. Then you will get some sort of deal, maybe

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in time, may be a default. Then there is the other big issue, what

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happens to Greek banks. Will they be sufficiently capitalised?

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situation remains critical indeed. We will keep you across any

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developments from Athens. The eurozone is dominating proceedings

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in Davos. It seems that the opening tone for this conference in Davos,

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this World Economic Forum, is negative. Confidence has not yet

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arrived. We can hoped that it may do so in the next few days as some

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ideas may emerge about how Grothe can be promoted or will it the use

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of stagnation. Martin is here to muddle through this with us. Mardon,

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are you feeling gloomy about economic prospects? Actually, we

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have had meetings and I find that business people have the view we

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will muddle through. They believe it will be difficult and messy.

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Part of the problem is if the creek before came it would be

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unpredictable. We need a fireball around Italy, which people are

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trying to build. -- firewall. If Creek -- Greece defaults and

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contagion spreads to Italy, it will be a problem for French banks. But

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people do not see a real default. Angela Merkel says Germany paid too

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high a price for East Germany. But I don't think so. The Germans are

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also paying to bail-out the rest of Europe, so they are exacting the

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hard bargain. They want fist full integration. She is negotiating. --

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fiscal. The biggest issue will not be in Europe. This time next year

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we will be worrying about America. Some people don't agree, but some

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Americans believe the US deficit is the real elephant in the room and

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after the election, when Barack Obama will probably be re-elected,

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he will have to do with that. will be a lot of talk about

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structural change this week. David Cameron, the UK Prime Minister, is

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about to talk today about compared deafness within Europe. Kent the

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structural changes promote growth fast enough to pay off the debt? --

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candies. -- can these. Nokia has been trying to catch up with market

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leaders. Up until two years ago, Nokia had a 40% share of the global

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market of mobile phones and 80% of the profits. Then Apple and Samsung

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lodged hugely popular smart phones. Nokia has found it hard to catch up.

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Lastly it abandoned its own smart phone software and brought in

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Microsoft technology. Now it has problems selling its stock. The

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sales of its all products and declining much more quickly than

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its new products are increasing. Their financial results will show

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of a big gap between those things. Nokia is two different businesses.

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The first one is smart phones based on the Windows platform. The second

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one is based on more rudimentary phones based on its own technology.

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But Nokia sells 400 million of this type of phone worldwide every year.

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This makes it by volume and the world's biggest manufacturer of

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mobile phones. Nokia is very popular in countries like India,

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but even here that is threatened. That loyalty will be pressured when

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we get low cost smart phones coming into China and India. Nokia fears

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that there will be a difficult time ahead. Investors are losing

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confidence in Nokia. Last year its share price slumped by 50%. It has

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begun to sacking 10,000 staff. There are questions about whether

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or not yet can survive in its current form and talk of with

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splitting up altogether with its smart phone division merging with

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another technology giant. Now all about Nintendo. Tell us about

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Nintendo. We are waiting for its result. That is right. They are

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forecasting gloomy quarterly earnings. The Japanese company is

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expecting a 50% slide in profit. It had to reduce its prices to improve

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sales. It has been hit by weaker global demand and a strong Japanese

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currency. Late last year it announced it would report its first

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ever annual loss later this year. For many use it dominated the

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industry. But it is now struggling to keep up with more versatile

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gadgets like apple smart phones and tablets. The markets are doing well,

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though. Yes, doing quite well today thanks to the news from the Federal

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reserve about keeping interest rates low. But that is being

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contained by lingering concerns that Greece will default on its

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debt. Hong Kong is higher. South Korea is supported by hi-tech

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prices. The dollar is weaker against Asian currencies after the

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Federal reserve statement. We appreciate your input to the

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program. Before we go, eyeball mentioned that the big story is the

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focus on Greece and Athens with discussions about debt. Currencies

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are on the move. The dollar is doing rather well. The euro is

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remaining jittery. That news from Ben Bernanke saying they will keep

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