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Those are the latest headlines from BBC World News. | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
Now for the latest financial news with Sally and World Business | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
Building walls and trashing trade agreements, Donald Trump lays | :00:00. | :00:17. | |
out his economic plans for the world's biggest economy today. | :00:18. | :00:19. | |
And China shows further signs of weakness. | :00:20. | :00:25. | |
The latest trade figures came in worse than expected, | :00:26. | :00:27. | |
with exports shrinking for 21st month in a row. | :00:28. | :00:37. | |
Welcome to World Business Report, I'm Sally Bundock. | :00:38. | :00:45. | |
Also in the programme: We will get some top career tips | :00:46. | :00:47. | |
from the founder of the world's largest foreign exchange company, | :00:48. | :00:50. | |
We start in the US, where Donald Trump will be hoping | :00:51. | :00:57. | |
to jump-start his presidential campaign, after a difficult week | :00:58. | :01:00. | |
The Republican candidate is in Detroit where he will try | :01:01. | :01:06. | |
to win over voters, and his speech is expected to outline his plans | :01:07. | :01:09. | |
Trump has already outlined several of his key policies. | :01:10. | :01:13. | |
Let's take a look at what we know so far. | :01:14. | :01:15. | |
The billionaire businessman has proposed a series of tax cuts | :01:16. | :01:18. | |
A Republican government would see the top rate of corporation tax cut | :01:19. | :01:22. | |
That is a reduction of more than half. | :01:23. | :01:32. | |
Mr Trump has also vowed to put American workers first. | :01:33. | :01:35. | |
He proposes to do that by strengthening borders, | :01:36. | :01:37. | |
and says he will deport any illegal immigrants out of the country. | :01:38. | :01:40. | |
It is estimated this could see some 11 million people, | :01:41. | :01:42. | |
or 3.5% of the population, removed from the United States. | :01:43. | :01:45. | |
Protectionism is another big issue for the Republican candidate. | :01:46. | :01:47. | |
Mr Trump has proposed a 45% levy on Chinese goods and a 35% tax | :01:48. | :01:51. | |
He hopes this will safeguard American jobs, but his opponents | :01:52. | :02:09. | |
suggest that this could spark an all-out trade war. | :02:10. | :02:11. | |
Peter Morici is an academic at the University of Maryland, | :02:12. | :02:14. | |
and a former chief economist at the US International Trade | :02:15. | :02:16. | |
Good morning, all good evening as is the case where you are. Thank you | :02:17. | :02:32. | |
for being on the programme. As ever with the Donald Trump story, it is | :02:33. | :02:38. | |
extremely divisive, with strong opinions on both sides about his | :02:39. | :02:43. | |
economic plans. What are your thoughts? Well, I think if we're | :02:44. | :02:47. | |
talking about imposing a tariff on China for the purpose of our | :02:48. | :02:54. | |
relationship with them, kind of Brexit move, then it makes some | :02:55. | :02:58. | |
sense. If we are talking about closing our borders, it makes no | :02:59. | :03:02. | |
sense at all. We can't deport 11 million people, that is absurd. The | :03:03. | :03:06. | |
time has passed when we can say that these people are here illegally and | :03:07. | :03:10. | |
must leave. Many of them have had children here, this is getting to be | :03:11. | :03:16. | |
a bit absurd. So a lot of it is absurd, as you say, but will it be | :03:17. | :03:20. | |
one of those situations where it is about winning votes prior to getting | :03:21. | :03:23. | |
the job and if he does get the job his team around him will advise him | :03:24. | :03:28. | |
on a more rational way? Well, when I look at the economic advisory team | :03:29. | :03:32. | |
that he appointed on Friday, I would say no. My feeling is he has got a | :03:33. | :03:37. | |
bunch of financial guys who are buddies of his, real estate people | :03:38. | :03:42. | |
and so forth, it is very thin on economic and public policy | :03:43. | :03:47. | |
expertise. Of those, some of those with expertise are a bit gadflyish | :03:48. | :03:54. | |
with their attitudes. He can't get reputable people to advise him. Not | :03:55. | :03:57. | |
that the committee is devoid of reputable people but I am largely | :03:58. | :04:01. | |
can't get reputable economists to work with him. OK, so you are | :04:02. | :04:05. | |
concerned about the team around him but the issue is also if he gets the | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
job in November, to what extent can you push radical change through | :04:11. | :04:14. | |
anyway, given how the Congress is sort of playing out, and also you've | :04:15. | :04:17. | |
got things like an independent Federal Reserve that would hopefully | :04:18. | :04:22. | |
have some sort of influence? Well, the Federal Reserve is vulnerable, | :04:23. | :04:28. | |
and some economists on the team, one of whom is very critical of the | :04:29. | :04:33. | |
Federal Reserve policy, they could find allies in the Congress and that | :04:34. | :04:38. | |
would undermine the Fed's independence, that concerns me a | :04:39. | :04:42. | |
great deal. Imposing a large tariff requires congressional approval. You | :04:43. | :04:46. | |
could do it on an emergency basis as a short-term thing to force | :04:47. | :04:50. | |
negotiations with China but you really can't, for example, just rip | :04:51. | :04:55. | |
up Nafta and throw it out the window, as we are electing a | :04:56. | :05:01. | |
president and not a dictator. A big drop in corporation tax, and also on | :05:02. | :05:05. | |
taxes for all individuals in America, regardless of what they are | :05:06. | :05:11. | |
earning. How do you add that up, how will, therefore, the Federal | :05:12. | :05:14. | |
Government pay for things if they are getting less money coming in? I | :05:15. | :05:18. | |
can tell you categorically that tax cut is not going to happen. There | :05:19. | :05:22. | |
will be a tax cut, but not the Trump tax cut. It will cost $1 trillion a | :05:23. | :05:27. | |
year, that is an enormous slice of US federal revenue. He would simply | :05:28. | :05:32. | |
have to accept a much smaller tax cut and also cuts in spending and | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
other places to pay for some of it. You just cannot justify these kinds | :05:38. | :05:42. | |
of rate cuts, they are so Draconian. And I am an economic conservative, I | :05:43. | :05:47. | |
want lower taxes and less government at this is witchery. And who is your | :05:48. | :05:51. | |
money on, finally, Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Who is going to get | :05:52. | :05:56. | |
the job in November? Hillary Clinton is going to win. Donald Trump is | :05:57. | :06:01. | |
running an undisciplined campaign which is largely a family operation. | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
He has surrounded himself by cronies. It is not a professional | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
campaign. He may be a great real estate wheeler and dealer, but | :06:10. | :06:14. | |
politician he is not. He is out of his element. Thank you for your | :06:15. | :06:17. | |
perspective and later when we hear more of what Mr Trump has been | :06:18. | :06:20. | |
saying in Detroit we shall update you. | :06:21. | :06:21. | |
In the last couple of hours, the latest set of trade statistics | :06:22. | :06:24. | |
Sharanjit Leyl is in Singapore for us. | :06:25. | :06:28. | |
Last time I spoke to you you were with me here in the studio. Nice to | :06:29. | :06:36. | |
see you back in Singapore. How is China doing? Well, not very well | :06:37. | :06:41. | |
unfortunately. Exports and imports falling more than expected in July. | :06:42. | :06:45. | |
It is a sign of a sluggish global demand. We saw deteriorating imports | :06:46. | :06:51. | |
as well to China. That is raising a lot of concerns about the domestic | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
conditions within China. Essentially what we saw was exports falling 4.4% | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
from Asia's largest economy from the previous year. Imports were down | :07:01. | :07:05. | |
12.5% in dollar terms and the trade surplus widening to over $52 | :07:06. | :07:09. | |
billion. Officials essentially having to boost fiscal support. They | :07:10. | :07:13. | |
are trying to improve investment and consumption at home but really not | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
resulting in March. You will recall of course it has been a year since | :07:18. | :07:24. | |
China's surprised evaluation of the yuan, the weaker currency isn't | :07:25. | :07:28. | |
really benefiting that much and it really should boost exports. | :07:29. | :07:31. | |
Analysts say that the global economy as well has already been weakened by | :07:32. | :07:36. | |
the UK's surprise vote to leave the EU. It is sluggish, there is | :07:37. | :07:41. | |
increasing uncertainty and it is also interesting to compare | :07:42. | :07:46. | |
Chinaexports as well as imports to different parts of the world. | :07:47. | :07:51. | |
Exports to the US slipping 2%. They fell compared to the European Union | :07:52. | :07:55. | |
bloc imports to Australia, where China has always looked for iron ore | :07:56. | :08:00. | |
and other resources, they slumped some 22%. We also saw oil imports | :08:01. | :08:05. | |
falling the six-month lows, mainly due to the falls in the price of | :08:06. | :08:09. | |
crude. So overall not great news from China at this point. Thank you | :08:10. | :08:14. | |
very much. We will see how that feeds through in markets in a | :08:15. | :08:15. | |
minute. In other news: The UK's | :08:16. | :08:18. | |
Serious Fraud Office has launched an investigation into allegations | :08:19. | :08:20. | |
of fraud, bribery and corruption involving the aircraft | :08:21. | :08:22. | |
manufacturer Airbus. The allegations relate | :08:23. | :08:24. | |
to irregularities concerning the use Airbus said it was co-operating | :08:25. | :08:26. | |
with the probe, which was Now let's turn to the mystifying | :08:27. | :08:29. | |
world of career advice. We asked the boss of the world's | :08:30. | :08:43. | |
largest foreign exchange bureau, Travelex, what he wished he had been | :08:44. | :08:45. | |
told before starting I think the most important thing for | :08:46. | :08:53. | |
anyone building a business today is persistence. Certainly for me in | :08:54. | :08:55. | |
many occasions where it has made a many occasions where it has made a | :08:56. | :08:59. | |
real difference. There is a great quote from Calvin Coolidge, the | :09:00. | :09:02. | |
American President, who once said that nothing in the world can take | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
the place of persistence. Talent will not, Genius will not, education | :09:08. | :09:12. | |
will not. Persistence and determination are alone are | :09:13. | :09:19. | |
omnipotent. Don't necessarily get hung up on qualifications. I've been | :09:20. | :09:22. | |
fortunate enough to recruit some amazing boys and girls who didn't | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
necessarily come with fantastic degrees and MBAs, but were just | :09:27. | :09:32. | |
committed, enthusiastic, really wanted to make a difference. The | :09:33. | :09:36. | |
reverse is also true. I have recruited people with degrees and | :09:37. | :09:40. | |
MBAs who turned out to be useless. It is gut feel. Do the people you | :09:41. | :09:45. | |
want to recruit want to be a part of what you are trying to build? Let's | :09:46. | :09:50. | |
have a look at the markets and you can get a sense of how they are | :09:51. | :09:54. | |
reacting. As you can see, the fact that China is seeing slowing trade | :09:55. | :09:58. | |
growth, not really phasing market at all. The yen, $1 buying just | :09:59. | :10:26. | |
People are under-reporting the amount they eat, | :10:27. | :10:28. |