09/08/2016 World Business Report


09/08/2016

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Raghuram Rajan makes his swan song as head of the Indian Reserve Bank.

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He's been dubbed the "rockstar" central banker for curbing India's

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run-away inflation, but who will replace him?

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And is high-street banking on its last legs?

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We'll take a look at the technologies set

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to revolutionise the way we move our money.

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Also in the programme, we'll cross live to Asia to hear

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about China's latest set of inflation figures.

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We start in India where today Raghuram Rajan will make his last

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policy decision as governor of the Indian central bank.

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It's not often that policymakers are described as rock stars,

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and Mr Rajan will be a very difficult act to follow.

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When he took over as head of the central bank in 2013,

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India was suffering from rampant double-digit inflation

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and a currency that experienced sharp falls on a daily basis.

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Mr Rajan brought India in line with modern economies by adopting

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Since then prices are much more stable.

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The latest data shows the Indian inflation rate

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When Mr Rajan steps down in early September, his successor will be one

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of the key policymakers responsible for the fastest growing major

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Sameer Hashmi joins us from outside the Indian central bank.

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Nice to see you. It is quite an important day. Let's start with any

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decision they are likely to make it the central bank today. -- at. In

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less than an hour's time we will find out what Rajan's last decision

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is as far as monetary policy is concerned. Given what has happened

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in the last couple of months, Rajan has been vocal that inflation is a

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big worry for India, and he will not cut rates until the reserve bank of

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India, the central bank, is sure it is in the comfort zone, as they

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describe it. No surprises expected given it is Mr Rajan's last policy

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and during his tenure his focus has been keeping inflation low. It looks

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unlikely there will be rate cuts. So just explain, are we any clearer as

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to why he is going? There was controversy about the fact that he

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decided not to continue, and who might fill his shoes? Well, Mr

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Rajan, his three-year term comes to an end in September and the rule

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allows the Indian central bank governor to get a two-year

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extension. The Indian government, headed by Narendra Modi, there were

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voices in the government which were not in favour of Mr Rajan

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continuing. Now, there are various reasons for that, some are

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political, some feel that he was not doing a good enough job, some

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thought he kept interest rates too high. One of the key reasons or

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perceptions here is Mr Rajan is a very candid intellectual who does

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not shy away from speaking his mind. He has criticised many policies

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initiated by Narendra Modi's government and many think that is

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what went against him because the government does not want a central

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bank governor who speaks his mind, criticise decisions and even issues

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that doesn't fall in the domain of the Indian central bank. That is one

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key reason why the government is not keen to give him an extension and

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that is why Mr Rajan decided to quit. As far as York question, that

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is the million dollar question -- your question. The government is

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expected to announce it in the next couple of days. Some of the leading

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contenders include the former chief economist of the International

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Monetary Fund, there is also the chief economic adviser to India. The

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thinking is the government wants to replace Mr Rajan with the person who

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has global credentials so that it sends out the right message to the

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investors and the business community at large. Super. We will watch with

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interest. For now, thank you. It's not just central banking

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making the headlines. Today we receive the findings

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of a two-year investigation into competition in the UK

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commercial and consumer banking The country's watchdog is expected

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to highlight the role of technology in providing alternatives

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to traditional high street banks. Mondo Bank is a smartphone based

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current account provider. The company is set to receive

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its banking license later this year. With me is Paul Rippon,

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the company's deputy Chief Good morning, Paul. I would imagine

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this report coming out today is music to your ears, the fact they

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are likely to say that the main players on the high-street have to

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do more to increase their technology. Yes, the report out

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later today I am sure will give the big banks are big kick and I think

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that is very appropriate indeed. Yes, you are right. It is all about

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messages of transparency and also it is about these things, you know,

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smart phones. Three out of four of us are using them every day and it

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is about time banking took advantage of the fantastic power in these

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things. You have worked in banking for many years, worked for quite a

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couple of high street players and building societies. It is funny,

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because the smart device in Africa or India is the way to do banking,

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when many don't have access to a high-street bank. It is in all

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developed economies like the UK where we are far behind. You think

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so but already there is change. At Mondo Bank we're already seeing

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people with their fingers. Instead of with their feet. We have got

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about 200,000 people already that have said they want to hear and to

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know more about it. It is very exciting. I think change is

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happening already. Change is happening for few but not for the

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vast majority of people who use banks in the UK, and this report is

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basically going to criticise the main players in the industry to say

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they are not doing enough, not transparent enough, not telling us

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enough about when we are being charged and what we are being

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charged. Do you think high-street players will listen? I do believe

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they will listen. How long they will take to do anything about it is

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another thing entirely. About half of people, for example, use

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overdrafts, and I believe that is where this report will particularly

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focus on. Half people use an overdraft, I use mine, they can be

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quite expensive, and this is about time that phones are used and banks

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can make it much clearer. I think that is very good news but you are

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right that it will take a long time. It might take a long time and for

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those of us who are technophobes, using a phone to do my banking is

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scary, I won't put all my money and decisions on a smart device. Well,

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you know what, that is what these... They are incredibly powerful, and

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that is the job, so companies like Mondo, we are trying to make the

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experience magical, so you shouldn't need to do the hard work. That is

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one of the problems with banking at the moment. You have to do all the

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hard work. So let's make it feel like magic. And why shouldn't it be?

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Banking is magic, that is the first time I have heard that on this

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programme. Thanks very much for coming on. Let's move on.

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In the last few hours, we've received the latest inflation

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Lovely to see you. What's it like, good, bad or other? Nothing, it

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wasn't really that exciting. It goes to show that the cost of living in

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China rose by 1.8% in July from year ago levels because of rising

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vegetable prices in some areas. They were focusing on the producer price

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index, measuring cost of goods at factory gate, which fell 17% year on

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year last month and Chinese PDI has been negative for more than four

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years. Narrowing declines over the last couple of months have fuelled

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hopes the economy could be reaching the bottom of a painful slowdown and

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analysts has said the improvement in the PPI should benefit the corporate

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sector's profitability but it will also mainly help state-owned

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enterprises which dominate heavy industry. Well, this twin

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development coming out today, Sally, comes out of trade figures on

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Monday, which revealed exporter fallen nearly 4.5%, suggesting world

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demand is weakening, while the 12.5% tumble in imports is a reminder that

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China's economy is indeed slowing down. And this highlights that the

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strategy to improve the -- domestic consumption has failed to offset the

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marked slowdown in the mainland's traditional economic driver, so

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going forward still the major challenge of growth for the Chinese

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economy. All right, thank you so much. Let's quickly look at markets,

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so you have a sense of how it is going. Four days of gains for Japan.

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That is not right across the board. Oil is just down below $45 a barrel.

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I will see you very soon. We will talk you through the papers very

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soon. Say -- stay with us. Sally will be joining the very

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shortly to have a look at the papers around the world but first I want to

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bring you some news that has come from the housing charity,

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