01/11/2016 World Business Report


01/11/2016

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Now for the latest financial news with Sally

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Black gold - 2 of the worlds largest oil companies report earnings today

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giving investors vital insight into how big oil is coping

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The squeezed middle - as voters in the US prepare

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to make their choice we find out which candidate the middle classes

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believe will boost their bank balance.

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Also in the programme, we'll cross over to Asia

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where the latest manufacturing data is pointing to recovery

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Global oil giants BP and Shell are due to release their quarterly

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The oil producers are both expected to post a decline in profits,

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but BP in particular is expected to show more signs of weakness

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as the price of crude fails to recover.

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Oil has had a rocky 2016 - in January it dropped to its lowest

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level in over a decade at around $28 a barrel.

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It's currently hovering around $50 a barrel,

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weighed down by persistent oversupply.

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In September the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries

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- or OPEC - agreed to do something about this.

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At a meeting in Algeria they announced a modest limit on oil

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output levels in order to prop up prices.

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This is the first cut in production since 2008,

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but the details of the how the cuts will work are yet to be finalised

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and any further agreement has yet to be reached following a meeting

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of both OPEC and non-OPEC members over the weekend.

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Russ Mould, Investment Director at AJ Bell.

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Good morning. Lets talk about the two companies to start with. We have

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had big US oil numbers reported an their profit at 35% 45% year on year

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so that is the benchmark. The European looking for BP and Shell to

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be down by half. They are quite different companies to what they

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were at the beginning of the year. It was a big manoeuvre, 47 billion

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dollars. It meant they are more exposed to liquefied gas, deep water

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drilling in Brazil, for example. Shell has more petrol chemical

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exposure. BP lubricants. It all depends on different parts of the

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world as well. We are looking at a significant fall in profits but what

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about other elements - capital expenditure, that kind of thing? If

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you look, BP shares and Shell shares are near a 12 month high of partly

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because it has recovered from its lowest but capital investment cuts,

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cost-cutting, they are leaner and meaner that is the mantra from both

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companies. The meeting in Vienna on Friday has spilt into Saturday. We

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all hoped OPEC would say about production cuts. We should learn our

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lessons given its records. Even if OPEC comes to an agreement, non-

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OPEC may see this as an opportunity to grab shares. They seemed to

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spring back to life after all your reach is $50 per barrel. Relying on

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OPEC is a road to ruin, as in the past. Russia is also meeting with

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representatives and it too promised reduction cuts. You have to wait to

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deliver, again, unfortunately. Russia and Saudi Arabia need oil at

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around $100 per barrel to balance. They have a vested interest to

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getting oil up their but the Saudi's be cynical, could be different. When

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will it be at the end of the year? That's a brutal question. I will

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save $40 per barrel. Let's cross over to the US

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where middle class rage has Many Americans feel the economy

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is doing poorly and the next generation will be financially worse

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off than their parents. Michelle Fleury has been to Florida

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to find out who people believe On Florida's Coast, where the

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American dream went broke in the housing collapse of 2007. The

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horrors of that crash could still be felt in the real estate market and

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in this year's election. How much of your income... About 56.5% is going

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towards the rent. It is our lot. Jennifer works as a nurse, owning a

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home is unthinkable without help. At this stage, she is undecided but

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clearly she wants to hear of someone who eases her financial burden.

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Someone needs to prove to my type of class that they will go above and

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beyond this country. The science seem to favour Donald Trump. He has

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tapped into dissatisfaction. $119,000... As a local estate agent,

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he has had a front seat. He has a ready cast his vote for Donald

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Trump. We need change. We work twice as hard to pay half as much. I am

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not saying that is going to change immediately if somebody like Donald

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Trump gets elected but at the the better if I put somebody a

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businessman rather than a politician in that position. With every bust,

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winners emerge. One person who got it good deal was Laurent Richardson

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and she will not be voting for Donald Trump. As strong as a

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businessman as he is, I would not trust his decisions. I think it

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would hire great people but I think Hillary Clinton would do as good as

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the job and her experience is primary. I also hold a lot of social

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issues she prioritises as near and dear to my heart. Hillary Clinton

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sounds a more up beat note on the economy while Donald Trump points to

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those struggling as a sign of economic despair. Here, in a swing

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state, the economic losers and winners live side-by-side.

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Markets in Asia have been given a boost by the latest

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The manufacturing sector has expanded at a faster pace

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Great to see you. How excited should we be? Investors are cheering this

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manufacturing activity from China. It has expanded in its fastest pace

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in more than two years in the month of October. Prices, garments,

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electronics have now been on demand and it has been a challenging couple

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of years for the Chinese but analysts are saying this data could

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be an indication that the economy might be stabilising, fuelled by

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stronger government spending, and a redhot property market. The

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benchmark came in at 51 .2 in October compared to 50.4 in the

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previous months. It indicates an expansion. If you take a look at the

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three quarters markets, the economy grew and look set to reach the

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four-year target to 7% but despite all these positive numbers and there

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are still red flags. The incidents persisted sluggishness in global

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demand. Despite the apparent surge in domestic spending, the government

:09:27.:09:32.

has pledged rod capacity reduction across a range of industries so it

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is still quite mixed but going forward things looking up for

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Chinese economy. Good to see. Looking at the markets of won Japan

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is standing out. The bank of Japan had meeting and it has kept interest

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rates on hold and acid purchases on hold. The Australian central bank

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had its meeting and again interest rates have been kept on hold. Other

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meetings in the US and UK happen later this week. The Fed starts its

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meetings later

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